ECON How much of the World is ditching the Dollar as reserve currency (and what it might mean for us)

jward

passin' thru

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB

jward

passin' thru
update on BRICS members/potential members:

Members:


- Brazil
- Russia
- India
- China
- South Africa

Pending applications:

- Algeria
- Argentina
- Bahrain
- Egypt
- Indonesia
- Iran
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE

Countries that have expressed interest:

- Afghanistan
- Bangladesh
- Belarus
- Cuba
- DR of Congo
- Gabon
- Kazakhstan
- Mexico
- Nicaragua
- Nigeria
- Pakistan
- Senegal
- Sudan
- Syria
- Thailand
- Tunisia
- Turkey
- Uruguay
- Venezuela
- Zimbabwe

The dollar is dying….
10:54 PM · Jun 15, 2023
 

Knoxville's Joker

Has No Life - Lives on TB
update on BRICS members/potential members:

Members:


- Brazil
- Russia
- India
- China
- South Africa

Pending applications:

- Algeria
- Argentina
- Bahrain
- Egypt
- Indonesia
- Iran
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE

Countries that have expressed interest:

- Afghanistan
- Bangladesh
- Belarus
- Cuba
- DR of Congo
- Gabon
- Kazakhstan
- Mexico
- Nicaragua
- Nigeria
- Pakistan
- Senegal
- Sudan
- Syria
- Thailand
- Tunisia
- Turkey
- Uruguay
- Venezuela
- Zimbabwe

The dollar is dying….
10:54 PM · Jun 15, 2023

Kinda the third world crap hole countries list. I doubt they would fare any better under brics as they are ultimately corrupt…
 

jward

passin' thru

Roth: De-dollarization may be a conspiracy, but it’s not a theory​


Carol Roth​


U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who tends to be wrong on just about everything (remember her good old "there will be no inflation problem" prediction, among many others), has made a new statement for us to be concerned about. As reality tends to directly oppose her words, there should be more concern about her recent congressional testimony, in which she stated that she expects the dollar to remain dominant.

Her testimony came within days of NPR running an article on whether the dollar was at risk of losing its reserve currency status, something that Glenn Beck and I, along with other commentators, have been talking about for a while.
Some have called this a conspiracy theory. While there may be elements of conspiracy at play, this is certainly not just a theory. As I researched for my upcoming book, "You Will Own Nothing," the movement away from the dollar has been coordinated by various countries around the globe and is a reality, not theoretical.
Yellen’s comments around King Dollar included, “We should expect over time a gradually increased share of other assets in reserve holdings of countries — a natural desire to diversify." But it isn’t nature that is driving the change — it’s the United States' actions, and other countries are capitalizing on the Fed's and government’s destructive policies.

For the privilege of being the world’s reserve currency, which includes the cheap financing that the government has exploited for its own growth, the Fed is supposed to keep the U.S. dollar stable for the good of the global economy. As expressed in noted economist Robert Triffin’s eponymously named Triffin dilemma, that can cause the central bank to have to make decisions at times on whether to support the interests of the domestic economy or of the global economy. Amazingly, in recent decades, the Fed and government policy have managed to do neither.
While transferring wealth from Main Street to Wall Street and destroying the dollar’s purchasing power domestically, the Fed's and the government’s policies have wreaked havoc on the countries that have also depended on dollar stability. On the global stage, when U.S. dollars become more expensive, the same U.S. dollar buys less today than it did in the past. For countries that import critical commodities like oil and food, which have been for decades priced mostly in dollars, that shift threatens their food and energy security.

This is also an issue for emerging countries around the globe that have sought debt financing in U.S. dollars as well.
The action of the Biden administration to weaponize the dollar by freezing Russia’s access to its reserves after the Ukraine invasion was a further turning point, perhaps even the point of no return, causing more urgency for countries to ditch the dollar or at least minimize dependency upon the dollar.
It’s hard to hold the world’s reserve currency when you actively restrict access to reserves at your whim. What major economies want to give the U.S. that power?
In terms of Yellen’s testimony regarding the gradual erosion of the U.S. dollar in global reserves, she’s again late to the party. An Insider headline shared, “The dollar's dominance as a reserve currency eroded last year at 10 times the pace seen in the past 2 decades.” That’s an odd definition of “gradual.”

Quoting analysis from Eurizon SLJ Asset Management, Insider said that the U.S. dollar has dropped from around “two-thirds of total global reserves in 2003, then 55% by 2021, and 47% last year.” The authors called out that 2022 move, citing the research authors as saying, "This 8% decline in one year is exceptional, equivalent to 10 times the average annual pace of erosion in the USD's market share in the prior years."
In one of his firm’s recent research reports, FFTT’s Luke Gromen said that from 2014 to the present, global central banks haven’t been buying Treasury securities. Moreover, he says that when these foreign central banks have U.S. dollar needs, they have been choosing to sell Treasuries rather than gold as a mechanism to raise those U.S. dollars.
In fact, global central banks have been stocking up on gold. The World Gold Council said that in 2022, central banks increased their holdings by a record amount: 1,136 metric tons. For Q1 2023, they hit another Q1 record, adding 228 metric tons.

While central bank reserve holdings are one thing, trade is another. And in that area, the U.S. dollar continues to dominate — at least for now. Per Reuters, “The dollar was on one side of 88% of all foreign exchange trades in April last year, according to the Bank for International Settlements. The Fed estimates that between 1999 and 2019 the dollar accounted for 96% of trade invoicing in the Americas, 74% in the Asia-Pacific region, and 79% in the rest of the world.”
Given that, recent trade announcements have created new concerns. For one, it was reported that the Bank of China plans to open its first branch in the Saudi Arabian capital of Riyadh later this year.

This follows moves from China, which is the world’s largest net oil importer, to pressure Saudi Arabia and other oil exporters to allow China to pay for oil in yuan instead of dollars.
During this week’s Arab-China Business Conference, which also took place in Riyadh, CNBC reported, “Saudi Arabia and China are part of a multipolar world order, and their mutual interests are ‘strong and rising,’ minister says.”
This Saudi-China alliance has not only financial but military implications, as the Saudis have historically been dependent upon the U.S. for military protection. Shifts in trading and currency could also portend shifting of military alliances in some fashion as well.
Barron’s reported that China and Brazil made a deal to trade in their own currencies several months ago. Iraq also allowed trade with China in yuan earlier this year.
China, which has itself been loading up on gold, is also allowing for gold to be a “soft-backing” for its trades, perhaps to allay concerns about the communist-backed currency.
All of this may be bullish for gold, but not so much for the dollar.

While China’s role is still emerging and there isn’t a true full dollar rival, the shifting global financial order and its implications for the U.S. cannot be ignored.
After 80 years, history is starting to rhyme with other financial orders that have been through a decline. If the U.S. doesn’t get its financial house stabilized, it won’t be good for Americans or the global economy.

 

jward

passin' thru
Don't forget his anti-us comments in the past few months, either.
..whatta time & issue for france to man up, eh?

Terror Alarm
@Terror_Alarm
14h

South Africa confirms that Macron may attend next BRICS summit as a guest.
Macron has betrayed the Free World. French people deserve a better leader.
 

vector7

Dot Collector
F0HmHqdaAAM-olb


^^^Thanks to Caving McCarthy we are up nearly a Trillion more in debt in less than a month...to $32.2tln. On track to hit $50tln by 2030...

The U.S. national debt spiked by $851 billion since the debt ceiling was suspended a month ago on June 3, and now hit $32.32 trillion.

We will be at $40 trillion during this next recession as they dial up the bailouts and govt programs to re-inflate the economy

There really is no stopping it at this point. I don't know what is going to happen to society but whatever it is, it's going to be bad for the majority of people.

It is a simple exponential. We are borrowing to pay interest right now. We will continue to monetize the debt until the dollar is worthless
View: https://twitter.com/waynenilsen/status/1675817695462162432?t=gQEytiwzbZk1COZcaK9T3g&s=19
 
Last edited:

Doughboy42

Veteran Member

northern watch

TB Fanatic

Russia confirms BRICS will create a gold-backed currency

Russia confirms BRICS will create a gold-backed currency
gold by Jingming Pan is licensed under unsplash.com

The gold market could see new bullish momentum as the world could see a new type of gold standard.

Friday, according to state-run RT, the Russian government has confirmed that Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, also known as BRICS nations, will introduce a new trading currency backed by gold. The official announcement is expected to be made during the BRICS summit in August in South Africa.

There You Go - It’s Official

‘BRICS planning to introduce new trading currency backed by gold at August summit’

‘Gold standard will be a great benefit to strengthening single currency’

‘41 countries have applied for BRICS-membership’

Source: RT / Russian Embassy pic.twitter.com/zmqOKiXlsa
— Willem Middelkoop (@wmiddelkoop) July 7, 2023
The latest news is adding new momentum to the ongoing de-dollarization trend unfolding in the global economy. Since mid-2022, central banks worldwide have been buying gold at a historic pace in part to diversify their reserve away from the U.S. dollar. For many analysts, a gold-backed currency is the next evolution in this process. Many analysts have seen China's recent gold purchases as an attempt to bring international credibility to the yuan.
Source: Kitco News

 

jward

passin' thru

'Catastrophic': Biden's Policies Put US Dollar's Global Dominance At Risk, Economists Say​


Jason Cohen



  • The policies of President Joe Biden’s administration are undermining the strength of the U.S. dollar and jeopardizing America’s worldwide influence, economists told the Daily Caller News Foundation.
  • Economists expressed concern regarding the possible consequences of Biden’s policies, highlighting the threat to the U.S. dollar’s global reserve currency status.
  • “Losing reserve currency status … would mean 70 years of deficits flooding back to the U.S., all competing with existing dollars held domestically to buy goods and services,” Heritage Foundation economist E.J. Antoni told the DCNF. “That’s a hyperinflation scenario. It also means we could no longer export inflation abroad, so we’d bear the full cost of future inflation ourselves.”
President Joe Biden’s administration’s policies are weakening the standing of the U.S. dollar and threatening America’s global influence, according to economists who spoke to the Daily Caller News Foundation.

Economists told the DCNF about the potential repercussions of Biden’s policies, expressing serious concerns that the U.S. dollar’s global reserve currency status is at risk. The result could be hyperinflation, spending cuts and other severe consequences for the country; economists concurred that the actions taken by the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve have contributed to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, but there was a divergence of opinion regarding the extent of the risk.

“The Biden administration has taken so many actions to dethrone King Dollar that it would be difficult to rank them all by their destructiveness,” Heritage Foundation economist E.J. Antoni told the DCNF.

As the reserve currency, the U.S. dollar is involved in the majority of business on the planet. International trade typically takes place in dollars.

“Losing reserve currency status … would mean 70 years of deficits flooding back to the U.S., all competing with existing dollars held domestically to buy goods and services,” Antoni told the DCNF. “That’s a hyperinflation scenario. It also means we could no longer export inflation abroad, so we’d bear the full cost of future inflation ourselves.”

Economists particularly criticized the Biden administration’s sanctions against Russia as a punishment for invading Ukraine. The U.S. seized Russian central bank assets and participated in banning Russian banks from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), the global financial messaging system, in February 2022.

The U.S. and its allies have taken over $300 billion worth of foreign currency assets held by the Russian central bank, which had been frozen due to sanctions, according to Reuters. A substantial portion of the seized assets are now located at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, although they are still owned by Russia.

Confiscating Russia’s central bank dollar reserves was “the single biggest Biden mistake,” Peter St. Onge, an economist at the Heritage Foundation, told the DCNF. “It put dozens of countries on notice that if the U.S. doesn’t like your policy, we’ll crash your economy and seize your dollars. In other words, dollars now carry a unique risk.”

Further, removing Russian banks from SWIFT “signaled to countries not politically aligned with the United States that we are willing to use the dollar as a political weapon, which made them reluctant to hold U.S. dollars,” Dr. Thomas Hogan, senior research faculty at the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), told the DCNF.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen lauded the sanctions, stating they will be effective in preventing Russia from destroying Europe without hurting the U.S. “Our actions, taken in coordination with partners and allies, will degrade Russia’s ability to project power and threaten the peace and stability of Europe,” Yellen said at the time. “We are united in our efforts to hold Russia accountable for its further invasion of Ukraine while mitigating impacts to Americans and our partners.”

These sanctions against Russia have led countries to devise alternatives to the U.S. dollar, AIER economist Peter Earle told the DCNF.

China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Brazil began trading in the Chinese Yuan and the Russian ruble instead of the U.S. dollar in 2023, according to NPR.

“No country wants to suddenly be unable to engage in international trade if they have a dispute or fall into disfavor with Washington D.C.,” Earle explained.

Additionally, Russian state-backed media has reported that Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) will soon announce a gold-backed currency.

“A gold-backed currency represents a real threat to all fiat monies, including the dollar,” Antoni told the DCNF. (RELATED: EJ ANTONI: The Decline And Fall Of The US Dollar)

“The real source of our power is the dollar,” Peter Schiff, the chief economist and global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, told the DCNF. “If the dollar wasn’t the reserve currency, government spending would have to be slashed.”

Inflation is another reason the dollar’s value is weaker, with economists blaming Biden and the Federal Reserve’s policy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a broad measure of prices of everyday goods such as energy and food, increased 3.0% on an annual basis in June, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

“The Biden administration’s spending, borrowing, and printing of trillions of dollars gave us 40-year-high inflation,” Antoni told the DCNF. “Such devaluation of the dollar has shaken foreigners’ confidence in the currency’s stability over time.”

However, Hogan told the DCNF that “the strength of the U.S. dollar is really determined by monetary policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve … the Fed creates inflation.”

“I don’t think inflation is Biden’s fault,” Hogan added. “In terms of inflation, I blame it entirely on Fed officials, not on the Biden administration.”

Hogan also was more optimistic, stating, “Luckily for us, it’s still less bad than in many other countries, which has kept the international value of the dollar relatively stable. Although dollar dominance has declined in recent years, the magnitude is small. There is no other serious contender for widespread use in international exchange.”

“Even though I would like the United States to have a more stable currency (less inflation), a stronger economy (less regulation), and a more reliable government, we are still better on those margins than pretty much every other country in the world,” Hogan added. “Unless China or Russia suddenly gets free markets, strong property rights, and a stable currency, they do not present a serious threat to U.S. dollar dominance.”

Earle was also optimistic about the dollar’s future as the reserve currency. “Ejecting the dollar from the top spot as the global reserve currency is highly unlikely and would take decades,” he told the DCNF.

Antoni disagreed. “It’s difficult to overstate just how calamitous this would be and how quickly it could happen,” he said.

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
The IMF is now considering accepting yuan, (instead of $,) from nations in repayment of loans. This is a major way we export our inflation by forcing other nations to buy our treasuries.

IMF Hints At Allowing Countries To Use Chinese Yuan For Debt Repayment​

SATURDAY, JUL 15, 2023 - 08:30 PM
Authored by Aldgra Fredly via The Epoch Times,

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has hinted that it may accept the Chinese Yuan as a currency for countries to settle their obligations with the IMF following Argentina’s recent debt repayment in yuan.

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack confirmed on Thursday that Argentina had paid off part of its debts—equivalent to $1.1 billion of the $2.7 billion that matured last month—with the IMF in Chinese currency.

“As we have stated in the past, the Argentine authorities continue to remain current on their financial obligations to the IMF,” Ms. Kozack said at a press briefing.

“The RMB is one of the five freely usable currencies that members can and have used to settle their obligations with the IMF,” she added, referring to the Chinese currency by its official name, the renminbi.

Ms. Kozack said that negotiations on the $44-billion program are still ongoing.

She denied that the IMF received a letter from China stating it would allow Argentina to use a swap line with the Chinese Central Bank to pay off its IMF dues.

“Our team has been working intensively with the Argentine authorities to make progress toward the completion of the fifth review. And to help the authorities address a very complex and challenging situation,” she said.

“In terms of the details of those discussions, because the teams are still in discussion, I will not pre-empt those discussions, and I will not get into the details other than to say that the discussions are frequent, and they are aimed at advancing the program.”


“With respect to a couple of the other questions on the letter, [our] understanding is that there is no such letter,” Ms. Kozack added.

Argentina’s Central Bank signed a deal with China last month to renew the 130 billion yuan ($18.4 billion) swap line for another three years, doubling the amount of freely accessible funds from 35 billion yuan ($5 billion) to 70 billion yuan ($10 billion).

Argentina’s Ministry of Economy said the swap would be in a single tranche and freely available for any type of financial operation, adding that the country would look to promote more yuan spot and future operations.

On June 29, the bank said it had incorporated the yuan as a currency accepted for deposits in savings banks and checking accounts, signaling a departure from the U.S. dollar as its sole official reserve currency.

“Financial entities will thus be enabled to open bank accounts denominated in renminbi yuan,” the bank stated.

The move comes as the South American nation’s foreign currency reserves plummeted due to a severe drought that has reduced grain exports, its major source of dollar earnings, and the peso currency has weakened under the weight of 109 percent annual inflation.

Ahead of general elections in October, Argentina’s government is trying to rebuild reserves to make debt payments, cover trade costs, and meet economic targets under a $44 billion loan program with the IMF.

Yuan Far From Dethroning Dollar​

Aside from Argentina, Brazil also signed an agreement with China earlier this year that would allow them to conduct trade and investments in their own currencies, further reducing the U.S. dollar’s dominance.
Milton Ezrati, chief economist at Vested, a New York-based communications firm, said the deal is an attempt to elevate the yuan as an international currency, yet, “the yuan is a long way from an international reserve currency such as the dollar.”

According to Mr. Ezrati, China does not have the financial markets to support financial arrangements in yuan, which is one of the requirements for a world reserve currency.

“If you are the world’s reserve currency, as the dollar is, then traders all over the globe have to hold your currency, because that’s the way they do their business. If they hold your currency, they want a place to invest it,” he recently told “China in Focus” on NTD.

Mr. Erzati contended that in such a case, traders in yuan might face difficulties in securing markets to invest in because China controls the flows of money into and out of the country.
 

Zagdid

Veteran Member

Published July 7, 2023 2:00am EDT By Breck Dumas FOXBusiness

US bankruptcy filings surge in first half of 2023

Business and individual bankruptcies jump after months of high inflation and rising interest rates


Bankruptcy filings in the U.S. jumped markedly in the first six months of 2023 compared to the same period last year according to data released this week by Epiq Bankruptcy.

The firm reported commercial Chapter 11 "reorganization" bankruptcies surged 68%, with filings for small businesses climbing by 55%. Chapter 13 filings that allow individuals to repay a portion of their debts jumped by 23% in the first half of the year.

"The first six months of 2023 saw a nearly 70 percent increase of total commercial Chapter 11 bankruptcies," said Gregg Morin, Vice President of Business Development and Revenue at Epiq Bankruptcy. "This trend points to the economic trials businesses are facing right now, which are impacted by rising interest rates, inflation, and increased borrowing costs, to name a few."

Bankruptcy experts say myriad factors have contributed to the increase in Americans and businesses being pushed to the point of insolvency.

"This past year, rising inflation, higher interest rates and the conclusion of government stimulus programs have put significant strain on U.S. consumers," said Amy Quackenboss, executive director of the American Bankruptcy Institute.

Quackenboss noted consumer credit card debt is at historically high levels as individuals and families struggle to pay for the higher cost of necessary household goods and services. She told FOX Business "some are facing foreclosure on their homes because the cost of refinancing is prohibitive due to rising interest rates."

Kevin Carey, ABI’s immediate past president, pointed to rising mortgage rates as another possible contributing factor to the rise in bankruptcies. He explained that Chapter 13 bankruptcies typically involve consumers who have defaulted on their mortgage payments and are trying to stop the foreclosure process by restructuring their debt with the lender.


Carey, an expert in business restructuring and senior counsel at global law firm Hogan Lovells, said businesses are being hit with high borrowing costs and having more difficulty obtaining financing.

"I think we're still in a post-pandemic hangover where some businesses are either not recovering or recovering very slowly," he told FOX Business.

Carey said owners of commercial real estate are also having difficulty paying their mortgages and that market is experiencing deep problems as tenants give up space because companies have been unable to draw workers back to the office. He added, "That's a distress I think that's going to continue for the near term."

The expert said it is difficult to predict whether bankruptcies will continue to rise, but noted there are indications that things could get worse. Carey and Quackenboss both said the upcoming expiration of the student loan repayment moratorium in a few months could drive more individuals into filing.

While he believes bankruptcy filings for both individuals and businesses will continue to increase, Carey does not see a crisis situation right now.

According to Epiq's data, there were over 200,000 total bankruptcy filings nationwide in the first six months of this year, up 17% from the more than 185,000 total filings during the same period last year.

"There was a period of time when there were a million bankruptcy filings a year," Carey said. "I don't think we're going to get to that place again, at least not yet."
 

jward

passin' thru
Royal Intel
@RoyalIntel_

More countries attempting to join BRICS:

The list of countries ready to join the BRICS alliance and accept the new currency is increasing. From a total of 19 countries in April, these numbers have increased to 41 countries by the end of June. A total of 22 new countries have expressed their interest to join this block and depreciate the dollar in two months. The next BRICS meeting will be held in South Africa in August, where the five-nation bloc will collectively decide on the creation of a new currency
View: https://twitter.com/RoyalIntel_/status/1681122483838091264?s=20
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
Feet on the ground here in Jordan, the dollar is just as accept as the Jordanian money is by regular people. In the capital of Amman, except for the architecture, you could imagine yourself in a US protectorate.
 

Zagdid

Veteran Member

Barron's Barron's

More Oil Sales Move to Non-Dollar Currencies​

Story by Avi Salzman • Yesterday 2:21 PM

Oil has been priced in dollars for decades, one of the few predictable relationships in a commodity market that can be very volatile. But there’s a shift under way in some countries that is reducing the dollar’s dominance.

The most prominent country that has shifted sales away from the dollar is Russia, which accounts for about 10% of oil production, according to J.P.Morgan analyst Natasha Kaneva. Russian oil no longer flows to Europe or the U.S., because of sanctions related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and an increasing amount of its oil has gone to India and China. Other countries that have been sanctioned by the U.S. have also shifted the currencies they use. Venezuela, which has the most oil reserves in the world, started using the Chinese yuan or the euro for its oil trades following the imposition of U.S. sanctions. Overall, about 20% of the world’s oil is now being sold at discounted prices because of sanctions, Kaneva estimates. Much of that trade has moved away from the dollar, or at least has the potential to do so.

The shift is important for several reasons. Oil has long traded in an inverse relationship to the dollar. When the dollar gets stronger, oil tends to get weaker, on the margin. But that relationship has begun to wane. Kaneva believes the move away from the dollar began around 2014. She tracked the impact of changes in the value of the dollar against changes in oil prices. From 2005 to 2013, a 1% appreciation of the U.S. trade-weighted dollar reduced the price of international oil by about 3%, but it only led to a 0.2% drop between 2014 and 2022. That change in relative sensitivities may mean that oil will not benefit much from a recent decline in the value of the dollar. Nonetheless, Kaneva expects oil prices to rise in the third quarter as demand outpaces supply.

The decline of the dollar does not appear to mean a new currency will become the clear leader in the oil trade. No one alternative currency appears to be taking its place. Instead, prices are being denominated in several local currencies, sometimes in surprising ways. For instance, Indian refiners have begun paying for Russian oil in dirhams, the currency of the United Arab Emirates. The value of the dirham is pegged to the dollar, which offers some stability to traders while allowing Russia to divert money away from dollars.

The change in trading patterns may elevate some developing countries, Kaneva predicts.

“This de-dollarization trend in the commodity trade is a boon for the countries like India, China, Brazil, Thailand and Indonesia, which can now not only buy oil at a discount, but pay for it with their own local currencies,” she wrote. “This reduces the need for precautionary reserves of U.S. dollars, U.S. Treasuries and oil, which in turn might free capital to be deployed in growth-boosting domestic projects.”

All that said, it’s still difficult to move away from the dollar—and by some measures the dollar is only getting more important. As of the end of the first quarter, 55% of the world’s reserves were still in the greenback, up from 54% at the end of last year, according to the International Monetary Fund.

For one thing, it can be difficult for countries to trade in alternative currencies if they don’t have robust two-way trade. Russia reportedly has built up a large surplus of rupees that it currently has no use for, and that Russian companies can’t easily repatriate into Russia, for instance.

Some commentators argue that the reports of the dollar’s demise are premature.

“We do not see another currency with the liquidity and widespread acceptance to knock the dollar off its perch,” wrote Wells Fargo Investment Institute strategist Scott Wren last month.
 

jward

passin' thru

Chipping away at US dollar dominance​


Joseph Dana

6–7 minutes




There is undeniable excitement about challenges to the American dollar’s position as the global reserve currency.
While economists have warned for years that the dollar’s dominance shouldn’t be a foregone conclusion, few have paid close attention to the warnings, especially in the halls of American power.

After Russia invaded Ukraine and US sanctions failed to deliver a decisive blow against the Russian economy, new questions emerged about how the global economy grew beyond America’s grip.
These discussions have reached a fever pitch in debates about the creation of a BRICS currency. The BRICS – a grouping of the economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – represents an alternative to Western-controlled international organizations such as the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

Together, these economies represent a vast swath of the global economy, and their influence extends to areas beyond the American purview in the Global South. Creating a shared currency in these economies would upend international trade and represent a clear challenge to the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
But this article isn’t about a BRICS currency, because we are far from its creation. Instead, we must recognize that discussion about a BRICS currency overshadows more significant developments quietly chipping away at the dollar’s current dominance.
This month, India and the United Arab Emirates agreed to use their local currencies for cross-border transactions. On the surface, this might not seem particularly important. Countries trade in their local currencies all the time. However, this small development is laying the foundations for dramatic changes in the near future.

Trade between India and the UAE is booming. From April 2022 to March 2023, bilateral trade was US$84.5 billion. Oil drives this, as India is one of the world’s largest oil importers and consumers.
The UAE is also the second-largest source of remittances for India. Remittance payments – money sent back home by Indians working outside the country – are vital to the Indian economy. In the 2021-22 fiscal year, India received close to $90 billion in remittance payments, the highest on record for the country.

Disempowering the petrodollar​

Remittance payments and oil sales have been conducted in US dollars for decades, but with the new focus on trading in local currencies, there is a clear shift away from the dollar. One official told Reuters that India is preparing its first rupee payment for Emirati oil to the Abu Dhabi National Oil Co in the coming months.

Part of the power of the US dollar as a global reserve currency is how it is used for transactions between countries like the UAE and India. This is especially clear in the oil trade, given that oil is almost universally traded in dollars.
If the US wants to punish the geopolitical decisions of other countries like Russia, it can exercise its control over the dollar in the oil trade. This is one reason China has been actively investing in Saudi Arabia.
As part of its years-long push to break the oil trade’s reliance on dollars and shift it to the yuan, China has been on a charm offensive in Saudi Arabia. China has even floated the idea of a free-trade agreement between the two nations, attempted to buy a minority stake in Saudi Aramco, and welcomed the kingdom’s multibillion-dollar investments in China.
The closeness of the relationship has worried the US, but President Joe Biden’s administration has proved unable or unwilling to stop China and Saudi Arabia from moving closer together.
Saudi Arabia has also been leveraging its position as a primary supplier of crude oil to India for its geopolitical ambitions of carving out a genuinely independent foreign policy.

These developments might seem small taken by themselves, but viewed together, it’s clear that a profound shift is taking place in the global economy. Without the creation of a BRICS currency, major economies of the Global South are forging partnerships that will allow them to move their economies off the US dollar.
In another part of the world, Brazil and Argentina are discussing the creation of a common currency. While these plans might seem pie in the sky right now, a foundation is being laid that will seriously challenge the dollar’s dominance.
The US needs a new strategy to contend with these challenges coming down the pike, and so far, it’s hard to detect one in Washington.

It’s essential to see the forest beyond the trees. The dollar isn’t going to be killed off by one contender currency like a BRICS currency. It will lose its power and dominance thanks to small steps taken by countries that prefer to determine their affairs without the influence of a global reserve country.
As the world’s second-largest economy, China is helping other countries like Saudi Arabia push their visions for global power. It’s all happening in real time. You just have to look at the details.
This article was provided by Syndication Bureau, which holds copyright.



Joseph Dana is a writer based in South Africa and the Middle East. He has reported from Jerusalem, Ramallah, Cairo, Istanbul and Abu Dhabi. He was formerly editor-in-chief of emerge85, a media project based in Abu Dhabi exploring change in emerging markets. Follow him on Twitter @ibnezra. More by Joseph Dana


Chipping away at US dollar dominance
 

jward

passin' thru
DD Geopolitics
@DD_Geopolitics
Venezuela has applied to join BRICS

The country hopes for a positive decision on admission to the association

Venezuela has applied to join BRICS and hopes for a positive decision to join this association. This was announced on Monday by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in the author's program of the Venezolana de Television channel "With Maduro +".

"Venezuela has sent a proposal to join BRICS, we hope that this proposal will be considered positively," the president pointed out. "We expect a positive response from Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa for Venezuela to sooner or later become a member of BRICS," he said.

"BRICS plays a leading role in building a new world and opens a dynamic path to a multipolar world," Maduro stressed.

It is expected that the BRICS summit, which will be held in Johannesburg on August 22-24, will consider official applications submitted by some countries to join the BRICS.
 

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Whether they'll succeed or fail, it is quite apparent that a significan portion of the rest of the World is sick of our ****.

They'll still gladly accept 'free money' and engage in the grift, of course. Politicians do what they do...
 

jward

passin' thru

BRICS: Brazil’s President Calls to End US Dollar Trade Dominance​


Michael Grullon


Brazil and its president have been very outspoken on ending the US Dollar’s dominance in global trade. In being a founding member of BRICS, Brazil pushes for devaluing the US Dollar and is hopeful that a gold-backed BRICS currency will propel that mission.
Speaking today, Brazil president Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva has called for an end to the US dollar’s international trade dominance again, in support of BRICS. This echoes the previous comments the president gave in the past. Addressing the media about the upcoming BRICS Summit, President Da Silva explains that new countries joining BRICS will be discussed.

“Everyone knows that I defend the idea that we have our own currency to trade between countries,” he says. “Why does Brazil need the dollar to trade with China or Argentina? We can trade in our currency,” he adds.
Also Read: Russia Signals There Are Disagreements Over BRICS Expansion

Other South American countries like Argentina are already beginning to trade via the Chinese Yuan. This is to halt the use of the US Dollar in the country for trade. At the upcoming BRICS Summit, both the devaluing of the US Dollar and a new currency will be topics of discussion for Brazil and the other member nations. Other nations vying to join will likely also echo the Brazilian president.
 

jward

passin' thru
Over time I've moved more toward Peter Z's position on the brics and dedollarization as not much of anything burgers, if not outright 'nothingburgers' but. . . :: shrug ::


Wendy Patterson liked
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NEW: Iraq is set to fuel de-dollarization by ending all dollar cash withdrawals by Jan. 1 2024, central-bank official says

5:47 AM · Oct 6, 2023
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Bubble Head

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Over time I've moved more toward Peter Z's position on the brics and dedollarization as not much of anything burgers, if not outright 'nothingburgers' but. . . :: shrug ::


Wendy Patterson liked
Insider Paper
@TheInsiderPaper

NEW: Iraq is set to fuel de-dollarization by ending all dollar cash withdrawals by Jan. 1 2024, central-bank official says

5:47 AM · Oct 6, 2023
39K
Views
Didn't we liberate them with blood, bone, and full body bags coming home a few years back?
 
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