| December 31, 2023 @ 23:55 UTC (Updated) |
| Ringing in the new year with a bang. Now the strongest solar event of the current solar cycle, a major X5.0 solar flare was observed around AR 3536 (ex 3514) at 21:55 UTC (Dec 31). Coronal dimming is evident and a coronal mass ejection (CME) will be launched into space. Because the active region is still located close to the limb, most of the plasma should be directed away from our planet. Despite this, an Earth directed glancing blow may still be possible. More to follow! RT 26 seconds CME Update: As expected, the X5.0 solar flare event generated a coronal mass ejection (CME). Coronagraph imagery shows that the vast majority of plasma is heading away from Earth. The western edge of the CME could still deliver a glancing blow to our geomagnetic field within 72 hours. 
SolarHam.com |
www.facebook.com
| Solar Activity Moderate / Incoming CME Watch |
| January 22, 2024 @ 10:00 UTC |
| Solar activity finally reached moderate levels with an M1.5 solar flare around AR 3559 at 06:22 UTC (Jan 22). The active regions has a beta-gamma magnetic configuration and will remain a threat for additional solar flares. In the southwest quadrant, AR 3561 appears to be expanding somewhat and should be monitored as well. Proton levels streaming past Earth is currently at an elevated level, but so far remains below the minor (S1) radiation storm threshold fo now. This rise is attributed to the CME activity from the past few days. Incoming CME Watch: A reminder that a CME observed leaving the Sun on Jan 20 is expected to pass Earth today. A minor (G1) to moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm watch is in effect for the next 24-36 hours. Space Weather by SolarHam |
Thank you for post this! The Sun is getting spicy!!
Indeed
| Moderate Radiation Storm / CME Update |
| January 29, 2024 @ 18:30 UTC |
A moderate (S2) level radiation storm is currently in progress. Proton levels streaming past Earth following the eruption around AR 3559 early this morning continued to gradually increase. An updated CME tracking modelcourtesy of NOAA/SWPC is calling for mostly a miss upstream. Despite this model, a glancing blow may still be in the cards within the next 48 hours. More updates will be provided whenever necessary.
|
| January 29, 2024 @ 04:45 UTC (UPDATED) |
| A long duration solar flare measuring M6.8 was detected around AR 3559 peaking at 04:36 UTC. Coronal dimming is clearly evident meaning a noteworthy coronal mass ejection (CME) will likely be produced. Because the active region is approaching the west limb, the likely CME should be directed mostly away from Earth. More details to follow once updated coronagraph imagery is available. CME Update: First look imagery by STEREO Ahead confirms that an energetic CME is associated. A minor (S1) radiation storm currently in progress following the event. More details regarding a possible Earth directed component later this morning. SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2024 Jan 29 0408 UTC Maximum Time: 2024 Jan 29 0420 UTC End Time: 2024 Jan 29 0444 UTC Duration: 36 minutes Peak Flux: 2700 sfu 
|
3576 is now earth facing and is very active
thanks!
| X3.3 Flare / CME and Radiation Storm |
| February 9, 2024 @ 13:10 UTC (UPDATED) |
| The second strongest solar flare of the current solar cycle, an X3.3 event was observed around AR 3575 at 13:14 UTC (Feb 9). A large coronal mass ejection (CME) should be expected, however because AR 3575 is now located behind the southwest limb, it will be directed away from Earth. So for those who were hoping for an Earth directed eruption such as myself, it looks like there will be no such luck this time. Additional details will be provided whenever necessary. CME and (S2) Radiation Storm Warning: As expected, the flare event produced an energetic, fast moving coronal mass ejection (CME). The bulk of plasma is heading away from our planet and a noteworthy passage past our planet is unlikely. Energetic particles on the other hand blown away from the flare site in all directions is now starting to reach our planet and a moderate (S2) radiation storm warning is now in effect. 
|
| Impulsive X1.9 Solar Flare |
| February 22, 2024 @ 00:00 UTC |
An impulsive X1.9 solar flare was detected around AR 3590 at 23:07 UTC (Feb 21). Based on the the latest imagery, a lack of coronal dimming suggests that an Earth directed CME will be unlikely. The active region continues to grow in both size and magnetic complexity which means additional solar flares will be likely. 
|
| Another X-Flare |
| February 22, 2024 @ 10:00 UTC |
AR 3590 is putting on a show with another strong solar flare, this time an X1.7 event at 06:32 UTC (Feb 22). So far none of these events looks to have produced noteworthy eruptions. That could change as the region continues to move into an Earth facing position. 
|
