WEATHER Hurricane Ike Daily Thread, Friday/ 9-12-08

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sassy

Veteran Member
:lol: Yes, I see. You are definitely the Sassy in the better location!


Take care Blue. Wish I was with Sassy in AZ right now!

Will pray for your friends/family, you, me, us and everybody.

I am about to lose power I think - it's flickering.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
You're very welcome, BlueNewton. I hope all your folks make it thru this OK. Keeping them in my prayers...

Jarhead
:usm:
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT34 KNHC 130058
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
800 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...IKE'S OUTER RAINBANDS LASHING THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA COASTS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES
...155 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS.

IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST SATURDAY
MORNING AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...
ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. DURING
THE PAST HOUR...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON
GALVESTON ISLAND AND A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS MEASURED AT A NOAA BUOY
JUST OFFSHORE GALVESTON ISLAND BEFORE IT STOPPED REPORTING.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM CDT POSITION...28.4 N...94.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.

THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

BlueNewton

Membership Revoked
Take care Blue. Wish I was with Sassy in AZ right now!

Will pray for your friends/family, you, me, us and everybody.

I am about to lose power I think - it's flickering.


Be safe, Sassy. See you on the other side. Of the storm, that is.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Models...
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Image Updated: 12:59 AM GMT on September 13, 2008
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 130058
TORLCH
LAC009-079-130130-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0096.080913T0058Z-080913T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES
LA
758 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHEASTERN RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES PINEVILLE...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 754 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PINEVILLE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF EFFIE...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 44 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PINEVILLE BY 810 PM CDT...
BALL BY 815 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3127 9213 3116 9230 3141 9256 3142 9254
3144 9244 3145 9241 3146 9232 3147 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 141DEG 38KT 3128 9228

$$

LANDRENEAU
 

Speckled Trout1

Senior Member
SpeckledTrout, I don't think they're going to get rescued. The rescuers said they were shutting down. It's dark with hurricane winds there now and it's too dangerous. :shr:

Dear God, I know they were acting stupid but I can't imagine the terror they are experiencing now.

Maybe I have more compassion because when I was young I did a dumb thing during a Nor'Easter that got our picture on the front page of the Boston paper. We could have been killed. Lesson learned. So I'll be praying for some miracles.

Amazed,
I too pray for everyone that will be affected by this storm, but sometimes when you disregard the common sense that God gave you and tell him what your plans are he laughs. It's very possible that they will die, but so did a lot of people in New Orleans that thought that they would party like there's no tomorrow when Hurricane Katrina hit the city. For some of them they were right " there wasn't a tomorrow". No joy for me, because each senseless and unnecessary death diminishes each of us in some way. Pray, because this is going to be catastrophic.
 

Anjou

Inactive
Houston Chronicle has a good slide show on its front page (on the left - click on the pic of the dude in waders) - one is a 'wow' artsy photo of waves in Galveston crashing over the memorial to the old Galveston hurricane.
http://www.chron.com/
 

CelticRose

Membership Revoked
KHOU reporting rooftop clingers on Crystal Beach. 3 on top of Seaside Lumber and 15 at the church across the street (tied together).

Yes they stopped heli rescues a while ago after getting 95.

Sorry I didn't see your post, edited to include it.

First of all, I'm praying that all those in the path of IKE will be safe...... That those who have evacuated the area are safe and their homes still there when they can return. Hurricanes will always scare the h3ll out of me......

However ...........


I feel sorry for those people .... Sorry for those who love them and those who will likely mourn them, for their foolsih and completely senseless decision to IGNORE the multiple warnings from verious sources that IKE was headed towards them and that it was going to be a devastating and deadly storm.

However I don't fault those in the government on any level or the Coast Guard for not risking their lives and resources to even attempt to rescue these obviously foolish folks.

For at least the last couple days everyone from NOAA, the TX governor, assorted weather agencies, the media; you name it, has been warning folks to get out of the area and IMO did a great job of making evacuation transportation services available to those needing it.

Maybe they thought they could ride this one out, perhaps they'd been through other 'canes or storms and didn't believe that IKE would hit them ....... That was their choice. Not a good one by any measure, but their choice nevertheless..........
 

mole

Doomer Granny
BlueNewton, I pray your family members make it through tonight and tomorrow. I will be praying along with you that they are safe in a hospital shelter somewhere.

Here in Texarkana, we had one hell of a rain storm about 5:30 this afternoon. Its the first of the rain bands from the hurricane to come thru here. It is amazing to be this far inland and be under a tropical storm warning for the next 24 hours.

on another note, before I left to go to my daughter's volleyball game around 5:00 or so this afternoon, the talking heads on either FOX or MSNBC had a meteorologist on from the National Weather/Hurricane Center and he said that the position of the storm was setting up a "tsunami" type event for the shipping canal that goes into Houston. He went on to comment that the water would be funneled down that channel and with the winds driving it they couldn't speculate how how the wave would be but that the devastation would be immense.

Anybody heard anything more about this?

ETA: you Sassys take care too!
 

Speckled Trout1

Senior Member
Agreed, Celtic Rose!

+1

THE LORD'S PRAYER

Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name.
Thy kingdom come.
Thy will be done in earth, as it is in heaven.
Give us this day our daily bread.
And forgive us our debts, as we forgive our debtors.
And lead us not into temptation, but deliver us from evil.
For thine is the kingdom, and the power, and the glory, for ever.
Amen.
(Matthew 6:9-13).
 
Last edited:

Knell

Deceased
BlueNewton, I pray your family members make it through tonight and tomorrow. I will be praying along with you that they are safe in a hospital shelter somewhere.

Here in Texarkana, we had one hell of a rain storm about 5:30 this afternoon. Its the first of the rain bands from the hurricane to come thru here. It is amazing to be this far inland and be under a tropical storm warning for the next 24 hours.

on another note, before I left to go to my daughter's volleyball game around 5:00 or so this afternoon, the talking heads on either FOX or MSNBC had a meteorologist on from the National Weather/Hurricane Center and he said that the position of the storm was setting up a "tsunami" type event for the shipping canal that goes into Houston. He went on to comment that the water would be funneled down that channel and with the winds driving it they couldn't speculate how how the wave would be but that the devastation would be immense.

Anybody heard anything more about this?

ETA: you Sassys take care too!

Mole, I heard the same "tsunami" reference on CNN. All the water being pushed up into the shipping channel.
I think the morning will bring some horrible images.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 130127
TORLCH
LAC001-045-055-099-101-113-130200-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0097.080913T0127Z-080913T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

827 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...NEW IBERIA...AVERY ISLAND...
LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...SCOTT...LAFAYETTE...CARENCRO...
WEST CENTRAL ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ST. MARY PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EAST CENTRAL ACADIA PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
NORTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 821 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES SOUTH OF
LYDIA...OR ABOUT NEAR CYPREMORT POINT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 52 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NEW IBERIA AND 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF DELCAMBRE BY 835 PM CDT...
YOUNGSVILLE AND BROUSSARD BY 850 PM CDT...
LAFAYETTE BY 855 PM CDT...
SCOTT...CARENCRO AND 8 MILES EAST OF DUSON BY 900 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2979 9187 2981 9185 2981 9183 2983 9183
2983 9189 2982 9191 3023 9223 3036 9199
2983 9172 2978 9187
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 152DEG 45KT 2987 9183

$$

K. KUYPER
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTUS84 KCRP 130125
HLSCRP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX

825 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...

.AT 800 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 250 MILES
EAST- NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST SATURDAY
MORNING AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

GMZ235-255-275-130730-
/O.CON.KCRP.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O`CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-
825 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THERE IS NO NEW INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN BY THOSE WITH INTERESTS
IN THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT O`CONNOR TO PORT
ARANSAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT O`CONNOR TO PORT ARANSAS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 250 MILES
EAST- NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED ALL THE NECESSARY PREPARATIONS.
BOATS SHOULD EITHER BE SECURELY FASTENED OR REMOVED FROM THE WATER
ALTOGETHER. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS ON DECK SHOULD BE STORED IN A SAFE
AND SECURE LOCATION. ALL CRAFT ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE
OFFSHORE COASTAL WATERS...AND WILL AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
WATERS THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 700 PM THIS EVENING AND 400 AM SATURDAY
MORNING.

VERY LARGE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IKE ARE ALREADY
AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS ARE RUNNING 12 TO 16 FEET
NEARSHORE...16 TO 22 FEET OFFSHORE. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. SEAS WILL PEAK AT 20 TO 30 FEET TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 PM CDT.

$$
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Image Updated: 1:50 AM GMT on September 13, 2008
 

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BlueNewton

Membership Revoked
Houston Chronicle has a good slide show on its front page (on the left - click on the pic of the dude in waders) - one is a 'wow' artsy photo of waves in Galveston crashing over the memorial to the old Galveston hurricane.
http://www.chron.com/

I can't belive that anyone could look at these photos and not be completely stunned. The wind is hardly blowing yet in the vast majority. But the water is already several feet high. And I wonder how many folks standing on the Galveston Seawall to watch the water come in will be washed out to sea. Frightening photos.

Thank you very much for your kind thoughts, Mole.
 

Speckled Trout1

Senior Member
I can't belive that anyone could look at these photos and not be completely stunned. The wind is hardly blowing yet in the vast majority. But the water is already several feet high. And I wonder how many folks standing on the Galveston Seawall to watch the water come in will be washed out to sea. Frightening photos.
Thank you very much for your kind thoughts, Mole.

Amazed ???? I'm praying for everyone in the path, please join me
 

sassy

Veteran Member
sassy.....
Take good care.....

Jarhead
:usm:

I will. Thanks again for all of your updates.

They are saying that there is a house fire on the west end of Galveston now and it is jumping from house to house. The fire dept cannot get to it.
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 900
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
EAST AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 898. WATCH NUMBER 898 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
755 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 899...

DISCUSSION...HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT ALONG THE
UPPER TX COAST AND MOVE INLAND NEAR THE I-45 CORRIDOR IN HOU-GLS
THROUGH SUNRISE SATURDAY. VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
MAINTAINED THROUGH THE PERIOD ACROSS LA/TX WITHIN THE LARGE STORM
ENVELOPE...AND A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE DESPITE DIURNAL WEAKENING OF LOW-LEVEL BUOYANCY. EXPECT
THE TORNADO THREAT TO SPREAD GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AS IKE PROGRESSES NWWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15045.


...THOMPSON


SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 900
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
EAST AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 898. WATCH NUMBER 898 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
755 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 899...

DISCUSSION...HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT ALONG THE
UPPER TX COAST AND MOVE INLAND NEAR THE I-45 CORRIDOR IN HOU-GLS
THROUGH SUNRISE SATURDAY. VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
MAINTAINED THROUGH THE PERIOD ACROSS LA/TX WITHIN THE LARGE STORM
ENVELOPE...AND A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE DESPITE DIURNAL WEAKENING OF LOW-LEVEL BUOYANCY. EXPECT
THE TORNADO THREAT TO SPREAD GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AS IKE PROGRESSES NWWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15045.


...THOMPSON


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 130052
WOU0

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 900
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

TORNADO WATCH 900 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

LAC001-003-007-009-011-019-023-031-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-
069-077-079-081-085-097-099-101-109-113-115-127-131500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0900.080913T0055Z-080913T1500Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA ALLEN ASSUMPTION
AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON DE SOTO EVANGELINE
GRANT IBERIA IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
NATCHITOCHES POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY TERREBONNE
VERMILION VERNON WINN


TXC005-039-071-073-157-167-199-201-225-241-245-291-339-347-351-
361-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-471-131500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0900.080913T0055Z-080913T1500Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
CHEROKEE FORT BEND GALVESTON
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON
ORANGE PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER


GMZ335-355-450-452-455-131500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0900.080913T0055Z-080913T1500Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

GALVESTON BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...SHV...LIX...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW0
WW 900 TORNADO LA TX CW 130055Z - 131500Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10SW UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/ - 30NE LFT/LAFAYETTE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /42NNW IAH - 17W BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15045.

REPLACES WW 898..LA MS CW

LAT...LON 32069558 31959162 29059162 29189558

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.


Watch 900 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
 

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Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I will. Thanks again for all of your updates.

They are saying that there is a house fire on the west end of Galveston now and it is jumping from house to house. The fire dept cannot get to it.

Just heard the same thing. All residence structures involved.

Jarhead
:usm:
 

sassy

Veteran Member
BlueNewton, I pray your family members make it through tonight and tomorrow. I will be praying along with you that they are safe in a hospital shelter somewhere.

Here in Texarkana, we had one hell of a rain storm about 5:30 this afternoon. Its the first of the rain bands from the hurricane to come thru here. It is amazing to be this far inland and be under a tropical storm warning for the next 24 hours.

on another note, before I left to go to my daughter's volleyball game around 5:00 or so this afternoon, the talking heads on either FOX or MSNBC had a meteorologist on from the National Weather/Hurricane Center and he said that the position of the storm was setting up a "tsunami" type event for the shipping canal that goes into Houston. He went on to comment that the water would be funneled down that channel and with the winds driving it they couldn't speculate how how the wave would be but that the devastation would be immense.

Anybody heard anything more about this?

ETA: you Sassys take care too!

Thanks Mole.

It's kinda like in Louisiana when a cane comes in - the Mississippi runs backwards.

The Port does the same thing. And the water goes up into the creeks and bayous. Most of these are on the East & SE side of Houston.

It's so weird ya, we are getting gusting winds but no rain what so ever.
No rain today at all.
 

mole

Doomer Granny
NWS/NHC reporting that Ike is approx. 600 miles wide! Whoo...:eek:

Jarhead
:usm:


really? WOW! I heard this afternoon that it was 400 miles wide and the forecaster was agog at that, but 600?

as for the pics on chron.com, if those are the BEFORE photos, god in heaven, I dread seeing the AFTER pics. Lord, please have mercy on those poor people.........
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WTNT54 KNHC 130203
TCEAT4
HURRICANE IKE TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
900 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

CORRECTED FOR HEADER INFORMATION

AT 9 PM CDT...0200Z...THE CENTER OF LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
ESTIMATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AND
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
BEAUMONT TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

Amazed

Does too have a life!
mole, that slide show is amazing! Some people left their 2 dogs in a chain link fenced in yard!! I am now convinced that some people don't have the brains God gave a goose. :shk:
 

Anjou

Inactive
If anyone needs background on the seriousness of hurricanes, chapter 55 (about the 1935 category 5 hurricane's effects on Keys residents) of this book:

Florida's Past By Gene M. Burnett

... is viewable at www.books.google.com

(just search the title there... and once you're on the book page, searching the book text for "horrendous keys hurricane" will take you to the right chapter.)
 

sassy

Veteran Member
Ok, while I still have power I have to ask...


Everybody is sitting outside right now and we are seeing something I have never seen before..


The sky is lighting up pink, orange and blue!

Incredible show...no lightning or thunder....just entire sky lighting up in neon type colors

What is that?
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
000
WFUS54 KLCH 130223
TORLCH
LAC001-045-055-097-099-113-130300-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0098.080913T0223Z-080913T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

923 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES AVERY ISLAND...
LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...SCOTT...LAFAYETTE...CARENCRO...
WEST CENTRAL ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EAST CENTRAL ACADIA PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES CHURCH POINT...
NORTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 917 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF AVERY ISLAND...OR ABOUT NEAR CYPREMORT POINT...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 72 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DELCAMBRE AND 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ERATH BY 930 PM CDT...
YOUNGSVILLE BY 935 PM CDT...
BROUSSARD BY 940 PM CDT...
SCOTT...LAFAYETTE AND 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF DUSON BY 945 PM CDT...
CARENCRO BY 950 PM CDT...
CHURCH POINT AND 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUNSET BY 955 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2981 9185 2981 9183 2983 9183 2983 9189
2982 9191 2982 9193 2983 9198 3039 9232
3049 9208 2984 9174 2978 9186
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 154DEG 62KT 2989 9189

$$

K. KUYPER
 

SassyinAZ

Inactive
Ok, while I still have power I have to ask...


Everybody is sitting outside right now and we are seeing something I have never seen before..


The sky is lighting up pink, orange and blue!

Incredible show...no lightning or thunder....just entire sky lighting up in neon type colors

What is that?

Wish I knew. Everywhere I click peeps are posting about the amazing colors.
 

Amazed

Does too have a life!
sassy, I don't really know but when I was watching a reporter on Galveston Island, the entire area was gold! The meteorologist said he thought it was light reflecting off the hurricane clouds. :shr: I'm not sure I believe that. :shr:

Now if you lived up here, I'd say it was Northern Lights.

Edit: I googled and came up with this. :eek:

The following is an excerpt from a book titled "Extreme Hurricane Camille" compiled by Nash Roberts, Jr., a New Orleans area meteorologist, about Hurricane Camille, one of only two Category 5 hurricanes to strike the U.S. mainland. The eye came ashore at Pass Christian, Mississippi, near Gulfport with winds of 190 mph. This is an account published in the book:

"I was talking to friends today that live in Long Beach, Mississippi [that's between Pass Christian and Gulfport]. One stated, 'As we heard over the radio, that the eye of the hurricane would be soon passing over Pass Christian, I looked towards Biloxi, the sky was a terrible red glow, as if Biloxi were on fire, or the sun was just begging to set. We watched it for 15 minutes, then it slowly sank down like the setting sun. Then the eye of the hurricane was passing over.'"

The person goes on to say that the light formed a hump shape, with the hump getting taller as the eye wall passed, then lowering. The person then talks of looking out the window and the sky being bright enough to see other people in their homes. Then the person writes:

"She heard a terrible roar. Everything became as black as ink; she couldn't see her son's home, or any light; she thought it was the end of the world. Finally light began to show, the darkness was gone, she could see her son's house; their roof was gone."

The catch: Hurricane Camille's eye crossed the Missisippi coast between 11 and 11:30 P.M.!!!! Now I can't explain that one . . . !!!
 

Jarhead

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Just a reminder...

We'll be opening a new thread for Ike titled "Hurricane Ike Daily Thread for Saturday, 9-13-08" with the 10 PM (CDT) updates.

I'll post when the tread is ready.

Thanks,

Jarhead
:usm:
 

Kronos

Veteran Member
Guessing SOMEONE is messing with the storm,
perhaps trying to lessen it via dumping some chemicals or whatnot into it?

WE do so NEED our refineries, just now...

No other possibilities come to mind.

Wierd... can you take some pics?
 
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