WEATHER Hurricane Ike Daily Thread For Saturday 9-13-08

Knell

Deceased
From the very early reports, it doesn't look like it's quite as bad as predicted, Thank God.
However, I'm afraid that will make people even less likely to evacuate next time.
 

mole

Doomer Granny
Yeah! good news about the freighter crew...I consider that a blessed miracle that they were able to ride that monster out. can't wait to hear their stories.

Waiting with you BlueNewton for your good news. Let us know as soon as you hear anything.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 131640
TORLCH
LAC009-039-079-131715-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0127.080913T1640Z-080913T1715Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

1140 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
CENTRAL EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...VILLE PLATTE...TURKEY CREEK...MAMOU...
EAST CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES CHENEYVILLE...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 1134 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM LECOMPTE TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF MAMOU...OR ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF CHENEYVILLE TO EUNICE...MOVING
NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
VILLE PLATTE BY 1150 AM CDT...
CHENEYVILLE BY 1205 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3133 9224 3090 9225 3070 9225 3055 9234
3056 9246 3126 9244
TIME...MOT...LOC 1640Z 194DEG 39KT 3110 9239 3058 9235

$$

06
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Ike Blasts Texas Coast, Floods Homes, Cuts Power
Hurricane Ike slams Texas coast, floods homes, strands families, cuts power to millions

By JUAN A. LOZANO and CHRIS DUNCAN Associated Press Writers
GALVESTON, Texas September 13, 2008 (AP)

Howling ashore with 110 mph winds, Hurricane Ike ravaged the Texas coast Saturday, flooding thousands of homes and businesses, shattering windows in Houston's skyscrapers and knocking out power to millions of people.

At first light, it was unclear how many may have perished, and authorities mobilized for a huge search-and-rescue operation to reach the more than 100,000 people who ignored warnings that any attempt to ride the storm out could bring "certain death."

"The unfortunate truth is we're going to have to go in ... and put our people in the tough situation to save people who did not choose wisely. We'll probably do the largest search-and-rescue operation that's ever been conducted in the state of Texas," said Andrew Barlow, spokesman for Gov. Rick Perry.

With the winds still blowing and many roads impassable, authorities in some places could not venture outside to get a full look at the damage, but they were encouraged that the storm surge topped out at only 13.5 feet — far lower than the catastrophic 20-to-25-foot wall of water forecasters had feared.

The storm, nearly as big as Texas itself, blasted a 500-mile stretch of coastline in Louisiana and Texas. It breached levees, flooded roads and led more than 1 million people to evacuate and seek shelter inland.

"Every storm's unique, but this one certainly will be remembered for its size," said Benton McGee, supervisory hydrologist at the U.S. Geological Survey's storm surge center in Ruston, La.


Of greatest concern were the more than 100,000 people in coastal counties who ignored mandatory evacuation orders, including thousands of residents of Galveston, the low-lying barrier island where Ike crashed ashore at 3:10 a.m. EDT.

"We don't know what we are going to find," Galveston Mayor Lyda Ann Thomas said. "We hope we will find the people who are left here alive and well."

South of Galveston, authorities said 67-year-old Ray Wilkinson was the only residents who didn't evacuate from Surfside Beach, population 800. He was drunk and waving when authorities reached him on Saturday morning.

"He kinda drank his way through the night," Mayor Larry Davison said.

Some homes were destroyed, but the storm was not as bad for Surfside Beach as Davison had feared.

"But it's pretty bad," he said. "It'll take six months to clean it up."

Farther up the coast, much of Bridge City and downtown Orange were under up to 8 feet of water and rescue teams in dump trucks were plowing through in an effort to reach families trapped on roofs and inside attics.

"We've got to try and do something," said Orange County Judge Carl Thibodeaux.

In Louisiana, Ike's storm surge inundated thousands of homes and businesses. In Plaquemines Parish, near New Orleans, a sheriff's spokesman said levees were overtopped and floodwaters were higher than either hurricane Katrina or Rita.

"The storm surge we're experiencing, on both sides of the Mississippi River, is higher than anything we've seen before," Marie said.

Officials in Houston and along the coast reported receiving thousands of distress calls overnight but they were unable to respond because of the dangerous hurricane conditions. Emergency responders were fanning out Saturday morning from the Reliant Center in Houston to take stock of the damage and rescue any holdouts who needed help

"This is a democracy," said Mark Miner, a spokesman for Perry. "Local officials who can order evacuations put out very strong messages. Gov. Perry put out a very strong warning. But you can't force people to leave their homes. They made a decision to ride out the storm. Our prayers are with them."

Ike landed near the nation's biggest complex of refineries and petrochemical plants. Fears of shortages pushed wholesale gasoline prices to around $4.85 a gallon, up from $3 earlier in the week, and at least eight refineries were shut down. But it was too soon to know how they fared.


Ike passed over Houston before dawn, blowing out windows in the state's tallest building, the 75-story Chase Tower. Behind splintered shards, desks were exposed to the pounding morning rains, metal blinds hung in a twisted heap from some windows, and smoky black glass covered the streets below.

Documents, marked "highly confidential," were strewn across nearly empty streets.

"It sounded like ice or something hitting the window but really it was glass," said Santa Montelongo, 53, who took refuge inside her office at a nearby building. "We could see it fly by. It got really spooky."

Fires burned untended across Galveston and Houston. Brennan's, a landmark downtown Houston restaurant, was destroyed by flames when firefighters were thwarted by high winds. Fire officials said a restaurant worker and his young daughter were taken to a hospital in critical condition with burns over 70 percent of their bodies.

Because of damage to Reliant Stadium, the Houston Texans canceled their home opener, which had already been moved from Sunday to Monday night. No new date had been scheduled.

Mindful of the deadly chaos that ensued in 2005 when the nation's fourth-largest city emptied out ahead of Hurricane Rita, Houston officials evacuated only the lowest-lying areas and told some 2 million others to "hunker down" and ride out the storm at home. Ike was the first hurricane since Alicia in 1983 to land a direct hit on Houston.

"From the beginning, we knew this was going to be a big storm, a frightening situation," said County Judge Ed Emmett, who urged residents to stay inside, even if they think the storm has passed. "Those of us who were around 25 years ago when Alicia came through, we know what it's like to listen to those winds and that rain. But from where we now stand, as the storm goes through and clears our area, we are going to see our community at its very best."

As Ike moved north later Saturday morning, the storm dropped to a Category 1 hurricane with winds of around 80 mph. At 11 a.m. EDT, the center was about 20 miles north-northeast of Huntsville, Texas, and moving north at 16 mph. It was expected to turn toward Arkansas later in the day and become a tropical storm.

Because Ike was so huge, hurricane winds pounded the coast for hours before landfall and continued through the morning, with the worst winds and rain after the center came ashore, forecasters said.


"For us, it was a 10," Galveston Fire Chief Mike Varela said. Varela said firefighters responded to dozens of rescue calls before suspending operations Friday night, including from people who changed their minds and fled at the last minute.

Six feet of water had collected in the Galveston County Courthouse in the island's downtown, and the University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston was flooded, according to local storm reports on the National Weather Service's Web site.

"I'm drained. I'm beat up," said Steven Rushing, a commercial fisherman who tried to ride out the storm with his wife and several family members, including his pregnant 17-year-old daughter, in their one-story brick home on Galveston Island. Early Saturday, he loaded his family into a 17-foot ski boat and headed for safety. The boat ran aground and the Rushings sprinted for safety, guided by lights from police responding to a 911 call made from the boat.

My family is traumatized. I kept them here, promising them everything would be alright, but this is the real deal and I won't stay no more."


More than 3 million customers lost power in southeast Texas, and some 140,000 more in Louisiana. That's in addition to the 60,000 still without power from Labor Day's Hurricane Gustav. Suppliers warned it could be weeks before all service was restored.

But there was good news: A stranded freighter with 22 men aboard made it through the brunt of the storm safely, and a tugboat was on the way to save them. And an evacuee from Calhoun County gave birth to a baby girl in the restroom of a shelter with the aid of an expert in geriatric psychiatry who delivered his first baby in two decades

The Federal Emergency Management Agency said more than 5.5 million prepackaged meals were being sent to the region, along with more than 230 generators and 5.6 million liters of water. At least 3,500 FEMA officials were stationed in Texas and Louisiana.

Houston Mayor Bill White said the police department, Coast Guard, federal emergency rescue workers and thousands of Centerpoint Energy employees were set to begin recovery efforts as soon as the rain and wind eased enough to allow safe travel on city streets.


———

Juan A. Lozano reported from Galveston.


Some pics......
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 131659
TORLCH
LAC019-023-131730-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0128.080913T1659Z-080913T1730Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

1159 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES SULPHUR...CARLYSS...
CENTRAL CAMERON PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES SABINE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...HACKBERRY...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 1154 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SABINE
NATIONAL WILDLIFE...MOVING NORTH AT 53 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
HACKBERRY BY 1210 PM CDT...
CARLYSS BY 1220 PM CDT...
SULPHUR BY 1225 PM CDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3040 9349 3039 9322 2984 9348 2990 9368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1659Z 200DEG 46KT 2996 9354

$$

SHAMBURGER
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KSHV 131713
TORSHV
LAC049-061-131745-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0053.080913T1713Z-080913T1745Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

1213 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN JACKSON PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
CENTRAL LINCOLN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...RUSTON...GRAMBLING...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1212 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 19 MILES SOUTH
OF RUSTON...OR ABOUT 7 MILES EAST OF JONESBORO...MOVING NORTH AT 55
MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RUSTON AND GRAMBLING BY 1225 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3221 9270 3271 9280 3272 9251 3223 9249
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 174DEG 51KT 3233 9261

$$

13
 

Deep Blue Dragon

Senior Member
KHOU has started a discussion forum where people can post reports of damage according to geographic region in the affected area:

http://www.khou.com/forums/index.php

ETA: DD just got off the phone with her rooommate, who had just spoken with their Galveston landlord (he stayed on the island). Their house had water up to the steps, but the water didn't get into the house. Unfortunately, the restaurant where she worked is in the historic district, which is still under several feet of water. We aren't sure yet about school; TAMUG officials will assess damage to the campus on Sunday and decide how to proceed.

The landlord did say the the west end of the island was "gone". She wasn't sure exactly what that meant. She knows some people with houses there.
 
Last edited:

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KJAN 131940
TORJAN
MSC021-063-132015-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0255.080913T1940Z-080913T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS

240 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 240 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR UNION
CHURCH...OR 24 MILES WEST OF BROOKHAVEN...MOVING NORTH AT 42 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BLUE HILL AND MCBRIDE BY 245 PM CDT...
PEYTON AND PATTISON BY 255 PM CDT...
HERMANVILLE BY 305 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3201 9089 3203 9073 3163 9076 3164 9094
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 190DEG 36KT 3171 9084

$$

CME
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 131805
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 50A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
100 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...CORRECTED STATUS TO TROPICAL STORM IN HEADER AND TEXT BODY

...IKE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES STILL A THREAT...


A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SARGENT
TEXAS EASTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF
PALESTINE TEXAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...
SOUTH OF TYLER TEXAS...AND ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SOUTHWEST OF
LONGVIEW TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND IKE IS NOW A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...AND IKE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240
KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...
WITH POSSIBLY UP TO 20 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS WELL INLAND...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. THE SURGE EXTENDS A
GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE
OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ARE STILL REPORTING STORM
SURGES VALUES OF TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL AREAS.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI...
ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
SUNDAY.

A THREAT FOR TORNADOES EXISTS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...31.6 N...95.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Track Forecast Cone
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 131959
TORLZK
ARC051-059-125-132030-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0083.080913T1959Z-080913T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

259 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL GARLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EASTERN HOT SPRING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 259 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
MALVERN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 51 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PERLA...MALVERN AROUND 305 PM CDT...
ROCKPORT AROUND 310 PM CDT...
LONSDALE AROUND 320 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3419 9281 3471 9288 3470 9266 3441 9266
3440 9267 3438 9266 3419 9269
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 180DEG 44KT 3429 9274

$$

57
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS53 KGRR 132004
TORGRR
MIC159-132045-
/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0014.080913T2004Z-080913T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
404 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
VAN BUREN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN


* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 402 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF HARTFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT 37 MPH.

* THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAWRENCE BY 410 PM EDT...
TEAPOT DOME BY 420 PM EDT...
PAW PAW BY 425 PM EDT...
ALMENA BY 430 PM EDT...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...PENNY SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

KEELER... HARTFORD... MCDONALD...
HAMILTON TWP... LAWRENCE... DECATUR...
TEAPOT DOME... GLENDALE... PAW PAW...
LAWTON... ARMSTRONG CORNERS... GOBLES...
ALMENA... MATTAWAN... KENDALL...
MENTHA...


THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4225 8624 4243 8579 4242 8577 4215 8577
4207 8616 4207 8623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 251DEG 32KT 4217 8613

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS51 KPBZ 132005
TORPBZ
OHC013-067-157-132045-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.W.0008.080913T2005Z-080913T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA

405 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN BELMONT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO...
HARRISON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO...
SOUTHEASTERN TUSCARAWAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 403 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
TIPPECANOE...MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TIPPECANOE... FREEPORT... CLENDENING...
PIEDMONT... FLUSHING... CADIZ...
NEW ATHENS... HOPEDALE...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE. 1-877-633-6772. WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 4033 8141 4035 8087 4016 8088 4015 8085
4013 8085 4014 8122 4016 8122 4016 8133
4021 8133 4021 8141
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 269DEG 28KT 4024 8129

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Ike Now a Tropical Storm But Still Potent
Tim Ballisty, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
2:23 p.m. ET 9/13/2008
Hurricane Ike

Ike made landfall at 2:10 a.m. CDT at Galveston, Texas, with maximum sustained winds near 110 miles per hour. Its minimum pressure was 951.6 millibars, reported by the barometer at the Galveston Pleasure Pier when the center passed overhead.

As of 1 p.m. CDT, Ike was located very near Palestine, Texas, with maximum sustained winds at 60 mph. It is now been downgraded to a tropical storm. It is heading north at 16 mph with a turn to the north-northeast expected later today.

Ike was a hurricane for 9 days and 21 hours.

View the Ike Tracker here.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to Sargent, Texas but these warnings will be discontinued later this afternoon.

Tropical storm conditions are being felt anywhere from Houston/Galvston east to Beaumont and Lake Charles and north to Tyler, Texas.

There are numerous wind reports, surge reports, and damage reports coming in to weather.com.

Metro Houston faced a wicked blow from Ike this morning. Aside from the coastal flooding on the southeast side of the city along the western bay, Houston will deal with sustained tropical storm-force winds with numerous gusts to hurricane force. Once the center passes I-10, the metro area will see a slow decrease in winds but the heavy rain will continue into the afternoon.

Skyscrapers endured higher winds this morning than compared to the street level because of their elevation. Windows have been blown out in several of these very tall buildings throughout downtown Houston.

A very preliminary look tells us that water level rise forecasts did not reach their predicted levels, however, there was still considerable coastal flooding due to surge.

Final official measurements will be investigated during the next few days. It is possible that higher surge levels could be discovered when the surveys are completed especially along the west side of Galveston Bay.

Here's a quick glance at some of the highest surge levels:
Sabine Pass, Texas - 14.24 feet
Lake Charles, Louisiana - 10-12 feet
Galveston, Texas - 9-11 feet
West side of Galveston Bay - early estimation of 14-18 feet


The main reason behind the lower than forecast totals can mainly be attributed to a landfall just slightly farther east along Galveston Island. This did not allow for a pure southeast trajectory of winds channeling into Galveston Bay.

As Ike continues inland, flooding rains and potentially damaging winds will spread inland across Texas. Inland tropical storm warnings are in effect for cities as far north as the Red River, including the Dallas/Fort Worth area, with inland hurricane wind warnings as far north as Tyler, Texas.

As Ike weakens Sunday, the flooding rains will shift into eastern Oklahoma, northern Arkansas, southeast Kansas, central and southern Missouri and southern Illinois.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

940 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
WESTERN LOUISIANA
EASTERN TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 940 AM UNTIL 700
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF SHREVEPORT
LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 900. WATCH NUMBER 900 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
940 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...TORNADO THREAT WILL REMAIN ENHANCED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
ACROSS WW TO THE EAST AND JUST NORTH OF HURRICANE IKE SHIFTING NWD
ACROSS ERN TX. EXTREME LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN PLACE WILL MAINTAIN
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADOES AS HEATING INCREASES THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH GREATEST THREAT ACROSS FAR ERN TX INTO WRN LA...SPREADING
INTO SWRN AR AND POSSIBLY FAR SERN OK LATER TODAY. THREAT APPEARS
TO BE DIMINISHING TO THE SOUTH OF IKE AS WLY LOW LEVEL FLOW LIMITS
HELICITY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19050.


...EVANS
 

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Has No Life - Lives on TB
SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

210 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA


EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 210 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST OF TEXARKANA
ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 902...

DISCUSSION...T.S. IKE WILL CONTINUE NNEWD ACROSS ERN TX AND MOVE
INTO FAR SERN OK/WRN AR THROUGH THE EVENING...ALLOWING ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND BROKEN RAINBANDS TO LIFT NWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF AR.
SHEAR IS ALREADY QUITE STRONG INTO CENTRAL AR...AND WITH FURTHER
STRENGTHENING...THREATS OF ISOLATED TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE AS STORMS MOVE QUICKLY NWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18050.


...EVANS


SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 210 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST OF TEXARKANA
ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 902...

DISCUSSION...T.S. IKE WILL CONTINUE NNEWD ACROSS ERN TX AND MOVE
INTO FAR SERN OK/WRN AR THROUGH THE EVENING...ALLOWING ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND BROKEN RAINBANDS TO LIFT NWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF AR.
SHEAR IS ALREADY QUITE STRONG INTO CENTRAL AR...AND WITH FURTHER
STRENGTHENING...THREATS OF ISOLATED TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE AS STORMS MOVE QUICKLY NWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18050.


...EVANS


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 131906
WOU3

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

TORNADO WATCH 903 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC011-013-019-023-025-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069-071-
081-083-085-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-125-127-133-141-145-
149-140500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0903.080913T1910Z-080914T0500Z/

AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE
MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEVIER VAN BUREN
WHITE YELL


OKC089-140500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0903.080913T1910Z-080914T0500Z/

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MCCURTAIN


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW3
WW 903 TORNADO AR OK 131910Z - 140500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15E TXK/TEXARKANA AR/ - 45NE RUE/RUSSELLVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /17ESE TXK - 64NNW LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18050.

LAT...LON 33439494 35709376 35709127 33439252

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.


Watch 903 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
 

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Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 132017
TORLZK
ARC051-059-105-125-132100-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0085.080913T2017Z-080913T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

317 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN GARLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHWESTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL HOT SPRING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 316 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LAKE
CATHERINE...MOVING NORTH AT 36 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JESSIEVILLE AROUND 340 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3444 9303 3448 9305 3477 9316 3481 9317
3486 9318 3486 9306 3486 9290 3444 9285
3442 9290 3443 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 171DEG 32KT 3452 9297

$$

57
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 132028
TORLZK
ARC045-051-105-119-125-132115-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0086.080913T2028Z-080913T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

328 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FAULKNER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL GARLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EASTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
WEST CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 327 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR HASKELL...
MOVING NORTH AT 46 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PARON AROUND 345 PM CDT...
HARRIS BRAKE AROUND 405 PM CDT...
HOUSTON AROUND 410 PM CDT...

ANOTHER POTENTIALLY TORNADIC STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LONSDALE MOVING
NORTH AT 46 MPH. AREAS AFFECTED BY THAT STORM INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO OWENSVILLE.

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3450 9273 3451 9274 3451 9284 3504 9292
3505 9256 3448 9258 3448 9273
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 180DEG 40KT 3458 9269

$$

57
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS53 KGRR 132033
TORGRR
MIC077-132115-
/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0015.080913T2033Z-080913T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

433 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
KALAMAZOO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT

* AT 430 PM EDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS REPORTED BY THE PAW PAW
FIRE DEPARTMENT. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF
OSHTEMO...AND MOVING EAST AT 37 MPH.

* THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OSHTEMO BY 440 PM EDT...
KALAMAZOO BY 450 PM EDT...
COMSTOCK BY 455 PM EDT...
MORROW LAKE BY 500 PM EDT...
HOWLANDSBURG BY 505 PM EDT...

AN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM IS PRODUCING ROTATION JUST SOUTH OF
LAWTON. THIS STORM IS ALSO MOVING EAST AT 37 MPH AND COULD PRODUCE A
TORNADO AT ANY TIME.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...PENNY SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

SCHOOLCRAFT... OSHTEMO... PORTAGE...
KALAMAZOO... COOPER... NORTHWOOD...
COMSTOCK... PAVILION... MORROW LAKE...
SCOTTS... GALESBURG... RICHLAND...
HOWLANDSBURG... HIGHLAND PARK... YORKVILLE...
GULL LAKE... CLIMAX... AUGUSTA...


THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4235 8577 4243 8539 4243 8530 4214 8530
4210 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 254DEG 32KT 4223 8580

$$

NJJ
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 132037
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
400 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...IKE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES REMAIN A THREAT...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE TEXAS
AND LOUISIANA COASTLINES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF
TYLER TEXAS. THIS IS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MOUNT PLEASANT TEXAS AND ABOUT 105 MILES...170
KM...SOUTHWEST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
TODAY...AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER
MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND IKE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 980.7 MB...28.96
INCHES...WAS MEASURED AT TYLER TEXAS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA COASTS. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE
FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED
TIDE GAGES ARE STILL REPORTING STORM SURGE VALUES OF 8 TO 10 FT
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
COASTAL AREAS. TIDE LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND AWAY FROM THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...WHICH
WILL BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.

A THREAT FOR TORNADOES EXISTS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...NORTHERN LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...32.4 N...95.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT44 KNHC 132053
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IKE IS STEADILY WINDING DOWN AS A TROPICAL STORM...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER VELOCITY DATA INDICATE THAT IKE IS BARELY
ABOVE TROPICAL STORM THRESHOLD...DESPITE THE RATHER LOW PRESSURE OF
980.7 MB RECENTLY REPORTED AT TYLER TEXAS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
SHOULD OCCUR AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS...AND THE CYCLONE COULD WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. IKE
IS FORECAST OT MERGE WITH A STOUT COLD FRONT IN 24 TO 36 HOURS...
AFTER WHICH THE CYCLONE COULD BECOME A FAIRLY STRONG MID-LATITUDE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER-MIDWEST...AND THEN OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IN 48 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/16. IKE CONTINUES TO ROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT ON A RAPID NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS..AND INDIANA FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN MANY
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL
CIRCULATIONS BECOMING DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW-LEVELS...AND THEN
ACCELERATING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HOSTILE
VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS OF MORE THAN 110 KT. THE FORECAST TRACK
IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND THE TIMING OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS BASED ON INPUT FROM THE NOAA
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.

ALTHOUGH IKE IS QUICKLY DEGENERATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN
LOUISIANA...AND ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
PRODUCING FLOODING WILL REMAIN A THREAT AS WELL.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/2100Z 32.4N 95.3W 40 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 14/0600Z 35.1N 93.9W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 14/1800Z 38.9N 88.9W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
36HR VT 15/0600Z 43.0N 80.3W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
48HR VT 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT24 KNHC 132031
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2008

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE TEXAS
AND LOUISIANA COASTLINES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 95.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 30SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 425SE 150SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 95.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 95.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.1N 93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 38.9N 88.9W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 43.0N 80.3W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 95.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 132100
TORLZK
ARC029-105-115-125-149-132145-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0088.080913T2100Z-080913T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

400 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CONWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHWESTERN POPE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHEASTERN YELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 400 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NIMROD...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NIMROD AROUND 405 PM CDT...
POTTSVILLE AROUND 425 PM CDT...
POTTSVILLE...DARDANELLE AROUND 430 PM CDT...
RUSSELLVILLE...LAKE DARDANELLE AROUND 435 PM CDT...
LONDON...DOVER AROUND 440 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3486 9286 3480 9307 3524 9328 3531 9327
3532 9330 3533 9328 3546 9328 3547 9323
3551 9322 3554 9309
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 162DEG 39KT 3494 9301

$$

57
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KSHV 132051
TORSHV
LAC013-015-027-119-132130-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0061.080913T2051Z-080913T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

351 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN BIENVILLE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN BOSSIER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
WESTERN CLAIBORNE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
WEBSTER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MINDEN...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 351 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR RINGGOLD...
OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH OF MINDEN...MOVING NORTH AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SIBLEY BY 405 PM CDT...
MINDEN BY 410 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAYNESVILLE BY 430 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
SUNDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3297 9342 3296 9301 3230 9325 3232 9341
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 187DEG 48KT 3237 9332

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS53 KGRR 132110
TORGRR
MIC025-077-132200-
/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0016.080913T2110Z-080913T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

510 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN
NORTHEASTERN KALAMAZOO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT

* AT 506 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF CLIMAX...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CLIMAX BY 510 PM EDT...
BROWNLEE PARK BY 525 PM EDT...
WATTLES PARK BY 530 PM EDT...
CONVIS TWP BY 540 PM EDT...
LEE TWP BY 545 PM EDT...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...PENNY SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

HIGHLAND PARK... HOWLANDSBURG... CLIMAX...
YORKVILLE... GULL LAKE... AUGUSTA...
WEST LEROY... EAST LEROY... SONOMA...
FORT CUSTER... SPRINGFIELD... LEVEL PARK...
BEDFORD... BATTLE CREEK... STANLEY CORNERS...
BEADLE LAKE... BROWNLEE PARK... ST MARYS LAKE...


THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4213 8538 4241 8543 4243 8529 4242 8513
4242 8473 4223 8472
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 250DEG 35KT 4225 8534

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 132116
TORLZK
ARC029-045-105-115-119-132200-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0089.080913T2116Z-080913T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

416 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CONWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FAULKNER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHEASTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHEASTERN POPE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 416 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WYE
MOUNTAIN...MOVING NORTH AT 44 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OPPELO AROUND 425 PM CDT...
PLUMERVILLE...MORRILTON AROUND 430 PM CDT...
SOLGOHACHIA...HATTIEVILLE AROUND 440 PM CDT...
ST. VINCENT AROUND 445 PM CDT...
JERUSALEM...CLEVELAND AROUND 455 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3546 9259 3503 9257 3500 9261 3494 9256
3494 9264 3491 9266 3488 9288 3515 9295
3517 9294 3547 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 174DEG 38KT 3502 9268

$$

57
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLZK 132119 RRA
TORLZK
ARC011-025-043-132200-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0091.080913T2119Z-080913T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

419 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BRADLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
EASTERN CLEVELAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
WEST CENTRAL DREW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 419 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WARREN...
MOVING NORTH AT 46 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RYE AROUND 430 PM CDT...
CALMER AROUND 445 PM CDT...
RISON AROUND 450 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3406 9228 3406 9202 3355 9192 3354 9212
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 167DEG 40KT 3364 9203

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Be back later with 8 PM updates on T/S Ike.

Everyone in the tornado watch area really need to keep an eye out. There have been several tornadoes verified, not just thunderstorms that could/may produce a tornado. Please stay safe.

Jarhead
:usm:
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 132359
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 51A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
700 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND TORNADOES CONTINUES AS IKE HEADS
FARTHER INLAND...

AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES...80 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TEXARKANA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE
MIDWESTERN STATES ON SUNDAY AS IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES
FARTHER INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS STILL OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...WHICH
WILL BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHERN LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...33.3 N...94.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT44 KNHC 132053
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IKE IS STEADILY WINDING DOWN AS A TROPICAL STORM...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER VELOCITY DATA INDICATE THAT IKE IS BARELY
ABOVE TROPICAL STORM THRESHOLD...DESPITE THE RATHER LOW PRESSURE OF
980.7 MB RECENTLY REPORTED AT TYLER TEXAS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
SHOULD OCCUR AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS...AND THE CYCLONE COULD WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. IKE
IS FORECAST OT MERGE WITH A STOUT COLD FRONT IN 24 TO 36 HOURS...
AFTER WHICH THE CYCLONE COULD BECOME A FAIRLY STRONG MID-LATITUDE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER-MIDWEST...AND THEN OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IN 48 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/16. IKE CONTINUES TO ROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT ON A RAPID NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS..AND INDIANA FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN MANY
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL
CIRCULATIONS BECOMING DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW-LEVELS...AND THEN
ACCELERATING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HOSTILE
VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS OF MORE THAN 110 KT. THE FORECAST TRACK
IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND THE TIMING OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS BASED ON INPUT FROM THE NOAA
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.

ALTHOUGH IKE IS QUICKLY DEGENERATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN
LOUISIANA...AND ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
PRODUCING FLOODING WILL REMAIN A THREAT AS WELL.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/2100Z 32.4N 95.3W 40 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 14/0600Z 35.1N 93.9W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 14/1800Z 38.9N 88.9W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
36HR VT 15/0600Z 43.0N 80.3W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
48HR VT 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Tracking/models...
 

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Has No Life - Lives on TB
Image Updated: 12:49 AM GMT on September 14, 2008
 

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