A NEW SOURCE OF FLARES: A new sunspot emerging over the sun's southeastern limb exploded today, producing an M9-class solar flare (July 30 @ 1938 UT). Radiation from the almost-X-class flare caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over North America. As the sunspot turns toward Earth this week, we will get a better view of its magnetic field to evaluate its potential for more strong flares. CME Impact alerts: SMS Text
Solar Solar Weather and Space News 2024
- Thread starter packyderms_wife
- Start date
danielboon
TB Fanatic
Old sunspot region 3738, the possible source of farsided eruptions that past week or so, is now turning back into view from off the east limb. It just produced an M4.7 solar flare at 05:23 UTC (July 31st).
danielboon
TB Fanatic
Multiple mid to upper level M-Flares have been observed during the past 12 hours, including two flares at nearly the same time. AR 3772 produced an M6.0 flare peaking at 13:05 UTC. Meanwhile towards the west limb, AR 3762 appears to be responsible for an M4.4 flare that peaked at 13:32 UTC. Other events today includes an M7.7 flare around AR 3768 at 06:46 UTC and M4.7 around newly assigned AR 3774 (ex 3738). Stay tuned as solar activity is getting real spicy!. Space Weather by SolarHam
danielboon
TB Fanatic
X-Rays
Current |
Heliobas Disciple
TB Fanatic
Two New Radiation Belts
Following the largest magnetic storm in 20 years (May 10, 2024), REPTile-2 onboard NASA’s CIRBE satellite discovered two new radiation belts containing 1.3–5 MeV electrons around L=2.5–3.5 and 6.8–20 MeV protons around L=2. NASA had a brief new release about the discovery of the new electron...
lasp.colorado.edu
Two New Radiation Belts
July 31, 2024
Following the largest magnetic storm in 20 years (May 10, 2024), REPTile-2 onboard NASA’s CIRBE satellite discovered two new radiation belts containing 1.3–5 MeV electrons around L=2.5–3.5 and 6.8–20 MeV protons around L=2. NASA had a brief new release about the discovery of the new electron belt. See the following links: on X and Facebook.
From the Facebook link:
NASA Sun Science
(fair use applies)
NASA Sun Science
July 31 at 9:00 AM ·Remember the big solar storm in May? Scientists have just discovered that, in addition to creating spellbinding auroras, the storm also made a new temporary ring of charged, high-energy particles encircling Earth.
Earth is typically surrounded two of these giant, donut-shaped rings of particles called the Van Allen Belts. But during especially large solar storms, a temporary third Belt can form sandwiched between the two permanent ones.
The new Belt, which was discovered by NASA’s Colorado Inner Radiation Belt Experiment (CIRBE) CubeSat, could last months to years. Scientists are studying the data to better understand the Belt and how long it might stick around. Stay tuned for their findings!
Learn more about the Van Allen Belts and why they’re important to space travel: What are the Van Allen Belts and why do they matter? - NASA Science & home
BIG SUNSPOT ALERT: A potentially significant sunspot group is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, right here. Astronomers are encouraged to monitor the active region, which may be unusually large and a source of strong flares. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: X1 1340 UT Aug05
24-hr: X1 1340 UT Aug05
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1450 UT
BIG SUNSPOT ALERT: A big new sunspot group is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb. Designated AR3780, the active region appears to be growing. Based on its large size alone, the sunspot probably poses a threat for strong solar flares. An evaluation of its magnetic stability (or lack thereof) will have to wait until AR3780 is more fully visible from Earth. Stay tuned! Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
Fairwillows
Where I am supposed to be.
I've got incoming alerts, big ones, but can't post right now!!!
Fairwillows
Where I am supposed to be.
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
| X-Flare! |
| August 5, 2024 @ 14:45 UTC |
Departing sunspot region 3767 produced a strong X1.7 solar flare at 13:40 UTC (Aug 5). This event is associated with a westerly directed CME as the region is no longer in direct view. Although the CME itself should be directed away from Earth, there is a chance that energetic particles could still find their way towards our planet. More details to follow.
Solarham.com
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Flare + CME
August 5, 2024 @ 18:00 UTC
Kaboom Part II.
Another X-Flare to report, this time around AR 3780 at 15:27 UTC. This event was associated with a Type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 925 km/s. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is now becoming visible in the latest coronagraph imagery. A further update will be added once full imagery is available to see if an Earth directed component is evident. This region will continue to turn into a better Earth facing position with each passing day.
August 5, 2024 @ 18:00 UTC
Kaboom Part II.
Another X-Flare to report, this time around AR 3780 at 15:27 UTC. This event was associated with a Type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 925 km/s. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is now becoming visible in the latest coronagraph imagery. A further update will be added once full imagery is available to see if an Earth directed component is evident. This region will continue to turn into a better Earth facing position with each passing day.
danielboon
TB Fanatic
ALERT X1.3 SOLAR flare CME heading towards earth AR 3777
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
| Latest Space Weather News |
|
| X1.3 CME Update |
| August 9, 2024 @ 03:55 UTC |
Coronagraph imagery following the X1.3 solar flare around AR 3777 is finally available. The event was associated with an asymmetric halo CME that appears to have an Earth directed component. The main bulk of plasma looks to be heading south of the Sun-Earth line, however a shock passage past Earth will still be possible within 48-72 hours. With at least two other eruptions expected to pass Earth over the next few days, this could prolong or intensify moderate (G2) storming already in the forecast. We will have to wait and see as conditions unfold this weekend.
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packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
I was wondering the same thing! See post #17 in this thread
BRKG - Big quakes in Japan 6.9 and 7.1
Just saw alert for two quakes. Appear to be different ones so I'm not sure if the same yet. Pretty shallow too like 5 miles on the 7.1.
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Space Weather by SolarHam
ntsedSoropu0c12569817ic94h81mhi6uhfimhgcc80453025i0li89t2c3t ·A size comparison between AR 3780 and our planet Earth. This sunspot region, along with AR 3774 and 3777 will remain a threat for M-Class solar flares. Another isolated X-Flare will also remain a possibility as we head into the weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.
Broccoli
Veteran Member
That is a huge blast. Some of that spatter is going to clip us, one way or another. It looks like the first of the wave is starting to hit our atmosphere swinging the magnetics, wind speed picking up, density up and Phi flipping... yes to the question about eqs
Latest Space Weather News
X1.3 CME Update August 9, 2024 @ 03:55 UTC Coronagraph imagery following the X1.3 solar flare around AR 3777 is finally available. The event was associated with an asymmetric halo CME that appears to have an Earth directed component. The main bulk of plasma looks to be heading south of the Sun-Earth line, however a shock passage past Earth will still be possible within 48-72 hours. With at least two other eruptions expected to pass Earth over the next few days, this could prolong or intensify moderate (G2) storming already in the forecast. We will have to wait and see as conditions unfold this weekend.
I saw auroras here in the Willamette Valley, OR last night!
SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORM--NOW! Today's strong G3-class geomagnetic storm has just intensified to category G4 (Severe). This means mid- to low-latitude auroras may be visible from any dark location on Earth. Aurora alerts: SMS Text
The ongoing storm is in response to multiple CME impacts on Aug, 10th, 11th and 12th. Last night, auroras were spotted in more than 30 US states as far south as Texas, Mississippi, Colorado and California. "Pulsating auroras hung over our heads for more than an hour," reports Elżbieta Haftek, who sends this picture from Eden Prairie, Minnesota:
Currently, the storm shows no signs of abating. Low-latitude auroras may be visible again during the night of Aug. 12-13. Stay tuned!
SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORM--NOW! Today's strong G3-class geomagnetic storm has just intensified to category G4 (Severe). This means mid- to low-latitude auroras may be visible from any dark location on Earth. Aurora alerts: SMS Text
The ongoing storm is in response to multiple CME impacts on Aug, 10th, 11th and 12th. Last night, auroras were spotted in more than 30 US states as far south as Texas, Mississippi, Colorado and California. "Pulsating auroras hung over our heads for more than an hour," reports Elżbieta Haftek, who sends this picture from Eden Prairie, Minnesota:
Currently, the storm shows no signs of abating. Low-latitude auroras may be visible again during the night of Aug. 12-13. Stay tuned!
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Major news outlets are issuing warnings about the solar storms and potential for damage to electrical items, and the grid.
BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOTS: There are two sunspot groups on the farside of the sun so big they are affecting the way the whole sun vibrates. Helioseismic maps suggest that one of them will turn toward Earth this weekend. The appearance of another big sunspot group would help keep sunspot numbers elevated at their current 20-year high. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: As predicted, strangely-magnetized sunspot AR3784 (described below) erupted today, producing an X1.1-class solar flare. The explosion was directly facing Earth:
Radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a deep shortwave radio blackout over India and the Middle East: map. Ham radio operators may have noticed loss of signal at all frequencies below 30 MHz for 30+ minutes after the flare's peak (0640 UT).
Radio emissions and preliminary coronagraph images suggest that this explosion may have hurled a faint CME toward Earth. If so, a NASA model predicts it will strike Earth around 1200 UTC on Aug. 17th. CME impact alerts: SMS Text
A STRANGELY MAGNETIZED SUNSPOT: Sunspot AR3784 is breaking Hale's Law. According to that hundred-year-old rule, sunspots in the sun's northern hemisphere should be polarized like this:
Violations of Hale's Law do happen from time to time. About 3% of all sunspots are "reversed polarity":
The magnetic underpinnings of this sunspot seem to be corkscrewing in an unusual way. If opposite magnetic polarities get twisted together too tightly, there could be an X-class solar flare. Stay tuned! Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Maybe this is why I keep seeing the Sun blinking?
Broccoli
Veteran Member
X-flare earth directed. More big sunspots turning in. Coronal hole will add to the solar wind speed.
Can you get pictures?? I'm guessing we will be seeing more of this and the sun is just now starting to do some weird things.
bw
Fringe Ranger
We're just hitting the peak of this sunspot cycle. Earth's shield is weakening month by month. If we don't get a major grid outage this cycle, the next one will catch most totally by surprise. The best outcome is probably a major outage this cycle to alert the flock. Then those in Condition White would have the chance to move up the learning curve.
danielboon
TB Fanatic
This guy on YouTube called the unknown prophet said the sun would blink three days in a row with the 17th of Aug being the one to watch. So he is right today we will need to see if there is another X flare tomorrow
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
In the EQ watch thread in the Unexplained I've reported earlier this week that I saw the Sun blink, and then again today. The 17th is only three days away.
Broccoli
Veteran Member
bw
Fringe Ranger
You should be getting your mind right for a 15-year endurance test. Long way to go, little Hobbits.
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Ummm no, see the EQ thread in the unexplained, I’m a watchman.
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
The Sun is the throes of a micro nova, it’s gonna get really hot before all is said and done. I also have a micro nova vision thread in the unexplained forum.
Broccoli
Veteran Member
Thank you. I agree with the nova piece. I held back from saying much because I'm new and because it is frightening. Are you following MFAW by chance?
Broccoli
Veteran Member
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
MFAW?
Broccoli
Veteran Member
Ben Davidson, Suspicious Observers or Mike From Around The World are the two YTers discussing the idea of the sun going nova that I know of. MFAW is Christian and it is where Ben goes so I prefer his words on the subject. Known both for years.
Being Christian helps with this subject because it is intense. amen
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
bw
Fringe Ranger
The one being financed by contributions. He collected just under $150k with a target of $50k. They probably have more info at his site, but it's Twitter or Facebook or something and I don't do social comms.