ALERT RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE - Consolidated Thread

LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
under international law ukraine 'owns' the fissile material. supposedly all of it is in US custody in S.C.
For US to send that stuff to Ukraine would be an immediate nuclear war... world war. If Russia got a hint of that, the shipment would be in the ocean deep. If Ukraine were to pop a open a can of sunshine against Russia, it would all be over in a couple hours.
 

wait-n-see

Veteran Member

Russia Aims to Surround Vuhledar, Missile Strike; West Mulls Giving Kiev Fighter Jets, Missiles​


Runtime - 58:27
1 hour ago

(from the comments)
TIME STAMPS
- Complex missile attack on Ukraine 00:00
- Finally Soldear confirmation 01:38
- Battlefield report 04:00
- Russia: "30k Ukrainian troups in and around Bakhmut" 06:47
- Vuhledar 09:42
-- Vuhledar fortifications account 13:30
- Tank drama continuing 19:48
-- Western leaders smell debacle, full panic 21:22
-- US Abrams delivery complications 22:50
-- Net result maybe 2 Leopard II batallions 38:40
-- No operational plan for these tanks 53:60
-- Hardliners already looking to next escalation - F16 54:30
 

Oreally

Right from the start
What are you really experiencing though, versus what your propaganda ministry is telling you. I know that in Amerika, if the internet were shut down and there was only TV news, we would be fed nothing but constant lies.
i am a reporter, to my utter amazement, simply reporting what i see and hear with my own eyes and ears. nothing more. no 'propaganda ministry' is telling me to tell everyone here anything.
 

wait-n-see

Veteran Member
Do the Russians have the means to detect and neutralize the NATO tanks delivered to Ukraine?

Military operation in Ukraine
26th January 2023
Valentin Vasilescu

1540569022_1b75-penicillin-1.jpg

The media are praising the Western tanks that will be delivered to Ukraine as if they were galactic cruisers that the Russians would fight with spears, bows and arrows. As a reminder, 31 Abrams, 14 Leopard2 A6 from Germany, 14 Leopard2 A from Poland and 14 Challenger 2 from the United Kingdom will be sent to Ukraine. A number far too small to form attack groups. Moreover, since the Ukrainians are not too familiar with these tanks, to begin with, they will avoid direct battles with Russian tanks. They will be used more as individual firing platforms on Russian defense lines.

In this situation, the Russians will hunt NATO tanks just as they did with HIMARS, the most difficult problem being to detect them, due to their high mobility. The Russian army already has a unique in the world and very effective means of detecting Challenger, Leopard and Abrams tanks. This is the 1B75 Penicillin system. Unlike Western, radar-based counter-battery systems, the Penicillin is a passive system. It has 12 television reception channels and high resolution thermal images and a set of acoustic sensors.

Penicillin can automatically establish, within a maximum of 5 seconds, the coordinates of the tank that fired, up to a maximum distance of 25 km. A digital map with the GPS coordinates of the target is transmitted via encrypted channels to command and control systems.

Due to their high reaction speed, Ka-52 attack helicopters, armed with Vikhr-M anti-tank missiles, are the most effective against these NATO tanks. The helicopter co-pilot uses the I-251 Shkval-M equipment to detect and frame the target, at a distance of 10-12 km. The co-pilot superimposes the aiming laser beam on the enemy tank, and the Vikhr-M missile is automatically guided by it.

Electronic detection and suppression of Penicillin equipment is impossible, as it does not emit signals but only collects them. Penicillin's 25 km range is sufficient, as the Rheinmetall 120 mm L/44 gun on the Leopard 2A4 and Abrams and the L/55 variant on the Leopard 2A7 have an effective firing range on armored vehicles which is 4 km to 8 km maximum. And if the Ukrainian army wants to force these machines to perform miracles, I'm afraid that in a month they will be just a memory.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
O'Really is in the same boat my friends (including The Priest) were in during the Venezuelan failed revolution a few years ago. They could sometimes tell me what they knew from where they were, but there were both things they didn't dare say and things they didn't know because their news was also compromised and censored - or sometimes just not getting across the country.

Please stop calling him names and just read his reports, ask questions and understand he's an American Ex-Pat who happens to be living there. That doesn't mean there can't be good old-fashioned discussions or debates, but after what-his-face has been kicked off the board, I think emotions are already running high enough without finding reasons to amp them up further.

One thing I have noticed from my sources is that only a few animal rescue or animal rescue posts are coming out of Ukraine or related to it. There was a flurry at the start of the war, and I know that some of it are still going on. But my hunch is that many volunteer rescue people had to leave (many got their animals out in various ways), and it is understandable that major charities would be caring for human women and children first. Ditto, I haven't seen any posts from O'Really's local cat cafe that nearly broke the internet when the war first started, I hope they are doing OK.
 

CaryC

Has No Life - Lives on TB
O'Really is in the same boat my friends (including The Priest) were in during the Venezuelan failed revolution a few years ago. They could sometimes tell me what they knew from where they were, but there were both things they didn't dare say and things they didn't know because their news was also compromised and censored - or sometimes just not getting across the country.

Please stop calling him names and just read his reports, ask questions and understand he's an American Ex-Pat who happens to be living there. That doesn't mean there can't be good old-fashioned discussions or debates, but after what-his-face has been kicked off the board, I think emotions are already running high enough without finding reasons to amp them up further.

One thing I have noticed from my sources is that only a few animal rescue or animal rescue posts are coming out of Ukraine or related to it. There was a flurry at the start of the war, and I know that some of it are still going on. But my hunch is that many volunteer rescue people had to leave (many got their animals out in various ways), and it is understandable that major charities would be caring for human women and children first. Ditto, I haven't seen any posts from O'Really's local cat cafe that nearly broke the internet when the war first started, I hope they are doing OK.
Yeah well they are all being used for food now.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Yeah well they are all being used for food now.
I don't think so, not yet - sadly, that does happen, and I think there are or were plans to put up a statue of the cats of St. Petersburg who gave their lives so people could live. After WWII, Moscow sent a gift of cats to repopulate the warehouses, factory, and State Museum with mousers. Today the Museum Cats are a special attraction, cared for, fed, and medically supported by volunteers and staff - they also do an excellent job of mousing.

I am seeing a lot of photos coming out of Ukraine of military units carrying kittens or puppies as mascots, usually foundlings that would die otherwise, so at least they are getting love and care, even if their lives may be short. Ukrainian culture has a very deep love for their dogs and cats, so while I suspect in dire circumstances, some of the ferals may become food, it is doubtful the pets will. Though many have been abandoned by accident when apartments were bombed, or people had to run away quickly and could not be found. I see updates on situations like that, but almost none from the former official rescue services.
 

Calfisher

Veteran Member
Truth #1, we are being told lies.

Truth #2, we do not know who is being paid to tell us lies.

Truth #3, we do not know who is telling us the truth.

Me personally, if I can not get double or triple verification, Then I refuse to believe what I am being told.

Trust no one.
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
O'Really is in the same boat my friends (including The Priest) were in during the Venezuelan failed revolution a few years ago. They could sometimes tell me what they knew from where they were, but there were both things they didn't dare say and things they didn't know because their news was also compromised and censored - or sometimes just not getting across the country.

Please stop calling him names and just read his reports, ask questions and understand he's an American Ex-Pat who happens to be living there.
Thank you. As I told Oreally, I want his input even if I don't accept it as Gospel.
 

Shadow

Swift, Silent,...Sleepy
The only reason to bomb roads or railroad tracks is at the time weapons are being transported on them. Bomb ahead and behind and then destroy the weapons once they are bottled up. Infrastructure repairs can be done and the weapons present no danger.

Alternately, every western weapon sent to the Ukraine eventually provides a sample for Russia to examine, determine capability, limitations and vulnerability. Also to copy anything that would be beneficial to incorporate into Russian weapons in the future.

Shadow
 

von Koehler

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The only reason to bomb roads or railroad tracks is at the time weapons are being transported on them. Bomb ahead and behind and then destroy the weapons once they are bottled up. Infrastructure repairs can be done and the weapons present no danger.

Alternately, every western weapon sent to the Ukraine eventually provides a sample for Russia to examine, determine capability, limitations and vulnerability. Also to copy anything that would be beneficial to incorporate into Russian weapons in the future.

Shadow

under international law ukraine 'owns' the fissile material. supposedly all of it is in US custody in S.C.

and, yes, i am sure if they had the stuff back, they would use it for their intended purposes. wouldn't you?
Delete
 

von Koehler

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The only reason to bomb roads or railroad tracks is at the time weapons are being transported on them. Bomb ahead and behind and then destroy the weapons once they are bottled up. Infrastructure repairs can be done and the weapons present no danger.

Alternately, every western weapon sent to the Ukraine eventually provides a sample for Russia to examine, determine capability, limitations and vulnerability. Also to copy anything that would be beneficial to incorporate into Russian weapons in the future.

Shadow

This also applies to captured or abandoned Russian hardware.
 

LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
i am a reporter, to my utter amazement, simply reporting what i see and hear with my own eyes and ears. nothing more. no 'propaganda ministry' is telling me to tell everyone here anything.
Well that is good and I do not question your observations as being factual. Thanks for that! But my concern is how wide a view you may or may not have. We have quite a few sources through the internet and by golly, don't they have some differences in opinions. Figuring out the truth is part of it. What I do know, is that we are being dragged into something that is extremely costly and risks even more. And I do know that Ukraine is run by some of the most corrupt people in the world (like the US of course, and France, and UK, etc.) I don't trust any of those people because they have already said they want most of us dead! Russia is not trustworthy, but they have not been trying to kill us. You in Ukraine are getting frontline experience of that collision where Russia is fighting for their survival against what I see as evil monster nations. I would expect you to be biased unless you can shed the personal perspective.
 

Oreally

Right from the start
Well that is good and I do not question your observations as being factual. Thanks for that! But my concern is how wide a view you may or may not have. We have quite a few sources through the internet and by golly, don't they have some differences in opinions. Figuring out the truth is part of it. What I do know, is that we are being dragged into something that is extremely costly and risks even more. And I do know that Ukraine is run by some of the most corrupt people in the world (like the US of course, and France, and UK, etc.) I don't trust any of those people because they have already said they want most of us dead! Russia is not trustworthy, but they have not been trying to kill us. You in Ukraine are getting frontline experience of that collision where Russia is fighting for their survival against what I see as evil monster nations. I would expect you to be biased unless you can shed the personal perspective.
people i love are here.
 

WTSR

Veteran Member
Fine tuning?

OK, I have to say something.

The Russians have spent the last year getting Russia's collective *ss handed to them on a daily basis by Ukraine.
I think the collective Western people's failed to understand the Russian methods for war that since they don't jive with Western ideals makes what the Russians do seem inconceivable.

Months ago I stated on this board that as long as Russia didn't try to go too far from the borders they will be just fine.

Whether you want to believe it or not the Russians are fighting the intelligence agencies of all the NATO Nations combined that are positioning and repositioning and basically telling Ukraine what to do.

I haven't seen anything that the ukrainians have been able to do with their troops and foreign fighters that looks like they are going to be pushing the Russians out anytime soon.
 

bobfall2005

Veteran Member
O'Really is in the same boat my friends (including The Priest) were in during the Venezuelan failed revolution a few years ago. They could sometimes tell me what they knew from where they were, but there were both things they didn't dare say and things they didn't know because their news was also compromised and censored - or sometimes just not getting across the country.

Please stop calling him names and just read his reports, ask questions and understand he's an American Ex-Pat who happens to be living there. That doesn't mean there can't be good old-fashioned discussions or debates, but after what-his-face has been kicked off the board, I think emotions are already running high enough without finding reasons to amp them up further.

One thing I have noticed from my sources is that only a few animal rescue or animal rescue posts are coming out of Ukraine or related to it. There was a flurry at the start of the war, and I know that some of it are still going on. But my hunch is that many volunteer rescue people had to leave (many got their animals out in various ways), and it is understandable that major charities would be caring for human women and children first. Ditto, I haven't seen any posts from O'Really's local cat cafe that nearly broke the internet when the war first started, I hope they are doing OK.
I think O'Really is doing a great service.
 

LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
under international law ukraine 'owns' the fissile material. supposedly all of it is in US custody in S.C.

and, yes, i am sure if they had the stuff back, they would use it for their intended purposes. wouldn't you?
You have to define who "they" is and for use- no, I would not nuke my neighbor. The "they" I think you are referring to is your government. They need to be nuked... not literally but a piece of rope would do. And if they even think about nuking Russia, no civilians will be spared by the onslaught Russia would have to mount. I fear for the lives of most of Ukraine. THEY are making all the wrong moves and killing off the country.
 

LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
i am a reporter, to my utter amazement, simply reporting what i see and hear with my own eyes and ears. nothing more. no 'propaganda ministry' is telling me to tell everyone here anything.
But if you are nowhere near the south or east, nor have you been, then you are seeing very little. And what you are hearing is from other people. And where did they get their information from?
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
And Ukraine, glory to Ukraine, they have been gloriously victorious in beating back the onslaught of the orcs.... right? Uh, nope.

Historically speaking, after almost an entire year now, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has to rank as one the most inept military operations ever.

All Putin has accomplished is getting a lot of young Russian soldiers killed and maimed.
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
WHY do you - or the "certain people" you post for -

Please, don't make accusations you can't prove.

I don't want to see people here being "called out" and accused of things just because they have an opinion that you don't agree with.

We can debate the topic without personalizing the discussion.
 

Abert

Veteran Member
Do you have a link proving these losses?

It takes both sides to start negotiations. Putin hasn't budged from his territorial demands. Kremlin hardliners will attack him if he does.
A link with a full accounting / audit - not likely - not even sure Ukraine knows what has come in.
Ukraine had some 2200 per this article - looks like the data was as of 2014
Likely picked up a few more from 2015 to 2020 - but 2200 is a good working number
Once this war started NATO pulled every Soviet Tank from member nations (and the US is actively looking at N. Africa and S. America for more) to Ukraine - for example just Poland sent in around 200 T-72 tanks - could be more as they had 382
Poland sends 200 tanks to Ukraine as Russia suffers 'colossal' loses
Other former Soviet nations also have stocks of Soviet Tanks the US is / has been actively moving to Ukraine
Besides Poland we have Bulgaria with 160 T-72, Czech Republic with around 100 T-72 as well as a number of other nations.
So maybe some 700 / 800 ? - again it is almost impossible to get accurate numbers - but we are still in general looking at Ukraine having had around 3000 tanks under its control over the extent of this war +/- .

As for losses ??? we only have two data points - first Russian ( yes Russian) reports on Ukrainian losses.
The 6000 includes tank and other armored and looking back over 2000 as of 8 months ago
Russia claims to have destroyed 2,037 Ukraine tanks, 127 aircraft & 428 UAVs in war - Naturally a lot more armor has been destroyed since then.

How inflated are the Russian numbers??? Who knows - likely but - always a but....

But IF Ukraine still had the bulk of this tank force of around 3000 WHY would they be begging for just a "few hundred more"

While this is all "back of the envelope" analysis - the bottom line is that having destroyed some 2 to 3 thousand +/- Ukrainian tanks - the additional - maybe 400 German Leopards and (if they ever show up) all of 30 M1 will make ZERO difference in this war

Yes Russia has lost tanks - maybe as many - but their primary tank factory was able to produce 1000 a year (likely more today) and some 8000 T-72 and some 3000 T-80 in storage not sure on the T-64's (likely a few) - yes in storage - maybe half are non-operational ??? You still have Russia with a reserve of 4 to 5 thousand tanks they can put into play - vs the few hundred old Leopards Ukraine is getting.

You don't need a PhD in math - to crunch these numbers.
 

Wyominglarry

Veteran Member
The orcs have zero ability for a combined arms shoot and move. The infantry is down to untrained and ill equipped conscripts, their airforce is afraid to fly over Ukraine due to getting shot down. Their tanks are junk with terrible armor and a main gun that is not nearly as powerful as the ones on NATO tanks. The probably have the worse logistics supply of any country in Europe and they are running out of just about everything. The corruption in the military has shown the orcs cannot supply, train, or move their army.
 

DuckandCover

Proud Sheeple
A link with a full accounting / audit - not likely - not even sure Ukraine knows what has come in.
Ukraine had some 2200 per this article - looks like the data was as of 2014
Likely picked up a few more from 2015 to 2020 - but 2200 is a good working number
Once this war started NATO pulled every Soviet Tank from member nations (and the US is actively looking at N. Africa and S. America for more) to Ukraine - for example just Poland sent in around 200 T-72 tanks - could be more as they had 382
Poland sends 200 tanks to Ukraine as Russia suffers 'colossal' loses
Other former Soviet nations also have stocks of Soviet Tanks the US is / has been actively moving to Ukraine
Besides Poland we have Bulgaria with 160 T-72, Czech Republic with around 100 T-72 as well as a number of other nations.
So maybe some 700 / 800 ? - again it is almost impossible to get accurate numbers - but we are still in general looking at Ukraine having had around 3000 tanks under its control over the extent of this war +/- .

As for losses ??? we only have two data points - first Russian ( yes Russian) reports on Ukrainian losses.
The 6000 includes tank and other armored and looking back over 2000 as of 8 months ago
Russia claims to have destroyed 2,037 Ukraine tanks, 127 aircraft & 428 UAVs in war - Naturally a lot more armor has been destroyed since then.

How inflated are the Russian numbers??? Who knows - likely but - always a but....

But IF Ukraine still had the bulk of this tank force of around 3000 WHY would they be begging for just a "few hundred more"

While this is all "back of the envelope" analysis - the bottom line is that having destroyed some 2 to 3 thousand +/- Ukrainian tanks - the additional - maybe 400 German Leopards and (if they ever show up) all of 30 M1 will make ZERO difference in this war

Yes Russia has lost tanks - maybe as many - but their primary tank factory was able to produce 1000 a year (likely more today) and some 8000 T-72 and some 3000 T-80 in storage not sure on the T-64's (likely a few) - yes in storage - maybe half are non-operational ??? You still have Russia with a reserve of 4 to 5 thousand tanks they can put into play - vs the few hundred old Leopards Ukraine is getting.

You don't need a PhD in math - to crunch these numbers.

Or, we can also look at this another way. If Ukraine has lost 2,000 + tanks, why is Russia making only marginal gains against and in the not so distant past was losing ground to an army with almost no remaining tanks?
 
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