Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

TxGal

Day by day

NASA-Global-Surface-Temps-1987-1880-1950-0.5C-768x514-2-e1601896342350.jpg


A HISTORY OF CLIMATE FRAUD (I)
OCTOBER 5, 2020 CAP ALLON

Much of the below analysis is courtesy of Kenneth Richard.

The combined Hadley Centre and Climatic Research Unit (HadCRUT) data set –which is featured in IPCC reports– underwent a revision from version 3 to version 4 in March of 2012, about a year before the next IPCC report was due.

At the time (early 2012), the HadCRUT3 was showing a slight global cooling trend between 1998 and 2012, visible in the graph below which uses HadCRUT3 and HadCRUT4 raw data. In conjunction with changing versions, the slight cooling trend had conveniently changed to a slight warming trend:


Source: WoodForTrees.

As recently as 1990, it was widely accepted that the global temperature trend showed a “0.5°C rise between 1880 and 1950”, as reported by NASA (Hansen and Lebedeff, 1987). This rise (as well as the 0.6C rise between 1880 and 1940) can clearly be seen in the NASA GISS graph from 1987:



Today, it is no longer acceptable for NASA to depict such a strong warming trend between 1880 and 1950 because CO2 emissions during that period were flat/negligible compared to today’s.

NASA needed to minimize this inconvenient 0.5C non-anthropogenic warming trend, and, in typically brazen fashion, they simply made a new graph which all-but eradicated it (to just 0.05C):

NASA-Global-Surface-Temps-1987-1880-1950-0.5C-768x514-1.jpg

NASA GISS

This is a warping of the data to support an agenda.

This is fraud.

Cooling the past exaggerates the modern warming trend.

But issues for NASA remain: proving more difficult is ‘adjusting’ the pesky cooling trend from 1945 to 1980–while atmospheric CO2 levels were rising exponentially. Perhaps there are too many modern data sets and proxy records to tamper with? Or maybe that was an added benefit to minimizing the 1880-1950 trend–the ’45 to ’80 cooling doesn’t appear anywhere near as pronounced as it actually was.

What’s more, after removing instrumental ‘adjustments’ and urban bias, global temperatures appear to closely follow solar activity:



I’m sick of the lies — lies made a thousands times worse by the climatic reality that is actually fast-barreling towards us: the COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and so the climate overall.





Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

lake-baikal-frozen-e1601890796278.jpg


WINTER ARRIVES EARLY IN SOUTHERN SIBERIA
OCTOBER 5, 2020 CAP ALLON

Northern Siberia has been tracking anomalously warm of late, while the south has been unusually cold — a setup serving as yet another example of the meridional (wavy) jet stream flow brought about by the historically low solar activity we’re currently receiving.

On Sept 15, 2020 NOAA and NASA announced that the new Solar Cycle 25 has begun. Since then, the sun has been blank almost 90% of the time, writes Dr. Tony Phillips of spaceweather.com. Our star has been devoid of sunspots for 199 day in 2020, or 71% of the time. This sustained lack of spots shows that Solar Minimum of SC24 is not over; that SC25 is still too weak to break its icy grip.


Blank sun.

During the final days of September, temperatures in southern Siberia took a sharp turn for the colder. The average daily temperature in the Novosibirsk region, in Altai, and in the southern regions of the Krasnoyarsk Territory held as much as 4 degrees Celsius below the seasonal norms, reports hmn.ru.

The cold has persisted into the first week of October, too. And on Oct 2, even a rare dusting of early-season snow was reported in central and southern Krasnoyarsk. In addition: “an early appearance of snow cover up to 1 cm high was also recorded in Khakassia and Tyva,” reads the hmn.ru article.

To the north, air temperatures are exceeding the norm by 2-4C — but it’s worth noting, October readings of -4C instead of the “1981-2010 norm” of -6C aren’t making a tremendous difference to the local environment: the ground is still freezing, the snow is still falling etc. etc.. What is concerning though is the anomalous COLD currently invading the south: thermometers here are now hitting -2C instead of their “1981-2010 norm” of +2C, and this, obviously, changes the dynamics of the region’s climate. This is what I mean by the mid-latitudes are refreezing: the far-northern latitudes, while warming slightly, will always remain inhospitable for 90% of life on planet earth, but what should concern us is the “southward spread” of the polar cold (northward spread in the SH) — this is the worry.

Look at the GFS temperature anomaly forecast (shown below), and note the anomalous “blob” of warmth over the Arctic (that mass of reds and pink center-bottom). Realize that all this “missing” polar cold hasn’t magically up and vanished, rather that it has instead been carried south (center-top) by a meridional jet stream flow: the blues and purples (signifying anomalous cold) have gripped southern Siberia, Mongolia, Kazakhstan (all the ‘stans, in fact), as well as northern China.


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies. Arctic is center-bottom with Russia located “above”.

Now let’s look at the actual forecast temperatures (shown below in degrees Celsius) for the same period. After removing the anomaly readings, that Arctic “warmth” no longer looks quite so, well, warm:



Temperatures nearing -30C are gripping large parts of the Arctic, including much of Greenland. Needless to say, glacier and sea ice still remains/builds at these temps, a rise of 6C-8C-10C above average at the poles at this time of year has little to no impact on the local climate. What it does do, however, is impact other climates as all that “missing polar cold” turns up further south where a sustained drop of as little as 2C can shorten the mid-latitude growing seasons by delivering unrelenting bursts of out-of-season cold and snow.

As a further example, by mid-October the United States can expect its sixth! intense Arctic blast of the season:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for Oct 17 [tropicaltidbits.com].


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) by mid-Oct [tropicaltidbits.com].

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Finally divulged – Central Greenland now holds the record for extreme cold in entire Northern Hemisphere
October 5, 2020 by Robert

Uncovered after 30 years.

23 Sep 2020 – Thanks to the keen eyes of a weather records researcher, we now know – quite belatedly – that a weather station near the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet measured a temperature of -69.6°C (-93.3°F) on December 22, 1991.

Klinck-Lowest_NH_Temp_on_record-WMO-NASA.jpg

Klinck, located at 72°18’N and 40°28’W, at an altitude of 3,105 m, is the new record holder for coldest temperature in the Northern Hemisphere. Credit: WMO (background image provided by NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio)

This easily bests the previous record of -67.8°C (-90.0°F), set in Russia at Verkhoyansk in February 1892 and again in Oymyakon in January 1933.

This new record, set at an automated weather station named Klinck, was confirmed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on Wednesday.

“The coldest recorded temperature in the world still stands at -89.2°C (-128.6°F), set on July 21, 1983, at the Vostok weather station in Antarctica,” according to this article by Scott Sutherland.

Uncovered after 30 years, Greenland temperature sets new record for extreme cold
 

Faroe

Un-spun
-90F...Burrr!!!
I wonder if this (well, next) year will break that 1983 Antarctic record of -128F.
Purchased two heavy wool blankets off eBay this month. They weren't cheap, but cost much less than new. Both are "vintage," and heavier than I've seen in new merchandise. Also got a new pair $12 dollar quilted army liner pants. Very comfy and roomy under nylon wind pants (will do fine, as long as there is no fire). Wool socks are on the way too.

Been busy everyday cleaning and tossing old junk so things stay organized.
I feel like a squirrel.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project as a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3l7jWqCJa0o


Hurricane Delta Breaks Record For The Earliest 25th Named Storm - Forecast To Slam Gulf Coast Friday
2,070 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

Run time is 14:50

Synopsis provided:

Delta rapidly strengthens to hurricane, threatening Gulf Coast Friday https://cnn.it/2SvcAcd
Hurricane Delta breaks record for earliest 25th named storm https://bit.ly/30zwE1K
Hurricane Delta Track, Spaghetti Models https://bit.ly/3iyMzmU
HURRICANE DELTA https://bit.ly/3gQrnZJ Windy Model https://bit.ly/3nfVEop
Key Message For Hurricane Delta https://bit.ly/3gQrnZJ
 

TxGal

Day by day

Levi-Finland-e1601981438387.jpg


ANOTHER EARLY ARCTIC BLAST ON TRACK TO BATTER EUROPE
OCTOBER 6, 2020 CAP ALLON

Latest GFS runs reveal yet another powerful Arctic blast is set to wallop the majority of the European continent starting this weekend.

Nations of western Europe have already been copping the cold over the past week+, but the winter-like conditions are expected to spread east starting Saturday, Oct 12 delivering temperatures as much as 14C below the norm:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for Mon, Oct 12 (also note the thermal contrast to the east, see: meridional jet stream).


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for Tue, Oct 13 [tropicaltidbits.com].

This impressive mass of Arctic cold will also bring unsettled conditions.

Wet and wintry conditions are forecast to blast Britain, with flood alerts already issued in Wales and Devon, among other regions. In addition, early-snowfall is expected in central Scotland, with the potential for it to be quite substantial. Heavy snow will also fall over the Alps and across western Scandinavia, adding to the record-setting totals already registered this season. The Pyrenees and other regions of northern Spain will also see additional accumulations:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) for Oct 7 to Oct 17 [tropicaltidbits.com].

LAPLAND SEES RECORD EARLY SKI SEASON OPENING

Furthermore, the Levi ski resort –located in Finnish Lapland– opened its slopes this weekend, almost two months ahead of schedule.

View: https://twitter.com/OlaviMauri/status/1312033096364175361


After an early close in March due to COVID, forward thinking operation managers didn’t let the left-over snow go to waste. Instead, the pristine powder was collected into huge piles and then covered by a 3 layer, vapor resistant, special protection foam.

Despite catastrophic global warming, the snow managed to survive the summer months and last week snow groomers began the arduous task of shoveling the mountainous piles back out onto the slopes.

View: https://twitter.com/JamsenAntti/status/1311305312784322561


Thanks to all involved, the resort’s ski lifts brought the first visitors to the top of the slope last weekend–almost two full months earlier than normal.

I’m sick of the lies — lies made a thousands times worse by the climatic reality that is actually fast-barreling towards us: the COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and so the climate overall.





Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day


apple-frost-blossom-e1601982742470.jpg


SPRING FREEZE SHORTENS FALL APPLE SEASON FOR INDIANA ORCHARDS: “IT’S THE WORST WE’VE SEEN IN DECADES”
OCTOBER 6, 2020 CAP ALLON

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) — During what would normally be primetime for Midwest apple-picking, orchards around Indiana are running out of apples early this season following a late spring freeze that obliterated much of the state’s crop.

Statewide Arctic blasts in April and May wreaked havoc on budding, flowering apple trees. The sub-freezing cold –which led to severe fruit damage and significant crop loss– impacted a whopping 70% of the apple crop, according to Peter Hirst, a tree fruit specialist at Purdue University.

“It’s the worst we’ve seen in quite some time, in decades in Indiana,” Hirst said. “This is really rare for us to have damage as severe as what we’ve seen this year.”

Damage was widespread across Indiana’s orchards, but growers say cold-related damage in neighboring Michigan — the country’s third-largest apple-producing state — was likely limited to crops in the southwest, with Red Delicious and Jonagold apples affected most.

Spring frosts in New York’s Hudson Valley and parts of Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Michigan are also expected to reduce the bloom on several apple varieties this year.

At Jacobs’ Family Orchard in New Castle, Indiana, more than 90% of the crop was lost at the 35-acre farm, said co-owner Stephanie Jacobs. To make up for the low yields, apples are being outsourced so orchard staff can continue to make cider, caramel apples and other seasonal goods: “Our apple numbers are way lower than normal — we had almost none,” she said. “We prepare for this kind of thing, but we’re really having to improvise right now.”

Tuttle Orchards, in Greenfield, Indiana, saw a similar shortage, with only 5% of the farm’s crop salvageable after the late-season freeze. Apples were picked off the trees by mid-September, leading the orchard to end its pick-your-own-apple season more than a month earlier than usual and shift focus to its pumpkin patch.

In the days after the May 9 freeze, hundreds of apples shriveled up, browned and began falling off trees, said Erin Sterling, co-owner of Anderson Orchard in Mooresville, Indiana, one of the state’s largest at 150 acres: “It was prime time when the freeze hit. We were in bloom, we had lots of little apples that just weren’t hearty and they just weren’t ready for those temperatures. I cried and cried,” she said, “We still lost most of the crop, but we have some, and some is better than none.”

Anderson’s self-picking season usually lasts through late-October, Sterling continued. But fewer apples left many of the trees bare by mid-September.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Michigan's Upper Peninsula sees early snowfall

George Mcintyre
wcrz.com
Mon, 05 Oct 2020 17:53 UTC

snow
Michigan's Upper Peninsula got its first measurable snowfall in the last few days and it is a breathtaking sight.

We'll circle back and ask you just how beautiful you think it is a few months from now, after you've shoveled, slipped on the ice, and navigated snow-covered roads. But for now, it's lovely.

YouTube user Deependra Nath posted the video below of what appears to be wet, heavy snow weighing down branches in the U.P. The video was taken on October 1.

View: https://youtu.be/MROru4nRgpI


View: https://youtu.be/JicxNbEM6bE


View: https://youtu.be/n3z-MKqmM14


It's a bit early for the first measurable snowfall of the season, but as long as it's in the Upper Peninsula I'm fine with that. But what will that mean for us?

The National Weather Service in Marquette County reported six-tenths of an inch of snow Thursday night while Houghton County reportedly saw eight-tenths of an inch, according to Mlive.

Does this seem a little early to you? According to reports citing data from the National Weather Service, the first measurable snowfall in Marquette averages around October 17, but it has happened as early as September 22. So when you're looking at averages, this snow is only about two weeks ahead of schedule.

So enjoy the beauty of Michigan's first snowfall of the season, as long as we can hold off on seeing it in person for at least another month. 2020 has given us so much -- why wouldn't it hit us with an early winter?
http://www.addthis.com/bookmark.php
 

TxGal

Day by day

Australia – Snow falls in Victoria just a day after 37C heatwave
October 6, 2020 by Robert

Both Mt Hotham and Falls Creek in the state’s northeast ranges saw enough snow on Monday for a blanket to settle on the ground as a cold front crossed the state.

On Sunday, Walpeup in the state’s northwest hit a blistering top of 37.1C (98.8F) while Melbourne reached a maximum of 29.5C (85.1F).

Monday’s high temperature in Melbourne was expected to top out at only 14C (57.2F), said weather bureau senior forecaster Michael Efron.

Category: <span> </span> | Herald Sun
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTjo6NkWL94


How Quickly We Forget Our Past : Reality Check (1049)
2,352 views • Oct 7, 2020

Run time is 11:28

Synopsis provided:

Looking back at the beginning of the Maunder Minimum around 1635-1640, the Tulip craze collapsed, food & grain prices spiked in Asia & Europe, land prices declined. Silver vs currency trade also hit a 6X against metals in the same period. What caused the 1650's reset in society? The same event that is here again in 2020, a Grand Solar Minimum.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUyYb7L6P0I


Delta Becomes the Ninth Hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic Season Exploding To Cat 4 - Iceland Watch
1,821 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

Run time is 14:00

Synopsis provided:

Delta intensifies to Category 4 hurricane sets aim on the Gulf Coast https://nbcnews.to/3lfJWrO
Delta Becomes the Ninth Hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic Season; Forecast to Strike Cancún, Then U.S. Gulf Coast https://bit.ly/2SAN1Xn
Delta Upgraded To Category 4 Hurricane, Threatening Gulf Coast https://bit.ly/2F6wver
HURRICANE DELTA https://bit.ly/30DbP5y
Key Message For Hurricane Delta https://bit.ly/3gQrnZJ
Coldest end to September in over 40 years https://bit.ly/30Fuaik
GFS Model Total Snow US https://bit.ly/34zM3Af
Strong earthquake activity in Flatey – Húsavík fault on Tjörnes Fracture Zone https://bit.ly/3jCWlG3
Large landslide far south of Akureyri town https://bit.ly/3lkeI2T
The landslide in Eyjafjörður possibly due to earthquakes https://bit.ly/36CVuRV
There's 14 million metric tons of microplastics sitting on the seafloor, https://cnn.it/30FlHeK
EARTH WAS ROCKED BY A SUPERNOVA THAT POSSIBLY BROUGHT ON THE ICE AGE 2.5 MILLION YEARS AGO https://bit.ly/3lhB991
Three scientists win Nobel Physics Prize for groundbreaking black hole work https://bit.ly/2GptCX3
Mars set to shine brightly tonight, won’t be this close to Earth for another 15 years https://bit.ly/3lm0M8w
 

TxGal

Day by day

jackson-snow-e1602069335310.jpg


JACKSON HOLE, WY: 2019 WAS THE COLDEST YEAR ON RECORD, 2020 SAW THE EARLIEST SNOWFALL ON RECORD — NOTE THE TREND
OCTOBER 7, 2020 CAP ALLON

In what we’re led to believe is a linearly warming world on the brink of catastrophe, Jackson, WY suffered its coldest year ever in 2019 and then in 2020 registered its earliest-ever snowfall (in weather books dating back over a century).

Jackson Hole’s first snow of the 2020 season arrived as a early as August 3 when snow capped the mountains down to just below 8,500 feet.

However, the first flurries to hit the city and the valley floor came during Labor Day evening on September 7. Officially, 1 inch of snow was measured on the ground in town on the morning of Sept. 8, according to a recent Jackson Hole News article, although far more was reported to the north.

Data from Jackson’s Climate Station show that prior to this year, the earliest inch of snow arrived on Sept 17, 1944 (solar minimum of cycle 17).



A strong Arctic front a descended that Monday afternoon and a rapid temperature drop followed (shown below). The mercury at the Jackson Hole Airport plunged from 75F at 3:50 p.m. to 34F at 7:15 p.m. — a 41 degree drop in less than three and a half hours (see Grand Solar Minimum and the Swings Between Extremes for more).



Temperatures for noon-midnight on Monday, Sept 7 at the Jackson Hole Airport.

With La Nina conditions now underway, a snowy remainder of the season is forecast across Wyoming (stay tuned for updates).

2019 WENT DOWN AS JACKSON’S COLDEST YEAR ON RECORD

2020’s record-early snow comes off the back of a historically cold 2019.

Data from NWS Wyoming confirms that Jackson had never seen a colder 12 months than those from Jan to Dec last year — a feat made even more impressive considering 2019 was supposedly “Earth’s second hottest year on record,” according to warm-mongers NOAA. But data can be all-too easily be manipulated and fudged to give almost any conclusion, and the likes of NOAA and NASA have been “adjusting” global temperature datasets for decades:



Real-world observations, such as those at Jackson Hole, stubbornly refuse to backup the AGW agenda, and as a result, folks continue to wake to the ruse.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

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EU’S EARTH OBSERVATION PROGRAM FINDS OZONE HOLE OVER ANTARCTICA IS AMONG THE LARGEST EVER RECORDED
OCTOBER 7, 2020 CAP ALLON

The European Union’s Earth observation program said Tuesday that the ozone hole over Antarctica has swelled to its largest size and deepest level in at least 15 years, to become among the most notable ever recorded.

Clare Nullis of the WMO explains that the ozone hole begins to expand every August –at the start of the Antarctic spring– and reaches a peak around October. “The air has been below minus 78 degrees Celsius, and this is the temperature which you need to form stratospheric clouds — and this is quite a complex process,” said Nullis at a U.N. briefing. “The ice in these clouds triggers a reaction which then can destroy the ozone. So, it’s because of that that we are seeing the big ozone hole this year.”

These findings completely contradict the science behind the international accord (the Montreal Protocol) devised to phase out the use of ozone-depleting substances (OSDs). In addition, they also confirm what NASA has been saying for years: that the upper atmosphere is cooling.

OSDs have been on the decline since their peak in 2000 (shown below), and the “hole” growing –to among the largest ever recorded– a full 20 years later shows the correlation between OSDs and ozone is minor, at best.


Past and predicted levels of controlled gases in the Antarctic atmosphere, quoted as equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC) levels, a measure of their contribution to stratospheric ozone depletion.

The formation of stratospheric ozone is initiated by ultraviolet (UV) radiation coming from the Sun. As a result, an increase in the Sun’s radiation output increases the amount of ozone in Earth’s atmosphere. The Sun’s radiation output and sunspot number vary over the well-documented 11-year solar cycle. Observations over several solar cycles since the 1960s show that global total ozone levels vary by 1 to 2% between the maximum and minimum of a typical cycle. However, ‘global’ total ozone levels aren’t necessarily what we’re interested in here. Evidence suggests that ozone depletion during times of low solar activity is far greater above the poles than elsewhere on the planet, a phenomenon we’re seeing today, at both the Antarctic and Arctic.

This could well be the true cause of Polar Amplification. Climate alarmists, of course, love to claim that CO2 is disproportionately warming the Arctic, but they have no agreed-upon mechanism as to how this could occur. It is fantasy. On the other hand, a positive correlation between decreasing solar activity and ozone depletion above the Arctic fits almost perfectly, as does the negative correlation between ozone depletion and rising surface temps.

There is another important forcing to factor into all this: volcanic eruptions.

Explosive volcanic eruptions inject sulfur gases directly into the stratosphere, causing new sulfate particles to be formed. The particles initially form in the stratosphere downwind of the volcano and then spread throughout the hemisphere or globally as air is transported by stratospheric winds. One method of detecting the presence of volcanic particles in the stratosphere uses observations of the transmission of solar radiation through the atmosphere. When large amounts of new particles are formed in the stratosphere over an extensive region, solar transmission is measurably reduced (as are terrestrial temperatures). The eruptions of Mt. Agung (1963), El Chichón (1982), and Mt. Pinatubo (1991) are the most recent ‘sizable’ examples of sulfur injections that temporarily reduced solar transmission.

Chile’s Calbuco volcanic eruption (2015) is another. This stratospheric injection played a role in enhancing the size of the ozone hole back in 2015.


Average ozone concentrations over the southern hemisphere during October 1-15, 2015, when the Antarctic ozone hole for that year was near its maximum extent. The red line shows the boundary of the ozone hole.

At its maximum size, the 2015 hole was the fourth-largest ever observed. It was in the top 15% in terms of the total amount of ozone destroyed. Only 2006, 1998, 2001 and 1999 had more ozone destruction, whereas other recent years (2013, 2014 and 2016) ranked near the middle of the observed range.

2020’s hole appears even larger that 2015’s, clear indication that factors other than ODSs are key to ozone depletion above the poles — namely, surprise-surprise, solar and volcanic activity.

Unfortunately, the U.N. and its fraudulent little offshoot, the WMO, remains chained to the Montreal Protocol. Clare Nullis says that despite this year’s growing hole, experts still believe the ozone layer is slowly recovering after adoption of the accord in 1987, and she urges nations to stick to the measures, citing climate projections that indicate that the ozone layer will return to 1980 levels in 2060.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMMDAIG0JTY


A Potential Relationship Between Cosmic Rays and Pandemics: from 1700 to COVID-19
1,943 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

Run time is 5:51

Synopsis provided:

This GSM increases the risk of pandemic outbreak (cosmic rays) https://bit.ly/33RzeRc
A potential relationship between cosmic rays and pandemics: from 1700 to COVID-19 https://bit.ly/2SBwvWZ
Pandemic gardening: More than half of Canadians were growing their own food at home this year, study shows https://bit.ly/3iFvCr7
A Historical Epidemic Has Been Making a Scary Comeback Due to a Bacterial 'Clone' https://bit.ly/2Szt7Mb
Is the 2019 novel coronavirus related to a spike of cosmic rays? https://bit.ly/30LLH8B
Electron Flux and Cosmic Ray Anomaly Before H1N1 Outbreak https://bit.ly/3nuOpck
Using the Information of Cosmic Rays to Predict Influenza Epidemic https://bit.ly/3lpQncc
Cosmic Ray Modern Maximum https://bit.ly/3kfM82Y
Fighting Pandemics With Plasma https://bit.ly/30JWMa0
 

TxGal

Day by day

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POWER OUTAGES AND “NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS” IN CANADA’S NUNAVUT SEND RESIDENTS TO EMERGENCY SHELTERS
OCTOBER 8, 2020 CAP ALLON

Forming most of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, the territory of Nunavut has been unusually cold and snowy of late, and a recent power outage rendered the region dangerous and inhospitable.

The hamlet of Sanirajak declared a state of emergency on Tuesday after a power outage –which started earlier in the day– continued to affect the community of 900 into the evening, as both temperatures and heavy, blowing snow began to fall.

As reported by nunatsiaq.com, the Qulliq Energy Corp. (QEC) quickly had its crews on site investigating a power outage. By 2 p.m. Wednesday the QEC said in a statement that “crews have identified a broken power pole and require an emergency power outage for public safety. Repairs will be made to the distribution system once additional crews arrive by charter when weather conditions improve.”

According to Environment Canada, the weather in Sanirajak was not favorable on Wednesday as “near-blizzard conditions continued, and a winter storm warming was in effect … the forecast called for periods of snow and blowing snow and winds gusting to 90 km/hr.”

The water plant and Northern store were affected by the power outage, as was the airport. That led to concerns that if power was not restored, a QEC charter plane carrying maintenance and line crews might have trouble landing in the dark.

Sean Issigaitok, a Sanirajak volunteer firefighter and member of the local search and rescue team, advised residents to head to the local gym or community hall to sleep after a special temporary release from the current Nunavut public health order was obtained to allow greater numbers of people to congregate in the emergency shelters.

Issigaitok said snacks and beverages would be available later “when all logistical issues are figured out.”

Thankfully, the snow had letup by Wednesday evening, although the bone-chilling cold remained. Still, conditions eased enough to allow the QEC to restore power to most customers affected by the damaged power pole:

View: https://twitter.com/QulliqEnergy/status/1313990721884614657


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

snow-MT-e1602147003163.jpg


MOUNTAIN STATES FORECAST A FOOT+ OF SNOW THIS WEEKEND BEFORE LOWER-48’S “BIG FREEZE” NEXT WEEK
OCTOBER 8, 2020 CAP ALLON

The Mountain States are set for over a foot of mountaintop snow by Monday morning as the United State braces for its sixth Arctic blast of the season.

Coloradans haven’t received accumulating snow since the record-busting Labor Day storm on Sept 8. But all that’s about to change this weekend as a low solar activity induced meridional jet stream flow delivers Arctic-like conditions to parts of the lower 48.

Starting in the northwest this Sunday, polar cold will gradually sink south and east as the week progresses, and by next weekend should have engulfed more than two-thirds of the CONUS. Temperature departures some 16C below the seasonal average could be suffered, particularly in the south.

Much of central and eastern Canada should also brace for an unusual chill.

gfs_T2ma_namer_44-crop.jpg

NORTH AMERICA: GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for Sun, Oct 18 — “by next weekend should have engulfed more than two-thirds of the CONUS” [tropicaltidbits.com].

gfs_T2ma_us_44.png

CONUS: GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for Sun, Oct 18 — [tropicaltidbits.com].

As hinted, heavy snow will accompany the cold.

The NWS is forecasting “a few inches of snow in the high country” of Colorado by Monday. But according to Joel Gratz of OpenSnow, weather models vary widely, and up to 12 inches is certainly possible in the mountains, he says.

Latest GFS runs appear to confirm a wintry next 10-or-so days.

By the morning of Monday, Oct 12 more than a foot of snow is forecast to have accumulated over the Mountain States, with another foot+ expected by the end of Wednesday, Oct 14:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 8 to Oct 24 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Coloradans, Montanans, Idahoans, Wyomingites, and Washingtonians are all set for impressive early season snow totals as the Arctic once again descends unusually far south. And looking above the border, British Columbians are also forecast some truly incredible October totals as the month progresses.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Snowy howl: Power outage in stormy Nunavut, Canada community sends many to emergency shelters

Nunatsiaq News
Wed, 07 Oct 2020 18:50 UTC

Qulliq Energy Corp. crews are now in Sanirajak to restore full power to the community of about 900. Power went out in Sanirajak early on Tuesday morning.
© Google Maps
Qulliq Energy Corp. crews are now in Sanirajak to restore full power to the community of about 900. Power went out in Sanirajak early on Tuesday morning.

A power outage, which started early on Tuesday, Oct. 6, continues to affect some households in the Nunavut community of Sanirajak.

The Qulliq Energy Corp. said this morning that its crews were on site investigating a power outage in part of the community, which recently changed its name from Hall Beach.

At 2 p.m. the QEC said in an online update that "crews have identified a broken power pole and require an emergency power outage for public safety."

"Repairs will be made to the distribution system once additional crews arrive by charter when weather conditions improve."

The hamlet declared a state of emergency for the community of about 900 during the early evening of Tuesday after the power outage had lasted throughout the day, leaving many in the dark.

QEC said late on Tuesday night in an online update that it hoped to have power restored on Wednesday for all residents.

By about 10 p.m. on Tuesday, the power corporation said it had restored power to most customers.

Meanwhile, the Environment Canada weather forecast for Sanirajak on Wednesday is not promising. Near-blizzard conditions continue, and a winter storm warming is now in effect: the forecast calls for periods of snow and blowing snow and winds gusting to 90 km/hr.

Sean Issigaitok, a Sanirajak volunteer firefighter and member of the local search and rescue team, advised residents yesterday evening to head to the local gym or community hall to sleep.

Snacks and beverages would be available later "when all logistical issues are figured out," he said on Facebook.

Issigaitok said that, for safety reasons, naphtha for stoves could not be provided to those staying home as it would produce carbon monoxide in their homes.

A special temporary release from the current Nunavut public health order was obtained to allow greater numbers of people to congregate in the emergency shelters.

The water plant and Northern store were affected by the power outage, as was the airport. That led to concerns that if power was not restored, a QEC charter plane carrying maintenance and line crews might have trouble landing in the dark.
 

TxGal

Day by day

SOTT Earth Changes Summary - September 2020: Extreme Weather, Planetary Upheaval, Meteor Fireballs

Sott.net
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 05:25 UTC

secssep20

Extended winter, widespread floods, raging wildfires, damaged crops, zombie tropical storms and record hurricane downfalls for September.

Excessive monsoon rains continued breaking records, affecting millions of people across South and East Asia. September used to bring clear weather with less chance of rain and more pleasant temperatures... but we are seeing quite the opposite: heavy floods, cold and unseasonable snow.

Subtropical storm Alpha, which barreled along the Portuguese coast and through some parts of Spain, was the first event of its kind to be registered since weather records began. Entire beaches were consumed by rapid rises in sea levels, coastal areas got heavy floods and winds of up to 100km/h were registered in some inland locations.

Over 100 were rescued and 500,000 residents were left without power as Hurricane Sally brought down power lines in parts of Florida and Alabama. Insurance companies have put the costs of damage in the Gulf Coast region between $1 billion and $3 billion. And while the Gulf Coast was still recovering from Sally, tropical storm Beta caused flash flooding in the coasts of Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.

If hurricane Delta had hit the US Gulf Coast, this hurricane season would break the record for the most land falling named systems in the US in a single year, surpassing the historic 2005 season, which had seven.

In Asia, tropical Storm Noul caused widespread damage in Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia and Thailand, thousands were displaced and at least 10 died.

And Istanbul, Turkey got a destructive combo this month with severe hailstorm, heavy rains, a waterspout and flash floods.

Winter is becoming the 'new normal'. Autumn in the Northern hemisphere and Spring in the southern are giving way to colder temperatures and unseasonable snow.

September has left fresh snow in the Dolomites, Pyrenees and up in Scandinavia; early snow in Russia, and China, as well as in the US and Canada. And late snowfalls in Australia and New Zealand. Snow has been falling in areas where it's not usually seen.

Many counties around the world reported massive crop losses from floods, hail, snow and even volcano ashes this month. Governments are paying too much attention to an imaginary enemy not seeing the elephant wreaking havoc in the room.

Beached whales and dolphins, as well as mass dead birds continue to increase, something that could point out to a magnetic pole shift and waning magnetosphere, another consequence of the solar minimum.

All this and more in our SOTT Earth Changes Summary for September 2020:

View: https://youtu.be/-n78T05jjAg

Run time is 24:40
 

Cardinal

Chickministrator
_______________

Climate researcher Michael Mann said last week that if President Donald Trump is reelected, it’s “game over for the climate.” It’s the same alarmism we’ve been hearing for decades, all of it empty. But the alarmists won’t stop telling us we’re about to set the sky on fire. Even if NASA has said record cold might be on the way.

The sun, it seems, has been powering down.
“We see a cooling trend,” Martin Mlynczak of NASA’s Langley Research Center said two years ago, a remark largely ignored but still relevant. “High above Earth’s surface, near the edge of space, our atmosphere is losing heat energy. If current trends continue, it could soon set a Space Age record for cold.”
Like the humans it keeps alive, our star goes through phases, usually about 11 years, over the course of its life. Right now we’re in what NASA calls solar cycle 25, emerging last December from a solar minimum that fell between solar cycles 24 and 25.

“It is important to remember solar activity never stops; it changes form as the pendulum swings,” says Lika Guhathakurta, solar scientist at NASA’s Heliophysics Division.
But climate alarmism continues to grow exponentially. It’s more shrill today than it’s ever been.

For the record, global temperatures dropped from 2016 through late 2019. We don’t know about any unprecedented cooling in the last two years. But maybe the climatistas need to consider that solar activity affects our climate. The Little Ice Age, in which Europe and North America experienced brutally cold winters and mild summers, coincided with the Maunder (solar) Minimum of 1645 to 1720. They don’t want to deny science, do they?

A couple of months ago science told us “the sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.”

“This global cooling during the upcoming grand solar minimum 1 (2020–2053),” says Valentina Zharkova, “can offset for three decades any signs of global warming and would require inter-government efforts to tackle problems with heat and food supplies for the whole population of the Earth.”

And who is Valentina Zharkova? A math professor at Northumbria University in Newcastle upon Tyne. She has degrees in mathematics and astronomy, and a doctorate in astrophysics. She’s clearly a published scientist employed by an English university whose tech roots go back to the 19th century. Shouldn’t we trust her science?

Or are we to trust only the science that says man’s CO2 emissions are overheating Earth? These are the researchers who are worshipped by the press and politicians eager to shut down our economy and rob our liberty to “fight” global warming with far more prohibitive limits than we’ve endured during the pandemic lockdown.

Before deciding if Zharkova is an outlier, or just maybe a crackpot, consider that she was one of only two scientists’ models out of 150 “to correctly predict solar cycle 24 would be weaker than cycle 23,” reports Electroverse, which also says “Zharkova’s models have run at a 97% accuracy.”

So whose science do we believe? The scientists with a political agenda who have for more than 30 years predicted that a global disaster due to human greenhouse gas emissions is imminent, yet have been wrong, wrong, and wrong again? Or the skeptics without whom real science can never progress?
Until events show the agenda-driven researchers are absolutely right, we’ll favor the latter.
 

TxGal

Day by day


cold-north-america-e1602239840485.gif


WHY IS NORTH AMERICA IMMUNE TO GLOBAL WARMING?
OCTOBER 9, 2020 CAP ALLON

I’m not trying to be facetious here, but I don’t know what other stance climate alarmists can take. Every data point –even those from warm-mongers NOAA– reveals that the North American continent is cooling.

Taking NOAA’s data as read, with its Urban Heat Island (UHI) bias, it still reveals a sharp cooling trend across the U.S. and Canada from 2015 through 2019. A trend that has continued into 2020 with the majority of regions suffering a late start to summer, and, now, an early beginning to winter.

North America is currently bracing for its sixth or seventh (I’ve genuinely lost count) Arctic blast of the season. By next Monday (Oct 19) an enormous mass of polar cold will have engulfed 90+% of the continent:


Note that the “Arctic cold” has descend south, leaving the polar region anomalously warm — a phenomenon expected during low solar activity and explained further HERE.

Using the same data tool NOAA cites in its latest report (released Jan, 2020) as well as the same 5-year time-frame, it is revealed that temperatures in North America declined at a rate of 2.03C per decade between 2015-2019.

This is a monster drop in temps, one 29 times Earth’s official average rate of increase since 1880 according to the NOAA report: “The global annual temperature has increased at an avg. rate of 0.07C (0.13F) per decade since 1880.”


North America, 2.03C/Decade decline (2015-2019).

But why does the data show North America is cooling while the planet as a whole is purportedly burning to a crisp?

Well, one answer could be that weather station coverage is very good across the U.S. and Canada, and the likes of NOAA, despite what they tell you, have very poor surface thermometer coverage for much of the rest of the planet.

Where coverage is thin (such as in Africa and Siberia, for example), NOAA will simply guess the temperature. This filling in the gaps will be justified by saying that readings from the closest temperature stations have been used as proxy, but 1) this method will not give an accurate global temperature record as the closest temp station could be hundreds or even thousands of miles away, and 2) these stations will more often than not be located in cosmopolitan areas — such areas have a proven Urban Heat Island bias and so will of course skew the overall picture. When natural vegetation is replaced with buildings, pavement, and spurious heat sources like air conditioning units and cars, the microclimate around a thermometer site changes. This expansion of inner-city readings to cover entire nations is probably, now, the sole driver of anthropogenic global warming.

With this guesswork, NOAA –in partnership with a few small fractions of other organizations (such as NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies)– have managed to craft a wholly unnaturally linear temperature trend that is supposedly on course to deliver an “unprecedented climatic catastrophe” within the next few months/years/decades –nobody can quite agree on the time-frame– but one thing you can be sure on, we’re all about to fry so we best overthrow democracy and so capitalism, and while we’re at it ban all life-giving/saving fossil fuels, too.


Also, no one can explain the cooling from 1940 to 1980-or-so, when atmospheric CO2 leves were supposedly rising exponetially.

In conclusion, North America having a good thermometer coverage could actually be limiting NOAA’s “guesswork”, and so the continent’s cooling trend could actually be providing us a picture far closer to the truth (I have no other explanation). However, the Urban Heat Island effect is still on show here, too.

For example, and as pointed out by Dr. Roy Spencer, in 2019 Miami International Airport set a new high temperature record of 98F for the month of May. The thermometer in question is at the west end of the south runway at the airport, at the center of the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale metroplex:


GFS surface temperature analysis for around midnight, 28 May 2019.

The truth is out there, for those willing to search it out.

And despite the fudging, the mercury ACROSS THE PLANET has also been officially been falling since 2015, at a rate of 0.13C per decade — slower than North America, but still at almost twice the official rate of increase since 1880:


Global, 0.13C/Decade decline (2015-2019).

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Rare weather phenomenon 'St. Elmo's Fire' captured near equator

Muhammad Osman
Sputnik International
Wed, 07 Oct 2020 20:33 UTC

St Elmo's fire
Dramatic video as plane is caught in 'St Elmo's fire'

The rare weather phenomenon, which looks very similar to lightning, was said to have been captured by a military plane from the 99th Squadron of the UK Royal Air Force during a nighttime flight through the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) near the equator.

The UK Royal Air Force's Number 99 Squadron released on Monday footage of a rare weather phenomenon, known as "St. Elmo's Fire", captured by the aircrew of a Boeing C-17 Globemaster III near the equator.

The Number 99 Squadron tweeted that the incident took place while the C-17 was passing through the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).

View: https://twitter.com/99Sqn/status/1313142749735063553


St. Elmo's Fire, named after St. Erasmus of Formia, is not lightning, but looks similar. The rare phenomenon, also known as a corona discharge, appears within a strong electric field in the atmosphere and is often accompanied by a "cracking or hissing noise", according to the Encyclopedia Britannica.

St. Elmo's Fire is "commonly observed on the periphery of propellers and along the wingtips, windshield and nose of aircraft flying in dry snow, in ice crystals or near thunderstorms," according to the text of the encyclopedia.

Comment: This rare weather phenomenon was also captured above the North Atlantic in February this year.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Wheat Prices Skyrocket After Dry Weather Coronavirus Lockdowns
Record summer heat, Russian export quotas sent wheat futures to five-year high, exacerbating global food insecurity brought on by pandemic

im-242279

Combines harvest wheat in Russia. A dry summer has hit wheat-growing areas around the world.
Photo: alexey malgavko / Reuters

By Kirk Maltais and Will Horner
Wall Street Journal
October. 9, 2020 9:23 am ET

Wheat prices have hit their highest level in over five years in reaction to scorching weather, concerns over food insecurity brought on by the coronavirus pandemic and the lockdowns put in place to fight it.

Extreme dryness and heat in the world’s breadbaskets, including Russia and the U.S., are key factors in the price surge. The virus has driven strong demand for basic foodstuffs, posed logistical challenges to harvests and snarled supply chains.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee on Friday awarded the 2020 Nobel Peace Prize to the United Nations World Food Program, noting the pandemic’s impact on food insecurity and the body’s work to alleviate it.

The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization said Thursday that its Food Price Index, which tracks prices of a basket of the most common foodstuffs, rose to a seven-month high. Global cereal prices in particular were climbing, hitting their highest level in over two years, the organization said.

Getting a Lift

The Chicago wheat contract has risen over 15% since August due to dry weather in wheat-growing areas.


1602300317844.png

The most-active futures contract for wheat trading on the Chicago Board of Trade closed Wednesday at just over $6.07 a bushel, the highest close for wheat since June 2015. Wheat futures have risen over 15% since August 1, attracting investors who think the price surge could continue.

Prices outside the U.S. have also risen sharply. Wheat prices from major producers in the Black Sea region, including Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, hit $246.25 a metric ton this week, the highest level since early 2019. Paris-traded European wheat futures closed at 199 euros a metric ton Thursday, equivalent to $234 a metric ton, an increase of 9.5% since August.

Dry weather this year has hit wheat-growing areas around the world, including the U.S., Ukraine and Russia. The three months from June through August constituted the hottest summer ever recorded for the entire Northern Hemisphere, surpassing 2019 and 2016, which were previously tied for that record, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Russian Dominance

Russia has overtaken the U.S. as the world's largest exporter of wheat.

1602300406536.png

Meanwhile, areas of all three countries experienced below-average precipitation over the summer months, including areas of record dryness in the U.S., according to NOAA data.

“The window to get [winter] wheat crops germinated and established before dormancy is narrowing quickly,” said Chicago-based RJO Futures in a note Thursday. “A continued lack of rain over the next few weeks could significantly hurt development.”


In response to the challenging weather, the Russian Ministry of Agriculture said this week that it was planning to introduce a new quota on its wheat exports beginning January 2021 to safeguard supplies for its citizens. As the world’s largest wheat exporter, a quota raises concerns of tight global supplies just as demand around the world is strong, said Casper Burgering, senior commodities economist at Dutch bank ABN Amro.

Russia first introduced its quota earlier this year as the pandemic drove strong demand for wheat, with consumers and countries alike seeking to stockpile the staple foodstuff. With concerns that Europe and the U.S. could be seeing a second wave of infections, expectations are growing that Russia would reintroduce its export quota, said Mr. Burgering.

Russia is expected to export 37.5 million metric tons of wheat this year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s most recent forecast, which was made before the quota news. By contrast, the U.S. is expected to consume 30.2 million tons of wheat this year.

Losing Ground

The Russian ruble has grown progressively weaker versus the U.S. dollar, making Russian wheat exports m ore attractive to world export buyers

1602300481986.png

The weakness of the Russian ruble against the dollar has added to concerns that an export quota would be reintroduced. While the weak local currency would encourage farmers to export wheat to take advantage of higher prices in dollars, it could also hasten the return of a quota as Moscow looks to secure sufficient domestic supplies. The ruble hit 79.10 against the dollar last week, its weakest level since March.

Egypt, the world’s largest wheat importer, has embarked on a wheat buying spree, holding nearly weekly tenders as it seeks to fill stockpiles for basic foodstuffs. China, despite being a large producer of wheat, has also upped its wheat imports this year.

Egypt and other wheat importers’ scramble for imports has “lent a lot of support to Russian prices,” said William Rutherford-Roberts, an agricultural and softs market analyst at brokerage StoneX Group Inc. The unfavorable weather conditions have been present for some time, but prices have moved sharply higher in recent days, suggesting speculative investors were contributing to fueling the rally, said Mr. Rutherford-Roberts.

“It is safe to say that there is speculative buying here. There is a perception that funds are coming in and helping drive this rally. I don’t think the commercial community could push prices up like this on its own,” he said.

On the Chicago Board of Trade, managed money investors hold a net long position of 28,089 contracts on U.S. wheat futures, according to the most recent data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That is up from a net short position of 19,760 contracts held by these firms at the same time last month.

One wild card is the arrival of Hurricane Delta, which is expected to make landfall in southern Louisiana on Friday. The storm could provide a surge in rainfall next week, though prices could still rise if the rainfall doesn’t become a continuing trend.

“There’s no shortage of wheat now, but what happens in the winter and next year?” said Dan Basse, president of Chicago-based AgResource Co.


Write to Kirk Maltais at Kirk.Maltais@wsj.com and Will Horner at William.Horner@wsj.com

Appeared in the October 10, 2020, print edition as 'Wheat Prices Skyrocket in Dry Weather.'

 
Last edited:

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ARfpUH8bec


STRONG STORM BRINGING PLUMMETING TEMPS TO WYOMING AND IDAHO - SNOW IS THE NEW NORMAL - BAAA
2,672 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

Run time is 6:27

Synopsis provided:

STRONG STORM BRINGING PLUMMETING TEMPS TO WYOMING, SEVERAL INCHES OF MOUNTAIN SNOW https://bit.ly/33RzeRc
Rain and snow expected in parts of eastern Idaho this weekend https://bit.ly/2GBYUKm
Record-breaking snow hit Spokane one year ago Friday https://bit.ly/2GLESge
Snow could fall on local mountain passes this weekend https://bit.ly/3ddkv7w
GFS Model Total Snow US https://bit.ly/3iJ1JpL GFS Model Total Snow Europe https://bit.ly/3jPEHPi
Planetary K-Index http://bit.ly/2keiUaE
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
 

TxGal

Day by day

Something new in the realm of sprites

Spaceweather.com
Sat, 10 Oct 2020 02:48 UTC

Sprite-Halo with Feet
© Frankie Lucena
Sprite-Halo with Feet and a Red Sprite on September 28, 2020 @ Cabo Rojo, Puerto Rico

Frankie Lucena of Puerto Rica has made a discovery. Some jellyfish have feet. Jellyfish sprites, that is. "On Sept. 28th, I photographed an outburst of upward directed lightning over the Caribbean," he says. "Their jellyfish forms included something unusual. I call them 'feet.'" Note the bright endpoints at the bottom of the sprite's dangling tendrils.

"This feature in a sprite event hasn't been documented yet," says Lucena, who has spent years documenting sprites and gigantic jets above electrical storms near Puerto Rico. "After checking my database I was only able to find three others that have this feature, so I compiled all four into a single image. My best guess is that the electrons were only able to propagate downward to a certain point and they accumulated there, causing the tips of the tendrils to brighten."

Sprite feet
© Frankie Lucena
Jellyfish with feet: Another reason to keep an eye on the tops of thunderstorms.

Comment: With the surge in sightings of red sprites in recent years (which are still considered 'rare' by some) it seems the electrical nature of our weather and changing atmosphere is becoming more apparent:
 

TxGal

Day by day
Despite some politics in the article, this is important in terms of weather and crop effects:


Soybean Prices Hit Multi-Year High On Increased Exports And Weather Woes

by Tyler Durden
Sat, 10/10/2020 - 07:35

CBoT Soybean futures soared to multi-year highs this week after export sales data, weather woes that threaten production, and technical buying.



Reuters, citing a U.S. Department of Agriculture report, said soybean export sales "remain robust" as Mexico and China continue to book large purchases.
The USDA, in a daily export sales announcement, said private importers sold 374,000 tonnes of the oilseed to China, 152,404 tonnes to Mexico and 132,000 tonnes to undisclosed destinations. The combined deals made for USDA's largest daily soybean export sales announcement since Sept. 8, agency data showed.
The daily sales announcement came as the USDA also released export data showing net sales of 2.591 million tonnes last week, the fifth straight week in which sales have topped 2 million tonnes. More than 1.5 million tonnes of last week's sales were to China. - Reuters
Traders indicated rising U.S. soybean exports are due to dry weather conditions in Brazil, the world's top soybean exporter, and the number one supplier to China, which has forced a delay in planting. The delay will likely increase demand for U.S. beans in 1Q21 when Brazilian bean shipments usually begin to displace U.S. exports.

But with U.S. exporters only booking 21.5 million tons of soybeans to China for the first nine months of 2020, about 2 million tons less than the same period in 2017, the probability, overall, that Beijing would fulfill its agriculture pledge under the Phase 1 trade deal remained low.



As of August, China imported just $10.71 billion worth of U.S. farm products, which means they must purchase another $25.89 billion worth of U.S. farm goods by the end of 2020 to fulfill the deal.

A summary of China's monthly purchases (as of August) of U.S. goods covered by the trade deal, derived from Chinese customs (China's imports) and the U.S. Census Bureau (U.S. exports) data, presented by Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), shows China is severely behind in purchases of not just U.S. farm goods, but also nearly every covered good under the trade agreement.



Rising soybean prices and increasing exports are great, though President Trump's "greatest ever" trade deal has no enforcement mechanism that works, which makes you wonder if the whole trade deal was just for show ahead of the presidential elections.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdE9MsSoo4A


Interlaced Reset Loop : 2021 Food Prices (1050)
14,824 views • Premiered 15 hours ago

Run time is 10:17

Synopsis provided:

We are beginning to see the interlacing of Grand Soar Minimum intensification reducing the length of growing seasons, leading to higher food prices where people cannot afford to eat after all of the business closures across continents. This is pushing the need for food banks, but China experienced the worst crop wipe out in the last 200 year and are actively buying grain and commodity crops across the planet, driving up prices further. This in turn adds 10% to food prices where more people can't afford food, sending them to food banks. Record waterspout count in the Great Lakes as South America enters a drought further reducing global grain totals. The spiral is in play.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iczXyxy_kEM


Hurricane Delta Hits Louisiana, Power Outage For 700,00+ - Epic Snow Forecast For The US - GSM Much?
2,286 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

Run time is 24:51

Synopsis provided:

"Exceptional drought" grows 533% in single week in Colorado https://bit.ly/3lLYf87
Four states brace for possible tornadoes after Hurricane Delta struck Louisiana Friday evening wiping out power to 700,000 homes across Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi as Gov. Bel Edwards warns residents to 'stay vigilant' http://dailym.ai/34Nlfwf
Governor Edwards Surveys The Damage From Delta https://bit.ly/3iIgut2
Power Outage Us - https://poweroutage.us/
National Hurricane Data https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
GFS Model Total Snow https://bit.ly/3lDQMI5
Continued Flooding Threats with Delta; Damaging Winds Possible in the Northeast https://www.weather.gov/
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
WHY IS NORTH AMERICA IMMUNE TO GLOBAL WARMING? https://bit.ly/3jRfIv3
Al Gore Warns If Trump Wins, Earth Has Two Years Left https://bit.ly/2SHqPuL
Missing in Mexico: Thousands disappear, leaving family members grasping for answers https://bit.ly/34O6ycz
The 8 Best Face Masks for Hiking https://bit.ly/2IdgEMh
Sweden Covid-19 Deaths Data https://bit.ly/2SGNPtT
Geologists Solve Long-Standing Puzzle That Could Pinpoint Valuable Rare Earth Element Deposits https://bit.ly/3k2gXI9
Electric and Magnetic Field Treatments Lower Mouse Blood Sugar https://bit.ly/2GCmTJp
Planet Mars is at its 'biggest and brightest' https://bbc.in/36QyA9W
 

TxGal

Day by day

cold-ice-la-nina-scaled-e1602243172689.jpg


LA NINA HAS ARRIVED: NEAR-TERM COOLING
OCTOBER 11, 2020 CAP ALLON

The following article is written by Bob Hoye of www.pivotaladvice.com.

Last week, the Global Warming policy Forum headlined “La Nina Is Here”. Why the headline? Because the warming El Nino is over and the change to the La Nina represents cooling. Like seasonal and actual climate change, it is a regular event. Which in physics means logical and predictable. And some cooling is showing up in various charts. Well, in those not altered by promoters of AGW.



Can you imagine having any number computer “models” predicting “tipping points” and out-of-control warming, but it never happens? Actually, in order to avoid unacceptable self-doubting, the climate-hysteria community then spends even more computer time altering the actual temperature record.

To fit their failing hypothesis.

Tony Heller and his new colleague, Kirye, regularly show how fraudulent the promotion has been. Basically, the control freaks theme has been “Here is a frightening story!” “I can fix it.” “Please send money and do as you are told.”

The following chart is by Kirye and it records the temperature at a station on a small island off of Japan. It begins in 1915 and suffers no urban heating. Note the flat trend.



And then the chart on Antarctic Temps for September from 1960 to current.



Naturally, charts for September are being updated. This one records various temperature series since January this year to date. The decline in the Southern Hemisphere’s winter is noteworthy, as are some headlines.



Of course, it always helps to have reports from the field:

Record-Breaking Freeze in Queensland”
WeatherZone, September 27.

Spring Storm Brings Snow to New Zealand Beaches”
The Guardian, September 28.

Over on the warming side, there have been sensational stories about wildfires in California and Oregon. These were due to exceptional outflow winds from the interior. The already hot air experiences adiabatic heating as it gets compressed going through the mountains.

It is worth looking up as well as noting that adiabatic heating of a gas has little to do with the characteristics of carbon dioxide.

Weather violence is caused by local differences in temperature.

Canada contains the world’s third largest mass of forests, amounting to some 9 percent of all forests. Should any hyper-sensitive person read this, please rest easy that the open grasslands of the Prairies were not caused by clear-cut logging. Its climate and geography.

However, just north are seemingly endless trees extending roughly 7,000 kms from British Columbia on the Pacific to Labrador on the Atlantic.

And most of this is called a boreal forest and here is a chart of the severity of forest fires. As recorded by province this season is well below average. Perhaps low enough to merit some headlines?

What’s more, the vast boreal region “suffers” the same atmospheric concentrations of CO2 as California and Oregon. Local fires have local causes.



The following chart records Forest Area Burned and the Number of Fires, since 1990. Obviously, funding and marching orders for BLM and Antifa do not extend to torching Canada’s boreal forests.



Typically, the low for Arctic sea ice extent occurs in September and the following is the update for this year. Note the possible change to a flat-lying trend over the past 13 years (Source: NSIDC Boulder).



And to end on an ironical note, the last image is:

View: https://www.facebook.com/ClimateChangeIsNatural/photos/a.656898877695375/3618473641537869/?type=3


El Nino warming is coming to an end, but it can take a little while for La Nina cooling to impact the global temperature record — be sure to check back with the UAH in Feb/March, 2021.


www.drroyspencer.com
 

TxGal

Day by day

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LIST OF HISTORICAL TEMPERATURE EXTREMES BY U.S. STATE SHOWS NO SIGN OF GLOBAL WARMING
OCTOBER 10, 2020 CAP ALLON

Below I’ve compiled a list of the hottest and coldest temperatures ever recorded in each U.S. state, according to NOAA data. Surely, if catastrophic global warming was actually a thing then it would show up in the temperature records. Spoiler: it doesn’t, and a discussion on why follows the list.

ALABAMA
– All-time highest temperature: 112° F (Centreville on Sept. 6, 1925)
– All-time lowest temperature: -27° F (New Market 2 on Jan. 30, 1966)

ALASKA
– All-time highest temperature: 100° F (Fort Yukon on June 27, 1915)
– All-time lowest temperature: -80° F (Prospect Creek on Jan. 23, 1971)

ARIZONA
– All-time highest temperature: 128° F (Lake Havasu City on June 29, 1994)
– All-time lowest temperature: -40° F (Hawley Lake on Jan. 7, 1971)

ARKANSAS
All-time highest temperature: 120° F (Ozark on Aug.10, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -29° F (Gravette on Feb.13, 1905)

CALIFORNIA
– All-time highest temperature: 134° F (Greenland Ranch on July 10, 1913)
– All-time lowest temperature: -45° F (Boca on Jan. 20, 1937)

COLORADO
– All-time highest temperature: 115° F (John Martin Reservoir on July 20, 2019)
– All-time lowest temperature: -61° F (Maybell on Feb. 1, 1985)

CONNECTICUT
– All-time highest temperature: 106° F (Torrington on Aug. 23, 1916)
– All-time lowest temperature: -32° F (Falls Village on Feb. 16, 1943)

DELAWARE
– All-time highest temperature: 110° F (Millsboro on July 21, 1930)
– All-time lowest temperature: -17° F (Millsboro on Jan. 17, 1893)

FLORIDA
– All-time highest temperature: 109° F (Monticello 5 SE on June 29, 1931)
– All-time lowest temperature: -2° F (Tallahassee on Feb.13, 1899)

GEORGIA
– All-time highest temperature: 112° F (Lousiville on July 24, 1952)
– All-time lowest temperature: 17 °F (N. Floyd County on Jan 27, 1940)

HAWAII
– All-time highest temperature: 100° F (Pahala 21 on April 27, 1931)
– All-time lowest temperature: 12° F (Mauna Kea Observatory on May 17, 1979)

IDAHO
– All-time highest temperature: 118° F (Orofino on July 28, 1934)
– All-time lowest temperature: -60° F (Island Park on Jan.18, 1943)

ILLINOIS
– All-time highest temperature: 117° F (East St. Louis on July 14, 1954)
– All-time lowest temperature: −38 °F (Mt Carroll, Illinois on Jan 31, 2019)

INDIANA
– All-time highest temperature: 116° F (Collegeville St Joseph County Airport on July 14, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -36° F (New Whiteland on Jan. 19, 1994)

IOWA
– All-time highest temperature: 118° F (Keokuk No 2 on July 20, 1934)
– All-time lowest temperature: -47° F (Elkader 6 SSW on Feb. 3, 1996)

KANSAS
– All-time highest temperature: 121° F (Alton on July 24, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -40° F (Lebanon on Feb 13, 1905)

KENTUCKY
– All-time highest temperature: 114° F (Greensburg on July 28, 1930)
– All-time lowest temperature: -37° F (Shelbyville 1 E on Jan. 19, 1994)

LOUISIANA
– All-time highest temperature: 114° F (Plain Dealing on Aug. 10, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -16° F (Minden on Feb. 13, 1899)

MAINE
– All-time highest temperature: 105° F (North Bridgton on July 10, 1911)
– All-time lowest temperature: -50° F (Big Black River (near Saint Pamphile, Pq) on Jan. 16, 2009)

MARYLAND
– All-time highest temperature: 109° F (Cumberland on Aug. 6, 1918)
– All-time lowest temperature: -40° F (Oakland 1 SE on Jan.13, 1912)

MASSACHUSETTS
– All-time highest temperature: 107° F (Chester 2 on Aug. 2, 1975)
– All-time lowest temperature: -35° F (Coldbrook on Feb.15, 1943)

MICHIGAN
– All-time highest temperature: 112° F (Stanwood on July 13, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -51° F (Vanderbilt 11ENE on Feb. 9, 1934)

MINNESOTA
All-time highest temperature: 115° F (Beardsley on July 29, 1917)
– All-time lowest temperature: -60° F (Tower 2S on Feb. 2, 1996)

MISSISSIPPI
– All-time highest temperature: 115° F (Holly Springs 2 N on July 29, 1930)
– All-time lowest temperature: -19° F (Corinth 7 SW on Jan. 30, 1966)

MISSOURI
– All-time highest temperature: 118° F (Warsaw 1 on July 14, 1954)
– All-time lowest temperature: -40° F (Warsaw 1 on Feb. 13, 1905)

MONTANA
– All-time highest temperature: 117° F (Glendive on July 20, 1893 and Medicine Lake on July 5, 1937)
– All-time lowest temperature: -70° F (Rogers Pass on Jan 20, 1954)

NEBRASKA
– All-time highest temperature: 118° F (Geneva on July 15, 1934)
– All-time lowest temperature: -47° F (Oshkosh on Dec. 22, 1989)

NEVADA
– All-time highest temperature: 125° F (Laughlin on June 29, 1994)
– All-time lowest temperature: -50° F (San Jacinto on Jan. 8, 1937)

NEW HAMPSHIRE
– All-time highest temperature: 106° F (Nashua on July 4, 1911)
– All-time lowest temperature: -47° F (Mount Washington Jan 29, 1934)

NEW JERSEY
– All-time highest temperature: 110° F (Runyon on July 10, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -34° F (River Vale on Jan. 5, 1904)

NEW MEXICO
– All-time highest temperature: 122° F (Waste Isolt’n Pilot Plt on June 27, 1994)
– All-time lowest temperature: -50° F (Gavilan on Feb. 1, 1951)

NEW YORK
– All-time highest temperature: 108° F (Troy on July 22, 1926)
– All-time lowest temperature: -52° F (Old Forge on Feb. 18, 1979)

NORTH CAROLINA
– All-time highest temperature: 110° F (Fayetteville Regional Airport Grannis Field on Aug. 21, 1983)
– All-time lowest temperature: -34° F (Mt. Mitchell on Jan. 21, 1985)

NORTH DAKOTA
– All-time highest temperature: 121° F (Steele 4N on July 6, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -60° F (Parshall on Feb. 15, 1936)

OHIO
– All-time highest temperature: 113° F (Gallipolis on July 21, 1934)
– All-time lowest temperature: -39° F (Milligan on Feb. 10, 1899)

OKLAHOMA
– All-time highest temperature: 120° F (Poteau on Aug. 10, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -31° F (Nowata on Feb. 10, 2011)

OREGON
– All-time highest temperature: 119° F (Pendleton Downtown on Aug. 10, 1898)
– All-time lowest temperature: -54° F (Seneca on Feb. 10, 1933)

PENNSYLVANIA
– All-time highest temperature: 111° F (Phoenixville 1 E on July 10, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -42° F (Smethport on Jan. 5, 1904)

RHODE ISLAND
– All-time highest temperature: 111° F (Providence on Aug 2, 1975)
– All-time lowest temperature: -25° F (Greene on Feb 5, 1996)

SOUTH CAROLINA
– All-time highest temperature: 113° F (Columbia Univ. of S.C. on June 29, 2012)
– All-time lowest temperature: -19° F (Caesars Head on Jan. 21, 1985)

TENNESSEE
– All-time highest temperature: 113° F (Perryville on Aug. 9, 1930)
– All-time lowest temperature: -32° F (Mountain City on Dec. 30, 1917)

TEXAS
– All-time highest temperature: 120° F (Seymour 3NW on Aug.12, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -23° F (Tulia Near on Feb.12, 1899)

UTAH
– All-time highest temperature: 117° F (St. George on July 5, 1985)
– All-time lowest temperature: -50° F (East Portal on Jan. 5, 1913)

VERMONT
– All-time highest temperature: 107° F (Vernon on July 7, 1912)
– All-time lowest temperature: -50° F (Bloomfield on Dec. 30, 1933)

VIRGINIA
– All-time highest temperature: 110° F (Balcony Falls on July 15, 1954)
– All-time lowest temperature: -30° F (Mount Lake Biological Station on Jan. 21, 1985)

WASHINGTON
– All-time highest temperature: 118° F (Ice Harbor Dam on Aug.5, 1961)
– All-time lowest temperature: -48° F (Winthrop 1 WSW on Dec. 30, 1968)

WEST VIRGINIA
– All-time highest temperature: 112° F (Moorefield 1 SSE on Aug.4, 1930)
– All-time lowest temperature: -37° F (Lewisburg 3 N on Dec.30, 1917)

WISCONSIN
– All-time highest temperature: 114° F (Wisconsin Dells on July 13, 1936)
– All-time lowest temperature: -55° F (Couderay 7 W on Feb. 4, 1996)

WYOMING
– All-time highest temperature: 115° F (Basin on Aug. 8, 1983)
– All-time lowest temperature: -66° F (Riverside Ranger Station, Yellowstone National Park) on Feb. 9, 1933)

More than 210 degrees Fahrenheit separates the highest and the lowest temperatures on record in the United States, and it isn’t a coincidence that the majority of these temperatures records –for both hot and cold– occur during solar minimums.

This is because low solar activity weakens the jet stream, reverting its usual tight ZONAL flow to more of a wavy MERIDIONAL one. This violent “buckling” effect FULLY explains how regions can experience pockets of anomalous heat while others, even relatively nearby, can be dealing with blobs of record cold: basically, in the NH, Arctic cold is dragged anomalously far south and Tropical warmth is pushed unusually far north (for more see the two links below).



(Continued below)
 

TxGal

Day by day
(Continued from above)

And for you alarmists out here claiming that one-off temperature records can’t be evidence of anything, that the data is far too narrow and open to natural variability, no: if catastrophic global warming was actually a thing then we should absolutely see evidence of this in the all-time maximum temperature records–yet only two U.S. states have set heat records since the turn of the millennium (SO, 2012 & CO, 2019).

While those in control of the temperature graphs (NASA/NOAA) are all too happy to fraudulently increase the running average, what they haven’t (yet) had the balls to do is rewrite the history books:

HISTORICAL DOCUMENTATION DESTROYS THE MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING THEORY

The maniacal sociopaths of the world may have won control of the narrative, but they seemingly have little sway over the will of the people. You need only browse the comment section below any “climate change” article or social media post to see the wave of folks resoundingly rejecting the scam-of-a-world-view assembled before them (one of the few positives of SM).

The man-made global warming rejection is likely down to two things: the first being that the so called “scientific consensus” has been failing for far too long — you can’t start warning people in the 1980s that we have 10 years left to save the planet, only to keep repeating that prophecy for the next 4 decades. This is probably the reason our youth have become the new target — kids don’t have this history of failure to draw-upon when browsing the bullet points of the latest IPCC report -for example- meaning they’re far easier to manipulate.

The second reason is likely the availability of climate information these days–namely historical data. Thanks to the internet, researching past climate catastrophes and comparing them to what’s happening today is a simple task. I’m talking about raw historical data, such as the number of deaths caused by a certain natural disaster, or the year and decade of the highest U.S. state temperature records:

US-highest-stemps-state.jpg


The raw data ALWAYS speaks for itself — out of the 50 U.S. state record high temperatures, 23 were set during the 1930s, while 36 occurred prior to 1960. But the powers that be have constructed a rather tenacious, loud, and bullish narrative — on top of the world burning to a crisp, the story also warns that droughts and floods are becoming more extreme.

Comfortably crushing that assertion, however, is another NOAA nugget named the Palmer Drought Index — a century+ dataset plotting the portion of the continental U.S. that is either very wet or very dry.

What the index reveals is that there is no significant trend of increasing drought or flood:

us-continental-wet-dry.jpg


An uptick in hurricanes is another li(n)e we’re fed, it’s actually listed as one of the main results of human-caused global warming. But again, there is no dataset out there that supports either an increase or an intensification of severe storms. In fact, quite the opposite is true, with 9 of the 13 strongest hurricanes to make U.S. landfall occurring prior to 1965.

NOAA data shows both the number of hurricanes and the number of “strong” hurricanes making U.S. landfall declining since 1900.



When folks are permitted to look at climate data prior to 1980, natural cycles ALWAYS reveal themselves. There are ups & there are downs, and there are ups & downs within the ups & downs — and not a single scientist on the planet fully understands the mechanisms involved, no matter what you’re told.

However, the raw data speaks volumes — it clearly reveals the United States was hotter in the past, meaning that unless the U.S. –the third largest country in the world– is somehow immune, that anthropogenic global warming is a lie.

Perversely, a bout of GLOBAL COOLING will likely be Earth’s next temperature swing, one arriving in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA actually appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
All, I'll be in and out next week due to family med appts. I'll post when I can, but doing these big articles/podcasts is near impossible with my tiny little cell phone (and my senior eyes!). You all do a great job of keeping the thread going, so all will be well. :-)
 

nomifyle

TB Fanatic
As far as hurricanes go and Louisiana getting hit with two this year, and I do feel so bad for the folks in SE Louisiana, two bad hurricanes hitting the same place in a year is not unheard of. Its expected to cool off a good bit in the next few days, but it happens. I'm not in denial of the GSM, I'm just saying that history repeats itself. Those that are not prepared will die and that happens too. Here in the good ole USA people have become spoiled, most of the kids today have no clue what hardship is.

God is good, all the time

Judy
 

TxGal

Day by day

Signs point to impending eruption of Kanchatka volcano
October 11, 2020 by Robert

This is an anomaly, say scientists.

10 Oct 2020 – Scientists are concerned about the unusual behavior of the Klyuchevskaya volcano in Kamchatka. As a rule, a year passes between its eruptions, but this time it showed activity just two months after the previous eruption. On October 5, night surveillance cameras recorded the outpouring of a lava flow from the summit crater of Klyuchevsky.

“These are very strong eruptions, when the Klyuchevsky crater is emptying. The last paroxysmal eruption was in 2013, before that – in 1994. But until now we have not seen such an intensity of tremors to speak of an approaching paroxystic eruption,” says expert.

All this testifies to the impending new eruption. The uncharacteristic behavior of Klyuchevsky can lead to paroxysmal events, according to the Institute of Volcanology and Seismology of the Far East Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences. What this means, the METEO portal clarified with the head of the Kamchatka branch of the Geophysical Service of the Russian Academy of Sciences Seregy Senyukov.

However, scientists will take a closer look at the atypical behavior of the system.

Это аномалия: ученые о поведении вулкана Ключевской
 

TxGal

Day by day

Snowing in the Pacific Northwest
October 11, 2020 by Robert

“Snowed, NW US yesterday, this article has two clips showing snow on Mt Baker and Stevens Pass,”says reader Oly.

Ferry knocked from service after lightning strike along Edmonds-Kingston run

“Fresh snow on the Olympic Mountains behind my house yesterday too, I saw some on the peaks when out looking for chanterelles.

“Radar now showing snow on the Olympic, Cascade and Rocky Mountain Ranges, forecast to continue through next week.”
 
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