WEATHER Hurricane Ike Daily Thread for Thursday/ 9-11-08

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Latest sat. images....
 

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mole

Doomer Granny
just yuk.

the latest images have that monster coming right over the top of us in NE Texas. Today is the first clear day of sunshine since Gustav's remnants finally petered out. I am sooooooooo sick of rain and being soaked through. Time for new umbrellas....the winds this last time around inverted both of them and bent the frames. I guess I should consider myself lucky..............

rain, rain, go away, find someone else...no, no, I don't mean that. how about just go away?

:cry:


as always, Jarhead, you rock!
 

sassy

Veteran Member
This is THE most terrifying weather warning I have ever soon. Unbelievable.

Sassy, I hate to be critical but all those things you have to get done, except for topping off the gas tanks--they are basic prep items and should have already been done by now!! Yikes! We have to do better than that! Sorry. That just concerns me. Be safe.

I already had everything I needed. I was just picking up "extras".

I cannot get large amounts of my medication. I am nocturnal epileptic.
So the worse thing that will happen if I don't have my medication is I will have a couple of night time seizures a year. I had over 2 wks worth but my hubby was insistent that I get more.

I just topped off my tank - it was 6 gallons and I have a 28 gallon tank.

I had cash too but had to put hubby's ck in bank and kept out more.

I would have been ready w/o stepping out the door today.

Don't be mad at me.
 

BlueNewton

Veteran Member
I already had everything I needed. I was just picking up "extras".

I cannot get large amounts of my medication. I am nocturnal epileptic.
So the worse thing that will happen if I don't have my medication is I will have a couple of night time seizures a year. I had over 2 wks worth but my hubby was insistent that I get more.

I just topped off my tank - it was 6 gallons and I have a 28 gallon tank.

I had cash too but had to put hubby's ck in bank and kept out more.

I would have been ready w/o stepping out the door today.

Don't be mad at me.

Now THAT is what I like to hear! Not about your epilepsy, certainly. I didn't want to make you feel you had to justify anything but it was kind of you to explain. Take care!
 

baw

Inactive
I lived in Texas City (just over the causeway from Galveston) for Hurricane Alicia.

We decided to ride it out. We were idiot twenty year olds. Though it was pretty exciting during the hurricane, afterward was a nightmare.

There is no way I would try to ride this one out! It’s forecast to hit during high tide with swells of 10 to 15’. And that’s as of now.

A slow mover over the hot waters of the gulf makes it pretty unpredictable.

I'm no expert but Galveston and the whole SE Gulf coast is in a world of hurt imo.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
356 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


...HURRICANE IKE TO BRING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...

.HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE HURRICANE
WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTH...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A BRYAN TO
PALESTINE TO TEXARKANA LINE. IKE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4
INCHES WITH HIGHER TOTALS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED.

TXZ135-143>148-157>162-174-175-120300-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TI.A.0001.080913T0800Z-080914T0600Z/
HENDERSON-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-CORYELL-
BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
356 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WATCH FOR SOUTHERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A HAMILTON TO ATHENS LINE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A
BONHAM TO TERRELL TO CAMERON LINE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO IKE ON SATURDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY.

DUE TO THE WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH
AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED...AS THEY CAN
EASILY BECOME PROJECTILES IN HIGH WINDS. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE
POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES... A FULL TANK OF
GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST
IN CASE.

...WINDS...

AS IKE MOVES NORTH OVER EAST TEXAS...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 45 TO 55
MPH WILL OCCUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND GUSTS
TO HURRICANE FORCE...OR IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF A CAMERON TO PALESTINE LINE.

THESE HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO SOME
STRUCTURES AND OUTDOOR PROPERTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF A BONHAM TO KAUFMAN TO CAMERON
LINE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT WILL BE AROUND 10 PM.

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 112047
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
400 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES...820
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES...
645 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL...EXCEPT AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...WHERE SURGE FLOODING OF UP
TO 25 FT COULD OCCUR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.0 N...89.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

Fisher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Looks like it could be somewhere between a strong cat 3 and a strong Cat 4 at landfall.

Fair use
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc08/ATL/09L.IKE/ssmi/gif/full/Latest.html

al092008.08091112.gif
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KLIX 112156
HLSLIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
456 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


...IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES
WELL SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST...

.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

GMZ530-555-LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-120200-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-
LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
456 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PREPAREDNESS MEASURES SHOULD BE COMPLETE AT THIS TIME.
TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAVE ONSET ALONG THE LOWER LOUISIANA COAST
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH TIDES AND SALT
WATER INUNDATION IS TAKING PLACE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE LEVEE
PROTECTION SYSTEM.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH INTO SATURDAY
BEFORE SLOWLY ABATING LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. FLOODING OF
COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING ACCESS ROADS...OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE
PROTECTION LEVEE SYSTEMS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE.
COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR AROUND LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND
MAUREPAS AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
IN BAYS AND BAYOUS. FLOODING MAY BE MOST PRONOUNCED AT TIMES OF
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE DURING THE MORNING AND MIDDAY HOURS FRIDAY.

...WINDS...

FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES...EAST WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH MAINLY IN SQUALLS...WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE LOUISIANA
TIDAL LAKES AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST...EAST WINDS OF 25
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL BECOME
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BEFORE SETTLING TO SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25
MPH LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

TREE LIMBS AND WEAK TREES MAY IMPACT POWER LINES IN GUSTS DURING
SQUALLS. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE TRASH CANS AND LIGHT LAWN FURNITURE
MAY BE MOVED BY HIGHER WINDS. SIGNAGE AND CANOPY COVERS MAY BE
DAMAGED WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. PERSONS IN TEMPORARY TRAILER
HOMES MAY WISH TO SEEK STRONGER SHELTER UNTIL THE STRONG WIND
THREAT DIMINISHES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAINLY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST ARE POSSIBLE
IN SQUALLS THAT MAY BE MOVING ONSHORE FRIDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 PM CDT.

$$
 

BlueNewton

Veteran Member
Galveston might really not exist after Ike goes through near there. This storm could easily wash right over the island.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KHGX 112119
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


...VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE HEADING TOWARDS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

TXZ163-164-176>179-198-199-212-226-227-122130-
/O.UPG.KHGX.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080914T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.HI.W.0001.080911T2119Z-080914T1200Z/
FORT BEND-GRIMES-HOUSTON-MADISON-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WHARTON-
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE WIND WATCH UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
CHANGED WINDS AND TORNADOES SECTIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

FORT BEND...GRIMES...HOUSTON...MADISON...MONTGOMERY...POLK...
SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER...WHARTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.

PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE THEIR PROPERTIES FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
DAMAGING WINDS. SECURE OR REMOVE ANY LOOSE ITEMS SURROUNDING YOUR
PROPERTY WHICH COULD BE BLOWN AROUND BY TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. TRIM TREES NEAR YOUR PROPERTY.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.

WHARTON COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGING WHARTON COUNTY CITIZENS
TO EVACUATE IF THEY LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...RV OR A FLOOD PRONE
AREA EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY. IN FORT BEND COUNTY...PUBLIC
TRANSPORTATION HAS BEEN SUSPENDED ON FRIDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH FORT BEND AND WHARTON COUNTIES BEGINNING MID TO LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD INLAND TO THE KATY TO CONROE TO
LIVINGSTON CORRIDOR BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY
LATE EVENING FRIDAY. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FOR AN 18
TO 24 HOUR PERIOD.

DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF IKE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL OCCUR OVER THESE AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS BEGINNING AFTER
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY. BASED ON THE
CURRENT TRACK FORECAST...THESE WINDS APPEAR MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR
ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 45 CORRIDOR. THE HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS COULD LAST FOR UP TO 6 HOURS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BEGINNING LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AS THE
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH IKE SPREAD INLAND. BASED ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 45. YOU SHOULD PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM
CDT.

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Wind Swath Forecast Updated: 5 pm EDT/4 pm CDT September 11, 2008
.
 

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Haybails

When In Doubt, Throttle Out!
Model Track Forecast


What's the deal with that green forecast (with the round dots) that goes up into Oklahoma, stops, does an about face, and then spins south westerly through Texas again?

that one's pretty bizarre as it's completely different than all the other forecasts.

Of course, I'm not a weather-man . . . so, in the immortal words of Sargeant Schultz, "I KNOW NNNNNOTHING!"



HB
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Latest Recon...

.Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 11th day of the month at 21:13Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 303)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2008
Storm Name: Ike (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 27
Observation Number: 19
A. Time of Center Fix: 11th day of the month at 20:50:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°55'N 89°29'W (25.9167N 89.4833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 283 miles (455 km) to the S (173°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,702m (8,865ft) at 700mb
D & E. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: Not Available
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 218° at 77kts (From the SW at ~ 88.6mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 82 nautical miles (94 statute miles) to the SE (132°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 952mb (28.11 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,053m (10,016ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,044m (9,987ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the northwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 101kts (~ 116.2mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:54:30Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
UNABLE TO FIX SFC CNTR DUE TO UNDERCAST
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
What's the deal with that green forecast (with the round dots) that goes up into Oklahoma, stops, does an about face, and then spins south westerly through Texas again?

that one's pretty bizarre as it's completely different than all the other forecasts.

Of course, I'm not a weather-man . . . so, in the immortal words of Sargeant Schultz, "I KNOW NNNNNOTHING!"



HB

That's the BAMS model on serious drugs....

Jarhead
:usm:
 

baw

Inactive
Galveston might really not exist after Ike goes through near there. This storm could easily wash right over the island.

I didn't want to be the first one to say that.

I'm afraid for the actual island itself being swamped and washed. And that the surge may just decimate the island all together. Including the surrounding coast line.

Thank God they have evacuated the island.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KFWD 112308
HLSFWD

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
608 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


...HURRICANE IKE TO AFFECT NORTH TEXAS...

.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE
HURRICANE WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTH...GENERALLY ALONG A LINE FROM
HOUSTON TO PALESTINE TO TEXARKANA. IKE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER TOTALS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED.


TXZ135-143>148-157>162-174-175-120515-
/O.CON.KFWD.TI.A.0001.080913T0800Z-080914T0600Z/
HENDERSON-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-CORYELL-
BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
608 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WATCH FOR SOUTHERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A
BONHAM TO TERRELL TO CAMERON LINE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN RAIN SQUALLS.

DUE TO THE WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH
AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED...AS THEY CAN
EASILY BECOME PROJECTILES IN HIGH WINDS. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE
POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF
GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST
IN CASE.

...WINDS...

AS IKE MOVES NORTH OVER EAST TEXAS...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 40 TO 60
MPH WILL OCCUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE...OR
IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH...WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
HEARNE TO CANTON LINE.

THESE HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO SOME
STRUCTURES AND OUTDOOR PROPERTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF A BONHAM TO KAUFMAN TO
CAMERON LINE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT WILL BE AROUND 10 PM.


$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 112359
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 43A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
700 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH YET AS IKE HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES...760
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES...
595 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...BUT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL...EXCEPT AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...WHERE SURGE FLOODING OF UP
TO 25 FEET COULD OCCUR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...26.2 N...89.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KLIX 120024
HLSLIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA

724 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH YET AS IKE HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES
WELL SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST...

.AT 700 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE...BUT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR
TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

GMZ530-555-LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-120430-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-
LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
724 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 700 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE...BUT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR
TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PREPAREDNESS MEASURES SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETENESS AT THIS
TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS AND AT TIMES SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD INLAND INTO AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND INTO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI LATER TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY. HIGH TIDES AND SALT WATER INUNDATION IS TAKING PLACE
OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH INTO SATURDAY
BEFORE SLOWLY ABATING LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. FLOODING OF
COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING ACCESS ROADS...OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE
PROTECTION LEVEE SYSTEMS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE.
COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR AROUND LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND
MAUREPAS AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING
AREAS AND IN BACK BAYS AND BAYOUS. FLOODING MAY BE MOST PRONOUNCED
AT TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE DURING THE MORNING AND MIDDAY
HOURS FRIDAY.

...WINDS...

FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES...EAST WINDS OF
35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH MAINLY IN SQUALLS...WILL BECOME
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR AREAS
NORTH OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST...EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH MAINLY IN
SQUALLS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BEFORE SETTLING
TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

TREE LIMBS AND WEAK TREES MAY IMPACT POWER LINES IN GUSTS DURING
SQUALLS. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE TRASH CANS AND LIGHT LAWN FURNITURE
MAY BE MOVED BY HIGHER WINDS. SIGNAGE AND CANOPY COVERS MAY BE
DAMAGED WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. PERSONS IN TEMPORARY TRAILER
HOMES MAY WISH TO SEEK STRONGER SHELTER UNTIL THE STRONG WIND
THREAT DIMINISHES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAINLY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST ARE POSSIBLE
IN SQUALLS THAT MAY BE MOVING ONSHORE FRIDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.

$$
 

bipshoft

Inactive
Thanks for all the great info

www.kfdm.com (Beaumont and Port Arthur) is now streaming their newscasts live as well
This is a bit east of Houston, but interesting to get their perspective
next live webcast is at 10:00 PM

-bips
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KCRP 120018
HLSCRP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX

718 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...IKE THREATENS THE TEXAS COAST...

.AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES...760
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES...
595 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

TXZ232>234-120630-
/O.EXT.KCRP.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T1200Z/
BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-
718 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO CHANGES HAVE OCCURRED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS LIVING
IN BEE...GOLIAD AND VICTORIA COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN RECOMMENDED FOR VICTORIA COUNTY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS
THE AREA. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 PM CDT.

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KMOB 120006
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL

706 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER
WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

GMZ670-120715-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
706 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI FROM
20 TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER
WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOATERS STAY IN PORT!

...WINDS...

EASTERLY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST
TONIGHT.

...WAVES...

SEAS ARE CURRENTLY 20 TO 25 FEET...AND COULD BUILD AS HIGH AS 23 TO
28 FEET.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 9 PM CDT.

$$
 

SugarMagnolia

Deceased
The Galveston National Weather Service Office is not mincing words:

"All neighborhoods... and possibly entire coastal communities... will be inundated during high tide. Persons not heeding evacuation orders in single family one or two story homes will face certain death. Many residences of average construction directly on the coast will be destroyed. Widespread and devastating personal property damage is likely elsewhere. Vehicles left behind will likely be swept away. Numerous roads will be swamped... some may be washed away by the water. Entire flood prone coastal communities will be cutoff. Water levels may exceed 9 feet for more than a mile inland. Coastal residents in multi-story facilities risk being cutoff. Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will exacerbate property damage... with massive destruction of homes... including those of block construction. Damage from beach erosion could take years to repair."
 

sassy

Veteran Member
Here is the situation:

We have seen no one boarding up their houses.

People are looking at my guys like they are crazy.

My guys are tired but still at it - we have 32 windows. Some are really big. A front leaded glass door with surround windows all around it.
3 were on very top probably 25' up or more and on a very steep pitch.
(they are faux windows to the attic - attic is huge)

Then they have many 2nd story windows. Some of those windows are to rooms that are two story so if something happens during storm - almost impossible to get to.

One guy was walking his dog and when he came by and saw my guys putting the boards up said "The storm isn't going to come this far inland, is it?"
We are 60 miles from the coast.

Now we have one neighbor who has suggested she is home alone and might get scared. Wanted to know if she could come over if she did and she has 3 dogs.

I am envisioning neighbors having windows broken out and 70-90 mile an hour winds and rain pushing into their houses and coming to the
ONE and ONLY house that is safe. You think?

My guys are looking at me with that look of "We sure hope your not putting us through this for no reason". But they would never say that.

:shk:
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
BAW said
thank God they have evacuated the island <meaning Galveston

HAVE THEY? The last I'd heard they thought it was "too late" to fully evacuate and were asking people to let the highest needs folks (elderly and disabled) get out first.

I've posted this a couple places. I've had a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach and "Galveston island" in my head for three days now... long before the models had it heading anywhere near there. I think I posted that yesterday morning somewhere. I'm no prophet for sure, but I was thankful it looked like I was just crazy... then I come on here this evening after a few hours away and the damned storm looks like it's going to track right over it. Damn!

Prayers for God's mercy on the people in harm's way.

Summerthyme
 

sassy

Veteran Member
BAW said

HAVE THEY? The last I'd heard they thought it was "too late" to fully evacuate and were asking people to let the highest needs folks (elderly and disabled) get out first.

I've posted this a couple places. I've had a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach and "Galveston island" in my head for three days now... long before the models had it heading anywhere near there. I think I posted that yesterday morning somewhere. I'm no prophet for sure, but I was thankful it looked like I was just crazy... then I come on here this evening after a few hours away and the damned storm looks like it's going to track right over it. Damn!

Prayers for God's mercy on the people in harm's way.

Summerthyme

Yes they did a mandatory evacuation finally early in the evening.
Which basically, destroyed the chances for the counties above it from evacuating or added more traffic to the one's that did anyway.
They should have been evacuating at least the day before or even the day before that.
 

SassyinAZ

Inactive
This has been updated, note the bolded portion (mine):

weather.gov
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hurricane Warning

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HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


...VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE HEADING TOWARDS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

TXZ200-213-214-235>238-122130-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-
419 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED PREPAREDNESS SECTION WITH NEW EVACUATION INFORMATION.
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CURRENT EVACUATION INFORMATION:

BRAZORIA COUNTY:

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CITIES OF PEARLAND...ALVIN...MANVEL...
AND ANGLETON.

RESIDENTS IN THE COASTAL AREAS AND THOSE REQUIRING TRANSPORTATION
FROM BRAZORIA COUNTY TO BELL COUNTY MUST RUSH THEIR PREPARATIONS
TO COMPLETION BY 10 AM TODAY.

CHAMBERS COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.

GALVESTON COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF GALVESTON
ISLAND. THIS ORDER GOES INTO EFFECT AT NOON TODAY.

A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR BOLIVAR PENINSULA...
OMEGA BAY...SAN LEON...BACLIFF...FREDDIESVILLE...TIKI ISLAND...
KEMAH...AND CLEAR LAKE SHORES. THE MANDATORY EVACUATION OF CLEAR
LAKE SHORES BEGINS AT 2 PM.

SPECIAL NEEDS EVACUATION IS ALSO TAKING PLACE.

BUSES ARE AVAILABLE FOR FOR CITIZENS THAT NEED ASSISTANCE WITH
EVACUATIONS. BUSES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING PICKUP POINTS:

BACLIFF COMMUNITY CENTER: 4500 10TH STREET...BACLIFF...77518
DICKINSON COMMUNITY CENTER: 2417 HWY 3...DICKINSON...77539
HITCHCOCK LIBRARY...8005 BARRY AVENUE...HITCHCOCK...77563
CRYSTAL BEACH ANNEX...941 NOBLE CARL DRIVE...CRYSTAL BEACH...
77650

CITIZENS SHOULD ALSO CONSIDER EVACUATING IF THEY LIVE IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING OR IN MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO
EVACUATE...PLEASE REMEMBER TO PACK YOUR DISASTER KIT AND
IMPORTANT PAPERS.

THE GALVESTON-BOLIVAR FERRY WILL CEASE OPERATIONS AT 11 PM
TONIGHT.

SCHOOL CLOSINGS...THE FOLLOWING SCHOOL DISTRICTS WILL BE CLOSED
THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH ISLAND...HITCHCOCK...SANTA FE...CLEAR
CREEK...FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON AND DICKINSON. THE FOLLOWING
DISTRICTS WILL BE CLOSED ON FRIDAY...LA MARQUE AND TEXAS CITY.

THE BOLIVAR S.U.D. HAS INDICATED THEY WILL CEASE WATER SERVICE TO
THE PENINSULA AT 5 PM TODAY.

UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL BRANCH HOSPITAL IN GALVESTON MAY
BEGIN A COMPLETE EVACUATION OF THE HOSPITAL FACILITIES THIS
MORNING. THE EMERGENCY ROOM WILL STAY OPEN.

HARRIS COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR ZIP CODE 77507 IN THE
PASADENA AREA.

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE FOLLOWING ZIP
CODES...77058...77059...77062...77520...77546...77571...77586...
AND 77598.

PERSONS THROUGHOUT HARRIS COUNTY THAT LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR
HIGH RISES SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATING DUE TO THE HIGH THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS.

FOR HARRIS COUNTY GOVERNMENT WORKERS...ESSENTIAL WORKERS ONLY
REPORT ON FRIDAY.

FOR RESIDENTS IN THE MANDATORY EVACUATION ZIP ZONES WHO HAVE
SPECIAL NEEDS AND ARE NOT REGISTERED...PLEASE CALL 311.

THERE WILL BE NO TRASH SERVICE ON FRIDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED
HIGH WINDS.

SOUTHWEST AIRLINES IS SUSPENDING FLIGHTS INTO AND OUT OF HOBBY
AIRPORT BEGINNING AT 9 AM FRIDAY.

JACKSON COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY.

SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND FRIDAY.

MATAGORDA COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR PEOPLE WHO LIVE AND
WORK SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 35. THIS MANDATORY EVACUATION INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF PALACIOS...ASHBY-BUCKEYE...EL MATON...
COLLEGEPORT...MATAGORDA...WADSWORTH...SARGENT...CEDAR LANE...
CHINQUAPIN...TRES PALACIOS OAKS...AND TIDEWATER OAKS. BLESSING
IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE MANDATORY EVACUATION EVEN THOUGH IT IS
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 35.

THESE EVACUATIONS MUST BE COMPLETED BY 6 PM TODAY.

MATAGORDA COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE RECOMMENDING A VOLUNTARY
EVACUATION OF RESIDENTS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 35 AND IN BAY CITY AND
VAN VLECK FOR THOSE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MANUFACTURED
HOMES THAT ARE NOT PROPERLY TIED DOWN.

IT IS RECOMMENDED YOU EVACUATE WITH YOUR PETS. BE SURE TO TAKE A
PET CARRIER...LEASH...VACCINATION RECORDS...AND FOOD FOR YOUR
PET. IF YOU EVACUATE TO A SHELTER...YOUR PETS WILL BE BOARDED AT
A SEPARATE FACILITY.

BE SURE TO START YOUR EVACUATION WITH A FULL TANK OF GAS.

IF YOU HAVE NO MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION OR CANNOT FIND ANYONE TO
HELP YOU EVACUATE AND NEED ASSISTANCE...YOU CAN CONTACT
979-245-3056 OR 979-244-5318. YOU SHOULD COME TO THE BAY CITY
SERVICE CENTER OR KC HALL IN PALACIOS.

RESIDENTS OF MATAGORDA COUNTY WHO NEED SHELTER CAN EVACUATE TO
THE SHELTER HUB IN AUSTIN. SIGNS IN AUSTIN WILL DIRECT EVACUEES
TO OPEN SHELTERS.

ALL SCHOOLS IN MATAGORDA COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND FRIDAY.
PALACIOS SCHOOL DISTRICT WILL ALSO BE CLOSED ON MONDAY SEPTEMBER
15TH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDE LEVELS WILL BEGIN RISING FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL EXCEED
5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND ALONG THE SHORELINES OF THE BAYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

WATER LEVELS WILL RISE RAPIDLY BEGINNING LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY AS
THE STORM SURGE MOVES IN WITH WATER LEVELS PEAKING FRIDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND VARIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF ONLY 15 MILES CAN MAKE DIFFERENCES OF SEVERAL FEET MORE OR LESS FROM SOME OF THESE VALUES.

MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

GULF-FACING COASTLINE WEST OF SARGENT...5 TO 8 FEET

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA BAY...5 TO 8 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTLINE SARGENT TO HIGH ISLAND
INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND......12 TO 16 FEET

SHORELINE OF GALVESTON BAY...15 TO 22 FEET

LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE.

PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH.

MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.

WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.

VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER.

ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND.

COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION.

DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.


HIGH TIDE TIMES:

MORGANS POINT...
FRI 2:52 PM.
SAT 2:59 PM.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
FRI 10:36 AM.
SAT 10:43 AM.
EAGLE POINT...
FRI 8:25 AM.
SAT 8:32 AM.
PORT BOLIVAR...
FRI 4:45 AM.
FRI 1:52 PM.
SAT 4:52 AM.
SAT 3:00 PM.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
FRI 4:31 AM.
FRI 1:38 PM.
SAT 4:38 AM.
SAT 2:46 PM.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
FRI 3:25 AM.
FRI 12:32 PM.
SAT 3:32 AM.
SAT 1:40 PM.
JAMAICA BEACH...
FRI 7:09 AM.
FRI 4:16 PM.
SAT 7:16 AM.
SAT 5:24 PM.
SAN LUIS PASS...
FRI 4:22 AM.
FRI 1:29 PM.
SAT 4:29 AM.
SAT 2:37 PM.
FREEPORT...
FRI 3:47 AM.
FRI 12:54 PM.
SAT 3:54 AM.
SAT 2:02 PM.
PORT O CONNOR...
FRI 10:15 AM.
SAT 2:01 PM.

NOTE...TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

PERSONS WHO HAVE NOT EVACUATED SHOULD PLAN TO SHELTER IN PLACE IN
A WELL BUILT STRUCTURE DURING THE PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS. IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT PERSONS WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR
POORLY-BUILT STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO A SAFER LOCATION SUCH
AS A WELL BUILT HOME. PERSONS WHO LIVE IN HIGH RISES SHOULD
CONSIDER EVACUATING AS WINDS CAN BE STRONGER AT THE TOP OF A HIGH
RISE THAN AT GROUND LEVEL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COASTAL COUNTIES LATE MORNING FRIDAY...AND SPREAD
INLAND TO THE HOUSTON AREA MID AFTERNOON FRIDAY. WINDS OF AT
LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL THEN POSSIBLY LAST ABOUT
24 HOURS.

DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF IKE...HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COASTAL COUNTIES LATE EVENING ON FRIDAY...
AND THE HOUSTON METRO AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY LAST FOR UP TO 8 TO 12 HOURS.

PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 100 TO 115 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
HARRIS...LIBERTY...BRAZORIA...GALVESTON...AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES.
WIND SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 115 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE
CENTER OF THE STORM COMES ONSHORE.

VERY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE AND
DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY.

STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE THE MAJORITY OF MOBILE HOMES BEING
SEVERELY DAMAGED. THOSE THAT SURVIVE WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL
REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE MAJOR
DAMAGE...INCLUDING PARTIAL WALL COLLAPSE AND ROOFS BEING LIFTED
OFF. MANY WILL BE UNINHABITABLE. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES WILL
INCUR MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS...AS WELL AS
BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UP TO ONE QUARTER OF GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL.

PARTIAL ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY
TO THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM
COVERINGS. OLDER LOW RISING APARTMENT ROOFS MAY ALSO BE TORN
OFF...AS WELL AS RECEIVING SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. UP TO ONE
QUARTER OF ALL GLASS IN HIGH RISE OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN
OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE...INJURY...AND POSSIBLE
FATALITIES.

NATURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE ALL TREES WITH ROTTING BASES BECOMING
UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. NEARLY ALL LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. BETWEEN
ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF OF HEALTHY SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...MOST COMMON WHERE THE GROUND IS
SATURATED. UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF NEWLY PLANTED GROUND CROPS
WILL BE DAMAGED.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BEGINNING LATE
FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES ONSHORE.
YOU SHOULD PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM
CDT.

$$
 
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