ALERT Look Out Below! China’s Heavy-Lift Rocket Due For Uncontrolled Reentry Within Days

WalknTrot

Veteran Member
What's the plane of the orbit? There must be a known min/max latitude where it can hit.

I was listening to CBC out of Canuckistan the other night, and they said if you are above the 41st parallel you are golden.
The Canadians had no worries.
 

Rabbit

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Well....Yes and No

YES you let smaller chunks deorbit.
NO you don't do it in massive chunks 108ft long and weighing 46,000 lbs, which is what the Chinese are doing.
So actually it is a bomb of sorts. Just how uncontrolled is that reentry and more to the point will HO insurance cover if it hits a house?
 

vector7

Dot Collector
Obiden's 'WOKE' best and brightest...

102009235-455584928.530x298.jpg


SecDef Lloyd Austin on Chinese rocket: "We don't have a plan to shoot the rocket down. We're hopeful that it will land in a place where it won't harm anyone, hopefully in the ocean."
RT 1:22secs
View: https://twitter.com/Michaelmrw/status/1390396811970588672


Reminds me of...
giphy.gif
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
SecDef Lloyd Austin on Chinese rocket: "We don't have a plan to shoot the rocket down. We're hopeful that it will land in a place where it won't harm anyone, hopefully in the ocean."

They CAN'T shoot it down. It's already COMING down
 

Knighttemplar

Veteran Member
"SecDef Lloyd Austin on Chinese rocket: "We don't have a plan to shoot the rocket down. We're hopeful that it will land in a place where it won't harm anyone, hopefully in the ocean."

Hope in one hand $hit in the other see which fills first. No plan, WTF they should have at least 3 plans on what to do, what a bunch of numb nuts.
 

Double_A

TB Fanatic
So actually it is a bomb of sorts. Just how uncontrolled is that reentry and more to the point will HO insurance cover if it hits a house?

I'm not sure I'd call it a "bomb" big heavy falling things don't have to have explosives to cause significant damage.
Heck check out "Meteor Crater Arizona" kinetic energy made that hole.

I very highly doubt Homeowners insurance would cover anything damaged by this. But feel free to call and report back what they said in the interest of public service to the group here.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
I'm not sure I'd call it a "bomb" big heavy falling things don't have to have explosives to cause significant damage.
Heck check out "Meteor Crater Arizona" kinetic energy made that hole.

I very highly doubt Homeowners insurance would cover anything damaged by this. But feel free to call and report back what they said in the interest of public service to the group here.


Lest they can do is offer some glue and a roll of duct tape.
 

LoupGarou

Ancient Fuzzball
US Stratcom's latest coords supposedly are: 38.1N, 62.5E Otherwise known as Turkmenistan, but error is still rather high so it could drop anywhere over there if just a few minutes off.

Or anywhere else if it skips on the atmosphere...

Tomorrow night ought to be interesting...

Falling_chinese_crap.jpg
 

Doc1

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I'm not sure I'd call it a "bomb" big heavy falling things don't have to have explosives to cause significant damage.
Heck check out "Meteor Crater Arizona" kinetic energy made that hole.

I very highly doubt Homeowners insurance would cover anything damaged by this. But feel free to call and report back what they said in the interest of public service to the group here.


Meteor Crater in Arizona was the result of a huge meteor-borderline-asteroid. The Chinese rocket is a tiny fraction of what it would take to create a massive crater. The other way large craters can form is by having relatively small objects hit a planetary surface at incredibly high speeds. That won't happen in this case as the rocket's remains are light for its size - as all rockets are - and will not be aerodynamically efficient. Our atmosphere will slow it down appreciably.

If the Earth didn't have its atmosphere, its surface would be pockmarked like the surface of the Moon from meteor strikes.

Best
Doc
 

Double_A

TB Fanatic
Meteor Crater in Arizona was the result of a huge meteor-borderline-asteroid. The Chinese rocket is a tiny fraction of what it would take to create a massive crater. The other way large craters can form is by having relatively small objects hit a planetary surface at incredibly high speeds. That won't happen in this case as the rocket's remains are light for its size - as all rockets are - and will not be aerodynamically efficient. Our atmosphere will slow it down appreciably.

If the Earth didn't have its atmosphere, its surface would be pockmarked like the surface of the Moon from meteor strikes.

Best
Doc

Thank you for taking the time, I didn't want to explain that, some people's eyes glaze over.
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
And people spotting it will be able to see in a split second or two if it was accidental or not.

Nothing about the reentry or impact will tell anyone whether it was accidental. Bright lights, big bang, no evidence for the bystander.
 

night driver

ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
WELL, kinda sorta depends.
The ONLY folk who MIGHT know would be the folk who are currently watching it with radar and who MIGHT have the ability to have radar guided cameras (equivalent to the launch cameras) so they can SEE the reentry attitude and make some back of the business card calcs.

But in a REASONABLE Intel framework WE the People will never know either way.
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
Nothing about the reentry or impact will tell anyone whether it was accidental. Bright lights, big bang, no evidence for the bystander.

Um, well, i read that some of it will burn up in reentry, so will it be a launched rocket, or a charred burning wreck in pieces?? There should be witnesses...but the results, will they live to tell? Well, we shall see, soon.
 

night driver

ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
OH and BTW, the discussion about " 'shooting it down' ya can't shoot it down it's already COMING DOWN" is pretty lame.
The only thing that could be done (And it's reasonable as a discussion point) is to break it up into little pieces, by, actually, letting an Aegis tin can have at it and blow it to smitherines.
With THIS Nat' command Authority, don't make me laugh. FIRST they all have to find their OWN butts with 2 hands (with or with out assistance).


Their OWN butts mind you, not their best friends' butt.
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
OH and BTW, the discussion about " 'shooting it down' ya can't shoot it down it's already COMING DOWN" is pretty lame.
The only thing that could be done (And it's reasonable as a discussion point) is to break it up into little pieces, by, actually, letting an Aegis tin can have at it and blow it to smitherines.
With THIS Nat' command Authority, don't make me laugh. FIRST they all have to find their OWN butts with 2 hands (with or with out assistance).


Their OWN butts mind you, not their best friends' butt.

That is right, I have read awhile back that they have the tech to calculate coordinates/speed, etc. and actually aim and bust it up more to cause less damage/deflect, in situations like this...if they WANT to employ that tech.
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
OH and BTW, the discussion about " 'shooting it down' ya can't shoot it down it's already COMING DOWN" is pretty lame.
The only thing that could be done (And it's reasonable as a discussion point) is to break it up into little pieces, by, actually, letting an Aegis tin can have at it and blow it to smitherines.

In other words, they can't shoot it down. Is there an echo in here tonight?
 

KFhunter

Veteran Member
Not if they want as much as they can get of it, to see where the chicoms are with their tech.

If I knew it was going to land in Ohio, I'd parrot the CCP with their message not likely to harm anyone, then I'd scoop it up out the corn maze and gleen what intel I could while picking up non-interesting bits and say that's all there is folks!
 
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