WEATHER Hurricane Ike Daily Thread For Saturday 9-13-08

Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 130236
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES ITS TREK TOWARD GALVESTON ISLAND
AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ON GALVESTON ISLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...
85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY
THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. STRONGER WINDS...
AS MUCH AS 30 MPH HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE...COULD OCCUR ON HIGH
RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. DURING
THE PAST HOUR...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON
GALVESTON ISLAND AND REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT INDICATE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE
GALVESTON ISLAND.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS
OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...28.6 N...94.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1200 AM CDT AND 200 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/READ
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Tracking and models...
 

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Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Image Updated: 2:49 AM GMT on September 13, 2008
 

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summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Arrrghhhh...

Watching a live video link of ABC news, <http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/livenow?id=6384042> and they're reporting that the police are getting "dozens" of calls for help from people in Freeport (where the reporter is).

The chief of police said categorically he's NOT sending his men and women into the dangerous conditions to try and help people who were begged to evacuate. He said once conditions improve and the storm passes over (when's that? This thing is HUGE! At 13 mph and 600 miles across, it's going to be a good 12-24 hours AT LEAST before the winds die back some, I'd think!) they'll see what they can do.

Humans have to be some of the dumbest animals on earth.

Summerthyme
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Wind Swath Forecast Updated: 11 pm EDT/10 pm CDT September 12, 2008
 

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Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Sat. images, vis and W.V.......
 

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Echo 5

Echo 5

Funniest guy on TB2K
R.E.M. "Houston"

If the storm doesn't kill me
the government will
gotta get that out of my head
It's a new day today and the coffee is strong
I finally got some rest

So a man's put to task and challenges
I was taught to hold my head high
Collect what is mine,
Make the best of what today has

Houston is filled with promise
Laredo's a beautiful place
and Galveston sings like that song that I loved
Its meaning has not been erased

And so there are claims forgiven
And so there are things that are gone

Houston is filled with promise
Laredo is a beautiful place
and Galveston sings like that song that I loved
Its meaning has not been erased

And some things, they fall to the wayside
Their memory is yet to be stilled
Belief has not failed me
And so I am put to the test

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRZ7lqREnz8
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT44 KNHC 130259
TCDAT4
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2008

A PLETHORA OF DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...NOAA AND AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALL INDICATE
THAT THE STRUCTURE OF IKE HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...AND A 40 NMI DIAMETER EYE HAS BECOME PROMINENT. THE LOWEST
PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECON HAS BEEN 952 MB. DOPPLER RADAR
VELOCITIES IN THE NORTHERN EYEWALL AT 6500 FT HAVE BEEN AS HIGH AS
114 KT...AND A DROPSONDE IN THAT SAME AREA MEASURED A PEAK WIND
VALUE OF 116 KT. MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 700 MB HAVE RANGED
FROM 103-105 KT...AND A RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WIND SPEED OF 90 KT
WAS MEASURED IN THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL AROUND 0140Z. ALL OF THIS
INFORMATION CORRESPONDS TO A MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF
95 KT.

THE LARGE EYE OF IKE HAS BEEN WOBBLING CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...BUT A GENERAL MOTION OF 315/10 SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN THE
PREFERRED DIRECTION OF TRAVEL. SHORT TERM EXTRAPOLATION WOULD PLACE
THE CENTER OF IKE ALONG GALVESTON ISLAND AND/OR THE UPPER-TEXAS
COAST SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING. AFTER LANDFALL...IKE
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED EAST-WEST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
AND TURN NORTHWARD IN ABOUT 12-18 HOURS...AND THEN RECURVE RAPIDLY
TO THE NORTHEAST BY 24 HOURS AHEAD OF A FAST APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM. BY 36-48 HOURS...IKE MAY BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS DOWN THE
MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE.

IKE STILL HAS ABOUT A 6-HOUR WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN
INTO A 100-KT MAJOR HURRICANE. EQUALLY IMPORTANT...HOWEVER...IS THE
EFFECT THAT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL HAVE ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
WIND DATA FROM LAND-BASED DOPPLER RADARS AND AIRCRAFT DROPSONDES
INDICATE THAT WINDS NEAR CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH...115 KT OR 130 MPH
...EXIST JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE. THERE COULD BE A
REPEAT OF DAMAGE TO WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE STRUCTURES SIMILAR TO WHAT
OCCURRED DURING HURRICANE ALICIA IN 1983. THE PEAK WIND SPEED AND
VARIOUS WIND RADII WERE HELD HIGHER THAN OUR INLAND WIND DECAY
MODELS ARE PREDICTING DUE TO THE MUCH LARGER SIZE OF IKE.

ONE SHOULD EMPHASIZE THAT IKE IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND
REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL...THE
EFFECTS WILL BE FELT AT LARGE DISTANCES FROM THE CENTER. IN
ADDITION...THE LARGEST STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE ONSHORE
FLOW NEAR OR JUST AFTER LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN
MORE THAN 9 TO 12 FEET ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/0300Z 28.6N 94.4W 95 KT
12HR VT 13/1200Z 30.3N 95.4W 70 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 14/0000Z 33.2N 95.3W 35 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 14/1200Z 36.6N 92.3W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 15/0000Z 40.5N 86.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
72HR VT 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL ZONE

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE/BERG
 

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S

SassyinAZ

Inactive
summerthyme said:
Arrrghhhh...

Watching a live video link of ABC news, <http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/livenow?id=6384042> and they're reporting that the police are getting "dozens" of calls for help from people in Freeport (where the reporter is).

The chief of police said categorically he's NOT sending his men and women into the dangerous conditions to try and help people who were begged to evacuate. He said once conditions improve and the storm passes over (when's that? This thing is HUGE! At 13 mph and 600 miles across, it's going to be a good 12-24 hours AT LEAST before the winds die back some, I'd think!) they'll see what they can do.

Humans have to be some of the dumbest animals on earth.

Summerthyme
Click to expand...

I read or heard, how's that for information overload, that 2k people stayed in Freeport.
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 130303
TORLCH
LAC001-003-039-055-097-130330-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0099.080913T0303Z-080913T0330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1003 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES MAMOU...
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTH CENTRAL LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHEASTERN ACADIA PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...EUNICE...CHURCH POINT...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ALLEN PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 956 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES SOUTH
OF CHURCH POINT...OR ABOUT NEAR SCOTT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES NORTHEAST OF EUNICE BY 1020 PM CDT...
MAMOU BY 1030 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3072 9260 3083 9238 3030 9206 3021 9224
TIME...MOT...LOC 0303Z 151DEG 47KT 3034 9221

$$

K. KUYPER/GRIFFIN
 
eXe

eXe

Techno Junkie
Fox is reporting that Gas could double or triple in price in the next few weeks

200,000 in harris county without power
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KLCH 130304
HLSLCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES ITS TREK TOWARD GALVESTON ISLAND
AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.. A NORTHWEST TO
NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY
NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY
THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND
HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES
LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN LOUISIANA.

LAZ051>054-TXZ215-130915-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTY AND PARISHES:

CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.

FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.

FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.

FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.

FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

JEFFERSON COUNTY:
SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVELS AT
SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT
7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE IS INCREASING VERY RAPIDLY. A FORECAST
VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE
HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW
TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
HURRICANE RITA. ALSO...AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT
ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET... CAUSING EXTENSIVE
FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS
BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED.
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED
AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER
AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE.

CAMERON:
SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE
LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS WAS 10.1 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY
MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER
DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10
FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW
LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.

VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE
TIDE LEVEL AT FRESH WATER CANAL LOCKS WAS AROUND 10 FEET ABOVE THE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL
RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST VERTICAL
WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE FORECAST
VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY.

THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.

ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335
...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND
...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE.

ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE
LIKELY FLOODED.

ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED.

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.

...WINDS...

JEFFERSON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL
PREVAIL...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.

CAMERON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL
PREVAIL...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE
DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON.

VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE
FORCE WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT
REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON.

THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON.

THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80
PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY.


$$
 
adgal

adgal

Veteran Member
Just watched Fox News - Jeraldo Rivera is standing next to the seawall in Galvaston in 120 mph winds (he has a crew mmeber standing next to him with wind force recorder verifying the strength of the wind.) It's amazing - he is seventy feet away from the seawall and the water is foaming at his feet and all kinds of debris is soaring past him. I don't think anyone gets paid enough to do that!
 
B

bebop

Inactive
Heard on Cnn that a weapons lab in Galveston which had antrax and bioweapons was in danger. But the Gov of Texas hurridly had a press release that all the items were destroyed before the storm. Things that make you go Hmmmm? Anyone else catch this or were my ears deceiving me?
 
bygrace

bygrace

Inactive
Jarhead
Thank you for the continued threads and updates.
I have followed these threads for the past 2 days.
 
O

Oilpatch Hand

3-Bomb General, TB2K Army
adgal said:
Just watched Fox News - Jeraldo Rivera is standing next to the seawall in Galvaston in 120 mph winds (he has a crew mmeber standing next to him with wind force recorder verifying the strength of the wind.) It's amazing - he is seventy feet away from the seawall and the water is foaming at his feet and all kinds of debris is soaring past him. I don't think anyone gets paid enough to do that!
Click to expand...

I keep missing the clips with Geraldo getting whacked by waves, debris, etc. Darn it.
 
Mail Lady

Mail Lady

Inactive
bebop said:
Heard on Cnn that a weapons lab in Galveston which had antrax and bioweapons was in danger. But the Gov of Texas hurridly had a press release that all the items were destroyed before the storm. Things that make you go Hmmmm? Anyone else catch this or were my ears deceiving me?
Click to expand...

Yes, hubbie and I heard that too.
 
DustMusher

DustMusher

Deceased
If anyone sees any warnings or info on the Texas Counties or AUSTIN or WASHINGTON (Seely and Bellbille or Brenham) PLEASE liet me know....Firends SIP there with their 19 Malamutes.

Only getting news for Houston and Galviston -- friends are about 50 miles WNW of Houston.

TIA
 
A

armadillogray

Inactive
Galveston has a Level 4 Biohazard lab with various rare viruses at UTMB used for research....always thought it was an unwise plan to put it there....
 
Laurelayn

Laurelayn

Veteran Member
Did anyone else see the morons walking out on the pier on the cbs evening news? if they were the ones that died, I think they deserve a spot in the darwin awards.
I was telling DH as we watched them walking out there "I would NEVER EVER boldly face this level of the wrath of mother nature like that!"
boldness and stupidity combined are not good personality traits!
Goddess help all in harms way on the Gulf coast.
 
mole

mole

Doomer Granny
sending you some much needed java, jarhead....its gonna be a long nite, my friend.
 
Last edited:
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
More fires... one near 40th and Broadway. Unknown if residence or not. Also, 4 perps arrested for looting of residence, per Galveston PD.

Jarhead
:usm:
 
O

Oilpatch Hand

3-Bomb General, TB2K Army
OK...just saw Geraldo live in Galveston. If he's going to keep hanging around there, he needs to find a light standard, hang on to it, and broadcast as the "Pole Guy."

He looked like he was holding on to his hair to keep it from blowing away. :D
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Oilpatch Hand said:
OK...just saw Geraldo live in Galveston. If he's going to keep hanging around there, he needs to find a light standard, hang on to it, and broadcast as the "Pole Guy."

He looked like he was holding on to his hair to keep it from blowing away. :D
Click to expand...

:lkick::lkick:

Jarhead
:usm:
 
Jarhead

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 130355
TORLCH
LAC001-003-039-055-097-113-130430-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0100.080913T0355Z-080913T0430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1055 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES BASILE...
EXTREME WEST CENTRAL ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
ACADIA PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...RAYNE...EUNICE...CROWLEY...
SOUTHEASTERN ALLEN PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
NORTH CENTRAL VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1053 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 14 MILES SOUTH
OF DUSON...OR ABOUT NEAR ABBEVILLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 76 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RAYNE AND 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUSON BY 1105 PM CDT...
CROWLEY BY 1110 PM CDT...
6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EUNICE BY 1120 PM CDT...
BASILE BY 1125 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3054 9266 3067 9246 3007 9205 2998 9221
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 143DEG 66KT 3006 9217

$$
 
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