INTL India's population soon to surpass China's, then decline

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https://ourworldindata.org/indias-population-growth-will-come-to-an-end

India's population growth will come to an end: the number of children has already peaked

January 15, 2019 by Hannah Ritchie

Our World in Data presents the empirical evidence on global development in entries dedicated to specific topics.
This blog post draws on data and research discussed in our entry on World Population Growth and Future Population Growth.

India will soon become the world's most populous country as India's population is predicted to surpass that of China within the next decade.

India's population is expected to continue to grow until mid-century, reaching an estimated 1.68 billion in the 2050s as the chart below shows. But an important piece of evidence tells us that population growth will come to an end: The number of children in India peaked more than a decade ago and is now falling.

The chart below shows the population change since 1950 and the UN's projections of population by age bracket. Here we see that the number of children under the age of five (under-5s) peaked in 2007; since then the number has been falling. The number of Indians under 15 years old peaked slightly later (in 2011) and is now also declining. These are landmark moments in demographic change.

India's population will still continue to grow as a result of 'population momentum' – the effect often referred to by Hans Rosling and Gapminder as the 'inevitable fill-up' when young generations grow older.1 But we can now see an end to population growth: reaching 'peak child' anticipates the later 'peak population'. The number of children has peaked; total population will follow and reach its peak in four decades.

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http://statisticstimes.com/demographics/china-vs-india-population.php

China Vs India by Population
Source United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Date 07 Jul 2018

[no author given]

"China and India are the two most populous countries of the world. China is the most populous country with approximately 1.42 billion people in 2018. India is second largest country by population with approximately 1.35 billion inhabitants in 2018. China and India together account for 36.28% of total world population 7,632,819,325.

In 2018, population of China is 41 million more than India. Due to higher population growth of India, margin between these two country is coming down quickly. And in 2024, India will have more people than China with approximately 1.44 billion people. Currently, China's population growth rate is only 0.39%, while India is growing at 1.11%. Population of China and India will decline after 2030 and 2062, respectively.

in 1950, population of China was 554 million. While, population of India was 376 million. China crossed one billion mark in 1981 and India in 1998. By 2029, India will cross the 1.5 billion mark.

Both countries have lower female population compare to male. Female population sharing of China is slightly greater than India. China has 94.1 female par 100 males where as India's figure is 92.94. Fertility rate (2015-2020) of India is 2.30 and of China is 1.63.

With median agee of 26.7 India is more younger than China of 37.0.

Population density of India is 440.29 person per square km compare to 148.81 of China. So, India is 2.96 times more dense than China. China is 4th and India is 7th largest country in terms of area.

In Table, data after year 2015 are projection using Medium fertility variant."

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