It's easier for a non state low tech actor to grow poppies, however it is cheaper per manufacturing volume, and shipping to make fentanyl. If you're "organized crime" in the industrialized world it makes more sense to go synthetic than be dealing with all the variables of farming.So, are you saying it is easier to cultivate the poppies, than to mfg fentanyl ? Or just the opposite ??
Understand. ThanksIt's easier for a non state low tech actor to grow poppies, however it is cheaper per manufacturing volume, and shipping to make fentanyl. If you're "organized crime" in the industrialized world it makes more sense to go synthetic than be dealing with all the variables of farming.
This is about to get very ugly.....
“Col. Mohammad Ali Ahmadi, who commands a commando regiment in the south, said that it will be near impossible to rely on the air force after the U.S. withdraws. “We must have the air support of foreigners,” he said.”
The Taliban has vowed to strike at any American targets should troops remain in the country after that date. US leaders are now worried that the Taliban could hit hard just as the Pentagon is in the midst of its draw down; and in the medium to longer term it's expected that entire major cities could once again fall to the hardline Islamic fundamentalist group.
Man the FUBAR this is going to turn into is going to be EPIC if they're publicly saying this.....Blinken Admits US Afghan Withdrawal Could Result in Taliban Takeover
Secretary of State Antony Blinken listens during a climate change virtual summit on April 22, 2021, in Washington, DC. (Brendan Smialowski /AFP via Getty Images)
By Brian Freeman | Wednesday, 28 April 2021 03:39 PM
An Afghan civil war or Taliban takeover is “certainly a possible scenario” when the United States withdraws all its soldiers from the country by September 11, Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted to CNN.
He insisted, however, that the US is “not disengaging from Afghanistan” and will continue to be “deeply engaged” in backing the nation, adding that the Biden administration is “planning for every scenario” that could result from the move.
President Joe Biden announced earlier this month that the US would begin pulling out its remaining 2,500 troops by May 1, the date former President Donald Trump set as a full withdrawal, and conclude the action by September 11 - the 20-year anniversary of Al-Qaeda's terrorist attacks, after which then-President George W. Bush invaded the country in a bid to flush out 9/11 mastermind Osama Bin Laden and other key Al Qaeda terrorists, according to the Daily Mail.
Biden's decision, however, appears to be against the advice of top Pentagon officials and some of the president's closest advisers, as well as being criticized by congressmen from both parties.
Blinken addressed these concerns, telling CNN that “neighbors and other countries in the region that have basically been free riders for the last 20 years, as we've been engaged there with our NATO allies and partners who are now going to have to decide, given their interests in a relatively stable Afghanistan, given the influence that they have, whether they're going to try to use that influence in a way that keeps things within the 40-yard line.”
Blinken stressed that "We're remaining deeply engaged in the diplomacy, in support for the Afghan government and its people, development, economic assistance humanitarian assistance, support for the security forces.”
He added that "We have trained over the years more than 300,000 of them so all to that remains and there are different actors are work now who I hope will keep moving this in a more positive than negative direction."
Blinken also insisted that the Biden administration is working to ensure Afghan locals who “put their lives on the line” working with US soldiers and diplomats over the last two decades can apply to be expedited to the United States if they are fearful for their lives after the withdrawal.
"We have had this program in Iraq and also in Afghanistan and we want to make sure that people who put their lives on the line, working with American folks in uniform, working with our diplomats who put, not just themselves in jeopardy, potentially their families as well, can get expedited consideration if they decide that they want to try to come to the United States," he said.
- US Military Begins Final Departure From Afghanistan
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An Afghan civil war or Taliban takeover is "certainly a possible scenario" when the United States withdraws all its soldiers from the country by September 11, Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted to CNN...www.newsmax.com
This may calm some of the worries from Afghanistan Analysts Network that the withdrawal puts the Afghani government at a disadvantage because they won’t have international support to get things done. It’s also worth noting U.S.-based military contractors are still advertising work in Afghanistan. Meaning even with the withdrawal a U.S. presence will still be in Afghanistan.After the withdrawal is over, the United States will provide unspecified “capabilities” to the Afghan military from other locations, Milley said. He did not elaborate on this, but other officials have said those “over-the-horizon” arrangements for supporting the Afghan military have yet to be solidified.
This partially goes against commentary from AAN which believes the Taliban will become more emboldened. AAN’s Kate Clark agrees a Taliban military victory is unlikely but still believes they’ll try causing more of the populace to suffer until some sort of solution is reached. It’s an understandable belief from Clark especially after a weekend bombing in Pul-e-Alam. The Taliban has been blamed for it by the government but hasn’t taken responsibility. The Taliban did issue a warning on May 1st about the U.S. not adhering to its original troop withdrawal agreement and is believed to have been involved in an attack on an airfield in Kandahar.Messages go back and forth between a variety of Taliban to senior negotiators, including himself, said Abdullah. He noted that he has received countless messages from Taliban officials, some written, some as voice messages. Sometimes they are detailed, and other times terse and brief. But he said he has yet to see a commitment to peace from the insurgent group on which he can rely.
Abdullah said his response to the Taliban has been consistent: “Put everything that you want on the negotiating table. We are ready to discuss it. We are ready to find ways that it works for both sides.”
He said the withdrawal adds pressure on both sides to find a peace deal.
The Taliban cannot win militarily, he said, and even regional powers — including Pakistan with its influence over the insurgent group — have steadfastly rejected a military takeover in Afghanistan. Taliban leaders are headquartered in Pakistani cities.