[POL] National Polls For Week Ending 8-7-04

[Green]

http://www.pollingreport.com/

Its still a horse race, with Kerry leading by a nose.

No time to take a vacation.

Associated Press-Ipsos poll, 8-5-04
Kerry 48%, Bush 45%

Time Poll, 8-5-04
Kerry 51%, Bush 44%

Democracy Corps Poll , 8-5-04
Kerry 52%, Bush 45%

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP poll
Kerry 49%, Bush 43%

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll, 8-4-04
Kerry 47%, Bush 43%

Marist College Poll, 8-2-04
Kerry 47%, Bush 47%

ABC News/Washington Post Poll 8-1-04
Kerry 49%, Bush 47%

American Research Group Poll, 8-1-04
Kerry 49%, Bush 46%

CBS News Poll, 8-1-04
Kerry 49%, Bush 43%

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, 8-1-04
Bush 51%, Kerry 47%

 

[Ought Six]

We will see if GW gets any more 'bounce' out of the Repub Convention than Kerry did out of the Dem Convention. I doubt GW will do more than even things up again. There just are not that many undecided voters left to move the polls one way or another. The presidential debates may change some minds, as Kerry has not really defined himself well yet nor allowed himself to be nailed down on specifics of what he would do if elected. When he is finally forced to do so, voters may not like what they see. There is a remote chance that Nader may do something to raise his profile and take some votes from Kerry, but I would not hold my breath waiting for that to happen. And if there is a terrorist attack of some kind before the election, Kerry is probably toast.

If things stay this close up through Novermber then voter turnout for the two major parties may decide the election. It seems to me that the Dems are more motivated this time around, but my perceptions could well be skewed by the liberal media coverage. We shall see.