HEALTH CONCERNS THAT WEST AFRICAN EBOLA VIRUS MAY HAVE SPREAD TO MOROCCO

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://moroccantimes.com/2014/04/co...an-ebola-outbreak-may-have-spread-to-morocco/

CONCERNS THAT WEST AFRICAN EBOLA VIRUS MAY HAVE SPREAD TO MOROCCO
BY STAFF MEMBER IN HEALTH APR 10TH, 2014
The Moroccan Times

Moroccan media outlets Goud.ma and Aljarida24.com prompted concerns over a probable outbreak of the West African Ebola virus in Morocco.

As a matter of fact, the sources alleged that the Moroccan authorities may have sent some West Saharan natives directly from Airport Mohammed V in Casablanca to the Moulay Youssef hospital after suspecting their contamination with the virus.

The Moroccan authorities denied this right away.

Mr.Abdelghani Drhimeur, Ministry of health’s spokesman, said that “no infection case with the Ebola virus has been detected, whether within Morocco or in any of its airports,” as relayed by aufaitmaroc.ma.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...ast-worried-eye-on-ebola-spread/#.U0mMPsaScW8

Experts cast worried eye on Ebola spread
BY RICHARD INGHAM AND OLIVIER THIBAULT
AFP-JIJI
APR 12, 2014


PARIS – Virologists say they are deeply worried by the unprecedented Ebola epidemic in West Africa, which has claimed more than 90 lives and may now also have struck north into the Sahel.

A rare but extremely dangerous virus, Ebola is historically rooted in Central Africa, although it has also caused past outbreaks in Uganda to the east.

Except for a nonfatal case in Cote d’Ivoire in 1994, when a lab researcher was infected while examining a dead chimp, Ebola had not previously been found in the west of the continent.

How it got there is puzzling experts.

The viral species now causing havoc is the Zaire strain of Ebola, which slays between 70 and 90 percent of those it infects and was last reported in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2009.

“When I heard about the outbreak, my initial suspicion was that it could be the Ivory Coast species,” said Thomas Geisbert, an expert on hemorrhagic fevers at the University of Texas Medical Branch, calling Cote d’Ivoire by its English name.

“It turned out to be the Zaire species, which has never been connected with West Africa,” Geisbert said. “I am very concerned, because I think we still don’t know how the virus got into this region or the size of the boundaries of the affected area.”

Sylvain Baize, who heads France’s National Reference Center for hemorrhagic fever, said the outbreak “is serious — by all accounts, it is not under control.”

“It’s worrying because it’s the first time Ebola has emerged as a human epidemic in West Africa,” he said.

Baize noted the “wide dispersion” of patients and also a case cluster in the Guinean capital, Conakry, which added to the complexity of tackling the epidemic.

Past outbreaks of Ebola have generally happened in remote rural areas, which makes their containment easier.

“That Ebola has found its way to densely populated urban areas is a concern,” Jonathan Ball, a professor of molecular virology at England’s University of Nottingham said. “Large numbers of people living at high density really helps infectious diseases spread.”

[snip]

“The likeliest hypothesis is that the epidemic (in West Africa) is linked to the introduction of the virus with the fruit bat as an intermediary, although this still has to be confirmed,” Baize said.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Liberia is up to 25 cases, with 12 deaths. A hat tip to Pixie@http://www.singtomeohmuse.com for this info.

Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.theglobaldispatch.com/su...a-leone-tests-positive-for-lassa-fever-96954/


Suspected Ebola Cases In Sierra Leone Tests Positive For Lassa Fever

Published On: Fri, Apr 11th, 2014

In an update concerning the outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), the numbers have increased both in Guinea and Liberia. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), as of 9 April, a cumulative total of 158 clinically compatible cases, including 101 deaths have been officially reported in Guinea. 66 of the clinical cases have been laboratory confirmed.

In Liberia, The Ministry of Health and Social Welfare of Liberia has so far reported 25 EVD cases, including 12 deaths (case fatality ratio 48%). Mali has reported six suspected cases which are currently being investigated. Two previously suspected cases have been discarded after they tested negative for ebolavirus and other viral hemorrhagic fever viruses in assays conducted by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

In Sierra Leone, where two suspected EVD cases were being investigated has now been ruled out. The two cases have tested positive for Lassa fever, a disease that is endemic in the country.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...-empty-while-closing-west-africa-borders.html

Ebola Fears Leave Hotels Empty While Closing West Africa Borders

By Pauline Bax, Sadibou Marone and Ougna Camara Apr 10, 2014 8:00 PM


Ibrahima Capi Camara’s phone at the Grand Hotel de L’Independence in Guinea’s capital hasn’t stopped ringing since an Ebola outbreak began last month, for all the wrong reasons.

“At least 80 percent of our reservations have been canceled,” Camara, general manager of the 217-room hotel in the heart of Conakry, said on April 8. “Clients are scared to come because of Ebola.”

West Africa is fighting to contain an outbreak of the disease that has claimed the lives of 111 people in Guinea and Liberia, the worst outbreak in seven years, and kills as many as nine out of 10 people who contract it. There’s no cure or vaccine for the hemorrhagic fever that will probably continue to spread in the region for a few more months, according to the World Health Organization.

Measures such as closing borders and restricting travel “don’t make sense,” according to WHO, which says avoiding close contact with patients will help contain the spread of the disease. That hasn’t stopped Senegal from shutting a border or Ivory Coast from barring buses from Liberia and Guinea. Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA (VALE5), the world’s biggest iron-ore producer, sent foreign workers in Guinea back to their homes last week.

“The extreme fear it provokes in populations means that local and regional businesses are already seeing disruption to operations,” Charles Laurie, head of Africa research at Bath, England-based risk consultant Maplecroft, said in an e-mail. “Regional trade is at risk of grinding to a halt.”

Economic Damage

Mohamed Cherif Abdallah, head of the Organized Group of Businessmen in Conakry, said the outbreak is hurting the economy.

“Guinean business owners are losing money because of this,” he said by phone yesterday. “The disease has halted economic activity in the country’s interior, and many foreigners are reluctant to come now.”

The Guinean region and towns of Gueckedou and Macenta where Ebola was first detected last month produces most of the fruit and vegetables sold in the capital.

“People claim that our bananas contain Ebola because they come from Gueckedou,” Marie Dore, a market vendor in Conakry, said in an interview. “For the past two weeks, I’ve had to throw all my bananas away. Business is dwindling.”

Inadequate health care and a shortage of doctors make fighting the disease more difficult.

In Guinea, residents of a town with reported cases attacked a center run by Medecins Sans Frontieres, blaming its staff for spreading the disease. The Swiss-based aid group planned to reopen the facility in Macenta yesterday, Sam Taylor, the group’s emergency communications coordinator, said by phone from Conakry.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Is it possible that ebola could be an insect born virus spread via migrating birds? Just questioning the timing of the spread. Right now we have millions of birds flying through here headed north for the Summer.
 

almost ready

Inactive
It does appear to be an outbreak in the African wildlife. The case of the 15 year old girl in Nigeria was direct from a neighbor's pet monkey. Fatal and no other cases reported. Read about it a couple weeks ago, as it was concurrent with the breakout in Guinea.
 

willowlady

Veteran Member
It can be contained if proper measures are taken, since transmission is from contact, i.e., it's not airborne. That said, with all the travel nowadays, it wouldn't be difficult for someone in the early stages to get a real epidemic going.
 

ShadowMan

Designated Grumpy Old Fart
WHO:
Transmission

Viruses that cause haemorrhagic fevers are transmitted by mosquitoes (dengue, yellow fever, RVF), ticks (CCHF), rodents (Hantavirus, Lassa) or bats (Ebola, Marburg). For Ebola and Marburg viruses, humans have been infected from contact with tissues of diseased non-human primates (monkeys and apes) and other mammals, but most human infections have resulted from direct contact with the body fluids or secretions of infected patients.
From this and just the logic of it, Ebola has a strong potential to be spread via mosquitoes. How much virus does it take to infect someone? One bite, two? More? Any possibility of transmission by a mosquito bite would be a nightmare, a real nightmare!
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
WHO:From this and just the logic of it, Ebola has a strong potential to be spread via mosquitoes. How much virus does it take to infect someone? One bite, two? More? Any possibility of transmission by a mosquito bite would be a nightmare, a real nightmare!

Which means they are picking it up from birds or other wildlife. It may not be fatal to the birds or the mosquito's but once it passes through three or four vectors to humans it becomes the perfect storm. Like I said the timing of the outbreak with the migration of birds around the globe makes me wonder...
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Considering the difference in both cultural practices and climate between equatorial West Africa and Morocco, if it is in fact spreading on its own into Morocco, the virus has mutated in a very dangerous manner indeed. Niceguy calling it a "slatewiper" isn't far off at all. The Stand and Earth Abides come to mind.
 

Walkin' Away

Senior Member
Guys & Gals,
I don't want you to think that my tin-foil beanie is too tight,
But there is an article in the infectious diseases forum about a possible airborne E. Zaire variant.

I am curious if one of our "eastern enemies" has developed a weaponized virus and have in their lust for resources
(in the dark continent) released it quietly to let it do it's thing and thin the indigenous peoples.

My heart hurts to think that some entity could do such a thing. I also realize that we are living in a crazy world.

Please take care and be kind to each other.

W.A.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201404141332.html?viewall=1

Liberia: Ebola Kills Two Health Workers

BY WINSTON W. PARLEY, 14 APRIL 2014


Two health workers here are reported to have died from the deadly Ebola virus since its spread here from Guinea, the National Health Workers Association of Liberia or NAHWAL has said. As at Wednesday, April 9, 2014, the World Health Organization or WHO said Ebola death toll in Liberia had reached 12, with over 100 in neighboring Guinea.

A statement read Thursday, April 10 at a news conference by NAHWAL President Mr. Joseph S. Tamba says two health workers in Foya Boma Hospital, Lofa County, Mr. Robinson Lenden- NA and Mr. James Daah-BSN contracted the Ebola virus and died while saving lives. The death of the two health workers has forced NAHWAL to advance several demands, including incentives and benefits for health workers across the country.

Mr. Tamba who termed the death of their colleagues as tragedy said their deaths show how vulnerable health workers in the country are, adding that those who work tirelessly to keep the nation and its people healthy be sufficiently protected and not be allowed to die due to "unnecessary lack of such common things as examination gloves or soap and running water to wash hands."

The NAHWAL leadership further demands that government pays incentives to all Health and Social Welfare workers for February and March 2014, including those whose salaries deductions were allegedly made in March for claims that they did not go to work during the health workers' strike action here.

In the case of their deceased colleagues, Mr. Lenden and Mr. Daah, NAHWAL authorities expressed dismay that both men had no medical or death benefit, and no social security coverage with fears that the Ministry of Health has no policy in place to benefit them since they were only volunteers and were incentive staffs.

"NAHWAL wishes to state that the two gentlemen contracted the virus which killed them not while they were merry making on beaches or night clubs, or holidays. They were infected while serving our nation and its people, they died while saving lives," NAHWAL said.

Notwithstanding, NAHWAL is calling on government to organize a befitting memorial service in honor of the deceased health workers, and give their widows and fatherless children packages of death benefit.

"This has been the kind of injustice in the public health sector that NAHWAL has been advocating to change. It is for this reason that the leadership of NAHWAL has been dismissed," said NAHWAL President Mr. Tamba.

He called on the Health Ministry to make available the necessary protective gears to health and social welfare workers in emergency rooms and intensive care units or isolation centers throughout the country to protect them against the killer Ebola virus.

Mr. Tamba future urged that authorities at the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare to make use of trained and licensed laboratory technicians in times like these to avoid wastage of limited resources.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201404141426.html?viewall=1


Liberia: Guinea, Senegal Clash Over Ebola

BY EMMANUEL WEEDEE, 13 APRIL 2014

Health Minister of Guinea has expressed serious opposition to the decision taken by neighboring Senegal to close its land borders with Guinea during the recent outbreak of the Ebola hemorrhagic fever (Ebola HF) in Guinea.

According to Dr. Remy Lamah, the closure of the borders was the least of all options that any country would have taken.

He pointed out that the closure of borders by any country poses more problems because, according to him, people who use illegal or unofficial point of entry would escalate and they wouldn't be monitored.

The Guinea's Health Minister was speaking Friday, April 11, 2014 at the start of a six-day Assembly of ECOWAS Health Ministers (AHM) hosted by Liberia.

The meeting, which is being held at the Golden Gate Hotel in Paynesville, outside Monrovia, brings together ministers of health of the West African sub-region.

The meeting is being held under the theme: "Universal Health Coverage: issues, Challenges and Opportunities."

It can be recalled that recently, authorities in neighboring Senegal closed the land border with Guinea following the outbreak of the deadly Ebola virus.

Senegalese music superstar YoussouNdour cancelled a weekend concert in Conakry, Guinea's capital, because he feared the disease could spread in a large crowd gathered to hear him.

"Border closure has negative implication and it exposes our weak security," said Dr. Lamah.

He stated that you can only know your best friends in your time of trouble. The decision of Senegal to close its borders with Guinea was also criticized by health ministers of other West African countries, including Nigeria, Guinea Bissau, Cape Verde and Sierra Leone among others at the meeting.

But Dr. ModouDiagneFada, the Minister for Health and Prevention of the Republic of Senegal defended the action taken by his country to close its borders.

According to Dr. Fada, the decision by his government does not in any way show disrespect to international health rules and regulations.

He added that the closure of the borders is backed by Article 43 of the International Health Regulations.

Article 43 of the International Health Regulation (IHR) of the World Health Organization (WHO) among other things, states that, international regulations shall not preclude States Parties from implementing health measures, in accordance with their relevant national law and obligations under international law, in response to specific public health risks or public health emergencies of international concern.
 

rummer

Veteran Member
Guys & Gals,
I don't want you to think that my tin-foil beanie is too tight,
But there is an article in the infectious diseases forum about a possible airborne E. Zaire variant.

I am curious if one of our "eastern enemies" has developed a weaponized virus and have in their lust for resources
(in the dark continent) released it quietly to let it do it's thing and thin the indigenous peoples.

My heart hurts to think that some entity could do such a thing. I also realize that we are living in a crazy world.

Please take care and be kind to each other.

W.A.

Your hat is not too tight. I recall there are some variants that are airborne. The reston virus in the reston Virginia lab that broke loose and wrecked havoc at that lab if I remember correctly was airborne.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Guys & Gals,
I don't want you to think that my tin-foil beanie is too tight,
But there is an article in the infectious diseases forum about a possible airborne E. Zaire variant.

I am curious if one of our "eastern enemies" has developed a weaponized virus and have in their lust for resources
(in the dark continent) released it quietly to let it do it's thing and thin the indigenous peoples.

My heart hurts to think that some entity could do such a thing. I also realize that we are living in a crazy world.

Please take care and be kind to each other.

W.A.

Well about ten years ago there was the documentary story, ala 60 Minutes, about that place the russians had for developing all of their nasties that had been abandoned and was now being looted by who knows. IIRC it was in the middle of some lake/sea that was losing all of it's water due to a failed irrigation attempt started back in the 40's or 50's to get water from the sea to some big city in one of the "stans" that the USSR owned at the time. The only thing the russians would admit to losing at that time was some varient of either TB or Polio I forget which one it was.

K-
 

Flashyzipp

Veteran Member
It is only a matter of time before Ebola or another disease is in the United States. We just studied this in my anthropology class. Google the illegal bushmeat trade in the US.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Morocco is directly across from Gibraltar/Spain. There are regular ferries carrying a large number of people back and forth on a daily basis. If Ebola is in Morocco, IT IS ALSO IN SOUTHERN SPAIN.

We are exactly one, repeat one, global pandemic away from the modern equivalent of the 1348 Black Death in Europe.

There are currently three, count um three, potential sources of a lethal, global pandemic.
One is the bird flu in China.

Two is the MERS virus in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East.

Three is the Ebola virus that started in the Congo over 30 years ago. It has now spread to West Africa. IN LESS THAN ONE MONTH IT HAS GONE FROM THERE TO MOROCCO. IT HAS ALSO SPREAD TO SEVERAL OTHER WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES.

The idea Ebola can be contained in West Africa is delusional. Now that it is in Morocco the spread to Europe is inevitable. Spain will get it first, although it won't stop there. By the way, there was a story about 600,000, yes 600,000 Africans posed to invade Spain and southern europe in search of a better way of life. Nuff said.

Whatever the attitudes towards African immigrants in Europe are now, once Ebola breaks out they will be hunting them down and deporting them by throwing them out of helicopters ten feet above Morocco.

There is nothing quite like a plague to cause hysteria, social anarchy, followed by economic and political collapse.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion. There is a 3:16 min vid of Dr. Gupta showing sample taking and talking about the virus.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/14/health/gupta-ebola-guinea/

Ebola: A swift, effective and bloody killer
By Dr. Sanjay Gupta, CNN Chief Medical Correspondent
updated 11:41 AM EDT, Mon April 14, 2014


Conakry, Guinea (CNN) -- It took only moments to feel the impact of what was happening here.

We had just landed in Conakry, the capital of Guinea. In the fields right outside the airport, a young woman was in tears. She started to wail and shout in Susu, one of the 40 languages spoken in this tiny country of 12 million people. The gathered crowd became silent and listened intently.

The young man sitting next to me quietly translated, although I already had my suspicions. He told me the woman's husband had died of Ebola, and then quickly ushered us away.
Sanjay Gupta explains Ebola virus
How the Ebola outbreak began

It is probably not surprising the airplane bringing us into Conakry was nearly empty, as are all the hotels here. Not many people in the United States have ever visited Guinea, or could even identify where it sits in West Africa. It is already one of the world's poorest countries, and the panic around Ebola is only making that worse.

Some of it is justified. That's because this time, the outbreak is different. In the past, Ebola rarely made it out of the remote forested areas of Africa.

Key to that is a grim version of good news/bad news: because Ebola tends to incapacitate its victims and kill them quickly, they rarely have a chance to travel and spread the disease beyond their small villages. Now, however, Ebola is in Conakry, the capital city, with two million residents. Equally concerning: it's just a short distance from where we touched down, at an international airport.

It has gone "viral," and now the hope is that it doesn't go global.

Ebola: What you need to know

When I asked doctors on the ground about that scenario, they had split opinions. Several told me the concern is real but unlikely. Most patients with Ebola come from small villages in the forest and are unlikely to be flying on international trips, they told me. Furthermore, they don't think Ebola would spread widely in a western country; our medical expertise and our culture -- not touching the dead -- would prevent it.

Others aren't so sure.

No one wants to test that theory.

WHO: Ebola outbreak one of 'most challenging'

With Ebola, there is an incubation period of two to 21 days. Remember these numbers. This is the range of time it takes to develop symptoms after someone has been exposed.

With an international airport close by, that means you could be on the other side of the world before you develop the headache, fever, fatigue and joint pain which make up the early symptoms of an Ebola infection. The diarrhea, rash and bleeding come later. Hiccups is a particularly grave sign with Ebola. It means your diaphragm, which allows you to breathe, is starting to get irritated.

There is a lot we know about Ebola, and it scares us almost as much as what we don't know.

We do know Ebola, a simple virus with a small genome, is a swift, effective and bloody killer. The mortality rate is higher than 50% and in some outbreaks reaches 90%.

Ebola appears to kill in a clever way. Early on, it strategically disarms your immune system, allowing the virus to replicate unchecked until it invades organs all over your body. It convinces your blood to clot in overdrive, but only inside your blood vessels. While those blood vessels choke up, the rest of your body starts to ooze because the clotting mechanisms are all busy.

You start to hemorrhage on the outside of your body. Nose bleeds, bruising, even a simple needle stick will refuse to clot. But, it is the bleeding you don't see -- the bleeding on the inside -- that causes even more catastrophic problems.

Many patients die of shock, within an average of 10 days.

What is ebola?
Ebola outbreak: History of a killer

It sounds like the stuff of horror movies. But despite the real danger, Ebola is not at all easy to "catch." If it were, my wife would have refused to let me come in the midst of an outbreak.

To become infected, you generally need to spend extended time with someone who is gravely ill, and come into contact with his or her infected body fluids. That's why family members and health care workers are the most likely to get sick.

Over the last three weeks, at least 104 people have died, including 14 health care workers.

With some infections, you can shed and spread the virus long before you get ill. That's not the case with Ebola. It's only after you are sick and feverish do you become contagious. However, it only takes a miniscule amount to infect and kill. A microscopic droplet of blood or saliva on your bare hand could enter through a break in your skin. And, whether you realize it or not, we all have breaks in our skin.

Since I was a kid, I have been fascinated with outbreaks. I learned in medical school that new pathogens generally make a jump from animals to humans, a process called zoonosis.

This is happening in areas where human and animals come into continuous contact. David Quammen refers to it as "Spillover," in his book of the same name. A stew of ducks, geese, chickens, pigs and humans in southeast Asia led to the spillover of avian flu, H5N1. Contact between pigs and humans in Mexico led to swine flu, H1N1; pigs and fruit bats were the recipe for Nipah fever in Malaysia.

The best guess is that fruit bats may be a natural reservoir for the Ebola virus too, but this has not been confirmed. Quammen makes the point: Ebola didn't enter our world -- we entered its world.

Pathogens can be predators, like lions, tigers and bears. A virus may not plan the way a big cat does, but in a sense it stalks its prey -- waiting for the moment of opportunity, then attacking with fury. Because it can lie silent for years, it's also easy to see Ebola as a killing ghost, like Jack the Ripper.

Presumably outbreaks begin through some human-animal contact, but since that contact is ongoing we don't know what it is that leads Ebola to rear its ugly head. We don't know how to treat the illness or vaccinate against it. We certainly don't know how to cure it.

I thought about all of this as I left that woman in the airport, and I have thought about her a great deal since then. Her grief made an impression on all of us.

It also made this mysterious, exotic virus the world knows, but doesn't fully understand, so much more real and frightening. For the next 21 days (the outer range of the incubation period) the woman we saw will be monitored for a fever or any early signs she may have contracted Ebola from her husband. If she exhibits symptoms, she will be isolated and treated with fluids, oxygen and nutrition.

That is all that can really be offered. Again, there is no cure for Ebola.

For her neighbors, in Guinea and across its border, another critical number is 42 -- as in 42 days, or two incubation periods. If the health care teams here don't see any new cases during that time then they officially say the outbreak is over. We are not there yet, not even close.

The clock is ticking.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/10/opinion/ebola-virus-a-grim-african-reality.html

Ebola Virus: A Grim, African Reality

By DAVID QUAMMENAPRIL 9, 2014



There’s nothing like an outbreak of Ebola virus disease to bring a small, struggling African nation to international notice. One week we couldn’t place it on a map; the next week, after Ebola virus disease strikes, we know the body count and the name of the capital and whether its airport has closed.

This sad distinction now attaches to Guinea, a country of 11.5 million, in which the latest of Africa’s viral tribulations was reported by the World Health Organization, upon notification from Guinea’s Ministry of Health, on March 23. As of Tuesday the toll was 157 confirmed or suspected Ebola cases, including 101 deaths. That’s a case fatality rate of 64 percent, somewhat lower than the worst of previous outbreaks but high enough to remind us that Ebola is more inimical to humans than perhaps any known virus on Earth, except rabies and HIV-1. And it does its damage much faster than either.

Among neighbors just across Guinea’s southeastern border, Liberia has confirmed several Ebola cases of its own, in people who recently traveled from Guinea, and Sierra Leone is watching very carefully. No one wants this thing to spread.

The Guinea outbreak has also raised one puzzling new question about Ebola: What is this particular species of virus, known technically as Zaire ebolavirus, doing way over in West Africa, so far from the Central African forests in which all its previous outbreaks have occurred? Viruses don’t travel, except in other living creatures. It seems to have hitched a lift, across Nigeria and Ghana and Ivory Coast and other intervening nations, within something or someone. Maybe it was carried by a bat.

Scientists have identified a total of five species of ebolavirus, four native to Africa and one to the Philippines. They are all zoonoses, meaning animal infections transmissible to humans. They reside quietly in some species of wildlife, this or that forest creature, from which they spill over occasionally to cause mayhem and death in people. Ebola virus can only pass from person to person by direct contact with bodily fluids, and therefore an outbreak is stoppable by simple isolation and “barrier nursing,” or the careful handling of patients and corpses, once enough medical gloves, gowns, goggles, rubber boots, body bags and knowledge have reached the scene.

Although the outbreak is eventually halted, the virus isn’t gone. It hides in the forest within some hospitable animal, its reservoir host. The identity of the reservoir host (or hosts) for Ebola virus is unknown, but three species of fruit bat are suspected. One of those species, the hammer-headed fruit bat, lives in forests from the Congo basin as far west as southeastern Guinea and is sizable enough to be attractive as human food.

In Guinea, the index patient (the first case) has not even been identified, though the preponderance of cases in Guéckédou, a city near the southeastern border, suggests that the outbreak may have begun down there. Without knowing the index patient, investigators can’t know how the fateful spillover happened. Did someone eat a bat? Did someone scavenge another dead chimp, one that had shared fruit with a bat?

That sort of research will have to come later, I was told recently by Dr. Stuart Nichol, of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Dr. Nichol, himself a veteran of many outbreak responses, is chief of the C.D.C.’s Viral Special Pathogens Branch, a portfolio containing all the world’s nastiest viruses. Some of his people are presently in Guinea. For now, Dr. Nichol said, the focus is on human health: identifying cases, getting them isolated, giving them supportive care (there are no real treatments for Ebola virus disease), tracing contacts, breaking the chains of transmission.

The original Zaire species of ebolavirus was the first recognized back in 1976, when it emerged at a place called Yambuku in the northern boondocks of what then was Zaire, now the Democratic Republic of Congo. Of the 318 people infected, 280 (88 percent) died. A later outbreak in northeastern Gabon, in 1996, began with a chimpanzee carcass, scavenged from the forest by a group of boys on a hunting foray and devoured communally back at their village. (Chimps cannot be the reservoir host of Ebola because they too die from it, as this one evidently had.) Thirty-one human cases, 21 deaths. The Zaire virus has also struck three times in the Republic of Congo just across the river, killing dozens of people each time.

In all, since 1976, more than two dozen outbreaks of the various ebolaviruses have accounted for just over 1,640 reported deaths. So it’s a terrible thing, Ebola virus disease, but relatively rare.
Continue reading the main story
Recent Comments
Ciara Joyce
3 days ago

What happened to Ebola reston? I haven't kept up my reading since I retired, but it was imported into the US (Reston, VA and a location in...
blackmamba
4 days ago

I got it. This is only killing poor black Africans. And while it may be a big deal to them they are not exceptionally white and wonderful...
J
4 days ago

I first heard of Ebola when I was in high school and at the time, probably fit into the group of people whom the article referred to as...

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The worst of these viruses (notably the Zaire species) burn hot in human populations, then succumb to control and disappear back into the forest for years at a time. Their invisible immanence makes them all the more dangerous during those lulls between outbreaks, and for that reason ecological research — efforts to find the reservoir hosts, and to learn how host-to-human spillovers occur — is vitally important.

People around the world have read such horrific tales about Ebola that they tend to dread it inordinately, sometimes with dark fascination, as though it’s a preternatural killer. It is not. It’s a horrible virus if you catch it, but it’s not easy to catch.

It afflicts poor African people who live in villages amid forest and are obliged by scarcity of options to eat bats, apes and other wild creatures, found dead or captured live.

Ebola in Guinea is not the Next Big One, an incipient pandemic destined to circle the world, as some anxious observers might imagine. It’s a very grim and local misery, visited upon a small group of unfortunate West Africans, toward whom we should bow in sympathy and continue sending help. It’s not about our fears and dreads. It’s about them.

David Quammen is the author of “Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic.”
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
You add AIDS and "super" TB to this mix and you could easily see a real "depopulation event" in the very near future starting in Africa and moving out from there.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Morocco is directly across from Gibraltar/Spain. There are regular ferries carrying a large number of people back and forth on a daily basis. If Ebola is in Morocco, IT IS ALSO IN SOUTHERN SPAIN.

We are exactly one, repeat one, global pandemic away from the modern equivalent of the 1348 Black Death in Europe.

There are currently three, count um three, potential sources of a lethal, global pandemic.
One is the bird flu in China.

Two is the MERS virus in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East.

Three is the Ebola virus that started in the Congo over 30 years ago. It has now spread to West Africa. IN LESS THAN ONE MONTH IT HAS GONE FROM THERE TO MOROCCO. IT HAS ALSO SPREAD TO SEVERAL OTHER WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES.

The idea Ebola can be contained in West Africa is delusional. Now that it is in Morocco the spread to Europe is inevitable. Spain will get it first, although it won't stop there. By the way, there was a story about 600,000, yes 600,000 Africans posed to invade Spain and southern europe in search of a better way of life. Nuff said.

Whatever the attitudes towards African immigrants in Europe are now, once Ebola breaks out they will be hunting them down and deporting them by throwing them out of helicopters ten feet above Morocco.

There is nothing quite like a plague to cause hysteria, social anarchy, followed by economic and political collapse.

Not just Spain....

http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...*WINDS****of****WAR****&p=5203069#post5203069
http://www.defensenews.com/article/...-Copes-Biblical-Exodus-Migrants-Mediterranean

Italy Copes With 'Biblical Exodus' of Migrants in Mediterranean
Apr. 14, 2014 - 08:55PM |
By TOM KINGTON | Comments
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
You add AIDS and "super" TB to this mix and you could easily see a real "depopulation event" in the very near future starting in Africa and moving out from there.

Actually it wouldn't take much to create a "depopulation event."

It doesn't matter what it is, but if infrastructure is compromised and global trade impacted, then what happens is that medications become scarce. There are a lot of people that require medication and/or medical intervention to survive. There are people on this forum that admit that if they can't get their medications that they are not going to live.

I'm not just talking about the more immediate things like heart meds and daily oxygen support, but more long term issues like the treatment and survivability of cancers, incursion of so-called childhood diseases back into communities that have lost their herd immunity, increased mortality from high risk pregnancies and premature births/miscarriages.

As you can see over in Africa that it is not just having medical care that is important ... it is having the right kind of medical care, properly trained medical staff, sufficient PPE for the medical staff so that they don't wind up being an infection vector, etc.
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/sars-research-lab-loses-2000-tubes-killer-virus-1444924

For discussion and fair use...


Sars Research Lab Loses 2,000 Tubes of Killer Virus

Umberto Bacchi
By Umberto Bacchi
April 15, 2014 13:55 GMT
355 141 2

France's Research Institute Lost 2,000 Tubes Sars Virus
The Pasteur Institute in Paris reported it lost 2,349 tubes containing Sars virusReuters

A prestigious research institute in France said it had lost thousands of tubes of samples of the deadly Sars coronavirus.

A routine inventory check at Paris' Pasteur Institute revealed that 2,349 tubes containing fragments of the virus responsible for the deaths of 774 people in 2002 were missing, the centre named after French chemist Louis Pasteur said.

The institute was quick to reassure the public and said that the contents of the missing vials had no infectious potential. They contained only part of the virus and had no ability to spread.

"Independent experts referred by health authorities have qualified such potential as 'non-existing' according to the available evidence and literature on the survival of the Sars virus," the institute said.

In 2002 more than 8,000 people were infected by a pandemic of Sars - severe acute respiratory syndrome. The virus spread from China through Hong Kong and on to other countries before it was eventually brought under control.

It is not clear how the tubes disappeared from one of the institute's safest laboratories. Management were made aware of the loss in January, Le Monde newspaper reported.

For weeks, staff at the institute tried to find the missing vials, general director Christian Bréchot said.

"We've looked for those boxes [containing the tubes] everywhere," Bréchot explained.

"We went thought the lists of all the people who have worked here in the past year and a half, including trainees. We have scrutinised their profile to check if there was any conflict."

Bréchot said that foul play was "highly improbable" but had not been ruled out.

The tubes were stored in a high-security laboratory dedicated to research into highly infective viruses.

Access to the lab is limited to a restricted number of personnel, who have to go through a disinfection process before they can leave.

Bréchot suggested that the tubes, which were moved from one freezer to another in March 2013, might have been destroyed by a member of staff who forgot to record the procedure.

Sars is an airborne virus, which spreads in a similar way to flu and the common cold.

The Agency for the Safety of Health Products has opened an investigation into the missing tubes.

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Had SARS to the unholy mix, and you have a very, very bad brew...

Maranatha

OldArcher
 

ShadowMan

Designated Grumpy Old Fart
The main thing to remember regarding an extinction level pandemic outbreak is not "IF", but "WHEN" it is going to happen. We can cross the planet in mere hours. Within less than half a day an infected individual can be on the other side of the earth. Our population centers are in the millions of potential victims and vectors. We live in a sea of constant biological warfare that has been on going since the beginning of time. We can not win this war....only participate in it. It is a war of attrition, no more - no less. You either survive or you don't.

So how do you survive such a threat? Well it's partially luck, partially kismet, maybe a little karma, did I mention luck and a LOT OF PREP, but mostly...mostly it will be avoiding getting infected in the first place.
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I concur, ShadowMan... "Quarantine," shall be the watchword for survival in the times to come... If you have a fence line, don't let 'em cross. Stack 'em high, and burn from a distance... Don't know how long the threat will last, but it's surely a sign that "you can't go back..." TEOCAWKI, The End Of Civilization As We Know It, is nearly here...

Maranatha

OA
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
The reason the modern world is going to get a global pandemic actually has little to do with the disease. The mutation of a virus or bacteria into a lethal strain is a biological function. This mutation can happen at any time. The global pandemic aspects are due to the mass global transit ability we now have.
Diseases come and go. They mutate or they don't. Our situation is like a one armed bandit in Las Vegas. You need all THREE lemons to line up.
You need a mutated, lethal virus or bacteria.
You need a vector involving sneezing, coughing and aerial aerosol dispersal.
You then need that infected person, likely with no symptoms, to get on an airplane and fly somewhere, anywhere.

Shake, stir, and rattle-you now have a global disease pandemic.

One of these days all three are going to line up. We have been close to this several times in recent history. Fortunately, all three disease lemons didn't line up.

The reason Ebola is so disturbing is it is spreading, has a high kill rate, and could mutate into an aerosol vector. The first two are already happening. The third, if/when it happens, will guarantee a global pandemic with BILLIONS dead.

Like I said, don't focus on ebola only. There is MERS and there is bird flu in China. TICK! TICK! TICK!
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-pers...umbers-edge-upward-west-africa-ebola-outbreak

Case numbers edge upward in West Africa Ebola outbreak

Lisa Schnirring Apr 14, 2014

Guinea's health ministry today reported 10 more infections compatible with Ebola virus disease (EVD), as hospital officials in the country's capital probe a cluster of cases linked to a funeral, one of which involved a doctor who died from his infection, the World Health Organization (WHO) Regional Office for Africa reported today.

The new EVD cases in Guinea lift the country's outbreak total to 168. Seven new deaths have been reported, pushing the fatality number to 108. So far 71 of the infections have been confirmed by lab tests.

As of Apr 11, the most recent illness onsets are Apr 10, in patients from Conakry, the capital, and Guekedou, an area in the forested area of southeastern Guinea, near where the outbreak is thought to have started. The onset date falls well within the disease's 2- to 21-day incubation period, a sign that that the outbreak is ongoing.

The WHO said doctors at the Donka Hospital isolation facility in Conakry are probing a cluster of patients who had funeral contact with a relative who died on Apr 1 from a suspected malaria infection. Two of the contacts were admitted on Apr 12 and tested positive for EVD. An internal medicine doctor who had treated the patient and later died is also part of the transmission chain. The WHO said he had symptoms of EVD but no bleeding and that his postmortem samples were positive for the virus.

So far 16 healthcare workers are among Guinea's EVD cases, and in 11 of those the infections were lab-confirmed. The WHO said efforts to promote safe burial practices are ongoing and that in response to the cluster, hospital officials are beefing up surveillance, triage procedures, and infection control.

As of Apr 10, 11 patients were still hospitalized, and 37 had been discharged. Medical teams are still monitoring 396 contacts.

Liberia's health ministry is reporting one more EVD case as of Apr 11, raising that country's total to 26, according to the WHO. One more patient has died, edging the number of fatalities there to 13. Among the country's six lab-confirmed case-patients, three are healthcare workers.

The most recent clinical case was detected Apr 11, and the most recent lab-confirmed patient was hospitalized Apr 4. So three people remain hospitalized, and five who tested negative were discharged. Health officials are still monitoring 35 contacts.

In Mali, the total number of suspected cases remains at six—three in Bamako, the country's capital, and three in two different cities in the Koulikoro region. Tests on samples from the patients are under way at the Pasteur Institute in Senegal and results are expected shortly, the WHO said. Earlier results on two other suspected patients from Mali were negative.

Comment

The report of a fatal case of Ebola who did NOT exhibit one of the classic symptoms of Ebola, bleeding, is concerning.

Has the virus changed? Is it being spread by casual contact with people who are not severely ill?
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.greenfieldreporter.com/view/story/d33c1aa2ecde4a009810f9668a6c949c/AF--West-Africa-Ebola


Authorities tell airlines flying to Gambia not to pick up people from Ebola-hit countries
By ABDOULIE JOHN Associated Press
First Posted: April 14, 2014 - 12:32 pm
Last Updated: April 14, 2014 - 12:34 pm

DAKAR, Senegal — Gambian authorities have written a letter to airlines flying into the West African country saying they cannot pick up passengers from countries where there have been suspected cases of Ebola.

An ongoing outbreak of the virus has claimed more than 100 lives in Guinea and Liberia. Senegal closed its land border with Guinea, and the Conakry airport has instituted health checks for departing passengers.

A letter from the Gambian Transport Ministry addressed to four airlines instructs them not to pick up passengers in the capitals of Guinea, Liberia or Sierra Leone. The letter, dated April 10, was obtained Monday by The Associated Press.

It does not mention Ebola, but Guinea and Liberia have been the epicenter of the disease. Sierra Leone was believed to have some cases at one point.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201404151424.html?viewall=1

West Africa: WHO - Ebola Death Toll Tops 120
15 APRIL 2014


The World Health Organization (WHO) says the death toll from the Ebola outbreak in West Africa is up to at least 121.

WHO says health ministries in Guinea, Liberia and other affected countries have reported about 200 confirmed or suspected cases of the virus.

The vast majority of victims are in Guinea, where officials have reported 168 cases, including 108 deaths. Liberia reports 13 deaths from the disease.

[snip]
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/ebola-outbreak-least-100-die-west-africa-n80351

Ebola Outbreak: At Least 100 Die in West Africa
By Richard Engel

More than 100 people have died from the latest Ebola outbreak in West Africa. With no cure or vaccine, it is one of the most deadly of viruses, killing between 60 to 90 percent of those infected. Heath officials in Conakry, the capital of Guinea, have set up isolation centers and are screening at the airport.

Passengers with flu like symptoms -- fever, diarrhea, or joint pain -- aren’t allowed to fly.

“It's probably one of the more complicated outbreaks because it is occurring in a very densely-populated urban area, unlike previous outbreaks,” he said by phone from Conkary, which has a population of 2 million.

Dr. Jagatic described it as the biggest known Ebola outbreak an urban area.

Health officials do not expect the virus to go global and stress that Ebola is not easy to catch, requiring direct contact with an infected victim’s bodily fluids.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
The main thing to remember regarding an extinction level pandemic outbreak is not "IF", but "WHEN" it is going to happen. We can cross the planet in mere hours. Within less than half a day an infected individual can be on the other side of the earth. Our population centers are in the millions of potential victims and vectors. We live in a sea of constant biological warfare that has been on going since the beginning of time. We can not win this war....only participate in it. It is a war of attrition, no more - no less. You either survive or you don't.

So how do you survive such a threat? Well it's partially luck, partially kismet, maybe a little karma, did I mention luck and a LOT OF PREP, but mostly...mostly it will be avoiding getting infected in the first place.

The term used to be "Sheltering in Place" otherwise known as SIP. That may still be the term for it, I don't know. I've run through scenarios for my family and total quarantine/SIP is one o the hardest methods of surviving that I've hypothesized for. It takes a worse toll on the nerves than just about anything else.
 

Oreally

Right from the start
clearly the numbers seems to be being manipulated, as well as the reporting.

"at least 121" could be 200, or more. imagine the west african bush, poor uneducated people, fleeing the grasp of MSF to the ministrations of a bush doctor. has to be happenning.

then the capital city, a virtual cesspool with no sanitaion or proper water supply . . .hot, sweaty, dirty . . .

AND, only 1/3 of the fatal cases are testing positive for the ebola we know. what the hell is the rest?

i knew there'd be a clamp down when the DOD opened two ebola diagnosis and treatment centers in liberia last week.

already there are rumors of suspect cases in italy and morocco.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
clearly the numbers seems to be being manipulated, as well as the reporting.

"at least 121" could be 200, or more. imagine the west african bush, poor uneducated people, fleeing the grasp of MSF to the ministrations of a bush doctor. has to be happenning.

then the capital city, a virtual cesspool with no sanitaion or proper water supply . . .hot, sweaty, dirty . . .

AND, only 1/3 of the fatal cases are testing positive for the ebola we know. what the hell is the rest?

i knew there'd be a clamp down when the DOD opened two ebola diagnosis and treatment centers in liberia last week.

already there are rumors of suspect cases in italy and morocco.

Oh man ... Morocco I'd heard about but not the suspect cases in Italy. Wonder if it is legit or just fear.
 

Bulky Cranium

Senior Member
The term used to be "Sheltering in Place" otherwise known as SIP. That may still be the term for it, I don't know. I've run through scenarios for my family and total quarantine/SIP is one o the hardest methods of surviving that I've hypothesized for. It takes a worse toll on the nerves than just about anything else.

Sheltering in place may be a LONG time. I just finished the "Hot Zone" and they mentioned that Ebola Reston was documented surviving for over 5 days outside of a host. They claim they do not know how long it would remain intact in dried blood.
 
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