HEALTH MAIN EBOLA DISCUSSION THREAD - WEEK OF 8/1/14 - 8/15/14

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psychgirl

Has No Life - Lives on TB
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articl...red_enough_ebola_vaccine_west_africa_outbreak

The magazine let me read it once and now is blocking me unless I register. Maybe you'll have the same experience.

The jist of it is that this is serious - deadly serious - and airport screening won't do anything to stop it. The tone of the article is just below shouting and stomping. She is saying that "YOU JUST DON'T GET IT". Sadly, many do get it and don't care or actually think this is a good thing....especially her intended readers at the CFR.

It's very, very hard to look at the photos of the slum in Monrovia which houses 75,000 people, who now have ebola deaths in their midst and think that this was an accident waiting to happen, with fuel and dry tinder just waiting for a gentle zepher to set it off.

IMG_0695.JPG


No plumbing, no sewage system. Use the surrounds both as the toilet and washing (perhaps drinking) supply.

http://fluboard.rhizalabs.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=12031

Article recommended highly. Scroll down until you see the pictures. Warning: For mature audiences only. It's severe. Stuff that makes you want to vomit.

There is nothing there any different than what you;ve posted here....?
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Be Well there is what the economist John Galbraith called "organized reassurance" going on right now. This is when the government comes out and says "don't take your money out of this bank because things are okay." A few hours later they close it. LOL

The fact that Samaritan's Purse was allowed to express opinions that, at the time, were the exact opposite of what WHO was saying is huge. WHO used the testimony before, or allowed it, to be used as a trial balloon. If you remember, this was several days ago and WHO checked out the public response. WHO then started saying the same thing once Samaritan's Purse execs had paved the way.

All information is controlled in the USA. Ebola is a very controlled story. Matt Drudge had three days in a row where he over ten stories a day. Then it vanished from his webpage. He was TOLD to stop freaking people out.

The fact the nurse took a cab to Ebu?, went to a wedding means an epidemic based on the second city is certain. The only break we have gotten is Mr. Big apparently hasn't infected anybody in London, that we know of.

If I am correct, we will start to see a spike in both Lagos and Ebanga by the end of the week possibly.
 

RememberGoliad

Veteran Member
Quick question, guys! My grandmother used to boil all clothes, etc., to rid them of disease and germs. Does anyone know if this would work with Ebola?

I know we have not dealt directly with this yet, so the answer may be hypothetical. But I put it out there anyway.

Yes. But you need to be wearing a level 4 suit to handle them before washing! :D

A Comprehensive infection control protocol is needed
when entering and exiting potentially contaminated zones.

Safer yet would be to require the person wearing the clothes to jump into the boiling water while still wearing them. No-touch solution :lol::D:lol:
 

banana.republic.us

Senior Member
O
Days later, Dr. Korkor felt a chill rush through his body. He locked himself in a bedroom away from his family until a blood test returned—positive for Ebola. A car took him to an Ebola ward in the capital.[/B]

The room smelled of bleach, blood and vomit, he said. Most of the roughly 15 patients inside appeared to be health workers, including the man dying next to him in their two-cot cubicle.

One morning, Dr. Korkor realized he was lying across from the chief doctor at the country's top hospital, Samuel Brisbane, under whom he had done his residency. "He said, 'My son, you're here?' " Dr. Korkor recalled. "I said, 'Yes, Doc.' "

Dr. Brisbane died the next day, his obituary displayed prominently on front pages of the country's newspapers. He probably contracted Ebola giving a patient cardiopulmonary resuscitation without a pair of gloves, said Wvanne McDonald, chief executive officer of the John F. Kennedy Memorial Medical Center, where Dr. Brisbane worked.

For the next three days, Dr. Korkor forced down balls of rice and, by his count, drank 24 bottles of water—one every hour. Finally, he felt his chills disappear and his hunger rebound with ferocity. After a blood test and four showers in bleach-spiked water, the staff let him leave.

On a recent Tuesday morning, chickens were clucking in the yard at his home as he sat in a chair under a tree. "Ebola-free!" he laughed over the phone to a friend.

The ordeal, though, has left him torn. He can stay in Liberia and risk his life to fight the outbreak—on a $1,000-a-month paycheck—or try to move his family to America, to work his way up a hospital system that hasn't collapsed.

He glanced at the porch, where his wife, daughter, two sons, mother-in-law, niece and niece's daughter was hanging about. "If I'm going to die, God forbid, who's going to take care of them?" he asked.

If he stays in Liberia, Dr. Korkor said, he is going to need a great deal more supplies. He isn't going back to work until he gets them. "This time around, we're not going to improvise," he said.

This story leads me to the conclusion that this bug is pretty hard to catch.

Think about the trace body fluids and sweat the good doctor left in his home, the care that drove him to isolation and other places.

If this germ were all that then his family would have been infected.

I think Africa's in deep trouble, but the developed world? Not so much. I think this filovirus goes inert pretty quickly outside of a host.

But, Hey! We can all hope. right?
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
This story leads me to the conclusion that this bug is pretty hard to catch.

Think about the trace body fluids and sweat the good doctor left in his home, the care that drove him to isolation and other places.

If this germ were all that then his family would have been infected.

I think Africa's in deep trouble, but the developed world? Not so much. I think this filovirus goes inert pretty quickly outside of a host.

But, Hey! We can all hope. right?

Keep telling yourself that, if it makes you feel better. The anecdotal evidence is that this bug is REALLY easy to catch.
 

banana.republic.us

Senior Member
Keep telling yourself that, if it makes you feel better. The anecdotal evidence is that this bug is REALLY easy to catch.

I think THIS anecdote proves the opposite.

But hey we all reach our own conclusions based on what we read and take away from these stories.

How long has it been since that sociopath Sawyer ran amok? About 3 weeks? Seems like if this bug were that hot, given his apparent lack of any decorum, we should have a whole hell of a lot more raging illnesses than what we're seeing in lagos. Maybe not.

I'm watching this very closely, but I'm not feeling the terror, YET.
 

banana.republic.us

Senior Member
Ebola: Nigeria Confirmed Cases Still 10, With Four Deaths – Minister

BY SAHARA REPORTERSAUG 14, 2014
49
36
47
Nigeria’s Minister of Health, Professor C. O. Onyebuchi, says the country has a total of 10 confirmed cases of the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), four of whom have died. The other six are under treatment.

Minister of Health Prof. Onyebuchi Chukwu
Minister of Health Prof. Onyebuchi Chukwu
“The total number of persons under surveillance in Lagos is now 169,” he said in a press statement, describing all of them as secondary contacts.

The good news is that all the primary contacts have completed the 21-day incubation period and have thus been delisted, enabling them to go back to their normal lives.

The Minister stressed that the correct number of the total confirmed is 10, not 11 as was announced earlier in the day.

He attributed that error to “double counting” in the process of communicating the additional death from the operational centre in Lagos to the Federal Ministry of Health). The fourth and latest death, today, was a Nigerian nurse who participated in the initial management of the index case.

Text of the statement:

PRESS STATEMENT BY THE HONOURABLE MINISTER OF HEALTH,

PROFESSOR C. O. ONYEBUCHI CHUKWU ON THE 14th AUGUST, 2014 AT THE FEDERAL MINISTRY OF HEALTH, ABUJA.

Confirmed Cases Still 10, 4 Now Dead, No Ebola in Enugu, all Cases Confined to Lagos

Nigeria has now recorded ten (10) confirmed cases of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD). Out of these, four (4) have died and eight (6) are currently under treatment. (It is important to note that the number of confirmed cases remains ten (10) as at today and not eleven (11) as earlier announced this morning. We regret the error which arose from double counting in the process of communicating the additional death from the operational centre in Lagos to the Federal Ministry of Health). The fourth death recorded today was a Nigerian nurse who participated in the initial management of the index case.

The total number of persons under surveillance in Lagos is now 169. These are all secondary contacts as all the primary contacts have completed the 21-day incubation period and have been delisted to resume their normal lives.

Enugu State now has 6 persons under surveillance as 15 after complete evaluation were found not to have had contact with the nurse, a primary contact of the index case who became symptomatic and tested positive and is one of the 10 confirmed cases. The nurse who had been placed under surveillance in Lagos disobeyed the Incidence Management Committee and travelled to Enugu. At the time she made the trip, she was yet to show any symptom and did not infect anyone on her way as transmission of the disease is only possible when a carrier of the virus becomes ill. However, she has since been brought back to Lagos. Before the return journey, she had become symptomatic and had to be conveyed to Lagos with her spouse in special ambulances. The husband is not symptomatic neither is he positive for Ebola Virus Disease but has been quarantined given the intimate contact with her while in Enugu.

It is therefore important to emphasise that there is no Ebola Virus Disease in Enugu. All cases are still confined to Lagos State. Also, reports of Ebola Virus Disease in Abia, Imo, Akwa Ibom and Anambra States as well as the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja have all been investigated and none of them was found to be Ebola Virus positive.

On Monday the 11th August, 2014 the Honourable Minister of Health convened an Emergency National Council on Health (NCH) Meeting asChairman, with the Minister of State for Health, the Commissioners for Health in the 36 States and the Secretary of Health and Human Services in the Federal Capital Territory Abuja. The meeting reviewed the state of preparedness of the country to contain the outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease and resolved on actions to be taken.

In furtherance of the national containment efforts, President Goodluck Jonathan himself convened a meeting of the 36 State Governors and the Minister of the FCTA, Commissioners for Health and the Secretary of Health of the FCTA on 13th August. The meeting was briefed by the Minister of Health, the Project Director of the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), and the World Health Organization (WHO) Representative in Nigeria. The Governor of Lagos State also briefed the meeting on the situation in Lagos. Each State of the Federation and the FCTA reported on the status of their preparedness to prevent and mitigate the disease through their Commissioner of Health and the Secretary of Health in FCTA. The vast majority of the States were fully prepared while a few others are in the process of completing all the requirements.

Since the last press briefing, the Minister of Health and the Minister of Labour and Productivity have met with the National Association of Road Transport Owners (NARTO) and the National Union of Road Transport Workers (NURTW) to secure their buy-in on the strategy to contain the Ebola Virus Disease outbreak.

The private sector stakeholders and Foundations are also showing interest in containing the EVD outbreak and here today, there will be a special announcement by the Dangote Foundation.

It is also important to note the laboratories where specimen can be taken for laboratory analysis. They are:

a. NCDC Laboratory at LUTH, Idi-Araba Lagos

b. NCDC Laboratory at Asokoro, Abuja

c. Redeemer’s University Laboratory, Lagos-Shagamu Express Way

d. UCH Laboratory, Ibadan

Let me once again reassure Nigerians that the Government is working hard to ensure the containment of the outbreak.

Thank you.

Dan Nwomeh
Special Assistant on Media and Communication to the Minister
Federal Ministry of Health
1st Floor, Federal Secretariat Complex, Phase III
Ahmadu Bello Way, Abuja

http://saharareporters.com/2014/08/14/ebola-nigeria-confirmed-cases-still-10-four-deaths-–-minister
 

Be Well

may all be well
This story leads me to the conclusion that this bug is pretty hard to catch.

Think about the trace body fluids and sweat the good doctor left in his home, the care that drove him to isolation and other places.

If this germ were all that then his family would have been infected.

I think Africa's in deep trouble, but the developed world? Not so much. I think this filovirus goes inert pretty quickly outside of a host.

But, Hey! We can all hope. right?


You left out the relevant part:

Rubber gloves were nearly as scarce as doctors in this part of rural Liberia, so Melvin Korkor would swaddle his hands in plastic grocery bags to deliver babies.

His staff didn't bother even with those when a woman in her 30s stopped by complaining of a headache. Five nurses, a lab technician—then a local woman who was helping out—cared for her with their bare hands.

Within weeks, all of them died. The woman with a headache, they learned too late, had Ebola.
 

banana.republic.us

Senior Member
You left out the relevant part:

Rubber gloves were nearly as scarce as doctors in this part of rural Liberia, so Melvin Korkor would swaddle his hands in plastic grocery bags to deliver babies.

His staff didn't bother even with those when a woman in her 30s stopped by complaining of a headache. Five nurses, a lab technician—then a local woman who was helping out—cared for her with their bare hands.

Within weeks, all of them died. The woman with a headache, they learned too late, had Ebola.

When you look at it objectively the whole story is pretty relevant. In theses poorly developed areas where a clinic has one thermometer to test 100's or 1000's of encounters with sick people then what do you get? Mass infection. In developed areas with greater resources the spread will be limited. Nigeria's the test. If this thing goes redline there then this could be "our" 21st century plague. If not, then look for it to become entrenched in crowded low end areas where people are superstitious, filthy, and lacking in sanitation. This could be exactly what the globe elite is trying to accomplish. Cheaper than vaccines for the bilinda gates foundation! LOL
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
I think THIS anecdote proves the opposite.

But hey we all reach our own conclusions based on what we read and take away from these stories.

How long has it been since that sociopath Sawyer ran amok? About 3 weeks? Seems like if this bug were that hot, given his apparent lack of any decorum, we should have a whole hell of a lot more raging illnesses than what we're seeing in lagos. Maybe not.

I'm watching this very closely, but I'm not feeling the terror, YET.

200 + (as of a couple days ago) that they acknowledge they are "watching", but have ony officially confirmed ten, with four admitted deaths so far (as of the 13th). That number will rise.

It has been 26 days since Sawyer stepped foot into Nigeria; not bad huh. He arrived on 7/20 and died on 7/25.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
The problem is, the numbers are HUGELY underestimated. Pretty much everyone who has actually been there (or is there now) is saying that... there are many dead bodies "in the bush" (and in the streets of Monrovia and Lagos) which aren't being counted. If someone doesn't test positive... and then walks out of the hospital and collapses at home, spewing blood from every orifice- it's NOT an "Ebola death".

It IS interesting how some people get it and die, some get it and live... and some don't catch it at all. Reading about small villages where they've essentially abandoned any living family members left after one or two die, and yet... some don't get sick. One family the father brought it home, the mother succumbed soon after he did, the village ran away in fright, and the 15 year old daughter screamed and moaned for a couple of days before finally dying... although who knows if she could have lived if anyone had even brought her a drink of water...

And the teenage son, who also lived in the home, was completely unscathed- but is now forced to live homeless, trying to scavenge food from the wild to survive. Who knows?

But that's not so much proof that Ebola is 'hard to catch' as it is fuel for some research to see if there is something different (genetics, diet, activity, who knows?) in those who don't get sick, regardless. I've seen individuals (including myself, and I'm the "caregiver" in the family) not catch influenza, despite no vaccine (as if that helps!) and everyone else in the family becoming ill.

Dr Brantly WORE protective equipment continually, and yet... somehow... a virus or two managed to penetrate and get onto his skin, up his nose, in his eyes or SOMEHOW infect him. I actually suspect that his family didn't contract it for a rather simple reason- he likely was working nearly 24/7 at the hospital, and if he DID get home, first, he was exhausted, and second, he and his family were obviously acutely aware of the dangers, as he'd been watching people die horribly for weeks. I seriously doubt he was hugging and kissing his family very often- if at all.

Still, you're correct in that- Thank GOD!- this isn't as contagious as the common cold. But too many people are still somewhat functional for at least a day or more after they are symptomatic- that may well be the change that the virus made that turns this into the Pandemic we've all dreaded. With the "old" Ebola, incubation period was short (2 days, occasionally up to 5), and people were DEAD shortly after they began to feel ill. Certainly, they were ill enough within 24 hours that their only choice was to stay in bed- or fall on the floor.

This one has an incubation period up to 21 days, and people are still moving around up to five days (for sure- may be more, but I'm only stating facts I'm sure of) after their symptoms started. One man went to the pharmacy at least twice in 5 days, to buy OTC remedies for his headache and fever.

I wish I felt confident that Americans would be smarter than that... but are you kidding?!! People go to work now with high fevers ("that's what aspirin is for"), strep throats, influenza. "I can't afford to miss work"... or the boss threatens them if they call in sick. How about if that nice Sam's Club greeter wakes up with a headache, but lives alone and really hates to miss out on the social interaction he gets from the customers, not to mention his meagre paycheck. So, off to work he goes... and is WELL within the "3 foot" range the CDC admits is infectious, with about two thousand customers that day. Maybe the next day he doesn't feel well enough to go to work, but he didn't realize he was out of aspirin, and he makes a short trip to the pharmacy, standing behind a school teacher and a bus driver in line.

Nope. If it jumps continents (and I really do feel it's only a matter of time- if it doesn't happen, we all need to get down on our knees and thank God for the miracle He has provided!), it WILL burn through large portions of this country as well. By the time TPTB realize how it's spreading, and make the decision to close schools, they may just be locking in pre-symptomatic carriers with their previously unexposed parents (or day care providers).

We'll be sheltering in place for as long as it takes to burn itself out.

Summerthyme
 

Tennessee gal

Veteran Member
I have read somewhere that the average grocery store only has two days worth of food (two normal sales days).

I also have talked with my neighbors (who goto the grocery every couple of days) about maybe keeping some food around in case power goes out or something happens--they laughed.

This makes me think of the saying," You can lead a horse to water..." My niece was watching a couple's kids a few years ago and stopped to pickup McDonald's for them. When she checked their refrigerator for condiments they had nothing but milk for breakfast. They, like your neighbors buy only enough food for a couple of days. These are people who should know better!
 

Possible Impact

TB Fanatic
Has An Ebola Corner Been Turned?
One Perspective: 'No, No, no, no no
[FONT=Verdana,Arial]Not at all. Absolutely not.[/FONT]'



by NPR Staff
August 15, 2014 5:00 AM ET
http://www.npr.org/blogs/goatsandso...hare&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=social

ebolamsf_sq-1416a2bf1f0e23aae6227b3ce4ccaa37ed5c8880.jpg

Health workers at the Doctors Without Borders
facility in Kailahun wear protective clothing
when treating Ebola patients.
Carl De Souza/AFP/Getty Images

Emily Veltus, a health educator working in Sierra Leone, says her
organization, Doctors Without Borders, is "maxed out" in dealing with
Ebola and that more help is needed to control an outbreak that is still
raging.

Speaking with NPR's David Greene, she said the outbreak continues to
pose enormous risks. Asked if a corner had been turned in managing
the disease, she answered, "No. No, no, no, no. Not at all. Absolutely not.

The number of cases is spreading throughout the country
now. Liberia is also really out of control. It's not under control here at all.
We're managing. We see small improvements. But this outbreak is far
from over, unfortunately."
53deea7174e98.preview-620-b20e97b9f85a7f8629255293d08a2e1c4ad5cb33-s3-c85.jpg

Health educator Emily Veltus shares a thumbs up with a 12-year-old who's
an Ebola survivor. The girl was treated at the Doctors Without Borders
center in Kailahun. Courtesy of Doctors Without Borders

What would help? "It would be great if there was more response," she
says. "Really the response needs to improve. MSF [Medecins Sans
Frontieres, French for Doctors Without Borders] is managing the treatment
center here, the health promotion outreach, but we're at max capacity and
a lot more needs to happen."

There are many pressing needs, she says. More people are needed to bury
the dead quickly. Better ambulance service is needed, as are health
workers who can do "contact tracing — if someone's infected, seeing who
they were in contact with."

Another critical need, she says, is for staff to monitor and care for children
orphaned after their parents succumb to Ebola.

Veltus spoke about the situation in Kailahun, Sierra Leone, at the heart of
the Ebola outbreak. MSF runs an 80-bed hospital that has admitted 320
patients in recent weeks. Of the hospital's 204 confirmed Ebola cases, 53
have survived, Veltus says.

Working daily with small primary health clinics in far-flung villages, Veltus
has had to overcome rumors, confusion and fears about Ebola as she
explains the disease's sources, transmission and treatment. In that arena
she has seen progress.

"There's been an amazing transformation in the last month," she says.
"Health workers have been trained to go back and spread the message to
communities, and people are really starting to understand."

The Sierra Leone military has placed the Kailahun region under a military
quarantine in an attempt to thwart the spread of disease. "We've seen an
increasing number of checkpoints in the region," Veltus says, "and they're
taking the temperatures of people passing through, and blood pressure.
The military is in Kailahun but it is still pretty similar to what it was a
couple of weeks ago."

The 53 Ebola survivors treated in MSF's hospital provide a glimmer of hope
in an otherwise grim landscape. Veltus accompanies survivors back home
after they've recovered from the disease. "It's incredible when people
realize there's a survivor inside the vehicle. It's very special," she says.
"Each time we bring a survivor home, we hug the person in front of their
family and friends to show they're not a risk. And we like to get the family
together and take a photo with them. We have a wall of survivors in our
office."

 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion. H/t Pixie
http://online.wsj.com/articles/ebola-doctors-with-no-rubber-gloves-1408142137


For Want of Gloves, Ebola Doctors Die

On the front lines of the Ebola outbreak in Liberia, health-care workers believe its toll on their own staffs could be mitigated if only they had enough basic hospital supplies such as gloves

By DREW HINSHAW
Updated Aug. 15, 2014 7:17 p.m. ET

SERGEANT KOLLIE TOWN, Liberia—Rubber gloves were nearly as scarce as doctors in this part of rural Liberia, so Melvin Korkor would swaddle his hands in plastic grocery bags to deliver babies.

His staff didn't bother even with those when a woman in her 30s stopped by complaining of a headache. Five nurses, a lab technician—then a local woman who was helping out—cared for her with their bare hands.

Within weeks, all of them died. The woman with a headache, they learned too late, had Ebola. {R0=7 here?}

Somewhere in the workplace exchange of handshakes and sweat, Dr. Korkor caught the virus, too. For five days, he read the Bible on a cot in an Ebola ward, watching his colleagues bleed to death from a disease they weren't equipped or trained to treat. Across the room, a nurse pregnant with what would have been her third child slipped away. "She told me 'Doc, I'm dying,' " he recalled Kou Gbanjah saying.

In the Liberian capital of Monrovia, the city's main hospital has very little staff and few patients — an exodus triggered by several Ebola-related deaths at the facility.

Though Dr. Korkor survived, his hospital has closed, as have dozens of other health centers in Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea. It is a devastating setback for countries facing a range of deadly diseases in addition to Ebola. The World Health Organization estimates the region's Ebola outbreak has killed 1,145 people, roughly half the 2,127 believed to have been infected. West African countries that had only begun to climb out from civil war and poverty have slipped into economic disarray.

Much of this toll could have been avoided or at least mitigated, hospital workers on the front lines say, if they had been provided with medical basics, starting with one of the simplest: disposable rubber gloves.

Instead, health workers have been treating many patients with unprotected hands, greatly increasing the risk the Ebola virus will kill the very professionals trying to fight it.

As of Tuesday, at least 36 health workers in Liberia had died from the disease, according to health ministry records. Many who have caught but survived the virus are traumatized, as are colleagues, and may prove difficult to coax back to work.

Their absence is deeply felt. Even before Ebola, Liberia—with just 51 doctors for four million people—had the second-fewest physicians per person on Earth, after Tanzania, according to the WHO.

Hospital staff members throughout Liberia, including at Dr. Korkor's Phebe Hospital, have gone on strike until the government meets their demands. They want rubber gloves, safety goggles, protective suits, life insurance and a fivefold pay increase for the hazardous work. The government has said it plans to meet those requests.

In the meantime, because doctors aren't at work, other diseases besides Ebola are going untreated. As a result, those ailments—chiefly typhoid and dysentery—may be killing more West Africans than Ebola, according to the United Nations Children's Fund.

Hospitals across the region have closed at the peak of malaria season. Meningitis, measles and polio vaccinations are on hold, said Liberia's information minister, Lewis Brown.

In countries with some of the world's highest rates of death during childbirth, women are having babies at home. They aren't bringing in children for check-ups in Liberia, a nation where nearly half of children are malnourished, according to Unicef.

It is an unprecedented toll for a viral illness first identified in 1976, which cropped up eight months ago in Guinea and quickly spread to Liberia and Sierra Leone. The virus is spread chiefly through contact with bodily fluids. It begins with vague feverish symptoms that could be due to any number of ailments, until patients worsen and often begin bleeding from their eyes, nose and mouth.

There is no approved vaccine or treatment, although two American health-care workers infected in Liberia have been treated with an experimental drug. The Liberian government ordered three courses of the drug to give to some ill doctors.

A Liberian clinic called Dolo Town Health Center shut down last month when it ran out of gloves and left staff members to choose between treating Ebola patients bare-handed or leaving, said MacFarland Keraulah, a physician's assistant. The clinic had received only one glove delivery since April, and it was a single box of 50 pairs.

Since the staff walked off, 37 people have died of Ebola in that area, two hours outside the Liberian capital of Monrovia. Seven were health workers at another now-closed health center, according to workers.

Both clinics are in a 200-square-mile forest of rubber trees. "We are sitting inside one of the world's largest rubber plantations, and people are dying because we don't have gloves," Mr. Keraulah said.

Liberia's government said it didn't provide enough materials early on because it is still recovering from a 14-year civil war that ended in 2003 with both the federal coffers and hospital shelves left bare.

More recently, health funding faced opposition from lawmakers who believed Ebola was a scam perpetuated to draw aid money. In a heated congressional debate in May, one legislator called the virus "that thing you did to get donor funding," according to Liberia's FrontPage Africa newspaper.

Such sentiments were common within the government, said Tolbert Nyenswah, assistant health minister. "Even senior government officials were in denial, so it did not receive the political will," he said.

Some officials blame the shortage on another epidemic: corruption in the civil service, something that Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf has complained about during her eight years in office. Many workers on the government payroll earn as little as $5 a day. A government devastated by years of civil strife doesn't have the record-keeping skills to make sure its own members don't steal supplies, said Mr. Brown, the information minister.

"I don't think the government of Liberia has reached a point where it cannot afford gloves," said Marcus Speare, district superintendent of Liberia's Margibi County. "We have to look at where these things go after the government has made its appropriation.... We will launch an investigation to find out."

Now, the government faces the task of getting health-care workers back on the job. It has sent priests and politicians to speak with them.

This week, China donated 10,000 protective suits. But training workers at far-flung clinics in how to don them and take them off could take several weeks, according to Liberia's health ministry.

Other basic supplies remain stretched, ranging from plastic sheeting to painkillers to ambulances, said Mr. Nyenswah, the assistant health minister.

In the capital, the government is trying to turn some empty school classrooms into holding centers for people with symptoms suggesting Ebola. But workers don't have enough bedding, Mr. Nyenswah said.

Sitting at a desk stacked with papers waiting to be signed, Mr. Nyenswah shouted into a phone call with an aid agency: "I need 20 mattresses like yesterday!"

Shortages are something Dr. Korkor learned to work around.

In the four years he ran Phebe Hospital in rural Liberia, Dr. Korkor got used to treating patients without painkillers, anti-parasite drugs, test tubes or even scrubs. "We had to improvise," said a nurse, Martha Morris.

The staff members reused the few rubber gloves they had, and put them on only to treat the sickest patients.

On July 3, the staff realized that the woman they had been handling with bare hands wasn't a local villager with a headache. She was an Ebola patient who had broken out of a hospital about 100 miles away under circumstances that are still unclear. By July 15, the woman had died.

So had three nurses.

Days later, Dr. Korkor felt a chill rush through his body. He locked himself in a bedroom away from his family until a blood test returned—positive for Ebola. A car took him to an Ebola ward in the capital.

The room smelled of bleach, blood and vomit, he said. Most of the roughly 15 patients inside appeared to be health workers, including the man dying next to him in their two-cot cubicle.

One morning, Dr. Korkor realized he was lying across from the chief doctor at the country's top hospital, Samuel Brisbane, under whom he had done his residency. "He said, 'My son, you're here?' " Dr. Korkor recalled. "I said, 'Yes, Doc.' "

Dr. Brisbane died the next day, his obituary displayed prominently on front pages of the country's newspapers. He probably contracted Ebola giving a patient cardiopulmonary resuscitation without a pair of gloves, said Wvanne McDonald, chief executive officer of the John F. Kennedy Memorial Medical Center, where Dr. Brisbane worked.

For the next three days, Dr. Korkor forced down balls of rice and, by his count, drank 24 bottles of water—one every hour. Finally, he felt his chills disappear and his hunger rebound with ferocity. After a blood test and four showers in bleach-spiked water, the staff let him leave.

On a recent Tuesday morning, chickens were clucking in the yard at his home as he sat in a chair under a tree. "Ebola-free!" he laughed over the phone to a friend.

The ordeal, though, has left him torn. He can stay in Liberia and risk his life to fight the outbreak—on a $1,000-a-month paycheck—or try to move his family to America, to work his way up a hospital system that hasn't collapsed.

He glanced at the porch, where his wife, daughter, two sons, mother-in-law, niece and niece's daughter was hanging about. "If I'm going to die, God forbid, who's going to take care of them?" he asked.

If he stays in Liberia, Dr. Korkor said, he is going to need a great deal more supplies. He isn't going back to work until he gets them. "This time around, we're not going to improvise," he said.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
From Doctors Without Borders. H/t monotreme

Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://www.doctorswithoutborders.or...ebola-epidemic-remains-dangerously-inadequate

Response to West Africa Ebola Epidemic Remains Dangerously Inadequate

August 15, 2014

Despite the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration that the largest-recorded Ebola hemorrhagic fever epidemic is an “international health emergency,” the global effort to stem the outbreak is dangerously inadequate.

The number of deaths and cases is continuing to increase dramatically in Liberia and Sierra Leone, precipitating a public health crisis in the two West African countries. Meanwhile, the outbreak is continuing to affect people in Guinea, where it originated in March, with new suspected cases continuing to be admitted to medical facilities.

As of August 14, Ebola has claimed 1,069 lives and 1,975 cases have been reported since the outbreak began in March, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

READ STATEMENT ON THE EPIDEMIC FROM MSF INTERNATIONAL PRESIDENT JOANNE LIU

The WHO and states must provide immediate support to the governments of Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone. An immediate and massive international mobilization of medical resources—human and technical—to Liberia and Sierra Leone is required to assist these countries.

It is clear that the Ebola epidemic will not be contained without a massive deployment of medical and disaster relief specialists. The governments of Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone are doing everything they can to try to fight this epidemic. Their doctors and nurses have been dying and risking their lives on the front line of this outbreak. They desperately need international support.

Providing funds is not enough. Available infectious disease experts and disaster relief specialists from countries with these capacities must deploy teams to the affected countries. In addition to a larger deployment of medical and epidemiological specialists, additional laboratory capacity for Ebola testing is required, along with ambulances and helicopters to safely transport samples and suspected cases., Supplies to ensure safe burials are also needed immediately.

International non-governmental organizations must also step up their efforts in region.

Humanitarian Agencies Reaching Limits

Emergency teams from the international medical organization Doctors Without Borders/Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) are continuing all their efforts to fight the Ebola epidemic. Working in response to the epidemic since March, MSF currently has 692 staff operating in Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia, treating a rapidly increasing number of patients. MSF’s top priority is to provide care for patients infected with the virus. The organization has already deployed the maximum number of its experienced human resources.

The countries most affected to date are trying to rebuild after years of civil war; they already struggle to meet the basic health needs of their people, let alone deal with an emergency of this complexity and magnitude. Sierra Leone and Liberia, for instance, have just 0.2 and 0.1 doctors per 10,000 people respectively (compared to the average 2.6 in West Africa and 240 times that number in the United States).

In Liberia and Sierra Leone, many health facilities are closed or empty. People are not seeking care for regular illnesses for fear of being infected with Ebola. Some health workers have been infected or have died. Many are therefore too afraid to come to work. The epidemic is further straining weak health systems already trying to cope with existing health crises like malaria and maternal mortality.

The WHO needs to coordinate and push for the provision of extra support to general health workers so hospitals and health centers can remain open to treat the usual high disease burden in these countries. If the health system starts to shut down in these countries, mortality levels from other diseases and conditions may rise astronomically and will become a terrible indirect effect of the Ebola epidemic.

Immense social and economic impact

Many of the patients who have died are between 30 and 45 years old. There are villages in Kailahun in Sierra Leone, for example, which have lost the majority of the adult members of the community, leaving many orphaned children and elderly people. In some villages there is hardly anybody left to cultivate fields or provide for families.

Liberia

The situation is catastrophic and is deteriorating on daily in Liberia’s capital, Monrovia. At one point last week, all five of the main hospitals in the city were closed. Some have since reopened but are barely functioning.

There has been no improvement in the overall coordination of the response to the epidemic. Hospitals and almost all health centers in the city of close to one million inhabitants remain closed. The number of dead is outstripping the capacity for health officials to manage safe burials, and more and more health workers have been infected with Ebola over recent weeks. There is a dire need for the WHO, countries, and other international organizations to mobilize to support the Liberian Ministry of Health.

“The scale of this outbreak is getting bigger every day,” said Lindis Hurum, MSF emergency coordinator in Liberia. “The Liberian health system just cannot cope with the scale of the epidemic. The outbreak has affected every facet of the Liberian society. This disease is very democratic in that sense.”

MSF has completed the construction of a new 120-bed case management center in Monrovia called ELWA3, which will receive its first patients by this weekend. It is one of the largest Ebola treatment centers ever built by MSF. The team also continues to provide technical support and training to the Ministry of Health.

“We have exhausted our available pool of experienced medical staff and cannot scale up our response any further,” said Hurum. “We desperately need the WHO, countries, and other aid agencies to deploy staff to the field. We are Doctors Without Borders, but not without limits.”

MSF has recently launched a response in Liberia’s Lofa region, alongside the Guinean border, which has been badly affected by Ebola. In Foya, a team has rehabilitated the isolation center with 40 beds, in line with MSF standards for the management of the disease. After two weeks of intervention, the team currently has 137 suspected Ebola patients in its care.

Sierra Leone

Between five and ten new patients are being admitted each day to MSF’s 80-bed Ebola treatment center in Kailahun, near the border with Guinea. There are currently 50 patients in the center.

MSF is building a 35-bed isolation center in Bo Town. Near the village of Gondama, MSF also runs a transit capacity center where people suspected to be infected with Ebola are isolated and then transferred for further care.

Meanwhile, almost 300 community health workers are running health promotion activities in the region to increase people’s knowledge about Ebola and infection prevention measures. MSF teams still hear of many dead in the communities, and of new communities being infected, although there are no concrete numbers available. MSF continues to prioritize this activity, and is increasing the number of health promotion staff.

In total, MSF treatment centers have admitted 294 patients, of whom 191 were confirmed to have Ebola. Of those, 47 people have recovered and returned home.

Guinea

In Guinea, MSF is running two Ebola treatment centers – one in the capital, Conakry, and one in Guéckédou, in the southwest of the country, where the outbreak began. Currently, there are 4 patients in MSF’s treatment center in Conakry and 11 in Guéckédou.

The situation in Conakry remains fairly stable. In and around Guéckédou, the number of patients in the treatment center is still low, however the teams continue to identify new hot spots and are prepared to see more people coming from other communities.

In Macenta transit center in southwest Guinea near the Liberian border, MSF supported the ministry of health by transferring Ebola patients by ambulance for treatment in either Conakry or Guékédou and has handed it over completely to the ministry of health and the WHO. Patients are arriving from a wide area, including the region around Nzerekore.

Since March, MSF treatment centers in Guékédou have admitted 366 patients, of whom 169 were confirmed to have Ebola. Forty-seven patients have recovered and returned home.

Comment

I have read about certain agencies "deploying to the hot zone" Yet, strangely, I never hear about them setting up field hospitals or actually suiting up and seeing patients. Instead, they appear to be "deploying" to comfortable offices.

Not exactly like the movies.
 

Possible Impact

TB Fanatic
Friday, 15 August 2014
http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2014/08/ebola-virus-may-be-spread-by-droplets.html

Ebola virus may be spread by droplets,
but not by an airborne route: what that means



An article collaboratively written by (alphabetically)..

Dr. Katherine Arden
A postdoctoral researcher with interests in the detection, culture, characterization
and epidemiology of respiratory viruses.

Dr Graham Johnson
A post-doctoral scientist with extensive experience investigating respiratory
bioaerosol production and transport during breathing, speech and coughing
and determining the physical characteristics of these aerosols.

Dr. Luke Knibbs
A Lecturer in Environmental Health at the University of Queensland. He is interested
in airborne pathogen transmission and holds an NHMRC Early Career Fellowship in
this area.

A. Prof Ian Mackay
A virologist with interest in everything viral but especially respiratory, gastrointestinal
and central nervous system viruses of humans.


________________________

The flight of the aerosol
Understanding what we mean when we discuss airborne virus infection risk

A variant Ebola virus belonging to Zaire ebolavirus (EBOV) is active in four West
African countries right now. Much is being said and written about it, and much of that
revolves around our movie-influenced idea of an easily spread, airborne horror virus.
Many people worry about their risks of catching EBOV, particularly since it hopped on
a plane to Nigeria. However, all evidence suggests that this variant is not airborne.
The most frequent routes to acquire an EBOV infection involve direct contact with the
blood, vomit, sweat or stool of a person with advanced Ebola virus disease (EVD). But
what is direct contact? What is an “airborne” route? For that matter what is an aerosol
and what role do aerosols play in spreading EVD? How is an aerosol different from a
droplet spray? Can droplets carry EBOV through the air?


Direct contact includes physical touch but also contact with infectious droplets; the
contact is directly from one human to the next, rather than indirectly via an
intermediate object or a lingering cloud of infectious particles. You cannot catch EVD
by an airborne route, but you may from droplet sprays. Wait, what?? This is where a
simple definition becomes really important.


Airborne, aerosols, droplets, nuclei and confusion

Whether propelled by sneezing, coughing, talking, splashing, flushing or some other
process, aerosols (an over-arching term) include a range of particle sizes. Those
droplets larger than 5-10 millionths of a meter (a micron [µm]; about 1/10 the width
of a human hair), fall to the ground within seconds or impact on another surface,
without evaporating (see Figure). The smaller droplets that remain suspended in the
air evaporate very quickly (< 1/10 sec in dry air), leaving behind particles consisting of
proteins, salts and other things left after the water is removed, including suspended
viruses and bacteria. These leftovers, which may be more like a gel, depending on the
humidity, are called droplet nuclei. They can remain airborne for hours and, if
unimpeded, travel wherever the wind blows them. Coughs, sneezes and toilet flushes
generate both droplets and droplet nuclei. Droplets smaller than 5-10µm almost
always dry fast enough to form droplet nuclei without falling to the ground, and it is
usual for scientists to refer to these as being in the airborne size range. It is only the
droplet nuclei that are capable of riding the air currents through a hospital, shopping
centre or office building.


The droplet nuclei and the air that surrounds them are correctly referred to as an
aerosol, but so are lots of other things and this is where confusion grows. The term
aerosol is used to refer to any collection of particles suspended in air, and particle
sizes vary enormously. Spray paint from a can is produced in droplets a few hundred
microns in diameter so as to quickly coat the intended surface rather than undesirably
linger in the air. A can of fly spray on the other hand produces smaller droplets,
because that aerosol should stay suspended for long enough to make contact with
insects. ‘Aerosol’ is a confusing term, and its varied usage does not help when
discussing risk of EBOV infection.


The simplest definition for public understanding of infection risk is to use “airborne”
to refer only to the droplet nuclei component.(4)

[FONT=&quot]
Figure 1
. A representation of how different viruses may be propelled on their journey to cause
disease in humans. Recommended droplet precautions for dealing with cases of EVD include the
use of gloves, impermeable gowns, protective goggles or face shield and a face mask.(5,6)
[/FONT]
For EBOV at least, airborne droplet nuclei are apparently not infectious to primates.
Why that is so is not known, but perhaps it is because this virus does not survive being
dried down, or that primates don’t produce enough virus in what is coughed out to
make infectious droplet nuclei.


How the science helps and also hinders understanding.

The scientific literature has a number of very specific examples where droplet nuclei
have been used to infect non-human primates with ebolaviruses in order to study the
effectiveness of vaccines or antivirals.(1,7,8) These infections are under idealised
laboratory conditions, often with what we think are unrealistically high levels of virus.
Although airborne infection can be made to occur in a lab, there is no evidence for
airborne droplet nuclei spreading EBOV from person-to-person or between
non-human primates whether inside or outside the lab.


Protection and clarification.

Included in guidelines issued by the WHO (7) and CDC (5) is the need for droplet
precautions (Figure). This is very important for healthcare workers, family and other
caregivers who stay close and are frequently exposed for lengthy periods of time with
severely ill, highly virulent cases of EVD. These cases may actively propel infectious
droplets containing vomit and blood across the short distances separating them from
caregivers. But this is a form of direct transmission, and is not airborne transmission.


Messaging the masses.

Leaving aside other issues around acquiring a rare disease like Ebola when outside of
the current outbreak region, the case definitions and risk assessments have raised
confusion. There are questions around how otherwise apparently well-protected
healthcare workers in West Africa are acquiring an EBOV. For a virus described as
spreading only through direct contact, recommendations for the use of masks,
implying airborne spread to many, fuel such questions. In fact, face protection is
recommended to prevent infectious droplets landing on vulnerable membranes
(mouth and eyes).


It’s important to pass a message that is correct, but also to ensure distrust does not
result from a public reading apparently contradictory literature. Such distrust and real
concern have been rampant among a hyperactive #ebola social media. Simple, clear
phrases like “ebolaviruses cannot be caught from around a corner”, may help
uncomplicate the communication lines. And it works on Twitter.

References

  1. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21651988
  2. WHO page
    http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/lab-bio/res/psds-ftss/ebola-eng.php#note21
  3. http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/WHO_CDS_EPR_2007_6c.pdf?ua=1
  4. http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/hcp/infection-prevention-and-control-recommendations.html
  5. http://www.who.int/csr/resources/who-ipc-guidance-ebolafinal-09082014.pdf?ua=1
  6. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24462697
  7. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20181765
 

naturallysweet

Has No Life - Lives on TB
This is new to me. Do you have a source or remember where?

I can't find the article now that I was referencing. But Ebola is a virus and it has mutated multiple times already. It will continue to mutate. According to WHO, there are currently 5 different strains of Ebola. Which means that those who survive it the first time around, can die from it later after it mutates.

It also means that any vaccine that they come up with may not work. Because the strain that they base the vaccine on, may not be the strain that is going around.
 

Be Well

may all be well
Of the hospital's 204 confirmed Ebola cases, 53
have survived, Veltus says.

What CFR would that be? I'm bad a finding percentages. Looks like roughly 75% CFR, WITH supportive medical care.
 

Be Well

may all be well
I can't find the article now that I was referencing. But Ebola is a virus and it has mutated multiple times already. It will continue to mutate. According to WHO, there are currently 5 different strains of Ebola. Which means that those who survive it the first time around, can die from it later after it mutates.

It also means that any vaccine that they come up with may not work. Because the strain that they base the vaccine on, may not be the strain that is going around.

I think I mis-read your original comment, I'll have to look! I thought you said survivors would have immunity. I've read on Niman's site Rhizalabs, that this is a mutation of a Zaire strain. I'm not scientific minded but I do grok the mutation thing, when learning (more than I ever wanted to) about flu pandemics and flu in general. That's why a person can get flu over and over. Actually Swine H1N1 people got twice, even in 2009/10, there was talk that there was more than one kind out, plus it also evaded the immune response, that's why a lot of people got no fever with it, despite being very ill.

Anyway, back to Ebola. Flu seems like a irascible but more or less kindly old friend compared to ebola.
 

Be Well

may all be well
When you look at it objectively the whole story is pretty relevant. In theses poorly developed areas where a clinic has one thermometer to test 100's or 1000's of encounters with sick people then what do you get? Mass infection. In developed areas with greater resources the spread will be limited. Nigeria's the test. If this thing goes redline there then this could be "our" 21st century plague. If not, then look for it to become entrenched in crowded low end areas where people are superstitious, filthy, and lacking in sanitation. This could be exactly what the globe elite is trying to accomplish. Cheaper than vaccines for the bilinda gates foundation! LOL

Since only one to ten viruses are needed to infect, we won't have to share thermometers or crap in the streets to get ebola. The VP of Samaritan's Purse, Ken Isaacs, said that getting some bodily fluid on one millimeter of exposed skin is sufficient to get infected with ebola. No need to be in a third world hellhole for that kind of exposure.
 
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