Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

Martinhouse

Veteran Member
This temperature drop for Denver is the type of sudden drop that I've been talking about for a while now, but I still think that as we get further into the GSM, these systems are going to hit earlier in the growing season.. That's why I've gotten back to stocking up as well as preparing for gardening
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Tale of two seasons: Southwestern U.S. blasted by extreme heat, cold and snow

Nathan Howes
Digital Reporter
The Weather Network

Saturday, September 5th 2020, 2:42 pm - Temperatures may drop by more than 30 degrees Celsius in parts of Colorado, including Denver.

A massive dome of high pressure is trapping in heat, fuelling dry conditions and bringing extreme temperature drops and snowfall to parts of the southwestern U.S. this weekend.

While the lack of rain is a problem, it’s the heat and cold that will be much more of an issue in this part of the United States. In fact, the temperatures will make for an “unusually long weekend” across several states, says Weather Network meteorologist Jessie Uppal.

Numerous cities such as Los Angeles and San Francisco, Calif., Las Vegas, Nev., Phoenix, Ariz., and Denver, Colo., are expected to smash temperature records, dating far back as the 1940s and 1950s.

The extreme heat in parts of California, Arizona and Nevada will peak over the course of the weekend. Some of the aforementioned major cities are forecast to hit 43-48°C.

USHeat


SNOW, COLD TEMPERATURES IN COLORADO

The most pronounced temperature swing will occur Monday night, into Tuesday morning, in parts of Colorado, where temperatures will plummet quickly as a deep upper-trough pools in cold air from the north. Parts of the state, including Colorado, may see temperatures drop by more than 30°C.

The same Arctic air will also bring a sudden drop in temperatures to the Prairies this weekend, with snow expected in parts of Alberta.

"When you see a ridge to this extent, there's usually a lot of cooler air being forced to sink south, just east of that ridge as it sets up. That's exactly where you will expect to see some of that accumulating snow," said Uppal.

DenverTemp


"It extends right along the Canadian Rockies, the southern foothills and eventually down towards part of the southwest (U.S.), Colorado included."

Long-standing records will likely be challenged for the earliest snowfall on record in parts of Colorado. Although it wouldn't be the earliest snow ever in Denver - it could tie with Sept. 8, 1962 as the second earliest.

As well, it could be the biggest first snowfall of the season ever recorded in terms of accumulation
.

Following the wave of intense heat in the southwest, a sharp pressure gradient will set up, bringing very gusty winds to the region. This is likely to ignite wildfires once again in the week ahead.

 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
This temperature drop for Denver is the type of sudden drop that I've been talking about for a while now, but I still think that as we get further into the GSM, these systems are going to hit earlier in the growing season.. That's why I've gotten back to stocking up as well as preparing for gardening
Yes, I am wondering if there are any forecasts out for next Spring 2021?
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.

Global Cooling? NOAA Confirms ‘Full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum
SEPTEMBER 5, 2020 BY NEWS WIRE 2 COMMENTS

The signs are clearer than ever. The Sun is heading into a new “solar minimum” cycle now.

Despite loud claims in recent decades that man-made CO2 is somehow driving the Earth’s climate, history and science demonstrate that the largest and most influential driver of planetary climate is actually the Sun.

NASA data shows clearly that sunspot counts and solar flares are dropping which is a clear indicator that solar activity is receding slightly, which means that the Earth’s climate will change, only it won’t be getting warmer.

One known indicator of solar activity is the presence of sunspots. When they are high in number, the solar activity is stronger. When sunspots are few, then we’re more likely to see slightly less solar intensity. The last peak in sunspot activity was in 2014, and now we’ve reached a new low point in 2020.

RELATED: Scientists tackle burning question: When will our quiet sun turn violent?

A solar minimum does not mean that we’ll no longer have regular heat waves and warm weather, it simply means that solar activity will change, and this could translate into lower overall temperatures on Earth for the duration of this solar cycle – which could last beyond 2030.

For those paying attention, this is not breaking news as NASA had announced this trend many times before, albeit quietly. But as one would expect in the current political epoch, any talk of ‘global cooling’ is not likely to generate headlines.
It’s a fact that 2020 saw Europe having one of its coldest summers on record. Indeed, winter is coming.
Electroverse reports…

Their press releases surely won’t admit it, but NOAA’s PREDICTED SUNSPOT NUMBER AND RADIO FLUX data appears to show a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum running from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.
NOAA (who’s solar forecasts generally come out higher than NASA’s) say it won’t be until mid-2025 before we see the peak of the next Solar Cycle (25), with the maximum topping out at 114.6 sunspots:


NOAA predicts Solar Cycle 25 will max out at 114.6 sunspots in July, 2025 (note this is far higher than NASA’s official prediction of around 30 to 40 sunspots).

NOAA’s forecast then begins to plot the descent into the minimum of Cycle 25 from mid-2025 to 2031-or-thereabouts; and while all this paints Solar Cycle 25 as another historically weak cycle (one similar to 24 and which will continue the cooling trend), it isn’t the story here.

The story is that NOAA aren’t seeing the expected ramp-up into Cycle 26. When the sunspot number should be climbing back up, the agency’s data (linked here) reveals sunspots remain low, and actually continuing dropping.
NOAA is predicting all-but ZERO sunspots throughout the 2030s.
There is no ramp-up into Solar Cycle 26.

Nor are there any signs of the start of Solar Cycle 27: the data only runs through the year 2040, but within those final twelve months a SPOTLESS sun persists.

NOAA is predicting a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum (GSM)
GSM’s have the potential to hold sunspots at ZERO for multiple decades. The most famous example is the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) which brought plummeting temperatures, crop loss, famine, and the deaths of hundreds of millions of people ACROSS the planet.

Unfortunately, history repeats — climate is cyclic, never linear. But unlike during the Maunder Minimum, there’s a twist this time around; we modern humans have another cosmological factor to contend with: Earth’s magnetosphere –a key line of defense against incoming Cosmic Rays– is waning at an increasing rate as north and south magnetic poles continue their wander.

The field is expected to be considerably weaker by 2040, and, as with previous magnetic excursions/reversals, these events can lead to an uptick in volcanic/seismic activity, solar outbursts, and even the onset of ice ages.

These two independent factors occurring simultaneously –-a Grand Solar Minimum AND a Pole Shift– are throwing us something of a curve-ball. Each factor alone results in a dramatic waning of earth’s magnetosphere, the upshot of which is more Cosmic Rays entering our atmosphere nucleating clouds, sending volcanoes a’poppin’, cooling the planet, and affecting biology.

Modern civilization is entering unprecedented times…
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out - looks to be an important one:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3eKMhDgnU_g



Grand Solar Minimum Cold Begins, Now Its Your Move (1032)
2,949 views • Sep 6, 2020

Run time is 10:08

It is now confirmed that 2020 is the beginning of the Grand Solar Minimum, cold events are beginning to transpire that are absolutely in your face. What you do net to prepare is fully your choice. These events will make you shake your head, a 65F temperature drop from 90F to below freezing in two days across the USA grain belt.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=51aczAT8Xcw


All-Time Record Heat Followed By Record Cold & Snow - 2020 Summer Of Bummer - Crestone Energy Fair
4,611 views • Premiered 8 hours ago

Run time is 17:06

Hot to Snow (In the Mountains) in 48 Hours... https://bit.ly/3ia4dOI
‘All-Time Records’ Possible As Heat Wave Hits SoCal https://cbsloc.al/2ETP1XC
The West Continues to Swelter; Sharp Transition to Colder Weather Next Week in the Rockies and Plains https://www.weather.gov/
Storms could produce large hail https://bit.ly/2R119Ze
Record-Breaking High Temperatures and Snow Next Week https://bit.ly/3bD3ov9
Up to 13 inches of snow could fall in Colorado during upcoming storm https://bit.ly/324OZVA
'It’s a big deal for everyone who farms' | September snow could mean big problems for farmers https://bit.ly/3lWrRQM
GFS Model Total Snow US https://bit.ly/3jUUFrf
Tropical Disturbance #1 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Sudan declares state of emergency as record flooding kills 99 people https://bit.ly/3359KzF
A letter this week told a Memphis woman she has tested positive for COVID-19. She’s been dead 7 months https://bit.ly/3byHR6E
Hair salon had to remove job ad for 'happy’ stylist because it is 'discriminatory' against unhappy people https://fxn.ws/2QVq5kG
NO, THERE'S NO SUCH THING AS A SOLAR MICRONOVA https://bit.ly/3lUCcwJ
The Moon and Mars Meet-Up in the Weekend Sky https://bit.ly/2DDIOyk
Crestone Energy Fair Website to Register 2020 https://bit.ly/3jK5Brs
Crestone Energy Fair on YouTube https://bit.ly/3h5I02N
 

TxGal

Day by day



PROF. NILS-AXEL MÖRNER: “THE APPROACHING GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM AND LITTLE ICE AGE CONDITIONS”
SEPTEMBER 6, 2020 CAP ALLON

Nils-Axel Mörner is the former head of the paleogeophysics and geodynamics department at Stockholm University. He retired in 2005 and since has dedicated his days to disproving the IPPC’s thermageddon nonsense while also warning of a coming Grand Solar Minimum.

Between 1997-2003, Mörner chaired an INTAS project on Geomagnetism & Climate; the project concluded that we, in the middle of the 21st century, had to be back in a new solar minimum with Little Ice Age climatic conditions.

These conclusions were quite straightforward, writes Mörner, and were included in a Special Issue of PRP: Obviously we are on our way into a new grand solar minimum. This sheds serious doubts on the issue of a continued, even accelerated, warming as proposed by the IPCC project. This quite innocent—and very true—conclusion made the publisher take the quite remarkable step to close down the entire scientific journal. This closing down gave rise to turbulence and objections within the scientific community. But it didn’t stop Mörner. He kept publishing scientific works regarding the impending GSM.

In 2015, Mörner’s “The Approaching New Grand Solar Minimum and Little Ice Age Climate Conditions” was published. It suggests that by 2030-2040 the Sun will experience a new grand solar minimum. This is evident from multiple studies of quite different characteristics, writes Mörner: the phasing of sunspot cycles, the cyclic observations of North Atlantic behavior over the past millennium, the cyclic pattern of cosmogenic radionuclides in natural terrestrial archives, the motions of the Sun with respect to the center of mass, the planetary spin-orbit coupling, the planetary conjunction history, and the general planetary-solar-terrestrial interaction.

During the previous grand solar minima—i.e. the Spörer Mini-mum (ca 1440-1460), the Maunder Minimum (ca 1687-1703) and the Dalton Minimum (ca 1809- 1821)—the climatic conditions deteriorated into Little Ice Age periods.

1599398179441.png

1599398200468.png

Salvador presented a mathematical model of the sunspot cycles based on Wilson’s tidal-torque model, above. Salvador’s model had an 85% correlation with the sunspot numbers observed for 1749-2013, and made “a reasonable representation of the sunspot cycles for the past 1000 yr”. Therefore, it justified an extrapolation for the next century, as shown below.

1599398224582.png

The prediction gives an extended low up to 2160 with the lowest values reached within the period 2028-2042; i.e. just where we expect the New Grand Solar Minimum to occur.

In 2015, Salvador extended his analysis over the last 4000 years, comparing his model with the observed 10Be variations, as illustrated below.

1599398310035.png

The phasing of the solar cycles gives a clear message for the middle of the century: there will be a New Grand Solar Minimum. This is also the case when we consider the cyclic relations between Earth’s rotation, ocean circulation, and Arctic climate. During the last three grand solar minima—the Spörer, Maunder and Dalton Minima—global climate experienced Little Ice Age conditions. Arctic water penetrated to the south all the way down to Mid Portugal, and Europe experienced severe climatic conditions. The Arctic ice cover expanded significantly.

1599398346697.png

We now seem to be in possession of quite convergent data indicating that we, by 2030-2040, will be in a New Grand Solar Minimum which, by analogy to past minima, must be assumed will lead to a significant climatic deterioration with ice expansion in the Arctic. The mathematical model by Salvador seems to provide an excellent tool for the prediction of future sunspot variations.

All this precludes a continual warming as claimed by the IPCC. Instead of this, concludes Mörner, we are likely to face a new Little Ice Age.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow; and both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

1599398383231.png

1599398403597.png

Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

Attachments

TxGal

Day by day



SEPTEMBER SNOW IS “A BIG DEAL FOR EVERYONE WHO FARMS” — WELCOME TO THE GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM
SEPTEMBER 6, 2020 CAP ALLON

Large parts of the United States are bracing for a violent swing in the weather, with a record-busting 16+inches of early-September snow forecast to accumulate.

“It is interesting to be working through record heat to prepare for record cold,” said Claudia Ferrell, owner of Berry Patch Farms in Brighton, CO. But, as many solar physicists have long-been warning, next week’s forecast serves as just another example of the swings-between-extremes brought on by the historically low solar activity we’re currently receiving: Low solar activity is weakening the jet stream, reverting its usual tight ZONAL flow to more of a wavy MERIDIONAL one: this forcing FULLY explains why some northern latitudes (such as Western Canada/Alaska) are experiencing pockets of anomalous heat while the mid-latitudes (CONUS) are dealing with “blobs” of record cold — for more on the science click the links below:



“Oh lord, please no — that’s what went through my mind,” said Ferrell on seeing the forecast which issued frost and freeze warnings with temperatures expected to settle some 50 degrees below normal in the Rockies, Plains, Midwest, and even parts of the South. “And then you start mentally trying to prepare,” continued Ferrell; “It’s concerning about the potential losses. It’s concerning about your potential future, your ability to carry on.”

The mountain states are on for one of the earliest first measurable snowfalls on record–area’s which don’t typically see the powder begin piling-up until October. Cheyenne, WY –for example– is on for its earliest snow in nearly a century: “Cheyenne has not recorded any measurable snow in the first 10 days of September since 1929,” NWS meteorologist Tim Trudel said.

Ferrell spent her Saturday picking okra as there’s no chance it will survive the Arctic blast. “I knew there was a huge cold front dropping down. But you aren’t necessarily expecting this much cold. You kind of wish those Canadians would keep it to themselves,” she said.

In addition to warnings for growers, the National Weather Service has also issued advice for ranchers, suggesting it may be necessary to shelter outdoor animals before the Arctic blast hits on Tuesday.

Farmers up and down the mountains states are preparing for the day when the heat gives way to snow — welcome to the next Grand Solar Minimum:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Sept 7 – Sept 13 [tropicaltidbits.com].

1599398696795.png
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Sept 7 – Sept 11 [tropicaltidbits.com].

These are the hard facts.

There is no agenda here

I earn a pittance running Electroverse, and receive zero funding and never have — what good is money when the supermarket shelves run bare?

NOW is the time to prepare yourself and your family for crop losses on an unprecedented scale. You should be planting, growing, harvesting, and seed-saving — skills which are not easy to obtain: they take failure, and therefore time (believe me). Time, it would appear, which is no longer on our side as the climate continues to ‘deteriorate’: swings-between-extremes are becoming evermore prominent which will soon make modern agriculture’s large-scale monocropping ways nigh-on impossible to maintain.


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow; and both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.





Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

MountainBiker

Veteran Member
While I have been aware of the grand solar minimum matter I have not followed it on a regular basis. Recently something over on the main forum caused me to come over here to do some reading. In doing so I had a thought that I would add for whatever its worth.

Is it possible that the global powers behind the scenes have long understood the implications of the grand solar minimum and that this is the basis for the supposed "new world order" that has been the topic of discussion in so many threads? Could the need for a new world order be based on the assumption that major crop failures would lead to WWIII and that the only way to avoid that is to minimize nationalism and borders?

Given the manner in which Trump's America 1st nationalism flies in the face of globalism it might explain the ferocity of the anti-Trump mania since his election that at any objective level is far beyond normal politics. It is more like a psychosis than it is left vs right policy differences. It might also explain the seemingly irrational open borders push in Europe and the US. Bringing in hordes of uneducated unskilled people, many of whom have no desire to assimilate (the Islamic & African contingent mostly given most Hispanics will assimilate in time) makes no economic or societal sense for European countries or the US, yet the globalists have done everything they can to encourage it. The cultural dilution that results helps reduce the sense of national identity is perhaps the reason why.

Of course most of the foot soldiers in the new world order are just useful idiots. It is the Soros types, most of whom we probably don't even know their names that are orchestrating things in the background.

Does this make any sense or do I have too much tinfoil wrapped around my head? It just seems that something as potentially catastrophic as the grand solar minimum would warrant very public discussion yet the general public knows far more about the need to eliminate plastic straws in order to save the environment than they do the implications of the grand solar minimum. At issue is whenever politicians and power brokers openly identify a problem the public then wants to know what it all means and what they plan to do about it. Is that why it doesn't get talked about? As we can see with domestic major media, when "they" don't want to cover a story, it just doesn't get covered. I suspect the same occurs worldwide.
 

parsonswife

Senior Member
While I have been aware of the grand solar minimum matter I have not followed it on a regular basis. Recently something over on the main forum caused me to come over here to do some reading. In doing so I had a thought that I would add for whatever its worth.

Is it possible that the global powers behind the scenes have long understood the implications of the grand solar minimum and that this is the basis for the supposed "new world order" that has been the topic of discussion in so many threads? Could the need for a new world order be based on the assumption that major crop failures would lead to WWIII and that the only way to avoid that is to minimize nationalism and borders?

Given the manner in which Trump's America 1st nationalism flies in the face of globalism it might explain the ferocity of the anti-Trump mania since his election that at any objective level is far beyond normal politics. It is more like a psychosis than it is left vs right policy differences. It might also explain the seemingly irrational open borders push in Europe and the US. Bringing in hordes of uneducated unskilled people, many of whom have no desire to assimilate (the Islamic & African contingent mostly given most Hispanics will assimilate in time) makes no economic or societal sense for European countries or the US, yet the globalists have done everything they can to encourage it. The cultural dilution that results helps reduce the sense of national identity is perhaps the reason why.

Of course most of the foot soldiers in the new world order are just useful idiots. It is the Soros types, most of whom we probably don't even know their names that are orchestrating things in the background.

Does this make any sense or do I have too much tinfoil wrapped around my head? It just seems that something as potentially catastrophic as the grand solar minimum would warrant very public discussion yet the general public knows far more about the need to eliminate plastic straws in order to save the environment than they do the implications of the grand solar minimum. At issue is whenever politicians and power brokers openly identify a problem the public then wants to know what it all means and what they plan to do about it. Is that why it doesn't get talked about? As we can see with domestic major media, when "they" don't want to cover a story, it just doesn't get covered. I suspect the same occurs worldwide.
I have thought similar ideas....that they know that. xyz incoming catastrophe so the are rushing to try and mitigate it.....only God knows the true m
 

TxGal

Day by day
Ice Age Farmer has posted a link to an interview he did with Derrick Broze of the Conscious Resistance. It's on Spotify and I've never posted one from there before, so we'll see how this goes (if it's a bust, likely IAF will have it on his you tube page):


Preparing for the Grand Solar Minimum & Food Crisis w/ IceAgeFarmer
The Conscious Resistance

Run time is 44 minutes

Episode Description
Preparing for the Grand Solar Minimum & Food Crisis w/ IceAgeFarmer
Derrick Broze talks with researcher Christian of the IceAgeFarmer channel about the Grand Solar Minimum, the food crisis, true sustainability, permaculture, technocracy, and much more.
 

Martinhouse

Veteran Member
Wow! I'll have to try getting this. And if I can't, I'll watch for it on his YouTube page.

Guess I live in my own small bubble.....I never heard of Spotify.

Thanks
-----
Just tried and it seemed to connect just fine. The intro sure starts out with some aggravating NOISE!
 

TxGal

Day by day
Wow! I'll have to try getting this. And if I can't, I'll watch for it on his YouTube page.

Guess I live in my own small bubble.....I never heard of Spotify.

Thanks
-----
Just tried and it seemed to connect just fine. The intro sure starts out with some aggravating NOISE!
Whew, thanks! For a good chunk of the day I've been fighting what I thought was a Windows 10 issue that suddenly made me lose the shortcut copy/paste feature - I can't tell you how much I use that when posting. Finally got it straightened out (fingers crossed). What a heck of a thing to wake up to in the morning :-)
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXdIADbmhNU


Record Heat in LA County - Record Cold In The Rockies & Record Summer Snow -Crickets From Mainstream
3,398 views • Premiered 4 hours ago

Run time is 18:09

Synopsis provided:

Record cold temperatures and a rare September snow arrive this week https://cnn.it/3bKCthf
LA County records highest-ever temperature https://cnn.it/3i6kjIN
Large hail produced in some spots in state overnight https://bit.ly/322WwnK
California blackouts could hit up to 3 million as grid managers declare emergency https://bit.ly/2F8Ve1A
Power Outage Us https://poweroutage.us/
25 Deaths Attributed to Hurricane Laura https://bit.ly/2DBmULX
Wyoming Weather: Get Ready For Snow https://bit.ly/35ith2p
Mountain snow, below-freezing overnight temps and powerful winds in forecast for East Idaho https://bit.ly/2Ffh43b
The Track Of The Coming Storm Is Still Very Undecided https://bit.ly/35boy2n
GFS Model Super Storm https://bit.ly/321WBrM
Heat and Fire Weather in the West; Cold Snap Expected in Portions of the West Monday Night https://www.weather.gov/
National Hurricane Center https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/
Are aliens hiding in plain sight? https://bit.ly/2DESLeS
THE EARTH IS MAKING THE MOON RUST https://bit.ly/2FbJxXW CRESTONE ENERGY FAIR https://bit.ly/35bp28H
Crestone Energy Fair Website http://www.crestoneenergyfair.org/
2020 31st Annual Crestone Energy Fair on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pt1KD...
 

TxGal

Day by day



“NEW LITTLE ICE AGE INSTEAD OF GLOBAL WARMING?” BY DR THEODOR LANDSCHEIDT
SEPTEMBER 7, 2020 CAP ALLON

Among the long list or scientific papers suggesting that a solar-driven spell of global cooling is on the cards, Dr Theodor Landscheidt’s ‘ New Little ICE Age Instead of Global Warming?‘ probably has the claim of priority.

Published in 2003, just a year before his death, Landscheidt’s research is standing the test of time, and is still largely on course to be proved correct.

The paper’s abstract begins:

‘Analysis of the sun’s varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC’s speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.’

Crucially, in the growing list of research concluding that a solar-driven multidecadal spell of global cooling is on the cards (research from multiple studies of quite different characteristics), the year 2030 ALWAYS features prominently. Unlike the IPCC, which tosses its thermageddon doomsday date back and forth like a hot potato, researchers who track the multimillennial plays of the cosmos (namely those of the Sun) routinely land on the year 2030 as being the date of ‘climate deterioration’: this in itself should serve as compelling evidence.

Dr Landscheidt continues:

‘It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun’s oscillatory motion … As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun’s orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niño years before the respective event.’

Dr Landscheidt concludes his introduction with the IPCC’s position on global warming, and he points to a growing list of publications showing a solar-climate connection:

‘The IPCC’s judgement that the solar factor is negligible is based on satellite observations available since 1978 which show that the Sun’s total irradiance, though not being constant, changes only by about 0.1 percent during the course of the 11-year sunspot cycle. This argument, however, does not take into account that the Sun’s eruptional activity (energetic flares, coronal mass ejections, eruptive prominences), heavily affecting the solar wind, as well as softer solar wind contributions by coronal holes have a much stronger effect than total irradiance. The total magnetic flux leaving the Sun, dragged out by the solar wind, has risen by a factor of 2.3 since 1901 (Lockwood et al., 1999), while global temperature on earth increased by about 0.6°C. The energy in the solar flux is transferred to the near-Earth environment by magnetic reconnection and directly into the atmosphere by charged particles. Energetic flares increase the Sun’s ultraviolet radiation by at least 16 percent. Ozone in the stratosphere absorbs this excess energy which causes local warming and circulation disturbances. General circulation models developed by Haigh (1996), Shindell et al. (1999), and Balachandran et al. (1999) confirm that circulation changes, initially induced in the stratosphere, can penetrate into the troposphere and influence temperature, air pressure, Hadley circulation, and storm tracks by changing the distribution of large amounts of energy already present in the atmosphere.’

Moving on, Section 3 of the paper includes this golden nugget:

‘If the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2) were the dominant cause of the observed rise in global temperature, the trend of this rise would be similar to the continuously rising CO2-trend shown [below] after Peixoto and Oort (1992).


Time series of the atmospheric CO2 concentration as measured at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawai (From Peixoto and Oort, 1992). These data are accepted to be representative for the global trend.

The course of the Northern Hemisphere land air temperature, however, represented by the thick line in Fig. 4, does not follow the CO2 trend.


Close correlation between surface land air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere (thick curve) and the changing length of the 11-year sunspot cycle (thin curve), indicating the varying intensity of the sun’s eruptional activity (From FriisChristensen and Lassen, 1991). Contrary to the curve in Mauna Loa graph (above), representing the steadily increasing amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the thin solar curve covaries with the undulations of observed temperature.

The increase in surface temperature from 1890 to 1940 was steeper and smoother than in the current warming phase since the early 1980s though the rate of anthropogenic emissions at that time was only 10% of the present rate. From 1940 through the late 1960s temperatures were falling in spite of the fast rise of anthropogenic CO2-emissions.

A closer look shows that nearly all Gleissberg minima back to 300 A.D., as for instance around 1670 (Maunder minimum), 1810 (Dalton minimum), and 1895, coincided with cool climate in the Northern Hemisphere, whereas Gleissberg maxima went along with warm climate as for instance around 1130 (Medieval climate optimum). The degree of temperature change was proportional to the respective amplitudes in the Gleissberg cycle. During the Maunder minimum solar activity was minimal and during the Medieval Climate Optimum very high, probably even higher than in the six decades of intense solar activity before 1996.’

In subsequent sections, Dr Landscheidt’s paper delves into ‘the length of the 11 year solar cycle and temperature’, it looks at ‘the relationship between solar eruptions and global temperature’, as well as the ‘forecast of deep Gleissberg minima and cold climate around 2030 and 2200’.

My summary serves as a brief introduction to Dr Theodor Landscheidt’s work, and of course should not be seen as a substitute for reading the paper itself, which concludes with a damning verdict on the IPPC’s scientific method:

‘The IPCC’s “story lines”, far from forecasts as practiced in other fields of science, are nearly exclusively supported by runs of General Circulation Models (GCM). These models are based on the same type of nonlinear differential equations which induced Lorenz in 1961 to acknowledge that long-range weather predictions are impossible because of the atmosphere’s extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. It is not conceivable that the “Butterfly Effect” should disappear when the prediction range of a few days is extended to decades and centuries.

The IPCC-hypothesis of global warming requires that long-wave radiation to space is reduced because of the accumulating anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Actually, satellites have observed a trend of increasing tropical long-wave radiation to space over the past two decades (Wielicki et al., 2002). GCMs predict greater increase in temperature with increasing distance from the equator, but observations show no net change in the polar regions in the past four decades (Comiso, 2000; Przybylak, 2000; Venegas and Mysak, 2000). According to the most recent data, Antarctica has cooled significantly (Doran et al., 2002) instead of warming.’

In this prominent paper’s final section (11), it is concluded:

‘We need not wait until 2030 to see whether the forecast of the next deep Gleissberg minimum is correct. A declining trend in solar activity and global temperature should become manifest long before the deepest point in the development. The current 11-year sunspot cycle 23 with its considerably weaker activity seems to be a first indication of the new trend, especially as it was predicted on the basis of solar motion cycles two decades ago. As to temperature, only El Niño periods should interrupt the downward trend, but even El Niños should become less frequent and strong.’

Unfortunately, accurately gauging modern temperature trends has been made nigh-on impossible. Many of today’s data sets cannot be trusted as they ignore, deliberately or otherwise, crucial factors such as the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI) in order to exaggerate, or indeed completely fabricate, a warming trend.

Furthermore, regional fluctuations –rather than the global average– will be far more important to know as we move forward into a Grand Solar Minimum. Some parts of the planet are actually expected to warm during this otherwise bout of “global” cooling–the Arctic being one. However, saying all this, the overall temperature of Earth is still expected to drop –perhaps by as much as 2C. Looking at the global temperature data sets out there, the most trustworthy is probably the UAH Satellite-Based Temperature of the Global Lower Atmosphere–but this also suffers from a host of issues. Currently, as of August 2020, the UAH has Earth at 0.43C above the 1981-2010 average–which is down a full half from the El Niño-driven high observed at the start of 2016. For almost 5 years now we have been living a sharp cool-down, and if we take out naturally-occurring El Niños then we find that there has been no discernible warming since the turn of the millennium, arguably even longer.

1599483491859.png

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow; and both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Significant winter storm – in early September!
September 7, 2020 by Robert

“Early Significant Snow and Wind east of the Divide and the South,” warns the National Weather Service. “Unseasonably strong.”

Power outages possible. Mountain recreation could be life threatening. Wind chills into the single digits (-12.7C or even lower).

National Weather Service Riverton, Wyoming – 7 Sep 2020

An unseasonably strong storm system for September will impact the Cowboy State Monday afternoon through Tuesday. The associated cold front will push into northern Wyoming Monday morning, and sweep southward to the Continental Divide by mid- afternoon. This front will then sweep across the rest of the area between 9 PM and midnight. Precipitation will begin over the north Monday afternoon spreading south into central Wyoming Monday evening.

In lower elevations the precipitation is expected to begin as rain before changing to snow some time in the evening pretty rapidly depending upon elevation. Significant snowfall is expected for mountains east of the Divide and central Wyoming.
WINTER STORM WARNING from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM Tuesday

Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 20 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph.
* WHERE…Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains.

* IMPACTS…Travel may become difficult due to slick and slushy roads and low visibility in falling snow. Damage may occur to trees and power lines, possibly leading to power outages.

Mountain recreation could be life threatening to those caught unprepared for severe winter conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Wind chills will be as low as the single digits. Overnight low temperatures Tuesday night in the Colorado mountains will drop into the low 10s.

National Weather Service Watch Warning Advisory Summary
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Yeah how about that their predicting a winter storm for a number of states. Have to wait to see how this really plays out as it is real early for the kind of weather they are talking about. They were showing these models about three days ago.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Early snowfall hits parts of Alberta, Canada

Tiffany Goodwein
Chat News Today
Mon, 07 Sep 2020 18:41 UTC

Sunshine Village Ski Resort
Sunshine Village Ski Resort

Parts of the province woke up to snow this morning.

Photos posted on Twitter show snowfall in several areas of the province including Pincher Creek, Caroline, and Cochrane.

View: https://twitter.com/Chris_Ravary/status/1302987400629514240


View: https://twitter.com/APyzalski/status/1303019161799385093


View: https://twitter.com/HouckisPokise/status/1302971683960008705


View: https://twitter.com/KyleTWN/status/1303020569030397952


View: https://twitter.com/HouckisPokise/status/1302976480008237057


View: https://twitter.com/KellyHallyyc/status/1303011265904742401


Sunshine Village Ski Resort
Sunshine Village Ski Resort

On Sunday, Environment Canada issued a special weather statement for much of Southern Alberta.

Under the weather advisory, it said to expect an abrupt transition to fall with frost, and an estimated five to 30 millimeters of rain by Monday. It also suggested snowfall could occur in higher elevations.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Severe hailstorm leaves behind thick crust of ice in Narok North, Kenya

Robert Kiplagat
The Standard (Kenya)
Mon, 07 Sep 2020 17:47 UTC

Part of the ground that is covered in ice some 12 hours after the storm.
© Standard Digital
Part of the ground that is covered in ice some 12 hours after the storm.

Residents of Olokurto, Melili, Enaibelbel and Kisiriri in Narok North woke up to ice-covered grounds after heavy hailstorm hit the area Sunday night and left a trail of destruction.

The hailstones that are yet to melt away almost 12 hours later destroyed wheat, potatoes and maize crops subjecting the farmers to huge losses.

"It started as normal rains around 6pm Sunday but hailstorms started hitting our roof at night. We were shocked in the morning to find ice all over the place," said John ole Pesi, a resident of Olokurto Ward.

He said he was more devastated when he toured his 10-acre potato farm only to find that the entire crop had been destroyed.

View: https://youtu.be/PD8xvY9eJ3c


Ole Pesi said: "All the potatoes have just been reduced to bare vines. No leaves! This is a huge loss to me because without leaves it means zero production."

Another farmer, Wilson Karbolo from Melili, is equally in despair after his 16-acre wheat plantation that was almost ready for harvesting was destroyed.

The residents were not spared of freezing cold temperatures with many turning to heavy clothing for survival.

They are now staring at a looming starvation following the destruction of crops in the ongoing rains.


According to the County Meteorology Director Mr Peter Runanu, the heavy hailstones was not a sign of heavy rains.

"It is true that lower parts of Mau such as Enaibelbel, Olokurto and Kisiriri as well as the upper Mau of Melili ward witnessed the hailstorms. This happened as the cloud billow that covers sides of Mau all the way to Nyandarua fell causing the storm," said Mr Runanu.

The county weatherman also revealed that the hailstones are estimated to have a depth of between two to five centimetres and might last for at least two days in gloomy weather.

He termed the incident as a natural occurrence that is beyond government or individual control and asked locals to be cautions by taking shelter during storms.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbBWRRxNQsc


Summer Blizzard 2020 - Air Quality Issues - Wildfire Risk - Rolling Blackouts = Grand Solar Minimum
4,099 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

Run time is 16:50

Synopsis provided:

Power Crisis Set to Worsen as PG&E Warns of Outages https://bloom.bg/3ib8PUr
Early Season Snow For Central Rockies And Fire Weather Concerns Out West http://bit.ly/2p2GER3
Here’s where people may be affected by PG&E power shutoffs https://bit.ly/328Q7Yk
Power Outage Us https://poweroutage.us/ 'You may want to remain indoors': Air quality advisories issued in Colorado https://bit.ly/32cZ7vz
Colorado Springs residents urged to stay indoors if smoke is thick https://bit.ly/2R6CthM
Colorado Springs gears up for winter in September https://bit.ly/2ZhTLNA
Denver is under a winter storm watch two days after the city hit 101 degrees https://cnn.it/2GIqXHL
Snow plows will hit metro Denver streets on Tuesday morning https://bit.ly/336oDSn
Up to 19 inches now possible in Colorado's Tuesday snowstorm https://bit.ly/3m0PibO
SNOWSTORM TO BRING SLICK ROADS, BLACK ICE TO WYOMING, ESPECIALLY ON I-80 https://bit.ly/2R4C3bQ
GFS Model Total Snow https://bit.ly/2FaN3Si
How you can protect your plants from Colorado's snow and cold https://bit.ly/3iaaHgq
New Dating of Nebra Sky Disk Makes All Previous Astronomical Interpretations Obsolete https://bit.ly/325njzN
Crestone Energy Fair 2020 http://www.crestoneenergyfair.org/
 

TxGal

Day by day
Well, it sure sounds like a consensus is growing that we are indeed entering the GSM:




A. K. SINGH AND A. BHARGAWA: “SOLAR CYCLES 25 AND 26 [WILL BE] VERY SIMILAR TO THE DALTON MINIMUM”
SEPTEMBER 8, 2020 CAP ALLON

Professors A. K. Singh and A. Bhargawa research Atmospheric and Space Physics, Solar activity, and Climate at the University of Lucknow, India. The pair have a number of interesting papers on the role solar activity plays on Earth’s climate, including TSI and its impact on terrestrial temperatures, cosmic rays, and cloud cover.

Of their many published papers, 2019’s “Prediction of declining solar activity trends during solar cycles 25 and 26 and indication of other solar minimum” stands out, which elaborates on 2017’s An early prediction of 25th solar cycle using Hurst exponent.

“The understanding of solar activity and solar related events is important for scientific, social, and economic reasons, and plays a pivotal role in global climate studies,” write Singh and Bhargawa.

In their 2019 paper “Prediction of declining solar activity trends during solar cycles 25 and 26 and indication of other solar minimum“, the pair adopt a sequential application of three major statistical methods on time series in order to forecast the next two solar cycles (25 and 26): the Hodrick Prescott filter (1980), the Hurst exponent (Hurst 1951) and the simplex projection method (Sugihara and May 1990).

CONCLUSIONS

Singh’s and Bhargawa’s results reveal a sharp declining trend in solar activity which they say is “very much comparable” to the various predictions from other workers in the field, such as Schatten and Tobiska (2003)–who predict a return to Maunder Minimum conditions, Hathaway and Wilson (2004), Du and Du (2006), Clilverd et al. (2006), Quassim et al. (2007), Abdusamatov (2007), Hady (2013), Shepherd et al. (2014).

“Most of the workers have made their predictions based on sunspot numbers and our results were very much comparable to them,” writes Singh and Bhargawa. And “apart from sunspot numbers, we have also considered F10.7 cm index and Lyman alpha index for the predictions of solar cycles 25 and 26.”

The sunspot number, the F10.7 cm index and the Lyman alpha index during solar cycles 21 to 24 have provided Singh and Bhargawa with the data to forecast cycles 25 and 26. The Hodrick Prescott filter was used to obtain the detrended (periodic) and trend pattern for each time series. The cyclic component was used to check the level of persistence of the time series of these parameters and the data was subjected to rescaled range analysis to obtain Hurst exponent. And the simplex projection method was applied on the trend component of each time series to obtain data points for future solar cycles.

Using these data points, Singh and Bhargawa predict that solar cycle 25 will be lower in comparison to solar cycle 24 –which was already the lowest for 100+ years– while activity during cycle 26 will be lesser in comparison to cycle 25.
Furthermore, and after looking at the solar activity pattern during the study, it is also concluded that the minimum will ‘bottom-out’ around the year 2043.

Fig. 5

Monthly variations of the observed and predicted (dotted) values of the sunspot numbers, F10.7 cm index and Lyman alpha index.

The researchers go on to compare their forecast to the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830) –which also tracks with NASA’s prediction– calling it “very similar” in nature but with a few key differences: “our predicted minimum may be different than the Dalton minima because the Dalton minima happened in between high solar active cycles while cycles 25 and 26 have showed a continuous trend of decreasing solar activity since the last four solar cycles”:

Fig. 6

Yearly average numbers of sunspots (SSN) from the year 1700 to the present and the predicted values.

Detailed historical documentation exists from the Dalton Minimum and we find, as with the deeper Maunder and Spörer Minimums preceding it, that the Dalton coincided with a period of lower-than-average global temperatures, long winters, short summers, crop loss, famine, war, and powerful volcanic eruptions (Mount Tambora erupted during the Dalton Minimum which resulted in The Year Without a Summer in 1816).

Also during the DM, the Oberlach Station in Germany experienced a 2C decline over 20 years, which devastated the country’s food production. The potato crop in Ireland rotted in the ground resulting in widespread starvation. Across Europe, the wheat crops failed leading to bread shortages and food riots and looting. Northern China was also hard hit with thousands of people starving to death. While in southern Asia, torrential rains triggered a cholera epidemic that killed many more.

Singh and Bhargawa add that solar cycles 25 and 26 could in fact be weaker than the Dalton Minimum given “a continuous trend of decreasing solar activity since last four solar cycles”, and the implications for our climate could be extreme: rapidly declining global temperatures will prove disastrous to our modern monocropping ways, as they have done for human food production for time immemorial. Today, our view of the world has been utterly corrupted, and to fear warmth is a completely illogical stance: “Plants and animals thrive in warm climates,” writes Dr Jay Lehr; “Warming is good for life. It is cooling that should concern us. Tropical forests cover less than 12 percent of all land, yet they contain a majority of plant and animal species on earth. The Arctic covers 10 percent of the planet’s land area, but contains only 600 plant species and only 100 species of birds, no reptiles or amphibians, and only 20 mammals.”

We should embrace every bit of warmth we get.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, all in line with with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow; and both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA admitting we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.





Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day



ENVIRONMENT CANADA WARNS OF AN “ABRUPT TRANSITION TO FALL” AS EARLY-SEASON SNOW BURIES THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
SEPTEMBER 8, 2020 CAP ALLON

The historic Arctic blast now battering the U.S. with record low temperatures and early-season snow first tore through the Canadian Prairies on Monday.

Environment Canada issued a special weather statement for much of the Prairies on Sunday, warning of an “abrupt transition to fall” with frost and even heavy snow setting in by Monday.

The GSM did not disappoint, delivering parts of Alberta with a substantial dusting of early-season snowfall:

View: https://twitter.com/APyzalski/status/1303019161799385093


View: https://twitter.com/Chris_Ravary/status/1302987400629514240


From Canada’s Prairies to the U.S. Mountain States, vast regions are in the midst of violent shifts from summer to fall. In less than 24 hours a historic Arctic front is plunging anomalously-far south on the back of weak and wavy meridional jet stream flow –a phenomenon linked to the historically low solar activity we’re currently receiving– and is driving an insane 70F drop from balmy summer highs to frigid winter lows, with heavy snow, for some:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Sept 7 – Sept 11 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The higher elevations of Alberta received 10cm (3.94 inches) of September snow on Monday, with even more accumulating on the east-facing slopes.

View: https://twitter.com/HouckisPokise/status/1302971683960008705


Sunshine Village Ski Resort shared photos of their grounds:

http://instagr.am/p/CE12BkQHvHs/ View: https://www.instagram.com/p/CE12BkQHvHs/?utm_source=ig_embed


An abrupt [and early!] transition to fall: the growing seasons are shortening.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, all in line with with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow; and both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA admitting we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.





Prepare for the COLDlearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

Martinhouse

Veteran Member
Ice Age Farmer has another video up. It's just over ten minutes long and he talks about those seeds that hundreds or more Americans got that appeared to be from China, and just now, a few weeks later, Amazon has said they will stop international shipping of seeds, they will only ship within the United States.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks, Martinhouse! While I was out and about today on medical appointments I was reading somewhere that a good number of people had actually planted some of those seeds. Oh my gosh....

Here's the new IAF podcast Martinhouse mentioned above:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_TZHzwsKGk


Amazon Bans Int'l Seed Sales: Problem, Reaction, Famine: Technocrats Take Control of Seeds
19,576 views • Premiered 4 hours ago

Run time is 10:44

Synopsis provided:

Throughout human history, people have brought seed of their favorite foods -- but no longer. The technocrats are now banning international sales of SEEDS on Amazon/Wish, due to the "dangerous Chinese Mystery Seeds" false flag -- even as parts of the US experience seed shortages! This "Problem/Reaction/Famine" dialectic is actively being used in many areas to engineer food shortages ahead, in order to further a technocratic, transhumanist rewrite of our food system and takeover of society.
 
Top