The daily ‘clobber list’ from the Russian Defence Ministry:
The Front is currently about 1,000 miles long.
Summary of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the progress of a special military operation (19.03.2023).
In total, since the beginning of the special military operation destroyed (losses over previous 24hrs(+?)):
402 aircraft,
(Daily avg 1.1)
222(+1) helicopters,
(Daily avg 0.6)
3,464(+7) unmanned aerial vehicles,
(Daily avg 8.9)
414 surface-to-air missile systems,
(Daily avg 1.1)
8,338(+8) tanks and other armored combat vehicles,
(Daily avg 21.8)
1,069(+3) multiple rocket launchers,
(Daily avg 2.8)
4,388(+7) field artillery and mortars,
(Daily avg 11.4)
9,011(+15) special military vehicles.
(Daily avg 23.3)
️ In the Kupyansk direction, operational and tactical aviation strikes, artillery fire and heavy flamethrower systems of the "Western" grouping of troops hit Ukrainian armed forces units in the areas of Dvurechnaya, Timkovka, Olshana in the Kharkiv region and Novoselovskoye in the Luhansk People's Republic. Up to 50 Ukrainian servicemen, two armored fighting vehicles and two vehicles were destroyed.
In the Krasno-Limanskoe direction, artillery and heavy firing systems of the Group of Forces (Forces) "Center" defeated enemy manpower and equipment in the areas of Nevskoe, Belogorovka of the Luhansk People's Republic, Yampolovka and Hryhorovka of the Donetsk People's Republic. Over 90 Ukrainian servicemen, three armored fighting vehicles, three vehicles, a Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer, as well as D-20 and D-30 howitzers were destroyed in this direction during the day.
In the Donetsk direction, as a result of active actions of Southern Group of Forces units, more than 80 Ukrainian servicemen, three armored combat vehicles, four pickup trucks, three Grad MLRS combat vehicles, Msta-B howitzer, as well as a US-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar station were destroyed during the day.
On the South Donetsk and Zaporizhzhya directions, strikes by tactical aircraft and artillery fire of the Vostok Group of Forces hit AFU units in the areas of Novomikhailovka, Ugledar, Prechistovka, Privolnoye of the Donetsk People's Republic and Orekhov of the Zaporizhzhya region. The losses of the enemy in these directions during the day amounted to more than 50 Ukrainian servicemen, three pickup trucks, as well as a D-30 howitzer.
️ In the Kherson direction, up to 20 Ukrainian servicemen, three vehicles, as well as two self-propelled howitzers "Gvozdika" were destroyed in the course of the day.
Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery of groups of troops (forces) of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation hit 92 artillery units in firing positions, manpower and equipment
in 114 areas. Two hangars with weapons and military equipment of the 122nd Territorial Defense Brigade were hit near the village of Otradokamenka, Kherson Oblast.
️ A Ukrainian Air Force Mi-8 helicopter was shot down by fighter aircraft near the town of Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast.
️ Nine HIMARS and Olha MBRLS rockets were intercepted by air defense assets during the day. In addition, seven Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed in the areas of Kotlyarovka (Kharkiv Region), Chervonopopovka, Holikovo (Luhansk People's Republic), Blagodatne, Kirillovka (Donetsk People's Republic), and Staraya Zburyevka (Kherson Region).
Comment: Sustained comparative reduced OP tempo over last 72hrs. Equivalent to average effort over Jan/Feb period. Current 72hr RF main effort concentrated & focused. Adviika double envelopment continues to develop.
Apparent AFU Air Defense Systems are now marginal/ineffective to non-extant, operationally & tactically on the battlefield & throughout Theater, other than limited Strategic, politically sensitive, Urban city centers.
Highly probable AFU no longer has adequate manpower, combat effective reserves, combat power & logistics train sufficient to successfully relieve Bahkmut or Adviika or forestall Adviika's envelopment, let alone succeed against numerically & combat power superior forces in prepared entrenched fortified multiple defensive lines, in depth, with RF mass uncommitted reserves forward deployed re a notional 'counter-offensive' re Zaporische region.
Exhaustion of remaining reserves & materiel in a failed 'counter-offensive' likely to trigger AFU structural/organizational collapse as a consequent result therefore through inability to continue to sustain & effectively resist, hold the Line, along the length of the FEBA.
Previous summary comments applicable, unchanged,
here.
Note: An Army does not ultimately maintain & retain urban defense fortifications by relentlessly reinforcing forces inside an envelopment. It actually defends said works by deploying sufficient capable maneuver combat power to support & hold the flanks to prevent envelopment & where necessary counter-attacks to retrieve them to ensure security of MSRs.
AFU repeatedly demonstrates it lacks both the capacity & capability to do so.