ALERT Look Out Below! China’s Heavy-Lift Rocket Due For Uncontrolled Reentry Within Days

danielboon

TB Fanatic
Replying to
@AerospaceCorp
US Space Force gives latest prediction We’ve got a new window from the US Space Force (or specifically the 18 Space Control Squadron). It’s now expected at 2.04am UTC, with a 60 minutes window either side. So that’s somewhere between 1.04am and 3.04am UTC.
 

adgal

Veteran Member

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
08/05/2021 21:25 (4:25 pn CDT)

We have just received the last report and update before re-entry of space debris CZ-5B.

Please see the the report generated by ISOC. The new predicted window is now down to: 2021-05-09 02:32:43 UTC ±139 min.

This seems consistent with previous predictions and external sources.

The web article<https://www.eusst.eu/newsroom/eu-sst-monitors-reentry-cz5brb/> has been updated accordingly.

As seen in the map on the report, the window spreads over 3 ground tracks at the moment (3 revolutions around the Earth), and they still overfly EU MS (PT, ES, FR, IT, GR). The first and last passes over Europe mentioned in last email are no longer likely, as expected. The duration of each pass over each country can be obtained from Table 3.

EU SST contributing radars will keep tracking the object as planned, and in particular after 00:30 AM UTC try to confirm if it is still in orbit, or if it has already decayed (by having 3 “no-shows” as described).
Please see the detailed information and map here .

Find the latest update by EASA about the Chinese rocket re-entry here .

NMOC Brussels

Headline news (eurocontrol.int)
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
Blue symbols are tracking stations.

These are supposed to be the last three predicted ground tracks.
-------------------------------------------
The below figure shows the ground track for the re-entry window. The current window of 2021-05-09 02:32 UTC ±139 minutes will keep narrowing down and discarding some of the ground track passes.

GroundTrack_B.png

EU SST monitors upcoming re-entry of space object CZ-5B R/B – EUSST
 
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Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
Make up your mind !!

View attachment 265600

Video:


hmmm
considering everything going on in Israel and the world right now...Israel will probably be where it hits/lands. (Jerusalem/West Bank would just really throw everything over the edge)
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
hmmm
considering everything going on in Israel and the world right now...Israel will probably be where it hits/lands. (Jerusalem/West Bank would just really throw everything over the edge)






Leo Enright

@Ollopa

·
16s


#LongMarch5B crossed the coast of Portugal 50km north of Lisbon. Passing over Madrid's southern suburbs at 00:31 GMT, it then swept out over the Mediterranean. For the only time tonight it briefly crossed French territory: Corsica. I was watching closely: it did not crash!
 

LoupGarou

Ancient Fuzzball
Of course, one good ricochet off of the atmosphere, and that could change all sorts of plans. They keep mentioning 41 deg North. NYC is at 40.7N... I wonder if it could have an incoming angle of 45 degrees...... (Skitters back to forest before the rocks come out).....
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
Of course, one good ricochet off of the atmosphere, and that could change all sorts of plans. They keep mentioning 41 deg North. NYC is at 40.7N... I wonder if it could have an incoming angle of 45 degrees...... (Skitters back to forest before the rocks come out).....

LOL

One of the upcoming paths puts it between me and Nashville (if it hasn't hit already somewhere and I too wondered how much variance there would actually be once it hits the atmosphere.
 
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Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment





Steve Herman

@W7VOA

·
4m


No confirmation yet on whether the #LongMarch5B may have burned up above #Australia.
Quote Tweet


jcmy2_normal.jpg


Jonathan McDowell

@planet4589
· 5m
Assuming it survived perigee over Canberra it is now climbing again slightly as it heads out over NZ towards the Pacific. I'm very interested now in any positive reports of seeing it still in orbit, especially from experienced observers
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
I wonder what civilian or military assets there are that can track this object over the ocean?
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
live coverage

FYI - The host is a saliva spitting Trump hater. So much for that spineless weasel not having an agenda.

Here is his pre-election meltdown,

 

jward

passin' thru





Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589

59s


If it's still in orbit, after Costa Rica the next landfall is Les Cayes, Haiti at 0147 UTC, 6 min from now


Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589

11m


Rocket now passing over the South Pacific - if it is still up. Next landfall will be Savegre, Costa Rica at 0144 UTC (7.44pm local time). It will pass over Limon, Costa Rica seconds later. Very interested in any reports of it being seen passing over at that time.


Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589

19m


I'm going to continue tweeting expected positions as if the rocket is still in orbit. But we just don't know. If it's still up, it will be where I'm saying. But it might be shreds in the ocean....


Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589

24m


Assuming it survived perigee over Canberra it is now climbing again slightly as it heads out over NZ towards the Pacific. I'm very interested now in any positive reports of seeing it still in orbit, especially from experienced observers
 
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