WAR CHINA THREATENS TO INVADE TAIWAN

jward

passin' thru
Taiwan reports 40 Chinese military aircraft in its air defence zone
Reuters

September 13, 20238:13 PM CDTUpdated 3 hours ago
Illustration shows airplane, Chinese and Taiwanese flags

Airplane is seen in front of Chinese and Taiwanese flags in this illustration, August 6, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights

TAIPEI, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Taiwan's defence ministry said on Thursday that in the past 24 hours it had detected 40 Chinese air force aircraft entering the island's air defence zone, mostly flying to the south of Taiwan and into the Bashi Channel.

At least four of the aircraft also crossed the median line of the Taiwan Strait to the northwest of the island, according to a map the ministry provided.

Reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Jacqueline Wong
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic

China promotes economic ‘integration’ with Taiwan while militarily threatening the island​

China is promoting new economic opportunities for Taiwanese people while at the same time ramping up military activity around the island it claims as its own
By SIMINA MISTREANU Associated Press and HUIZHONG WU Associated Press
September 14, 2023, 7:24 AM

The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Ralph Johnson (DDG 114) conducts routine underway operations in the Taiwan Strait, on Sept. 9, 2023. (Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Jamaal Liddell/U.S. Navy via AP)

The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Ralph Johnson (DDG 114) conducts routine underway operations in the Taiwan Strait, on Sept. 9, 2023. (Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Jamaal Liddell/U.S. Navy via AP)

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- China is promoting new economic opportunities for Taiwanese people while at the same time ramping up military activity around the island it claims as its own.

Experts say the “carrots and sticks” approach, which Beijing has employed for years, signals a choice between peaceful “reunification” and military aggression ahead of a Taiwanese presidential election next year.

This week, China unveiled a plan for an “integrated development demonstration zone” in its southeastern Fujian province, the closest to self-governed, democratic Taiwan. Taipei strongly rejects China’s sovereignty claims.

As part of the plan, Beijing is encouraging Taiwanese companies to list on Chinese stock exchanges and is promising better conditions for Taiwanese investors and a more “relaxed” environment for travel, according to a statement Tuesday by the Communist Party’s Central Committee and the State Council, China’s Cabinet.

“The goal is to build an integrated development demonstration zone in the entire area of Fujian province to fully show the effect of Fujian as the first-choice destination for Taiwanese people and enterprises to pursue development on the mainland,” Pan Xianzhang, deputy director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said at a news conference Thursday.

The economic overture comes at a time of increased Chinese military activity around Taiwan. On Thursday, Taiwan’s defense ministry said it spotted 68 Chinese warplanes and 10 warships near the island over the previous 24 hours. It said 40 of the aircraft entered Taiwan’s air defense zone, in the latest of near-daily incursions meant to threaten Taiwan’s government, which Beijing deems “separatist.”

Earlier this week, China sailed an aircraft carrier 70 miles (110 kilometers) to Taiwan’s southeast.


Pairing economic incentives with military coercion of Taiwan “is a very old playbook on China’s part,” said Drew Thompson, a research fellow at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore.

Many of the policies underlined in the Fujian plan, such as easy access for Taiwanese to the mainland, were already in place, making the initiative more performative than substantive, he added.

“At the end of the day, this is not an actual economic plan for integration of China with Taiwan,” Thompson said. “It’s a political tool that seeks to drive a wedge between the ruling party and that portion of the electorate that probably doesn’t support the ruling party anyway.”

Taiwan is set to have presidential elections in January. The front-runner, current Vice President William Lai, is considered by Beijing a separatist. China has refused to hold talks with Lai’s party, the Democratic Progressive Party, which has been in power since 2016.

Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council said the document was a compilation of existing policies and measures.

“It is completely one-sided wishful thinking to try and seduce our members of the public and enterprises to the mainland and integrate into their system, laws, and norms and accept the leadership of the Communist Party,” it said.

The council also urged Beijing to respect Taiwan’s “insistence” on freedom and democracy.

Some of the measures zero in on outlying Taiwanese islands that are closer to Fujian province than to Taiwan’s main island, such as Matsu and Kinmen, which Chinese state media have said should play “an even more prominent role” in boosting ties.

But news of the announcement appeared to have gone unnoticed in Matsu. A coffee shop owner, reached over the phone, said he didn’t know of the measures and hadn’t been reading the news.

Carlk Tsao, who runs a bed and breakfast on the islands, said he did not know about the new Fujian economic integration plan. “Usually, we in Matsu won’t see these type of things,” he said. “For me personally, I think they’re just making empty promises.”

 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
China's Military Mobilizing
If Xi loses faith in the possibility of a peaceful union with Taiwan, which he may hope will come about on January 13, 2024 with the election in Taiwan of a new, more complaint president, and if China's economy continues to collapse, he could decide to incorporate Taiwan with military force.

Xi will then need to decide on the most appropriate time to launch an invasion of Taiwan. After witnessing the Biden Administration's abandonment of Afghanistan, that would most likely be while Biden is still in power

China's Military Mobilizing

Any move to impeach Biden, would upset Chinese plans.
Also given Biden's age and health, he could go at any time. This would greatly upset Chinese plans.

Post from The Horsemen Ride 09/11/2023 Through 09/15/2023
 

jward

passin' thru
hmm. I've never thought much of her. Some do.
:: shrug ::


Inconvenient Truths by Jennifer Zeng 曾錚真言
@jenniferzeng97

A #Chinese #military channel claims that if #Japan dares to intervene in the #CCP's 'liberation' of #Taiwan, the CCP will abandon its prior commitment of refraining from initiating the use of #nuclearweapons. They argue that this is an outdated promise.
Instead, the CCP threatens to launch continuous nuclear attacks on Japan until it surrenders unconditionally.
While these threats may lack military rationale, they shed light on the CCP's mindset.
View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1703192543544930487
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic

Taiwan says 103 Chinese warplanes flew toward the island​

China has flown 103 military planes toward Taiwan in a new daily high for the activity the island considers harassment
By The Associated Press
September 17, 2023, 10:00 PM

FILE - Soldiers pose for group photos with a Taiwan flag after a preparedness enhancement drill simulating the defense against Beijing's military intrusions, ahead of the Lunar New Year in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan on Jan. 11, 2023. Taiwan says 103 Chinese warplanes flew toward the island in new daily high in recent times. Taiwan's Defense Ministry said that it detected the planes in the 24 hours ending at 6 a.m. Monday, Sept. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Ceng, File)

FILE - Soldiers pose for group photos with a Taiwan flag after a preparedness enhancement drill simulating the defense against Beijing's military intrusions, ahead of the Lunar New Year in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan on Jan. 11, 2023. Taiwan says 103 Chinese warplanes flew toward the island in new daily high in recent times. Taiwan's Defense Ministry said that it detected the planes in the 24 hours ending at 6 a.m. Monday, Sept. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Ceng, File)

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- China’s military sent 103 warplanes toward Taiwan in a 24-hour period in what the island’s defense ministry said Monday was a daily record in recent times.

The planes were detected between 6 a.m. on Sunday and 6 a.m. on Monday, the ministry said. As is customary, they turned back before reaching Taiwan.


China, which claims Taiwan as part of its territory, has conducted increasingly large military drills in the air and waters around Taiwan as tensions have grown between the two and with the United States. The U.S. is Taiwan’s main supplier of arms and opposes any attempt to change Taiwan’s status by force.

Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said that 40 of the planes crossed the symbolic halfway point between mainland China and the island. It also reported nine naval vessels in the previous 24 hours.

The ministry called the Chinese military action “harassment” that it warned could escalate in the current tense atmosphere. “We urge the Beijing authorities to bear responsibility and immediately stop such kind of destructive military activities,” it said in a statement.''

China last week sent a flotilla of ships including the aircraft carrier Shandong into waters near Taiwan. The drills came shortly after the U.S. and Canada sailed warships through the Taiwan Strait, the waters that separate the island from the mainland.

China also unveiled a plan for an integrated development demonstration zone with Taiwan in China's nearby Fujian province, trying to entice Taiwan while also warning it in what experts say is China's long-running carrot and stick approach.

The recent actions may be an attempt to sway Taiwan's presidential election in January. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party, which leans toward formal independence for the island, is anathema to the Chinese government. China favors opposition candidates who advocate working with the mainland.

Taiwan and China split in 1949 when the communists took control of China during a civil war. The losing Nationalists fled to Taiwan and set up their own government on the island.

The island is self-governing, though only a few foreign nations give it official diplomatic recognition. The U.S. among others has formal ties with China while maintaining a representative office in Taiwan.


___

Find more of AP's Asia-Pacific coverage at Asia Pacific | Latest News & Updates

 

northern watch

TB Fanatic

Taiwan detects 103 Chinese warplanes around island​

Story by AFP •40m
September 17 2023
1695008041173.png
Map of Taiwan with relevant sea boundary claims.
Map of Taiwan with relevant sea boundary claims.© Laurence CHU

More than 100 Chinese warplanes and nine navy ships were detected around Taiwan, authorities in Taipei said Monday, describing the number as a "recent high".

Beijing claims Taiwan as its own territory to be seized one day, by force if necessary, and has ramped up diplomatic and military pressure in recent years as relations have soured.

"Between the morning of September 17th to 18th, the Ministry of National Defence had detected a total of 103 Chinese aircraft which was a recent high and has posed severe challenges to the security across the Taiwan Strait and in the region," it said in a statement.

The Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong, one of two such operational ships in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles southeast of Taiwan
The Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong, one of two such operational ships in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles southeast of Taiwan© Handout

Beijing's "continued military harassment can easily lead to a sharp spike in tension and worsen regional security," the ministry said, as it called on China to "immediately stop such destructive unilateral actions."

Of the total number of warplanes detected, 40 crossed the so-called median line of the Taiwan Strait that separates the island from China, and entered its southwest and southeast air defence identification zone (ADIZ), the statement said.

Last week, Taipei also reported an increased number of incursions by Chinese warplanes and ships, after Beijing said its troops were on "high alert" following two ships belonging to the United States and Canada transiting through the Taiwan Strait this month.

Taiwan's defence ministry said 68 Chinese aircraft and 10 naval vessels were detected around the island between Wednesday morning and Thursday morning.

Some of those planes and warships were heading to an unspecified area of the Western Pacific to "conduct joint sea and air training" with China's Shandong aircraft carrier, the ministry said.

The Shandong, one of two operational aircraft carriers in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles (110 kilometres) southeast of Taiwan heading into the Western Pacific, Taipei authorities said.

Japan's defence ministry also said last week its navy had detected six ships -- including frigates, destroyers, one fast combat support ship and the Shandong -- sailing through waters some 650 kilometres (400 miles) south of Miyakojima island, east of Taiwan.

It also confirmed that jets and helicopters had been detected taking off and landing from the Shandong.

China has not commented officially on any drills being conducted in the Western Pacific.

In April, Beijing conducted military exercises to simulate the encirclement of the island, after Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen met US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California.

aw/ser/ssy

 
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jward

passin' thru
Ben Lewis
@OfficialBen_L
Defense Analyst focusing on PLA development and Taiwan security issues. Star Wars enthusiast. Views are my own. He/him. ️‍

Ben Lewis
@OfficialBen_L

MAJOR ADIZ Violation
The MND release states that 103 PLA aircraft were tracked operating near Taiwan, with 40 entering the de-facto ADIZ.
This is the largest single-day total of aircraft around Taiwan on record (prev 91 on 4/10/23).
Short thread to follow.

1695009599689.jpeg

Unfortunately, without additional information from the MND, it is impossible to know where the additional 63 aircraft were flying. Nevertheless, this is a significant level of activity we have not seen before.

Based on the aircraft listed in the MND's early report, we know that H-6s, Y-9 variants, and CH-4 UAVs made up some of the aircraft that did not enter the de-facto ADIZ.

The flight paths depicted in today's map show extended flight paths to the Western Pacific by J-16s and a KJ-500. A Y-20U aerial refueling aircraft accompanied them about halfway.

The scale of today's activities represents an escalation in the PLA's actions around Taiwan and should be condemned as such. If there is more information released I will continue to add to this thread.

Ben Lewis
@OfficialBen_L
15m
Official tweet from the MND:

1695009699580.jpeg

Taiwan detects 103 Chinese warplanes around island​

Story by AFP •40m
September 17 2023
View attachment 435215
Map of Taiwan with relevant sea boundary claims.
Map of Taiwan with relevant sea boundary claims.© Laurence CHU

More than 100 Chinese warplanes and nine navy ships were detected around Taiwan, authorities in Taipei said Monday, describing the number as a "recent high".

Beijing claims Taiwan as its own territory to be seized one day, by force if necessary, and has ramped up diplomatic and military pressure in recent years as relations have soured.

"Between the morning of September 17th to 18th, the Ministry of National Defence had detected a total of 103 Chinese aircraft which was a recent high and has posed severe challenges to the security across the Taiwan Strait and in the region," it said in a statement.

The Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong, one of two such operational ships in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles southeast of Taiwan
The Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong, one of two such operational ships in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles southeast of Taiwan© Handout

Beijing's "continued military harassment can easily lead to a sharp spike in tension and worsen regional security," the ministry said, as it called on China to "immediately stop such destructive unilateral actions."

Of the total number of warplanes detected, 40 crossed the so-called median line of the Taiwan Strait that separates the island from China, and entered its southwest and southeast air defence identification zone (ADIZ), the statement said.

Last week, Taipei also reported an increased number of incursions by Chinese warplanes and ships, after Beijing said its troops were on "high alert" following two ships belonging to the United States and Canada transiting through the Taiwan Strait this month.

Taiwan's defence ministry said 68 Chinese aircraft and 10 naval vessels were detected around the island between Wednesday morning and Thursday morning.

Some of those planes and warships were heading to an unspecified area of the Western Pacific to "conduct joint sea and air training" with China's Shandong aircraft carrier, the ministry said.

The Shandong, one of two operational aircraft carriers in the Chinese fleet, was detected last week around 60 nautical miles (110 kilometres) southeast of Taiwan heading into the Western Pacific, Taipei authorities said.

Japan's defence ministry also said last week its navy had detected six ships -- including frigates, destroyers, one fast combat support ship and the Shandong -- sailing through waters some 650 kilometres (400 miles) south of Miyakojima island, east of Taiwan.

It also confirmed that jets and helicopters had been detected taking off and landing from the Shandong.

China has not commented officially on any drills being conducted in the Western Pacific.

In April, Beijing conducted military exercises to simulate the encirclement of the island, after Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen met US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California.

aw/ser/ssy

 

jward

passin' thru

Taiwan urges China to stop 'destructive' military activities​


Ben Blanchard, Yimou Lee​



Airplane is seen in front of Chinese and Taiwanese flags in this illustration, August 6, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights
TAIPEI, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Taiwan's defence ministry on Monday urged China to stop "destructive, unilateral action" after reporting a sharp rise in Chinese military activities near the island, warning such behaviour could lead to a sharp increase in tensions.

China, which views democratically governed Taiwan as its own territory, has in recent years regularly carried out military drills around the island as it seeks to assert its sovereignty claims and pressure Taipei.
The ministry said that since Sunday it had spotted 103 Chinese military aircraft over the sea, a number it called a "recent high".
Its map of Chinese activities over the past 24 hours showed fighter jets crossing the median line of the Taiwan Strait, which had served as an unofficial barrier between the two sides until China began regularly crossing it a year ago.
Other aircraft flew south of Taiwan through the Bashi Channel, which separates the island from the Philippines.
China's activities over the past day have caused "serious challenges" to security in the strait and regionally, the ministry said in an accompanying statement.

Peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait are the common responsibilities of all parties in the region, it added.
"The continuous military harassment by the Communist military can easily lead to a sharp increase in tensions and worsen regional security," the ministry said. "We call on the Beijing authorities to take responsibility and immediately stop such destructive unilateral actions."
China's defence ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
In addition to the air force incursion near Taiwan over the weekend, China last week also dispatched more than 100 naval ships for exercises in the region, including in the strategic waters in the South China Sea and off Taiwan's northeastern coast, a regional security official told Reuters.

The official, who declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the matter, said the activity put pressure on everyone in the region and called the scale of naval exercises the "largest in years".
Taiwan's defence ministry noted last week that July to September is traditionally the busiest season for Chinese military drills along the coast.
China is bolstering its air power facing Taiwan, with a permanent deployment of new fighters and drones at expanded air bases, Taiwan's defence ministry said in its biennial report this month.
Reporting by Ben Blanchard and Yimou Lee; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Gerry Doyle
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Yimou Lee is a Senior Correspondent for Reuters covering everything from Taiwan, including sensitive Taiwan-China relations, China's military aggression and Taiwan's key role as a global semiconductor powerhouse. A three-time SOPA award winner, his reporting from Hong Kong, China, Myanmar and Taiwan over the past decade includes Myanmar's crackdown on Rohingya Muslims, Hong Kong protests and Taiwan's battle against China's multifront campaigns to absorb the island.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic

Biden's national security advisor secretly meets China's foreign minister in bid to ease strained ties​

Story by Carol E. Lee •14h
September 18 2023
1695010408679.pngNBC News

President Joe Biden’s national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, secretly met in Europe this weekend with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, according to two U.S. officials, a significant step in U.S. efforts to repair deeply strained relations with China.

Sullivan and Wang Yi held discussions Saturday and Sunday in Malta as “part of ongoing efforts to maintain open lines of communication and responsibly managing the relationship,” one of the officials said.

Their talks could lay the groundwork for a much-anticipated meeting between Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping this fall aimed at easing tensions between the world’s two largest economies in the wake of the surveillance balloon saga and China's support for Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Administration officials have been preparing for a possible meeting in November around the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, or APEC, summit in San Francisco.

A meeting between the two leaders would come at a critical moment in the U.S.-China relations. There are a range of economic and security issues at stake, including export controls, the war in Ukraine and concerns in the U.S. that China could move on Taiwan.

INDONESIA-US-CHINA-G20-SUMMIT (Saul Loeb / AFP via Getty Images file)
INDONESIA-US-CHINA-G20-SUMMIT (Saul Loeb / AFP via Getty Images file)© Provided by NBC News

The Biden administration has worried that a lack of communication between the two countries could lead to an unintentional confrontation and has sought in recent months to get relations back on track after they hit a new low in February when the Pentagon shot down the Chinese spy balloon that flew over the U.S.

Biden and Xi have not spoken in nearly a year.

They last met in November last year on the sidelines of a summit of world leaders in Bali, Indonesia. Despite Biden saying earlier this year, after his administration shot down the spy balloon, that he expected to speak with Xi, a phone call between the two leaders never materialized. At a fundraising event in June, Biden referred to Xi as a “dictator” — a term sure to irritate Chinese officials.

Biden said he was “disappointed” that Xi did not attend a summit this month for the Group of 20 leading world economies in India. When asked after the summit when he expected to meet again with Xi, Biden said “I hope I get to see Mr. Xi sooner than later.”

Sullivan’s meeting follows a series of high-level talks between U.S. and Chinese officials in recent months. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo visited China last month. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen traveled to Beijing in July.

In the first visit to China by a U.S. Secretary of State since 2018, Antony Blinken met in June with Xi in Beijing, and he met in July with Wang Yi — a discussion the administration also described at the time as “part of ongoing efforts to maintain open channels of communication” between the two countries.

State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said last week that the administration expects Blinken and Wang Yi to meet sometime this year in the U.S., potentially on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York this week.

Chinese Vice President Han Zheng will be attending the assembly, the Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said in a news conference Friday, suggesting the country's top diplomat, Wang, might skip the meeting.

Sullivan, speaking to reporters on Friday, didn’t rule out a possible meeting between a top U.S. official and China’s vice president, who is expected to attend the U.N. General Assembly in the absence of Xi.

This article was originally published on NBCNews.com

 

jward

passin' thru
Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones

China carried out major naval exercises + encircled Taiwan last week:

- Largest-ever drills simulating a blockade
- 20+ warships deployed, a new single-day record
- Massive ADIZ violation, 160+ planes detected
- 3x Surface Action Groups participate

Everything you need to know
1695012197902.jpeg

Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
3h

China's Navy conducted its largest-ever naval exercises in the Western Pacific, east of Taiwan—unscheduled, unannounced, & unprecedented.
The PLAN deployed 20+ warships to the waters around Taiwan, a new daily record, & likely simulating a blockade.
Big show of force.
1695012240029.jpeg

Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
3h

In a massive violation, 161 Chinese warplanes were detected operating around Taiwan—& 86 crossed into Taiwan's air defense zone.

Flight ops included:

- Unusual & never-before-seen flight paths
- Longer time behind the lines
- Increased drone activity
- 60+ carrier sorties
1695012276661.jpeg

Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
3h

Chinese media said the "blitz exercises" were characterized by the large scale, joint operations, & short duration.
"The PLA is able to deploy powerful, intensive forces in very large scale & finish their mission within a short period."
Forces from the Southern + Eastern Theater Command involved.
Neither the Chinese defense ministry nor the PLA announced the maneuvers or since commented on them.
PLA naval activity has increased significantly around Taiwan since April 2023.
 

jward

passin' thru

PLA claims US stirring Ukraine-like ‘proxy war’ for Taiwan​


Jeff Pao​




Heavily armed Chinese warships closely shadowed a Canadian frigate and a US destroyer for 14 hours as they passed through the Taiwan Strait. Image: Twitter Screengrab / Yahoo News

China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force and Navy have sent dozens of aircraft and vessels to the Taiwan Strait after the United States and the Canadian navies sailed two warships through the region last Saturday (September 9).
In the 24 hours leading up to 6 am on Tuesday Taiwan time, at least 22 aircraft and 20 vessels including the Shandong aircraft carrier were deployed by the Eastern Theater Command to the areas around Taiwan, according to the self-governing island’s Ministry of National Defense.
Among them, 13 aircraft entered Taiwan’s southwestern Air Defence Identification Zone (ADIZ). The number of Chinese vessels deployed was the largest ever according to data going back to August of last year, news reports said.
Taiwan said its armed forces have monitored the situation and tasked combat air patrol (CAP) aircraft, navy vessels and land-based missile systems to respond to China’s provocation.
The PLA’s move came after the USS Ralph Johnson and the Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class frigate HMCS Ottawa sailed through the Taiwan Strait on September 9. The US Navy said it wants to ensure freedom of navigation in the region.
The Voice of the Strait, a Fujian-based radio broadcaster established by the PLA, claimed on Tuesday that the US has recently increased arms sales and military assistance to Taiwan because it wants to replicate its “proxy war” in Ukraine in the Taiwan Strait.
“The US wants to use the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) as its proxy-agent to strengthen its control in Taiwan and try to start a war when the time is right,” the broadcast said, referring to Taiwan’s ruling party. “It wants to use the cruel confrontation between Chinese people across the Strait to reduce mainland China’s strength and suppress China’s development.”
The article said the US “misjudged” the situation while Beijing has the wisdom and ability to stop Washington’s supposed war plan.

Biden’s comments​

US President Joe Biden told news media while visiting Vietnam on Sunday that China’s slowing economy means it less likely China will invade Taiwan in the near term.
“I don’t think this is going to cause China to invade Taiwan. As a matter of fact, the opposite, it probably doesn’t have the same capacity that it had before,” Biden said.
He said the Chinese government is now in economic crisis with high youth unemployment and property market problems.
On the sidelines of the G20 summit in New Delhi, India, between September 10 and 11, Biden had brief conversations with Chinese Premier Li Qiang.
Biden said the US does not wish to hurt the Chinese economy’s growth. Li said that China’s development is an opportunity, not a challenge, for the US and that the two sides should step up exchanges.
“All sorts of comments predicting the collapse of China’s economy keep resurfacing every now and then,” Mao Ning, a spokesperson of the Chinese Foreign Ministry, said on Tuesday. “But China’s economy has outlived them all. What has collapsed is such rhetoric, not China’s economy.”
Mao said the Chinese economy’s strong resilience and fundamentals will remain unchanged. She said China’s development will bring more opportunities to its Asian neighbors and the rest of the world.

Military assistance​

On July 28, the Biden administration announced it will provide Taiwan with foreign military financing (FMF) assistance worth up to US$345 million. On August 23, the administration approved a new round of arms sales to Taiwan.
On August 29, it notified the US Congress of its plan to provide Taiwan with a first $80 million tranche of FMF assistance.
Wang Wenbin, a spokesperson of China’s foreign ministry, said on August 31 that the US must stop creating factors that could heighten tensions in the Taiwan Strait, and stop supporting the separatist attempts to seek “Taiwan independence” by force.
On September 6, Cankaoxiaoxi (Reference News), a newspaper published by China’s state-run Xinhua News Agency, cited an editorial published by Chinatimes.com saying that Biden’s recent decision to provide FMF assistance to Taiwan will fuel conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Chinatimes.com is considered a pro-Beijing news website published in Taiwan.
The Cankaoxiaoxi article said that because the US is about to enter its presidential elections season there will be more and more anti-China opinions in the country. It said this is why Biden has to push forward the Fiscal 2023 National Defense Authorization Act he signed into law last December.
At the same time, the article said Biden also wants to avoid provoking China so he has actually minimized FMF assistance to Taiwan. Meanwhile, the article said the DPP stirred the pot by exaggerating the effects of US assistance, using different excuses to buy weapons and praising its own effort in preparing for war.
The article said the DPP’s “wrong mindset” and decisions have become the biggest risks to Taiwan’s safety.
Read: Foxconn’s Gou has an eye on Taiwan’s presidency
Follow Jeff Pao on Twitter at @jeffpao3



 

jward

passin' thru
https://twitter.com/robert_spalding
General Spalding

@robert_spalding

How to prevent a war over Taiwan? This has been done before in Western Europe. America told the Soviet Union if you invade we will use every nuclear weapon we have to destroy you. This is how the Cold War was won. If you believe, and I do, that Taiwan is worthy of the same commitment then we can prevent them from being swallowed by the evil empire.
@VivekGRamaswamy it’s not about chips. It’s about principles. We had them in 1954, it’s time to dust them off again. John Foster Dulles gave his speech to @CFR_org in 1954.

In it Dulles began his speech by examining communist strategy that, he concluded, had as its goal the “bankruptcy” of the United States through overextension of its military power. Both strategically and economically, the secretary explained, it was unwise to “permanently commit U.S. land forces to Asia,” to “support permanently other countries,” or to “become permanently committed to military expenditures so vast that they lead to ‘practical bankruptcy.'”

Instead, he believed a new policy of “getting maximum protection at a bearable cost” should be developed. Although Dulles did not directly refer to nuclear weapons, it was clear that the new policy he was describing would depend upon the “massive retaliatory power” of such weapons to respond to future communist acts of war. So, the precedence is there. And, Taiwan is worth it. It’s time to rise to the challenge of our century. Declare Taiwan off limits. This policy makes sense for America. It is who we are.


8:55 PM · Sep 18, 2023
·
10.4K
Views
 

jward

passin' thru
DEFCON1-WarWatch
@Defcon1W
·
6m
China flies more than 150 military planes toward Taiwan as island condemns military ‘harassment’ | Fox News


China flies more than 150 military planes toward Taiwan as island condemns military ‘harassment’​


Lawrence Richard


China’s military sent over 150 warplanes toward Taiwan this week in an unprecedented military action that the island’s government swiftly condemned as "harassment."
On Monday, mainland China’s military, known formally as the People’s Liberation Army, flew 103 warplanes near and over the island in a 24-hour period in what the island’s defense ministry called a recent new high. On Tuesday, an additional 55 PLA aircraft were detected near the island by Taiwan’s R.O.C. Armed Forces.
The Ministry of National Defense said 40 of the planes invaded Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone, the symbolic median line between mainland China and the island. They included more than 30 fighter jets as well as midair refueling tanker planes. Another 27 of the warplanes on Tuesday crossed the ADIZ.
"We urge the Beijing authorities to bear responsibility and immediately stop such kind of destructive military activities," Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said in a statement, calling the Chinese military action "harassment" that could escalate in the current tense atmosphere.
CHINA DEPLOYS OVER 40 PLANES TO TAIWAN STRAIT, IS MASSING FORCES AT COASTAL MILITARY BASES, TAIWAN WARNS


China, which claims Taiwan is part of its territory, flies warplanes toward the self-governing island on a near-daily basis. (VCG/VCG via Getty Images)
China, which claims Taiwan as part of its territory, flies warplanes toward the self-governing island on a near-daily basis but typically in smaller numbers. As is customary, they turned back before reaching Taiwan.
When asked about the activity, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said there is no such thing as a "median line" because the island of Taiwan, although self-governing, is recognized officially as part of Chinese territory.
CHINA, RUSSIA SEND NAVAL WARSHIPS NEAR ALASKA, TRIGGERING FORCEFUL US RESPONSE
Most of the international community, including the U.S., formally recognizes the "One-China" policy, although President Biden said the U.S. would respond should China invade the island – a comment The White House later walked back.
In recent months, China has continued its aggressive effort to expand its influence through the Pacific, which includes increasingly large military drills in the air and waters around Taiwan. The U.S. is Taiwan’s main supplier of arms and opposes any attempt to change Taiwan’s status by force.


China has continued its aggression toward Taiwan by operating increasingly large military drills in the air and waters around the island. (AP Photo/Daniel Ceng)
The Chinese government would prefer that Taiwan come under its autonomous control voluntarily and last week unveiled a plan for an integrated development demonstration zone in the Fujian province.
The move was likely trying to entice the Taiwanese even as it threatens the island militarily in what experts say is China’s long-running carrot and stick approach. China could also be attempting to sway Taiwan’s presidential election in January.


Taiwan says 103 Chinese warplanes flew toward the island, marking a new daily high in recent times. Taiwan's Defense Ministry said that it detected the planes in the 24 hours ending at 6 a.m. Monday, Sept. 18, 2023. (HECTOR RETAMAL/AFP via Getty Images)
The governing Democratic Progressive Party, which leans toward formal independence for the island, is anathema to the Chinese leadership. Instead, China favors opposition candidates who advocate working with the mainland.
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Taiwan and China split during a civil war in 1949, which is when the Communists took control of mainland China. The losing Nationalists fled to Taiwan and were allowed to set up their own government on the island.
Only a few foreign nations give the island official diplomatic recognition.
 

jward

passin' thru
Aki Heikkinen reposted
Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense News
@IndoPac_Info


#PLA activity “highly unusual,” but the military maintains a grasp of the situation: #Taiwan MoD

A reminder that October is a sensitive month for the Taiwan Strait as only in April & October, the strait waters are calm, which facilitates amphibious operations. There are also ongoing Chinese exercises until the end of September.

Recent movements by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) have been “highly unusual,” but the military maintains a grasp of the situation, Minister of National Defense Chiu Kuo-cheng (邱國正) said on Friday, after the military for the first time said it was monitoring troop movements in China’s Dacheng Bay (大埕灣).

The minister gave the remarks to reporters before appearing at the legislature on the first day of its new session.

The Ministry of National Defense on Thursday evening released an air force surveillance photograph of a PLA Shaanxi Y-8 anti-submarine aircraft, and said it was monitoring the PLA Rocket Force and ground movements near Dacheng Bay in Fujian Province’s Zhaoan County, a PLA amphibious landing site.

Chiu said there was no particular revelation in the announcement, but that PLA movements “have been highly unusual lately.”

Responding to criticism that the ministry was making the situation seem more serious by making too many public announcements, Chiu said it would seem like a coverup if the information were reported by another source.

The PLA has been conducting joint exercises throughout this month, which are understood by the nation’s military, he said, adding that the ministry is committed to describing the facts as they stand.

Thursday night’s announcement was likely a form of “intelligence deterrence,” a concept proposed by the US military to show the PLA that Taiwan “knows every movement you take,” Institute of National Defense and Security Research fellow Su Tzu-yun (蘇紫雲) said.

As for troop movements near Dacheng Bay, Su theorized the ministry mentioned them as the exercises were likely on a larger scale than usual.
 

jward

passin' thru

Taiwan is developing another, bigger and more lethal suicide drone​




7–9 minutes




Taiwan is developing another, more destructive suicide drone. It won’t fit in a backpack​


Taiwan is developing a suicide drone capable of manual and autonomous attacks as it seeks to bolster its asymmetric warfare capabilities in the face of growing pressure from the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).
The aerial weapon under development is a more powerful variant of the Loitering Unmanned Aircraft Type 1, which was inspired by the US-made Switchblade 300, a drone that has proven effective in destroying Russian tanks and ground targets in the war in Ukraine.
Tentatively named the “Loitering Missile II”, the Type 2 suicide drone will be equipped with built-in warheads, and will be capable of lingering near a target until the moment it strikes, by flying into it.
The Type 2 – a much larger version of the miniature Type 1 – can be launched from different platforms to amplify its destructive power, according to the National Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology, the island’s top weapons builder.

PLA warplanes set new 24-hour record, destabilising security: Taiwan

“Type 2 is a high mobility munition that can be easily repositioned because its foldable wings allow for efficient transport,” said Chi Li-pin, director of the Institute’s aeronautical systems research division.
It can change or abort its attack missions mid-flight as needed, Chi noted.
Because it is configured for multi-tube launches from such platforms as trucks, planes, unmanned aerial vehicles and ships, the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) can be dispatched from land, air and sea, Chi said, during a presentation ahead of a defence technology show held in Taipei last week.
Chi said that the drone – with its prowling capabilities, larger size and bigger warhead payload – will be 10 times more lethal than its predecessor.
CLEAN-THUMB.jpg

03:02
Taiwan’s defence expo returns after 4-year hiatus, with US firms attending for the 1st time

Taiwan’s defence expo returns after 4-year hiatus, with US firms attending for the 1st time
In March, the institute unveiled the Type 1 – a portable loitering vehicle capable of precise beyond-visual-range strikes on targets through its image tracking and pattern recognition systems.

The Type 1, which also has retractable wings, a remote-controlled range of up to 10km (6.2 miles), and a hovering capability of 15 minutes, can be carried in a single soldier backpack and launched through a pneumatic tube or air-pressure capsule pipeline, Chi said.

Now undergoing trials, the Type 1 features an electro-optical and infrared system, similar to the one used by its US peer, according to Chi.

But because the Type 1 is relatively tiny, its destructive capabilities are limited, compared with the Type 2 when it comes to attacking large-scale targets or major facilities, Chiu noted.

“Also, multiple layers of tubes can be mounted at the launching platforms, allowing a number of the munitions to be ejected at the same time,” Chi said, adding that the drones can be used day or night.

“The munition is suitable for saturation attacks and precise, beyond-visual-range strikes on fixed and mobile targets using its multi-module seeker,” Chi said, referring to the Type 2’s artificial intelligence-guided capability, smart-recognition and anti-radiation features, and electro-optic and infrared image tracking systems.

thumb-clean.jpg

03:15
Taiwan holds nuclear emergency drill as mainland Chinese planes enter island’s air defence zone

Taiwan holds nuclear emergency drill as mainland Chinese planes enter island’s air defence zone
The Type 2 also has a “man-in-the-loop” function “to allow the fire control system to be switched to manual from AI-operation to prevent it from locking in on a target that should not be attacked”.

Chi declined to detail the Type 2’s range or how long it can hover near a target, saying the institute “is still developing other functions of the munition”.

Local experts said that while the Type 2 appears to be a more advanced suicide drone, it will take time to fully develop and mass produce the weapon for military use.

“It remains to be seen if the munition will be used by our military as it is still in the development process,” said Shu Hsiao-huang, a senior analyst at the Institute for National Defence and Security Research, a government think tank in Taipei.

He said the island’s defence ministry may opt to purchase US drones if the domestically developed vehicle does not meet requirements, or if it cannot be produced soon enough.

Tensions in the Taiwan Strait have persisted as Beijing intensifies its military operations around Taiwan, including staging live-fire exercises nearby and sending multiple warplanes and warships to harass the island on almost a daily basis.

Beijing considers Taiwan its territory, which must be brought under its control, by force if necessary. It has suspended official exchanges with the self-ruled island, stepped up sabre rattling and poached nine of its international allies since Tsai Ing-wen, of the independence-leaning Democratic Progressive Party, was elected president in 2016 and refused to accept the one-China principle.

Most countries do not recognise Taiwan as an independent state, but are opposed to any unilateral change of the cross-strait status quo by force.

Shu said that while the new drones could not replace conventional weapons like the F-16V fighter jets and submarines to counter the PLA, they could fit in with an asymmetric warfare strategy that the island’s military was trying to advance.

“They are still very useful in our near-sea and coastal defences,” Shu said.

Loitering weapons like the Type 2 could stage suicide attacks on PLA targets and create serious damage, he added.

‘Substantial threat’ from PLA’s Fujian carrier: Taiwanese defence ministry

“Though the high explosive warheads of the drone might not be able to destroy an entire PLA warship, a strike on the vessel’s radar system, for example, would paralyse the tracking and firing functions of the ship, resulting in its failure to attack our facilities,” Shu noted.

Chen Kuo-ming, the chief editor of the Taipei-based Defence International magazine, said the development of suicide drones like the Switchblade is becoming an international trend since such strategies have proven effective for Ukraine’s military against the much larger Russian forces.

“It definitely is the right direction for our weapon research units to develop those drones, but it is equally important for us to develop anti-drone systems or solutions,” Chen said, referring to the PLA assets.

The military needs to work with Taiwan’s civilian companies to develop a strong drone force, given that some companies already have the ability to design and build the munitions, he said, noting that Taiwanese combat drones were exported to Poland last year.

China blacklists US defence companies over Taiwan arms sales

DronesVision, an unmanned aerial vehicle supplier based in Taiwan’s northern city of Keelung, reportedly shipped 800 of its Revolver 860 combat drones to Poland for use in Ukraine.

The former chief commander of Taiwan’s army, General Hu Chen-pu, said the war in Ukraine had put military drones at the forefront of modern warfare, and the low-cost and efficient vehicle would be key in a potential attack on Taiwan by the PLA.

“[The PLA] has already amassed its military drones for use in various missions near Taiwan,” he said, adding that since April it had even sent combat and reconnaissance drones to circle the island for training and intelligence gathering purposes.
 

jward

passin' thru
Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense News
@IndoPac_Info
4h

Unusual #PLA movements of troops and equipment into Fujian province amid large Chinese exercises.
Need to keep an eye on this.


Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
Unusual + Abnormal:

Taiwan's military—for the first time—said it was monitoring Chinese ground troop movements in Dacheng Bay (Taipei Times)
1695488342528.jpeg
 

jward

passin' thru

Japan PM Kishida leans closer to Taiwan with hawkish Cabinet picks​


Walter SimJapan Correspondent​




Updated

Sep 23, 2023, 9:33 PM SGT
TOKYO – Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has replaced a pro-China foreign minister and enlisted a pro-Taiwan defence minister to his Cabinet, in what observers say is symbolic of Japan’s concerns over the Taiwan Strait.
In a Sept 13 reshuffle, Mr Minoru Kihara, 54, was named as defence chief, replacing Mr Yasukazu Hamada, 67. Two days later, Mr Kihara relinquished his role as secretary-general of a Japan-Taiwan parliamentary group, in the name of political neutrality.

Meanwhile, Ms Yoko Kamikawa, 70, was named Japan’s top diplomat, taking over from the doveish Mr Yoshimasa Hayashi, 62, who previously chaired the Japan-China parliamentary group and has repeatedly urged dialogue with Beijing.
“Both are more hawkish than their predecessors, though it will take some time for them to show their unique colours,” Dr Sota Kato of The Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research think-tank told The Straits Times.
The appointments come amid a serious escalation in tensions over the Taiwan Strait. Taiwanese Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng warned on Saturday that the situation was “getting out of hand” as China had sent record numbers of fighter jets near Taiwan in recent days.
China views self-ruling Taiwan as its territory and has not ruled out using military force to reunite with it. Taiwan rejects such sovereignty claims.
Chinese vessels are also repeatedly entering waters near the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands that Japan administers and China claims.

Tokyo has also reportedly elevated security ties with Taipei by appointing an active government official – instead of a retired officer as per tradition – as its de facto defence attache to Taiwan.
Japan’s right-wing Sankei newspaper said in an analysis that the appointments “hint at a shift towards preparations for a Taiwan contingency”.
Mr Kihara has been a frequent visitor to Taiwan, and has met President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice-President Lai Ching-te, who is currently the front runner for January’s presidential race.
Although a first-time minister, he is an old hand at dealing with security issues, having served as special adviser to former prime ministers Shinzo Abe and Yoshihide Suga. He was also involved in Japan’s drastic defence policy overhaul with its revised National Security Strategy in December 2022, as well as ongoing talks to loosen a self-imposed ban on the export of lethal weapons.

In April, when Mr Kihara was asked how Japan would respond in a Taiwan contingency, he had said that Japan would likely play a role similar to Poland’s in accepting refugees from Ukraine amid Russia’s ongoing invasion.
Since becoming defence chief, he has said that a key priority was to “fundamentally strengthen” Japan’s defence capabilities in the light of the “most severe and complicated security environment since World War II”.
This, he said, was given China’s rapid military build-up and assertiveness in the East and South China seas.
Among his first engagements in his role was a two-day tour, ending Saturday, of Self-Defence Forces bases in Okinawa and Kumamoto prefectures, as Japan has been increasing its military presence in its south-west.

Dr Kazuto Suzuki of the Graduate School of Public Policy at the University of Tokyo described Mr Kihara as “very technocratic”, and said his appointment would ensure the full implementation of the policies that he helped to formulate.
“He has a concrete view on China and Taiwan,” Dr Kzauto told ST, adding that the sentiment was in line with other hawkish Liberal Democratic Party politicians including Mr Abe.
As for Ms Kamikawa, she made her diplomatic debut in New York at the United Nations General Assembly, where she held court with other foreign ministers, including those from Group of Seven countries.
She was a no-nonsense justice minister who, the Sankei newspaper noted in a report, had ordered the executions of 16 death row inmates including Shoko Asahara, leader of the Aum Shinrikyo cult behind the 1995 sarin gas attacks on the Tokyo Metro.

“Other justice ministers would often hesitate to carry out executions, or consult with me, because they could not decide for themselves. Kamikawa had no such reservations,” the report cited Mr Abe as having said.
US Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel told Nikkei Asia in an interview that Ms Kamikawa was “a very capable and persuasive voice on behalf of our alliance, our shared interests, and our respect for a rules-based order”.
Dr Suzuki echoed this, saying: “Her appointment effectively demonstrates that the rule of law is at the heart of Japanese diplomacy. She will send the message that Japan is a leader in the rule of law, particularly in regard to China, though she can also project a softer image.”

This softer image stems from her gender, which Ms Kamikawa said can be an advantage. She said: “I want to leverage the unique perspectives of women in foreign policy and steadily achieve results through strong teamwork.”
She was among five women assigned to the Cabinet, and the first female foreign minister since Ms Yoriko Kawaguchi served in the post between 2002 and 2004 as one of a record five women in former prime minister Junichiro Koizumi’s Cabinet.
Mr Kishida’s record-equalling appointment of five female ministers, Dr Suzuki said, could send a positive message that Japan was serious about women empowerment. But he noted that the Prime Minister did the cause no favours by naming zero women among his 54 junior vice-ministers.
Ms Kamikawa graduated from Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School and served briefly as a policy planning assistant for a United States senator.

But her political career has focused largely on domestic issues, and she is a relative neophyte in diplomacy. This, however, could give Mr Kishida – who was foreign minister from 2012 to 2017 – more room to manoeuvre.
The Prime Minister suggested that Mr Hayashi might have become too dominant in the role, when asked by a reporter why he was replaced.

“The foreign and defence ministers play significant roles in diplomacy, but at the same time, leader-level diplomacy carries considerable weight,” he said. “I would like to take charge of foreign policy.”
 

jward

passin' thru

U.S. revives Cold War submarine spy program to counter China​


Joe Brock


On a windswept island 80 kilometers (50 miles) north of Seattle sits a U.S. Navy monitoring station. For years, it was kept busy tracking whale movements and measuring rising sea temperatures. Last October, the Navy gave the unit a new name that better reflects its current mission: Theater Undersea Surveillance Command.
The renaming of the spy station at the Whidbey Island naval base is a nod to a much larger U.S. military project, according to three people with direct knowledge of the plans: conducting the biggest reconstruction of America’s anti-submarine spy program since the end of the Cold War.
The revival of the multibillion-dollar effort, known as the Integrated Undersea Surveillance System (IUSS), comes as China has ramped up military exercises around Taiwan, heightening concerns about a potential conflict over the democratically ruled territory, which Beijing wants brought under its control.
 

jward

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Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense News
@IndoPac_Info
·
Those #Chinese civilian roll on / roll off ferries that have been adapted for military amphibious operations are on the move.......

Either a big exercise......... or something "else".

Need to keep an eye on this!!!

Tom Shugart
@tshugart3

UPDATE: three of the Bo Hai ferries: Bo Hai Cui Zhu, Heng Da, and Bao Zhu; are now at what appears to be an industrial wharf in Xiamen, across the Strait from Taiwan. My guess is they're doing on-load/off-load ops for a PLA operation/exercise of some sort.
View: https://twitter.com/tshugart3/status/1705900698167128100?s=20
 

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Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
Founder: IEJ Media, Ian's Gap Year, @travelfinfree
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Ian Ellis
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China needs 3 carrier battle groups to launch an invasion of Taiwan.

Admiral Huang Shu-kuang says they'll be deployed to the northeast, southeast, & southwest of Taiwan.

What did the PLA just practice⁉️

"Blitz" drills—surging 20+ warships & multiple battle groups to the NE/SE.



Ian Ellis
@ianellisjones
8h

"Huang was cited by CNA as saying that the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) will need at least 3 carrier battle groups deployed to the NE, SE, & SW of Taiwan to be in a position to invade the country."

Source: @keverington+ @TaiwanNewsEN
View: https://twitter.com/ianellisjones/status/1706376498540589420?s=20


"He added that there must also be a decline in U.S. military strength, & although he predicted that China will be able to invade Taiwan by 2027, 'whether it attacks or not' will depend on other factors."

"The 1st would be deployed in the SE waters of Taiwan to contain Guam, the 2nd would be deployed in the NE waters to restrain U.S. & Japanese forces, & the 3rd would be deployed in the SW waters of Taiwan."

"Based on this operational assessment, Huang said that he agrees with the 2027 timeline proposed by former Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command Philip Davidson."

The PLAN currently has 2 aircraft carriers, the Liaoning & Shandong, homeported to the north & south of Taiwan, respectively.

The Fujian, China's 3rd & 1st domestically designed aircraft carrier, launched in 2022 but is not fully operational yet.
View: https://twitter.com/ianellisjones/status/1706376507738738789?s=20
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense News
@IndoPac_Info
·
Those #Chinese civilian roll on / roll off ferries that have been adapted for military amphibious operations are on the move.......

Either a big exercise......... or something "else".

Need to keep an eye on this!!!

Tom Shugart
@tshugart3

UPDATE: three of the Bo Hai ferries: Bo Hai Cui Zhu, Heng Da, and Bao Zhu; are now at what appears to be an industrial wharf in Xiamen, across the Strait from Taiwan. My guess is they're doing on-load/off-load ops for a PLA operation/exercise of some sort.
View: https://twitter.com/tshugart3/status/1705900698167128100?s=20

Ro-Ro’s give the ability to move heavy mechanized forces “rapidly” to an enemy’s built-up ports, once taken. More rapid deployment of heavy weapons and associated forces, once harbors have been secured. LCACs only need a beach, hence faster deployment, more rapidly. Their ability to deploy heavy units is lesser, but can be obviated, in the short term, by massive reliance upon LCAC types of craft. It’s a numbers game. Same happened with WWII amphibious assaults.

OA
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
Ro-Ro’s give the ability to move heavy mechanized forces “rapidly” to an enemy’s built-up ports, once taken. More rapid deployment of heavy weapons and associated forces, once harbors have been secured. LCACs only need a beach, hence faster deployment, more rapidly. Their ability to deploy heavy units is lesser, but can be obviated, in the short term, by massive reliance upon LCAC types of craft. It’s a numbers game. Same happened with WWII amphibious assaults.

OA
They can also be used off beaches by using a floating dock or even putting amphibious vehicles directly into the water. All those videos of the little Chinese amphib tanks that cant cross the Strait could get dumped out by a RORO a bit offshore if needed. THe Chinese have exercised doing both loading and unloading of those Bo Hais offshore.
 

jward

passin' thru
Tom Shugart
@tshugart3
7m
Replying to @tshugart3
"Attempts by RFA to reach Shugart were not successful, but sources said his information was normally reliable.":jstr:

An island encircled as China practices beach landings​


By Chris Taylor for RFA​


Taiwan’s minister of national defense and military analysts are calling recent Chinese military drills “abnormal” and “out of control” amid reports that civilian ferries are being harnessed to carry out beach landing drills on the Chinese side of the Taiwan Strait.
Taiwan is concerned that China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is using increasingly provocative tactics to habituate Taiwan – and its immediate de facto allies, the United States and Japan – into a militarily fractious routine.
On Friday last week, Taiwan Minister of National Defense Chiu Kuo-cheng told reporters at the legislature in Taipei that Chinese military movements around Taiwan were “abnormal.”

“Our initial analysis is that they are doing joint drills in September, including land, sea, air and amphibious,” Chiu said, responding to questions about a rise in Chinese military activity around the nation involving dozens of warplanes, drones, bombers and warships.
Chieh Chung, a military researcher at Taiwan's National Policy Foundation think tank, concurred, telling Radio Free Asia, “From September 11-15, the PLA mobilized three major fleets in the Western Pacific, with a total of 17 surface ships (including the Shandong aircraft carrier strike group) to conduct large-scale confrontational exercises.”
“That’s not like previous exercises in past years. It’s indeed unusual,” Chieh said.
A fighter takes off during the combat readiness patrol and military exercises around Taiwan carried out by the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army from Nanjing in eastern China on April 8, 2023. Credit: Xinhua via AP

Meanwhile, the English-language Taiwan News reported civilian ferries were carrying out “undetermined, but likely non-commercial” operations along China’s east coast.
The six roll-on roll-off (RoRo) ferries associated with the PLA were seen on Sunday conducting drills on Chinese beaches in the Taiwan Strait, at Xiamen, a city in Fujian Province directly opposite Taiwan, the report said, drawing on a series of posts on X, formerly known as Twitter.
The source, Tom Shugart, is an adjunct senior fellow with the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security.

Attempts by RFA to reach Shugart were not successful, but sources said his information was normally reliable.
Analyst Chieh Chung said he couldn’t verify Shugart’s claims, but added that in exercises conducted at Dacheng Bay, Fujian, last year and the year before, China mobilized civilian semi-submersible ships and RoRo cargo ships for “dock-less unloading” drills.
“Dacheng Bay is the PLA's amphibious landing training base,” Chieh said. “Every year from July to September, many PLA units conduct exercises there. But he added: “The ‘Eight Transport Group (Strategic Sea Transport 8th Squadron)’ mentioned in the news [Shugart’s tweets] does indeed exist and is indeed part of the Bo Hai Ferry Group,” he said.
Ben Lewis, an independent defense analyst based in Washington D.C., said “Multiple Bo Hai ferries have been pulled off their normal routes, but I think the only thing about the recent drills that is unnormal is the fact that the PLA hasn’t bragged about them through its propaganda outlets.”

New normal
Michael Mazza, a non-resident Asia-Pacific defense analyst with the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), describes “the new normal of PLA operations around Taiwan, which can arguably be dated to the Pelosi visit, as one of high numbers, high frequency and high intensity.”
Then-U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi incurred China’s wrath in Aug. 2022 by visiting Taiwan, which China claims as sovereign territory.

He added, “The new normal also seems to be one in which there is no accepted status quo and no obvious limiting principle. China will ramp up and ramp down as it wishes.”
But Mazza also said that he does not think the recent exercises “suggest an imminent use of force against Taiwan.”
Rather, he said, it seems more likely that the PLA is speeding up training and shaping operations ahead of Xi Jinping’s 2027 “readiness” deadline.

China’s President Xi Jinping has announced publicly that he wants China to be ready, should Taiwan not come to the table, to invade the de facto nation fortress by 2027, despite repeated U.S. statements that such a move would be unacceptable.
AP23101185038631.jpg
A missile from the rocket force of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army takes part in operations during the combat readiness patrol and military exercises around Taiwan, April 7, 2023. Credit: Xinhua via AP
Washington-based Lewis is similarly unconcerned that China is planning an imminent move on Taiwan.
“August-October is one of the PLA’s training seasons, so I’m not concerned that they are doing anything out of the ordinary. Different, maybe, but not out of control.”
However, he added, while “the PRC is generally risk-averse … the more they increase their military activity region-wide, the higher the risk of a miscalculation.”

Says Mazza, on the question of possible red lines the PLA might inadvertently cross in its increasing adventurism, “China’s installation of a barrier at Scarborough Shoal last week may have been such a red line in the South China Sea – a seemingly minor escalation that was too much for the Philippines to bear.”
Lewis said, “The PRC is generally risk-averse, but the more they increase their military activity region-wide, the higher the risk of a miscalculation,” referring to the People’s Republic of China, the official name of China.
“Beijing uses this risk as a weapon in its engagements with other countries, including Taiwan. I also think, however, that the PRC is highly aware of the red-lines of its targets, specifically Washington and Tokyo.

“As much as they may escalate a situation, I think they want to avoid an escalation spiral as much as anyone else.”
Speaking on the Scarborough Shoal incident and the reaction of the Philippines, Mazza said, “It is difficult to predict what an equivalent would be in the Taiwan Strait, but the lesson is this: China is far too confident that it can control escalation and that it can count on the restraint of its rivals and adversaries.
“That confidence may be misplaced,” Mazza says.
Edited by Mike Firn and Elaine Chan.
 

jward

passin' thru
Taiwan launches 1st indigenous submarine
Taiwan News
3–4 minutes
President Tsai Ing-wen says 'history will remember this day'

Taiwan's first indigenous submarine, the Hai Kun, was officially launched in Kaohsiung on Sept. 28.

Taiwan's first indigenous submarine, the Hai Kun, was officially launched in Kaohsiung on Sept. 28. (CNA photo)

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Taiwan launched its first domestically produced submarine in Kaohsiung City on Thursday (Sept. 28).

President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) presided over the launch ceremony for the Hai Kun (海鯤, SS-711) at CSBC Corporation’s Kaohsiung shipyard. She performed the bottle-breaking ritual and named the submarine, which means "giant fish" in Chinese.

National Security Council Secretary General Wellington Koo (顧立雄), American Institute in Taiwan Director Sandra Oudkirk, Defense Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng (邱國正), Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Chi-mai (陳其邁) and other dignitaries attended the ceremony, CNA reported.

Only the bow of the Hai Kun was exposed, and sensitive facilities such as torpedo tubes were covered with the Taiwan flag. The event also featured a time-lapse construction video of the prototype submarine, and demonstrations of submersion and simulated underwater explosions.

"History will remember this day," Tsai said in her speech. She said that domestically manufacturing submarines was once considered an impossible task, but now a submarine built in Taiwan was here for everyone to see. "Everyone, we did it," she said.

She added that submarines are a concrete embodiment of resolutely protecting the country. They are also important strategic and tactical equipment for the navy to develop asymmetric combat capabilities and set a new milestone for Taiwan's defense independence.

The construction of the submarine started in November 2020 and faced many challenges, but finally came to fruition after the collaboration of the CSBC Corporation, the Navy, and friendly nations. Unlike Taiwan's previous submarines, which have cross-shaped rudders, the Hai Kun features an X-shaped rudder.

The name of the submarine comes from "Free and Easy Wandering," the first chapter of Chinese philosopher Chuang-Tzu's eponymous work, which refers to a massive mythical fish that can also fly.

Taiwan launches 1st indigenous submarine
Launch ceremony for Hai Kun. (CNA photo)
1695879174308.jpeg
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
I am of the opinion that when war starts, China will hit the US right from the get go.
How, you ask? by the use of all the illegals in the US.
It has been noted how many of them are of military age.
 

jward

passin' thru

H I Sutton - Covert Shores​


By H I Sutton



Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine​

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Taiwan held the launch ceremony for their first indigenous submarine on September 28 2023. The Hai Kun was built at CSBC Corp.'s shipyard in Kaohsiung on the country's east coast in an impressively short period of time. Keel laying to launch was less than 2 years.
The submarine is also an interesting design.
Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

Dutch Design Heritage​

Despite persistent reports in local media that it is in some respects a Japanese design, it is evidently based on the Dutch Zwaardvis class. This makes sense as the Zwaardvis is already in service with the ROCN (republic of China Navy) as the Hai Lung class. The new boat is essentially a reverse engineered Zwaardvis hull with many small improvements.
The hull uses the same hybrid double-single hull construction as the Zwaardvis class. This includes the U.S. Navy style light outer hull structure, inherited all the way back to the U.S. Navy's Barbel Class design.
Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

The most visible update is to the control surfaces which have switched from traditional cruciform to the more common X-form type. This one detail is likely the single greatest design risk in the project which is otherwise very conservative. No attempt has been made to add AIP (air independent power), vertical missile tubes or other complications. Currently it has no anechoic coating on the outside and it is possible that this too is being skipped. All this is completely understandable and makes sense for a country's first submarine.
Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

While the underlying design is not as modern as some others, including the latest Yuan class in China, it is still credible. It is large enough to be useful in a wide range of missions. Significantly it is expected to be armed with the American Mk.48 Mod 6 heavyweight torpedoes. These are not as cutting edge as later models of Mk.48 but are all the same highly capable weapons. They will be mated to a U.S. supplied combat system. The weapons package is rounded out by Sub-Harpoon anti-ship missiles.
Taiwan's Hai Kun Class Submarine

Official graphic of the Hai Kun Class

Other Projects To Protect Taiwan​

Taiwan is also building a smaller 30 meter long midget submarine under the Huilong project, although details are limited. Meanwhile the Seawolf 400 4-meter long / 1 tonne autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) is undergoing testing. This isn't weaponized but sets Taiwan on the path of developing indiginous large AUVs. And, shadowing Ukraine, the Seashark 400 uncrewed surface vessel (USV) is clearly based on a jet ski. Unlike the Ukrainian types it is unarmed, but future iterations could be enlarged for offensive missions.
Naval Projects To Protect Taiwan


 

jward

passin' thru
Ben Lewis
@OfficialBen_L

New Airframe!

MND report states that 29x PLA aircraft were tracked around Taiwan today, with 16 of those entering the de-facto ADIZ.

This is the first time the GJ-2 UAV has been tracked in the ADIZ, and the first new airframe since April 2023.
 

jward

passin' thru
Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense News
@IndoPac_Info

As invasion fears rise, #China hones #Taiwan blockade strategy As China ups the ante near Taiwan with military exercises designed to encircle the self-ruled island, Beijing may not have an invasion on its mind but rather another approach: a blockade. The People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) increasingly frequent exercises around Taiwan, particularly its long-range deployments in the Pacific, indicate that Beijing is refining a strategy to cut the island off from the outside world and keep Taipei's potential military partners at bay.

“China likely has the capabilities to conduct an aerial and naval blockade per what we know of their military capabilities, force structure and the military exercises we’ve seen them undertake in the past year,” said Kristen Gunness, a security expert and senior policy researcher at the U.S.-based Rand Corp. Some Chinese coastal air-defense systems can already reach the Taiwan Strait, while the PLA Air Force's KJ-500 early warning and control aircraft (China's version of the U.S. AWACS) and the PLA Navy's Type 052C/D (China's version of the Aegis destroyer) have the capability to establish a no-fly zone near the eastern coast of Taiwan to prevent other aircraft from entering, said Masashi Murano, a Japan Chair fellow at the U.S.-based Hudson Institute think tank. But even with China’s growing military capabilities, some officials in Washington argue that a blockade would ultimately fail, since it would give a U.S.-led coalition time to build up enough forces to counter such a move. Others, such as Ely Ratner, the Pentagon's top official for Asia, say that Taiwan would still have "options on its own and with the international community to ensure the delivery of industrial resources, raw materials, energy and other critical items" in the event of a blockade.

Defense experts, however, say the issue is more complex. While giving the U.S. and others time to respond is certainly the main drawback of a blockade from China’s perspective, Beijing still has the advantage of proximity, giving it an array of options to attempt to prevent supplies from arriving, even during a protracted conflict. More precisely, the experts argue that while Taiwanese and U.S.-led forces could ultimately defeat the PLA Navy and its efforts to stop shipping off Taiwan’s east coast, they could still struggle to resupply the island. “Yes, the U.S. and its allies could sink China’s navy, but that doesn’t get cargo into Taiwan,” said Loonie Henley, a former senior U.S. defense intelligence analyst on China who is currently a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. This is because other PLA branches, including the air and Rocket Forces, could still attack any aircraft or vessel attempting to reach the island and subject all possible ports and landing strips to repeated bombardment. “The PLA could seal Taiwan’s west coast ports indefinitely while making it extremely difficult for Taipei’s partners to push enough materiel through east coast ports to keep the island alive,” Henley said. A Chinese encirclement of Taiwan is likely to be different from blockades in the past for a number of reasons, including the geopolitical context, advances in military technology and especially Taiwan’s geographical proximity to the mainland.

A key difference, said Tom Shugart, a former U.S. Navy submarine commander now with the Center for a New American Security think tank, is that Taiwan is only recognized as a sovereign nation by a handful of countries, mostly small states. As a result, Beijing is likely to claim that a blockade — which China would probably call a quarantine, as a blockade is an act of war against a sovereign country — is a domestic action not subject to international law. How exactly a Taiwan blockade might unfold and which assets would be used to enforce it would ultimately depend on Beijing’s political and strategic aims. “A blockade could take many forms and impose different levels of hardship on Taiwan, as it can be tailored to the perceived provocation,” said James Schoff, senior director of the U.S.-Japan NEXT Alliance Initiative at the Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA. While some types of a blockade might not trigger a major mobilization of allied support for Taiwan, others could go on for so long that it would be hard for the U.S. and others to sustain any response. One possibility would be for China to conduct a “soft or limited blockade” that would allow it to control the air and maritime space around Taiwan using forces it has already largely deployed to the area, including paramilitary forces. In seeking to coerce Taipei to change its behavior to ways more palatable to Beijing, this type of blockade could be carried out by the China Coast Guard under the guise of repeated or extended military exercises or law enforcement activities that require temporary closure of certain trade routes. The goal would be to create uncertainty in the area that would either prompt commercial vessels to avoid Taiwan or cause insurance costs to rise, making it financially unattractive to risk sending ships there. “Such a blockade would not cut Taiwan off completely but would allow China to largely control what goes into or out of the island,” Gunness said.

By not implementing a full blockade, the burden of escalation — in China’s view — would fall on either Taipei or Washington, she added. The Chinese could also launch a blockade as a prelude to an invasion, in an effort to gain partial superiority over the air, maritime and information arenas to facilitate subsequent landing operations. The Chinese Navy's Nanning destroyer visits Cape Town, South Africa, on July 25. | REUTERS Unlike the first option, this type of blockade would probably involve the use of force, as Chinese invasion preparations would likely be noticeable months in advance. A third possible course of action would be to forego the invasion and impose the tightest blockade possible to cut Taiwan off until it submits or collapses, in a test of the resilience and fortitude of the island’s nearly 24 million residents. This drawn-out strategy — designed to compel unification — would be the riskiest for China as it would give friends of Taiwan time to work out ways to defeat a blockade. In the event of a failed invasion or key naval defeat, China could also resort to a blockade as a fallback option, since Taiwan would still require a large number of supplies. “That means that U.S. forces must get cargo ships into the west coast ports on a regular basis, in the face of extensive mining and hostile fire, close to China and under conditions of Chinese air superiority,” Henley said, noting that Beijing could resort to using long-range missiles, fighter aircraft as well as patrol boats with missiles and torpedoes to prevent the island from being resupplied. Henley believes that unless U.S. and allied forces were able to dismantle the PLA’s integrated air-defense system, China could sustain such a blockade for months if not years without exhausting its inventory of air-to-air or surface-to-air weapons. Penetrating a prolonged blockade — by escorting supply ships — and keeping Taiwan alive “would require a serious U.S. investment in systems and operational concepts” that Washington currently does not have, he said.

Depending on whether China wants to avoid a larger conflict, there might be room to negotiate the movement of particular goods for humanitarian purposes. Alternatively, the U.S. could try to impose a counterblockade of China, sealing off its access to international markets, particularly its access to imported fuels, disrupting its foreign trade and dealing a massive blow to its economy. Another option would be to establish a humanitarian air and sea corridor off Taiwan’s east coast — though this is the area where fighting would most likely erupt should diplomacy fail. Experts, however, believe that if Beijing decides to engage in a conflict over Taiwan, it is because it has consciously accepted that it might have to pay a high price. https://japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/10/0
View: https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1709186782208921967?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru
relevant to the balance o' power in the area I guess, so I'll tuck this here:


Realtime Global Data Intelligence Platform
@KIDataApp

UK Commits Nearly $5 Billion to AUKUS Submarine Development The British Government has pledged almost £4 billion (approximately $4.9 billion) to advance the development of nuclear-powered submarines in collaboration with Australia and the United States under the AUKUS program. Contracts were awarded to BAE Systems, Babcock Marine, and Rolls-Royce to support the development of nuclear attack submarines for the UK and Australia.

This funding covers design, prototyping, and the procurement of critical long-lead items for the first batch of UK submarines scheduled for delivery in the late 2030s. Australia and the UK are partnering to design and construct the SSN-AUKUS submarine, which will incorporate technology from both countries. The AUKUS agreement, established in 2021, encompasses submarine construction, basing, operation, and advanced weaponry.

The initial SSN-AUKUS submarines will be manufactured at BAE's Barrow-in-Furness shipyard in northwest England, replacing the Royal Navy's Astute class attack submarines. This investment also includes substantial infrastructure upgrades, supply chain investments, and the hiring of over 5,000 personnel. Both UK and Australian submarines will be powered by nuclear reactors from Rolls-Royce, with some propulsion components sourced from the United States. The investment reaffirms the UK's commitment to maintaining strategic capabilities and global leadership in an evolving geopolitical landscape. #AUKUS #SubmarineDevelopment
 
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