ALERT Hezbollah, allies topple Lebanon government / Israel keeping close eye

My apocalyptic vision that began with seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel may be about to play out.

God have mercy on us all.

Backgrounder video - CBC Investigation: Who killed Lebanon's Rafik Hariri?


Hezbollah, allies to topple Lebanon government: sources

By Laila Bassam
BEIRUT | Wed Jan 12, 2011 7:34am EST

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE70B26A20110112?pageNumber=2

(Reuters) - Ministers from Lebanon's Hezbollah movement and its political allies will resign on Wednesday, forcing the collapse of Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri's government, political sources said.

"The resignation statement has been written and will be announced at 4.30 p.m. (7:30 a.m. EST)," said a senior political source, who asked not to be named. Eleven ministers would quit, enough to automatically bring down the government, he said.

The move comes a day after Lebanese politicians said Saudi Arabia and Syria had failed to forge a deal to contain tensions over a U.N.-backed tribunal which is expected to indict Hezbollah members over the killing of Hariri's father Rafik.

The militant Shi'ite group has denied any role in the 2005 assassination. Its leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, has attacked the tribunal as an "Israeli project" and urged Hariri to renounce it, a demand the Sunni Muslim premier has resisted.

The stalemate has crippled Hariri's 14-month-old "unity" government. The cabinet has met, briefly, just once in the last two months and the government failed to get parliamentary approval for the 2010 budget.

Tensions over the tribunal, which is expected to issue draft indictments this month, have exacerbated existing rifts between Hariri, who is supported by Western powers and Saudi Arabia, and Hezbollah, backed by Iran and Syria.

Analysts said the resignations could set the stage for protracted political turmoil in Lebanon, which has endured a series of crises since Rafik al-Hariri's killing, including car bombings and sectarian street fighting in Beirut in 2008.

"You definitely have increased rhetoric, but whether that is matched by a slip toward a bad security situation is not pre-determined," said Karim Makdisi, a teacher of international relations at the American University of Beirut.

Hariri was due to meet President Barack Obama in Washington around the time of the planned resignation announcement.

Gebran Bassil, a Christian government minister allied to Hezbollah, said Hariri had rejected demands for an urgent session of cabinet to discuss Hezbollah's insistence that Lebanon withdraw all cooperation with the special tribunal.

"The grace period has ended, and the waiting stage that we lived through without any result has ended," he told Reuters.

Hezbollah minister Mohammad Fneish on Tuesday blamed the United States for obstructing attempts by Riyadh and Damascus to find a solution. "There were Arab efforts that gave us the chance to work positively... These efforts have not worked because of American intervention," he said.

Political scientist Hilal Khashan said Washington had "vetoed" the Saudi-Syrian initiative and there was little prospect of a new government being formed quickly.

He said Hezbollah was unlikely to repeat the events of May 2008, when gunmen took over Beirut in protest over government steps against the Shi'ite militant movement, but he did not rule out demonstrations.

"The phenomenon of food riots is spreading in the Arab world, so the opposition may shield itself behind popular demands for combating inflation," he said.

Beirut's bourse fell 3.22 percent in response to the political turmoil, with shares in market heavyweight Solidere, which has led the reconstruction of Beirut since the 1975-1990 civil war, dropping as much as 8.0 percent.

"(Because) the agreement between Saudi Arabia and Syria was blocked, we have seen a sell-off," said Louis Karam, senior investment adviser at Arab Finance Corporation.
 
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Israel ship prompts high alert in Lebanon
Wed Jan 12, 2011 3:35AM

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/159763.html

Israel has deployed a naval vessel dangerously close to the Lebanese coast, prompting Beirut to put the Armed Forces on high alert.

The ship was spotted just four kilometers off the country's shores, a Press TV correspondent reported, citing Lebanese media sources.

The development followed yet another Israeli violation of Lebanon's airspace, which was reported by the Lebanese Army.

The airspace violation occurred on Tuesday when an Israeli reconnaissance aircraft flew over parts of southern and eastern Lebanon.

The overflights violate United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701. The resolution, which brokered a ceasefire in the war Israel launched against Lebanon in 2006, calls on Tel Aviv to respect Lebanon's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Only last week, Israel reportedly fired ammunition into southern Lebanon as part of a maneuver.

Beirut has complained to the UN about the Israeli overflights on a number of occasions.

The Lebanese resistance movement Hezbollah, which defended the country in the 33-Day War of 2006, has vowed to respond with determination to any Israeli aggression.

Hezbollah has announced that it has the capability to hit targets deep inside Israel and to strike Israeli Navy vessels even before they reach Lebanese territorial waters.
 
Israeli planes stage mock raids over south Lebanon
Jan 12, 2011, 12:00 GMT

http://www.monstersandcritics.com/n...li-planes-stage-mock-raids-over-south-Lebanon

Beirut - Israeli fighter jets Wednesday carried out mock raids at low altitude over several southern Lebanese villages, a Lebanese security source said.

The jets flew over Nabatiyeh, Iqlim al Tuffah, Marjayoun, and Khiam, which are all located near the Israeli-Lebanese border, the source said.

The UN considers Israeli violations of Lebanese airspace as breaches of UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which brought an end to the Israeli offensive against Lebanon in 2006.
 
Lebanon in crisis: Hizballah quits government, US-French buildup, Israel on standby

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

January 12, 2011, 12:28 PM (GMT+02:00)

http://www.debka.com/article/20538/

USS Enterprise heads for Lebanese shores

With backing from Tehran, Hizballah and its Christian ally Michel Aoun abruptly quit the Lebanese unity government Wednesday, Jan. 12, in a move that could pave the way for their seizure of power in Beirut. They struck as the Special Tribunal for Lebanon's prosecutor Daniel Bellemare prepared to hand over to the pre-trial judge "within hours or days" indictments naming Hizballah officials in the case of the former premier Rafiq Hariri's assassination in 2005.

Hizballah is committed to defying those indictments and refusing to hand over its top officials for extradition by the government.

As the Lebanese crisis raced towards it climax, President Barack Obama, Saudi King Abdullah, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri held intense consultations in Washington and New York on a united front against Iran-backed disruptions in Beirut by Hizballah and its allies.

Iran's supreme ruler Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has said repeatedly that the STL and its rulings are "null and void" because they serve "foreign interests."
As the US, France and Israel made military and diplomatic preparations to thwart a clash, Obama scheduled a meeting with the Lebanese Prime Minister for Wednesday night, Jan. 12, to decide how the US, France and its allies would act in a conflagration.

Over the weekend, the US president ordered US vessels to buttress the Sixth Fleet stationed in the eastern Mediterranean with the USS Enterprise carrier and its strike group with 6,000 sailors and marines aboard and 80 fighter-bombers. Already deployed there is the USS Bainbridge missile destroyer.

On Monday, Jan. 10, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, on a tour of the Persian Gulf, expressed concern over the situation in Lebanon. Clinton said: "I'm deeply worried about the efforts to destabilize Lebanon. We should do everything we can to make sure those warnings are not accurate."

American military moves in the Mediterranean are intended to signal to Tehran and Hizballah that Washington will be prepared to use force to defend the Saad Hariri government in Lebanon and if necessary deploy aerial forces and the marines to avert a Hizballah takeover in Beirut. The French fleet was also ordered to bolster its naval strength opposite Lebanon.

But Hizballah got its move in first. Its resignation from the Hariri government showed that its leaders and Iranian sponsors were not fazed by the US-French military moves off the Lebanese coast and were moving ahead with their plans.

DEBKAfile's military sources add that a comment by Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu Tuesday, Jan. 11, fit into the picture taking shape in Washington, New York and Paris. He remarked to foreign journalists that 60,000 missiles and rockets, all of Iranian and Syrian origin, were now pointing at Israel.

Last week, Meir Dagan, at a ceremony marking the end of his tenure as head of the Mossad, said that only 10 countries in the world have firepower on a par with that of Hizballah.

According to our sources, it is definitely on the cards for an Iranian-Hizballah move in Lebanon provoking a US-French military response to evolve into a clash between Hizballah and Israel, providing an opportunity for the destruction of Hizballah's might missile arsenal.
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Good find SoT.

This article from Yahoo has a couple more salient points. Looks like Hariri has no intention of caving in and that the Beirut Stock market took a big hit this morning . . .


Hezbollah plans to resign from Lebanese government

1/12/11

By ZEINA KARAM, Associated Press Zeina Karam, Associated Press – 39 mins ago

BEIRUT – The Islamic militant group Hezbollah and its allies plan to resign from the Lebanese Cabinet and topple the government on Wednesday over tensions stemming from the international investigation of the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, officials said.

The ministers were planning to resign in the afternoon unless Western-backed Prime Minister Saad Hariri — the son of the slain leader — agrees to their demand to convene an urgent Cabinet meeting over the tribunal crisis, Health Minister Mohammed Jawad Khalifeh said on Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV.

A senior official in Hariri's Future Movement, Mustafa Alloush, said Hariri would not succumb to "pressure and ultimatums."

Another official allied to Hezbollah confirmed the resignation plan, which calls for Hezbollah and its allies to step down along with one more minister who would tip the balance and force the government to fall.

To bring down the government, Hezbollah needs the backing of more than a third of the ministers. Hezbollah and its allies have 10 ministers in the 30-member Cabinet, and an official close to Hezbollah said an 11th minister close to President Michel Suleiman would also submit his resignation.

"It all depends on the prime minister's response to our call for a Cabinet meeting to discuss the crisis," the official told the AP, asking that his name not be used because of the sensitivity of the matter. "We are considering our options and a resignation is top of the list."

The impending indictments already have paralyzed Lebanon's government. Minutes after the Beirut Stock Exchange opened, the shares of the giant development company Solidere — the largest company listed on the stock exchange — dropped about 7 percent.

Alloush, a former lawmaker, expressed concern about possible street violence encouraged by Hezbollah and the movement's patrons in Tehran.

"At the end of the day, it's an Iranian decision," he said.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/lebanon_hariri_tribunal
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Turkey and Saudi Arabia urged Lebanon Wednesday to keep its unity government intact after Hizbullah and its allies threatened to walk out over a U.N. probe into the killing of former premier Rafik Hariri.

Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal warned that the prospect of political instability posed "a great danger" for Lebanon and the region.

"If the resignations materialize, if there is a split ... this may lead to a conflict ... And this poses a great danger ... Lebanon may face the problems it faced before and this will affect the countries in the region," he said through an interpreter.

[link to www.naharnet.com]

- - - - - - - - -

From twitter -

LunaFakkas

Opposition ministers are resigning in 15 mins, they say they don't want Hariri meeting Obama as a prime minister.

#Lebanon
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Looks like Syria and Saudi Arabia have done the Pontus Pilut "washing their hands" of the whole ordeal

Syria's al-Watan: Saudi Apologized for Failure to Reach Agreement, Said All Hariri's Fault

Syria's al-Watan daily on Wednesday said Saudi Arabia has apologized for failure to reach an agreement to end the crisis over the Special Tribunal for Lebanon.

Citing Syrian sources following up on the Saudi-Syrian mediation, Al-Watan said Riyadh apologized for not being able to carry on with the efforts "due to PM Saad Hariri's reluctance and his failure to respond to the terms of the initiative."

The newspaper said the announcement was made during a phone call received by Damascus from New York, where Saudi King Abdullah is recovering from surgery.

Riyadh's withdrawal "automatically" means the withdrawal of Damascus since the initiative is joint, the sources said.

"The ball is now in the court of the Lebanese themselves who from now on should coordinate amongst themselves to get out of this crisis," one Syrian source stressed
.

"The Lebanese from now on should take responsibility for their own decisions," he added.

[link to www.naharnet.com]
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
here we go -

4:50pm Change and Reform bloc MP Ibrahim Kenaan to OTV: Within moments, we will enter a "new constitutional situation."
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
It's official, someone may want to change the title to read something like Hezbollah withdraws, Lebanese govt collapses -

5:10pm Bassil: We announce our resignation from government and we turn to the prime minister to speed up the formation of a new Cabinet.


[link to web.naharnet.com]
 

mzkitty

I give up.
Fox just reported that the Lebanese government HAS collapsed!


Lebanon update: State news agency says 11th Cabinet minister has resigned, forcing government collapse - AP

via user13mins ago
spotted by editor spotted by editor
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Hariri’s meeting with Obama ends

Future News reported on Wednesday that Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s meeting with US President Barack Obama ended, adding that no statement was issued following their meeting.



To read more: [link to www.nowlebanon.com]
 
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Watch the M.E. closely folks! It is about to Go "Dinky Dau!" Foo Barr!

Or in more plainer words TS is about THTF big time!




=

Been wondering where you've been hiding, Dutch!

I'm afraid that this situation could proceed quickly to chemical SCUDs striking Israeli cities, which I believe Hezbollah can do.

Unfortunately, I'm not in a position to prep beyond fleeing the country, and I don't think I'll do that with all my loved ones here. Nevertheless, others reading this need to seriously consider measures they can take if chemical SCUDs start hitting Israel. I firmly believe, with 99%+ certainty, that such a development will be followed by a full-scale Russian nuclear attack against the U.S. How events will proceed from one to the other, I am uncertain, but the vision I had was two-fold in terms of first chemical SCUDs hitting Israel then nuclear attack on the U.S. I don't believe this sequence will unfold in a matter of hours, but it is possible. My own sense is that a massive conflagration and international crisis will develop over days. I wouldn't be surprised if a second Korean war factors into the global war scenario as well given the careful manipulation of history by Moscow and Beijing toward this "Final Phase".
 
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ontheright

TROPIC LIGHTNING GO 25th
Hariri’s meeting with Obama ends

Future News reported on Wednesday that Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s meeting with US President Barack Obama ended, adding that no statement was issued following their meeting.



To read more: [link to www.nowlebanon.com]

Very telling, monitoring IAF and IDF alert positions...no change as of yet
 

Reborn

Seeking Aslan's Country
1. Lebanon's government collapses.
2. STL (UN Tribunal) about to hand down indictment(s) that most think will be against Hezbollah.
3. Egypt warns Hamas that another Cast Lead is going to begin if the rocket fire against Israel doesn't stop.
4. Unrest in Egypt as Christians continue to be targeted.

tick, tick, tock
 

Haybails

When In Doubt, Throttle Out!
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Watch the M.E. closely folks! It is about to Go "Dinky Dau!" Foo Barr!

Or in more plainer words TS is about THTF big time!




=

Please explain how and why.

I'm not saying that I disagree with you, I simply don't quite understand how these 11 resignations and the Governmental collapse will ignite "TSTHTF"?

Thanx,


HB
 
Please explain how and why.

I'm not saying that I disagree with you, I simply don't quite understand how these 11 resignations and the Governmental collapse will ignite "TSTHTF"?

Thanx,


HB

Please look at the headlines of the articles SofT has posted; add those events up!

Plus what I have been getting in the news; when combined it can only mean that things are about to get completely out of hand.


=
 
I'm not seeing this.

Been considering a shopping run for fresh 100 lb. bags of rice and commercial size cans of beans.

SofT

You posted an article aluding to the alert status of the Labonese Army
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showpost.php?p=3953236&postcount=2

Throw in the numberous mock air drills by the IAF over Lebanon; the US sending in a Carrier task force (this from DEBKA)

The anti-morter untis to Gaza's border w/Israel.

The Egyptians trying to get the Hamas to cease their morter shelling of Israel.
And quite a bit more.. One must look at all the events, in order to understand where a situation is going; or at....


edited to add:

One must look at the "whole situation" in order to understand a situation
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?t=376537

My thought is; why is all our govt out of D.C. at this time??

OR

China Connection's thread
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?t=376596

=
 
SofT

You posted an article aluding to the alert status of the Labonese Army
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showpost.php?p=3953236&postcount=2

Throw in the numberous mock air drills by the IAF over Lebanon; the US sending in a Carrier task force (this from DEBKA)

The anti-morter untis to Gaza's border w/Israel.

The Egyptians trying to get the Hamas to cease their morter shelling of Israel.
And quite a bit more.. One must look at all the events, in order to understand where a situation is going; or at....


=

My guess is that when the IDF announces an alert and troops and tanks are moving north, then we'll know war is near. Right now I think Israel is just keeping an eye out. Night is approaching in Lebanon, so it's possible that, if Hezbollah is plotting a violent coup in Beirut, it could occur in the coming hours.

God have mercy.

I had a strong feeling when I saw the report of the "talks breakdown" that Syria and Iran would give the go ahead to Hezbollah to takeover Lebanon. DEBKA might be accurate on this one as the U.S. likely committed to Hariri that his government would be protected against a Hezbollah coup attempt since the U.S. was staunchly backing the STL tribunal and the whole issue here is "international justice". Russia, Syria and Iran will paint everything as a double standard in light of Israel never being brought to international justice for its continuous repression of the Palestinians. Either which way, the focal point of man's collective insanity in the Mideast is being stirred and we need to be on high alert IMHO.
 
My guess is that when the IDF announces an alert and troops and tanks are moving north, then we'll know war is near. Right now I think Israel is just keeping an eye out. Night is approaching in Lebanon, so it's possible that, if Hezbollah is plotting a violent coup in Beirut, it could occur in the coming hours.

God have mercy.

I had a strong feeling when I saw the report of the "talks breakdown" that Syria and Iran would give the go ahead to Hezbollah to takeover Lebanon. DEBKA might be accurate on this one as the U.S. likely committed to Hariri that his government would be protected against a Hezbollah coup attempt since the U.S. was staunchly backing the STL tribunal and the whole issue here is "international justice". Russia, Syria and Iran will paint everything as a double standard in light of Israel never being brought to international justice for its continuous repression of the Palestinians. Either which way, the focal point of man's collective insanity in the Mideast is being stirred and we need to be on high alert IMHO.

FWIW SofT;

When the IDF moved 200 armored unit last month to the Labonese border; I kept close watch to see if they were moved back to their bases. I have not seen where this has happened! I believe that the majority of them are still in place...

=
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
If there is enough of the latter, you can just about guarantee the former. These analysts have short memories. Hezbollah shut down Beirut May of 08' and battled a number of Sunni groups during that time period.

Analysts do not expect to see any military conflict between Hizbollah and the Sunni Muslim followers of Prime Minister Saad al Hariri.

However, they did not rule out the return of street protests, skirmishes, bombings and political killings, like that of Rafik al Hariri, Saad’s slain father.

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Wo...ing-Power-Share/Article/201101215893265?f=rss
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Barak: Israel closely monitoring Lebanon situation

The fall of Lebanon's national unity government following the resignation of the Hezzbollah ministers and their allies has raised concerns in Israel. Defense minister Ehud Barak addressed the recent developments at a closed door session Wednesday and noted that Israel was "closely monitoring" events in Lebanon. (Attila Somfalvi )

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7...012870,00.html
 
FWIW SofT;

When the IDF moved 200 armored unit last month to the Labonese border; I kept close watch to see if they were moved back to their bases. I have not seen where this has happened! I believe that the majority of them are still in place...

=

Wouldn't be surprised. I had read in an Israeli editorial last month of January 15th being the target date to release the STL indictments (can't remember the author, but she was prominent), so Israel had to have a heads-up and have been well aware of the danger. I'm sure the IDF has contingency plans all set and have prepositioned forces. The problem is I don't think they comprehend the scale of what potential is ahead. Of course, virtually no one in the West does because they've had the false working assumption for two decades that Russia and China are no longer enemies gunning for the West's defeat.
 
If there is enough of the latter, you can just about guarantee the former. These analysts have short memories. Hezbollah shut down Beirut May of 08' and battled a number of Sunni groups during that time period.

Analysts do not expect to see any military conflict between Hizbollah and the Sunni Muslim followers of Prime Minister Saad al Hariri.

However, they did not rule out the return of street protests, skirmishes, bombings and political killings, like that of Rafik al Hariri, Saad’s slain father.

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Wo...ing-Power-Share/Article/201101215893265?f=rss

Thanks jpigott for keeping a close watch on the ME. I'm required to be away from the puter for awhile today (shortly). The situation has gone "fluid" with respects to Lebanon.

And IF the Hizzys make a try for seizing power in Lebanon; Israel is prepared to act (as well as the US - if I understand the terms of our backing of the now defunct Lebanon Govt.).


=
 

jpigott

Veteran Member
Thanks jpigott for keeping a close watch on the ME. I'm required to be away from the puter for awhile today (shortly). The situation has gone "fluid" with respects to Lebanon.

And IF the Hizzys make a try for seizing power in Lebanon; Israel is prepared to act (as well as the US - if I understand the terms of our backing of the now defunct Lebanon Govt.).


=

No problemo Dutch. Even if we don't always agree on how things will play out, you have inspired a great many a newshound, present company included
 

Reborn

Seeking Aslan's Country
Naharnet ticker:

* 6:45pm MTV: Hariri left Washington for Paris where he will meet with French President Nicolas Sarkozy.
* 6:35pm Speaker Nabih Berri received a telephone call from Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa during which they discussed the latest developments.
* 6:30pm Al-Arabiya: Hariri interrupted his visit to the U.S. and he will return to Beirut Thursday morning and meet President Michel Suleiman upon his arrival.


Hariri leaves Washington, heads to France
http://nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=229593
 
Wonder what this is about?:

Israeli troops kidnap Lebanese citizen, say Lebanese sources

http://www.monstersandcritics.com/n...-kidnap-Lebanese-citizen-say-Lebanese-sources

Jan 12, 2011, 16:31 GMT

Beirut - An Israeli patrol crossed the border between Lebanon and Israel Wednesday and kidnapped a Lebanese citizen, a Lebanese security source has stated.

The patrol entered near the village of Rmeish and kidnapped the Lebanese citizen, whose name has not been released, the source said.

Intense contacts between the Lebanese Army Command and United Nations Interim Forces in south Lebanon (UNIFIL), are underway to free the citizen, the source added.
 
From GLP Israeli source:

The Israeli press is being very silent about this and, there has been an up tick in military vehicles, gas tankers, covered flatbeds with gawd knows what under the tarp rolling by northwaqrd up the hyway.


and there is a blood red sky tonight.....

Also:

Our media is very not forth coming about developements.

The military exercises have ceased and desisted after three days.

Everything - GONE.

The first day the Sar 5 was out there with several smaller Sars.

Several gun boats, dingies, landing boats choppers, navy divers, and - one very mysterious boat that was hanging out off the shore night and day even several days before the exercises. This boat was where the smaller dingies would launch from some times. It left too just a few hours ago.

I suspect they all went north to the Lebanese border.
 
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Brutus

Membership Revoked
My apocalyptic vision that began with seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel may be about to play out.

God have mercy on us all.


Hezbollah, allies to topple Lebanon government: sources

By Laila Bassam
BEIRUT | Wed Jan 12, 2011 7:34am EST

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE70B26A20110112?pageNumber=2

(Reuters) - Ministers from Lebanon's Hezbollah movement and its political allies will resign on Wednesday, forcing the collapse of Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri's government, political sources said.

"The resignation statement has been written and will be announced at 4.30 p.m. (7:30 a.m. EST)," said a senior political source, who asked not to be named. Eleven ministers would quit, enough to automatically bring down the government, he said.

The move comes a day after Lebanese politicians said Saudi Arabia and Syria had failed to forge a deal to contain tensions over a U.N.-backed tribunal which is expected to indict Hezbollah members over the killing of Hariri's father Rafik.

The militant Shi'ite group has denied any role in the 2005 assassination. Its leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, has attacked the tribunal as an "Israeli project" and urged Hariri to renounce it, a demand the Sunni Muslim premier has resisted.

The stalemate has crippled Hariri's 14-month-old "unity" government. The cabinet has met, briefly, just once in the last two months and the government failed to get parliamentary approval for the 2010 budget.

Tensions over the tribunal, which is expected to issue draft indictments this month, have exacerbated existing rifts between Hariri, who is supported by Western powers and Saudi Arabia, and Hezbollah, backed by Iran and Syria.

Analysts said the resignations could set the stage for protracted political turmoil in Lebanon, which has endured a series of crises since Rafik al-Hariri's killing, including car bombings and sectarian street fighting in Beirut in 2008.

"You definitely have increased rhetoric, but whether that is matched by a slip toward a bad security situation is not pre-determined," said Karim Makdisi, a teacher of international relations at the American University of Beirut.

Hariri was due to meet President Barack Obama in Washington around the time of the planned resignation announcement.

Gebran Bassil, a Christian government minister allied to Hezbollah, said Hariri had rejected demands for an urgent session of cabinet to discuss Hezbollah's insistence that Lebanon withdraw all cooperation with the special tribunal.

"The grace period has ended, and the waiting stage that we lived through without any result has ended," he told Reuters.

Hezbollah minister Mohammad Fneish on Tuesday blamed the United States for obstructing attempts by Riyadh and Damascus to find a solution. "There were Arab efforts that gave us the chance to work positively... These efforts have not worked because of American intervention," he said.

Political scientist Hilal Khashan said Washington had "vetoed" the Saudi-Syrian initiative and there was little prospect of a new government being formed quickly.

He said Hezbollah was unlikely to repeat the events of May 2008, when gunmen took over Beirut in protest over government steps against the Shi'ite militant movement, but he did not rule out demonstrations.

"The phenomenon of food riots is spreading in the Arab world, so the opposition may shield itself behind popular demands for combating inflation," he said.

Beirut's bourse fell 3.22 percent in response to the political turmoil, with shares in market heavyweight Solidere, which has led the reconstruction of Beirut since the 1975-1990 civil war, dropping as much as 8.0 percent.

"(Because) the agreement between Saudi Arabia and Syria was blocked, we have seen a sell-off," said Louis Karam, senior investment adviser at Arab Finance Corporation.
Why would they need to topple the gov't to launch Scuds at Israel?

Hezbollah, etc. are already the de facto leaders of Lebanon. They already have the full run of the place whenever and to whatever degree they want it.

"Toppling" the gov't is merely a formality.

:shr:
 
Why would they need to topple the gov't to launch Scuds at Israel?

Hezbollah, etc. are already the de facto leaders of Lebanon. They already have the full run of the place whenever and to whatever degree they want it.

"Toppling" the gov't is merely a formality.

:shr:

It's the big picture that counts here.

The U.S. is backing the STL investigation and indictments of Hezbollah leaders for the assassination of former Lebanese President Rafic Hariri (his son is now president). Meanwhile, Russia is (underhandedly via Syria and Iran at this point) backing Hezbollah in the long-standing issue to bring Israel to international justice for its ongoing "crimes".

IMHO the whole affair is highly contentious and explosive because of the symbolism that Moscow and allies are seeking to exploit as a casus belli against the West.
 
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