Bps1691
Veteran Member
This is what drives me absolutely crazy!!!!
The CDC just came out with statistics showing through April 25, 2020 deaths for CONVID-19 only deaths (based upon death certificates)- 37,308
Interesting seeing the explanations of these numbers in the footnotes. It says they are from real death certificates so they are probably the legitimate numbers available. Like all stats they can be changed in the future of can lag behind a week or so.
Here's the table:
Table 1. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by week ending date, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/25/2020.*
Data as of May 1, 2020
NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. The United States population, based on 2018 postcensal estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau, is 327,167,434.
*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.
1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1
2Percent of expected deaths is the number of deaths for all causes for this week in 2020 compared to the average number across the same week in 2017–2019. Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death (<25%), and then increases over time such that data are generally at least 75% complete within 8 weeks of when the death occurred (8).
3Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.
4Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.
5Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, pneumonia, or influenza, coded to ICD–10 codes U07.1 or J09–J18.9.
...
How it works
The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) uses incoming data from death certificates to produce provisional COVID-19 death counts. These include deaths occurring within the 50 states and the District of Columbia. COVID-19 deaths are identified using a new ICD–10 code. When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death – or when it is listed as a “probable” or “presumed” cause — the death is coded as U07.1. This can include cases with or without laboratory confirmation.
Why these numbers are different
Provisional death counts may not match counts from other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. Our counts often track 1–2 weeks behind other data for a number of reasons: Death certificates take time to be completed. There are many steps involved in completing and submitting a death certificate. Waiting for test results can create additional delays. States report at different rates. Currently, 63% of all U.S. deaths are reported within 10 days of the date of death, but there is significant variation among jurisdictions. It takes extra time to code COVID-19 deaths. While 80% of deaths are electronically processed and coded by NCHS within minutes, most deaths from COVID-19 must be coded manually, which takes an average of 7 days. Other reporting systems use different definitions or methods for counting deaths.
Things to know about the data
Provisional counts are not final and are subject to change. Counts from previous weeks are continually revised as additional records are received and processed. Provisional data are not yet complete. Counts will not include all deaths that occurred during a given time period, especially for more recent periods. However, we can estimate how complete our numbers are by looking at the average number of deaths reported in previous years. Death counts should not be compared across jurisdictions. Some jurisdictions report deaths on a daily basis, while others report deaths weekly or monthly. In addition, vital record reporting may also be affected or delayed by COVID-19 related response activities.
Source:
The CDC just came out with statistics showing through April 25, 2020 deaths for CONVID-19 only deaths (based upon death certificates)- 37,308
Interesting seeing the explanations of these numbers in the footnotes. It says they are from real death certificates so they are probably the legitimate numbers available. Like all stats they can be changed in the future of can lag behind a week or so.
Here's the table:
Data as of May 1, 2020
Week ending date in which the death occurred | COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1 | Deaths from All Causes | Percent of Expected Deaths2 | Pneumonia Deaths (J12.0–J18.9)3 | Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19 (J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)3 | Influenza Deaths (J09–J11)4 | Deaths with Pneumonia, Influenza, or COVID-19 U07.1 or J09–J18.9)5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Deaths | 37,308 | 719,438 | 97 | 64,382 | 16,564 | 5,846 | 90,165 |
2/1/2020 | 0 | 57,266 | 97 | 3,688 | 0 | 469 | 4,157 |
2/8/2020 | 1 | 57,615 | 97 | 3,672 | 0 | 494 | 4,167 |
2/15/2020 | 0 | 56,878 | 97 | 3,693 | 0 | 517 | 4,210 |
2/22/2020 | 0 | 56,806 | 98 | 3,557 | 0 | 536 | 4,093 |
2/29/2020 | 5 | 56,843 | 99 | 3,626 | 3 | 619 | 4,247 |
3/7/2020 | 25 | 56,212 | 97 | 3,719 | 14 | 583 | 4,312 |
3/14/2020 | 49 | 53,968 | 95 | 3,676 | 25 | 578 | 4,277 |
3/21/2020 | 493 | 53,979 | 95 | 4,150 | 226 | 496 | 4,907 |
3/28/2020 | 2,712 | 57,430 | 103 | 5,624 | 1,235 | 410 | 7,463 |
4/4/2020 | 8,082 | 64,313 | 115 | 8,724 | 3,875 | 432 | 13,148 |
4/11/2020 | 12,262 | 66,577 | 120 | 9,841 | 5,468 | 430 | 16,744 |
4/18/2020 | 10,408 | 55,062 | 101 | 7,606 | 4,402 | 215 | 13,663 |
4/25/2020 | 3,271 | 26,489 | 49 | 2,806 | 1,316 | 67 | 4,777 |
*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.
1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1
2Percent of expected deaths is the number of deaths for all causes for this week in 2020 compared to the average number across the same week in 2017–2019. Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death (<25%), and then increases over time such that data are generally at least 75% complete within 8 weeks of when the death occurred (8).
3Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.
4Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.
5Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, pneumonia, or influenza, coded to ICD–10 codes U07.1 or J09–J18.9.
...
How it works
The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) uses incoming data from death certificates to produce provisional COVID-19 death counts. These include deaths occurring within the 50 states and the District of Columbia. COVID-19 deaths are identified using a new ICD–10 code. When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death – or when it is listed as a “probable” or “presumed” cause — the death is coded as U07.1. This can include cases with or without laboratory confirmation.
Why these numbers are different
Provisional death counts may not match counts from other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. Our counts often track 1–2 weeks behind other data for a number of reasons: Death certificates take time to be completed. There are many steps involved in completing and submitting a death certificate. Waiting for test results can create additional delays. States report at different rates. Currently, 63% of all U.S. deaths are reported within 10 days of the date of death, but there is significant variation among jurisdictions. It takes extra time to code COVID-19 deaths. While 80% of deaths are electronically processed and coded by NCHS within minutes, most deaths from COVID-19 must be coded manually, which takes an average of 7 days. Other reporting systems use different definitions or methods for counting deaths.
Things to know about the data
Provisional counts are not final and are subject to change. Counts from previous weeks are continually revised as additional records are received and processed. Provisional data are not yet complete. Counts will not include all deaths that occurred during a given time period, especially for more recent periods. However, we can estimate how complete our numbers are by looking at the average number of deaths reported in previous years. Death counts should not be compared across jurisdictions. Some jurisdictions report deaths on a daily basis, while others report deaths weekly or monthly. In addition, vital record reporting may also be affected or delayed by COVID-19 related response activities.
Source:
Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
National Center for Health Statistics
www.cdc.gov