Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

babysteps

Veteran Member
And yet, here we are in north-central New York state... the ground is bare (we're SICK of mud!), we haven't seen anything colder than mid teens, and we've had more rain than snow. Yesterday was 30 degrees and rain... it's playing hell with all our old injuries, and is terrible weather for outwintering the cattle.

Summerthyme

You have my most sincere sympathies. It sounds like you're getting my regular winter weather and it's AWFUL, I know.

On the rare occasions that it snows here, everyone whines about it - while I give thanks that we're out of the mud for one day!!
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

Clifton-Suspension-Bridge.jpg

Articles

More Climate Science Backtracking: “A Warming Arctic Drove Earth Into The Little Ice Age”​

January 23, 2023 Cap Allon
[Article originally posted Jan 2022 on the now censored and mysteriously ‘missing’ electrovese.net]

They’re acting like this is new news, as if nobody had ever thought of it before: ‘Scientists Discover A Warming Arctic Drove Earth Into The Little Ice Age’. They’re even calling it “surprising”.
As reported by MSN, following an era known as the medieval warm period–so that did exist then…?–temperatures in Europe in the early 15th century plunged in what has become known as The Little Ice Age (LIA).
This remarkable multicentennial period of cold brought increased glaciation to the mountains, an expansion of sea ice, crop failures, famines and disease across the European continent. Flip-flopping summers –with extremes at both ends of the spectrum– were chased by brutally harsh winters, during which rivers and canals routinely froze over.
In the UK, for example, the first River Thames “frost fair” was held in 1608, and was an almost annual occurrence until the last one in 1814–so before the AGW Party’s proposed date for the start of the industrial revolution (≈1880) when global temperatures supposedly began climbing due to increasing CO2 emissions …[one day we’ll laugh]…
There are, as is good and proper, numerous potential explanations for what caused temperatures to plummet during the LIA, some logical, some not so — such as heightened levels of volcanic activity, reduced solar activity, and even the black death reducing the human population.
But scientists at the University of Massachusetts believe they have found a “new” key factor in why temperatures plunged to their coldest in 10,000 years–and they’re pretending like it hasn’t already been covered by ‘alternative’ outlets for years: “Surprisingly,” the researchers say, “the cooling appears to have been triggered by an unusually warm episode.”
The “discovery” came after Lead author Francois Lapointe, a postdoctoral researcher and lecturer in geosciences at the University of Massachusetts, and Raymond Bradley, distinguished professor in geosciences, also at the University of Massachusetts, came across new data suggesting a rapid change in sea temperatures.
Their previous work, which built a 3,000-year reconstruction of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, revealed a sudden change from very warm conditions in the late 1300s to unprecedented cold conditions in the early 1400s, only 20 years later.
Using various sources to obtain detailed marine records, Dr Lapointe and Professor Bradley discovered there had been an abnormally strong northward transfer of warm water in the late 1300s which peaked around 1380. As a result, the waters south of Greenland and the Nordic Seas became much warmer than usual.
“No one has recognized this before,” said Dr Lapointe…!?
The researchers explained that there is a transfer of warm water from the tropics to the Arctic. It’s a well-recognized process called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which can be likened to a planetary conveyor belt. When it is functioning normally, warm water from the tropics flows north along the coast of Northern Europe, and when it reaches higher latitudes and meets colder Arctic waters, it loses heat and becomes denser, causing the water to sink. This deep-water formation then flows south along the coast of North America and continues on to circulate around the world.

AMOC
This topographic map shows the schematic circulation of surface currents (solid curves) and deep currents (dashed curves) of the Atlantic Ocean, which form a portion of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The colors of the curves indicate approximate temperatures.

However, in the late 1300s, the AMOC strengthened significantly, which meant that far more warm water than usual was moving north, which in turn caused rapid Arctic ice loss. Over the course of just a few decades in the late 1300s and early 1400s, vast amounts of icy waters flowed into the North Atlantic, waters that not only cooled the North Atlantic, but also diluted its saltiness, ultimately causing the AMOC to collapse. It is this collapse of the conveyor belt which triggered the substantial cooling suffered in Europe, the researchers said.
Worryingly, a startling-similar process appears to be underway today (there’s something amiss with The Beaufort Gyre, too).
In recent decades, particularly during the the 1960s and 1980s, we’ve witnessed a rapid strengthening of the AMOC, a phenomenon linked with the persistently high pressure in the atmosphere over Greenland. Dr Lapointe and Professor Bradley believe that what’s playing out now is the same atmospheric situation that occurred just prior to the Little Ice Age. But what could have set off that persistent high-pressure event in the 1380s? The answer, according to Dr Lapointe, can be found in trees.
The researchers compared their findings to a new record of solar activity revealed by radiocarbon isotopes preserved in tree rings, and discovered that unusually high solar activity was recorded in the late 1300s.
Increased solar activity tends to lead to high atmospheric pressure over Greenland. It also correlates with fewer volcanic eruptions, which means less ash is in the air — a cleaner atmosphere results in earth being more responsive to changes in solar output: “Hence the effect of high solar activity on the atmospheric circulation in the North-Atlantic was particularly strong,” said Dr Lapointe.
But this is where the MSN article fails to offer any honest answers and/or comparisons to today. It trips up, likely due it having to adhere to a dogmatic narrative and dutifully tow the AGW Party line in order to have any chance of being published.
The article goes on to suggest that there isn’t enough ice remaining in the Arctic to cause such an injection of cold water into the North Atlantic today, which is absurd, but then immediately contradicts itself with this quote from Dr Lapointe:
“We do have to keep an eye on the build-up of freshwater in the Beaufort Sea which has increased by 40 per cent in the past two decades. … Climate models do not capture these events reliably and so we may be underestimating future ice loss from the ice sheet, with more freshwater entering the North Atlantic, potentially leading to a weakening or collapse of the AMOC.”
A collapse of the AMOC would plunge Europe and much of North America into ice age conditions almost overnight, and Dr Lapointe, at least to my mind, is a scientist warning of a genuine impending catastrophe–perhaps one about to be triggered by the release of The Beaufort Gyre, often referred to as the “ticking climate bomb”.
What the MSN article also fails to mention is that those dates cited as being the beginning of the modern strengthening of the AMOC (1960s through 1980s) were decades of extraordinarily high solar output –the highest in thousands of years, in fact– and which culminated in the end of the modern Grand Solar Maximum (2007-or-so), so adding further support to the theory.
Also not addressed is NASA’s longstanding research showing that while Earth’s overall temperature trends colder during prolonged bouts of low solar activity (such as today’s descent into the next Grand Solar Minimum, which likely commenced during Solar Cycle 24), not all regions experience the chill. As visualized in NASA’s ‘Maunder Minimum Reconstruction Map’ (shown below), areas such as the Arctic, Alaska and the North Atlantic actually warm during spells of otherwise ‘global’ cooling.


Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.

The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.

Agreed.

One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).

Related

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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

gfs_T2ma_namer_62-e1674565091782.png

Extreme Weather

New National Record Low Set In China; All Korean Stations Fall Below Zero; Heathrow’s Coldest Jan Temp Since 1987–With UK National Grid “Rewarding” Brits For Switching Off Power; + Cold Records Fall Across U.S.–As “Piercing” Arctic Outbreak Looms​

January 24, 2023 Cap Allon
There’s a lot to get through today so I’ll try to keep things short…

New National Record Low Set In China

Impressive low temperature benchmarks have been felled across Asia of late, none more so than Sunday’s -53C (-63.4F) in Mohe City, China — the coldest reading ever recorded by the Chinese meteorological system.
Note: outlets such as the BBC are reporting that Inner Mongolia’s -58C (-72.4F) from 2009 (solar minimum of cycle 23) is China’s official record low, but this data wasn’t logged by an official national weather station and so has to be discarded (much like the eastern Siberian Village of Essey registering -75C (103F) last week).




Jim yang
@yangyubin1998

【New record】 The lowest temperature at the Jingtao AWS in Mohe fell to - 53.0C this morning, which is the lowest temperature observed by the Chinese meteorological system!
8:46 PM · Jan 21, 2023
The Xinhua News Agency said a number of areas in the Greater Khingan mountain range, which spans Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang, also saw new record lows over the weekend; while Mohe itself has busted its own all-time low temperature record (set in 1969) on four consecutive mornings, culminating in Sunday’s historic -53C (-63.4F).

One resident told Kanji Video that his hands became numb within 10 seconds of stepping outdoors, and that he had seen very few other people around: “It becomes hazy about 100m in front of you, you can’t see anyone,” he said.

Other notable lows from Jan 22 include, Beijicun’s -50.3C (its first-ever -50C), Tulih’s -49.1C, Huzhong’s -48.9C, Xinlin’s -48.3C, Huma’s -47.6C, Tahe’s -47.1, Qianshao’s -51.4C, Mengwushiwei’s -51.1C, Shangkuli’s -50.9C, Moerdaoga’s -50.7, and Xinan’s -50.6C.



Heavy snow in Tibet has also been noted.

The death toll from a tragic avalanche has now reached 28, as multiple vehicles were buried under snow and ice on a section of road between Pai village in Mainling county and the Doxong La tunnel in Medog county.

Chinese state media reported late last Friday that rescue workers had been digging by hand when they uncovered eight more bodies, bringing the search to an end.

Temperatures have plummeted in neighboring Mongolia, too.

Lows of -49.9C (-57.8F) were logged at Bayan Uul and -49C (-56.2F) at Gandan Huryee — readings rivaling historic lows.


All Korean Stations Fall Below Zero, Heavy Snow Hits Japan

East Asia Cold Spell is impacting more that just China, with the likes of the Korean Peninsula and Japan also shivering.

Arctic air intensified across the Korean Peninsula Tuesday morning (Jan 24), with ALL of the region’s weathers stations dropped below the freezing mark.

Seoul, South Korea’s capital, logged a finger-snapping -16C (3.2F); while in North Korea, authorities have issued ‘extreme cold’ weather alerts with the mercury set to continue to plunge, even below -30C (-22F) in the north where electricity is uncommon.

Radio Free Asia reported last month (Dec 2022) that “large numbers” of North Koreans had gone missing during another bout of extremely cold temperatures, with people thought to have starved/frozen-to-death as the mercury plunged and food became scarce.

It would appear the exact same tragedy is about to play out again, a month later — one that is also being witnessed in Central and Western Asia, across the ‘stans, for example:


Looking ahead, Asia’s big freeze is also forecast to expand further South and East, reaching Southern China, Taiwan and Japan.

Japan is already suffering record volumes of snow and its coldest temperature in at least a decade, with authorities issuing alerts across the country as potentially historic blizzards –rivaling those all-time record-dumpings seen earlier in the season and also last year– are about to hit.



James Reynolds
@EarthUncutTV

Inside the main snow band now and it’s chucking it down in Myoko #japan https://t.co/7FWW1ByGTq


Image

12:35 AM · Jan 24, 2023
But don’t worry, the feet upon feet of blowing, treacherous snow that are already beginning to accumulate can be combated by “walking like a penguin”. For more helpful instructions, take note of the educational video embedded below which isn’t at all patronizing or insulting and certainly doesn’t show an outrageous level of disrespect for the average Joe:



NHK WORLD News
@NHKWORLD_News

Temperatures are expected to drop to once-in-a-decade levels tomorrow in many parts of Japan. Heavy snow is expected, so here is some advice on how to walk on snow-covered roads. https://t.co/BJCP90W1OT


Image

5:00 AM · Jan 24, 2023
On the topic of ‘how dumb do they think we are?’, don’t go thinking that Asia’s deadly and persistent Arctic cold is due to a cyclically waning sun, oh no: As explained by the official Chinese national meteorological agency, “polar fronts caused by global warming are to blame for the frigid air.”

I’m not joking, that’s what they said–while simultaneously reporting on the region’s “unusually cold winter,” no less, which has delivered the lowest average December-January temperatures in many-a-decade (at least four).

Despite the official, agenda-driving rhetoric, the data show Arctic ice isn’t going anywhere, with this year actually bringing Greenland its ‘healthiest’-ever start to a season in record books dating back to the early-1980s.

Also, and returning to China but staying on the topic of ice, about a thousand ships are currently stuck in Laizhou Bay in the eastern Bohai Sea, according to China Daily. Some 10,500 square miles (27,000 km2) of sea surface has frozen in Bohai Bay, the greatest ice extent since records began, according to the Chinese Meteorological Association.

Needless to say, the aforementioned ‘explain-away’ is just another example of establishment gas-lighting, which has become an all too common phenomenon in recent times and on a myriad of crucial topics, too: “Stroke Season”, anyone…?

continued ...
 

alpha

Veteran Member
part two ...
Electroverse

First-Ever -50C In Aldan, Siberia

I’m struggling to keep up with the fallen cold records. Example: In what would ordinarily be leading news, Aldan breaking the -50C benchmark for the first time in its history is instead resigned to a sub-story.

In the world climatology there is a new member of the -50C club.

Aldan, Siberia dropped to -50C (-58F) this week, busting its previous all-time record low record of -48.7C set back in 1951.

Similarly with Mohe, the previous record has been bested three days in a row: -49.6C, then the -50C, and most recently -49.3C.


Record Cold Palau

Palau –an archipelago of over 500 islands, part of the Micronesia region in the western Pacific Ocean– is shivering.

Over the weekend, 69.1F (20.6C) was registered at the Palauan Int. Airport — the lowest temperature ever recorded, matching the all-time low set on three previous occasions: in 1953, 1979 and 1998.


Heathrow’s Coldest Jan Temp Since 1987–With National Grid “Rewarding” Brits For Switching Off Power

Despite the ignored Urban Heat Island effect, Heathrow Airport, London just suffered its lowest January temperature since 1987 (solar minimum of cycle 21).

Monday morning’s low of -8.4C (16.9F) is also the airport’s coldest-ever reading since the deep freeze of 2010.

The mercury has crashed across England and Wales this week, with Santon Downham, Suffolk, nearing -10C (14F), with the Met Office warning that a further intensification could be on the cards into February, with the ‘polar vortex’ potentially leading to a repeat of 2010’s Big Freeze or indeed 2018’s ‘Beast from the East’.

Coinciding with the plunging temperatures, the UK National Grid is “rewarding” customers who switch off their power during peak times (i.e. in the evening, when the mercury begins falling).

Those who qualify for the reward (of £20) require a smart meter –another controlling measure– and were required to switch off between 5pm-6pm on Monday, with that window extended further on this evening (Tuesday) to cover 4:30pm to 6pm.

Suicidal policy decisions (i.e. decades of under-investment in cheap and reliable fossil fuels in favor of failing, virtue-signalling renewables) are now coming home to roost, and hard; but make no mistake about it, this chaos is entirely by design — in order to have a ‘Great Reset’ you first need a total collapse: a ‘Great Depression’.


Elsewhere in Europe

Very cold nights have been endured across Western/Central Europe, from northern England to southern Spain.

Poland has suffered heavy, disruptive snow of late, which has led to some 300,00 people losing power. In Malopolskie and Podkarpackie, for exampe, repair crews are reportedly struggling to access damaged power lines due to freezing conditions.


Temperatures here are expected to plummet further; as a result, authorities across the country are on the highest alert.

Even to the south, across the Mediterranean, freezing lows have been reported, and at low elevations, too.

Italy, for example, is freezing, as is Spain (as noted above) — but so are North African nations: The coastal city of Nador, Morocco has dipped to -0.9C; Ouargla and Laghoua in Algeria recently sank to -1.4C and -4C, respectively; with Kebili, Tunisia reaching -2.9C.

The cold is forecast to intensify for the remainder of the week.

And looking further ahead, into February, waning polar jets are threatening to plunge freezing Arctic air masses into the majority of Europe, including the UK (and the U.S.–more on that below), next month.


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Jan 24 – Feb 9 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Prepare for further disruptions to Europe’s power grid as heating demand soars and the infrastructure buckles. But also keep in mind that the oil CEOs have warned that “next winter” will see the onset of the “real” energy crisis — so prepare for that, and all.


Cold Records Fall Across US…

The air has turned decidedly Baltic across a good portion of the United States.

Picking a few fallen of the many fallen records at random, a low of -3F was logged at Lake Tahoe Airport on Sunday, which, according to National Weather Service (NWS) data, beats the former record for the date (of -2F). Tahoe’s low was more than 20F below the average for the time of year, with the locale also sitting under record accumulations of snow.

Also, Denver is looking ready to post its first January in 13 years with no 60-degree days.

While in Cincinnati, a record amount of snow settled on Sunday: CVG picked-up 5.6″ which usurped the previous daily record of 4.5″ from 1966 (solar minimum of cycle 19).

The cold is setting in across the U.S., with more states forecast to be under the influence of Arctic air as the week progresses.

It should also be noted that weather models are continuing to underestimate the temperatures, coming out far too warm versus observations, and also not as expansive with the freeze line already extended much further east than anticipated.


Heavy snow is coming down in Texas this morning, for example, including the Panhandle:



Chris Adams
@DarthZorel

Snow is coming down in the Texas Panhandle. Starting to stick, too. This is Levelland. Hopper advises you stay inside, keep warm, and have some cocoa. That dude who just drove by…don’t be that guy. Be safe out there! #txwx @NWSLubbock https://t.co/drIVniW81h https://t.co/xiKRp0DJRf


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1:53 AM · Jan 24, 2023
And also in Lubbock:


DQ Cleveland
@DQ2208

#txwx @NWSLubbock @TxStormChasers @DivineWeather @rrobertswxlab @jrileywx @LanceBlockerWx @matternst34 @DalOBrien @KyleGraves24 First hour accumulation! ☺️❄️ https://t.co/G7vjW4Ef95


Image

2:25 AM · Jan 24, 2023
While even the highlands of Mexico are witnessing a big freeze, with lows of -20C (-4F) suffered at La Rosilla, for example:



…As A “Piercing” Arctic Outbreak Looms

As hinted at above, as similar setup to that currently ravaging Asia could be about to play out across North America.


Thanks to a strong Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event, polar cold could be about to escape the Arctic and as far south as the Deep South.

gfs_asnow_namer_fh0-384-4.gif


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Jan 24 – Feb 9 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The U.S. could indeed experience its own fierce, full-blown and long-lasting ‘Arctic Outbreak’ starting as early as late-January:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Jan 25 – Feb 9 [tropicaltidbits.com].


Canada won’t be spared, of course, with a blast of dense icy air inbound across the full breadth of the country.

Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) expects the bitter system to churn into the Prairie beginning Thursday, bringing a mess of wintry weather — to be followed by a sudden drop in temperatures.

“This ridge of high pressure that was over Siberia, sometimes it’s called the Siberian high,” said Kyle Fougère, ECCC meteorologist.

“You have this really this clear air that allows the Earth to just radiate and lose all of its heat out to the atmosphere. And so when it sits for there for a long time, you can get really cold temperatures under this clear, cold ridge of high pressure,” continued Fougère.

“Unfortunately, when you do get that cold air it can be really hard to displace so it’s looking like it’s going to sit across the Prairies and linger for quite a while.”

Prepare North Americas and Europeans (and indeed Asians) — this Northern Hemisphere winter is about to get real…


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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

snow-japan-2-e1674643959121.jpeg

Extreme Weather

Record Lows And Deadly Snows Sweep Japan; Iceland’s Coldest December For 50 Years; + Cold Arctic Skies Produce Rare ‘Polar Stratospheric Clouds’​

January 25, 2023 Cap Allon

Record Cold And Deadly Snow Sweep Japan

Asia’s cold spell is intensifying, particularly in the east where records are continuing to fall across the likes of China, the Koreas and Japan.
Frost and/or snow has touched all regions of Japan, and historical benchmarks are tumbling.
This morning (Jan 25), Kousa –for example– logged a low of -9C (15.8F), which is the locale’s lowest temperature ever recorded in books dating back to 1979.
Additional records were also toppled Wednesday morning, some of which are compiled below (data courtesy of the JMA):



Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

Accompanying Wednesday’s record cold has been heavy and deadly accumulating snow, which has snarled traffic, disrupted train travel, forced the cancellation of hundreds of flights, and left at least three people dead.


The city of Fukui, on the western coast of Japan, Jan 24 [AFPPIX].


The snow was particularly heavy up the coast along the Sea of Japan, with the city of Maniwa, for example, in Okayama Prefecture, hit with a record 93 cm (3+ feet) in just 24 hours (to 8:00 AM Wednesday morning).


James Reynolds
@EarthUncutTV

Wild on the coast! Howling wind, blowing snow and ice https://t.co/sYPsI2N2TK


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7:09 PM · Jan 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...1072widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1618038427156611072

James Reynolds
@EarthUncutTV

The highway is rough, follow the marker lights and take it slow and steady - chasing sea effect snow in #japan https://t.co/co7AhTqkOx


Image

9:45 PM · Jan 24, 2023
On a section of highway stretching 10 km (6 miles) in central Japan, hundreds of vehicles were stuck in the snow. While in Fukui Prefecture, cars and trucks were brought to a halt on a 14-km-stretch of a national road overnight Tuesday.

The big freeze is hitting Japan’s trains, too: At stations in the western city of Kyoto, some 3,000 people have been stranded after drifting snow forced the suspension of services, with some passengers forced to sleep at Kyoto’s main station.

“We only got one thermal sheet each from staff, I couldn’t sleep because it was so cold,” said Masahiro Nishikawa, who spent the night on the floor of Kyoto Station.

The country’s high-speed train services have also been disrupted.


Treasure Forest
@treasureforest2

Trapped in the countryside No any Tran can coming in or out….. #Japan #snow #NFTs https://t.co/Wo6YfHJ4Mp


Image

4:20 AM · Jan 25, 2023
Japan’s bitter freeze is forecast to persist through the remainder of the week, with the JMA calling for continued vigilance against blizzards, rough seas and icy roads.



James Briggs
@jamescbriggs

Incredible snow here in Hiroshima, Japan as it faces what’s been called a once in a decade cold snap. Temperature is currently -5 degrees https://t.co/CLJ5sZerOu


Image

9:37 AM · Jan 24, 2023
These conditions are rivaling the all-time record-busting snowfall that accumulated in December:


Iceland’s Coldest Dec For 50 Years

December delivered record cold across Iceland, but particularly to the capital Reykjavík which suffered its coldest month in more than a century.
The national average for Dec 2022 came out at -4C (24.8F) — Iceland’s coldest December since 1973 (solar minimum of cycle 20).
Reykjavík posted an average of -3.9C (25F) which is a whopping 4.7C below the multidecadal norm and meant the capital city endured its coldest December in 126 years, matching the Dec of 1916 (The Centennial Minimum), according to Met Office data.
On only three prior occasions has Reykjavík been colder: in 1878, 1886 and 1880.
Elsewhere, Akureyri logged its coldest December since 1973; Hveravellir it’s coldest ever (in books extending back to 1965).


Freezing Europe

Finger-snapping lows and disruptive snows are also impacting the UK and mainland Europe–with the UK continuing to pay people to switch off their power as the National Grid struggles to cope with the heating demand.
Snow is falling and ice is forming from Scandinavia to southern Spain, from Wales to the Ukraine as complacent Europeans struggle to cope with plunging temperatures after what has been a mild first few weeks of winter (ignoring mid-Dec’s record cold–technically still autumn).
Freezing nights have also been felt as far south as North Africa, across the highlands but locally at low elevations, too.
In Algeria, some record-challenging Tmins include the -7.3C (18.9F) at Batna and the 1C (33.8F) at Annaba (on the coast); while in Tunisia, -5.6C (21.9F) hit the city of Kasserine, with coastal locales, such as Tabarka, Bizerte and Gabes, posting lows of -0.2C (31.6F), 0.6C (33.1F) and 0.1C (32.2F), respectively, with an exceptional -3.1C (26.4F) observed at Enfidha.
Looking ahead, more of the same is on the cards for the remainder of the month, with some longer-range models hinting at the possibility of Europe and North Africa –as well as North America– could be on the brink of another powerful Arctic Outbreak.


Cold Arctic Skies Produces Rare ‘Polar Stratospheric Clouds’ (PSCs)

A rare outbreak of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) is underway.
The below image was shot by Richard Jenkinson on Tuesday, Jan 24 in Nellim, northern Finland:


PSCs seen above Finland on Tuesday [Richard Jenkinson].

Polar stratospheric clouds are rare, explains Dr Tony Phillips of spaceweather.com.
They form when the temperature in the Arctic stratosphere drops to a staggeringly-low -85C (121F). Then, and only then, can widely-spaced water molecules begin to coalesce into tiny ice crystals. High-altitude sunlight shining through the crystals then creates intense iridescent colors often likened to auroras.
NASA models of the polar stratosphere show that temperatures have dropped into the very low range required for Type II PSCs:



Looking ahead, the forecast (yellow line) is calling for something of a ‘warm-up’ as January draws to a close, warming that could be tied to the development of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event (though the data far from conclusive at this point).
SSW’s increases the likelihood of fierce polar air escaping the Arctic and plunging south into the lower latitudes — a scenario we’re seeing anyway in Asia –and are about to see in the North America (see below)– despite the absence of any SSW.


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Jan 28 – Feb 6 [tropicaltidbits.com].

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Cap

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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

Asia-snow-e1674736627878.jpg
Articles Extreme Weather

Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall; 157 Afghans Now Confirmed To Have Frozen-To-Death In “Coldest Winter On Record”; Benchmarks Busted In U.S.; + *All-Time* Records Continue To Fall Across Japan​

January 26, 2023 Cap Allon

Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall

Algeria has witnessed rare snowfall this week as Europe’s Arctic front plunges as far south as Northern Africa.
The sand dunes across the south-west of the country have been blanketed white, with Beni Ounif, for example, seeing its first heavy snowfall since 2012.
Northern parts have endured heavy snow for days, which has led to blocked roads, isolating towns and villages, and delays at airports.


Chettouh Moatez Billah شتوح معتز باللّٰه
@MoatezCH7

سفينة الصحراء وقد اضاع الثلج بوصلتها في منطقة بني ونيف - بشار في صحراء الجزائر ⁦ The snow in the Algerian desert #Algeria #snow #desert #camel https://t.co/d3mumEqqDb


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4:19 AM · Jan 25, 2023
Looking ahead, Algeria’s Meteorological Office issued alerts for snowfall in Bechar, with flakes also expected to continue for the remainder of the week across the likes of Ghardaia–located 700 km south of Algiers.

157 Afghans Now Confirmed To Have Frozen-To-Death In “Coldest Winter On Record”
Afghanistan is facing lows of -34C (-29.2F) and disruptions to the power grid, food supply.


At least 157 people, likely many more, have now frozen-to-death across the South Asian nation, a Taliban official confirmed, as millions face bitter, record-breaking temperatures amid failing electricity infrastructure.

Lows of -34C are far below the nationwide winter average, which stands at between 0C and 5C (32F and 41F).

The United Nations is busy sticking its oar in and drumming-up more funding–I mean ‘helping’, claiming on Twitter to have delivered aid such as blankets, heating and shelter to some 565,700 people: “But much more is needed amid one of the coldest spells in years,” the agency added.

At least 70,000 livestock have also perished across the country, Shafiullah Rahimi, a spokesman for the Taliban’s Ministry of Disaster Management confirmed. While heavy snow has blocked many roads across mainly central and northern provinces.


Ariana News
@ArianaNews_

افغانستان من: تصاویر برفی از شهر میمنه ولایت فاریاب فرستنده: قدیر قادری #ArianaNews #Afghanistan #Faryab #Mimana #Winter #Snow https://t.co/clQ8fcQICA


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2:19 AM · Jan 26, 2023
Benchmarks Busted In U.S.
Snowfall from Texas to Maine is expected to surpass 8 inches on Thursday, according to NWS, while northern New England and surrounding areas may see over a foot, likely leading to dangerous travelling conditions.

Records have already been felled:

Dayton, Ohio, for example, has busted a 108-year-old record for snowfall after 5 inches accumulated Wednesday, besting the 4.9 inches from 1915 (The Centennial Minimum).

The Twin Lakes Area also posted record snow, with the nine inches that settled at Mountain Home tripling the previous record for the date set back 1978 (solar minimum of cycle 21).

There was also record setting snow overnight in portions of southeast Missouri, including here at Regional Radio where the 8 inches of snow as of early Wednesday morning smashed the old benchmark of a half inch set back in 1956.

And lastly, but by no means exhaustively, the Texas Panhandle busted records, with the 2.8 inches at Amarillo, for example, breaking a record in books dating back to 1892.



Looking ahead, further snow is on the horizon for the U.S., and indeed Canada, in line with the arrival of a full-blown Arctic Outbreak:



GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Jan 28 – Jan 31 [tropicaltidbits.com].

*All-Time* Records Continue To Fall Across Japan

People are continuing to die in Japan as Asia’s unprecedented Arctic blast persists.

Japanese officials said another four people died on Wednesday and Thursday, all from clearing record-breaking volumes of snow amid what Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno has called a “once-in-a-decade cold snap.”


Chaudhary Parvez
@ChaudharyParvez

Northern #Japan experienced heavy #snowfall and rough seas on Thursday. Heavy #snow and record cold temperatures have brought widespread disruptions in Japan. #WinterStorm #snowfall #Winter #日本 #雪 https://t.co/6B3EFija9J


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5:55 AM · Jan 26, 2023
However, ‘once-in-a-decade’ looks to be underplaying it, as all-time low temperature records are being felled across Japan this week, such as the -8.3C logged in Tobishima, the -11.6C at Matsumae, Ushibuka’s -3.4C, Kuroiso’s -13.3C, Otawara’s -16.4C, Shioya’s -13.5C, Numata’s -14.4C, Ueda’s -14.4C, Yokkaichi’s -8.2C, Higashiomi’s -12.3C, Nagi’s -16.8C, and Imaoka’s -14.2C.

Additionally, many all-time ‘low-max’ temperatures have fallen during the days.

Note, these are temperatures never-before registered in these locales, often in books dating back to the early-1900s/late-1800s.






Sayaka Mori
@sayakasofiamori

All observation spots in the four main islands of Japan except for Tateyama had below freezing temps Wednesday morning. Tateyama is known for mild weather even in winter thanks to the Kuroshio current https://t.co/CqHfPr6mAq


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4:57 AM · Jan 25, 2023
Despite the claimed ravages of anthropocentric global warming, the majority of Japan has never been colder.

The same can be said for much of Asia, and all, with a new national record low falling in China this week (-53C), and with a myriad of long-standing benchmarks also slain across the Koreas, Siberia, the ‘stans as well as much of Western Asia.

Another freezing morning was posted in China on Thursday with historical records falling in Wuxi and Yancheng, for example.

A frigid -33.2C was also registered at Chunggang, North Korea and -25.2C at Taegwallyong, South Korea.

A cold morning was suffered in Tawain, as well, with -9.1C noted on the island’s higher elevations.

The polar air has even arrived as far south as the Philippines, too, with an unusually-low 13C suffered in Basco.

However, despite Asia’s persistent, record-slaying and continent-wide freeze (soon to be three continents with Arctic Outbreaks also forecast for North America and Europe), dutiful agenda-peddlers CNN are churning out the damage limitation stories, claiming, with a straight face, that what we’ve been seeing across Asia these past few months is indeed global warming.

The MSM have even carted out a few paid-off (or at best clueless) ‘experts’ to explain-away Asia’s extreme freeze:

“We can consider this extreme weather — extremely hot weather in summer and extremely cold weather in winter — as one of the signals of climate change,” said Korea Meteorological Administration spokesperson, Woo Jin-kyu.

While Yeh Sang-wook, a climate professor at Hanyang University in Seoul, takes the absurdities even further, claiming that record Arctic melting last year (false, ice held up well) is the reason Asia is so cold right now: “When sea ice is melted, the sea opens up, sending up more vapor into air, leading to more snow in the north”.

Right… but we’re not talking about ‘snow in the north’, Sang-wook, we’re talking about unprecedented ‘cold in the south’.

“There is no other [explanation],” added Sang-wook, who, in the CNN article is then immediately contradicted by Kevin Trenberth, of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR): “There’s certainly a large natural variability that occurs … at the moment we’re in the La Niña phase, and that certainly influences the kinds of patterns that tend to occur … so that’s a player as well.”

La Niña has a cooling effect on global temperatures. We’re currently experiencing rare third-consecutive La Niña, which, again, is another reality that the climate hucksters got precisely backwards:


Sang-wook concludes with another illogical spewing: “[Global warming] is indeed deepening and there is a consensus among global scientists that this kind of cold phenomenon will worsen going forward.”

These people are idiots, at best.

Global warming is the theory — global warming, which, as The Science decreed for decades, means linearly rising temperatures and reduced snowfall, globally. But what the AGW Party are doing now is twisting a failed hypothesis to fit real world observations when, instead, a new theory should be offered up. TPTB and their legacy media lapdogs are engaging in fraud.


Their logic runs like this: ‘As the world continues to warm, it will also cool; as the snow vanishes, it will simultaneously become more pronounced; and as the sea ice melts, it will also expand. In a nutshell: global warming = global cooling‘ — doublethink.

Honest scientific inquiry, however, puts a ‘meridional’ jet stream flow as the root cause of these swings-between-extremes.

And this ‘wavy’ flow has an entirely natural cause: historically low solar activity.

For more:


I cannot believe CNN et al. are still trying this.

Nor, for the life of me, can I understand why seemingly thoughtful and rationale individuals are still falling for it.

‘Global warming’ is a political weapon, the existential excuse used to rip us proles of our hard, multi-century-earned prosperity–which started with the industrial revolution.

I, personally, am working to build my family an off-grid bolthole in Central Portugal. Although at times trying, we are all now free from the conformist nonsense (by limiting TV), we’re free the poisonous inputs they feed us with (by growing our own organic food and snubbing pharmaceutical products); and we’re also immune from soaring energy prices and blackouts (as we’re harnessing solar power, with wood-burning backups).

‘The system’ makes it hard to escape, however; harder still to contradict The Narrative publicly, as I do on Electroverse.

I migrated the website last year (from .net to .co), but the ‘powers that be’ soon caught up with me. The site is, once again, heavily censored and has recently (as of last week) had its advertising removed for “violating Google policy’; that is, for suggesting that humans are not a cancer on the planet–which, clearly, is not the messaging children are allowed to hear.

Thank you to those who have very generously donated via Paypal over the past few days. If anyone else is able to support my Electroverse efforts, please consider becoming a patron or clicking the Paypal link in the sidebar (scroll down if on mobile).

Most importantly, though, stay safe and prepare.

This chaos is far from over.
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
Starting to get intense around the world. I have been building (in my spare time) a 21’ diameter, 2-story dome intended to be self-sufficient with solar power, water collected from the rain, and a urine-diversion compost toilet with a methane-from-manure cookstove and a small rocket stove mass heater. I have concluded that I need to build an air-Crete thick insulation shell over it to triple the insulation values, and minimize the fire danger (it is in the forest). until this week there was no snow on the ground. Then 16”, followed by maybe 4-8” and then rain in the early morning. About 5” of new “slop” on the ground that needs to be moved before night fall and freezing temps.

we all need to figure out how to survive when there is no supporting economic structure existing....
 

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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

bison-polan.jpg
Articles Extreme Weather

Heavy Snow For Europe; Historic Totals Across Western U.S.; Nunavut School Lowers ‘Cold Weather Cutoff’ To -60C (-76F); + “Unprecedented” 170-Strong Herd Of Bison Spotted In Poland​

January 27, 2023 Cap Allon

Heavy Snow For Europe

From Scotland to Spain, Sweden to Turkey, further bouts of heavy snows and freezing lows are on the cards for Europe.
Flakes are forecast to return to the UK Sunday evening (Jan 29), compounding the country’s ongoing energy woes–with the National Grid continuing to pay Brits to turn off their electricity during peak times to help with demand. Latest models see snow falling at a rate of 3cm-per-hour in Scotland, with potentially disruptive accumulations building across the higher elevations.
Record-challenging totals are forecast for the likes of Norway, with feet expected across the Alps and Pyrenees.
Balkan nations won’t miss out as the calendar flips to February.
Rare flurries could again clip the Costa Del Sol.
And similarly in Turkey, alarmists’ cries of “global warming = mild winter” will soon predictably morph into brainless yelps of “global warming = record-setting snow”: The eco-warriors were offered a cake but now want to eat it, too. But I recall the days when global warming meant ‘linearly-rising temperatures and decreasing snowfall’ — this was the theory doggedly promoted for the past few decades: “Snowfall will become a thing of the past”, and the rest…


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Jan 27 – Feb 12 [tropicaltidbits.com].

What we’re seeing now (i.e. deadly Arctic Outbreaks and above-average global snowpack) has rendered the AGW theory an abject failure, yet ‘they’ won’t let it die and are instead hellbent on twisting and rewriting it to fit with real world observations that simply won’t play ball: “Global warming = global cooling”, which they say is caused by ‘polar amplification’. But if that were the case, explain the goings-on in the Southern Hemisphere where Antarctica is cooling yet polar outbreaks are simultaneously increasing?
Looking ahead, a full-blown ‘polar vortex’ is still forecast to impact Europe next month. Time will tell on that one, but the likes of Asia has been suffering its own record-setting outbreak for months now, with North America due a similar fate, starting this weekend.


Historic Totals Across Western U.S.

It has been a winter for the record books in the western United States. And looking ahead, the models are in agreement that another Arctic Outbreak is about to hit, this time engulfing the majority of the North American continent.


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Jan 28 – Feb 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].

GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Jan 27 – Feb 12 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Putting aside what’s to come, unprecedented snowfall has already clipped Western mountains this year.
The Central Sierra Snow Lab officially recorded 175 inches of snow across the Northern Sierra Nevada mountains as of Jan 19 — that’s 249% of the average for the entire month of January.
At Mammoth Lakes, a staggering 400+ inches of snow has fallen this year which is a new all-time record and led to resort officials commenting, “Most places would view what we just experienced in Mammoth Lakes as a natural disaster.”
Areas of Lake Tahoe have received 100 inches more than they did all of last year. Tahoe has met, and will certainly break, historic snowfall records this year.
While in Northern California, Mt. Shasta has received 180 inches of snowfall thus far; typically, the average snowfall for the entire season is 136 inches.





Northstar California
@Northstar_CA

With 336 inches of snowfall to date, we've already surpassed last year's season snowfall total... BY 100 INCHES This 50th season is going to be one to remember for the ages! – : @kateyhamill https://t.co/rQjuYwBSrQ


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10:45 AM · Jan 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...0976widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1617911395172990976

Kirkwood Mountain Resort
@KirkwoodMTN

We have received A LOT of snow! That is probably not breaking news to anyone, but let's take a second to marvel at these numbers: -80" in the last week ❄️ -163" through the first 15 days of January (that is over 10 inches per day on average) -352" this season ❄️❄️ https://t.co/s8WAnNY7Sr


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5:43 PM · Jan 16, 2023
Florida Chills
While the Northeast is still waiting on its first proper January snow (it got more than enough over the Holidays as ‘one of the worst winter storms in U.S. history’ delivered 8-feet to the likes of Buffalo, killing at least 100 people), down south, however, Florida’s Manatees are struggling with unusually-frigid conditions.

State officials reported this week that at least 56 manatees have died this month, compared to 39 during the same period in 2022 — which turned out to be the second-deadliest year on record.

According to wildlife experts, the majority of this year’s deaths can be attributed to the state’s recent severe cold spell,


Nunavut School Lowers ‘Cold Weather Cutoff’ To -60C (-76F)

The District Education Authority (DEA) in Sanirajak, Nunavut, has loosened its cold weather policy.


The Arnaqjuaq school’s former weather policy called for closure when the windchill reached between –50C and –55C (-58F and -67F). But recently, it was agreed to bump that down to –60C (-76F) so that kids miss fewer days.


January day in Sanirajak, Nunavut.

A windchill below –60C is pretty rare, even in Sanirajak, a community of fewer than 900 people on the shore of Foxe Basin in the central Arctic. But it does happen. In fact, it could happen today… Environment and Climate Change Canada issued an extreme cold warning for the community Thursday: –42C (-43.6F) is expected, with an early-morning windchill nearing –60C.

Nothing says ‘catastrophic global warming’ like lowering the cut-off for cold-weather days.


“Unprecedented” 170-Strong Herd Of Bison Spotted In Poland

A large, 170-strong herd of bison has been spotted on the outskirts of Białowieża Forest in eastern Poland — the largest ever seen, according to local scientists.

As reported by notesfrompoland.com –and as pointed out to me by reader ‘MK’– the group was observed at the end of December by researchers who monitor bison and study their reproduction.

The researchers released the below image of the herd:



“We were surprised to see such a large number of bison in one place,” said Rafał Kowalczyk, who leads bison research at IBS PAN. “We monitor bison herds in several places in Poland and abroad, and so far the [previous] largest herd, with 136 individuals, was observed by us this winter on the outskirts of the Knyszyn forest [in Poland],” he added.

“When we saw a massive herd on the outskirts of the Białowieża Forest, we wondered if it would match the Knyszyn one.”

It did.

And more.

The record-breaking, 170-sized herd, which includes 40 calves, formed during the sudden onset of winter back in December. Heavy snowfall and a stark plunge in temperatures saw smaller herds group together to increase their chances of survival.

According to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), the population of European bison has more than tripled in the last 20-or-so years, from around 1,800 in 2003 to over 6,200 in 2019.

Nothing quite says ‘catastrophic global warming’ and ‘ecological collapse’ like a tripling of a continent’s bison population.


My Friday

I’m off out to plow a 1/2-acre patch of field for my first attempt at a substantial corn crop.

I don’t have a plow, though. Instead, and as money is tight (thanks Google!), I plan to hook-up a knackered old 4-wheel trailer (with the tires off) to my truck and see if the rims can turn over the mud — it’s pretty wet down there.

I’ll let those interested know how it went on Monday.

Also, to you experienced sweetcorn growers — any tips (other than not using an old trailer to plow a field)?

Related

Blizzards To Strike UK As Arctic Outbreak Engulfs Europe; Mammoth Sees 5 Feet Of Snow In 5 Days, With Another 5 Feet On The Way; Japan Suffers -21C (-5.8F) And Heavy Snow; + The Global Average Temperature Dropped Hard In NovemberDecember 7, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
Heavy Snow In South Korea; Russia Logs Coldest January Temperature Since 1982; Arctic Air Hits Europe, Delivers Feet Of Snow; + Cooling AustraliaJanuary 16, 2023In "Articles"
U.S. Breaks Hundreds Of Low Temperature Records, Snow Benchmarks Also Toppled; Central Europe Logs Lowest November Temps In Decades; Snow Warnings Issued In Sweden; + Cold IndiaNovember 21, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

Antartica-e1675081085901.jpg

Articles
Extreme Weather

Fierce Freeze Persists In Siberia; All-Time Cold Records Continue To Fall Across Japan; Snow In Mallorca; + South Pole’s Clear Cooling Trend​

January 30, 2023 Cap Allon

Fierce Freeze Persists In Siberia

Over this past weekend, additional historic benchmarks were felled across Siberia (and indeed across much of Asia). The continent’s record-breaking freeze is lingering, forecast to extend well-into February.
The month of January has held incredibly cold across the majority of Asia, from northeast Russia to Iran, from Moscow to South Korea, remarkable low temperature readings continue to be posted.
The northern Russian town of Jubilejnaja, for example, plunged to -55.4C (-67.7F) on Friday — the locale’s lowest temperature ever recorded, besting the -55.2C (-67.4F) set on Feb 3, 1946.
Looking south, the Eastern Azerbaijan town of Sarab has sunk below -20C (-4F) on 16 separate occasions since Jan 10 — a new record. While Iran’s low-lying Gorgan, in Golestan Province, has maintained overnight lows of at least -2C (-28.4F) since Jan 11.
The Middle East is also shivering, including the Strait of Hormuz area, with the anomalous chill also reaching the likes of Oman where snow has been accumulating across the Jabal al Shams Mountain for the past week.
As hinted at above, more of the same is on the cards, particularly for the east…


All-Time Cold Records Continue To Fall Across Japan

Eastern Asia has been copping dangerously-cold and snowy conditions these past few weeks, with thousands of North Koreans reported ‘vanished’ during bouts of plunging temperatures, failing infrastructure and food shortages.
Looking to Japan, Monday morning (Jan 30) has delivered more exceptional lows and historic snows.
It was another frigid day in Hokkaido, for example, with a staggering six stations dropping below -30C (-22F) — with a record -32.6C (-26.7F) registered at Shumarinai. While Bibai, located in Sorachi Subprefecture, Hokkaido, posted -29.6C (-21.3F) — the locale’s new all-time record low in books dating back to 1977.



Japan’s snow also continues to prove extreme, and record-breaking.
The nations’ ski areas reported big snowfalls over the weekend, with Myoko Kogen, for example, receiving 3 feet in 72 hours.


Snow In Mallorca

Europe’s injection of polar cold continues to extend as far south as southern Spain, even northern Africa.
Central Portugal, where I reside, has been dipping below the freezing mark for the past week+ (at an elevation of 200m/650ft).
While on the Mediterranean island or Mallorca, heavy snow was reported overnight Saturday through Sunday, which closed a number of roads.
“It doesn’t look like Mallorca,” said local amateur meteorologist, Alberto Darder Rossell:




Alberto Darder Rosell ❄
@albertdarder

Continuam en directe des de sa màquina llevaneus. Espessors brutals a la zona de Cúber. https://t.co/K3M23jlGxq


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2:48 AM · Jan 28, 2023
According to Spain’s meteorological agency, AEMET, this volume of snow is uncommon, and it follows the very rare flurries that clipped the island’s sea-level capital of Palma last weekend:



MeteoGib
@MeteoGib

#Balearics #Snow - captured last night, Saturday 21st Jan in #Palma #Mallorca - a rare sight at surface level, with reports across the Islands - video with many thanks to MeteoGib follower Matthew Sulley. #Baleares #Nieve https://t.co/qRgbMaQwMs


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6:03 AM · Jan 22, 2023
Mallorca’s flurries turned heavier through Sunday (Jan 29) with AEMET issuing an amber warning for snow.

Over the course of the day, the island’s Road Department reported further closures, including the Ma-10 and the Ma-2141.





Alberto Darder Rosell ❄
@albertdarder

Felicitat en estat pur https://t.co/dXsXbHtOWZ


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1:47 PM · Jan 29, 2023
As of Sunday morning, more than 50cm (1.64ft) had settled over a 24-hour period over the Tramuntana Mountains.




South Pole’s Clear Cooling Trend

The data unequivocally point to a cooling Antarctica, which has AGW Party ‘scientists’ scrambling for ‘acceptable’ answers.

The South Pole suffered its coldest-ever coreless winter in 2021 (April-Sept), and has posted anomalously cold months ever since. The most recent being Nov 2022’s -40.4C (-40.7F) — coldest since 1987; Dec 2022’s -29.1C (-20.4F) — coldest since 2006; Jan 2023’s (approx.) -31.3C (-24.3F) — coldest since 1995; and the Summer of 2022-23’s overall -30.2C (-22.4F) — coldest since 1999-2000.

January’s reading of -31.3C could actually come out lower, given the intensifying freeze currently sweeping the bottom of the world: On Sunday, January 29, the Vostok station posted a very frigid (for the time of year) -47.5C (-53.5F).

As Stefano Di Battista asks on Twitter, “Singularity or new climatic phase?”:





Stefano Di Battista
@pinturicchio_60

South Pole Station November 2022 -40.4 °C, coldest since 1987 December 2022 -29.1 °C, coldest since 2006 January 2023 probably -31.3 °C, coldest since 1995 Summer 2022-23 ~ -30.2 °C, coldest since 1999-2000 Singularity or new climatic phase? https://t.co/KI0OF6o6SC


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10:05 AM · Jan 29, 2023
Antarctica has been the bane of the ‘global warming narrative’ for decades.

For one, how can such an enormous region of the planet be cooling during exponentially-rising CO2 emissions? And on more complex topics, how can the ‘polar amplification’ theory –the establishment’s latest ‘explain-away’, which claims that the increasingly-wavy jet streams we’re seeing are tied to warming poles– be a thing if the South Pole is cooling yet southern hemisphere jets are behaving just as erratically (‘meridionally’) as their northern cousins?

Could it be, after everything, that carbon dioxide doesn’t actually govern our planet’s climate? That another, larger, hotter forcing is at play? What other conclusion is there–that Antarctica is somehow immune to the ravages of global warming? Well, like ‘egg consumption explaining the rise in heart attacks’, that’s exactly what the agenda-driving MSM is now trying to pull…

A recent paper from two paid-off stooges–I mean ‘climate scientists’ (Singh and Polvani) calls Antarctica’s failure to warm for the past seven decades a “conundrum”. The below graphic, lifted from their paper, shows average Antarctica surface temperatures from 1984-2014, versus the base period 1950-1980:

antarctica temperature

The researchers note that over the last seven decades, the Antarctic ice sheet –home to 90% of Earth’s surface freshwater– has “modestly expanded” and warming has been “nearly non-existent” over much of the ice sheet.


Even according to NASA’s warm-mongering estimates, the sheet is seeing an annual loss of 0.0005%, which, at that rate, will see Antarctic ice disappear by the year 202023 (or 200,000 years from now).

Given this un-alarming and readily-searchable reality, it is even more telling when the likes of the BBC and CNN devote all their Antarctic paragraphs/airtime to the small pocket of warming on the Western Peninsula–warming which can be explained by an uptick in the region’s volcanic activity. The BBC, CNN and the Guardian et. al. push a predetermined narrative, not the data.

Carbon dioxide isn’t the boogeyman, and I would go so far as to say that the majority of scientists know this — the historic and paleo climate data are unmistakably clear. The issue is funding, and also dogma. No grants are awarded for research that isn’t grounded on the premise that a changing climate is due to human prosperity (i.e. the burning of cheap and reliable fossil fuels), and researchers know better than to publicly share ‘what they really think’ given the professional repercussions,such as smearing, de-funding and de-platforming.

We saw this during the COVID debacle, with even simple topics such as herd immunity and Ivermectin banned from public discourse. Honest scientists were silenced and censored, effectively hidden from view, blocked from appearing on TV news and banned from interacting on social media — tactics that are still being employed today.

Returning to Singh and Polvani’s establishment-funded ‘explain-away’, the pair claim the Antarctic continent is immune to the ravages of global warming because of the depth of its ice. To achieve this result, the pair were aided by two climate models that purport to show that the “high ice sheet orography” decreases the climate sensitivity to CO2, and that, conversely, “a flattened Antarctic ice sheet would experience significantly greater surface warming than the present-day Antarctica ice sheet”.

As we know, computer models are only as good as the people that built them and/or the data they’re fed. To that point, buried in the paper comes the admission that the two models used by Singh and Polvani actually fail to agree on a number of fundamental matters, such as one of the models predicting less sea ice retreat in a flattened Antarctica with a doubling of CO2, and the other foreseeing more retreat.

The likes of NASA do, at least, acknowledge the fact that Antarctica isn’t playing ball when it comes to catastrophic global warming; however, the agency brushes it off, knowing full-well that a complicit media and silenced scientific community won’t be calling out on it, claiming, rather embarrassingly, that for the rest of the world “the greenhouse effect still works as expected”.

I wouldn’t buy a used car off these snakes, let alone entrust them to accurately report on the state of the climate.

Earth’s atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have been 20-times higher that today’s and life has thrived — these are the facts.
 

alpha

Veteran Member
We ended up planting several hundred tulip bulbs in our high tunnel this year because every year for the past ten or twenty, the deer find the plants the moment they sprout and we never get to see the product of our labor.

The deer are happy though :chg:
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

image-73-e1675164950258.png

Articles
Extreme Weather

Stations Across Antarctica Log Coldest January Temperatures Ever; Utah ‘Sinks’ To -62F, State’s Coldest Reading Since 2002; Asia’s All-Time Lows; + “The Stratosphere Has Suddenly Become Very, Very Cold”​

January 31, 2023 Cap Allon

Stations Across Antarctica Log Coldest January Temperatures Ever

As discussed yesterday, for the past 7-decades –at least– Antarctica has been defying AGW Party orders and COOLING with its ice sheet EXPANDING. This trend has intensified in recent years, with the burgeoning 2023 continuing the move…
Extreme cold (for summer) is striking Antarctica this January with anomalous readings well-below -40C a regular feature.
On Saturday, Jan 28 the infamous Vostok Station, which lies at the southern Pole of Cold, posted a staggering -47.5C (-53.5F) — the station’s lowest January temperature since the -48.5C (-55.3F) of Jan 30, 1989 (solar minimum of cycle 21).
Then, on Sunday, Jan 29, Vostok sank even further, logging a low of -48.7C (-55.7F) which took out 1989’s historical January low and made it the station’s coldest-ever summer temperature since its opening back in 1957 (note: slightly lower temps were posted in 1994 and 1998 but both failed quality control).





Stefano Di Battista
@pinturicchio_60

Annual Antarctic minimum update / 5 On January 29 Vostok set the new monthly record of -48.7 °C (previous -48.5 °C on January 30, 1989) Previous yearly low -47.5 °C in Vostok on January 28 https://t.co/57F6d65OCZ


Image

7:48 PM · Jan 29, 2023
Moreover, data for the entire month of December are also in for Vostok, and confirm that the station, with an average of -34.1C (-29.4F), endured its second-coldest final month of the year since records began (after Dec 1999).

Antarctica’s cooling is also observed across the continent, not just at Vostok.

For example, the South Pole Station suffered its coldest-ever coreless winter in 2021 (April-Sept), and has posted colder-than-average months ever-since: The most recent being Nov 2022’s -40.4C (-40.7F)—coldest since 1987; Dec 2022’s -29.1C (-20.4F)—coldest since 2006; Jan 2023’s (approx.) -31.3C (-24.3F)—coldest since 1995; and the Summer of 2022-23’s -30.2C (-22.4F)—coldest since 1999-2000.

Confirming the the Italian-French Concordia Station is also getting in on the act, with Monday’s (Jan 30) low of -48.5C tying the locale’s coldest-ever January reading which was set exactly a year ago, on Jan 20, 2022. its new seasonal minimum of -48.5 °C and tied the monthly low of -48.5 °C recorded only a year ago (January 30, 2022) The meteorological data of the station begins in 2005

The Italian-French Concordia Station further-confirmed the cooling on Monday, Jan 30. Its low of -48.5C (-55.3F) matched the station’s lowest-ever January temperature which was posted just last year.

A clear trend is emerging for those whose eyes are their own: Here are Concorida’s January lows in chronological order: -48C on Jan 28, 2012; -48.3C on Jan 31, 2012; -48.5C on Jan 30, 2022; and now -48.5C on Jan 30, 2023.

Nothing says “Catastrophic Sea Level Rise” like the world’s largest ice sheet, home to 90% of the planet’s surface freshwater, suffering persistent and record-breaking COLD. Nothing says “Global Warming” like the bottom of the world COOLING.


Utah ‘Sinks’ To -62F, State’s Coldest Reading Since 2002

Records are beginning to fall across the U.S., and indeed Canada, as this week’s Arctic Outbreak enters.

Monday was particularly-frigid in Central-Western states with Peter Sink, Utah claiming the cherry with its -62F (-52.2C) — the state’s lowest temperature since 2002.

Elsewhere, Denver’s -10F (-23.3C) on Jan 30 tied a cold record set in 1985 (solar minimum of cycle 21).

While in Dillon, Montana, a low of -27F (-32.8C) early Monday morning busted the city’s previous record from 1951.

Extreme cold also shattered benchmarks across eastern Idaho on Monday, with bone-chilling lows reported in Rexburg, Idaho Falls, Pocatello, Stanley and Challis, to name just five regions.

The above is by no means a comprehensive list of the Lower-48’s felled records.

And there is still much, much more to come…



…including another Polar Plunge currently forecast for mid-Feb:




Additionally, authorities in Nevada are blaming the state’s extortionate gas bills on two factors: 1) rising natural gas prices (questionable: gas prices have actually been tanking in recent month), and 2) an abnormally cold January.

With regards to the latter, of the 30 days so far this month, just five have reached normal highs.


Asia’s All-Time Lows

Asia’s historic cold spell is persisting.

Concentrating on the Southeast, anomalous-lows continue to be posted, including the 2.6C at Lang Son, Vietnam; the 1.5C at Samneua, 1.6C at Viengsay, and 1.6C at Tkakhek, all Laos; and the 5.1C at Nakhon Phanom Agro, Thailand.

Also, when those parroting, obfuscating alarmists claim that “zero cold records have fallen in 2023”–as they are assured of claiming, for they claim it every year–be sure to forward them the below graphic, which logs just five of the ‘new all-time cold temperature records in Asia, by location”, including the all-time national low set in China at Mohe city on January 22:



“The Stratosphere Has Suddenly Become Very, Very Cold”

Around the North Pole, “the stratosphere has suddenly become very, very cold,” writes Dr Tony Phillips.

NASA satellites are registering exceptionally-low temperatures of less than -85C which is the threshold for the formation of rare polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs).

Over the past week, PSCs, also know as nacreous clouds, have spilled outside the Arctic Circle and are seen to be intensifying and also spreading unusually-far south.

On Sunday evening into Monday morning, sky-gazers across Scotland were treated to the rare phenomenon:


PSCs cloud seen at sunset in Aberdeenshire, Scotland.


Also referred to as “mother-of-pearl”, PSCs are considered rare because of the very cold conditions needed for them to form. The fact that these clouds are forming at such low latitudes may be an indication that the ‘polar jets’ (or ‘polar vortex’) is weakening, which could in turn signal that more Arctic air is about to descend unusually-far south (as we’re already in Asia and North America).


A PSC spotted over Scotland, also known as “mother-of-pearl”.


Sunspots

Finishing with a brief look at sunspots, activity on the Sun has nosedived in recent days.

From the calculated 200+ sunspots of last week we’re now down into the 60s.

If a Grand Solar Minimum is indeed on the cards, as is my contention (by SC26/27), then what we just saw could be considered ‘death throes’. There may-well be additional ‘fits and starts’ and ‘violent splutterings’ to come, but I believe the current cycle (SC25) will peak sooner than forecasted and then drive into a deeper minimum than even the historically low SC24.

Time, of course, will tell on that one.


None of these small sunspots poses a threat for flaring. [SDO/HMI]
Note: each sunspot ‘region’ –of which there are currently 5– will often contain multiple spots.


Thank you for the ‘cornfield planting’ tips I’ve received — they’ve all been helpful.

I’ll let you know how things go (my makeshift trailer idea was an abject failure, btw).


And finally, here in Central Portugal it’s gotten so frosty that our external water pipe (leading up from our lake) has frozen, meaning, at least for today, we won’t be able to top up our water tank.

Nothing says “global warming” like… …you know how it goes…

Enjoy your Tuesday.

Spring is around the corner, believe it or not — get those vegetable beds prepped.

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Frigid Decembers For North America, Australia, Parts Of Europe, And Asia; Cold 2022 For The South Pole; Historic Snowfall In SD And MN; Twin Cities’ Snowiest Start To Winter In 30-Years; + More To ComeJanuary 5, 2023In "Articles"
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
We're in the dark pink... about 10 miles East of the purple area. Our proximity to Lake Ontario and low elevation keeps it a bit warmer than in the mountains east of here. But 40 below windchills are going to suck.

We'll be spending tomorrow bedding up the shelter and getting the outwintered cattle as set as we can. I'll have to dig out a blanket for my mare... she never grows much of a winter coat. And the little barn can get pretty chilly..

Summerthyme
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

snow.jpg

Articles
Extreme Weather

Heavy Snow Sweeps Northern India; Summer “Cold-Snap” Grips Eastern Australia; Record Cold From Canada To Trinidad; + Full-Blown Arctic Outbreak To Engulf Europe Starting Sunday​

February 1, 2023 Cap Allon

Heavy Snow Sweeps Northern India

Heavy accumulating snow is causing chaos across Northern India this week, blocking major highways in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and the Kashmir valley’s–with the latter now cut-off from rest of the country, with flights also grounded.
Avalanche warnings are also in place in ten districts of J&K and Himachal.
In Himachal alone, more than 500 roads were closed due to the heavy snow, with the key Manali-Keylong road completely blocked. The southern entrance to Himachal’s Atal tunnel received 90 cm (3 feet), with Solang valley logging 70+ cm (2.3 feet).
In Uttarakhand, the Gangotri and Yamunotri national highways were closed, with at least 10 link roads blocked.
Power supply to over a dozen Uttarakhand villages was also hit.
Likewise in across Himachal, daily life has been disrupted in Shimla, Lahaul and Spiti and Kinnur districts where 180, 158 and 73 roads, respectively, were blocked, with a combined 908 power transformers and water works also affected.
In Kashmir, Gulmarg received 60 cm (2 feet) of snowfall over the past 48-hours, with 1.5 m (5 feet) settling at higher elevations.
The J&K Disaster Management Authority warned of “high danger level” avalanches in Doda, Kishtwar and Poonch districts; and “medium danger level” in many other regions. While in Himachal, avalanche warnings are in place in for Manali-Leh axis, Dhundi and Beas Kund, with a “partial unsafe” warning issued for the Bajnjar-Jalori-Khanag area of Kullu district.
Tragically, the deaths are mounting.
At least two foreign skiers died this morning (Feb 1) in an avalanche at Gulmarg:





Amit Sahu
@amitsahujourno

Massive avalanche hit the Afarwat heights of Gulmarg. 2 foreign skiers died, 4 others rescued #Snowfall #Avalanch #Kashmir https://t.co/SjtSiUPNhn


Image

4:22 AM · Feb 1, 2023
While on Monday, two girls were buried alive in an avalanche in Kargil, with rescue attempts hindered by both air and road connectivity with the Kashmir Valley being unavailable. The bodies were recovered with the help of locals.

Below is footage of avalanche in a nearby region earlier in the month:





Ieshan Wani
@Ieshan_W

Caught on camera: snow avalanche near Zojila in Sonmarg, Kashmir. https://t.co/NuMcxO2uqj


Image

12:57 AM · Jan 12, 2023
Accompanying the snow has been exceptionally low temperatures, with the famous Dal Lake in the main city of Srinagar partially frozen:


Snow and ice covers the famed shikara (houseboats).

Traversing north –quite a bit north– and into Russia, the far-east district of Yakutia endured an abnormally cold January.

This has been the case for much of Asia, as I’ve reported on extensively, but focusing on Yakutia, the district’s official Olenyok weather station has confirmed that last month was the Republic’s coldest January since at least 1980, averaging -45.2C (-49.4F),

Elsewhere in Yakutia, the Russia port city of ‘Yakutsk’ suffered a January some 7C below the multidecadal average, with the second-half of the month failing to exceed -40C (that’s daily highs).


Summer “Cold-Snap” Grips Eastern Australia

Another region of the planet holding unusually-cold has been Australia, particularly southern and eastern states.

To recap: The Aussie continent posted a colder-than-average-winter in 2022–coldest on record for the likes of Brisbane; its coldest spring in decades–coldest-ever Nov for the likes of Forbes and Ivanhoe; and its lowest-ever summer temperature on Dec 9–the -7C (19.4F) at Perisher Valley (with NSW seeing its fifth-coldest Dec in books dating back to the 1800s, with a nationwide anomaly of -0.85C).

For many, the chills have spilled-over into 2023, with Sydney, for example, seeing its longest spell of days below 30C in 140-years.

This week, the warm-mongering BoM is forecasting another “unseasonal summer cold snap” for the south and east.

A strong polar front is moving up from the south, bringing with it “a mass of very cold air” due to arrive Thursday in Tasmania, South Australia and Victoria, and early Friday morning in southern New South Wales — something the GFS is also picking up on:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Feb 1 to Feb 4 [tropicaltidbits.com]


The BoM is even forecasting summer snow across the higher elevations.





Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
@BOM_au

While #LaNiña oceanic indicators have eased, the atmosphere remains La Niña-like. Climate influences including La Niña and the MJO are contributing to current conditions and the long-range forecast. Learn more in the latest Climate Driver Update: https://t.co/FMwRFTEnCH https://t.co/ajI51DEukh


Image

1:26 AM · Jan 31, 2023
The AGW Party is keen to blame Australia’s persistent and historic cold on a rare third-consecutive La Niña. Fair enough. But what they fail to mention is that their global warming hypothesis decreed El Niño to be the dominant ENSO pattern moving forward.


La Niñas, on the other hand, are tied to planetary cooling.

This real-world observation shocked the climate modelers, who themselves admit that they are now scrambling for answers:


Australia is cooling, as confirmed by the satellites — at a rate of -0.132C per decade since 2013:



Continued ...
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Part two ...
Electroverse

Record Cold From Canada To Trinidad

North America’s polar blast is intensifying and is continuing to take out records from northern Canada to the Caribbean.


Across Canada, a plunging ‘polar vortex’ is delivering hazardous cold, heavy snow and even frost quakes.

A lobe of the vortex is swirling over Hudson Bay currently, reports theweathernetwork.com, and there’s high confidence that it will be directly over the Maritimes by Saturday — an unusual trajectory for such severe cold.

The Network sees the brutalist of the brutal cold striking on Saturday, with record-challenging lows (in the -30s) expected across the likes of New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island — to name just three locales.

The Network has “tremendous confidence in this extreme cold” with its model guidance also revealing a “dangerous red flag”.



Traversing the border, and into the United States, historic lows and record snows are falling here, too, with much more to come.

Residents of Massachusetts –for example– have been told to brace for their coldest days in decades. Lows of -10 to -20F are forecast Saturday morning across the state, with the City of Boston excepted to suffer its coldest temperature since Jan 15, 1957 (10F will do it). Also, a long-standing daily low is almost assured of falling in Boston on Saturday: the 2F from way back in 1886.

Already, the combination of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and Arctic air spilling south from Canada is resulting in a long-duration ice storm for millions of people across at least eight states: Texas, Tennessee, Mississippi, Arkansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, West Virginia and Virginia — with at least two people dying in Texas as icy conditions snarled travel in Dallas on Tuesday.

“Dangerously cold temperatures” were recorded across Colorado Tuesday morning, with the NWS confirming that a weather sensor along the North Platte River at Northgate, Jackson County logged an astonishing -41F, at 2:15 AM and again at 5 AM.

Staying in CO, the month of January averaged just 25.2F in Denver, which is 6.5F below the norm.

As hinted at above, conditions expected to worsen as the week progresses, as the Arctic Outbreak intensifies:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Jan 31 to Feb 3 [tropicaltidbits.com]


The freeze is also impacting Mexico.

And further south, too, into the Caribbean. Here, following the likes of Guadeloupe, Martinique, Barbados and Curacao, Trinidad and Tobago has posted “a record-breaking cold night,” according to the country’s Meteorological Service (TTMS).

Monday cooled to 18.3C (65F) at Piarco Airport: “The lowest temperature recorded at Piarco for January during the last decade, since 2012,” confirms TTMS. “This was due to colder air from the north encroaching on Trinidad and Tobago where the winds were mostly calm, with pre-existing very dry conditions and almost cloud free skies for most of the night”.

For reference, Piacro’s coldest-ever temperature remains the 61F from 1964, followed by the 62F from 1976.

Looking ahead, TTMS is forecasting a further temperature drop over the weekend–and so into all-time record-breaking territory. As a result, the service is “urging persons who are susceptible to lower temperature and who experience respiratory problems to be proactive and wear warm and/or extra clothing.”


Full-Blown Arctic Outbreak To Engulf Europe Starting Sunday

Atmospheric conditions have been hinting at it for weeks, now the weather models are finally forecasting it. Joining the likes of Asia and North America, the European continent is set to endure for its own full-blown Arctic Outbreak.

Western Europe has been freezing for the past 2-or-so weeks (my frozen water pipes here in Central Portugal can attest), but latest GFS runs are forecasting a continent-encasing and long-lasting polar plunge staring this Sunday, Feb 5, sweeping from the UK to Turkey, from Norway to North Africa:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Feb 5 to Feb 14 [tropicaltidbits.com]


The accompanying snows totals look equally jaw-dropping, and narrative-crushing:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Feb 1 to Feb 17 [tropicaltidbits.com]

Seeing this forecast, Europe’s gas prices have rebounded due to the inevitable surge in household heating demand.

The Dutch TTF soared 11% per megawatt-hour at the opening of trade in Amsterdam on Tuesday. Prior to that, prices were also supported on Monday thanks to an unplanned outage at a key Norwegian gas processing plant.

Europe’s gas stores will likely see it through this winter–though the upcoming freeze will certainly put a strain on things; however, and as the oil CEO’s have forewarned us, it is next winter that the continent’s energy crisis is expected to hit proper.


Sunspots

Today, solar activity is low.

Just five small sunspots visible on the solar disk, all of which are stable and quiet, and pose no threat of flaring.



Sunspots, Feb 1 [SDO/HMI].


Electroverse is, once again, being heavily censored and has been stripped of its advertising for “violating Google policy”–specifically, for arguing that human prosperity (i.e. CO2 emissions) are not the literal end of the world.

Thank you to those who have very generously donated via Paypal. If anyone else is able to support my efforts please consider becoming a patron or clicking the Paypal link in the sidebar (or scroll down if on mobile).

Cap.

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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

UAH_LT_1979_thru_January_2023_v6-1-e1675324320130.jpg

Articles

Global Temperatures Fall Below 30-Year Baseline, Now Down 0.75C From 2016 Peak​

February 2, 2023 Cap Allon
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature reading for January 2022 is in. It shows a negative anomaly of -0.04 deg. C vs the multidecadal average.
Despite the ever-loudening cries of ‘Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming’ and the mindless prosperity-wrecking policies that accompany them, this is the fourth sharp global temperature drop in as many months, drops that continue the overall downward trend observed since 2016’s peak (now down 0.75C deg. C since then).
In simpler terms, it’s getting harder and harder for the establishment’s anti-human narrative to be maintained.
A continuation of Earth’s cooling trend is highly probable over the coming months –with the odd bump along the way: climate is cyclic, after all– as low solar activity, La Nina, and the aftereffects of Hunga Tonga’s record-setting mesospheric eruption continue to have an infinitely-larger influence over our climate than a natural byproduct of human existence (see how that works).





Space Explorer Mike
@MichaelGalanin

The violent eruption a few hours ago of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haʻapai volcano captured by satellites GOES-West and Himawari-8. via @wonderofscience https://t.co/QExkCpvcXa


Image

10:12 AM · Jan 17, 2022
According to the 15x NASA/NOAA AMSU satellites that measure every square inch of the lower troposphere (where life resides), planet Earth cooled drastically during over the past 4 months: from 0.32C above the multidecadal baseline in October 2022, to 0.17C above in November, to 0.05C above in December, to now -0.04C below in January 2023.
Again, to simplify this for your average spoon-fed alarmist, Earth was warmer back in 1983:


[Dr Roy Spencer]

The various regional departures from the 30-year average are tabled below (scroll down to Jan 2023 in bold):

YEARMOGLOBENHEM.SHEM.TROPICUSA48ARCTICAUST
2022Jan+0.03+0.06-0.00-0.23-0.13+0.68+0.10
2022Feb-0.00+0.01-0.01-0.24-0.04-0.30-0.50
2022Mar+0.15+0.27+0.03-0.07+0.22+0.74+0.02
2022Apr+0.26+0.35+0.18-0.04-0.26+0.45+0.61
2022May+0.17+0.25+0.10+0.01+0.59+0.23+0.20
2022Jun+0.06+0.08+0.05-0.36+0.46+0.33+0.11
2022Jul+0.36+0.37+0.35+0.13+0.84+0.55+0.65
2022Aug+0.28+0.31+0.24-0.03+0.60+0.50-0.00
2022Sep+0.24+0.43+0.06+0.03+0.88+0.69-0.28
2022Oct+0.32+0.43+0.21+0.04+0.16+0.93+0.04
2022Nov+0.17+0.21+0.13-0.16-0.51+0.51-0.56
2022Dec+0.05+0.13-0.03-0.35-0.21+0.80-0.38
2023Jan-0.04+0.05-0.14-0.38+0.12-0.12-0.50

We note that five of the six individual regions cooled last month: the Southern Hemisphere (-0.14C), Australia (-0.50C), the Tropics (-0.38C), the Northern Hemisphere (+0.05C), and the Arctic (-0.12C) — all barring the USA48 (-0.21C to +0.12C).
Discard establishment publications and data-collations for they are agenda-driven and are subject to tampering, discrepancies and obfuscations.

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alpha

Veteran Member
Electroverse

cooling-2-e1675424879420.jpg
Articles Extreme Weather

Study: India’s ‘Cold Waves’ Have Increased Over The Past Decade; Summer Snow Clips Australia; + Arctic Outbreaks For Asia, Europe And North America–With All-Time Record Cold Forecast Across The Northeast​

February 3, 2023 Cap Allon

Study: India’s ‘Cold Waves’ Have Increased Over The Past Decade

Extreme cold waves are increasing across India “despite global warming”, a new IITM study has indicated.
The analysis, led by Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) scientists Raju Mandal and Susmitha Joseph, took into account the number of cold wave events over the past seven decades, from 1951-2022. The researchers discovered that more cold wave days are occurring in recent decades than in previous ones.
Note: India declares a ‘cold wave’ when the temperature reaches 10C (50F)-or-lower, or is 4.5C below a locale’s average.
“In the recent decade, more cold wave days have been observed across the central and eastern parts,” said Mandal: “In Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Vidarbha, Marathwada, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and also some areas of northwest India such as Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi.”
According to the research, central and eastern India has seen the average number of cold waves increase by more than five days per decade, and by over 15 days per decade in some places. On average, these regions used to record 2-to-5 cold wave days per 10 years during most decades from 1951-2011, but this rose to nearly 5-15 days in the last decade (ending 2021).
Even in built-up areas, where the UHI effect will be a factor, the data also showed that cold waves days in Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi have increased to 5-10 per decade during the last 20-year period vs the average of 2-5 in the previous decades.
Mandal: “We wanted to understand through the study if there can be a reduction in cold wave events amidst a global warming scenario. We, however, found that occurrences of cold wave events have continued even under the general warming scenarios.”


Summer Snow Clips Australia

Australia is cooling, the data are clear on that.
Another summer cold front is sweeping southern and eastern states to close the week, with temperatures tumbling to their lowest February levels in decades, according to the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) data.
Widespread frosts have swept parts Victoria and New South Wales, with near sea-level frosts reported in Tasmania; while summer snow has even clipped the higher elevations.



Furthermore, the temperature data for January is in, and show it was another well-below average month.
According to the BoM, Jan 2023 in Australia had a temperature anomaly of -0.65C below the 1991-2020 norm. Even more impressively, last month finished below the old 1961-1990 period (a cold era) by 0.02C.
Australia continues to cool:


Arctic Outbreaks For Asia, Europe And North America–With All-Time Record Cold Forecast Across The Northeast

Asia

As previously documented, Asia has been holding exceptionally cold over the past few months with all-time low temperature records falling across many nations. And looking ahead, the chill of winter isn’t done with the continent yet, particularly across Western and Eastern parts.
In January, a myriad of all-time low temperature records fell, from Pakistan to Japan–with the latter also dealing with historic volumes of accumulating snow which at times proved deadly.
The bodies of two men caught in an avalanche on Sunday have been found in Nagano Prefecture. Local police said they believed the men were off-piste skiing separately from the rest of their 5-strong group when the avalanche hit. The three other skiers were able to safely make it down the mountain.
Warnings for snow and avalanches remain in place across Japan, after last week’s polar plunge buried swathes of the country under feet upon feet of record-busting powder.





EUMETSAT Users
@eumetsat_users

It's very cold in East Asia, with parts of China having their lowest min temps on record yesterday. This SNPP VIIRS cloud phase image from today shows the cold air crossing the Sea of Japan, reaching Japan. There is even snow falling in the area of Tokyo. https://t.co/BiFgcZZ0ag


Image

8:08 AM · Jan 24, 2023
The temperature data for January is in.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Jan 2023 across Japan finished -0.03C below the the multidecadal norm.

It is, then, somewhat perplexing to read that last month saw high-temperature records outstrip low-temperature records by almost 3-1 (300 heat records vs 100+ cold records). This again, for me, demonstrates the issue with reckless thermometer station coverage and the high-end extremes that they can reach due to the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect.

Of those 300 heat records I’m willing to bet a great many were 1) sited in cities/at airports, and 2) were only ‘narrowly’ or ‘briefly’ pipped–likely at night when the UHI effect is more prominent. How else can a nation register a BELOW-average monthly anomaly yet have its individual records tip 3-1 to heat?

I suppose it is possible that one region could hold exceptionally cold and drag down the average for the country overall, but this wasn’t the case with Japan last month: JMA data show a similar temp range across the country (of between -1.5C and +0.7C).

The never-ending headache of combating/unraveling government agency manipulation and obfuscation.


Europe

Conditions are conspiring to deliver Europe it’s first Arctic Outbreak proper since mid-December.

GFS runs see those ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ extending from Norway to North Africa, from Ireland to Turkey:



GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Feb 6 – Feb 15 [tropicaltidbits.com].

With impressive snow totals to boot:



GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Feb 2 – Feb 18 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The models are unsure of the ferocity and exact timing of this outbreak, but it’s looking highly disruptive — stay tuned for updates.


North America

North America’s big freeze is forecast to intensify and deliver all-time record-breaking cold to the likes of the Great Lakes and the Northeast.

Truly brutal, likely historic Arctic-cold is battering the Northeast this Friday morning, with conditions set to worsen over the weekend as the accompanying winds intensify.

Temperatures will continue plunging all day Friday, down into the single digits in Boston by evening, and below zero in northern New England.

Wind chills warnings are in effect across New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island–to name just seven states; with -12F expected by Saturday morning in New York City, -35F in Boston, and as low as -62F in northern Maine, which could prove deadly for anyone caught outside for extended periods.

Frostbite can occur on exposed skin in 10 minutes or less.

“Wind chills into the minus 50s for northern parts of this region will be the coldest felt in decades,” said the NWS office in Caribou, adding in their most-recent update, “Most stations are forecast to see their lowest (temps) ever recorded”.

While forecasters at Mt. Washington Observatory in New Hampshire are warning that they may also set a new all-time record low temperature during this event: Winds could gust to 140 mph at the summit, with the ‘feels-like’ possibly plunging to -100F.

Power outages are already compounding the misery for many, with more likely as the cold (and snowfall) intensifies. Currently, as of early Friday morning, 250,000 are without power in Texas alone, with 60,000 out in neighboring Arkansas.

The snow will be continue to be equally impressive, with blizzard warnings issued for the likes of northern Maine due to blowing snow on Friday and Saturday, as winds gusting to 40 mph create “ground blizzard” conditions.

Eyeing further south, drifting snow has even impacted stretches of the U.S.-Mexico border this week, as the fifth winter storm of the season batters northwestern Mexico, closing highways and schools across the state of Baja California–for example.

The Centinela-La Rumorosa highway, the main route along the U.S. border, was closed in both directions this week due to heavy, blowing snow, which led to the Red Cross setting up a temporary shelter to provide assistance to “those in trouble”.


And finally, looking further ahead, the GFS continues to hint at another Arctic Outbreak due mid-month:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Feb 14 – Feb 19 [tropicaltidbits.com].


Enjoy your weekend.
 
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