FOOD Report food & grocery shortages / price increases here: 2022 Edition

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packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
My online order to Hy-Vee for pickup had a shocker.

From a personal taste test, I compared over a dozen different brands of pasta sauce. Barilla came out top and it's premium Italian sauce came out on top. There are three varieties. I had ordered 8 jars of each.

What happened was shortages but the shopper gave me all of what they had.

Prices gone from $2.52 a jar to $3.99. For a new order prices are now $4.99 a jar! That's 100 percent inflation in less than two months.

My local Walmart has been out of stock the same time.


FYI the Aldi garlic and basil sauce is made by Barilla, for half the price.
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
I went to Kroger early this morning. I would say it was adequately stocked but many shelves were thin, especially dairy. I was able to buy everything on my list. They were prominently featuring Thanksgiving stuff: canned pumpkin, flour, sugar, Stovetop stuffing, gravy, on the stand-alone displays. But no turkeys. Normally, this Kroger devotes a large refrigerator/freezer case in the meat department to turkeys at this time of year. I asked the cashier about it when I checked out, mentioning that I had heard there would be a shortage of turkeys this year because of having to cull for the bird flu. She acted like I was crazy and said "What would Thanksgiving be without turkey? I'm sure we'll get them soon." :rolleyes:
 

tnphil

Don't screw with an engineer
I asked the cashier about it when I checked out, mentioning that I had heard there would be a shortage of turkeys this year because of having to cull for the bird flu. She acted like I was crazy and said "What would Thanksgiving be without turkey? I'm sure we'll get them soon." :rolleyes:
Ah... SO many clueless out there. If it ain't on the evening news, it can't be true!
 

Bps1691

Veteran Member

People Will Be Insane When Food Prices Double Or Triple In The Dark Winter Ahead​


about 15 minutes long

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXEAIgY8_bs




Epic Economist


491K subscribers


Americans are going to get furious when they hear this. After a year of paying the highest food prices in nearly four decades, industry insiders are warning that your grocery bill is set to shoot up even higher this winter – and the coming round of increases is going to be extremely painful! Fifty, sixty, and even seventy percent price hikes are no longer a threat but a reality millions of households in the United States are already facing. At this point, more than one in five American families is reporting food insecurity due to the skyrocketing costs, according to the results of a survey released yesterday by the Urban Institute.

Our domestic food production took a massive hit this year, and farmers are fuming with the situation, saying that things are definitely “not going to be okay”. Meanwhile, supermarket CEOs and restaurant chains are telling the public to buy and stock up on supplies while they still can because conditions are only going to get more complicated from here on. In other words



it’s time to get ready for a cold dark winter while our hard-working population gets increasingly fed up with the oppressive cost of living, and the abusive surge in food inflation may send some people over the edge. Winter is coming, and so is another price shock at grocery stores. Tens of millions of Americans are already struggling with empty shelves and inflated prices, and according to ReadyWise, an emergency food supply company, U.S. consumers shouldn’t ignore food shortage warnings because these alarming trends are expected to continue and worsen in 2023. What consumers are seeing when they go to the supermarket is deeply disturbing. A new report published by the New York Times revealed that shoppers are reporting 50 to 70 percent price increases at their local supermarkets.


Susan Pollack, a property manager from Marina del Rey, Calif., said that at her local Costco, a 5-pack of short ribs is almost 70% higher than a year ago, jumping from around $60 to $200 last month. I told my husband, ‘We’re never having short ribs again,’” she said. The bad news is that the next wave of price increases is expected to reflect the ripple effect of over 24 months of disruptions on our food supply chain and our domestic agricultural production. In plain English: prepare your wallets because another blow is coming.

Some of the nation’s leading food suppliers, farmers, industry insiders, supermarket CEOs, and restaurant chains are all sounding the alarm about winter price hikes. Food-maker and processor, Hormel Foods, shared an even more alarming forecast: Given that prices for corn and soybean meal for livestock feed surged more than 125% and 40%, respectively, prices at the store are going to go up accordingly this winter. If prices of grain, grain-based meals, and meat at our local supermarkets absorb even a fraction of these spikes, this means we are all in deep trouble.



“Food, at its basic level, is not discretionary,” Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.com. “That’s the challenging aspect of the circumstances we are in. Consumers are prepared for high prices to persist in the foreseeable future, and it’s prudent for individuals to continue to be cautious with their household budgets,” he advised. “It’s belt-tightening time and has been for a while,” Hamrick said. Unfortunately, the mess has been made. The damages done to our food supply chain can’t be undone overnight, and right now, no matter what actions the government takes, life is going to get more expensive for all of us, and a lot more difficult for millions of low-income families out there. For more info, find us on: https://www.epiceconomist.com/
Glad I listened to my grand parents and parents when they told me about how they survived and ate well during the depression

All to many will find out to late that when the stores are empty or they don’t have the money to buy even basic foods, is to late to start prepping
 

tnphil

Don't screw with an engineer
Glad I listened to my grand parents and parents when they told me about how the survived and ate well during the depression

All to many will find out to late that when the stores are empty or they don’t have the money to buy even basic foods, is to late to start prepping
Yeah... I think a lot of us here had parents who lived through the Depression. It forged a mindset in them. My wife and I always bought my dad his favorite expensive socks for Christmas. Yet, we'd visit and he was sitting in the recliner darning old socks.

I surely miss them and their wisdom and resolve.
 

bracketquant

Veteran Member
Potatoes are starting to come down, with one local store having a 10 lb bag of russets for $5.99.

All stores have plenty of frozen turkeys, 1.39/lb for the lowest priced ones. Perhaps it being Massachusetts, with the Pilgrims and the first Thanksgiving, the traditional turkey dinner is on the menu more than anywhere else in the country.
 

school marm

Senior Member
I used to say, "I'll die from cancer if I dont' get hit by a bus." Then I got cancer. Lately, people have asked about if something is edible and I've said, "Yes, but I've never been so poor I've had to eat it (goose foot, amaranth, cat tails, etc). I need to just shut up.
I harvested two large bowls of goose foot last month. We made a green smoothie with some of it and it was really good. So good that I decided to freeze-dry the rest of it. Hoping to get more of it harvested this week.
 

WildDaisy

God has a plan, Trust it!
Bethshaya, are your shortages at Aldi's or Wegmans?

My Wegmans has all kinds of turkey selections. Check your store again, I'd look for you but don't know which one is yours.

Wegmans. Aldi doesn't usually carry them here for me even in the off season. But neither had them this week
 

WildDaisy

God has a plan, Trust it!
FYI the Aldi garlic and basil sauce is made by Barilla, for half the price.
If you are a fan of Rao's pasta sauce, which is usually upwards of $10 a jar here (and worth it, though that is too high for me to pay), it is on sale in my area for about $6.50/jar at Aldi. That's a deal. I grabbed a few jars. I cant stand when pasta sauce is so "tomatoey" and too acidic nor way too sweet that it doesnt even taste like sauce (like Preggo or Ragu). Rao's is perfectly done, like homemade and with no junk in it. Just the same ingredients I would use.
 

bracketquant

Veteran Member
I just read the USDA's Turkey Market News Report. Don't ask me if I comprehend it.

My guess for 2022, in New England, is just a slightly lower supply (USDA says there is currently about a 4-5 % decline, nationally, in whole turkeys from this time last year.

I'm going to guess that 24+ pound frozen turkeys will be scarce. Feed costs likely has producers harvesting earlier (much like what I see in the weight of whole chickens). I see basically 14-20 pounders now. I wonder if they've figure out a new way to maximize the amount of water/ice that the cavity can hold. And, I simply am not going to guess if there will be any sale prices.

Up next, I'll be looking at the supply and cost (not some gov report, but in store prices) of all of the trimmings.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Not food shortage related per say...

Yesterday every news cycle had stories about the increase in price of fast food, not sit down mom and pop places or chains like applebees, but McD's, Taco Bell, etc., they really emphasized that the value menus were, or soon would be, no more at these places.

Today WM, HyVee, etc., are running ads on the local station and YouTube inviting customers to come food to make their own fast food/value meals.

Btw a burrito at Taco Bell is now $8.49 according to that news story, just the burrito! I can go to El Azteca here in town and get an el grande burrito with beans, rice, and guac, for $11.99, and this includes a fountain drink! AND I have left overs for at least one meal, if not two meals. the el grande contains steak, shrimp, lettuce, onions, bell peppers, and cheese and is then smothered in melted cheese and covered in a red sauce with sprinkles of cheese on top of that!

Not sure what Taco Bell is thinking but that's a lot of $$$ for food that most people consider colonoscopy prep foods!
 
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WalknTrot

Veteran Member
Not food shortage related per say...

Yesterday every news cycle had stories about the increase in price of fast food, not sit down mom and pop places or chains like applebees, but McD's, Taco Bell, etc., they really emphasized that the value menus were, or would be rather soon, no more at these places.

Today WM, HyVee, etc., are running ads on the local station and YouTube inviting customers to come food to make their own fast food/value meals.

Btw a burrito at Taco Bell is now $8.49 according to that news story, just the burrito! I can go to El Azteca here in town and get an el grande burrito with beans, rice, and guac, for $11.99, and this includes a fountain drink! AND I have left overs for at least one meal, if not two meals. the el grande contains steak, shrimp, lettuce, onions, bell peppers, and cheese and is then smothered in melted cheese and covered in a red sauce with sprinkles of cheese on top of that!

Not sure what Taco Bell is thinking but that's a lot of $$$ for food that most people consider colonoscopy prep foods!
I was in town running a bunch of errands last week, still had a couple hours before heading home, so as a rare occurrence, stopped at a Burger King for just something to get me through. Ordered two Rodeo Burgers as the cheapest decent thing on the drive-thru menu (read single burger and bun, BBQ sauce instead of ketchup and a couple of onion rings squished on top). Edible, and only $2.09 each. A year ago, they would have been a buck.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I was in town running a bunch of errands last week, still had a couple hours before heading home, so as a rare occurrence, stopped at a Burger King for just something to get me through. Ordered two Rodeo Burgers (read single burger and bun, BBQ sauce instead of ketchup and a couple of onion rings squished on top). Edible, and only $2.09 each. A year ago, they would have been a buck.

Our burger king shut down, both of them actually, when the franchise owner died over a year ago now. Was the rodeo burger tasty?
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
The news cycle for lunch just ran another story on food price increases and now they're also talking about shortages again. NBC affiliate Ch 13 Des Moines, IA.
 

Loretta Van Riet

Trying to hang out with the cool kids.
Glad I listened to my grand parents and parents when they told me about how they survived and ate well during the depression

All to many will find out to late that when the stores are empty or they don’t have the money to buy even basic foods, is to late to start prepping
I too, remember the stories my Grandmother told about hunger and shortages. I am ashamed I rolled my eyes at her.
 

WalknTrot

Veteran Member
Our burger king shut down, both of them actually, when the franchise owner died over a year ago now. Was the rodeo burger tasty?
Hahaha..it was food and could have been worse. Hard to mess up something that simple. About 650 calories for the two, so not bad for a quick FF meal. Filled the hole in my belly and carry on, I guess.
 

Cohickman

Veteran Member
Every week I get the same stuff for lunch at work. I know booring. Today the total was 3 dollars more than last week, and over 8 dollars more than last spring. We are talkjng tortillas, beans and cheese here. Not steaks or burgers.
Really starting to piss me off.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Watching Rachel Ray, her guest today is Andrew Zimmer (SP?) and he's talking about his new show Wild Game Kitchen and he's encouraging people to go out and hunt, to reduce the wild game population by 2 to 3% to reduce stress on commercial livestock production.

Game shortages in 3 2 1

ETA video link to that particular episode, I'd say that that was really bad advice to give in general because people are idiots when it comes to hunting and game conservation! We've had this discussion here before when things go sideways the pressure on game will be really bad.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kS98SI_4T3g


RT 5:03 - Rachel Ray Show

Watch Andrew Zimmern show you how to make an easy pan-roasted pheasant dish inspired by his new show, "Wild Game Kitchen."
 
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packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Hahaha..it was food and could have been worse. Hard to mess up something that simple. About 650 calories for the two, so not bad for a quick FF meal. Filled the hole in my belly and carry on, I guess.

Just wondered, had something similar at Hardees in Ankeny, IA, which seems to be permanently closed now. Talk about a fast food place that has shortages on nearly everything! I was able to get a burger with onion rings, bbq sauce and some sort of cheese on it, it was pretty good. Went back next time and they were out of burgers and chicken, only roast beef.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I asked about the receipt and they said they don't have any paper. We got what we ordered and it was priced correctly.

I was referring to your diet coke, there's no reason to serve it like that, if they were out they should have told you there didn't have any to sell.
 

Gardener

Senior Member
Husband got new membership to Costco last week and I went today and he asked me to pick up some steaks. I could not believe the prices! Plus the $34.99 a pound steak was sell by 2 days ago
The sell-by date is November 17, 2022, not October.
 

mudlogger

Veteran Member
I don't remember who here told the story of her elderly aunt, talking about the "turnip year" because that's all they had to eat that winter.

And they were grateful to have turnips.

I tell this story often, trying to make folks think about their food supply. Most of them don't.
 

workhorse

Veteran Member
Walked in to our local Ingles grocery store for some whipped topping ( the wife had just put an apple crisp in the oven and said it would be nice to have some). It was on sale and I was also thinking about cookies for my lunch $6.95 for Oreos. Almost lost my two front teeth when my jaw hit the floor and said something out loud about the price. An employee said oh they are only $5.55 with a store loyalty card. I replied they were only 3 something this spring yea but they will probably be $6.95 with the loyalty card by Christmas. We are in a train wreck and no one is even trying to use the brakes.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I don't remember who here told the story of her elderly aunt, talking about the "turnip year" because that's all they had to eat that winter.

And they were grateful to have turnips.

I tell this story often, trying to make folks think about their food supply. Most of them don't.

If you have recipes please post them in granny's kitchen I have a bunch of them in the fridge crisper right now.
 

CathyC

Senior Member
Walked in to our local Ingles grocery store for some whipped topping ( the wife had just put an apple crisp in the oven and said it would be nice to have some). It was on sale and I was also thinking about cookies for my lunch $6.95 for Oreos. Almost lost my two front teeth when my jaw hit the floor and said something out loud about the price. An employee said oh they are only $5.55 with a store loyalty card. I replied they were only 3 something this spring yea but they will probably be $6.95 with the loyalty card by Christmas. We are in a train wreck and no one is even trying to use the brakes.
Whipped topping is something I want to ask about. Heavy whipping cream is not to be found in grocery chains I frequent. I use a lot of it and wonder why it’s not around, especially since milk doesn’t seem to be short in the same stores. Input?
 

SouthernBreeze

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I was at our local Walmart, today, buying groceries. No shortages of any kind, except marjoram. I don't buy it, so it wasn't a problem for me. The whole store was stocked really well. There were piles of whole turkeys, whole turkey breasts, bags of frozen chicken of all types, and whole and half hams. Now, the prices were another thing altogether! Tupelo, MS. area.
 
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