HEALTH CONCERNS THAT WEST AFRICAN EBOLA VIRUS MAY HAVE SPREAD TO MOROCCO

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion. Not the news we wanted to hear on a new strain;however, the slowing of new cases is indeed good news. Stay tuned.
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpr...ca-ebola-confirmed-in-outbreak-is-new-strain/

West Africa Ebola confirmed in outbreak is new strain
Posted on April 16, 2014 by The Extinction Protocol

April 2014 – AFRICA – The Ebola virus in western Africa is a novel strain that probably evolved locally and circulated for months before the outbreak became apparent, researchers said. The index case is probably a 2-year-old child from Guinea’s Guéckédou prefecture who died Dec. 6, 2013 — several months before the outbreak was recognized in March, according to Stephan Günther, MD, of the Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine in Hamburg, Germany, and colleagues. The findings come from an early epidemiological “look-back” and genetic examination of virus samples from 15 patients, Günther and colleagues reported online in the New England Journal of Medicine. The report comes as the World Health Organization is reporting that the outbreak now includes 202 suspected or confirmed cases — 168 in Guinea, 28 in Liberia, and six in Mali. There have been 121 deaths. Meanwhile, the health ministry in Guinea was optimistic that the worst is over. A spokesman told reporters the rate of new cases has slowed dramatically in Guinea and the outbreak is nearly under control. Reuters news agency quoted spokesman Rafi Diallo as saying: “The number of new cases has fallen rapidly” and the most recent cases are people who are not sick but are being monitored because they had been in contact with those who had fallen ill. “Once we no longer have any new cases … we can say that it is totally under control,” Diallo was quoted as saying. Günther and colleagues studied samples from 15 patients and concluded the virus affecting them is a novel version of ebolavirus, which has five species: Zaire ebolavirus (or EBOV), Sudan ebolavirus, Bundibugyo ebolavirus, Reston ebolavirus, and Tai Forest ebolavirus. The first three have caused major outbreaks in Africa, while the Tai Forest species has been responsible for a single human case, and the Reston species, which circulates in the Philippines, affects nonhuman primates but not people.

The version in the current outbreak is 97% identical to strains from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Gabon, but is a separate grouping with the EBOV clade, Günther and colleagues found. It probably evolved recently in parallel with the strains from other countries and was not introduced into Guinea from them, they concluded. “It is possible that EBOV has circulated undetected in this region for some time,” they wrote, and its emergence “highlights the risk of EBOV outbreaks in the whole West African subregion.”

To try to get a handle on that emergence, the researchers reviewed hospital documentation and interviewed affected families, patients, and inhabitants of villages in which cases occurred. What appears to be the first case — at the “current state of the epidemiologic investigation” — was the 2-year-old, who lived in Meliandou in Guéckédou prefecture, the researchers wrote. Several members of her family also became ill and died, as did several contacts from other villages. Importantly, a healthcare worker who treated family members appears to have been the key player in spreading the virus beyond the local region. The worker became ill, went to hospital in the neighboring Macenta prefecture, and died there. From there, family members carried the virus back to other parts of Guéckédou and other contacts spread the virus to Nzérékoré and Kissidougou prefectures. The virus was apparently transmitted for months before the outbreak became evident, the researchers argued — a length of exposure that “allowed many transmission chains and thus increased the number of cases. –Med Page Today
 

dstraito

TB Fanatic
A false flag without a boom?

Imagine incubating a few hundred people and then flying them to parts all over the world. Disaster with nary a shot fired.
 

almost ready

Inactive
New England Journal of Medicine chimes in. Most of the article has to do with viral sequencing and is of little to no meaning to us. A couple of points, however, are critically important, and here they are:

1 - the index case has been moved to December, also the first spreader of the current outbreak has been identified

2 - Ebola is now being called Ebola Virus Disease - EVD - and this very quiet change is apparently a result of the fact that so many cases did not present hemorrhage as to alert the physicians on the scene ( including MSF) that there was an Ebola outbreak. Because of this lack of hemorrhage, not only did the disease go undetected, but was spread to three locations by a health care worker who had contracted the disease.

"Emergence of Zaire Ebola Virus Disease in Guinea — Preliminary Report"

This introduction seems to have happened in early December 2013 or even before. Further epidemiologic investigation is ongoing to identify the presumed animal source of the outbreak. It is suspected that the virus was transmitted for months before the outbreak became apparent because of clusters of cases in the hospitals of Guéckédou and Macenta. This length of exposure appears to have allowed many transmission chains and thus increased the number of cases of Ebola virus disease.

an area in which EBOV was endemic.....

On March 10, 2014, hospitals and public health services in Guéckédou and Macenta alerted the Ministry of Health of Guinea and — 2 days later — Médecins sans Frontières in Guinea about clusters of a mysterious disease characterized by fever, severe diarrhea, vomiting, and an apparent high fatality rate. ....
The clinical picture of the initial cases was predominantly fever, vomiting, and severe diarrhea. Hemorrhage was not documented for most of the patients with confirmed disease at the time of sampling but may have developed during the later course of the disease. The term Ebola virus disease (rather than the earlier term Ebola hemorrhagic fever) takes into account that hemorrhage is not seen in all patients15 and may help clinicians and public health officials in the early recognition of the disease. The case fatality rate was 86% among the early confirmed cases and 71% among clinically suspected cases, which is consistent with the case fatality rates observed in previous EBOV outbreaks.15-17

http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1404505?query=featured_home&#Top=&t=articleTop

Coupled with the long incubation period (the WikiEmergence of Zaire Ebola Virus Disease in Guinea — Preliminary Report)
 

almost ready

Inactive
Two quick notes re EBV - went over to wikipedia to grab reference. The mean incubation period (which had been 12.6 days a couple weeks ago) is now absent. Also the change to EBV in that article has been noted.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Interersting updates you posted there AR. It now makes me wonder if EBV made it further into Europe than we know about?
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
I wonder if the slowing of new cases is a change in reporting, because EBV has now run into a healthier population, or if it is a result of lowering of fatality rates. Conversely, has it become more fatal and burns itself out too fast to transmit in areas of better hygiene and medical PPE.

Lots of questions still out there and still a chance that it has gone much farther afield, including into Europe.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1404505

Emergence of Zaire Ebola Virus Disease in Guinea — Preliminary Report


In March 2014, the World Health Organization was notified of an outbreak of a communicable disease characterized by fever, severe diarrhea, vomiting, and a high fatality rate in Guinea. Virologic investigation identified Zaire ebolavirus (EBOV) as the causative agent. Full-length genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis showed that EBOV from Guinea forms a separate clade in relationship to the known EBOV strains from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Gabon. Epidemiologic investigation linked the laboratory-confirmed cases with the presumed first fatality of the outbreak in December 2013. This study demonstrates the emergence of a new EBOV strain in Guinea.

[snip]

According to the current state of the epidemiologic investigation, the suspected first case of the outbreak was a 2-year-old child who died in Meliandou in Guéckédou prefecture on December 6, 2013 (Figure 2). Patient S14, a health care worker from Guéckédou with suspected disease, seems to have triggered the spread of the virus to Macenta, Nzérékoré, and Kissidougou in February 2014. As the virus spread, 13 of the confirmed cases could be linked to four clusters: the Baladou district of Guéckédou, the Farako district of Guéckédou, Macenta, and Kissidougou. Eventually, all clusters were linked with several deaths in the villages of Meliandou and Dawa between December 2013 and March 2014.

[snip]

This study demonstrates the emergence of EBOV in Guinea. The high degree of similarity among the 15 partial L gene sequences, along with the three full-length sequences and the epidemiologic links between the cases, suggest a single introduction of the virus into the human population. This introduction seems to have happened in early December 2013 or even before. Further epidemiologic investigation is ongoing to identify the presumed animal source of the outbreak. It is suspected that the virus was transmitted for months before the outbreak became apparent because of clusters of cases in the hospitals of Guéckédou and Macenta. This length of exposure appears to have allowed many transmission chains and thus increased the number of cases of Ebola virus disease.

The clinical picture of the initial cases was predominantly fever, vomiting, and severe diarrhea. Hemorrhage was not documented for most of the patients with confirmed disease at the time of sampling but may have developed during the later course of the disease. The term Ebola virus disease (rather than the earlier term Ebola hemorrhagic fever) takes into account that hemorrhage is not seen in all patients15 and may help clinicians and public health officials in the early recognition of the disease. The case fatality rate was 86% among the early confirmed cases and 71% among clinically suspected cases, which is consistent with the case fatality rates observed in previous EBOV outbreaks.15-17
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.voanews.com/content/death-toll-from-ebola-outbreak-rises-to-135/1895329.html?

Ebola Outbreak Death Toll Rises to 135

VOA News
April 17, 2014


The World Health Organization says the death toll from the Ebola outbreak in West Africa has risen to at least 135.

In a Thursday statement the WHO says Guinea's health ministry had reported a total of 122 deaths, while 13 deaths had been reported by Liberian health officials.

The WHO says officials are investigating more than 200 suspected or confirmed cases of the virus in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

Six suspected cases in Mali tested negative and no new suspected cases have been reported.

This is the first major outbreak of Ebola in West Africa. Authorities say it began in a forested southeastern region of Guinea in February.

The Ebola virus is spread by contact with bodily fluids. It causes symptoms that include vomiting, unstoppable bleeding and organ failure.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_04_17_ebola/en/

Ebola virus disease, West Africa – update
Disease Outbreak News
17 April 2014

Guinea

As of 18:00 on 16 April, the Ministry of Health (MOH) of Guinea has reported a cumulative total of 197 clinical cases of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), including 122 deaths. To date, 101 cases have been laboratory confirmed, including 56 deaths, 43 cases (33 deaths) meet the probable case definition for EVD and 53 cases (33 deaths) are classified as suspected cases. Twenty-four (24) health-care workers (HCW) have been affected with 13 deaths. Clinical cases of EVD have been reported from Conakry (47 cases, including 16 deaths), Guekedou (117/80), Macenta (22/16), Kissidougou (6/5), Dabola (4/4) and Djingaraye (1/1).

Contact tracing activities continue in all affected areas including new contacts generated by a HCW who passed away 3 days ago. In Conakry, 60 community volunteers are assisting the MOH and response partners in following up the 221 contacts currently under medical observation. Seven contacts who developed symptoms have been placed in isolation as a precautionary measure. A total of 249 contacts are being followed in Guekedou, 54 in Macenta 17 in Kissidougou, 63 in Dabola and 2 in Dingaraye.

A total of 36 patients are currently in isolation; 23 in Conakry, 12 in Guéckédou and 1 in Macenta. Clinical teams from WHO, the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN) and Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) are supporting national medical and nursing staff at the Donka Hospital to strengthen patient triage, case management and infection prevention and control (IPC). Training on the safe handling of patients with EVD and the deceased was conducted jointly by the IPC and Logistics teams at the Donka hospital for staff working at the morgue, and for drivers and staff transporting patients in stretchers. A training of trainers activity for the directors of all 20 Centres de Santé in Conakry is planned for 17 April. IPC training is also scheduled at 2 community health centres tomorrow.

Numbers of cases and contacts remain subject to change due to consolidation of cases, contact and laboratory data, enhanced surveillance and contact tracing activities and the continuing laboratory investigations.

Mali

The Ministry of Health (MOH) of Mali has on the 16th April reported that the clinical samples on the 6 suspected cases have tested negative for ebolavirus.

The samples were tested at the WHO Collaborating Centre for Arbovirus and Viral Haemorrhagic Fever of the Institut Pasteur, Dakar, Senegal. The samples were also tested using real-time PCR at the newly established, mobile high security laboratory at the SEREFO Center for HIV and TB Training and Research, University of Bamako. Malian laboratory experts from the SEREFO Center, the National Institute of Public Health (INRSP), the Centre National d'Appui à la lutte contre la Maladie (CNAM), the National Blood Transfusion Centre (CNTS) and the Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Science, Technics and Technology, Bamako (FMOS) were trained in ebolavirus diagnosis by staff of the US National Institutes of Health (NIH).

As of 16 April, no new suspected cases have been reported in Mali.

Continuing preparedness and response activities include raising awareness among health-care workers and the broader community about EVD and reinforcing personal and community-based risk reduction strategies. The need for strict adherence with infection prevention and control measures within health-care facilities remains a key intervention.

WHO is supporting the national health authorities of Mali, Guinea and Côte d'Ivoire in the planning of a cross-border meeting on Ebola virus disease. Response partners supporting the MOH include WHO, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), MSF, the European Community Humanitarian Office (ECHO), Agence Française de Développement (AFD), the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), the NIH and the UN Children's Rights and Emergency Relief Organization (UNICEF).

Liberia

As of 16 April the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (MOHSW) of Liberia has reported a cumulative total of 27 clinical cases of EVD, including 13 deaths attributed to EVD. One new suspected case reported yesterday from Nimba County has been laboratory confirmed as a case of Lassa fever. Two patients remain hospitalised and 33 contacts remain under medical observation. The MOHSW commissioned a new ebolavirus laboratory on 16 April in collaboration with Metabiota.

The MOHSW, in collaboration with WHO and the GOARN team in Liberia, has conducted visits to the John F. Kennedy Medical Center in Monrovia and the Redemption Hospital, New Kru Town in Montserrado County, and conducted the first training in case management, triage and infection prevention and control.

Sierra Leone

On 15 April, the Ministry of Health and Sanitation (MOHS) provided a consolidated report of surveillance activities conducted in that country from 19 March onwards. A total of 12 suspected cases have been identified during that period. Two previously reported suspected EVD deaths occurred in individuals from one family who died in Guinea and their bodies repatriated to Sierra Leone for burial. All of the 15 case contacts have completed 21 days of medical follow-up and have remained well. The Metabiota laboratory team working at the Kenema Government Hospital Lassa Fever Isolation Unit have received and tested clinical samples from 11 of the suspected cases using 2 different real-time PCR protocols for Ebola Zaire, other viral haemorrhagic fevers and important locally endemic pathogens. All of the samples have tested negative for ebolavirus and the other pathogens included in the test panel.

Follow up on rumours of EVD cases and active case finding is ongoing in Sierra Leone. Metabiota in collaboration with the MOHS have conducted training of trainers for 75 clinicians and nurses from the main referral government, private and mission hospitals in the 13 districts on EVD preparedness and response at the Kenema Lassa Fever unit. Multimedia community sensitisation activities are also continuing.

WHO does not recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied to Guinea, Liberia, Mali or Sierra Leone based on the current information available for this event.

I'm a little concerned WHO is calling what amounts to an 'all clear' too soon.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
Mali has just recently become "safe" to travel in. Our church has a mission there and our mission board recommended postponing the most recent mission trip there until the West African ebola epidemic is under control.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-ne...oken-through-all-containment-efforts_04202014

Report: Ebola Suspected In Europe: “Broken Through All Containment Efforts”
Mac Slavo
April 20th, 2014
SHTFplan.com
Comments (44)
Read by 4,706 people


Though officials at the World Health Organization are feverishly working to stop the spread of the Ebola virus in what is now seven African nations, their efforts may be for naught. In Guinea, a hot spot for the deadly contagion, government health officials have said that the outbreak is nearly under control. Yet, Reuters reports that the government “planned to stop publicly releasing the death toll to avoid causing unnecessary panic.”

But panic may be in order.

Despite the best efforts of emergency health workers it appears that virus may have crossed out of Africa into Europe.

The outbreak of Ebola Virus in seven west African countries has broken through all containment efforts and is spreading like wildfire. According to Christian Relief groups working in Guinea and Liberia, the number of confirmed infections jumped 15% in just the last 24 hours. In addition, 40 illegal alien migrant workers from the outbreak area, who came ashore in Pisa, Italy, are showing signs of Ebola infection and are being isolated in Pisa Italy because of fever and “conjunctivitis” (bloody around the eyes). According to the World Health Organization, this strain of Ebola is entirely new and although it is close to the Zaire strain, it is different, thus accounting for false-negative test results . . . . . for weeks!

Those false-negative results meant people who were actually infected with Ebola, were returned to their families and neighborhoods to recover from what they believed was the Flu or a case of food poisoning, only to spread the Ebola further.

The result has been a complete loss of containment of this Ebola outbreak.

With the likely arrival of Ebola in Pisa, Italy, the European continent is now at severe risk.

Italian officials deny the reports, but alternative media in the country suggests this is the reason for a complete lock down of a hospital in Pisa, where it is believed to have infected some 40 individuals. Other reports trickling in from various sources like social media indicate the virus may have also appeared about 50 miles from Pisa in Tuscany, Italy.

Alarmingly, a story that appeared about the outbreak on national news wires was reportedly removed by the Italian government for “national security reasons,” suggesting that there is more to the reports than Italian officials are willing to express to the public at this time.

Though they have denied that the Pisa hospital was locked down due to Ebola, they seem to be bracing for the possibility of a severe epidemic in Rome and Milan.

(Google Translation via Italy’s Vnews24)

And ‘mystery about forty hypothetical cases of Ebola registered in our country. The virus is particularly common on the African continent – the cases “official” were recorded in Senegal, Mali and Ghana - may have arrived in Italy “thank you” to the massive exodus of immigrants to our shores. A first “bell” d ‘alarm was launched by Lampedusa. According to a report appeared in the network (and immediately removed for reasons of “national security”), in fact, April 16 would be recorded on an epidemic ‘island, never confirmed nor refuted by our Ministry of Health.

A new ”SOS” about the spread of the virus’ Ebola in the Bel Paese is, this time, from Tuscany. Means of dissemination of the news shock is always the network: blogs, social networks, websites dedicated highlighted the “Curious Case of St. Flushing,” reception center site in Pisa, closed to the public due to the presence, all ‘inside of it, forty non-EU nationals which are to some strange symptoms. Capuzzi Sandra, Councillor for Social Policies of the Municipality of Pisa, he would have dismissed the alarmism of his countrymen, by classifying the health status of the refugees in the structure in these terms: “They have just a little bit fever, caused by stressful travel conditions under which the children were subjected. “

Fear, meanwhile, remains. The forty possible carriers of the virus’ Ebola have been subjected to all the tests required in high-risk situations. The Italian population, however, does not feel the climate of reassurance that high institutional positions and subjected try to transmit information through various channels, official and unofficial. The tension increases, although the Ministry of Health said that, in the unlikely event of an outbreak, Rome and Milan would be ready to face the ‘epidemic.

According to Samaritan’s Purse, a Christian relief group actively working with hospitals and health officials in Guinea and Liberia, what makes Ebola so dangerous is that it can be transmitted through human contact and may take weeks before symptoms appear:

The initial Ebola outbreak in Guinea is believed to have started when hunters came in contact with infected fruit bats. The Ebola virus is spread between humans through direct contact. Once infected, it can take up to 21 days for symptoms to appear, which include high fever, headaches, and fatigue. At that point, the infected person is contagious.

With details lacking and health officials opting to keep reports of infections from the public, it is impossible to know exactly how far the virus has spread.

As noted above, this new strain was not identified immediately, thus blood tests of people showing possible symptoms may have shown false-negatives even though those individuals may have been carrying the virus. Once returned to the general population and assuming they did not contract the virus, it is certainly possible that it was then transmitted to others.

If Ebola has taken hold in Italy, then we can expect more reported cases all over the continent in coming weeks, with the real possibility that the virus could make its way to U.S. shores via hundreds of international flights arriving on a daily basis.

It’s understandable that government officials do not want to overreact and cause panic, especially insofar as global air travel is concerned, because doing so would lead to a lock down of airports worldwide.

The panic would be unprecedented.

As noted by Tess Pennington of Ready Nutrition, even if the public became aware that a pandemic was in progress, many would remain in denial about such a prospect and would remain oblivious to the long-term repercussions. She notes that the effects of a pandemic could be swift and drastic, leading to societal upheaval :

Understanding that our lives will change drastically if the population is faced with a pandemic and being prepared for this can help you make better choices toward the well being of your family. Some changes could be:

Shut downs of business commerce
Breakdown of our basic infrastructure: communications, mass transportation, supply chains
Payroll service interruptions
Staffing shortages in hospitals and medical clinics
Interruptions in public facilities – Schools, workplaces may close, and public gatherings such as sporting events or worship services may close temporarily.
Government mandated voluntary or involuntary home quarantine.

(Source: Pandemic Preparedness)

Given the continued spread of the virus to numerous countries in Africa, and now possibly Europe, we urge readers to remain vigilant and have, at the very least, their basic essentials in place.

This virus is incurable and is believed to have a mortality rate of up to 85% of those infected.

If it is spreading outside of Africa, then it is only a matter of time – perhaps several weeks – before it becomes apparent in developing nations.

These posted probabilities are in no way authoritative, and should be considered a “best guess” only.

Probabilities of unchecked infection at this point, based upon a method of travel, times and frequencies of airline flights to various cities, also including certain assumed volumes of “mixed maritime” traffic between north Africa and southern Europe - the Probability that Ebola will strike is:

63% in Italy within 8 days
44% in Spain within 15 days
77% in Riyadh/Saudi within 21 days
40% in Libya within 25 days
29% in the US within 28 days
37% in Egypt within 33 days

By the time we get to 35 days, it can be in 25 countries on 4 continents.

(Source: TRN)

In the United States, the CDC has issued a travel alert to airlines and set up emergency quarantine stations at domestic airports, though there are no specific guidelines in place at this time according to BD Live:

The US is well prepared to handle infected patients on its soil with 20 CDC quarantine stations in place at US airports that are designed to deal with anyone who has symptoms of a wide range of infectious illnesses, including Ebola, according to spokeswoman Christine Pearson. Despite the outbreak, there are no special requests or guidelines to airlines about Ebola, though the CDC has issued a travel alert, she said.

“The time it takes to travel from rural Guinea to anywhere in the US is more than enough time to incubate the virus and be symptomatic,” Council on Foreign Relations senior fellow Laurie Garrett said in New York.

If in the next month we see Ebola popping up in North America then we may have a serious problem on our hands.

This is a developing report and is in no way conclusive. Official statements from the WHO, CDC and European governments have yet to confirm Ebola’s crossover into Europe or the United States. Updates will be provided as details become available.


Please Spread The Word And Share This Post
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Well, of course - when the numbers seem to be getting out of hand, just revise those numbers and reduce them by half.

Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.thenational.ae/world/liberia/ebola-death-toll-halved-in-guinea?

Ebola death toll halved in Guinea

April 19, 2014 Updated: April 19, 2014 22:05:00


Conakry // Guinea halved the death toll from an Ebola outbreak after confusion caused cases in the West African nation to be duplicated.

The number of dead from the hemorrhagic fever was revised to 61 since the outbreak started in January, Sakoba Keita, head of epidemic prevention unit at Health Ministry, told reporters in Conakry, the capital, on Saturday. The government said on April 17 that 122 people have died from the disease for which there is no cure or vaccine.

“The death toll reduction is due to the cleaning of figures because there had been a lot of confusion,” he said. “Some deaths were recorded three times.”

West Africa is fighting to contain the disease that kills as many as nine out of 10 people who contract it. Senegal shut its border while the Ivory Coast barred buses from Liberia and Guinea. Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the world’s biggest iron- ore producer, sent foreign workers in Guinea back to their homes. The outbreak has halted economic activity in Guinea’s interior, according to Organized Group of Businessmen in Conakry.

While the progression of the disease is falling, the government remains careful as the situation can change “all at once,” Mr Keita said.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
Brewer thank you for posting these articles. There are only so many hours in the day and I'm sure I'm not the only one who appreciates you taking the time to do this.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Brewer, there is a saying that goes, "If at first you don't succeed, then redefine success." LOL

The situation in Italy is disturbing. In one of my posts I indicated the hordes of Africans seeking entry into Southern Europe, Spain, Italy, and Southern France was around 600,000, or at least those we knew about.

The forty illegals now quarantined are the tip of the iceberg. There are likely THOUSANDS who made it into Italy, Spain, and Southern France already. Assuming the reports of people being infected with no symptoms are true, well we are on the cusp of a global pandemic. Given the availability of mass air travel all over the globe, the ebola virus is not going to stop spreading.

I will remind people that this ebola virus has a kill rate above 90 percent. It is easily spread from prolonged, close physical contact. THE DAY IT GOES INTO A VECTOR MODE OF AERIAL DISPERSION IT WILL BE ALL OVER. This is called the pneumatic method of transmission. IF ebola ever comes to be spread by coughing and sneezing, which it is not, I think, currently capable of, it is game over. The government lies are to be expected.
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member
I will remind people that this ebola virus has a kill rate above 90 percent. It is easily spread from prolonged, close physical contact. THE DAY IT GOES INTO A VECTOR MODE OF AERIAL DISPERSION IT WILL BE ALL OVER. This is called the pneumatic method of transmission. IF ebola ever comes to be spread by coughing and sneezing, which it is not, I think, currently capable of, it is game over. The government lies are to be expected.

It wasn't that long ago that I read The Hot Zone. Scared me to pieces! The worrysome thing about your words above is that the masses won't find out until it's too late.

My advice? Make sure you have enough food, water and meds on hand in case you need to go into hiding or preventative self-quarantine. I just pray this fizzles out.
 

Oreally

Right from the start
Brewer, there is a saying that goes, "If at first you don't succeed, then redefine success." LOL

The situation in Italy is disturbing. In one of my posts I indicated the hordes of Africans seeking entry into Southern Europe, Spain, Italy, and Southern France was around 600,000, or at least those we knew about.

The forty illegals now quarantined are the tip of the iceberg. There are likely THOUSANDS who made it into Italy, Spain, and Southern France already. Assuming the reports of people being infected with no symptoms are true, well we are on the cusp of a global pandemic. Given the availability of mass air travel all over the globe, the ebola virus is not going to stop spreading.

I will remind people that this ebola virus has a kill rate above 90 percent. It is easily spread from prolonged, close physical contact. THE DAY IT GOES INTO A VECTOR MODE OF AERIAL DISPERSION IT WILL BE ALL OVER. This is called the pneumatic method of transmission. IF ebola ever comes to be spread by coughing and sneezing, which it is not, I think, currently capable of, it is game over. The government lies are to be expected.

doug, and everyone, here's my take on what's going on with this virus:

i think it has slipped into a highly unstable genetic package which is extremely conducive to mutation, sort of like the flus we get every year. we already have verified analyses of up to THREE variants besides the already recognized Congo strain.

and, there are probably more to be uncovered. and so, it may be more unstable than flu. any of the developing variants could have a pneumatic transmission, or increased transmissibiliy, or less, and everything in between.

i don't think this development is the result of design by a malign organization, and is the result of natural processes, but i actually can't rule that out in my mind.

time frame to full-tilt, national freak-out - - - maybe six months?
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
It wasn't that long ago that I read The Hot Zone. Scared me to pieces! The worrysome thing about your words above is that the masses won't find out until it's too late.

My advice? Make sure you have enough food, water and meds on hand in case you need to go into hiding or preventative self-quarantine. I just pray this fizzles out.

If you haven't read it yet, check out Alistair MacLean's "Satan Bug".
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
doug, and everyone, here's my take on what's going on with this virus:

i think it has slipped into a highly unstable genetic package which is extremely conducive to mutation, sort of like the flus we get every year. we already have verified analyses of up to THREE variants besides the already recognized Congo strain.

and, there are probably more to be uncovered. and so, it may be more unstable than flu. any of the developing variants could have a pneumatic transmission, or increased transmissibiliy, or less, and everything in between.

i don't think this development is the result of design by a malign organization, and is the result of natural processes, but i actually can't rule that out in my mind.

time frame to full-tilt, national freak-out - - - maybe six months?

I'm of the mindset that this is a natural mutation and it's timing coincides with water fowl migration the planet over. If ebola really is spread via mosquitos then it's going to be a long wild ride of a summer until this stuff completely burns itself out.

K-
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
I hadn't thought about the insect vector in regards to Ebola. A few years ago I read a doomer fiction book that postulated Saddam had infected a bunch of mosquitos with a virus and sent them to the USA. The climax was a chase through the Washington Mall on July 4th fireworks display where the bad guy had a one gallon glass jar of them he was planning to break. The good guys stopped, remember this is fiction<G>.

Like I said in my original post. There are currently THREE potential sources of a global pandemic. The first is Ebola. The second is the Chinese bird flu. The third is the MERS virus now running around Saudi Arabia and the Mideast. I noticed Saudi Arabia just sacked their health minister.

I am keeping all four eyes on ebola. If it starts to spread openly in Italy it is all over.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I hadn't thought about the insect vector in regards to Ebola. A few years ago I read a doomer fiction book that postulated Saddam had infected a bunch of mosquitos with a virus and sent them to the USA. The climax was a chase through the Washington Mall on July 4th fireworks display where the bad guy had a one gallon glass jar of them he was planning to break. The good guys stopped, remember this is fiction<G>.

Like I said in my original post. There are currently THREE potential sources of a global pandemic. The first is Ebola. The second is the Chinese bird flu. The third is the MERS virus now running around Saudi Arabia and the Mideast. I noticed Saudi Arabia just sacked their health minister.

I am keeping all four eyes on ebola. If it starts to spread openly in Italy it is all over.

Somewhere in the OP it states that it's spread via mosquitos, the timing with annual bird migration is the part that bothers me. Like I said I don't think someone set about to spread this, sometimes these things just happen on their own, sorta like the black plague.

K-
 

Oreally

Right from the start
. . . Like I said I don't think someone set about to spread this, sometimes these things just happen on their own, sorta like the black plague.

K-

except that the technology to maliciously alter a virus like ebola into any variant imaginable, has been falling rapidly. two years ago , monotreme, the mod over at PFI told me that he estimated it'd take a team of 5-10 , $250,000 and about a year of work to do this then. two years ago. moore's law . . .

and then i look at the very well thought out and constructed Georgia Guidestones, and reflect on certain real-life encounters i personally have experienced . . .
 
Last edited:

almost ready

Inactive
I hadn't thought about the insect vector in regards to Ebola. A few years ago I read a doomer fiction book that postulated Saddam had infected a bunch of mosquitos with a virus and sent them to the USA. The climax was a chase through the Washington Mall on July 4th fireworks display where the bad guy had a one gallon glass jar of them he was planning to break. The good guys stopped, remember this is fiction<G>.

Like I said in my original post. There are currently THREE potential sources of a global pandemic. The first is Ebola. The second is the Chinese bird flu. The third is the MERS virus now running around Saudi Arabia and the Mideast. I noticed Saudi Arabia just sacked their health minister.

I am keeping all four eyes on ebola. If it starts to spread openly in Italy it is all over.

MERS has moved to the front of the class this week, with the emergence, according to Dr. Niman, of two superspreaders (like SARS had). If I understand correctly, one patient infected 13 others in UAE, including a few medical personnel.

There has been a MERS case also that made it to Philippines after travelling to UAE, and in Malaysia they are trying to find over 200 of the 400+ who flew in with a sick MERS patient. There are 64 people there currently under observation.

That last paragraph is from a few different things I've read over the past 24 hours. You'll read about them soon enough. For now, if you are curious, Dr. Niman has posted his last interview of April 17 (the one I heard) on his site to hear for free. Also here is an article about one of the superspreaders.

Soon we will have ebola and mers in the same countries, as they are travelling on the backs of light cases. IIRC, it takes 40 medical personnel to care for a patient in ICU on a heart-lung machine. There won't be many of those and the whole system will get whacked.

http://rense.gsradio.net:8080/rense/special/rense_Niman_041714.mp3

43 minute interview of Dr. Niman talking about MERS. The two superspreaders and indications that it is spreading more easily just this past week are raising concerns.

Commentary

Abu Dhabi MERS Superspreader Raises SARS Concerns
Recombinomics Commentary 20:00
April 17, 2014
A cluster of four health-care workers were identified through screening of contacts of a previously laboratory-confirmed case from Abu Dhabi who died on 10 April 2014. These include:
A 44 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who was screened on 13 April. He had no illness and is reported to have no underlying medical condition.
A 30 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who was screened on 13 April. He had no illness and is reported to have no underlying medical condition.
A 34 year-old man from the Philippines who resides in Abu Dhabi. He was screened on 13 April without any illness and is reported not to have any underlying medical condition.
A 28 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who became ill on 14 April 2014. He is reported to have no underlying medical condition.

The above comments from today’s WHO MERS update raise concerns that MERS is beginning to behave like the SARS-CoV that circulated in China in the spring of 2003 and exploded geographically due to a superspreader who traveled to Hong Kong and infected dozens at the Metropole Hotel, who then transported the virus and created serious nosocomial outbreaks in Hong Kong, Singapore, Hanoi, and Toronto.

The above 4 confirmed health care workers (HCWs) are in addition to the 10 HCWs announced by WHO yesterday. All 14 of the HCWs had contact with the same MERS case (45M) who died on April 10. As noted above, one of the MERS confirmed HCWs returned home to the Philippines, raising concerns of international spread.


Although MERS, like SARS appears to spread most effectively in the spring, the cluster in Abu Dhabi, as well as the clusters in Jeddah in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), has generated record numbers of MERS cases in HCWs, similar to levels seen in 2003 associated with the spread of SARS.

These cases have been mild or asymptomatic, raising concerns that MERS can now more effectively grow in the human upper respiratory tract, leading to an increased detection rate, as well as more efficient human transmission.

Sequences from the spike gene in the clusters in Abu Dhabi and Jeddah would be useful.

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/04171401/UAE_MERS_Superspreader.html
 

almost ready

Inactive
To clarify my last post comments

Ebola's name change is a result of many cases not proceeding to the hemorrhagic state. First, (March) I was reading that those that did not get hemorrhagic were usually the survivors. There is some question now about the genuine CFR (fatality rate of those infected) because some were most likely misidentified as something-other-than-ebola because of the lack of hemorrhage.

Mers cases have exploded last week, and new cases are showing up in double digits, now, daily. This maybe a short spike or the start of something more serious.

The geographic overlap is very close now.

Dr. Niman has maps on his sites in the What's New column, but he doesn't show the most recent cases of MERS yet. Too much is happening too quickly. He surely needs more staff and funding, FWIW. now. This lack of personnel and funding is likely to show up as a recurring theme from now on.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
I hadn't thought about the insect vector in regards to Ebola. A few years ago I read a doomer fiction book that postulated Saddam had infected a bunch of mosquitos with a virus and sent them to the USA. The climax was a chase through the Washington Mall on July 4th fireworks display where the bad guy had a one gallon glass jar of them he was planning to break. The good guys stopped, remember this is fiction<G>.

Like I said in my original post. There are currently THREE potential sources of a global pandemic. The first is Ebola. The second is the Chinese bird flu. The third is the MERS virus now running around Saudi Arabia and the Mideast. I noticed Saudi Arabia just sacked their health minister.

I am keeping all four eyes on ebola. If it starts to spread openly in Italy it is all over.

Greetings, Doomer Doug: IIRC, Saddam Hussein brought West Nile Virus to the US in 1999.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201404211115.html?

Liberia: Unicef Goes Door-to-Door in Epicenter of Ebola Outbreak

BY STAFF WRITER, 20 APRIL 2014


UNICEF has deployed a 12 member- team to Lofa County, where fears and misconceptions surrounding the deadly Ebola virus risk hampering Government led efforts to stop its spread.

The team will work across the county and directly engage with local communities to ensure families fully understand how they can keep safe from the disease, and what to do if they fall sick.

As of today, 27 suspected, probable and confirmed Ebola cases and 13 related deaths, including women and children, have been reported in Liberia. Six cases have been confirmed.

While concerted Government led efforts are helping to keep the number of new suspected cases down, UNICEF is concerned that confusion and denial of the threat Ebola poses, in some communities, could hamper the national prevention response.

"The Liberian Government, with support from partners, has done an excellent job getting the word out on Ebola," says UNICEF Liberia Country Representative Sheldon Yett.

"But in a country where the communications infrastructure is weak and illiteracy is high, media outreach must be complimented by direct community dialogue and engagement.

This is especially important in Lofa, where the highest number of suspected and confirmed Ebola cases have been reported."

To address this, UNICEF dispatched two field coordinators and a 10 person team specialized in community engagement to work in Foya, the district where Ebola first appeared in Liberia, as well as in Voinjama, Zorzor and Kolahun districts.

The key message of the efforts is "Protect yourself, protect your family and protect your community: Let's stop the spread of Ebola together".

The teams will work with schools, churches, mosques and marketplaces; and will liaise with traditional leaders, healers and other pivotal community members. The idea is to empower individual Liberians with the knowledge, resources and health facility contacts to keep Ebola from ravaging their communities.

"Schools are especially important to our joint efforts in Lofa since schools are one of the most direct venues through which we can reach children," said Mr. Yett. "This and our other outreach efforts will be supported through the distribution of specifically developed communications materials."

In addition to these efforts, UNICEF yesterday also air-lifted a new batch of urgently needed supplies of chlorine, plastic tarpaulins, sprayers and other materials to Médecin Sans Frontière, which is providing support for emergency health services at the isolation unit in Foya Hospital, Lofa County. Lack of proper isolation facilities has been a major concern for the Government and its partners, so this support was absolutely crucial to sustain ongoing efforts in Lofa to provide patients with needed care and treatment.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/don_updates/en/

Ebola virus disease, West Africa - update
19/04/2014

Guinea

As of 18:00 on 17 April, the Ministry of Health (MOH) of Guinea has reported a cumulative total of 203 clinical cases of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), including 129 deaths. To date, 158 patients have been tested for ebolavirus infection and 109 cases have been laboratory confirmed, including 61 deaths. In addition, 41 cases (34 deaths) meet the probable case definition for EVD and 53 cases (34 deaths) are classified as suspected cases. Twenty-four (24) health care workers (HCW) have been affected (18 confirmed), with 15 deaths (11 confirmed).

Clinical cases of EVD have been reported from Conakry (50 cases, including 20 deaths), Guekedou (120/83), Macenta (22/16), Kissidougou (6/5), Dabola (4/4) and Djingaraye (1/1). Laboratory confirmed cases and deaths have been reported from Conakry (36 cases, including 15 deaths), Guekedou (58/34), Macenta (13/10), Kissidougou (1/1) and Dabola (1/1). These updated figures include 4 new cases isolated on 17 April, one of whom is laboratory confirmed, and 4 deaths among existing cases; 3 of the deaths were patients with confirmed EVD. Twenty-nine (29) patients are currently in isolation in Conakry (17), Guekedou (11) and Macenta (1), while 15 patients who recovered from their illness were discharged from hospital. The female : male ratio among confirmed cases is 1.2 : 1. The median age of 198 clinical cases for whom the age is known is 35 years and the age breakdown is 0-19 years (11%), 20-59 years (72%) and 60 and over (11%).

Contact tracing activities continue in all affected areas. A total of 230 contacts are currently under medical observation and 53 have completed their 21 days of follow-up. Seven contacts who developed symptoms continue in isolation as a precautionary measure.

Efforts to increase public health awareness continue. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Guinea convened a meeting with a number of diplomatic missions on 18 April where the Minister of Health, supported by the WHO Representative, WHO Country Office for Guinea, and WHO EVD Response Coordinator, briefed the meeting. WHO and the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network are in the process of deploying additional experts to support activities in case management, infection prevention and control, contact tracing, social mobilization and psychosocial support.

Numbers of cases and contacts remain subject to change due to consolidation of cases, contact and laboratory data, enhanced surveillance and contact tracing activities and the continuing laboratory investigations.

Liberia

In Liberia, the epidemiological situation remains the same. Intensive surveillance activities and other preventive measures are ongoing. No new laboratory confirmed cases of EVD have been reported from Liberia today.

WHO does not recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied to Guinea or Liberia based on the current information available for this event.

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/ebola-outbreak-death-toll-west-
africa-140-23421812

Ebola Outbreak Death Toll in West Africa Over 140
DAKAR, Senegal April 22, 2014 (AP)
Associated Press


The World Health Organization says the current Ebola outbreak in West Africa has killed more than 140 people.

The Ebola disease causes a high fever and internal and external bleeding. There is no cure and no vaccine and it has a high fatality rate.

In a statement on its website Tuesday, the U.N. health agency said at least 230 suspected or confirmed cases of Ebola have been recorded so far in Guinea and Liberia. Most of the cases are in Guinea.

The statement said 129 deaths in Guinea and 13 in Liberia have been linked to the disease.

The outbreak is highly unusual as the disease is typically found in central or eastern Africa.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2014/04/21/pandemic-2/

Pandemic
By Chip Tatum



It starts as a rare case of some unknown illness, usually in an obscure area of the world so as not to be immediately recognized by the local medicine man. Then the cases grow and the incidences increase to a noticeable level. Once medical doctors are called in, they find that the disease has spread so quickly among locals that there is an “outbreak” of this disease. Treatment begins, lab tests are completed, however many of the patients are already dying. The incidence of infection from the “outbreak” increases at such a rapid rate, physicians are unable to keep up with the infection. Traditional treatments do not seem to stem the rate of incidence. Soon the outbreak becomes an “epidemic”. Laboratory tests reveal the worst. It is Ebola. If not stopped, the disease, with no cure, can cross borders within days, soon to become a Pandemic.

Ebola hemorrhagic fever (Ebola HF) is one of numerous Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers. It is a severe, often fatal disease in humans and nonhuman primates (such as monkeys, gorillas, and chimpanzees).Ebola HF is caused by infection with a virus of the family Filoviridae, genusEbolavirus. When infection occurs, symptoms usually begin abruptly.

The natural reservoir or carrier host of Ebola viruses, and the manner in which transmission of the virus to humans occurs, remain unknown. This makes risk assessment in endemic areas difficult. With the exception of several laboratory contamination cases (one in England and two in Russia), all cases of human illness or death have occurred in Africa. Until now. There is a suspected case in Canada. A returning businessman from Africa has contracted a disease which mimics the symptoms of Ebola. But this virus is a new strain. Where did it come from? How quickly can it spread? That can be answered quite effectively

Ebola has been modified. Virologist Jens Kuhn at the National Institutes of Health said there may be more varieties out there.. “There might be a lot of variety in these viruses. They might be in many different countries in West Africa, East Africa, or other areas of the world where we have not heard anything of outbreaks so far,” said Kuhn.

Standard treatment for Ebola HF is still limited to supportive therapy. This consists of:

balancing the patient’s fluids and electrolytes
maintaining their oxygen status and blood pressure
treating them for any complicating infections

Timely treatment of Ebola HF is important but challenging since the disease is difficult to diagnose clinically in the early stages of infection. Because early symptoms such as headache and fever are nonspecific to ebola viruses, cases of Ebola HF may be initially misdiagnosed.

Signs and Symptoms

Symptoms of Ebola HF typically include:

Fever
Headache
Joint and muscle aches
Weakness
Diarrhea
Vomiting
Stomach pain
Lack of appetite

Some patients may experience:

A Rash
Red Eyes
Hiccups
Cough
Sore throat
Chest pain
Difficulty breathing
Difficulty swallowing
Bleeding inside and outside of the body

Symptoms may appear anywhere from 2 to 21 days after exposure to Ebola virus though 8-10 days is most common. The problem lies in the fact that during this incubation period, the infected is communicable.

About 10% of those who become sick with Ebola HF are able to recover, while the other 90% do not. The reasons behind this are not yet fully understood. However, it is known that patients who die usually have not developed a significant immune response to the virus at the time of death.

There are several ways in which the virus can be transmitted to others. These include:

direct contact with the blood or secretions of an infected person
exposure to objects (such as needles) that have been contaminated with infected secretions

The viruses that cause Ebola HF are often spread through families and friends because they come in close contact with infectious secretions when caring for ill persons.

During outbreaks of Ebola HF, the disease can spread quickly within health care settings (such as a clinic or hospital). Exposure to Ebola viruses can occur in health care settings where hospital staff are not wearing appropriate protective equipment, such as masks, gowns, and multiple layers of gloves.

Weaponization of Ebola

To date it has not been recorded as bring used as a bio-weapon; however, the bio-weapon programs such as the former Soviet Union’s may have investigated weaponizing Ebola. Three incidents of research scientists becoming infected after being stuck with Ebola-contaminated syringes have been reported: England, 1976 (recovered); USA, February 2004 (recovered); Russia, May 2004 (died).

The variant of Ebola called the Marburg virus has been developed and this strain is more hardy. Work has been done in transferring parts of the Ebola virus into the composition of Smallpox and other diseases. Dr. Ken Alibek, former the First Deputy Director of Biopreparat, speculated that the Russians had aerosolized the Ebola virus for dissemination as a biological weapon. The Japanese terrorist group Aum Shinrikyo reportedly sent members to Zaire during an outbreak to harvest the virus.

Modification of the virus through genetic engineering, or the creation of dispersal methods that could infect people through aerosol methods might also be practical. And the virus itself could conceivably mutate into an airborne disease. In short, given the lethality of Ebola, there is a great incentive to develop methods that would transform this into a viable weapon.

In fact, it would take nearly a week for officials to even respond to this type of pandemic, and by that time, thousands of Americans would be have succumbed to the Ebola virus.

Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever is one of the most virulent viral diseases known to humankind, causing death in up to-90% of all clinically-ill cases. Because of the effectiveness of the mortality rate of the Ebola virus, it is the perfect bio-weapon.

Recent patents recognize the origin of this biological agent. I have linked to the patent filed by Longhorn Vaccines and Diagnostics As you can see, they are referring to Ebola Virus as a biological agent, not a virus. Longhorn employs 2 to 4 employees in their corporate office in Bethesda, Maryland. Hmmmmm

“Until recently, clinical laboratory methods for pathogen detection were labor-intensive, expensive processes that required highly knowledgeable and expert scientists with specific experience. The majority of clinical diagnostic laboratories employed the use of traditional culturing methods that typically require 3 to 7 days for a viral culture–and even longer for some other bacterial targets. Furthermore, traditional culturing requires collection, transport, and laboratory propagation and handling of potentially infectious biological agents such as Ebola, avian influenza, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), etc.”

Do they know something we don’t? Is it possible that this is another case where the government has decided that we can not handle the truth?

A Sudden Outbreak could represent a test of the new weaponized virusebola-rash400

It took only moments to feel the impact of what was happening here. We had just landed in Conakry, the capital of Guinea. In the fields right outside the airport, a young woman was in tears. She started to wail and shout in Susu, one of the 40 languages spoken in this tiny country of 12 million people. The gathered crowd became silent and listened intently. The young man sitting next to me quietly translated, although I already had my suspicions. He told me the woman’s husband had died of Ebola, and then quickly ushered us away. It is probably not surprising the airplane bringing us into Conakry was nearly empty, as are all the hotels here. Not many people in the United States have ever visited Guinea, or could even identify where it sits in West Africa. It is already one of the world’s poorest countries, and the panic around Ebola is only making that worse.

Some of it is justified. That’s because this time, the outbreak is different. In the past, Ebola rarely made it out of the remote forested areas of Africa. Key to that is a grim version of good news/bad news: because Ebola tends to incapacitate its victims and kill them quickly, they rarely have a chance to travel and spread the disease beyond their small villages. Now, however, Ebola is in Conakry, the capital city, with two million residents. Equally concerning: it’s just a short distance from where we touched down, at an international airport.

It has gone “viral,” and now the hope is that it doesn’t go global. But, unfortunately it has already spread across borders into Sierra Leone, Liberia and Mali. West Africa is now at risk.

But the disease is so rare, there’s no incentive for big pharmaceutical companies to develop a treatment. Even so, some small companies, given government incentives, are stepping into that breach. The result: More than half a dozen ideas are being pursued actively. A Reuters report summarizes the new strain

Treatments in Development

Overseen by the US Department of Defense (DoD) under the Transformational Medical Technologies program (TMT) of the Defense Threat Reduction Agency and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) have spent millions of dollars conducting scientific research into the Ebola virus, its potential for being turned into a bio-weapon and certain vaccine efforts through two drug corporations, Massachusetts-based Sarepta Therapeutics and Tekmira Pharmaceuticals of Canada . Then the funding was abruptly cut.

The TMT creates relationships with private sector biotech firms, pharmaceutical corporations and academic institutions, as well as other government agencies to advance biological warfare, research viral and biological weapons and estimate threat levels of all biological agents based on ability to infect and effectiveness of devastation.

The DoD suddenly stopped funding Ebola vaccine research through these two corporations due to financial constraints. With the sporadic nature of Ebola outbreaks, combined with the absolute deadly nature of the virus makes it a hard sell to large pharmaceutical corporations because it “isn’t a huge customer base and big pharma is obviously interested in big profits. So these niche products which are important for biodefense are really driven by small companies,” according to Larry Zeitlin, president of Mapp Biophamracueticals, who is developing therapies to combat Ebola.

Mysteriously, microbiologists and virologists who were involved with research into immunology and bioweapons have either gone missing or found dead over two decades. Some of these scientists had ties to the Howard Hughes Medical Institute, the NIH, the DoD – just to name a few. While the number of experts involved in infectious disease research having died under questionable circumstances has risen exponentially, the US government has remained non-chalant.

News Release March 31, 2014

“>Tekmira Receives Fast Track Designation From FDA for Its Anti-Ebola Viral Therapeutic

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, March 5, 2014 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation (Nasdaq:TKMR) (TSX:TKM), a leading developer of RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics, today announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted Fast Track designation for the development of TKM-Ebola, an anti-Ebola viral therapeutic.

Who is Tekmira?

Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation is a biopharmaceutical company in financial trouble. They have been developing a treatment for Ebola, however, funds are low. The company has had several setbacks in their research and development department. Recently their stock has been downgraded. This outbreak offers grant monies from the U.S. and an opportunity to improve their financial position.

NEW YORK (TheStreet) – Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation (Nasdaq:TKMR) has been downgraded by TheStreet Ratings from hold to sell. The company’s weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its feeble growth in its earnings per share, deteriorating net income, disappointing return on equity and weak operating cash flow.

Why Tekmira?

We must ask ourselves why the government would select a firm as weak, faltering, and as unknown a pharmaceutical company as Tekmira to develop such an important

vaccine. Well let’s look at the facts.

Tekmira has very little on its books in the development stages, therefore it can pay more attention to the development of this vaccine or treatment.
Large Pharmaceuticals are unwilling to take instructions from the FDA or from the Government. Rather they dictate to the government through their congressional employees.
By saving a faltering firm the government can dictate uses, distribution, and manufacturing criteria.

In summary. With Tekmira they have total control.

It has been stated that if a pandemic such as this spreads, (remember the Bird Flu Epidemic), doses could not be prepared in sufficient quantities to treat the world population, The solution is simple and planned. The government will use selective criteria as to who will receive treatments. You see, they are the ones in control, not the pharmaceutical company.

Tekmira stated that it will take time to produce the first round of doses. Interesting enough there will be those who will not qualify for the vaccine. Those who are allergic to eggs will not be able to take the dose.

Vaccine bulk manufacture: For most influenza vaccine production, this is performed in nine to twelve-days old fertilized hen’s eggs. The vaccine virus is injected into thousands of eggs, and the eggs are then incubated for two to three days during which time the virus multiplies. The egg white, which now contains many millions of vaccine viruses, is then harvested, and the virus is separated from the egg white. The partially pure virus is killed with chemicals. The outer proteins of the virus are then purified and the result is several hundred or thousand liters of purified virus protein that is referred to as antigen, the active ingredient in the vaccine. Producing each batch, or lot, of antigen takes approximately two weeks, and a new batch can be started every few days. The size of the batch depends on how many eggs a manufacturer can obtain, inoculate and incubate. Another factor is the yield per egg. When one batch has been produced, the process is repeated as often as needed to generate the required amount of vaccine.

When a Pandemic hits, it is normally downplayed by the government due to National Security issues.Here is a recent example. Remember the H1N1 virus that hit in 2009? It was never reported as a true threat, however the World Health Organization quietly announced this. Of course I was living in South America at the time.

World now at the start of 2009 influenza pandemic

Sorry but I do not recall hearing that there was a pandemic of 30,000 cases of Swine Flu at one point!

That is because the governments fee that the public can not handle the truth. Case and point. Today it has been announced that the government has planned to stop publicly releasing the death toll of the Ebola Epidemic to avoid causing panic. This Epidemic has spread to seven countries in Africa and to Pisa, Italy.



Now back to the current Epidemic of Ebola
CONAKRY , Guinea, April 18 (UPI) — The deadly Ebola virus ravaging Guinea emerged locally, and is a different strain of virus from one discovered in central Africa, virologists confirmed.

The spread of Ebola from Guinea, in western Africa, to neighboring Liberia, has panicked a region with poor health care and porous borders, and has killed 122 people, according to the World Health Organization. Scientists examined the virus genome and learned it is distinct from strains in countries such as Uganda, South Sudan, and democratic Republic of Congo, where Ebola was already known to circulate.

Blood tests from victims determined the disease was not introduced from central Africa.

The Ebola virus that has killed scores of people in West Africa this year is a new strain, and it has quite possibly spread to East Africa and Canada.. “The source of the virus is still not known,” but it was not imported from nearby countries, said Dr. Stephan Gunther of the Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine in Hamburg, Germany.

Virologist Jens Kuhn at the National Institutes of Health said there may be more. “There might be a lot of variety in these viruses. They might be in many different countries in West Africa and East Africa where we have not heard anything of outbreaks so far,” said Kuhn.

The Ebola outbreak is now crossing borders. Formerly only found in the jungle regions, It is now in major cities with International Airports. This Epidemic has now entered East Africa and Europe. The rate of infection and cause is unknown, leaving to question considering the incubation time before symptoms, where it will pop up next. Perhaps in a city near you.

I would be remiss if I did not remind you of the many studies performed concerning the need for population reduction. A pandemic event could trigger such a reduction. Especially when considered a new strain. The question would remain,

Is This A Naturally Occurring Epidemic or A BioWeapon Test.

Visit Chip Tatum’s website www.chiptatum.com


Related Posts:

UPDATE 2: Malaysia Air Flight 370 Facts of the Flight and 10 Possible Scenarios
Reprise of the October Surprise: How Israel Gained Control of the Reagan & Bush Administrations
You Can’t Handle The Truth! Boeing’s Secret Patent
Obama Proves Zionism Rules US and He is NOT on The Side of CTJP
FLT 370 – A Little Bit of Prestidigitation

Short URL: http://www.veteranstoday.com/?p=298690
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Greetings, Doomer Doug: Here's a follow-up on the MERS virus you've pointed out as another probable candidate for pandemic. Take care. BREWER

Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpr...ounces-spike-in-mers-cases-20-new-infections/

Saudi Arabia announces spike in MERS cases – 20 new infections
Posted on April 21, 2014 by The Extinction Protocol

April 2014 – SAUDI ARABIA – Saudi Arabia confirmed 20 new cases of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) on Saturday and Sunday, adding up to 49 infections in six days, a sudden increase of a disease that kills about a third of the people infected and has no cure. MERS, a SARS-like novel coronavirus that emerged in Saudi Arabia two years ago, has infected 244 people in the kingdom, of whom 76 have died, the Health Ministry said on its website. However, Health Minister Abdullah al-Rabia on Sunday told reporters there was no scientific evidence yet to justify ordering additional preventative measures such as travel restrictions. He said he did not know why there had been a surge of cases in Jeddah but said it might be part of a seasonal pattern since there was also a big rise in infections last April and May. Another cluster of cases has been detected in the United Arab Emirates and a Malaysian who was recently in the Gulf has been confirmed as infected, his country said. MERS has no vaccine or anti-viral treatment, but international and Saudi health authorities say the disease, which originated in camels, does not transmit easily between people and may simply die out. Health experts have warned, however, that MERS has the potential to mutate eventually. The number of officially confirmed Saudi cases has jumped suddenly over the past two weeks. Saudi authorities last week issued several statements aimed at reassuring the public that there was no immediate cause for concern at the latest outbreak and that it had not met international definitions of an epidemic.
Rabia said the ministry had invited five European and North American companies to work with it in developing a vaccine and that some of the companies would soon visit the kingdom. audi Arabia, the birthplace of Islam, is expected to receive a surge of pilgrims in July during the faith’s annual fasting month of Ramadan, followed by millions more in early October for the Haj. Last week Malaysian health authorities said a Malaysian citizen had been confirmed as having the disease after he returned from pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia. Rumors of unreported cases have circulated on Saudi social media feeds in recent weeks. Last week, the kingdom’s cabinet asked Saudi news organizations to report only those cases that are officially confirmed by the Health Ministry. Most of the new infections are in Saudi Arabia’s port city of Jeddah, where 37 people have been infected since Monday, seven of them fatally. Another 10 new cases, one of them fatal so far, were discovered in the capital Riyadh. There were also new cases confirmed in Najran Province and the city of Medina. Last week, another cluster of cases was discovered in the neighboring United Arab Emirates, and Yemen reported its first case. -Reuters
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.afro.who.int/en/clusters...-virus-disease-west-africa-22-april-2014.html

Ebola virus disease, West Africa (Situation as of 22 April 2014)

Guinea

As of 18:00 on 20 April, the Ministry of Health (MOH) of Guinea has reported a cumulative total of 208 clinical cases of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), including 136 deaths. To date, 169 patients have been tested for ebolavirus infection and 112 cases have been laboratory confirmed, including 69 deaths. In addition, 41 cases (34 deaths) meet the probable case definition for EVD and 55 cases (33 deaths) are classified as suspected cases. Twenty-five (25) health care workers (HCW) have been affected (18 confirmed), with 16 deaths (12 confirmed).

Clinical cases of EVD have been reported from Conakry (53 cases, including 23 deaths), Guekedou (122/87), Macenta (22/16), Kissidougou (6/5), Dabola (4/4) and Djingaraye (1/1). Laboratory confirmed cases and deaths have been reported from Conakry (37 cases, including 19 deaths), Guekedou (60/38), Macenta (13/10), Kissidougou (1/1) and Dabola (1/1). These updated figures include 3 new cases isolated on 20 April from Conakry and Guekedou, 2 of whom are laboratory confirmed. Five new deaths have also been reported among existing cases; all 5 of the deaths were patients with confirmed EVD. Twenty-one (21) patients were in isolation in Conakry (12), Guekedou (8) and Macenta (1), while 16 patients who recovered from their illness were discharged from hospital.

Contact tracing activities continue in all affected areas. A total of 217 contacts are currently under medical observation and 92 have completed their 21 days of follow-up.

[snip]

Liberia

From 13 March, the date of onset of the first laboratory confirmed case in Liberia, to 21 April, the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare of Liberia has reported a total of 34 clinically compatible cases of EVD; 6 confirmed cases, including 6 deaths, 2 probable cases and 26 suspected cases. The date of onset of the most recent confirmed case was 6 April and the date of admission of the last confirmed case was 10 April. The confirmed and probable cases were reported from Lofa and Margibi Counties, while suspected cases have been reported from Bong, Grand Cape Mount, Montserrado and Nimba Counties as a result of enhanced surveillance and contact tracing activities.

The number of confirmed cases in HCWs has been adjusted down from 3 cases to two as data are reviewed against case definitions and laboratory results. The total number of deaths has also been revised from 13 to 11 as one of the deaths has been counted in the EVD statistics for Guinea and one death occurred in a discarded case.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...hpModule_04941f10-8a79-11e2-98d9-3012c1cd8d1e

The African Ebola outbreak that shows no sign of slowing

BY TERRENCE MCCOY
April 23 at 5:56 am


Last week, officials in Guinea expressed optimism. The outbreak of Ebola that had spread into Liberia and beyond appeared to be waning. The number of deaths, which had then numbered 106, had slowed. Travel restrictions had been bolstered. The outbreak, which had sent waves of panic across West Africa, finally seemed under control.

“The number of new cases have fallen rapidly,” Rafi Diallo, a spokesman for Guinea’s health ministry, told Reuters. On the day of the interview, April 15, there were 159 confirmed or suspected cases of the disease. “Once we no longer have any new cases … we can say that this is totally under control.”

It’s eight days later. And the number of those killed by the Ebola killed in Guinea is now 136. Nearly 210 cases have been confirmed. In all, across Liberia and Guinea, 142 people have been killed — and 242 infected — in an outbreak that began months ago in the forested villages of southeast Guinea and shot to the capital city.

It has dominated headlines in Africa since. The World Health Organization, which says it may spread for months, cautions that more deaths could be on the way. “As the incubation period for [Ebola] can be up to three weeks, it is likely that the Guinean health authorities will report new cases in the coming weeks and additional suspected cases may also be identified in neighboring countries,” the WHO reported on Tuesday.

The disease, for which there is no cure, is terrifying in part because of the gruesome way it kills. It predominantly spreads through blood, secretions and other bodily fluids. At first, the WHO says, symptoms include intense weakness and fever, but then the sickness deepens with bouts of diarrhea, vomiting, and internal and external bleeding.

There are several theories explaining the outbreak, Africa’s worst in seven years and the first to kill in the continent’s west. One was published last week in the New England Journal that established “the emergence of a new EBOV strain in Guinea,” which had “evolved in parallel” to other disease veins.

It said the sickness first appeared in December — substantially earlier than other estimates. “The [virus] introduction seems to have happened in early December 2013 or even before,” the researchers said. “It is suspected that the virus was transmitted for months before the outbreak became apparent because of clusters of cases in the [Guinea] hospitals of Guéckédou and Macenta. This length of exposure appears to have allowed many transmission chains and thus increased the number of cases of Ebola virus disease.”

The scientists said data suggests “a single introduction of the virus into the human population. … Further investigation is ongoing to identify the presumed animal source of the outbreak.” The animal that’s most likely behind the outbreak is the fruit bat, which pervades large swaths of west Africa. Officials suspect someone ate the meat of a contaminated bat, fell ill, and then spread the infection.

The fatality rate, the study concluded, was 86 percent “among the early confirmed and 71 percent among the clinically suspected cases,” a rate consistent with previous Ebola outbreaks. ”The emergence of the virus in Guinea highlights the risk of [Ebola] outbreaks in the whole West African sub-region.”
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
A hat tip to Pixie for this article.

MSF are true heroes.
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201404241232.html?viewall=1

Guinea/Liberia - MSF Continues Ebola Response

22 APRIL 2014

MSF is deploying more than 60 international staff and 270 Guinean and Liberian staff to respond to the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, which has so far claimed 135 lives according to official numbers. MSF is supporting local health authorities by caring for infected patients and implementing measures to contain the outbreak in three locations in Guinea and two in neighbouring Liberia.

As of mid-April, the official numbers from the health authorities in Guinea are 197 suspected cases, of which 122 have died. Similarly in Liberia, there are 27 suspected cases, of which 13 have died.

Strengthening the capacity to care for patients in Conakry

In a treatment centre inside Donka hospital, MSF, in collaboration with the Ministry of Health and the World Health Organisation (WHO), is currently caring for 16 Ebola patients who are isolated in the centre. New patients arrive on a daily basis, which has prompted MSF to expand the capacity from 30 to 40 beds.

“Our priority is to continue to care for the people infected with the Ebola virus. From an epidemiological view it's too early to say which way the outbreak is going. For us, every new case is a challenge. We will continue to admit new patients until this outbreak is over”, explains Henry Gray, emergency coordinator for MSF in Guinea.

Several patients have survived and recovered the epidemic after being cared for by MSF medical teams. Ebola has a very high fatality rate, with up to 90% of infected patients dying from the disease.

“When I was told I had the virus, the first thought in my head was – am I going to die? But, thanks to the care I received, every day I felt better. By the grace of God, I survived the disease” says a Guinean patient who prefers to stay anonymous.

Continuation and reopening of activities in southeastern Guinea

MSF restarted activities last week in Macenta, after a few days suspension of activities following demonstrations by a small segment of the local population. MSF continues discussions with the local community to counter misunderstandings concerning the disease, and to ensure that they have the best possible understanding of how it is spread and the measures needed to contain it

In Gueckedou, activities continue with 26 international staff and 156 Guinean staff who work together to fight the outbreak. MSF’s centre, with a capacity of 20 beds, currently has 11 patients.

“We know our patients very well; their names, their age, their families, where they live, how they were infected. So when there are patients that survive the disease and can see our medical staff without the protective gear and shake our hands, it’s really emotional”, says Mano Canton, Field Coordinator for MSF in Gueckedou.

Positive cases in Liberia prompts extended response

Following reports of suspected cases in neighbouring Liberia, MSF has sent teams to Lofa and Margibi county and to the capital Monrovia.

In Foya Lofa, close to the Guinean border, four cases in Foya Lofa have been confirmed with Ebola, of which all have died. MSF is currently constructing a centre to be able to isolate and care for cases in the area. MSF will also train local health staff, and make sure that alert systems are in place to refer suspected cases to the centre.

In the capital Monrovia, MSF supports the authorities and trains medical staff in JFK hospital and Elwa hospital. MSF has also constructed an isolation unit in JFK hospital.

In Margibi County, east of Monrovia, a small isolation unit has been built by a local company. MSF supports the unit with technical expertise and has organised a training for local health staff. Two cases in the county have been confirmed, of which both have died.

New strain of virus identified has no impact on medical response

A group of international doctors and scientists, among them four MSF epidemiologists, have conducted a study which suggests that a slightly different strain of the virus from the previously identified Zaire strain may have been circulating in the region for some time.

“These new findings, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, suggest that the virus was not brought in from any other part of Africa.” says Hilde de Clerck, one of MSF’s epidemiologists and contributor to the study. “However, this does do not have any medical implications for how MSF is responding to the Ebola outbreak in Guinea and Liberia”
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://rt.com/news/154376-ebola-outbreak-death-toll/

Ebola outbreak: Death toll rises to over 140
Published time: April 23, 2014 19:00

A scientist separates blood cells from plasma cells to isolate any Ebola RNA in order to test for the virus at the European Mobile Laboratory in Gueckedou April 3, 2014.(Reuters / Misha Hussain)

The total of 142 deaths have now been recorded from the Ebola outbreak in Guinea and Liberia, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). Researchers believe that a new strain of the virus is responsible for the epidemic in West Africa.

Guinea, which has borne the brunt of the outbreak, has reported 208 clinical cases of the Ebola virus (EBOV) and 136 deaths so-far. While neighboring Liberia has found 34 clinically compatible cases, including six deaths.

The outbreak began at the beginning of the year in the forested villages of southeast Guinea, and then appeared in the capital Conakry.

As little as nine days ago the number of deaths and infections had begun to fall and it seemed that the outbreak was under control. The latest figures have quashed any hope that the spread of the disease is being contained.

There are several theories about how the disease has spread. A study published in the New England Journal last week said that the virus was due to “the emergence of a new EBOV strain in Guinea.”

Normally Ebola is endemic to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Uganda, South Sudan and Gabon in Central Africa but the latest research shows that it was not introduced from this region.

“This study demonstrates the emergence of a new EBOV strain in Guinea. It is possible that EBOV has circulated undetected for some time,” wrote the group of more than 30 doctors and scientists.

The spread of Ebola in West Africa has been fast and furious and has caused panic and made headlines in a region with weak health care systems and porous borders.

A senior Guinean health official told Reuters last week that the government would stop publically releasing the death count so has to avert panic.

All countries in the region have imposed strict health checks at airports, while Gambia has banned aircraft from picking up passengers in Guinea and Senegal has completely shut its land border with its southern neighbor. So far samples from Ghana and Sierra Leone have been negative.

There is no cure or vaccine for Ebola, which takes its name from a river in the DRC, and in up to 90 percent of cases it kills.

Symptoms are horrifying and begin with nausea, which then deepens into diarrhea, vomiting and internal and external bleeding.

The virus most likely was spread from an animal, probably a fruit bat, which is common over vast areas of West Africa. Officials think someone ate the meat of an infected bat, which then spread the infection.
 

almost ready

Inactive
wait a minute -- wait a minute!

"
A senior Guinean health official told Reuters last week that the government would stop publically releasing the death count so has to avert panic."

(from last post by Brewer 1:37 pm)

Does that mean it's time to panic? This statement just outright says "I won't tell you cause you would panic if you knew" - and the officials know exactly how many people are in critical condition in the hospitals in the capital and elsewhere....

whoa

It was curious when Guinea lowered the death rate from 120 (or 122 forget which) to 60 something....claimed some were counted more than once. Highly unlikely....

Looks like they need to do a KSA number and replace the health minister with someone with leadership experience. KSA put in the labor minister but he was an engineer and is highly regarded.

sigh
 

almost ready

Inactive
MERS has made it to Egypt from a sick traveller. No word yet on contacts, etc.

First MERS infection detected in Egypt

AFP, Cairo
Saturday, 26 April 2014

Egypt recorded its first MERS infection after a person who arrived from Saudi Arabia tested positive for the virus, state media reported on Saturday.

MERS infections have killed 92 people in Saudi Arabia, where the coronavirus was first detected in humans in 2012.

State television reported the patient was in a Cairo hospital after arriving from Saudi Arabia. It did not provide details on the patient’s condition.

The Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) virus is considered a deadlier but less-transmissible cousin of the SARS virus which erupted in Asia in 2003 and infected 8,273 people, nine percent of whom died.

Experts are still struggling to understand MERS, for which there is no known vaccine.

A recent study said the virus has been “extraordinarily common” in camels for at least 20 years, and may have been passed directly from the animals to humans.

It has spread to several countries, including the United Arab Emirates and Malaysia.


Last Update: Saturday, 26 April 2014 KSA 15:45 - GMT 12:4

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/New...6/First-MERS-infection-detected-in-Egypt.html
 

almost ready

Inactive
Uh oh Ebola symptoms showing up in Cholera patients????

http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/site/?pageid=event_desc&edis_id=BH-20140429-43544-UGA

Tuesday, April 29, 2014



RSOE EDIS
Event Report
Tuesday, 29th April 2014 :: 18:05:43 UTC



Biological Hazard in Uganda on Tuesday, 29 April, 2014 at 05:11 (05:11 AM) UTC.
Description
Obongi County MP, Fungaroo Caps, while addressing press at Parliament today, said the disease has symptoms of Ebola and Cholera though not yet confirmed. "It is a contagious disease which kills very fast. Moyo district is the most affected and particularly Obongi county," Fungaroo added. The health centre 4 of Obongi is already congested as more patients continue to flock in. "Tents are immediately required since patients are on the open veranda." The disease reportedly broke out on Saturday and the ministry of Health was alerted but nothing has been done so far. "We call upon all charity organization and other NGOs to quickly help us," Fungaroo appealed. He further observed that there is no proper treatment being given to the soaring numbers of patients apart from simple dehydration interventions. "Women are the most affected, especially in Aliba, Imara sub counties. Worse still, there is no Ambulance on the ground." People being transported on boda bodas which has caused more infections instead.
Biohazard name: Unidentified Fatal Illness, susp. Ebola (human)
Biohazard level: 4/4 Hazardous
Biohazard desc.: Viruses and bacteria that cause severe to fatal disease in humans, and for which vaccines or other treatments are not available, such as Bolivian and Argentine hemorrhagic fevers, H5N1(bird flu), Dengue hemorrhagic fever, Marburg virus, Ebola virus, hantaviruses, Lassa fever, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever, and other hemorrhagic or unidentified diseases. When dealing with biological hazards at this level the use of a Hazmat suit and a self-contained oxygen supply is mandatory. The entrance and exit of a Level Four biolab will contain multiple showers, a vacuum room, an ultraviolet light room, autonomous detection system, and other safety precautions designed to destroy all traces of the biohazard. Multiple airlocks are employed and are electronically secured to prevent both doors opening at the same time. All air and water service going to and coming from a Biosafety Level 4 (P4) lab will undergo similar decontamination procedures to eliminate the possibility of an accidental release.
Symptoms: The contagious disease which kills very fast. The disease has symptoms of Ebola and Cholera though not yet confirmed.
Status: suspected
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Uh oh Ebola symptoms showing up in Cholera patients????

http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/site/?pageid=event_desc&edis_id=BH-20140429-43544-UGA

Tuesday, April 29, 2014



RSOE EDIS
Event Report
Tuesday, 29th April 2014 :: 18:05:43 UTC



Biological Hazard in Uganda on Tuesday, 29 April, 2014 at 05:11 (05:11 AM) UTC.
Description
Obongi County MP, Fungaroo Caps, while addressing press at Parliament today, said the disease has symptoms of Ebola and Cholera though not yet confirmed. "It is a contagious disease which kills very fast. Moyo district is the most affected and particularly Obongi county," Fungaroo added. The health centre 4 of Obongi is already congested as more patients continue to flock in. "Tents are immediately required since patients are on the open veranda." The disease reportedly broke out on Saturday and the ministry of Health was alerted but nothing has been done so far. "We call upon all charity organization and other NGOs to quickly help us," Fungaroo appealed. He further observed that there is no proper treatment being given to the soaring numbers of patients apart from simple dehydration interventions. "Women are the most affected, especially in Aliba, Imara sub counties. Worse still, there is no Ambulance on the ground." People being transported on boda bodas which has caused more infections instead.
Biohazard name: Unidentified Fatal Illness, susp. Ebola (human)
Biohazard level: 4/4 Hazardous
Biohazard desc.: Viruses and bacteria that cause severe to fatal disease in humans, and for which vaccines or other treatments are not available, such as Bolivian and Argentine hemorrhagic fevers, H5N1(bird flu), Dengue hemorrhagic fever, Marburg virus, Ebola virus, hantaviruses, Lassa fever, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever, and other hemorrhagic or unidentified diseases. When dealing with biological hazards at this level the use of a Hazmat suit and a self-contained oxygen supply is mandatory. The entrance and exit of a Level Four biolab will contain multiple showers, a vacuum room, an ultraviolet light room, autonomous detection system, and other safety precautions designed to destroy all traces of the biohazard. Multiple airlocks are employed and are electronically secured to prevent both doors opening at the same time. All air and water service going to and coming from a Biosafety Level 4 (P4) lab will undergo similar decontamination procedures to eliminate the possibility of an accidental release.
Symptoms: The contagious disease which kills very fast. The disease has symptoms of Ebola and Cholera though not yet confirmed.
Status: suspected

Greetings, almost ready: Thanks for this article. One cannot but wonder if we will be seeing more articles like this one. Although they say they cannot confirm that cholera and ebola virus have 'combined' there is a distinct possibility that these patients presenting with symptoms of both diseases could have been infected with both diseases. Cholera kills with rapid dehydration in an otherwise healthy patient. If the patient was already infected with Ebola they could expire very, very, rapidly. Considering the pace of patients arriving and dying the healthcare system as it exists[or doesn't] is no doubt overwhelmed and who has time or resources to conduct post mortems or do the proper lab work to verify the 'cause-of-death? This is not looking good at all. Take care. BREWER
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_04_25_ebola/en/

Ebola virus disease, West Africa – update
Disease Outbreak News
25 April 2014


Guinea

As of 18:00 on 23 April, the Ministry of Health (MOH) of Guinea has reported a cumulative total of 218 clinical cases of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), including 141 deaths. To date, 191 patients have been tested for ebolavirus infection and 115 cases have been laboratory confirmed, including 72 deaths. In addition, 42 cases (34 deaths) meet the probable case definition for EVD and 61 cases (35 deaths) are classified as suspected cases. Twenty-six (26) health care workers (HCW) have been affected (18 confirmed), with 16 deaths .(12 confirmed).

Clinical cases of EVD have been reported from Conakry (58 cases, including 24 deaths), Guekedou (127/91), Macenta (22/16), Kissidougou (6/5), Dabola (4/4) and Djingaraye (1/1). Laboratory confirmed cases and deaths have been reported from Conakry (37 cases, including 19 deaths), Guekedou (63/41), Macenta (13/10), Kissidougou (1/1) and Dabola (1/1). The date of onset of the most recent clinical case, a suspected case, is 23 April while the date of isolation of the most recent confirmed case is 22 April. Two new deaths have also been reported among existing cases; one of the deaths was a patient with confirmed EVD. Thirteen (13) patients are in isolation in Conakry (6 patients, 5 confirmed), Guekedou (7 patients, all confirmed). Contact tracing activities continue in all affected areas.

Overall, the epidemiological situation in Guinea has improved significantly over the last few weeks. The date of onset of the last reported case from Macenta was 24 days ago and a similar time has elapsed for Dabola (25 days), Kissigougou (26) and Djingaraye (31 days). Two incubation periods (42 days) without cases is the standard for declaring an EVD outbreak over in a particular location.

The focus of response activities at present includes clinical case management and ongoing training in hospital-based infection prevention and control (IPC). A documentary will be made on the Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) isolation facility in Guekedou. WHO, in collaboration with the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN), has mobilized a new medical team comprising of IPC and intensive care physicians in support of the clinicians at the Donka Hospital in Conakry.

The numbers of cases and contacts remain subject to change due to consolidation of case, contact and laboratory data, enhanced surveillance activities and contact tracing activities. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, United States, has arrived in Guinea to further strengthen diagnostic capacity for EVD by retesting patients who were polymerase chain reaction (PCR) negative by ebolavirus serology.

The cross-border meeting on EVD response between the governments of Guinea and Liberia was successfully hosted by the Guinean government, attended by 25 participants from delegations from both countries. The overall objective of the meeting was to strengthen epidemiological surveillance and the follow up of contacts along the borders of the two countries in order to stop transmission of EVD. Key actions for implementation include: development of an action plan on the cross-border response to EVD; strengthening coordination of cross-border activities with engagement of local authorities; sharing information on the cross-border movement of suspected cases of EVD; reinforcing community awareness of EVD and ways to reduce personal and community risk of disease; and reinforcing active surveillance and contact tracing along the border as needed.

As the incubation period for EVD can be up to three weeks, it is likely that the Guinean health authorities will report new cases in the coming weeks and additional suspected cases may also be identified in neighbouring countries.

Liberia

From 13 March, the date of onset of the first laboratory confirmed case in Liberia, to 24 April, the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (MOHSW) of Liberia has reported a total of 35 clinically compatible cases of EVD; 6 confirmed cases, 2 probable cases and 27 suspected cases. The date of onset of the most recent confirmed case was 6 April. The MOHSW has started to reclassify suspected cases against their laboratory test results. Most of the suspected cases are expected to be discarded at the end of this process.

WHO, in collaboration with GOARN, is planning to replace experts who recently completed their missions in Liberia in the areas of case management, IPC and epidemiology.

Sierra Leone

The Ministry of Health and Sanitation of Sierra Leone is currently investigating 3 patients with an illness compatible with a viral haemorrhagic fever (VHF) for EVD and Lassa fever (the latter is endemic in Sierra Leone). All rumours of EVD cases are being investigated and active case finding is also ongoing.

The laboratory at the Lassa Fever isolation facility at the Kenema Government Hospital is now analysing all suspected cases of VHF for both Lassa fever and EVD. As of 24 April 2014, 98 samples collected have been tested; 10 samples tested positive for Lassa fever and the remaining 88 tested negative for both diseases. Fifteen contacts have completed 21 days of follow up while 20 contacts remain under medical observation.

WHO does not recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied to Guinea, Liberia or Sierra Leone based on the current information available for this event. ETA:WTF?
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.recombinomics.com/News/04291401/UAE_MERS_Superspreader_28.html

Commentary

Abu Dhabi MERS Superspreader Linked To 28 Confirmed
Recombinomics Commentary 05:30
April 29, 2014

A 37 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who was screened following exposure to a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 10 April. He is reported to have underlying medical conditions. He has no history of recent travel, but frequently visits the two farms he owns.

A 32 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who was screened, following exposure to a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 10 April. He did not become ill and does not have any underlying medical condition. He has no history of recent travel and did not have contact with animals.

A 33 year-old man from Abu Dhabi who was screened following exposure to a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 10 April. He did not become ill and is reported to have no underlying medical condition. He has no history of recent travel. He owns two farms and is reported to have contact with camels.

A 30 year-old man from Abu Dhabi. He was screened following exposure with a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 10 April. He does not have any underlying medical condition. He has no history of recent travel and did not have contact with animals.

A 42 year-old man from Abu Dhabi. He was screened following exposure to a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 10 April. He had mild illness. He is reported to have no underlying medical condition. He has no history of recent travel and had no contact with animals.

A 45 year-old woman from Abu Dhabi who is a daughter of a previously laboratory-confirmed case reported on 22 April. She became ill on 15 April. She is reported to have an underlying medical condition, and has no history of recent travel or contact with animals.

The above comments from the April 26 WHO MERS update describe MERS confirmation in five cases (in red) who were contacts of the Adu Dhabi super-spreader (45M), as well as a tertiary case (in blue). Since the index case may have been infected by an earlier fatal case (68M), the index may be a secondary case, and direct contacts were tertiary cases. The above cases increase those who had contact with the super-spreader to 25, which are in addition to the three cases linked to contacts of the super-spreader.

This transmission chain is being investigated by WHO, as is the explosion of cases in Jeddah. Nearly complete sequences from three Jeddah cases (Jeddah_C7569, Jeddah_C7149, Jeddah_C7770) have been released and all three are closely related to each other, even though they came from two different hospitals. All three sequences contain 12 polymorphisms that have not been reported in any prior sequence.

However, a phylogenetic tree posted by Andrew Rambaut included a Qatar camel sequence (camel_2), which is closely related and has many of the 12 polymorphisms that define this novel sub-clade in Jeddah. Since the earlier fatal case in Abu Dhabi was a camel breeder, the super spreader sequence may be closely related to the novel sub-clade in Jeddah.

Identities between the three published spike gene sequences and partial sequences from 25 additional Jeddah cases raise concerns that the novel sub-clade in Jeddah is large. and may also be causing the super-spreader related cases in the UAE.

Media Link

Recombinomics Presentations

Recombinomics Publications

Recombinomics Paper at Nature Precedings
 
Top