CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment
[COMMENT: I know China news is not necessarily COVID 19 related, but it gets intertwined and is difficult to untangle because of the supply chain and trade impacts of the disease. This will impact supply chain and food supplies.]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GFBey5qQhcA
5:54 min
China Floods: Dam Collapse
•Jul 25, 2020


China Uncensored
As China is slammed with record breaking flooding, many are wondering if China's dams can survive the floods? The Three Gorges Dam, the largest hydroelectric dam in the world, has become deformed. But authorities say its still safe. But if the dam collapses, it could spell disaster for major cities including Wuhan and Chongqing.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0Th6l_IycI
2:09 min
Study shows 2-layer cloth face masks work better to stop coronavirus
•Jul 24, 2020


CBS News

Experts say cloth face coverings can help stop the spread of COVID-19, and new research suggests masks with two layers of fabric are more effective than those with a single layer. CBS News' Naomi Ruchim has details.
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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZ0BfHSUTuc
7:38 min
Parents explore new homeschooling methods amid surge of COVID-19
•Jul 24, 2020


CBS News

With the coronavirus pandemic leaving some schools districts uncertain whether they will return to in-person learning this fall, parents are looking at other options. Many are turning to new forms of homeschooling called "micro schooling" and "pandemic pods." Emily Oster, a professor of economics and public policy at Brown University, joins CBSN's Lana Zak to discuss the growing trend.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_EtQHkI32lo
2:55 min
Americans’ fears grow concerning federal relief ending, evictions
•Jul 25, 2020


Good Morning America


12 million Americans were unable to pay last month’s rent, another 23 million don’t know where they will find money to pay next month’s rent.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5LX4FO4ZqI
2:45 min
Concern growing over evictions during pandemic
•Jul 23, 2020

Kansas City, MO
41 Action News
With so many people on unemployment due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many are wondering where rent and money for other bills is going to come from.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nM__ACbHeqo
7:24 min
Health Officials Offer Dire Warning For Latest Coronavirus Hot Spots | TODAY
•Jul 25, 2020


TODAY

Coronavirus cases, hospitalizations and deaths are spiking in several parts of the country and some hospitals say they are reaching a breaking point. NBC’s Steve Patterson reports for Weekend TODAY, and Dr. Nahid Bhadelia joins with analysis.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mg3cYl-cPMQ
3:43 min
Millions Of Americans Face Uncertainty As $600 Unemployment Benefit Ends | TODAY
•Jul 25, 2020


TODAY

Nearly 20 million unemployed Americans face uncertainty as the $600 weekly benefit is set to end this weekend. NBC senior business correspondent Stephanie Ruhle joins Weekend TODAY to discuss the “very scary situation” people face if their checks run out and they can’t go back to work.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pt-hr1Flelw
10:08 min
'It Can Happen To Anybody': Eviction Concerns Grow As More Struggle Amid Pandemic | NBC News NOW
•Jul 24, 2020


NBC News

NBC News’ Morgan Radford reports on the growing concern over possible evictions as state-level bans have expired.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CLeRXc_RPQ4
2:51 min
Scientist Claims They Can Use COVID-19 Symptoms To Categorize Severity Of Infection | NBC News NOW
•Jul 25, 2020


NBC News
NBC News’ Helena Humphrey breaks down the new reports from a London scientist that says coronavirus symptoms can be categorized in a way that will help doctors predict when patients may need hospital care.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6EdBnHP9VM
4:33 min
Families Struggle To Pay Bills As Federal Assistance Set To End | NBC News NOW
•Jul 25, 2020


NBC News

NBC News speaks to families struggling to pay bills amid the ongoing global coronavirus pandemic as the emergency federal assistance is set to end.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
IU study: Hoosier coronavirus infections may be 10 times higher than what's being reported
by Max Lewis, WSBT 22 Reporter Wednesday, July 22nd 2020

A new study suggests Indiana's current testing does not give a full picture of the spread of the virus.
In a study out Tuesday from Indiana University's Fairbanks School of Public Health, researchers estimate 10 times more people have coronavirus than is currently being reported.
The study tested nearly 5,000 Hoosiers for the virus and antibodies at the end of April.
The state was reporting roughly 20,000 confirmed positive cases at the time, but it’s believed nearly 200,000 Hoosiers had been infected.

"There are many more infections than cases being reported,” said Dr. Nir Menachemi, lead scientist.
The statewide random sample study is the first to produce sound scientific data in the United States.
"We also know from our study that somewhere in the neighborhood of about 44 or 45 percent of people who are infected show no symptoms,” said Menachemi.

The study also looked into infection rates in minority communities. Hispanics are four times more likely to contract the virus than whites. Menachemi attributes that to larger families and the higher prevalence of minorities doing jobs considered essential.

"One way to get ahead of this is to help reinforce the stopping and prevention of infections within the most vulnerable communities. That will translate to less overall prevalence in the entire state.”
Dr. Menachemi said it’s on all of us to take precautions since so many don't know they have the virus.
"We don't have a treatment, we don't have a vaccine, which means public health measures is the only thing we have.”
Dr. Menachemi says his team is now helping other states in their attempts to replicate his study. He says they plan to do possibly two more samplings


Interesting study. they left out a lot of deatils in the article though - I will assume they got back a lot fo positive for antibodies and further assume those were asymptomatic COVID. (even though you could test positive for antibodies if you had a coronavirus cold (not COVID). We've been through this drill with the Stanford study way back in the spring that made a lot of news but was later pretty thoroughly debunked. Still interesting though. I hope they release more of this study. Thanks for bringing it to our attention.

HD
 

Heliobas Disciple

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Mounting evidence shows masks may help avoid severe illness, even if you get COVID-19
By Stephanie Weaver
Published 1 day ago

Masks may offer wearers more protection than they even realize.

The simple act of wearing a mask amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has become a politically charged topic in the United States and across social media, but most public health officials and doctors have cemented a primary reason for mask effectiveness: to prevent the spread of the novel coronavirus.

Researchers and scientists are now learning that not only does wearing a mask reduce viral transmission, but it may also help you avoid major illness, even if you end up contracting the novel coronavirus.

The hypothesis is explained in a forthcoming article, scheduled to come out next week in the Journal of General Internal Medicine, which further lays out a second theory — that wearing a mask actually results in milder disease if you do get COVID-19.

The article was co-authored by Dr. Monica Gandhi, UC San Francisco professor of medicine and medical director of the HIV Clinic at Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital.

“I am extremely hopeful when you put all this data together that there is an intervention that is not as difficult as we think that can get us through it,” Gandhi said.

The research article, titled, “Masks Do More than Protect Others during COVID-19: Reducing the Inoculum of SARS-CoV-2” discusses the authors’ hypothesis that universal masking reduces the “inoculum,” or potential dose of the virus for the mask-wearer, leading to milder and asymptomatic infection manifestations.

The perspective, which has previously received less attention, outlines a unique angle on why universal public masking during the COVID-19 pandemic should be one of the most important pillars of disease control.

Gandhi supports a theory that masks filter out most of the viral particles that come into your body, and if you get less of a dose, then you’re likely to get less sick.

“In fact, you’re either going to get not sick at all, or maybe no symptoms at all,” Gandhi said.

This means that the volume you breathe in may directly equate to the severity of the infection. So, even if you do test positive for COVID-19, a mask may help prevent severe illness and outcomes associated the virus.

Other studies are backing up Gandhi’s theory.

“A lot backs it up, actually,” Gandhi said.

One study, published in the Oxford University Press, found that surgical mask partitions significantly reduced the transmission and severity of infection of the novel coronavirus among hamsters. The mask partitions reduced the viral load in the hamsters that did get infected, as they were found to have less virus within their bodies than those infected without a mask.

“If they were masked they were less likely to get infection, and then even if they got infection they got mild infection,” Gandhi added.

Gandhi noted another study, which examined passengers and crew on an isolated cruise ship in Argentina during the COVID-19 pandemic. All passengers and crew received masks, and out of the 217 passengers and crew on board, 81% of those infected with COVID-19 were asymptomatic.

Gandhi also cited an example where more than 100 workers at a seafood processing plant in Oregon were confirmed positive for COVID-19. Universal masking was required at the plant, and the vast majority — 95% of the workers — were asymptomatic.

The same happened two weeks ago at a Tyson chicken plant in Arkansas, where universal masking was required. In this case, out of 481 people who were infected, 455 were asymptomatic, which also led to a 95% asymptomatic rate.

The studies highlight that universal masking may help achieve rates of higher asymptomatic infection. In a viral pandemic, Gandhi said, one of the goals is to find ways to move toward milder disease manifestations.

Gandhi said there is also lot of ecological evidence that further backs up the evidence on masking and milder illness.

Gandhi’s forthcoming article cites other countries, which have extensively masked and did not see as much severe illness associated with it as a result.

“Countries accustomed to masking since the 2003 SARS-CoV pandemic, including Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, South Korea, and Singapore, and those who newly embraced masking early on in the COVID-19 pandemic, such as the Czech Republic, have fared well in terms of rates of severe illness and death,” the article states.

The article states that even when cases re-surged in areas with universal masking upon re-opening, the case fatality remained low.

This begs the question: If the majority of the population began wearing a mask, could it quickly turn things around?

Gandhi said there is a lot of evidence that would point to yes.

“That simple intervention is the mask. The mask protects others from getting it, and the mask protects you from getting it at a high viral load, and if you even get it you’re going to get a very mild infection, and that is how I think we are going to get through this,” Gandhi said.

And many officials and other experts agree that wearing a mask could improve the nation’s pandemic.

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Dr. Robert Redfield said in July if all Americans wore a mask it could bring the COVID-19 pandemic under control in weeks.

“I think the data is clearly there, that masking works — whether it’s a face covering, whether it’s a simple surgical mask,” Redfield said.

The CDC director said if the American public embraced masking now and did it rigorously, the U.S. could see relatively swift changes in the trajectory of the pandemic.

“If we could get everybody to wear a mask right now, I really do think over the next four, six, eight weeks, we could bring this epidemic under control,” Redfield said.

But the strong stance on masking was not originally the case among global health leaders. In April, the World Health Organization did not recommend population-level face masking, but changed their guidance in June.

In March, U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams said the general public did not need to wear or buy masks to protect against the spread of the novel coronavirus, but this month, Adams drastically changed his tune amid new evidence that shows masking works.

Adams said the U.S. could slow new novel coronavirus infections in two to three weeks if everyone does their part by following CDC guidelines, including mask wearing and social distancing.

“We've learned more about asymptomatic spread. Up to 50 percent of people who can spread this disease, spread it without having symptoms. And that's why the American people need to know that science is about giving the best recommendations you can,” Adams said.

According to a widely-cited coronavirus pandemic model used by the White House, if almost everyone wore a mask in public over the next few months, tens of thousands of lives could be saved in the United States.

The projections, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, compared different actions to control the spread of COVID-19.

"People need to know that wearing masks can reduce transmission of the virus by as much as 50 percent, and those who refuse are putting their lives, their families, their friends, and their communities at risk," IHME said in a statement.

In June, Dr. Richard Davis, a clinical microbiology lab director at Providence Sacred Heart Medical Center in Spokane, Washington, shared a series of photos on Twitter of an experiment which demonstrated the effectiveness of wearing a facial covering amid the ongoing pandemic.

The doctor’s experiment showed how effective masks were at blocking respiratory droplets from an individual’s mouth.Every action performed unmasked nearly covered a petri dish in bacteria, while the action performed with a mask left the petri dish nearly untouched.

And one doctor set out to prove mask detractors wrong in an experiment that debunked the claim that wearing a facial covering negatively impacts the wearer’s oxygen levels.

Dr. Maitiu O Tuathail, based in Dublin, shared on Twitter that patients repeatedly ask him whether masks affect oxygen levels. He conducted the test in response to the queries, and he found that the results did not show a lowering of oxygen levels.

But Davis found that the material of your mask does matter.

A recent study from Florida Atlantic University, titled “Physics of Fluids,” found which types of masks offer the best protection against the novel coronavirus.

Researcher Siddhartha Verma and his team experimented with different choices in material and design to “determine how well face masks block droplets as they exit the mouth,” the study explained.

The researchers found that well-fitted homemade masks with multiple layers of quilting cotton offered the best protection. Those masks significantly reduced the number of droplets, according to the researchers’ findings.

While studies continue to illustrate that masks are important, Verma said that they are not a substitute for social distancing.

“If you take a look at the visuals, you can see there’s a lot of leakage from the sides and from the top, even for the best mask.” Verma said. “So masks are not 100 percent effective. Using a mask doesn’t reduce the risk of transmission to zero. That’s why it’s so important to use a combination of masks and social distancing.”

The United States currently has more than 4 million known cases of the novel coronavirus, and more than 140,000 people have died in the span of five months. The U.S. leads the world in confirmed cases and deaths.

COVID-19 cases continue to rise in many states, including California, which surpassed New York on Wednesday in total confirmed infections. California climbed past 409,500 cases on Wednesday, which makes it the state with the most cases in the U.S., according to John Hopkins University.

According to the Associated Press, Democratic California Sen. Dianne Feinstein on Wednesday again called for a national mask requirement. “We need a mandate at the federal level that will uniformly require masks across the country," she said in a statement. "This isn’t a political issue.”

“It’s very unusual for Americans to wear masks. It is the way to get through this pandemic,” Gandhi noted.

Gandhi believes we are are not going to eradicate the virus, but now is the time to control it and be on top of it. Her opinion echoes Dr. Anthony Facui’s comments last week that the virus will not be eradicated.

Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said earlier this week that the novel coronavirus is likely here to stay.

“I think we ultimately will get control of it. I don’t really see us eradicating it,” the United States’ leading infectious disease expert said.“I think with a combination of good public health measures, a degree of global herd immunity and a good vaccine — which I do hope and feel cautiously optimistic that we will get. I think when you put all three of those together, I think we will get very good control of this,” Fauci said.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
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Noses usually catch COVID-19 first, so keep them covered with face masks, experts say
By Katie Camero
July 24, 2020 02:32 PM

Wearing a mask without covering your nose is like applying your first round of sunscreen at the end of a beach day — pointless.

That’s because scientific research has found that the novel coronavirus infects your nose first, using it as an entry point to the rest of your body and as a mucousy hotspot for rapid replication.

So, people who don’t cover their nose with their mask risk exposing their most infectious organ to others, and increase their own chances of contracting COVID-19, the disease the virus causes.

Mask around your neck: Not useful.
Mask covering your mouth and nose: Useful. pic.twitter.com/UQup44E0GL
— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) June 30, 2020

“If the nose is the dominant initial site from which lung infections are seeded, then the widespread use of masks to protect the nasal passages, as well as any therapeutic strategies that reduce virus in the nose, such as nasal irrigation or antiviral nasal sprays, could be beneficial,” Dr. Richard Boucher, the co-senior author of a May study on the topic from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, said in a news release.

The researchers of the UNC study found that ACE2 — the protein the coronavirus uses to enter human cells — was more abundant in nasal passages than those down in the respiratory tract.

The results looked like a “striking” gradient from “high infectivity of SARS-CoV-2” to “less infectivity” as researchers examined cells in the nose, throat and lungs.

When the virus becomes “firmly established” in the nose, the pathogen then makes its way to the lungs where it can cause “more serious disease, including potentially fatal pneumonia,” the researchers said.
This illustration shows how NOT to wear a mask.
DON'T: Pull the mask beneath your nose or over/under your chin.
DO: Make sure your nose, mouth and chin are covered. pic.twitter.com/cckOntrgRd
— Los Angeles County (@CountyofLA) July 19, 2020

A separate study published in April in the journal Nature Medicine found the same results.

“This is the first time these particular cells in the nose have been associated with COVID-19. While there are many factors that contribute to virus transmissibility, our findings are consistent with the rapid infection rates of the virus seen so far,” Dr Martijn Nawijn, of the University Medical Center Groningen in the Netherlands, who played a role in the study, said in a news release.

The location of these cells on the surface of the inside of the nose make them highly accessible to the virus, and also may assist with transmission to other people,” Nawijn said.

The key protein ACE2 was also found in the cells of the cornea and the lining of the intestine, according to the study, meaning another possible route of transmission is via the eye, with some potential for spread via fecal matter, the release said.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says the correct way to wear a mask is to secure it over your nose and mouth, and under your chin.

Some people have expressed that wearing a mask and covering their nose makes it hard to breathe and could poison them with their own exhaled carbon dioxide, McClatchy News previously reported.

But experts, including many doctors who wear masks everyday, have debunked that theory.

“There is no risk of hypercapnia (CO2 retention) in healthy adults who use face coverings, including medical and cloth face masks, as well as N95s,” Dr. Robert Glatter, an emergency physician at Lenox Hill Hospital in New York, told Healthline. “Carbon dioxide molecules freely diffuse through the masks, allowing normal gas exchange while breathing.”

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Heliobas Disciple

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Scientists Uncover Evidence That a Level of Pre-Existing COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 Immunity Is Present in the General Population
Singapore scientists uncover SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell immunity in recovered COVID-19 and SARS patients, and in uninfected individuals.

By Duke-NUS Medical School
July 25, 2020
  • Singapore study shows that SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells are present in all recovered COVID-19 patients.
  • These T cells were also found in all subjects who recovered from SARS 17 years ago, and in over 50% of both SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2 uninfected individuals tested, suggesting that a level of pre-existing SARS-CoV-2 immunity is present in the general population.
  • Infection and exposure to coronaviruses induces long-lasting memory T cells, which could help in the management of the current pandemic.
The T cells, along with antibodies, are an integral part of the human immune response against viral infections due to their ability to directly target and kill infected cells. A Singapore study has uncovered the presence of virus-specific T cell immunity in people who recovered from COVID-19 and SARS, as well as some healthy study subjects who had never been infected by either virus.

The study by scientists from Duke-NUS Medical School, in close collaboration with the National University of Singapore (NUS) Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, Singapore General Hospital (SGH) and National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID) was published in Nature. The findings suggest infection and exposure to coronaviruses induces long-lasting memory T cells, which could help in the management of the current pandemic and in vaccine development against COVID-19.

The team tested subjects who recovered from COVID-19 and found the presence of SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells in all of them, which suggests that T cells play an important role in this infection. Importantly, the team showed that patients who recovered from SARS 17 years ago after the 2003 outbreak, still possess virus-specific memory T cells and displayed cross-immunity to SARS-CoV-2.

“Our team also tested uninfected healthy individuals and found SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells in more than 50 percent of them. This could be due to cross-reactive immunity obtained from exposure to other coronaviruses, such as those causing the common cold, or presently unknown animal coronaviruses. It is important to understand if this could explain why some individuals are able to better control the infection,” said Professor Antonio Bertoletti, from Duke-NUS’ Emerging Infectious Diseases (EID) program, who is the corresponding author of this study.

Associate Professor Tan Yee Joo from the Department of Microbiology and Immunology at NUS Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine and Joint Senior Principal Investigator, Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology, A*STAR added, “We have also initiated follow-up studies on the COVID-19 recovered patients, to determine if their immunity as shown in their T cells persists over an extended period of time. This is very important for vaccine development and to answer the question about reinfection.”

“While there have been many studies about SARS-CoV-2, there is still a lot we don’t understand about the virus yet. What we do know is that T cells play an important role in the immune response against viral infections and should be assessed for their role in combating SARS-CoV-2, which has affected many people worldwide. Hopefully, our discovery will bring us a step closer to creating an effective vaccine,” said Associate Professor Jenny Low, Senior Consultant, Department of Infectious Diseases, SGH, and Duke-NUS’ EID program.

“NCID was heartened by the tremendous support we received from many previous SARS patients for this study. Their contributions, 17 years after they were originally infected, helped us understand mechanisms for lasting immunity to SARS-like viruses, and their implications for developing better vaccines against COVID-19 and related viruses,” said Dr Mark Chen I-Cheng, Head of the NCID Research Office.

The team will be conducting a larger study of exposed, uninfected subjects to examine whether T cells can protect against COVID-19 infection or alter the course of infection. They will also be exploring the potential therapeutic use of SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells.

Reference: “SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell immunity in cases of COVID-19 and SARS, and uninfected controls” by Nina Le Bert, Anthony T. Tan, Kamini Kunasegaran, Christine Y. L. Tham, Morteza Hafezi, Adeline Chia, Melissa Hui Yen Chng, Meiyin Lin, Nicole Tan, Martin Linster, Wan Ni Chia, Mark I-Cheng Chen, Lin-Fa Wang, Eng Eong Ooi, Shirin Kalimuddin, Paul Anantharajal Tambyah, Jenny Guek-Hong Low, Yee-Joo Tan and Antonio Bertoletti, 15 July 2020, Nature.
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2550-z

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Heliobas Disciple

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Coronavirus updates: US suffers 1,000 deaths for 5th straight day

There have now been more than 146,000 deaths in the U.S.

By Jon Haworth, Ella Torres, and Mark Osborne
July 25, 2020, 9:38 PM

The novel coronavirus pandemic has now killed more than 643,000 people worldwide.

Over 15.9 million people across the globe have been diagnosed with COVID-19, the disease caused by the new respiratory virus, according to data compiled by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University. The actual numbers are believed to be much higher due to testing shortages, many unreported cases and suspicions that some governments are hiding or downplaying the scope of their nations' outbreaks.

The United States has become the worst-affected country, with more than 4.1 million diagnosed cases and at least 146,418 deaths. [...]

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Houston, Miami, other cities face mounting health care worker shortages as infections climb
Frances Stead Sellers and Abigail Hauslohner (The Washington Post)
Published 12:29 pm CDT, Saturday, July 25, 2020

Shortages of health care workers are worsening in Houston, Miami, Baton Rouge and other cities battling sustained covid-19 outbreaks, exhausting staffers and straining hospitals' ability to cope with spiking cases.

That need is especially dire for front-line nurses, respiratory therapists and others who play hands-on, bedside roles where one nurse is often required for each critically ill patient.

While many hospitals have devised ways to stretch material resources - converting surgery wards into specialized covid units and recycling masks and gowns - it is far more difficult to stretch the human workers needed to make the system function.

"At the end of the day, the capacity for critical care is a balance between the space, staff and stuff. And if you have a bottleneck in one, you can't take additional patients," said Mahshid Abir, a senior physician policy researcher at the RAND Corporation and director of the Acute Care Research Unit (ACRU) at the University of Michigan. "You have to have all three . . . You can't have a ventilator, but not a respiratory therapist."

"What this is going to do is it's going to cost lives, not just for covid patients, but for everyone else in the hospital," she warned.

The increasingly fraught situation reflects packed hospitals across large swaths of the country: More than 8,800 covid patients are hospitalized in Texas; Florida has more than 9,400; and at least 13 other states also have thousands of hospitalizations, according to data compiled by The Washington Post.

Facilities in several states, including Texas, South Carolina and Indiana, have in recent weeks reported shortages of such workers, according to federal planning documents viewed by The Post, pitting states and hospitals against one another to recruit staff.

On Thursday, Louisiana Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards said he asked the federal government to send in 700 health-care workers to assist besieged hospitals.

"Even if for some strange reason . . . you don't care about covid-19, you should care about that hospital capacity when you have an automobile accident or when you have your heart attack or your stroke, or your mother or grandmother has that stroke," Edwards said at a news conference.

In Florida, 39 hospitals have requested help from the state for respiratory therapists, nurses and nursing assistants. In South Carolina, the National Guard is sending 40 medical professionals to five hospitals in response to rising cases.

Many medical facilities anticipate their staffing problems will deteriorate, according to the planning documents: Texas is hardest hit, with South Carolina close behind. Needs range from pharmacists to physicians.

Hot spots stretch across the country, from Miami and Atlanta to Southern California and the Rio Grande Valley, and the demands for help are as diffuse as the suffering.

"What we have right now are essentially three New Yorks with these three major states," White House coronavirus task force coordinator Deborah Birx said Friday during an appearance on NBC's "Today" show.

But today's diffuse transmission requires innovative thinking and a different response from months ago in New York, say experts. While some doctors have been able to share expertise online and nurses have teamed up to relieve pressures, the overall strains are growing.

"We missed the boat," said Serena Bumpus, a leader of multiple Texas nursing organizations and regional director of nursing for the Austin Round Rock Region of Baylor Scott and White Health.

Bumpus blames a lack of coordination at national and state officials. "It feels like this free-for-all," she said, "and each organization is just kind of left up to their own devices to try to figure this out."

In a disaster, a hospital or local health system typically brings in help from neighboring communities. But that standard emergency protocol, which comes into play following a hurricane or tornado, "is predicated on the notion that you'll have a concentrated area of impact," said Christopher Nelson, a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and a professor at the Pardee RAND Graduate School.

That is how Texas has functioned in the past, said Jennifer Banda, vice president of advocacy and public policy at the Texas Hospital Association, recalling the influx of temporary help after Hurricane Harvey deluged Houston three years ago.

It is how the response took shape early in the outbreak, when health-care workers headed to hard-hit New York.

But the sustained and far-flung nature of the pandemic has made that approach unworkable. "The challenge right now," Banda said, "is we are taxing the system all across the country."

Theresa Q. Tran, an emergency medicine physician and assistant professor of emergency medicine at the University of Houston's Baylor College of Medicine, began to feel the crunch in June. Only a few weeks before, she had texted a friend to say how disheartening it was to see crowds of people reveling outdoors without masks on Memorial Day weekend.

Her fears were borne out when she found herself making call after call after call from her ER, unable to admit a critically ill patient because her hospital had run out of ICU space, but unable to find a hospital able to take them.

Under normal circumstances, the transfer of such patients - "where you're afraid to look away, or to blink, because they may just crash on you," as Tran describes them - happens quickly to ensure the close monitoring the ICU affords.

Those critical patients begin to stall in the ER, stretching the abilities of the nurses and doctors attending to them. "A lot of people, they come in, and they need attention immediately," Tran said, noting that emergency physicians are constantly racing against time. "Time is brain, or time is heart."

By mid-July, an influx of "surge" staff brought relief, Tran said. But that was short-lived as the crisis jumped from one locality to the next, with the emergency procedures to bring in more staff never quite keeping up with the rising infections.

An ER physician in the Rio Grande Valley said all three of the major trauma hospitals in the area have long since run out of the ability to absorb new ICU patients.

"We've been full for weeks," said the physician, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he feared retaliation for speaking out about the conditions.

"The truth is, the majority of our work now in the emergency department is ICU work," he said. "Some of our patients down here, we're now holding them for days." And each one of those critically ill patients needs a nurse to stay with them.

When ICU space has opened up - maybe two, three, four beds - it never feels like relief, he said, because in the time it takes to move those patients out, 20 new ones arrive.

Even with help his hospital has received - masks and gowns were procured, and the staff more than doubled in the past few weeks with relief nurses and other health-care workers from outside - it still is not enough.

The local nurses are exhausted. Some quit. Even the relief nurses who helped out in New York in the spring seem horrified by the scale of the disaster in South Texas, he said.

"If no one comes and helps us out and gives us the ammo we need to fight this thing, we are not going to win," the doctor said.

One of the root causes of the problem in the United States is that emergency departments and ICUs are often operating at or near capacity, Abir and Nelson said, putting them dangerously close to shortages before a crisis even hits.

Texas, along with 32 other states, has joined a licensure compact, allowing nurses to practice across state borders, but it is becoming increasingly difficult to recruit from other parts of the country.

Texas medical facilities can apply to the Department of State Health Services for staffers to fill a critical shortage, typically for a two-week period. But two weeks, which would allow time to respond to most disasters, hardly registers in a pandemic, so facilities have to ask for extensions or make new applications.

South Carolina last week issued an order that allows nursing graduates who have not yet completed their licensing exams to begin working under supervision. Prisma Health, the state's biggest hospital system, said this week that the number of patients admitted to its hospitals has more than tripled in the past three weeks and is approaching 300 new patients a day.

"As the capacity increases, so does the need for additional staff," Scott Sasser, the incident commander for Prisma Health's covid-19 response said in a statement. Prisma has so far shifted nurses from one area to another, brought back furloughed nurses, hired more physicians and brought in temporary nurse hires, among other measures, Sasser said.

Bumpus has fielded calls from nurses all over the country - some as far afield as the United Kingdom - wanting to know how they can help. But Bumpus says she does not have an easy answer.

"I've had to kind of just do my own digging and use my connections," she said. At first, she said, interested nurses were asked to register through the Texas Disaster Volunteer Registry; but then the system never seemed to be put to use.

Later she learned - "by happenstance . . . literally by social media" - that the state had contracted with private agencies to find nurses. So now she directs callers to those agencies.

Even rural parts of Texas that were spared initially are being ravaged by the virus, according to John Henderson, CEO of the Texas Organization of Rural and Community Hospitals.

"Unless things start getting better in short order, we don't have enough staff," he acknowledged. As for filling critical staffing gaps by moving people around, "even the state admits that they can't continue to do that," Henderson said.

The situation has become so dire in some rural parts of the state that Judge Eloy Vera implored people to stay home on the Starr County Facebook page, warning, "Unfortunately, Starr County Memorial Hospital has limited resources and our doctors are going to have to decide who receives treatment, and who is sent home to die."

Steven Gularte, CEO of Chambers Health in Anahuac, Texas, 45 miles from Houston, said he had to bring in 10 nurses to help staff his 14-bed hospital after Houston facilities started appealing for help to care for patients who no longer needed intensive care but were not ready to go home.

"Normally, we are referring to them," Gularte said. "Now, they are referring to us."

Donald M. Yealy, chair of emergency medicine at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, said rather than sending staff to other states, his hospital has helped others virtually, particularly to support pulmonary and intensive care physicians.

"Covid has been catalytic in how we think about health care," Yealy said, providing lessons that will outlast the pandemic.

But telehealth can do little to relieve the fatigue and fear that goes with front-line work in a prolonged pandemic. Donning and doffing masks, gowns and gloves is time consuming. Nurses worry about taking the virus home to their families.

"It is high energy work with a constant grind that is hard on people," said Michael Sweat, director of the Center for Global Health at the Medical University of South Carolina.

Coronavirus has turned the regular staffing challenge at Harris Health in Houston into a daily life-or-death juggle for Pamela Russell, associate administrator of nursing operations, who helps provide supplemental workers for the system's two public hospitals and 46 outpatient clinics.

Now, 162 staff members - including more than 50 nurses - are quarantined, either because they tested positive or are awaiting results. Many others need flexible schedules to accommodate child care, she said. Some cannot work in coronavirus units because of their own medical conditions. A few contract nurses left abruptly after learning their units would soon be taking covid-positive patients.

Russell has turned to the state and the international nonprofit Project Hope for resources, even as she acts as a morale booster, encouraging restaurants to send meals and supporting the hospital CEO in his cheerleading rounds.

"It's hard to say how long we can do this. I just don't know" said Russell, who praised the commitment of the nurses. "Like I said, it's a calling. But I don't see it being sustainable."

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
Fwiw, I believe we are still in the first wave, but am posting this because it has a lot of data and new news.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

(fair use applies)

Is global second wave ALREADY upon us? Nearly 40 nations report record single-day rises in Covid cases as public lose faith in governments' handling of crisis
Kate Dennett
Published: 14:29 EDT, 25 July 2020 | Updated: 15:46 EDT, 25 July 2020

  • Almost 40 countries have reported single-day increases in Covid-19 this month
  • The rate of cases has increased in Brazil, Japan, Sudan and the United States
  • Australia and Hong Kong have seen a rise in cases, according to a Reuters tally
  • This comes as the WHO warned we will 'not be going back to the old normal'


Almost 40 countries have reported record single-day increases in coronavirus infections, as the World Health Organisation warns there is no return to the 'old normal'.

The rate of cases has been rapidly increasing in the United States, Brazil, India, Japan and Australia, among others.

Hong Kong, Bolivia, Sudan and Ethiopia have also seen rises in cases, according to a Reuters tally.

The data, compiled from official reports, shows a steady rise in the number of countries reporting record daily increases in coronavirus cases across the past month.

Bulgaria, Belgium, Uzbekistan and Israel have also seen record single-day rises across the past month, according to Reuters.

Three weeks ago, at least seven countries had reported record increases, which rose to at least 13 countries two weeks ago.

After rising to at least 20 countries last week, the number of countries that have reported record daily increases has now reached 37.

A new daily record figure has been recorded in Spain, which is said to be likely to deter tourists from visiting one of the continent's most popular destinations.

A separate survey has also shown that the world has set a new record for the highest daily increase in coronavirus infections.

More than 280,000 new cases were recorded globally on both Thursday and Friday, the highest daily rises since the virus emerged, according to an AFP count based on official sources.

Friday's tally of 282,042 was marginally down on Thursday's single-day record 284,661 but still shows an alarming uptick in the spread of the virus.

This comes after the WHO has warned everyone to treat their behaviour amid the coronavirus pandemic as 'life-and-death decisions'.

'We will not be going back to the 'old normal'. The pandemic has already changed the way we live our lives,' World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said this week.

'We're asking everyone to treat the decisions about where they go, what they do and who they meet with as life-and-death decisions – because they are.'

A separate report has also showed that governments are quickly losing support for their handling of the pandemic.

A survey, released on Saturday, showed that faith in authorities in dwindling across six nations, as governments worldwide have struggled to contain the virus.

People widely believe that death and infection figures are higher than recorded in France, Germany, Britain, Japan, Sweden and the US widely believed death and infection figures to be higher than recorded, according to a study which polled 1,000 people in each nation.

'In most countries this month, support for national governments is falling,' the report by the Kekst CNC communications consulting group said.

The United States has this week passed more than 4 million cases and recorded more than 1,000 deaths for four consecutive days.

Brazil and India, which epidemiologists say is still likely months away from hitting its peak, have also exceeded one million cases.

In Australia, officials enforced a six-week partial lockdown and made face masks mandatory for residents in the country's second-largest city, Melbourne, after a fresh outbreak.

After Mexico posted a daily record this week, officials warned that a downward trend in case numbers that began in mid-June could reverse.

Based on the rate of hospital admissions over the past week, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum said hospitalisation levels by October could exceed those registered in June.

She said: 'It is important to recognise that if we do not change the trend, there could be exponential growth.'

Kenya recorded a high daily case number less than two weeks after reopening domestic passenger flights.

President Uhuru Kenyatta, who had announced international flights would resume on August 1, has called officials to an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the surge in cases.

On Saturday, South Korea reported its highest infections figure in nearly four months, and in Vietnam the first locally-transmitted case in nearly 100 days was detected.

This comes after authorities in China said, on Friday, that they would introduce a new wave of testing in the port city of Dalian, home to about six million people, after fresh infections were detected there.

The local government's health commission said the city must 'enter wartime mode' to prevent further any spread.

It also announced on-the-spot nucleic acid tests for people using the subway system and will impose new lockdowns for some communities.

The WHO's European chapter has expressed concern about the rise in cases on the continent in the past two weeks and warned tighter restrictions may be needed.

'The recent resurgence in COVID-19 cases in some countries following the easing of physical distancing measures is certainly cause for concern,' a WHO Europe spokeswoman told AFP.

'If the situation demands, reintroduction of stricter, targeted measures with the full engagement of communities may be needed.'

Nearly a third of the world's 15.8 million infections have been registered since July 1, while the total death toll nears 640,000.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

Why the World Worries About the Virus 2.0 Nuclear Option
Flavia Krause-Jackson
1 day ago

Shuttering businesses, grounding airlines and ordering people to stay home was hard enough the first time. The thought of having to do it all over again is something world leaders don’t want to even contemplate.

From Italy to New Zealand, irrespective of how well the virus was contained, governments acknowledge that fresh waves of the deadly coronavirus are likely and that the policy tools to mitigate the damage are limited. The hope is that localizing quarantines to towns, cities and regions will be enough to snuff out bouts of infections as they come.

U.K.’s Boris Johnson was reluctant to order a lockdown and then ended up in intensive care fighting for his life after contracting Covid-19. Yet he finds the idea of isolating the nation again so off-putting that he compared it to a nuclear deterrent: “I certainly don’t want to use it.” French Prime Minister Jean Castex, was equally blunt: “We won’t survive, economically and socially.”

At the other end of the globe, New Zealand’s Jacinda Ardern has warned that it just takes one mistake to be exposed to the virus again. But even for her, reverting to a nationwide lockdown would be a “measure of last resort.”

It all speaks to the great elephant in the room: while scientists warn it could take years to control a deadly virus that has killed more than 630,000 worldwide, there is no appetite to sustain the hiatus on travel, work and leisure that has upended everyone’s lives in 2020.

With the world facing its worst recession since the Great Depression and U.S. President Donald Trump fighting for re-election in November, voters are on edge. Politicians of all stripes are looking for ways to ease the pain—not add to it—as fear morphs into anger and discontent.

“Populations can be summoned to heroic acts of collective self-sacrifice for a while, but not forever,” political scientist Francis Fukuyama, author of “The End of History and the Last Man,” wrote in Foreign Affairs magazine. “A lingering epidemic combined with deep job losses, a prolonged recession, and an unprecedented debt burden will inevitably create tensions that turn into a political backlash—but against whom is as yet unclear.”

The political calculus is to try and it ride it out. Yet while efforts to get people back to stores, restaurants, bars and hairdressers demonstrate the urgency among governments of reviving economies, they also show the risks.

Europe’s hardest-hit country, Britain, reopened pubs and is now finding spikes in virus cases. Johnson, who aims to return to “significant normality” by Christmas, on Friday said his government is preparing the health service for a second wave of infections over the winter. A day later, the Department for Transport removed Spain from the government’s list of safe countries to travel to following a jump in infections there.

Countries around the Mediterranean Sea pray a glimpse of tourism will get them through the summer before the cold snap drives people indoors and ushers a second chapter to the pandemic.

Italy was the first Western democracy to quarantine the entire population as it became apparent its death toll was going to overtake that of China, where the virus originated. A person close to Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte described that decision as “shock therapy” that can’t be repeated. The euro’s weakest economy this week became the biggest beneficiary of the European Union’s $860 billion rescue package.

Populations have already shown they are restless. Spain had a similar trajectory to Italy and in Madrid the resentment spilled into the streets. In Serbia, a jump in cases prompted President Aleksandar Vucic, just re-elected in a landslide, to try and impose another curfew only for him to reverse course in the face of violent protests.

The situation is so desperate in Croatia, which relies on tourism more than any other country in the EU, that it pivoted from lockdown mode to embracing the Swedish model that allows bars and shops to stay open and there is no limit to size of public gatherings.

At one point the government considered banning all wedding celebrations after a cluster of cases were traced to one event. All it took was some bad press from prospective brides for the plan to be dropped.

Nowhere is the disconnect between the health risk and reticence to lock down more pronounced than in the U.S., the worst-hit nation with more than 140,000 dead and the number of infections soaring in battleground states Trump needs to win. But as far back as May, the president made his priorities clear.

“Will some people be affected? Yes. Will some people be affected badly? Yes,” Trump said during a factory visit in Arizona, a crucial swing state, that month. “But we have to get our country open and we have to get it open soon.”

The approaches have been so different it’s impossible to predict what governments will do when there is an agonizing trade off between deaths and the economy.

In places like Singapore or South Korea, mass testing and heavy fines were the strategies successfully deployed to stop the spread. By contrast, in the U.K., there was until recently no mandatory use of masks to go into a shop. It was left to “basic good manners.”

However unpalatable, the need to shut everything down may ultimately be forced upon leaders.

In Australia, residents of Melbourne have been ordered to stay home for six weeks and South Africa ordered schools to be shut again. Israel declared victory over the virus only for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to warn another shutdown could be inevitable.

New Zealand is unique in having eradicated the virus within its borders. Now it’s on high alert to keep it that way. Ardern, herself up for re-election this year, has deployed the military to enforce a quarantine on anyone entering the country.

Back in the U.S., Trump has resurrected his White House briefings on the virus in an attempt to reassure Americans he has the pandemic under control and life is going back to normal. On Thursday, though, he scrapped the highly attended Florida convention for the Republican Party he had been keen to hold for 20,000 ardent supporters.

“The country is in very good shape, other than if you look south and west—some problems,” he said. “That will work out.”

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

France prepares for potential second wave as coronavirus cases creep back up
Some European countries push forward with reopening as other prep for feared second coronavirus wave

Caitlin McFall
Published 11 hours ago

France’s daily coronavirus infection rate is on the rise again, as more than 1,130 new cases were reported Friday, making July's figures similar to those seen in May, when France first started to ease its strict lockdown measures.

France has reported over 217,000 coronavirus cases and more than 30,000 deaths since cases were first reported in the country during early March, according to Johns Hopkins University data.

Health authorities have warned that France is heading in the wrong direction as the infection rate is yet again accelerating, meaning that the virus has not started to peter out.

“We have thus erased much of the progress that we’d achieved in the first weeks of lockdown-easing,” a health official told the Associated Press, adding that people have not taken the same necessary precautions during the summer months.

Officials are also warning that people who are now testing positive are not self-isolating with the same necessary rigor as in the early months of the pandemic.

Spain is taking strict measures on areas that are becoming “hot zones” once more by closing bars and nightclubs throughout the region of Catalonia -- an area in the northeast of the country where Barcelona is located.

A midnight curfew has been put on all bars in the region, and nightclubs have been ordered to shut down for 15 days in an attempt to curb a rising infection rate.

Spain has recorded over 272,000 cases and more than 28,000 deaths, with the peak of the pandemic hitting the country at the end of March and into early April. But July has brought new spikes of the virus with roughly 4,600 cases reported Monday, the highest daily infection rate since April.

As parts of Europe are fearful of a second wave of coronavirus spikes, Germany and England are continuing to see downward trends and therefore have continued with reopening phases.

Germany, which has been a shining example of how to stem the spread of the virus, allowed a cruise ship to leave port Friday for the first time since the industry was shut down at the start of the pandemic. The ship will sail at 60 percent capacity for one week up to the shores of Norway. No land stops are permitted.

Several countries around the world are still reeling from the strain of the pandemic which continues to surge in places like the United States, Brazil, India, Russia and South Africa.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

Florida now has more coronavirus cases than New York and California leads the nation
Emma Newburger
Published Sat, Jul 25 20203:08 PM EDT


Key Points
  • Florida has reported more confirmed coronavirus cases than New York state, which was once the epicenter of the pandemic.
  • Florida has confirmed a total of 414,511 cases since the pandemic began and is seeing record daily coronavirus deaths based on a seven-day moving average, along with Texas and California.
  • Florida ranks second on the list of U.S. states with the greatest number of cases. California leads the U.S. with more than 440,000 cases. New York, once the epicenter, now ranks third.

Florida has reported more confirmed coronavirus cases than New York state, as the epicenter of the pandemic has shifted from the Northeast to the Sunbelt region across the American South and West.

Florida has confirmed at least 414,511 total cases since the pandemic began, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, and is seeing record daily coronavirus deaths based on a seven-day moving average, along with other states like Texas and California. Florida recorded at least 12,444 new daily cases on Friday.

Florida ranks second on the list of U.S. states with the greatest number of cases. California is leading the country with more than 440,325 cases as of Friday. New York, once the epicenter of the outbreak, is now third with at least 411,200 confirmed infections. Texas, now a hotspot as well, has confirmed a total of 380,554 cases.

At least 5,777 people have died from the virus in Florida while New York has recorded 32,607 fatalities, the most of any state in the nation by far.

Though the outbreak in Florida has exploded over the past several weeks, the daily case count has started to trend downward recently as a seven-day moving average, according to a CNBC analysis of Johns Hopkins’ data. The state’s daily new case average was down more than 9% as of Friday.

However, Florida’s death and hospitalization rates have been steadily rising. Florida reported an average of 121 daily deaths as of Friday, about a 21% increase compared with a week ago. The number of people hospitalized due to the virus is up by 14% on average.

Gov. Ron DeSantis said last week that the state had “stabilized” the number of cases and cited a the decline in the percent of coronavirus tests that came back positive. Just over 11% of tests came back positive on Friday, down from a recent high of about 15% in late June.

“We’re definitely trending in a better direction,” DeSantis said. “We’re trending much better today than we were two weeks ago.”

President Donald Trump on Thursday canceled the Republican National Convention in Jacksonville, Florida due to health concerns. The president made the announcement on a day when Florida reported a single-day record for coronavirus-related deaths.

The U.S. reported more than 1,100 coronavirus deaths on Friday, marking the fourth day in a row that the daily death toll was above 1,000, according to Johns Hopkins University data.

There are more than four million known cases in the U.S, according to Johns Hopkins University, as states in the South and West struggle to contain the virus. As the number of cases, hospitalizations and virus-related deaths in the U.S continue to rise, health experts warn that the actual number of cases is higher than what has been reported so far.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

School staff infected others by coming to work sick this summer, Hillsborough officials confirm
Briona Arradondo
Published 1 day ago

TAMPA, Fla. - A day after the Hillsborough County school board voted to delay the first day of school and approve a reopening plan, a school board member is sharing concerns after finding out the district had 206 cases so far.

Karen Perez of District 6 shared on Facebook:

“I just received this information this morning and feel it’s my responsibility to disclose…To date, we have had 206 positive cases in Hillsborough County Public Schools. Of these cases, 5 have been students. The majority of cases are from individuals who have come to work sick instead of reporting properly. This before we even open our schools to students.... now understand why this WILL impact your students and families.”

Perez shared her hesitations for reopening the schools with FOX 13.

“We haven’t even opened our schools yet. I can’t even imagine what it’s going to look like when we do,” said Perez.

The Hillsborough school district confirmed the information to FOX 13, saying the positive cases are over the last four months. A district spokesperson sent FOX 13 the following statement detailing how they are handling cases.

In response to your inquiry about Board Member Perez' Facebook post, I can confirm as of early last week, we have had 206 positive cases in Hillsborough County Public Schools. Of these, 5 cases have been students. The majority of cases are from individuals who have come to work sick instead of reporting properly. Our district has 235 traditional schools and a number of other sites where our employees report to work over the summer.

The statement went on to say, “In each case, our district employs contact tracing to identify any other employees that may have been exposed to that employee. Our teams disinfect all areas where the affected employee worked, using an approved chemical and a fogging mist machine to deep clean the area. As soon as this process is finished, workers may return back to the area. No school has been closed due to any positive COVID cases this summer.”

The statement ended with, “This type of cleaning includes anything from one office space to a wing of a building where the individual may have worked. In each case, we have communicated with any employee that may have been impacted. In some cases, these employees who tested positive had not been in the building for two weeks prior to testing positive.

When asked by school board member Tamara Shamburger about guaranteeing the safety of students and staff when schools reopen, Superintendent Addison Davis said Thursday, “We will work hard as we can to create safety measures along the way, but I can’t guarantee that if we social distance, if we wear facial coverings, that someone will not absorb COVID-19.”

The district urges staff to be responsible and stay home when sick. Perez said she wants families to know how the virus could impact them this school year. She said seeing the information about district cases confirms her support for e-learning for the first nine weeks.

“It not only validates, it tells me that this is really what we need to do,” said Perez.

Perez said she also wants teachers to receive training on COVID-19 and share that information with students. The superintendent said during the Thursday school board meeting that any training like that will have to be worked out with the teachers association.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

We are mutating SARS-CoV-2, but it is evolving back
Scientists at the Milner Centre for Evolution looked at the evolution of the virus that causes Covid19; their findings could help the design of a new vaccine.

Press release: Published on Wednesday 22 July 2020 | Last updated on Friday 24 July 2020

Scientists investigating the evolution of the virus that causes Covid19 say that its mutation seems to be directed by human proteins that degrade it, but natural selection of the virus enables it to bounce back. The findings could help in the design of vaccines against the virus.

All organisms mutate. You were for example born with between 10 and 100 new mutations in your DNA. Mutation is usually a random process often owing to mistakes made when DNA is copied. Recent work from researchers at the Universities of Bath and Edinburgh, suggests that in the case of SARS-CoV-2, mutation may well not be a random process and that instead humans are mutating it, as part of a defence mechanism to degrade the virus.

The team looked at over 15,000 virus genomes from all of the sequencing efforts around the world and identified over 6000 mutations. They looked at how much each of the four letters that make up the virus’ genetic code (A, C, U and G) were mutating and discovered that the virus had a very high rate of mutations generating U residues.

Senior author Professor Laurence Hurst, Director of the Milner Centre for Evolution at the University of Bath, said: “I have looked at mutational profiles for many organisms and they all show some sort of bias, but I’ve never seen one as strong and strange as this.”

In particular they found that mutation very commonly generated UU neighbouring pairs, mutating from the original sequence of CU and UC. They noted this is a fingerprint of the mutational profile of a human protein, called APOBEC, that can mutate viruses. Professor Hurst commented: “It looks like mutation isn’t random, but instead we are attacking the virus by mutating it.”

But what are these mutations doing to the virus? Are they helping or hindering it? Looking at the actual composition of the virus and by comparing between different sorts of sites within the virus they found evidence that natural selection – survival of the fittest – is allowing the virus to fight back against the mutational process.

From the mutational profile the team predicts, for example, that 65% of the residues should be a U and 40% should be UU pairs, but in practice U content is much lower and UU content is just about a quarter of that predicted.

Professor Hurst said: “This could be because the viruses that have too much U in them simply don’t survive well enough to reproduce. We estimate that for every 10 mutations that we see, there are another six we never get to see because those mutant viruses are too poor at propagating.”

And there are several reasons why this might be. U rich versions of the viruses’ genes the team found to be less stable and are seen at lower levels. Humans also have other proteins that attack sequences that are rich in U residues that might also force destruction of some versions of the virus.

These results suggest that we are attacking the virus to mutate it in a manner that degrades the virus. This also has implications for some vaccine designs. Several research groups are currently trying to make synthetic versions of the virus in a manner that enables the virus to be viable, but only just, so called attenuated viruses.

Professor Hurst said: “Knowing what selection favours and disfavours in the virus is really helpful in understanding what an attenuated version should look like.

“We suggest for example that increasing U content, as APOBEC does within our cells, would be a sensible strategy.”

The study, Rice et al (2020) "Evidence for strong mutation bias towards, and selection against, U content in SARS-CoV-2: implications for vaccine design" is published in Molecular Biology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1093/molbev/msaa188

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
This explains it, but there's really no excuse for the sloppiness. :(



(fair use applies)

Here's how you might get a 'positive' COVID-19 test result without even being tested
By Craig Patrick
Published 1 day ago

TAMPA, Fla. - Like other news outlets, we are receiving claims people registered for COVID-19 tests, but did not wait to be tested, then got notice that they tested positive. The governor is hearing those claims as well.

“If people that have told you that are willing to provide their name, we’re interested in investigating this because it’s ridiculous,” Gov. Ron DeSantis said this week in response to a question on the topic.

“Ridiculous” can mean unwise or untrue -- and at this point, we cannot nail down which definition applies. We have not yet independently verified these claims, and the messages we’re receiving are generally something heard from a friend or friend of a friend.

Likewise, we also weren’t able to verify claims that college students were throwing COVID parties to deliberately get infected with cash prizes for whoever tests positive first. That one spread from politicians citing rumors, to news reports citing politicians quoting news reports, but did not substantiate as fact.

So we cannot confirm the claims that people are testing positive without getting tested, nor can we confirm that they are as prevalent as some social media posts suggest.

That said, given the potential for error and other errors we’ve already found in state test results, the claims are concerning and merit investigation.

Health experts say the way the testing system is set up, this type of error can occur -- almost like a mix-up in a fast-food drive-thru.

According to accounts, people signed up. They got in line, then bailed out because they got tired of waiting. When that happens at the restaurant drive-thru, somebody else may get your bag of food.

In this case, USF health professor Dr. Jay Wolfson says, you could get somebody else’s test results.


“It’s a moving system and if you miss something. It’s not mechanized and lots of hands are touching the test kits and the pads and the boxes they go in, so there’s room for error,” he explained.

Wolfson says if that’s the case, they would likely catch the error quickly, so it would only affect a small number of people.

I leave the line, so Robert is behind me. So Robert at least temporarily gets reclassified perhaps as number 15 and they mistakenly put your name in that slot and they probably figure it out after one or two and say, ‘We got it wrong, we think we did.’ So they catch up,” Dr. Wolsfon continued. “But one or two people wind up getting somebody else’s test results.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

Florida's COVID-19 data: Disputes and questions continue
By Craig Patrick
Published 1 day ago

Florida is facing growing questions and criticism over how it calculates and reports COVID-19 data.

The latest controversy involved PanCare of Florida, a non-profit health organization that runs testing sites in Northwest Florida.

In a letter, PanCare CEO Michel Hill states the COVID-19 data for the state of Florida is skewed. He writes, “PanCare conducted over 6,900 antibody tests, and over 16,000 antigen tests that have not been accurately reported by the Florida Department of Health -- because they refused to accept the results.”

Governor Ron DeSantis’ office did not respond to FOX 13’s request for comment.

The concerns PanCare raised about the state not counting it’s positive test results relates to a second, broader issue epidemiologists have raised about the stats. The administration combines results of tests that analyze genetic material, known for being accurate, with less accurate antigen tests that look or proteins on the surface. The state spreadsheets do not allow users to separate that information.

Propublica also notes in its metrics, “Florida was reported to have combined viral test data with antibody test data, which is likely to result in a lower positive test rate. The state reports the number of specimens tested. Because some people may be tested more than once, the state’s positive test rates are probably higher than if they reported the number of people tested.”

Meanwhile, some labs had only been sending in positive results and not reporting negative results. The state did not catch that and only instructed labs to report all results after FOX 35 in Orlando investigated and found some labs reporting 100% positive results.

The governor also acknowledged a mistake in the data as a patient who died in a motorcycle crash was counted as a fatality due to COVID-19.

USF epidemiologist Dr. Jason Salemi said the state is likely undercounting COVID hospital admissions by only counting cases in which COVID-19 is the primary diagnosis. He noted, based on the process, coders can list something else, such as pregnancy, as a primary diagnosis even when patients are admitted specifically for COVID-19.

“What I can tell you if people are actually following the CDC guidance for coding, all pregnant women who come in to a hospital, even if it’s because of COVID 19, they’re not showing up in the current COVID-19 numbers,” Salemi said.

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Troke

On TB every waking moment
(fair use applies)

Florida's COVID-19 data: Disputes and questions continue
By Craig Patrick
Published 1 day ago

Florida is facing growing questions and criticism over how it calculates and reports COVID-19 data.

The latest controversy involved PanCare of Florida, a non-profit health organization that runs testing sites in Northwest Florida.

In a letter, PanCare CEO Michel Hill states the COVID-19 data for the state of Florida is skewed. He writes, “PanCare conducted over 6,900 antibody tests, and over 16,000 antigen tests that have not been accurately reported by the Florida Department of Health -- because they refused to accept the results.”

Governor Ron DeSantis’ office did not respond to FOX 13’s request for comment.

The concerns PanCare raised about the state not counting it’s positive test results relates to a second, broader issue epidemiologists have raised about the stats. The administration combines results of tests that analyze genetic material, known for being accurate, with less accurate antigen tests that look or proteins on the surface. The state spreadsheets do not allow users to separate that information.

Propublica also notes in its metrics, “Florida was reported to have combined viral test data with antibody test data, which is likely to result in a lower positive test rate. The state reports the number of specimens tested. Because some people may be tested more than once, the state’s positive test rates are probably higher than if they reported the number of people tested.”

Meanwhile, some labs had only been sending in positive results and not reporting negative results. The state did not catch that and only instructed labs to report all results after FOX 35 in Orlando investigated and found some labs reporting 100% positive results.

The governor also acknowledged a mistake in the data as a patient who died in a motorcycle crash was counted as a fatality due to COVID-19.

USF epidemiologist Dr. Jason Salemi said the state is likely undercounting COVID hospital admissions by only counting cases in which COVID-19 is the primary diagnosis. He noted, based on the process, coders can list something else, such as pregnancy, as a primary diagnosis even when patients are admitted specifically for COVID-19.

“What I can tell you if people are actually following the CDC guidance for coding, all pregnant women who come in to a hospital, even if it’s because of COVID 19, they’re not showing up in the current COVID-19 numbers,” Salemi said.

.....................................................................................................................................................................................
"..USF epidemiologist Dr. Jason Salemi said the state is likely undercounting COVID hospital admissions by only counting cases in which COVID-19 is the primary diagnosis....."

Uh....I thought they all were supposed to do that.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBdgAUA0VvA
31:01 min
Global Update with US focus
•Jul 26, 2020


Dr. John Campbell
Download free high res anatomy pictures, I have put them all in the public domaine, free to use, https://www.flickr.com/photos/1043461...

Global Cases, + 284,196 = 16, 055, 909 Deaths, 644, 661 Biggest daily increases United States, Brazil, India and South Africa,

United States Cases, 4, 178, 730 Deaths, 146, 643 Death toll over 1,000 per day https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-... Dr Deborah Brix (WHO response coordinator) We have to change our behaviour now Before this virus moves back up through the north New outbreaks began in under 30-year olds California Arizona Dr. Fauci https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation... States hit hard by the virus in recent weeks needed to halt or walk back their reopenings A vaccine would likely not be “widely available” until “several months in” to 2021 US public interest research group https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=reu6X... Need to stop taking half actions Shut it down now (500 health experts to president) LA No plans for additional shutdowns

CDC https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/w... Relatively little is known about the clinical course of COVID-19 and return to baseline health for persons with milder, outpatient illness. Multistate telephone survey of symptomatic adults who had a positive outpatient test 35% had not returned to their usual state of health 2–3 weeks after testing Among 18–34 years with no chronic medical conditions, one in five had not returned to their usual state of health Therefore COVID-19 can result in prolonged illness, even among young adults without underlying chronic medical conditions. Effective public health messaging targeting these groups is warranted. Executive order lowering drug prices Test results Should be 4 days but up to 2 weeks

Masks mandated McDonalds Aldi Costco Lowe’s Publix Walmart CVS Texas Hurricane Hanna, Corpus Christi Evacuations New Orleans Hawaii Austin convention centre may be used Florida Republican events cancelled Kentucky https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-...

Protests, Louisville NFAC is a group of heavily armed black militia members based in Atlanta, Georgia Not [expletive] Around Coalition 3 people shot Armed military style ranks Protests in Portland

Persian Gulf Spread in foreign workers Brazil Cases, 2, 394, 513 Deaths, 86,449 Sharp increase in cases Bolsonaro (65), tested positive on 7th July, now negative 18 days positive South Africa Cases, 434, 200 Deaths, 6, 655 https://www.theguardian.com/world/202...

“I am very concerned right now that we are beginning to see an acceleration of disease in Africa,” Michael Ryan If you see me wearing a mask in public and in the shops, I want you to know that... I'm educated enough to know that I could be asymptomatic and still give you the virus. No, I don't "live in fear" of the virus; I just want to be part of the solution, not the problem. I don't feel like the "government controls me". I feel like I'm an adult contributing to security in our society and I want to teach others the same. If we could all live with the consideration of others in mind, the whole world would be a much better place. Wearing a mask doesn't make me weak, scared, stupid or even "controlled". It makes me caring. When you think about your appearance, discomfort, or other people's opinion of you, imagine a loved one - a child, father, mother, grandparent, aunt, uncle or even a stranger - placed on a ventilator, alone without you or any family member who is allowed at his bedside. Ask yourself if you could have helped them a little while wearing a mask. If simply wearing a mask helps even half of all the anxious and worried people get back out there to live their lives, and strengthens our economy in the process, then I'm happy to make them feel more comfortable.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCQtf2NCWGw
21:41 min
Obesity, Alcohol and Clinical Trials
•Jul 26, 2020


Dr. John Campbell

Obesity Is a Risk Factor for Severe COVID-19 Infection Circulation, 26th July https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/pdf/1... Initial data Diabetes mellitus Cardiovascular Hypretension Respiratory Kidney disease Obesity French study BMI more than 35 compared with BMI less than 25 kg/m2 7 fold increased risk for mechanical ventilation New York study, (in under 60s) BMI, 30 to 34, 1.8 times more likely to be admitted to CCU BMI, more than 35, 3.6 times more likely to be admitted to CCU Obesity https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020... Calories on beer and wine Britons will be encouraged to pay attention to 'hidden' calories in food and drink 10 per cent of calories now consumed in alcoholic drinks. 14% increase in sales since lockdown began More than a third of children overweight or obese by the time they leave primary school Two in three adults. 28 % of adults in England obese Almost twice as many as in 1993 Protein, 4 calories per gram Carbohydrates, 4 calories per gram Fat, 9 calories per gram Fibre, 2 calories per gram Ethanol, 7 calories per gram 10 ml of ethanol = 8 grams of ethanol 200 mls of wine at 12 % = 24 mls of ethanol 200 mls of wine at 12 % = 20 grams of ethanol 20 (grams) x 7 (calories) = 140 calories
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERbvaCdtE08
6:23 min
Cruz says Pelosi's objectives are "shoveling cash at the problem and shutting America down"
•Jul 26, 2020


Face the Nation
The Texas Republican says Congress "ought to pass a recovery bill" as the country continues to suffer economic effects of COVID-19

______________________________________________________________________

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZviDGSvD7Es
10:18 min
Pelosi says Congress can't go home until there's a deal
•Jul 26, 2020


Face the Nation

Speaking from the U.S. Capitol, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Congress will stay in session until the next coronavirus aid bill is passed. "We can't go home without it," she said."

___________________________________________________________

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u_-9NZXDpCc
5:01 min
HHS Sec. Azar: "The presumption should be get our kids back to school"
•Jul 26, 2020


Face the Nation

Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar says the administration stands firm in supporting a return to in-person learning this fall in the U.S.
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
Republicans to include $1,200 checks and smaller federal unemployment aid in new stimulus proposal
By Sarah Westwood, Caroline Kelly, Ali Main and Nicky Robertson, CNN

Updated 2:11 PM ET, Sun July 26, 2020

(CNN)White House officials and Senate Republicans are finalizing a bill that would offer $1,200 checks to many Americans and that would not renew the full unemployment insurance enhancement as part of a proposal for the next stimulus bill set to be unveiled Monday, several top administration officials said Sunday.

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow told CNN's Jake Tapper on "State of the Union" that $1,200 checks to Americans will be part of the new recovery package, in addition to reemployment bonuses, retention bonuses and tax credits for small businesses and restaurants.

Kudlow also said the Republican proposal will lengthen the federal eviction moratorium that is lapsing. The $600 weekly boost to unemployment benefits that many Americans have relied upon is also expiring this week.

The new provisions are slated to be unveiled on Monday, in hopes of replacing benefits that officials characterized as potentially incentivizing recipients not to return to work. "We want to move forward quickly, the bill will be introduced Monday, we are prepared to act quickly," Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said on "Fox News Sunday."

Kudlow told Tapper that "we have had a flood of inquiries and phone calls and complaints that small stores and businesses and restaurants can't hire people back."

"They went too far," he continued. "Maybe last March, it was necessary for that, but really the consequences of people not returning to work ... we want to pay folks to go back to work."

The enhancement was designed to keep laid-off people at home instead of out looking for work during the pandemic-fueled lockdowns and has helped millions pay the rent, buy groceries and cover other bills. But it has also kept some workers on the sidelines -- creating headaches for employers trying to get back up and running, even as new coronavirus surges complicate state reopenings.

Lawmakers on Capitol Hill have been divided about whether to extend the federal boost, with Democrats saying it should be extended into next year because the economy is still weak and the unemployed say they are having trouble finding positions, as well as childcare.

Republicans, however, are concerned that such generous payments may deter people from going back to their jobs, which would slow the economic recovery.

And even as Republicans are gearing up to release their coronavirus stimulus bill, Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham had a stark prediction for an upcoming vote on such legislation.

"Half the Republicans are going to vote no to any Phase 4 package, that's just a fact," Graham said in an interview on Fox News' "Sunday Morning Futures," though he noted, "I think we will come together before August the 5th to get this done."
White House chief of staff Mark Meadows said on ABC's "This Week" that "the original benefits will not" be in the new bill, adding that "the original unemployment benefits actually paid people to stay home."

The chief of staff also confirmed he and Mnuchin are returning to Capitol Hill on Sunday to continue going over details of the bill.

Meadows said the proposal will involve offering enhanced unemployment benefits that would replace a laid-off worker's wages up to 70%, although he acknowledged challenges some states will face in administering such a complicated benefit. He said he has worked with Mnuchin and Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia to ensure "antiquated computers" in some state benefit offices don't stop people from receiving their benefits.

Related: These 12 charts show the economic recovery is on pause

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi addressed Republicans' potential benefit change on Sunday, saying on CBS' "Face the Nation" that she would prefer to see enhanced unemployment benefits paid at a flat rate, not as a portion of a worker's lost wages as Republicans are preparing to propose.

"Let me just say: the reason we had $600 was its simplicity," Pelosi said, noting that calculating 70% of someone's lost earnings would be difficult for administrators. "Why don't we just keep it simple? Unemployment benefits and the enhancement... is so essential right now."

Pelosi declined to say whether Democrats would be willing to accept an unemployment insurance enhancement that is lower than $600.

"We've been anxious to negotiate for two months and 10 days," Pelosi said, criticizing Republicans for taking so long to propose another stimulus package.

"We can't go home without it, but it's so sad that people should have this uncertainty in their lives," she said.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said Sunday that Democrats are against the GOP officials' plan to limit unemployment benefits and that internal division remains among Republicans on the issue.

"We are for extending it ... we should not give a 30% pay cut to those who lost their jobs through no fault of their own," Schumer said at a news conference. "The unemployment insurance has kept millions out of poverty, prevented the recession from becoming a depression, we need to extend it."

He accused Republicans of "dithering, twiddling their thumbs," saying that "we Democrats passed a bill two months ago and yet we've got nothing from our Republican colleagues. President (Donald) Trump's in one place, some Senate Republicans are in another, and some Senate Republicans are in a third."

Administration officials dropped a push for the payroll tax cut that Trump has repeatedly demanded after failing to secure support for it from enough Senate Republicans and after acknowledging it was a non-starter for Democrats.
"I would have preferred a payroll tax cut on top of that check, but be that as it may, politically it doesn't work but the check is there," Kudlow said on "State of the Union."

When asked whether the change in benefits could harm the economy by jeopardizing those facing bills and evictions, Kudlow said that the combination of unemployment benefits capped at 70% of wages, reemployment bonuses and retention tax credit bonuses is "going to more than offset any of this."

"The trick here is going back to work," he added.

CNN's Tami Luhby contributed to this report.


 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEoDaa2hRXU
8:08 min
Scott Gottlieb: High rate of COVID-19 spread in schools making it "very hard to open" in fall
•Jul 26, 2020


Face the Nation

The former FDA commissioner suggests that testing delays need to be resolved before widespread reopenings of America's schools.

-----------------------------------------

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IRkiZHSmvMc
5:10 min
Atrium Health CEO calls for national registry for COVID testing supplies
•Jul 26, 2020


Face the Nation

Atrium Health CEO Eugene Woods testified before the Senate earlier this week, telling lawmakers "we don't have enough reagents" to process coronavirus tests
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pr0bW_fo1Aw
7:51 min
Danny Meyer on reviving the restaurant industry
•Jul 26, 2020


CBS Sunday Morning

Danny Meyer is one of New York City's most successful and influential restaurateurs. In mid-March he closed all 20 of his restaurants and laid off nearly 2,100 employees. Meyer, and his top executive, Chip Wade, president of the Union Square Hospitality Group, tell correspondent Martha Teichner how they plan to rebuild their business – and how the entire restaurant industry must evolve – in order to survive not only the pandemic, but a changing economy and changing tastes.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDVqIfV2q5Y
2:45 min
Health Experts Call For Another Nationwide Shutdown Amid Coronavirus Spikes | Sunday TODAY
•Jul 26, 2020


TODAY

With Florida on track to surpass New York’s number of confirmed coronavirus cases, more than 500 health experts across the country are demanding that the Trump administration order a nationwide closure to combat the outbreaks. NBC’s Gadi Schwartz reports for Sunday TODAY.
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
Scandal: Florida COVID testing labs are over inflating the positive results
by: Sara Middleton, staff writer | July 24, 2020

(NaturalHealth365) If we are to believe the latest Florida COVID-19 stats, then the Sunshine State is currently having a major spike in SARS-CoV-2 infections. By the way, other states are reportedly having COVID spikes include Pennsylvannia and Texas. And, while we won’t speculate how or why the spikes are occurring, we do feel duty-bound to report on some shocking fake COVID allegations coming out of Florida’s state labs.

For starters: What do you think happens when a COVID testing lab only reports positive COVID test results? That’s right: the true rate of coronavirus cases gets severely skewed by calculated misinformation.

And according to some officials, this – along with outright fake COVID tests – is exactly what’s happening!

COVID scandal rocking Florida: State labs allegedly “cooking the books” over SARS-CoV-2 test results
Rebel Cole is the Lynn Eminent Scholar Professor of Finance in the College of Business at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton. A couple weeks ago, he sent out a jaw-dropping tweet to his followers.

In it, he shares data which suggests that hundreds of COVID testing labs in Florida supposedly had 100% of their tests come back positive on July 11. These positive tests accounted for over a third of all the new cases reported that day.
Really? All the daily tests at these hundreds of state labs came back positive for SARS-CoV-2?

The tweet, which has (unfortunately) since been remove – but, we’ve seen it, said:

“This is a scandal begging for press coverage: 333 FL Covid Testing labs reported 100% positive tests today in State Report for 3,528 tests. That is 34% of today’s 10,360 new cases. Without these, today’s “percent positive” would fall from 12.6% to 8.7%.” – Rebel A. Cole (@RebelACole) July 11, 2020.

In another tweet, Cole rightly points out that withholding information about the negative COVID test results – or at least delaying their publication to later in the week or news cycle – can significantly skew the size of a so-called “spike” and bias the results so that they are sky high … or at least much higher than they are in real life.

As a side note: there are many doctors that think this current pandemic is becoming less severe.

Unbelievable deception: Fake COVID-19 testing being reported

Like many of our readers, we are hearing about other reports and anecdotes of blatant dishonesty among state and local officials. For example, in addition to reporting only positive tests, some labs are allegedly pumping out fake COVID test results for people who weren’t even tested.

This includes people who went to a testing site, filled out the necessary paperwork, but decided to leave after about an hour or so due to the long wait … only to later find out that they “tested positive,” despite never receiving the now-infamous nasal swab in the first place!

Now, keep in mind that as the widespread testing of the SARS-CoV-2 virus allegedly continues across the country, you may hear terms related to diagnostic testing such as “false positive” or “false negative.” These terms actually don’t suggest deception or unethical behavior.

Instead, they refer to how valid or accurate a test result is.

A “false negative” means getting a test result that tells you you don’t have the condition for which it’s testing, even though you actually do (say, a pregnant woman getting a negative pregnancy test).

False positive is the reverse: a test tells you you do have the condition being tested for, even though you actually don’t (say, an uninfected person getting a positive COVID test result).

So, even if we leave aside the reports of misinformation and deception from state COVID labs, we also need to remember that some “legitimate” positive COVID tests may still be “false” after all. In truth, we don’t know exactly what the false positive rate of the SARS-CoV-2 test is at this point, but it’s important to realize the possibility is there – as is true for any diagnostic test, since no test is 100 percent accurate – even if the media doesn’t want you to realize this.

Stay tuned, as NaturalHealth365 will continue to monitor and report on any scientific or medical fraud.

Sources for this article include:

Fox35orlando.com
MIT.edu

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jfWtqrn6Mqk
6:52 min
COVID-19 cases have reached a staggering 4.1 million in the US
•Jul 26, 2020


ABC News

Fifteen states have broken weekly records for daily infections and the death toll has climbed past 146,000.

______________________________________

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8tkCMnu4So
14:14 min
‘Hopeful’ for good news on therapeutics, vaccine: Mark Meadows in ABC News exclusive
•Jul 26, 2020


ABC News

George Stephanopoulos speaks with White House chief of staff Mark Meadows in an exclusive interview on “This Week.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gem35zTONMc
15:59 min
Coronavirus update: The latest COVID-19 news from around the world | DW News
•Jul 26, 2020


DW News Germany

00:00 In the United States, record numbers of jobless workers are facing uncertainty as they wait for Congress to decide on whether they'll extend a boost to unemployment benefits. The current coronavirus relief program expires at the end of July. But Republicans in the US Senate are divided over how much financial aid they're willing to provide.

02:49 Almost 285,000 new cases of coronavirus infection were recorded globally in the past 24 hours, the highest number in a single day so far. The World Health Organization says tighter restrictions may be needed to curb the spread in Europe. With many people traveling for summer holidays, some European nations are introducing new measures to protect people from infection.

05:04 North Korea has placed the city of Kaesong near the border with South Korea under total lockdown after a person was found suspected of COVID-19 symptoms. Leader Kim Jong-Un called an emergency meeting on Saturday. If confirmed, it would be the country's first official case. North Korean state media say the person suspected of having the virus crossed illegally from South Korea.

07:30 Britain has imposed a two-week quarantine on travellers arriving from Spain after a surge in COVID-19 cases there. Europe had only recently re-opened most of its borders to travel. Nightlife in the Spanish region of Catalonia, where Barcelona is, is shutting down once more, while national authorities are introducing measures against the recent spike in infections. The new restrictions are causing renewed disruption to the travel industry, and to tourists.

12:49 Australia's state of Victoria has recorded its highest daily death toll from the coronavirus. Ten people died within 24 hours - this despite a two-week lockdown imposed in the state's largest city, Melbourne. The state leader says the outbreaks are due to workplace infections. Thousands of Israelis have held protests across the country, calling for

13:07 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to resign. The largest rally took place outside Netanyahu's home in Jerusalem. The protests have been going on for several weeks, sparked by anger over the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis and corruption charges against Netanyahu.

13:30 A small research lab in southwestern Nigeria is working hard to develop new solutions to tackle the coronavirus- and prepare to battle future epidemics. It could soon turn into one of Africa's largest genomic research centers. Its founder supports young African scientists and wants to strengthen local research. His efforts are already paying off.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

GOP Reach Agreement On COVID-19 Relief; $600 Unemployment Boost Becomes 70% 'Wage Replacement'; Pelosi Pops Fuse

Sun, 07/26/2020 - 19:44

With the Trump Treasury sitting on $1.8 trillion and three months to spend it, the White House and Senate Republicans are set to introduce a $1 trillion spending bill on Monday which would be released in stages - angering Democrats who are pushing for an immediate, $3 trillion shotgun blast of stimulus.



Speaking with ABC's "This Week," White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows said "I see us being able to provide unemployment insurance, maybe a retention credit, to keep people from being displaced or brought back into the workplace, helping with our schools," adding "we can negotiate on the rest of the bill in the weeks to come."
The Trump administration opposes an extension of a $600-a-week enhanced unemployment payment that expired this month, Mnuchin and Meadows said. Instead, White House officials favor a plan to reimburse an individual's lost wages or salary by up to 70%, said Mnuchin and Meadows. -Newsday
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) popped a fuse at the GOP proposal, blaming Republicans for waiting too long to negotiate for more relief after House Democrats passed a fifth, $3 trillion relief bill which would have included immediate aid to state and local governments, expanded testing and contact tracing for COVID-19.

Appearing on CBS's "Face the Nation," Pelosi said that Republicans are "in disarray and that delay is causing suffering for America's families. So we have been ready for two months and 10 days. I've been here all weekend hoping they had something to give us."

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, meanwhile, says the White House is "prepared to act quickly."

We bet they are.


Mnuchin added that unemployment benefits would be extended, while schools and universities would receive protection against "frivolous" lawsuits - part of overall GOP support for protections that would also include corporations.

"Within the trillion-dollar package, there's certain things that have time frames that are a bigger priority, so we could look at doing an entire deal, we could also look at doing parts," said Mnuchin, adding that he would push for a "technical fix" to unemployment insurance after many have criticized the $600 weekly benefit as being too high, and a disincentive to searching for a job.
The fix would ensure "that people don't get paid more to stay home than they do to work, and we can move very quickly with the Democrats on these issues," Mnuchin said.

He added: "The fair thing is to replace wages, and it just wouldn't be fair to use taxpayer dollars to pay more people to sit home than they would get working and get a job."

Pelosi said last week that Democrats would not accept a "piecemeal" approach to a deal.

The Speaker on Sunday said it's easier for the government to provide a $600 payment to the unemployed than to calculate what 70% of each worker's salary was. -Newsday
"The reason we had $600 was its simplicity," said Pelosi, adding "And figuring out 70% of somebody's wages. People don't all make a salary … They make wages and they sometimes have it vary. So why don't we just keep it simple?"
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Over 40% Of US Adults Are Susceptible To Severe COVID-19

Sat, 07/25/2020 - 23:20

Several studies have found that the risk of contracting severe Covid-19 that can result in hospitalization, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation or death increases with age as well as the presence of underlying health conditions.

In the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recently released a study showing that a considerable share of the American population has some form of underlying health issue, which, as Statista's Niall McCarthy details below, places them at risk from severe forms of the virus. The study's findings are based on the 2018 Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and U.S. Census population data and it determined that 40.7 percent of U.S. adults (aged 18 and over) have a pre-existing health condition.
Infographic: Over 40% Of U.S. Adults Are Susceptible to Severe Covid-19 | Statista
You will find more infographics at Statista

The most prevalent condition in the study is obesity, affecting just over 30 percent of Americans and it followed by diabetes which has a national prevalence of 11.2 percent.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cardiovascular disease have a prevalence of just under 7 percent while chronic kidney disease is at approximately 3 percent. The CDC stated that "while the estimated number of persons with any underlying medical condition was higher in population-dense metropolitan areas, overall prevalence was higher in rural nonmetropolitan areas."

It also added that "the counties with the highest prevalences of any condition were concentrated in Southeastern states, particularly in Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, and West Virginia, as well as some counties in Oklahoma, South Dakota, Texas, and northern Michigan, among others".
 

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