CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

Heliobas Disciple

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Latin America leads world in coronavirus cases, Reuters count shows
Daniela Desantis and Javier Leira (Reuters)
Sunday, 26 July 2020 15:31 GMT

Coronavirus cases in Latin America for the first time have surpassed the combined infections in the United States and Canada, a Reuters tally showed on Sunday, amid a surge of infections in Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Colombia and Argentina.

The quickly growing number of cases make Latin America the region most impacted by the pandemic globally, with 26.83% of worldwide cases.

Latin America now has 4,327,160 total cases of the novel coronavirus compared to 4,308,495 infections in United States and Canada, according to the count based on data provided by the governments of each country.

The United States continues to be the individual country with the highest number of infections and deaths from COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the virus, with more than 4.2 million cases and roughly 146,000 deaths, followed by Brazil, with 2.4 million cases and nearly 87,000 dead.

Mexico, Peru and Chile also are among the top 10 nations in COVID-19 cases.

According to the Reuters count, the number of people known to have been infected worldwide exceeds 16.1 million.

Health experts have said that official data almost certainly under-reports infections and deaths, particularly in countries with limited testing capacity.

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Heliobas Disciple

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SECOND WAVE Europe on alert as coronavirus infections surge and France says progress against virus has been erased
Henry Holloway
Jul 26 2020, 9:46 ET Updated: Jul 26 2020, 13:49 ET

EUROPE is on alert as coronavirus cases are surging sparking fears of a potential second wave.

France has warned the progress in the fight against coronavirus has been "erased", and meanwhile Britain closed its air bridge to Spain due to a spike in cases.

Many European nations are seeing an increase in the number of virus cases as governments lift draconian lockdown measures to attempt to reignite their damaged economies.

France recorded 1,130 new infections on Friday as compared to just 81 when lockdown was eased at the end of May.

Spain meanwhile recorded its highest infection figure since May 11 with 2,615 new cases on Thursday, followed by 2,255 on Friday.

Germany has also seen an uptick in cases with 818 on Friday, its highest number since June 17.

Rising figures risk triggering a second wave across Europe, with doctors predicting the virus may come back with a vengeance as temperatures plunge in the Autumn.

Britian's foreign secretary Dominic Raab has warned more countries could be axed from the UK's safe travel list at very short notice.

It came as Spain was suddenly removed from the list in response to the number rising number of cases.

Anyone who now travels to Britain from Spain will now face a mandatory two week quarantine - much to the fury of holidaymakers.

Mr Raab said it was "absolutely necessary" for the quarantine to be reimposed to protect Britain from its own spike in cases.

The World Health Organisation reported a record increase in global coronavirus cases on Friday, with the total rising by 284,196 in 24 hours.

France lamented the situation as cases surge across the continent, saying there has been a "clear increase" since the lifting of lockdown.

The health ministry said: "We have returned to levels comparable with those at the end of the lockdown period.

"We have thus erased a good part of the progress made during the initial weeks since the lockdown was lifted.

"It's more essential than ever to reimpose our collective discipline."

Governments had been keen to lift lockdowns in order to stave off the worst of the already devastating economic impacts from the pandemic.

EU chiefs last week announced a colossal coronavirus stimulus plan worth more than £670billion after four nights of talks.

European nations had been hopeful of reopening after being ravaged by the virus in March and April as the epicenter of the pandemic shifted to South America and the US.

Speaking on Sky's Sophy Ridge, Mr Raab said: "As we've found with Spain, we can't give a guarantee."

He added: "There is an element of uncertainty this summer if people go abroad.

"I'm not going to tell people what they should or shouldn't do."They should follow the advice. I'm going to be staying at home this summer."

He urged anyone in Spain or considering going to contact their travel insurance provider and find out what to do.

And he stressed that employers should be "flexible" if an employee has to stay home and quarantine for two weeks when they return from a break.

Majorca, Ibiza and Canary Islands are however bidding to be excluded from the two-week quarantine as they hope to continue welcoming back tourists.

Raab's warning however likely is the final nail in the coffin for anyone hoping to travel abroad this summer, with everyone now facing the threat of a sudden unannounced quarantine.

Back in May, Dr Andrea Ammon, director of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control urged EU leaders to prepare for resurgence in coronavirus cases.

She warned that a lack of immunity could mean the second wave could be even worse than the first for Europe.

The disease expert said that only between two per cent and 14 per cent of the populations of European countries had been infected with coronavirus.

Dr Ammon said it was a matter of “when and how big” the second wave would be - and cautioned "the virus is around us".

Former Prime Minister Tony Blair also warned the world will have to "live with the virus" as he called for long-term face mask rules.

He said Covid-19 is not going to be "eliminated" any time soon and warned of a "50/50" chance the virus is going to return with a vengeance in the autumn.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has insisted the UK is taking "every reasonable step" to prepare for a surge in virus cases in the autumn.

Mr Johnson has previously described coronavirus as a "circling shark in the water" as he urged people to take precautions amid fears of a second wave in the UK - with scientists warning it could kill 120,000.

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Heliobas Disciple

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US tops 1,000 coronavirus deaths 4 days in a row as experts urge the country to shut down
Christina Maxouris
Updated 5:00 PM ET, Sun July 26, 2020

As more Covid-19 records get broken, debates on whether to send kids back to school or to shut down the economy again are coming to a head.

More than 1,000 people died every day for four straight days last week due to Covid-19. That brings the total US death toll from the virus to more than 146,000 as of Sunday, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

And researchers project up to 175,000 deaths linked to the virus by August 15, according to an ensemble forecast published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

With overwhelmed hospitals and lengthy delays in testing, some local leaders -- including Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti -- said a second stay-at-home order might be possible.

That kind of drastic measure is supported by more than 150 prominent medical experts, scientists, teachers, nurses and other experts who signed a letter urging leaders to shut the country down and start over to contain the rampant spread of the virus.

"Right now, we are on a path to lose more than 200,000 American lives by November 1st. Yet, in many states people can drink in bars, get a haircut, eat inside a restaurant, get a tattoo, get a massage, and do myriad other normal, pleasant, but non-essential activities," read the letter, which was sent to the Trump administration, members of Congress and state governors.

What we can learn from states that got Covid-19 under control

In the past two days, these states broke records:

As the country's caseload and death toll climbs, at least four states reported record-breaking numbers since Friday.

California, which is leading the nation with the most recorded coronavirus cases, reported 159 deaths linked to the virus Friday -- the highest number recorded in a single day since the start of the pandemic. More than half of all virus-related deaths in the state come from Los Angeles County, where more than 4,260 deaths have been reported. The state has had more than 446,450 reported infections, according to Johns Hopkins.

Georgia also broke a new single-day record Friday, reporting at least 4,813 new coronavirus cases. Health officials reported 3,787 new cases Saturday. More than 165,180 people have tested positive in the state, according to Johns Hopkins.

Oregon reported nine new coronavirus-related deaths Friday, breaking its record for most reported fatalities in a single day since the pandemic began. Health officials in the state reported 396 new cases, bringing the state's total to more than 16,100.

For the second day in a row, Hawaii reported a record number of new cases, identifying 60 new positive tests Friday, according to health officials. On Thursday, Hawaii reported 55 new cases. the state has had at least 1,620 reported infections, according to Johns Hopkins.

Florida's youngest victim was a 9-year-old girl

In Florida, a state that's broken its record of new cases several times in recent weeks, Covid-19 hospitalizations have jumped by nearly 80% since July 4, according to data from the state's Agency for Health Care Administration.

Across the state, at least 50 hospitals have no ICU beds available.

Last week, a 9-year-old girl with no pre-existing conditions became the state's youngest coronavirus victim. Kimora "Kimmie" Lynum was taken to a local hospital to treat a "very high" fever, her family said.

Kimmie's cousin and family spokesman Dejeon Cain said the hospital told the family to return home. After doing so, the young girl complained of not feeling well and collapsed, Cain said. She didn't have a detectable heartbeat.

Her family said they don't know how Kimmie contracted the virus, as she had appeared healthy and had spent the summer at home.

Texas hospital could send patients home to die

In Texas, which broke a record for virus-related deaths last week, doctors inside one hospital may decide to send patients home to "die by their loved ones" due to limited resources, officials said.

Officials in Starr County announced they're creating committees to review patients' cases at the Starr County Memorial Hospital -- where at least 50% of patients admitted to the hospital's emergency room have tested positive for coronavirus.

"Unfortunately, Starr County Memorial Hospital has limited resources and our doctors are going to have to decide who receives treatment, and who is sent home to die by their loved ones," Starr County Judge Eloy Vera wrote in a Facebook post on Thursday. "This is what we did not want our community to experience."

Earlier this month, the governor ordered a statewide mask mandate and urged residents to heed the precautions in order for businesses and the economy to remain open.

As the state grapples with coronavirus, Gov. Greg Abbott also had to issue a disaster declaration for 32 counties after Hurricane Hanna made landfall Saturday evening.

CDC in favor of reopening schools

Many teachers and staff members across the US have strongly opposed returning to classrooms next month as the virus runs uncontrolled across American communities.

But some parents -- including some in a Georgia county where coronavirus numbers are among the highest in the state -- are demanding schools reopen.

President Donald Trump has said he's putting pressure on governors to reopen schools in a push to get the US back to business as usual.

In new guidelines posted last week on education and childcare, the CDC came down hard in favor of reopening schools, saying children don't suffer much from coronavirus and are less likely to spread it.

But research from South Korea found that older children (between the ages of 10 and 19) can transmit the coronavirus within a household just as much as adults.The CDC guidelines recommended local officials consider closing schools -- or keeping them closed -- if there is substantial, uncontrolled spread of the virus.

"It is critically important for our public health to open schools this fall," CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield said.

"School closures have disrupted normal ways of life for children and parents, and they have had negative health consequences on our youth. CDC is prepared to work with K-12 schools to safely reopen while protecting the most vulnerable."

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Heliobas Disciple

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Arizona reports 1,973 new coronavirus cases, 19 more deaths
By KTAR.com
July 26, 2020 at 8:24 am UPDATED: July 26, 2020 at 6:37 pm

The Arizona health department reported 1,973 new coronavirus cases and 19 additional deaths on Sunday morning.

That brought the state’s documented totals to 162,014 COVID-19 infections and 3,305 fatalities.

Meanwhile, the number of confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patients in Arizona’s hospitals dropped to its lowest level of the month.

The Arizona Department of Health Services has been providing case and testing updates on its website each morning. The dashboard includes, among other information, testing trends, updated hospital capacity and a ZIP code map of cases.

The daily reports present data after the state receives statistics and confirms them, which can lag by several days or more. They don’t represent the actual activity over the past 24 hours.

The rate of new Arizona coronavirus cases has shown signs of slowing in recent weeks following the implementation of face mask requirements in many areas — including all of Maricopa County — and statewide executive orders to close businesses such as bars and gyms and to restrict restaurant occupancy.

Those moves were made after the state became a global hot spot for the coronavirus, which has no impact on some people and is seriously debilitating or fatal for others. Infected people without symptoms – which include but are not limited to cough, fever and difficulty breathing — are capable of spreading the virus.

According to the Associated Press, the seven-day average for newly reported cases fell to 2,618.71 on Thursday, the lowest point since June 22.

Arizona’s weekly positive rate for diagnostic PCR tests, which indicates how much the virus is spreading, is on pace to fall for the third consecutive week.

For the 22,569 tests given and processed this week, the positive rate is 13%.

The weekly positive rate was 5% in early May and started climbing after Arizona’s stay-at-home order expired. It peaked at 21% the week starting June 28 but had dipped to 15% last week, still much higher than health officials want to see.

Weekly rates are based on when the samples are taken, not when they are reported, so the percentage for recent weeks can fluctuate as labs get caught up on testing.

The number of Arizona’s confirmed or suspected COVID-19 inpatients dropped Saturday to 2,650, the fewest since June 30 and the ninth day-to-day decline in the past 10 days.

Arizona’s 20-day streak with at least 3,000 COVID-19 inpatients each day ended Wednesday.

The number of COVID-19 patients in ICU beds also fell, dropping by 5 overnight to 837.

In other notable hospital data from Saturday related to confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patients:

  • 412 were discharged, up 17 from the previous day.
  • 1,236 were seen in emergency departments, 57 less than the previous day.
  • 581 were on ventilators, an overnight drop of 13 (more than half of the state’s ventilator supply remained unused).
  • 81 intubations for respiratory distress were performed, 6 more than the previous day.

Arizona’s overall inpatient and ICU occupancy rates have been relatively stable in recent days at several percentage points below the high marks of the pandemic.

Inpatient beds were 84% full Saturday, the same as the previous day. The 83% figure seen Monday was the lowest since July 6.

ICU beds were 86% full, the same as the previous day.

The inpatient occupancy rate peaked July 9-10 at 88%, and the ICU occupancy rate topped out at 91% on July 7.

Hospital bed data on the health department website does not include surge beds that have not been activated but can potentially increase capacity.

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Heliobas Disciple

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State of Texas: COVID-19 hot spots are getting harder to contain
Rick Taylor
Posted: Jul 26, 2020 / 07:00 AM CDT / Updated: Jul 26, 2020 / 10:33 AM CDT

Governor Greg Abbott says the state’s key focus recently has been surging medical resources into the Rio Grande Valley where COVID-19 cases and deaths have been spiking.

“When the state knew there was a long-term care facility or meatpacking plant — it’s one spot. You can go in and globally test everybody,” said Dr. Ogechika Alozie with the Texas Medical Association COVID-19 Task Force.

The hot spots now, he explained, are based more on community spread.

“When you have multiple zip codes that are having 200, 300, 400 or 500 cases in that area, [it’s] much harder,” Dr. Alozie said.

“We essentially had a campfire, and it’s a lot easier to put out a campfire. We didn’t put it out completely, and so the embers from that campfire now spread into the forest, and we have a full blaze,” Dr. Alozie added. [...]

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Ogre

Veteran Member
Watch Live Frontline Physicians Aim to Dispel ‘Massive’ COVID-19 ‘Disinformation Campaign’
Schedule is at link, but it may be too late.

American doctors are holding a “White Coat Summit” on Capitol Hill Monday to address what they call “a massive disinformation campaign” surrounding the Chinese coronavirus to which “American life has fallen casualty.”

“If Americans continue to let so-called experts and media personalities make their decisions, the great American experiment of a Constitutional Republic with Representative Democracy, will cease,” reads the event’s information page.

The purpose of the two day summit, organized by the Tea Party Patriots, is to allow “frontline doctors [the ability to] talk directly to the American people.” Topics to be discussed include the reopening of America’s schools, “medical cancel culture,” and the public policy.
 
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Hfcomms

EN66iq
Red Sox pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez confirms he's dealing with heart issue stemming from COVID-19 infection

R.J. Anderson

Rodriguez will be shut down for at least a week with the hope that his heart inflammation goes away

Earlier this week, the Boston Red Sox shut down left-handed pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez's throwing program after discovering health complications stemming from his bout with COVID-19. On Sunday, Rodriguez confirmed a report from WEEI's Rob Bradford that his "complication" is myocarditis, or "an inflammation of the heart muscle," per the Mayo Clinic.

Rodriguez, 27, told reporters he was "still scared" about the condition after learning more about it in recent days, but that he doesn't intend to opt out of playing at some point this season. "I want to be pitching yesterday, the day before, or today," he said, according to Bradford. "I want to be out there every time I can, so I'm never thinking of getting out of the season. I feel bad every time I see a game happening and I'm not even in the dugout."

The current plan for Rodriguez entails him taking the week off before undergoing another MRI. At that point, doctors will determine if the inflammation has subsided and he can resume activity. Otherwise, Rodriguez may not get his wish of pitching in a game anytime soon.

Myocarditis can affect the "heart's ability to pump and causing rapid or abnormal heart rhythms," according to the Mayo Clinic, and is usually caused by a viral infection. Although COVID-19 is considered a respiratory disease, it has been linked to myocarditis frequently enough to merit further scientific study. A sports cardiologist explained to CBS Sports the potential impact of COVID-19 on the heart before the season resumed.

Rodriguez's story is a reminder that the calculus for playing sports during the global pandemic is not simple. Rather, there is a spectrum of largely unknown side effects -- such is the nature of a novel virus -- that could have long-term ramifications, especially for professional athletes whose livelihood depends on them performing at their physical peak.

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IU4kOIbDXQ
11:39 min
123 - Meet Dr. Kelvin Baggett, Dallas’s COVID Czar
•Jul 27, 2020


Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

In May, the mayor of Dallas appointed Dr. Kelvin Baggett as the “COVID Czar.” Now, amidst rising cases across the state, Baggett is tasked with reducing harm and suffering from COVID-19. He talks with Dr. Josh Sharfstein about his work as COVID Czar, how the city is addressing disproportionate impact on minority communities, and how the pandemic may be helping to elevate critical conversations around health disparities.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iuRT1lglxic
14:27 min
The COVID Vaccine: When Will It Be Ready?
•Jul 27, 2020


Strong Medicine
A discussion of the candidates for a COVID-19 vaccine, the usual timeline for vaccine development, and strategies for dramatically speeding that timeline up. ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Phase 1/2 Trial (The Lancet): https://www.thelancet.com/journals/la... mRNA-1273 Phase 1 Trial (NEJM): https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056... The New York Times Vaccine Tracker: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2... An overview of the most promising COVID vaccine candidates: https://www.livescience.com/most-prom...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdnQvlICxIw
58:34 min
War Room Pandemic Ep 301 - Live From the Freedom Summit Day One Pt. 1 (w/ Dr. Peter Navarro)
•Streamed live 7 hours ago


Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic


Steve Bannon, Raheem Kassam, and Jack Maxey discuss the latest on the coronavirus pandemic as the cast is broadcasting live from Liberty University's Falkirk Center Freedom Summit. Joining Steve on the main stage in Dr. Peter Navarro as the special guest.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BrLzkdrfL5Y
58:28 min
War Room Pandemic Ep 302 - Live From the Freedom Summit Day One Pt. 2 (w/ Miles Guo)
•Streamed live 6 hours ago


Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic

Steve Bannon, Raheem Kassam, and Jack Maxey discuss the latest on the coronavirus pandemic as the cast is broadcasting live from Liberty University's Falkirk Center Freedom Summit. Calling in is Miles Guo to address the audience.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cv4iINxf4IM
31:04 min
Vitamin D, Science
•Jul 27, 2020


Dr. John Campbell
Scientific Advisory Committee on Nutrition (SACN) https://www.gov.uk/government/groups/... SACN vitamin D and health report https://www.gov.uk/government/publica... A reference nutrient intake (RNI) of 10 micrograms (400 units) of vitamin D per day, throughout the year, for everyone in the general population aged 4 years and older The RNI and safe intakes were developed to ensure that the majority of the UK population has enough vitamin D to protect musculoskeletal health, all year round. SACN did not take account of sunlight exposure in making recommendations because of the number and complexity of factors that affect skin synthesis of vitamin D. Vitamin D Evaluation, treatment, and prevention of vitamin D deficiency: an Endocrine Society clinical practice guideline (2011) The Endocrine Society https://www.endocrine.org Journal of Clinical Endocrinology https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646... Vitamin D deficiency is very common in all age groups Few foods contain vitamin D Task Force recommended supplementation, depending on age and clinical circumstances Measurement of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D level, in patients at risk for deficiency Treatment with supplement recommended for deficient patients https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/...

About 42% of the US population is vitamin D deficient 82% in black people 70% in Hispanics

Nutrients, 15 July 2020 https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/12/7/2097 Immunologic Effects of Vitamin D on Human Health and Disease Calcium and phosphate metabolism, bones 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D, active form of vitamin D Immunomodulatory hormone Innate and adaptive immune systems Vitamin D receptor and enzymes in; Lymphocytes NKs T lymphocytes B lymphocytes Monocytes Macrophages Dendritic cells Vascular endothelial membrane stability Association with low blood levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D Several immune-related diseases and disorders Psoriasis, Type 1 diabetes Multiple sclerosis Rheumatoid arthritis Tuberculosis Sepsis Respiratory infection COVID-19 Optimal Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D It is advisable to increase vitamin D intake and have sensible sunlight exposure Maintain serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D at least, 30 ng/mL (75 nmol/L) and preferably 40–60 ng/mL (100–150 nmol/L) Recommended dosage for vitamin D intake in individuals who are at risk for vitamin D Deficiency (1,000 iu = 25 mcg) Age, years Daily requirement Upper limit Years Requirement 0 – 1 400 – 1,000 2,000 1 – 18 600 – 1,000 4,000 18 + 1500- 2000 10,000 Obese 4,000 – 6000 10,000 For deficiency 0 – 1 year 2000 IU/day or 50,000 IU/week of vitamin D2 or D3 for at least 6 weeks to achieve serum 25(OH)D more than 30 ng/mL (75 nmol/L) maintenance therapy of 400–1000 IU/d For deficiency 1 – 18 years 2000 IU/day or 50,000 IU/week of vitamin D2 or D3 for at least 6 weeks to achieve serum 25(OH)D more than 30 ng/mL (75 nmol/L) maintenance therapy of 600–1000 IU/d For deficiency after 18 years 6000 IU/day or 50,000 IU/week of vitamin D2 or D3 for 8 weeks to achieve serum 25(OH)D more than 30 ng/mL (75 nmol/L) maintenance therapy of 1500 –2000 IU/d Obese and malabsorptive patients Dosage should be increased by 2–3 times

Respiratory Viral Infection and COVID-19 Outbreak of influenza infection is periodic and usually occurs during the wintertime at higher latitudes but is sporadic throughout the year in the tropical area Association between low level of serum 25(OH)D and incidence and severity of respiratory tract infection in children and adults A recent meta-analysis of 25 RCTs showed that supplementation of vitamin D2 or D3 can protect against the development of acute respiratory tract infection compared with placebo https://www.bmj.com/content/356/bmj.i... COVID Rate of symptomatic infection, morbidity and mortality observed African American Obesity Worldwide on average approximately 40% of children and adults have circulating levels of 25(OH)D less than 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) It is therefore reasonable to institute as a standard of care to give at least one single dose of 50,000 of vitamin D to all COVID-19 patients as soon as possible after being hospitalized
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esaV0fbz8tc
47:42 min (starts at 21:37 min)
President Trump Participates in a Coronavirus Briefing at Bioprocess Innovation Center
•Streamed live 2 hours ago


Right Side Broadcasting Network

Monday, July 27, 2020: President Trump Participates in a Coronavirus Briefing at Bioprocess Innovation Center in Morrisville, NC

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-jwupRgFQw
2:19 MIN
Trump Travels To North Carolina For Coronavirus Briefing | NBC News
•Streamed live 4 hours ago


NBC News

Watch live coverage as President Trump departs from the White House and travels to North Carolina for a coronavirus briefing at the Bioprocess Innovation Center.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1dA9VhL60A
17:59 min
Coronavirus Pandemic Update 100: Interferon Beta COVID-19 Treatment, and a Retrospective
•Jul 27, 2020


MedCram - Medical Lectures Explained CLEARLY

For our 100th COVID-19 update, Dr. Seheult takes a look back at some of his favorite updates so far. Also, Inhaled Interferon Beta treatment for COVID-19 has generated a lot of press. Dr. Seheult breaks down the results as wait for peer-review and the complete data set. A big thank you to everyone who has supported MedCram on this journey to 100 updates during these challenging times (This video was recorded July 27, 2020).
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7mmksTGmU4
10:38 min
First phase 3 trial of a coronavirus vaccine in the U.S. begins
•Jul 27, 2020


CBS News

The largest and final phase of a clinical trial to test Moderna's coronavirus vaccine in the U.S. has officially begun, as daily case numbers continue to rise in dozens of states. CBS News' Laura Podesta reports, and Dr. Ron Elfenbein joined CBSN to discuss the latest developments.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndRJ5sdaKEw
1:33 min
White House to unveil 2nd coronavirus relief bill l GMA
•Jul 27, 2020


Good Morning America

The $1 trillion plan from the White House and Senate GOP leaders is expected to reduce the federal unemployment benefit to about $200 per week.
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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4d3qFBIaX-s
3:31 min
Moderna co-founder speaks out on vaccine trial l GMA
•Jul 27, 2020


Good Morning America


Noubar Afeyan, co-founder and chairman of Moderna, tells "GMA" how soon the company could bring COVID-19 vaccine doses to market.
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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSXU6TgW8jQ
10:41 min
Should students return to school in the fall?
•Jul 27, 2020


ABC News
Our panel of experts debated the pros and cons of opening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-yK_6PG9W8A
3;54 MIN
More than 16 million cases of COVID-19 reported worldwide
•Jul 27, 2020


ABC News

While cases are on the rise, more than a dozen states are reporting delays in testing.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9tJ2_M-M28
2:28 MIN
Some Teachers Leaving The Classroom For Good As Coronavirus Concerns Grow | NBC Nightly News
•Jul 26, 2020


NBC News

As schools grapple with reopening plans for the fall, some teachers are making the difficult choice not to return to their posts. A poll found 1 in 5 teachers are unlikely to return to the classroom for fear of contracting coronavirus.» Subscribe to NBC News:

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfZfLURmopI
2:43 min
Coronavirus Crisis Continues With Staggering Surge In Florida | TODAY
•Jul 27, 2020


TODAY

Florida now has the second-highest number of coronavirus infections in the U.S. With almost 150,000 deaths in the country in just five months, health care workers are making the case for another nationwide shutdown. NBC’s Sam Brock reports for TODAY from Miami.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zex4BKIZAsg
10:14 min
Travel and migration: Latest news from the COVID-19 pandemic| Coronavirus Update
•Jul 27, 2020


DW News Germany

00:00 The Spanish government says the country is safe to visit, despite a surge in coronavirus cases. The statement comes after the UK reimposed a quarantine on travellers returning from Spain. With a cluster of new outbreaks in Barcelona, residents there fear tighter restrictions.

03:16 Here's a look at some of the other developments in the coronavirus pandemic.

04:01 Covid-19 has stranded people in holiday resorts and on business trips. And a travel shutdown has also left some international students high and dry. Here's the story of two of them who happened to be on Germany's remotest North-Sea island after their options ran out.

06:54 Hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans are heading back home. Just a few months ago they came to Colombia in search of a better life. But because of the corona pandemic they have lost their livelihood. Now they want to go back to the country they only recently left.

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

The Right Scoop -
Tapper-v-Giroir.jpg

WOW Jake Tapper absolutely OWNED by Adm. Brett Giroir on Covid testing. Seriously. Notify next of kin.

Fred T JUL. 26, 2020 11:34 AM BY FRED T


Video: https://videos.files.wordpress.com/QsFvfMrl/jake-tapper-destroyed-by-hhs-secretary_dvd.mp4 4:57 min

Jake Tapper had assistant secretary of Health and Human Services Adm. Brett Giroir on his show on Sunday to talk about Covid testing. Giroir is the testing “czar” for the coronavirus task force.

Tapper started out absolutely KNOWING that testing isn’t being done, not enough, not well enough, and that it’s Trump’s fault, and he was ready to make this government goon answer for that!

And when the government goon actually had an answer, Jake got mad. So he changed the parameters. And when there was still a terrific answer, Jake changed them again. And when that didn’t work he accused Giroir of being afraid of Trump, and said Trump is personally preventing more testing and they’re all too chicken to bring it up.

And when Giroir smacked THAT down it was all “JAKE SMASH”. You have to watch and also the transcript is below, with blow-by-blow.

He concedes Trump used the Defense Production Act, and then he’s like “but still what about more using of it?”

“There seems to be this reluctance to push the president to do what he needs to do to get the testing up to speed. I know that he’s under the misguided impression that more testing is bad and makes him look bad. Which as you know is completely false. And I’m wondering if you and others are just afraid to do this because you don’t want to upset him. Afraid to ask him to do what he needs to do to invoke the DPA to force the federal labs to get up to speed to where we need to be so that we can isolate the virus as you know.

“When you say people who need a test can get a test, there’s a huge percentage of people who have the coronavirus who are asymptomatic and they quote/unquote don’t need to be tested according to the standard but it needs to be much more widespread the testing to see people who are carriers who don’t have symptoms. That’s the point.”

“Are you afraid to bring this up to president Trump because it will upset him?” said Tapper, getting his quote to be used in every headline for the rest of the day in.

Then Giroir dropped the hammer.

“So, Jake, there’s about six different things that you said in there and let me unpack it a little bit,” he said, in an awesome intro to the hammer.

“Everyone in the administration understands the importance of testing. Nobody in the task force is afraid to bring up anything to the vice president or the vice president. Every time I met with the president he is listening to the data, assesses that, he understands it. I meet with the vice president almost every single day. No one is trying to stop testing in this country. No one has ever told me to do that. We want more, better, quicker. So let me just put that to rest right there.”

Boom.

“Secondly, we look for every opportunity to invoke the DPA. Now, the DPA isn’t a magic tool. It doesn’t violate the laws of physics. You can’t create something out of nothing,” he said, BEGGING the world to do one of those videos where the frame freezes and the sunglasses appear.

“Most companies do not need DPA on them because they’re highly motivated to stop the pandemic,” he continued, stating something TOTALLY OBVIOUS BUT APPARENTLY NOT ON CNN’S RADAR.

As he continued to provide his devastating answer, ruffled Jake tried to grab bag the oomph with a desperate “It’s not enough” interjection.

“Of course it’s enough!” said Giroir. “Tell me one thing we should be doing with any of these private labs that we’re not doing or they’re not doing on their own.”

I can’t even talk right now y’all. That is so money you can spend it.

“I talk to hundreds of people every week, the Rockefeller Foundation, really smart people,” (ie. not YOU Jake) “We have a national implementation for testing that we’re going to be getting together this week. I talk to ACLA, APLU, universities, private labs, hospitals, you name it. We’re getting input on a daily basis. If there’s a stone to be turned, that is left unturned you tell me what it is but from my vantage point, we’ve invoked all the authority–”

“I just told you,” smug Jake smugly interrupted with the air of superior knowledge while chuckling at the guy who talks to the experts and scientists and is one. He repeated his new goalpost that even though they’re doing a ton of stuff they are definitely evil because they haven’t forced labs to hire additional workers instantly out of thin air, and also got a fact wrong about Veterinary clinics in an attempted burn on Giroir, who stomped that mess out right away too.

After Giroir corrected Jake on his facile misunderstanding of the point about veterinary clinics, the now fully wounded and grouchy temper Jake responded by saying “No one thinks testing is up to speed where it needs to be.”

The famous “no one thinks”, which is sort of like “some say” but even dumber. But Jake wasn’t done being wrong yet.

“You have spent this interview talking about how great and perfect everything is,” he said, incorrectly as the transcript will show.

“I started out by saying that we are never going to be happy with testing until we get turnaround times within 24 hours, and I would be happy with point-of-care testing everywhere. We are not there yet,” said Adm. Giroir. “We are doing everything we can to do that.”

“What can we do? We can test everybody in a hospital within 24 hours so they can get the new treatments we developed. We are point-of-care testing in nursing homes or prioritizing because that’s where 50% of the mortality are. We’re supplying the public health laboratories. I work with ACLA every single day. I call their CEOs, those are the big labs,” he said, devastatingly.

“So look, I said we need to continually improve our ecosystem. We started from zero, and that is the truth. There was not a swab in the stockpile, there was not a testing strategy in the stockpile. That’s not this administration, that’s multiple administrations. We have increased it 140 fold and I’m gonna do everything I can every single day to improve that.”

“If you have a specific suggestion, and I answered what you said, we’re happy to talk about it. There’s no barrier here. The president wants this, the vice president wants this, everyone on the task force.”

Just an amazing, amazing performance. Just devastating facts. Did Tapper do ANYTHING to prepare for that interview? I doubt it. If there aren’t some staff fired from his show he’s doing it wrong.

I humbly suggest you share this far and wide. I’ve never seen a better example of biased hack meets prepared professional in all of cable TV news history.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

We Thought It Was Just a Respiratory Virus

We were wrong.

By Ariel Bleicher and Katherine Conrad UCSF Magazine Summer 2020Illustration: Anna & Elena Balbusso

In late January, when hospitals in the United States confirmed the presence of the novel coronavirus, health workers knew to watch for precisely three symptoms: fever, cough, and shortness of breath. But as the number of infections climbed, the symptom list began to grow. Some patients lost their sense of smell and taste. Some had nausea or diarrhea. Some had arrhythmias or even heart attacks. Some had damaged kidneys or livers. Some had headaches, blood clots, rashes, swelling, or strokes. Many had no symptoms at all.

By June, clinicians were swapping journal papers, news stories, and tweets describing more than three dozen ways that COVID-19, the disease the coronavirus causes, appears to manifest itself. Now researchers at UC San Francisco and around the world have begun taking a closer look at this dizzying array of symptoms to get at the disease’s root causes. They are learning from people inside the hospital and out; people on the brink of death and only mildly sick; people newly exposed and recovered; people young and old, Black, brown, and white. And they are beginning to piece together the story of a virus unlike any known before.

How infection sets in

Viruses lead a curious purgatorial existence of being neither fully alive nor dead. Enveloped in a protein cloak, a virus consists almost entirely of genetic material – DNA or RNA, the blueprints for all of life. But it can’t reproduce on its own. To survive, it must break into a cell and co-opt the cell’s gene-copying machinery.

The novel coronavirus, an RNA virus named SARS-CoV-2, has become notorious for its skill at breaking and entering human cells. Its tools of choice are the protein spikes protruding from its surface – a feature that distinguishes all coronaviruses. The spikes of SARS-CoV-2 are the crème de la crème: By the luck of the evolutionary draw, they are able to easily grab hold of protein gates on human cells known as ACE2 receptors and, like jackknives, pry these gates open.
Illustration of a coronavirus symbol.

Spikes on the virus’s surface act like jackknives to break and enter human cells.

“You can think of an ACE2 receptor like a docking site,” says Faranak Fattahi, PhD, a UCSF Sandler Fellow. When the coronavirus pandemic hit San Francisco, Fattahi repurposed her laboratory to study this key receptor, which normally plays a role in regulating blood pressure.

“When the virus lands on it,” she says, “it initiates a molecular process that brings the virus inside the cell.”

If you’re exposed to SARS-CoV-2 – say, from a cough or sneeze – the virus will likely first encounter ACE2 receptors on cells in your nose or throat. But these receptors also populate your heart, gut, and other organs. Fattahi’s team has found evidence suggesting that male sex hormones such as testosterone may increase the number of ACE2 receptors that cells produce, which could help explain why SARS-CoV-2 seems to wreak greater havoc on men than on women and why kids rarely get sick. “The fewer ACE2 receptors, the less risk of infection – that’s the idea,” she says, adding that this hypothesis for the disease’s gender gap is only one of several.

Once inside a few initial host cells, the virus sets them to work churning out copies of itself. Within hours, thousands of new virus particles begin bursting forth, ready to infect more cells. Although SARS-CoV-2 is less deadly than the original SARS virus, which emerged in 2002, it replicates more rapidly. Also unlike SARS, which primarily infects the lungs, SARS-CoV-2 replicates throughout the airway, including in the nose and throat, making it highly contagious – like the common cold.

Illustration of the inside of a head, with coronavirus cells throughout the airways.


SARS-CoV-2 replicates throughout the airway, making it highly contagious, like the common cold.

However, infection with SARS-CoV-2 usually doesn’t feel like a cold. Fewer than 20% of infected people who eventually show up at a hospital report having had a sore throat or runny nose. During the first few days of being infected, you’re more likely to have a fever, dry cough or, peculiarly, lose your sense of smell or taste.

Most likely, though, you won’t feel sick at all. When UCSF researchers tested people for SARS-CoV-2 in San Francisco’s Mission District, 53% of those infected never had any symptoms. “That’s much higher than expected,” says Monica Gandhi, MD, MPH, a UCSF professor of medicine with expertise in HIV. Surveys of outbreaks in nursing homes and prisons show similar or even higher numbers. “If we did a mass testing campaign on 300 million Americans right now, I think the rate of asymptomatic infection would be somewhere between 50% and 80% of cases,” Gandhi says. Millions of people may be spreading the virus without knowing it, she points out, making asymptomatic transmission the Achilles’ heel of efforts to control the pandemic – and highlighting the importance of universal masking.

“The majority of people who have COVID-19 are out in the community, and they are either asymptomatic or only mildly ill,” says Sulggi Lee, MD, PhD, a UCSF assistant professor of medicine. When the coronavirus pandemic hit San Francisco in early March, Lee conceived a study to investigate why. She scrambled to assemble a team and procure funding and equipment. She borrowed a colleague’s mobile clinic – a van outfitted with an exam table and a phlebotomy chair – so that her team could drive around the city, collecting samples from infected people. Lee hopes data from the study, called CHIRP (COVID-19 Host Immune Response Pathogenesis), will show how people’s immune systems respond as SARS-CoV-2 starts to gain a foothold in their bodies.

“A lot is riding on that initial response,” she says. If Lee and her collaborators can figure out the biological processes that allow some infected people to stay relatively well, they can perhaps use that knowledge to prevent others from falling severely ill.

Battling in the lungs

True to its name, SARS-CoV-2 (which stands for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) is first and foremost a bad respiratory virus. If your immune system doesn’t defeat it at its landing site in your nose or throat, it will advance down your windpipe, infiltrating the cells lining your lungs’ branching air tubes. At the tubes’ ends, tiny air sacs called alveoli pass oxygen to your blood. As the virus multiplies, the alveoli may fill with fluid, shutting down this critical gas exchange. Your blood-oxygen level may drop and, typically about six days into an infection, you may start feeling short of breath.

What causes this mayhem? “Some of it is definitely caused by the virus itself,” says Michael Matthay, MD, a UCSF professor of medicine who has studied acute respiratory diseases for more than 30 years. Inevitably, a fast-replicating virus will kill or injure many of the lung cells it infects; the more cells it infects, the more ruin it will leave in its wake.
Illustration of a coronavirus symbol.

The virus’s fatality rate seems to be roughly 10 times that of the flu.

But SARS-CoV-2 doesn’t appear to be a savage destroyer of cells. Although it’s too early to know for sure, the virus’s fatality rate seems to be roughly 10 times that of the flu. “You would think that’s because it’s just a killing machine,” says Max Krummel, PhD, UCSF’s Smith Professor of Experimental Pathology and chair of the Bakar ImmunoX initiative. So far, however, the science suggests otherwise.

“One of the weirder things about this new coronavirus is it doesn’t seem to be incredibly cytopathic, by which we mean cell-killing,” Krummel says. “Flu is really cytopathic; if you add it to human cells in a petri dish, the cells burst within 18 hours.” But when UCSF researchers subjected human cells to SARS-CoV-2, many of the infected cells never perished. “It’s pretty compelling data that maybe we’re not dealing with a hugely aggressive virus,” Krummel says.
The bigger provocation, he suspects, may be your own immune system. Like any pathogen, SARS-CoV-2 will trigger an immune attack within minutes of entering your body. This counterstrike is extraordinarily complex, involving many tactics, cells, and molecules. In a UCSF study called COMET (COVID-19 Multi-Phenotyping for Effective Therapies), Krummel and other scientists have been observing this immune warfare in more than 30 people admitted to UCSF hospitals with COVID-19 and other respiratory infections. “What we’re doing is looking at patients’ blood, their genes, and the secretions from their noses and lungs, and we’re asking, ‘What’s your army? What’s your response strategy?’”

It’s pretty compelling data that maybe we’re not dealing with a hugely aggressive virus.”
MAX KRUMMEL, PHD

An early analysis of COMET data, Krummel says, suggests that the immune systems of many hospitalized patients mobilize differently – and more aggressively – against SARS-CoV-2 than against influenza viruses, which cause the flu. Their lungs are ravaged, these data suggest, not by the virus alone but by the detritus of an immunological battle gone awry. This rogue immune response could explain why, around day 11 of a COVID-19 infection, patients often develop a severe pneumonia known as acute respiratory distress syndrome, or ARDS.

Ultimately, COMET seeks to find COVID-19 therapies that can rein in an overeager immune system in order to prevent or treat ARDS. But that feat won’t be easy, says Carolyn Calfee, MD, MAS ’09, an ARDS expert, UCSF professor of medicine, and co-leader of the study. Too much or the wrong kind of intervention, she explains, could cripple a person’s immune system to the point where it can’t clear an infection. “It’s a fine line between therapeutic and deleterious,” Calfee says. “We’re trying to find that balance.”

Typically, people who die from COVID-19 ARDS die around day 19. Reported rates of mortality have varied widely, with the highest rates being where the pandemic has hit hardest, overwhelming hospital resources and staff. At UCSF hospitals – likely due to the city’s early shelter-in-place orders, which prevented an initial surge of COVID-19 cases – so far only 10 of 85 critically ill patients have died.

“The good news is that we’ve been doing clinical trials of best-care practices for ARDS since 1998,” Matthay says. Thanks to research by him and others, for example, clinicians have long known which ventilator settings result in the fewest deaths and how to flip patients onto their stomachs – a technique known as proning – to best help them breathe. If public health measures can keep hospital admissions low so that frontline providers can make good use of the skills and knowledge they already have, we may find that we have less to fear from SARS-CoV-2 than we thought.

On the other hand, the virus behaves in ways that are still mysterious.

Text upper left: From Head to “COVID Toes” underlined. Text below underline: People with COVID-19 exhibit from none to many of these symptoms. Some symptoms (such as fever, cough, and loss of smell) are common, while others (such as sore throat, pink eye, and stroke) are rare. Middle of page: Illustration of human body. From the top: Brain with one plus sign that opens to text reading: Headaches, brain fog, dizziness, delirium, stroke, and another plus sign that opens to text reading: Pink eye. Throat area with plus sign that opens to text reading: Loss of smell or taste, runny nose, sneezing, sore throat. Heart with plus sign that opens to box reading: Arrhythmia, weakened cardiac muscle, heart attack. Lower left lung with plus sign that opens to text reading: Cough, shortness of breath, lung injury. Kidney with plus sign that opens to text reading: Kidney injury, elevated liver enzymes. Intestines with plus sign that opens to text reading: Nausea, stomachache, vomiting, diarrhea. Upper thigh with plus sign that opens to text reading: Fever, fatigue, muscle aches, inflammation, blood clots, vascular injury. Toe with with plus sign that opens to text reading: Skin rash, numbness or swelling in feet or hands. Bottom of illustration: rectangle filled with faded-back coronaviruses and text at far right reading: illustration Stephanie Koch. Left of body illustration: small illustration of coronavirus. Top and right of illustration: small illustration of coronavirus.

Text upper left: From Head to “COVID Toes” underlined. Text below underline: People with COVID-19 exhibit from none to many of these symptoms. Some symptoms (such as fever, cough, and loss of smell) are common, while others (such as sore throat, pink eye, and stroke) are rare. Middle of page: Illustration of human body. From the top: Brain with one plus sign that opens to text reading: Headaches, brain fog, dizziness, delirium, stroke, and another plus sign that opens to text reading: Pink eye. Throat area with plus sign that opens to text reading:

Loss of smell or taste, runny nose, sneezing, sore throat. Heart with plus sign that opens to box reading: Arrhythmia, weakened cardiac muscle, heart attack. Lower left lung with plus sign that opens to text reading: Cough, shortness of breath, lung injury. Kidney with plus sign that opens to text reading: Kidney injury, elevated liver enzymes. Intestines with plus sign that opens to text reading: Nausea, stomachache, vomiting, diarrhea. Upper thigh with plus sign that opens to text reading: Fever, fatigue, muscle aches, inflammation, blood clots, vascular injury. Toe with with plus sign that opens to text reading: Skin rash, numbness or swelling in feet or hands. Bottom of illustration: rectangle filled with faded-back coronaviruses and text at far right reading: illustration Stephanie Koch. Left of body illustration: small illustration of coronavirus. Top and right of illustration: small illustration of coronavirus.

Concept credit: Jennifer Babik, MD, PhD

Part 1 of 2
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment
Part 2 0f 2

Heart failure


In April, Susan Parson, MD, a Bay Area medical examiner, made a startling discovery. For nearly two months, officials had believed that the first people in the U.S. to die from COVID-19 had died of respiratory failure in Washington state in late February. At the time, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention limited testing to people who had respiratory symptoms and had recently traveled to China or otherwise been exposed to the virus. Those restrictions, however, turned out to be misguided.

As a medical examiner for California’s Santa Clara County, Parson had done a routine autopsy on a 57-year-old woman named Patricia Dowd, who had died suddenly at home on February 6. In Dowd’s tissues, Parson found the cause of her death: SARS-CoV-2. But the virus hadn’t wrecked Dowd’s lungs. In fact, she had only mild pneumonia. Instead, SARS-CoV-2 had ruptured her heart.

Meanwhile, epidemiologists began learning that preexisting heart disease and related conditions put people at greater risk of suffering and dying from COVID-19. “We’re finding that many patients who have more severe forms of the illness are obese, they are diabetic, they are hypertensive,” says cardiologist Nisha Parikh, MD, a UCSF associate professor who specializes in population health research. Such risk factors, she says, are unusual. “They’re not ones that really stood out in prior epidemics.”

Clinicians, too, were seeing surprising numbers of COVID-19 patients develop heart problems – muscle weakness, inflammation, arrhythmias, even heart attacks. “We’re not used to respiratory viruses having such dire consequences on the heart in such apparently high numbers,” says cardiologist Gregory Marcus, MD, MAS ’08, UCSF’s Endowed Professor of Atrial Fibrillation Research. Many patients whose hearts acted up also had failing lungs. But others had no other symptoms or, like Dowd, only mild ones.

Since March, Marcus has co-led one of the largest community surveys to better understand the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and its myriad effects. The study, dubbed COVID-19 Citizen Science, has so far enrolled more than 27,000 people; anyone with a smartphone can participate. Marcus plans to also start collecting data from wearable devices, including Fitbits and Zio patches, which wirelessly monitor heart rhythms. “There may be large numbers of people who are suffering from cardiovascular effects of COVID-19 in the absence of other symptoms,” Marcus says. “I’m worried we’re missing those cases.”

It stands to reason that SARS-CoV-2 affects the heart. After all, heart cells are flush with ACE2 receptors, the virus’s vital port of entry. And, indeed, laboratory experiments suggest that the virus can enter and replicate in cultured human heart cells, says Bruce Conklin, MD, a professor of medicine and an expert in heart-disease genetics at UCSF and the Gladstone Institutes.

But Conklin doesn’t think SARS-CoV-2 necessarily kills heart cells outright. Rather, in the process of copying itself, the virus steals pieces of the genetic instructions that tell the heart cells how to do their job. “It’s hauling away and hijacking stuff that’s necessary for the heart to beat,” he says. He is currently testing this hypothesis using human heart cells grown in cup-sized vessels in the lab of Todd McDevitt, PhD, a bioengineer at UCSF and the Gladstone Institutes.

It’s also possible, however, that an infected person’s own immune system may do the majority of the damage in the heart, as it appears to do in the lungs. “The heart probably gets infected by a lot of other viruses, and they don’t have a lethal effect,” Conklin says. “What makes this one different?”

Graph with three bars. Bar at left has 80% at top and Non-Severe at bottom. Bar in middle has 15% at top and Severe at bottom Bar at right has 5% at top and Critical at bottom. Text below graph reads: Most symptomatic cases of COVID-19 are mild. To left of graph, small circle with the letter “i” in the middle opens to text reading: Graph Data: Wu et al., JAMA 2020. Livingston et al., JAMA 2020. Garg et al, MMWR 2020. Stoke et al., MMWR 2020. Left of graph: illustration of a coronavirus.

Most symptomatic cases of COVID-19 are mild.

Stranger things

Toward the end of March, as San Francisco began to warm up, Sonia got cold feet. She put on wool socks and turned up her heater. Still, her feet felt frozen. Three days later, her soles turned splotchy purple. Red dots appeared on her toes. At night, her cold feet itched and burned. Walking hurt. And she was exhausted, napping through afternoon Zoom meetings. “It was so bizarre,” says Sonia, a San Francisco resident. A week later, her symptoms were gone.

“Yes, COVID,” wrote Lindy Fox, MD, a UCSF professor of dermatology, replying to an email describing Sonia’s case. Sonia wasn’t surprised. Anyone, like her, who’s been following news of the pandemic has probably heard about “COVID toes,” a painful or itchy skin rash that sometimes pops up in young adults with otherwise mild or asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

“It looks like what we call pernio, or chilblains,” Fox says, “which is a pretty common phenomenon when somebody goes out in cold weather – they start to get purple or pink bumps on their fingers or toes.”

Many people with rashes like Sonia’s don’t test positive for COVID-19, Fox says, which has made some clinicians skeptical of the connection; when patients have both, it’s just a coincidence, they believe. But Fox doesn’t think so. For one thing, “the time of year is wrong,” she says. “Pernio usually shows up in the dead of winter.” Even more compelling, dermatologists around the world are “getting crazy numbers of calls about it,” Fox says. “In the last three weeks, I’ve had somewhere between 10 and 12 patients.

Normally, I have four a year.”

Illustration of a coronavirus symbol.

20%-40% of people with COVID-19 experience diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting before other symptoms.

And it’s not just dermatologists who are adding their observations to COVID-19’s ever-expanding symptom list. Gut specialists are finding that 20% to 40% of people with the disease experience diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting before other symptoms, says gastroenterologist Michael Kattah, MD, PhD, a UCSF assistant professor. If you swallow virus particles, he says, there’s a good chance they will infect cells lining your stomach, small intestine, or colon. As in the lungs and heart, these cells are studded with vulnerable ACE2 portals.

Especially disconcerting, Kattah says, is how long the virus seems to persist in the gut. About 50% of patients with COVID-19 have virus particles in their stools, often for weeks after their nose swabs test negative, he points out. Laboratory studies show that these particles are often still alive and can infect cells in a petri dish. Whether fecal transmission occurs between people, however, is an open question. If the answer is yes, people recovering from COVID-19 may need to stay quarantined even after they feel well, and the rest of us will need to be as meticulous about bathroom hygiene as we’ve become about handwashing and mask-wearing.
Other specialists are also raising flags. Neurologists worry about reports of COVID-19 patients with headaches, “brain fog,” loss of the sense of smell, dizziness, delirium, and, in rare cases, stroke. Nephrologists worry about kidney stress and failure. Hepatologists worry about liver injuries. Ophthalmologists worry about pink eye. Pediatricians, meanwhile, worry about a peculiar COVID-related inflammatory syndrome that’s showing up in kids and young adults.

There’s a lot of smoke. We need to figure out where the fire is coming from.”
MICHAEL WILSON, MD

Researchers are still sorting out the causes for this constellation of effects. If you come down with a particular symptom, is it because the virus is attacking your cells? Because your immune system is overreacting? Or just because you’re very sick? In any severe illness, for example, the kidneys must work extra hard to filter waste and control nutrients and fluid; if overtaxed, they may begin to fail. Similarly, cognitive problems can result from increased blood toxins due to stressed kidneys or from low oxygen due to respiratory distress. “There’s a lot of smoke,” says Michael Wilson, MD ’07, MAS ’16, the Rachleff Distinguished Professor at UCSF’s Weill Institute for Neurosciences. “We need to figure out where the fire is coming from.”

Recently, there’s been speculation that some of COVID-19’s seemingly disparate symptoms may stem from trouble in the blood. Blood clots, for example, are showing up in cases of COVID-19 frequently enough for clinicians to take notice. “There’s something unique about the coagulation system in these patients,” says nephrologist Kathleen Liu, MD ’99, PhD ’97, MAS ’07, a UCSF professor of medicine. In caring for COVID-19 patients on dialysis machines, she’s been surprised to see blood clots block dialysis tubes more than usual. Clotted tubes are common, she says, “but this is extreme.”
Illustration of a coronavirus symbol.

Evidence suggests SARS-CoV-2 can infect cells in the walls of blood vessels that help regulate clotting.

That may be because, as growing evidence suggests, SARS-CoV-2 can infect cells in the walls of blood vessels that help regulate blood flow and coagulation, or clotting. If true, this behavior could explain some of the virus’s weirder (and rarer) manifestations, such as heart attacks, strokes, and even “COVID toes.”

“Our vasculature is a contiguous system,” says cardiologist Parikh. “Thus injury in one area, such as blood vessels in the lungs, can set off clotting cascades that affect multiple organs.” Some of that trouble likely results from inflammation triggered by the immune system, she points out, although another culprit may be the body’s RAAS, or renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, a hormone system that controls blood pressure and fluid balance. Because RAAS involves ACE2 receptors, Parikh suspects it may become disrupted when the virus infects cells through these receptors, thus triggering coagulation and other downstream effects. Her lab is now studying this system in COVID-19 patients to better understand how SARS-CoV-2 infection affects it.

Inevitably, some ailments may turn out to be red herrings. During a pandemic, when people are flocking to hospitals with infections, clinicians will also see a rise in other health problems, simply by the rules of statistics, points out S. Andrew Josephson, MD, the Francheschi-Mitchell Professor, chair of UCSF’s neurology department, and a member of the Weill Institute for Neurosciences. “If the prevalence of infection is high, then almost any condition – a broken leg, if you will – you might conclude is associated with COVID-19.”

“As clinicians, we want to get information to our medical community and to the public as quickly as possible,” Josephson says, “but we have to be cautious about not making too big a deal of a little blip.”

The long tail

As with any infection, how long a bout of COVID-19 lasts varies from person to person. If you’re ill enough to need critical care, you can expect the disease to take at least a few weeks to run its course. In some cases, symptoms persist for months. For a typical milder case, though, you should feel better within a couple weeks.

At that point, the question foremost on your mind will be: Am I immune? There are now more than a dozen antibody tests on the market, but most are unreliable, according to UCSF research. And even the best tests can’t tell you whether you have enough of the right kinds of antibodies to protect you against reinfection. “There is a lot of hope and belief that we’ll have an antibody test that actually informs us of immunity, but we’re not quite there yet,” says Chaz Langelier, MD, PhD, a UCSF assistant professor of medicine who is working to improve diagnostic tools for COVID-19.

What we have in the meantime are a lot of unknowns: If you do become immune to SARS-CoV-2, when and how does that occur? Will you gain immunity from a mild or asymptomatic case, as well as a severe one? How long will that immunity last?

“The answers will have huge implications for social distancing and masking and for getting the economy back up and running,” says Michael Peluso, MD, a clinical fellow who came to UCSF three years ago to help fight HIV. Now he’s co-leading a new study called LIINC (Long-term Impact of Infection with Novel Coronavirus), which is enrolling people who have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 and will follow them for two years. Besides illuminating changes in immunity over time, LIINC is investigating chronic effects of infection on the immune system, lungs, heart, brain, blood, and other parts of the body.

“I hope people will recover and immunity will be protective and long-lasting, and that will be that,” Peluso says.

It’s what we all hope. We hope we will beat an infection swiftly – or, better yet, avoid the virus until there is a vaccine. We hope that if we do fall gravely ill, we will be cared for by the best providers and tended to by people we love. The reality, as we already know, is more complicated. And even if COVID-19 doesn’t batter our bodies, the pandemic will surely leave scars – on our psyches, our livelihoods, our institutions, and our health – that we are only beginning to fathom. In truth, we don’t know how our cards will fall, as individuals or as a people. Only time – and data – will tell.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=alS94kCFlBo
2:53 min
How will the UK enforce the travel quarantine? [Spain, Port]

•Jul 27, 2020


Sky News

The government's swift decision to reintroduce the travel restrictions has left many holidaymakers in the position of having to quarantine without prior preparation. Now, the question on how to best enforce the the two week quarantine on the thousands of people returning from Spain is being raised.

_____________________________________-

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlV5TuLSme4
9:58 min
British holidaymakers warned ‘no travel is risk free’ after government imposes Spain quarantine
•Jul 27, 2020


Channel 4 News
Downing Street has said that "no travel is risk-free" during the pandemic - warning holidaymakers that "disruption is possible" when heading anywhere abroad.
 

lonestar09

Veteran Member

First US Phase III trial for COVID-19 vaccine begins
Shares rise after 30,000 participants get their Phase III jabs.

by Hannah Kuchler, Financial Times - Jul 27, 2020 3:10pm CDT

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GettyImages-874588750-800x534.jpg

A research associate works at the Moderna Therapeutics Inc. lab in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Bloomberg/Getty Images

Moderna has given the first doses of its experimental COVID-19 vaccine to participants in what will be a 30,000-person trial, as the United States moved into a new phase of the race to develop a vaccine by the start of next year.
The Boston-based biotech said on Monday that it had begun the first Phase III study of a vaccine in the US, a large-scale trial that is usually the last before a new product is submitted for regulatory approval.

The company’s shares were up as much as 10.6 percent before paring some of their gains.
Its trial is being conducted in conjunction with the US National Institutes of Health at sites across the US, under the federal government’s Operation Warp Speed public-private partnership. Francis Collins, the NIH director, said having a vaccine by the end of 2020 was a “stretch goal” but the “right goal for the American people.”

Stéphane Bancel, Moderna’s chief executive, told CNBC that he estimated the vaccine had a 75 percent chance of meeting the Food and Drug Administration’s requirement of being 50 percent effective.

“We look forward to this trial demonstrating the potential of our vaccine to prevent COVID-19, so that we can defeat this pandemic,” he said in a statement.

Moderna took just 42 days from receiving the genetic sequence of SARS-CoV-2, the virus behind COVID-19, to produce a vaccine for testing. Results from its earliest trial showed all 45 participants produced antibodies, and it expects efficacy data from its Phase II trial to be available in late August or September.

The company was able to move fast because it uses a novel technology based on messenger ribonucleic acid, which transcribes the genetic code of a virus inside a human cell, to teach the immune system to recognize it. But a vaccine using this technology has not yet been approved by the FDA.

Pfizer and its German partner BioNTech may also start their Phase III trial this month, while others in Operation Warp Speed including Johnson & Johnson and Novavax hope to begin their phase three trials in the autumn. AstraZeneca, which is partnering with the University of Oxford, has begun a trial designed to blend the Phase II and Phase III stages at sites in the UK, South Africa, and Brazil, and the company is expected to start at US sites shortly.

In its Phase III trial, Moderna and the NIH will be testing whether it can prevent symptomatic COVID-19 disease. They will also look at how effective it is in preventing all COVID-19 infections, even those without symptoms, and what impact it has on people needing hospitalization.

The trial will be conducted at more than 100 sites chosen to reflect a range of demographics and to ensure they include the most vulnerable populations. Mr. Bancel told CNBC that one-third of all participants would be over-65s, who are both more likely to develop severe disease and have immune systems that are less likely to respond robustly to a vaccine.

Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said the early-stage testing had indicated the vaccine was safe and generating an immune response in recipients.
“Although face coverings, physical distancing and proper isolation and quarantine of infected individuals and contacts can help us mitigate SARS-CoV-2 spread, we urgently need a safe and effective preventive vaccine to ultimately control this pandemic,” he said.
 

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New COVID-19 cases hit record highs in more than a DOZEN states while Texas, Florida, Arizona and California finally start to plateau - as Dr Birx urges regions with rising infections to close bars, cut back on indoor dining and to mandate face masks
By Emily Crane
Published: 09:56 EDT, 27 July 2020 | Updated: 15:16 EDT, 27 July 2020

  • COVID-19 infections are now spiking, based on a seven-day average, in more than a dozen states, including Oklahoma, Missouri and Mississippi
  • The number of cases in the current hard hit states of Texas, California, Arizona and Florida are now showing signs of plateauing, health officials say
  • Dr Deborah Birx, head of the White House taskforce, said the new surge is a sign that the virus is now spreading North
  • The states with rising cases should be closing bars, cutting back on indoor restaurant capacity and limiting social gatherings to 10 people, Dr Birx warned
  • She also said all Americans should be wearing masks when out in public or around other people
  • Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar says the leveling off of cases in the hotspot states is because people are social distancing and wearing masks
  • He warned, however, that the United States wasn't 'out of the woods yet' with the pandemic
  • Florida on Sunday became the second state after California to overtake New York, the original epicenter of the US outbreak
  • There has now been more than 4.2 million infections recorded across the United States and nearly 147,000 Americans have died from COVID-19

New COVID-19 cases have hitting record highs in more than a dozen states while Texas, Florida, Arizona and California show signs of a plateau - as Dr Deborah Birx urged regions with rising infections to close bars, cut back on indoor dining and to mandate face masks.

There has now been more than 4.2 million infections recorded across the United States and nearly 147,000 Americans have died from COVID-19.

The number of cases in the current hard hit states of Texas, California, Arizona and Florida are now showing signs of plateauing after a month of record surges, according to Dr Birx.

Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar says the leveling off of cases in the hotspot states is because people are social distancing and wearing masks but warned the US wasn't 'out of the woods yet'.

As cases appear to plateau in those hard hit states, the number of infections are now spiking, based on a seven-day average, in more than a dozen states, including Oklahoma, Missouri, Mississippi, Louisiana, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii and Wyoming.

Nevada, Texas and South Carolina have seen record highs in the number of deaths based on a seven-day average.

Dr Birx, who is the head of the White House COVID-19 taskforce, said the surge in cases that has plagued Sunbelt states since Memorial Day is now being seen elsewhere, which is a sign that the virus is now spreading North.

The states with rising cases should be closing bars, cutting back on indoor restaurant capacity and limiting social gatherings to 10 people, Dr Birx warned.

She also said all Americans should be wearing masks when out in public or around other people.

'We can see what is happening in the South moving North,' Dr Birx said. 'We do believe there are states that do need to close their bars.'

Oklahoma hit a record for new cases five times throughout July, with 1,204 new infections on Sunday, bringing the state's total to 31,285, according to data from the COVID Tracking Project.

In Missouri, infections surged to record daily highs on Saturday with 1,652 new cases. Infections across the state, which now has 41,927 cases, have been on an upward trajectory since late June.

Mississippi's cases have been spiking to near record highs in recent days with 1,610 infections reported on Friday, down from the record 1,904 on July 4. Infections have surged this month with the total now at 52,304.

Meanwhile, the number of new infections in Florida, Arizona and Texas now appear to be trending downwards for the first time since late May or early June.

Deaths, however, are still rising in both Florida and Texas. While deaths have seen single daily highs in Arizona in the past week, average fatalities appear to show a leveling out.

Despite the downward trajectory, Florida on Sunday became the second state after California to overtake New York, the original epicenter of the US outbreak.

Total COVID-19 cases in Florida rose by 9,300 to 423,855 on Sunday, just one place behind California, which now leads the country with 448,497 cases. New York is in third place with 415,827 cases.

After New York, Texas has the most total coronavirus cases at 391,000. Arizona has 162,014 coronavirus cases.

Still, New York has recorded the most deaths of any US state at more than 32,000 with Florida in eighth place with nearly 6,000 deaths.

On average, Florida has added more than 10,000 cases a day in July while California has been adding 8,300 cases a day and New York has been adding 700 cases.

Dr Birx said last week that there were signs cases in Florida, Texas, Arizona and California were now plateauing.

'We're already starting to see some plateauing in these critically four states that have really suffered under the last four weeks,' Birx told NBC's Today.

'This first wave that we see now across Florida, Texas, California and Arizona began with under 30 years olds - many of those who were asymptomatic.

'It's very serious and it's very real.'

She also warned last week that 11 major cities needed to take 'aggressive' steps to mitigate COVID-19 outbreaks.

The 11 cities she mentioned include: Baltimore, Cleveland, Columbus, Indianapolis, Las Vegas, Miami, Minneapolis, Nashville, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and St Louis.

'Until you can see that explosion, it's hard for people to understand how deeply you have to clamp down,' Dr Birx said.

'That's why we called out the next set of cities where we see early-warning signs, because if you make changes now, you won't become a Phoenix.'

Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said people 'stepping up to the plate' is the reason for some of the 'plateauing' in coronavirus cases being seen in Arizona, California, Florida and Texas.

In an interview Monday on Fox News' Fox and Friends, Azar said officials think 'it's due to the fact that people are actually wearing their masks.'

He said they're also social distancing and practicing good hygiene, and he complimented governors for closing bars, where it's difficult to be socially distant and wear a mask.

'So people are stepping up to the plate and doing what we're asking and what the governors are asking and we see it has an impact,' Azar said.

'While Dr Birx says we're seeing signs of plateauing, we're not out of the woods yet,' he said, adding that next few months would be crucial.

As the pandemic has spread from the early epicenter of New York to the South and West, federal, state and local officials have clashed over how to ease lockdowns imposed to curb the infection rate, including in some states whether to rollback reopenings.

The ordering of face coverings, a common practice around the world and recommended by the federal government's own health experts, has also become highly politicized, with some Republican governors particularly resistant.

Hostility to the idea now appears to be dwindling, including from the Republican administration of President Donald Trump, who once dismissed mask-wearing as an effort to be politically correct.

Trump, who faces falling poll numbers over his handling of the health crisis ahead of the November election, has long refused to wear a mask in public but last week encouraged Americans to do so.

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Child hospitalizations from Covid-19 surge 23% in Florida as schools statewide must reopen
By Rosa Flores, Sara Weisfeldt and Holly Yan
Updated 2:04 PM ET, Mon July 27, 2020

Just weeks before schools must open across Florida, the numbers of new cases and hospitalizations due to Covid-19 have surged.

On July 16, the state had a total of 23,170 children ages 17 and under who had tested positive since the beginning of the pandemic, according to the Florida Department of Health. By July 24, that number jumped to 31,150.

That's a 34% increase in new cases among children in eight days.

And more children in Florida are requiring hospitalization. As of July 16, 246 children had been hospitalized with coronavirus. By July 24, that number had jumped to 303.

That's a 23% increase in child Covid-19 hospitalizations in eight days.

During that same time period, the death toll among children in Florida went from 4 to 5.

On July 18, Kimora "Kimmie" Lynum died from Covid-19 complications, according to state health department records. The 9-year-old girl's family said Kimmie had no known pre-existing conditions.

The surges in child Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations come amid rampant debate over whether children should return to classrooms this fall, or if they should continue remote learning.

They also directly contradict US Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos' claims that children are "stoppers of the disease" who "don't get it and transmit it themselves."

Researchers in South Korea found that young people between ages 10 and 19 transmit the virus just as easily as adults.

And White House coronavirus task force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx has repeatedly said scientists are still studying how quickly children under the age of 10 can spread the virus, as many of them have stayed home and away from their peers during peak months of this pandemic.

But it's not just the numbers of new cases and hospitalizations that are rising in Florida. The test positivity rate among children has gone up, too -- from 13.4% to 14.4% between July 16 and 24, according to the state health department.

The test positivity rate for children was particularly high in Martin County (25.3%) and Miami-Dade County (19.6%).

But the state has ordered schools to physically open next month. In some districts, that means sending children to school in as soon as two weeks. And that has some parents, educators, and doctors on edge.

"I do understand the need for opening up the schools," said Dr. Andrew Pastewski, a father and medical director of the intensive care unit at Jackson South Medical Center in Miami.

"Kids need to develop, they need to grow, they need to learn, they need to develop social skills," he said. "However, we're surging right now. I would not think opening up during a surge was the right time."

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Texas' count of coronavirus deaths jumps 12% after officials change the way they tally COVID-19 fatalities
Hispanic Texans are overrepresented in the state's updated fatality count, making up 47% of deaths, but only 40% of the state's population.

Edgar Walters
July 27, 2020 Updated: 7 hours ago


After months of undercounting coronavirus deaths, Texas’ formal tally of COVID-19 fatalities grew by more than 600 on Monday after state health officials changed their method of reporting.

The revised count indicates that more than 12% of the state’s death tally was unreported by state health officials before Monday.

The Texas Department of State Health Services is now counting deaths marked on death certificates as caused by COVID-19. Previously, the state relied on local and regional public health departments to verify and report deaths.

Public health experts have said for months that the state’s official death toll is an undercount. State health officials said Monday that the policy change would improve the accuracy and timeliness of their data.

Texas law requires death certificates to be filed within 10 days.

“This method does not include deaths of people who had COVID-19 but died of an unrelated cause,” the Texas Department of State Health Services said in a news release.

Hispanic Texans are overrepresented in the state's updated fatality count, making up 47% of deaths, according to health officials, while they make up about 40% of the state's population. White Texans account for 35% of deaths while Black Texans make up 14% of deaths. Before Monday, the state's racial and ethnic breakdown of deaths had large gaps, with up to 18% of deaths last month recorded as "unknown."

Men are more likely to have died from the coronavirus, according to the updated state figures, making up 60% of deaths. And about 180 deaths, or 3% of the total, occurred among Texans younger than 40. About 2,000 people who died were 80 or older, making up the largest age bracket of COVID-19 deaths.

The first death linked to the coronavirus in Texas occurred March 16 in Matagorda County. As of Sunday, state officials said about 5,030 people who tested positive for the virus had died. With Monday’s update, the new figure is roughly 5,700.

After the number of infections in Texas soared to new highs in June and early July, the rate of deaths in Texas has been accelerating. It took 53 days to get from the first death to 1,000 deaths and 39 days to get from 1,000 to 2,000 deaths. On July 10, the state surpassed 3,000 deaths — 24 days after 2,000 deaths were reported. And it took only 10 more days for Texas to reach 4,000 deaths.

While Texas continues to report daily deaths in the triple digits, the number of new daily cases seem to be stabilizing. In the past week alone, state data appears to show new daily infections leveling off, albeit at nearly record highs.

The state recorded its largest number of daily new cases July 15, at 10,791. On Sunday, that number was 5,810.

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from twitter:

tx img.png

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Covid-19 is 'the most severe' emergency WHO has declared, the agency warns as number of global cases hits 16 million - a rise of one million in just FOUR DAYS
By Tim Stickings
Published: 08:39 EDT, 27 July 2020 | Updated: 10:28 EDT, 27 July 2020
  • Huge outbreaks in the US, India and Brazil are leading the global surge in cases
  • WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said cases had doubled in six weeks
  • Spain, Belgium and Hong Kong are facing second waves of the disease
  • But global deaths have remained stagnant at around 30 to 40,000 per week

The coronavirus pandemic is 'easily the most severe' emergency that the WHO has ever declared, the agency said today as global cases surged past 16million.

The global tally has risen by a million in just four days, led by massive outbreaks in the United States, India and Brazil which are each piling up tens of thousands of new cases per day.

South Africa is also seeing more than 10,000 new cases a day while places such as Spain, Belgium and Hong Kong are facing second waves of the disease.

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said the number of cases had doubled in just six weeks as he warned today that 'the pandemic continues to accelerate'.

However, while cases have been surging at record levels, global deaths have remained stagnant at around 30,000 to 40,000 per week.

Speaking nearly six months after the WHO first declared a global health emergency, Tedros said scientists were 'still learning' about how to tackle the virus.

'This is the sixth time a global health emergency has been declared under the International Health Regulations, but it is easily the most severe,' he said.

'Almost 16million cases have now been reported to WHO, and more than 640,000 deaths,' he said before cases did cross the 16million threshold.

'And the pandemic continues to accelerate. In the past six weeks, the total number of cases has roughly doubled.'

When the health emergency was declared on January 30 there were fewer than 100 cases outside China, Tedros said.

According to WHO figures, the world passed one million confirmed cases on April 4, by which time much of the West was in lockdown.

The world reached five million cases on May 23 - 114 days after the declaration of the health emergency - but the next five million took only 36 days until June 28.

The jump from 10million to 15million took only 26 days until July 23, and the latest million cases have been recorded in the space of only four days.

The United States, India and Brazil - the three countries with more than a million confirmed cases by themselves - are taking the brunt of the latest surge.

India today set a new record of 49,931 cases in 24 hours, while Brazil has averaged nearly 46,000 cases per day over the last week.

Elsewhere in Latin America, countries including Mexico, Colombia and Argentina are all piling up thousands of new cases per day, with Mexico's death toll now nearly as high as Britain's.

Tedros praised countries such as Germany and South Korea for keeping their outbreaks under control because social distancing measures were followed - but warned that 'where they are not, cases go up'.

He added: 'Covid-19 has changed our world. It has brought people, communities and nations together, and driven them apart.

'It has shown what humans are capable of – both positively and negatively. We have learned an enormous amount, and we're still learning.

'But although our world has changed, the fundamental pillars of the response have not: political leadership, and informing, engaging and listening to communities.

'And nor have the basic measures needed to suppress transmission and save lives: find, isolate, test and care for cases; and trace and quarantine their contacts.

'Keep your distance from others, clean your hands, avoid crowded and enclosed areas, and wear a mask where recommended.

'Where these measures are followed, cases go down. Where they're not, cases go up.'

Among the places suffering a new wave of coronavirus cases is Hong Kong, with more than 1,000 new infections since early July.

New cases been above 100 for the last five days and the city of 7.5million now has more than 2,700 infections with 20 fatalities, threatening to overwhelm hospitals.

Tough new measures include mandatory masks, a ban on more than two people gathering in public and restaurants only being allowed to serve takeaway meals.

The government has already shut a number of businesses including bars, nightclubs and gyms, and rules have been tightened for freight vessels and air crews.

In Europe, Spain, France and Germany have all seen week-on-week increases in their numbers of new cases.

Spain has seen Britain, France and Norway impose new travel restrictions after adding 12,166 new cases to its tally last week, up from 6,347 the week before.

In Germany, which has been widely praised for its handling of the crisis, officials say the rising numbers are 'very concerning'.

Last Friday's 815 new cases were the highest since May 15, and the Robert Koch diseases institute (RKI) says cases are growing in several of Germany's 16 states.

'A further worsening of the situation must be avoided at all costs. This will only succeed if the entire population continues to be committed,' the RKI said.

Belgium is also seeing a 'worrying' rise, health authorities warned today, with almost half of the new infections recorded around the port city of Antwerp.

There have been 1,952 new cases around Belgium over the past week, up more than 70 per cent on the previous week, officials announced.

'The rapid growth in the number of cases is worrying,' said Frederique Jacobs, professor of infectious diseases and a spokeswoman for Belgium's virus taskforce.

Local measures have been taken to try to contain the spike in Antwerp, but Jacobs warned that 'the number of infections is also rising considerably in the rest of the country'.

'Most infections are still coming among the active population, that is to say people aged between 20 and 59,' Jacobs said.

Belgium was one of the countries with the highest per capita rates of infection at the height of the crisis in Europe.

A three-year-old girl with severe pre-existing health problems became Belgium's youngest known coronavirus victim last week.

Tougher rules on wearing masks came into force on Saturday amid growing fears of a second wave of the pandemic.

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All businesses shut and six million people confined to their homes: Victorians told 'New Zealand-style lockdown' is the only way to curb horror second wave that's being fuelled by YOUNG people - here's what stage four would look like

By Alison Bevege
Published: 13:02 EDT, 27 July 2020 | Updated: 16:52 EDT, 27 July 2020
  • Victoria's coronavirus cases surge by 532 - the state's worst increase yet
  • Doctors call for Stage Four lockdown to get Victoria's numbers down fast
  • Never-before-seen Stage Four would be like NZ's tough Level Four restrictions
  • Would mean no takeaway coffee or food, shops closed, construction sites shut
  • Young adult Victorians have been identified as having highest infection rate

Doctors are calling for Stage Four restrictions to be implemented in Victoria which would force nearly all businesses to close and confine more than six million people to their homes.

The number of new infections in the state surged by 532 on Monday to a total of 8,696 - the largest increase since the beginning of the pandemic and the state's 22nd straight day of triple-digit cases.

Of the 4542 active cases, 400 were healthcare workers, 245 patients were in hospital and 44 were fighting for their lives in intensive care.

The Australian Medical Association Victoria said a Stage Four 'New Zealand-style lockdown' would soon be needed to get Victoria's case numbers down and to avoid hospitals being overwhelmed.

'What New Zealand did for a month is that they closed pretty much all businesses other than pharmacies, medical clinics, grocery stores, petrol stations and really curtailed a lot of retail shopping and a lot of businesses,' President Julian Rait told 3AW on Monday.

'That's the model that I would look to and clearly they were able to achieve elimination through that with a month of such measures.

'I am not suggesting that is necessarily possible now in Victoria with the number of cases but I would suggest that stronger measures for a shorter period might be a preferable strategy to months and months of what we have got at the moment.'

Professor Rait said the rapid increase in numbers from 66 new cases on July 3 to 288 on July 10, to 428 on July 17 and 532 on Monday meant there was a 'significant problem' - with potentially another 2,500 undetected cases in the pipeline.

Meanwhile, young adult Victorians have been identified as the group with the highest infection rate in the state.

Some 1947 men and women aged between 20 and 29 have caught coronavirus in Victoria, the most of any demographic.

Many young people work as casuals and have little if any savings, encouraging them to risk going to work even if they feel slightly off.

Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews on Monday night pleaded with young people to stay at home.

This virus doesn't just affect older people,' he wrote on Facebook.

'Young, fit and otherwise healthy people are struggling to breathe.'

Victoria's Health Minister Jenny Mikakos echoed the premier's sentiments.

'This is not an older person's disease. A quarter of infections we are seeing are young people in their 20s,' she said.

'People in their 60s only represent six per cent.

'This is a highly contagious virus that can strike anyone in our community regardless of their age, regardless of their circumstances.'

Mr Andrews imposed Stage Three restrictions on July 9 for six weeks across metropolitan Melbourne and the Mitchell Shire.

On Saturday, the premier said the implementation of mandatory masks in Metropolitan Melbourne and Mitchell Shire was 'effectively our stage four'.

But a genuine New Zealand-style Level Four lockdown would be far more strict, and would see all businesses shut including construction sites, schools, retailers such as Bunnings and Kmart - and restaurant takeaways banned.

The Stage Four restrictions if imposed would be modelled on New Zealand's lockdown rules, widely regarded as some of the toughest in the world.

ANU College of Health and Medicine Professor Shane Thomas said Victoria had been hoping for a downward trend after face masks were made mandatory, but it hadn't yet happened.

'As each day goes on it's less likely,' he told Daily Mail Australia on Monday night.

'The next stage is a real lockdown where people have to stay in their houses - it won't go down well.'

The High Court in Wellington is now hearing a legal challenge as of July 27, on whether the Level Four lockdown was lawful in New Zealand.

A judicial review is being sought by lawyer Andrew Borrowdale, who is arguing Mr Bloomfield exceeded his powers under the Health Act in making everyone stay home and closing almost all the businesses. The case is expected to last three days.

A Stage Four lockdown has not been defined in Australia and has never before been seen - but the Victorian Premier is now considering it out of necessity in halting the rapidly spreading virus before it overwhelms the health system.

Professor Thomas said a major problem for Victoria was in getting rapid test results.

He said some people had waited up to eight days to get a result, and that meant people were getting tested but continuing their everyday lives and not quarantining until the result days later.

'Why is the testing so slow?' he said. 'This is an administrative thing ... it needs to speed up rapidly - what's wrong with same day results?'

Professor Thomas said Victorians would be more co-operative waiting one day for results than five or six days.

'That's a major factor,' he said.

Victoria's Department of Health and Human Services says on its website it usually takes between one and three days to get a result, although sometimes there can be delays.

'Victorian and interstate labs are working around the clock to process all the tests, but with so many coming in every day, sometimes it takes a little longer to confirm the results,' the website said.

Military personnel in the Melbourne CBD on Monday helping with the pandemic response

Health experts believe a short sharp lockdown to rapidly get Victoria's case load down as New Zealand did might be tough initially, but better in the long term than extending ineffective partial restrictions indefinitely.

Premier Andrews warned Melbourne's six-week lockdown, which began on July 9, may need to be extended as the virus keeps spreading.

On Monday he urged people not to go to work if they are ill after outbreaks were discovered in meatworks, aged care homes, law firms and other workplaces.

The premier said the next stage of restrictions may include shutting down industries where outbreaks are happening such as the freight, logistics and warehousing sectors.

'Next steps may well have to include closing a number of these industries if we continue to see people attending work,' he said.

National deputy chief medical officer Nick Coatsworth said the lockdown should have brought case numbers down by now but coronavirus is 'deeply embedded' in Melbourne.

'The virus is deeply embedded within the community in Victoria,' he told Nine's Today program.

Aged care centres have been particularly hard-hit with 683 active cases across 61 nursing homes, endangering elderly people, who are the most vulnerable to infection.

Most nursing homes are run by private companies and much of the spread has been from staff bringing the virus in from the community.

Victoria's Department of Health and Human Services has voiced concerns about poor protective equipment usage in some non-government services.

Several people have died at the St Basil's Homes for the Aged in Fawkner and the operator has pleaded with authorities to evacuate residents to hospital.

At the nearby Epping Gardens aged care home 83 people – 61 residents and 22 staff have tested positive.

Glendale Aged Care in Werribee, connected to 53 coronavirus cases including 25 residents and 18 staff failed an independent infection control audit last September.

A further 107 nursing homes were visited by the Aged Care Quality and Safety Commission between March and May to assess their coronavirus readiness after being assessed as 'high risk', the Herald Sun reported.

The Victorian Aged Care Response Centre has been established over the weekend to co-ordinate the response between state and federal agencies.

Led by Federal Chief Nursing and Midwifery Officer Alison McMillan, it will oversee the handling of outbreaks.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison said Victoria 'has a long way to go' before the huge daily totals are reduced.

'We are still seeing case numbers at elevated levels and so, as we have seen from other jurisdictions, when you get community-based transmission, it does take some time to get that down,' he said on Monday.

Mr Morrison said Premier Daniel Andrews 'will be taking advice' from health experts on whether lockdown will need to be extended and called on Victorians to follow the state's lockdown rules to help stop community transmission.

~~~~~~~~~

VICTORIA IS ON STAGE THREE RESTRICTIONS NOW

* Started July 9 and runs for six weeks across metropolitan Melbourne and the Mitchell Shire

* Nobody can go in or out of Melbourne or the Mitchell shire other than for work, medical care, caregiving and shopping for essential food

* Police will monitor traffic and issue on-the-spot fines of up to $1,652 for individuals and up to $9,913 to businesses for breaches

* Residents must only leave their homes for four reasons: shopping for food and essential items, care and caregiving, daily exercise, work and study

* You cannot leave metropolitan Melbourne for 'exercise' such as a long bushwalk

* You can also leave home to donate blood or for medical services

* Visits to aged care facilities are restricted

* Those who can work from home, must work from home

* Religious services must be broadcast online

* Weddings can have four people plus the celebrant

* Funerals can have up to 10 people at the service plus the staff

* As of July 22 face masks or face coverings are mandatory in public, breaches are punished with a $200 fine

* No visits to others or visitors allowed other than care giving, unless it is your intimate partner (there is no ban on bonking)

* You cannot go to your holiday home. Holiday accommodation and camp sites are closed

* Restaurants and cafes are takeaway only

* Shopping centres are open but you must stay 1.5m apart

* Pubs, bars and nightclubs are shut, as are entertainment and cultural venues such as cinemas, museums and casinos

* Beauticians are closed, hairdressers open

These restrictions are current as of Monday July 27 but may change in response to the escalating situation

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Hong Kong third wave: city to register more than 100 new Covid-19 cases for seventh day running, source says
Elizabeth Cheung
Published: 2:20pm, 28 Jul, 2020

  • Medical source says number expected to fall between 100 and 110
  • City has seen triple digits every day since July 22, and daily high of 145 was set on Monday

Hong Kong is expected to register its seventh day in a row of more than 100 new Covid-19
cases on Tuesday, according to a medical source.

The source said the number of new cases was expected to be between 100 and 110.
A daily high was set on Monday, when the city recorded 145 new coronavirus cases
and four deaths, taking the total number of infections to 2,778 and 22 related fatalities.

Hong Kong has seen more than 100 new cases a day since July 22, when 113 people were confirmed as being infected.

Stricter social-distancing measures, including further tightening the number of people gathering in public from four to two, and a ban on dine-in services in restaurants throughout the day, will come into effect on Wednesday in an attempt to curb the spread of the virus.

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