INTL The Russian Bear Awakens

The Russian bear was just hibernating in the first place.

The Russian Bear Awakens

By Michael Snyder on July 9, 2010

http://www.dailymarkets.com/economy/2010/07/09/the-russian-bear-awakens/

Today most Americans consider the United States to be “the sole remaining superpower” - absolutely unparalleled economically and militarily. But the truth is not anything close to that. As we detailed in a previous article, China has become a very dominant economic and military superpower. But there is another world superpower that the American people and the American media are not taking seriously. The Russian Bear has awakened, and yet most people in the U.S. think of Russia as a Cold War opponent that we “defeated” and which is now a shell of its former self. The recent Russian spy case is a perfect example of the tremendous lack of respect which the American public has for Russia these days.

It is almost as if the media is saying: “Oh look, isn’t it so cute that these little Russians are spying on us as if the Cold War was still going on?” But the truth is that it is a massive error to underestimate Russia.

Today it is a fact that Russia is stronger both economically and militarily than it ever has been before.

You doubt this?

Quick - name the number one oil producer in the world.

Here’s a hint - it is not Saudi Arabia.

It is Russia.

Russia has also recently become the number one oil exporter in the world.

Not only that, but Russia is also the number one exporter of natural gas in the world.

In a world starving for oil and natural resources, that puts Russia in a very strong position.

Back on December 28th, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin was on hand to celebrate the opening of Russia’s first modern Pacific-based oil export facilities. The Pacific port of Kozmino now allows Russia to export huge amounts of oil to growing economies throughout Asia.

And to the United States.

Did you know that Russia is rapidly becoming one of the top suppliers of oil to the United States?

It’s true.

So is it smart for the U.S. to start becoming dependent on oil from Russia?

No, probably not.

But that is what is happening.

And the Russian economy is booming.

Russia experienced very high economic growth during the early part of the past decade, and analysts project Russia’s GDP will grow by more than 5% in 2010.

And most people think of Russian cities as crumbling, broken down cities where people stand in line for bread.

Not anymore.

According to Forbes, Moscow is now the third most expensive cities in the world in which to live. In fact, the cost of living is higher in Moscow than in any U.S. city.

Who would have thought that it costs more money to live in Moscow than in New York City?

But Russia has not just become an economic superpower once again.

Russia has also been using all of this new economic power to rapidly update and modernize both its conventional and strategic military forces….

*Over the last several years, Russia has been very busy updating and modernizing their strategic nuclear forces. U.S. officials still claim that America has a technological edge in this area, but everyone agrees that the gap is rapidly narrowing.

*On June 15th, Russia introduced their new “fourth generation” nuclear submarine to the world, which is apparently quieter than any other submarine in existence.

*Not only that, but a couple weeks ago Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin climbed into the cockpit of Russia’s new “fifth generation” fighter jet and announced that it was far superior to the F-22 Raptor.

And Russia is once again projecting their strength throughout the world. We all saw what they were able to achieve in Georgia. But they have been very busy elsewhere as well….

*Iran announced on Wednesday that the Bushehr nuclear power plant, a joint project with Russia, would be ready for operation in two months.

*Russia has signed major arms deals with Syria under which it will sell Syria warplanes, anti-tank weapons and air defense systems.

*After Russian President Medvedev’s historic visit to Damascus, Russia’s energy minister announced that his country is “studying the question” of building a nuclear power plant in Syria.

*Russian President Dmitry Medvedev recently announced that Russia and Turkey are becoming key strategic partners.

*The Russian government has agreed to a raft of new accords with the new, much more pro-Russian, government in Ukraine.

But still the United States is not taking Russia seriously.

According to Admiral James A. Winnefeld, the commander of the U.S. Northern Command, Russia is continuing to fly strategic nuclear bombers close to U.S. and Canadian airspace because the Russian military is seeking to maintain “the illusion of power”.

The illusion of power?

Is he kidding?

It is this dramatic underestimation of Russia power that could end up seriously burning us in the end.

The truth is this lack of understanding of the world situation goes all the way to the top.

Barack Obama is pushing for a plan which would reduce the size of the U.S. strategic nuclear arsenal to about 10 percent of what it was at the height of the Cold War.

Most Americans (and most people who will read this article) simply dismiss Russia as not being a significant threat, but that just shows how misinformed most people are.

And in many ways Russia is in a much better position right now than the United States is.

The Russian government actually ran large budget surpluses from 2001 to 2007 and has a very small national debt.

Meanwhile, the U.S. government has accumulated the biggest debt in the history of the world.

In fact, Russia owns about 100 billion dollars of that debt.

My how the tables have turned.

The frightening thing is that Russia and China are cooperating on a host of economic and military projects as they seek to “counterbalance” U.S. power in the world.

The truth is that the U.S. cannot just “do whatever it wants” in the world anymore.

Russia and China are both more powerful than they have ever been before and they aren’t going anywhere any time soon.

The world has changed. If the United States does not wake up and recognize this fact there are going to be some very serious consequences.
 

willdo

Veteran Member
our nation

needs leadership that will recognize where its blessings come from, and repent and turn to God. If not, it will suffer consequences, so far God has been patient but 911 and Katrina and Rita and now the GOM shows that God is allowing those consequences to happen. Every governor should be calling on its citizens to pray and fast that the GOM will be healed, and that our leadership will seek His face and receive His blessings in all their decisions forward. God tells us he will put hooks in Russia and pull it out against Israel and punish Russia and all those that come against Israel. From best I can interpret from the scriptures, we, the US, one of the young lions, ask what the h. they are doing, but apparently we don't get the chance to do anything about it, maybe because God restrains us in some manner so we can't or He takes care of it before we try. It doesn't sound like Russia is us or we are Russia, it sounds like they think we are not able to stop them. If our nation continues on this path to reduce its ability to manage its own economy or its military, I can see the reality of us not being able to stop them, even if we wanted to. Right now we have leadership with divided loyalities who may not really care to protect Israel and only offer the pretense of caring by asking that question.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
I've been saying for a long time that the Russian military is strong plus they are not wasting their military on wars like Iran and Afghanistan. They are waiting for the US to implode after they get into a much bigger war in the Middle East and Korea.
 

DelRayMan

Inactive
russia and china are both unified. 99% of their people are one. they all hold their countries flag. on the other hand, our great country is so split it will never continue into the future. can anyone remember when this country was like that. i can, when i was a kid in the sixties and seventies. then everything became a question of political correctness. now i see people marching with all different flags, most can't speak english. i wonder if i go to russia, when i dial the russian drivers license board what will i hear "dial 1 for russian or 2 for, if you can't speak russian, GTFO" solidarity in both russia and china. analogy, in a car, if each wheel goes in a different direction, what will happen to the car, it goes no where and will soon pull itself apart. this is where my great country is going. my grandparents are from russia, i wonder if i still have family there????????? i wonder if there is a NAACP in russia? or a la praza or a black panther. too much freedom within the human race is anarchy. humans neeed to be directed, we are not heard animals, we wonder
 

ontheright

TROPIC LIGHTNING GO 25th
I've posted this before but it "bears" repeating...pun intended...

"War to the hilt between communism and capitalism is
inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to
attack. Our time will come in thirty or forty years. To win,
we shall need the element of surprise. The Western world will
need to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the
most spectacular peace movement on record. There shall be
electrifying overtures and unheard of concessions. The
capitalist countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to
cooperate to their own destruction. They will leap at another
chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we shall
smash them with our clenched fist."
(Dmitrii Z. Manuilskii)
(Lenin School of Political Warfare, Moscow, 1931)

Timing is off some but still the philosophy is the same, IIRC Putin is a student of Manuilskii.
 

Troke

On TB every waking moment
Well, let's see.

1. China is made up of a group of "tribes", the Han being the largest. However, there are a lot of others that don't like the Han. China is not a monolith.

2. They have an economy that is booming but there is reason to believe they don't really have a handle on what they are doing. One of these days.....

3. The nearest source of desperately needed natural resources is Siberia just across the border.

4. The Russian population is declining, China's is not.

Conclusion: These countries are not natural friends.

As for Russia, the demographers are of the opinion that either the Russian defense establishment stands down or face going over 50% Moslem by 2050 because the Russ are not having kids.

We might have a short term problem with those people but I doubt we got a long term problem, at least not the kind the OP states.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
Well, let's see.

1. China is made up of a group of "tribes", the Han being the largest. However, there are a lot of others that don't like the Han. China is not a monolith.

2. They have an economy that is booming but there is reason to believe they don't really have a handle on what they are doing. One of these days.....

3. The nearest source of desperately needed natural resources is Siberia just across the border.

4. The Russian population is declining, China's is not.

Conclusion: These countries are not natural friends.

As for Russia, the demographers are of the opinion that either the Russian defense establishment stands down or face going over 50% Moslem by 2050 because the Russ are not having kids.

We might have a short term problem with those people but I doubt we got a long term problem, at least not the kind the OP states.

It looks like the population decline is bottoming out.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Russia



 

Troke

On TB every waking moment
"...It looks like the population decline is bottoming out..."

Except for one piece of info not given. Are the Russ having more kids? Or is the non-Russ Moslem part of the population steadily growing in size that is stopping the drop in population.

Try a guess.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
"...It looks like the population decline is bottoming out..."

Except for one piece of info not given. Are the Russ having more kids? Or is the non-Russ Moslem part of the population steadily growing in size that is stopping the drop in population.

Try a guess.

I understand, and I'm not trying to argue with you per se, because you are generally correct. But, based on this graph, taken with the others:



With immigration slowing at the same time birth rate is increasing, ethnic Russian resistance to immigration is showing itself. Time will tell if they halt the immigrant advance upon their demographic territory. As such, Russia is known for pogroms since before the Soviet era, and may experience a major one, soon. What that bodes for us is uncertain.

I'm just saying that the status quo looks about to change.
 

SIRR1

Deceased
Hmmmm.

SOT I agree to disagree with you. :spns:

Yes both the Soviet Union and the Chicoms are deadly enemies of the free world, and need to be dealt with sooner rather than later IMO.

At this time in history both the Russians’ and the Chinese militaries are land locked.

Yes the Soviets and probably the Chicoms can nuke us many times over if they get the first hits on CONUS.

But their abilities to maintain a confrontation off of their continent or general area are a problem for both countries and they know it.

That is why both countries are saber rattling at this time because they don't have a powerful enough Navies or Air forces to handle a war away from their home countries, at this time...

Ten years from now it will be a different story, the Chinese Blue Water Navy will be up and running with Carrier Battle Groups poking their nose into countries around the world and the Russian's will have re tooled their military then we have to watch out!

But for now their all talk and minimal action.

SIRR1
 

Fred's Horseradish

Membership Revoked
Well, let's see.

1. China is made up of a group of "tribes", the Han being the largest. However, there are a lot of others that don't like the Han. China is not a monolith.

2. They have an economy that is booming but there is reason to believe they don't really have a handle on what they are doing. One of these days.....

3. The nearest source of desperately needed natural resources is Siberia just across the border.

4. The Russian population is declining, China's is not.

Conclusion: These countries are not natural friends.

As for Russia, the demographers are of the opinion that either the Russian defense establishment stands down or face going over 50% Moslem by 2050 because the Russ are not having kids.

We might have a short term problem with those people but I doubt we got a long term problem, at least not the kind the OP states.

That is what I have always considered. The place for the Chinese to go for more room and resouces is north. Russia does not even belong there. Russia is European.
 

Troke

On TB every waking moment
Some years ago I spoke to a Russian woman, (Phd in History IIRC) who said that Russia is the only culture whose its history cannot be predicted! She had learned two histories and was now learning a third.

Anyway, she said the educated Russians were not reproducing themselves, she figured their birthrate was less than 1.0. She had one child, knew nobody who had two and lots that had none.

She also seemed to think there was no internal movement within the culture, peasants tended to remain peasants. So if the educated classes were not having children....

Anyway, I think that currently, the populace sees more hope ahead than she did when she was having children (child born about 1985 probably) that maybe their birth rate did go up.

You want to kill the birthrate, convince the people that there is no hope in the future.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
Some years ago I spoke to a Russian woman, (Phd in History IIRC) who said that Russia is the only culture whose its history cannot be predicted! She had learned two histories and was now learning a third.

Anyway, she said the educated Russians were not reproducing themselves, she figured their birthrate was less than 1.0. She had one child, knew nobody who had two and lots that had none.

She also seemed to think there was no internal movement within the culture, peasants tended to remain peasants. So if the educated classes were not having children....

Anyway, I think that currently, the populace sees more hope ahead than she did when she was having children (child born about 1985 probably) that maybe their birth rate did go up.

You want to kill the birthrate, convince the people that there is no hope in the future.

I can see that. Interesting. Sad, but interesting.
 

DelRayMan

Inactive
i can't believe what i just read as far as the moslims in russia. all four grand-parents immigrated (legally)from russia because of the persecution of the jews, the non-violent jews. why are the russians now letting this vermon take over their country. i'm at a loss of words.
 
"Did you know that Russia is rapidly becoming one of the top suppliers of oil to the United States?"

This is how that looks,,,

Where is the U.S. wealth going:
us-oil-imports3.gif

US petroleum imports by origin for June 2008.

Top global petroleum consumers (red) and Producers (blue) in barrels per day.
oil.jpg
 
Since the above chart is from 2008 and Russian share of U.S. imports is listed 7%
I went looking for some 2010 numbers, but this article doesn't list Russia at all in the Top10 import.

Costs for US Crude Oil Imports Rise So Far in 2010


"According to the latest statistics from the United States International
Trade Commission, U.S. imports of crude oil amounted to US$60.4 billion
for the first 4 months of 2010.

That figure represents a 65.4% increase over the $36.5 billion that
America spent on crude petroleum imports from January to April 2009.

If that pace continues, total crude oil imports will cost an estimated
$181 billion for 2010 – America’s second-highest expenditure on imported
crude over the past 10 years. The total oil bill for 2010 will have been
exceeded only by the $259.3-billion bill spent on imported crude oil
during 2008.

Top Oil Producing Countries that Supply the U.S.

The top 10 suppliers accounted for 91.2% of America’s imported crude oil
so far in 2010.

America’s leading crude oil provider, Canada exported $15.8 billion
worth of crude oil to its North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
partner. That amount is an 84.7% gain over the first 4 months of 2010,
and is 26.1% of total U.S.-imported crude oil.

In second place, imports of Nigerian crude oil spiked 131.8% to $8.6
billion. This achievement won Nigeria a 14.2% share of the U.S. market.

America’s other NAFTA partner, Mexico furnished $8.3 billion worth of
imported crude oil (up 31.6%, 13.8% of total).

Other top oil producing countries that supply the U.S. with crude oil
include: Venezuela at $6.6 billion (up 45.3%, 10.9% of total); Angola at
$4.2 billion (up 46.6%, 6.9% of total); Saudi Arabia at $3.7 billion (up
26.7%, 6.1% of total); Colombia at $2.5 billion (up 144.5%, 4.2% of
total); Algeria at $2 billion (up 82%, 3.3% of total), Brazil at $1.7
billion (up 38.9%, 2.8% of total); and Iraq at $1.7 billion (up 32.9%,
2.8% of total)."
 
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