WEATHER Hurricane Olaf (Cat 4) headed towards Hawaii

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://mauinow.com/2015/10/23/olaf-generates-advisory-level-surf/

Olaf Generates Advisory Level Surf

By Meteorologist Malika Dudley
Posted October 23, 2015, 01:48 AM HST

Alerts

A High Surf Advisory is posted for the east facing shores of Maui through 6 p.m. Saturday as Olaf brings hazardous surf to these shorelines. Waves are expected to build to 8 to 12 foot faces.

A High Surf Advisory is posted for the south facing of Maui and Molokai through 6 p.m. Saturday. Surf heights of 5 to 8 foot faces are expected.

Check our breaking news section for any urgent weather alerts.

**Click directly on the images below to make them larger. Charts include: Maui County projected winds, tides, swell direction & period and expected wave heights.**

North: Wave heights are expected waist/chest high today for spots open to the northwest. Olaf swell is expected to build for east exposures, mainly for Hana area. Wave heights could get up to overhead or even double overhead on the sets.

West: Wave heights waist/head high are expected today. The best exposures could get up to overhead on the sets. Spots shadowed by other islands will be smaller.

South: The south-southwest is expected to bring waist/chest high waves today. The best breaks could be a bit bigger on the sets.

Screen Shot 2015-10-22 at 7.07.20 PMTropical swell is expected for east shores of Maui, generated by hurricane Olaf. A an advisory is in effect at this time with hazardous surf conditions expected through Saturday. The swell is expected to peak Thursday and Friday before fading over the weekend.

An advisory level south swell is on the rise Thursday for south facing shores of Maui and Molokai. The swell is expected to peak Friday/Saturday before slowly beginning a fading trend on Sunday.

Keep in mind, surf heights are measured on the face of the wave from trough to crest. Heights vary from beach to beach, and at the same beach, from break to break.

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For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.dispatchtimes.com/powerful-hurricane-olaf-to-stir-up-surf-in-hawaii/146232/

Powerful Hurricane Olaf to Stir Up Surf in Hawaii

NewsmediaƒeOct 23, 2015ƒ{World Newsƒö0

Hurricane Olaf has strengthened into a major category four hurricane as it moves far southeast of the Hawaiian islands, forecasters say.

Image-NHC-a-m-track-p.gif

http://www.dispatchtimes.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Image-NHC-a-m-track-p.gif

Hurricane Olaf entered the Central Pacific Monday night as a Category 4 storm. ¡§Additional strengthening is forecast through tonight, with a few fluctuations in intensity possible on Tuesday¡¨.

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) said Olaf had maximum sustained winds of 115 miles per hour, bumping it up to major hurricane status.

Five day forecast as of 2 a.m. HST Tuesay (Oct 20) for the probability of tropical storm force winds from Hurricane Olaf.

Now there are no watches or warnings for Hawaii for Hurricane Olaf. That¡¦s a Category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.

On its current trajectory, Olaf ¡V the 11th hurricane of the eastern Pacific season ¡V would stay away from land and out over open water in the coming days, it said.

The system is moving west near 12 miles per hour with a turn to the west-northwest expected Tuesday followed by a jog to the northwest on Wednesday. It was located approximately 1,345 miles east-southeast of the Big Island. It is expected to cross into the Central Pacific sometime late Monday. Beginning Wednesday, the storm should begin to lose a few of its strength.
 

willowlady

Veteran Member
So, this means there are TWO hurricanes in the Pacific, one headed for Mexico (East) and the other headed for Hawaii (West). Sounds weird to me...
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.weather.com/storms/hurri...tropical-storm-hurricane-olaf-eastern-pacific

Hurricane Olaf IS Bringing High Surf to Hawaii

Published Oct 23 2015 06:42 AM EDT
weather.com

Video

Olaf became the fifteenth named tropical system of the year in the eastern Pacific, and since its formation, the hurricane shifted into the central Pacific.
•Hurricane Olaf is located approximately 660 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
•On Monday morning, Olaf strengthened into a major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger), and by Monday afternoon had rapidly intensified to a Category 4 hurricane. Olaf remained a Category 4 until early Wednesday morning when it was downgraded to a strong Category 3 hurricane.
•Olaf has been fluctuating between a strong Category 2 and a weak Category 3 hurricane Thursday night.
•Olaf is moving north and should curl more to the northeast with time. The storm is expected to remain a hurricane into this weekend.
•This hurricane is not a direct threat to Hawaii or any other land areas. However, high surf generated by Olaf is expected to affect Hawaii into Saturday. A high surf advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service for the south facing shores of all islands and a high surf warning has been issued for the north and east facing shores of Hawaii's Big Island. Waves of 12-18 feet are forecast along east facing shores of the Big Island, with waves of 5-8 feet along south facing shores. Dangerous rip currents are also expected.
•According to the National Hurricane Center, Olaf is the farthest south forming major hurricane on record in the eastern Pacific basin. Reliable records in that basin began in 1971.

(MORE: Expert Analysis | Hurricane Central)

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http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_tropinfo19_ltst_5nhpao_enus_650x366.jpg

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http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_tropprjpath19_ltst_5nhpao_enus_650x366.jpg


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Notice that it's headed for California, probably what's left getting here by next Friday or following Monday.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Seems to be the most likely explanation. And I see that Olaf is actually on a curve trajectory back towards CA, so at least they are sort of heading in the same direction.

Cali could use the rain, would this count as the monsoon season for California and Arizona or more likely winter rains?
 
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