Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Ok, if it is still up and stays up long enough, this current path will take it over Gaza, and if it is still up after that, Riyadh would be in the path.
ALERT Look Out Below! China’s Heavy-Lift Rocket Due For Uncontrolled Reentry Within Days
- Thread starter Double_A
- Start date
Ok, if it is still up and stays up long enough, this current path will take it over Gaza, and if it is still up after that, Riyadh would be in the path.
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
1m
Level 1:
At 0202 UTC (0402 CEST) the rocket, if still in orbit, will cross the Portuguese coast between Vigo and Porto, near VIana do Castelo
subnet
Boot
I wouldnt shed a tear if it took out any of the 3 or all of them.
The Snack Artist
Membership Revoked
Um, yeah. CA is in their own "zone". You know those times when you feel like a moron, this is one of them for me! lol!
annieosage
Inactive
FYI - The host is a saliva spitting Trump hater. So much for that spineless weasel not having an agenda.
Here is his pre-election meltdown,
VIDEO - "Agenda Free TV" Host Erupts Into An Epic Expletive Laden Anti-Trump Rant During Live Broadcast, At It Again, Post # 54
I saw this live, as it happened. Steve Lookner was formerly on Right Side Broadcasting and has been doing his own show for the last couple of years. He's normally a level headed guy focusing on hard news stories. What happened to him? Total runtime 6:44:35 - Caution - Very strong language...www.timebomb2000.com
Yep was a fan of his “agenda free” news until he wasn’t. I witnessed his Trump rant live and said buh bye. Will never watch him again.
jward
passin' thru
Jen King (she/her)
@jmkinging
Did you hear about the rocket stage that crashed into the cheese making machine? There was de brie everywhere!
rimshot
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
29s
Al Hasa in Jordan, and now Riyadh in Saudi Arabia. If it's still up.
Mary Contrary
Inactive
Yes a few. Breaks my heart. I can't watch anymore.
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
The Aerospace Corporation
@AerospaceCorp
·
1m
The absence of new data sets could indicate #LongMarch5B reentered. This fits both our own latest prediction's uncertainty range and
@SpaceTrackOrg
predictions. Without confirmed video footage, a decay message or a new data set, we cannot yet confirm. We're still watching.
Quote Tweet
The Aerospace Corporation
@AerospaceCorp
· 3h
UPDATE Our latest prediction for #LongMarch5B CZ-5B rocket body reentry is
09 MAY 2021 03:02 UTC ± 2 hours along the ground track shown here. 1/
Show this thread
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
4m
Over the Indian Ocean now, pass over Gan in the Maldives at 0223 UTC (7 min from now)
OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
2m
The rocket is still flying, you can clearly see the plasma building up around it as it strikes the upper atmosphere
View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1391216504071413762?s=20
Ku Commando
Inactive
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
So, he thinks the vid in post #173 was legit, only he was a bit surprised that it was a few minutes ahead of "schedule"
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Confirmed rocket was still in orbit at 0211 UTC only going over Jordan...
Quote Tweet
Walid
@walidbarahmeh
· 12m
Chinese Rocket seen over Jordan 5:11am | May 9, 2021 #LongMarch5 #ChineseRocket
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Confirmed rocket was still in orbit at 0211 UTC only going over Jordan...
Quote Tweet
Walid
@walidbarahmeh
· 12m
Chinese Rocket seen over Jordan 5:11am | May 9, 2021 #LongMarch5 #ChineseRocket
jward
passin' thru
OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
3m
If you are in Perth or WA, take a look at the sky, as we saw in Jordan, the rocket is fairly bright and obvious.
View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1391218436244660230?s=20
@Osinttechnical
3m
If you are in Perth or WA, take a look at the sky, as we saw in Jordan, the rocket is fairly bright and obvious.
View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1391218436244660230?s=20
LoupGarou
Ancient Fuzzball
The fun part is that every time it bounces, the TLE's (Two Line Elements) from NORAD/NASA become invalid as far as speed and altitude, and to a smaller extent, side to side motion, so the sites that are "tracking" it by computer just calculating the position off of the last TLE will ba off, and if it is a TLE that is hours old, it could be VERY off. Radar and visual sightings are going to be the only trustworthy position data from here on out till it "lands".
The rocket was bright over Jordan because the sun was illuminating it, not because it was hitting our atmosphere. When it starts to hit, it will be a LOT bigger and more random than that.
The rocket was bright over Jordan because the sun was illuminating it, not because it was hitting our atmosphere. When it starts to hit, it will be a LOT bigger and more random than that.
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Now seeing that the earlier video might have been old, still not sure.
The Aerospace Corporation
@AerospaceCorp
·
2m
#TheMoreYouKnow The data sets we use to make predictions are generated when the object we are tracking passes over one of a collection of sensors across the planet. We will know #LongMarch5B is down when it fails to pass over several of these sensors in a row.
The Aerospace Corporation
@AerospaceCorp
·
2m
#TheMoreYouKnow The data sets we use to make predictions are generated when the object we are tracking passes over one of a collection of sensors across the planet. We will know #LongMarch5B is down when it fails to pass over several of these sensors in a row.
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
2m
After Perth, we have Stanley and Bridport in Tasmania, at 0243 UTC, and five minutes later Collingwood and Wellington in New Zealand. Having said that, we're getting to the end of the entry window and it's more likely that it's down by now.
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
3m
After Perth, we have Stanley and Bridport in Tasmania, at 0243 UTC, and five minutes later Collingwood and Wellington in New Zealand. Having said that, we're getting to the end of the entry window and it's more likely that it's down by now.
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
not if you're a Democrat
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
US Spacetrack (apparently retweeted something) that makes it seem like it is down (will know by 3 UTC) (heard it on agenda free)
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
1m
Claimed observation from Oman which if genuine would imply the reentry was underway with impact over the Indian Ocean
@0_F_0
· 12m
Chinese Rocket while crossing the skies of #Oman #ChineseRocket #LongMarch5B
0:04
11.6K views
Tip
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
this apparently was the retweeted message earlier
MotherOfAllLaunches
@Skitt0608
·
15m
Spoke with the team. We have indications the
is down. Once they get radar confirmation of nothing in orbit (after 0300UTC) they will release the final message with time. Y’all can stop hiding in your bunkers.
@SpaceTrackOrg
Telescope Steve
Veteran Member
Thank you for the link to our incredible data resources around the world. I am grateful to be here during such a time as this.
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
1m
Claimed observation from Oman which if genuine would imply the reentry was underway with impact over the Indian Ocean
@0_F_0
· 12m
Chinese Rocket while crossing the skies of #Oman #ChineseRocket #LongMarch5B
0:04
11.6K views
Tip
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
2m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
bw
Fringe Ranger
They don't seem to understand. Hiding in the bunker is its own reward.
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
8m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
@planet4589
8m
Insiders at SpaceForce reporting that data indicates the rocket has indeed reentered, but waiting for confirmation (i.e. it correctly fails to show up on radar next time around). Presumably somewhere between the Middle East and Australia. Stay tuned...
jward
passin' thru
| fyi the guy I've been posting is: Jonathan McDowell @planet4589 Astronomer at (but not speaking for, duh) the Center for Astrophysics, working on Chandra and quasars, and commenting on space launches and space activities. |
@planet4589
8m
Claimed observation from Oman which if genuine would imply the reentry was underway with impact over the Indian Ocean
View: https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1391224699682762752?s=20
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
If correct info below (from China) is correct, it hit South of India and South East of Saudi Arabia in Indian Ocean.
Ye Quanzhi (叶泉志)
@Yeqzids
·
2m
The CNSA/CMS official account on Weibo confirms that #LongMarch5 CZ5B booster has reentered at 02:24 UTC, May 9. The location of the reentry is 72.47°E, 2.65°N. https://weibo.com/2196038737/KeDPliFXS?from=page_1001062196038737_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime… The CMS website appears to be down, though.
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
1m
So still waiting for Space Force confirmation, but indications are (with low to moderate confidence) the rocket probably came down somewhere over the Indian Ocean.
Ye Quanzhi (叶泉志)
@Yeqzids
·
2m
The CNSA/CMS official account on Weibo confirms that #LongMarch5 CZ5B booster has reentered at 02:24 UTC, May 9. The location of the reentry is 72.47°E, 2.65°N. https://weibo.com/2196038737/KeDPliFXS?from=page_1001062196038737_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime… The CMS website appears to be down, though.
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
·
1m
So still waiting for Space Force confirmation, but indications are (with low to moderate confidence) the rocket probably came down somewhere over the Indian Ocean.
jward
passin' thru
Ye Quanzhi (叶泉志)
@Yeqzids
4m
The CNSA/CMS official account on Weibo confirms that #LongMarch5 CZ5B booster has reentered at 02:24 UTC, May 9. The location of the reentry is 72.47°E, 2.65°N. https://weibo.com/2196038737/KeDPliFXS?from=page_1001062196038737_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime
The CMS website appears to be down, though.
@Yeqzids
4m
The CNSA/CMS official account on Weibo confirms that #LongMarch5 CZ5B booster has reentered at 02:24 UTC, May 9. The location of the reentry is 72.47°E, 2.65°N. https://weibo.com/2196038737/KeDPliFXS?from=page_1001062196038737_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime
The CMS website appears to be down, though.
jward
passin' thru
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
1m
China now reporting https://weibo.com/2196038737/KeDPliFXS
that the rocket reentered at 0224 UTC at 72.47E 2.65N which is right over the Maldives. If correct will be interesting to see if we get reports from there
View: https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1391229692582240257?s=20
ETA ScREen shot of the coordinates:
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Lookner said it should have come down over the Maldives.
jward
passin' thru
Reckless indeed. One of these days we "will" have a kessler event, n surely that is casus belli :: shrug ::
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
10m
An ocean reentry was always statistically the most likely. It appears China won its gamble (unless we get news of debris in the Maldives). But it was still reckless
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
10m
An ocean reentry was always statistically the most likely. It appears China won its gamble (unless we get news of debris in the Maldives). But it was still reckless
steve graham
Veteran Member
China seems to have no problem gambling at the expense of the rest of the globe........they do what they want to do and don't give a shit if we like it or not.........interesting......and I don't think that China cares if they won the gamble or not........why should they? Our patriotic fake president works for them.........isn't that charming? Old Joe works for the chinks......lol........what a stunning surprise!
Lilbitsnana
On TB every waking moment
Space-Track
@SpaceTrackOrg
·
2m
@18SPCS
confirms that CZ-5B (#LongMarch5B) (48275 / 2021-035B) reentered atmosphere 9 May at 0214Z and fell into the Indian ocean north of the Maldives at lat 22.2, long 50.0. That's all we have on this re-entry; thanks for the wild ride and 30K more followers. Good night!