GOV/MIL Main "Great Reset" Thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment

It Sure Looks Like Joe Biden Is Trying to Purposely Destroy the Country

By Bonchie | May 21, 2022 10:15 AM ET

337f845a-eaa8-4a73-95f6-91802b26a6d7-860x475.jpg
Jim Lo Scalzo/Pool via AP

The last several weeks in the United States have been a wild ride. Everything that could go wrong, short of a full-blown apocalyptic situation, has gone wrong. The stock market is currently in the midst of a collapse, with the Dow Jones losing nearly 5,000 points over the last 30 days. Inflation clocked in at 8.3% for April, representing another crushing blow to Americans. Of course, gas prices continue to break milestones on a daily basis.

Meanwhile, the border crisis is completely out of control, with the only somewhat positive news being that a court blocked the Biden administration’s push to lift Title 42, which could take the already record, overwhelming numbers to double what we are currently seeing. But even past that, things you don’t normally think about are occurring, such as the massive wildfire currently engulfing parts of New Mexico.

With all that in mind, you’d expect the current administration to be scrambling to fix things, or at the very least, soften the blow. Instead, it sure seems like Biden is purposely trying to destroy the country.

For example, in the midst of exploding gas prices and a diesel shortage, which exacerbates inflation because products have to be transported, the administration decided to cancel more oil and gas leases.
The Biden administration says it is canceling three oil and gas lease sales scheduled in the Gulf of Mexico and off the coast of Alaska, removing millions of acres from possible drilling as U.S. gas prices reach record highs.
Again, in the middle of record gas and diesel prices, which are helping to make already out of control inflation even worse, the Biden administration is canceling leases, almost certainly as part of its delusional, green-energy strategy.

Where does that leave you? It leaves you suffering, and if Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm’s recent testimony is any indication, they don’t care one bit. Go buy an electric car, they continue to scream, even as they aren’t available and the costs for them are astronomical. Need a truck and want a Ford Lightning? The waitlist extends into 2024.

Moving past the economic issues, Biden and his handlers continue to fight tooth and nail to completely destroy the border, and that’s assuming they haven’t already completed the task.

The Border Patrol is essentially ineffective at this point, with hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants crossing a month. Facilities are full, local cities have no resources to help, and deportations are happening at a painstakingly slow rate compared to the overall influx. And what’s Biden doing? He’s still fighting to lift Title 42, which as I noted above, only remains in place because Republican-led states have won battles in court.

Lastly, just to make things even more absurd, the US Forestry Service has decided to halt all prescribed burns, the chief tool the government has to stop wildfires. You know, because that worked out so well for California over the last decade.

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If the Biden administration were actually purposely trying to destroy the country, what would they be doing differently? That’s a question everyone should ask themselves at this point. At every turn, on every issue, the president and his team are moving to do exactly the opposite of what has to happen to help, and they are doing so with blatant arrogance.

The only thing that makes sense is that they see the electoral writing on the wall, with a red wave coming in 2022 and re-election in 2024 slipping away as well. With their fate quickly becoming settled, they are rushing to “transform” every aspect of the country they can before they lose power. That’s bad enough in a macro sense, but what makes it worse is that you, the individual, get to take the punch to the face so they can accomplish their partisan wants. It’s a grotesque scene.

(Comment: Actually, I agree with Randy Moore on the prescribed burns. Fuel conditions in the west are universally too dry. The burn would travel way too fast and with a bit of wind, you would have an unstoppable conflagration. )

photo - a small state controlled burn in far northern CA today

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NoDandy

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Does Congressional Oversight Still Exist? 1:49 min

Does Congressional Oversight Still Exist?
Just the News - Not Noise Published May 9, 2022
There’s a growing mindset among executive branch bureaucracies that Americans are no longer custodians of their own government. Have we made bureaucracy too independent? Sen. Ron Johnson weighs in on the issue.

^^^^
Kendall v. United States ex Rel. Stokes, 37 U.S. 524 (1838)

Kendall v. United States ex Rel. Stokes, 37 U.S. 524 (1838)

U.S. Supreme Court
Kendall v. United States ex Rel. Stokes, 37 U.S. 12 Pet. 524 524 (1838)
Kendall v. United States ex Rel. Stokes

37 U.S. (12 Pet.) 524


ERROR TO THE CIRCUIT COURT OF THE UNITED STATES IN

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA FOR THE COUNTY OF WASHINGTON


MR. JUSTICE THOMPSON delivered the opinion of the Court:

"The executive power is vested in a President, and as far as his powers are derived from the Constitution, he is beyond the reach of any other department except in the mode prescribed by the Constitution through the impeaching power. But it by no means follows that every officer in every branch of that department is under the exclusive direction of the President. Such a principle, we apprehend, is not and certainly cannot be claimed by the President.

"There are certain political duties imposed upon many officers in the Executive Department the discharge of which is under the direction of the President. But it would be an alarming doctrine that Congress cannot impose upon any executive officer any duty they may think proper which is not repugnant to any rights secured and protected by the Constitution, and in such cases the duty and responsibility grow out of and are subject to the control of the law, and not to the direction of the President. And this is emphatically the case where the duty enjoined is of a mere ministerial character....."

...."It was urged at the bar that the Postmaster General was alone subject to the direction and control of the President, with respect to the execution of the duty imposed upon him by this law, and this right of the President is claimed as growing out of the obligation imposed upon him by the Constitution to take care that the laws be faithfully executed. This is a doctrine that cannot receive the sanction of this Court. It would be vesting in the President a dispensing power which has no countenance for its support in any part of the Constitution, and is asserting a principle which, if carried out in its results to all cases falling within it, would be clothing the President with a power entirely to control the legislation of Congress and paralyze the administration of justice.

"To contend that the obligation imposed on the President to see the laws faithfully executed implies a power to forbid their execution is a novel construction of the Constitution, and entirely inadmissible. ..."
Sadly, TINVOWOOT !!!

I realize there are many that will be horrified by that, but that is reality !!!
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

DOJ Announces Hate Crimes And 'Bias-Related' Initiatives Including Reporting Hotline

SUNDAY, MAY 22, 2022 - 01:20 PM
Authored by Caden Pearson via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) on May 20 announced new initiatives worth $10 million to curb hates crimes and other “bias-related incidents.”

Attorney General Merrick Garland (L) and Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco attend an event marking the first anniversary of the COVID-19 Hate Crimes Act at the Department of Justice Robert F. Kennedy Building in Washington on May 20, 2022. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

This comes just days after the House passed legislation to authorize dedicated offices within U.S. federal government departments to monitor domestic terrorism and hate crimes.

As part of the DOJ’s efforts, it released “new guidance” with the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to raise awareness of hate crimes during the COVID-19 pandemic.

There is also $5 million for grant opportunities to set up state-run “hate crime reporting hotlines” and support “community-based approaches to prevent and address hate crimes.” The DOJ will also hire its first “language access coordinator.”

“Throughout our history, and to this day, hate crimes have a singular impact because of the terror and fear they inflict on entire communities,” Attorney General Merrick Garland said in a release.

“No one in this country should have to fear the threat of hate fueled violence. The Justice Department will continue to use every resource at its disposal to confront unlawful acts of hate, and to hold accountable those who perpetrate them.

Establishment media reports of violence against Asian Americans spiked since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.

In 2021, one Kentucky State University professor scoured publicly available information on around 100 attacks on Asians reported by the police between 2020 and 2021 and determined that in over 60 percent of the cases the suspect was identified as black.

Historically, hate crimes are underreported with most victims, especially immigrants, hesitant to go to authorities. Reliable national data on anti-Asian hate crimes is also scarce.

The DOJ’s announcement comes on the one-year anniversary of the enactment of the COVID-19 Hate Crimes and Khalid Jabara-Heather Heyer NO HATE Acts. Since January 2021, the DOJ has said it has secured more than 35 convictions of defendants charged with “bias-motivated crimes.”

The DOJ defined a hate crime as a crime that is “motivated by bias against race, color, religion, national origin, sexual orientation, gender, gender identity, or disability.” The most common form, nearly 30 percent, is vandalism or property damage.

However, there are now more crimes considered bias-related or hate crimes.

There has also been a national campaign of billboards, outdoor ads, radio streaming, and social media ads, along with conferences, resources, and training to help the community and law enforcement identify them.

The DOJ said it has gone “above and beyond” its remit under the COVID-19 Hate Crimes Act and expedited “the review of certain hate crimes by including additional types of hate crimes.” It included a full list of its actions to combat hate crimes in a release.

HHS Services Secretary Xavier Becerra said that amid a “spike in hate crimes against many communities” during the pandemic some people were still afraid to leave their homes “out of fear for their physical safety.”

Becerra, who also co-chairs the White House Initiative and President’s Advisory Commission on Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders, said the Biden administration was committed to “combatting hate crimes against all Americans.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden Admin Blames Math Error On Massive Oil & Gas Permitting Delays

SUNDAY, MAY 22, 2022 - 09:35 AM

The Biden administration quietly acknowledged in an April letter to oil & gas industry execs that a "miscalculation" is responsible for a massive backlog in offshore drilling permits.


According to the April 29 letter from the head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Richard Spinrad, a subagency "discovered a miscalculation" that's responsible for the massive backlog, the Daily Caller reports.

Who's to blame? The National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) - which is responsible for analyzing the impact of offshore drilling projects on wildlife - used faulty modeling which overestimated the effects on wildlife.

"NMFS understands the concerns of industry and is working with [the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)] to expeditiously develop … revised regulations," wrote Spinrad.
The NOAA administrator’s letter came in response to an April 5 letter from NOIA, the American Petroleum Institute and the EnerGeo Alliance, warning that energy producers had experienced significant permitting delays. In particular, oil and gas companies have reported delays in obtaining letters of authorization (LOA) from the NMFS to conduct pre-drilling activity, including seismic surveying and geological exploration, in the Gulf of Mexico. -Daily Caller
The faulty modeling was used by the Biden administration via an April 2021 regulation according to the industry groups.

According to the Department of Commerce, which oversees both NOAA and NMFS, the administration is "working to consider all possible solutions to expedite the rulemaking process to the greatest extent possible."

"NMFS is also engaged with affected members of industry and with industry trade associations as it considers both short-term and long-term solutions," the spokesperson told TheDCNF in an email. "The Commerce Department understands the concerns of industry and is working expeditiously to address the incorrect data it received for the initial rule and to proceed in earnest with the revised rule."

NOIA President Erik Milito told the Caller that "Gulf of Mexico seismic permitting delays — when coupled with the lack of progress on a new five-year offshore leasing program and the continuation of a multi-year gap in Gulf of Mexico oil and gas lease sales — undermine the predictability companies have relied on to make multi-billion-dollar investment decisions in the Gulf of Mexico," which is happening "At a time when energy issues are at the forefront, NMFS should address the problems as quickly as possible."

"Companies must be able to continue to explore for and develop hydrocarbon resources in the Gulf of Mexico."

On Tuesday, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and 19 other GOP Senators fired off an angry letter to the Department of Commerce expressing their concern over the permitting delays caused by the math error.

"NMFS’s permitting delays represent one example of the Administration’s de facto ban on new drilling – impeding domestic oil and gas investment, exploration, and production," reads the letter. "It is unacceptable that agency miscalculations have restricted access to safe, secure, and reliable domestic oil and gas production through substantial, unnecessary, and arbitrary permitting delays."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
TURN UP THE HEAT ON THE WHO 1:15 min

TURN UP THE HEAT ON THE WHO
(The WHO working group cannot come to consensus on 12 of Biden's proposed Amendments to the individual rules so they are, apparently, off the table now. The one that remains is the one to Amend Article 59 - the one that proposed to change the amount of time to reject Amendments from 18 to 6 months.)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

EXCLUSIVE: “Yielding of Sovereignty Is Considered the Crime of High Treason” – Archbishop Vigano on Nation States Handing Over Sovereignty to the WHO

By Joe Hoft
Published May 22, 2022 at 7:45am
archbishop-vigano.jpg


Archbishop Carlo Maria Vigano provides a memo this morning warning of the dangers of handing over individual nation-state sovereignty to the WHO. This is an act of treason by these nation-states.

Archbishop Vigano is a world leader with the courage to stand up to the globalists who are attempting to take over the world. He provides a letter to the people of the world this morning.

Archbishop Vigano writes:
In the coming days, the Nations that adhere to the World Health Organization will vote on resolutions regarding the WHO’s management of pandemics. These resolutions will transfer sovereignty regarding the health of citizens to a supranational body that is largely financed by the pharmaceutical industry and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. If these resolutions are approved by a majority, the WHO will have exclusive international authority in the case of a pandemic to impose all the rules, including quarantines, lockdowns, obligatory vaccinations and vaccine passports. It should also be borne in mind that this organization enjoys immunity, and thus its members cannot be either tried or convicted if they commit crimes.
Unelected technocrats will paradoxically have more power than that which citizens confer on their representatives by means of their democratic vote.

Given that the yielding of sovereignty is considered the crime of high treason by the laws of every nation, and that Parliaments may not legislate against the interests of the Nation, much less violate the natural liberties and fundamental rights of the citizens whom they represent, I believe that it will not escape anyone’s notice that this attempt by the WHO to appropriate a power that properly belongs to individual Nations is intended to impede any sort of opposition to the Agenda 2030, which in the field of healthcare also aims to accomplish the drastic reduction of medical and hospital services, the privatization of the health industry, and disease prevention by means of vaccines.
Below is the entire memo and a must-read. (Read what Archbishop Vigano says about the current Pope in the last paragraph.)

Vigano WHO Declaration May 21 2022 by Jim Hoft on Scribd (document on website)

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Download this PDF
 

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1EwoTRnEAzM
6:30 min

How the WHO's 'pandemic treaty' could CONTROL governments

May 17, 2022


Glenn Beck


On May 22nd, the World Health Assembly — which is the governing body of The World Health Organization — will meet in Switzerland to discuss next steps for its ‘pandemic treaty [and its] quest to use public health to expand The WHO’s power over sovereign states,’ Daniel Horowitz reports for TheBlaze. He explains how certain amendments to be added to this treaty could ‘allow the director-general of the WHO to declare a public health emergency in a country and unilaterally coerce its citizens to take certain actions.’ The far-left and global elite continue to destroy our sovereignty, Glenn says, and this is just one more step toward their desired global government. Read more: https://www.theblaze.com/op-ed/horowi...


The WHO stepped on their own **** so often in the previous few years, they shouldn't be trusted to take a dog on a walk.

But of course, that assumes they were actually trying to help.
 

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVLc5sSlBP8
15:26 min

Leftist ESG policies are DESTROYING oil & gas ON PURPOSE


Glenn Beck


JP Morgan now predicts the U.S. average price for gasoline this summer will be $6.00 a gallon. Last May, the average was just over THREE. We are in real, serious trouble Glenn says…especially since it seems our current oil & gas catastrophe is BY DESIGN by far-left politicians pushing ESG into ever sector of our free market (it’s could hit electricity hard this summer, too). Glenn explains why leftists may be doing this ON PURPOSE, and what our nation could look like just 12 months from now: ‘You NEED to prepare.’

^^^^
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NAs0iYDncu0
6:24 min

Sen Hawley ENDS Biden's Sec. When She Claims He Had No Effect on Gas Prices

May 19, 2022


BlazeTV


Sen. Hawley just ENDED Biden's Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm when she claimed Biden had no effect on gas prices. WATCH Psaki's replacement fall right into Doocy's trap: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wCfIZ...


"National Emergency By Design?"

Well, duh.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Analyst Warns World Has Only 10 Weeks of Wheat Supplies Left in Storage

By Jim Hoft
Published May 22, 2022 at 9:18am

Experts warn of a surge in crop prices and food costs as wheat exports from Ukraine and Russia are impacted by the war.

Last week India announced it would ban exports of wheat due to a heat wave and supply concerns.

An analyst in global warming and food insecurity warned the UN last week that the world has about 10 weeks of wheat supplies stored due to the War in Ukraine.

Russia is the world’s largest wheat exporter. Ukraine is sixth largest exporter.

wheat-exporters.jpg


The Insider reported:
The world has about 10 weeks of wheat supplies stored as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine enters its fourth month, a food insecurity expert told the UN.
Sara Menker, the CEO of agriculture analytics firm Gro Intelligence, told the UN Security Council that the Russia-Ukraine war was not the cause of a food security crisis but “simply added fuel to a fire that was long burning.”
Ukraine is considered the world’s “breadbasket” and Russia and Ukraine combined account for almost a third of the world’s wheat exports.
This comes as US Secretary of State Antony Blinken accused Russia of using food as a weapon. Blinken, also addressing the UN Security Council, said that Russia was holding food “hostage” not just for Ukrainians but for millions across the world.
“The Russian government seems to think that using food as a weapon will help accomplish what its invasion has not – to break the spirit of the Ukrainian people,” Blinken said.
Menker said droughts across the world are contributing to declining wheat resources.
Menker said global food supplies are also being impacted by climate change and fertilizer shortages.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Davos - World Economic Forum


Upcoming live sessions
Monday, May 23, 2022
Economic Weaponry: Uses and Effectiveness of Sanctions
Speakers: Adam Tooze, Ann Wagner, John Morrison, Eric Cantor, Yuliia Svyrydenko
08:45 - 09:30CEST

The Future of Globalization
Speakers: Thorold Barker, Tarek Sultan, Pamela Coke-Hamilton, Nicolas Aguzin, Loic Tassel
09:45 - 10:30CEST

Energy Outlook: Overcoming the Crisis
Speakers: Jason Bordoff, Catherine MacGregor, Vicki Hollub, Robert Habeck, Fatih Birol, Hardeep Singh Puri
09:45 - 10:45CEST

Responding to Humanitarian Crisis in Ukraine
Speakers: Heba Aly, Yevheniia Kravchuk, Fedir Serdiuk
10:00 - 10:30CEST

Welcoming Remarks and Special Address
Speakers: Ignazio Cassis, Klaus Schwab
10:45 - 11:15CEST

Special Address by Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine
Speakers: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Klaus Schwab
11:15 - 11:45CEST

Spirit of Resilience: Ukrainian Voices
Speakers: Børge Brende, Uliana Avtonomova, Julia Kiryanova, Yevheniia Kravchuk, Yuliia Svyrydenko
11:45 - 12:15CEST

A Discussion with the Klitschkos
Speakers: Haslinda Amin, Wladimir Klitschko, Vitaliy Klitschko, Alois Zwinggi
12:30 - 13:30CEST

The View from Capitol Hill
Speakers: Zanny Minton Beddoes, Gregory W. Meeks, Joe Manchin, III, Christopher A. Coons, Patrick J. Leahy, Roger F. Wicker, Robert Menendez, Debra Fischer
12:30 - 13:30CEST

Averting a Global Food Crisis
Speakers: Le Minh Khai, Julia Chatterley, David Beasley, Philip Isdor Mpango, Mariam Mohammed Saeed Al Mheiri, J. Erik Fyrwald
13:00 - 13:45CEST

Safeguarding Global Scientific Collaboration
Speakers: Magdalena Skipper, Maria Leptin, Fabiola Gianotti, Sarah Al Amiri, Dan Vahdat
13:00 - 13:45CEST

Russia: What Next?
Speakers: Ian Bremmer, Alexander Stubb, Samir Saran, Karin von Hippel
13:15 - 14:00CEST

Special Address by Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani, Emir of the State of Qatar
Speakers: H.H. Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani, Klaus Schwab
14:00 - 14:30CEST

Cold War 2.0
Speakers: Manuela Kasper-Claridge, Kishore Mahbubani, Ian Bremmer, Ivanna Klympush-Tsintsadze, Michael McCaul
14:45 - 15:30CEST

Sport as a Unifying Force
Speakers: H.H. Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani, Patrice Motsepe, Ronaldo Luís Nazário de Lima, Arsène Wenger, Édouard Mendy, Hassan Al Thawadi, Jill Ellis, Gianni Infantino, Klaus Schwab
15:00 - 16:00CEST

The Return of the West?
Speakers: David M. Rubenstein, Paula J. Dobriansky, Bill Keating, Yulia Klymenko, Mohammed Shahriar Alam
15:30 - 16:15CEST

Conversation with Henry A. Kissinger, Chairman Kissinger Associates Inc.
Speakers: Klaus Schwab, Henry A. Kissinger
16:15 - 16:45CEST

Transforming through Trust
Speakers: Hilde Schwab, Phillip Atiba Goff, Richard W. Edelman, Hahrie Han, Adriana Mallet, Gisela Sanchez, Celso Athayde, Sam McCracken, Jos De Blok, Sanjay Pradhan, Rene Parker, Ashraf Patel, Mikaela Jade, Pranshu Singhal, Rana Dajani, Adam Kahane, Kennedy Odede, Alberto Alemanno
17:45 - 18:30CEST

Tuesday, May 24, 2022
A Reimagined Global Tax System
Speakers: Geoff Cutmore, Stefanie Stantcheva, Mathias Cormann, Gabriela Bucher
08:45 - 09:30CEST

China in the Global Energy Transition
Speakers: Lin Xueling, Jun Ni, Elizabeth Gaines, Zhigang Zhang, Daniel Yergin
09:00 - 09:45CEST

Special Address by Pedro Sánchez, Prime Minister of Spain
Speakers: Pedro Sánchez, Børge Brende
10:00 - 10:30CEST

The Geopolitical Outlook
Speakers: Mirek Dusek, José Manuel Albares Bueno, Gregory W. Meeks, Hina Rabbani Khar, Andrzej Duda, H.H. Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud, Pekka Haavisto
10:45 - 11:30CEST

Special Address by Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission
Speakers: Ursula von der Leyen, Klaus Schwab
11:00 - 11:30CEST

Special Address by Jens Stoltenberg, Secretary-General, North Atlantic Treaty Organization
Speakers: Jens Stoltenberg, Børge Brende
11:30 - 12:00CEST

Bolstering the World's Crisis-Management Capacity
Speakers: Gillian R. Tett, Anne-Marie Slaughter, Richard Hatchett, Khalid Al-Falih, Livia Leu
13:30 - 14:15CEST

A Conversation with Barham Salih, President of Iraq
13:45 - 14:15CEST

Working Together for Peace
Speakers: Urs Gredig, Yuriy Vitrenko, Nadia Murad, Ignazio Cassis, Ievgeniia Bodnya
14:30 - 16:00CEST

Preparing for the Next Pandemic
Speakers: Stephanie Mehta, Peter Sands, Bill Gates, Francis deSouza, Helen E. Clark, Paul Kagame
17:30 - 18:30CEST

Towards a Global Treaty on Plastic Pollution
Speakers: Marco Lambertini, Jessica Cheam, Joshua Amponsem, Lea Wermelin, Laurent Freixe, Gustavo Manrique Miranda
17:30 - 18:15CEST

Our Shared Humanity
Speakers: Yo-Yo Ma, Emanuel Ax
18:30 - 19:15CEST

Wednesday, May 25, 2022
What Next for Global Growth?
Speakers: Tom Keene, Jim Hagemann Snabe, Mariana Mazzucato, Gita Gopinath
08:45 - 09:30CEST

States of Concern
Speakers: Moisés Naím, Alona Shkrum, Karin von Hippel, Wolfgang Ischinger, Rafael Mariano Grossi
09:00 - 09:45CEST

Is Globalization Dead?
Speakers: Adrian Monck, Thomas L. Friedman, Rana Foroohar
10:00 - 10:30CEST

European Unity in a Disordered World?
Speakers: Børge Brende, Roberta Metsola, Eduard Heger, Christine Lagarde, Mark Rutte, Micheál Martin
10:00 - 11:00CEST

Advancing Digital Cooperation
Speakers: Samir Saran, Sunil Bharti Mittal, Chuck Robbins, Brad Smith, Josephine Teo
10:15 - 11:00CEST

A Conversation with Kyriakos Mitsotakis, Prime Minister of Greece
Speakers: Børge Brende, Kyriakos Mitsotakis
11:30 - 12:00CEST

A Conversation with Karl Nehammer, Federal Chancellor of Austria
Speakers: Manuela Kasper-Claridge, Karl Nehammer
11:45 - 12:15CEST

Balancing Globalization and Resilience in a Time of Crises
Speakers: Jagjit Singh Srai, Frank Appel, Rania Al-Mashat, Carmine Di Sibio, Kumar M. Birla, Aron Cramer
13:00 - 14:00CEST

A Lost Decade?
Speakers: Helen E. Clark, Caroline Anstey, Kiril Petkov, Hina Rabbani Khar
13:15 - 14:00CEST

NATO in the Nordics
Speakers: Fareed Zakaria, Pekka Haavisto, Mikael Damberg
14:15 - 14:45CEST

Return to War
Speakers: Ravi Agrawal, Kenneth Roth, Sir Lawrence Freedman, Graham Allison, Lynn Kuok
14:30 - 15:15CEST

A Conversation with Dmytro Kuleba, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine
Speakers: Hadley Gamble, Dmytro Kuleba
15:00 - 15:30CEST

Special Address by Isaac Herzog, President of the State of Israel
Speakers: Isaac Herzog, Børge Brende
15:00 - 15:30CEST

Live from Space: What Next for Global Cooperation?
Speakers: Andrew R. Sorkin, Josef Aschbacher, Sylvia Makario, William Marshall, Samantha Cristoforetti
16:00 - 17:00CEST

An Economic Iron Curtain: Scenarios and Their Implications
Speakers: Fareed Zakaria, Ray Dalio, Andrej Plenković, Kristalina Georgieva, Valdis Dombrovskis
17:30 - 18:15CEST

The Future of the Abraham Accords
Speakers: Mirek Dusek, Dorit Dor, Stuart E. Eizenstat, Khalid Bin Ahmed Al Khalifa, Thani Ahmed Al Zeyoudi
17:30 - 18:15CEST

Press Conference: Trade and Food Policy Outlook
Speakers: Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Svein Tore Holsether, Børge Brende
18:40 - 19:10CEST

Thursday, May 26, 2022
The Future of Global Cooperation
Speakers: Mark Leonard, Jacques Attali, Ilona Szabó de Carvalho, Kyung-Won Na
09:00 - 09:45CEST

Kyiv after the Onslaught
Speakers: Mirek Dusek, Vitaliy Klitschko
09:00 - 09:30CEST

Ukraine: Reporting from the Frontlines
Speakers: Yann Zopf, Mstyslav Chernov, Sasha Vakulina
10:00 - 10:30CEST

A Conversation with Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran
Speakers: Fareed Zakaria, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian
10:15 - 10:45CEST

Special Address by Olaf Scholz, Federal Chancellor of Germany
Speakers: Olaf Scholz, Klaus Schwab
11:00 - 11:45CEST

Closing Remarks: The Road Ahead
Speakers: Børge Brende


See also World Economic Forum Annual Meeting (looks like breakout sessions available)
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment

Davos 2022 - what to expect from this meeting like no other 15:27 min

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  • Leaders from around the globe to meet in Davos, Switzerland for the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting 2022.
  • The meeting is centered around the theme History at a Turning Point: Government Policies and Business Strategies.
  • Nearly 2,500 leaders from politics, business, civil society and media to participate in the unique spring 2022 Annual Meeting.
The world’s top leaders from politics, business, civil society, academia, media and the arts are set to descend on the Swiss mountain village of Davos in May 2022, as the World Economic Forum hosts its first in-person Annual Meeting for more than two years.
This extraordinary event takes place at a watershed moment in history from 22-26 May 2022, convening nearly 2,500 leaders to tackle global issues and find solutions to the world's most urgent challenges including the ongoing global pandemic, the war in Ukraine, geo-economic shocks and climate change.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Davos....


Transitioning to clean energy in times of crisis
Global energy security is in the spotlight.
The World Economic Forum's Fostering Effective Energy Transition 2022 report explores the challenges and looks at recommendations to navigate a challenging geopolitical climate.
Read the report here.
And for more, read our blogs on the report:
6 key insights into accelerating the energy transition
Why justice must prevail as the world transitions to clean energy
Why public-private collaboration is critical for industrial net-zero transformation

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Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Re baby formula

"The real shortages started in July of 2021." .18 min

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene tells Terrance Bates that the Biden Administration is giving a "complete lie" to the American people.

(COMMENT: I am connecting the dots and I see a picture emerging of Joe Biden straddling a wrecking ball, swinging at a battered Statue of Liberty.)


I hope an Artist will take your imagery and create a poster...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
notes on post #2712

4:53 min
WarRoom Battleground: Dave Walsh - Energy Consultant
Bannons War Room Published May 21, 2022

(Bannon: What should the policies be to turn this around? People of the US are not going to be able to afford food.

Walsh: You talk about complex systems. This isn't that complicated. Examples: Under this Administration, the price uptick in gas - the chart that Steve Cortes showed a few days ago, way before the war in Ukraine. View attachment 340857

The uptick in gas prices here, caused by federal measures since day one, resulted in the highest emissions (delta +) in 15 years. How did that happen? Counterintuitive to what they thought they were accomplishing - and this goes to cluelessness, when the price of gas goes up to $4-4.50 per decatherm, coal assets get used to generate electricity. Utilities have to serve - to be available, reliable, dependable and low cost to their rate payers. What do they do? They flip from gas to coal. Last year in the US, coal fired power production advanced 23% during the first year of this administration.

Their policies were really supposed to reduce CO2, but no, because of some degree of cluelessness, (he toggles between evil and clueless,) their policies drove down gas supplies, drove up the price and we have a 23% increase in coal fired generation. Things don't make sense.

There are rational actors in this world that make decisions for their country exactly the right way. He mentioned the shut down in Germany of 18 nuclear power plants over a 5 year period that Merkel has led. They did that officially because of Fukushima. 11,000 miles away, a reactor goes into problems because its back up generation was over flown by a tsunami. The plant is only 20-30 feet over sea level. That was a problem.

So Germany, 11000 miles away, shuts down their nuclear plants over that. The Japanese have plans to restart all but 10% of theirs and, post-Fukushima, they built 13 gigawatts of coal fired power for Japan. They've got to compete industrially with China. They make sharp decisions in their own national interests. Germany shuts down their nuclear plants, Japan starts 85% of theirs back up and builds 13 large coal fired plants between 2015-2020 to augment the 10% or so of the nuclear plants they are not restarting. Rational actors. We're not. )
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Post #2709 notes

rumble.com

Alfie Oakes: Agriculture Production Costs Up Across the Nation

6:44 min

Alfie Oakes: Agriculture Production Costs Up Across the Nation
Bannons War Room Published May 21, 2022

(Bannon: The cover of this week's economist is about the World Wide Famine that's coming. Cong. candidate Majewski was on and told us he had breakfast with Farmers who told him their costs were up 300% just based on fuel costs and fertilizer. What are you seeing in Florida?
1653280518697.png
(Oakes: We're seeing the same thing. When he saw the Economist cover with the skulls as grains of wheat, there are a couple of meanings to this. One is rising costs and they're seeing about a 250% rise in the cost of fertilizer. They don't grow wheat in Florida, although they can. It is too expense there. He is seeing every single input cost, he could name 15, and they are all up 200-300%. There is not a lot of logic behind it.

Bannon: We're trying to look forward. Tell me what you're seeing.

Oakes: We're seeing input costs the likes of which we have never seen before - 250-300% increases across the board. For instance, plastic mulch, we use 3 rolls of that to an acre. This year we farmed 3,200 acres. That's 9,600 rolls. Last year, he bought ahead because he knew it has always followed the barrel of oil price. We go back to 2008, 2013 and we saw barrel prices very similar to now.

Last year, he bought ahead at $85 a roll. He bought about $4.5 million in extra plastic last year, knowing that it would probably go up because of Biden and they would probably be paying about $115 a roll like we did before. Now, it's up to almost $300 a roll. Wooden stakes are up 300%. Almost ever farm input cost that they have.

He has 250 trucks on the road and diesel prices are as high as he has ever seen them before. He has 4000 employees and is an independent business. This next year, they are cutting their farm acres down from 3,200 acres to 1,000 acres because he is not going to take the risk of putting all this out there.

Unfortunately, because he is in S. Florida, he completes directly with Mexico. Because of the terrible job the Biden Admin. is doing letting the trucks come in. If you have a NAFTA sticker., you're not getting checked. There have been 2300 trucks of Fentanyl that we caught coming across the border during the Trump Admin. Now they are hardly catching any of them because they aren't even checking. There are about probably 3X the numbers coming in and it gives them an unfair playing field, so we're cutting back to 1,000 acres.

Bannon: You're telling me that you're taking 2/3 of your acreage offline because of the potential of getting upside down on cost?

Oakes: He said he's happy with it. The Mexican squeeze. Everything goes back to bad politics. NAFTA was the beginning of the end of the Florida farmers. He's a first generation farmer. He started farming at 19 years old. He used to go out to Moakley??? to buy product and there were hundreds of farmers in S Fla - Homestead, Okeechobee, all around there loaded with farmers. Now, I am one of 5 farmers left in Moakley.

The only way you can stay in business is if you are vertically integrated and now, that's even become impossible. It's really insane what we're seeing here.

He looked at that cover with the wheat and it's scary that we're going to have this food shortage, but it also reminded him of something else with the wheat. Dave Walsh was talking about in the 1960s until now, we are producing about double the amount of product per acre, but the food we're producing is only 1/3-1/2 as nutritious and that relates to health problems. The wheat we eat in the United States is a felony to use in Europe and even Putin 6-7 years ago stopped allowing them to use this Roundup Ready GMO wheat to his people because he saw the devastating effects. )

alfieforAmerica.com
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Bloated Inventories Hit Walmart, Target And Other Retailers' Profits, Trucking Demand

SUNDAY, MAY 22, 2022 - 05:30 PM
By Mark Solomon of FreightWaves

There’s little in retailing that Walmart and Target aren’t prepared to handle. So it was jarring that over a 24-hour period the two scions of the trade posted weak first-quarter profits that appeared to blindside management at both.


Part of the bottom-line blowup was due to fuel, which soared to record highs following Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine. Part of it was due to margin pressures caused by an unfavorable sales mix as consumers shifted their buying from higher-margin goods like electronics to less profitable items like groceries. An extension of that was an overshoot of inventory-stocking activity, which came back to bite the retailers after waning concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic pushed more consumer buying toward services and “experiences” and away from goods.

There’s little that retailers can do about fuel prices. It can be argued they should have expected the pandemic-driven buying spree from March 2020 until the end of 2021 to peter out and that they should have planned their inventory strategies accordingly. Yet demand forecasting has always been a tough nut to crack, and the market is where it is. Inventory build may also have been the result of supply chain delays at the start of the year that resulted in some late deliveries of impaired freight.

Inventory levels as of March, when compared to activity in March 2019 after inventories stabilized following a major pull-forward in 2018 ahead of the Trump administration’s China tariffs, produce a mixed bag of results. Unsurprisingly given the current dearth of motor vehicles, the ratio of vehicle and parts inventories to sales has fallen considerably, according to federal government data analyzed by Michigan State University. Apparel inventories to sales also declined over those periods, as did e-commerce.

However, furniture, home furnishings and appliances, building materials and garden equipment, and a category known as “other general merchandise,” which includes Walmart and Target, among others, reported higher inventory-to-sales ratios, according to government data analyzed by Michigan State.



For the latter sectors, the change has happened fast, according to Jason Miller, logistics professor at MSU’s Eli Broad College of Business. As of November, inventory-to-sales ratios were at pre-COVID levels, Miller said. They have since exploded upward.

Miller said he expects a “cooldown” in retailer order volumes, even if inflation-adjusted sales stay constant, as retailers look to reduce their existing stock. He also expects retailers to launch major discounting programs to expedite the inventory burn. Fewer orders within certain categories bodes ill for carriers whose networks are strongly tied to inbound lanes to retailers’ distribution centers, Miller said.

In a Friday note, Bascome Majors, analyst for Susquehanna Investment Group, said that the spread between year-over-year sales and inventories — a rough barometer of the impact of higher sales on restocking activity — turned positive in spring 2020 and accelerated in favorable territory for four consecutive quarters. Gradually, however, the spread has turned negative, according to Majors. In this year’s first quarter, inventory growth exceeded sales growth by 200 basis points. The recent surge in inflation, Majors wrote, has severely distorted inventory and sales trends.

Freight recession priced in?
For some, high inventory levels are an expected occurrence and should be welcomed. In a Tuesday note, Amit Mehrotra, transport analyst at Deutsche Bank, said rising buffer stock is part of retailers’ desire to have goods available when consumers scan the shelves. Mehrotra added, however, that the data points translate into a likely slowdown in freight flows in the coming months and quarters.

He said that a recession is already priced into most transportation equities, noting that the shares of most trucking companies are higher over the past 30 days while the broader market is about 7% lower.

In an unusual world, Walmart, Target and other retailers are likely to turn to the one area where they’ve traditionally found leverage: their shipping bill. During the quarter, Target faced freight and transportation costs that were hundreds of millions of dollars above already-elevated expectations, COO John Mulligan said on the company’s Wednesday analyst call. It was essentially the same story at Walmart.

Retailers’ efforts to rein in transportation costs will translate into an unprecedented third and even fourth round of truckload contract negotiations, with users getting more aggressive in their bids to extract greater cost savings, according to industry experts.

The discussions could get contentious. In a LinkedIn post on Friday, Jason Ickert, president of trucking firm Sonwil Logistics, said a large shipper that Ickert wouldn’t identify suggested on a conference call this week with truckload carriers that they were “artificially propping up their rates” above accepted market levels. The shipper “stated clearly” that the carriers were expected to adjust their rates during what would be an “unprecedented and unplanned” third round of request for proposals, Ickert wrote.

A potential shift to intermodal
Pressures to drive down transport expenses will also trigger increased interest in intermodal, whose all-in costs are cheaper relative to contract truckload than at any time since 2018.

Intermodal rates have risen at a slower pace than truckload contract rates, a turnabout from the 2019 freight recession when higher intermodal rates allowed over-the-road transport to gain market share.



The shift to intermodal, if it happens, would benefit the railroads and intermodal marketers like J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Hub Group and Schneider. However, experts caution that intermodal capacity remains constrained, as does warehouse space needed to store the stuff.

“Walmart, Target and other retailers will soak up every drop of intermodal capacity that Hunt, Hub, Schneider and the rails deliver in 2022 and probably in 2023,” said Majors of Susquehanna Investment Group. The elevated level of activity, he said, should occur even if retailers are working through a multiquarter process of de-stocking.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Democrats' gas price gouging bill could lead to 1970s gas lines, warns spending watchdog group

"The way to create a shortage is by putting a price control in place that encourages people to overconsume and discourages production," says Patrick Hedger, executive director of the Taxpayers Protection Alliance.

Updated: May 22, 2022 - 10:59pm

The Taxpayers Protection Alliance is slamming House Democrats' attempt to place a cap on gas prices, which the tax and spending watchdog group warns could lead to a return to the gas lines of the 1970s.

The Consumer Fuel Price Gouging Prevention Act is currently being considered by the 50-50 Senate after passing the House on Thursday 217-207 with all Republicans voting against the measure.

"The problem is Big Oil is keeping supply artificially low so prices and profits stay high," Rep. Frank Pallone (D-N.J.), chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, said in a hearing last week. "Now I think that when the market is broken, that's when Congress has to step in to protect American consumers. And that's what this bill does: It empowers the FTC to go after the gougers and empowers the agency to effectively monitor and report on market manipulation."

But the price gouging bill becoming law could lead to "the situation in the 1970s with gas lines" when the administration of Jimmy Carter attempted to combat "rampant inflation" with gas price controls, Taxpayers Protection Alliance Executive Director Patrick Hedger told Just the News.

"It is a thinly veiled attempt to institute price controls," said Hedger. "This is a bill that the Democrats, some of the most progressive Democrats, have pushed to essentially give the president and some regulatory agencies authority to cap gasoline prices.

"But that is the fastest way for us to repeat the 1970s because as expensive as gas is now, it's available, right? We don't have shortages of gasoline. The way to create a shortage is by putting a price control in place that encourages people to overconsume and discourages production."

Inflation has hit a 40-year high under the Biden administration. Gas prices are climbing toward a national average of $5 per gallon.

"It's just history repeating itself in such an unfortunate kind of shameless way," Hedger said in an interview. "No economist worth their weight and salt will tell you that [a price cap] is a good idea. It's a pure distraction from the fact that the Biden administration has been canceling oil and gas leases, has been antagonizing the industry since day one with canceling the Keystone XL pipeline, and that Washington has been printing and spending money with reckless abandon that's inflating the currency."

Just the News reached out to the American Petroleum Institute to find out if they support the legislation.

"This ill-advised and misguided legislation sets a dangerous precedent without meaningfully addressing the root cause of rising energy prices," said API SVP of Policy, Economics and Regulatory Affairs Frank Macchiarola. "It's well past time for Congress to stop the finger-pointing and get serious about delivering real solutions that provide meaningful relief for American consumers. This starts with clear and consistent policies that prioritize the development of American energy resources."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
May 22, 2022 at 8:19pm​
Zelensky’s Prediction…is this another joke?​
Zelenky is an actor. Madonna or that singer Britney-something would have been just as ‘accurate’ by re-tweeting random communist bots.

If Zelensky had a rat’s tail of predictive ability or wisdom, Ukraine would not be choking on a mouthful of cheese with a broken neck. Ukraine is trapped. Ukraine is being destroyed. This was an elective war.

Just 90 days ago, Ukraine was a global breadbasket. Today, despite massive international assistance, Ukraine cannot hide that its army and people are being shredded and a breadbasket is facing Holodomor II. Millions of Ukrainians have fled.

You wanted this war, Zelensky. You got it.

A wise man with predictive abilities, a Ukrainian patriot, would have stopped doing business with dirty-Bidens. There would be no war.

Stop all weapons flows to Ukraine. This is not our war. A wise man would have realized that huge numbers of Americans will not join battle just because some distant “partner” who bribed our government asks, demands, pleads, begs. This is an elective war. Slam the door. We are not your 911.

America is being invaded. Communist forces permeate our government.

Any squirrel in the tree should see these famines coming. Ukraine and their Zelensky entered this willingly.

Meanwhile, virtue-signalling EU and others are cutting off their own fuel in the face of global famines. Can’t make up this stuff. Droughts are unfolding in Europe, USA, and elsewhere. China is making moves that can destroy the American economy. Some Europeans and Americans may literally be eating babies within two years of today. No exaggeration. Zero hyperbole.

This is math. That stuff so few of today’s university students seem to study. When nutrition needs > nutrition resources —> there are no safe spaces.

Liberal arts majors should ask farmers how math works. “Hey Mr. Farmer! What happens when there is not enough water? Let’s print more fertilizer. Fuel prices are high. Print me some gas! Print money!” Print toe tags.​



Zelenskyy's global food crisis prediction may be 10 weeks away, UN official says: 'Seismic'
Ukraine and Russia account for 30% of the world's wheat supply

By Peter Aitken | Fox News

A food supply expert warns that the world faces a global crisis in just 10 weeks, echoing a warning from Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

"Russia has blocked almost all ports and all, so to speak, maritime opportunities to export food – our grain, barley, sunflower and more. A lot of things," Zelenskyy said Saturday. "There will be a crisis in the world. The second crisis after the energy one, which was provoked by Russia."

"Now it will create a food crisis if we do not unblock the routes for Ukraine, do not help the countries of Africa, Europe, Asia, which need these food products," he added.
    • Ukraine President Zelenskyy

      In this photo provided by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Office, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy attend a news conference with Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa after their meeting in Kyiv, Ukraine, Saturday, May 21, 2022. (Ukrainian Presidential Press Office via AP)
Zelenskyy said that if Ukraine does not regain control of the contested southern ports, the world will face a difficult situation: The country produces a substantial amount of the global food supply, including between 25% and 30% of the world’s grain supply along with Russia.

According to data from the Observatory of Economic Complexity, Ukraine also accounts for 9.29% of the world’s corn supply.

Russia currently has blockaded the ports of Odesa and Mariupol and the two countries continue to fight over it.

The world has only 10 weeks’ worth of wheat left to deal with the crisis, according to Sara Menker, CEO of Gro Intelligence.

"This is seismic," Menker said during a special meeting of the U.N. Security Council. "Even if the war were to end tomorrow, our food security problem isn’t going away anytime soon without concerted action."

Gro Intelligence uses artificial intelligence and public and private data to predict food supply trends. Menker stresses that Russia’s invasion did not start a food security crisis, it did "fuel" what was already going on.

"Without aggressive global actions, we stand the risk of an extraordinary amount of human suffering and economic damage," Menker said.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

GRAIN PLANNED FOR EXPORT STUCK IN UKRAINE

By
Iurii Mykhailov
5/22/2022


The world is facing a surge in food prices while some countries will encounter a shortage of food and even a hunger, according to UN officials. This is the consequence of the war in Ukraine, which has already lasted three months.

In 2021, Ukraine harvested 107 million tons of grain and oilseeds. Up until the war began, the country managed to export 43 million tons of the 70 million tons expected. This means 27 million tons of grain planned for export is stuck in Ukraine. It is believed that up to 4 million tons of grain and oilseeds are in the terminals and on ships stranded in ports.

SEA EXPORT STOPPED
Up to 95% of grain exported from Ukraine has been by sea. But now two ports on the Azov Sea, namely, Mariupol and Berdiansk, and the Port of Kherson on the Black Sea are under Russian control. The Port of Mykolaiv, also on the Black Sea, was severely damaged. Three ports of the so-called Greater Odessa are blocked and waterways are mined.

There remain four Ukrainian ports on the Danube River, namely, Ust-Danube, Kiliia, Izmail, and Reni. However, they are obsolete and of limited throughput and cannot handle more than 300,000 tons of grain per month. Also, there are not enough barges to ship the necessary volume of grain to the nearest Romanian Port of Constanta on the Black Sea.

BOTTLENECK ON THE RAILROAD

After the Ukrainian sea ports were blocked, grain exporters turned their eyes to the railroad.
Cargo can be transshipped or transferred to European countries through 13 railway border crossings: four with Poland, two with Slovakia, two with Hungary, three with Romania and two with Moldova.

The designed throughput of these 13 railway border crossings is about 3,400 cars per day. This corresponds to approximately 220,000 tons of various cargo, of which 731 wagons or approximately 50,000 tons of grain can be transferred daily. Yet, only 20,000 tons of grain cross the border per day now.

The principal problem is that Ukrainian and European railroads use completely different gauges.

For example, the Ukrainian railroad gauge is 1,520 mm (4 ft 1127/32 in) while European railroads use the standard 1,435 mm (4 ft 8.5 in) gauge. Therefore, Ukrainian and European gauge and rolling stock are completely different both in dimensions and parameters. And it isn’t possible to simply exchange cargo and goods and move rolling stock across the border.

Thus, the transshipment from the Ukrainian cars to European cars in points where Ukrainian gauge 1,520 mm and European gauge 1,435 mm are adjacent isn't feasible.

The second way is to change wheel sets on the Ukrainian car. There are five wheel set change points, but they are not used much due to the difference in dimensions of Ukrainian and European cars. Each time it is necessary to match the route on which Ukrainian cars with the changed wheel sets can move. There are only a few such routes. Therefore, this method of changing wheel sets is of limited use.

There are also three other problems. First, exporters use the existing border crossings unevenly. Of the 13 railway border crossings, only five operate at full capacity. These are Izov at the Polish border crossing, Uzhgorod, Chop, and Romanian border crossings. These five border crossings are fully loaded because exporters prefer to send cargo to these locations. The remaining eight border crossings are loaded only at 30% to 50% of their capacity. Exporters, therefore, should build new logistics chains outside the territory of Ukraine to fix with European carriers the movement of grain along the new routes.

The second problem is that the European infrastructure and carriers were not ready for a sharp increase in the volume of grain cargo transportation. European carriers did not have a sufficient number of grain cars with a gauge of 1,435 mm. They also don't have enough locomotive fleet to handle this additional flow of Ukrainian grain. And, of course, they have infrastructural limitations. For example, in Romania and Moldova sections have weight restrictions for the train, thus the weight of the train there must not exceed 2,700 tons while in Ukraine such trains run with a weight of 5,400 tons.

The third problem involves bureaucratic delays at the border associated with customs clearance, border inspection, phytosanitary and veterinary control. In contrast to export grain by sea where only one set of certificates is required for the entire cargo, exporting grain by rail requires one set of certificates per car.

Because of all these problems, the time for grain to cross borders now may be up from two to three weeks while the corresponding certificates are valid for only 15 days.

EXPORT BY TRUCK IS A UTOPIA
Exporters are also trying to export grain by trucks. Some Ukrainian grain market analysts suggested that it is possible to export up to 40,000 tons of grain per day by (or 1.2 million tons per month) using 2,000 trucks. These analysts completely ignore the fact that the turnover of the grain truck from silo to port abroad may take an average of at least five days. This means the fleet must consist of at least 10,000 grain trucks. In order to operate 24/7, each truck must be operated by two drivers who also need to rest periodically. In order to export 1.2 million tons of grain per month, there must be a fleet of at least 10,000 trucks with at least 20,000 drivers who speak foreign languages fluently. This is a utopia.

A BLEAK FUTURE
Until Ukrainian sea ports become unblocked, the real volume of grain that can be exported will not exceed 25 to 30 million tons per year under the best scenario. This is only from 30% to 50% of the prewar Ukrainian grain export.

Keep in mind, too, that the logistic costs of export by rail or trucks has already gone through the roof. For example, the cost to deliver grain to sea ports abroad may reach $150 to $250 USD per ton.

This year Ukraine expects to harvest about 70 million tons of grain. Considering the carry on stocks of grain are now about 40 million tons and available total storage capacity of is 60 to 65 million tons, there will be no room to store up to 50 million tons of grain. Provided the ports remain blocked a large number of grain producers may go bankrupt because they will be unable to sell their grain. This means there may be no next sowing season for them and the next harvest will be much smaller than this year's crop. The Ukrainian grain export in 2023/2024 may look very thin.

THE CONCLUSION
Until Ukrainian sea ports are unblocked, the world food crisis may get worse. Thus, it is in the interest of the whole world to help Ukraine win the war with Russia.
 
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Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
IMO a must read from Padre Peter - long but worth it.


Saturday, May 21, 2022
Saturday Snippet: Equity, equality and inequality - what's changed?


We hear a lot of discussion today about "equity" of outcomes, equality and inequality, and so on. Much of it is very ill-informed; a great deal of it is nothing more than political propaganda, with the speaker spouting dogma and theory from his or her perspective but not basing it in historical or current reality. Such terms have become buzzwords, slogans, in popular discourse, rather than something concrete. What's more, they're often used to whip up emotions, even violence, against the "haves" by the "have-nots". You can see the pernicious influence of such incitement in the statements of leaders of Black Lives Matter (who are, by their own admission, "trained Marxists"), Antifa, etc.

What's the reality behind the polemics? In his book "The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century", historian Walter Scheidel argues that violence has been the principal contributor to declines in inequality throughout human history.






That's a very uncomfortable theory for modern First World societies, but Prof. Scheidel defends it with a great deal of historical data. However, he doesn't become pedantic about it. He presents his case, and the supporting evidence, then invites us to make up our own mind. I'm not entirely sure I agree with him upon first reading of his book: but, based on what I've seen and experienced over decades in Third World environments, I can't say he's wrong, either. My personal jury is still out on that. In particular, current trends and influences such as what Michael Yon terms PANFAWAR - Pandemic, Famine, War - are already exerting an inexorable influence on every nation on the planet, not least our own; and they're likely to get much worse before we see any improvement. Are they merely the latest manifestation of the historical reality Prof. Scheidel identifies?

Here are some excerpts from the book's opening chapter. I've highlighted certain passages that I think are key. Read them in the light of our recent discussion of the global influences at work all around us. Whether or not you see those influences as deliberate or coincidental, Prof. Scheidel's conclusions aren't comforting.




”A DANGEROUS AND GROWING INEQUALITY”

How many billionaires does it take to match the net worth of half of the world’s population? In 2015, the richest sixty-two persons on the planet owned as much private net wealth as the poorer half of humanity, more than 3.5 billion people. If they decided to go on a field trip together, they would comfortably fit into a large coach. The previous year, eighty-five billionaires were needed to clear that threshold, calling perhaps for a more commodious double-decker bus. And not so long ago, in 2010, no fewer [than] 388 of them had to pool their resources to offset the assets of the global other half, a turnout that would have required a small convoy of vehicles or filled up a typical Boeing 777 or Airbus A340.

But inequality is not created just by multibillionaires. The richest 1 percent of the world’s households now hold a little more than half of global private net wealth. Inclusion of the assets that some of them conceal in offshore accounts would skew the distribution even further. These disparities are not simply caused by the huge differences in average income between advanced and developing economies. Similar imbalances exist within societies. The wealthiest twenty Americans currently own as much as the bottom half of their country’s households taken together, and the top 1 percent of incomes account for about a fifth of the national total. Inequality has been growing in much of the world. In recent decades, income and wealth have become more unevenly distributed in Europe and North America, in the former Soviet bloc, and in China, India, and elsewhere. And to the one who has, more will be given: in the United States, the best-earning 1 percent of the top 1 percent (those in the highest 0.01 percent income bracket) raised their share to almost six times what it had been in the 1970s even as the top tenth of that group (the top 0.1 percent) quadrupled it. The remainder averaged gains of about three-quarters—nothing to frown at, but a far cry from the advances in higher tiers.
/snip
 

raven

TB Fanatic
IMO a must read from Padre Peter - long but worth it.


Saturday, May 21, 2022
Saturday Snippet: Equity, equality and inequality - what's changed?


We hear a lot of discussion today about "equity" of outcomes, equality and inequality, and so on. Much of it is very ill-informed; a great deal of it is nothing more than political propaganda, with the speaker spouting dogma and theory from his or her perspective but not basing it in historical or current reality. Such terms have become buzzwords, slogans, in popular discourse, rather than something concrete. What's more, they're often used to whip up emotions, even violence, against the "haves" by the "have-nots". You can see the pernicious influence of such incitement in the statements of leaders of Black Lives Matter (who are, by their own admission, "trained Marxists"), Antifa, etc.

What's the reality behind the polemics? In his book "The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century", historian Walter Scheidel argues that violence has been the principal contributor to declines in inequality throughout human history.






That's a very uncomfortable theory for modern First World societies, but Prof. Scheidel defends it with a great deal of historical data. However, he doesn't become pedantic about it. He presents his case, and the supporting evidence, then invites us to make up our own mind. I'm not entirely sure I agree with him upon first reading of his book: but, based on what I've seen and experienced over decades in Third World environments, I can't say he's wrong, either. My personal jury is still out on that. In particular, current trends and influences such as what Michael Yon terms PANFAWAR - Pandemic, Famine, War - are already exerting an inexorable influence on every nation on the planet, not least our own; and they're likely to get much worse before we see any improvement. Are they merely the latest manifestation of the historical reality Prof. Scheidel identifies?

Here are some excerpts from the book's opening chapter. I've highlighted certain passages that I think are key. Read them in the light of our recent discussion of the global influences at work all around us. Whether or not you see those influences as deliberate or coincidental, Prof. Scheidel's conclusions aren't comforting.




”A DANGEROUS AND GROWING INEQUALITY”

How many billionaires does it take to match the net worth of half of the world’s population? In 2015, the richest sixty-two persons on the planet owned as much private net wealth as the poorer half of humanity, more than 3.5 billion people. If they decided to go on a field trip together, they would comfortably fit into a large coach. The previous year, eighty-five billionaires were needed to clear that threshold, calling perhaps for a more commodious double-decker bus. And not so long ago, in 2010, no fewer [than] 388 of them had to pool their resources to offset the assets of the global other half, a turnout that would have required a small convoy of vehicles or filled up a typical Boeing 777 or Airbus A340.

But inequality is not created just by multibillionaires. The richest 1 percent of the world’s households now hold a little more than half of global private net wealth. Inclusion of the assets that some of them conceal in offshore accounts would skew the distribution even further. These disparities are not simply caused by the huge differences in average income between advanced and developing economies. Similar imbalances exist within societies. The wealthiest twenty Americans currently own as much as the bottom half of their country’s households taken together, and the top 1 percent of incomes account for about a fifth of the national total. Inequality has been growing in much of the world. In recent decades, income and wealth have become more unevenly distributed in Europe and North America, in the former Soviet bloc, and in China, India, and elsewhere. And to the one who has, more will be given: in the United States, the best-earning 1 percent of the top 1 percent (those in the highest 0.01 percent income bracket) raised their share to almost six times what it had been in the 1970s even as the top tenth of that group (the top 0.1 percent) quadrupled it. The remainder averaged gains of about three-quarters—nothing to frown at, but a far cry from the advances in higher tiers.
/snip
How about this . . . .
Attention Poor People: STOP giving all your money to rich people.
Its not the fault of rich people that you chase them down and stuff all your extra money in their pockets.
Take some responsibility. Put some in a sock and bury it in the back yard.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

WHO is Set to Officially Recommend Every Country Adopt COVID Lockdowns in Abrupt Change to Policy

"Many have raised the alarm about a new WHO pandemic treaty"...
Kyle Becker
1 hr ago

8

1
The World Health Organization is abruptly changing its policy recommendations from being notably anti-lockdown to suddenly being pro-lockdown.


The Brownstone Institute reported that "The World Health Organisation intends to make lockdowns and other non-pharmaceutical interventions intended to curb viral spread part of official pandemic guidance."



"The revelation comes in a report scheduled to go to the WHO’s World Health Assembly later this month," the Brownstone Institute noted. "This is not part of new pandemic treaty and does not require the endorsement of member states. The report says the implementation is already underway."

"Many have raised the alarm about a new WHO pandemic treaty," the researchers add.

"However, as I’ve noted previously (and as Michael Senger notes here), there isn’t a new pandemic treaty on the table. Rather, there are amendments to the existing treaty, the International Health Regulations 2005, plus other recommendations (131 in all) put forward in a report from the Working Group on Strengthening WHO Preparedness and Response to Health Emergencies."

As Becker News has alluded to in prior reporting, "Most of these amendments and recommendations relate to information and resource sharing and preparation for future pandemics; none of them directly interferes with state sovereignty in the sense of allowing the WHO to impose or lift measures. However, that doesn’t mean they’re not dangerous, as they endorse and codify the awful errors of the last two years, beginning with China’s Hubei lockdown on January 23rd 2020."

The United States’ Covid policy responses that include quarantining, masks, and social distancing, as well as the ‘lockdowns,’ have failed to produce statistically significant results fighting Covid, but caused serious damage to the economy and violated Americans’ rights.

An exhaustive Johns Hopkins University comparative analysis published in January found that strict lockdowns failed to significantly reduce Covid-related deaths.

“Lockdowns in the U.S. and Europe had little or no impact in reducing deaths from COVID-19, according to a new analysis by researchers at Johns Hopkins University,” the Washington Times reported. “The lockdowns during the early phase of the pandemic in 2020 reduced COVID-19 mortality by about 0.2%, said the broad review of multiple scientific studies.”

“We find no evidence that lockdowns, school closures, border closures, and limiting gatherings have had a noticeable effect on COVID-19 mortality,” the researchers wrote.

“Overall, we conclude that lockdowns are not an effective way of reducing mortality rates during a pandemic, at least not during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic,” the authors conclude. “Our results are in line with the World Health Organization Writing Group (2006), who state, 'Reports from the 1918 influenza pandemic indicate that social-distancing measures did not stop or appear to dramatically reduce transmission'.”

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the Biden administration's top Covid official, recently testified before Congress and denied that the United States had implemented "lockdowns."

“There were restrictions, obviously, but there were not lockdowns,” Fauci added. “China is now going into a real lockdown. So I would disagree.”

The damaging effects of lockdowns can be seen in recently leaked video footage from Shanghai that showed forced quarantine prisoners fighting back, reportedly due to starvation conditions.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1528457729001639938
.19 min

A study reported in The Economist estimated that there will be 800,000 more global deaths in the next 15 years resulting from the Covid lockdowns, as well as 1.76 child deaths for every Covid-related death averted by the policy.

The World Health Organization is now supporting lockdowns after previously stating that they were mostly ineffective and damaging to economies. It raises further questions about whether the WHO is basing its decisions on sound science or on pure politics.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden Considers Draining Yet Another Key Emergency Fuel Stockpile: REPORT
JAPAN-US-DIPLOMACY

Nicolas Datiche/Pool/AFP via Getty Images

Daily Caller News Foundation logo

THOMAS CATENACCIENERGY & ENVIRONMENT REPORTER
May 23, 202212:39 PM ET

President Joe Biden is mulling taking action to release federal diesel stockpiles in an attempt to curb the worsening supply shortage of the key fuel in New England, CNN reported Monday.

Biden recently asked officials to begin preparing a plan to order a release of fuel from the Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve (NEHHOR), a government stockpile of ultra-low-sulfur diesel last tapped in 2012 during Hurricane Sandy, a senior administration official told CNN.

The move reportedly reflected the president’s and White House officials’ concerns about surging diesel fuel prices and declining private sector inventories in the northeast.

“The system is definitely under strain,” the senior administration official told CNN.

“We think this looks like the exact circumstance where consideration of the release should be done and that’s what the president has directed,” the official continued.

The average price of diesel fuel, which is vital for transportation, construction and agriculture, skyrocketed to an all-time high of $5.58 a gallon on Wednesday, according to AAA data. Diesel prices have been particularly high in New England where prices reached $6.43 a gallon last week, exceeded only by prices recorded in California.

Semi trucks pull into a gas station in Jessup, Maryland, on May 2. (Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images)

Semi trucks pull into a gas station in Jessup, Maryland, on May 2. (Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images)

Prices have surged largely due to declining East Coast diesel inventories which dipped to 21.3 million barrels in early May, the lowest level ever recorded. The region consumes roughly 1.53 million barrels of ultra-low-sulfur diesel per day, meaning current inventory levels translate to about 13 days of supply.

The entire NEHHOR contains slightly more than a million barrels of ultra-low-sulfur diesel, or about 65% of East Coast daily demand.

“It’s small potatoes. It might buy a couple of weeks or even months, but it doesn’t solve the underlying issues,” Lipow Oil Associates President Andy Lipow told CNN. “It’s a band-aid — one that isn’t going to last very long and when it comes off the injury is not healing.”

Biden’s historic releases from the much larger Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) have had a minimal effect on oil and gasoline prices. Gasoline prices have hit multiple records highs and oil prices have remained elevated in the aftermath of Biden’s 180-million-barrel release from the reserves in late March.

The recent SPR releases have also led to a dwindling of national oil stockpiles. SPR stocks fell to about 538 million barrels on May 13, the lowest level since 1987, according to the latest government data.

The White House didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment from The Daily Caller News Foundation.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
DAVOS:

Jack Posobiec: Live From Davos 6:59 min

Jack Posobiec: Live From Davos
Bannons War Room Published May 23, 2022

^^^^^^
American Conservative Journalist Jack Posobiec Detained By WEF Police Outside Davos Convention 1:40 min

American Conservative Journalist Jack Posobiec Detained By WEF Police Outside Davos Convention
Red Voice Media Published May 23, 2022

^^^^
12:22 min
Jack Posobiec Detained at the World Economic Forum
RealAmericasVoice Published May 23, 2022

"They're attempting to copy the CCP model and replicate it across the entire west."
Host of Human Events Daily and TPUSA Contributor Jack Posobiec joins Steve Gruber on the ground in Davos, Switzerland to recount his experience being detained at the World Economic Forum.

^^^^^
Noor Bin Ladin Live From Geneva: They’re Working On An Infrastructure To Control You 13:06 min

Noor Bin Ladin Live From Geneva: They’re Working On An Infrastructure To Control You
Bannons War Room Published May 23, 2022
 
Last edited:

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Joe Biden Says The Quiet Part Out Loud, We All Knew This But Now He's Not Even Hiding It .15 min

Joe Biden Says The Quiet Part Out Loud, We All Knew This But Now He's Not Even Hiding It
Red Voice Media Published May 23, 2022

(Joe ties the price of gas to the transition to alternative energy and away from fossil fuels.)

^^^^
Ted Cruz Brings The Receipts Of Biden Regime's Evil & Planned Gas Price Crisis, Drops The Timeline .52 min

Ted Cruz Brings The Receipts Of Biden Regime's Evil & Planned Gas Price Crisis, Drops The Timeline
Red Voice Media Published May 23, 2022

(This gas increase was deliberate. It was exactly what Joe Biden said he would do. When Biden was sworn in, gas was $2.09/gal. Day 1 Biden cancels the Keystone pipeline. A week later, he halts all new federal gas leases onshore and offshore. [Federal leases comprise about 25% of our oil production.] Cruz goes through the chronological deliberate actions of the Biden Admin to reduce the availability of oil and gas,)
 
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raven

TB Fanatic
Joe Biden Says The Quiet Part Out Loud, We All Knew This But Now He's Not Even Hiding It .15 min

Joe Biden Says The Quiet Part Out Loud, We All Knew This But Now He's Not Even Hiding It
Red Voice Media Published May 23, 2022

(Joe ties the price of gas to the transition to alternative energy and away from fossil fuels.)
there is no alternative energy source that can replace fossil fuels.
it is well document.
if there is no real plan to transition to alternative energy,
then the higher prices are designed to strip you of your wealth with no return on investment.
your only alternative is spend less money. Even if you earn more money, you must also spend less.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

"Avoiding Vaccination Ain't Enough" - The End of Freedom Begins With Digital ID
Red Voice Media Published May 23, 2022

Dr. Mike Yeadon: "Once you've got a digital ID, and they [say], 'You can't buy this cheap bread without sharing [digital ID]. If they say next week, 'You can't buy bread without sharing [digital ID],' or the week after, 'You can't buy food without it.' They literally changed the conditions. All it requires is a massive network and your digital ID, *beep*, into the system.... The database and the algorithms [would] determine whether you are [permitted] to enter somewhere or leave somewhere, [and] whether you're able to buy or sell any particular thing at any moment. That's the end of democracy; that's the end of freedom."

Full Video: COVID Hysteria and the Great Reset Agenda: Dr. Mike Yeadon Reflects on Where We Go From Here [VIDEO INTERVIEW]
 

raven

TB Fanatic
Lock downs in 2020 were the end of freedom.
we are two years into this and they still telling you it is somewhere in the future.
(dumb as a box of hammers)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
7:20 min

Day 1 in Davos: Using AI to usher in a 'safe digital future'
Rebel News Published May 23, 2022

http://www.WEFReports.com | Follow along with our coverage from Davos
Lewis Brackpool reports from the streets of Davos, Switzerland, wrapping up Day 1 of the World Economic Forum's meeting. The first day of the summit saw a focus on using how artificial intelligence can be used to usher in a safe digital future. As the surveillance state expands, safety, in this instance, lies in the eye of the beholder.
FULL REPORT from Lewis Brackpool: Day 1 in Davos: Using AI to usher in a 'safe digital future'
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Klaus Schwab Tells The World Economic Forum "The Future Is Built By Us" 1:03 min

Klaus Schwab Tells The World Economic Forum "The Future Is Built By Us"
Dinesh D'Souza Published May 23, 2022

(The future is not just happening. The future is built by us - by a powerful community as you here in this room. We have the means to improve the states of the world. But 2 conditions are necessary: The first one is that we act all as stakeholders of larger communities. That we serve not only self interests, but we serve the community. That's what we call "stakeholder responsibility." Second, that we collaborate. )
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
7 Likely Scenarios the Globalist Elites Are Playing Out with Monkeypox 58:17 min

7 Likely Scenarios the Globalist Elites Are Playing Out with Monkeypox
The JD Rucker Show Published May 23, 2022

Is monkeypox a major threat looming on our horizon or a big, huge nothingburger designed to distract us from real challenges? On today's episode of The Midnight Sentinel, I tackled this question and came up with seven scenarios I believe are the most likely surrounding monkeypox. Here's a modified transcript of how I opened today's show:

"If there's one thing we've learned about the globalist elites who are pulling strings all across the globe, it's that they're quite clever. I'm not giving them kudos for this. I just want to make sure everyone is aware that they aren't bumbling Bond villains who make it fairly easy for one fictional super spy to foil their global domination plans. In fact, they've made it nearly impossible for American patriots to properly fight back. By no means am I suggesting that we should give up. We fight harder because that's what we have do, period.

"I'd also strongly recommend prayer.

"This week has already been crazy and it's just getting started. We have the Pandemic Treaty getting fleshed out and signed this week. The World Economic Forum's Davos summit is underway and Jack Posobiec has already been detained by police. But today, I'm going to talk about Monkeypox because it may or may not be a major concern going forward. Over the weekend, I was asked by multiple people to look into it, so I did extensive research and let me tell you right now, it's ugly. I'm going to detail seven possible scenarios surrounding it and the conspiracy to either spread it as the next pandemic or to use it temporarily as a distraction. It really comes down to those two possibilities and all of the seven scenarios I'll detail fall into one or both categories."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qzYUmMCg1zE&pp=wgIGCgQQAhgB
17:14 min

The 'TERRIFYING' way food shortages could end in WORLD WAR


Glenn Beck


Chaos continues to spread throughout the world, and America’s weakened economy seems less and less equipped everyday to handle it. And situations may worsen soon. Carol Roth, financial expert and author of ‘The War On Small Business,’ joins Glenn to discuss the ripple effects China’s recent COVID lockdowns AND Russia's war in Ukraine could have on the rest of the world’s food supply. ‘We have a 30 day window,’ Roth says, to turn things around. Otherwise we may see massive food shortages in certain areas of the world, then increased chaos, and possibly war….maybe even world war. In this clip, Roth and Glenn discuss the possible scenarios to come…
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
Take some responsibility. Put some in a sock and bury it in the back yard.

Hard to do in the world of the global Company Store ... which is why so many feel trapped. Life being too easy too long doesn't help either. The social safety nets are being turned into traps.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TTAid_oZwGk
9:07 min

YOU HAVE 70 DAYS LEFT START PREPPING FOR SHTF This Will Affect You!

May 23, 2022


The Economic Ninja


YOU HAVE 70 DAYS LEFT START PREPPING FOR SHTF. I think that you need to prep now for food shortages in 2022 because SHTF is here. Even government officials say that food shortages and a food crisis is right around the corner. Having a mind or preparedness is what will get you through the tough times ahead and the stock market and system breaks down. Learn from the people of Sri Lanka and don't let this happen to you. Here is the link to the UN food shortage announcement: https://www-fox7austin-com.cdn.amppro...

^^^^^

World has 10-week supply of wheat, expert tells UN Security Council: ‘This is seismic’
By FOX TV Digital Team
Published 1 day ago

GettyImages-1395731779.jpg

NOVOVORONTSOVKA, UKRAINE - MAY 06: Wheat lies piled in a grain warehouse earlier shelled by Russian forces on May 06, 2022 near the frontlines of Kherson Oblast in Novovorontsovka, Ukraine. (Photo by John Moore/Getty Images)

NEW YORK - Global food insecurity has reached levels not seen since the financial crisis of 2008, and it’s only going to get worse without aggressive intervention, a food insecurity expert told the United Nations Security Council this week.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine "did not start a food security crisis," but it did add "fuel to a fire that was long burning," said Sara Menker, CEO of Gro Intelligence, a global company that uses artificial intelligence and public and private data to predict food supply trends.

"This isn’t cyclical. This is seismic," Menker said during a special meeting of the UN Security Council. "Even if the war were to end tomorrow, our food security problem isn’t going away anytime soon without concerted action."

Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict began, the two countries supplied a combined one third of the world’s wheat exports and were in the top five exporters of corn. Coupled with widespread fertilizer shortages, supply chain issues and record droughts, the world has about 10 weeks worth of wheat on hand, Menker said.
GettyImages-1236634270.jpg

Sara Menker, founder and chief executive officer of Gro Intelligence Inc., speaks during the Bloomberg New Economy Forum in Singapore, on Thursday, Nov. 18, 2021. Photographer: Bryan van der Beek/Bloomberg via Getty Images

"Without aggressive global actions, we stand the risk of an extraordinary amount of human suffering and economic damage," Menker said.

War threatens global food supply
Russia claims the 10,000-plus sanctions the country is facing for its aggression toward Ukraine have disrupted routes, impeded Russian vessels from delivering goods and restricted commercial transactions because of banking difficulties.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said those claims are false.

"The decision to weaponize food is Moscow’s and Moscow’s alone," Blinken said. "Sanctions aren’t blocking Black Sea ports, trapping ships filled with food, and destroying Ukrainian roads and railways; Russia is. Sanctions are not emptying Ukrainian grain silos and stealing Ukrainian farm equipment; Russia is."

Blinken said sanctions imposed by the U.S. and many others aren’t preventing Russia from exporting food and fertilizers because they exempt exports of food, fertilizer and seeds. "And we’re working with countries every day to ensure that they understand that sanctions do not prevent the flow of these items," he said.

U.N. food chief David Beasley warned the Security Council that the war in Ukraine has created "an unprecedented crisis" of escalating food prices that are already sparking protests and riots and growing hunger. The crisis could add at least 47 million people to the 276 million "marching to starvation" before Russia’s invasion of its smaller neighbor.

The executive director of the World Food Program said 49 million people in 43 countries are already "knocking on famine’s door."

Beasley recalled that when food prices got out of control in 2007 and 2008 over 40 countries faced political unrest, riots and protests.

"We are already seeing riots and protesting taking place as we speak — Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Pakistan, Peru," he said. "We’ve seen destabilizing dynamics already in the Sahel from Burkina Faso, Mali, Chad. These are only signs of things to come."

Beasley urged world leaders to do everything possible "to bring the markets to stability because things will get worse."

What’s causing global food insecurity?
GettyImages-1233239799.jpg

A man carries a sack of wheat during a food distribution in Ataye, Ethiopia, (Photo by EDUARDO SOTERAS/AFP via Getty Images)

Menker said the global food crisis can be attributed to five factors "occurring simultaneously." Combined, they’re creating "unprecedented" challenges that will impact the world’s supply of food for several years.
  • Lack of fertilizer: Fertilizer prices have nearly tripled over the past year — and quadrupled over the past two years — Menker said, thanks to supply chain issues, restrictions on natural gas and export restrictions amid the Russia-Ukraine war. The fertilizer shortage could significantly reduce crop yields for big suppliers like the United States, Brazil and western Europe later this year and into next year, "severely impacting global food security and inflation for three-to-five years at a minimum," Menker said.
  • Climate change: Global drought conditions for wheat are the worst they’ve been in 20 years around the world, Menker said. "Major breadbaskets" like the U.S. and Brazil, the world’s two largest exporters of agricultural product, are also experiencing extreme droughts.
  • Cooking oil shortage: The price of palm oil has nearly tripled in the last two years, Menker said, and the world has lost 75% of sunflower oil exports to the war in Ukraine. China has also notably increased the amount of cooking oil it imports.
  • Grain shortage: Russia and Ukraine accounted for a third of the world’s wheat exports before the conflict began. Now, the world is seeing record low grain levels on top of fertilizer shortages, supply chain issues and droughts.
  • Supply chain/logistical bottlenecks: Supply chain issues created by the pandemic have been exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war. "All Ukrainian ports remain closed, making it impossible to move any of Ukraine’s harvested grain across its borders," Menker said. "Shifting to rail will move less than 10% of pre-war flow. It’s not enough."
"It’s a once-in-a-generation occurrence that can dramatically reshape the geopolitical era," Menker said. "We cannot solve food insecurity on a national scale anywhere. While the next few years will likely be difficult, we can coordinate a global response."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden sees a bigger role for US farms due to Ukraine war
Published May 11, 2022
Updated 5:28PM

Biden discusses inflation, record high gas prices
President Joe Biden speaks about his administration's plan to tackle record-high inflation in remarks on May 10, 2022.

WASHINGTON - President Joe Biden vowed to help American farmers try to ease a global spike in food prices following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as he visited a family farm Wednesday and unrolled policies meant to increase harvests in ways that the administration believes could also help to reduce grocery bills at home.

"I stand here today to thank American farmers who are the breadbasket of democracy," Biden said. "We can make sure that American agricultural exports will make up for the gap in Ukrainian supplies." (emphasis mine)

His administration announced three policy shifts to help U.S. farmers amid the global challenges. These include doubling funding for domestic fertilizer production to $500 million, greater access to farm management tools for plant and soil needs, and efforts to increase the number of counties eligible for "double cropping" insurance so that farmers can reuse their land for planting in the same year.

Biden noted that Ukraine has 20 million metric tons of wheat and corn in storage that the U.S. and its allies are trying to help ship out of the country. This would help to address some supply issues, though challenges could persist.

The war in Ukraine has disrupted the supply of that country's wheat to global markets, while also triggering higher costs for oil, natural gas and fertilizer. The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization said its food price index in April jumped nearly 30% from a year ago, though the index did decline slightly on a monthly basis. Americans are also bearing some pain as food prices are up 9.4% from a year ago, the largest increase in 41 years.

Biden toured the 800-acre O’Connor Farms in Illinois with its owners, Jeff and Gina O’Connor. They’re growing wheat to be harvested in July and will later use the same land for soybeans. Biden asked to drive one of their tractors, only to be told it drives itself.

Surveying the wheat, the president observed, "It looks healthy to me."

80e5df61-

(L-R) Jeff and Gina O'Connor, owners of O'Connor Farms, US President Joe Biden, US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, and US Representative Robin Kelly (D-IL) speak while visiting O'Connor Farm in Kankakee, Illinois, on May 11, 2022. (Photo by Nichol

Wednesday’s trip was an opportunity for Biden to tackle two distinct challenges that are shaping his presidency. First, his slumping approval rating has been dogged by high inflation and his visit coincides with the release of the April consumer price index. Consumer prices rose 8.3% from a year ago, a slight decline from the 8.5% annual increase in March. The drop-off reflected in part a cooling in gasoline prices last month after the jump caused by the start of the war in Ukraine. Still, volatility remains with energy costs as gas prices have climbed in May to an average of $4.40 a gallon on Wednesday, according to AAA.

Much more broadly, Biden's visit offered a chance to reinforce America's distinct role in helping to alleviate the challenges caused by the war in Ukraine. The trip follows a similar pattern as Biden's recent visit to an Alabama weapons factory highlighted the anti-tank Javelin missiles provided by the U.S. to Ukraine.

Several House Democrats, including Speaker Nancy Pelosi, met with Biden on Tuesday after having visited Ukraine. They warned that the food shortage meant the consequences of the war started by Russian President Vladimir Putin would extend well beyond Ukrainian borders to some of the world's poorest nations.

"It's going to result in a hunger crisis, much worse than anybody anticipated," Massachusetts Rep. Jim McGovern following the White House meeting.

An analysis this month for the center-right American Enterprise Institute by Joseph Glauber and David Laborde noted that countries in the Middle East and North Africa are mostly likely to suffer from the higher prices caused by grain shortages.

There are limits to how much wheat the U.S. can produce to offset any shortages. The Agriculture Department estimated in March that 47.4 million acres of wheat were planted this year, an increase of just 1% from 2021. This would be the fifth lowest amount of acres dedicated to wheat in records that go back to 1919.

After Biden spoke at the farm, he went to Chicago to address a convention for the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
35:59 min

Special Address by Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine
Speakers: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Klaus Schwab

(Did not watch)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1nAKEYzwWgeKL 1:11:06 min

Global Economic Outlook with Jane Fraser @Citi, @KGeorgieva @IMFNews, @GeoffCutmore @CNBC, François Villeroy de Galhau @banquedefrance, @DM_Rubenstein

(have not yet watched)

^^^^
And in the United States? An uncertain outlook - we're coming out of the pandemic but into inflation at 40-year-highs, the war in Ukraine and other shocks. So what does growth look like in this new reality? And how should businesses and the Fed react?

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1528771618897547267
.31 min

full session: United States Economic Outlook 46:04 min

United States Economic Outlook
Speakers: Rebecca Blumenstein, Pat Toomey, Dan Schulman, Adena Friedman, Jason Furman
May 23, 202217:30 - 18:15CEST

Over the past year, parts of the United States economy have bounced back rapidly, but there have also been numerous challenges, including supply chain disruptions, a surge in inflation and a difficult policy-making environment.

What actions and policies are needed to deliver sustained and equitable growth in an uncertain landscape?

This session was developed in partnership with The New York Times.
 
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