Solar Solar Weather and Space News 2024

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
X1 CME heading our way also a M7.3 long duration
(fair use applies)

X1.0 / M7.3 Flare + CME Confirmed
June 1, 2024 @ 19:55 UTC (UPDATED)
Solar X-Rays peaked at M7.3 at 19:40 UTC (Jun 1) following an initial X1.0 peak a little earlier. Coronal dimming is evident to the north of AR 3697 meaning a coronal mass ejection (CME) might be associated. More to follow.

CME Update: Updated imagery following the M7 eruption this evening is now starting to come in. Although hard to tell by the image below, an asymmetric halo CME is associated and appears to have an Earth directed component. A type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 681 km/s was recorded. A passage past Earth will be possible within 72 hours. More to follow.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Latest Space Weather News

CME Impact / Minor (G1) Storm
June 4, 2024 @ 00:20 UTC
It appears that a CME passed Earth around 23:00 UTC (Jun 3). A geomagnetic sudden impulse measuring 61 nT was recorded by the Boulder magnetometer. The minor (G1) geomagnetic storm threshold was reached at 23:59 UTC. Although the solar wind speed is not terribly high, the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) has been shifting wildly from from a north to south pointing orientation. Enhanced activity including minor storming could persist over the next several hours.


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packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Enhanced Solar Wind / Moderate Storm
June 7, 2024 @ 12:10 UTC (UPDATED)
Perhaps a weak transient passage detected this morning at 10:50 UTC (Jun 7). The solar wind speed increased by 50 km/s to above 400 km/s and the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is currently trending south (-10nT). Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) possible in the hours ahead. Minor (G1) geomagnetic storming may be possible if the Bz holds south for a longer duration.
Surprise Storm: The moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm threshold was reached at 14:56 UTC (Jun 7). This was following a prolonged period of southward Bz that reached -15 nT. It has since shifted back to the north, so this storm should be short lived. As always, further updates will be provided when necessary. Not good timing for aurora sky watchers across Europe and North America..


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packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
X1.5 Solar Flare
June 10, 2024 @ 12:30 UTC
An X1.5 solar flare was produced by departing AR 3697 (3664) at 11:08 UTC (Jun 10). Despite shrinking in size, the region still remains potent as it turns behind the west limb. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is associated with the event and is heading to the west and away from Earth. Other than the radio blackout, no major impacts are expected. Perhaps in two weeks we will see whatever remains of the flare producing machine turn back into view once again. Bye for now!

www.solarham.com
 

John Deere Girl

Veteran Member

ONGOING GOES OUTAGE
published: Tuesday, June 25, 2024 13:01 UTC
GOES services began experiencing an outage at approximately 2120 UTC on 24 Jun. While SWPC forecasters maintain the capability to issue flare, proton and electron warnings and alerts, observational data is not reliable/updating at this time. An estimated time to restoration is unknown.
 

Cyclonemom

Veteran Member
Surprise G4 STORM today.

(G4) Geomagnetic Storm
June 28, 2024 @ 10:20 UTC )
Not at all expected, a Severe (G4) geomagnetic storm is in progress following a CME passage Friday
morning. The solar wind speed increased to near 500 km/s and the plasma density showed a nice increase as well over the past few hours. Needless to say, the timing is not great for aurora sky watchers in Europe and most of North America with sunlight now upon us. Further updates will be provided as the day progresses.
UPDATE: Storm conditions have since subsided. A minor (G1) geomagnetic storm watch will remain in effect for the next 12 hours while the CME disturbance continues to pass Earth.

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1415 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe


Bz South / Geomagnetic Storm Watch
June 28, 2024 @ 02:00 UTC
The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) which is carried past Earth via the solar wind, has been pointing south the past few hours (-10nT). Active (Kp4) geomagnetic conditions will be likely with a chance for minor (G1) geomagnetic storming in the hours ahead. Aurora sky watchers at high latitudes should be alert should local light and weather conditions allow.
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 0150 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Warning
Tornado Warning
KSC139-290215-
/O.NEW.KTOP.TO.W.0044.240629T0135Z-240629T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Topeka KS
835 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Osage County in east central Kansas...

* Until 915 PM CDT.

* At 835 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 4 miles northeast of Reading, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Olivet and Melvern Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3853 9595 3861 9595 3861 9570 3847 9572
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 283DEG 14KT 3856 9591

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Reese
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
We will receive a glancing blow from a CME on July 3rd

Ever notice that those glancing blows produce some of the largest earthquakes? Three days before the Fukishima quake the Earth was dealt a glancing blow. Then within 24 hours a 7.0+ quake with no aftershocks, and then about three days later the monster quake happened! Same thing with the Sumatra and Chilean quakes.
 

Be Well

may all be well
Ever notice that those glancing blows produce some of the largest earthquakes? Three days before the Fukishima quake the Earth was dealt a glancing blow. Then within 24 hours a 7.0+ quake with no aftershocks, and then about three days later the monster quake happened! Same thing with the Sumatra and Chilean quakes.
I'm wondering if the solar flares cause symptoms in people; I have a young friend (27) who is very sensitive to a lot of things, and she felt as though she was frying on an electrical grid a few days when the flares first happened. Hub and I sometimes feel very weird lately and of course it could by many reasons; but if you have any info I'd love to know more about effects of solar storms on humans.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I'm wondering if the solar flares cause symptoms in people; I have a young friend (27) who is very sensitive to a lot of things, and she felt as though she was frying on an electrical grid a few days when the flares first happened. Hub and I sometimes feel very weird lately and of course it could by many reasons; but if you have any info I'd love to know more about effects of solar storms on humans.

yes, they do cause symptoms. for those with heart problems and seizure disorders the solar flares can be a problem.
 

John Deere Girl

Veteran Member

Space

Old Sunspot AR3664 Returned With Major Eruption​


Sunspot AR3664 blasted an X2.9-class solar flare recently. This active region on the sun was responsible for a bevy of powerful flares and a massive solar storm that created the aurora show that captivated Earth. It is now rotating back into view of NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory. Credit: Space.com | footage courtesy: NASA / SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams / HelioViewer | edited by Steve Spaleta
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
This is on the far side


Impressive Farsided CME Observed
July 23, 2024 @ 01:45 UTC (UPDATED)
A fast moving, impressive full halo coronal mass ejection (CME) is now emerging in the latest imagery courtesy of LASCO C2. Based on additional imagery by the solar dynamics observatory (SDO), the event took place well beyond the west limb and is directed away from our planet. Despite being farsided, it is possible that we may still see a proton enhancement from this energetic event. Because the CME itself is directed away from Earth, it will not result in a geomagnetic storm.
UPDATE: A minor (S1) radiation storm is now in progress as proton levels streaming past Earth gradually increase.


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