Firebird, do you have fruit trees? Broccoli does extremely well here in the winter. I can send you some Everglade Tomato seeds if you would like. They grow like weeds and love the heat!
Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux
- Thread starter Dennis Olson
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- grand solar minimum
Firebird, do you have fruit trees? Broccoli does extremely well here in the winter. I can send you some Everglade Tomato seeds if you would like. They grow like weeds and love the heat!
Firebird
Has No Life - Lives on TB
The only fruit trees we have are figs, and they are not producing either. Yes, some tomato seeds would be amazing!
TxGal
Day by day
You're very welcome, jazzy! It's definitely a group effort, when people add what they're seeing and/or doing, it's even better.
TxGal
Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out (Diamond threw in a few non-GSM topics, but most is related):
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFhoP7WxGa4
US To Get Snow In Summer + Snow In The Alps + UK's Coldest July and August? GSM MUCH?- Space Weather
3,509 views • Premiered 6 hours ago
Run time is 29:05
Synopsis provided:
Winter looks 'cold and snowy' some 'crazy in-between "Farmers Almanac" https://fxn.ws/3jyiPYp
First Dusting Of Snow On Peaks Near Aspen https://cbsloc.al/3bfBntl
Snow Possible In Wyoming This Weekend. Because It’s 2020 https://bit.ly/3hIItsT
Say it Ain’t Snow https://bit.ly/3gKp2P9
Snow in Monday forecast for central Idaho mountains https://bit.ly/2Dht0kC
Light mountain Montana snow possible by Monday https://bit.ly/34UismC
GFS Model Total now US https://bit.ly/3lzKf1G
SNOW IN THE ALPS https://bit.ly/3gJa5ga
GFS Model Total Snow Europe https://bit.ly/3gDgGZu
ANTARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT IS CURRENTLY EXCEEDING THE 1981-2010 AVERAGE BY 233,000 KM2, AND GROWING! https://bit.ly/2YNIAfj
Earliest End To Melt Season In The Arctic In 6 Years https://bit.ly/3jtlAdh
Yellowstone's Giantess Geyser erupts for first time in 6 years https://fxn.ws/3jxF8NV
Space Weather News https://spaceweathernews.com/
GOES ELECTRON FLUX https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/go...
Drug used to treat coronavirus in cats may be effective for humans too https://bit.ly/2EOqMtg
Feline coronavirus drug inhibits the main protease of SARS-CoV-2 and blocks virus replication https://www.nature.com/articles/s4146...
Quietly Updated COVID-19 Numbers – Only 9,210 Americans Died From COVID-19 Alone https://bit.ly/2YQsIIT
How long will Democrats pretend the chaos in Portland is normal? https://washex.am/32E7Oho
Portland mayor excoriates Trump: 'It's you who have created the hate' https://cnn.it/2ESh8Gg
Portland Mayor: No I Don't Have a Plan to Stop the Riots, It'll "Burn Itself Out" https://bit.ly/3bbWCME
Energy firm says its nuclear-waste fueled diamond batteries could last thousands of years https://bit.ly/32G4guT
New Study on Mysterious Glow at Heart of Our Galaxy Kills Hypothesis About Dark Matter https://bit.ly/31MLNOh
Strong constraints on thermal relic dark matter from Fermi-LAT observations of the Galactic Center https://bit.ly/2DdNVoF
The September full moon arrives early. When to see the corn moon, the last full moon of summer, which sets up October blue moon. https://bit.ly/2EQbO5U
US To Get Snow In Summer + Snow In The Alps + UK's Coldest July and August? GSM MUCH?- Space Weather
3,509 views • Premiered 6 hours ago
Run time is 29:05
Synopsis provided:
Winter looks 'cold and snowy' some 'crazy in-between "Farmers Almanac" https://fxn.ws/3jyiPYp
First Dusting Of Snow On Peaks Near Aspen https://cbsloc.al/3bfBntl
Snow Possible In Wyoming This Weekend. Because It’s 2020 https://bit.ly/3hIItsT
Say it Ain’t Snow https://bit.ly/3gKp2P9
Snow in Monday forecast for central Idaho mountains https://bit.ly/2Dht0kC
Light mountain Montana snow possible by Monday https://bit.ly/34UismC
GFS Model Total now US https://bit.ly/3lzKf1G
SNOW IN THE ALPS https://bit.ly/3gJa5ga
GFS Model Total Snow Europe https://bit.ly/3gDgGZu
ANTARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT IS CURRENTLY EXCEEDING THE 1981-2010 AVERAGE BY 233,000 KM2, AND GROWING! https://bit.ly/2YNIAfj
Earliest End To Melt Season In The Arctic In 6 Years https://bit.ly/3jtlAdh
Yellowstone's Giantess Geyser erupts for first time in 6 years https://fxn.ws/3jxF8NV
Space Weather News https://spaceweathernews.com/
GOES ELECTRON FLUX https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/go...
Drug used to treat coronavirus in cats may be effective for humans too https://bit.ly/2EOqMtg
Feline coronavirus drug inhibits the main protease of SARS-CoV-2 and blocks virus replication https://www.nature.com/articles/s4146...
Quietly Updated COVID-19 Numbers – Only 9,210 Americans Died From COVID-19 Alone https://bit.ly/2YQsIIT
How long will Democrats pretend the chaos in Portland is normal? https://washex.am/32E7Oho
Portland mayor excoriates Trump: 'It's you who have created the hate' https://cnn.it/2ESh8Gg
Portland Mayor: No I Don't Have a Plan to Stop the Riots, It'll "Burn Itself Out" https://bit.ly/3bbWCME
Energy firm says its nuclear-waste fueled diamond batteries could last thousands of years https://bit.ly/32G4guT
New Study on Mysterious Glow at Heart of Our Galaxy Kills Hypothesis About Dark Matter https://bit.ly/31MLNOh
Strong constraints on thermal relic dark matter from Fermi-LAT observations of the Galactic Center https://bit.ly/2DdNVoF
The September full moon arrives early. When to see the corn moon, the last full moon of summer, which sets up October blue moon. https://bit.ly/2EQbO5U
TxGal
Day by day
Freezing Walkers Rescued from Scottish Mountain as Feels-Like Temperature Plummets to -10C (14F) - Electroverse
A windchill of -10C (14F)? In August? In the UK? 'Nothing to see here', right BBC? Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift.
electroverse.net
FREEZING WALKERS RESCUED FROM SCOTTISH MOUNTAIN AS FEELS-LIKE TEMPERATURE PLUMMETS TO -10C (14F)
AUGUST 31, 2020 CAP ALLON
Braemar and Aberdeen Mountain Rescue Teams were involved in a cold-weather rescue on Cairn Toul Saturday night — Scotland’s fourth highest mountain.
A group of walkers became lost on Cairn Toul in the wee hours of Sunday morning during a 24-hour hike from Cairngorm.
The group of four men, expecting a standard late-August Bank Holiday summer hike, ran into trouble after inclement weather set-in and with temperatures fast-plunging, they made the emergency call.
Mountain rescue reportedly teams struggled with the wild weather but eventually managed to rescue the walkers, who were found “wet, cold and tired” with one “hypothermic”.
“We found them, got them warmed up and were able to help all down to below cloud-base for uplift by helicopter,” said Malcolm McIntyre, of Braemar Mountain Rescue.
“All now safe, well, but tired,” continued McIntyre; “(They) did not appreciate how arduous the Cairngorms can be compared to other areas down south nor the weather; feel-like temperature minus 10 last night on top of Cairn Toul.”
A windchill of -10C (14F)?
In August?
In the UK?
Nothing to report here, right BBC?
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (06z, Mon, Aug 31) — tropicaltidbits.com.
Looking ahead, the rest of the week will hold unseasonably cold across much of western Europe — in fact, barring a one-day warm-up expected on Thurs, Sept 3, the anomalously-frigid conditions look set to persist until at least mid-September:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (Mon, Sept 14) — tropicaltidbits.com.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
Even NASA appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
Arctic Air Delivers Significant Summer Snow to the Higher Elevations of Europe - Electroverse
The final week of August has delivered heavy snowfall across the the Alps and Pyrenees, particularly above 2,000 m (6,500 ft).
electroverse.net
ARCTIC AIR DELIVERS SIGNIFICANT SUMMER SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EUROPE
AUGUST 31, 2020 CAP ALLON
Record-breaking low temperatures have swept Western Europe of late, with the final week of August delivering significant summer snow to the Alps and Pyrenees, particularly above 2,000m (6,500ft).
The snowfall is being greeted as the first of the season at ski areas in Andorra and in the French and Spanish Pyrenees, although a number of glaciers in Austria and Italy have actually been registering substantial dumpings all month.
This was the scene on the Matterhorn –which straddles the Switzerland/Italy border– on Sunday, August 30 (click to enter fullscreen):
View: https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=668249960714720&extid=T9Mia8bY6bigOpdh
Summer snow totaled 20+cm (7.9+ inches) on the Western Alps over the weekend, and, as reported by inthesnow.com, many resorts closed lifts and hiking/biking trails in anticipation of the extreme weather front.
“The Borsat chairlift will remain closed for the day,” announced Radio Val d’Isere. “The Tc de Solaise and the Olympique cable car will be open but only for pedestrians. No access by ski lifts for mountain bikes on the area today because of the weather.”
View: https://twitter.com/radiovaldisere/status/1300015483605917696
Sizable flakes were also falling in nearby Val Thorens, in Les3Vallees:
View: https://twitter.com/Val_Tho/status/1299969756271964163
Saas Fee and Zermatt –in Switzerland– reported big accumulations on their glaciers of late, and will be open for the start of September — as will at least two other glacier ski areas: in Austria (Hintertux), and in Italy (Passo Stelvio).
Skiing is currently already on offer in Italy’s Cervinia –located in the Aosta Valley– on the glacier it shares with Zermatt, reports planetski.eu.
Arctic air has delivered bone-chilling and record-breaking low temperatures to Western Europe of late, with the brutal air descending anonymously-far south on the back of weak and wavy (meridional) jet stream flow:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Aug 30 [tropicaltidbits.com].
And, according to latest GFS runs, there is much more where that came from, particularly through the first half of the week:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Aug 31 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
Even NASA appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
"Rare" and "Surprise" Snowfall on Cape Town's Table Mountain sees Cableway Open Early - Electroverse
In addition, "lots of low-lying snow" was experienced ACROSS SA over the weekend, as a fierce, late-season Antarctic blast tore through.
electroverse.net
“RARE” AND “SURPRISE” SNOWFALL ON CAPE TOWN’S TABLE MOUNTAIN SEES CABLEWAY OPEN EARLY
AUGUST 31, 2020 CAP ALLON
Snow settled on Table Mountain, Cape Town over the weekend as a fierce, late-season Antarctic blast tore through South Africa.
The Table Mountain Aerial Cableway is a cable car transportation system offering visitors a five-minute ride to the peak — it was due to open on Tues, Sept 1, but thanks to the recent “surprise” snowfall, the cableway opened early to allow folks a chance to enjoy the rare dusting.
The Cableway company wrote on Facebook:
“We’re so excited about the snowfall, so we’ve opened two days early. This allows you to also experience this winter wonderland on #TableMountain!”
Rare snow lands on Table Mountain.
The company also posted a video of the summit’s live feed to Twitter:
View: https://twitter.com/TableMountainCa/status/1299649487565139968
It was apparently too cold and windy for anyone to venture up to play in it, but a spokesman for the company said it created so much excitement.
The spokesman added: while sleet is relatively common on Table Mountain, heavy snow such as this was something of a rare event.
View: https://twitter.com/drizzleanddip/status/1299748748600512512
Snow was experienced across many parts of South Africa over the weekend.
Sutherland received a significant dusting:
View: https://twitter.com/StormReportSA1/status/1299589097946841088
While “lots of low-level snow” also accumulated in Matroosberg and Ceres:
View: https://twitter.com/StormReportSA1/status/1299598574033031168
View: https://twitter.com/StormReportSA1/status/1299594615281123328
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
Even NASA appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
You're welcome, Firebird! It really is a group effort, and everything each person shares helps everyone.
TheSearcher
Are you sure about that?
One bit of grain dust ignites very easily, because it is small and relatively dry. When you have a floating cloud of dust that ignites, consider it a fast-moving and floating wildfire, with ignition spreading from dust to dust. It's essentially a detonation.
TxGal
Day by day
Thank you, Searcher! I knew someone would be able to explain it far better than a lengthy article.
Carlyblue
Veteran Member
Martinhouse
Deceased
Carlyblue, thanks for posting that IAF link!
There's another new on on Adapt 2030, too. TxGal, I PM'd you about another video that you might want to check and see if it's suitable for this thread. To me it seems maybe borderline from more than one angle.
There's another new on on Adapt 2030, too. TxGal, I PM'd you about another video that you might want to check and see if it's suitable for this thread. To me it seems maybe borderline from more than one angle.
TxGal
Day by day
Thanks Carlyblue and Martinhouse! It may look like I've been on the forum for a while, but I have it open while I read the pdf of Deep Winter from another thread. Great stuff!!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here's the new one from Adapt 2030. Folks, this is an important one:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k5Kf9Osyy4
Famines in Cycles are Ice Gains the Indicator (1030)
1,771 views • Aug 31, 2020
Run time is 9:51
Synopsis:
Valentina Zharkova coming out with a new updated model of cancelling magnetic waves on the Sun plunging Earth into a deep Grand Solar Minimum, it began early 2020 and from this year we should see anomalies in our oceans and atmosphere far above what we have seen to date. That would explain the reason Greenland has stopped melting a month early and Antarctic sea ice is now above the 1981-2010 historical average. Plus new finds in the Caral Civilization of Peru show a 3600 year famine cycle overlapping these years as well.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here's the new one from Adapt 2030. Folks, this is an important one:
Famines in Cycles are Ice Gains the Indicator (1030)
1,771 views • Aug 31, 2020
Run time is 9:51
Synopsis:
Valentina Zharkova coming out with a new updated model of cancelling magnetic waves on the Sun plunging Earth into a deep Grand Solar Minimum, it began early 2020 and from this year we should see anomalies in our oceans and atmosphere far above what we have seen to date. That would explain the reason Greenland has stopped melting a month early and Antarctic sea ice is now above the 1981-2010 historical average. Plus new finds in the Caral Civilization of Peru show a 3600 year famine cycle overlapping these years as well.
Martinhouse
Deceased
Ice Age Farmer is just now premiering yet another short video.
"When Gardens Are Outlawed, Only Criminals Will Grow Food."
rt is 13:21 minutes.
"When Gardens Are Outlawed, Only Criminals Will Grow Food."
rt is 13:21 minutes.
Carlyblue
Veteran Member
Martinhouse
Deceased
Thanks!
TxGal
Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=is6s7Hc998M
Summer Snow Confirmed Everywhere - Space Weather Uptick Explained - 250,000 Without Power For Months
4,008 views • Premiered 6 hours ago
Run time is 16:26
Synopsis:
COLD FRONT BRINGS SNOW TO WYOMING, FREEZE WARNING ISSUED https://bit.ly/32HQ1pr
Summer Snow in Montana https://bit.ly/2Dfu3RV
Summer snow in Colorado forecast tonight https://bit.ly/3lBC70H
Excessive Rain for South-Central U.S.; Tropical Depression Fifteen http://bit.ly/2p2GER3
Some Louisiana residents won't have power for weeks, if not months, after Hurricane Laura https://cnn.it/3lFCgR0
Power Outage US https://poweroutage.us/
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a new tropical depression plus two other areas for potential development https://cnn.it/2DfAggI
NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic https://bit.ly/2ESlDAB
Ongoing earthquake swarm in Krýsuvík and Reykjanes volcanoes boundaries https://bit.ly/313mSWn
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Space Weather https://spaceweathernews.com/
ARCTIC AIR DELIVERS SIGNIFICANT SUMMER SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EUROPE https://bit.ly/2EWRGz5
FREEZING WALKERS RESCUED FROM SCOTTISH MOUNTAIN AS FEELS-LIKE TEMPERATURE PLUMMETS TO -10C (14F) https://bit.ly/3lLOSWK
“RARE” AND “SURPRISE” SNOWFALL ON CAPE TOWN’S TABLE MOUNTAIN SEES CABLEWAY OPEN EARLY https://bit.ly/32NewBw
Full Corn Moon on September 1-2 https://earthsky.org/?p=336859
Summer Snow Confirmed Everywhere - Space Weather Uptick Explained - 250,000 Without Power For Months
4,008 views • Premiered 6 hours ago
Run time is 16:26
Synopsis:
COLD FRONT BRINGS SNOW TO WYOMING, FREEZE WARNING ISSUED https://bit.ly/32HQ1pr
Summer Snow in Montana https://bit.ly/2Dfu3RV
Summer snow in Colorado forecast tonight https://bit.ly/3lBC70H
Excessive Rain for South-Central U.S.; Tropical Depression Fifteen http://bit.ly/2p2GER3
Some Louisiana residents won't have power for weeks, if not months, after Hurricane Laura https://cnn.it/3lFCgR0
Power Outage US https://poweroutage.us/
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a new tropical depression plus two other areas for potential development https://cnn.it/2DfAggI
NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic https://bit.ly/2ESlDAB
Ongoing earthquake swarm in Krýsuvík and Reykjanes volcanoes boundaries https://bit.ly/313mSWn
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Space Weather https://spaceweathernews.com/
ARCTIC AIR DELIVERS SIGNIFICANT SUMMER SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EUROPE https://bit.ly/2EWRGz5
FREEZING WALKERS RESCUED FROM SCOTTISH MOUNTAIN AS FEELS-LIKE TEMPERATURE PLUMMETS TO -10C (14F) https://bit.ly/3lLOSWK
“RARE” AND “SURPRISE” SNOWFALL ON CAPE TOWN’S TABLE MOUNTAIN SEES CABLEWAY OPEN EARLY https://bit.ly/32NewBw
Full Corn Moon on September 1-2 https://earthsky.org/?p=336859
TxGal
Day by day
The Grand Solar Minimum News has a new podcast out:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr5AmV2udvw
Zharkova's Latest Paper confirms Cooling on the Way! / Another G1 storm!
3,138 views • Streamed live 12 hours ago
Run time is 51:38
Synopsis:
More confirmation on Zharkova's latest report that the world has entered the Grand Solar Minimum
Zharkova's Latest Paper confirms Cooling on the Way! / Another G1 storm!
3,138 views • Streamed live 12 hours ago
Run time is 51:38
Synopsis:
More confirmation on Zharkova's latest report that the world has entered the Grand Solar Minimum
TxGal
Day by day
The Grand Solar Minimum News posted the link to Zharkova's full report. I'm attempting to bring it over here. It will likely be more than one post:
Modern Grand Solar Minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling
Valentina Zharkova
Published online: 04 Aug 2020
In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.
Sun is the main source of energy for all planets of the solar system. This energy is delivered to Earth in a form of solar radiation in different wavelengths, called total solar irradiance. Variations of solar irradiance lead to heating of upper planetary atmosphere and complex processes of solar energy transport toward a planetary surface.
The signs of solar activity are seen in cyclic 11-year variations of a number of sunspots on the solar surface using averaged monthly sunspot numbers as a proxy of solar activity for the past 150 years. Solar cycles were described by the action of solar dynamo mechanism in the solar interior generating magnetic ropes at the bottom of solar convective zone.
These magnetic ropes travel through the solar interior appearing on the solar surface, or photosphere, as sunspots indicating the footpoints where these magnetic ropes are embedded into the photosphere.
Magnetic field of sunspots forms toroidal field while solar background magnetic field forms poloidal field. Solar dynamo cyclically converts poloidal field into toroidal one reaching its maximum at a solar cycle maximum and then the toroidal field back to the poloidal one toward a solar minimum. It is evident that for the same leading polarity of the magnetic field in sunspots in the same hemisphere the solar cycle length should be extended to 22 years.
Despite understanding the general picture of a solar cycle, it was rather difficult to match the observed sunspot numbers with the modeled ones unless the cycle is well progressed. This difficulty is a clear indication of some missing points in the definition of solar activity by sunspot numbers that turned our attention to the research of solar (poloidal) background magnetic field (SBMF) [1].
By applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to the low-resolution full disk magnetograms captured in cycles 21–23 by the Wilcox Solar Observatory, we discovered not one but two principal components of this solar background magnetic field (see Figure 1, top plot) associated with two magnetic waves marked by red and blue lines. The authors derived mathematical formulae for these two waves fitting principal components from the data of cycles 21–23 with the series of periodic functions and used these formulae to predict these waves for cycles 24–26. These two waves are found generated in different layers of the solar interior gaining close but not equal frequencies [1]. The summary curve of these two magnetic waves (Figure 1, bottom plot) reveals the interference of these waves forming maxima and minima of solar cycles.
Figure 1. Top plot: two principal components (PCs) of solar background magnetic field (blue and green curves, arbitrary numbers) obtained for cycles 21–23 (historic data) and predicted for cycles 24–26 using the mathematical formulae derived from the historical data (from the data by Zharkova et al. [1]). The bottom plot: The summary curve derived from the two PCs above for the “historical” data (cycles 21–23) and predicted for solar cycle 24 (2008–2019), cycle 25 (2020–2031), cycle 26 (2031–2042) (from the data by Zharkova et al. [1]).
The summary curve of two magnetic waves explains many features of 11-year cycles, like double maxima in some cycles, or asymmetry of the solar activity in the opposite hemispheres during different cycles. Zharkova et al. [1] linked the modulus summary curve to the averaged sunspot numbers for cycles 21–23 as shown in Figure 2 (top plot) and extended this curve to cycles 24–26 as shown in Figure 2 (bottom plot). It appears that the amplitude of the summary solar magnetic field shown in the summary curve is reducing toward cycles 24–25 becoming nearly zero in cycle 26.
Figure 2. Top plot: The modulus summary curve (black curve) obtained from the summary curve (Figure 1, bottom plot) versus the averaged sunspot numbers (red curve) for the historical data (cycles 21–23). Bottom plot: The modulus summary curve associated with the sunspot numbers derived for cycles 21–23 (and calculated for cycles 24–26 (built from the data obtained by Zharkova et al. [1])).
Zharkova et al. [1] suggested to use the summary curve as a new proxy of solar activity, which utilizes not only amplitude of a solar cycle but also its leading magnetic polarity of solar magnetic field.
Figure 3. Solar activity (summary) curve restored for 1200–3300 AD (built from the data obtained by Zharkova et al. [1]).
Figure 3 presents the summary curve calculated with the derived mathematical formulae forwards for 1200 years and backwards 800 years. This curve reveals appearance of Grand Solar Cycles of 350–400 years caused by the interference of two magnetic waves. These grand cycles are separated by the grand solar minima, or the periods of very low solar activity [1]. The previous grand solar minimum was Maunder minimum (1645–1710), and the other one before named Wolf minimum (1270–1350). As seen in Figure 3 from prediction by Zharkova et al. [1], in the next 500 years there are two modern grand solar minima approaching in the Sun: the modern one in the 21st century (2020–2053) and the second one in the 24th century (2370–2415).
The observational properties of the two magnetic waves and their summary curve were closely fit by double dynamo waves generated by dipole magnetic sources in two layers of the solar interior: inner and outer layers [1], while other three pairs of magnetic waves can be produced by quadruple, sextuple, and octuple magnetic sources altogether with dipole source defining the visible appearance of solar activity on the surface.
Currently, the Sun has completed solar cycle 24 – the weakest cycle of the past 100+ years – and in 2020, has started cycle 25. During the periods of low solar activity, such as the modern grand solar minimum, the Sun will often be devoid of sunspots. This is what is observed now at the start of this minimum, because in 2020 the Sun has seen, in total, 115 spotless days (or 78%), meaning 2020 is on track to surpass the space-age record of 281 spotless days (or 77%) observed in 2019. However, the cycle 25 start is still slow in firing active regions and flares, so with every extra day/week/month that passes, the null in solar activity is extended marking a start of grand solar minimum. What are the consequences for Earth of this decrease of solar activity?
(Continued below)
Modern Grand Solar Minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling
Valentina Zharkova
Published online: 04 Aug 2020
In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.
Sun is the main source of energy for all planets of the solar system. This energy is delivered to Earth in a form of solar radiation in different wavelengths, called total solar irradiance. Variations of solar irradiance lead to heating of upper planetary atmosphere and complex processes of solar energy transport toward a planetary surface.
The signs of solar activity are seen in cyclic 11-year variations of a number of sunspots on the solar surface using averaged monthly sunspot numbers as a proxy of solar activity for the past 150 years. Solar cycles were described by the action of solar dynamo mechanism in the solar interior generating magnetic ropes at the bottom of solar convective zone.
These magnetic ropes travel through the solar interior appearing on the solar surface, or photosphere, as sunspots indicating the footpoints where these magnetic ropes are embedded into the photosphere.
Magnetic field of sunspots forms toroidal field while solar background magnetic field forms poloidal field. Solar dynamo cyclically converts poloidal field into toroidal one reaching its maximum at a solar cycle maximum and then the toroidal field back to the poloidal one toward a solar minimum. It is evident that for the same leading polarity of the magnetic field in sunspots in the same hemisphere the solar cycle length should be extended to 22 years.
Despite understanding the general picture of a solar cycle, it was rather difficult to match the observed sunspot numbers with the modeled ones unless the cycle is well progressed. This difficulty is a clear indication of some missing points in the definition of solar activity by sunspot numbers that turned our attention to the research of solar (poloidal) background magnetic field (SBMF) [1].
By applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to the low-resolution full disk magnetograms captured in cycles 21–23 by the Wilcox Solar Observatory, we discovered not one but two principal components of this solar background magnetic field (see Figure 1, top plot) associated with two magnetic waves marked by red and blue lines. The authors derived mathematical formulae for these two waves fitting principal components from the data of cycles 21–23 with the series of periodic functions and used these formulae to predict these waves for cycles 24–26. These two waves are found generated in different layers of the solar interior gaining close but not equal frequencies [1]. The summary curve of these two magnetic waves (Figure 1, bottom plot) reveals the interference of these waves forming maxima and minima of solar cycles.
Figure 1. Top plot: two principal components (PCs) of solar background magnetic field (blue and green curves, arbitrary numbers) obtained for cycles 21–23 (historic data) and predicted for cycles 24–26 using the mathematical formulae derived from the historical data (from the data by Zharkova et al. [1]). The bottom plot: The summary curve derived from the two PCs above for the “historical” data (cycles 21–23) and predicted for solar cycle 24 (2008–2019), cycle 25 (2020–2031), cycle 26 (2031–2042) (from the data by Zharkova et al. [1]).
The summary curve of two magnetic waves explains many features of 11-year cycles, like double maxima in some cycles, or asymmetry of the solar activity in the opposite hemispheres during different cycles. Zharkova et al. [1] linked the modulus summary curve to the averaged sunspot numbers for cycles 21–23 as shown in Figure 2 (top plot) and extended this curve to cycles 24–26 as shown in Figure 2 (bottom plot). It appears that the amplitude of the summary solar magnetic field shown in the summary curve is reducing toward cycles 24–25 becoming nearly zero in cycle 26.
Figure 2. Top plot: The modulus summary curve (black curve) obtained from the summary curve (Figure 1, bottom plot) versus the averaged sunspot numbers (red curve) for the historical data (cycles 21–23). Bottom plot: The modulus summary curve associated with the sunspot numbers derived for cycles 21–23 (and calculated for cycles 24–26 (built from the data obtained by Zharkova et al. [1])).
Zharkova et al. [1] suggested to use the summary curve as a new proxy of solar activity, which utilizes not only amplitude of a solar cycle but also its leading magnetic polarity of solar magnetic field.
Figure 3. Solar activity (summary) curve restored for 1200–3300 AD (built from the data obtained by Zharkova et al. [1]).
Figure 3 presents the summary curve calculated with the derived mathematical formulae forwards for 1200 years and backwards 800 years. This curve reveals appearance of Grand Solar Cycles of 350–400 years caused by the interference of two magnetic waves. These grand cycles are separated by the grand solar minima, or the periods of very low solar activity [1]. The previous grand solar minimum was Maunder minimum (1645–1710), and the other one before named Wolf minimum (1270–1350). As seen in Figure 3 from prediction by Zharkova et al. [1], in the next 500 years there are two modern grand solar minima approaching in the Sun: the modern one in the 21st century (2020–2053) and the second one in the 24th century (2370–2415).
The observational properties of the two magnetic waves and their summary curve were closely fit by double dynamo waves generated by dipole magnetic sources in two layers of the solar interior: inner and outer layers [1], while other three pairs of magnetic waves can be produced by quadruple, sextuple, and octuple magnetic sources altogether with dipole source defining the visible appearance of solar activity on the surface.
Currently, the Sun has completed solar cycle 24 – the weakest cycle of the past 100+ years – and in 2020, has started cycle 25. During the periods of low solar activity, such as the modern grand solar minimum, the Sun will often be devoid of sunspots. This is what is observed now at the start of this minimum, because in 2020 the Sun has seen, in total, 115 spotless days (or 78%), meaning 2020 is on track to surpass the space-age record of 281 spotless days (or 77%) observed in 2019. However, the cycle 25 start is still slow in firing active regions and flares, so with every extra day/week/month that passes, the null in solar activity is extended marking a start of grand solar minimum. What are the consequences for Earth of this decrease of solar activity?
(Continued below)
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TxGal
Day by day
Zharkova Continued:
Total solar irradiance (TSI) reduction during Maunder Minimum
Let us explore what has happened with the solar irradiance during the previous grand solar minimum – Maunder Minimum. During this period, very few sunspots appeared on the surface of the Sun, and the overall brightness of the Sun was slightly decreased.
The reconstruction of the cycle-averaged solar total irradiance back to 1610 (Figure 4, top plot) suggests a decrease of the solar irradiance during Maunder minimum by a value of about 3 W/m2 [2], or about 0.22% of the total solar irradiance in 1710, after the Maunder minimum was over.
Temperature decrease during Maunder minimum
From 1645 to 1710, the temperatures across much of the Northern Hemisphere of the Earth plunged when the Sun entered a quiet phase now called the Maunder Minimum. This likely occurred because the total solar irradiance was reduced by 0.22%, shown in Figure 4 (top plot) [2], that led to a decrease of the average terrestrial temperature measured mainly in the Northern hemisphere in Europe by 1.0–1.5°C as shown in Figure 4 (bottom plot) [3]. This seemingly small decrease of the average temperature in the Northern hemisphere led to frozen rivers, cold long winters, and cold summers.
Figure 4. Top plot: restored total solar irradiance from 1600 until 2014 by Lean et al. [2]. Modified by Easterbrook [3], from Lean, Beer, Bradley [2]. Bottom plot: Central England temperatures (CET) recorded continuously since 1658. Blue areas are reoccurring cool periods; red areas are warm periods. All times of solar minima were coincident with cool periods in central England. Adopted from Easterbrook [3], with the Elsevier publisher permissions.
The surface temperature of the Earth was reduced all over the Globe (see Figure 1 in [4]), especially, in the countries of Northern hemisphere. Europe and North America went into a deep freeze: alpine glaciers extended over valley farmland; sea ice crept south from the Arctic; Dunab and Thames rivers froze regularly during these years as well as the famous canals in the Netherlands.
Shindell et al. [4] have shown that the drop in the temperature was related to dropped abundances of ozone created by solar ultra-violate light in the stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere located between 10 and 50 kilometers from the Earth’s surface. Since during the Maunder Minimum the Sun emitted less radiation, in total, including strong ultraviolet emission, less ozone was formed affecting planetary atmosphere waves, the giant wiggles in the jet stream.
Shindell et al. [4] in p. 2150 suggest that “a change to the planetary waves during the Maunder Minimum kicked the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – the balance between a permanent low-pressure system near Greenland and a permanent high-pressure system to its south – into a negative phase, that led to Europe to remain unusually cold during the MM.”
Role of magnetic field in terrestrial cooling in Grand Solar Minima
However, not only solar radiation was changed during Maunder minimum. There is another contributor to the reduction of terrestrial temperature during Maunder minimum – this is the solar background magnetic field, whose role has been overlooked so far. After the discovery [1] of a significant reduction of magnetic field in the upcoming modern grand solar minimum and during Maunder minimum, the solar magnetic field was recognized to control the level of cosmic rays reaching planetary atmospheres of the solar system, including the Earth. A significant reduction of the solar magnetic field during grand solar minima will undoubtedly lead to the increase of intensity of galactic and extra-galactic cosmic rays, which, in turn, lead to a formation of high clouds in the terrestrial atmospheres and assist to atmospheric cooling as shown by Svensmark et al. [5].
In the previous solar minimum between cycles 23 and 24, the cosmic ray intensity increased by 19%. Currently, solar magnetic field predicted in Figure 1 by Zharkova et al. [1] is radically dropping in the sun that, in turn, leads to a sharp decline in the sun’s interplanetary magnetic field down to only 4 nanoTesla (nT) from typical values of 6 to 8 nT. This decrease of interplanetary magnetic field naturally leads to a significant increase of the intensity of cosmic rays passing to the planet’s atmospheres as reported by the recent space missions [6]. Hence, this process of solar magnetic field reduction is progressing as predicted by Zharkova et al. [1], and its contribution will be absorbed by the planetary atmospheres including Earth. This can decrease the terrestrial temperature during the modern grand solar minimum that has already started in 2020.
Expected reduction of terrestrial temperature in modern Grand Solar Minima
This summary curve also indicated the upcoming modern grand solar minimum 1 in cycles 25–27 (2020–2053) and modern grand solar minimum 2 (2370–2415). This will bring to the modern times the unique low activity conditions of the Sun, which occurred during Maunder minimum. It is expected that during the modern grand solar minimum, the solar activity will be reduced significantly as this happened during Maunder minimum (Figure 4, bottom plot). Similarly to Maunder Minimum, as discussed above, the reduction of solar magnetic field will cause a decrease of solar irradiance by about 0.22% for a duration of three solar cycles (25–27) for the first modern grand minimum (2020–2053) and four solar cycles from the second modern grand minimum (2370–2415).
This, in turn, can lead to a drop of the terrestrial temperature by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature during the next three cycles (25–27) of grand minimum 1. The largest temperature drops will be approaching during the local minima between cycles 25 − 26 and cycles 26–27 when the lowest solar activity level is achieved using the estimations in Figure 2 (bottom plot) and Figure 3. Therefore, the average temperature in the Northern hemisphere can be reduced by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature, which was increased by 1.4°C since Maunder minimum. This will result in the average temperature to become lower than the current one to be only 0.4°C higher than the temperature measured in 1710. Then, after the modern grand solar minimum 1 is over, the solar activity in cycle 28 will be restored to normal in the rather short but powerful grand solar cycle lasting between 2053 and 2370, as shown in Figure 3, before it approaches the next grand solar minimum 2 in 2370.
(Continued below)
Total solar irradiance (TSI) reduction during Maunder Minimum
Let us explore what has happened with the solar irradiance during the previous grand solar minimum – Maunder Minimum. During this period, very few sunspots appeared on the surface of the Sun, and the overall brightness of the Sun was slightly decreased.
The reconstruction of the cycle-averaged solar total irradiance back to 1610 (Figure 4, top plot) suggests a decrease of the solar irradiance during Maunder minimum by a value of about 3 W/m2 [2], or about 0.22% of the total solar irradiance in 1710, after the Maunder minimum was over.
Temperature decrease during Maunder minimum
From 1645 to 1710, the temperatures across much of the Northern Hemisphere of the Earth plunged when the Sun entered a quiet phase now called the Maunder Minimum. This likely occurred because the total solar irradiance was reduced by 0.22%, shown in Figure 4 (top plot) [2], that led to a decrease of the average terrestrial temperature measured mainly in the Northern hemisphere in Europe by 1.0–1.5°C as shown in Figure 4 (bottom plot) [3]. This seemingly small decrease of the average temperature in the Northern hemisphere led to frozen rivers, cold long winters, and cold summers.
Figure 4. Top plot: restored total solar irradiance from 1600 until 2014 by Lean et al. [2]. Modified by Easterbrook [3], from Lean, Beer, Bradley [2]. Bottom plot: Central England temperatures (CET) recorded continuously since 1658. Blue areas are reoccurring cool periods; red areas are warm periods. All times of solar minima were coincident with cool periods in central England. Adopted from Easterbrook [3], with the Elsevier publisher permissions.
The surface temperature of the Earth was reduced all over the Globe (see Figure 1 in [4]), especially, in the countries of Northern hemisphere. Europe and North America went into a deep freeze: alpine glaciers extended over valley farmland; sea ice crept south from the Arctic; Dunab and Thames rivers froze regularly during these years as well as the famous canals in the Netherlands.
Shindell et al. [4] have shown that the drop in the temperature was related to dropped abundances of ozone created by solar ultra-violate light in the stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere located between 10 and 50 kilometers from the Earth’s surface. Since during the Maunder Minimum the Sun emitted less radiation, in total, including strong ultraviolet emission, less ozone was formed affecting planetary atmosphere waves, the giant wiggles in the jet stream.
Shindell et al. [4] in p. 2150 suggest that “a change to the planetary waves during the Maunder Minimum kicked the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – the balance between a permanent low-pressure system near Greenland and a permanent high-pressure system to its south – into a negative phase, that led to Europe to remain unusually cold during the MM.”
Role of magnetic field in terrestrial cooling in Grand Solar Minima
However, not only solar radiation was changed during Maunder minimum. There is another contributor to the reduction of terrestrial temperature during Maunder minimum – this is the solar background magnetic field, whose role has been overlooked so far. After the discovery [1] of a significant reduction of magnetic field in the upcoming modern grand solar minimum and during Maunder minimum, the solar magnetic field was recognized to control the level of cosmic rays reaching planetary atmospheres of the solar system, including the Earth. A significant reduction of the solar magnetic field during grand solar minima will undoubtedly lead to the increase of intensity of galactic and extra-galactic cosmic rays, which, in turn, lead to a formation of high clouds in the terrestrial atmospheres and assist to atmospheric cooling as shown by Svensmark et al. [5].
In the previous solar minimum between cycles 23 and 24, the cosmic ray intensity increased by 19%. Currently, solar magnetic field predicted in Figure 1 by Zharkova et al. [1] is radically dropping in the sun that, in turn, leads to a sharp decline in the sun’s interplanetary magnetic field down to only 4 nanoTesla (nT) from typical values of 6 to 8 nT. This decrease of interplanetary magnetic field naturally leads to a significant increase of the intensity of cosmic rays passing to the planet’s atmospheres as reported by the recent space missions [6]. Hence, this process of solar magnetic field reduction is progressing as predicted by Zharkova et al. [1], and its contribution will be absorbed by the planetary atmospheres including Earth. This can decrease the terrestrial temperature during the modern grand solar minimum that has already started in 2020.
Expected reduction of terrestrial temperature in modern Grand Solar Minima
This summary curve also indicated the upcoming modern grand solar minimum 1 in cycles 25–27 (2020–2053) and modern grand solar minimum 2 (2370–2415). This will bring to the modern times the unique low activity conditions of the Sun, which occurred during Maunder minimum. It is expected that during the modern grand solar minimum, the solar activity will be reduced significantly as this happened during Maunder minimum (Figure 4, bottom plot). Similarly to Maunder Minimum, as discussed above, the reduction of solar magnetic field will cause a decrease of solar irradiance by about 0.22% for a duration of three solar cycles (25–27) for the first modern grand minimum (2020–2053) and four solar cycles from the second modern grand minimum (2370–2415).
This, in turn, can lead to a drop of the terrestrial temperature by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature during the next three cycles (25–27) of grand minimum 1. The largest temperature drops will be approaching during the local minima between cycles 25 − 26 and cycles 26–27 when the lowest solar activity level is achieved using the estimations in Figure 2 (bottom plot) and Figure 3. Therefore, the average temperature in the Northern hemisphere can be reduced by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature, which was increased by 1.4°C since Maunder minimum. This will result in the average temperature to become lower than the current one to be only 0.4°C higher than the temperature measured in 1710. Then, after the modern grand solar minimum 1 is over, the solar activity in cycle 28 will be restored to normal in the rather short but powerful grand solar cycle lasting between 2053 and 2370, as shown in Figure 3, before it approaches the next grand solar minimum 2 in 2370.
(Continued below)
Last edited:
TxGal
Day by day
Zharkova Continued:
Conclusions
In this editorial, I have demonstrated that the recent progress with understanding a role of the solar background magnetic field in defining solar activity and with quantifying the observed magnitudes of magnetic field at different times allowed us to enable reliable long-term prediction of solar activity on a millennium timescale. This approach revealed a presence of not only 11-year solar cycles but also of grand solar cycles with duration of 350–400 years. We demonstrated that these grand cycles are formed by the interferences of two magnetic waves with close but not equal frequencies produced by the double solar dynamo action at different depths of the solar interior. These grand cycles are always separated by grand solar minima of Maunder minimum type, which regularly occurred in the past forming well-known Maunder, Wolf, Oort, Homeric, and other grand minima.
During these grand solar minima, there is a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance, which impose the reduction of terrestrial temperatures derived for these periods from the analysis of terrestrial biomass during the past 12,000 or more years. The most recent grand solar minimum occurred during Maunder Minimum (1645–1710), which led to reduction of solar irradiance by 0.22% from the modern one and a decrease of the average terrestrial temperature by 1.0–1.5°C.
This discovery of double dynamo action in the Sun brought us a timely warning about the upcoming grand solar minimum 1, when solar magnetic field and its magnetic activity will be reduced by 70%. This period has started in the Sun in 2020 and will last until 2053. During this modern grand minimum, one would expect to see a reduction of the average terrestrial temperature by up to 1.0°C, especially, during the periods of solar minima between the cycles 25–26 and 26–27, e.g. in the decade 2031–2043.
The reduction of a terrestrial temperature during the next 30 years can have important implications for different parts of the planet on growing vegetation, agriculture, food supplies, and heating needs in both Northern and Southern hemispheres. This global cooling during the upcoming grand solar minimum 1 (2020–2053) can offset for three decades any signs of global warming and would require inter-government efforts to tackle problems with heat and food supplies for the whole population of the Earth.
Conclusions
In this editorial, I have demonstrated that the recent progress with understanding a role of the solar background magnetic field in defining solar activity and with quantifying the observed magnitudes of magnetic field at different times allowed us to enable reliable long-term prediction of solar activity on a millennium timescale. This approach revealed a presence of not only 11-year solar cycles but also of grand solar cycles with duration of 350–400 years. We demonstrated that these grand cycles are formed by the interferences of two magnetic waves with close but not equal frequencies produced by the double solar dynamo action at different depths of the solar interior. These grand cycles are always separated by grand solar minima of Maunder minimum type, which regularly occurred in the past forming well-known Maunder, Wolf, Oort, Homeric, and other grand minima.
During these grand solar minima, there is a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance, which impose the reduction of terrestrial temperatures derived for these periods from the analysis of terrestrial biomass during the past 12,000 or more years. The most recent grand solar minimum occurred during Maunder Minimum (1645–1710), which led to reduction of solar irradiance by 0.22% from the modern one and a decrease of the average terrestrial temperature by 1.0–1.5°C.
This discovery of double dynamo action in the Sun brought us a timely warning about the upcoming grand solar minimum 1, when solar magnetic field and its magnetic activity will be reduced by 70%. This period has started in the Sun in 2020 and will last until 2053. During this modern grand minimum, one would expect to see a reduction of the average terrestrial temperature by up to 1.0°C, especially, during the periods of solar minima between the cycles 25–26 and 26–27, e.g. in the decade 2031–2043.
The reduction of a terrestrial temperature during the next 30 years can have important implications for different parts of the planet on growing vegetation, agriculture, food supplies, and heating needs in both Northern and Southern hemispheres. This global cooling during the upcoming grand solar minimum 1 (2020–2053) can offset for three decades any signs of global warming and would require inter-government efforts to tackle problems with heat and food supplies for the whole population of the Earth.
- References
- ZharkovaVV, ShepherdSJ, PopovaE, et al. Heartbeat of the sun from principal component analysis and prediction of solar activity on a millennium timescale. Sci Rep. 2015;5:15689. Available from: Heartbeat of the Sun from Principal Component Analysis and prediction of solar activity on a millenium timescale [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®], [Google Scholar]
- LeanJL, BeerJ, BradleyR. Reconstruction of solar irradiance since 1610: implications for climatic change. Geophys Res Lett. 1995;22:3195–3198. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®], [Google Scholar]
- EasterbrookDJ . Cause of global climate changes. In: Evidence-based climate science. 2nd ed. Elsevier Inc.; 2016. p. 245–262. [Crossref], [Google Scholar]
- ShindellDT, SchmidtGA, MannME, et al. Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder minimum. Science. 2001;294:2149. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®], [Google Scholar]
- SvensmarkH, EnghoffMB, ShavivNJ, et al. Increased ionization supports growth of aerosols into cloud condensation nuclei. Nat Comms. 2017;8:2199. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®], [Google Scholar]
- SchwadronNA, RahmanifardF, WilsonJ, et al. Update on the worsening particle radiation environment observed by CRaTER and implications for future human deep-space exploration. Space Weather. 2018;16:289–303. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®], [Google Scholar]
TxGal
Day by day
Spain suffers "Unusually Early Snowfall" as Temperatures Sink Well-Below Average - Electroverse
If all you consume is the MSM then you are being desperately misinformed about the state of our planet: you are a herded sheep.
electroverse.net
SPAIN SUFFERS “UNUSUALLY EARLY SNOWFALL” AS TEMPERATURES SINK WELL-BELOW AVERAGE
SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 CAP ALLON
When solar activity is HIGH the jet stream is tight and stable and follows somewhat of a straight path. But when solar activity is LOW that meandering band of air flowing 6 miles above our heads becomes weak and wavy–it effectively buckles which diverts frigid Polar air to atypically low latitudes and replaces it with warmer tropical air.
Under times of low solar output –such as we’re historically low activity experiencing now– the jet stream reverts from a Zonal Flow to a Meridional Flow and, depending on which side of the jet stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or hot weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions.
This forcing FULLY explains why some far-northern latitudes (such as parts of Siberia) have been experiencing pockets of anomalous heat of late, while the lower-latitudes have been dealing with “blobs” of record cold — there is no need to throw a politicized, taxable, guilt-ridden factor (CO2) into the mix to explain the phenomenon.
As reported yesterday by thelocal.es, summer came to an abrupt end in the mountains of northern Spain this weekend when a sudden cold snap left the Picos de Europa range buried under a blanket of white.
The snow, which was substantial in some parts, fell on the rugged peaks stretching from Leon through the Principalities of Asturias and Cantabria.
Locals were quick to document what they called the “unusually early snowfall”:
View: https://www.facebook.com/316453691754421/videos/659448281339456/?t=6
The whole of western Europe has experienced a sharp drop in temperatures of late as a brutal polar air mass continues to ride anonymously-far south to atypically low latitudes — a phenomenon which is linked, as mentioned above, to the historically low solar activity we’re suffering and its impact on the jet stream.
It’s frustrating that our western media ignores summer scenes such as these:
View: https://twitter.com/mountain_comedy/status/1299653320555012096
If all you consume is the MSM then you are being desperately misinformed about the state of our planet:
View: https://twitter.com/NOROMET18/status/1299996983193669634
View: https://twitter.com/iberiameteo/status/1299766229385830402
Earth’s climate is changing alright, there’s little doubt about that.
But it’s the Sun that’s the driving force, not Man and his puny CO2-excretions.
We’ve known the above outlined mechanisms for decades, as the below article from 1975’s Science Mag would indicate, but as they clash with the modern politicized AGW agenda they’ve conveniently been forgotten:
And let’s take a closer look at the that Northern Hemisphere chart.
Look at the sharp drop in temperature from 1938 to 1966 (or thereabouts) which actually coincided with exponentially-rising atmospheric CO2 levels:
Our agenda-driven and increasingly-desperate government agencies couldn’t explain this inconvenient truth, and so they worked a way of removing it altogether from the datasets.
For more on NASA’s blatant fraud, click the link below:
NASA's "Smoking Gun" of Climate Fraud - Electroverse
NASA have cooled the past so as to create a fake modern warming trend that correlates almost-perfectly with rising atmospheric CO2 levels.
electroverse.net
To conclude, there is ZERO correlation between the global average temperature and atmospheric CO2 levels — the global warming theory is scientifically baseless, an insult to logic, and further proof that we humans are a bunch of easily-herded sheep, dutifully following instruction from on high.
The science of our climate, however, as we currently understand it, suggest that it is in fact the COLD TIMES which are returning, which are bringing about the REFREEZING of the mid-latitudes; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
Even NASA appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
France breaks Monthly Cold Record - Electroverse
Europe's punishing late-summer cold front has been busy taking names across the western half of the continent. #GrandSolarMinimum
electroverse.net
FRANCE BREAKS MONTHLY COLD RECORD
SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 CAP ALLON
Europe’s punishing late-summer cold front has been busy taking names across the western half of the continent.
The UK has just suffered-through one of it coldest August Bank Holiday weekends ever recorded, the Alps and Pyrenees have recently received heavy summer snow, and now the French are reporting all-time record August lows:
As reported by meteo.bzh, a monthly cold record has just been broken at the Brest-Guipavas airport –located in NW France– where a minimum temperature of 5.8C (42.4F) was registered.
A plunging Arctic air mass was responsible — a phenomenon on the increase due to the historically low solar activity we’re receiving (see meridional jet stream flow). A lack of wind and the absence of cloud cover at night also contributed to the plummeting temps, according to meteo.bzh.
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies from Aug 31 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Monday’s 5.8C comfortably surpassed the previous all-time record –the 6.4C (43.5F) set on August 30, 2018– to become the region’s coldest-ever August temperature in data going back some 80 years.
The frigid conditions look set to persist through the rest of the week, and then, looking further ahead, after an unsettled 6-or-so days the anomalous Arctic cold is expected to return on Sept 9, with additional all-time cold records forecast to topple on Sept 10:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for Sept 10 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
Even NASA appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
Big cold front coming down soon for much of the country (I won't complain much, we've been at 100+ for weeks (we hit 103 yesterday), just a touch of rain). We're in a moderate drought, fruit trees are baking and I'm not sure how many will survive despite watering. This will help:
View: https://twitter.com/KBTXMax/status/1300472719025332226
View: https://twitter.com/KBTXMax/status/1300472719025332226
TxGal
Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gx9WVlyHg7s
Are We Entering Earth's Megaflood Stage (1030)
1,662 views • Sep 1, 2020
Run time is 8:56
Synopsis provided:
As solar activity decreases cosmic rays increase, leading to more floods and out of season atmospheric events. This video describes events and causes for what I feel is earth entering a mega flood stage from here through 2035.
Are We Entering Earth's Megaflood Stage (1030)
1,662 views • Sep 1, 2020
Run time is 8:56
Synopsis provided:
As solar activity decreases cosmic rays increase, leading to more floods and out of season atmospheric events. This video describes events and causes for what I feel is earth entering a mega flood stage from here through 2035.
TxGal
Day by day
While not directly a GSM article, we are all focusing on the effects of the Grand Solar Minimum on crops and food and trying to get ahead of that. This article details stumbling blocks we've been facing along the way, that the author discusses will likely be continuing and growing worse:
Buy Lots Of Food And Store It Some Place Safe, Because Very Difficult Times Are Approaching
August 31, 2020 by Michael Snyder
(pic here that I can't bring over)
I’m just going to be very blunt with you. Things have already gotten quite crazy, but they are going to get even crazier. Global food supplies have already gotten tight, but they are going to get even tighter. When even the UN starts using the word “biblical” to describe the famine that the world is facing, that is a sign that the hour is very late. Thankfully, we are not facing famine in the short-term here in the United States, but “temporary shortages” of certain items have already been popping up, and food prices are aggressively shooting higher. Earlier today my wife stopped by the grocery store to pick up a couple of things, and one particular item that used to cost about 12 dollars was now 20 dollars instead. But thanks to the Federal Reserve, this is about as low as food prices are going to get. The Fed seems absolutely determined to crank up inflation, and that is going to have very serious implications during the times that are ahead. Right now we have a window of opportunity before the next wave of trouble comes along, and I would greatly encourage you to use this window of opportunity to buy lots of food and store it some place safe.
Some people seem to think that if they have stored up a couple months worth of food that they will be just fine.
Unfortunately, that is not the reality of what we are facing. The truth is that you should have enough food to feed every single person in your household for an extended period of time, and many of you will need much more than that. Because when things get really crazy, many of the friends, neighbors and extended family members that neglected to prepare will come knocking on your door asking for help.
There are some people that would turn away those friends, neighbors and extended family members, but I couldn’t do that. Yes, they are at fault for refusing to get prepared, but I just couldn’t turn them out into the street.
If you also plan to assist those around you that are in need, that just makes your job even bigger. In the end, there is a limit to what any of us can do, and so we will do what we can with what we have and we will leave the rest to God.
The overwhelming demand that we are witnessing at food banks around the nation right now gives us some clues about what we can expect as economic conditions get even worse. In Alameda County, vehicles are lining up “as early as seven in the morning” just to get a little bit of food from the local food banks…
In fact, there was a quarter-mile line at the break of dawn at a food bank in Queens on Saturday…
This is the reality of what we are facing people. So many people are already in desperate need, and this “perfect storm” is just getting started.
In the Richmond, Virginia area things are even worse. According to one recent report, vehicles have been lining up at one food bank “as early as six hours” before it opens…
This is how desperate some people in America have already become.
And as I noted at the beginning of this article, the United Nations is using the word “biblical” to describe the famine and starvation that are coming all around the world. The following comes from CNBC…
In projections released Tuesday, the UN’s World Food Programme (WFP) predicted that the number of people facing “acute food insecurity” stood to rise to 265 million by the end of this year, up from 135 million in 2019.
I don’t know about you, but I find that warning to be quite sobering.
In a “worst-case scenario”, the UN projects that “about a tenth of the world’s population won’t have enough to eat this year”…
And so when things really start to unravel in a major way, most of them are going to be short on food and supplies very rapidly.
The other day I was interviewed by Dr. Steve Greene, and we discussed some of the reasons why the troubles that we have experienced so far are just the tip of the iceberg.
So much more is coming, but most people don’t want to hear that.
Most Americans still want to believe that the future is going to be just wonderful, and so they see absolutely no need to prepare for the chaotic times that are approaching.
The Economic Collapse
Are You Prepared For The Coming Economic Collapse And The Next Great Depression?
theeconomiccollapseblog.com
Buy Lots Of Food And Store It Some Place Safe, Because Very Difficult Times Are Approaching
August 31, 2020 by Michael Snyder
(pic here that I can't bring over)
I’m just going to be very blunt with you. Things have already gotten quite crazy, but they are going to get even crazier. Global food supplies have already gotten tight, but they are going to get even tighter. When even the UN starts using the word “biblical” to describe the famine that the world is facing, that is a sign that the hour is very late. Thankfully, we are not facing famine in the short-term here in the United States, but “temporary shortages” of certain items have already been popping up, and food prices are aggressively shooting higher. Earlier today my wife stopped by the grocery store to pick up a couple of things, and one particular item that used to cost about 12 dollars was now 20 dollars instead. But thanks to the Federal Reserve, this is about as low as food prices are going to get. The Fed seems absolutely determined to crank up inflation, and that is going to have very serious implications during the times that are ahead. Right now we have a window of opportunity before the next wave of trouble comes along, and I would greatly encourage you to use this window of opportunity to buy lots of food and store it some place safe.
Some people seem to think that if they have stored up a couple months worth of food that they will be just fine.
Unfortunately, that is not the reality of what we are facing. The truth is that you should have enough food to feed every single person in your household for an extended period of time, and many of you will need much more than that. Because when things get really crazy, many of the friends, neighbors and extended family members that neglected to prepare will come knocking on your door asking for help.
There are some people that would turn away those friends, neighbors and extended family members, but I couldn’t do that. Yes, they are at fault for refusing to get prepared, but I just couldn’t turn them out into the street.
If you also plan to assist those around you that are in need, that just makes your job even bigger. In the end, there is a limit to what any of us can do, and so we will do what we can with what we have and we will leave the rest to God.
The overwhelming demand that we are witnessing at food banks around the nation right now gives us some clues about what we can expect as economic conditions get even worse. In Alameda County, vehicles are lining up “as early as seven in the morning” just to get a little bit of food from the local food banks…
When I read that quote from a local CBS news report, it struck me that it sounded almost exactly like what Heidi Baker said when she saw people waiting in line to get food…
On the east coast we are seeing similar things happen.
In fact, there was a quarter-mile line at the break of dawn at a food bank in Queens on Saturday…
I found it quite interesting that the New York Post is comparing what is happening now to the “bread lines in the 1930s”.
This is the reality of what we are facing people. So many people are already in desperate need, and this “perfect storm” is just getting started.
In the Richmond, Virginia area things are even worse. According to one recent report, vehicles have been lining up at one food bank “as early as six hours” before it opens…
Can you imagine sitting in your vehicle for six hours waiting for a food bank to open?
This is how desperate some people in America have already become.
And as I noted at the beginning of this article, the United Nations is using the word “biblical” to describe the famine and starvation that are coming all around the world. The following comes from CNBC…
In projections released Tuesday, the UN’s World Food Programme (WFP) predicted that the number of people facing “acute food insecurity” stood to rise to 265 million by the end of this year, up from 135 million in 2019.
I don’t know about you, but I find that warning to be quite sobering.
In a “worst-case scenario”, the UN projects that “about a tenth of the world’s population won’t have enough to eat this year”…
Sadly, even though we have already seen so many crazy things happen in 2020, most Americans are still not prepping.
And so when things really start to unravel in a major way, most of them are going to be short on food and supplies very rapidly.
The other day I was interviewed by Dr. Steve Greene, and we discussed some of the reasons why the troubles that we have experienced so far are just the tip of the iceberg.
So much more is coming, but most people don’t want to hear that.
Most Americans still want to believe that the future is going to be just wonderful, and so they see absolutely no need to prepare for the chaotic times that are approaching.
Martinhouse
Deceased
TxGal, thanks for all the great posts this morning. It's raining really hard here right now and if we don't lose power, I'll have plenty to do this morning!
TxGal
Day by day
I'm so glad you're getting rain, and you're welcome! I'll be popping in and out of the forum today, we have storms coming down from the north later today and there are some things I need to get ahead of in case they come in strong. We sure need the rain, though!
northern watch
TB Fanatic
Distant typhoon set to bring an early taste of fall to Canada
Daniel Martins
Digital Reporter
The Weather Network
Tuesday, September 1st 2020, 8:10 am - Before long, millions of Canadians may be reaching for their sweaters in the evenings sooner than they'd like. The reason why is half a world away.
People living in central Canada and the eastern Prairies will feel a definite fall-like nip in the morning air next week, and they can look to a far distant typhoon for the cause.
Typhoon Maysak is racing toward the Koreas this week, as one of the strongest storms to ever hit the peninsula. But though its impact will be significant, it's not on a path that will take it anywhere near Canada. So what does this have to do with us?
The answer is in Maysak's track: Though the storm itself will dissipate as it moves through the Korean Peninsula and northeastern China, a side effect of its northerly track out of the tropics will be a major amplification of the jet stream as it races across the Pacific.
Another result of that jet stream amplification: A ridge of high pressure building off the coast of British Columbia that's set to usher in some of the warmest temperatures of the summer for the province.
Aside from allowing warmth to build and keeping the skies clear, high pressure also helps shape the jet stream, which slides north and over it up into the Arctic -- then curves back down south, acting as a kind of atmospheric conveyor belt for cold polar air.
The Arctic will already be experiencing what meteorologists call "cross-polar flow," where cold air from Siberia is travelling over the pole into North America, so there will be plenty of chill on hand to be funnelled southward into central and eastern North America in the coming days.
That'll make for a serious contrast between east and west in Canada, with people in B.C. happy the last days of summer are living up to their name, and people from the eastern Saskatchewan through Manitoba and Ontario to Quebec wondering whether they've skipped ahead early to fall to make up for this season's long stretches of extreme heat.
By early next week, Vancouver, for example, will be looking at daytime highs in the upper 20s, possibly feeling higher than 30 with the humidity.
Contrast that to southern Ontario, where the pattern keeps daytime highs roaming in the 20-23°C range for next week, and southern Quebec, which will be a little cooler. And in both provinces, overnight lows will languish in the mid-teens, and possibly down into the low teens some nights -- definite sweater weather.
We should stress: As chilly as it may seem sometimes in southern parts of those provinces, northern areas will be even more frigid by comparison. A large area ranging from Saskatchewan through to northern Ontario may be in for their first frosts of the season for a couple of days next week, with daytime highs struggling to reach the 10°C mark.
While we expect that cooler than seasonal temperatures will continue to dominate through mid-September across much of central Canada, warmer summer weather will surge back into southern Ontario and southern Quebec at times during mid and late September.
With files from Kelly Sonnenburg and Doug Gillham.
www.theweathernetwork.com
Daniel Martins
Digital Reporter
The Weather Network
Tuesday, September 1st 2020, 8:10 am - Before long, millions of Canadians may be reaching for their sweaters in the evenings sooner than they'd like. The reason why is half a world away.
People living in central Canada and the eastern Prairies will feel a definite fall-like nip in the morning air next week, and they can look to a far distant typhoon for the cause.
Typhoon Maysak is racing toward the Koreas this week, as one of the strongest storms to ever hit the peninsula. But though its impact will be significant, it's not on a path that will take it anywhere near Canada. So what does this have to do with us?
The answer is in Maysak's track: Though the storm itself will dissipate as it moves through the Korean Peninsula and northeastern China, a side effect of its northerly track out of the tropics will be a major amplification of the jet stream as it races across the Pacific.
Another result of that jet stream amplification: A ridge of high pressure building off the coast of British Columbia that's set to usher in some of the warmest temperatures of the summer for the province.
Aside from allowing warmth to build and keeping the skies clear, high pressure also helps shape the jet stream, which slides north and over it up into the Arctic -- then curves back down south, acting as a kind of atmospheric conveyor belt for cold polar air.
The Arctic will already be experiencing what meteorologists call "cross-polar flow," where cold air from Siberia is travelling over the pole into North America, so there will be plenty of chill on hand to be funnelled southward into central and eastern North America in the coming days.
That'll make for a serious contrast between east and west in Canada, with people in B.C. happy the last days of summer are living up to their name, and people from the eastern Saskatchewan through Manitoba and Ontario to Quebec wondering whether they've skipped ahead early to fall to make up for this season's long stretches of extreme heat.
By early next week, Vancouver, for example, will be looking at daytime highs in the upper 20s, possibly feeling higher than 30 with the humidity.
Contrast that to southern Ontario, where the pattern keeps daytime highs roaming in the 20-23°C range for next week, and southern Quebec, which will be a little cooler. And in both provinces, overnight lows will languish in the mid-teens, and possibly down into the low teens some nights -- definite sweater weather.
We should stress: As chilly as it may seem sometimes in southern parts of those provinces, northern areas will be even more frigid by comparison. A large area ranging from Saskatchewan through to northern Ontario may be in for their first frosts of the season for a couple of days next week, with daytime highs struggling to reach the 10°C mark.
While we expect that cooler than seasonal temperatures will continue to dominate through mid-September across much of central Canada, warmer summer weather will surge back into southern Ontario and southern Quebec at times during mid and late September.
With files from Kelly Sonnenburg and Doug Gillham.
Distant typhoon set to bring an early taste of fall to Canada - The Weather Network
Before long, millions of Canadians may be reaching for their sweaters in the evenings sooner than they'd like. The reason why is half a world away.
www.theweathernetwork.com
northern watch
TB Fanatic
TxGal
Day by day
That must be what we're going to get, thanks for posting this! Much better explanation than we were getting. Fortunately, we started stacking hay this week.
desertvet2
Veteran Member
We have "seen". ......we have yet to really " experience".
BE READY
BE READY
TxGal
Day by day
New Zealand's first day of Spring delivers "Bitterly Cold" Temperatures and "Widespread Snow" to the South Island - Electroverse
Low-lying and coastal regions received as much as 15cm (5.9 inches) overnight, while ski-fields woke to accumulations of up to 55cm (1.8ft)!
electroverse.net
NEW ZEALAND’S FIRST DAY OF SPRING DELIVERS “BITTERLY COLD” TEMPERATURES AND “WIDESPREAD SNOW” TO THE SOUTH ISLAND
SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 CAP ALLON
The first day of spring was an unusually cold one up and down New Zealand’s South Island as temperatures plummeted and snow blanketed many regions.
Snowfall was widespread and accumulated at abnormally low-levels, according to MetService meteorologist Peter Little, with inland parts of Canterbury and Otago seeing 5+cm (2+inches) settling early Tuesday.
Ashburton, Timaru, Temuka, Fairlie and surrounding areas received flurries down to as low as 100m (328 ft):
View: https://twitter.com/Deanoss/status/1300510209475883011
While Southland, north of Gore; eastern and southern parts of Fiordland; and Clutha, north of Tapanui also received widespread snowfall, with some areas expecting accumulations to exceed 15cm (5.9 inches) before the day is out.
Coastal areas to the south are also expecting rare settling snow.
While ski-fields woke this morning to healthy drifts–a little too healthy in parts, with a few fields actually forced to close due to the snowstorm and accompanying winds.
Coronet Peak had 20+cm (7.9+ inches) of fresh snow at the base and more than 40cm (1.31 feet) at the top (so far). Cardrona and Treble Cone in Wānaka also reported 20cm (7.9 inches) of fresh powder.
View: https://twitter.com/SnowForecast/status/1300700369807437824
Canterbury’s Mt Hutt and Porters skifields both closed their doors on Tuesday. About 4cm (1.6 inches) of snow was falling per hour and almost 30cm (1 foot) fell on the mountain in the 24 hours to 11am, according to the Mt Hutt website. Porters was officially reporting about 55cm (1.8 ft) of global warming goodness on the mountain.
The snowfall prompted the Mountain Safety Council to issue a warning about avalanches.
South Islanders can expect a “bitterly cold” Tuesday as a cold front “significantly” dropped temperatures overnight, said Little, with the mercury holding as much as 10C below the seasonal average until at least Thursday.
View: https://twitter.com/MetService/status/1300521596591824897
In Christchurch, temps dipped to 3C (37.4F) by 10am. Ashburton, Timaru, Queenstown and Wānaka also all recorded unseasonable spring lows of 2C (35.6F), while Dunedin sat at 5C (41F), reports stuff.co.nz.
Mackenzie Country’s overnight temperatures are expected to plummet -6C (21.2F). Extra care is advised if you’re out on the roads.
In addition to providing the slopes with great skiing conditions, the snowstorms have also helped fire crews battling a blaze near Mt Cook National Park.
The fire burning on Monday night before the snow set in.
As reported by stuff.co.nz, Mackenzie District Council emergency manager Chris Clarke said the “urgency and danger” was now out of the situation because the wind had “completely gone” and rain and snow had hit the area.
View: https://twitter.com/JRochesterart/status/1300745094941687808
Swings-between-extremes are becoming our new climate normal as low solar activity continues to weaken the jet stream, reverting its usual tight ZONAL flow to more of a wavy MERIDIONAL one:
The Changing Jet Stream and Global Cooling - Electroverse
This explains why far-northern latitudes (Siberia) have been experiencing anomalous heat of late, while the lower-latitudes have been suffering record cold.
electroverse.net
Overall, however, this solar shutdown will bring about the return of the COLD TIMES and the REFREEZING of the mid-latitudes, aided also by cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays.
Even our pals over at NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Prepare for the COLD — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Martinhouse
Deceased
With every one of the articles being posted lately on this thread, any doubts or wishful thinking I may have had about this GSM are being eroded down closer and closer to non-existent.
-----
I called Lowe's today. After about fifteen minutes of automatic transferring andnot even getting any answers, I finally talked to a real person by going to the construction department. The young man there walked all the way to the other end of the store to ask someone about the garden center and they do not have bedding plants. When I thanked him for taking the trouble, he said they were pretty slow today so he was able to do that for me.
Then I called the one little nursery still left in town and they didn't even answer the phone so I'm wondering if they are closed?
Looks like I"d best get my greenhouse cleaned up and get some seeds planted.
I found out that my nephew has not been doing any work at all for two weeks as he has his kids back and they are figuring out the school by computer thing. Am hoping they'll get settled into that so he can finish up his present job and some others and then get my greenhouse closed in before the cold weather gets here.
Looks like I'm going to be on my own in more ways than one. I may have to tarp my leaky porch myself if it isn't goingto be patched soon, and there are other things I was hoping to get done this month and that might not happen, either.
I am definitely going to do some more panic shopping when I go to town again and then I wonder if it will be worth bothering any more? If and when that happens, we'll REALLY be on our own, won't we?
-----
I called Lowe's today. After about fifteen minutes of automatic transferring andnot even getting any answers, I finally talked to a real person by going to the construction department. The young man there walked all the way to the other end of the store to ask someone about the garden center and they do not have bedding plants. When I thanked him for taking the trouble, he said they were pretty slow today so he was able to do that for me.
Then I called the one little nursery still left in town and they didn't even answer the phone so I'm wondering if they are closed?
Looks like I"d best get my greenhouse cleaned up and get some seeds planted.
I found out that my nephew has not been doing any work at all for two weeks as he has his kids back and they are figuring out the school by computer thing. Am hoping they'll get settled into that so he can finish up his present job and some others and then get my greenhouse closed in before the cold weather gets here.
Looks like I'm going to be on my own in more ways than one. I may have to tarp my leaky porch myself if it isn't goingto be patched soon, and there are other things I was hoping to get done this month and that might not happen, either.
I am definitely going to do some more panic shopping when I go to town again and then I wonder if it will be worth bothering any more? If and when that happens, we'll REALLY be on our own, won't we?
TxGal
Day by day
Meteorologist and climatologist predicts harsh winter for Russia
Other experts seriously question its accuracy. ___________ The most talked about weather news on Monday was the statement by meteorologist and climatologist Ekaterina Pestryakova about the harsh winter that awaits Russians. The specialist stated this
www.iceagenow.info
Meteorologist and climatologist predicts harsh winter for Russia
September 1, 2020 by Robert
Other experts seriously question its accuracy.
___________
The most talked about weather news on Monday was the statement by meteorologist and climatologist Ekaterina Pestryakova about the harsh winter that awaits Russians. The specialist stated this in an interview with URA.ru.
“About 90 percent that the winter will be harsh, because it was a hot summer. The frosts will be serious, but I don’t think they will last all winter, ”Pestryakova said.
This forecast caused bewilderment among fellow meteorologists. Vladimir Semyonov, deputy director of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, questioned both the data analysis method and its accuracy.
“Such forecasts cannot be made, summer conditions do not help us in any way to predict either autumn or winter. With an accuracy of 90%, we make a weather forecast for five days using hydrodynamic models,” the scientist explained in an interview with TASS.
“If a person is not afraid for his reputation, he can say whatever he wants,” said scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center, Roman Vilfand, who even refused to seriously discuss Pestryakova’s statement.
“In fact, this means that our country has entered a cycle from which it is no longer possible to get out. If it was a hot summer, then there will definitely be a severe winter. If the winter is harsh, then according to signs it will be a very hot summer. And we will never get out of this circle. You can make a decision about the inexpediency of the existence of Hydrometeorological services. For many centuries to come, a forecast has been formulated, why should we suffer, spend state money … If a person is not afraid for his reputation, he can say whatever he wants, ”Vilfand said in an interview with a METEO correspondent.
Ekaterina Bulatnikova
Вильфанд дал оценку прогнозу о суровой зиме в России
TxGal
Day by day
The Grand Solar Minimum News has a new podcast out:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JeFAE_nL5Sg
UAH Update! August + 0.43 C / Are we overdue for another Carrington Event?
2,443 views • Streamed live 12 hours ago
Run time if 42:31
No synopsis provided except as suggested by the title
UAH Update! August + 0.43 C / Are we overdue for another Carrington Event?
2,443 views • Streamed live 12 hours ago
Run time if 42:31
No synopsis provided except as suggested by the title
TxGal
Day by day
Well, this is a heck of an article. It mentions one thing in particular that I find stunning below - For those out there who feel that “something is coming” –– well, perhaps a Grand Solar Minimum is that something. I can't even count how many times on various threads I read that people 'know' something is coming....and I'm one of them.
electroverse.net
NOAA CONFIRMS A ‘FULL-BLOWN’ GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM
SEPTEMBER 2, 2020 CAP ALLON
Their press releases surely won’t admit it, but NOAA’s PREDICTED SUNSPOT NUMBER AND RADIO FLUX data appears to show a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum running from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.
NOAA (who’s solar forecasts generally come out higher than NASA’s) say it won’t be until mid-2025 before we see the peak of the next Solar Cycle (25), with the maximum topping out at 114.6 sunspots:
NOAA predicts Solar Cycle 25 will max out at 114.6 sunspots in July, 2025 (note this is far higher than NASA’s official prediction of around 30 to 40 sunspots).
NOAA’s forecast then begins to plot the descent into the minimum of Cycle 25 from mid-2025 to 2031-or-thereabouts; and while all this paints Solar Cycle 25 as another historically weak cycle (one similar to 24 and which will continue the cooling trend), it isn’t the story here.
Minimum of Solar Cycle 25 should arrive around 2031.
The story is that NOAA aren’t seeing the expected ramp-up into Cycle 26. When the sunspot number should be climbing back up, the agency’s data (linked here) reveals sunspots remain low, and actually continuing dropping:
NOAA is predicting all-but ZERO sunspots throughout the 2030s:
There is no ramp-up into Solar Cycle 26.
THERE IS NO SOLAR CYCLE 26!
Nor are there any signs of the start of Solar Cycle 27: the data only runs through the year 2040, but within those final twelve months a SPOTLESS sun persists:
NOAA is predicting a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum (GSM).
GSM’s have the potential to hold sunspots at ZERO for multiple decades. The most famous example is the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) which brought plummeting temperatures, crop loss, famine, and the deaths of hundreds of millions of people ACROSS the planet.
Unfortunately, history repeats — climate is cyclic, never linear. But unlike during the Maunder Minimum, there’s a twist this time around; we modern humans have another cosmological factor to contend with: Earth’s magnetosphere –a key line of defense against incoming Cosmic Rays– is waning at an increasing rate as north and south magnetic poles continue their wander.
The field is expected to be considerably weaker by 2040, and, as with previous magnetic excursions/reversals, these events can lead to an uptick in volcanic/seismic activity, solar outbursts, and even the onset of ice ages.
These two independent factors occurring simultaneously –-a Grand Solar Minimum AND a Pole Shift– are throwing us something of a curve-ball. Each factor alone results in a dramatic waning of earth’s magnetosphere, the upshot of which is more Cosmic Rays entering our atmosphere nucleating clouds, sending volcanoes a’poppin’, cooling the planet, and affecting biology.
Modern civilization is entering unprecedented times.
Prepare.
For those out there who feel that “something is coming” –– well, perhaps a Grand Solar Minimum is that something. We humans are programmed to recognize cycles –them having been ingrained within us during our evolution– and the activity of the cosmos runs like a clock.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
And as well as NOAA, NASA also appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
NASA is actually forecasting a much lower cycle 25 max than NOAA.
Prepare for the COLD— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
NOAA confirms a 'full-blown' Grand Solar Minimum - Electroverse
NOAA's PREDICTED SUNSPOT NUMBER AND RADIO FLUX data shows a full-blown Grand Solar Minimum running from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.
electroverse.net
NOAA CONFIRMS A ‘FULL-BLOWN’ GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM
SEPTEMBER 2, 2020 CAP ALLON
Their press releases surely won’t admit it, but NOAA’s PREDICTED SUNSPOT NUMBER AND RADIO FLUX data appears to show a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum running from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.
NOAA (who’s solar forecasts generally come out higher than NASA’s) say it won’t be until mid-2025 before we see the peak of the next Solar Cycle (25), with the maximum topping out at 114.6 sunspots:
NOAA predicts Solar Cycle 25 will max out at 114.6 sunspots in July, 2025 (note this is far higher than NASA’s official prediction of around 30 to 40 sunspots).
NOAA’s forecast then begins to plot the descent into the minimum of Cycle 25 from mid-2025 to 2031-or-thereabouts; and while all this paints Solar Cycle 25 as another historically weak cycle (one similar to 24 and which will continue the cooling trend), it isn’t the story here.
Minimum of Solar Cycle 25 should arrive around 2031.
The story is that NOAA aren’t seeing the expected ramp-up into Cycle 26. When the sunspot number should be climbing back up, the agency’s data (linked here) reveals sunspots remain low, and actually continuing dropping:
NOAA is predicting all-but ZERO sunspots throughout the 2030s:
There is no ramp-up into Solar Cycle 26.
THERE IS NO SOLAR CYCLE 26!
Nor are there any signs of the start of Solar Cycle 27: the data only runs through the year 2040, but within those final twelve months a SPOTLESS sun persists:
NOAA is predicting a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum (GSM).
GSM’s have the potential to hold sunspots at ZERO for multiple decades. The most famous example is the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) which brought plummeting temperatures, crop loss, famine, and the deaths of hundreds of millions of people ACROSS the planet.
Unfortunately, history repeats — climate is cyclic, never linear. But unlike during the Maunder Minimum, there’s a twist this time around; we modern humans have another cosmological factor to contend with: Earth’s magnetosphere –a key line of defense against incoming Cosmic Rays– is waning at an increasing rate as north and south magnetic poles continue their wander.
The field is expected to be considerably weaker by 2040, and, as with previous magnetic excursions/reversals, these events can lead to an uptick in volcanic/seismic activity, solar outbursts, and even the onset of ice ages.
These two independent factors occurring simultaneously –-a Grand Solar Minimum AND a Pole Shift– are throwing us something of a curve-ball. Each factor alone results in a dramatic waning of earth’s magnetosphere, the upshot of which is more Cosmic Rays entering our atmosphere nucleating clouds, sending volcanoes a’poppin’, cooling the planet, and affecting biology.
Modern civilization is entering unprecedented times.
Prepare.
For those out there who feel that “something is coming” –– well, perhaps a Grand Solar Minimum is that something. We humans are programmed to recognize cycles –them having been ingrained within us during our evolution– and the activity of the cosmos runs like a clock.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING; in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
And as well as NOAA, NASA also appears to agree, if you read between the lines, with their forecast for this upcoming solar cycle (25) seeing it as “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
NASA is actually forecasting a much lower cycle 25 max than NOAA.
Prepare for the COLD— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.