This is THE most terrifying weather warning I have ever soon. Unbelievable.
Sassy, I hate to be critical but all those things you have to get done, except for topping off the gas tanks--they are basic prep items and should have already been done by now!! Yikes! We have to do better than that! Sorry. That just concerns me. Be safe.
Time for a mass prayer for all the folks around the coast and in the path of this monster.
I already had everything I needed. I was just picking up "extras".
I cannot get large amounts of my medication. I am nocturnal epileptic.
So the worse thing that will happen if I don't have my medication is I will have a couple of night time seizures a year. I had over 2 wks worth but my hubby was insistent that I get more.
I just topped off my tank - it was 6 gallons and I have a 28 gallon tank.
I had cash too but had to put hubby's ck in bank and kept out more.
I would have been ready w/o stepping out the door today.
Don't be mad at me.
Already praying!!!
Model Track Forecast
What's the deal with that green forecast (with the round dots) that goes up into Oklahoma, stops, does an about face, and then spins south westerly through Texas again?
that one's pretty bizarre as it's completely different than all the other forecasts.
Of course, I'm not a weather-man . . . so, in the immortal words of Sargeant Schultz, "I KNOW NNNNNOTHING!"
HB
Galveston might really not exist after Ike goes through near there. This storm could easily wash right over the island.
thank God they have evacuated the island <meaning Galveston
BAW said
HAVE THEY? The last I'd heard they thought it was "too late" to fully evacuate and were asking people to let the highest needs folks (elderly and disabled) get out first.
I've posted this a couple places. I've had a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach and "Galveston island" in my head for three days now... long before the models had it heading anywhere near there. I think I posted that yesterday morning somewhere. I'm no prophet for sure, but I was thankful it looked like I was just crazy... then I come on here this evening after a few hours away and the damned storm looks like it's going to track right over it. Damn!
Prayers for God's mercy on the people in harm's way.
Summerthyme
weather.gov
National Weather Service
Watches, Warnings & Advisories
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hurricane Warning
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HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE HEADING TOWARDS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
TXZ200-213-214-235>238-122130-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS SECTION WITH NEW EVACUATION INFORMATION.
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MATAGORDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CURRENT EVACUATION INFORMATION:
BRAZORIA COUNTY:
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CITIES OF PEARLAND...ALVIN...MANVEL...
AND ANGLETON.
RESIDENTS IN THE COASTAL AREAS AND THOSE REQUIRING TRANSPORTATION
FROM BRAZORIA COUNTY TO BELL COUNTY MUST RUSH THEIR PREPARATIONS
TO COMPLETION BY 10 AM TODAY.
CHAMBERS COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.
GALVESTON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF GALVESTON
ISLAND. THIS ORDER GOES INTO EFFECT AT NOON TODAY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR BOLIVAR PENINSULA...
OMEGA BAY...SAN LEON...BACLIFF...FREDDIESVILLE...TIKI ISLAND...
KEMAH...AND CLEAR LAKE SHORES. THE MANDATORY EVACUATION OF CLEAR
LAKE SHORES BEGINS AT 2 PM.
SPECIAL NEEDS EVACUATION IS ALSO TAKING PLACE.
BUSES ARE AVAILABLE FOR FOR CITIZENS THAT NEED ASSISTANCE WITH
EVACUATIONS. BUSES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING PICKUP POINTS:
BACLIFF COMMUNITY CENTER: 4500 10TH STREET...BACLIFF...77518
DICKINSON COMMUNITY CENTER: 2417 HWY 3...DICKINSON...77539
HITCHCOCK LIBRARY...8005 BARRY AVENUE...HITCHCOCK...77563
CRYSTAL BEACH ANNEX...941 NOBLE CARL DRIVE...CRYSTAL BEACH...
77650
CITIZENS SHOULD ALSO CONSIDER EVACUATING IF THEY LIVE IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING OR IN MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO
EVACUATE...PLEASE REMEMBER TO PACK YOUR DISASTER KIT AND
IMPORTANT PAPERS.
THE GALVESTON-BOLIVAR FERRY WILL CEASE OPERATIONS AT 11 PM
TONIGHT.
SCHOOL CLOSINGS...THE FOLLOWING SCHOOL DISTRICTS WILL BE CLOSED
THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH ISLAND...HITCHCOCK...SANTA FE...CLEAR
CREEK...FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON AND DICKINSON. THE FOLLOWING
DISTRICTS WILL BE CLOSED ON FRIDAY...LA MARQUE AND TEXAS CITY.
THE BOLIVAR S.U.D. HAS INDICATED THEY WILL CEASE WATER SERVICE TO
THE PENINSULA AT 5 PM TODAY.
UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL BRANCH HOSPITAL IN GALVESTON MAY
BEGIN A COMPLETE EVACUATION OF THE HOSPITAL FACILITIES THIS
MORNING. THE EMERGENCY ROOM WILL STAY OPEN.
HARRIS COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR ZIP CODE 77507 IN THE
PASADENA AREA.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE FOLLOWING ZIP
CODES...77058...77059...77062...77520...77546...77571...77586...
AND 77598.
PERSONS THROUGHOUT HARRIS COUNTY THAT LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR
HIGH RISES SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATING DUE TO THE HIGH THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS.
FOR HARRIS COUNTY GOVERNMENT WORKERS...ESSENTIAL WORKERS ONLY
REPORT ON FRIDAY.
FOR RESIDENTS IN THE MANDATORY EVACUATION ZIP ZONES WHO HAVE
SPECIAL NEEDS AND ARE NOT REGISTERED...PLEASE CALL 311.
THERE WILL BE NO TRASH SERVICE ON FRIDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED
HIGH WINDS.
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES IS SUSPENDING FLIGHTS INTO AND OUT OF HOBBY
AIRPORT BEGINNING AT 9 AM FRIDAY.
JACKSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY.
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND FRIDAY.
MATAGORDA COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR PEOPLE WHO LIVE AND
WORK SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 35. THIS MANDATORY EVACUATION INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF PALACIOS...ASHBY-BUCKEYE...EL MATON...
COLLEGEPORT...MATAGORDA...WADSWORTH...SARGENT...CEDAR LANE...
CHINQUAPIN...TRES PALACIOS OAKS...AND TIDEWATER OAKS. BLESSING
IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE MANDATORY EVACUATION EVEN THOUGH IT IS
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 35.
THESE EVACUATIONS MUST BE COMPLETED BY 6 PM TODAY.
MATAGORDA COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE RECOMMENDING A VOLUNTARY
EVACUATION OF RESIDENTS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 35 AND IN BAY CITY AND
VAN VLECK FOR THOSE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MANUFACTURED
HOMES THAT ARE NOT PROPERLY TIED DOWN.
IT IS RECOMMENDED YOU EVACUATE WITH YOUR PETS. BE SURE TO TAKE A
PET CARRIER...LEASH...VACCINATION RECORDS...AND FOOD FOR YOUR
PET. IF YOU EVACUATE TO A SHELTER...YOUR PETS WILL BE BOARDED AT
A SEPARATE FACILITY.
BE SURE TO START YOUR EVACUATION WITH A FULL TANK OF GAS.
IF YOU HAVE NO MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION OR CANNOT FIND ANYONE TO
HELP YOU EVACUATE AND NEED ASSISTANCE...YOU CAN CONTACT
979-245-3056 OR 979-244-5318. YOU SHOULD COME TO THE BAY CITY
SERVICE CENTER OR KC HALL IN PALACIOS.
RESIDENTS OF MATAGORDA COUNTY WHO NEED SHELTER CAN EVACUATE TO
THE SHELTER HUB IN AUSTIN. SIGNS IN AUSTIN WILL DIRECT EVACUEES
TO OPEN SHELTERS.
ALL SCHOOLS IN MATAGORDA COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND FRIDAY.
PALACIOS SCHOOL DISTRICT WILL ALSO BE CLOSED ON MONDAY SEPTEMBER
15TH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDE LEVELS WILL BEGIN RISING FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL EXCEED
5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND ALONG THE SHORELINES OF THE BAYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
WATER LEVELS WILL RISE RAPIDLY BEGINNING LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY AS
THE STORM SURGE MOVES IN WITH WATER LEVELS PEAKING FRIDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND VARIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF ONLY 15 MILES CAN MAKE DIFFERENCES OF SEVERAL FEET MORE OR LESS FROM SOME OF THESE VALUES.
MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:
GULF-FACING COASTLINE WEST OF SARGENT...5 TO 8 FEET
SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA BAY...5 TO 8 FEET
GULF-FACING COASTLINE SARGENT TO HIGH ISLAND
INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND......12 TO 16 FEET
SHORELINE OF GALVESTON BAY...15 TO 22 FEET
LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE.
PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH.
MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.
WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER.
ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION.
DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
HIGH TIDE TIMES:
MORGANS POINT...
FRI 2:52 PM.
SAT 2:59 PM.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
FRI 10:36 AM.
SAT 10:43 AM.
EAGLE POINT...
FRI 8:25 AM.
SAT 8:32 AM.
PORT BOLIVAR...
FRI 4:45 AM.
FRI 1:52 PM.
SAT 4:52 AM.
SAT 3:00 PM.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
FRI 4:31 AM.
FRI 1:38 PM.
SAT 4:38 AM.
SAT 2:46 PM.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
FRI 3:25 AM.
FRI 12:32 PM.
SAT 3:32 AM.
SAT 1:40 PM.
JAMAICA BEACH...
FRI 7:09 AM.
FRI 4:16 PM.
SAT 7:16 AM.
SAT 5:24 PM.
SAN LUIS PASS...
FRI 4:22 AM.
FRI 1:29 PM.
SAT 4:29 AM.
SAT 2:37 PM.
FREEPORT...
FRI 3:47 AM.
FRI 12:54 PM.
SAT 3:54 AM.
SAT 2:02 PM.
PORT O CONNOR...
FRI 10:15 AM.
SAT 2:01 PM.
NOTE...TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
...WINDS...
PERSONS WHO HAVE NOT EVACUATED SHOULD PLAN TO SHELTER IN PLACE IN
A WELL BUILT STRUCTURE DURING THE PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS. IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT PERSONS WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR
POORLY-BUILT STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO A SAFER LOCATION SUCH
AS A WELL BUILT HOME. PERSONS WHO LIVE IN HIGH RISES SHOULD
CONSIDER EVACUATING AS WINDS CAN BE STRONGER AT THE TOP OF A HIGH
RISE THAN AT GROUND LEVEL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COASTAL COUNTIES LATE MORNING FRIDAY...AND SPREAD
INLAND TO THE HOUSTON AREA MID AFTERNOON FRIDAY. WINDS OF AT
LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL THEN POSSIBLY LAST ABOUT
24 HOURS.
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF IKE...HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COASTAL COUNTIES LATE EVENING ON FRIDAY...
AND THE HOUSTON METRO AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY LAST FOR UP TO 8 TO 12 HOURS.
PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 100 TO 115 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
HARRIS...LIBERTY...BRAZORIA...GALVESTON...AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES.
WIND SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 115 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE
CENTER OF THE STORM COMES ONSHORE.
VERY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE AND
DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY.
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE THE MAJORITY OF MOBILE HOMES BEING
SEVERELY DAMAGED. THOSE THAT SURVIVE WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL
REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE MAJOR
DAMAGE...INCLUDING PARTIAL WALL COLLAPSE AND ROOFS BEING LIFTED
OFF. MANY WILL BE UNINHABITABLE. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES WILL
INCUR MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS...AS WELL AS
BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UP TO ONE QUARTER OF GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL.
PARTIAL ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY
TO THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM
COVERINGS. OLDER LOW RISING APARTMENT ROOFS MAY ALSO BE TORN
OFF...AS WELL AS RECEIVING SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. UP TO ONE
QUARTER OF ALL GLASS IN HIGH RISE OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN
OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE...INJURY...AND POSSIBLE
FATALITIES.
NATURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE ALL TREES WITH ROTTING BASES BECOMING
UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. NEARLY ALL LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. BETWEEN
ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF OF HEALTHY SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...MOST COMMON WHERE THE GROUND IS
SATURATED. UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF NEWLY PLANTED GROUND CROPS
WILL BE DAMAGED.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BEGINNING LATE
FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES ONSHORE.
YOU SHOULD PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM
CDT.
$$