WEATHER Hurricane forecasters up odds on two systems in Gulf and Atlantic

Housecarl

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http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article156735144.html

JUNE 17, 2017 8:42 AM

Hurricane forecasters up odds on two systems in Gulf and Atlantic

BY JENNY STALETOVICH
jstaletovich@miamiherald.com

Two storm systems being tracked in the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic now have a high chance of becoming tropical cyclones, hurricane forecasters said early Saturday.

With conditions favorable in the Gulf of Mexico, forecasters say it’s becoming more likely that a broad patch of storms will become a tropical depression or storm as it moves slowly across the Yucatan Peninsula. Likewise for a second system in the Central Atlantic, about 1,500 miles east of the Windward Islands.

National Hurricane Center forecasters gave both storms a 70 percent chance of forming in five days.

NHC Atlantic Ops ✔ @NHC_Atlantic
Some development of the Atlantic tropical wave is expected in the
next few days before conditions become less conducive for formation #92L
5:31 AM - 17 Jun 2017
113 113 Retweets 78 78 likes

The system in the Gulf, which is unlikely to threaten Florida, could become a tropical cyclone early next week over the southern or central Gulf, forecasters said. Even if it fails to form, it’s still likely to produce plenty of rain over the region, including western Cuba, Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

The second system is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms and changed little overnight. Over the next few days it will encounter warm waters and other conditions likely allowing it to become more organized but then face less favorable conditions, forecasters said. The system is moving to the northwest at about 15 to 20 mph.

The 2017 hurricane season, which started just over two weeks ago, is expected to be as busy as last season, which clocked in as one of the longest on record. The first storm appeared in January and the last in November. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects at 11 to 17 named storms this season and two to four major hurricanes.

Follow Jenny Staletovich on Twitter @jenstaletovich
 

Txkstew

Veteran Member
The one in the Caribbean does look to be getting it's self together on Satellite. The National Hurricane Center hasn't posted an update since early this morning. There is supposed to be a plane sent out today.
 

Millwright

Knuckle Dragger
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