ALERT The Winds of War Blow in Korea and The Far East

danielboon

TB Fanatic
US stages joint Guam drill with Australia and Japan as it looks for ways to make it harder for China to ‘wipe out’ air forces with missile strikes

    • Drills will include air combat exercises designed to improve ability to use smaller airfields in case major bases come under attack
    • US commanders believe China and Russia pose a growing threat to its military facilities


Published: 10:00pm, 7 Feb, 2021




US, Japanese and Australian warplanes pictured during last year’s joint exercise on Guam. Photo: Handout

US, Japanese and Australian warplanes pictured during last year’s joint exercise on Guam. Photo: Handout
The United States is conducting a joint exercise with Australia and Japan on Guam as it seeks to counter its
increasing vulnerability to attack
from Russia or China.
The joint exercise at the Andersen Air Force Base, known as Cope North 2021, started on Wednesday and will run until February 19 and will see the base hosting F-35A joint strike fighters for the first time.
The exercise kicks off with an exercise designed to improve the three countries’ ability to carry out humanitarian operations in response to a natural disaster in the region, according to a statement from the US air force in the Pacific.
It also includes air combat drills designed to improve their flexibility and common communications ability.
China’s Hollywood-style Guam attack video dismissed as propaganda
25 Sep 2020
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Air Force magazine reported that one commander had said that one aim was to improve the forces’ ability to operate from small, rough airfields with limited facilities – also known as austere airfields– a move analysts said was designed to make it harder to “wipe out” US air power with missile attacks on major bases.


“China and Russia can increasingly hold overseas US bases at risk. To adapt, the air force must evolve from its dependence on well-established airfields or risk building an operational edge,” Brigadier General Jeremy Sloane, commander of the 36th Wing at Andersen, told a virtual event hosted by the Air Force Association.

“While the service can overcome some disadvantage with long-range bombers, a war in which missiles knock out American air bases and prevent the ability to launch and recover short-range fighter jets is unlikely to end well.”

Andersen’s Northwest Field is less than 2,400 metres (8,000 feet long), with limited taxiway and hangar space, and no permanent airfield controls. It is currently used by helicopters and C-130 Hercules transport aircraft.

Footage reportedly shows test of China’s missile interceptor


Footage reportedly shows test of China’s missile interceptor
Song Zhongping, a military analyst and former People’s Liberation Army instructor, said the “the exercise is to ensure the connection between the Guam base and other bases” if it comes under attack from the Chinese military.

“In addition, the fourth-generation aircraft and the fifth-generation aircraft are connected to form this mutual protection plan to ensure that these bases can survive on the one hand and continue to perform effective counterattacks on the other”.

Song said the inclusion of Japan and Australia in the exercise is to build a strategy with its allies to counter China and it could use bases in those countries to respond to any attack.
Defence analysts believe that the PLA air force is capable of penetrating the first island chain – a series of archipelagos in the Pacific stretching from the Kuril Islands, through Japan and on to the Philippines.
 

danielboon

TB Fanatic
Xi calls for enhanced combat readiness from Chinese military during holidays
PLA aircraft continue drills near Taiwan as border troops get new gear

By
Liu Xuanzun
Published: Feb 07, 2021 07:32 PM Updated: Feb 07, 2021 07:42 PM

4b7ac562-13be-4a97-ae05-ffa23d732d20.jpg

Two fighter jets attached to a naval aviation brigade under the PLA Eastern Theater Command fly in formation during a round-the-clock flight training exercise in mid January, 2021. (eng.chinamil.com.cn/Photo byTian Jianmin)
Chinese President Xi Jinping called for the Chinese military to enhance its combat readiness during the upcoming Spring Festival holidays when he recently inspected an aviation division of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force. Experts said other militaries should not have the illusion that they can make provocative moves during the holidays without meeting PLA's countermeasures.

PLA warplanes continued their consecutive exercises near the island of Taiwan prior to the Spring Festival, and the high-altitude border defense troops of the Xinjiang Military Command received several new weapons and equipment including advanced howitzers and assault vehicles as "holiday gifts," media reports said.

Xi, also general secretary of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and chairman of the Central Military Commission, on Thursday inspected an aviation division of the PLA Air Force being stationed in Southwest China's Guizhou Province ahead of the Spring Festival, or the Chinese Lunar New Year, the Xinhua News Agency reported on Saturday.

He said that PLA troops should enhance their combat readiness during the Spring Festival holidays and safeguard national security as well as the happiness and peace of the people.

This year's Spring Festival falls on Friday, and there is a seven-day national holiday from Thursday to February 17.

It is usual practice for the Chinese military to enhance its combat readiness in major holidays, Fu Qianshao, a Chinese military expert, told the Global Times on Sunday.

"History tells us that many wars broke out on holidays or at night when troops let their guard down. That is why we need to stay on high alert particularly when there are holidays, so we can stop any potentially dangerous moves or hostile reconnaissance," Fu said.

While China has witnessed peace for a long time, provocative moves by other militaries had occurred during holidays in the past.

For instance, on January 25, 2020, the Spring Festival of last year, the US Navy sent the USS Montgomery littoral combat ship near the Nansha Islands in the South China Sea, and was tracked, identified and warned away by naval and aerial forces of the PLA Southern Theater Command, the command's spokesperson said at that time.

During his inspection at the PLA Air Force aviation division, Xi inspected a special aircraft designed for information warfare.

Special mission aircraft developed on the basis of Y-8 and Y-9, including reconnaissance aircraft, electronic countermeasures aircraft and anti-submarine warfare aircraft, can enable the PLA to gain informational advantage in future warfare, a military expert who asked not to be identified told the Global Times on Sunday. The expert noted that these types of aircraft have been frequent visitors near the Taiwan Straits since the start of PLA military exercises in the region in September 2020, which have become routine.

PLA warplanes entered Taiwan's self-proclaimed southwestern air defense identification zone for seven consecutive days since the start of February, Taipei-based newspaper Liberty Times reported on Sunday. The media outlet also noted that the intensive PLA operations come only days before the Spring Festival.

As the Spring Festival edges near, PLA border defense troops are also receiving unique "holiday gifts," including 155mm-caliber vehicle-mounted howitzers, armored assault vehicles and light tanks, according to China Central Television (CCTV) reports.

An artillery regiment attached to the PLA Xinjiang Military Command based in the northern foot of the Tianshan Mountains recently received delivery of a batch of the 155mm-caliber vehicle-mounted howitzers, CCTV reported on Saturday. The howitzer, designated as the PCL-181, is China's most advanced of its kind with longest range, and characterized by its high mobility, fast reaction time, high accuracy and capability to shoot at 360 degrees, even when operating in plateaus and harsh cold, analysts said.

Another Xinjiang Military Command unit, a combined arms regiment, commissioned a batch of third-generation Dongfeng Mengshi armored assault vehicles that are equipped with radio stations, the BeiDou Navigation Satellite System, heavy machine guns and grenade launchers, CCTV said.

Last week, CCTV reported that the Xinjiang Military Command also received delivery of and commissioned its first batch of China's newly developed Type 15 light tanks in January.

These weapons and equipment are particularly effective in plateau operations and will serve as a solid boost to the Chinese border defense troops' combat capabilities during and after the Spring Festival festivals, analysts said.
 

jward

passin' thru
UN report reveals North Korea developed nuclear weapons program in 2020

Issued on: 09/02/2021 - 03:37

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un attends a plenary meeting of the Workers' Party central committee in Pyongyang, North Korea in this photo supplied by North Korea's Central News Agency (KCNA) on February 8, 2021.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un attends a plenary meeting of the Workers' Party central committee in Pyongyang, North Korea in this photo supplied by North Korea's Central News Agency (KCNA) on February 8, 2021. © KCNA via REUTERS

North Korea maintained and developed its nuclear and ballistic missile programs throughout 2020 in violation of international sanctions, helping fund them with some $300 million stolen through cyber hacks, according to a confidential United Nations report seen by Reuters on Monday.

The report by independent sanctions monitors said Pyongyang "produced fissile material, maintained nuclear facilities and upgraded its ballistic missile infrastructure" while continuing to seek material and technology for those programs from abroad.
The annual report to the Security Council's North Korea sanctions committee comes just weeks after U.S. President Joe Biden took office.
A State Department spokesperson said on Monday the administration planned a new approach to North Korea, including a full review with allies "on ongoing pressure options and the potential for any future diplomacy."
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and former U.S. President Donald Trump met three times in 2018 and 2019, but failed to make progress on U.S. calls for Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons and North Korea's demands for an end to sanctions.

In the past year, North Korea displayed new short-range, medium-range, submarine-launched and intercontinental ballistic missile systems at military parades, the U.N. report said.
The U.N. report said an unnamed member state had assessed that, judging by the size of North Korea's missiles, "it is highly likely that a nuclear device" could be mounted on to long-range, medium-range and short-range ballistic missiles.
"The Member State, however, stated it is uncertain whether the DPRK had developed ballistic missiles resistant to the heat generated during re-entry," into the atmosphere, the report said. North Korea's formal name is Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK).

While there were no nuclear or ballistic missile tests in 2020, Pyongyang "announced preparation for testing and production of new ballistic missile war heads and development of tactical nuclear weapons."
North Korea's U.N. mission in New York did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the report.

North Korea, Iran, missiles
North Korea blew up tunnels at its main nuclear test site, Punggye-ri, in 2018, saying it was proof of its commitment to end nuclear testing. However, an unidentified member state told the U.N. monitors there were still personnel at the site, showing it had not been abandoned.
According to an unidentified country, North Korea and Iran have resumed cooperation on long-range missile development projects, including the transfer of critical parts, the monitors said. The most recent shipment was last year, they said.
In a letter in December to the U.N. sanctions monitors, annexed to the report, Iran's U.N. Ambassador Majid Takht Ravanchi said a preliminary review of the information given to it by the monitors indicated that "false information and fabricated data" may have been used in their investigation.
North Korea has been subjected to U.N. sanctions since 2006. They have been strengthened by the 15-member Security Council over the years in a bid to cut off funding for Pyongyang’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs.

The U.N. monitors assessed that in 2020 North Korea-linked hackers "continued to conduct operations against financial institutions and virtual currency exchange houses to generate revenue" to support its nuclear and missile programs.
"According to one member state, the DPRK total theft of virtual assets, from 2019 to November 2020, is valued at approximately $316.4 million," the report said.

In 2019, the sanctions monitors reported that North Korea made at least $370 million by exporting coal, which is banned under U.N. sanctions. But last year, they said coal shipments appeared to have been largely suspended since July 2020.
The isolated Asian nation imposed a strict lockdown last year amid the coronavirus pandemic that has slashed its trade, hurting an economy already burdened by international sanctions.

 
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Pinecone

Has No Life - Lives on TB
So, it will preemptively mobile it forces . . . . Does that mean it will mobilize them to be ready in case there are provocations, or will it use them preemptively before they think there will be a provocation? I know, English is not their first language, and translations are not always accurate, but I still can't figure out what they mean to do. Other than threaten ad nauseum.
 

jward

passin' thru
Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group Operates with Nimitz Carrier Strike Group

By USS Theodore Roosevelt Public Affairs | Feb. 9, 2021


Photos

  • 1 of 5

SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – Aircraft assigned to Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 17 fly over the Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group and the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Deirdre Marsac)


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – Aircraft assigned to Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 17 fly over the Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group and the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (Photo by Seaman Deirdre Marsac)

Photo Details | Download


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group transits in formation with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Deirdre Marsac)


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group transits in formation with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (Photo by Seaman Deirdre Marsac)

Photo Details | Download


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group transits in formation with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Deirdre Marsac)


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group transits in formation with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (Photo by Seaman Deirdre Marsac)

Photo Details | Download


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS John Finn (DDG 113), left, and the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Russell (DDG 59) move into formation alongside the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) during dual-carrier operations with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Deirdre Marsac)


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS John Finn (DDG 113), left, and the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Russell (DDG 59) move into formation alongside the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) during dual-carrier operations with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (Photo by Seaman Deirdre Marsac)

Photo Details | Download


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group moves into formation with the Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Deirdre Marsac)


SOUTH CHINA SEA (Feb. 9, 2021) – The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group moves into formation with the Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9, 2021. The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are conducting dual-carrier operations during their deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific Region. (Photo by Seaman Deirdre Marsac)

Photo Details | Download


SOUTH CHINA SEA —
The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group conducted dual carrier operations with the Nimitz Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea Feb. 9.

The ships and aircraft of the two strike groups coordinated operations in a highly trafficked area to demonstrate the U.S. Navy's ability to operate in challenging environments.
As a part of dual carrier operations, the strike groups conducted a multitude of exercises aimed at increasing interoperability between assets as well as command and control capabilities.

"Training with Carrier Strike Group Eleven in the South China Sea is a tremendously valuable opportunity," said Rear Adm. Doug Verissimo, commander, Carrier Strike Group (CSG) Nine. "Through operations like this, we ensure that we are tactically proficient to meet the challenge of maintaining peace and we are able to continue to show our partners and allies in the region that we are committed to promoting a Free and Open Indo-Pacific."

Carrier Strike Group Nine and Carrier Strike Group Eleven last conducted dual carrier operations June 21, 2020, in the Philippine Sea.
The last time the U.S. conducted dual carrier operations in the South China Sea was in July 2020, when the Ronald Reagan and Nimitz carrier strike groups twice operated together in the South China Sea.

"Working cooperatively alongside Carrier Strike Group Nine improves our collective tactical skill while ensuring regional stability and security," said Rear Adm. Jim Kirk, commander, Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 11. "We are committed to ensuring the lawful use of the sea that all nations enjoy under international law."

This exercise falls into a long history of the U.S. Navy operating in the Indo-Pacific. Dual carrier operations, like this one, are not new and are intended to maintain U.S. readiness and combat-credible forces to reassure allies and partners and preserve peace in the region.

CSG 9 consists of USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71), Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 11, the Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Bunker Hill (CG 52), Destroyer Squadron 23, and the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers USS Russell (DDG 59) and USS John Finn (DDG 113).

CSG 11 consists of the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz (CVN 68), Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 17, guided-missile cruiser USS Princeton (CG 59), the Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyer, USS Sterett (DDG 104), and Destroyer Squadron 9 and CSG 11 staffs. 7th Fleet is the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet and employs 50 to 70 ships and submarines across the Western Pacific and Indian Oceans. 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a free and open Indo-Pacific region. USS Theodore Roosevelt departed San Diego for a scheduled deployment to the Indo-Pacific Dec. 23 while USS Nimitz departed Bremerton, Wash., April 27 for COMPTUEX and deployment following an onboard restriction of movement period that began April 1.

The Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz Carrier Strike Groups are on scheduled deployments to the 7th Fleet area of operations. As the U.S. Navy's largest forward-deployed fleet, 7th Fleet routinely operates and interacts with 35 maritime nations while conducting missions to preserve and protect a Free and Open Indo-Pacific Region.

For more news from USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71), visit www.navy.mil/local/cvn71/

 

jward

passin' thru

Maryh

Veteran Member
Retired mil daughter has always said what jward posted. Actually she mentioned she's more concerned about Biden and his China policy. Guess she's still keeping up with the goings-on in her old stomping grounds.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment

jward

passin' thru
State_SCA
@State_SCA

We welcome the resumption of 4G mobile internet in India's Jammu & Kashmir. This marks an important step for local residents and we look forward to continued political & economic progress to restore normalcy in J&K.


Aditya Raj Kaul
@AdityaRajKaul

9m

#BREAKING: US State Department on referring J&K as ‘India’s Jammu & Kashmir’, says, we stand by it, there is no change in US state policy.
View: https://twitter.com/AdityaRajKaul/status/1359739889546268672?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru
South Korea, Conventional Capabilities, and the Future of the Korean Peninsula
Ian Bowers and Henrik Hiim
February 11, 2021


2593983 (1)


In August 2020, South Korea’s defense minister revealed that his country had “succeeded in developing a ballistic missile with sufficient range and the world’s largest warhead weight to protect peace on the Korean Peninsula.” The new “Frankenmissile” is part of Seoul’s conventional counterforce and countervalue strategy, which is meant to hold North Korea’s nuclear weapons infrastructure, as well as its leadership, at risk independently from the United States.
This strategy is often overlooked by policymakers and analysts, who are more focused on discussing Kim Jong Un’s pledges to develop new missile and nuclear capabilities and how the new administration of President Joe Biden should approach the nuclear issue. However, as we highlight in a new article in International Security, South Korea’s strategy increasingly has a determining impact on strategic stability on the Korean Peninsula and on prospects for denuclearization.

Elements of South Korea’s Strategy
South Korea’s approach has three core components. The first two, the Kill Chain strategy and the Korean Air and Missile Defense system, were revealed in 2012 and the third, the Korean Massive Punishment and Retaliation strategy, was announced in 2016 following North Korea’s fifth nuclear test. The Kill Chain strategy entails detecting imminent North Korean missile attacks and then pre-emptively destroying the country’s missile launch capabilities. The Korean Air and Missile Defense is a largely indigenous, layered missile defense system, while the final component — the Korean Massive Punishment and Retaliation strategy — involves the use of multiple kinetic and non-kinetic capabilities to target North Korean leadership facilities following any North Korean attack.

In 2019, the administration of Moon Jae-in renamed the Kill Chain and Korean Massive Punishment and Retaliation strategies in an effort to bolster reconciliation initiatives on the peninsula. However, there were no significant alterations in procurement plans or seemingly in the operational intent of the three components beyond a statement from the government that these capabilities would now be focused on omni-directional threats and not just on North Korea. However, the threat from the north still dominates South Korean strategic thinking and while the Moon government continuously emphasizes engaging with Pyongyang, South Korean investments in advanced weaponry have only intensified during his presidency. South Korea has drastically improved its precision-strike capabilities, investing in a range of advanced intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance assets as well as a burgeoning force of air-, sea-, and ground-launched ballistic and cruise missiles.

It is understandable that South Korea would pursue an independent deterrent capability given the benefits it offers. Although a conventional counterforce strategy remains extremely challenging to operationalize, it is likely to have a deterrent effect, as even the slightest chance that an attack could fail or that South Korea could pursue catastrophic retaliation may stay the hand of North Korean leaders. It may therefore reduce the risk of North Korean attempts to “decouple” the United States and South Korea and of a North Korean nuclear attack in the event of the United States abandoning its security commitments on the peninsula. An additional long-term benefit of Seoul developing a deterrent capability is that advanced missile capabilities will bolster its nuclear latency and ease the path to obtaining a credible nuclear deterrent if South Korea ever wanted to build the bomb.

Seoul’s pursuit of a conventional counterforce capability is also, in part, a hedge against U.S. abandonment. To be clear, this hedge is happening with a degree of U.S. consent and support and under the security blanket provided by U.S. conventional and nuclear forces. South Korea is coordinating both its strategy and its acquisitions with the United States and, for the time being, is relying on the United States for crucial intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance data. South Korea’s capabilities can work in concert with U.S. forces should an emergency on the peninsula arise. For example, in June 2020, the Korean Defense Minister revealed the existence of joint US-South Korea military exercises aimed at improving joint missile defense responses even though South Korean capabilities are not networked with U.S systems. But, vitally for Seoul, should abandonment occur, South Korea would have an independent defensive capability.

Burgeoning Korean Arms Race
At the same time, South Korea’s counterforce and countervalue strategy may also affect strategic stability on the peninsula negatively by driving an emerging conventional-nuclear arms race. Pyongyang will not let Seoul acquire the capability to neutralize its hard-won deterrent and is seeking to bolster survivability and penetrability vis-à-vis the south. In recent years, North Korea has strongly emphasized developing new short-range missiles and has tested launching several missiles simultaneously in an effort to overcome regional missile defense systems. Indeed, North Korea’s newly announced plans to develop tactical nuclear weapons and its continued pursuit of submarine-launched ballistic missiles should be understood as a part of this arms race. While North Korea’s nuclear efforts were originally driven by the United States, the conventional threat from South Korea is having an increasing effect on the trajectory of the north’s weapons program.

If operated independently from the United States, South Korea’s counterforce and countervalue strategy may also increase the risks of nuclear use during a crisis. Because the strategy is supposed to be employed pre-emptively, it may severely stress leaders in both Seoul and Pyongyang and increase the risks of misunderstandings taking place and mistakes being made. The strategy may further incentivize North Korea to adopt a doctrine and command-and-control arrangements that improve survivability but increase the risks of nuclear use, for example, by delegating launch authority further down the chain of command. In a crisis, Pyongyang’s fears of a decapitating conventional strike from Seoul could create a “use-it-or-lose-it” mindset. Threats against the North Korean leadership including the ruling Kim family may exacerbate some of these risks. With North Korean leaders skeptical about their prospects for survival, they may be extremely cautious about establishing communication during a crisis or conflict and see little reason to negotiate an end to hostilities.

South Korea’s conventional capabilities also present a seldom recognized, but potentially insurmountable, challenge for any efforts to denuclearize North Korea. Even if the Biden administration could somehow persuade North Korea that the United States does not represent an existential threat, South Korea’s qualitatively superior conventional forces provide Pyongyang with a strong incentive to keep its nuclear deterrent. Traditionally, Pyongyang has relied on its large arsenal of artillery aimed at Seoul as a conventional deterrent against both the United States and South Korea. South Korea’s current and planned advanced conventional capabilities will greatly improve its ability to mitigate this threat, putting an even greater premium on nuclear weapons for North Korea.

Consequently, if the United States wants to ensure that any denuclearization initiatives are successful, it may need to persuade South Korea to undertake conventional arms reductions, particularly with regard to offensive capabilities. Even objectives that fall short of denuclearization, such as constraining North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, may be difficult to achieve without limiting South Korea’s buildup. That is a tall order. First, it would be unacceptable to South Korean leaders. Even with a new U.S. administration in place that will be less dismissive of its allies, fears of abandonment remain, leaving South Korea with a strong and understandable urge to develop an independent conventional deterrent. Moreover, many of the capabilities South Korea is acquiring provide it with deterrent options that can also be used against an increasingly assertive China. At a time of rising tensions and great-power rivalry in East Asia, the rational choice for South Korea is to bolster its conventional capabilities, not to weaken them, even if relations on the peninsula change. Second, South Korean arms reductions would potentially undermine other major U.S. objectives. These include not only bolstering deterrence against North Korea, but also greater burden-sharing and strengthening its allies’ ability to stand up to a rising China. In fact, as the recently declassified U.S. Strategic Framework for the Indo-Pacific highlighted, the United States’ has sought to help both South Korea and Japan acquire advanced conventional capabilities.

Consider Conventional Developments on the Korean Peninsula
To fully understand the North Korean nuclear issue, analysts should widen their focus beyond the U.S.-North Korean relationship. While South Korea has been at pains to present itself as a peaceful arbiter between the United States and North Korea in recent years, it is now a powerful, technologically advanced state that is creating its own strategic relationships, not only with the north but with other regional actors. South Korea’s conventional capabilities are now increasingly intertwined with North Korea’s nuclear program and with the massive build-up of conventional systems across the region.
Of course, bringing South Korea’s conventional weapons into discussions about denuclearization further complicates what is already a perennial difficult problem. However, Korea-watchers should accept that it is no longer just about the nukes: Advanced conventional weapons capabilities on the Korean Peninsula will have an increasingly powerful impact on how all East Asian actors understand their future security.

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Ian Bowers is associate professor at the Centre for Joint Operations at the Royal Danish Defence College, Copenhagen.
Henrik Hiim is a senior research fellow at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs.


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jward

passin' thru

Tyler Rogoway
@Aviation_Intel

6m

this is great info, but just remember, not all hulls are created equal and this also highlights that China still has far to go when it comes to qualitative advantage.
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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson


By 2020, #China’s #Navy fielded more #shipsthan
@USNavy
, making it the world’s latest. To understand how, read— <The #Chinese #Naval #Shipbuilding #Bookshelf> http://bit.ly/BigNavy (Also explains how #PRC built world’s other 2 largest #Sea Forces.) https://andrewerickson.com/2021/02/the-ch

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OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Indo-Pacific News - Watching the CCP-China Threat
@IndoPac_Info


BREAKING: #Israeli Aerospace Engineers Earned Tens of Millions Illegally Selling Advanced Missiles to #ChinaThe technology involved loitering missiles, which are launched and track a target and wait for the optimal moment to attack. Via
@Byron_Wan
View: https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1360258369219563522?s=20

Really? Mossad is supposedly the best intel org on the planet. Don’t believe “illegally.” It’s all about the money- always with the Zionists... Cut ALL aid to Israel, and see how “destitute” they are... Yeah, right...

OA
 

jward

passin' thru
Japan ground troops to get transport vessels amid China's rise

February 14, 2021 (Mainichi Japan)


6.jpg



This file photo taken in 2012 from a Mainichi Shimbun aircraft shows Uotsuri Island, one of the Senkaku Islands. (Mainichi)
TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan's Ground Self-Defense Force will be equipped with three transport vessels in 2024 for its units stationed on remote southwestern islands, as part of efforts to deal with China's military buildup, government sources said Saturday.


It will be the first provision of such vessels to the GSDF, which has been upgrading its response capabilities to cope with new security challenges, such as China's maritime expansion around the Nansei Islands, a chain stretching southwest toward Taiwan.

With the three vessels to be built and deployed, Japan aims to stably supply ammunition, fuel and food to the troops on the remote islands, according to the sources.
One of the vessels will be medium-sized and around 2,000 tons, in comparison with the Maritime Self Defense Force's 8,900-ton Osumi, they said, adding the others will have a displacement of around 400 tons.

The Defense Ministry aims to secure a fiscal 2022 budget for construction of the three ships. On Friday, it told senior ruling party lawmakers of the planned budgetary request.

The decision comes as China continues to send ships to Japan's territorial waters near the Senkaku Islands. The uninhabited islands, also claimed by China which calls them Diaoyu, have been a source of tension between the two countries for some time.

A Chinese law that explicitly allows its coast guard to use weapons against foreign ships it sees as illegally entering its waters also took effect earlier this month, raising worries about contingencies.
Under such circumstances, the sources said the Japanese government is also considering using the three vessels to transport members of the GSDF's Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade, a U.S. Marine-like unit set up in 2018 to be in charge of defending and retaking remote islands in the event of an invasion.

Japan and the United States have confirmed that the Senkakus fall under the scope of their decades-old security treaty, meaning Washington will defend Tokyo's interests in the event of an armed attack against the group of small islands in the East China Sea.
The commitment was recently reconfirmed by the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden. However, Japan believes that in order to safeguard the islets it will need to boost its own defense capabilities.

"As we cannot just rely on the United States, it is necessary to have our own resolve to defend (the islets)" a senior Defense Ministry official said.
The provision of the vessels to the GSDF also fits the U.S. strategy to operate agile units in what China calls the "first island chain," stretching from the Japanese archipelago through Taiwan, the Philippines and on to Borneo.

In October last year, Japanese and U.S. forces conducted a joint exercise on an uninhabited island in Kagoshima Prefecture on the assumption that the Senkakus were attacked.
"We need to improve our self-defense capabilities so that our control over the (Senkakus) will not be undermined" by China, a Defense Ministry official said.

Following the deployment of the three vessels, the ministry plans to increase the number to boost the country's defense capabilities around the Nansei Islands.
Japan sees introducing new transport vessels as an urgent matter given that it is difficult for the MSDF's large ones to enter small ports at remote islands.

For the deployment, the GSDF plans to set up a new maritime transport unit in 2024, the sources said. It is expected to work closely with other GSDF units that have been operating on the remote islands since 2016, including those tasked with surface-to-ship missiles and coastal monitoring.

Posted For Fair Use
 

jward

passin' thru
China Shows Off "Super Soldiers" Equipped With Exoskeleton Suits On Heavily Disputed Border
Tyler Durden's Photo

by Tyler Durden
Sunday, Feb 14, 2021 - 22:00

While Beijing may already be engineering "super soldiers" through biological advancements, it's unclear how far Chinese military researchers have gone. But what we do know is that the Chinese military has already deployed exoskeleton suits for troops along the heavily disputed Sino-Indian border.
In recent months, China has used top-secret weapons along the Ladakh Line of Actual Control (LAC), such as microwave weapons against Indian troops. Perhaps the heavily disputed border is a testing ground for the People's Liberation Army (PLA).

According to RT News, citing a state broadcaster CCTV report, PLA soldiers were seen with exoskeleton suits that enabled them to complete challenging tasks in high altitude environments around Ngari, located in Southwest China's Tibet Autonomous Region. These troops delivered much-needed supplies to border guards along the LAC during the Chinese New Year holiday.

It usually takes all-terrain vehicles three days to reach the high-altitude outpost, located more than 16,000 feet above sea level. With exoskeleton equipped troops, the delivery time was significantly reduced.
CCTV did not disclose much more information about the exoskeleton developer or endurance of the suit. In the past, China has displayed other types of exoskeletons that are battery-powered and allow PLA troops to carry upwards of 170 pounds.

The PLA has gone all-in to develop "super soldiers" as the US Army is not far behind with their "Ironman-like" soldier exoskeleton suit.
Bank of America's equity strategist Haim Israel recently told clients of the increasing geopolitical tensions between the US and China and how it would likely flourish through the 2020s.

More or less, exoskeleton suits for the modern battlefield are no longer science fiction as both of the world's superpowers are racing to deploy the suits ahead of the next conflict.

Video at source
Posted for fair use
 

jward

passin' thru
Ryan Chan 陳家翹
@ryankakiuchan

Dec 23, 2020

While Navy has not indicated where the Theodore Roosevelt CSG will deploy, the small number of escorts implies that the it will largely stay in the Western Pacific and not relieve USS Nimitz from its position operating in the Middle East.

According to the latest
@USNINews
fleet tracker, Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group is now in the 7th Fleet area of responsibility, operating in the Western Pacific.

1613541374058.png
 

jward

passin' thru




Vincent Lee
@Rover829

10m

Feb 17 (Reuters) - A U.S. Navy warship sailed by islands claimed by China in the South China Sea on Wednesday in a freedom of navigation operation, marking the latest move by Washington to challenge Beijing's territorial claims in the contested waters.
Reuters: The U.S. Navy's 7th Fleet said destroyer USS Russell "asserted navigational rights and freedoms in the Spratly Islands, consistent with international law."
Reuters: China claims sovereignty over the entire archipeligo, but Brunei, Malaysia, The Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam also have lodged competing claims for some or all of the islands.
Reuters: The U.S. ship's pass by the Spratly Islands follows a joint exercise by two U.S. carrier groups in South China Sea and another warship sailing near Chinese-controlled Paracel islands earlier this month.
Reuters: Those actions had suggested that the Biden administration was not about to scale back operations challenging Beijing's claims after the ramp-up seen during the Trump administration.

View: https://twitter.com/Rover829/status/1361926842366758914?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru




Indo-Pacific News - Watching the CCP-China Threat
@IndoPac_Info


4 #Chinese coast guard ships, one armed with cannon, enter territorial waters near disputed #Japanese #Senkaku Islands This is the first time a Chinese ship with a large gun has entered Japan's waters since the new law authorizing them to fire on others.
2) The Japan Coast Guard says 4 Chinese vessels entered Japan's territorial waters off the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea. Coast Guard officials say 2 of the ships left the waters, but 2 others still appear to be approaching a Japanese fishing boat & they are on alert.
View: https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1361980921763622913?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru
Not clear who put what where when for this notice. Sounded doomalish tho

North American Aerospace Defense Command
@NORADCommand

6h

NORAD is aware of Russian military aircraft forward deployments. NORAD continues to defend all approaches to North America and stands ready, as always, to respond appropriately to the capabilities that these deployments represent. - Gen G.D. VanHerck
 
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