WAR 04-04-2015-to-04-10-2015_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

Housecarl

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http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/confirmed-china-deploys-new-carrier-killer-missile/

Confirmed: China Deploys New 'Carrier Killer' Missile

A new report by the Office of Naval Intelligence highlights the growing capabilities of the Chinese Navy.

By Franz-Stefan Gady
April 11, 2015

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This week, the Pentagon’s Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) released an unclassified assessment of the Chinese navy’s new capabilities and missions in the years ahead.

Compared to ONI’s last unclassified analysis on the PLAN six years ago, the more than 300-ship strong Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has “made significant strides in operationalizing as well as modernizing its force,” notes the new 2015 report. Notably different from 2009 is Beijing’s current shipbuilding program, which is now focusing more on the construction of multi-mission vessels rather than anti-surface warfare combatants.

The most striking revelation of the 2015 ONI report is that the PLAN has apparently already equipped a class of guided missile destroyers with China’s most advanced supersonic anti-ship missile. “[T]he newest class, the LUYANG III destroyer is fitted with the new vertically-launched YJ-18 ASCM,” the report says.

Writing last week (see: 175 Comments), I highlighted that this new weapon constitutes a major threat to U.S. and allied surface vessels deployed in Asian waters. As of now, only one Type 052D Luyang III-class destroyer is currently in service with the vertically launched YJ-18. However, the PLAN plans to commission ten more such vessels by 2017 and also plans to deploy the missile on Type-093G and Type-095 submarines.

“In 2013 and 2014, China launched more naval ships than any other country and is expected to continue this trend through 2015-16,” according to the study. In 2013, the PLAN either laid down, launched, or commissioned more than 60 ships, although the emphasis overall is on quality rather than size. Looking at just numbers, Beijing already fields a formidable naval force today:

As of this publishing, the PLA(N) consists of approximately 26 destroyers (21 of which are considered modern), 52 frigates (35 modern), 20 new corvettes, 85 modern missile armed patrol craft, 56 amphibious ships, 42 mine warfare ships (30 modern), more than 50 major auxiliary ships, and more than 400 minor auxiliary ships and service/support craft.

The PLAN’s submarine fleet currently deploys 66 boats — five nuclear-attack submarines, four nuclear ballistic-missile submarines, and 57 diesel attack submarines, although the report does not indicate how many of the vessels are, in fact, operational. Additionally, “by 2020 the submarine force will likely grow to more than 70 submarines,” ONI assesses.

Furthermore the paper notes that “[m]ajor qualitative improvements are occurring within naval aviation and the submarine force, which are increasingly capable of striking targets hundreds of miles from the Chinese mainland.”

The report also points out that China’s Coast Guard — its maritime law enforcement force — has undergone major modernization and is also increasing in size. Civilian maritime forces have “added approximately 100 new large patrol ships (WPS), patrol combatants/craft (WPG/WPC), and auxiliary/support ships, not including small harbor and riverine patrol boats. The current phase of the construction program, which began in 2012, will add over 30 large patrol ships and over 20 patrol combatants to the force by 2015.”

Other highlights of the report include the mentioning of hitherto little known Wonang-class inshore minesweepers and the confirmation that three Dalao-class submarine rescue ships are in service, as well as four Dongdiao-class intelligence collection ships.

Moreover, the Chinese Navy is rapidly developing ship-based drones. “The PLA(N) will probably emerge as one of China’s most prolific UAV users, employing UAVs to supplement manned ISR aircraft as well as to aid targeting for land-, ship-, and other air-launched weapons systems,” the report says. “UAVs will probably become one of the PLA(N)’s most valuable ISR assets.”

As expected, the ONI report points out that the PLAN is still suffering from lack of interoperability, making integrated jointed operations still a difficult proposition for the force:

Despite its considerable rhetorical emphasis on achieving this goal, the PLA’s record of achievement appears mixed during the past decade (…) PLA leaders and planners are committed to developing systems for conduct of joint operations, but they recognize the complexity of that task and are conscious of the fact that the PLA lacks real world experience.

Last, ONI believes that the commissioning of the Kuznetsov-class Liaoning aircraft carrier — despite “limited combat capability” — is a “milestone” signaling that the Chinese leadership has embraced the idea that fielding a large fleet is essential to achieving great power status.
 

Housecarl

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http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/10/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-idUSKBN0N11OR20150410

World | Fri Apr 10, 2015 2:05pm EDT
Related: World, Iraq

Islamic State attacks Iraqi provincial capital

BAGHDAD

(Reuters) - Islamic State militants attacked the capital of Iraq's vast Anbar province on multiple fronts on Friday, seizing two areas on the city outskirts in a setback for a government campaign to retake the desert terrain.

The jihadists deployed vehicle and suicide bombs to tear through Iraqi government lines north of the city of Ramadi overnight before attacking on foot, said security officials and a hospital source.

The head of Anbar's provincial council, Sabah Karhout, called on Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi to send urgent military reinforcements and supplies to fighters, saying they were running low on ammunition.

Abadi visited Anbar on Tuesday and declared the start of the operation to liberate the Sunni Muslim heartland, seeking to build on a victory over Islamic State last week in the city of Tikrit.

But a police source in Ramadi said early on Friday the insurgents had taken half of the Albu Faraj area, and provincial council member Athal al-Fahdawi later said it had been overrun completely.

Hundreds of families were fleeing Albu Faraj, just north of Ramadi, after Islamic State militants broke into the homes of policemen and soldiers in the area and killed 15 members of their families.

A car bomb blew up the bridge linking Ramadi and Albu Faraj across the Euphrates river, a police source said.

An army officer and the police source blamed some members of the Albu Faraj tribe for letting the militants infiltrate their area. The insurgents also took over the adjacent Albu Aitha area, according to Fahdawi and local tribal leader Sheikh Ghassan al-Ithawi.

Large parts of Anbar had slipped from the government's grasp even before Islamic State overran the northern city of Mosul last June and surged through Sunni areas of Iraq.

The group controls swathes of Syria and Iraq, last year declaring a caliphate across the territory.

Security forces and Shi'ite Muslim paramilitaries have since regained some ground in Iraq, although core Sunni territories remain under Islamic State control including Anbar and the northern province of Nineveh.

In Anbar, which shares a long border with Syria, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, pockets of territory have remained under government control and Ramadi itself has been contested.

Shi'ite militia have played a leading role in reversing the insurgents' advances elsewhere, but officials from predominantly Sunni Anbar have expressed reservations about a role for the paramilitary forces on the battlefield.


(Reporting by Saif Hameed; Writing by Isabel Coles; Editing by Crispian Balmer and John Stonestreet)
 

Housecarl

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http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/10/us-india-france-rafale-idUSKBN0N10R020150410

World | Fri Apr 10, 2015 2:32pm EDT
Related: World

India orders 36 French-made Rafale fighter jets - PM Modi

PARIS | By John Irish and Elizabeth Pineau

(Reuters) - Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on Friday he had ordered 36 "ready-to-fly" French-made Rafale fighter jets to modernise his country's ageing warplane fleet as neighbouring states upgraded their military hardware.

Indian military officials have warned that their air force risks a major capability gap opening up with China and Pakistan without new western warplanes or if local defence contractors cannot produce what the military needs in a timely manner.

"I have asked President (Francois Hollande) to supply 36 ready-to-fly Rafale jets to India," Modi said at a news conference on the first day of a state visit to France.

"Our civil servants will discuss (terms and conditions) in more detail and continue the negotiations," he said, speaking in Hindi through an interpreter.

The deal, another boost for French manufacturer Dassault Aviation after it sealed its long-awaited first export deal to Egypt in February, could be worth about 4 billion euros ($4.24 billion).

President Hollande said Defence Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian would travel to India soon to finalise the deal.

India and France have already been in exclusive negotiations for three years. The value of a larger 126-plane deal being negotiated is estimated to have grown to about $20 billion from an initial $12 billion, primarily because of an Indian requirement that 108 of the jets be built in the country.

A French defence ministry source said the deal announced on Friday was separate from the original negotiations and came about after new Indian Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar indicated the country's urgent requirements.


Related Coverage
› India's Rafale jet deal separate from talks on bigger order: source

"We informed them we were ready to respond to their operational needs separate from the tender under discussion for three years," the source said.

India's military has said it needs to start replacing its ageing jet fleet from 2017.

"There was a real operational need because India needs combat jets because a certain number of countries have been equipping themselves, so there was a desire to speed up the process," Dassault Chief Executive Eric Trappier told Europe 1 radio.

The country already has previous ties with Dassault, having bought Mirage 2000 fighter jets. In March, Dassault delivered two modernised Mirage jets to India.

Analysts say Dassault's deal with Egypt may have helped break the logjam in negotiations with other customers, since they are now on notice that if they want to have Rafales they may have to wait for them.

Since the Egypt deal, Dassault is in the "final stage" of negotiations to sell up to 36 Rafale warplanes to Qatar. It is also in talks aimed at supplying 16 of the multi-role combat jets to Malaysia and has resumed discussions over potential fighter sales to the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the source said.

Tensions in the Middle East, instability in eastern Europe and concerns in parts of Asia about regional border threats and the rise of China have further fuelled the arms race, but shifts and sudden reversals in the various industry talks are common.


(Reporting by Leigh Thomas and Sophie Louet in Paris and Frank Jack Daniel, Rupam Jain Nair and Douglas Busvine in New Delhi; Editing by James Regan and Tom Heneghan)
 

Housecarl

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http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150410/us--bomb_plot-kansas-0e5d6a63df.html

FBI: Man plotted suicide bomb attack at Kansas military base

Apr 10, 3:17 PM (ET)
By HEATHER HOLLINGSWORTH

KANSAS CITY, Kan. (AP) — A 20-year-old man accused of planning a suicide attack at Fort Riley was arrested Friday while trying to arm what he thought was a 1,000-pound bomb near the Kansas military base as part of a plot to support the Islamic State group, federal prosecutors said.

John T. Booker, of Topeka, was scheduled to appear in federal court in Topeka later Friday. Prosecutors allege that he told an FBI informant that he wanted to kill Americans and engage in violent jihad on behalf of the terrorist group. Court documents allege he told the informant that attack was justified because the Quran "says to kill your enemies wherever they are."

"It was alleged that he planned to pull the trigger of the explosives himself so that he would die in the explosion," U.S. Attorney Barry Grissom said during a news conference. "He told an individual that detonating a suicide bomb was his No. 1 aspiration because he couldn't be captured and all the evidence would be destroyed and he would be guaranteed to hit his target."

Grissom said Booker was arrested without incident near Manhattan, a city that borders Fort Riley about 100 miles west of Kansas City. The FBI said there was no breach at the base.

Court documents don't indicate whether Booker has an attorney, and he didn't have a publicly listed phone number.

Booker was recruited to join the Army in February 2014, but came to the attention of federal investigators after posting messages on Facebook. The FBI said a post on March 19, 2014, read: "Getting ready to be killed in jihad is a HUGE adrenaline rush! I am so nervous. NOT because I'm scared to die but I am eager to meet my lord." His enlistment was terminated a few days later at the request of the Army Criminal Investigation Command, according to the Army.

Prosecutors said Booker started meeting with the FBI informant in October. He allegedly told the informant he wanted to make a video threatening Americans and warning them to get their relatives and friends to quit the military. He said his intent was to "scare this country" and to tell the people that, "we will be coming after American soldiers in the streets ... we will be picking them off one by one," according to the court documents.

Booker is charged with attempting to use a weapon of mass destruction, attempting to damage property by means of an explosive, and attempting to provide material support to the terrorist group. If convicted, he could face life in prison.

Grissom declined to take questions during the Friday morning news conference. His spokesman didn't immediately respond to an email from The Associated Press asking about Booker's religious background and when he may have become radicalized.

The FBI has focused attention in the last year on individuals who profess allegiance to the Islamic State and who either make plans to fight alongside jihadists in Syria or commit acts of violence in the United States. Other cases have involved current or former service members; last month, a U.S. Army National Guard soldier was charged in Illinois after trying to fly to Egypt.

"We face a continued threat from individuals within our own borders who may be motivated by a variety of reasons," Grissom said during the news conference. "Anyone who tries to harm this nation and its people will be brought to justice."

---

Associated Press writers Bill Draper in Kansas City and Roxana Hegeman in Wichita contributed to this report.
 

Housecarl

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https://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical-diary/limits-iranian-expansion

The Limits of Iranian Expansion

Geopolitical Diary
April 9, 2015 | 23:54 GMT

It is easy to look at the fight in Yemen as yet another sectarian proxy battle in the region. Saudi Arabia is fighting Iran-backed rebels and Iranian warships are seemingly facing off against the Saudi navy, which is blockading Yemen's ports. And with the number of security incidents picking up inside the Saudi kingdom, many are questioning whether a more assertive Saudi role in the region could end up bringing more trouble, potentially affecting Saudi Arabia's mostly Shiite oil-rich Eastern Province. A more careful look at Iranian capabilities, however, may reveal a less alarming picture.

First, the framing of the conflict as a sectarian one is a bit of an exaggeration. Yemen has long been fighting with itself. Factions such as the Houthis have taken advantage of a power struggle in Sanaa. Al Qaeda, southern separatists and various tribal factions, meanwhile, are playing various sides. Even Yemen's southern separatists have admitted to receiving Iranian financial support and military training in summer 2013. By framing the war in Yemen as a battle against an Iranian bid for regional hegemony, Riyadh can play on emotions to galvanize a Sunni coalition to fight back.

Iran has played an unclear but minor role in supplying Houthi rebels in Yemen, but with a Saudi-led blockade now in effect, that becomes much more difficult. Iran is also trying to flex its muscles by making a media splash out of the routine rotation of a naval group to the Gulf of Aden. But Iran is not about to enter a losing naval battle with Saudi and Egyptian naval forces in the Bab el-Mandeb strait. While Riyadh projects power from the Arabian Peninsula, it is simply too much of a reach for the small Iranian navy deployment operating far outside the umbrella of Iranian air cover.

Second, Iran's reach into the Saudi kingdom is also minimal. A gunbattle in the eastern Saudi city of al-Awamiya on April 5 that ended with one Saudi policeman dead and three others wounded raised alarm that Iran could be stirring the embers of unrest. Sporadic attacks, usually involving small groups of gunmen ambushing security checkpoints, have occurred in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province over the past couple of years. But we have not seen any enhancement of the capabilities and organization of Shiite activists challenging Saudi authorities. As evidenced by the police raid and the militants' continued reliance on light arms, Saudi Arabia has kept a close watch on Eastern Province for good reason. Moreover, Riyadh appears to have been quite successful in preventing outside material support from reaching rebels in the interior.

At most, Iran is able to encourage Shiite militant activity, primarily through religious conduits in Beirut and Bahrain who go between Iranian intelligence and Saudi Shiite community leaders. As much as Iran would like to build up a fifth column in the Saudi kingdom, Saudi Arabia still appears capable of containing low-level unrest in the east to protect its oil wealth.

To be sure, a U.S.-Iranian rapprochement will help rehabilitate Iran's economy, enabling Tehran to project influence in the region. Consequently, Sunni powers are ramping up efforts to curb Iran's ambitions. But Iran's recovery should not be mistaken for a rapid expansion of power. Iran's power began peaking with the fall of Saddam Hussein in Iraq and declined again when the civil war in Syria gained momentum. Tehran is now struggling to sustain its allies in Baghdad and Damascus. With Turkey and Saudi Arabia striving to fill a void left by the United States, Iran will try to preserve its gains rather than opening new fronts.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Ah yes, another one of the FBI so called "terrorists." LOL How many FBI agents were in the room as he tried to "arm the bomb."

Fact: The FBI had agents assisting the bomb makers in the first World Trade Center attack in 1993.
Fact: The FBI provide everything the "Portland Pioneer Square Christmas Carol Bomber" needed. This included a parking space next to Pioneer Square, which is IMPOSSIBLE TO DO. I live right next to Pioneer Square and the van would have been towed before any bomb could have possibly exploded. The FBI had to block off a space to insert the van there. ROTFLMAO

Yep, the main function of the FBI these days is to assist 19 year old kids making terror attacks. It helps keep the fear going, and also with the budget every year.
 

Housecarl

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https://www.stratfor.com/video/second-quarter-forecast-preview

Second Quarter Forecast Preview

Media Center, Video
April 10, 2015 | 20:55 GMT

Video

Video Transcript

In the second quarter we’re going to see a lot of areas of the world approaching but not quite reaching critical infection points.

Starting with Europe: On the surface, it looks like the Eurozone is doing alright. A mix of low oil prices, quantitative easing and a cheaper euro should point toward recovery. But beware – this is an ephemeral shift. Investment, credit conditions and export growth still remain critically weak and the structural problems afflicting the Eurozone remain.

Of course, a great deal of attention will be fixated on the Greek-German standoff this quarter, and Athens will be able to negotiate compromise after compromise with the Eurogroup to scrape by the next three months.

But, by June, Greece will have to negotiate a post-bailout agreement and that’s when a politically cornered Syriza will have to shift the political burden to the public through a referendum in deciding whether Greece can afford to stay in the Eurozone.

At the same time, divisions within the German government will grow as tolerance for Greek debt relief approach their limit.

In Russia, things also seem to look somewhat better going into the quarter. The ruble is regaining strength, capital flight is easing. But that will also be short-lived. Russia is still extremely vulnerable to low oil prices and its energy leverage in Europe will continue to weaken.

We think Russia will avoid any major military moves and that the Minsk agreement will hold, but conditions won’t allow for a significant easing of sanctions this quarter. As economic stress deepens in Russia, the power struggle in the Kremlin will be critical to watch as Putin struggles to keep the FSB in check.

The United States will meanwhile continue building up its military presence and relationships all along Russia’s European frontier, with Romania, Poland and Lithuania at the helm of a strategy to counterbalance Russia. So far, Turkey has kept its distance from the US-led alliance in Europe, but we see Turkey being pushed from multiple directions to assert itself in the region. This will be a slow process but a visible one.

You can already see this in play in the Middle East, where Saudi Arabia is assuming a leadership role for the Sunnis in managing the neighborhood. This is precisely what the US intended as it tries to shift the burden toward the regional powers. Even if the US and Iran don’t meet their end of June deadline for a nuclear deal, there will be a comprehensive agreement. This is moving forward.

That’s a reality that both Saudi Arabia and Turkey are preparing for — only Turkey is going to take more time in assuming a credible leadership role in the region.

Saudi Arabia’s fight in Yemen will stagnate as it deals with cold feet in its coalition. The Saudi intent will be to split an alliance between the Houthis and forces loyal to former president Ali Abdullah Saleh and negotiate a compromise in the end that work to contain the crisis, but this will be a long fight.

In China, we expect to see a lot more defaults in industries related to the housing sector, with a concentration in the resource belts of northern China. We won’t see financial contagion in China, but the repercussions of the Chinese slowdown are going to become a lot more visible.

We also don’t expect Beijing to resort to large-scale economic stimulus again to try and reverse the slowdown. Beijing will instead selectively target certain regions and industries with fiscal and financial tools to give them a boost while Chinese President Xi Jinping tightens his grip through the anti-corruption probe.

And who can forget Venezuela. The impact of low oil prices will really hit hard this quarter as Venezuela’s imports reach dangerously low levels. As we anticipated in our annual forecast, the economic crisis and the probability of social unrest would likely drive Caracas toward a reengagement with Washington. Venezuela will move forward in preparing for elections as Washington tries to influence a power transition as part of a larger bid to fortify American influence in the Caribbean basin.

There is a lot more in store for the quarter. Make sure to check out the forecast when it publishes on Monday, April 13.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
A MASSIVE PILE OF BS <g>

HE, here is yet another so called "analysis" so full of fecal material as to be best used fertilizing a field of corn.

"Yemen is fighting with itself." REALLY? The ongoing Yemen war is between the Shia Houthi Tribal Militias and the Sunni Al Qaida, along with the Sunni Ten led by Saudi Arabia.

I found it particularly amusing the comment about Iran not "supporting" the Houthi. I get these guys are paid to shill for the globalists. I really do. However to make with a straight face the kind of asinine comments as this just takes the cake.

Did this guy notice that Iran unloaded 185 TONS OF MILITARY SUPPLY TO THE HOUTHI LESS THAN ONE MONTH AGO. HAS HE NOTICED A REVOLUTIONARY GUARD COMMANDER LEADS THE TRIBAL MILITIAS. HAS HE NOTICED THAT DESPITE THE "SAUDI AIR CAMPAIGN" THE HOUTHI ARE ADVANCING AT WILL AND TAKING CITY AFTER CITY?

Yep, you picked a real winner there, amigo. <G>
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Flying Dutchman, I know what you mean. I have been posting to the Fukushima thread here for a long time. At best, I get a few views, maybe a comment here and there. We are talking about the defining event in human existence; namely, the mass exposure to the human species to DNA altering radiation.
My blog is even more depressing to me. I let he who shall not be mentioned know I have made a timely post, get up to 5,000 views, and don't sell more than one or two of my e-books. It makes me wonder why I bother. The other thing, amigo is I am getting to the point where I JUST WANT IT TO END THIS CRAZY AND INSANE WORLD. I have been writing about this stuff since 1997 over at goldeagle and it has made NO DIFFERENCE AT ALL. NOT ONE F#$$%% THING HAS CHANGED FOR THE BETTER. IT HAS ALL GOTTEN WORSE, YEAR BY YEAR; DECADE BY DECADE.

Granted, I like to write, but geez what is the point anymore? We are all dead. It is just a matter of timing. And when I see cretins like Obama, or Bonerhead, or the Hollyweird types it is just intolerable for me. It just defiles me to deal with these S#$%%%heads!

Rant off.<G> Hell, I think I just talked myself into getting drunk tonight!!!
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
HE, here is yet another so called "analysis" so full of fecal material as to be best used fertilizing a field of corn.

"Yemen is fighting with itself." REALLY? The ongoing Yemen war is between the Shia Houthi Tribal Militias and the Sunni Al Qaida, along with the Sunni Ten led by Saudi Arabia.

I found it particularly amusing the comment about Iran not "supporting" the Houthi. I get these guys are paid to shill for the globalists. I really do. However to make with a straight face the kind of asinine comments as this just takes the cake.

Did this guy notice that Iran unloaded 185 TONS OF MILITARY SUPPLY TO THE HOUTHI LESS THAN ONE MONTH AGO. HAS HE NOTICED A REVOLUTIONARY GUARD COMMANDER LEADS THE TRIBAL MILITIAS. HAS HE NOTICED THAT DESPITE THE "SAUDI AIR CAMPAIGN" THE HOUTHI ARE ADVANCING AT WILL AND TAKING CITY AFTER CITY?

Yep, you picked a real winner there, amigo. <G>

Yeah, I've been posting these more for what they're saying in contrast to the rest of the MSM has been reporting that their fact content.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Ah yes, another one of the FBI so called "terrorists." LOL How many FBI agents were in the room as he tried to "arm the bomb."

Fact: The FBI had agents assisting the bomb makers in the first World Trade Center attack in 1993.
Fact: The FBI provide everything the "Portland Pioneer Square Christmas Carol Bomber" needed. This included a parking space next to Pioneer Square, which is IMPOSSIBLE TO DO. I live right next to Pioneer Square and the van would have been towed before any bomb could have possibly exploded. The FBI had to block off a space to insert the van there. ROTFLMAO

Yep, the main function of the FBI these days is to assist 19 year old kids making terror attacks. It helps keep the fear going, and also with the budget every year.

Yeah, picking "low hanging fruit" keeps them in the view of the MSM for budget time and doesn't compromise any "real" operations they may be running.
 
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