Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
I personally think that cooling is an issue with a lot of these designs. They are usually designed for a moving vehicle not a stationary application. Stationary you don't have that advantage of the moving air.

The other thing to consider is feeding it. Using wood pellets is not much different than using liquid fuels. Unless you can produce them you will eventually run out. They are easier to store. We used wood blocks. It was scrap hardwood that we chunked up with a table saw and chop saw. They have to be dry. Do you have the capability to produce your own fuel in a grid down scenario? Even using something like a solar dryer you are going to have stay several months ahead with fuel to allow it time to dry.

Have you looked at canning the meat to preserve it? That is what route we have decided to go. Basically run the freezer until we can it all. I think that is the only viable long term solution. Don't know how big a solar setup would be needed to run them but that is a possibility also.

Wood gas is a fascinating thing but I don't see it as a viable long-term electricity producer. I think the inputs are too high in cost of time and labor. I do think it could be a viable alternative to run vehicles like a tractor where the output is going to be much more than you put into it and available for a number of tasks. Sometime in the next few years I want to do just that. Build a wood gas tractor but it is low on my priority list.
I truly urge you to check out The forum at Driveonwood.com. Especially investigate the threads about using home-made charcoal for charcoal gasifiers. When charcoal is made ( I just sift out the charcoal from my wood stove ashes- and use the ashes on the ice on the paths and driveway) the wood tars are consumed, and all that must be done then is merely filter out the ashes and soot. Far less problems for the engines.
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
I truly urge you to check out The forum at Driveonwood.com. Especially investigate the threads about using home-made charcoal for charcoal gasifiers. When charcoal is made ( I just sift out the charcoal from my wood stove ashes- and use the ashes on the ice on the paths and driveway) the wood tars are consumed, and all that must be done then is merely filter out the ashes and soot. Far less problems for the engines.
I have his book. I have made charcoal a number of times and that certainly solves some of the problem. But it also adds another step. What are you running with the charcoal gasifier? How many hours do you have on the engine with the gas as a fuel? I am curious as to what additional maintenance is required on the engine. Do you have any pics of your setup. Stationary or in vehicle? How much charcoal do you go thru? Sorry for all the questions. It is a technology I am intrigued by.
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
I bought a home-made unit from Gary Gilmore who I had met at the annual get-together in Argos, Indiana back in 2012. He demonstrated it running a small Honda-style ”suitcase” sized generator as well as a 5000 watt generator. I had a deal with my late wife who “let” me buy it with certain conditions... ever since her ”departure from the scene” I haven‘t hooked it up yet, still working on something else that takes priority (dome guesthouse). Most of the charcoal gasifier researchers (Sometimes referred to as those who have gone over to the Dark Side) are focused on the best arrangement to introduce air into the gasifier for maximum longevity of components. Several have also built vehicles and drive them regularly on charcoal. Run-time/ fuel consumption of course depends upon engine size and size of gasifier. Join the site and ask lots of questions. It is a friendly, helpful bunch of very smart guys. there are a few members, from Thailand, Sweden, France, and some Eastern European countries who do excellent work as well! Sorry for the lack of specifics here (and the thread drift), but if you have biomass, that is the forum every one should be spending at least some time on.
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
I bought a home-made unit from Gary Gilmore who I had met at the annual get-together in Argos, Indiana back in 2012. He demonstrated it running a small Honda-style ”suitcase” sized generator as well as a 5000 watt generator. I had a deal with my late wife who “let” me buy it with certain conditions... ever since her ”departure from the scene” I haven‘t hooked it up yet, still working on something else that takes priority (dome guesthouse). Most of the charcoal gasifier researchers (Sometimes referred to as those who have gone over to the Dark Side) are focused on the best arrangement to introduce air into the gasifier for maximum longevity of components. Several have also built vehicles and drive them regularly on charcoal. Run-time/ fuel consumption of course depends upon engine size and size of gasifier. Join the site and ask lots of questions. It is a friendly, helpful bunch of very smart guys. there are a few members, from Thailand, Sweden, France, and some Eastern European countries who do excellent work as well! Sorry for the lack of specifics here (and the thread drift), but if you have biomass, that is the forum every one should be spending at least some time on.
I was supposed to get 6 free months access to that site when I bought the book. I emailed back and forth several times with the kid that runs it but never got access. Seemed kind of flaky.

Its interesting in that the process we used to make the wood gas creates charcoal as a byproduct. Basically was a charcoal retort using an external heat source. I will look up Gary Gilmore and check it out.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
Feet upon feet are forecast for many states and provinces, from the south to the north, the east to the west — totals that will only add to the already above average Total Snow Mass for the Northern Hemisphere chart, which currently stands at some 750 Gigatons above the 1982-2012 norm:


[FMI]

I want to point out something, if it hasn't been said. That cyclical blue curve region of averages is an empirical representation of a real system that is well established. It's not a perfectly smooth curve because every year, every day in fact, there are anomalies the break a little out of the average. More or less, though, the expectations of snow mass are well understood in the averages.

That set of red dots? It's pretty much a straight line. It starts with values above the norm in October, the norms rise to envelop the red dot data from roughly December through February, and now the norms are dropping below the red dots. The trajectory of the red dots is remarkably consistent.

The line described by the red dot data is clearly independent of the normal driving conditions.

If this were describing the climate as a physical system (and it is a physical system) this indicates that whatever mechanism drives snow mass has either broken, or some other factor is overriding the old mechanism. I think it's the latter, and it must be a massive factor to so completely break from the established pattern. I do not wish to be overdramatic, but we are in great danger.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Spring has exploded in blizzards in Moscow and the Moscow region - Ice Age Now

Spring has exploded in blizzards in Moscow and the Moscow region
March 8, 2021 by Robert

March will be colder than January.
_______________

The winter in Moscow “broke out” with the snowfall
Spring has arrived according to the calendar, but instead has exploded in blizzards in Moscow and the Moscow region.

In VDNKh, at 9 am on March 7, the height of the snow was exactly 40 cm, and on the morning of March 8, it increased to 48 cm. The height of the snow increased more visibly in the area of Tushino: there the snow piles increased by 10 cm. The weather station with the same name is 55 cm.

Зима в Москве "огрызнулась" снегопадом: Метеоновости о погоде
——
The coldest day of winter awaits Moscow (March 8th)

An ultrapolar invasion awaits Moscow.

It’s spring on the calendar, but midweek Moscow will apparently be the coldest day of the winter season.

According to preliminary forecasts, the deviation from the average daily temperature of the norm in Moscow will be 12 degrees or more.

Surprisingly, March frosts will beat January frosts by 3 degrees at once!

Москву ждут самые холодные сутки зимнего сезона: Метеоновости о погоде
В Москву придут январские морозы
Thanks to Martin Siebert for these links
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

Reykjanes Peninsula Iceland Volcanic History Predicts A Bleak Future On The Peninsula - Eyes Open - YouTube

Reykjanes Peninsula Iceland Volcanic History Predicts A Bleak Future On The Peninsula - Eyes Open
3,757 views • Premiered 8 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/naGQzkRxzoA
Run time is 12:02

Synopsis provided:

The ongoing seismic event in Iceland tells a tale of upcoming eruption lasting for decades! Could Volcanic Period Be Ahead? http://bit.ly/2PDzJLm
Reykjanes peninsula - earthquakes during the last 48 hours http://bit.ly/3rprWPn
MARCH 7, 2021 BY JÓN FRÍMANN Strong earthquake activity in Fagradalsfjall volcano https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9034
MARCH 8, 2021 BY JÓN FRÍMANN New information about the situation in Fagradalsfjall volcano
https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9043&cp...
 

TxGal

Day by day
U.S. suffered Coldest Feb since 1989, Avalanche Deaths near all-time Record, and Antarctic Sea Ice now Building at Unprecedented Rate - Electroverse

arctic-sea-ice-extent-Mar-2021-1-e1615284938931.jpeg


U.S. SUFFERED COLDEST FEB SINCE 1989, AVALANCHE DEATHS NEAR ALL-TIME RECORD, AND ANTARCTIC SEA ICE NOW BUILDING AT UNPRECEDENTED RATE
MARCH 9, 2021 CAP ALLON

Even according to those data-fudging folks at NOAA, in a report released Monday, the Lower 48 just suffered its coldest month of February since the late 1980s (since the inception of the modern global warming scare).

Temperatures in the contiguous U.S. ran some 3.2 degrees F colder than the 20th century Feb average, said NOAA. Last month was also the 19th-coldest February among the 127 years of record books.

View: https://twitter.com/NOAA/status/1368956536811384834

The month saw severe Arctic air ride anomalously-far south on the back of a weak and wavy “meridional” jet stream flow.
Six states (Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska and Oklahoma) had one of their 10 coldest Februarys ever recorded, according to NOAA data.

Texas and Illinois each had their 11th coldest.

More than 5 million Texans lost power last month, and many more went without water for extended periods: “This,” said Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, “is the winter version of Hurricane Harvey.”


According to NOAA, a total of 9,368 new low temperature records were set during the month of February, versus just the 1,429 set for record warmth.

Note: ALL of those warm records fell in the western half of the CONUS, demonstrating again NASA’s Grand Solar Minimum pattern (shown below), which, in-turn, also lines up with the ice advance during previous glacial maximums.


Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.

The Polar invasion delivered buckets of snowfall, too.

Three-quarters of the lower 48 states were buried under snow on Feb 16–a new record since that data-set was first introduced back in October 2003.

Worth also noting is the Total Snow Mass for the Northern Hemisphere chart from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) — it reveals that snow mass for winter 2020-2021 is continuing to hold at some 750 Gigatons above the 1982-2012 avg:


[FMI]

The second-half of March won’t fair much better, with more record-breaking cold and snow on the cards across the hemisphere:

gfs_T2ma_nhem_40-crop.jpg

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for March 18 [tropicaltidbits.com].


AVALANCHE DEATHS NEAR ALL-TIME RECORD

Avalanches have killed 33 people across the U.S. since Oct. 1.

According to experts at the Colorado Avalanche Information Center, a state agency that tracks national avalanche fatalities, deaths during the 2020-21 “avalanche year” –which runs Oct through Sept– is on pace to surpass the modern era record of 36 logged in both the 2007-08 and 2009-10 seasons (solar minimum of cycle 23).

This avalanche year also delivered the deadliest week since 1910 (solar min of cycle 14, aka the Centennial Minimum) when from Jan. 30 to Feb. 6, 15 people lost their lives in avalanches across the United States.

ANTARCTIC SEA ICE BUILDING AT UNPRECEDENTED RATE

I’ll leave you with the below chart from the NSIDC.

At first I thought the latest datapoints must be in error, perhaps linked to the calving event of Feb. 26; however, the exponential growth plotted for Antarctic Sea Ice has continued unabated for almost two weeks now:


[NSIDC]

Clearly visible above is the violent uptick in Antarctic Sea Ice extent (I’ve included the 1979-1990 average –orange line– for some reference).

Never before has an increase this sharp been registered during the satellite era, with extensive data going back to 1979 — this is indeed an unprecedented development.

Stay tuned for updates.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
I was supposed to get 6 free months access to that site when I bought the book. I emailed back and forth several times with the kid that runs it but never got access. Seemed kind of flaky.

Its interesting in that the process we used to make the wood gas creates charcoal as a byproduct. Basically was a charcoal retort using an external heat source. I will look up Gary Gilmore and check it out.
I never had a problem with driveonwood before. Don’t know what to say. I have had problems logging in occasionally but usually got it ironed out in one or two emails.
Gary Gilmore has numerous Youtube videos doing charcoal making and gasifying
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
I never had a problem with driveonwood before. Don’t know what to say. I have had problems logging in occasionally but usually got it ironed out in one or two emails.
Gary Gilmore has numerous Youtube videos doing charcoal making and gasifying

I watched a bunch of his stuff and others last night. It is interesting. Unless you have a steady supply of waste wood it seems like a lot of work and energy to make electricity. You have to cut the wood, split it, dry it, turn it into charcoal, grind it, size and then it is ready for fuel. I thought the Gravely was interesting but if you are loosing roughly 40% of your power than it is a 5 hp equivalent. Same with the generator. If you are running 8k watt gennie on this you aren't going to get near that power. You probably have to run at least double to make he same amount of electricity. I am intrigued by the guys running tractors off them.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Large eruption at Sangay volcano - Videos - Ice Age Now

Large eruption at Sangay volcano – Videos
March 9, 2021 by Robert

Ash to 12.2 km (40 000 feet).
__________

A large eruption started at Sangay volcano, Ecuador at around 04:00 on March 6, 2021, producing a volcanic ash column up to 12.2 km (40 000 feet) above sea level, according to the Washington VAAC.

Zero visibility

View: https://youtu.be/-7xdsZ0stxs
Run time is 1:21

Strong ashfall was reported in Chimborazzo: Pallatanga, Chunichi, Guamote, Alausi, and Cumanda; moderate in Guayas: Alfredo Baquerizo Moreno; and mild in Milagro, San Jacinto de Yaguachi, El Triunfo; Los Rios: Babahoyo; Bolivar: Chillanes, San Miguel and Canar: Suscal.

View: https://youtu.be/siTYyJf45ck
Run time is 2:06

According to the IG report, the cloud generated by the volcano was expected to reach the province of Santa Elena, causing a slight ashfall.

See more:
Large eruption at Sangay volcano, ash to 12.2 km (40 000 feet) a.s.l., Ecuador
 

TxGal

Day by day
Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out, looks like more winter weather coming:

Record Snow Predicted For Mid-March - Record February Cold In The US - Volcanic Uptick - Iceland - YouTube

Record Snow Predicted For Mid-March - Record February Cold In The US - Volcanic Uptick - Iceland
5,372 views • Premiered 5 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/wDBDzSEaWR4
Run time is 16:09

Synopsis provided:

U.S. SUFFERED COLDEST FEB SINCE 1989, AVALANCHE DEATHS NEAR ALL-TIME RECORD, AND ANTARCTIC SEA ICE NOW BUILDING AT UNPRECEDENTED RATE http://bit.ly/3rwRM44
Winter Storm Watch For The Sierras http://bit.ly/38nVFRj
Record warmth followed by accumulating snow http://bit.ly/3t4Opl6
“First spring” is almost over, messy rain/snow on the way! https://bit.ly/3bzVwwh
60s in Denver today, but snow by Friday http://bit.ly/3vb1gEc
5-plus feet of snow could land in Colorado in upcoming days http://bit.ly/30sPtTK
N.J. weather: 1 big snow record was broken this winter. More snowfall records under review. http://bit.ly/3v9nE0L
Missing New Jersey man found buried in snow outside home http://bit.ly/2PRwZKJ
GFS Model total snow US http://bit.ly/3eu5XmV
A Few Hazards Today and Wednesday; Spring Storm Late Week/Weekend https://www.weather.gov/
Northern Hemisphere Snowmass Graph http://bit.ly/2lAFomU
GFS Model Total Snow Europe https://bit.ly/332e83w
Portland area weather turns weird http://bit.ly/38GxCNN
Heavy rainfall in Hawaii's Maui damaged homes, sparked evacuations http://cnn.it/3enkgcT
Taal volcano (Luzon, Philippines): Volcanic Alert Level raised to Level 2 http://bit.ly/3vaAJag
East Rift Zone overflight (March 4, 2021) https://bit.ly/3emFszs
New information about the situation in Fagradalsfjall volcano https://icelandgeology.net/
Reykjanes peninsula - earthquakes https://bit.ly/3rprWPn
Reykjanes Peninsula Iceland Volcanic History Predicts A Bleak Future On The Peninsula https://bit.ly/2O7QfDd
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
US February was the coldest in 32 years - Ice Age Now

US February was the coldest in 32 years
March 9, 2021 by Robert

“Record-breaking deep freeze engulfed much of Texas,” reports the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). More snow forecast all the way down to north Texas.
_________

Temperatures plunged to historic lows in some parts of the country last month, including nearly all of Texas, as an Arctic air mass gripped much of the nation.”

“Nearly all of Texas” … and that’s where I live! Went down to minus 1 F (-18.3C) one morning.

Coldest-across-CONUS-in-more-than-30-years-1024x731.png

Coldest even across Continental United States in more than 30 years

A brutally cold month for Texans: February 2021 brought the coldest air since December 1989 to much of the state. Several locations across central Texas — including Austin and Waco — broke records for the longest streak of below-freezing temperatures. Every county in Texas was under a Winter Storm Warning in mid-February and experienced wind chill values below zero as far south as the Rio Grande River and northeastern Mexico.

Alaska saw its coldest February in 22 years. In Anchorage, the temperature never rose above 30 degrees F for the entire month, the first month since December 1998 with all daily high temperatures remaining below freezing.

U.S. had its coldest February in more than 30 years | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The Olympic Mountains behind my house have 173% of average snowpack as of 3/5/21 and there’s more snow on the way:

WA-Snowpack-9Mar2021-1024x789.png


https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/data/water/wcs/gis/maps/wa_swepctnormal_update.pdf

More US snow forecast this week all the way down to N Texas:

Snow is expected to return to parts of the Rockies, Plains and upper Midwest this week.

Snow to Return to Parts of the Plains, Rockies, Upper Midwest - Videos from The Weather Channel | weather.com
 

TxGal

Day by day
Texas Could Be Hit AGAIN: mid-range Weather Models see more Record Cold engulfing the Lone Star State by the final week of March - Electroverse

Texas-winter-Storm.jpg


TEXAS COULD BE HIT AGAIN: MID-RANGE WEATHER MODELS SEE MORE RECORD COLD ENGULFING THE LONE STAR STATE BY THE FINAL WEEK OF MARCH
MARCH 10, 2021 CAP ALLON

Before we get onto late-March and Texas though, the comings days will bring their own wake-up-call to residents of the Central United States, as feet upon feet of snow look set to bury multiple states.

Beginning today, Wednesday, March 10, a powerful snowstorm will sweep into Wyoming and eastern Colorado:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) for March 10 [tropicaltidbits.com].

By the end of the weekend, S. Dakota and Nebraska will have joined the fun:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) by March 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And by Tuesday, residents of Iowa will also be digging themselves out of foot+ of global warming goodness:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) by March 16 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Also note the record totals in many other states, most notably in California and Virginia, as well as the debilitating accumulations forecast above the border, in Canada:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) by March 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Late-March snow may even creep into northern and eastern Texas, and even further south into Mexico, too.

This is what the National Weather Service in Colorado (NWS) has to say regarding the most recent models: “a large storm system is still on track to bring snow to the Front Range mountains, foothills, urban corridor and Eastern Plains. There is a chance for prolonged significant snowfall…”

Scott Entrekin of the NWS goes further: “If the largest projections come true, it may be Denver’s biggest snowstorm ever. It is coming on the heels of the city’s biggest snowmaker in five years, which dropped a foot of snow on Denver two weeks ago.”

A number of forecasts have this looming “winter” storm delivering 40+ inches of snow to Denver, which could indeed push it into all-time record-breaking territory:

TEXAS COULD BE HIT AGAIN

Looking at the longer-range models, Texas could be on course for its second historic freeze of the season.

Latest GFS runs see the mercury plunging 20C below average across the Lone Star State beginning March 24:

gfs_T2ma_namer_fh348-384.gif


This forecast is in the unreliable time-frame, so things may change, but it’s certainly something to keep a close eye on — I’m not sure if Texas’s infrastructure could withstand another hit of Grand Solar Minimum this year.

See the signs!

Home generators are on back order.

The cost of timber and building materials are skyrocketing.

Oil is up.

Food prices are also rising.

In fact, all around the world, states and nations are beginning to ban exports on key resources as supplies tighten, as harvests fail, and as inflation sets in. Begin work on your own self-sufficiency TODAY. It’s meteorological spring in the northern hemisphere–the perfect time to start learning how to grow your ownI’m headed out to sow a 14ft x 14ft sunflower patch –I need off-grid oil!– what are you doing to prepare?

NEW BIG SUNSPOT POSES THREAT

A new sunspot emerging over the sun’s northeastern limb produced a C1-class solar flare on March 9.

NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the extreme ultraviolet flash:



The sunspot (AR2808) poses a threat for further C-class solar flares as it turns to face the Earth.

The potential of this sunspot to produce more intense flares is unknown.

We’ll find out more as it rotates into better view over the coming days.

Stay tuned for updates.


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Oooh... March of '93! We had blizzard warnings for days. A junior high school friend of the boys, who *really* liked to eat, invited himself to stay at our farm through the storm. When warned that he'd have to help with chores, he said, "on, yesh...but I know you won't run out of food!" LOL!

We ended up with a 20 foot drift along the entire 120 foot south wall of the dairy barn... right where we needed to back in to clean the barn!

Our youngest son's show cow calved during the storm with a huge calf- we would have called the vet, but the roads were impassable. When we managed to get it out alive, and discovered it was a heifer, she was promptly named Blizzard!

Summerthyme
 
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TxGal

Day by day
Record cold in northern European Russia - Ice Age Now

Record cold in northern European Russia
March 10, 2021 by Robert

January temperatures in March. In some areas, the temperature dropped to -40°C (-40°F) and below.
_________

The north of European territory has already established frosts of minus thirty degrees, and in several cities on the night of the first spring holiday the temperature dropped to record lows.

In addition, to the already record low values, frosts intensified even further from the Kola Peninsula to Vorkuta.

In the Murmansk region, the record holder was the Krasnoshchelye settlement, where the temperature dropped to -34.5°C.

In the Arkhangelsk region, the city of Mezen, located northeast of the regional center, stood out with a new daily low is now -31.9°C.

In the Republic of Komi, the temperature record was set in Pechora with a low temperature of -38.1°C.

On Tuesday night, the unusual cold persisted in northern Europe. In the Vorkuta area, the temperature dropped to -40°C (-40°F) and in some areas even colder than that.

Рекордные морозы на Европейском севере: Метеоновости о погоде
 

TxGal

Day by day
Good heavens, more reason for all of us to plan ahead for heating/power alternatives going forward:

Icing Can Cost Wind Turbines Up to 80% of Power Production - Ice Age Now

Icing Can Cost Wind Turbines Up to 80% of Power Production
March 10, 2021 by Robert

Wind turbine blades can collect ice nearly a foot thick (30 cm) on the three-foot-wide tips of their blades. Did you realize those blades are 3-ft (about one-meter) wide?
__________

Researchers led by Iowa State’s Hui Hu studied wind-turbine icing in the field to learn in real-life terms how and where ice accumulates on rotating blades.

Ridgetop-Wind-Farm-China.jpg

Researchers studied icing on this wind farm in eastern China. Photo courtesy of Hui Hu/Iowa State University

Wind turbine blades spinning through cold, wet conditions can collect ice nearly one-foot thick on the three-foot-wide tips of their blades, the researchers found.

That amount of ice affects blade aerodynamics and disrupts the balance of the entire turbine. Unfortunately, that loss of balance can disrupt energy production by up to 80 percent, the study showed.

Hu wanted to conduct his field research in Iowa, where some 5,100 wind turbines produce more than 40% of the state’s electricity (according to the U.S. Energy Information Association).

However, he was refused access to those turbines (energy companies usually don’t want their turbine performance data to go public), so instead arranged to do his research at a ridgetop windfarm in China.

The researchers used drones to take photos of 50-meter-long (164-ft) turbine blades after exposure to up to 30 hours of icy winter conditions, including freezing rain, freezing drizzle, wet snow, and freezing fog. Did you realize those blades can be 2, 3 even 4 times longer than the typical house?

The photographs showed, “While ice accreted over entire blade spans, more ice was found to accrete on outboard blades with the ice thickness reaching up to 0.3 meters (nearly 1 foot) near the blade tips,” the researchers wrote in a paper published online by the journal Renewable Energy.

Who is Hui Hu?

Hui Hu comes with some impressive credentials. Not only is he Iowa State University’s Martin C. Jischke Professor in Aerospace Engineering, he is also director of the university’s Aircraft Icing Physics and Anti-/De-icing Technology Laboratory.

Hu has been doing laboratory studies of turbine-blade icing for about 10 years, including performing experiments in the unique ISU Icing Research Tunnel.

“But we always have questions about whether what we do in the lab represents what happens in the field,” Hu said. “What happens over the blade surfaces of large, utility-scale wind turbines?”

We all know about one thing that recently happened in the field. Wind power and other energy sources froze and failed in Texas during last month’s winter storm.

If I am correct about our imminent descent into the next little ice age, I fear that our increasing dependence on so-called “renewable energy” must inevitably lead to the death of millions.

More here:
Field Research Shows Icing Can Cost Wind Turbines Up to 80% of Power Production
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
I just listened to Ice Age Farmer's new video. It wasn't directly related to the GSM, but indirectly very much so as it was about our food supply and the latest happenings in that area. It was quite disturbing and when I next go shopping, I might have to be making some serious decisions about where to shop. For now, I'll just hope for the best.
 

TxGal

Day by day
34,000 quakes in two weeks near Fagradalsfjall volcano, Iceland - 900% increase in activity compared with whole of 2020 -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

34,000 quakes in two weeks near Fagradalsfjall volcano, Iceland - 900% increase in activity compared with whole of 2020

Volcano Discovery
Wed, 10 Mar 2021 15:29 UTC

Reykjanes
© IMO
Earthquakes on the Reykjanes peninsula during the past 2 weeks

The Icelandic Met Office (IMO) announced earlier today, that the total number of earthquakes in the region has exceeded 34,000 since the onset of the seismic swarm about 2 weeks ago.

For comparison, it had about 3,400 quakes in the whole of 2020, which also had shown elevated activity, while the average during the previous years was in the range of 1,000-3,000 quakes per year.

Comment: It certainly seems that seismic and volcanic activity have increased recently:
Also check out SOTT radio's:
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I want to point out something, if it hasn't been said. That cyclical blue curve region of averages is an empirical representation of a real system that is well established. It's not a perfectly smooth curve because every year, every day in fact, there are anomalies the break a little out of the average. More or less, though, the expectations of snow mass are well understood in the averages.

That set of red dots? It's pretty much a straight line. It starts with values above the norm in October, the norms rise to envelop the red dot data from roughly December through February, and now the norms are dropping below the red dots. The trajectory of the red dots is remarkably consistent.

The line described by the red dot data is clearly independent of the normal driving conditions.

If this were describing the climate as a physical system (and it is a physical system) this indicates that whatever mechanism drives snow mass has either broken, or some other factor is overriding the old mechanism. I think it's the latter, and it must be a massive factor to so completely break from the established pattern. I do not wish to be overdramatic, but we are in great danger.

It's the magnetic anomaly in the south atlantic, it's interfering with the jet stream as it comes down through the gulf of mexico and goes back up into the UK. The volcano in eastern russia that erupted multiple times, putting ash 40 - 50K feet into the atmosphere in the last two years certainly didn't help matters either.
 
Last edited:

K99

Fridge Ranger
I just listened to Ice Age Farmer's new video. It wasn't directly related to the GSM, but indirectly very much so as it was about our food supply and the latest happenings in that area. It was quite disturbing and when I next go shopping, I might have to be making some serious decisions about where to shop. For now, I'll just hope for the best.
what did he say?
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
K99, he talked about how Stalin took control of all food production, but also about how some stores are starting to tag their shelves indicating what race of people have produced the products on the various shelves.

Labeling products by the producer's race seems to me to be just what's needed to tear down any accaeptance of racial differences that Americans have achieved over the last 70 or so years. What a perfect way to promote the idea of divide and conquer!

Video runs 22:37 minutes. I'm hoping someone here will post the youtube or bitchute link for me, and if someone does, thanks.
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
34,000 quakes in two weeks near Fagradalsfjall volcano, Iceland - 900% increase in activity compared with whole of 2020 -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

34,000 quakes in two weeks near Fagradalsfjall volcano, Iceland - 900% increase in activity compared with whole of 2020

Volcano Discovery
Wed, 10 Mar 2021 15:29 UTC

Reykjanes
© IMO
Earthquakes on the Reykjanes peninsula during the past 2 weeks

The Icelandic Met Office (IMO) announced earlier today, that the total number of earthquakes in the region has exceeded 34,000 since the onset of the seismic swarm about 2 weeks ago.

For comparison, it had about 3,400 quakes in the whole of 2020, which also had shown elevated activity, while the average during the previous years was in the range of 1,000-3,000 quakes per year.

Comment: It certainly seems that seismic and volcanic activity have increased recently:
Also check out SOTT radio's:
Looks like when it blows, the whole world will take notice!
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
K99, he talked about how Stalin took control of all food production, but also about how some stores are starting to tag their shelves indicating what race of people have produced the products on the various shelves.

Labeling products by the producer's race seems to me to be just what's needed to tear down any accaeptance of racial differences that Americans have achieved over the last 70 or so years. What a perfect way to promote the idea of divide and conquer!

Video runs 22:37 minutes. I'm hoping someone here will post the youtube or bitchute link for me, and if someone does, thanks.

And yet having a black woman on a box of pancake mix is racist, or a black man on a box of rice. SMDH.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Denver Could Get One of Biggest Snowstorms Since 1885 | AccuWeather

Denver could get one of biggest snowstorms since 1885

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist & Meghan Mussoline, AccuWeather meteorologist
Published Mar. 10, 2021 11:25 AM CST | Updated Mar. 10, 2021 2:01 PM CST

(note: there's a video I can't bring over, please see it at the website)

AccuWeather forecasters on Wednesday continued tracking the potential for a monster snowstorm to pound the Denver area in the coming days and possibly become one of the biggest snowstorms in the Mile High City’s history. The looming storm threatens to be a long-duration event that could result in snowfall totals that could reach 2 feet in Denver and pile as high as 3 feet in places west of Denver, such as Boulder and Fort Collins. Heavy snow will stretch north into Wyoming as well.

The wintry blast could feel all the more shocking because it is following closely behind springlike weather in some places like Denver, where temperatures have been averaging nearly 20 degrees above normal, hovering at or just under 70 degrees each day Sunday through Tuesday.

SnowStart10Mar3p.jpg


The storm, which AccuWeather meteorologists have been monitoring the development of since last week, was unloading beneficial rain and heavy mountain snow across California and Nevada on Wednesday, but it will strengthen further as it pushes inland from the Pacific coast and travels across the interior West. As it does so, it will also tap into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, which will enhance precipitation.

"Denver is going to be in the worst location for the storm in terms of heavy snow and gusty winds,” AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said.

SatSnapCentralUS10Mar7a.jpg


Snowfall will pick up in intensity across the the central and southern Rockies — and across Colorado and southeastern Wyoming in particular — on Saturday night into Sunday. Snowfall rates will reach 1-3 inches per hour, and as the storm continues, strong winds will blow as well.

Blizzard criteria — three-straight hours of sustained winds or gusts of 40 mph and visibility of a quarter of a mile or less in snow or blowing snow — will be approached in the region, according to Rayno. Gusts could reach as high as 30 mph as the snowstorm first gets underway on Saturday then increase to as high as 40 mph Saturday night and up to 50 mph on Sunday.

Travel impacts from the weather are all but certain. Roadways such as "I-25 and I-80 may get shut down late Saturday into Sunday,” Rayno said.

SunSnapCentral10Mar10a.jpg


More than a foot of snow will fall across a compact area, including across northeastern Colorado, southeastern Wyoming and southwestern Nebraska. Denver is expected to pick up 1 to 2 feet of snow from the storm.

“We will have a chance of eclipsing the seasonal total in one storm,” Rayno said. Denver has received 34.1 inches for the season to date. "The storm has the potential to rank among the biggest on record in Denver."

The record for the biggest snowstorm in the Mile High City has stood since 1913, when a storm from Dec. 1-5 unloaded 45.7 inches of snow. Coming in at number two, a storm from March 17-19, 2003, dropped 31.8 inches of snow. And ranking just below that is a Nov. 2-4, 1946, snowstorm that buried Denver under 30.4 inches. A Dec. 24, 1982, storm comes in at number 4 with a total of 23.8 inches, and the oldest storm on the top-five list was an April 23, 1885, snowstorm that dished out 23.0 inches.

DenverTopSnowstorms.jpg


"The rate of wet and clinging snow can be excessive, create whiteouts and lead to trees and power lines coming down," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said. Blowing and drifting snow is anticipated in the vast open areas and over the ridges and through the passes.

Several feet of snow can pile up over the foothills west of Denver and in southeastern Wyoming where an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 60 inches is projected.

A March snowstorm isn't unusual for Denver. In fact, the city typically has bookend winters with snowfall occurring during the autumn and then again late in the winter due to typical weather patterns. The average snowfall for February in Denver is 5.8 inches as opposed to nearly double the amount, or 10.7 inches, for March.

Forecasters warn that unnecessary travel should be avoided from Saturday afternoon through Sunday. This will ensure people's safety and allow road crews to work without highways being clogged with stalled vehicles.

SnowMapWest10Mar3p.jpg


Due to the risk of power outages from the storm, people should locate flashlights and batteries and make sure generators are in working order and fueled in advance of the storm. It is also a good time to review operating procedures for generators like avoiding indoor use, including in a garage or basement.

Snow from the weekend storm will follow a quick-hitting storm at midweek that unloaded a few inches to a foot or more of snow in parts of Wyoming, the Nebraska Panhandle and southwestern South Dakota.

(note: there's an audio spot on this article that I can't bring over, please go to the website to hear it)

The combination of snow from both storms could leave Cheyenne, Wyoming, buried waist deep in snow. The pair of storms may end up bringing more than half an entire season's worth of snow to the city, where an average of 60 inches of snow falls per year.

2p.jpg


The projected path of the storm from the Four Corners region of Colorado, Utah, Arizona and New Mexico to the High Plains should allow heavy snow to fall just north of the track.

"Typically, storms that clobber Denver with heavy snow tend to bring much less snow to Colorado Springs, Colorado, and little to no snow to Pueblo, Colorado," Anderson said.

Any shift in that track may cause the heaviest snow to shift farther to the south or north. As a result, people in southern Colorado and western Kansas, as well as northern Wyoming and western South Dakota, should monitor the storm's progress.

In portions of northwestern Kansas, central and northeastern Nebraska and southern South Dakota, temperatures within a few degrees of the freezing mark may allow rain or wintry mix to occur during the height of the storm. If this mixing is limited or the temperature dips slightly, then very heavy snow can fall in these locations as well.

2OZOOM-1.jpg


The looming monster storm has been on AccuWeather's watchful eye since early last week and is actually a large southward dip in the jet stream that is expected to become a closed low-pressure area. This closed low is essentially a storm located high in the atmosphere. Because storms of this nature are thoroughly involved at the jet stream level, they often bring extreme weather to the lower part of the atmosphere.

Just like the big storm in 2003, this storm could be very beneficial in boosting snow levels in the mountains and rain in lower elevations as soil conditions range from abnormally dry to that of exceptional drought in Colorado and much of the West, according to the latest report from the United States Drought Monitor.

CLICK HERE FOR THE FREE ACCUWEATHER APP

Other impacts from the storm include gusty winds hundreds of miles away from the snow area that can substantially increase the wildfire danger over portions of the Plains and Southwest into this weekend. Red flag warnings were in effect from New Mexico and West Texas to southwestern Iowa on Wednesday. There is also the potential for severe thunderstorms across parts of the South Central states, especially from Saturday to Sunday.
 

TxGal

Day by day
TxGal, thanks again for finding and posting so many great articles and videos for us on this thread.

And thanks to all you others who have started contributing here. I haven't been able to do much online recently so I doubly appreciate it.

You're welcome! I still owe you a pm, sorry! Doing a lot outside here now that the weather is warming up, so I'm kinda popping in and out of late, too.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Magmatic Movements registered under Fagradalsfjall Volcano, Iceland - 34,000 Quakes in Two Weeks, Eruption Likely - Electroverse

Magma-e1615454248914.jpg


MAGMATIC MOVEMENTS REGISTERED UNDER FAGRADALSFJALL VOLCANO, ICELAND — 34,000 QUAKES IN TWO WEEKS, ERUPTION LIKELY
MARCH 11, 2021 CAP ALLON

A “seismic crisis” has been occurring in the area near Fagradalsfjall since late Feb 2021. This activity has been interpreted as intrusion of magma at shallow depths, which could lead to a new eruption.

Fadradalsfjall is a Pleistocene table mountain in the Reykjanes Peninsula, NE of Grindavik, Iceland.

Very little is known about the eruptive history of the volcano; but according to both VolcanoDiscovery.com and Volcano.si.edu, no eruptions have occurred during the past 10,000 years — in other words, it’s anyone’s guess what this volcano is capable of when it does blow.

Kristín Jónsdóttir, of the Icelandic Met Office (IMO), has said the likeliest location for a eruption on the Reykjanes peninsula would be just south of Fagradalsfjall. Referring specifically to the recent seismic crisis and uptick in tremor pulses, Jónsdóttir added: “I think this is a sign the magma dike is growing very fast.”

The IMO has also officially stated that these magmatic movements are the likely cause of the ongoing earthquake swarm in the Reykjanes peninsula–a swarm that has now totaled 34,000 quakes in two weeks (for reference, the average annual earthquakes across the peninsula numbers just 1,000-3,000).

As magma migrates upwards, overlying rock layers are displaced, which causes tremors and ground deformation on the surface, explains VolcanoDiscovery.com.


Location of the tremors.

Geophysical surveys have been conducted along the area of unrest located between Fagradalsfjall and Keilir (see map below). The results generated a detailed look at how the expanding magma chamber under the Reykjanes peninsula behaves.

Jónsdóttir told mbl.is that the most active area is at the south end of the magma dike, where the dike not only seems to be growing toward the southwest, but also moving closer to the surface, to a depth of only about 1 km.


The dotted red line indicates the location of the magma dyke–Fagradalsfjall is situated along this line. The gray oval shapes show the areas of seismic activity. [Map/Scientific Council of the Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management].

Of today’s reawakening volcanoes, those located in Iceland are perhaps the most concerning.

It is this highly-volcanic region that will likely be home to the next “big one” (a repeat of the 536 AD eruption that took out the Roman Republic…?) — the one that will return Earth to another volcanic winter.

Volcanic eruptions are one of the key forcings driving Earth into its next bout of global cooling.

Volcanic ash (particulates) fired above 10km –and so into the stratosphere– shade sunlight and reduce terrestrial temperatures. The smaller particulates from an eruption can linger in the upper atmosphere for years, or even decades+ at a time.

Today’s worldwide volcanic uptick is thought to be tied to low solar activity, coronal holes, a waning magnetosphere, and the influx of Cosmic Rays penetrating silica-rich magma.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Winter Storm Uri caused at least $600 million in agricultural losses across Texas -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

Winter Storm Uri caused at least $600 million in agricultural losses across Texas

Paul Schattenberg
Texas A&M University
Tue, 02 Mar 2021 07:08 UTC

Snow-covered Texas grapevines
© Sam Craft/Texas A&M AgriLife Communications
Snow-covered Texas grapevines.

Winter Storm Uri caused at least $600 million in agricultural losses across Texas, according to preliminary data from Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service agricultural economists.

"A large number of Texas farmers, ranchers and others involved in commercial agriculture and agricultural production were seriously affected by Winter Storm Uri," said Jeff Hyde, AgriLife Extension director, Bryan-College Station. "Freezing temperatures and ice killed or harmed many of their crops and livestock as well as causing financial hardships and operational setbacks. And the residual costs from the disaster could plague many producers for years to come."

AgriLife Extension estimates that the following sectors were among the state's biggest agricultural losses by commodity:
  • Citrus crops, at least $230 million
  • Livestock, at least $228 million
  • Vegetable crops, at least $150 million
Another agricultural sector that experienced significant losses was the green industry. AgriLife Extension, in collaboration with the Texas Nursery and Landscape Association, developed and distributed a loss assessment survey to more than 4,000 nursery, greenhouse and other green industry-related businesses requesting input on the type and extent of losses encountered. It will be several weeks before there is sufficient data to provide an assessment of those losses.

Agricultural Losses

"The data we used to determine these agricultural losses came from farmers, ranchers and other commercial producers throughout the state as well as others involved in or supporting production agriculture in Texas," said Mark Waller, associate head of Texas A&M University's Department of Agricultural Economics.

Waller said the agency can currently only provide a general range of loss or estimated overall loss for the state's agricultural sectors.

"There are still many as yet unknown and lingering effects of Winter Storm Uri," he said. "What we can say is these figures are conservative and we expect more losses as a long-term effect of this disaster."

The Texas agricultural sector that suffered one of biggest overall losses from Winter Storm Uri was the citrus industry, said Luis Ribera, AgriLife Extension economist, Bryan-College Station. He said citrus producers in the Rio Grande Valley lost virtually all of their Valencia orange crop and more than 60% of their grapefruit crop.

"Even more citrus crops would have been lost had many not been harvested before the storm," he said.

Ribera said the AgriLife Extension estimate for citrus losses came out to around $230 million and was based primarily on losses in the Rio Grande Valley during the storm.

"That estimate also included longer-term losses from next year's crops, but it did not include the cost of citrus plants that could die or remain badly damaged by the freeze and have to be replaced," he said. "If they must be replaced, it will be several years before those new citrus trees are able to bear fruit, so the losses could be much more."

Juan Anciso, AgriLife Extension horticulturist based at the Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center in Weslaco, said about 200 acres of lemons and limes produced in South Texas were destroyed completely because those plants were more sensitive to cold weather than other types of citrus.

"If those producers choose to replant, it will be three to five years before those new plants will begin to yield fruit," Anciso said.

Ribera said while the effects of the storm likely will impact grapefruit availability and prices in the future, it probably won't have a significant impact on orange prices due to large supplies available from Florida and California.

Other Crops Blasted By Freezing Weather

Along with their citrus losses, Rio Grande Valley and other South Texas producers also suffered some significant losses in terms of both cold- and warm-season vegetable crops.

Cool-season vegetable crops like leafy greens, beets, cabbage and celery were lost. There were also warm-season crops of potatoes and watermelons planted for early harvest devastated by the freezing weather.

Samuel Zapata, AgriLife Extension economist, Weslaco, said there were notable vegetable losses throughout the area.

"The main vegetable crop damage we saw was to onions, then to leafy greens, including spinach, collard greens and kale, and then to watermelons," he said.

Zapata said a low estimate based on losses from sales of those and other vegetable crops in that part of the state alone would be at least $150 million.

"Working with the Texas International Produce Association, we estimated a loss of more than $42 million in sales of onions, more than $27 million in sales of leafy greens, more than $20 million in sales of watermelons and more than $15 million in sales of cabbage," he said. "We also estimated at least another $42 million in additional vegetable and herb sales losses for these large vegetable crop-producing areas. Of course, producers lost vegetable crops in other areas of the state as well, so we determined the $150 million figure to be a minimum."

Zapata said sugarcane is another major South Texas crop that took a hit.

"According to the sugar industry, minor damage is expected to the 2020-2012 sugarcane crop given that most of it was already harvested before Uri," he said "However, a significant drop in yields is expected for next year's crop as pretty much all cane plants were destroyed and producers will have to start over. It is too early to know the magnitude of the damage."

According to Mark Welch, an AgriLife Extension economist in grain marketing, Bryan-College Station, corn and grain sorghum crops planted in South Texas and the state's Coastal Bend before the storm will need to be replanted.

"The most significant grain crop at risk during the storm was wheat, especially wheat that had started to grow," he said. "But wheat that was still in a dormant state likely survived and will produce."

He also noted there were statewide losses of livestock grazing materials such as oats, rye grass and triticale, which were included in the estimate.

Livestock Losses Will Likely Linger

Livestock losses include not only cattle, sheep and goats and their offspring that died or were badly injured during the freeze, but also damage to the livestock industry infrastructure, said David Anderson, AgriLife Extension livestock economist, Bryan-College Station.

Anderson noted the livestock loss estimate also included initial poultry losses and costs related to bird loss, damage to housing facilities and increased heating costs to keep the animals warm.

"Beef cattle losses include estimated value of death losses, additional feed use, lost winter small grain grazing, lost weights and feed efficiency in feedlots, and losses due to delayed marketing," he said. "Sheep and goat losses include estimated death losses, and dairy losses include cattle death loss, lost milk production and the value of milk dumped due to transportation problems and processing delays."

Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller said some Texas dairy operations were losing as much as $8 million a day because trucks were unable to pick up and deliver milk for processing.

Anderson, who collaborated with Justin Benavidez, AgriLife Extension economist, Amarillo, said the overall livestock loss for Winter Storm Uri is estimated to be around $228 million.

"A rancher will typically feed two or more round bales per cow during winter, so if hay isn't available, they still have to purchase some type of supplemental feed — and all this is costly," Benavidez said. "You also have to consider any physical damage to the operation as well as additional costs such as extra fuel or electricity to run heaters to keep the animals warm."

Benavidez also noted that because the storm hit during calving season, many newborn cattle were not able to survive the cold. Many lambs and kids were also lost due to the freezing weather.

"However, those overall livestock losses could have been far worse had it not been for the quick action by ranchers before the temperatures reached freezing," Benavidez said.

Anderson noted that livestock producers who lost animals to the storm in effect not only lost a single generation, but also potential subsequent generations of their offspring.

"It will take some time before many producers are able to replace their livestock," he said. "And when they do, it's going to be costly."

Green Industry Losses Pervasive Statewide

Extended freezing temperatures killed or badly damaged landscape plants, shrubs and trees in nurseries, garden centers and greenhouses throughout the state. They also froze sales of landscaping and gardening tools and supplies.

"The green industry will experience increased labor, fertilizer and other costs as part of the price of replacing the plant material that was lost during the winter storm," said Marco Palma, horticultural marketing expert in the Department of Agricultural Economics.

Palma said AgriLife Extension and the Texas Nursery and Landscape Association, TNLA, are awaiting responses from their statewide-loss assessment survey before venturing an estimate of green industry losses.

"It will take some weeks before we get a full picture of the immediate losses, but they will easily be in the tens of millions and probably in the hundreds of millions of dollars," he said.

Amy Graham, president and CEO of TNLA, said survey results will be helpful to estimate losses and identify potential assistance programs for stakeholders.

"The green industry has had severe damage, especially in some of the larger metropolitan areas such as Houston, Dallas, San Antonio and Austin," she said. "We have a lot of nursery plant growers in East Texas and quite a few of them have reported total losses. In some cases, complete greenhouses collapsed. In other instances, plants died because there was no propane for heating greenhouses."

Graham said while the green industry will be able to recover and provide replacements for some of these plants, there likely will be a shortage of landscaping trees for some years to come.

"Another consideration is that growers won't be able to determine the extent of the damage, including root damage, to a large number of their plants until we get warmer weather," she said.

Assistance For Agricultural Producers

"While assistance for producers should soon be on the way from the December 2020 COVID stimulus, it's still too early to tell if the federal government will provide additional targeted assistance in the form of direct disaster relief," said Bart Fischer, director of Texas A&M's Agricultural and Food Policy Center.

However, he said, there are a number of existing programs in place that producers can access, depending upon the problems encountered. By far, the most popular tool is the Federal Crop Insurance Program. For crops with no crop insurance, there is the Noninsured Crop Disaster Assistance Program (NAP) available through the local Farm Service Agency (FSA).

"The Livestock Indemnity Program and the Emergency Assistance for Livestock, Honeybee and Farm-raised Fish Program reimburse producers for a portion of the value of livestock, poultry and other animals killed or badly injured by a natural disaster or loss of feed," Fischer said. "And the Tree Assistance Program provides cost-share assistance to rehabilitate, replant or clean up damage to orchards and vineyards if trees, vines or shrubs were killed or seriously damaged in a disaster. This is different from NAP or Federal Crop Insurance as these typically cover the crop loss and not plant loss. Producers can reach out to their local FSA office for additional information."

For information on disaster preparation, assistance and recovery from winter storms, AgriLife Extension offers a number of educational materials through the Texas Extension Disaster Network website.

Comment: See also:
 

TxGal

Day by day
Prayers for everyone in the path of this historic storm. We're in the forecast for possibly severe weather on Sunday due to this system. Guess it's time to gather pillows and blankets for "sheltering in the bathroom season" again:

Potentially Historic Blizzard to Hit the Rockies and High Plains this Weekend - Ice Age Now

Potentially Historic Blizzard to Hit the Rockies and High Plains this Weekend
March 11, 2021 by Robert

A potentially crippling, historic snowstorm will pummel parts of the Rockies and High Plains this weekend with multiple feet – multiple feet! – of heavy, wet snow that could cripple travel, damage or actually bring down trees and knock out power in parts of Colorado, Wyoming and western Nebraska, warns weather.com.

Early this week, snow blanketed parts of Wyoming, Nebraska, the Dakotas and Minnesota, with a few locations pickings up a foot of snow. But that was just an appetizer. This weekend’s storm will be the main course.

“The storm has the potential to rank among the biggest on record in Denver,” AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said. It could be one of its biggest snowstorms since 1885.

The record for the biggest snowstorm in the Mile High City has stood since 1913, when a storm lasting from Dec. 1 to Dec 5 unloaded 45.7 inches of snow.

“The rate of wet and clinging snow can be excessive, create whiteouts and lead to trees and power lines coming down,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said. Blowing and drifting snow is anticipated in the vast open areas and over the ridges and through the passes.

Several feet of snow – as much as five feet (150 cm) – is projected to pile up over the foothills west of Denver and in southeastern Wyoming.

The monster storm threatens to be a long-duration event that could result in snowfall totals nearing 2 feet in Denver and as high as 3 feet west of Denver, such as Boulder and Fort Collins.

Historic-winter-storm-13Mar2021.png


The National Weather Service in Cheyenne, Wyoming, called this a “potentially historic event taking shape” in their Wednesday afternoon forecast discussion and mentioned “blizzard conditions possible” in their winter storm watch.
There is high confidence that parts of southeast Wyoming, the Nebraska Panhandle and northeast Colorado will pick up at least a foot of snow late Friday into early Monday.

With a potential for more than 2 feet of snow to hit Wyoming’s capital city, Cheyenne, Wyoming, this could be its heaviest snowstorm on record.

It could also be the heaviest snowstorm on record to pummel Scottsbluff, Nebraska, since a mid-April 1927 storm dumped 25.8 inches of snow in three days in the western Nebraska town.

Snow may fall at the rate of several inches per hour at times Saturday and Sunday.

This is a dangerous storm ahead with potentially life-threatening impacts.

Roads – including stretches of I-25, 70 and 80 – in the High Plains and Front Range are likely to become impassable and may be closed this weekend.

You should avoid all travel in eastern Wyoming, western Nebraska and northeast Colorado from the foothills eastward from late Friday night through Sunday. If not, you run the risk of being stranded.

Some locations could see over 130 inches (more than 6 ft) of snow in two days!

More-than-100-inces-of-snow-13-Mar21.png


Light snow is forecast to develop Friday evening across the region, according to the National Weather Service. However, much of the winter weather impacts are forecast to occur later in the day on Saturday and throughout much of Sunday. Winter Storm Watches have been issued and include southeast Wyoming, northeast and north-central Colorado, as well as western Nebraska.

Snowfall will pick up in intensity across the the central and southern Rockies — Colorado and southeastern Wyoming in particular — on Saturday night into Sunday. Snowfall rates will reach 1-3 inches per hour, accompanied by strong winds.

Depending on temperature trends, portions of northwestern Kansas, central and northeastern Nebraska and southern South Dakota, could also see very heavy snow as well.

The storm also poses a danger to livestock left out in the open.

Before the system fully develops this weekend, heavy snow could fall across the higher elevations of the Intermountain West and Southwest. Portions of Utah and Arizona could see over 6 inches of snow by Saturday morning.

Heavy mountain snow and lower elevation heavy rain will also remain possible across southern California through Friday.

Winter Storm Xylia, a Potentially Historic Blizzard in the Rockies and High Plains, Hits This Weekend | The Weather Channel - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

https://www.accuweather.com/en/wint...t-one-of-biggest-snowstorms-since-1885/912929

WPC's Short Range Public Discussion

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?
warnzone=COZ036&warncounty=COC059&firewxzone=COZ216&local_place1=3%20Miles%20SW%20Buffalo%20Creek%20CO&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=39.3527&lon=-105.3043#.YEpdL9xMF_A


https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?
warnzone=COZ040&warncounty=COC031&firewxzone=COZ240&local_place1=3%20Miles%20NW%20Englewood%20CO&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=39.6759&lon=-105.0307#.YEpdmdxMF_A
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
I remember that when I was young, in Minnesota, our first snow usually came around Thanksgiving and winter lasted clear through March. March did ease a little, giving us a hope of spring, but many winters, maybe all of them, back then, we would have what was called the "March blizzard from the east". It was like spring couldn't start without it. Most winters back then Dad would put up a long snow fence on the north side of the driveway for the distance that it was level with the road. After that, the ground rose where the house was and that driveway went straight into a single-stall basement garage, Many a winter Dad would have to shovel out about 25 to 30 feet of the drive where it ran between terracing into the garage. When he did that, a neighbor who had a Jeep with a plow could back all the way to the shoveled part and plow out the rest of the long run to the road. Without the snow fence, nothing could get behind the snow in the driveway in order to plow it out.

By the late fifties, there were no more March blizzards that I recall, but we'd started hoping for white Christmases and we had started getting January thaws that would flood our basement with a few inches of water, but also helped prevent bad flooding in the entire Twin City area later in the spring.

It was all cycles even back then and even though I'd left Minnesota, I saw though cycles later, too. This present cycle is different from the others I've lived through. It seems to have come on more gradually and also seems far more unpredictable.
 

TxGal

Day by day
This year is just plain weird weather-wise. Not in a good way.

I've been working like crazy in the garden, finally got around to my big onion patch I'd had for several years (over-wintered). I was going to separate them, harvest some, and move them to a bigger area. Nope. Last evening I discovered 4 small-sized onions about the size of a daffodil bulb. All the others are just...gone. I don't know if some poor critter ate them during the freeze, or if they just disintegrated. We were well below freezing for over a week, so anything is possible, I guess.

Last week we watched geese flying back north in great numbers. They may get walloped by the big storm coming. Our robins left about the same time, now the barn swallows are back. I fear a lot of migrating birds may get hit again. It happened during our freeze, too....a lot of the birds - particularly water fowl - that winter here and further south were starting to migrate north and got caught in our deep freeze. Very sad.

Some of our fruit trees are starting to flower now, and I'm seeing some green leaves appearing on our blueberries. I know we have some branch damage, but not sure how much/how many plants/trees survived. The next few weeks are going to be very, very busy.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out (Note: The Sangay volcano eruption is pretty high up there on the VEI scale, enough to contribute to cooling the planet. Electroverse also discusses it in the article below this post):

Sangay To 41,000ft - A Potentially Historic Blizzard In The Rockies & Plains - Winter Storm Xylia - YouTube

Sangay To 41,000ft - A Potentially Historic Blizzard In The Rockies & Plains - Winter Storm Xylia
8,072 views • Premiered 16 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/I4RSHG9GUIc
Run time is 16:06

Synopsis provided:

Monster storm to bring several feet of snow, tornado threat http://yhoo.it/3ckM4vP
Winter Storm Xylia, a Potentially Historic Blizzard in the Rockies & Plains http://bit.ly/30wkPca
Strong winter storm rolls through the Central Valley http://bit.ly/3qAXnoB
Monster storm to bring several feet of snow & tornadoes this weekend http://cbsn.ws/3cnChFd
SNOWFALL ANALYSIS FROM THE LAST 48 HOURS https://www.weather.gov/crh/snowfall
GFS Model Total Snow US http://bit.ly/3bFfDJr
GFS Model Total Rain US http://bit.ly/3bCRnay
Major Spring Storm On-Tap for the South-Central U.S. https://www.weather.gov/
Fagradalsfjall volcano update: More than 34,000 quakes in two weeks http://bit.ly/3ciHLky
Reykjanes peninsula - earthquakes https://bit.ly/3rprWPn
Sangay Volcano Ash Advisory: EXPLOSIVE ERUPTION to 41000 ft http://bit.ly/3tbljRf
Why Congo's volcano watchers are worried (video) https://bit.ly/3euqxn9
Nyiragongo Volcano, Congo http://s.si.edu/2Na3SRN
Nicaragua’s San Cristobal Volcano Erupts and Showers City With Ash http://bit.ly/3l7rDX2
San Cristobal volcano (Nicaragua): series of moderate-to-strong explosions http://bit.ly/3rF9kuV
San Cristóbal Volcano Data http://s.si.edu/3qDYBiT
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Biggest ever map of the universe reveals 11 billion years of history http://bit.ly/30AYZ7q
The Completed SDSS-IV extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.08991
Final BAO and RSD Measurements https://bit.ly/3t7bQKL
The supposedly oldest impact crater on Earth isn’t a crater after al http://bit.ly/38ypNcR
Is a Long-Dismissed Forgery Actually the Oldest Known Biblical Manuscript? http://nyti.ms/38v2Kj3
The narwhal's tusk reveals its past living conditions http://bit.ly/2PMxLIE
HOW TO PROCESS SOIL INTO CLAY FOR POTTERY
http://bit.ly/3qIkaid
 
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TxGal

Day by day
Europe set for Historic Spring Snowfall, as North America braces for Weekend of Record-Busting Blizzards + Sangay Erupts to 41,000 ft (12.5 km) - Electroverse

Sangay-March-ash-e1615541915664.jpg

Extreme Weather GSM Volcanic & Seismic Activity

EUROPE SET FOR HISTORIC SPRING SNOWFALL, AS NORTH AMERICA BRACES FOR WEEKEND OF RECORD-BUSTING BLIZZARDS + SANGAY ERUPTS TO 41,000 FT (12.5 KM)
MARCH 12, 2021 CAP ALLON

Snow is a thing of the future, it would appear, the near future; all-time snowfall records are under threat across Europe and North America in March…

EUROPE SET FOR HISTORIC SPRING SNOWFALL

Beginning Friday, March 12, Britain will be buffeted by a brutal polar air mass.

Snow could settle as far south as central England, with Wales and Scotland dead-certs for disruptive flurries throughout Saturday — the UK Met Office has issued weather warnings for snow and ice.

Looking to early next week, the Alps appears set for record-volumes of mid-March snow with the mountains’ higher elevations easily picking up over a meter (3.3 feet).

The Balkans could be set for similar totals.

Eyeing further ahead, the first day of astronomical spring (March 20) is expected to deliver a violent dumping of global warming goodness to Spain — the nation has already set a host of impressive cold-weather feats this winter, and the big freeze looks set to continue into spring. Spain broke its coldest-ever recorded temperature twice this season, and Spaniards were skiing the streets of Madrid in January following unprecedented snowfall.

See the latest GFS run for Europe below, and note the crazy mid/late-March totals also forecast for western Russia, Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan (lower right of the map):


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) March 12 to March 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].

NORTH AMERICA BRACES FOR WEEKEND OF RECORD-BUSTING BLIZZARDS

Thousands of March cold-records are about to be obliterated across North America, particularly in the Central United States, adding to the almost 10,000 new low-temperature records set in February.

Heavy snow will strike a number of states over the next few days, including Wyoming, Colorado, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Missouri.

The Pacific Northwest will also be smacked.


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) March 12 to March 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Just taking Cheyenne, Wyoming as one example: current forecasts are calling for 36 inches of pow-pow Friday morning through Monday morning, with blizzard conditions possible starting Saturday and Sunday. If the city manages to pick up just 25.7 inches of snow over the course of three days –which it almost certainly will– then it will bust its all-time 3-day total snowfall record set between Nov. 19-21, 1979.

All-time cold-records are under threat ACROSS the United States, as well as in much of Canada:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) to March 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Also, the models are still suggesting Texas could be hit by another freeze around March 24/25:

gfs_T2m_scus_55.png

GFS 2m Temperature (shaded, degrees F) for March 25 [tropicaltidbits.com].

SANGAY ERUPTS TO 41,000 FT (12.5 KM)

Ecuador’s Sangay Volcano exploded in dramatic fashion yesterday, March 11, firing volcanic ash high into the atmosphere.

The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned of an ash plume rising to 41,000 ft (12.5 km), which blocked out the Sun and blanketed nearby cities under a thick layer of ash — “strong” ashfall was detected in Cantón Guamote, including in Chambo, Riobamba, Penipe, and Guano.

Furthermore, satellite-based measurements of SO2 registered an impressive 25 kilotons (25,000,000 kg) within the plume, reports VolcanoDiscovery.com.

View: https://twitter.com/Electroversenet/status/1370045257866477573


Volcanic eruptions are one of the key forcings driving Earth into its next bout of global cooling.

Particulates fired above 10km –and so into the stratosphere– shade sunlight and reduce terrestrial temperatures. The smaller particulates from an eruption can linger in the upper atmosphere for years, or even decades+ at a time
Today’s worldwide volcanic uptick is thought to be tied to low solar activity, coronal holes, a waning magnetosphere, and the influx of Cosmic Rays penetrating silica-rich magma.

Enjoy your weekend.

I’m off to filter my homemade Apple Cider Vinegar (for off-grid pickling!) — what are you doing to prepare?

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Volcanoes Popping Off Around The Globe - Video - Ice Age Now

Volcanoes Popping Off Around The Globe – Video
March 12, 2021 by Robert

Klyuchevskaya-Sopka-volcano-Russia.jpg

Klyuchevskaya Sopka volcano, Russia

New activity or notable unrest:
Etna, Sicily (Italy)
Klyuchevskoy, Central Kamchatka (Russia)
Krysuvik, Iceland
Kuchinoerabujima, Ryukyu Islands (Japan)
Pacaya, Guatemala
Sinabung, Indonesia.
San Cristobal, Nicaragua.

active-volcano-map2-2021-03-09-Credit-Volcano-Discovery.jpg


Continuing activity:
Aira, Kyushu (Japan)
Dukono, Halmahera (Indonesia)
Ebeko, Paramushir Island (Russia)
Fuego, Guatemala Ibu, Halmahera (Indonesia)
Kilauea, Hawaiian Islands (USA)
Kirishimayama, Kyushu (Japan)
Lewotolok, Lembata Island (Indonesia)
Merapi, Central Java (Indonesia)
Raung, Eastern Java (Indonesia)
Sangay, Ecuador
Santa Maria, Guatemala
Semeru, Eastern Java (Indonesia)
Sheveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia)
Soufriere St. Vincent, St. Vincent
Suwanosejima, Ryukyu Islands (Japan)

See full-size map:
https://volcanodiscovery.de/uploads/pics/active-volcano-map2-2021-03-09.jpg

Here’s more:
Iceland prepares for a volcanic eruption
20,000 earthquakes in two days
Video:
Gravitas: Iceland prepares for a volcanic eruption
____________

Strombolian & lava fountain eruptions at Klyuchevskaya Sopka volcano, Russia

The highest active volcano in Russia Eurasia and one of the world’s most active volcanoes.

It has a large active crater with frequent strombolian and lava fountain eruptions.

View: https://youtu.be/ZPNwiNi_iYo

Run time is 3:19

Spectacular view March 09, 2021.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Major storm moving east, will bring record-breaking snow and damaging thunderstorms
This storm already brought 1 to 2 feet of snow for parts of California.
By Max Golembo ABC News
12 March 2021, 05:58

Storm packs dangerous mudslides, torrential rain


A major storm is on the move Friday, with record-breaking snowfall along with tornado and flood threats expected from California to Kentucky.

This storm already brought 1 to 2 feet of snow for parts of California. Additionally, 1 to 2 inches of rain fell in the southern part of the state, causing a mudslide in Silverado Canyon. Evacuations for this mudslide were still in effect as of Friday morning.

The storm will continue to track east over the Rockies in the next 24 hours, bringing heavy snow to the area.


PHOTO: A major storm is on the move Friday, with record-breaking snowfall along with tornado and flood threats expected from California to Kentucky.

ABC News
ABC News
A major storm is on the move Friday, with record-breaking snowfall along with tornado and flood threats expected from California to Kentucky.

The worst of the storm will be on Sunday when heavy snow will be falling over Denver and severe thunderstorms could bring a threat for damaging winds and tornadoes further east into eastern Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi and western Tennessee.

Snowfall totals could be measured in feet for Colorado and Wyoming, where up to 4 feet of snow is possible.
Denver could see 2 feet of snow this weekend, which could be one of its top 5 snowstorms in recorded history.


PHOTO: Snowfall totals could be measured in feet for Colorado and Wyoming, where up to 4 feet of snow is possible.

ABC News
ABC News
Snowfall totals could be measured in feet for Colorado and Wyoming, where up to 4 feet of snow is possible.

Meanwhile, on the East Coast, more than a dozen record highs were recorded Thursday. Even Boston reached the 70s.
However, this mild weather will be over shortly this weekend.


PHOTO: Most of the Northeast will feel like it's in the teens and single digits on Sunday.

ABC News
ABC News
Most of the Northeast will feel like it's in the teens and single digits on Sunday.

Gusty winds near 45 mph are expected Friday night into Saturday from New Jersey to Maine. These winds will usher in much colder air.

Most of the Northeast will feel like it's in the teens and single digits on Sunday night.

Major storm moving east, will bring record-breaking snow and damaging thunderstorms - ABC News (go.com)
 
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