WAR IRAN MOVES TO CONTROL SUEZ CANAL AND YEMEN 1-21-2015

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150125/ml--yemen-2dde1fd67b.html

Yemen's Shiite rebels disperse protesters in capital, Sanaa

Jan 25, 6:30 AM (ET)
By AHMED AL-HAJ

SANAA, Yemen (AP) — Rebels occupying Yemen's capital have dispersed a handful of demonstrators protesting against them, firing automatic rifles into the air, breaking journalists' cameras and scuffling with the crowd while detaining 11 people.

In another protest Sunday in Sanaa, around 200 demonstrators gathered in Change Square for a march toward the presidential palace. The square was the birthplace of Yemen's 2011 uprising against longtime autocrat Ali Abdullah Saleh.

State news agency SABA reported that parliament postponed a meeting which had been scheduled for Sunday to decide on whether to accept the resignation of Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi, who quit as president Thursday along with his Cabinet. Hadi remains at his private residence.

Meanwhile, U.N. envoy Jamal Benomar was in Sanaa meeting with Houthi representatives, as well a variety of Yemeni political parties.
 

coalcracker

Veteran Member
At this point, Iran moving to control the Suez would be akin to a baby in a stroller trying to steal my car keys. Not going to happen. Now, the baby can spit up on my clothing and make things a little messy, but the keys stay with me - at least until that Asian dude with the menacing eyes take 'em from me.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Coal, this is a DONE DEAL. Iran now has full operational control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran now has full operational control of the Red Sea entrance to the Suez canal. The military and economic significance of this can't be overstated. IRAN HAS NOW CLEARLY WON.
The USA has now stopped all offensive drone strikes in Yemen. The alqaida group now has a free hand to do anything they want to. The Iranian backed Shia can now do anything they want to. This includes allowing the USA to resume drone attacks on the Sunni to take full control of Yemen. They can also throw Saudi Arabia into the toilet anytime they want to.

Yep, this is a huge development and means Iran has moved to being a DIRECT THREAT TO GLOBAL SECURITY .
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Oh mein Gott!....:shkr:

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://blogs.rediff.com/mkbhadrakumar/2015/01/25/obama-insists-hes-on-course-in-yemen/

Obama insists he’s on course in Yemen

In the course of a media interaction in Delhi on Sunday, President Barack Obama rebuffed the right-wing criticism in Washington that his policy of ‘appeasement’ of Iran has muddled the United States’ Middle East policies and brought about the latest crisis in Yemen (where the Shi’ite Houthi militia have staked claim for power-sharing in Sana’a), taking the country closer to civil war conditions.

Obama’s most detailed comments so far on Yemen show that he is taking a nuanced approach vis-à-vis the latest developments, while his one-dimensional American critics like John Bolton are inclined to see them in purely black and white terms. Most important, Obama refrained from making any criticism of the Houthis. He put the blame instead on “forces inside of Yemen that are constantly threatening to break apart between North-South, between Houthi and Sunni inside of Yemen.”

Clearly, the reference is to al-Qaeda that has adopted a tactic similar to the islamic State in Iraq, namely, tapping into the alienation of the Sunni tribes in the south and pitting them against the Shi’ite Houthis of the north, thereby creating a north-south divide that works well for the al-Qaeda groups and provides a sanctuary for them to operate.

Obama’s assessment is also at variance with the stance of Saudi Arabia and some other GCC states, which allege that with Iran’s backing, the Houthis are making a bid for power and overthrowing the legitimate government in Sana’a. Interestingly, Obama didn’t give much credibility to the government of President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi — or, for that matter, Yemen’s claim to be a democracy. There was a sense of deja vu in the way Obama spoke — as if nothing else could be expected to happen in Yemen other than what took place this past week.

As for the US’ counterterrorism strategy in Yemen, Obama insisted that the operations are continuing and will continue and his approach will also remain the same – no deployment of US troops and focused operations against al-Qaeda networks and high-value targets “by partnering and intelligence-sharing” with the local government.

He just stopped short of saying, perhaps, that the US will not risk the counterterrorist operations and, if the crunch time comes, it will deal with the Houthis towards ensuring that the operations are not compromised. Conceivably, Obama seems to be veering round to accommodating the Houthi aspirations for power-sharing. He saw a solution through a “constitutional process”. It stands to reason that the US intelligence on the ground would have established a line to the Houthis by now.

Most significant, Obama is sticking to the earlier US assessment discounting an Iranian role as such in the crisis in Yemen. He didn’t mention Iran at all. One would like to be a fly on the wall when Obama sits down with King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud of Saudi Arabia on Tuesday in Riyadh where he’s heading after his 3-day state visit to India.

Posted in Politics, Religion, Terrorism.

Tagged with Houthis, Iran nuclear problem.

No comments »

By M K Bhadrakumar – January 25, 2015
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.albawaba.com/blog_roundup/iran-now-running-yemens-air-force-648826

Is Iran now running Yemen's air force?

Published January 26th, 2015 - 09:05 GMT

Is Iran now in control of Yemen's Air Force?
Rumors are currently swirling of effective Iranian control of the Yemeni Air Force (YAF), following news of Ansarullah forces besieging the residence of Yemeni defense minister as well as the the YAF headquarters in Sanaa. It is said YAF is in a state of mutiny, refusing to undertake air operations against AQAP.

There are reports in Aden Post that Iranian crews and technicians have been sent to Sanaa International Airport, as effective safeguards of YAF air assets. There is even concern YAF Mikoyan MiG-29 fighters are to be sent to Iran for safekeeping, using Iranian crews.
Source: Uskowi on Iran

Lebanese Villa Damaged By War Gets Renovated
Going through Lebanese towns, you will notice that almost every area has demolished or abandoned houses because of the 15 year civil war Lebanon witnessed. Most of these beautiful homes have not been refurbished, due to the fact that they either were severely damaged and would cost alot, or the owners have established their lives elsewhere and find it painful to come back. Najib from Blogbaladi posted about this house a couple of days ago, I had to find out more about it.
Source: Un Peu de Kil Shi

An Interview with the Imprisoned Daughter of Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah
Revisiting a post from last summer, that seems newly timely again:

Sahar and her three sisters Jawaher, Maha, and Hala have been held under effective house arrest by their father, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, for nearly 13 years. For years, their mother, Alanoud Al Fayez, has been advocating for their release from her home in London. In an unedited interview conducted via email, I asked Sahar, the eldest of the four sisters, about the reasons for her confinement and her thoughts on women’s rights in the Kingdom.
Source: Muftah

____

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.uskowioniran.com/2015/01/is-iran-now-in-control-of-yemens-air.html

Jan 25
Is Iran now in control of Yemen's Air Force?

Rumors are currently swirling of effective Iranian control of the Yemeni Air Force (YAF), following news of Ansarullah forces besieging the residence of Yemeni defense minister as well as the the YAF headquarters in Sanaa. It is said YAF is in a state of mutiny, refusing to undertake air operations against AQAP

There are reports in Aden Post that Iranian crews and technicians have been sent to Sanaa International Airport, as effective safeguards of YAF air assets. There is even concern YAF Mikoyan MiG-29 fighters are to be sent to Iran for safekeeping, using Iranian crews.

An open source partial ORBAT for YAF can be reviewed HERE. There exists an extraordinary level of aircraft type service commonality among Iran's air force and army aviation branches, and YAF.

Posted 4 hours ago by Mark Pyruz
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://news.yahoo.com/germany-halts-arms-exports-saudi-arabia-063107647.html

Germany halts arms exports to Saudi Arabia

AFP
January 25, 2015 1:31 AM

Berlin (AFP) - Germany has decided to stop arms exports to Saudi Arabia because of "instability in the region," German daily Bild reported on Sunday.

Weapons orders from Saudi Arabia have either been "rejected, pure and simple," or deferred for further consideration, the newspaper said, adding that the information has not been officially confirmed.

The decision was taken on Wednesday by the national security council, a government body that includes Chancellor Angela Merkel, Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel and seven other ministers, it said.

"According to government sources, the situation in the region is too unstable to ship arms there," added the daily.

Saudi Arabia follows a strict and highly conservative form of Islam, and as home to some of its holiest sites plays a key role as a spiritual leader for Sunni Muslims and mediator in the Middle East.

Its importance was made clear on Saturday when world leaders converged on Riyadh to offer condolences following the death of King Abdullah, including Britain's prime minister and France's president.

Germany was represented by former president Christian Wulff.

The kingdom is "one of the most important clients of Germany's arms industry," with 360 million euros ($400 million) of arms shipments authorised in 2013, Bild said.

But it has also come under fire from human rights groups for its harsh treatment of religious minorities and women, as well as the lack of transparency in its legal system.

A survey carried out for Bild found that 78 percent of Germans believe Berlin should stop selling arms to Saudi Arabia -- and a further 60 percent want to break off trade ties all together -- due to human rights violations.

View Comments (522)

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Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Bump for the night crew, HE.

Iran, the puppet masters for the Shia Houthi tribe has, in the last 72 hours since Israel killed that Iranian General done the following.

They have openly displayed a long range missile capable of hitting Paris.
They have overthrown the pro Western government in Yemen.
They have taken over virtually all of Northern Yemen, including the capital city of Saana.
They have kicked the USA out of Yemen, including forcing the USA to evacuate its embassy.
They have forced the USA to deploy significant military assets in place.
They provide a clear threat to both the Suez Canal and the Strait of Hormuz.
They now directly threaten the House of Saud. They now directly threaten the Gulf States.

Iran is rapidly consolidating its gains in Yemen to PURSUE FURTHER OFFENSIVE MILITARY ACTIONS CONSISTENT WITH THE IMMINENT RETURN OF THE MAUDI.

GOT ALL THAT? <g>
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Sheesh, He, I mean just sheesh. Yemen is now fully in play in less than ONE WEEK.

Yup. Most on this board know that the Persians invented Chess.

Our current POTUS, from the indications of all of this, couldn't even name the pieces on the board never mind know the rules.

ETA: This 2003 ORBAT map is the newest I could find on Saudi with a quick search...

saudiarabia_armyunits&airbases.gif

http://orbat.com/site/maps/map_files/closed/saudiarabia_armyunits&airbases.gif

Based on that, the Saudis aren't even deployed in a manner to do an invasion from the north into Yemen. Never mind doing so would leave them wide open from Iraq and Syria.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150127/ml--yemen-1562157e1f.html

Leader of Yemen's rebels urges 'peaceful transfer of power'

Jan 27, 4:54 PM (ET)
By AHMED AL-HAJ and BRIAN ROHAN

SANAA, Yemen (AP) — The leader of Shiite rebels who control the Yemeni capital called for a "peaceful transfer of power" on Tuesday, after his forces released a presidential aide whose abduction set in motion a violent escalation that led to the resignation of the president and the government.

The escalation has plunged impoverished Yemen deeper into turmoil and pushed it closer to fracturing along sectarian and tribal lines. The prospect of a leaderless nation has also raised concerns about Washington's ability to continue targeting Yemen's local al-Qaida branch, which it considers the network's most dangerous.

The Houthis overran the capital, Sanaa, in September, after descending from their northern stronghold and demanding a greater share of power. The release of the aide could signal rebels' readiness for de-escalation, given that President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi had made it a top demand.

Abdel-Malek al-Houthi blamed political forces and southerners for Yemen's chaos despite what many see as a power grab by his Shiite Houthis, who abducted the aide 10 days ago. He called for a meeting to be held to work toward resolving political and security issues while also pledging to take a stand against "anarchists."

"I extend an invitation to all free and honorable people across the spectrum — academics, tribes, elders, all people — to a large, inclusive, broad, exceptional, and historic meeting Friday in Sanaa," al-Houthi said in a speech on the rebels' Masirah TV.

His speech was met with calls by activists and social groups for protests in Sanaa and across the country however. The Socialist Party called on al-Houthi to release Hadi and his government minster from house arrest, and free detained demonstrators as a sign of good faith.

Yemeni activist Hisham Al-Omeisy was skeptical about the chances al-Houthi's meeting would produce results, saying that a similar call he made last year led to a meeting packed with Houthi supporters and few dissenting voices.

"Now that he actually has power there's little point for him to listen to other people," Al-Omeisy said.

A representative of the rebels told The Associated Press that the Houthis freed the aide, Ahmed Awad bin Mubarak, and handed him over to local tribes in the southern province of Shabwa. An official with the president's office confirmed the release. Both the Houthi representative and the official spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media.

The rebels abducted bin Mubarak to protest Hadi's decision to proceed with a draft constitution that would divide Yemen into six federal states — something the rebels strongly oppose.

As street battles engulfed Sanaa and shelling rocked the city for days, Houthis seized control of more state institutions, including the presidential palace, military camps and state media.

They also encircled Hadi's residence and that of Prime Minister Khaled Bahah. A tentative deal under which Hadi agreed to some political concessions later collapsed and the president, the premier and the entire Cabinet resigned.

The resignations still have to be approved by parliament, which has not convened amid the violence. Also, the mandate of the current lawmakers has long expired.

Houthis say they want a fair share of power, while critics say they want to keep Hadi as a symbolic leader and run the country from behind the scenes.

U.N. envoy Jamal Benomar, who is in Sanaa seeking to forge agreement between the warring sides, welcomed the aide's release, saying in a statement that it would "help reduce tensions and enable progress in the on-going negotiations."

---

Rohan reported from Cairo.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Well now, HE things are just getting more strange in Yemen.

The AP says both the Pentagon and the CIA are saying they continue to launch armed drone strikes into Al-qaida targets in Southern Lebanon with NO support or permission from Yemen. The pro western government, along with the pro western Yemen military forces have refused to either give permission, much less to take part in active military operations. HE, THIS IS A RECIPE FOR DIRECT CONFLICT WITH THE SHITE HOUTHI GOVERNMENT NOW IN CHARGE. It may be the Houthi will give permission to whack their Sunni enemies, but it would be a good idea to ask them!

Next, well whatever Saudi Arabia, along with its behead everybody in sight, new King wants Iran is now fully in charge of Yemen. I would like to see some recon photos of activity at the Saana airport. I am thinking the Iran Revolutionary Guard airplane transports are lined up and disgorging 24 hours a day. I would also like to see what the port activity is right now.

The USA is claiming they still have a functional embassy, which is DELUSIONAL. HE, go for a stroll on the embassy roof and get your HEAD SHOT OFF. At any rate, Yemen is now totally out of control. Obama is plotting war in the Saudi Arabian Ritz Hotel apparently. Yep, now that Afghanistan is "over," it looks like we need another endless war in Yemen. Only this time Iran is going to chew our leg off. SAUDI ARABIA IS NOW UNDER DIRECT THREAT FROM IRANIAN FORCES BASED IN YEMEN. THE USA MUST TAKE SOME FORM OF DEFENSIVE AGENDA OR SAUDI ARABIAN WILL COLLAPSE.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
bump for today.

If there are Iranian ground crews at the capital city of Saana's airport, then the Revolutionary Guard is now deploying in force, HE. Yep, one cargo transport at a time Iran is sending in the troops needed to take down Saudi Arabia. The adage, "Never reinforce failure," has not been understood by Obama, the neo con warmongers etc. They are going to get dragged into a direct conflict with Russia over the Ukraine. They are going to get into it with Iran over Yemen. War?
 

almost ready

Inactive
Thank you, DD. All your posts re Iran have been read carefully. Don't know enough to add content to your thread, so don't try.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150128/ml--yemen-f585b3753d.html

Yemen rebels beat, detain demonstrators in capital

Jan 28, 3:02 PM (ET)
By AHMED AL-HAJ

SANAA, Yemen (AP) — Rebels who control the Yemeni capital beat back dozens of people marching in protest against them on Wednesday, firing automatic rifles in the air and striking protesters with batons and knives.

The violence highlighted the volatility in leaderless Yemen, after the president resigned last week under pressure by the Shiite rebels, known as Houthis, who had placed him under house arrest and demanded a greater share of power.

Witnesses say the rebels detained several protesters and journalists on Wednesday, and that around 10 people were lightly wounded in the scuffles. Yemeni newspaper Source Online said that one of its journalists had been taken by the Houthis but was later released.

The Houthis seized Sanaa in September and last week put the president, prime minister and top Cabinet members under house arrest, leading to their resignation.

Since then, demonstrations against the Houthis have been held across the country. The rebels detained around a dozen protesters and journalists on Monday, and opponents of the Houthis have called for their release as a sign of good faith.

On Wednesday, the leader of the Houthis called for a "peaceful transfer of power" after his forces released a presidential aide whose abduction had set in motion a violent escalation that led to the government's resignation.

Abdel-Malek al-Houthi called for a meeting to be held in Sanaa on Friday to work toward resolving political and security issues. He also pledged to take a stand against "anarchists."

The latest crisis in Yemen has plunged the impoverished country deeper into turmoil and pushed it closer to fracturing along sectarian and tribal lines. The violence and power vacuum has also raised concerns about Washington's ability to continue targeting al-Qaida's Yemeni branch, which it sees as the network's most dangerous franchise.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Yemen is now in full blown "Iraq Syndrome" Collapse mode. Yemen no longer exists as a "nation." Yemen is now a mixture of several regions, say six, with the Shia/Houthis dominant in the northern/central areas. The Sunni "Al Quaida of the Arabian Peninsula" now control most of the south, including the former separate Yemen. In the 1970s Yemen was divided into a Communist part, a Western part, and finally, a tribal, watch where you step or you will be SHOT area.

For all intents and purposes, gang here is the Yemen 101 primer.

There is now NO CENTRAL GOVERNMENT IN YEMEN AT ALL.
There is now NO EFFECTIVE WESTERN PRESENCE IN YEMEN AT ALL.
THERE IS NOW FULL IRANIAN CONTROL OF ALL NATIONAL AIR, ROAD, RAILROAD AND SEA TRANSPORT CORRIDORS EXCEPT IN THE FAR SOUTH.
THE IRANIAN REVOLUTIONARY GUARD IS NOW OPENLY, AT LEAST IF THE WESTERN MEDIA BOTHERED TO REPORT IT, DEPLOYING INTO YEMEN'S CAPITAL CITY FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF WAGING OFFENSIVE WARFARE AGAINST THE SUNNI SAUDI ARABIA STATE.

THE USA, FOR ALL ITS PUBLIC STATEMENTS IS FACING MILITARY DISASTER AND IS UNABLE TO ENGAGE IN DRONE STRIKES.
IRAN, THE SUNNIS MAY JOIN IN A TACTICAL ALLIANCE TO KILL ALL INFIDELS IN YEMEN. THEY MAY NOT, AND IRAN WILL HUNT DOWN AND KILL ALL SUNNI IN YEMEN. IRAN MAY ALLOW THE WEST TO DRONE STRIKE THE SUNNIS INTO ROTTING CORPSES.

AT ANY RATE, SAUDI ARABIA IS IN IMMEDIATE DANGER OF VIOLENT SUBVERSION AS IRANIAN REVOLUTIONARY GUARD TROOPS POUR OVER THE YEMEN BORDER INTO EASTERN SAUDI ARABIA AND THE GULF STATES.

NOW AIN'T YOU GLAD WE GOT OBAMA AS PREZ? <g>
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/29/us-yemen-security-idUSKBN0L216220150129

Suspected al Qaeda gunmen kill two soldiers in Yemen's oil province

ADEN, Yemen Thu Jan 29, 2015 5:57am EST

(Reuters) - Two Yemeni soldiers were killed and two wounded when they were ambushed while on patrol by suspected al Qaeda militants in the central province of Marib, a regional official said on Thursday.

Marib has most of Yemen's oil and gas fields and has long been a battleground between various factions, including local tribesmen, al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) insurgents and other Islamists, and government forces.

Now tribesmen say the province is subject to an advance by Iranian-allied Houthi fighters, who took over the capital Sanaa in September and brought about the collapse of the U.S.-backed government last week.

A CIA drone strike on a car in Yemen killed three suspected al Qaeda militants in Marib on Monday, the first since the Sanaa government stepped down, in a sign such U.S. operations will continue despite the political crisis.

Houthi leader Abdel-Malek al-Houthi said on Tuesday his movement was seeking a peaceful transfer of power after the resignation of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, and urged all Yemeni factions to work together to that end.


(Reporting by Mohammad Mokhashaf; Writing by Raissa Kasolowsky; Editing by Mark Heinrich)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150129/ml-yemen-63c30ac94b.html

Yemen rebels seize military base outside capital

Jan 29, 11:19 AM (ET)
By AHMED AL-HAJ

SANAA, Yemen (AP) — Yemen's Shiite rebels took over a key military base south of Sanaa where U.S. advisers had previously trained counter-terrorism forces, officials said Thursday.

Military officials said the Republican Guard camp captured Wednesday was used by American experts until 2012 to train local forces battling al-Qaida's powerful Yemeni affiliate. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the press.

The Shiite rebels, known as Houthis, have seized a number of key military facilities in recent days, including the headquarters of the paramilitary special forces.

Last week the rebels put President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi, a close U.S. ally, and his Cabinet under house arrest, escalating a prolonged power struggle. The officials resigned in response, and Prime Minister Khaled Baha said Thursday his resignation was "irreversible" according to a statement posted on his Facebook account.

Baha expressed his "extreme condemnation" over the Houthis' "coup," adding that he had escaped an assassination attempt. He said he would refuse to serve in a caretaker government.

Anti-Houthi demonstrations meanwhile erupted in Sanaa, with rebel forces dispersing the protesters with batons and shots fired in the air. Protesters attempted to break the Houthis' siege on the home of the minister of local administration but the rebels forcibly drove the crowd away.

Larger demonstrations were held in the western port city of Hodeida — which is controlled by the Houthis — and Taiz, where scuffles broke out between demonstrators and rebels.

The camp captured Thursday was led by forces loyal to former President Ali Abdullah Saleh, who is suspected of quietly backing the rebels. The seizure of the camp could drive a wedge between the two, fueling further turmoil.

In the central city of Houta, meanwhile, extremists on motorbikes destroyed the 800-year-old shrine of a Muslim scholar, according to a local security official. Hard-line Muslims oppose the veneration of saints, saying it goes against monotheism. Salafis in Mali, Somalia and neighboring Libya have all targeted the tombs of saints.
 

doctor_fungcool

TB Fanatic
The Next War In The Middle East Has Begun And Israel Vows "To Act Powerfully On All Fronts"


http://www.zerohedge.com

http://economycollapse.blogspot.com/


Submitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

Israel and Hezbollah are at war. On top of everything else that is going on in the world, now we have a new war in the Middle East, and nobody is quite certain what is going to happen next. Israel has been preparing for this moment for more than 8 years. So has Hezbollah. According to some reports, Hezbollah has amassed an arsenal of 50,000 rockets since the end of the Hezbollah-Israel war in 2006. If all-out warfare does erupt, we could potentially see tens of thousands of missiles rain down into an area not too much larger than the state of New Jersey. And of course the Israeli military is also much more sophisticated and much more powerful than it was back in 2006. If cooler heads do not prevail, we could be on the verge of witnessing a very bloody war. But right now nobody seems to be in the mood to back down. Hezbollah is absolutely fuming over an airstrike earlier this month that killed six fighters and a prominent Iranian general. And Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says that Israel is “prepared to act powerfully on all fronts” in response to a Hezbollah ambush that killed two Israeli soldiers and wounded seven. Just such an incident is what sparked the war between the two sides back in 2006. But this time, a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah could spark a full-blown regional war.

Earlier this month, Israel launched a surprise assault against a group of Hezbollah fighters that Israel believed was planning to conduct terror attacks inside their borders.

But in addition to killing six Hezbollah fighters, a very important Iranian general was also killed. Needless to say, Iran is furious…

Iran has told the United States that Israel should expect consequences for an attack on the Syrian-controlled Golan Heights that killed an Iranian general, a senior official said on Tuesday.



Revolutionary Guards General Mohammad Ali Allahdadi died alongside six fighters from Lebanon’s Hezbollah group in the January 18 attack on forces supporting President Bashar al-Assad in Syria’s civil war.

And we didn’t have to wait too long for a response. An IDF convoy was hit by anti-tank missiles near the Lebanon border. Two Israeli soldiers were killed and seven were wounded. The following is how the Jerusalem Post described the attack.

The terrorists launched five or six anti-tank missiles from a distance of at least four kilometers from their targets, striking the vehicles as they drove two kilometers from the international border.



In the heavy Hezbollah ambush, a military D-Max vehicle containing a company commander and his driver from the Givati Brigade was the first vehicle hit.



This prompted all of those inside an IDF jeep behind it to quickly evacuate their vehicle before it, too, was hit and destroyed with missiles.

Just over an hour after that attack, mortar rounds struck an Israeli military position on Mt. Hermon.

In response to those strikes, the Israeli military hit back at Hezbollah positions on the other side of the Lebanese border…

Israel struck back with combined aerial and ground strikes on Hezbollah operational positions along the border, the military said.



At least 50 artillery shells were fired at the villages of Majidiyeh, Abbasiyeh and Kfar Chouba, according to Lebanese officials.

But Israel is probably not done.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is promising a “disproportionate” response to the Hezbollah attacks, and he says that Hezbollah should consider what Israel recently did to Hamas before taking any more aggressive action…

“To all those trying to challenge us on the northern border, I suggest looking at what happened here, not far from the city of Sderot, in the Gaza strip. Hamas absorbed the hardest blow since it was founded last summer, and the IDF is ready to act with force on any front.”

If things continue to escalate, we might not just be talking about another Hezbollah-Israel war.

In the south, tensions between Israel and Hamas remain near all-time highs. In the event of a full-blown war, Hamas probably could be easily convinced to join the fray. And if Hamas jumps in, the rest of the Palestinians might not be far behind.

In addition, ISIS now has territory near the border with Israel…

Because of the strategic importance of the terrain, Iran and Hezbollah have been building infrastructure there for some time. But their interest in the Golan skyrocketed in December.



The reason: ISIS gained a foothold there when the Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade of the Free Syrian Army “defected” from the de facto alliance with the U.S.-Arab coalition against Assad, and declared its allegiance to ISIS. The Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade had been one of the most active rebel factions holding territory directly adjacent to the “area of separation” between Syria and Israel administered (in theory) by the UN. In particular, it has held the southern line of confrontation with Syrian regime forces, in the transit corridor leading to the Quneitra border crossing.

Needless to say, ISIS would be extremely interested in any conflict with Israel.

And of course there are all of the other surrounding Islamic nations that are not too fond of Israel either.

The truth is that the Middle East is a perpetual tinderbox. One spark could set the entire region on fire.

snip snip

In addition to the oil crash, the collapse of the euro, looming stock market troubles, civil war in Ukraine, tensions with Russia, an economic slowdown in China and imploding economies all over South America, now we have more war in the Middle East.

And if lots of missiles start flying back and forth between Israel and Hezbollah, it could potentially spark the bloodiest war in that region that any of us have ever seen.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

First off, I'd like to make a few observations. The first observation is this.....can a country the size of New Jersey sustain the kind of damage that a regional war would produce(I'm talking about Israel). My take is this....the answer in my opinion is no....Even with the Sampson Option, if a regional war were to ignite,
the state of Israel as a functioning democracy would more than likely cease to exist....of course that's a very rash opinion on my part....yet I feel that this opinion holds water.

Secondly, if we consider all the economic problems that the world faces at this juncture in time, there's no doubt that regional conflicts would soon spread into worldwide conflicts that will be difficult, if not impossible to put down....
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120892/will-us-put-boots-ground-yemen

Yemen
January 29, 2015

Will Obama Put Boots on the Ground in Yemen?

By Paul Rogers
Comments 4

Events in Yemen are moving fast: The U.S.-backed president, Abd Rabbuh Manṣūr Hadi, has been deposed by Shia rebels, after a “slow coup” that saw the Iran-backed Houthi militia take effective control of the capital, Sana'a, and besiege Hadi in the presidential palace.

The U.S. reacted to the removal of its ally by closing off the public parts of its embassy, while a drone strike against Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Penninsula (AQAP) reportedly killed three fighters. How the situation might resolve itself is anybody’s guess at the moment and must be keeping the Obama administration up at night.

In the wake of the Charlie Hebdo attack in Paris, it became clear that at least one of the attackers had a connection with AQAP. How much of a connection is unclear, but it is a reminder that AQAP is the only significant Al-Qaeda offshoot with transnational aspirations—especially an intent to attack the “far enemy” of the United States and its allies.

Some other highly significant groups, especially the Islamic State, may increasingly seek to take the war to the West, but these have little connection with the old Al-Qaeda, having clearly overshadowed it in recent years.

The Yemen connection, though, does raise the important question of whether U.S. policy towards AQAP in Yemen, often represented as something of a success story, is coming apart at the seams. This is in the wake of the removal of Hadi this week by Houthi rebels closely linked to the former president, Ali Abdullah Saleh, who was forced to stand down in the face of public pressure two years ago. The question of the U.S. position is even more salient given the resumption of U.S. drone strikes against AQAP earlier this week.

Complex and dangerous

The conflict in Yemen is extraordinarily complex, encompassing the Huthi rebellion, the involvement of Saudi Arabia and possibly Iran, the southern separatist movement, and also AQAP; all in a country with declining oil reserves, a serious water shortage, and a population of 25 million people, many of them in serious poverty.

Helen Lackner’s recent analysis is probably the best available and points to the failure of Western states to give sufficient aid to Hadi in his efforts to reconcile differences in a state marred by competing elites and factionalism. It is in the context of this failure that U.S. policy towards AQAP has to be discussed.

Only last September, Barack Obama had referred to the Yemen strategy as an appropriate example of how to “handle” Iraq and Syria. The approach would be one of training and equipping local security forces in sustained but low-level engagement, and, if the Yemen approach is repeated, relying heavily on reconnaissance and armed drones to weaken opponents.

The war in Iraq and Syria has now gone well beyond that. There have been more than 3,000 air strikes and drone attacks on more than 2,000 targets in less than six months—yet the Yemen policy was still viewed as one that could prove an effective model.

One core problem, though, is that the drone operations that were run both by the CIA and U.S. Joint Special Operations Command were highly dependent on intelligence on AQAP obtained by Yemeni government security and intelligence branches. Furthermore, they had the approval of the government in Sana’a so the Obama administration could claim legitimacy for its actions.

Remote control lost

With the ousting of the Hadi government, both elements are now in question—the intelligence will probably dry up and if some kind of reasonably stable government replaces Hadi, then a new regime could claim infringement of sovereignty. If that regime is Houthi-dominated, as seems likely, then while they have little liking for AQAP, they are equally opposed to U.S. policy, which they see as interference in the independence of the state.

This leaves the Obama administration with a major dilemma. For the past three years Obama has been deeply reluctant to engage in Yemen, Iraq, or Syria with significant deployment of ground troops. The preferred option has been termed “remote control” with greater reliance on armed drones, privatized military, special forces and other means—a rapidly developing military approach currently being researched by the Remote Control Project and the subject of a seminar at Leicester University next week.

So far, the U.S. approach in Yemen has been almost entirely dependent on drones and training local forces, but now the pressure is on to extend this to the direct use of Special Forces. This is already starting to happen in Iraq and Syria, with influential Congressional leaders such as chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, John McCain, calling for a further expansion of Special Forces operations.

Following the events of the past week in Yemen, McCain and others now want a similar expansion there—and even while this pressure builds there is news of repeated violent engagements between Canadian special forces and Islamic State paramilitaries in Iraq.

When the air strikes against Islamic State started last August, Obama, Francois Hollande, David Cameron, Tony Abbott, Stephen Harper, and other Western leaders all said that that was as far as it would go. This is clearly not the case, and not only is mission creep already happening in Iraq and Syria, it now looks highly likely in Yemen as well.
 

doctor_fungcool

TB Fanatic
Obama won't put boots on the ground in Yemen. He may send over a few folks, but nothing big.
Also, there will be no invasion of Yemen by anyone. The west doesn't have the stomach for these kinds of fights anymore.

What the posters on this thread need to realize is that Yemen is but one piece of the puzzle. The middle east is interconnected in ways that none of us realize. Looking merely at Yemen, and not the rest of the great game' is counter productive. There's no doubt that things are happening quickly.
Maybe they're happening too quickly for many of us to understand the ramifications of what's really occurring...I don't know.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Doc, Yemen is not the real issue. Yemen is a springboard for Iranian attacks on both Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. The reason neo con whores like McCain are now hysterical, and the reason our warmonger Obama is performing certain acts on the House of Saud right now is the direct threat Iran now poses via Yemen.

Iran now has ALL OIL SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE IN BOTH EASTERN SAUDI ARABIA AND THE GULF STATES UNDER DIRECT THREAT FROM IRANIAN FORCES NOW STATIONED IN YEMEN.

Iran changed the game, doctor fungcool. They did it in less than one week; they did it in a decisive manner. Iran has won, Doc. Iran has flanked ISIS in Iraq. They have flanked Afghanistan. They have flanked Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. Now control both the strait of Hormuz and the Suez Canal. nuff said
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
My "official Doomer Doug opinion" is Yemen will quietly simmer away until it impacts oil transport, or the Gulf States, or Saudi Arabia. Iran is now just sitting back, ramping up its military presence and licking its chops in anticipation of a general offensive against the Sunni Gulf States.

I am telling you all, and I have no way to "know" this, is Iran's Revolutionary Guard is now disgorging into Sana's airport and setting up training and logistics camps needed for the invasion of Saudi Arabia. Camel, don't laugh, convoys full of military stuff are now pouring over the Saudi border to the Shia minorities in the various Eastern Saudi Arabian counties. People need to remember that while no country, other than Iran, is a majority Shia one, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, have certain areas of their countries that are full of Shia.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Iran-may-already-have-its-bomb-but-it-is-not-nuclear-389674

Opinion
By GHANEM M. NUSEIBEH, ELI EPSTEIN
02/01/2015 22:06

Iran may already have its bomb, but it is not nuclear

Iran may have already secured its greatest leverage, achieving a strategic and economic chokehold on Saudi Arabia and Israel at the same time.

President Barack Obama’s trip to pay his respects to the new Saudi Arabian king, Salman, could not come at a more crucial time. The past weeks have been momentous for the Middle East.

Recent developments threaten to continue to spread instability to the region and indeed the world. But the particular media coverage of the demise of Saudi King Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz and the concurrent collapse of the Yemini government are hardly the most compelling story, important and unsettling as they are.

The unfolding events, including Islamic State (IS), the resurgence of al-Qaida, chaos in Syria and Libya, the unprecedented level of civilian refugees and the possibility of civil war in Yemen challenge policy makers around the globe. But a less obvious and even more threatening development may have already taken place that can further destabilize the situation for years to come.

Western countries, led by the US, have been busy trying to justify to the Sunni Arab states their rationale for continuing negotiations with Iran with the goal to manage if not reverse Iran’s nuclear plans.

Long-standing US allies in the Arab world remain skeptical and unwilling to sign on to Obama’s Iranian overtures. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is so intent on challenging the US policy that he is willing to risk a complete severance of his relationship with President Obama by encouraging the US Congress to push for additional sanctions.

But it may already be too late. Iran may have already secured its greatest leverage, achieving a strategic and economic chokehold on Saudi Arabia and Israel at the same time. It may never need a nuclear bomb to threaten its regional enemies and force their acceptance of its growing influence and regional strategies.

Thanks to events over the past weeks, Yemen’s Houthi rebels, aligned with Iran and supplied and trained by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, have seized the Red Sea port of Hodeida, a mere 30 kilometers from Djibouti. For the first time Saudi Arabia’s archrival now has the ability to control the Mandeb Strait connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean. Iran now is as close as it has ever been to controlling the strategic link between the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean. Through it, three million barrels of oil pass daily.

Straits in the Middle East are more than geographical features. They are nothing less than lifelines for the region’s countries. The blocking of the Straits of Tiran by Egypt triggered the 1967 war between Israel and its Arab neighbors. Iran has in the past threatened to block the Straits of Hormuz if it was attacked by the West. The access to the Red Sea by Iran’s allies makes the threat of an effective use of sanctions against Iran smaller. Iran is poised to push back the West in the nuclear negotiations.

President Obama’s strategy of focusing on Iran’s nuclear ambitions ignores Tehran’s overall objective of asserting itself as the regional superpower. Failure to deal with the threat of an Iranian takeover of Yemen has now contributed to vastly increasing the cards that the Iranian regime can play. Further complacency will make it even more difficult to tackle this ever-increasing threat to regional and global stability.

Ghanem M. Nuseibeh is originally from a prominent Palestinian family of Jerusalem. He is the founder of London-based Cornerstone Global Associates, a strategic consulting firm. He is currently a Senior Visiting Fellow at King’s College, London.

Eli Epstein is a New York-based businessman with long-standing interests in the Middle East.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
HE, Iran is certainly acting like it has something to whack the West big time. It may be missile batteries controlling access to the Red Sea/Suez Canal, plus the Strait of Hormuz. Yep, Iran is strutting its stuff and doesn't really care what anybody thinks at this point. I find this disturbing.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
HE, Iran is certainly acting like it has something to whack the West big time. It may be missile batteries controlling access to the Red Sea/Suez Canal, plus the Strait of Hormuz. Yep, Iran is strutting its stuff and doesn't really care what anybody thinks at this point. I find this disturbing.

Add that to today's "satellite launch" and the only thing missing from driving everything home would be Iran conducting an open nuclear test. With the defense agreement they've made with Russia doing anything overt against them would just about guarantee a "real" war.
 

almost ready

Inactive
That they probably want to gain as much ground as possible while their advocates are in the WH administration, greasing their skids.

After 2016 it might be harder. They certainly want the map changed to set a new reality into stone, ASAP.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
HE, so you think it really was a "satellite launch?" he he he Doomer Doug has some PRIMO swamp land in New Jersey for your personal survival bunker, HE. It is right next to Atlantic City, which is why it is so cheap.

Iran's Mullahs are some of the most brazenly corrupt, hypocritical farces in Islam. The entire population of Iran, outside of the true believers in the Revolutionary Guards, or the thugs with the sticks, realizes they have hijacked the 1979 revolution for the sole purpose of lining their own pockets. The average Iranian is pretty much fed up with the way things are right now. They are also unable to do much about it given the Revolutionary Guard. The Iranian elite is fully aware they need a "Great Satan" in order to prevent their own people from stringing them up.

Seriously though, Iran is up to something in my opinion. You simply do not have the Mullahs making such blatant, open, in your face and pissing on the Great Satan's leg moves unless you have "SOMETHING" TO BACK YOUR ANTICS UP. Doomer Doug is unsure of exactly "what the something is," other than it must be there.

I am thinking the Revolutionary Guard is up to something in Yemen. I am thinking whatever that something is Saudi Arabia is getting, well damn near hysterical when you look at the kind of US/NATO response going down.

I tell you HE, nothing would surprise me at this point in terms of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Iran, the Suez Canal, Egypt.

By the way, did anybody else "catch" the MASSIVE EGYPTIAN MILITARY RESPONSE TO EVENTS IN THE SINAI PENINSULA IN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS?

HE, we have "Yemen in play." We have Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, the Strait of Hormuz, the Suez Canal, numerous hints/threats about "missiles and satellite launches" by Iran. And now we have EGYPT POURING IN MULTIPLE MILITARY BRIGADES DIRECTLY INTO THE SINAI.

Yep, the Doomer Doug WE ARE ALL DOOMED mantra is looking pretty good at this point! <G>
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Egypt pours military forces into Sinai Peninsula 2-2-2015

In response to the January 31st, 2015 massacre Egypt is now pouring in significant military units into the Sinai. Used under fair use doctrine.


http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2015/01/31/395433/Over-40-killed-in-militant-attacks-in-Egypts-Sinai

Karim Gamal el Deen
Press TV, Cairo

The Ansar Beit El Maqdis militant group carried out a series of coordinated attacks on security forces in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula, leaving at least 44 dead, including 13 civilians. The attacks also left 100 people injured.

The group that has ties with ISIL claimed responsibility for the attacks via its twitter account. The incident is an escalation of violence and the level of intricacy of terrorist groups operating in Sinai.

While many hail the government's security strategies, others have been critical saying the government's focus is on suppressing political dissent rather than putting all effort into undermining extremist activities.

The news of killing dozens of people in Sinai has left Egyptians shocked and angry. They demand the government review current security strategies and bring to justice perpetrators of such crimes.

http://www.godanriver.com/news/worl...cle_46687130-f81f-50fc-81ad-fd90baff5650.html


© 2015 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.



El-ARISH, Egypt (AP) — Egypt's President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi told his nation to prepare for a long fight to defeat Islamic extremists Saturday following a wave of attacks on security forces in the Sinai Peninsula.

El-Sissi made his televised address as military commanders announced plans to forge a unified command for all armed forces in Sinai.

"We will not leave Sinai for the terrorists," el-Sissi said.

Extremists targeting Egyptian military positions killed 31 security force members in a sophisticated and multi-pronged set of attacks Thursday night.

An Islamic State-linked group in Egypt claimed responsibility, but el-Sissi laid the blame on the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamist movement he ousted from power in 2013.

Later on Saturday, militants attacked army troops near the eastern city of Rafah, which borders the Gaza Strip, wounding at least six soldiers, security officials said.

Speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release the information otherwise, they said the militants fired rocket-propelled grenades at the troops.

The Egyptian government has long said it is fighting a war on terror. But it has not been able to stem a daily stream of militant attacks despite more than a year of massive military operations in northern Sinai.

Two children, aged 6 and 6 months, were killed Friday in an explosion that the army blamed on the militants.

A military official said the new "unified command" will mean joining the army units in North and South Sinai into a single force. He said this will involve setting up a new headquarters in El-Arish to administer military operations against terrorism.

The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to reporters.

Thursday's assault was the second major deadly attack on Egyptian security forces in Sinai in the last 6 months. 31 troops were killed in an attack last October.

Attacks on Egyptian security forces dramatically escalated after the military — led by el-Sissi — ousted Islamist President Mohammed Morsi in July 2013.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
HE, so you think it really was a "satellite launch?" he he he Doomer Doug has some PRIMO swamp land in New Jersey for your personal survival bunker, HE. It is right next to Atlantic City, which is why it is so cheap.

Iran's Mullahs are some of the most brazenly corrupt, hypocritical farces in Islam. The entire population of Iran, outside of the true believers in the Revolutionary Guards, or the thugs with the sticks, realizes they have hijacked the 1979 revolution for the sole purpose of lining their own pockets. The average Iranian is pretty much fed up with the way things are right now. They are also unable to do much about it given the Revolutionary Guard. The Iranian elite is fully aware they need a "Great Satan" in order to prevent their own people from stringing them up.

Seriously though, Iran is up to something in my opinion. You simply do not have the Mullahs making such blatant, open, in your face and pissing on the Great Satan's leg moves unless you have "SOMETHING" TO BACK YOUR ANTICS UP. Doomer Doug is unsure of exactly "what the something is," other than it must be there.

I am thinking the Revolutionary Guard is up to something in Yemen. I am thinking whatever that something is Saudi Arabia is getting, well damn near hysterical when you look at the kind of US/NATO response going down.

I tell you HE, nothing would surprise me at this point in terms of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Iran, the Suez Canal, Egypt.

By the way, did anybody else "catch" the MASSIVE EGYPTIAN MILITARY RESPONSE TO EVENTS IN THE SINAI PENINSULA IN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS?

HE, we have "Yemen in play." We have Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, the Strait of Hormuz, the Suez Canal, numerous hints/threats about "missiles and satellite launches" by Iran. And now we have EGYPT POURING IN MULTIPLE MILITARY BRIGADES DIRECTLY INTO THE SINAI.

Yep, the Doomer Doug WE ARE ALL DOOMED mantra is looking pretty good at this point! <G>

The "rule of thumb" is for every pound a "launcher" can put into orbit, it can send two to three pounds "down range" to at least 5,000 miles. The Safir-1B that the Iranians used today is reported to be able to put 60 kg/ 132 lbs into LEO orbit (300 to 450 km/186 to 280 miles). So if that's the case it could (with not getting into the differences between a satellite launcher's optimized burn characteristics vs a ballistic missile's) theoretically put a 120 to 180 kg re-entry vehicle/warhead from Tehran almost to NYC. Tweek things a bit and they could probably drop that load onto Cleveland.

And for all of those who've heard the line from the MSM/PTB that Iran or North Korea haven't/can't "miniaturized" their warhead designs, the US using less computing power than in a 2015 economy car designed nuclear warheads that were to be shot from 8 inch howitzers in 1957 that weighed that much with a yield up to 40 kt. That's more than enough to devastate any major metropolitan area.

Considering that both Iran's and North Korea's proven medium range missiles (2000 km range) throw 600 to 1000 pound warheads, they've got a pretty large margin to work within for improvements.
 
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Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150203/ml--lebanon-choices_for_hezbollah-c5bdf9b6df.html

Hezbollah faces hard choices between fighting Israel, Sunnis

Feb 3, 1:26 AM (ET)
By BASSEM MROUE

(AP) In this Jan. 19, 2015, file photo, Hezbollah fighters carry the coffin of...
Full Image

BEIRUT (AP) — Hezbollah's ambitions are spreading far beyond its Lebanon home as the militant Shiite movement appears increasingly bent on taking on Sunni foes across the Middle East. It has sent thousands of its fighters into Syria and senior military advisers to Iraq, helped Shiite rebels rise to power in Yemen and threatened Bahrain over its abuse of the Shiite majority.

But the regional aspirations also are taking a heavy toll and threatening to undermine Hezbollah's support at home. The group has suffered significant casualties, there is talk of becoming overstretched, and judging by the events of recent days, even a vague sense that the appetite for fighting the Israelis is waning.

In the recent confrontation, Israel struck first, purportedly destroying a Hezbollah unit near the front line of the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. Among the seven dead on Jan. 18 were an Iranian general, a top Hezbollah commander and the son of another former commander in chief. A heavy Hezbollah retaliation appeared inevitable.

Yet when it came last Wednesday, Hezbollah's revenge was relatively modest: two Israeli soldiers dead, seven wounded. The choice of location — a disputed piece of land excluded from a U.N. resolution that ended the 2006 war between Hezbollah and Israel — suggested to some that Hezbollah's mind remains focused on more distant fronts.

(AP) In this July 25, 2014, file photo, supporters listen as Hezbollah leader...
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The Hezbollah leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, seemed to allude to criticism that Hezbollah's taste for foreign adventurism is weakening its appetite for fighting Israel. In his speech Friday, Nasrallah said Israel had incorrectly thought that "Hezbollah is busy, confused, weak and drained. ... The resistance is in full health, readiness, awareness, professionalism and courage."

It is part of a complex equation for Hezbollah: On the one hand, many Lebanese resent the group for embroiling their vulnerable country in ruinous wars with Israel. But on the other, all shades of Muslim opinion see the Jewish state as a common enemy that Hezbollah forced, in 2000, to end an 18-year occupation in south Lebanon. In that sense even Sunnis, who along with Christians and Shiites make a third of the country's population each, could see Hezbollah as a protector.

But that was then. Today, many increasingly look to Sunni-majority powers as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt as their true backers.

"Increasingly, Hezbollah's leadership perceives itself as a Shiite Arab regional actor, placing its commitment to the Palestinian cause on par with its mission as a defender of Shiite political and religious rights in the Arab region," said Randa Slim, a director at the Washington-based Middle East Institute. "The consequence for Lebanon is that at some point the Shiite underpinnings of Hezbollah's regional role will clash with the interests and demands of its non-Shiite, mainly Sunni compatriots."

Hezbollah has room to grow as a leading defender of Shiites. But when Nasrallah has tried to make aggressive political proclamations, the results sometimes have backfired.

(AP) In this July 25, 2014, file photo, Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah...
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On Jan. 9, Nasrallah harshly criticized Bahrain over its crackdown on a Shiite-led uprising and its arrest of a leading Shiite cleric, Ali Salman. He compared Bahrain to his archenemy Israel, saying it was naturalizing foreigners to make the Persian Gulf island increasingly less Shiite.

Nasrallah then issued a veiled threat to Bahrain, although he said protests should remain peaceful. "Weapons can be sent to the most secure countries. Fighters and gunmen can enter and small groups can sabotage a country," he said.

Hostile reaction swept the Arab world and Lebanon, where even some Shiites complained that threatening Bahrain could spur oil-rich Gulf nations to expel Lebanese Shiites from their soil. The six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council called Nasrallah's comments "hostile and irresponsible." The 22-nation Arab League accused him of meddling in Bahrain.

Hezbollah's largest and most visible commitment is in Syria, where thousands of Hezbollah members are fighting alongside President Bashar Assad's forces against predominantly Sunni rebels.

When Hezbollah first sent fighters to Syria in late 2012, Nasrallah said their role was to defend Shiite holy shrines near the capital, Damascus. Their role expanded to the defense of predominantly Shiite Lebanese residents of Syrian villages. The group now says its main reason to be in Syria is to prevent Sunni extremists from moving into Lebanon.

(AP) In this Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2015, file photo, Shiite militant group...
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Hardly a week passes without Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV airing funerals for fighters slain in Syria. Last year, a Hezbollah commander, Ibrahim Mohammed al-Haj, was killed while on a "jihadi mission" in Iraq.

Hezbollah positions in Lebanon also face repeated attacks mostly by an al-Qaida-linked group, the Nusra Front, based on the Syrian side of the border. Their wave of bombings since late 2013 have killed and wounded scores of people, and obliged Hezbollah to employ stiff security countermeasures, including the deployment of plainclothes Hezbollah members around the clock in Shiite business districts south of Beirut.

In Yemen, security officials say Hezbollah, which has long had a presence, has dispatched increasing number of cadres to the impoverished country since Shiite Houthis took over the capital, Sanaa, in September and later the airport.

The officials said before the takeover of the capital, Hezbollah had military and security advisers based in the Houthi's stronghold of Saada province near the Saudi border, where the group's leader, Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, is based.

Analyst Rami Khouri recently wrote in Lebanon's Daily Star newspaper that all the adventurism has come at a political price.

"Hezbollah was widely acclaimed in much of Lebanon and the region for leading the battle to liberate south Lebanon from Israeli occupation," he wrote. "Today, the very polarized Lebanese see the party either as the nation's savior and protector — or as a dangerous Iranian Trojan horse."

---

Associated Press writers Zeina Karam in Beirut and Ahmed al-Haj in Sanaa, Yemen, contributed to this report.

---

Follow Bassem Mroue on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bmroue.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
ISIS just, apparently, burned alive that Jordanian Air Force Pilot they captured. "They" are saying this will take Jordan out of the fight with ISIS. Seriously, this is what passes for "intelligence analysis these days." What is really going to happen is the Jordanian military, both the King and Queen, and the people are going to get so seriously pissed they will hunt down ISIS and hack them to pieces.

Doomer Doug has noticed repeatedly the "official" Western response to these acts of barbarity in the media, and among the elite, is appeasement, cowardice, and apathy. The elite have never, under any conditions seen the need to use force against Militant Islam. What "they" don't get is in many, many parts of the word everything is local; it is tribal, clan, and family level. So what ISIS really did by burning this Jordanian Air Force Pilot alive, on a slickly produced color video is start a blood feud with the Royal House of Jordan, the entire Jordanian military, as well as the people of Jordan. It is Western media and elite dogma that when Militant Islam does things like this you "can't," or "civilized people can't" kick the people who do this asses so far they end up in China. Yep, I am thinking some serious ass whumping is headed ISIS's way from Jordan.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsCon...-interfere-militarily-if-Yemens-Bab-AlMa.aspx

Egypt will interfere militarily if Yemen's Bab Al-Mandab strait is blocked: Suez Canal head

The strategic waterway, linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, is threatened by fighting in Yemen

Ahram Online , Wednesday 4 Feb 2015

The head of Egypt's Suez Canal Authority said Wednesday his country would send troops to Yemen in case extremist groups attempt to block Bab Al-Mandab strait that links the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, Al-Ahram Arabic news website reported.

Lieutenant General Mohab Mamish said that Egypt "will not accept" closure of the waterway which "directly affects the Suez Canal and national security." Mamish said events in Yemen are under constant review and that the military is ready to intervene if the strait is blocked.

Most ships that pass through Bab Al-Mandab are either going to or coming from Egypt's Suez Canal, one of the country's main sources of income and foreign currency flow.

Yemen has been gripped by chaos since Shia Houthi rebels took control of the capital and challenged the central government. The poor Arabian Peninsula state is also fighting a local Al-Qaeda branch on its territories, one of the strongest offshoots of the group.

Houthis recently claimed control over a number of strategic posts in the capital, Sanaa.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/05/us-yemen-crisis-idUSKBN0L90VD20150205

Most Yemeni parties agree presidential council to ease power struggle

By Mohammed Ghobari
SANAA Thu Feb 5, 2015 11:36am EST

(Reuters) - Most Yemeni factions have agreed to set up an interim presidential council to manage the country for up to one year, negotiators said on Thursday, in a step to ease a power struggle that forced the president to step down two weeks ago.

The dominant Houthi movement had set a Wednesday deadline for political factions to agree a way out of the crisis that led to the resignation of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi on Jan. 22. Otherwise, the group said, it would impose its own solution.

Delegates said that nine parties and groups, including a faction from the southern separatist Herak, agreed during negotiations in Sanaa on a five-member presidential council that would be headed by Ali Nasser Mohammed, a former president of South Yemen before the 1990 merger with North Yemen.

A source close to Mohammed confirmed consultations were under way with the ex-president but said they have yet to be finalised.

The Sunni Islamist Islah party was still considering the agreement but the Yemen Socialist Party, which ruled the former South Yemen, said on Thursday it had approved the council.

Yemen's stability is particularly important to neighboring Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter. The Arabian Peninsula country is also fighting one of the most formidable branches of al Qaeda with the help of U.S. drone strikes.

The Houthis, Shi'ite Muslims backed by Iran, had said on Wednesday night that they had put off acting alone as parties appeared close to a consensus on a way out of the stand-off.

But even as a solution seemed within reach, Yemen's deep divisions were as apparent as ever. The editor-in-chief of independent newspaper Al-Akhbar Al-Yawm, which has been critical of the Houthis, told Reuters on Thursday that its building had been taken over by armed men.

"Three cars full of armed Houthis seized the newspaper's building and detained several editors and some employees inside," Ibrahim Mujahid told Reuters by telephone. It was not yet clear what the Houthis' demands were towards the newspaper.

Yemen has been in political limbo since Hadi and the government of Prime Minister Khaled Bahah resigned after the Houthis seized the presidential palace and confined the head of state to his residence in a struggle to tighten control.

The Houthis, who became power brokers when they overran Sanaa in September, had been holding talks with major political factions trying to agree on a way out of the stand-off.


(Additional reporting by Mohammed Mokhashaf in Aden; Writing by Sami Aboudi and Raissa Kasolowsky; Editing by William Maclean and Mark Heinrich)
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
It looks like Iran and Hezzbollah are going to be flanked by the Sunni/ISIS with a northern front from Iraq into Lebanon. HE, this is in response to Iran/Revolutionary Guard, Houthi tribesmen flanking Al Qaida of the Arabian Peninsula in Yemen. I mean, HE the chess moves going on here are truly stunning in their magnitude. People should also note that Iran is now fully in charge of the entire USA/Iran dynamic at all levels of diplomacy, economics, and military status. THIS MEANS IRAN CAN DO WHATEVER IT WANTS TO IN YEMEN WITHOUT ANY OPPOSITION BY THE USA. Further, Iran can now openly go after the Sunni Gulf States and Saudi Arabia with complete impunity from the Obama administration. And, HE, Doomer Doug would love to know exactly what "Muslim leaders" Obama just met with. LOL One more thing, HE I just saw the Egyptian government "officially" said it will directly intervene in Yemen if it becomes a threat to the Suez Canal. Not sure if that indicates Egypt will invade Yemen, or merely bomb the crap out of it if Iran/the Houthis etc try to prevent ships from using it. You heard it here first, gang: Iran is now pouring in Revolutionary Guard troops, military logistics, etc to Yemen's Saana airport one cargo plane at a time. The USA, ie Obama is doing/will do NOTHING to prevent an Iranian client state in Yemen/Eritrea giving Iran total control of the Red Sea entrance to the Suez Canal. It is ALL now coming into focus for Iran. If ISIS goes over the Lebanon border we will have a regional Sunni/Shia/ISIS/Hezzbollah WAR from Lebanon/Syria/Iraq/Kurdish to Saudi Arabia, Gulf States, Yemen/Egypt in the south.



http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...more-military-assets-into-iraq-to-fight-isis/

http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2015/2/5/isil-inches-war-closer-to-lebanons-border.html
http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20150205/1017807564.html

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/iran-the-americans-are-begging-us-for-a-deal/


Iran: The ‘Americans Are Begging Us for a Deal’
‘Iran prepares itself for war with global powers’

Mohammad Ali Jafari, the commander of the IRGC. / AP


BY: Adam Kredo
February 5, 2015 5:00 am

A top Iranian military leader claims that U.S. officials have been “begging us” to sign a nuclear deal during closed door negotiations with Tehran over its contested nuclear program, according to recent comments made to the Iranian state-controlled media.

Mohammad Reza Naghdi, the commander of the Basij, a paramilitary group operating under the wing of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corp (IRGC), recently claimed that the “Americans are begging us for a deal on the negotiation table,” according to comments published in Persian and independently translated for the Washington Free Beacon.

Naghdi added that American officials routinely “plea” with Iran in talks and that the United States is negotiating from a position of weakness, according to his comments, which follow earlier reports claiming that Iran’s leading negotiator “frequently shouts” at U.S. officials.

The military leader’s remarks appear to jibe with new reports that the United States is conceding ground to Iran in talks and will now allow it to “keep much of its uranium-enriching technology,” according to the Associated Press.

Iran, the AP reported, “refuses to meet U.S.-led demands for deep cuts in the number of centrifuges it uses to enrich uranium, a process that can create material for anything from chemotherapy to the core of an atomic bomb.”

Regional experts say that the Iranians feel that they are in a position of power in the talks and believe that the Obama administration is desperate to ink a deal.

“Iran feels the administration needs the deal, and this belief is supported by the way the administration is acting,” said Saeed Ghasseminejad, an Iranian dissident and associate fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

America’s “hostility toward its traditional allies in the region, Israel and Saudi Arabia, is at its historical peak and the Obama administration either supports Iran to expand its influence in the region or at least does not oppose it at all,” Ghasseminejad explained. “Iran feels as long as the negotiation is going on, it has a green light to do whatever it wants in the region, so why should they bother to sign a deal?”

Sen. Mark Kirk (R., Ill.) said a bad nuclear deal would endanger the security of America and its allies.

“The Iranian terror state continues to show its true nature as it sidesteps the international sanctions regime during negotiations, and expands its threat into Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. Worse, the administration’s reported nuclear concessions to Ayatollah Khamenei will only keep Iran at the threshold of getting nuclear bombs. A bad nuclear deal will further empower Iran and endanger the security of America, Israel, and other allies in the Middle East.”

As the nuclear talks continue, Iranian leaders have stepped up their rhetoric against the United States, with top officials declaring that “Iran prepares itself for war with global powers.”

Hossein Salami, the deputy commander of the IRGC, celebrated a recent attack on Israel by the Iranian-backed terror group Hezbollah and promised that Tehran is readying itself to go to war with America.

“Iran prepares itself for war with global powers, and the Israeli’s are much smaller than them,” Salami was quoted as saying by the state-controlled Fars New Agency (FNA).

“The response of Hezbollah to the Zionist regime shows a quick reaction, clear will, and their iron-like strength, resistance, and power,” he added.

Salami also reiterated Iran’s commitment to fund and arm Palestinian terror groups.

“Opening up a new front across the West Bank, which is a major section of our dear Palestine, will be certainly on the agenda, and this is part of a new reality that will gradually emerge,” Salami said in a recent television interview.

Similar remarks were made by Mohammad Ali Jafari, the IRGC’s commander, who celebrated Hezbollah’s “martyrdom” and vowed that the “fight against Zionists would not be brought to a halt.”

While U.S. officials have claimed multiple times in recent months that progress is being made in the talks, Iranian officials deny that this is the case.

Abbas Araqchi, a top Iranian negotiator, said in recent days that it is too early to say that progress has been made.

“We still are not in a position where we can say we have had progress,” Araqchi was quoted as saying by the FNA. “It is still too early to judge.”

“If the counterpart shows realism, political resolve, and good will, we believe we are not so far from reaching an agreement,” he said.
This entry was posted in National Security and tagged Iran, Nuclear Weapons, Sanctions. Bookmark the permalink.
 

Oreally

Right from the start
attempting to negotiate with Persians . . . what a joke!

enemiesrome_gallery_6.jpg


Upon taking the throne, he elevated his son Gallienus to co-Emperor. The two then set about securing the imperial borderlands. Gallienus went West, to face the Germanic tribes. Valerian, fatefully, headed East, to take on the Persians and their nefarious ruler, Shapur I.

At first, the campaign went well. Valerian succeeded in securing Antioch and the province of Syria. Then plague struck his army before the Battle of Edessa, which he lost to the Persians. He arranged a meeting with Shapur, to negotiate terms of a truce, but his rival violated the spirit of the meeting by taking him captive. He remained in the hands of the Persians from 260 until his death five years later.

Valerian was the only Roman Emperor ever held as a prisoner of war. Far from treating him with the dignity befitting his office, Shapur delighted in humiliating him. Valerian was paraded around Persia in chains, and used as a footstool every time Shapur needed to mount his horse. The details of his death vary, depending on the source. Some say that when he offered a ransom for his release, Shapur had him swallow molten gold; others, that he was flayed alive. What seems certain is that his body was skinned, tanned, stuffed, and mounted on the wall in Shapur’s palace, like a trophy fish, where it remained for generations.


What happened was: Valerian asked for a meeting on neutral ground, with only aides and no weapons. which the Persian's agreed to.

when they got there, between the two armies, the Persians threw open their cloaks, had weapons and seized Valerian...

i.e. the Romans kept their word . . and the Persians cheated . . .
 
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