GOV/MIL Main "Great Reset" Thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Ep. 2891a - The People Are Rejecting The [Green New Deal]/[Great Reset], Crisis Is Building 17:07 min ( starts at 1:18 min)

Ep. 2891a - The People Are Rejecting The [Green New Deal]/[Great Reset], Crisis Is Building​

X22 Report Published October 4, 2022

Job opening dropped sharply, the V recovery has hit the top and now it is reversing. The people are now rejected the Green New Deal. China is financial trouble, CEOs are warning of a recession. Russia decides to accept Bitcoin for international trade.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Control the money control the world. 1:30 min

CONTROL THE MONEY CONTROL THE WORLD.​

Central Bank Digital Currencies will be programmed to be used against you. You will only be able to spend your hard earned money on what they want you to! It will be programmed into the money! The currencies will also expire, preventing you from building lasting wealth.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Larry Kudlow: Biden's Energy Policies Put Us Back In The Stone Age .47 min

Larry Kudlow: Biden's Energy Policies Put Us Back In The Stone Age​

Red Voice Media Published October 5, 2022

"It's really an incredible miscalculation for us to be put back into the Stone Age where we depend again on the Middle East. OPEC countries and Russia."

^^^^^
'Back To Dependence': Hannity, Kudlow, Blast Biden Admin's Energy Agenda 6:17 min

'Back To Dependence': Hannity, Kudlow, Blast Biden Admin's Energy Agenda​

The Daily Caller Published October 4, 2022
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

BREAKING: CEO of US election software firm Konnech arrested for storing data on servers in China​

Eugene Yu, the CEO of the software firm Konnech, has been arrested in connection to the storage of data on servers in China.

The Post Millennial
Oct 4, 20223 Minute Read

Eugene Yu, the CEO of the software firm Konnech, has been arrested in connection to the storage of data on servers in China.

"Yu, 51, was arrested early Tuesday just outside of Lansing, Mich., after prosecutors alleged he improperly stored the information on servers in China, according to Los Angeles County Dist. Atty. George Gascón. Yu, who is the chief executive officer of a company named Konnech, is expected to be extradited to Los Angeles in the coming days, Gascón said," according to the LA Times.

"Konnech allegedly violated its contract by storing critical information that the workers provided on servers in China. We intend to hold all those responsible for this breach accountable," Gascón said.

"Prosecutors learned of the data breach this year through a 'separate investigation' undertaken by the district attorney’s office, according to Gascón. He would not say what the other investigation was or exactly when his office became aware of the breach," the LA Times reported.

Konnech issued a statement that read, in part: "We are continuing to ascertain the details of what we believe to be Mr. Yu’s wrongful detention by LA County authorities. Any LA County poll worker data that Konnech may have possessed was provided to it by LA County, and therefore could not have been ‘stolen' as suggested."

It was on Monday that The New York Times ran an article claiming that "election deniers" had made Konnech the center of a "conspiracy theory." The article claimed that these "election deniers" had used "threadbare evidence" to suggest that Konnech "had secret ties to the Chinese Communist Party and had given the Chinese government back door access to personal data about two million poll workers in the United States."

The Times claimed that these allegations against Konnech "demonstrate how far-rigth election deniers are also giving more attention to new and more secondary companies and groups."

Konnech, based in Michigan, had been contracted by Los Angeles County, and Allen County, Indiana, to work on "election logistics, such as scheduling poll workers."

"Konnech," the Times stated, "said none of the accusations were true. It said that all the data for its American customers were stored on services in the United States and that it had no ties to the Chinese government."

The Times lameneted the damage done to Konnech's reputation by these "election deniers" who claimed that the company had ties to the CCP.

On Tuesday, the Times had to write that Yu had been arrested, and that data collected by Konnech had indeed been stored on servers in China. True the Vote, an election integrity not-for-profit, stated that they were able to download the personal information of some 1.8 million poll workers from Konnech servers in China. True the Vote passed this information on to the FBI.

"Holding the data there would violate Konnech's contract with the county," the Times wrote.

The company itself appears to be standing by Yu, and continues to blame election deniers for harming the company's reputation. A spokesman for Konnech told the Times that Konnech had handed over all poll worker data to the county, and that it "therefore could not have been 'stolen' as suggested."

However, the Times reports that "The Los Angeles County district attorney’s office said in an emailed statement that it had cause to believe that personal information on election workers was 'criminally mishandled.'"

This is a breaking story and will be updated.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

‘Summoning the Devil:’ Chinese Economist’s Call for ‘People’s Economy’ Triggers Backlash

Return to a Planned Economy Blasted by Critics at Home and Abroad
By Sophia Lam October 4, 2022 Updated: October 4, 2022biggersmaller Print

A Chinese agricultural economist’s claim that China’s economy should be a “people’s economy” has triggered fierce criticism in China and overseas.

Wen Tiejun, a 71-year-old professor at China’s Renmin University, is better known as an expert in China’s agricultural and rural issues. In the 1980s and 1990s, Wen was engaged in rural policy research for the Chinese regime’s central government.

In a recent video clip, Wen said that all those economies that “safeguard sovereignty, develop independently, and possess a patriotic nature” are called “people’s economies.” He added that such an economy has four characteristics: independence, localization, comprehensiveness, and people orientation.

Wen’s claim came at a delicate time, just two weeks ahead of the Chinese Communist Party’s 20th national congress, an event that takes place once every five years, reshuffling the regime’s political leadership and plotting major policy decisions for the next five years.

Well-known Chinese economist Xiang Songzuo blasted Wen for “cheating people in the name of the people.”

Domestic Blasts
Xiang, also a professor at Renmin University, wrote in a Weibo post that Wen was talking “nonsense” and “off the top of his head.”

“Isn’t his so-called independence to close the borders and lock up the country, negating all foreign and joint venture enterprises? Isn’t his so-called localization to restrict [China’s economy] and [advocate] self-sufficiency? Isn’t his so-called comprehensiveness to build enterprises into a big society [with various social functions]? Isn’t his so-called people orientation to backtrack to public ownership?” Xiang retorted in his post, which has been removed from China’s online platforms.

Several Chinese economists joined Xiang in blasting Wen, according to the Chinese edition of Radio France Internationale (RFI) on Oct. 2.

Ren Zeping, a former economist at the Development Research Center, overseen by China’s cabinet, wrote on his Chinese social media account that Wen’s words caused “widespread concern among private entrepreneurs,” as Wen advocates moving away from the market economy, a return to a planned economy and closure of China’s borders. “This is an experiment that has failed all over the world, for which hundreds of millions of people have paid a heavy price,” reported RFI.

Xiang’s post is no longer available on Chinese social media platforms. Other posts criticizing Wen have also been removed.

‘Wen is Testing the Waters for the CCP:’ Economist
Zheng Xuguang, a Chinese economist now living in the United States, said that Wen’s ideas are not new. He speculated that Wen’s proposal hints at a CCP plan to backtrack its economy to public ownership.

In an interview with the Chinese language edition of The Epoch Times on Oct. 2, Zheng said that after the CCP took power in China, it transformed the Chinese economy into a state-owned economy, which it labeled “public ownership.”

“But the Chinese people didn’t really own anything,” Zheng said.

As the date for the CCP’s national congress approaches, Wen may have sensed upcoming policy changes. His proposed backtracking to the CCP’s state-owned economy may have been a testing of the waters, said Zheng.

Wen’s so-called people’s economy looks toward the impending nationalization of the private sector, warning off foreign capital before the CCP sets this in motion, according to Zheng.

“Why did Wen promote ‘independence?’” said Zheng, “The message is clear: [foreign capital] you’d better get out of the way, so the Chinese government can close the door and handle Chinese private capital.”

Zheng said he believes Chinese leader Xi Jinping represents those who resented China’s opening-up policies: market reforms that began in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

“These CCP officials want to lock the country because they are worried that China’s economy will be affected by the international community, which will force them to carry out political reforms,” Zheng said. “In [that] case, the CCP may collapse.”

Epoch Times Photo
“The CCP wants to maintain its absolute rule of China. As long as it has absolute control of the country, it can allow China’s economy to be as rotten as that of North Korea.”

Recalling ‘The Descent Into Hell’
Zheng said that Wen’s proposal is tantamount to “summoning the devil,” as he described the disastrous man-made famine that caused millions of deaths in China. “Mao didn’t care at all about people’s death; he continued to eat his seafood,” he said.

Between 1958 and 1962, former CCP leader Mao Zedong launched “the Great Leap Forward,” a campaign to surpass the economic production of the United Kingdom and the United States.

The CCP forced Chinese farmers into so-called people’s communes and collectivized every aspect of society. The Great Leap Forward killed as many as 45 million people, according to historian Frank Dikötter, author of “Mao’s Great Famine.”

As Dikötter describes it in the book, “Between 1958 and 1962, China descended into hell. Mao Zedong threw his country into a frenzy with the Great Leap Forward, an attempt to catch up to and overtake Britain in less than fifteen years. The experiment ended in the greatest catastrophe the country had ever known, destroying tens of millions of lives.”

Private Sector Purge
Now there are signs that the CCP may be moving in that direction again. It began purging the private sector last year, as Xi Jinping advocated “common prosperity” and “tertiary distribution,” forcing China’s successful private companies to “donate” their wealth to social causes.

The CCP’s stringent zero-COVID policies ravaged the Chinese economy. Its second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) grew a mere 0.4 percent this year over the same period in 2021.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

China Says Massive Dollar DUMP on the Way, Prepare for Yuan Buying Spree​

by Ethan Huff

October 4, 2022

Not since the 2008 financial crisis has communist China’s yuan currency been as weak as it is now, which has prompted the People’s Bank of China to issue a warning about a coming dollar dump and yuan buyback.

All major state-run banks in China have been told to prepare for this coming event, which will aim to hike up the failing yuan, which fell 0.9 percent to 7.1340 against the dollar this week – its worst annual decline since 1994.

So far this year, the yuan has lost 11 percent of its value, while the U.S. dollar has reached 20-year highs due to “hawkish” policies from the Federal Reserve. (Related: America’s fiat money system is nothing more than a Ponzi scheme that benefits the rich.)

The amount of dollars that China plans to sell has not yet been decided. What we do know is that the move will primarily involve state banks’ currency reserves, including offshore branches in Hong Kong, New York and London.

US Fed’s currency manipulation triggering a “reverse currency war”​

There exists a psychological threshold of 7-per-dollar for the yuan that was recently breached, hence the People’s Bank of China’s new proposition. China’s hope is that it will prop back up the yuan and combat the Fed’s “reverse currency war.”

The People’s Bank of China has consistently imposed a strong bias to its currency reference rate for the purpose of supporting the yuan. The private central bank has also issued verbal warnings against speculating on the yuan, as well as increased the cost of shorting the currency.

Instead of raising benchmark rates, the People’s Bank of China has instead been easing them in an attempt to spark growth amid an economy shattered by Fauci Flu (covid) lockdowns, the Chinese real estate crash, and flailing supply chain conditions.

According to Reuters, some of communist China’s efforts to save the yuan “against an unstoppable dollar” have been successful, but will they ultimately be enough?

“Considering the strength of the dollar, we now expect (the dollar / yuan rate) to trade around 7.40 around October and November,” said SEB in a note.

This is among the more bearish forecasts, along with those of ANZ and Goldman Sachs, which predict a yuan rate of 7.20 per dollar over the next three weeks or so. Citi, meanwhile, is predicting a yuan rate of 7.30 per dollar.

Over the past month, expectations of future volatility priced into one-month yuan options have doubled. This is a sign that investors do not foresee China’s new measures to work as hoped.

The stakes are said to be high, seeing as how China is entering a week-long national holiday. Efforts to stabilize the yuan rate remain critical as the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is set to open its once-in-five-years congress on October 16.

Capital outflows are fueling financial instability across the nation, which is only being exacerbated by the weakening yuan. Foreign investors reportedly cut holdings of Chinese bonds for the seventh straight month in a row in August.

“On the monetary policy front, the weaker yuan, fueled by the wide gap between low Chinese interest rates and rising U.S. rates, makes it harder to ease policy to support China’s faltering economy, the world’s second largest,” reports explain.

“The yield gap between China’s benchmark 10-year government bonds and the U.S. Treasury for the same tenor is hovering at the widest in 15 years.”

According to Ju Wang, head of Greater China FX and rates strategy at BNP Paribas, China’s central bank must learn how to create a balance between being market-oriented and “ensuring financial stability.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Opinions

Environmental and Political Elites Are Destroying Food Production for “Climate” Goals
by Jovana Diković | Mises.org
October 4th 2022, 1:44 pm

In the Carnegie Museum of Natural History in Pittsburgh, a special thematic part was dedicated to anticipating the future on earth in the winter of 2022.

The visitors had the opportunity to vote for the topic they find important and want to learn more about.

The three knowledge offered choices were 1) how development of energy potential may influence climate change; 2) how improving the condition of the environment, forests, parks, and waters may reduce CO2; 3) how improving the conditions of agriculture, land, and farmers may contribute to food security and affordable food. The visitors voted by throwing a bottle cork in one of the three knowledge cylinders, and the option that won the most votes would be promoted in the museum through popular science content.

Out of eighteen visitors, only four decided to vote for the third cylinder on agriculture, and these were children and women. The rest of votes were shared almost equally between the cylinders for energy and the environment.

The ad hoc experiment I conducted revealed several important issues. How is it possible that the priority question of food security and sustainable agriculture attracted such weak attention? Developing energy and environmental potential for CO2 reduction, although of high relevance, cannot feed the world. But it attracts ecological concerns and mobilizes solidarity sentiments more than hunger in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, where a significant part of the populations has only one or half a meal per day.

Making food affordable and accessible to them and dying children in Yemen and Ethiopia (where the war has been going on since 2020) obviously does not engage sentiments as strongly as information that the Earth is 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer than one hundred years ago; that glaciers are melting in an enormous vastness of ice; or that polar bears are withdrawing toward the inner continent. Because of the polar bears and glaciers, international meetings of the highest importance regularly convene in Davos; the compulsory climate agreement in Paris was signed; and Greta Thunberg shouted at the United Nations General Assembly, urging radical changes in CO2 emissions.

Environmentalists share one chronic feature: they are preoccupied with the “imagined state of environmental purity and harmony” on a universal level.

They associate resolving environmental problems with a larger transformative endeavor. The reduction of carbon emissions is inseparable from a series of seemingly unrelated political projects: ending capitalism and existing power structures, and completely restructuring transportation systems and industries.

It is thus not surprising that concrete places such as Yemen and Ethiopia and their particularistic problems of hunger inspire fewer public statements, and only sporadically evoke expression of concerns at the international conferences. Even in the Carnegie Museum, the knowledge cylinder that suggested improvement of food security attracted only a few curious minds.

In a new environmental era, a role attributed to agriculture is to mitigate environmental and pollution risks first. Dealing with food security and feeding the world population has a secondary importance. The European Green Deal indicates the trend, while its two core strategies, farm to fork (F2F) and biodiversity, practically reveal the whole environmental hypocrisy. Both strategies have been driven by the noble intention to increase sustainable food production and to restore biodiversity, but the unintended consequences of the shift are largely unknown and thus far have never been discussed in a holistic way.

What is the cost of conservation, afforestation, halving pesticide use—of regulations and the expanding bureaucracy that must supervise the path toward an environmentally sustainable future? Such questions get silenced along the way or are ignored in the public debates as if they represented blasphemous attempts to endanger common sustainability goals.

With growing environmental concerns, European Union policy has sidelined food security since the late 1980s. The EU visions of agriculture in 2030 are now more preoccupied with reducing net greenhouse gas emission to at least 55 percent; reducing chemical plant protection by 50 percent; increasing the area under organic farming to at least 25 percent; reducing the sales of antimicrobials by 50 percent; and reducing land use by at least 10 percent, to name a few objectives.

The scientific and market assessments of the European Green Deal F2F and biodiversity strategies already suggest some alarming consequences. The full implementation of the two strategies will need to face the challenges of inevitable shrinking of the domestic food supply and jeopardized local farmers, as well as how the EU and the world in general will cope with higher prices for agricultural raw materials and food.

The strategies will inevitably decrease the EU’s export of its key agricultural produce and will make it a net importer in the markets where is now an exporter. Reductions in chemical plant protection and an increasing shift to organic farming, including hobby urban farming and permaculture, will lead to reduced yields. The conservation of designated nonproductive areas will inevitably increase the price of land and will create substantial pressure on land resources outside the EU.

Two major future consequences of the EU agri-environmental strategies already are evident. Consumers all over the world will bear the costs of higher food prices, affecting the economic efficiency of the whole supply chain. New environmental norms imposed by agri-environmental policies on production and consumption, mainly practiced in the West, will prevent poor countries from participating in markets because they will be unable to meet these standards.

It is likely that the poor will continue to lag and further sink into pauperization.

Likewise, environmental externalities that spring from food demand will likely be offshored to poor countries, where ordinary people chronically lack access to private land and still live on three dollars a day—which was a common condition of American citizens in the beginning of the nineteenth century. They will not only remain poor and hungry, but they will be fed by the European CO2. It is an environmental win-win.

In 1983, Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky prophetically asked, “Why is social conscience concerned with environment and not with the education of the poor or relief of the indigent?” Four decades later, the patten remains the same, and clearly shows that some environmental issues have priority over others. Concerns about countries’ CO2 emissions overshadow interest in whether the countries can feed their own people. The inhumane dimension of these concerns is especially important in the context of the growing world population that will greatly increase demand for food production. And perhaps civilization will not be ready to cope with the problem, given that the top-priority questions are asked and resolved last.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Michael Yon @MichaelYon
Oct 5, 2022 at 5:22am
Cold Rolls In
05 October 2022
Republic of Ireland

Sniff the battlefield. Listen to it breath. There is a rhythm.

Each passing hour brings us closer to Winter.

The Green Parties and those who trumpet climate change agendas will be responsible for mass death. Time to throw them out while we still are strong.

Germany is turning out the lights. De-industrializing. Back to old ways. A difficulty with going back to old ways is that our large population is contingent on Energy flows. Energy flows are the basis of our modern world.

The Greens are not backing off. Even as this catastrophe unfolds they redouble attacks on energy sources such as coal.

I will fly from Dublin over to Great Britain today. Many people — even British — think the Republic of Ireland is part of the United Kingdom. It is not. This is a separate country. Still part of the EU, or example. Slaves to the EU. United Kingdom departed the EU.

Watch now as Europe and the EU dissolve into its parts.

This remains the White People Middle East. For instance, two days ago, up in Northern Ireland (part of UK), there are over twenty miles of walls dividing Catholics from Protestants much as we saw in Baghdad with walls separating Sunni and Shia.

Megacide is unfolding. Death jabs still rolling out. Despite twisted faces and fallen athletes, believers still believe.

But it is time go back to the old ways on some things. Florida was just badly damaged. FEMA says keep at least three days of supplies for help to arrive. That’s a farce. Three days are a bandaids in a firefight. And we don’t want any more of their ‘help.’ Our own communities and networks can be stronger, quicker, more efficient.

I will fly to London today. United Kingdom is crumbling. After this, back to United States.

1664967757638.jpeg
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

German Energy Apocalypse Update VI
Energy economisation already behind schedule – impending hospitality sector catastrophe – Eurozone blackout concerns – more Nord Stream updates.

eugyppius
48 min ago

It was a cold September in central Europe, and about half of German households responded by heating far earlier in the year than usual. This means, as far as energy economisation, that we are already behind schedule:

Germany’s network regulator, which would be in charge of gas rationing in the event of a supply emergency … said that household consumption was too high to be sustainable.

Last week’s [18–24 September] usage of natural gas by German households and small industry was 483 gigawatt hours, up 14.5% above the average for that week over the past four years, the Bundesnetzagentur said.

“The numbers for that week are thus very sobering,” said agency president Klaus Mueller. “Without significant savings in the private area of consumption, it will be difficult to avoid an emergency situation in winter.”

My own energy bills have only about doubled so far, but many commercial consumers are seeing their gas and electricity costs surge four- or even ten-fold:

The rising costs for electricity and gas will have dramatic consequences for industry. The energy crisis is a “total catastrophe” which could threaten the existence of the whole sector, says Julius Wagner, Head Manager of the German Hotel and Restaurant Association in Hessen. “In comparison, the Corona crisis was a walk in the park.”

Around one in six businesses … is facing a fourfold to tenfold increase in electricity costs. Gas is no better. Wagner reported that he knows businesses where the monthly electricity costs have skyrocketed from around 500 to 3,000 Euros a month.

It seems all but certain that many retail establishments will close forever in the coming months, as energy becomes flatly unaffordable and customers are forced to devote every last penny to keeping their homes warm.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Sweden Braces For A Winter Of Power Shortages

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 12:30 AM
By Magyar Nemzet of Remix news

Emergency scenarios are being prepared in Sweden in case of power cuts. The Scandinavian country has had a dry and windless summer, which has resulted in less electricity being produced from renewable energy, while its nuclear power plants are not ready to supply consumers. Meanwhile, the economic situation is worsening as inflation skyrockets and housing costs continue to rise.

Falling energy prices, a worsening economy, and a change of government have all contributed to the declining economic situation in Sweden, according to a recent study by the Hungarian Oeconomus Economic Research Foundation. Consumer inflation hit an all-time high in August, reaching 9.8 percent, the highest in 30 years. The biggest increases were in housing and transport costs.

The analysis points out that, unlike Hungary, Sweden did not seek to compensate energy and fuel prices, but cut taxes; however, this did not live up to expectations. The Swedish government expects the economy to slow further next year, with industrial production possibly stagnating.

Meanwhile, severe energy shortages loom. Emergency scenarios have already been drawn up.

The dry and windless summer has meant less electricity from renewable sources, and nuclear power plants are unable to supply the country.

In addition, with Russian gas cut off and oil exports stopped, Sweden is forced to buy from elsewhere, which increases the cost of electricity.

The state energy supplier is trying to prepare for the winter with austerity tips, for example, washing at night, installing LED light bulbs, and turning down the heating. They are also openly talking about the possibility of partial power cuts.

In this case, Swedes are asked to insulate windows, gather the whole family in a single room, and build a makeshift hut out of blankets.

“There are precise plans for the areas where supplies must be provided in all circumstances, for example, in hospitals, where a power cut would have serious consequences,” said Erik Ek, strategic operations director at state-owned utility Svenska Kraftnät.

The Moderate Party, which is about to form a new government, supports the expansion of nuclear power. They have already announced that they will spend 400 million Swedish krona (€36 million) on this, but it is certainly not a solution to the energy shortages expected this winter.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

More Bad News For Europe: Forecasters Predict Colder Winter, Less Renewable Power​


WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 02:45 AM

Just days after we learned that Europe's cell phone tower energy reserves will last 30 minutes during the upcoming mass blackouts, putting the entire European cellular system in jeopardy, the continent which will soon replace Russia with the US as its vassal master and energy sponsor, got even more bad news: according to Florence Rabier, director-general of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), i.e., the European weather forecasting agency, early indications for November and December were for a period of high pressure over western Europe, which was likely to bring with it colder spells and less wind and rainfall, reducing the generation of renewable power.



This, as the FT translates, means that Europe could suffer a colder winter with less wind and rain than usual, adding to the challenges for governments trying to solve the continent’s energy crisis.




Needless to say, the forecast - which is based on data from the ECMWF and several other weather prediction systems including those in the UK, US, France and Japan - is a major problem for European politicians as they try to contain soaring energy costs for businesses and households owing to huge cuts in gas imports from Russia, and to moderate public anger and outrage at the coming freezing winter where Europe has somehow promised to cut demand by as much as 20% (nobody knows just how it will do that).

Adding insult to injury, however, is that Europe's fascination with renewable energy will once again be a huge disappointment: “If we have this pattern then for the energy it is quite demanding because not only is it a bit colder but also you have less wind for wind power and less precipitation for hydro power,” Florence Rabier told the Financial Times.

Rabier said recent hurricanes across the Atlantic could cause milder, wetter and windier weather in the short term. But cooler weather later in the year would be consistent with the atmospheric conditions known as La Niña, a weather pattern derived from the cooling of the Pacific Ocean’s surface, which drives changes in wind and rainfall patterns in different regions.

Of course, this could prove to be just another example of Europe being woefully wrong at forecasting, well, anything (just note the ECB's track record). Weather in Europe is difficult to predict as the conditions are dictated by several remote factors including winds in the tropical stratosphere and surface pressure across the Atlantic.
In any case, there is a faint silver lining to Europe's coming deep freeze: as Reuters' reporter John Kemp reports, Europe is entering winter with a near-record volume of gas in storage after buying large volumes at almost any price over the summer to prepare for an interruption of supplies from Russia.

Gas inventories in the European Union and the United Kingdom (EU28) had climbed to 996 terawatt-hours (TWh) by Sept. 30, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE). For the time of year, inventories were at the third highest on record, with higher volumes only in 2020 (1,074 TWh) and 2021 (1,067 TWh).



Storage had risen by around 700 TWh from its post-winter low, the second-fastest increase on record, as suppliers purchased as much gas as possible despite exceptionally high prices. As a result, stocks ended the summer refill season +98 TWh (+11% or +0.83 standard deviations) above the prior ten-year average.



This is a huge turnaround from the end of January, when they were -134 TWh (-23% or -1.34 standard deviations) below.



As Kemp forecasts, Inventories are likely to continue increasing for at least another three weeks until late October, but the build could persist into early November, depending on temperatures and how far high prices restrain consumption. Since 2011, the median date on which storage peaked was Oct. 26, but in two cases inventories continued rising into the first half of November.

Based on previous seasonal movements, storage is expected to peak around 1,025 TWh, with a likely range from 1,009 TWh to 1,053 TWh.



But the volume of gas in store is still increasing at an average rate of more than 2.3 TWh per day, implying it is likely to climb towards the top of the range.

Is it enough?
EU storage is more than 89% full and UK storage is more than 94% full, with extra stocks likely to be added over the next 3-6 weeks. Storage is well ahead of the formal target of 80% this year (preferably 85%) by Nov. 1 agreed by the EU in June (“Council adopts regulation on gas storage”, European Council, June 27).

According to Kemp, European governments have fulfilled their stated objective of maximizing the volume of gas in storage ahead of winter 2022/23 to reduce the impact of a disruption of pipeline supplies from Russia. But storage is intended to deal with seasonal variations in consumption, not provide a strategic reserve in case of an embargo or blockade.

Maximizing the volume of stored gas will alleviate the impact of any supply disruptions but it is not enough to guarantee supply security. In the event of a complete cessation of imports from Russia, a colder than normal winter such as the one forecast, or both, gas would become scarce before the end of March 2023.

Even if Europe scrapes through this winter, inventories are likely to end at very low levels, requiring another, perhaps even bigger, restocking next year ahead of winter 2023/24.

Bottom line: inventory accumulation has put Europe in a stronger position than at this time last year but regional supplies are still at risk which will require further action from the market and policymakers. Supply security depends critically on the ability to reduce consumption well below prior year levels - irrespective of temperatures and the level of heating demand. And if Europe has a truly cold winter, then all bets are off...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

The People Who Engineered Record Inflation Want To Control Cryptocurrency

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 03:30 AM
Authored by Simon Black via SovereignMan.com,

On the First of May in the year 1716, a swashbuckling Scottish entrepreneur was making this pitch of his lifetime to the head of the French government in Paris.

The entrepreneur’s name was John Law. By all accounts he was incredibly charismatic and had a flamboyant, larger than life personality. He was something like Adam Neumann, formerly of WeWork… the kind of person who could talk anyone into anything.

And John Law’s pitch that day was to launch an entirely new financial system.

King Louis XIV had just died eight months before, leaving France in terrible financial ruin. Decades of endless wars, palaces, and profligate spending had bankrupted the French government.

The situation was so dire, in fact, that there was hardly any gold left in the French treasury. So the new head regent of the government, Duke Philippe II of Orleans, was desperate for a solution.

Law made him a bold proposal: the Duke would provide Law with a special banking license. And in exchange, Law would create a new system of paper money that would bring more gold into France and help pay off the crippling national debt.

Philippe agreed. And, only a few weeks later, John Law’s new Banque Generale Privee was in business.

It turned out that people loved the idea of paper money. And within a year, his paper bank notes were circulating widely throughout the French economy, and the government even accepted them for tax payments.

Law made his paper money even more valuable in late 1717, after he had taken control of the Mississippi Company.

The French Mississippi Company was something like the Dutch East India Company; it was a private enterprise that had received a royal monopoly over all the land and resources in France’s American colonies.

Almost immediately after securing rights to the monopoly, Law offered shares of the Mississippi Company to the public; it was like a giant IPO.

But Law sweetened the deal by allowing people to pay up to 75% of the share price using his bank’s paper money.

The Mississippi Company IPO was a smashing success. It was so popular that Law was offered bribes, sex, and political favors from French nobles in exchange for the opportunity to buy a few extra shares.

The famous philosopher Voltaire was eye witness to this, and wrote, “I myself saw him pass through the galleries of the Palais-Royal followed by dukes and peers, Marshalls of France, bishops of the Church.”

And at first the share price soared. Bear in mind the Mississippi Company had zero activity. Hardly anyone was living in France’s southern colonies in America, and there was virtually no trade or commerce going on.

The government even tried deporting criminals to America, trying to increase the population of the colonies. They offered hundreds of acres of land for free to anyone who would go. Yet economic activity still failed to transpire.

Eventually the French public realized the truth; there would be no gold, no gems, and no riches coming from the Mississippi Company. And the stock price began to quickly collapse.

Law tried to prop up the stock price by creating more paper money (backed by absolutely nothing), and using that new money to buy shares of the Mississippi Company.

But all he ended up doing was creating inflation; with so much new paper money circulating in the economy, prices everywhere rose.

By May 1720, retail prices in France had doubled. It was full-blown hyperinflation, and people panicked. They feverishly began selling off their Mississippi Company shares and trading their paper money, for any real asset they could get their hands on.

One nobleman, Duke Henri-Jacques de Caumont, dumped all of his paper in exchange for a warehouse full of candles. A Parisian merchant sold his in exchange for crates of chocolate and coffee.

(This is one of many examples of history showing that real assets tend to do well in times of inflation.)

Shortly after, Law officially suspended the conversion of his bank notes into gold and silver, and the paper money instantly became worthless.

At the peak of all this insanity, if you can even believe it, the French government made John Law its Comptroller-General.

In other words, the guy who created the biggest financial bubble in French history was put in charge of government finances.

I couldn’t help but think of this story when I watched a group of central bankers talking about cryptocurrency at a conference in Paris last week.

Among others, the heads of the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank participated in a panel discussion that, for anyone who actually understands crypto, can only be described as hilarious.

Naturally they started with the old anti-crypto tropes, talking about “the lack of transparency” and how criminals use crypto.

These are completely laughable points. Criminals use iPhones, American Express, and JP Morgan Chase as well. Should we cancel those too?

And as for crypto’s lack of transparency, the opposite is true. Every Bitcoin transaction is traceable on the blockchain for the entire world to see.

Yet with every passing sentence, these bankers demonstrated that they know absolutely nothing about crypto… and quite possibly banking too.

At one point they slammed stablecoins that didn’t have a 1:1 backing; stablecoins are specialized tokens that represent, for example, 1 US dollar per token. So there is supposed to be at least one US dollar in reserve for every token in circulation.

Lately there have been a handful of high profile stable coins that didn’t have sufficient reserves. So their criticism is fair.

But this leads to an obvious question: if a 1 to 1 reserve standard for stable coins is so critical, why don’t we demand the same of our banking system?

Central Banks are among the most prominent regulators in banking. And they have completely condoned a fractional reserve system whereby commercial banks are only required to keep 10% (or less) in reserve.

In other words, these people are perfectly fine that commercial banks gamble most of their customers’ money on the latest investment fad of the day.

It’s fine to be outraged when a few stablecoins aren’t 100% reserved. But they should be equally outraged that commercial banks aren’t even 10% reserved.

The biggest laughs, though, took place when these central bankers started talking about rolling out their own digital currencies.

The Fed wants to create a DollarCoin. And the European Central Bank wants a EuroToken.

This is truly rolling on the floor, laugh out loud funny given that these people have no clue about technology.

The Federal Reserve’s most important payment system, FedACH, which processes over 50 million transactions per day, still takes 2-3 days for payments to clear. It’s so outdated, it’s as if they’re still sending satchels full of cash via Pony Express.

It’s also ridiculous that the people who have failed in every possible aspect of their responsibility think that they’re qualified to administer a brand new financial system.

These Central Banks failed to anticipate inflation. They failed to recognize it. They failed to do anything about it for more than a year. And now they’re hellbent on causing a recession.

They’ve pretty much been a complete disaster. Yet now they want to be in charge of crypto too. Are these people serious??

To me this is really one of the great benefits of crypto, and of real assets. Holding paper money is ultimately a vote in favor of central bankers, an expression of confidence that they know what they’re doing.

Personally I have little confidence in these people. And that’s why I think it makes sense to hold other types of assets that they don’t control, including real assets (real estate, commodities, productive businesses, etc.) and decentralized crypto assets.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

European Gas Demand Set For Record-Breaking Decline In 2022​

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 04:20 AM
By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com

Soaring natural gas prices, demand destruction in the industrial sector, and energy-saving measures are set to reduce gas consumption in Europe’s developed economies by 10% this year, the biggest drop in European demand in history, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its quarterly Gas Market Report on Monday.

The forecast of a 10% decline in natural gas demand in OECD Europe reflects the expectation of higher gas prices and the EU’s ambition to reduce gas consumption by 15% between August 2022 and March 2023 compared to its five-year average.

“Assuming average weather conditions, gas demand in the residential and commercial sectors is expected to remain below 2021 levels,” the IEA said in its report.

Due to sky-high high prices and a very tight gas market, natural gas usage in the power generating sector in Europe is forecast to drop by nearly 3% this year. Industrial gas demand is expected to plunge by as much as 20%, the IEA said.

Energy-intensive industries in Europe, including aluminum, copper, and zinc smelters and steel makers, have already warned EU officials that they face an existential threat from surging power and gas prices.

After a record slump in gas demand this year, Europe faces another year of gas consumption contraction in 2023, when OECD Europe’s demand is forecast to decline by 4% amid high prices, according to estimates from the IEA.

The agency also noted that “Further potential disruption to the supply of Russian gas provides additional downside risk to this outlook.”

Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security, commented on the report:

“The outlook for gas markets remains clouded, not least because of Russia’s reckless and unpredictable conduct, which has shattered its reputation as a reliable supplier. But all the signs point to markets remaining very tight well into 2023.”

The IEA’s Executive Director Fatih Birol said last week that the gas market could be even tighter next year compared to already tight LNG markets in 2022.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

How to Turn the Tables on Tyrants Waging the Economic War

The Federal Reserve has ordered another 'super-sized interest hike' in what appears to be a hopeless effort to contain runaway inflation.

BY DR. JOSEPH MERCOLA October 5, 2022 in Cross-Posted, Opinions

Economic Tyrants
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STORY AT A GLANCE
  • The Federal Reserve recently ordered another “super-sized interest hike” — the fifth rate hike this year — in what appears to be a hopeless effort to contain runaway inflation. Additional rate hikes are also anticipated. Some fear the Federal Reserve may be pushing us too hard, which could bring us from recession into deflation
  • Data from the Bureau of Labor statistics report the highest annual increase in food prices since the 1970s, with the cost of food rising 10.9% in the last 12 months. Overall, energy prices have seen the highest increases, rising by 41.6% between June 2021 and June 2022. For comparison, the Federal Reserve’s annual inflation target is 2%
  • As bad as the economic trend appears, that’s not all we have to contend with. Financial crisis historian Adam Tooze predicts several crises may converge over the next six to 18 months, including food crises, energy crises, pandemic outbreaks, stagflation, a Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and potential nuclear war
  • Our current situation is not accidental. It’s not even the result of pure ineptitude. Once you understand the globalist cabal’s plan for a Great Reset, you realize that all of these things need to happen in order for The Great Reset to be implemented. The rational conclusion, then, is that our food, energy, medicine and financial systems are being dismantled and hobbled on purpose
  • We can’t stop these crises from happening, but we can prepare to survive the destruction and then rebuild systems to our own liking, rather than accept their slave systems
While the White House administration has tried to downplay the seriousness of inflation, reality has a stubborn way of paying no attention to fantasies and make-believe.

As reported by several news outlets in recent days,1 the Federal Reserve (which is not federal at all but rather a private entity that prints and lends fiat currency to the government) has ordered another “super-sized interest hike” — the fifth rate hike this year — in what appears to be a hopeless effort to contain runaway inflation. As reported by NPR, September 21, 2022:2

“The Federal Reserve ordered another super-sized jump in interest rates today, and signaled that additional rate hikes are likely in the coming months, as it tries to put the brakes on runaway prices.

The central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.75 percentage points Wednesday, matching hikes in June and July. The Fed has been boosting borrowing costs at the fastest pace in decades. But so far, its actions have done little to curb the rapid run-up in prices.”

‘Exceptional Level of Economic Uncertainty’ Ahead
Higher interest rates, of course, increase the cost of borrowing, making home mortgages, car loans and credit card balances more expensive and, for many, unaffordable. And we haven’t even seen the worst of it yet. According to MSN,3 the Federal Reserve anticipates additional rate hikes after this, in the hopes of limiting stagflation, a situation in which prices rise and employment goes down.

America needs better media sources. Even many in conservative or alternative media are compromised by Big Tech. Learn why we’re launching Discern.tv and help if you have the means.

Some, however, fear the Federal Reserve may be pushing us from recession into deflation. As reported by MSN September 21, 2022:4

“The World Bank last week raised the specter of a global recession, driven by higher rates in the U.S. and abroad. Investors are increasingly worried that disruption in the U.S. government debt market could worsen as the Fed raises borrowing costs.

The housing and stock markets are reeling. And some executives like Tesla CEO Elon Musk even say the economy is in danger of entering a period of deflation … the Fed’s policies take time to feed through the economy, meaning the central bank could end up depressing economic activity more than necessary before realizing it, given the sheer speed at which it’s jacking up rates — the fastest pace in three decades.

‘There’s the old expression that sometimes they’ll tighten until something breaks,’ said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. ‘It’s a legitimate concern at this point.’ The predicament creates an exceptional level of economic uncertainty for the country … Also at stake is the central bank’s own credibility as the nation’s chief inflation-fighting authority.”

Record Inflation in 2022
In early August 2022, President Biden claimed the U.S. had “zero-percent inflation” in the month of July. Alas, boasting about a single-month index change was a Jedi mind trick that didn’t work on most people. The federal Consumer Price Index earlier that day published data showing an annual inflation rate of 8.5% for July, down from 9.1% in June, which was the highest rate since 1981.5

Data from the Bureau of Labor statistics also reported the highest annual increase in food prices since the 1970s, with the cost of food rising 10.9% in the last 12 months. Overall, energy prices have seen the highest increases, rising by 41.6% between June 2021 and June 2022. For comparison, the Federal Reserve’s annual inflation target is 2%.6

Later in that same speech, Biden “proceeded to accidentally step on his own message,” to quote the New York Post,7 by urging Congress to pass his Inflation Reduction Act.

Putting his foot even further down his own throat, Biden added the bill would “keep inflation from getting better.”8 Clearly, what he meant to say was that the bill would keep it from getting worse, but he spoke the truth in this instance nonetheless.

The better-titled Inflation Act is strongly biased toward financing of “green” programs, which will be funded by additional taxes, including a new 15% minimum corporate tax and massively increased IRS enforcement. Commenting on the bill shortly after it passed the Senate, Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis, said:9

“The Orwellian named ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ will do no such thing, as a number of prominent experts and economic policy groups have indicated. The Penn Wharton Budget Model,10 the Tax Foundation,11 and the Congressional Budget Office12 all found the bill won’t lower inflation and may make it worse.

The IRS would more than double in size, unleashing 87,000 new enforcement agents on American families … [and the] nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation says that 78% to 90% of the revenue raised from misreported income would likely come from those making under $200,000.”

Impending Polycrisis
As bad as the economic trend appears, that’s not all we have to contend with in coming days. As detailed in “Economy Expert Explains the Impending Polycrisis of Doom,” global citizens are currently facing a whole host of intersecting and interconnected crises.

Adam Tooze, a financial crisis historian and director of the European Institute at Columbia University, predicts several crises may erupt and converge over the next six to 18 months, including food crises, energy crises, pandemic outbreaks, stagflation, a Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and potential nuclear war.

As explained by Tooze, “polycrisis” is not merely the presence of several crises at once. Rather, it’s “a situation … where the whole is even more dangerous than the sum of the parts.”13 These crises are hitting us all at once, and several of them reinforce and worsen each other. Also notable is the fact that there’s great uncertainty associated with some of them, making it extremely difficult to make predictions.

Beyond the influences highlighted by Tooze, others could also be added into the mix, such as the weaponization of the U.S. dollar, which is encouraging countries to de-dollarize and create alternative reserve currencies, NATO and U.S. meddling in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the push to expand NATO, and allowing health agencies to dictate economic policy, just to name a few.

These Crises Are Not Accidental
What’s perhaps most infuriating about our current situation is that it’s not accidental. It’s not even the result of pure ineptitude. Once you understand the globalist cabal’s plan for a Great Reset, you realize that all of these things need to happen in order for The Great Reset to be implemented. Since the reset can’t happen unless all of the old systems are first destroyed, the rational conclusion is that they’re being dismantled and hobbled on purpose.

The global economic system is being dismantled to bring in a programmable central bank digital currency (CBDC), so they can monitor and control your spending from a centralized location.

When the food crisis hits, they’ll launch government breadlines. Proteins will run low by design, so the breadlines will be replaced by cricketlines. If you won’t be eating cricket, stock up on organic, freeze-dried chicken from Prepper Organics.

The energy grids of the Western world are being dismantled and incapacitated in order to justify a new “green” economy based on carbon credits. It will also push people to the brink of despair, which makes them more likely to accept “solutions” that would normally be rejected as unacceptable.

A “green” all-electric vehicle society — were it even possible, which it’s not — would also dramatically limit your ability to travel and, in fact, all travel could then be monitored and restricted from a central location, just like your bank account. Both CBDCs and electric vehicles are tools through which a centralized cabal can control your every move.

Agriculture and the food industry, meanwhile, are being crippled in part by irrational nitrogen reduction laws that will result in less food being grown and fewer livestock being raised, and in part by no longer coincidental fires, so that a new food system can be introduced — one based on “micro livestock,” i.e., insects, cultured meat, plant-based meat alternatives and GMO plant foods.

The common denominator is that all foods need to be patentable. Lack of food, like lack of energy, also makes people more “malleable” and willing to give up rights and liberties to survive.

Health care is also being undermined and getting more dangerous by the day as doctors are being muzzled through new laws, and the World Health Organization is pushing — using biosecurity as its justification — to grant itself the power to dictate and control health care worldwide. I think the reason for centralizing health care under the WHO is to make the transition to transhumanism easier.

The WHO is diligently working on a global vaccine passport, and President Biden recently signed an executive order14 that fast-tracks mRNA shots and other gene therapies “to be able to write circuitry for cells and predictably program biology in the same way in which we write software and program computers.” So, it’s no longer a stretch to imagine a world in which you have to get regular gene therapy injections in order to be able to function in society.

And, between Biden’s executive order and the Food and Drug Administration’s new “future framework” that allows reformulated mRNA shots to be rolled out without testing, it seems humanity at large will be the guinea pigs for untold numbers of genetic experiments to see what works and what doesn’t.

“The goal is to break everything apart, and then roll out a ‘new and improved’ society consisting of a ruling class, and disposable masses that will be controlled through technology-driven social engineering and control mechanisms like surveillance, ‘biosecurity,’ CBDCs, electric cars, gene therapies, carbon credits and social credit scores.”

In the end, the transhumanist cabal intends to make themselves immortal super-humans. But they need test subjects to perfect these radical technologies — and that’s going to be all of us. I could go on, but I think you get the gist. The breakdowns we’re experiencing are not by chance. They’re intentional.

The goal is to break everything apart, and then roll out a “new and improved” society consisting of a ruling class, and disposable masses that will be controlled through technology-driven social engineering and control mechanisms like surveillance, “biosecurity,” CBDCs, electric cars, gene therapies, carbon credits and social credit scores.

What You Can Do to Prepare
The central banking cabal and its many allies have infiltrated governments and institutions across the world for many decades, slowly turning the systems against us. We are now in the final chapter of their technocratic, transhumanist takeover.

They’ve told us their plans. It’s all spelled out in white papers, reports, books and on websites. The Great Reset is the overarching plan for the global takeover, previously referred to as the New World Order. The Fourth Industrial Revolution is the transhumanist piece of that plan, and the Green Agenda is the piece that will usher in essential control mechanisms.

Without a doubt, they wield formidable weapons. But before you drown in despair, remember that we still outnumber these megalomaniacs by tens of millions to one, if not more. And, believe it or not, they need our cooperation. If enough of us withhold our cooperation, their plans start falling apart. I’m not saying it will be easy. It’ll require sacrifice. But that’s nothing new. Freedom has always required sacrifice.

Don’t get caught unprepared as things go south. Order a case of five life-saving antibiotics prescribed directly to you by board certified physicians. Use promo code “RUCKER10” for $10 off. Having an emergency supply of antibiotics is crucial before the crap hits the fan.

Two of the most important things everyone can do right now is 1) prepare ourselves and our families for hard times (if you were not a prepper before, now’s the time), and 2) start building parallel structures and systems to replace the ones that are being dismantled.

The idea is to survive and rebuild a world of our own choosing rather than being forced to accept theirs out of sheer desperation. Strategies that can strengthen individual and local resilience to the stresses facing us include the creation of local food systems15 and the strengthening of neighborhood and community connections.

By building a strong local food system, you reduce food insecurity, and by building a community network of specialists, you reduce the effects of a crumbling financial system as you can simply barter goods and services. For those who aren’t skilled at growing food it is wise to align with local farmers that you resonate with and can add complementary skill sets. Remember it takes a community to get through this.

Social cohesion also offers many psychological benefits.16 Local food systems and community networks both also reduce individuals’ reliance on government handouts, and by extension, they’re less likely to be forced into these new Great Reset slave systems. A 2017 StrongTown article17 provides several excellent suggestions for those willing to spearhead a local food movement in their own hometown.

Additional Suggestions
It’s important that you continue to prepare for the inevitable financial catastrophe and become as independent and resilient as possible. Shore up supplies and figure out how to live in an “off grid” scenario, in case daily conveniences suddenly vanish. This year I have offered many articles on how you can prepare for food, water and other crises, which you can find in my Substack library.

Aside from “investing” in storable food, a water catchment system and other essentials that will only go up in price or become unobtainable, you may also consider buying physical precious metals, which can help protect against currency devaluation. Investing in real assets, such as land could be another.

It’s hard to make definitive recommendations, as your strategy will depend on your personal situation, so take some time to think things through. If you do nothing to hedge your bets, you may one day find yourself left with nothing — which is precisely what the World Economic Forum has declared will be our lot.

It’s also essential to become as healthy as possible. A recent study showed that 93% of U.S. adults are metabolically unhealthy, and those stats were four years old. It’s likely that number is now over 95%. You want to be the 1 person in 20 who is healthy. Make it your goal to be in that group.

This is so important that I’m devising a poll to find out what that percentage is for our subscribers. It would be a bit more accurate as I’ll include metrics like vitamin one hour a day of sun exposure and exercise. So, start getting metabolically fit now.

Also prepare yourself mentally, emotionally and spiritually for what could be stressful and challenging times as the globalist cabal continues to push The Great Reset forward, which will require more “emergencies.”
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment

Bill Gates push for DIGITAL ID with $1.27 billion donation for Agenda 2030 ”Global Goals”

And guess who was rewarded with their Global Goalkeepers award…?

Peter Imanuelsen
18 min ago

The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation announced a $1.27 billion commitment to advance ”Global Goals” which are the 17 goals outlined in the UN Agenda 2030.

As part of this, a ton of funding is going to push for global digital ID. Yes, you read that correctly. Global digital ID.

Remember when that was called a crazy conspiracy theory?

A whopping $200 million will be spent to ”expand global Digital Public Infrastructure” according to their website.

They say that this funding will be used to help countries with among other things public health threats, pandemic recovery and of course climate change. What exactly is this ”global Digital Public Infrastructure” you may ask?

Well let the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation tell you! It means payment systems and digital ID among other things, just see the whole text from their website for yourself!

”This funding will help expand infrastructure that low- and middle-income countries can use to become more resilient to crises such as food shortages, public health threats, and climate change, as well as to aid in pandemic and economic recovery. This infrastructure encompasses tools such as interoperable payment systems, digital ID, data-sharing systems, and civil registry databases.”

There you have it. Bill Gates is pushing hard for digital ID.

But it doesn’t stop there!
They also have something called ”Goalkeepers”. This is their campaign to ”accelerate progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (or Global Goals)”.

What is this ”Global Goals” they are speaking of?

It is actually the goals outlined in the UN Agenda 2030. You read that correctly. Bill Gates is working to implement Agenda 2030 which is a bunch of goals that the UN has, including a ton of stuff on the climate agenda.

On their website, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation is talking about how governments should use digital payments to women in order to achieve one of the goals on Agenda 2030, namely gender equality. I bet digital ID will come in very handy for that...More about that later!

And the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation is giving out what they call Global Goalkeeper award to people who have done good work in pushing this Agenda 2030.

Guess who was awarded Global Goalkeeper for 2022? Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission…

Now let’s dig a little deeper into what is going on here and what exactly being a Global Goalkeeper means and how this plays into the UN Agenda 2030.

And what exactly is this Agenda 2030? Many of you might not even know much about it as the media seems to more or less not talk about it.

So I will.

The New Agenda.
This might shock you, because we are being pushed towards a global agenda being implemented, and we were never asked about it. They themselves even call the UN Agenda 2030 for “The New Agenda”.

Let’s take a deep dive to find out what ”The New Agenda” is all about...

This part of the article took me a long time of research and writing, so it is exclusive for my paid subscribers. If you want to support my work and also read the rest of this article, which you don’t want to miss, please consider becoming a paid subscriber as that helps a lot! You will also get exclusive access to all my other paid articles, such as this one where I do an in depth investigation into what is going on with the mysterious number of excess deaths.

Something weird is happening with the excess death rate.

You might remember seeing on the news and on the TV screens over the last few years how they kept a daily count of the number of covid deaths. At times it seemed like it was the only thing they ever talked about. I remember it. It was everywhere, all the major news outlets and TV channels were keeping track of how many people were reported as dying with covid each day, and they used this as reasons for pushing lockdowns and restrictions. We had to save grandma…

(pay wall)
 

pinkelsteinsmom

Veteran Member
98% of Americans have rejected the new “bivalent” vaxxine – let alone the vaxxine for their infants – but still, plans remain in place in the US Government to force-vaccinate everyone. At gunpoint, if necessary, as attorney, Todd Callender, who has been defending US servicemen from being forced to take the death shot explains to Maria Zee.....................


All ready in Wa state and Florida, pending in 47 STATES!
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

ADP Reports Better Than Expected Jump In Jobs In September, Wage Growth Accelerates​

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 05:24 AM

Ahead of Friday's big number, and following last month's dismal print (under its new model regime) which dramatically under-predicted the payrolls print in August, ADP was expected to show a modest uptick in September of 200k jobs. The actual print came in at +208k jobs but most notably, the +132k print from August was revised drastically higher to +185k...


Source: Bloomberg

ADP's Nela Richardson notes that "there are signs that people are returning to the labor market. We're in an interim period where we're going to continue to see steady job gains. Employer demand remains robust and the supply of workers is improving--for now."

The goods-producing sector lost 29,000 jobs in September while Services gained 237k...



Job changers, who have been notching double-digit, year-over-year gains since the summer of 2021, lost momentum in September. Their annual pay rose 15.7 percent, down from a revised 16.2 percent gain in August. It's the biggest deceleration in the three-year history of our data...



For job stayers, annual pay rose 7.8 percent
in September from a year ago, up from a revised 7.7 percent in August.



According to ADP, US private employment is back above pre-COVID levels...



Finally, as a reminder, even under its new model, ADP has been a serial underpredictor relative to the BLS payrolls print...



Which means this Friday's print will likely not be bad enough to prompt any Fed pause.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

OPEC's Counterattack...​

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 05:35 AM
Via Adventures In Capitalism,

The Federal Reserve has been attacking inflation. The problem is that after printing trillions of dollars, they’re ill-equipped to succeed at their task. Partly, this is because all that cash has to go somewhere and partly this is because their mandate does not extend into ensuring that global energy production expands. While Owners’ Equivalent Rent and wages have remained elevated, those are often seen as the “good” sort of inflation—or at least the benign sort. Meanwhile, all other forms of inflation tend to be characterized as “bad” and frequently the “bad” inflation is caused by elevated energy prices, which then increase the costs of producing and transporting everything else.

Therefore, despite the Fed ignoring the inflation they caused for well over a year, when oil cleared $100 a barrel, the Fed finally felt that they had no choice but to do something.

The problem is that the only ways to reduce the price of oil are to produce more of it or consume less of it. It’s hard to produce more when the President and many of his powerful oligarch buddies are aggressively intervening to ensure that it’s difficult to expand or finance production.

Meanwhile, no one wants to invest when there are constant threats of excess profits taxes, carbon taxes, expropriation and price caps. Since the obvious solution has been made so impossible, the Fed has been forced to embark on a plan to reduce global energy consumption.



How do you reduce oil consumption?? Well, it seems that their plan is to create a global depression. So, after a decade of paying lip-service to “inclusive economics” and “closing the wealth gap,” the Fed has been forced to pivot and destroy the finances of the world’s poor, in the hopes that they’ll consume less oil. For the past half-year, this plan has unfolded with the usual crescendo of mini-temblors as global growth screeches to a halt and over-leveraged institutions find themselves on the wrong side of asset depreciation. The Fed is now well on its way towards creating an economic crisis that will reduce global energy consumption—consequences be damned.



Naturally, most global citizens do not want a lower standard of living so that US consumers can continue their orgy of excess. In fact, many global citizens owe their current standard of living due to elevated energy prices.

Hence, after watching Biden liquidate the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in order to improve his polling numbers, while watching the Fed directly target their standard of living and that of their customers, OPEC has had enough. They’re going to do something about the Fed and its war on oil. OPEC has finally launched a counterattack. Last month, they agreed to cut output by 100,000 bbl/d. It was meant as a warning that went unheeded. Tomorrow, they’re going to Blitzkrieg the Fed.

No one knows how big the cuts will be and frankly, it doesn’t matter how large they are. Instead, the message is clear—the Fed can crash global GDP in their fight against oil, but OPEC wields a much larger stick and will cut production even faster. In fact, OPEC will DO WHATEVER IT TAKES if the Fed continues on this path. OPEC has drawn a line under the price of oil and told the Fed that it’s wasting its time. OPEC controls the price of oil and oil is the world’s Central Banker, not the Fed.



On Monday morning, the market heard that message loud and clear. The Fed is trapped, oil is going higher, and the Fed is powerless to contain it. Why would the Fed continue trying to blow up the world’s financial markets if oil will not bend to their will??

Let’s look at a country like India that imports almost all of its energy. The Federal Reserve has effectively been saying, “they’re a poor country, we’ll break them and then global oil consumption will decline and US citizens will have cheaper oil.” Meanwhile, OPEC is saying, “India is a large and growing customer of ours. We’ll defend them against the Fed. Sure, they’ll pay more for their oil, but that’s much better than having the Fed detonate their currency, banking system and economy.” The battle lines are now drawn and OPEC is taking the mantle from the Fed. The market is loving it.

The Fed tends to be the last ones to realize anything when it comes to economics and the markets, so they likely haven’t internalized what OPEC just told them. However, the stock market understood it instantly, having one of the largest 2-day rallies in years. We’re getting much closer to The Pause. The Fed still needs to break something before they can declare victory and reduce rates, but The Pause is near—maybe not near in terms of price, but certainly in terms of when they pause. OPEC’s counterattack has changed the calculus and the Fed is now on the backfoot. If you can’t win at something, why try??
Especially if you’re going to leave casualties all over the financial markets.

On the topic of OPEC, here’s some quick math. Global supply and demand are roughly in balance today. Add in 1.5 million bbl/d of global SPR releases that will end soon, add in 2 million bbl/d of reduced demand from Chinese covid lock-downs that appear to be ending, add in 1 million bbl/d that Russian oil will decline by in 2023 (at a minimum), add in the 1 million bbl/d that global demand seems to expand by each year and assume that global supply somehow grows by 1 million bbl/d (though it isn’t clear where that growth would be coming from) and you have a 4.5 million bbl/d swing in 2023. Now add in whatever OPEC chooses and you realize that there’s an imminent and exponential crisis for the consumers of oil.

Of course, the Fed could destroy enough global GDP to erase 4.5 million bbl/d of global oil demand and stop the price from exploding, but OPEC just told them that they’ll DO WHATEVER IT TAKES. Do you think the Fed continues its war on GDP when they now know they’ll fail to contain the price of oil??



In 2023, energy will be the only thing that matters to investors. Everything else, including the Fed will be a side-show. Who’s ready for the insanity wave?? Ever since Monday, I’ve been maxing it all out in energy. I’ve been ripping right-tails all over the screen. Oil is going to wreck all the other CUSIPS. The S&P is partying this week because the Fed is cornered by OPEC, but that’s only because speculators don’t realize what this means for the price of oil.

We just had a half-year pause in my oil thesis, now it’s about to resume with the sort of vigor that comes from a good long nap. Hope you’re ready…
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Looting "Will Get Progressively Worse" Amid Hurricane Ian Chaos, Sheriff Warns

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 06:45 AM
Authored by Lorenz Duschamps via The Epoch Times,

As parts of Florida face a long road to recovery following extraordinary damage caused by Hurricane Ian, some people have already been taking advantage of the situation and started looting amid the chaos.

1664978442070.png

William Snyder, the sheriff of Martin County, told TCPalm that he doesn’t expect looters to calm down, fearing the worst. He said looters already went on a spree of stealing and ransacking structures “very early” after the Category 4 storm made landfall in western Florida last week.

“It was very early and some of the looting was starting already, but it will get progressively worse, I think, as people become more desperate,” Snyder, who was dispatched as part of a 15-person rapid response team on Sept. 30 to assist in the aftermath of Hurricane Ian in Charlotte County, told the publication.

Shortly after the team’s arrival in Charlotte, officials encountered “dazed” residents, as well as several “pretty sketchy people” looking for water, food, and fuel, but nobody was arrested at the time.

However, sometime later, Snyder received reports of people stealing gas-powered generators that were supposed to be powering traffic control devices.

“When they bolted those down, they chained them down, they started stealing the gas out of the generators,” the sheriff told TCPalm.

A day after the team’s arrival, they received a report about a house that was burning after the homeowner put a generator in the garage because he was so fearful that looters would steal their backup generator. The house was a total loss, Snyder said.

“The challenge that stuck out to me the most was just how fragile society is when electricity and water go,” the sheriff added.

“No gas, no electric, no water, and everything starts to come to a stop.”

‘We Have Law and Order’
In nearby Lee County, Sheriff Carmine Marceno issued a stark warning to would-be-looters after a group of four people—including three illegal immigrants—were arrested on Sept. 29 for taking advantage of the situation.

A warning to looters is painted on the side of a car destroyed during Hurricane Ian in Pine Island, Fla., on Oct. 3, 2022. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

“As far as looting—we have law and order in Lee County. We have law and order in our great state of Florida, and we always will,” said Marceno.

“Right now, we have four cases of looting, and I’m proud to say they’re behind bars where they belong. Our residents are going to be safe.”

Marceno added that three of the arrested individuals—Robert Mena, Brandon Araya, and Stephen Araya—were illegally inside the United States while they were caught looting in Lee County.

Lee County jail records show that Brandon Mauricio Araya, 20; Stephen Eduardo Sanchez Araya, 20; Valerie Celeste Salcedo Mena, 26; and Omar Mejia Ortiz, 33, were arrested for burglary of an unoccupied structure during a state of emergency. Ortiz also faces petit larceny charges.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, among other officials, have issued similar messages to would-be looters after reports emerged that people allegedly started traveling to stricken islands and ransacking properties.

“I can tell you, in the state of Florida, you never know what may be lurking behind somebody’s home, and I would not wanna chance that if I were you, given that we’re a Second Amendment state,” DeSantis said, who noted that some Floridians have firearms.

Some residents also “boarded up all the businesses, and there are people that wrote on their plywood, ‘you loot, we shoot,’” DeSantis added. “At the end of the day, we are not going to allow lawlessness to take advantage of this situation.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

White House Panics As Gasoline Prices Rebound, Mulls Export Ban, Blasts OPEC+ "Hostile Acts"​

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 04:44 AM
OPEC+ could be on the verge of one of the largest production cuts in two years, a move White House officials would undoubtedly have a 'panic attack' as they attempt to dissuade the 23 crude-producing countries and its allies, such as Russia, from making the cuts.

OPEC+ is considering cutting 2 million barrels a day, and on the smaller side, a reduction of 1-1.5 million barrels a day, delegates said. Such a move would be a blow to Washington as the Biden administration has scrambled to unleash record amounts of crude from the strategic petroleum reserve to tame soaring crude prices this summer.

"Higher oil prices, if driven by sizeable production cuts, would likely irritate the Biden administration ahead of US midterm elections," Citi strategists wrote in a note.

Citi strategists appear correct: CNN obtained some of the draft talking points circulated by the White House to the Treasury Department this week and called the prospect of a production cut a "total disaster" and "hostile act."

"There could be further political reactions from the US, including additional releases of strategic stocks," the strategists added. They said the Biden administration could also push forward with an anti-trust bill targeting OPEC.
But that's not all. According to Bloomberg, White House officials are discussing possible export bans on gasoline, diesel, and other refined petroleum with the Energy Department.

People familiar with discussions said administration officials are discussing export bans of refined products with top oil industry leaders as the risk of an OPEC+ reduction could catapult fuel pump prices higher ahead of the midterm elections in November.

And given the resurgence in crude and wholesale gasoline prices, regular pump prices are set to soar again...



Another person said the Energy Department is analyzing the economics of an export ban. Bloomberg said both people familiar with talks asked not to be identified because discussions are still private.

Despite Biden's SPR drain, hitting levels not seen since 1984, the export ban could be the most controversial move yet by the desperate administration to tame pump prices ahead of the midterm elections next month.



Biden's political emptying of the SPR has left it with a record low of just 22 days of supply...



Top oil execs and industry experts have blasted the proposed export ban, saying it could backfire and result in even higher gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices, while throwing energy markets into turmoil in Europe ahead of winter.

In a letter to the Energy Department, Exxon's CEO Darren Woods wrote last week that "continuing current Gulf Coast exports is essential to efficiently rebalance markets—particularly with diverted Russian supplies."

"Reducing global supply by limiting US exports to build region-specific inventory will only aggravate the global supply shortfall," Woods said.

On Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute warned any attempt to ban exports will disrupt not just global markets but harm US national security and geopolitical standing. API continued:

Banning or limiting the export of refined products would likely decrease inventory levels, reduce domestic refining capacity, put upward pressure on consumer fuel prices, and alienate US allies during a time of war. For these reasons, we urge the Biden administration to take this option off the table and focus instead on working with us on policies that will strengthen US energy security and protect consumers.

API outlined the major points from a July study via the American Council for Capital Formation about the economic impacts of a potential export ban of refined products:

1. An export ban could result in the shuttering of an estimated 1.3 million barrels per day of US refining capacity (7% of US total) due to trapped refinery production in the Gulf Coast. The loss of this capacity would likely strand a surplus of crude oil in the Central United States, halting important upstream energy production.
2. An export ban could result in higher product prices for US fuel consumers, with more than two-thirds likely to experience price increases of more than 15 cents per gallon for gasoline and 45 cents per gallon for distillates.
3. An export ban could cause a net loss to US GDP of more than $44 billion in 2023.
4. An export ban could eliminate 85,000 jobs this year and 35,000 job losses during 2023.


"There simply is not sufficient pipeline connectivity or the range of economic shipping alternatives that would be required to transport significantly more fuel to the East Coast from refineries in the Gulf, API continued, adding, "Banning exports of fuel from the United States will not eliminate this challenge or make it easier and more affordable to supply American-refined fuel to the East Coast. Instead, by cutting into global fuel supplies, it would likely raise the cost of fuel imported into the East Coast from the global market."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Top Oil Industry Groups Hammer Biden Admin’s Plan To Ban, Limit Fuel Exports​

Daily Caller News Foundation logo


JACK MCEVOYENERGY & ENVIRONMENT REPORTER
October 04, 20225:53 PM ET

The American Petroleum Institute (API) and American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM), two major groups that represent the oil industry, criticized the Biden administration’s plan to ban or restrict the exports of refined petroleum products, according to a letter they sent to Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm on Tuesday.

API CEO Mike Sommers and AFPM CEO Chet Thompson urged Granholm not to ban or restrict or ban U.S. exports of refined petroleum products to avoid disrupting the U.S. economy and global market, according to the letter. The CEOs argued that restricting exports would curb production and supply which would exacerbate the fuel shortages that the Biden administration is attempting to address.

“Banning or limiting the export of refined products would likely decrease inventory levels, reduce domestic refining capacity, put upward pressure on consumer fuel prices, and alienate U.S. allies during a time of war,” Sommers and Thompson wrote.

The CEOs also wrote that they were seriously concerned by the administration’s indications that it would move to cut oil companies’ exports as Granholm previously said that the U.S. would not impose limits on overseas fuel sales.

“Restricting these exports would cut off important supply from the international market, putting upward pressure on prices … undermining U.S. allies and creating negative global economic consequences,” the CEOs noted.

Both API and AFPM as well as top fuel refiners met with Granholm and White Officials on Sept. 30 to discuss market imbalances and our industry’s efforts to supply enough fuel to consumers, according to an AFPM and API joint statement.

“The administration continues to govern with contradictory energy policies and rhetoric,” both groups said in the statement.

Granholm threatened in August to use “emergency measures” to compel domestic refiners to cut exports as domestic stockpiles of refined products were nearing record lows in regions like New England. Crude oil stocks also fell by 200,000 barrels and gasoline inventories declined by 2.4 million barrels during the week that ended on Sept. 23, according to Energy Information Administration data released on Sept. 28.

“Moreover, banning exports of refined petroleum products could lead to unpredictable results and potentially disparate impacts across regions as refineries adjust to the revised trade flows,” the letter reads.

API is a trade association that represents oil and gas companies including Exxon, Chevron and Shell USA, according to its website. AFPM is a trade group that represents businesses that produce petroleum products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel.

API and AFPM did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden Does Damage Control As Rising Gas Prices Threaten Democrats’ Midterm Hopes​

Daily Caller News Foundation logo


JACK MCEVOYENERGY & ENVIRONMENT REPORTER
October 04, 202212:19 PM ET

The Biden administration is working to blame oil producers and threaten them with new regulations as the recent rise in gas prices is threatening Democrats’ odds in the midterm elections.

President Joe Biden and his appointees are holding meetings with oil officials, calling on oil companies to bring down prices at the pump and accusing them of “price gouging” the American people to fill their coffers, according to The Washington Post. The Democrats’ November midterm prospects were improving due to the White House’s efforts to bring down gas prices; however, after falling for 98 days straight, the national average price of gas has risen for the second straight week, threatening to derail the Democrats’ bid to keep control of Congress.

President Joe Biden’s Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm told oil and gas companies like Exxon Mobil on Sept. 30 to “step up” and help lower gas prices, according to an Energy Department (DOE) statement. Granholm claimed that oil companies were raising prices and not producing enough fuel products to meet the needs of consumers.

“As the President has said, these companies need to focus less on taking every last dollar off the table, and more on passing through savings to their customers,” Granholm said. “They need to step up and show results for American consumers and the American economy.”

Roughly 38% of voters consider the economy to be the most important issue facing the nation and 48% of those voters think that the Republican Party is best equipped to handle it, according to a Gallup poll released on Tuesday. The White House wants to avoid high gas prices ahead of the midterm elections as it believes that gas prices most directly affect voters’ perception of the economy, Politico reported in late May.

Biden said on Sept. 28 that he will order government officials to determine whether oil companies are “price gouging” consumers with high gas prices. Biden also told gas station owners not to raise prices because oil producers were making “record profits” and since the price of oil was falling.

However, OPEC and its Russian-led allies may decide to cut oil production by over 1 million barrels per day, which would drive gas prices higher ahead of the winter months.

The national average price of gas now sits at $3.80 per gallon, which is $0.60 higher than it was in October 2021, according to AAA data. The Democrats are predicted to keep their slim majority in the Senate but lose control of the House, according to FiveThirtyEight polling.

The White House did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden’s NIH Will Hand Groups Millions To Study How ‘Structural Racism’ Impacts ‘Misinformation’​

Daily Caller News Foundation logo


GABE KAMINSKYINVESTIGATIVE REPORTER
October 04, 202211:20 AM ET

President Joe Biden’s National Institutes of Health (NIH) will give millions in tax dollars to groups that research how “structural racism” in science and medicine impacts “misinformation,” according to a grant listing reviewed by the Daily Caller News Foundation.

The grant, which has not been reported on until now, is titled “Understanding and Addressing Misinformation among Populations that Experience Health Disparities” and aims to hand $4 million in fiscal year 2022 and 2023 to roughly six universities, nonprofits, businesses, state and local U.S. governments or other eligible applicants. Groups are intended to propose research projects on how to “mitigate the impact of misinformation,” which according to NIH is prevalent among minorities subjected to “structural racism” and “marginalization.”

“The COVID-19 pandemic is a leading example of how the spread of misinformation and disinformation can hamper the effectiveness of population-level efforts to address public health emergencies that disproportionately impact populations that experience health disparities,” the grant listing says, noting projects should focus on “health disparities” among blacks, Hispanics, Latinos, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Asians, LGBTQ people and others.

Applicants should examine the “pathways” and “mechanisms” for the spread of misinformation and how misinformation can be contained through “leaders” and “sources of information” providing people information, the listing says. One grant objective is to study how minorities can obtain “equitable access” to such information, the listing says.

A former chief of staff for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), the agency overseeing NIH, told the DCNF the grant is an example of the Biden administration allowing “unelected bureaucrats” to spend tax dollars on “liberal pet projects” that “silence political opponents.”

“Tragically, by funding woke activities instead of researching cures for rare diseases, this may actually cost lives,” said Brian Harrison, who served under former President Donald Trump and is now a Republican Texas state House member.

The misinformation grant was posted in March and applications close in November. Applicants are encouraged to “partner” with private or public groups to study “mass dissemination and communication campaigns,” including those that push “misinformation, vaccine hesitancy, or medical distrust.”

The grant listing does not explicitly say which vaccines or treatments for diseases or illnesses have been prey to widespread misinformation.

Two Republican members of Congress told the DCNF they think the “misinformation” grant is a waste of tax dollars and intend to hold the government accountable should the GOP take back the House in the November midterm elections.

“Part of Republicans’ Commitment to America is a government that is accountable,” said Arkansas Rep. Bruce Westerman. “In the new Congress, Republicans will look into government overreach and wastefulness to ensure a government that works for all Americans.”

“This is just another example of an unaccountable bloated bureaucracy wasting taxpayers’ hard earned dollars,” said Texas Rep. Troy Nehls.
NIH did not respond to a request for comment.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Services Surveys Signal Q3 Recession Imminent Amid "Tightening Financial Conditions"​

WEDNESDAY, OCT 05, 2022 - 07:06 AM

Despite bouncing from August's plunge, S&P Global's Services PMI printed below 50 (in contraction) for the 3rd month in a row (at 49.3). Of course, in keeping with the idiocy, ISM Services printed 56.7 (below 56.9 in August but well above the 56.0 expected)...


Source: Bloomberg

The pictures from ISM and PMI data remain mixed (as ever) with ISM data slowed in September while S&P Global rose...


Source: Bloomberg

Under the hood of ISM, Services Prices and New Orders slowed while employment improved...



Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said:

"With service sector activity declining for a third straight month in September, businesses have faced a tough third quarter. Economic growth has come under pressure from falling output in both the manufacturing and service sectors, though in both cases September has seen some encouraging signals that business conditions may be starting to improve.

"Driving this improvement is a cooling of inflationary pressures in manufacturing supply chains, which is in turn alleviating cost growth for goods and energy in both manufacturing and service sectors, helping stimulate demand and allaying some concerns about the economic outlook.

"The worry is that tightening financial conditions, and notably higher borrowing costs, are exerting increased cost pressures on households and businesses, as well as hitting growth in the vast financial services sector, which has seen the steepest downturns in both demand and business activity in recent months and saw yet another marked worsening of business conditions in September.

"Furthermore, despite easing, inflationary pressures in terms of firms' costs and average selling prices for goods and services remain elevated. With companies also reporting staffing issues and rising wages due to very tight labor market conditions, persistent inflation remains a concern at the same time that the economy appears to be struggling to regain momentum."


The S&P Global US Composite PMI Output Index posted 49.5 in September, notably up from 44.6 in August, but still in contraction overall as a further decline in output at service providers outweighed a slight expansion at manufacturers.



But, as S&P Global concludes, hopes of greater client demand, a peaking of inflation and investment in new products drove business expectations for the year-ahead to the highest for four months.

So we are back to 'hope'?
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Major Weather Factors Combine to Put Fertilizer Prices and Availability in Question​

Fall Fertilizer Prices 100522mp4 Video 2:44 min

By MICHELLE ROOK October 5, 2022

Low water levels on the Mississippi River are a concern for moving grain and fertilizer up river. The worry comes as Florida, a key fertilizer-producing state, cleans up after Hurricane Ian.

So, what impact is all this having on fertilizer prices?

After record high fertilizer prices through much of 2022, the good news for farmers is supplies and logistics are in good shape for this fall, and that should keep prices from spiking higher during the fall application season.

South Dakota farmer Jeff Thompson admits he's been watching these potential supply chain issues and is concerned about the price and availability of fertilizer as he rolls through the harvest season.

"The next task is getting fertilizer," Thompson says. "It’s crazy expensive — getting it is going be tough and it will drag into next spring too."
Thompson has been watching the reports of slow barge traffic on the Mississippi River and assessments of hurricane damage in Florida, home to 75% of all phosphate fertilizer produced in the U.S.

However, with the storm moving further south than anticipated, the industry and prices dodged a bullet.

"There's talk that there could be a loss of 200,000 to 250,000 tons of product," says Josh Linville, StoneX's vice president of fertilizer. "That is a very big number but the key is we're estimating up to that level."

Linville says his numbers are likely conservative when considering the upside estimate. But the market has largely shrugged off potential loses, according to Linville, who feels a loss a quarter million tons of fertilizer is "not that large of a deal" when it comes to the markets.

Potash and phosphorous markets shouldn't react to low water levels in the Mississippi, according to Linville, as he believes most of producer's needs for next season have already been delivered.

"We feel like the vast majority is already in place. There are enough demand concerns that hopefully the river levels out and we have what we need in place," he says. "However, anytime you start talking about losing something as substantial as the Mississippi River, it has ramifications across all fertilizer products."

So far Linville says potash and phosphate fertilizer prices are running above last fall, but have dropped off the record high prices set this spring.
Linville says if there are any supply chain disruptions in the fertilizer industry, the bigger impact may be felt this spring, again depending on the weather and precipitation levels this winter.

What spring 2023 will bring is still a question mark.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Profit Tracker: Packer Profit Margins Nearly Erased

By GREG HENDERSON October 5, 2022
Market leverage has shifted dramatically toward ranchers and cattle feeders over the past two months. The combination of rising cattle prices and declining wholesale beef prices has eroded the historic packer margins of a year ago to about $21 per head, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.

Feedyards saw average profits of $58 per head for the week ending Oct. 1, down about $7 per head from the previous week. That’s based on average 5-area steer prices of $145.25 per cwt.

Average breakeven for cattle placed on feed last week was $150 per cwt., which is up from the $141 calculated breakeven for cattle marketed last week.

The average cost of feeding a steer to finish weight was 15% higher for cattle marketed last week and is projected to be 25% higher for cattle placed on feed last week at roughly $600 per head, according to the Profit Tracker. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing, Vale, Oregon.

Estimated beef packer margins for the week ending Oct. 1 were $21 per head, down $46 per head from the previous week and down $776 per head from estimated margins a year ago of $797. Last week’s Choice beef cutout averaged $242.38 per cwt., about $3 lower than the previous week and down $52 per cwt. (18%) from the same week a year ago.

Feed costs for cattle marketed last week averaged $596 per head, up $91 per head from last year. The estimated total cost for finishing a steer last week was $1,975 per head, up 15% from last year’s estimate of $1,680 per head.

Cattle slaughter totaled an estimated 664,000 head, up 25,000 head from the same week last year. Packing plant capacity utilization was estimated at 91.2% compared to 91.6% the previous week and 87.1% last year.

Farrow-to-finish hog producers found profits of $18 per head last week, down $8 per head from the previous week but up $23 per head from last year’s $5 per head losses. Lean carcass prices averaged $97.27 per cwt., down $4 per cwt. from the previous week but up $21 per cwt. from last year.

Pork packers saw losses of an estimated $3 per head, about the same as the previous week. A year ago pork packers saw profits of $69 per head. Hog slaughter was estimated at 2.526 million head, down 12,000 head from the previous week and up 8,500 head from last year.

Pork packer capacity utilization was estimated at 93.7% compared to 94.1% the previous week and 93.5% last year.

(Note: The Sterling Beef Profit Tracker calculates an average beef cutout value for the week in its estimates for feedyard and packer margins. Other prices in the weekly Profit Tracker also are calculated weekly averages. Feedyard margins are calculated on a cash basis only with no adjustment for risk management practices. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are intended only as a benchmark for the average cash costs of feeding cattle and hogs. Sterling Marketing is a private, independent beef and pork consulting firm not associated with any packing company or livestock feeding enterprise.)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

$670 Million Awarded by USDA to Farm, Meatpacking and Grocery Workers for their 'Essential Role' in U.S. Food Systems During Pandemic​

The aim is to defray some of the costs incurred by workers relative to personal protective equipment, child care, and expenses for testing and quarantining.

By JIM WIESEMEYER October 5, 2022

USDA announced 15 groups will get $670 million in funds to farm and meatpacking workers that were negatively impacted during the pandemic, incurring expenses via the outbreak as they were deemed essential workers.

The funds would amount to $600 per person and start in the fall, USDA said. $20 million was also earmarked for a pilot program that would recognize the efforts of grocery workers.

The aim is to defray some of the costs incurred by workers relative to personal protective equipment, child care, and expenses for testing and quarantining.

Farm/meatpacking and grocery worker pilot program grant recipients:

Meatpacking

Farm, Grocery



“Please note that payments are not yet available and each organization may have application periods that begin at different times,” said USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service.

However, according to the announcement, these workers should be given the money from their organizations this fall.

(Comment. It's union payback time, just in time for the fall election.)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Michael Yon @MichaelYon
Oct 5, 2022 at 10:15am
Netherlands — Destroying Their own Incredible Farmers
Criminal. The world needs these farmers.

1665012960672.jpeg

^^^^^
Michael Yon @MichaelYon
Oct 5, 2022 at 2:36pm
Gigacide
05 October 2022
Republic of Ireland

Am still in Europe. More than three months this trip. Far more serious than my 2021 month across Europe.

Conditions are setting for something far larger than mere Genocide. This is intentional Gigacide.

1665013084361.jpeg

^^^^^

Michael Yon @MichaelYon
Oct 5, 2022 at 10:38am
Casus Belli to Nuclear Combat
05 October 2022
Republic of Ireland

OGUS provoking and creating casus belli for preemptive nuclear strike on Russia. Incredibly obvious.

It’s madly obvious OGUS attacked Nord Stream pipelines and is waving a gun in Putin’s face.

1665013176623.png
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden’s Secret Promise To OPEC Backfires​

In 2020, Democrats blocked Trump's proposal to buy American oil at $24 a barrel. Yesterday, a Biden official disclosed a secret offer to buy OPEC+ oil at $80 a barrel.

Michael Shellenberger
8 hr ago

The hand of Russia's President Vladimir Putin is now strengthened within the OPEC+ cartel controlled by Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman , which today decided to cut production by 2 million barrels.

In early September, United States Secretary of Energy, Jennifer Granholm, told Reuters that President Joe Biden was considering extending the release of oil from America’s emergency stockpiles, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), through October, and thus beyond the date when the program had been set to end. But then, a few hours later, an official with the Department of Energy called Reuters and contradicted Granholm, saying that the White House was not, in fact, considering more SPR releases. Five days later, the White House said it was considering refilling the SPR, thereby proposing to do the exact opposite of what Granholm had proposed.

The confusion around the Biden administration’s petroleum policy was cleared up yesterday after a senior official revealed that the White House had made a secret offer to buy up to 200 million barrels of OPEC+ oil to replenish the SPR in exchange for OPEC+ not cutting oil production. The official said the White House wanted to reassure OPEC+ that the US “won’t leave them hanging dry.”

The fact that this offer was made through the White House, not the Department of Energy, may explain why a representative of the Department called Reuters to take back the remarks of Granholm, who has shown herself to be out-of-the-loop, and at a loss for words, relating to key administration decisions relating to oil and gas production.

The revelation poses political risks for Democrats who, in the spring of 2020, killed a proposal by President Donald Trump to replenish the SPR with oil from American producers, not OPEC+ ones, and at a price of $24 a barrel, not the $80 a barrel that the Biden White House promised to OPEC+. At the time, Trump was seeking to stabilize the American oil industry after the Covid-19 pandemic massively reduced oil demand. Trump and Congressional Republicans proposed spending $3 billion to fill the SPR. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer successfully defeated the proposal, and later bragged that his party had blocked a “bailout for big oil.”

Even normally strong boosters of the Biden White House viewed the Democrats’ opposition to refilling the SPR as a major blunder. “That decision,” noted Bloomberg, “effectively cost the US billions in potential profits and meant Biden had tens of millions of fewer barrels at his disposal with which to counter price surges.” Moreover, observed Bloomberg, it will take significantly more oil today to fill the SPR than it would have two years ago. In spring 2020, the SPR contained 634 million barrels out of a capacity of 727 million. Now, the reserve is below 442 million barrels, its lowest level in 38 years.

The decision looks even worse in light of the decision by OPEC+ today to cut production, which will increase oil prices. The Biden administration in recent days has been pulling out the stops trying to persuade Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members, a group that includes Russia, to maintain today’s levels of oil production. Last Friday, the Biden administration sought a 45-day delay in a civil court proceeding over whether Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman should have sovereign immunity for the murder of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi, for which bin Salman has taken responsibility.

The behavior by the Biden White House displays a willingness to sacrifice America’s commitment to human rights for the president’s short-term political needs. Instead of pleading with OPEC+ to maintain or increase high levels of oil production, the Biden administration could have simply allowed for expanded domestic oil production. Instead, Biden has issued fewer leases for on-shore and off-shore oil production than any president since World War II.

As such, the pleadings by Biden and administration officials have backfired.

The perception of the U.S. in the minds of OPEC+ members has weakened while the influence of Russian President Vladimir Putin has strengthened.

Why is that? Why did the Biden administration decide to spend so much political capital trying, and failing, to get Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members to expand production when it could have simply expanded oil production domestically? What, exactly, is going on?
(pay wall)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

OPEC Ignores Biden’s Pleas, Decides To Cut Oil Production

Daily Caller News Foundation logo

JACK MCEVOY
ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT REPORTER
October 05, 2022

OPEC+, which includes the 15 OPEC members and the consortium’s Russian-led allies, voted Wednesday to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day even though the White House urged the group to pump more oil, according to Bloomberg.

OPEC and its Russian-led allies will reduce crude oil production as they are concerned that oil demand will fall as the world enters a recession, Bloomberg reported. President Joe Biden’s senior officials have been attempting to pressure OPEC into voting against a production cut as the White House would consider this to be a “hostile act,” CNN reported on Wednesday.

The administration was “panicking” over OPEC’s potential to cut production as it is concerned that gas prices may continue to rise and hurt the Democrats’ chances in the November midterm elections, according to CNN. The White House aggressively lobbied Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other OPEC members to vote against cutting oil production; however, its efforts failed as OPEC+ wants to keep oil prices steady by reducing global supply ahead of winter, according to Bloomberg.

The Brent crude oil benchmark sits at $93 a barrel on Wednesday after peaking at over $120 a barrel in March. An oil price hike could further exacerbate the West’s fuel shortages which are causing household electricity bills and gas prices to skyrocket.

OPEC+ agreed to a small production boost in August after Biden visited Saudi Arabia and asked the OPEC member to pump more oil during a visit to the nation, according to The Washington Post. Biden was also rebuffed by OPEC after he asked its Middle Eastern members to produce more oil in May.

OPEC and the White House did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

OCT 5 • 22M

Biden regime doubles down on controlled demolition of American energy​

Despite OPEC’s discussion to roll back production, the ideologues in the White House remain firmly attached to the eco statist technocratic tyranny agenda.

Jordan Schachtel
5 hr ago

Audio on website 21:46 min

Today on The Dossier Podcast, we discuss the continuing controlled demolition of American energy independence, and the Biden regime’s commitment to the process.

Despite OPEC’s discussion to roll back production, the ideologues in the White House remain firmly attached to the eco statist technocratic tyranny agenda.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UA4d-l5ublI
32:28 min

Poland Requests US NUKES, Ukraine Begins Evacuation Prep For Russian Nuclear Strike, This May Be WW3​

AMLnZu-r6oSrkSDkHGMt3Ql1sSpEKQjV3avfqvWOoXm3Tg=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj

Tim Pool

Poland Requests US NUKES, Ukraine Begins Evacuation Prep For Russian Nuclear Strike, This May Be WW3. Russian Threats Of Nuclear War prompt NATO response which could spark direct conflict between Russia and Nato. Poland has requested "nuclear weapon sharing" which could mean the deployment of US nuclear weapons into Polish territory. Russia has warned about NATO deploying nukes further into europe. Videos have emerged of Russia deploying materials and troops responsible for the deployment of nukes signaling Putin may be preparing for a nuclear strike. Meanwhile Biden and the White house are reeling after OPEC sides with Russia halting production which will allow Putin to finance his war and cripple the US economy.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Dave Walsh: OPEC's Gasoline Production Reduction Will Move The National Average To $4.40 1:33 min

Dave Walsh: OPEC's Gasoline Production Reduction Will Move The National Average To $4.40​

Bannons War Room Published October 5, 2022

(No summary given. Did not watch.)

^^^^
Dave Walsh: America Must Take On The OPEC Cartel By Increasing Oil Production At Home 13:12 min

Dave Walsh: America Must Take On The OPEC Cartel By Increasing Oil Production At Home​

Bannons War Room Published October 5, 2022

(No summary given. Did not watch.)
 
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