Doug, Obama is Satan's Meat Puppet. We all know that Obama doesn't have the skills to run anything that requires an IQ of more than 60. Without his teleprompter, he cannot communicate effectively, for he cannot keep his lies straight, even though he really doesn't bother.
Shear incompetence cannot explain the chaos of this ongoing catastrophe. The dots don't connect, if we just look at "luck." NOTHING leads one to believe that there is anything but design or intent in what is going on... That Satan's Meat Puppet is not calling the shots, is a "given." Just exactly who is calling the shots, we don't know, but if Obama is not, then we have a conspiracy...
To believe all that is happening is coincidence, beggars the imagination.
Maranatha
OldArcher
Thanks, Kris.
While, I find your math skills reassuring, I can't help but think about the 'expedited visas' being processed in West Africa as we speak. I imagine we'll see radically different numbers then. I hope not, but I think so.
Canada won't be much help, since our government doesn't appear to have any more sense than yours does.
Thank you again for your level-headed analyses.
Artie.
Couple things to keep in mind that would skew projections going forward...
#1 - It could mutate.
#2 - According to http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/ebola/14-october-2014/en/
"Recent studies conducted in West Africa have demonstrated that 95% of confirmed cases have an incubation period in the range of 1 to 21 days; 98% have an incubation period that falls within the 1 to 42 day interval."
Here's the point: 5% have incubation in EXCESS of 21 days, AND 2% apparently have an incubation period in EXCESS of 42 days.
So, out of 100 infected people, we'd of let five go free after 21 days symptom free, to start infecting others later!
#3 - It's been drilled into every one's head how unlike Ebola is to the Flu, but that could blindside us to not look for any similarities.
It might surprise you, even though Ebola is not airborne like flu, just how many of the seasonal influences that unleash flu every fall and winter could also enhance Ebola contagiousness then, too!
According to..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flu_season
The exact mechanism behind the seasonal nature of influenza outbreaks is unclear. Some proposed explanations are:
- People are indoors more often during the winter, they are in close contact more often, and this promotes transmission from person to person.
- A seasonal decline in the amount of ultraviolet radiation may reduce the likelihood of the virus being damaged or killed by direct radiation damage or indirect effects (i. e. ozone concentration) increasing the probability of infection.
- Cold temperatures lead to drier air, which may dehydrate mucous membranes, preventing the body from effectively defending against respiratory virus infections.[6][7][8]
- The virus may linger longer on exposed surfaces (doorknobs, countertops, etc.) in colder temperatures.
- In nations where children do not go to school in the summer, there is a more pronounced beginning to flu season, coinciding with the start of public school. It is thought that the creche environment is perfect for the spread of illness.
- Vitamin D production from Ultraviolet-B in the skin changes with the seasons and affects the immune system.[9][10][11]
- Research in guinea pigs has shown that the aerosol transmission of the virus is enhanced when the air is cold and dry.[6]
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/05/health/research/05flu.html?_r=0 says...
- The virus was transmitted best at a low humidity, 20 percent, and not transmitted at all when the humidity reached 80 percent.
- Flu viruses are more stable in cold air, and low humidity also helps the virus particles remain in the air. That is because the viruses float in the air in little respiratory droplets, Dr. Palese said. When the air is humid, those droplets pick up water, grow larger and fall to the ground.
Seems to me, even though Ebola is not supposed to be airborne, every one of those same mechanisms above should make Ebola much more contagious then, too.
Especially as we already know Ebola in the lab when subjected to cooler temperatures, stays viable much longer on surfaces, weeks longer, in fact. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20553340
And, we know that Ebola aerosol transmission is well documented. http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-pers...ers-need-optimal-respiratory-protection-ebola
We've never seen Ebola, that I'm aware of, infection rates in an environment outside of African heat and humidity.
It's possible that whatever contagion risk level Ebola is today, while warmer, for surface, aerosol or airborne ability to infect others, come this fall and winter colder weather, it could become a whole different ballgame! Surface and aerosol infection risks will most certainly go up and, who knows, but it might just be the right environment then for limited airborne transmission, too.
- Shane
Do we have any PROOF of these supposedly "expedited visas" other than Internet hear-say? I have seen a few people state this as fact but never with a link to anything approaching legitimacy. I just may have missed it.
My bet is that there is going to be enough pressure, especially if we get anymore infections out of the Duncan case or especially if another Duncan (traveling from West Africa) happens somewhere in the US, that they end up going with banning travel from those countries rather than expediting any visas. Banning travel has gone from being totally "off the table" to now being "on the table" as a possible option.
And, at the very end of Congressman Gohmert's segment, he added, "This administration is now expediting visas for travelers coming from West Africa."
Like I said, do you have any LEGITIMATE evidence that visas are actually being expedited for travelers from West Africa?
Louie is known to be a bit of a loose cannon. I don't think he has claimed that Guam was going to tip over yet but some fairly off-the-wall stuff has come out of his mouth over the years. Does NOT mean it is actually so just because he said it.
Yes, it's acting like it always has for 38 years where it is, my point is, in the last 38 years, have we ever seen how it acts in colder climes?And while the possibilities are interesting to discuss, the probability is that it will indeed continue to act pretty much like it always has.
As I have documented on other threads during the course of this event, so far, this outbreak is acting no different than all 20 prior outbreaks over the last 38 years.
Do we have any PROOF of these supposedly "expedited visas" other than Internet hear-say? I have seen a few people state this as fact but never with a link to anything approaching legitimacy. I just may have missed it.
My bet is that there is going to be enough pressure, especially if we get anymore infections out of the Duncan case or especially if another Duncan (traveling from West Africa) happens somewhere in the US, that they end up going with banning travel from those countries rather than expediting any visas. Banning travel has gone from being totally "off the table" to now being "on the table" as a possible option.
Do we have any PROOF of these supposedly "expedited visas" other than Internet hear-say? I have seen a few people state this as fact but never with a link to anything approaching legitimacy. I just may have missed it.
My bet is that there is going to be enough pressure, especially if we get anymore infections out of the Duncan case or especially if another Duncan (traveling from West Africa) happens somewhere in the US, that they end up going with banning travel from those countries rather than expediting any visas. Banning travel has gone from being totally "off the table" to now being "on the table" as a possible option.
Yes, it's acting like it always has for 38 years where it is, my point is, in the last 38 years, have we ever seen how it acts in colder climes?
For all the reasons flu only becomes an issue seasonally here, when it gets colder, most of those same factors could also become serious
game changers to the upside of any Ebola projections based solely on its history in African climate.
No 'gone airborne' mutation required. Though, it could be significant enough many would swear it must have mutated.
That's what most concerns me and why it was 3/4 of that posting.
I'd like to hear your thoughts on my flu/ebola similarities section there.
- Shane
The problem is that the slow rate of transmission between people who live in mud-huts and who travel by foot is very different than it is for people who commute 50 miles each day to work each day, or who travel via mass transit, or who attend sporting events, or who happen to take the occasional plane trip, or who have snotty nosed kids who spread diseases all around the playground at schools with thousands of kids attending. The people in Africa just don't get around that much. And all of these factors have greatly helped to contain Ebola to the bush prior to now.As I have documented on other threads during the course of this event, so far, this outbreak is acting no different than all 20 prior outbreaks over the last 38 years. The only thing different about this outbreak is that it is in cities of thousands to millions of people rather than a few hundred people in a remote African village.
The problem is that the slow rate of transmission between people who live in mud-huts and who travel by foot is very different than it is for people who commute 50 miles each day to work each day, or who travel via mass transit, or who attend sporting events, or who happen to take the occasional plane trip, or who have snotty nosed kids who spread diseases all around the playground at schools with thousands of kids attending. The people in Africa just don't get around that much. And all of these factors have greatly helped to contain Ebola to the bush prior to now.
With a 21 or perhaps 42 day, incubation period as some have suggest, something like this could easily be spread through a very wide swath of the population before anybody realizes that they are infected. Add knee-jerk denials by public officials, and many infected individuals, plus stupidity into that equation and the situation starts to look somewhat grim.
So this is a completely different scenario.