WAR US to leave troops in Afghanistan beyond May, 9/11 new goal

Status
Not open for further replies.

Zagdid

Veteran Member

Taliban parade new weapons seized from Afghan military as U.S. withdraws
“We will fight them and we will push them back,” a senior Afghan commander told NBC News about the Taliban's gains.

July 6, 2021, 6:10 AM EDT
By Richard Engel, Marc Smith and Yuliya Talmazan

KABUL, Afghanistan — The Taliban have showed off containers full of weapons and military hardware seized from the Afghan military as American forces withdraw from the country and the militants march across the country.

The weaponry includes 900 guns, 30 light tactical vehicles and 20 army pickup trucks, according to NBC News' U.K. partner Sky News, which was granted access to the Sultan Khil military base in the Wardak province close to the Afghan capital, Kabul.

District after district has fallen to the Taliban. The militants have seized 120 districts since May 1, according to an ongoing assessment by the Long War Journal. The map is a moving patchwork, but at last count the Taliban controlled 193 districts and contested 130, while 75 were under the control of the government or are undetermined, according to the publication, which reports on the global war on terror and is a project of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a hawkish Washington think tank.

At the same time, many military outposts have been surrendered without a fight, allowing the Taliban to seize weapons, according to multiple Afghan military and government sources.

Sky News filmed fighters carrying new weapons seized from the base, where a white flag signifying the Taliban takeover was flying.

Walking around wooden boxes full of munitions — some still wrapped in plastic and Styrofoam — Taliban commander Mutman Ehsanulla told Alex Crawford of Sky News that the seizure had won them a slew of new weapons that could be used on the battlefield. Still, he repeated a Taliban talking point that it isn't the militants who are behind a recent upsurge in violence.

“All people want peace here,” Ehsanulla said. “But the government doesn’t want peace with us.”

A surge of violence, including attacks on intellectuals, journalists and prominent women, has heightened anxiety about what the future holds in the battle-scarred country. The Taliban, which U.S. forces toppled in 2001 after the group sheltered Osama bin Laden, architect of the 9/11 attacks, have denied all responsibility for the attacks.

A recent United Nations report raised alarm about an "extraordinary levels of harm" inflicted on Afghans, with the Taliban responsible for more than 40 percent of all civilian casualties in the first three months of 2021. It said the Afghan National Army was responsible for 17 percent of all casualties during the same period.

Still, the Taliban has won the support of some Afghans who are weary after decades of war and of the U.S.-backed government in Kabul, which is widely accused of being riddled with corruption.

The Taliban resurgence is growing after months of largely fruitlesspeace talks between the military group and the Afghan government. With the Taliban growing stronger by the day, there are fears about the group’s willingness to cut any deals with the government in Kabul.

In April, President Joe Biden pledged to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan by Sept. 11, ending America's longest war, which has claimed the lives of around 2,300 U.S. troops since 2001. From 2001 to 2018, some 58,000 Afghan military and police were killed in the violence, according to a study by Brown University.

But the withdrawal comes amid fears it could set the country on a path to a civil war, voiced by the U.S.'s top general in Afghanistan, Austin S. Miller, last week.

The U.S. is still working on agreements to base counterterrorism forces in the region and evacuate Afghan interpreters who could face retribution from the Taliban.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment

jward

passin' thru
Retreating Afghan Forces Cross Into Central Asia
By Umida Hashimova for The Diplomat

5-6 minutes


Crossroads Asia | Security | Central Asia
As the Taliban capture districts in Afghanistan’s north, Uzbek and Tajik responses to fleeing Afghan forces have varied.

Retreating Afghan Forces Cross Into Central Asia

Credit: Depositphotos
The security situation in Afghanistan has been deteriorating in the wake of U.S. President Joe Biden’s announcement of a full U.S. troop withdrawal by September 11. The unstable security situation in Afghanistan has reached the Uzbek and Tajik borders in recent weeks, with the fall of several northern Afghan districts to the Taliban.

On July 3, more than 300 Afghan armed forces crossed into Tajikistan from Afghanistan’s Badakhshan province following clashes with the Taliban, the largest single-day retreat from Afghanistan in recent months. Earlier, on June 22, Taliban captured the Sherhan Bandar border post, the main trading and transit hub between Tajikistan and its neighbors to the south, Pakistan and Iran. As a result, 134 Afghans — mostly government troops and some local officials — crossed into Tajikistan. In both cases, Tajik authorities allowed the Afghans to cross and stay in Tajikistan.

The clashes near the Uzbek and Afghan border are milder, judging by the number of people that have so far attempted to cross the border, but it is important to note that the Uzbek border is much shorter compared to Afghanistan’s border with Tajikistan. The Hayraton border post, a trade and transit hub between Afghanistan and Uzbekistan, is arguably the Taliban’s next goal as Afghanistan armed forces created a 5 kilometer buffer zone around the post. An Afghanistan army commander reported deploying hundreds of troops to protect the Hayraton border by “creating a security belt.”

Between June 23 and June 28, there were at least three attempts by Afghan forces to cross the Uzbek border. In each case, Uzbek troops were able to interdict the individuals and return them to Afghanistan.

A day after the first group of Afghan troops crossed the Uzbek border, on June 24, Uzbekistan started a large-scale military exercise to check the military readiness of its ground and air defense troops in the military district along the border with Afghanistan and a neighboring military district area near Tashkent. Tajik armed forces were put on an alert on June 26, but their deployment for the reinforcement of border troops was deemed unnecessary.

It is unclear whether the stark differences in the official stances of Uzbekistan and Tajikistan toward the situation in Afghanistan could be the reason for these different responses. While Uzbekistan has recognized the deteriorating security situation in Afghanistan, it condemned the attempts to cross its border and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Uzbekistan described them as illegal acts that will be actively interceded and violators “severely punished.”

Meanwhile, Tajikistan’s State Committee for National Security, which operates the border service, said in official statements following two border incidents (June 21 and July 3) that guided by the principles of humanism and goodwill, they allowed retreating Afghan military service members into the territory of Tajikistan. The governor of Tajikistan’s Gorno-Badakhshan district, which shares a long mountainous border with Afghanistan, announced that it will be ready to accept up to 10,000 refugees.

While Tashkent chose to capture and return all Afghan citizens who attempted to enter Uzbekistan, Dushanbe allowed them to enter and stay. One of Tajikistan’s provinces announced that it would treat Afghans entering Tajikistan as refugees, but in Uzbekistan they will be reported as violators of national borders. Tashkent sees the events as a destabilizing factor for Uzbekistan and qualifies the clashes between the Taliban and the Afghan armed forces as an internal matter for Afghanistan. Tajikistan appears to be treating the situation as a humanitarian matter, while Uzbekistan views it as a purely security matter.

While the clashes on the Uzbek border are not as severe as the events on the border with Tajikistan, Uzbekistan chose to reinforce its side of the border with ground and air force elements in addition to permanently present border guards. The Afghan side of the border with Uzbekistan is heavily reinforced as well. There are no similar activities taking place on the Tajik side. In fact, the only body that is presently involved on the Tajik side is the Border Troops.
You have reached the limit of 5 free articles a month. You have read 1 of your 5 free articles this month.
 

jward

passin' thru
Decoding India’s Taliban Outreach
By Aishwaria Sonavane for The Diplomat

6-7 minutes


The Pulse | Diplomacy | South Asia
Reports that India is engaged in talks with the Taliban indicate New Delhi’s growing security concerns about Afghanistan.

Decoding India’s Taliban Outreach

Credit: Flickr/ Sanyam Bahga
India’s “quiet” rendezvous with the Taliban in Doha was confirmed by a senior Qatar official, thereby marking a striking policy shift in New Delhi’s approach to Afghanistan. The development highlights the transition from a nonexistent relationship to the onset of a diplomatic engagement, underscoring New Delhi’s acknowledgment of the Taliban as a critical component of future Afghanistan. However, communication was predictably restricted to the “nationalist” factions of the Taliban and those outside the influence of Iranian and Pakistani deep states. In the past, while Indian intelligence agencies have purportedly maintained contact with various Taliban factions, the transition of intelligence-motivated association into a diplomatic outreach policy will necessitate governmental intervention.

New Delhi’s willingness to engage largely stems from the concern about a potential upswing in anti-India militant groups in Afghanistan, including the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM), and al-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS), particularly with the Taliban’s increasing territorial dominance. The security threat is highly pertinent given the deep-rooted historic ties of the aforementioned militant outfits with the Afghan Taliban, as well as the association of certain factions with Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). After all, the Taliban-supported 1999 Kandahar hijacking served as a watershed in India’s history of terrorism.

Developments in Afghanistan are happening alongside persistent domestic resentment in Kashmir over the revocation of the region’s special status, granted under the Article 370 of the Indian Constitution, in August 2019. An AQIS communication in March 2020, calling for the group to strengthen its position in the India-administered Jammu and Kashmir region, corroborated New Delhi’s apprehensions.
The latest engagement debilitates the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government’s “no-talks-with-terror” hardliner rhetoric. An absence of confirmation or acknowledgement from the Indian government officials further signal New Delhi’s qualms over the domestic discourse, given the traditionally adversarial India-Taliban relationship. Such apprehensions came into play immediately after reports emerged of India’s engagement with the Taliban, with the former chief minister of Jammu and Kashmir, Mehbooba Mufti, questioning the BJP’s unwillingness to open dialogue with Pakistan.

As such, the strategic move to talk with the Taliban broadly demonstrates a regional security imperative for India, with Pakistan’s intense interventionism in Afghanistan and the departure of foreign troops until September 11. While India has batted for “an Afghan-led, Afghan-owned and Afghan-controlled process,” the development indicates New Delhi’s efforts to regulate Islamabad’s influence in the process. Additionally, with China in the picture, the regional race for influence in Afghanistan is unlikely to alleviate in the near future.
India’s reported billion-dollar investments in Afghan developmental projects further dictates New Delhi’s interests. In November 2020, India announced over 100 projects worth $80 million. In that context, to sustain its relevance in the country and deter the Taliban from nurturing anti-India components, it is wise for New Delhi to continue extending financial assistance to Afghanistan in the near term, irrespective of a change in the country’s power structure.

Meanwhile, the engagement points to the Taliban’s efforts to gain international relevance and posture itself as a legitimate political entity by engaging with the regional players. In February 2020, Sirajuddin Haqqani, a deputy leader of the Taliban, asserted that the Taliban “acknowledge importance of maintaining friendly relations with all countries and take their concerns seriously.” Meanwhile, Taliban spokesperson Suhail Shaheen distanced the outfit from the Kashmir conundrum.
Irrespective of such a narrative, New Delhi’s trust deficit is unlikely to be mitigated, considering the Taliban have played host to vast anti-India militant outfits in the past. India’s inevitable skepticism is further a product of the enduring anti-India position of the Haqqani Network, an autonomous branch of the Taliban with a deep affiliation to Pakistan’s security elements. The Haqqani Network has explicitly demonstrated its stance by launching repeated offenses against India’s interests in Afghanistan, including attacks on India’s diplomatic missions in Kabul in 2008 and Herat in 2014.

The India-Taliban engagement is still at a very early stage, and both sides are expected to be wary of each other’s moves and motives. Concurrently, observers from Kabul and Islamabad are expected to closely monitor any progress, with Pakistan already exhibiting its discomfort over the developments. In the coming term, India should further widen its engagement with other regional nations including Russia and Iran, and explore possibilities of cooperation to avoid alienation in Afghanistan’s future.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Sky News Shows Taliban Seizing Abandoned US Bases & "Treasure Trove" Of Weapons, Ammo

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
WEDNESDAY, JUL 07, 2021 - 05:05 PM

Simultaneous to global headlines spotlighting the hasty "in the middle of the night" US forces quitting Bagram airbase for good, which briefly resulted in looting as Afghan security was caught by surprise, Sky News has aired exclusive shocking footage of the Taliban seizing freshly abandoned US bases (or perhaps not-so-shocking considering the constant follies of America's longest ever war).

"The Taliban are on the march and gaining territory at an astonishing rate," the Sky News segment narratives. "They smell victory," the report says. "They want to show us the treasure trove of military riches they seized with it."

That's right - Taliban militants will gear up for the expected offensive on Kabul and other key parts of the country with fresh US-supplied RPGs, rifles, and ammo that were hastily abandoned by exiting US forces.

"Many of these boxes supplied by Americans haven't even been opened before the Taliban got to them," the Sky report continues.

A Taliban commander was heard saying, "It does help us a lot to have a lot of new weapons to use in battle." He went on to estimate some 900 guns obtained from one US base alone, as well as 30 armored Humvees and 30 pick-up trucks. Likely thousands more have been collected elsewhere. This as the Pentagon has estimated some 90% of US forces have now departed.

Gleeful Taliban: Look at all of our wonderful American toys!



Naturally, the pressing and outrageous question remains: why did the Biden administration and Pentagon fail to secure all this military hardware that can now be used to kill Americans and their Afghan allies and civilians?
Below: screenshot of Taliban commander reading the weapon's markings: "U-S-A!" ...he proudly and mockingly declares...


Meanwhile, as BBC reports the Taliban continues gobbling up territory:

The Taliban have entered a key city in western Afghanistan as they continue a rapid advance before Nato troops leave.
All government officials in Qala-e-Naw, provincial capital of Badghis province, had been moved to a nearby army base, the local governor told the BBC.
He said the militants were moving "towards the center of the city" and there was heavy fighting with government troops.

And they are freeing prisoners everywhere they go - adding more terrorists to their ranks: "Local sources told the BBC the Taliban moved on the prison in Qala-e-Naw and freed about 400 inmates, including more than 100 of the group's fighters."

And then there's this key line in the BBC report, strongly suggesting precisely what disasters await and are imminent across much of the country: "Afghan forces guarding the prison are reported to have surrendered without a fight."

This after US intelligence and defense previously warned that Kabul could fall within six months. Or perhaps it'll be more like six weeks at this rate.

Sky News Shows Taliban Seizing Abandoned US Bases & "Treasure Trove" Of Weapons, Ammo | ZeroHedge
 

The Mountain

Here since the beginning
_______________
Sky News Shows Taliban Seizing Abandoned US Bases & "Treasure Trove" Of Weapons, Ammo
Tyler Durden's Photo's Photo

BY TYLER DURDEN
WEDNESDAY, JUL 07, 2021 - 05:05 PM
Simultaneous to global headlines spotlighting the hasty "in the middle of the night" US forces quitting Bagram airbase for good, which briefly resulted in looting as Afghan security was caught by surprise, Sky News has aired exclusive shocking footage of the Taliban seizing freshly abandoned US bases (or perhaps not-so-shocking considering the constant follies of America's longest ever war).
"The Taliban are on the march and gaining territory at an astonishing rate," the Sky News segment narratives. "They smell victory," the report says. "They want to show us the treasure trove of military riches they seized with it."


That's right - Taliban militants will gear up for the expected offensive on Kabul and other key parts of the country with fresh US-supplied RPGs, rifles, and ammo that were hastily abandoned by exiting US forces.

A Taliban commander was heard saying, "It does help us a lot to have a lot of new weapons to use in battle." He went on to estimate some 900 guns obtained from one US base alone, as well as 30 armored Humvees and 30 pick-up trucks. Likely thousands more have been collected elsewhere. This as the Pentagon has estimated some 90% of US forces have now departed.
Gleeful Taliban: Look at all of our wonderful American toys!

Naturally, the pressing and outrageous question remains: why did the Biden administration and Pentagon fail to secure all this military hardware that can now be used to kill Americans and their Afghan allies and civilians?
Below: screenshot of Taliban commander reading the weapon's markings: "U-S-A!" ...he proudly and mockingly declares...

Meanwhile, as BBC reports the Taliban continues gobbling up territory:

And they are freeing prisoners everywhere they go - adding more terrorists to their ranks: "Local sources told the BBC the Taliban moved on the prison in Qala-e-Naw and freed about 400 inmates, including more than 100 of the group's fighters."

And then there's this key line in the BBC report, strongly suggesting precisely what disasters await and are imminent across much of the country: "Afghan forces guarding the prison are reported to have surrendered without a fight."
This after US intelligence and defense previously warned that Kabul could fall within six months. Or perhaps it'll be more like six weeks at this rate.

So the government, under the Biden Junta, is all but openly *giving* arms to actual terrorist groups in Afghanistan, while planning to seize weapons from patriotic American citizens here in the U.S. that have been falsely labeled "terrorists" by their own government. Got it.


All I wanted was an ATPIAL.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
From my last post

Naturally, the pressing and outrageous question remains: why did the Biden administration and Pentagon fail to secure all this military hardware that can now be used to kill Americans and their Afghan allies and civilians?

How Long before the weapons start showing up on the southern US border?
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
'Small number' of SAS troops 'will STAY in Afghanistan to advise local forces' when the majority of UK and US personnel withdraw after 20-year conflict
  • Group of SAS soldiers expected to stay in Afghanistan in an 'advisory' capacity
  • A former SAS soldier said the small number of troops are expected to stay to help train Afghan solders
  • It comes as the last regular 750 British troops left Afghanistan on Sunday
By RACHAEL BUNYAN FOR MAILONLINE and AP
PUBLISHED: 20:48 EDT, 4 July 2021 | UPDATED: 21:44 EDT, 4 July 2021

A small number of Special Forces troops from the British army are set to stay behind in Afghanistan as Western troops withdraw 20 years after the US-led invasion following the September 11 attacks, it has emerged.

The SAS soldiers are expected to remain in the country in an 'advisory' capacity while also helping to train soldiers from the Afghan military.

It comes as the last regular British troops left Afghanistan on Sunday, ending a costly involvement in which 454 UK soldiers and civilians have died in the country since the launch of the US-led Operation Enduring Freedom.

A former SAS soldier, who was recently in Afghanistan, told The Telegraph a small number of troops will remain there as an 'advisory group'.

The last Union flag of Great Britain flying above the skies of Helmand Province, Afghanistan, is lowered by Captain Matthew Clark and Warrant Officer 1 John Lilley in October 2014


The last Union flag of Great Britain flying above the skies of Helmand Province, Afghanistan, is lowered by Captain Matthew Clark and Warrant Officer 1 John Lilley in October 2014

The last of the UK's 750 soldiers were due to leave on Sunday as the Taliban advances in many parts of Afghanistan, sparking fears of a new civil war.

While Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to make a final decision on Monday at a National Security Council meeting, the soldier said the deal was as good as made.

The veteran said the SAS troops would 'provide training to Afghan units and deploy with them on the ground as advisors'.
He also said there was 'no determined time' for how long the elite British soldiers will have boots on the ground in Afghanistan.

'As long as they continue to see value they will keep forces there,' he told the newspaper. 'It's not a pleasant place at the moment, people are scared and rightly so.'

'The Taliban control the countryside and are just waiting for the coalition to leave. They are making it abundantly clear at every opportunity that their peace is with the coalition and not the Afghan government. The country will implode.'

The last British troops in Afghanistan were set to leave on Sunday after American forces brought forward their withdrawal date to mark US Independence Day. Pictured: M Company, 42 Commando Royal Marines, during operation against Taliban forces in Barikyu, Nothern Helmand Province of Afghanistan in 2014


The last British troops in Afghanistan were set to leave on Sunday after American forces brought forward their withdrawal date to mark US Independence Day. Pictured: M Company, 42 Commando Royal Marines, during operation against Taliban forces in Barikyu, Nothern Helmand Province of Afghanistan in 2014

His warning comes as the Taliban's march through northern Afghanistan gained momentum overnight with the capture of several districts from fleeing Afghan forces, several of whom fled across the border into Tajikistan, officials said Sunday.

But a senior military source said Mr Johnson is yet to make a decision on whether he will keep SAS troops in the country, adding: 'It's our job to provide different options to the Government'.

The former head of the British Army Lord Dannatt The Telegraph: 'It's perfectly reasonable to say that given our 20-year commitment to the country, and our aspirations to try and help the Afghan people... there are a number of ways that the British government should and undoubtedly will continue to support the Afghan people.

'If it can do so through supporting their military, through the use of our Special Forces, this is something that would not surprise me.'

A Ministry of Defence spokesperson said: 'The UK is involved in ongoing discussions with US and international allies regarding the future of our support to Afghanistan.'

While the UK may keep a small number of British SAS troops on the ground, the US are keeping 650 soldiers in Afghanistan are staying to protect its embassy.

The comments were made a day after former head of MI6 Sir Alex Younger warned that the threat to Britain from terror groups including al-Qaeda will grow if NATO powers turn their backs on Afghanistan after Western troops withdraw.
Sir Younger predicted that the most likely outcome for Afghanistan is civil war between a resurgent Taliban and the US-backed Afghan government.

Meanwhile, a US intelligence assessment found the Afghan government could fall within six months of the departure of remaining U.S. troops as the Taliban makes a resurgence.

Tory backbenchers have warned of the consequences and implications of the withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Tobias Ellwood, the chairman of the Commons Defence Select Committee, warned: 'There is a danger of Afghanistan collapsing.'

The former head of MI6 has warned that the threat to Britain from terror groups including al-Qaeda will grow if Western allies turn their back on Afghanistan after troops withdraw


The former head of MI6 has warned that the threat to Britain from terror groups including al-Qaeda will grow if Western allies turn their back on Afghanistan after troops withdraw

Tom Tugendhat, chairman of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee, said the 'stripped down' British Army is no longer an expeditionary force if it cannot even maintain the conflict in Afghanistan with the 'very small number of soldiers' there.

He blasted military chiefs over pulling troops out of the country this year, branding it a 'major strategic mistake' - as he warned that the withdrawal meant Britain could forget about influencing other nations.

Mr Tugendhat told the Today programme on Saturday: 'In 2009 we were engaged in combat operations all over the country. But today, well in the last year when this decision [to withdraw] was made, British troops haven't been engaged in combat operations.

'In fact they haven't been engaged in combat operations for a number of years - we've been engaged in training. So this is really much like pulling out of Germany in 1960 than refusing to finish the war in 1945.

'This is a very very different decision and in that case I think it's a major strategic mistake.'

He said: 'What we're demonstrating very publicly, very clearly, to many different adversaries and indeed sadly also to allies is that the US and her allies won't stay. Now if you don't have the ability to persist you can forget about influencing others. Nobody will care what you think if you're not going to be there tomorrow.'

On Saturday night, more than 300 Afghan military personnel crossed from Afghanistan's Badakhshan province as Taliban fighters advanced toward the border, Tajikistan's State Committee for National Security said in a statement on Sunday.

Captain Melvin Cabebe with the US Army's 1-320 Field Artillery Regiment, 101st Airborne Division stands near a burning M-ATV armored vehicle after it struck an improvised explosive device near Combat Outpost Nolen in the Arghandab Valley north of Kandahar, Afghanistan, July 23, 2010



Captain Melvin Cabebe with the US Army's 1-320 Field Artillery Regiment, 101st Airborne Division stands near a burning M-ATV armored vehicle after it struck an improvised explosive device near Combat Outpost Nolen in the Arghandab Valley north of Kandahar, Afghanistan, July 23, 2010

End of Part 1 of 2
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
The Afghan troops crossed over at about 6:30 p.m. local time Saturday

'Guided by the principles of humanism and good neighborliness,' the Tajik authorities allowed the retreating Afghan National Defense and Security Forces to cross into Tajikistan, said the statement.

In April, U.S. President Joe Biden said it was 'time to end America's longest war', and on Friday the US handed over Bagram air base, a strategic stronghold, to the Afghan security forces. About 650 US troops are staying to protect its embassy.

But since President Biden's announcement of the end of the 'forever war', the Taliban have made strides throughout the country.

But their most significant gains have been in the northern half of the country, a traditional stronghold of the U.S.-allied warlords who helped defeat them in 2001.

The Taliban now control roughly a third of all 421 districts and district centers in Afghanistan.

The gains in northeastern Badakhshan province in recent days have mostly come to the insurgent movement without a fight, said Mohib-ul Rahman, a provincial council member. He blamed Taliban successes on the poor morale of troops who are mostly outnumbered and without resupplies.

'Unfortunately, the majority of the districts were left to Taliban without any fight,' said Rahman. In the last three days, 10 districts fell to Taliban, eight without a fight, he said.

Hundreds of Afghan army, police and intelligence troops surrendered their military outposts and fled to the Badakhshan provincial capital of Faizabad, said Rahman.

TALIBAN GAINS NEW GROUND: A lighting offensive by the Taliban which began in May has seen the group take control of vast swathes of rural Afghanistan and battle their way to the doorstep of major cities such as Kandahar, Herat and Kabul - with attacks on them expected soon


TALIBAN GAINS NEW GROUND: A lighting offensive by the Taliban which began in May has seen the group take control of vast swathes of rural Afghanistan and battle their way to the doorstep of major cities such as Kandahar, Herat and Kabul - with attacks on them expected soon

Even as a security meeting was being held early Sunday to plot the strengthening of the perimeter around the capital, some senior provincial officials were leaving Faizabad for the capital Kabul, he said.

Experts say that one of the main reasons for government forces to lose dozens of districts is the lack of US air support in recent weeks.

'The withdrawal of US forces has emboldened the Taliban as we can see from the escalation of violence,' said Afghan political analyst Ramish Salimi.

'This year will be difficult for Afghanistan... especially since the Doha peace talks have not yielded a positive result.'

Peace talks between the Taliban and Afghan government that began in September last year have been deadlocked for months.

In late June the Afghan government resurrected militias with a reputation of brutal violence to support the beleaguered Afghan forces but Rahman said many of the militias in the Badakhshan districts put up only a half-hearted fight.

The areas under Taliban control in the north are increasingly strategic, running along Afghanistan's border with central Asian states. Last month the religious movement took control of Imam Sahib, a town in Kunduz province opposite Uzbekistan and gained control of a key trade route.

The inroads in Badakhshan are particularly significant as it is the home province of former President Burhanuddin Rabbani, who was killed by a suicide bomber in 2011.

His son, Salahuddin Rabbani, is part of the current High Council for National Reconciliation. The slain former president also led Afghanistan's Jamiat-e-Islami, which was the party of famed anti-Taliban fighter Ahmad Shah Massoud, killed by a suicide bomber two days before the 9/11 attacks in America.

The Interior Ministry issued a statement Saturday saying the defeats were temporary although it was not clear how they would regain control.

Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid confirmed the fall of the districts and said most were without a fight. The Taliban in previous surrenders have shown video of Afghan soldiers taking transportation money and returning to their homes.

Explainer: When is the war in Afghanistan really over?

Thousands of British personnel have also been wounded in battle against the Taliban. More than 38,000 Afghan civilians have been killed and 70,000 injured


Thousands of British personnel have also been wounded in battle against the Taliban. More than 38,000 Afghan civilians have been killed and 70,000 injured

As the last US combat troops prepare to leave Afghanistan, the question arises: When is the war really over?

For Afghans the answer is clear but grim: no time soon. An emboldened Taliban insurgency is making battlefield gains, and prospective peace talks are stalled. Some fear that once foreign forces are gone, Afghanistan will dive deeper into civil war. Though degraded, an Afghan affiliate of the so-called Islamic State extremist network also lurks.

For the United States and its coalition partners, the endgame is murky. Although all combat troops and 20 years of accumulated war materiel will soon be gone, the head of US Central Command, General Frank McKenzie, will have authority until September to defend Afghan forces against the Taliban. He can do so by ordering strikes with US warplanes based outside of Afghanistan, according to defence officials.

US officials said on Friday that the US military has left Bagram Airfield in Afghanistan after nearly 20 years. The facility was the epicentre of the war to oust the Taliban and hunt down the al Qaida perpetrators of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on America. Two officials say the airfield was handed over to the Afghan National Security and Defence Force in its entirety.
Here is a look at the end of the war:

What is left of the combat mission?

Technically, US forces have not been engaged in ground combat in Afghanistan since 2014. But counter-terrorism troops have been pursuing and hitting extremists since then, including with Afghanistan-based aircraft. Those strike aircraft are now gone and those strikes, along with any logistical support for Afghan forces, will be done from outside the country.

Inside Afghanistan, US troops will no longer be there to train or advise Afghan forces. An unusually large US security contingent of 650 troops, based at the US embassy compound, will protect American diplomats and potentially help secure the Kabul international airport. Turkey is expected to continue its current mission of providing airport security, but Gen McKenzie will have authority to keep as many as 300 more troops to assist that mission until September.

It is also possible that the US military may be asked to assist any large-scale evacuation of Afghans seeking Special Immigrant Visas, although the State Department-led effort may not require a military airlift. The White House is concerned that Afghans who helped the US war effort, and are thereby vulnerable to Taliban retribution, not be left behind.

When he decided in April to bring the US war to a close, President Joe Biden gave the Pentagon until September 11 to complete the withdrawal. The army general in charge in Kabul, Scott Miller, has essentially finished it already, with nearly all military equipment gone and few troops left.

Gen Miller himself is expected to depart in coming days. But does that constitute the end of the US war? With as many as 950 US troops in the country until September and the potential for continued air strikes, the answer is probably not.

How wars end

Unlike Afghanistan, some wars end with a flourish. The First World War was over with the armistice signed with Germany on November 11 1918 - a day now celebrated as a federal holiday in the US - and the later signing of the Treaty of Versailles.

The Second World War saw dual celebrations in 1945 with Germany's surrender marking Victory in Europe (VE Day) and Japan's surrender a few months later marking Victory Over Japan (VJ Day) following the US atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. In Korea, an armistice signed in July 1953 ended the fighting, although technically the war was only suspended because no peace treaty was ever signed.

Other endings have been less clear-cut. The US pulled troops out of Vietnam in 1973, in what many consider a failed war that ended with the fall of Saigon two years later. And when convoys of US troops drove out of Iraq in 2011, a ceremony marked their final departure. But just three years later, American troops were back to rebuild Iraqi forces that collapsed under attacks by IS militants.

Victory or defeat?

As America's war in Afghanistan draws to a close, there will be no surrender and no peace treaty, no final victory and no decisive defeat. Mr Biden says it was enough that US forces dismantled al Qaida and killed Osama bin Laden, the group's leader considered the mastermind of the September 11 2001 terrorist attacks.

Lately, violence in Afghanistan has escalated. Taliban attacks on Afghan forces and civilians have intensified and the group have taken control of more than 100 district centres. Pentagon leaders have said there is 'medium' risk that the Afghan government and its security forces collapse within the next two years, if not sooner.

US leaders insist the only path to peace in Afghanistan is through a negotiated settlement. The Trump administration signed a deal with the Taliban in February 2020 that said the US would withdraw its troops by May 2021 in exchange for Taliban promises, including that they keep Afghanistan from again being a staging arena for attacks on America.

US officials say the Taliban are not fully adhering to their part of the bargain, even as the US continues its withdrawal.

Nato mission

The Nato Resolute Support mission to train, advise and assist the Afghan security forces began in 2015, when the US-led combat mission was declared over. At that point the Afghans assumed full responsibility for their security, yet they remained dependent on billions of dollars a year in US aid.

At the peak of the war, there were more than 130,000 troops in Afghanistan from 50 Nato nations and partner countries. That dwindled to about 10,000 troops from 36 nations for the Resolute Support mission, and as of this week most had withdrawn their troops.

Some may see the war ending when Nato's mission is declared over. But that may not happen for months.
According to officials, Turkey is negotiating a new bilateral agreement with Afghan leaders in order to remain at the airport to provide security. Until that agreement is completed, the legal authorities for Turkish troops staying in Afghanistan are under the auspices of the Resolute Support mission.

Counter-terror mission

The US troop withdrawal does not mean the end of the war on terrorism. The US has made it clear that it retains the authority to conduct strikes against al Qaida or other terrorist groups in Afghanistan if they threaten the US homeland.
Because the US has pulled its fighter and surveillance aircraft out of the country, it must now rely on manned and unmanned flights from ships at sea and air bases in the Gulf region, such as al-Dhafra air base in the United Arab Emirates.

The Pentagon is looking for basing alternatives for surveillance aircraft and other assets in countries closer to Afghanistan. As yet, no agreements have been reached.

Reporting by Associated Press

'Small number' of SAS troops 'will STAY in Afghanistan to advise local forces' | Daily Mail Online

End of Part 2 of 2
 
Last edited:

raven

TB Fanatic
ya think we might want to change the thread title
since it no longer appears we are going to be anywhere near Afghanistan
in . . . 3, 2, 1 , , ,
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Peace out
America leaves Afghanistan on the brink of collapse

Afghan troops are tottering as the Taliban come roaring back

20210710_ASP001_0.jpg


July 7th 2021
The Economist
KABUL AND MAZAR-I-SHARIF

WERE IT NOT for the Kalashnikov, the photograph would have been unremarkable. The framing is off-centre. The photographer’s shadow can be seen at the bottom. In the background is the western gate of Mazar-i-Sharif, just some 15km from the centre of Afghanistan’s fourth-biggest city. In the middle is a bored-looking man wearing typical local dress and an orange turban (pictured, below). It is the rifle he holds aloft in his right hand that gives him away as a member of the Taliban. That, and the caption that accompanied the picture as it pinged its way through the mobile phones of the city’s residents late last month: the Taliban are at the gates, it warned.

20210710_ASP501.jpg


Panic swiftly swept the city. In the days before, district after district in the surrounding province of Balkh had fallen from government control and into the Taliban’s hands. Swathes of northern Afghanistan have in recent weeks suffered a similar fate. This was all the more alarming given that Balkh has a reputation as a bastion of anti-Taliban resistance. It is a long way from the insurgents’ southern heartlands. The sudden appearance of the gunman seemed an obvious signal that an assault was imminent. “On that day, everything closed and everyone went to their homes,” recalls Amir Mohammadi, an 18-year-old schoolboy in the city.

Less than three months after President Joe Biden declared that the last American troops would be out of Afghanistan by September 11th, the withdrawal is nearly complete. The departure from Bagram air base, an hour’s drive north of the capital, Kabul, in effect marked the end of America’s 20-year war. But that does not mean the end of the war in Afghanistan. If anything, it is only going to get worse.

America and its NATO allies have spent billions of dollars training and equipping Afghan security forces in the hope that they would one day be able to stand alone. Instead, they started buckling even before America left. Many districts are being taken not by force, but are simply handed over. Soldiers and policemen have surrendered in droves, leaving piles of American-purchased arms and ammunition and fleets of vehicles. Even as the last American troops were leaving Bagram over the weekend of July 3rd, more than 1,000 Afghan soldiers were busy fleeing across the border into neighbouring Tajikistan as they sought to escape a Taliban assault. “Everyone is shocked by how fast it’s fallen apart,” says a Western diplomat.

On paper, the Afghan army and police are more numerous and better equipped than their opponents. In reality they often yield to much smaller forces. Plummeting morale is a big reason. Troops complain of being abandoned by their commanders and of going without pay, food or ammunition. The American withdrawal has curtailed NATO air support, which the Afghan forces had come to rely on. Their own fledgling air force is a poor substitute.

20210710_ASM111.png


A running tally by the Foundation for Defence of Democracies, a think-tank in Washington, estimates the Taliban control close to half the country’s 400-odd districts (see map). The government in Kabul strongly denies this and says any retreats have been temporary and will be reversed. Some districts have been retaken, or have changed hands several times. Many are remote and have little government presence or strategic importance. But the cascade of victories has given the Taliban momentum. Diplomats worry it will continue.

The Taliban have also made a slick propaganda push emphasising their seemingly relentless advance and showing that those who surrender are being treated well. Many Afghans are fed up with a corrupt and remote government that provides little benefit to citizens. They may not like the Taliban’s strictures, but they are not too keen on the current set-up either.

The feared push into Mazar-i-Sharif has so far not materialised. The army quickly released its own social-media pictures to show it had full control of the western gate. The city has begun to calm itself, but the government’s writ extends only a few miles outside it. Thousands of people from the countryside have poured into the city seeking refuge from the Taliban.

Murtaza Sultani, a 22-year-old driver from a nearby district, says his village fell in mid-June without a shot being fired. He left because the Taliban were seeking volunteers to join them. “Even if they don’t kill us, they restrict people and it’s no way to live,” he says. With no work, he passes the time in the courtyard of Mazar-i-Sharif’s majestic blue mosque: “I don’t have money to leave and the borders are closed.”

Leaving is a preoccupation for many. At the passport office in Kabul, thousands of Afghans are waiting in queues, sometimes for days, to acquire travel documents, either for immediate use or just in case. Many Afghans know from bitter experience what it means to be a refugee; they are not taking the choice lightly. Yet the sight of the near-unchecked Taliban advance is helping them make the decision.

“I want to go to Tehran,” says Jamaluddin Behboudi, a 34-year-old house painter squatting outside the passport office with his children. Iran, along with Pakistan, Turkey and Central Asia, is a popular choice for escape. But the pandemic has made travel difficult for everyone. In Mazar-i-Sharif itself, the deteriorating security situation has caused many countries, including Iran, to close their consulates.

As the outlook for the army and for civilians looks increasingly desperate, so do the measures proposed by the government. Ashraf Ghani, the president, is trying to mobilise militias to shore up the flimsy army. He has turned for help to figures such as Atta Mohammad Noor, who rose to power as an anti-Soviet and anti-Taliban commander and is now a potentate and businessman in Balkh province. “No matter what, we will defend our cities and the dignity of our people,” says Mr Noor in his gilded reception hall in Mazar-i-Sharif.

Such a mobilisation would be a temporary measure to give the army a breathing space and allow it to regroup, he says. The new forces would co-ordinate with government troops. But the prospect of unleashing warlords’ private armies fills many Afghans with dread, reminding them of the anarchy of the 1990s. Such militias, raised along ethnic lines, tended to turn on each other and the general population.

Matiullah Tarakhel, a soldier from the eastern province of Laghman, thinks the creation of militias is a power grab. “We have had experience of this,” he says as he queues for a passport for his sick father. “People have enemies. Maybe these militia men will want to kill their opponents, but they will say it was the Taliban.”

With America gone and Afghan forces melting away, the Taliban fancy their prospects. They show little sign of engaging in serious negotiations with Mr Ghani’s administration. Yet they control no major towns or cities. Sewing up the countryside puts pressure on the urban centres, but the Taliban may be in no hurry to force the issue. They generally lack heavy weapons. They may also lack the numbers to take a city against sustained resistance. On July 7th they failed to capture Qala-e-Naw, a small town. Besides, controlling a city would bring fresh headaches. They are not good at providing government services.

Seizing Kabul by force is “not Taliban policy”, Suhail Shaheen, a spokesman, told the BBC on July 5th. Their best course may be to tighten the screws and wait for the government to buckle. American predictions of its fate are getting gloomier.

Intelligence agencies think Mr Ghani’s government could collapse within six months, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Amir Mohammadi, the teenager in Mazar-i-Sharif, says many of his contemporaries fear the future is bleak. “It looks like it’s going to get worse,” he says. “It’s better to leave.” That is much the same sentiment as in Washington.

America leaves Afghanistan on the brink of collapse | The Economist
 

Zagdid

Veteran Member

Russia-led bloc ready to act if Afghan border unravels, Taliban reassures Moscow
Reuters
July 8, 20211:11 PM EDT Last Updated 29 minutes ago

Q7YM2ID7HJKTZJKHAT6XHXQWDA.jpg

Afghan National Army (ANA) soldiers patrol the area near their checkpoint recaptured from the Taliban, as a boy carries a sack, in the Alishing district of Laghman province, Afghanistan July 8, 2021.REUTERS/Parwiz

MOSCOW, July 8 (Reuters) - The Russian-led CSTO military bloc said on Thursday it was ready to mobilise its full capacity if the situation on Tajikistan's border with Afghanistan deteriorated as a Taliban delegation in Moscow told Russia it did not pose a threat to the region.

Foreign forces, including the United States, are withdrawing after almost 20 years of fighting, a move that has emboldened the Taliban to try to gain fresh territory in Afghanistan.

That has prompted hundreds of Afghan security personnel and refugees to flee across the border into neighbouring Tajikistan and raised fears in Moscow and other capitals that Islamist extremists could infiltrate Central Asia, a region Russia views as its backyard.

The CSTO, the six-nation Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) dominated by Russia, said on Thursday it was ready to use all its resources if necessary to contain a crisis on the border between Afghanistan and Tajikistan, the Interfax news agency reported.

The U.S. exit from Afghanistan is a headache for Moscow which fears spiralling fighting may push refugees into Central Asia, create a jihadist threat and even stir civil war in one ex-Soviet state, a former Russian diplomat and two analysts have told Reuters.

Russia operates its biggest foreign military base in Tajikistan close to the Afghan border and Moscow has already pledged to help Dushanbe if needed. Interfax cited the CSTO as saying that military contingents from other member countries were not yet needed in the area however.

The CSTO's statement came as a Taliban delegation in Moscow held talks with Russian officials and sought to reassure their hosts that the group would not attack the Tajik border or use Afghanistan as a platform in future to launch attacks against Russia itself.

Russia's foreign ministry said in a statement it had told the Taliban delegation that it was concerned by escalating tensions in northern Afghanistan and did not want any fighting to spill over into other countries.

The ministry said it had received assurances from the Taliban that the group would not violate other countries' borders in the region and that the Taliban had guaranteed the safety of foreign diplomatic missions inside Afghanistan.

It cited the Taliban as saying it wanted a peaceful settlement in Afghanistan and had promised to respect human rights, including those of woman, "within the framework of Islamic norms and Afghan traditions."

It said the Taliban had also pledged to fight against the threat posed by Islamic State in Afghanistan and to uproot drug production.

Reporting by Tom Balmforth/Moscow Buro Editing by Andrew Osborn
 

jward

passin' thru
‘Overdue’: Biden sets Aug. 31 for US exit from Afghanistan
By ZEKE MILLER and AAMER MADHANIa few seconds ago


President Joe Biden speaks about the American troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, July 8, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

1 of 4
President Joe Biden speaks about the American troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, July 8, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)


WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden said Thursday the U.S. military operation in Afghanistan will end on Aug. 31, delivering an impassioned argument for exiting the nearly 20-year war without sacrificing more American lives even as he bluntly acknowledged there will be no “mission accomplished” moment to celebrate.
Biden pushed back against the notion the U.S. mission has failed but also noted that it remains unlikely the government would control all of Afghanistan after the U.S. leaves. He urged the Afghan government and Taliban, which he said remains as formidable as it did before the start of the war, to come to a peace agreement.
“We did not go to Afghanistan to nation build,” Biden said in a speech from the White House’s East Room. “Afghan leaders have to come together and drive toward a future.”

The administration in recent days has sought to frame ending the conflict as a decision that Biden made after concluding it’s an “unwinnable war” and one that “does not have a military solution.” On Thursday he amplified the justification of his decision even as the Taliban make rapid advances in significant swaths of the country.
“How many more, how many more thousands of American daughters and sons are you willing to risk?” Biden said to those calling for the U.S. to extend the military operation. He added, “I will not send another generation of Americans to war in Afghanistan, with no reasonable expectation of achieving a different outcome.”
The new withdrawal date comes after former President Donald Trump’s administration negotiated a deal with the Taliban to end the U.S. military mission by May 1. Biden after taking office announced U.S. troops would be out by by the 20th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, attack, which al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden plotted from Afghanistan, where he had been given refuge by the Taliban.

With U.S. and NATO ally forces rapidly drawing down in the past week, there was growing speculation that U.S. combat operations have already effectively ended. But by setting Aug. 31 as the drawdown date, the administration nodded to the reality that the long war is in its final phase, while providing itself some cushion to deal with outstanding matters.
The administration has yet to complete talks with Turkey on an arrangement for maintaining security at the Kabul airport and is still ironing out details for the potential evacuation of thousands of Afghans who assisted the U.S. military operation.
Biden said that prolonging U.S. military involvement, considering Trump had already agreed to withdraw U.S. troops, would have led to an escalation of attacks on American troops and NATO allies.
“The Taliban would have again begun to target our forces,” Biden said. “The status quo was not an option. Staying meant U.S. troops taking casualties. American men and women. Back in the middle of a civil war. And we would run the risk of having to send more troops back in Afghanistan to defend our remaining troops.”

The president added that there is no “mission accomplished” moment as the U.S. war comes to an end.
“The mission was accomplished in that we got Osama bin Laden and terrorism is not emanating from that part of the world,” he said. U.S. forces killed bin Laden in 2011.
U.S. forces this week vacated Bagram Airfield — the U.S. epicenter of the conflict to oust the Taliban and hunt down the al-Qaida perpetrators of the 2001 terrorist attacks that triggered the war.
Remaining U.S. troops are now concentrated in Kabul, the capital. The Pentagon said the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Gen. Scott Miller, is expected to end his tour of duty this month as final arrangements are made for a reduced U.S. military mission.

Biden, answering questions from reporters after his remarks on Thursday, said that Kabul falling to the Taliban would not be an acceptable outcome. The president also pushed back against the notion that such a scenario was certain.
“Do I trust the Taliban? No,” Biden said. “But I trust the capacity of the Afghan military, who is better trained, better equipped and more competent in terms of conducting war.”
To be certain, the West hopes Taliban gains will be confined mostly to rural areas, with the Afghan government and its allies retaining control of the cities where much of Afghanistan’s population resides. And while the Taliban remain a major power in Afghanistan, the government’s supporters hope that Afghans will work out the Taliban role in the post-U.S. Afghanistan power structure more through political than military means, partly through the inducements of international legitimacy, aid and other support.

Asked by a reporter whether rampant corruption within the Afghan government contributed to the failure of achieving the sort of stability that his predecessors and American military commanders envisioned, Biden didn’t exactly dismiss the notion. “The mission hasn’t failed — yet.”
Biden continues to face pressure from congressional lawmakers to offer further detail on how he intends to go about assisting thousands of Afghans who helped the U.S. military as translators, drivers and in other jobs. Many are fearful they will be targets of the Taliban once the U.S. withdrawal is complete.
The White House says the administration has identified U.S. facilities outside of the continental United States, as well as third countries, where evacuated Afghans would potentially stay while their visa applications are processed. Biden added that 2,500 Afghans have been granted special immigrant visas since he took office in January.
Still, the president faced Republican criticism following his speech.

“The Taliban is gaining more ground by the day, and there are targets on the backs of our people and our partners,” said Rep. Michael McCaul of Texas, the top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee. “But rather than taking the opportunity to reassure the American people there are sufficient plans in place to keep American diplomats and our Afghan partners safe, President Biden only offered more empty promises and no detailed plan of action.”
John Kirby, chief Pentagon spokesman, said Thursday that the U.S. military is considering several overseas bases around the world as possible temporary locations for those Afghans awaiting a visa. So far, he said, the numbers of those who have decided to leave Afghanistan are not so high that they can’t be handled with a range of installations.
“Our message to those women and men is clear,” Biden said. “There is a home for you in the United States if you so choose. We will stand with you, just as you stood with us.”

Biden noted that as a senator he was skeptical about how much the U.S. could accomplish in Afghanistan and had advocated for a more narrowly tailored mission. He was somewhat opaque in answering whether the cost of the war was worth it, but argued that the U.S. objectives were completed long ago.
“We went for two reasons: one, to bring Osama bin Laden to the gates of hell, as I said at the time,” Biden said. “The second reason was to eliminate al-Qaida’s capacity to deal with more attacks on the United States from that territory. We accomplished both of those objectives. Period.
“That’s why I believe this is the right decision and quite frankly overdue.”

Associated Press writers Ellen Knickmeyer in Oklahoma City and Lolita C. Baldor in Washington contributed reporting.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
‘Overdue’: Biden sets Aug. 31 for US exit from Afghanistan
By ZEKE MILLER and AAMER MADHANIa few seconds ago


President Joe Biden speaks about the American troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, July 8, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

1 of 4
President Joe Biden speaks about the American troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, July 8, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)


WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden said Thursday the U.S. military operation in Afghanistan will end on Aug. 31, delivering an impassioned argument for exiting the nearly 20-year war without sacrificing more American lives even as he bluntly acknowledged there will be no “mission accomplished” moment to celebrate.
Biden pushed back against the notion the U.S. mission has failed but also noted that it remains unlikely the government would control all of Afghanistan after the U.S. leaves. He urged the Afghan government and Taliban, which he said remains as formidable as it did before the start of the war, to come to a peace agreement.
“We did not go to Afghanistan to nation build,” Biden said in a speech from the White House’s East Room. “Afghan leaders have to come together and drive toward a future.”

The administration in recent days has sought to frame ending the conflict as a decision that Biden made after concluding it’s an “unwinnable war” and one that “does not have a military solution.” On Thursday he amplified the justification of his decision even as the Taliban make rapid advances in significant swaths of the country.
“How many more, how many more thousands of American daughters and sons are you willing to risk?” Biden said to those calling for the U.S. to extend the military operation. He added, “I will not send another generation of Americans to war in Afghanistan, with no reasonable expectation of achieving a different outcome.”
The new withdrawal date comes after former President Donald Trump’s administration negotiated a deal with the Taliban to end the U.S. military mission by May 1. Biden after taking office announced U.S. troops would be out by by the 20th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, attack, which al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden plotted from Afghanistan, where he had been given refuge by the Taliban.

With U.S. and NATO ally forces rapidly drawing down in the past week, there was growing speculation that U.S. combat operations have already effectively ended. But by setting Aug. 31 as the drawdown date, the administration nodded to the reality that the long war is in its final phase, while providing itself some cushion to deal with outstanding matters.
The administration has yet to complete talks with Turkey on an arrangement for maintaining security at the Kabul airport and is still ironing out details for the potential evacuation of thousands of Afghans who assisted the U.S. military operation.
Biden said that prolonging U.S. military involvement, considering Trump had already agreed to withdraw U.S. troops, would have led to an escalation of attacks on American troops and NATO allies.
“The Taliban would have again begun to target our forces,” Biden said. “The status quo was not an option. Staying meant U.S. troops taking casualties. American men and women. Back in the middle of a civil war. And we would run the risk of having to send more troops back in Afghanistan to defend our remaining troops.”

The president added that there is no “mission accomplished” moment as the U.S. war comes to an end.
“The mission was accomplished in that we got Osama bin Laden and terrorism is not emanating from that part of the world,” he said. U.S. forces killed bin Laden in 2011.
U.S. forces this week vacated Bagram Airfield — the U.S. epicenter of the conflict to oust the Taliban and hunt down the al-Qaida perpetrators of the 2001 terrorist attacks that triggered the war.
Remaining U.S. troops are now concentrated in Kabul, the capital. The Pentagon said the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Gen. Scott Miller, is expected to end his tour of duty this month as final arrangements are made for a reduced U.S. military mission.

Biden, answering questions from reporters after his remarks on Thursday, said that Kabul falling to the Taliban would not be an acceptable outcome. The president also pushed back against the notion that such a scenario was certain.
“Do I trust the Taliban? No,” Biden said. “But I trust the capacity of the Afghan military, who is better trained, better equipped and more competent in terms of conducting war.”
To be certain, the West hopes Taliban gains will be confined mostly to rural areas, with the Afghan government and its allies retaining control of the cities where much of Afghanistan’s population resides. And while the Taliban remain a major power in Afghanistan, the government’s supporters hope that Afghans will work out the Taliban role in the post-U.S. Afghanistan power structure more through political than military means, partly through the inducements of international legitimacy, aid and other support.

Asked by a reporter whether rampant corruption within the Afghan government contributed to the failure of achieving the sort of stability that his predecessors and American military commanders envisioned, Biden didn’t exactly dismiss the notion. “The mission hasn’t failed — yet.”
Biden continues to face pressure from congressional lawmakers to offer further detail on how he intends to go about assisting thousands of Afghans who helped the U.S. military as translators, drivers and in other jobs. Many are fearful they will be targets of the Taliban once the U.S. withdrawal is complete.
The White House says the administration has identified U.S. facilities outside of the continental United States, as well as third countries, where evacuated Afghans would potentially stay while their visa applications are processed. Biden added that 2,500 Afghans have been granted special immigrant visas since he took office in January.
Still, the president faced Republican criticism following his speech.

“The Taliban is gaining more ground by the day, and there are targets on the backs of our people and our partners,” said Rep. Michael McCaul of Texas, the top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee. “But rather than taking the opportunity to reassure the American people there are sufficient plans in place to keep American diplomats and our Afghan partners safe, President Biden only offered more empty promises and no detailed plan of action.”
John Kirby, chief Pentagon spokesman, said Thursday that the U.S. military is considering several overseas bases around the world as possible temporary locations for those Afghans awaiting a visa. So far, he said, the numbers of those who have decided to leave Afghanistan are not so high that they can’t be handled with a range of installations.
“Our message to those women and men is clear,” Biden said. “There is a home for you in the United States if you so choose. We will stand with you, just as you stood with us.”

Biden noted that as a senator he was skeptical about how much the U.S. could accomplish in Afghanistan and had advocated for a more narrowly tailored mission. He was somewhat opaque in answering whether the cost of the war was worth it, but argued that the U.S. objectives were completed long ago.
“We went for two reasons: one, to bring Osama bin Laden to the gates of hell, as I said at the time,” Biden said. “The second reason was to eliminate al-Qaida’s capacity to deal with more attacks on the United States from that territory. We accomplished both of those objectives. Period.
“That’s why I believe this is the right decision and quite frankly overdue.”

Associated Press writers Ellen Knickmeyer in Oklahoma City and Lolita C. Baldor in Washington contributed reporting.

That line about trusting the capabilities of the Afghan military is going to haunt this "Administration"......
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane
Biden, answering questions from reporters after his remarks on Thursday, said that Kabul falling to the Taliban would not be an acceptable outcome. The president also pushed back against the notion that such a scenario was certain.
I was at favorite watering hole today, having arrived just prior to this speech. I don't have TV at home.

So I firmly understand that any President after Bush II was going to be put in an awful place because of Afghanistan. And Biden did a credible job explaining why we were getting out of there.

But the flights of fantasy about how well the Afghan military was doing was too much to take.

I understood Biden’s desire to avoid the images of a "Fall of Saigon" but this blatant lying could look a lot worse.
 

jward

passin' thru
World
Analysis: For Russia, U.S. Afghan exit creates security threat on southern flank
Tom BalmforthGabrielle Tétrault-farber


6 minute read

Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the Taliban's deputy leader and negotiator, and other delegation members attend the Afghan peace conference in Moscow, Russia March 18, 2021. Alexander Zemlianichenko/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo
  • Summary
  • Russia has long called on NATO to leave Afghanistan
  • But exit creates potential threats for Moscow
  • Russia fears refugee crisis, jihadist infiltration
  • Is wary of NATO forces redeploying to Central Asia
MOSCOW, July 8 (Reuters) - The U.S. exit from Afghanistan is a headache for Moscow which fears spiralling fighting may push refugees into its Central Asian backyard, create a jihadist threat and even stir civil war in one ex-Soviet state, a former Russian diplomat and two analysts said.

U.S. forces vacated their main Bagram Air Base last week and most NATO forces have also pulled out. That has emboldened the Taliban, which has made territorial advances, raising fears about the Kabul government's grip on power and prompting over 1,000 Afghan security personnel to flee to Tajikistan.

The turmoil is a worry for Russia because it regards the region, part of the former Soviet Union once ruled from Moscow, as its southern defensive flank and as a sphere of influence from which radical Islamist threats could emanate.

Moscow, still haunted by its own 1979-89 Afghan war, is unlikely to engage militarily in Afghanistan, Sergei Lavrov, Russia's top diplomat, has made clear. read more

But a refugee exodus into Tajikistan, an impoverished nation of 9.3 million which fought a civil war involving Islamist forces from 1992 to 1997, would pose a humanitarian challenge and could be infiltrated by Jihadists, the three sources said.

Uzbekistan or Turkmenistan could also face blowback.

"The most vulnerable seems to be Tajikistan where the state is brittle and in the midst of the hereditary succession to (President Emomali) Rakhmon's son," said Vladimir Frolov, a former senior Russian diplomat.

"The risk is in jihadi forces exploiting the existing social divisions and the clamour for justice to reignite the civil war," he said.

Russia's largest foreign military base is located in Tajikistan near the Afghan frontier and comprises around 6,000 soldiers, tanks, armoured personnel carriers, drones and helicopters. It also has an airbase in neighbouring Kyrgyzstan.

President Vladimir Putin told Rakhmon on Monday that Moscow would help Tajikistan handle any fallout if needed. Rakhmon has ordered the mobilisation of 20,000 military reservists to bolster the border and asked a Russian-led regional military bloc for help. read more

"Another threat is in Turkmenistan which is not really a state and does not fully control its borders with Afghanistan. There, all bets are off," Frolov said.

Afghanistan remains seared on Russia's national conscience over thirty years after the Soviet Union ended its own military campaign after losing the lives of 14,000 nationals.

"I don't think they're considering a direct military engagement in Afghanistan. It's too sensitive an issue for many Russians," said Andrey Kortunov, head of the Russian International Affairs Council, a think tank close to Russia's Foreign Ministry.

For Moscow, he said border security was key along with sharing data on anti-terrorist activities, counter-intelligence and special operations.

ZERO-SUM GAME

Moscow's goals are to prevent Afghanistan becoming a platform for international terrorism and to erode its role as a major heroin exporter, said Kortunov.

Working with the Taliban, which Russia formally considers a terrorist group but has hosted in Moscow for peace talks, is part of its plan, all three sources said.

A Taliban delegation visiting Moscow on Thursday said the Taliban would not attack the border with Tajikistan or allow Afghanistan to be used for attacks on Russia, the TASS news agency reported. read more

Arkady Dubnov, a Moscow-based analyst, said Russia had been careful not to criticise the Taliban in recent statements.

"Moscow is betting the Taliban is a largely local tribal force that does not have interest or aspirations to project its power and control beyond the borders of Afghanistan," Frolov said.

"The bet is that not waging war on the Taliban (even in propaganda terms) will pay off by finding a ... modus vivendi with the new government in Kabul controlled by the Taliban," he said.

The scenario Moscow wants to avoid is NATO redeploying from Afghanistan to Central Asia.

"This (exit) process...cannot and must not turn into a redeployment of U.S. and NATO military infrastructure facilities to countries neighbouring Afghanistan, especially in Central Asia," Zamir Kabulov, Russia's special representative on Afghanistan, said last week.

While Lavrov on Wednesday said the U.S. exit was "hasty", hawkish factions in Russia have long wanted the West out of Afghanistan. Dubnov said that aspiration risked backfiring.

"Moscow and Washington have always played a zero-sum game in Afghanistan - what was bad for the States was good for Russia and vice versa," he said.

"Now there's a new phase in the war and what is good for America, which is finally withdrawing its forces, turns out to be bad for Russia."

Reporting by Tom Balmforth and Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber; editing by Andrew Osborn and William Maclean
 

jward

passin' thru
China prepares to move into Afghanistan with $62 billion ‘Belt and Road’ initiative as American troops leave

china belt and road afghanistan

Source: Pixabay






As the United States prepares to withdraw from Afghanistan, China is preparing to go in and fill the void left by the departing US and NATO troops, The Daily Beast reported.
With its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), China is poised to make an exclusive entry into post-US Afghanistan. According to reports, Kabul authorities are intensifying their engagement with China on an extension of the $62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), the BRI’s flagship project.
According to international media, the project involves the construction of highways, railways, and energy pipelines between Pakistan and China—to Afghanistan.

American troops left Afghanistan’s main and final US military base on Friday, and while the initial withdrawal date was set for September 11, security officials told a British newspaper that the majority of troops would be out by July 4.
One of the specific projects on the table, according to another source privy to conversations between Beijing and Kabul, is the construction of a China-backed major road between Afghanistan and Pakistan’s northwestern city of Peshawar, which is already linked with the CPEC route. “There is a discussion on a Peshawar-Kabul motorway between the authorities in Kabul and Beijing,” the source told The Daily Beast on condition of anonymity. “Linking Kabul with Peshawar by road means Afghanistan’s formal joining of CPEC.”
In other words, the Afghan government is welcoming China immediately after bidding farewell to America.
China has long wanted to expand its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to Afghanistan, and has been pleading with Kabul to do so for at least a decade. However, the US-backed Afghan government was hesitant to join the BRI for fear of upsetting Washington.

“There has been continuous engagement between the Afghan government and the Chinese for the past few years but that made the US suspicious of President Ashraf Ghani government,” The Daily Beast’s source said. He added that now, the engagement is growing “more intense,” as US forces are leaving and “Ghani needs an ally with resources, clout and ability to provide military support to his government.”
Following US President Joe Biden’s announcement of plans to withdraw all American forces by September 11, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian confirmed last month that China was indeed in talks with third parties, including Afghanistan, about extending CPEC.

China intends to connect Asia with Africa and Europe via land and maritime networks spanning 60 countries as part of its BRI strategy. The strategy would not only promote inter-regional connectivity, but would also increase China’s global influence at a cost of $4 trillion. Because of its location, Afghanistan can provide China with a strategic base to spread its influence across the world, ideally located to serve as a trade hub connecting the Middle East, Central Asia and Europe.
According to The Daily Beast, a senior officer in Afghanistan’s foreign service informed him that Chinese officials met with Afghan Foreign Minister Salahuddin Rabbani about five years ago to discuss the extension of CPEC and BRI.

The minister was intrigued—until an Indian ambassador went on the offensive to oppose the deal. According to the source, the Indian ambassador to Afghanistan even approached the US ambassador in Kabul to express his concerns. Finally, the American ambassador allegedly pressured Rabbani into withdrawing from further CPEC talks with the Chinese.
In another instance, “an emotional diplomat openly accused President Ghani of siding with the Chinese and offering them Afghan resources,” the source told The Daily Beast, and the project was stalled.

However, in light of the US withdrawal, Beijing may be in a good position to pick up where they left off and push Kabul to join the BRI, especially if the US withdrawal results in the establishment of the Taliban regime. Chinese officials have reportedly been in contact with Taliban representatives on a regular basis since the Trump administration signed a peace deal with the militant group in February.
“The Taliban certainly offers a more unified partner to Chinese. But other regional countries have been trying to bring together warlords to think of resistance rather than of peace with the Taliban,” the source told to The Daily Beast.
China has launched some strategic projects in Afghanistan as part of its homework strategy, including the construction of Taxkorgan airport on the Pamirs Plateau in the northwest Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region,which shares a border with Afghanistan China also constructed and operates the Gwadar seaport in Pakistan’s Balochistan province, which borders Afghanistan. Taxkorgan and Gwadar are both being developed as part of CPEC.
As China’s strategic partner, Pakistan could prove a trump card for China in the Afghan endgame. “I think China could achieve more success than the US in Afghanistan given its close ties with and enormous leverage over Pakistan,” Sudha Ramachandran, an India-based analyst on South Asian political and security issues, told The Daily Beast. “China wants to ensure that instability in Afghanistan does not impact BRI adversely, and it wants to push Afghanistan to join CPEC or BRI.”
What China really needs to extend its Belt and Road Initiative to Afghanistan is peace. Beijing has gone so far as to offer the Taliban billions of dollars in infrastructure and energy projects in exchange for peace in Afghanistan.
There is no doubt that the strategic assets in Taxkorgan, Wakhan, and Gwadar will strengthen China’s logistical infrastructure, assisting the country in achieving its long-term economic and security goals in the region. Peace, on the other hand, is the true key to China’s master plan for a post-US Afghanistan.
 

jward

passin' thru
Indo-Pacific News - Watching the CCP-China Threat
@IndoPac_Info

10m

#Afghanistan’s Taliban, Now on #China’s Border, Seek to Reassure #Beijing Despite past support for Uyghur militants in Xinjiang, Taliban say they won’t interfere in China’s internal affairs. Taliban is eager to secure Beijing’s acquiescence to their rule.
2/ “We care about the oppression of Muslims, be it in Palestine, in Myanmar, or in China and we care about the oppression of non-Muslims anywhere in the world. But what we are not going to do is interfere in China’s internal affairs.”
View: https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1413421171064848386?s=20
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Indo-Pacific News - Watching the CCP-China Threat
@IndoPac_Info

10m

#Afghanistan’s Taliban, Now on #China’s Border, Seek to Reassure #Beijing Despite past support for Uyghur militants in Xinjiang, Taliban say they won’t interfere in China’s internal affairs. Taliban is eager to secure Beijing’s acquiescence to their rule.
2/ “We care about the oppression of Muslims, be it in Palestine, in Myanmar, or in China and we care about the oppression of non-Muslims anywhere in the world. But what we are not going to do is interfere in China’s internal affairs.”
View: https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1413421171064848386?s=20

I wonder how long that will last?.....
 

jward

passin' thru
Neanderthal Thinker
@BookerSparticus

9h

Psaki announces today there will be no celebration of troops when they come HOME because "we didn't win militarily." Believe that? 20 Years...20 years! No celebration! Bullshit...let us know when they're getting home and at what airport. There'll be more than a million of us!
 

jward

passin' thru
Alfonso Poza
@alfonso_poza

6h

Replying to
@disclosetv
In 2008 Chinese firms signed contracts to exploit copper mines south of Kabul but the project languished. Now, after US leaving is willing to reactive those contracts and insert Afghanistan into Belt and Road Initiative. China, the next empire entering "the Afghan graveyard".
1625869474185.png
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Taliban say they now control 85% of Afghanistan's territory
The Taliban are claiming they now control 85% of Afghanistan’s territory amid a surge in wins on the ground and as American troops complete their pullout from the war-battered country

By DARIA LITVINOVA Associated Press
9 July 2021, 06:14

Mohammad Naim, Mawlawi Shahabuddin Dilawar, Suhil Shaheen

Image Icon
The Associated Press
From left, Mohammad Naim, Mawlawi Shahabuddin Dilawar and Suhil Shaheen, members of a political delegation from the Afghan Taliban's movement, attend a news conference in Moscow, Russia, Friday, July 9, 2021. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

MOSCOW -- The Taliban claimed on Friday that they now control 85% of Afghanistan's territory amid a surge in wins on the ground and as American troops complete their pullout from the war-battered country.

The announcement came at a press conference at the end of a visit by a senior Taliban delegation to Moscow this week — a trip meant to offer assurances that the insurgents' quick gains in Afghanistan do not threaten Russia or its allies in Central Asia.

The claim, which is impossible to verify, was considerably higher than previous Taliban statements that more than a third of the country’s 421 districts and district centers were in their control. There was no immediate response from the government in Kabul on the latest claim.

Earlier this week, Taliban advances forced hundreds of Afghan soldiers to flee across the border into Tajikistan, which hosts a Russian military base. Tajikistan in turn called up 20,000 military reservists to strengthen its southern border with Afghanistan. Russian officials have expressed concern that the Taliban surge could destabilize the ex-Soviet Central Asian nations north of Afghanistan.

Since mid-April, when President Joe Biden announced the end to Afghanistan’s “forever war,” the Taliban have made strides throughout the country. They recently have swept through dozens of districts, taking control, often without a fight. Over the past week, they seized border crossings with Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and on Thursday, with Iran.

However, at the Moscow presser, the Taliban promised not to attack provincial capitals or seize them by force, and expressed hopes for a “political resolution” with Kabul.

“We will not seize provincial capitals in order not to inflict death on Afghan citizen,” said Taliban negotiator Mawlawi Shahabuddin Delawar.

Guarantees for that have been presented to the Afghan authorities, along with demands for the release of more Taliban prisoners from Afghan jails, Dilawar said. He added that the Taliban now control 85% of Afghan territory.

The Taliban also vowed they would "not allow anyone, any individual, any entity to use the soil of Afghanistan against the neighboring country, regional country and world country, including the United States and its allies.”

“We don't want to fight. We want to find a political resolution through political negotiations,” said Taliban spokesman Mohammad Sohail Shaheen. The Taliban representatives spoke through a translator.

Iranian media reported Friday that the Taliban were in control of two border crossings between Afghanistan and Iran, including the key transit route of Islam Qala seized on Thursday. Iranian state radio said 300 Afghan soldiers and civilians had escaped the Taliban advance and slipped across the border to Iran.

In southern Kandahar there was fighting on Friday near the provincial capital and the government had sent more troops to protect the prison there from attempts by the Taliban to attack it and free the inmates.

Moscow, which fought a 10-year war in Afghanistan that ended with Soviet troops’ withdrawal in 1989, has made a diplomatic comeback as a mediator, reaching out to feuding Afghan factions as it has jockeyed with the U.S. for influence in the country.

It has hosted several rounds of talks on Afghanistan, most recently in March, that involved the Taliban — even though Russia has labeled them a terrorist organization.

Asked about this week's visit and the terrorist label, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Friday that Moscow's contacts with the Taliban were “necessary, given how intensely the situation in Afghanistan is developing, how the situation on the border between Afghanistan and Tajikistan is developing.”

———

Associated Press writers Nasser Karimi in Tehran, Iran; Kathy Gannon in Kabul, Afghanistan, and Vladimir Isachenkov in Moscow contributed to this report.

Taliban say they now control 85% of Afghanistan's territory - ABC News (go.com)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
China evacuates nationals from Afghanistan amid US pullout
State media say China sent a flight to bring home 210 of its nationals from Afghanistan as the U.S. military prepares to leave the country and the security situation grows increasingly fraught

By The Associated Press
9 July 2021, 04:03

WireAP_1d8446d283d24cd7b610053e85aa28a1_16x9_992.jpg


BEIJING -- China sent a flight to bring home 210 of its nationals from Afghanistan, state media reported Friday, as the U.S. military prepares to leave the country and the security situation grows increasingly fraught.

The Global Times newspaper published by the ruling Communist Party said the Xiamen Airlines flight departed July 2 from the Afghan capital, Kabul, and landed in the central province of Hubei. The airline confirmed the report in a post on its Twitter-like Weibo account but offered no additional details.

The Global Times and other reports said 22 of those onboard tested positive for COVID-19. The National Health Commission on Wednesday reported 25 new imported cases in Hubei on Wednesday, apparently including those who had arrived from Afghanistan the previous week.

U.S. forces are scheduled to leave Afghanistan by Aug. 31 after nearly 20 years of battling the Taliban.

Chinese companies have invested in Afghan mining and infrastructure, but those assets appear increasingly in jeopardy as the Taliban seize large amounts of territory, possibly placing Kabul at risk.

Afghanistan security issues will be discussed at a meeting next week of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, which is led by China and Russia, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said at a daily briefing on Friday
.

Members of the group, which includes most Central Asian countries along with India and Pakistan, will discuss “promoting regional security and stability, advancing the peace and reconciliation process in Afghanistan, and deepening cooperation between the SCO and Afghanistan," Wang said.

“Against the backdrop of the complex evolution of the situation in Afghanistan as the U.S. and NATO complete their withdrawal from the country within a short period of time, this meeting is of great significance in properly addressing the changes in the situation in Afghanistan in the post-withdrawal era," Wang said.


A statement will be issued following the meeting, Wang said. Afghanistan is an observer to the eight-member grouping.

———

This story has been corrected to show that the National Health Commission reported new imported cases in Hubei on Wednesday.

China evacuates nationals from Afghanistan amid US pullout - ABC News (go.com)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Johnson confirms most British troops have left Afghanistan
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has confirmed that most British troops have left Afghanistan, almost 20 years after the UK and other Western countries sent troops into the country to engage in what they described as a “war on terror.”

By SYLVIA HUI Associated Press
8 July 2021, 09:46

WireAP_6721633e29fd44e293f8e8ccc5fadb41_16x9_992.jpg


LONDON -- Prime Minister Boris Johnson confirmed Thursday that most British troops have left Afghanistan, almost 20 years after the U.K. and other Western countries sent troops into the country to engage in what they described as a “war on terror.”

Johnson stressed that the threat posed by al-Qaida to the U.K. has substantially diminished, but he sidestepped questions about whether the hasty military exodus by his country and its NATO allies risks undoing the work of nearly two decades or leaves Afghanistan vulnerable to the Taliban, who have made rapid advances in many northern districts.

The prime minister declined to give details about the troop withdrawal, citing security reasons. But he said that “all British troops assigned to NATO’s mission in Afghanistan are now returning home,” adding that “most of our personnel have already left.”

Most U.S. and European troops have also pulled out in recent weeks.

“We must be realistic about our ability alone to influence the course of events. It will take combined efforts of many nations, including Afghanistan’s neighbors, to help the Afghan people to build their future," Johnson said. “But the threat that brought us to Afghanistan in the first place has been greatly diminished by the valor and by the sacrifice of the armed forces of Britain and many other countries.”

He stressed that Britain remains committed to helping achieve a peace settlement in Afghanistan through diplomacy.

“We are not walking away. We are keeping our embassy in Kabul, and we will continue to work with our friends and allies, particularly with the government of Pakistan, to try to bring a settlement,” Johnson said.

Britain will continue to fund education, especially girls' schooling, in Afghanistan, he said. The U.K. will also back the Afghan government with over 100 million pounds ($138 million) in development aid this year, as well as 58 million pounds for the Afghan security forces.

A total of 150,000 British servicemembers have served in Afghanistan over the past 20 years, and 457 have died — a much higher death rate compared to the U.K. involvement in Iraq. Britain’s last combat troops left Afghanistan in October 2014, though about 750 remained as part of a NATO mission to train Afghan forces.

Britain’s Defense Ministry has said the withdrawal of the last troops would be “complete within a few months.” A “small number” of U.K. military personnel will stay on temporarily as part of the transition to the new phase of British support to the country.

U.S. President Joe Biden announced in April that the last 2,500 to 3,500 U.S. soldiers and 7,000 allied NATO soldiers would depart Afghanistan.

On Tuesday the U.S. military said 90% of American troops and equipment had already left the country, with the drawdown set to finish by late August. Last week, U.S. officials vacated the country’s biggest airfield, Bagram Air Base, the epicenter of the war to oust the Taliban and hunt down the al-Qaida perpetrators of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on America.

Defense Secretary Ben Wallace has said the U.K. had been put in a “very difficult position” to continue the mission once the U.S. announced its decision to leave.

Gen. Nick Carter, head of the British Armed Forces, said Thursday there was now a danger of “state collapse" as half of Afghanistan's rural districts are now under Taliban control, but he said he did not believe the Taliban could gain complete control of the country.

He held out hope that the Afghan government could work with the Taliban to reach a political settlement.

“It is entirely possible that the Afghan government defeats the Taliban for long enough for the Taliban to realize that they have to talk,” he said. “I think the Taliban recognize that they can’t rule all of Afghanistan without a compromise.”

Johnson confirms most British troops have left Afghanistan - ABC News (go.com)
 

jward

passin' thru
Taliban Bring Mafia-Style Controls in Afghan Rural Districts

Jason Criss Howk / Jul 8, 2021



Intelligence
Mafia Afghanistan






Recent reports from Logar and Badakhshan show that the Taliban have not changed their views towards Afghans and Afghan society. In fact, what I learned recently only verifies the Taliban are getting even more brutal and violent in their actions. How the world reacts now to force the Taliban to seek a diplomatic solution will have historical ramifications. Afghans do not want to live under another Taliban regime that denies human rights on a mass scale, and a failure to end Taliban aggression will cause a new refugee crisis and an internally displaced persons (IDP) catastrophe inside Afghanistan.

Taliban Mafia Operations
The Taliban send messages out to district leaders as they approach telling the citizens that the Taliban has changed and that they should be welcomed in peace. Upon arrival, the Taliban quickly show the people that they have not changed at all. The Taliban instantly demand that Afghans provide food for the fighters. Next, they demand that all families bring a rifle to the Taliban commander and if they cannot, pay them money. By nightfall the Taliban are showing up at homes with groups of 10 fighters and demanding that families let them sleep in their homes and feed them as guests. If families refuse to house and feed the fighters, they are told they will be killed.

During the day, the new Taliban rules are quickly enforced. Boys and girls are stopped from going to school. Women are forced to have a male family companion at all times or risk a brutal public beating. Taliban allow shops to stay open if the owners pay them protection money. Families are also asked to pay a protection fee.
The Taliban stopped one car in Logar that was playing music and when the driver apologized, the fighters pulled out their Taliban Fatwa card to show him the punishment for playing music in a car—it was the destruction of the vehicle. Also, according to the Taliban rulebook, anyone who is serving in the ANDSF or supporting them can be killed. Taliban are warning citizens that if anyone talks about the peace process they will be killed. It is absolutely clear by these actions that the Taliban do not seek or believe in the concept of peace.

Fear and Confusion
The Taliban forces that arrive in the rural districts are often known to the citizens. The fighters are “local” forces in that sense, but the commanders are increasingly from Pakistan or other nations. The citizens are calling them Arab Taliban, and they say they are extremely cruel and brutal towards Afghans. A Taliban tactic is to starve the rural citizens by not allowing food and beverages from central markets to flow into rural areas, while demanding the citizens feed the Taliban fighters their remaining food.
Life is still going on, but the Taliban are using fear to intimidate the unhappy citizens into following their way of life. Citizens are trying their best not to anger the Taliban gunmen. The people fear a return of the 2001 level of Taliban control of their lives. People are worried about losing internet and electricity and their connection to the outside world as well.

Citizens are also confused by the military strategy. They understand that smaller outposts need to fall-back to the provincial centers so they aren’t overwhelmed in an attack, but it leaves the people at the mercy of those Pakistani (or Arab) Taliban commanders. As usual, the cruelty of the Taliban tactics means the citizens are stuck in the crossfire as the Taliban continue to attack rural people in hopes of demoralizing the Afghan people. The citizens are reporting that the ANDSF are killing Taliban in very large numbers across the districts, and it gives them hope that the Taliban may seek a peaceful solution, but those heavy Taliban casualties may also spur their “Pakistani” or “Arab” commanders to try to destroy even more districts as fast as they can to keep their fighter’s morale up. The ANDSF and Islamic Republic of Afghanistan will need to hold key ground during this rapid series of attacks, and more clearly explain their strategy to the people to decrease the suffering of Afghans.

 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
From my last post

Gen. Nick Carter, head of the British Armed Forces, said Thursday there was now a danger of “state collapse" as half of Afghanistan's rural districts are now under Taliban control, but he said he did not believe the Taliban could gain complete control of the country.

Who is he kidding? Afghanistan will be lost within a month.
 

jward

passin' thru
Iran and Russia move to fill diplomatic vacuum in Afghanistan
Iranian foreign minister meets Taliban negotiators in Tehran, while Turkey offers troops to protect Kabul airport
Javad Zarif

Iran’s Javad Zarif at a diplomacy forum in Turkey last month. Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Patrick Wintour Diplomatic editor
Fri 9 Jul 2021 00.00 EDT
Last modified on Fri 9 Jul 2021 13.50 EDT


Iran, Turkey, Pakistan and Russia have moved to fill the military and diplomatic vacuum opening up in Afghanistan as a result of the departure of US forces and military advances by the Taliban.
In Tehran the Iranian foreign minister, Javad Zarif, met Taliban negotiators to discuss their intentions towards the country, and secured a joint statement saying the Taliban do not support attacks on civilians, schools, mosques and hospitals and want a negotiated settlement on Afghanistan’s future.

The Taliban side was led by Abbas Stanekzai, a senior negotiator and head of the group’s political bureau in Qatar, while the Afghan government side was led by the former vice-president Yunus Qanooni.
Three other Afghan delegations were in Tehran at the same time. The value of the joint statement promising further talks is contestable, but Tehran’s diplomatic activism underlined fears in Iran about a spillover created by a prolonged civil war on its long border.

Estimates suggest as many as 1 million Afghans will pour over the border to avoid the fighting or Taliban rule. Iranian social media showed Afghan forces deserting two of three customs offices along the border at Islam-Qata and Farah. With an estimated 700km of its border with Afghanistan now in Taliban hands, Iran does not have much choice but to take an active interest.
It is estimated that Iran already hosts 780,000 registered Afghan refugees and that between 2.1 and 2.5 million undocumented Afghans live in Iran.
Russia has sought assurances that the Taliban will not allow Afghanistan’s northern borders to be used as a base for attacks on the former Soviet republics.

In a move designed in part to please the US but also to advance Ankara’s self-interest, Turkey has conditionally offered Turkish troops for a Nato-overseen project to protect Kabul international airport. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has offered to provide Turkish troops in a possible unlikely alliance with Hungary.
Turkey has previously guarded the airport but it fears another wave of migration and may see a military role as a way back into the good books of Washington.
The Taliban delegation who visited Iran on Tuesday and Wednesday at Tehran’s invitation, alongside three other Afghan delegations, were told by Zarif that they may have to take tough decisions. Courage in peace was more important than courage in war, he said, arguing that courage lay in sacrificing maximalist demands and listening to the other side.
Zarif also said a continuation of conflicts between the government and the Taliban would have “unfavourable” consequences for Afghanistan, and a return to the intra-Afghan negotiations was the “best solution”. Iran has not attended the stalled Doha negotiations for over two years.

A lively debate is under way inside Iran on how to approach the Taliban. Some analysts argue mass migration from Afghanistan caused by a Taliban insurgency might help the Iranian economy, and that Iran should not oppose a Taliban takeover.
Saeed Laylaz, a prominent reformist-minded economist and adviser to previous governments, said: “Iran is facing a demographic crisis and I believe that the best, closest and least costly way to overcome this demographic crisis is to accept emigration from Afghanistan. Stability in Afghanistan is important for national security, contributing to the ageing crisis and Iran’s economy.

“The Taliban could not have survived so long without genuine political support and they might now serve Iran’s regional diplomatic interests. The Taliban are no longer the Taliban of the past, they have also realised that we must interact with the world, we must cooperate with the countries of the region.”
The director general of the west Asia office at Iran’s foreign ministry, Rasoul Mousavi, also sounded sympathetic if more reserved. “The Taliban are from the Afghan people,” Mousavi said. “They are not separated from Afghanistan’s traditional society, and they have always been part of it. Moreover, they have military power. The US has lost the war and can no longer carry out a military operation against the Taliban.”
 

raven

TB Fanatic
From my last post

Gen. Nick Carter, head of the British Armed Forces, said Thursday there was now a danger of “state collapse" as half of Afghanistan's rural districts are now under Taliban control, but he said he did not believe the Taliban could gain complete control of the country.

Who is he kidding? Afghanistan will be lost within a month.
it was already lost
 

jward

passin' thru

FJ
@Natsecjeff

42m

There could be 3 potential scenarios in #Afghanistan in coming days: 1. Complete Taliban takeover, i.e. Taliban regime in Kabul. 2. Unity government which includes Taliban as well as most other political factions. 3. All out civil war. Right now # 2 seems least likely.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Russia Ready To Activate Tajikistan Military Base Over Fighting In Afghanistan
Tyler Durden's Photo

BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, JUL 10, 2021 - 07:00 AM
Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,
Russia said it is prepared to activate a military base in Tajikistan in response to fighting in Afghanistan near the central Asian country’s southern border. After over 1,000 Afghan soldiers retreated from fighting with the Taliban and fled into Tajikistan, Tajik officials requested assistance from a Russian-led military alliance.

Tajikistan, Russia, and four other former Soviet states are members of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). "Given the current situation in the region, as well as the remoteness and mountainous terrain of some parts of the border with Afghanistan, dealing with this challenge on our own seems difficult," Hasan Sultonov, the Tajik representative to the CSTO, said on Wednesday.



The Russian 201st military base in Tajikistan, via RIA Novosti
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow is prepared to help its treaty ally. "We’ll do everything, including using the capabilities of the Russian military base on the border of Tajikistan with Afghanistan, to prevent any aggressive encroachments against our allies," he said.

Tajikistan has activated 20,000 reservists to bolster the border in response to the Afghan soldiers entering the country. It’s unlikely that the Taliban would open up a front in Tajikistan, especially if it risks drawing Russia into the fighting. But the violence in northeast Afghanistan will continue to spill into Tajikistan to some extent.

Russia has been very critical of the US and NATO’s withdrawal from Afghanistan. Despite the almost 20 years of wars, Lavrov described the Western exit from the country as a "hasty withdrawal."
View: https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1413576185280274432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1413576185280274432%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fgeopolitical%2Frussia-ready-activate-tajikistan-military-base-over-fighting-afghanistan


"The situation is rapidly deteriorating, including in the context of the hasty withdrawal of American and other NATO troops, who over their decades of their stay in this country have not achieved visible results in terms of stabilizing the situation there," Lavrov said.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top