CORONA UK has enough intensive care units for coronavirus, expert predicts

Bps1691

Bps1691

Veteran Member
The following article when coupled with reports that Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson's Imperial College London coronavirus model, cited by The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday

... dropped his prediction of deaths for UK from 500,000 dead to 20,000 (see link Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Drastically Revises Model )

Might be the good news most are hoping for-


The UK should now be able to cope with the spread of the covid-19 virus, according to one of the epidemiologists advising the government.

Neil Ferguson at Imperial College London gave evidence today to the UK’s parliamentary select committee on science and technology as part of an inquiry into the nation’s response to the coronavirus outbreak.

He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks. UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower.
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UK has enough intensive care units for coronavirus, expert predicts

UK has enough intensive care units for coronavirus, expert predicts
 
H

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
I suppose that depends upon how they determine they have "enough", like for example their triage protocols....
 
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summerthyme

Administrator
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Ah, computer models! You can get them to show anything you want them to... witness global warming. I hope he's right... watching Italy and Spain (and now, N.Y. city), I'm afraid he's going to be proven very wrong.

Summerthyme
 
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