INTL Europe: Politics, Economics, Military- March 2021

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Part of a massive UK Daily Mail article full of photos but the important part is in the first section...I'm posting without pictures, this is best read at the link - but it is about the growing mess between the EU and the UK over vaccines...

EU doubles down on threat to block Covid vaccine exports to the UK insisting ‘everything is on the table’ and the bloc is focused on ‘protecting our citizens’ as ministers warn ‘the world is watching’

Ursula von der Leyen threatened to join with the French and German to hold hostage 19million UK vaccines
EU faced criticism over glacial speed of its vaccination programme as many countries plunged into lockdown
UK delivered 711,196 vaccines in 24 hours - a new record meaning more than half of adults had their first dose
Government is now working on plans to move the majority of the UK's coronavirus jab production onshore
European Commissioner for financial services Mairead McGuinness today said 'everything is on the table'


Defence Secretary Ben Wallace warned EU the 'world is watching' and ban would damage bloc's reputation

By JACK MAIDMENT, DEPUTY POLITICAL EDITOR FOR MAILONLINE and GLEN OWEN, POLITICAL EDITOR FOR THE MAIL ON SUDAY and ANNA MIKHAILOVA DEPUTY POLITICAL EDITOR FOR THE MAIL ON SUNDAY

PUBLISHED: 10:06, 21 March 2021 | UPDATED: 11:07, 21 March 2021

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The EU today doubled down on its threat to block Covid vaccine exports to the UK as the British Government warned Brussels that 'the world is watching'.

European Commissioner for financial services Mairead McGuinness said 'everything is on the table' and the EU's focus is on 'protecting our citizens'.

She also said there is a need for both sides to 'calm down' amid the escalating war of words over vaccine supply but her decision to repeat Ursula von der Leyen's threat is unlikely to dampen tensions.

It came as Defence Secretary Ben Wallace warned Brussels that going ahead with an export ban would 'damage the EU’s reputation globally'.

He said the EU is 'under tremendous political pressure' because of its botched vaccine rollout and insisted 'the rest of the world is looking at the Commission about how it conducts itself'.

Tensions with the EU continued to increase as the UK yesterday smashed its record for the number of daily inoculations.

In a dramatic move, Ms von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, threatened to join forces with the French and German governments to hold hostage more than 19 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine due to be shipped to the UK over the coming weeks.

The EU continues to face criticism over the glacial speed of its vaccination programme and many of its members have been plunged into fresh lockdowns as Covid-19 cases soared.

Meanwhile, the UK delivered 711,156 jabs in 24 hours – a new record that means more than half of all adults have had at least one vaccine dose.

Boris Johnson hailed the success by tweeting: 'Many thanks to everyone involved in this fantastic achievement. Let's keep going!'

It comes as the Government began working on plans to move the majority of the UK's coronavirus vaccine production onshore to make Britain more self-sufficient, the Telegraph reported.

Business secretary Kwasi Kwarteng is understood to have held talks with Nadhim Zahawi, the vaccines minister, about how to speed up production in the UK - and reduce the risk of other nations disrupting the rollout.

An insider said: 'There is a lot of domestic production already. We are always looking at ways we can increase vaccine production in the UK. The Government is looking at ways vaccine supplies can be increased all the time.'


European Commissioner for financial services Mairead McGuinness said \'everything is on the table\' and the EU\'s focus is on \'protecting our citizens\' +79
European Commissioner for financial services Mairead McGuinness said 'everything is on the table' and the EU's focus is on 'protecting our citizens'

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has threatened to join forces with the French and German governments to hold hostage more than 19 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine due to be shipped to the UK over the coming weeks +79
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has threatened to join forces with the French and German governments to hold hostage more than 19 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine due to be shipped to the UK over the coming weeks

Defence Secretary Ben Wallace warned Brussels that going ahead with an export ban would \'damage the EU\u2019s reputation globally\' +79
Defence Secretary Ben Wallace warned Brussels that going ahead with an export ban would 'damage the EU’s reputation globally'

Brussels claims AstraZeneca has delivered only a third of the 90 million vaccine doses that it promised to the EU during the first quarter of this year, but has met its contract to supply the UK in full.

An irate Ms von der Leyen said the bloc reserved the right to hit back by banning the export of batches made by the Anglo-Swedish pharmaceutical giant to the UK. They account for around 20 per cent of Britain's future supplies.

The explosive plan will be discussed at a European Council summit on Thursday, but already has the backing of French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Ms McGuinness told the BBC's Andrew Marr Show that EU leaders will 'make an assessment of the current situation' when they discuss the matter.

‘I think what is terribly important this week, as you say, there is an increase in infections across Europe, alarming for everybody,' she said.

‘But the leaders will meet this week and they will make an assessment of the current situation about the roll out of vaccines and perhaps make decisions.

‘But as the President of the Commission said herself, everything is on the table but there is no decision.’

Seeking to cool tensions, she added: ‘Frankly none of us have had a great Covid. I think all of us should put our hands up and say we were not prepared for this global pandemic, we did not do our best at the beginning but we are doing our best now to protect our citizens.

‘I think that is exactly what Europe is focused on is on protecting our citizens and once everyone is protected we are safe.

‘I think that we all need to, if you like, calm down, look very carefully, if you like, dispassionately at the situation around the raw materials for vaccines, around where they are produced and how we might ramp up that production.'

Government ministers have been scathing in their reaction to the export ban threat and Mr Wallace today added his voice to the chorus of senior figures criticising the EU's approach.

He told Sophy Ridge on Sky News: ‘I will take the President of the European Commission’s words that she gave to the Prime Minister a few months ago that Europe and the European Commission and Europe were not going to engage in breaking contracts.

‘All of us recognise the importance of international law and upholding contract law around the world.

‘The European Union will know that the rest of the world is looking at the Commission about how it conducts itself.

‘If contracts get broken and undertakings, that is a very damaging thing to happen for a trading bloc that prides itself on the rule of law, prides itself on following contracts and being an open trading bloc.

‘The Commission knows deep down the world is watching what happens and also it would be counterproductive because the one thing we know about vaccine production and manufacturing is it is collaborative.’


Mr Wallace said the European Commission is 'under tremendous political pressure' and warned its reputation is at stake.

He said: 'I think it is really a matter for them of how they deal with it. But the values that they espouse of the European Union of upholding the rule of law, being a trading bloc, all of that means that you follow those contracts, you honour them that you agreed, and I think it would damage the EU’s reputation globally should they renege on those things.’

A senior British Government official last night warned any move to ban jab exports would be illegal. 'The reality is our contract with AstraZeneca is rock-solid and better than the EU's,' said the official. 'And we're only getting what we helped to develop and paid for.'

The EU's disastrous vaccine rollout means barely 12 per cent of adults in France, Germany and Italy have so far had jabs. Swathes of Europe are now in lockdown, with almost three-quarters of the EU's 27 member states suffering spiralling Covid-19 infection rates.

In contrast, the number of first dose vaccinations delivered in the UK soared to a total of 26,853,407 – 51 per cent of all UK adults – with 2,132,551 people having had second jabs.

Britain's reliance on imports is also set to be reduced as an Oxford factory able to produce up to 70 million doses in under six months is ready to open a year ahead of schedule.

The dire situation in Europe has put the summer holiday hopes of millions of Britons into doubt.

Government scientists fear travellers could bring the mutant South African strain into the UK while Health Secretary Matt Hancock has privately confided his growing pessimism about foreign trips resuming after May 17, the earliest date on the Prime Minister's roadmap out of lockdown.

In other developments:

Positive Covid tests fell 7.5 per cent over the past seven days to 5,587 a day; hospital admissions fell 23 per cent to 496 and deaths dropped by 36.9 per cent to 96, the first Saturday with under 100 fatalities since October;
Plans for 'Alfresco April' gathered pace with Marston's brewery saying 700 of its pubs would open on April 12;
Experts predicted a £11.5 billion wedding bonanza once restrictions eased, while some hairdressers reporting full appointment books until early summer;
Japan announced that in a 'great sacrifice', international fans would be barred from attending the Tokyo Olympics later this year;
A Mail on Sunday investigation has named super-rich tycoons – including heirs to the Gucci fashion and Graff diamond fortunes – whose firms have used the taxpayer-funded furlough scheme to pay staff;
Thousands of anti-lockdown protesters marched through London with police making at least 13 arrests.
Brussels claims AstraZeneca has delivered only a third of the 90 million vaccine doses that it promised to the EU during the first quarter of this year, but has met its contract to supply the UK in full. Pictured: French President Emmanuel Macron +79
Brussels claims AstraZeneca has delivered only a third of the 90 million vaccine doses that it promised to the EU during the first quarter of this year, but has met its contract to supply the UK in full. Pictured: French President Emmanuel Macron

The EU\'s disastrous vaccine rollout means barely 12 per cent of adults in France, Germany and Italy have so far had jabs. Pictured: German Chancellor Angela Merkel +79
The EU's disastrous vaccine rollout means barely 12 per cent of adults in France, Germany and Italy have so far had jabs. Pictured: German Chancellor Angela Merkel

The renewed threat from Ms von der Leyen came in an interview with the German media group Funke. She admitted discussing the 'option of banning a planned export', adding: 'That's the message to AstraZeneca: you fulfil your contract with Europe first before you start supplying to other countries.

'We have received nothing from the British, while we are supplying them with vaccines.'

Her hardline approach won support from France's European Affairs Minister Clement Beaune, who said: 'We need a principle of reciprocity: supply others if they supply us in accordance with signed contracts.' The position is also backed by Italy and Denmark, but opposed by the Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Sweden and Ireland who fear the wider impact of a vaccine trade war.

Klaus Hinterding, deputy head of AstraZeneca Germany, said that the shortages were 'due to the complexity of the production process'. The active ingredient in the vaccine is made in Belgium and the Netherlands and placed into vials in Italy.

Pfizer warned the EU not to seek to block the movement of its supplies. A spokesman said: 'We have been clear with all stakeholders that the free movement of goods and supply across borders is absolutely critical to Pfizer and the patients we serve.'

The threat comes after several EU countries suspended use of the AstraZeneca vaccine due to fears that it might cause blood clots. The European Medical Agency regulator declared it 'safe and effective' on Thursday but France is still refusing to administer it to people under 55 – having previously claimed it was not suitable for over-65s.


Professor Sir John Bell, the scientist who led work on the vaccine at Oxford, yesterday described France's decision as 'completely crackers'.

He and Kate Bingham, the UK vaccine tsar, also branded European leaders 'irresponsible' for 'undermining' public faith in the AstraZeneca vaccine.

NHS England figures show 79 per cent of over-55s in the country had at least one dose of the vaccine by March 14, but London is significantly lagging behind in uptake

Some 26.2million Britons have now received their first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, the equivalent of half the adult population in Britain, and 2million have received both injections +79
Some 26.2million Britons have now received their first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, the equivalent of half the adult population in Britain, and 2million have received both injections

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A Government source said No 10 was willing to sacrifice holidays abroad to protect domestic reopening. There had been hope that a roadmap for holidays, due to be released on April 12, would allow trips from May 17, but sources said Ministers were 'increasingly sceptical' about restrictions ending that month, with even early summer looking unlikely.

There are particular concerns about the spread of the South African variant in France, now estimated to account for about 5 per cent of cases. One Tory MP said: 'If it's got a hold in France, you can guarantee it will have a hold in the UK. The big question is, 'Could this new variant kill foreign holidays?' It's not about the variant coming from South Africa itself – it's the French connection.'

Downing Street is understood to be concerned about a repeat of last summer when tourists returning from Greece, Croatia and Spain are believed to have brought back a Covid variant.

Government adviser Dr Mike Tildesley told Radio 4's Today programme that the prospect of Britons taking foreign holidays this summer seemed 'extremely unlikely'.

Super-factory to make 70m Oxford jab doses in Britain
The prospect of an EU blockade that may stop 19 million doses reaching the UK – on top of disruptions to vaccine supplies from India – comes as Britain prepares to become self-sufficient in vaccine supplies.

Oxford’s Vaccine Manufacturing Innovation Centre – set up in 2018 ‘to promote, develop and accelerate the growth of the UK vaccine industry’ – is a super-factory on the brink of starting the production of more 70 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine over a four to six-month period.

The pandemic triggered a huge boost in funding to the VMIC – up by £131 million to £196 million – in return for developing a plan to increase the amount of vaccine they could produce at their new factory from millions of doses to tens of millions and bringing the plant’s opening forward by a year.

Dr Matthew Duchars, chief executive of the VMIC, based at Harwell Science & Innovation Campus in Oxfordshire, said that it was equipped to modify the vaccines to take account of mutant variants.

Dr Duchars said: ‘New Covid variants are absolutely part of the thinking.

‘We probably will need to make seasonal vaccine variants because there may well be mutations in the virus, as well as vaccines for other diseases.

‘You never know what’s coming next.’
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

https://www.france24.com/en/tag/francelockdown/

UK riot police deployed after 'Kill the Bill' protest in Bristol turns violent
Issued on: 22/03/2021 - 00:49
A demonstrator skateboards in front of a burning police vehicle during a protest against a new proposed policing bill, in Bristol, Britain, March 21, 2021.

A demonstrator skateboards in front of a burning police vehicle during a protest against a new proposed policing bill, in Bristol, Britain, March 21, 2021. © Peter Cziborra, Reuters
Text by:NEWS WIRES
2 min
A demonstration in southwest England against increased police powers turned violent Sunday, leaving several officers hurt, authorities said.


"Horrendous scenes in Bristol," said John Apter, head of the police federation of England and Wales.

"Number of officers badly injured, police vehicles damaged and a police station under attack. This is not protest, it's just mindless violence," he tweeted.

The clashes erupted after a rally against the new "Police and Crime Bill" -- drawn up by the government to grant the police greater powers to crack down on disruptive protests -- when hundreds of protesters converged on a local police station.


Two police vehicles were set on fire, damage was caused to a police station, one officer suffered a broken arm and another suffered broken ribs, Avon and Somerset police said.
Interior minister Priti Patel condemned the clashes as "unacceptable".

"Thuggery and disorder by a minority will never be tolerated," she tweeted.

A local MP from the opposition Labour Party, Darren Jones, described the scenes as "completely unacceptable. You don't campaign for the right to peaceful protest by setting police vans on fire or graffitiing buildings.

"Avon and Somerset Police were on duty today to facilitate a peaceful protest not to deal with criminal behaviour," he said.

Mass gatherings are currently banned in England under coronavirus restrictions.
On Saturday, an anti-lockdown rally in London that drew thousands of protesters also left several police officers hurt and saw at least 36 people arrested.
(AFP)
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
The "bill" in question would in some cases see sentences for attending a protest to be the same or higher than those currently imposed for rape.

The UK population has finally had enough, especially after the now epic photos of the police holding down and handcuffing the attractive, red-headed woman who was placing flowers on a memorial for a woman stalked and murdered by an active-duty police officer (while walking home after dark).

With signs the UK and the rest of Europe are planning to continue extensive lock-downs for months, a lot of the public has just "had enough."

The protest bill is now in focus after the arrests of women at that memorial, a memorial that even Kate the future Queen of England attended quietly and with dignity.

If you won't allow peaceful protests, this is what tends to happen.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane
This is the first I have seen a publication with any sort of broad readership cover Ukraine situation.


Ukraine Between Biden And A Hard Place
Tyler Durden's Photo

BY TYLER DURDEN
TUESDAY, MAR 23, 2021 - 02:00 AM
Authored by J.Hawk exclusively for SouthFront,
Joe Biden’s extensive interest in Ukraine during his tenure as Obama’s vice president meant that US attention toward the country would be instantly elevated in the eyes of the new administration. The Burisma scandal which implicated Hunter Biden and which became a problem for Joe Biden on the campaign trail, combined with Biden’s own apparent frailty and avoidance of extensive public engagements, have meant that Biden is yet to have a telephone conversation with Zelensky.

Whether he deliberately chose to outsource Ukraine policy to his trusted advisors or they are taking initiative in order to fill the vacuum of power left by their boss’ incapacity, US-Ukraine policy has taken a number of new twists and turns in the less than two months of Biden Administration.


End of Indirect Control?
Biden Administration’s actions so far indicate a certain degree of impatience with the goings-on in Kiev which is behaving in an all too independent fashion on many issues. Kiev’s decision to nationalize Motor Sich, an aircraft engine manufacturer whose purchase was sought by Chinese investors robbed Ukraine of a significant influx of badly needed hard currency, took place after Washington expressed displeasure at Chinese companies’ foothold in Ukraine and moreover access to Soviet-era technologies attractive to China’s aerospace industries. This action was taken in spite of considerable risk of Chinese retaliation, which took the form of China’s Foreign Ministry informing its Ukrainian equivalent that it would no longer respect its wishes concerning economic activities in the Crimea, something that Chinese firms have shied away from so far. US Embassy in Kiev’s instant endorsement of Zelensky’s shutdown of three opposition TV stations and the placement of sanctions, in violation of Ukraine’s own laws, on one of Ukraine’s opposition leaders Medvedchuk on the grounds that they were involved in spreading so-called “Russian disinformation” suggests that Washington was at the very least aware of the move and may have even prompted it. US sanctioning of Igor Kolomoysky on the basis of his corrupting Ukraine’s politics indicates that Zelensky has not gone far enough in fulfilling Washington’s wishes. In doing so Washington demonstrated it is willing to publicly humiliate Zelensky should he fail to display appropriate deference to its wishes. The question at this point becomes, in what direction will Washington push Zelensky? How far, what means will Washington use to get its way, and to what extent will Zelensky resist?

Giving War Another Chance?
The greatest service that Ukraine could render Biden’s administration is by launching an all-out assault on Novorossia. A pitched battle between Ukrainian and DPR/LPR forces would instantly create necessary headlines, provide additional pretexts to condemn Russia and introduce more economic sanctions, and deliver the outcome that no amount of phony poisonings of Navalny could, namely the suspension or even shut-down of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline that has become a thorn in the side of the Anglo-Saxon powers and a matter of national self-assertion for Germany. A major military campaign involving several brigades supported by airpower and the now-operational Bayraktar TB-2 drones in an effort to replicate Azerbaijan’s success against Armenia in Nagorno-Karabakh would place Moscow before the unenviable choice of abandoning the Donbass to its fate or committing its regular military forces to battle in Novorossia’s defense.

Whether Ukraine’s political leadership is willing to undertake such a desperate measure, in a country whose president suffers from a 20% approval rating and which has seen extensive recent protests against the increase in utility payment rates, is another question. On the one hand, Ukrainian troop movements on the Donbass have generated considerable attention, and exchanges of fire between Ukrainian and Novorossian forces appear to have continued at an elevated pace in the past several weeks. At the same time, no extraordinary measures such as the recall of reservists or closure of borders in order to prevent military-age males from leaving the country have been observed. While Ukraine’s Rada is considering laws making draft evasion more harshly punishable, these laws will not have an immediate impact, and appear to be a reaction to the failure to build up a professional army of volunteers or even to give the draftees a positive reason to serve. It has even been pointed out that the Ukrainian troop movements have been so ostentatious and lacking in even elementary efforts to preserve concealment and surprise that they represent a “war of nerves”, an exercise in brinksmanship, and possibly an effort to simulate action for the benefit of Washington, rather than genuine preparations for an offensive. A train carrying a reinforced tank company that has been spotted slowly passing three different railroad crossings in eastern Ukraine over the course of several days looks like an operation staged for the benefit of ubiquitous smart phone cameras.

Therefore the likelihood of Ukrainian military opting for a large-scale offensive remains low due to fear of heavy and pointless losses which might cause Ukraine’s military morale to collapse, with unpredictable consequences. Small-scale raids to capture select positions, shelling of Novorossia’s towns and cities, even a staged atrocity, remain more plausible and attractive from the political point of view. Ukraine’s most dangerous military capability is represented by Bayraktar drones, cruise missiles like the Neptun, and short-range ballistic missiles currently in service and being developed, because their use would not entail the danger of major Ukrainian personnel losses. Moreover, Novorossia’s forces would be hard pressed to retaliate against such strikes in kind, Russian efforts to do so would be highly provocative internationally, and moreover carry the risk of causing Ukrainian civilian casualties. Fortunately for Novorossia, the drone park remains fairly small and the drones themselves are vulnerable to Novorossia’s air defenses, while the cruise and ballistic missiles are still years from large-scale operational deployment. The sort of missile bombardment that would represent genuine threat to Novorossia’s unrecognized republics is still years away, if not beyond. By the time they are, Novorossia’s forces will likely have their own means of retaliation in the form of barrage munitions, also referred to as “suicide drones” that could be produced on the spot in Donetsk and Lugansk. However, Ukraine’s current capabilities are sufficient to launch provocations, including through bombardment of civilian targets as was the case in Mariupol in 2014.

The Blackmail Factor?
That Ukraine’s military is unwilling to risk another mis-adventure against Novorossia is evident enough, as is Zelensky’s reticence to go down in history as the president who destroyed Ukraine. These considerations are unlikely to be salient for decisionmakers in Washington who need Ukraine to advance US interests, rather than US to advance Ukraine’s.

But the lengths to which Washington is willing to go to pressure Zelensky are still unclear, though the possibility of outright blackmail has raised its head when a prominent Maidan propagandist Dmitry Gordon announced that on March 15, the “Ides of March” immortalized by the assassination of Julius Caesar, would face a trial of historic proportions once a certain bombshell news story were revealed. While March 15 came and went with no bombshells or even duds, Gordon did reveal that the event consisted of a Bellingcat “investigation” into the SBU plot to lure Wagner PMC contractors into Ukraine in order to have them put on trial. The “bombshell” aspect of the Bellingcat effort is that the plot failed because of a highly placed source in Zelensky’s own presidential cabinet who leaked it to Russian intelligence services.

Considering Bellingcat’s reputation as a firm which does info-warfare “hits” on designated targets, and Gordon’s hyping of the impact of the film once it becomes public, one has to consider the possibility Bellingcat is part of a campaign to blackmail or even oust Zelensky from office should he fail to satisfy Washington’s demands. According to Gordon, the movie’s release is planned for early April, which presumably gives Zelensky a bit of extra time to deliver the goods.

As noted above, Zelensky has taken a dim view of Washington’s meddling in Ukraine’s affairs, though it remains to be seen whether he is able to stand up to even his own national security officials who ostensibly are subordinate to him but in reality take orders from Washington.

Lacking an independent power base that allowed Poroshenko to resist Washington’s initiatives in “reforming” Ukraine’s economy, Zelensky may yet prove the ideal president from Washington’s perspective, if not Ukraine’s.

 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Norway prevents sale of Rolls-Royce subsidiary to Russia
Norway's government has blocked the sale of Bergen Engines, which makes motors for ships, on national security grounds.



Silhouette of a hand holding wrench, an engine, TMH Company logo, and Rolls Royce Company Logo.
The technology being purchased would be of 'significant military strategic interest to Russia,' Norway's government said

Norway has prevented the sale of the Rolls-Royce-owned company to Transmashholding (TMH Group) in Russia on grounds of national security, the Norwegian justice minister told parliament on Tuesday.

The Bergen Engines company, owned by Rolls-Royce for more than 20 years, is based on Norway's west coast and supplies Norway's navy as well as the global shipping industry.

"The technologies possessed by Bergen Engines, and the engines they produce would have been of significant military strategic interest to Russia, and would have boosted Russian military capabilities," the Norwegian government said in a statement.

The sale would have included a medium speed engine factory, service workshop and foundry in Norway, with engine and power plant design capability, according to a statement made by Rolls-Royce.


Watch video06:22
NATO chief: Melting Arctic ice could heat up geopolitical tensions


Rolls-Royce seeking to offload to weather pandemic
Norway, which shares an Arctic border with Russia, had gradually improved relations with Moscow in the post-Cold War era until Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 triggered more tensions.

As a result both sides have bolstered their military presence and have conducted more frequent military maneuvers.

On March 9, the Norwegian government had temporarily suspended the 150 million euro ($178 million) sale of Bergen Engines to TMH Group while it assessed the security implications.

Two Russian servicemen on a snowmobile in all white fatigues. A third serviceman off standing off to the side with a rifle slung on his back.
Norway and Russia share an Arctic border with an increased military presence in recent years

"We now have sufficient information to conclude that it is necessary to prevent the company from being sold to a group controlled from a country with which we do not have security cooperation," Justice Minister Monica Maeland of the center-right minority government told parliament on Tuesday.

The opposition parties in Norway have criticized the government for being slow to respond to what they saw as an emerging national security threat, after Rolls-Royce had informed authorities of a potential deal with Russia late last year.

In response to the March 9 suspension of the deal, Russia, the following day, said that Norway's decision showed anti-Russian sentiment and was of serious concern.
Rolls-Royce said last month that the transaction with Russia's TMH Group was part of the group's overall plan to overcome the COVID-19 pandemic. Bergen Engines employs roughly 950 people and logged revenues of approximately €270 million in 2019.
jm/msh (AFP, Reuters)
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Opinion: The German government is in free fall
Angela Merkel's government has announced a U-turn and said that there will be no Easter shutdown after all, just two days after announcing one. DW's Jens Thurau warns that the chancellor has lost her way.



Caricature of Merkel standing on a 23% floating in water, with three one-percents floating nearby
Merkel's CDU lost badly at recent state elections and has received just 26% approval in some recent surveys

The German government is presenting a very sorry picture at the end of March 2021 with regard to its pandemic management. And there is one thought, barely conceivable just a few weeks ago, that is hard to dislodge: Will Chancellor Angela Merkel once again manage to give a meaningful structure to the fight against the coronavirus? Or will she give up? Or even have to step down?

It's not likely to go that far. Who would want to take over in the midst of the most difficult political crisis in decades? But the decline in authority of this internationally respected leader in her own country is breathtaking.
Jens Thurau
DW's Jens Thurau

At the beginning of the week, at her energetic behest, the round table of state premiers agreed to a four-week extension of the lockdown, including a stricter shutdown over Easter as a kind of forced rest period. But hardly anybody saw the point in a five-day break like that, especially as most people in Germany didn't seem to feel like celebrating wildly or traveling anyway.

However, Merkel got her way. She apparently held a gun to the heads of the leaders, some of whom wanted to allow light forms of Easter tourism, and is reported to have signaled that if they didn't go along with her plan, she would drop the entire agreement.

Shaken confidence
The threat worked for a couple of hours. But there were angry protests from the business sectors, the churches and the opposition, and even Merkel's own interior minister, Horst Seehofer (CSU), openly opposed the Easter break. This comes as popularity ratings for Merkel's CDU have plunged in recent polls, a slump that probably has partly to do with the recent unsavory mask procurement scandal in which various politicians of her party are embroiled.

And now a U-turn: There won't be a strict shutdown over Easter after all. Merkel has said that she made a mistake. She admitted that more harm than good would be done and that there were too many questions that could not be adequately answered. She even asked all the people living in Germany to forgive her.

This was a noble step — it seldom happens that heads of government make public apologies and concede shortcomings. But it was an admission of failure, and some opposition parties have called on the chancellor to call a confidence vote.

Collective failure
Everyone in power, the government and the federal states, has got hopelessly lost in detail. The consequence is that people no longer understand what the rules are. First of all, there was a blanket travel ban for almost everybody over Easter, but within hours some states had strayed from this. The fact that information from the chancellor's discussion with the state premiers was leaked almost by the minute is also a sign that respect for Merkel is waning.

Since the beginning of the pandemic, Merkel has appeared to be more aware of the challenge it poses than many others. But one year in, her answer remains only that there have to be more restrictions. One attempt to open up in conjunction with rapid tests failed because of a shortage of such tests. And the vaccination campaign continues to drag. Germany has lost its direction in the fight against the virus.

This is tragic for a woman whose seriousness, willingness to compromise and strong nerves have earned her respect all over the world. But her much-praised readiness to hear all sides of a debate and involve all participants is her downfall in this third wave of the pandemic.

Of course, this is not really all Merkel's fault. German federalism prevents chancellors from ruling with an iron fist. But right now, this government is incapable of taking coherent action. And the number of infections is climbing continually. Things can really only improve from here.
This article has been translated from German.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Most people outside of Germany don't realize that like the US, it is divided into fairly powerful individual States, most of whom used to be independent Kingdoms, Principalities, Free Cities, etc. I didn't know this until I lived over here and it looked for a time years ago we might have to live in Germany for a year or two for business reasons.

These individual "States" still have a lot of power, the same way the US States do and some of them simply said they were going to refuse to lockdown for five days over Easter which is an extremely important date in the German Calendar.

Rather than face a constitutional and governmental showdown, Merkle caved, she is due to retire soon anyway and I think she knew this was a fight she wouldn't win. It would backfire with thousands in the streets protesting and in some cases their State Governments backing them.

A loose-loose proposition for an already lame-duck leader.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Greek Independence Day events culminate in military parade
Greece’s celebrations for the bicentenary of the start of the nation’s war of independence are culminating in a military parade and warplane flyby in Athens on Thursday, the country’s Independence Day

By ELENA BECATOROS Associated Press
25 March 2021, 01:30


Members of the Presidential Guard walk in front of the Parthenon temple atop of Acropolis Hill before the Greek flag raising ceremony in Athens, Thursday, March 25, 2021. Greece celebrates the bicentenary of the start of the country's war of independ

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The Associated Press
Members of the Presidential Guard walk in front of the Parthenon temple atop of Acropolis Hill before the Greek flag raising ceremony in Athens, Thursday, March 25, 2021. Greece celebrates the bicentenary of the start of the country's war of independence against the Ottoman Empire. (AP Photo/Petros Giannakouris, Pool)

ATHENS, Greece -- Greece’s celebrations for the bicentenary of the start of the nation’s war of independence are culminating in a military parade and warplane flyby in Athens on Thursday, the country’s Independence Day.

But with Greece struggling to tackle a renewed surge of coronavirus infections and hospitalizations that have strained the health system to its limits, no spectators from the public were allowed to attend.

The parade features tanks rolling down the avenue in front of Parliament in the Greek capital and military aircraft flying past the ancient Acropolis. It also includes a mounted cavalry section and marching troops from the army, air force and navy as well as members of the police, fire department and coast guard.

Dignitaries from Russia, Britain and France, the great powers that provided vital assistance to the nation’s bid for independence from the Ottoman Empire, as well as the president of Cyprus, had arrived in Athens on Wednesday to participate in the celebrations.

Britain's Prince Charles and his wife Camilla, the Duchess of Cornwall, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, French Defense Minister Florence Parly and Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades attended the parade after laying wreaths at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier outside Parliament.

The Greek independence revolt started in the Mani region of the southern Peloponnese peninsula in 1821 and continued for years without official foreign support, with the Greeks gradually becoming riven by dissent and infighting. In 1827, with the revolution almost squashed, the war fleets of Britain, Russia and France intervened to destroy a Turkish-Egyptian fleet in the Bay of Navarino, in the western Peloponnese.

This crucial blow enabled the Greeks to fight on and eventually gain independence in 1830.

Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis kicked off Thursday’s celebrations attending the raising of the Greek flag on the Acropolis.

“Two centuries ago, a handful of determined fighters within and outside Greece, raised the banner of independence. They set in motion a process the end of which not even they themselves could have dreamed of. With the help of their allies, they fought heroically and won their freedom,” Mitsotakis said in a speech.

Throughout Greece’s history as an independent nation “we have lived through moments of triumph and of pain. Wise decisions, but also great mistakes,” he said. “But in all of humanity’s great tribulations our land was always on the right side of history.”

Mitsotakis noted that this year’s Independence Day was “unique, but also different, as it finds us in the final battle with the pandemic. With great difficulties, but with victory now visible. Besides, our national vaccination campaign is named Freedom.”

Despite being under lockdown-type measures since early November, Greece has seen spiraling coronavirus infections, with record numbers of patients intubated in intensive care units and dozens of daily deaths. Hospitals are strained to their limits, with many ICUs at capacity. As of Wednesday evening, the overall pandemic death toll had reached 7,649 and there were about 245,000 total confirmed infections in the country of around 11 million.

Warplanes and military helicopters will conduct a flyby over central Athens during the parade, including French Rafale fighter jets, several of which Greece is buying as part of a major arms procurement program.

Main avenues throughout central Athens were shut down, while thousands of police were deployed and seven planned protests and rallies were banned.

Greek Independence Day events culminate in military parade - ABC News (go.com)
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Germany's long military mission in Afghanistan
The German Parliament has extended the Afghanistan mission by 10 months — likely for the last time. It is the bloodiest deployment of the Bundeswehr in Germany's postwar history. After two decades, witnesses take stock.



German soldiers in Afghanistan
German soldiers on duty in Kunduz province in northern Afghanistan in October 2008
Was it worth it? It is a tough question many in Germany are asking, including the families of the 59 German soldiers who lost their lives in Afghanistan. And it's a question more will likely have to ask following a decision by the German parliament to extend the deployment for another 10 months.

Soldiers of the Bundeswehr — Germany's armed forces — were expressly told that their mission was not a combat one, but rather a short intervention aimed only at stabilizing a war-torn, isolated country in which al-Qaida founder and September 11 attacks mastermind Osama bin Laden was hiding.

But everything turned out very differently: Germany is still taking part in a NATO-led mission to train the Afghan National Defense forces, with up to 1,300 soldiers deployed to Afghanistan until January 2022.

According to the German government, the Afghan intervention had cost German taxpayers around €16.4 billion by the end of 2018. The use of the Bundeswehr alone accounted for €12 billion.

Nearly 20 years after the September 11 attacks, the US desperately wants to end what has become America's longest war — and that puts pressure on Washington's allies, including Germany. Because if the Americans go, all other NATO partners go, too.


Watch video06:19
Afghanistan: The resurgent Taliban
Success and failure

The fundamentalist Taliban regime that had sheltered al-Qaida in Afghanistan was overthrown in December 2001, and bin Laden was killed a decade later — in neighboring Pakistan.

An Islamic republic has been formed, and Afghanistan today has an elected president and an elected parliament. Women are allowed to work and girls can attend school. The rubble desert of Kabul has turned into a modern city, where the internet and smartphones are part of everyday life for many people.

But the conflict in Afghanistan is still one of the bloodiest in the world. According to the United Nations, more than 32,000 civilians were killed in terrorist attacks, battles and air strikes in the past 10 years alone, and more than 60,000 were injured.

The Taliban control half of the country again and are pushing their way back to power after direct negotiations with US officials.

More than half of the population lives in dire poverty. The country cannot finance itself without international help, corruption is eating away at the state.

Was it worth it? DW asked two veterans and a military historian for their takes.
German Lieutenant General Carl-Hubertus von Butler
Carl-Hubertus von Butler: 'We failed to realize that an Afghan central government would not be able to intervene in the provinces at all'

German commander: Kabul was 'like Berlin after World War II'
Carl-Hubertus von Butler was the first German commander in Afghanistan from January to June 2002, after which he completed many short deployments in the country. The retired army lieutenant general comes from a family of soldiers and now lives on an estate in Bavaria.

"It was like [after] an earthquake," says von Butler of his first impression of Kabul in January 2002. At that time, Afghanistan had already been through 20 years of war: Soviet occupation, civil war, the Taliban regime.

The pictures from back then still haunt him today. "You hardly saw any people on the street. Everything was destroyed. You have to imagine it like Berlin after World War II."

Until September 11, 2001, von Butler knew "next to nothing" about the distant land in Central Asia. That changed abruptly when NATO announced that it would become involved in the war against terrorism after the attacks in the US. On October 7, 2001, US forces carried out the first air raids.

'We were very naive back then'
On December 5, an international conference of leaders meeting in Bonn, Germany, decided to build a democratic state in Afghanistan, and the UN Security Council issued the mandate for an International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Kabul. The move amounted to marching orders for von Butler, who led the first brigade: "Everybody thought it would be a quick job. A maximum of one or two years. Then Afghanistan would be stabilized and possibly even democratized — and we get out and all is well."

Clearly, the mission did not play out like that. "I think we were really very naive back then," von Butler admits, without mincing words. Afghan history and the years of violence, he says, were completely misunderstood. "We failed to realize that an Afghan central government would not be able to intervene in the provinces at all. We failed to recognize that the warlords had enormous authority in the provinces."

By warlords, he mainly means the mujahideen leaders, who with major US help had fought against the Soviet occupation in the 1980s before turning on each other and the Afghan people.

Now the American military has made many of them partners again — a heavy burden on a democracy that was to come about with international aid. "The mandate was simply set too high," emphasizes von Butler.

In October 2003, the ISAF operational area was expanded to include the entire country.
German soldiers died in suicide attacks and in combat — mainly in Kunduz province in northern Afghanistan. Likewise, many Afghan civilians were killed there, including once when a German colonel ordered an airstrike on the Taliban in September 2009.
Afghans and German soldiers in Kabul in early 2002
Early on, German leaders thought the Afghan mission would be a short one

'On a knife's edge'
"I personally spoke of war from around 2007 onward," said von Butler, who has been retired since 2012. Back then, he says, everybody on the ground had to realize that "we are no longer on a mission where we can say, 'wave and smile' [at the population]. Rather, it is really getting serious here. It is war. We must fight to the death."

The lesson learned? "Soldiers can never provide permanent stability," emphasizes von Butler. In his opinion, only a politically and economically stable state can do that. But there was no such thing. "The United Nations was also hopelessly overwhelmed," he says, referring to the UN's efforts in the country.

He sees Afghanistan as "on a knife's edge." The NATO-led force has become a training mission for the Afghan army. The US has long stopped talking about nation-building. As has von Butler.

"We have managed to ensure that Afghanistan no longer poses a threat to the international community, at least for the foreseeable future," he says. "It was a commitment for the peace of the international community, the modern world, with a great sacrifice. But to say that it was all in vain, or that it was a total disaster — I would clearly contradict that."

Ex-soldier: Early on, it was 'very innocent'
Former Bundeswehr soldier Dunja Neukam
Dunja Neukam (right) on duty in Afghanistan
As a soldier, Dunja Neukam carried out four tours in Afghanistan. Trained as a nurse, she served a total of 12 years with the troops before leaving the Bundeswehr.

Dunja Neukam remembers her initial arrival in the capital, Kabul, very well. The Bundeswehr plane descended steeply towards the runway in order to offer as little attack surface as possible, a tactical landing that made her feel sick. That was in June 2002. "Outside we were hit with 50-degree heat and there was nothing colorful, it was all sand and gray." For the first time, she saw women in burqas. "That was a completely different world."

But the reception was friendly: "The Afghans always waved and were happy, including the children." The German soldiers were part of the ISAF, the multinational force that was supposed to secure Kabul after the fall of the Taliban. Then 30 years old and a medical sergeant, Neukam worked in the intensive care unit in "Camp Warehouse," an ISAF military base. In addition to soldiers from different countries, she also treated Afghans, including the country's deposed last monarch, King Zahir Shah, who had returned from exile.

She also got around in the war-torn city. "We always pointed to the German flag on our uniform jackets, and then [Afghan people's] thumbs went up: 'Good, good!' That was a nice feeling at the time." The soldiers drove through the city in unarmored vehicles, giving away sweets to the children. "When I was out for the first time, it was really very innocent."

Suicide attack on Bundeswehr
That changed suddenly in June 2003. A suicide bomber blew up a bus carrying German soldiers in Kabul. Four of them died and many more were injured. Neukam had only recently left Afghanistan and knew the troops well. "I saw them in Kabul, still healthy and happy. Then that changed everything."

After the attack, the Bundeswehr tightened the security rules, and distrust of Afghans grew. "You drove in armored vehicles, heavily armed in the convoy, you didn't let anyone near the vehicle." That, says Neukam in retrospect, was just a year after the warm welcome. "I was then also very cautious about the Afghans. This being naive and always friendly, I didn't have that anymore," she recalls. "Behind every Afghan, you saw an enemy — that's just how it was."
Bundeswehr soldiers transporting a wounded German soldier in Afghanistan
German troops have faced attacks and casualties in their nearly 20-year mission to Afghanistan

'What am I actually doing here?'
Nevertheless, she continued to believe in the success of the mission: "I was firmly convinced that economic help, good work and education could help the country get back on its feet."
But this trust also crumbled when the Bundeswehr repeatedly got into heavy fighting with the Taliban in the north of the country.

The year 2010, half of which Neukam spent in Kunduz, was rife with losses. She served her comrades as a medical sergeant specializing in mental health support. She heard them express doubts about the operation: "'What am I actually doing here?' That was another question that I was asked. 'Tell me what I am actually doing here!'"

She has also taken stock of her four missions and is grateful for the experiences, both good and bad. "Ultimately, when I see where Afghanistan is now, it wasn't worth it," says the trained nurse, who now works with severely disabled people.

Too many comrades lost their lives for this, and were wounded in body or spirit, she says. And for what? "With blood and sweat, we fought for places that are now back in the hands of the Taliban. I think that's really bad."
Sönke Neitzel, military historian at the University of Potsdam
The 'strategic failure of the federal government' in Afghanistan has weakened soldiers' loyalty to Germany, says military historian Sönke Neitzel, resulting in a shift in political allegiances

Military historian: Germany 'never had a strategic vision'
Sönke Neitzel is the Chair and Professor of Military History at the University of Potsdam — the only such position in Germany. In his new book "Deutsche Krieger" ("German Warriors"), Neitzel also sheds light on the deployment of the Bundeswehr in Afghanistan.

"The Germans never had a strategic vision for Afghanistan," says the military historian. "It was always about NATO and Germany's weight in foreign policy." In order to show alliance solidarity after the 9/11 attacks, then-Chancellor Gerhard Schröder sent the troops to Afghanistan — with the intention of withdrawing them six months later. "At best, the Afghans were of secondary importance."

But nothing came of the planned short deployment. The Taliban and other insurgents later attacked the German contingent in northern Afghanistan directly — a phase that escalated in April 2009. For the first time since its founding after World War II, the Bundeswehr had to carry out combat operations.

The commanders and combat troops in Kunduz were ready for this, emphasizes the military historian, who has evaluated soldiers' diaries and operational reports — but Germany's government was not. "Chancellor [Angela] Merkel did not want that, the defense minister did not want that and neither did the Bundeswehr inspector general."

When the soldiers demanded heavy weapons and more forces, they fell on deaf ears in Berlin. "We keep out of it, that's the Afghans' business," they said.

Soldiers who shouldn't fight
This created a dilemma for the soldiers because they could not stay out of the increasing hostilities — on the one hand, because of the attacks by the Taliban, and on the other, because of the pressure from ISAF headquarters to crack down on the insurgents. The German soldiers, Neitzel concludes, were "sitting between two chairs."

A full troop withdrawal was out of the question for the Merkel government. "For political reasons, they wanted to continue being the third-largest provider of troops in Afghanistan. Doing so meant Germany had weight in the EU, the United Nations and above all in NATO."

The allies reacted with confusion to this contradictory behavior of the Germans and sometimes found the Bundeswehr soldiers to be cowards. "Anyone who tried to make an objective judgment knew that the German soldiers can and want to fight, but they are not allowed to," says Neitzel. The reasons, he says, stem from Germany's history: "The events of the Third Reich and the Second World War still have a massive impact on German political culture. But that is also used as an excuse."
German Chancellor Angela Merkel visiting soldiers in Mazar-i-Sharif, Afghanistan in 2007
For Chancellor Merkel's government, the participation in Afghanistan 'meant Germany had weight in the EU, the United Nations and above all in NATO,' says military scholar Neitzel

Annoyed allies
The result: Citing foreign policy reasons, Germany is always "a little involved" in multinational operations, but does not really want to fight, says the military expert. "Of course, that annoys everyone in NATO enormously."

This "strategic failure of the federal government," as Neitzel calls it, has weakened soldiers' loyalty to the state. He is therefore not surprised that the far-right populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) "is so popular among soldiers." Many who were previously loyal voters of Merkel's ruling conservative Christian Democrats would probably vote for the far-right party today.

Some 19 years on, the continuing Afghanistan mission raises the question of why Germany spends €45 billion ($53.4 billion) per year to retain its fighting forces, including combat troops, special forces and expensive weapons systems. But the German government consistently evades this question, Neitzel says. "At the strategic level, we have learned nothing from the Afghanistan mission."

Editorial note: This article has been updated because of a 2021 parliamentary decision to extend the Bundeswehr's mission in Afghanistan. The article was first published on September 11, 2020.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane


UK and EU reach agreement on post-Brexit financial services regulation
Issued on: 26/03/2021 - 22:59
The City of London financial district can be seen as people walk along the south side of the River Thames on March 19, 2021.

The City of London financial district can be seen as people walk along the south side of the River Thames on March 19, 2021. © Henry Nicholls, REUTERS
Text by:NEWS WIRES
4 min
Three months after Britain exited the EU, London on Friday reached a cooperation agreement on financial services with Brussels but despite this first step rivalries between the two sides remain.


The memorandum of understanding, which is still to be signed, will "create the framework for voluntary regulatory cooperation" and establish a regulatory forum which will "serve as a platform to facilitate dialogue on financial services issues", Britain's finance ministry said.
London and Brussels reached a last-gasp free trade agreement on December 24, just days before Britain was due to leave Europe's single market and customs union on January 1.

But the culmination of months of tense talks saw both sides agree to push back a decision on the finance sector, leaving it in limbo.

International banks took an early gamble to prepare for the worst and the possibility of a "hard Brexit" by strengthening their European operations, which allowed for a smooth transition when Britain left the customs union.

'Mutual benefit'
"The relationship is more one of competition than cooperation at the moment," Sarah Hall, professor of economic geography at the University of Nottingham, told AFP.

While the particulars of the agreement have not yet been released, the full text of the memorandum should be published once it is signed before an end of March deadline set by the UK and the European Union.

The City does not expect an ambitious agreement between the two sides, given the importance of the financial services sector to the British economy: it contributes about seven percent of GDP and 10 percent of the country's tax revenues amounting to £76 billion.

The memorandum is also not anticipated to address the crucial issue of equivalence, which allows London-based firms to operate on the European continent.

For equivalence to be agreed, it has to be granted in 40 separate areas of activity and these can easily be revoked.

For the time being, the EU has only granted two to Britain, while London has granted the EU equivalence in 17 areas. One of these, for example, allows European investors to use British clearing houses and another concerns securities deposits.

Brussels' approach to London in this regard has been less favourable than the 21 equivalences it has with the United States, the 19 it has with Japan and its 15 with Singapore.

Miles Celic, chief executive of TheCityUK, which represents financial services firms, said "securing equivalence determinations from the EU has mutual benefit, especially as economies seek to recover from the pandemic".

He added in a recent statement that the delay already had "the unintended consequence of driving more European financial activity to non-European centres, such as New York".
Hall said Brussels had taken a hard line because the EU fears that the UK will end up diverging from European rules.

"It seems clear that both the UK and the EU are currently working to support their own financial services sectors," she explained.

In an indication of the tensions between the two sides, the Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey has not hesitated to criticise the EU's demands on several occasions.

The loss of the European Economic Area (EEA) cross-border financial passport, which allowed UK companies to offer their services across Europe, has started to have an effect on the UK finance sector.

Amsterdam has overtaken the British capital in European equity trading. Some six billion euros departed London for the EU on the first day of trading after Britain departed the single market.

It is still difficult to assess the damage to Britain, especially as the pandemic has blurred financial outcomes.

However, Britain is already planning its fightback with an easing of stock market rules aimed at attracting start-ups, leading the charge on green finance and pivoting towards markets in Asia while potentially mulling other measures to attract investors.
(AFP)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Report: Center-left candidate in Germany favors EU army
The center-left Social Democrats’ candidate to succeed German Chancellor Angela Merkel is backing the idea of a European Union army but says the creation of one likely won’t happen in the near future

By The Associated Press
27 March 2021, 10:13

File - In this Tuesday, Dec. 8, 2020 file photo, German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz delivers his speech during the debate about Germany's budget 2021, at the parliament Bundestag in Berlin, Germany. The center-left Social Democrats’ candidate to suc

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The Associated Press
File - In this Tuesday, Dec. 8, 2020 file photo, German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz delivers his speech during the debate about Germany's budget 2021, at the parliament Bundestag in Berlin, Germany. The center-left Social Democrats’ candidate to succeed German Chancellor Angela Merkel is backing the idea of a European Union army. But Olaf Scholz told weekly Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung that likely won’t happen in the near term. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber, file)

BERLIN -- The center-left Social Democrats' candidate to succeed German Chancellor Angela Merkel is backing the idea of a European Union army but says the creation of one likely won't happen in the near future.

Olaf Scholz told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung newspaper that any EU force would need to be subject to the same parliamentary control as Germany's army, which only can be deployed with approval from national lawmakers.

In interview extracts published Saturday, the newspaper quoted Scholz as saying that an agreement on military missions would need to “take place in European bodies that would certainly include the European Parliament as well.”

The idea of a European army has long been under discussion, with some of the bloc's 27 member states in favor and others opposed. Scholz said establishing one was “not a topic for the short-term, though.”

Recent opinion polls for Germany's Sept. 26 national election put the Social Democratic Party in third place, behind Merkel's Union grouping and the environmentalist Green party.

Merkel has said she won't run for a fifth term.

Report: Center-left candidate in Germany favors EU army - ABC News (go.com)
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Biden Floats Rival Plan To China's 'Belt & Road' In Call With UK's Johnson
Tyler Durden's Photo

BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, MAR 27, 2021 - 05:00 PM
In a Friday phone call between President Biden and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson which focused on China and the coordinated sanctions actions the US and UK took this week in response to human rights abuses targeting China's Uighur minority, Biden floated the idea of initiating a Western "democratic" rival to China's 'Belt and Road' project.

Referring to the ambitious multi-trillion dollar infrastructure initiative which President Xi Jingping has spent years negotiating and pursuing, Biden told reporters of the phone call that, "We talked about China and the competition they’re engaging in in the Belt and Road Initiative."

"I suggested we should have, essentially, a similar initiative coming from the democratic states, helping those communities around the world that, in fact, need help," he added.


The words came a day after the first presidential press conference he's held since entering office, during which the president said he desired competition with China as opposed to confrontation.

"China has an overall goal—and I don’t criticize them for the goal—but they have an overall goal to become the leading country in the world," Biden said Thursday. "That’s not going to happen on my watch."

Friday's reference to a US-backed 'Belt and Road rival' further comes ahead of next week's unveiling of the White House's multitrillion-dollar plan for a major US infrastructure reboot and upgrade.

To review, China's BRI has involved over 100 countries signing agreements with China on huge undertakings that's seen China-constructed railways, highways, ports and new energy plants dot Eurasia. It's included some 2,600 projects at a cost of an estimated $3.7 trillion.

The BRI has been called "China's trade superhighway".

The BRI is a big part of what the US president had in mind when in his Thursday remarks he forecast that he expects "steep, steep competition" with China for many years to come, which is headed by a man "doesn’t have a democratic with a small ‘D’ bone in his body" - according to Biden's assessment of Xi.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Netherlands: Churchgoers breaking COVID rules attack journalists
Worshippers flouting pandemic measures in the Netherlands have responded to media attention with violence. Lawmakers have slammed the attacks on reporters.



Worshippers entering the Mieraskerk church in Krimpen aan den Ijssel
Some churches in the Netherlands have disregarded coronavirus measures and opened for full congregations

Police in the Netherlands arrested a man after he hit and kicked a journalist outside a Protestant church that had opened for a full congregation on Sunday despite the country's strict lockdown.

Reporters showed up at the Mieraskerk church in the town of Krimpen aan den Ijssel near the city of Rotterdam.

The church made headlines after reports that it was going ahead with a service for its entire congregation. The Netherlands is under a strict lockdown and has a rising COVID-19 rate.

The journalist Jacco van Giessen shared a video of the incident on Twitter, writing that "the pain has gone but I am still shocked — I was attacked during my work this morning by a churchgoer in Krimpen.

The 43-year-old man accused of the attack was escorted out of the church during the service and arrested.



Watch video03:04
Dutch police break up anti-lockdown protest
Not an isolated event

Worshippers at the Sion church in the town of Urk, northeast of Amsterdam, also reportedly attacked journalists at a service that took place without observing any protective measures.
A churchgoer deliberately hit a TV cameraman outside the church with his car, the German news agency dpa reported.

The journalists involved in the attacks were reportedly only slightly injured.

Reporters were also targeted with violence during anti-curfew riots earlier in the year.



Watch video01:49
Dutch bar and shop owners defy lockdown
Outrage over attacks on journalists

Several Dutch lawmakers from different political parties reacted with anger to the reports of violence and disregard for lockdown measures.

"Independent journalism is necessary for a democratic constitutional state," Justice Minister Ferd Grapperhaus said.

"Let journalists do their job," tweeted Lilianne Ploumen, the leader of the Social Democrats. Dutch police shared a similar message on Twitter.

Prime Minister Mark Rutte had already criticized the decision by the churches to hold in-person services during the lockdown.

The Dutch constitution prohibits the government from banning religious communities from gathering, but most have gone along with lockdown measures and allowed only a maximum of 30 people to take part in services.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
German government buys stake in defense supplier Hensoldt

The German government is buying a minority stake in defense supplier Hensoldt, a company that derives from European aircraft manufacturer Airbus’ former defense and security electronics division, for security reasons

By The Associated Press
29 March 2021, 04:14

BERLIN -- The German government is buying a minority stake in defense supplier Hensoldt — a company that derives from European aircraft manufacturer Airbus' former defense and security electronics division — for security reasons.

The state-owned KfW development bank said Monday that it was buying 25.1% of the shares in Hensoldt on behalf of the federal government in Berlin. That gives the government a blocking minority under German law.

KfW didn't detail the value of the purchase.

Germany's Cabinet decided in December to buy the stake in order to prevent “unfriendly powers” from getting hold of things such as sensors and encryption technology for military use, news agency dpa reported.

Among other things, Hensoldt supplies components for Eurofighter planes.

Hensoldt has about 5,600 employees and had revenue of 1.2 billion euros ($1.4 billion) last year. It is based in Taufkirchen, near Munich.

German government buys stake in defense supplier Hensoldt - ABC News
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Belarus charges Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya with terrorism
Authorities say they have opened an investigation into the exiled opposition figure over allegations she plotted to stage explosions in Minsk and other cities. Her spokeswoman dismissed the claims as "absurd."



Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya won the EU's Sakharov Prize for human rights last year

Belarus said on Monday it had charged Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, the country's exiled opposition leader, with terrorism offenses.

Prosecutor General Andrei Shved said a criminal investigation has been opened into Tsikhanouskaya, who fled to Lithuania after August's disputed presidential vote.

Watch video11:13
Women of Power: Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Shved saidthe 38-year-old is accused of attempting to stage explosions and arson attacks in the Belarusian capital of Minsk and other cities several days ago.

Several other unidentified suspects were also charged, authorities said.

How has Tsikhanouskaya responded?
Anna Krasulina, a spokeswoman for Tsikhanouskaya, dismissed the accusations as "absurd."
"We need an immediate response from the international community to the continuing violence," she said, pointing to fresh violence by security forces.




Watch video00:28
Merkel calls for end to repression in Belarus
It is the not the first time officials in Belarus have alleged the leading opposition figure has been involved in criminal activity.

Earlier this month, they requested her extradition from Lithuania, only to be met by a stinging rebuke from the country's foreign minister.

Lithuania's top diplomat, Gabrielius Landsbergis, said he would "rather watch hell freeze over" than consider the request.

"Everyone who finds refuge in Lithuania can feel safe that they will not be extradited to regimes," he said.
People, most of them pensioners, hold old Belarusian national flags march during an opposition rally to protest the official presidential election results in Minsk, Belarus, Monday, Oct. 26, 2020
Demonstrators have been taking to the streets for months

What has been happening in Belarus?
Belarus has been engulfed by protests ever since official results of the August vote gave Lukashenko a sixth term in office by a landslide.

The opposition says the election was rigged and that Tsikhanouskaya is the true winner.



Watch video04:57
Belarus: Protesters dance against Lukashenko
The country saw the largest anti-government protests in the former Soviet republic's history.
More than 33,000 people were arrested during the demonstrations, and many of them were beaten by police.

A number of journalists have been jailed and convicted on security charges, while senior opposition figures have also been detained.

DW correspondent Nick Connolly was arrested for the second time in a week on Saturday, before being released after five hours.

Lukashenko, once branded Europe's last dictator, has accused Western powers of fomenting the unrest, although he has provided no evidence for his claim.
He has strongly repressed opposition and independent news media during his 26 years in power.
Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko
Lukashenko has been in power for more than a quarter of a century
jf/nm (AP, Reuters)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
A new hypothesis
The French armed forces are planning for high-intensity war

After a decade of counter-insurgency, plans are changing
Europe

Mar 28th 2021
The Economist
LONDON AND PARIS

IN THE FORESTS and plains of the Champagne-Ardenne region, where once the great powers went into battle, the French armed forces are beginning to prepare for the return of a major conflict. Planned for 2023, Exercise Orion is a full-scale divisional exercise that will last several days, based probably out of camps at Suippes, Mailly, and Mourmelon. It will involve the full range of French military capacity on a scale not tested for decades. The drill will include command-post exercises, hybrid scenarios, simulation and live-fire drills. Around 10,000 soldiers could take part, as well as the air force and, in a separate maritime sequence, the navy. Belgian, British and American forces may join in.

There are other signs that the French armed forces are in the midst of a generational transformation. In January the general staff quietly established ten working groups to examine the country’s readiness for high-intensity war. French generals reckon that they have a decade or so to prepare for it. The groups cover everything from munition shortages to the resilience of society, including whether citizens are “ready to accept the level of casualties we have never seen since world war two”, says one participant. The spectre of high-end war is now so widespread in French military thinking that the scenario has its own acronym: HEM, or hypothèse d'engagement majeur (hypothesis of major engagement). The presumed opponents are unnamed, but analysts point not only to Russia, but also Turkey or a North African country.

That represents a seismic shift for French forces. Thirty years ago they mostly did peacekeeping. Over the past decade, they have turned to counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism, whether abroad (Opération Barkhane in the Sahel) or at home (Opération Sentinelle). In his strategic vision for 2030 published last year, however, General Thierry Burkhard, the head of the French army, outlined the need to prepare for high-intensity, state-on-state conflict.

“We absolutely have to prepare for a more dangerous world,” General Burkhard recently told The Economist. This requires what he calls a “hardening” of the land army. Currently France keeps 5,100 troops in the Sahel as part of Barkhane. Future operations “could involve brigades, or a division”, meaning 8,000-25,000 soldiers. The need to change scale over the next decade, says the general, will require a mix of reforms: more demanding recruitment; investment in modern equipment; simpler organisational structures to make the army more nimble; and toughened training for a major conflict. “We will be tested more and more brutally,” he says. “We need to realise this.”

When Emmanuel Macron was elected president in 2017 he raised initial doubts within the armed forces about his commitment to military spending. After imposing a round of short-term cuts, he rowed publicly with General Pierre de Villiers, then head of the joint chiefs of staff, prompting the general to resign. Since then, however, Mr Macron has kept a campaign promise to invest heavily in his soldiers.

20210403_euc316.png


The defence budget for 2019-25 got a big boost, taking annual spending to €50bn ($59bn) by the end of the period, by which time it will be 46% up on its level of 2018. Weighted towards the later years, the budget allows military planners to think ahead, buy kit and reorganise. “It’s the first time in memory that we have a reasonable fit between the planning documents and the budget allocated,” says François Heisbourg, of the Foundation for Strategic Research. It also means that France now meets its NATO commitment to spend at least 2% of its GDP on defence.

The core of French military modernisation is the Scorpion programme, a $6.8bn project to replace virtually every front-line motorised and armoured vehicle in the army, upgrade the 1990s-era Leclerc tank and connect all these together over a new digital network. The idea is that a first fully-equipped Scorpion brigade should be ready by 2023. Rémy Hémez, a French officer and researcher, says that in the 15 years between 2010 and 2025, the army’s equipment will have changed more than it did in the four decades between 1970 and 2010.

Marchons, marchons

In many respects, France’s approach to future war differs from the tech-heavy vision recently unveiled by Britain. Whereas Britain is cutting troops and armour, France is keeping 60% more soldiers than Britain plans to, and 50% more tanks. It has been relatively slow to acquire and arm drones. “There is a great risk of falling behind as automation on the battlefield accelerates,” warned a report by the Institut Montaigne, a think-tank. Indeed, French officers tend to be more sceptical than British or American ones that technology will transform the battlefield. “Technology is never 100% effective,” warns General Burkhard. “Soldiers must always be able to fight in a degraded way…when the technology does not work any more.”

That does not mean France is ignoring new domains of war; space, in particular, is a priority. In September last year France’s air force became the “Air and Space Force”, having earlier stood up a new military space command in Toulouse. The French armed forces are also expanding their information warfare and cyber capabilities. In December 2020 Facebook and Instagram removed a network of 100 fake accounts linked to the French armed forces after they sparred with Russian-backed ones over the Central African Republic and Mali, among other African battlegrounds where the two countries vie for influence.

As France starts to gear up its armed forces for all these new forms of warfare, however, there are a number of serious challenges. The Sahel experience, says General Burkhard, is “undeniably a real strength”. Over a vast area of semi-arid scrub, soldiers and special forces take part in high-risk combat operations, which are both technically and tactically challenging. The French army has reported 57 deaths since 2013. Yet Barkhane is a highly asymmetric conflict, in which the French enjoy air supremacy, with no communications interference nor threat from drones, missiles or cyber-attacks.

The other problem is that French forces are being pulled in several directions at once. In mid-March a dozen French tanks, 160 armoured vehicles and 300 troops arrived in Tapa, in Estonia. They were the latest French contribution to the NATO battlegroups stationed in Poland and the Baltic states to deter Russian attack. Indeed military staff assume future engagements would be alongside allies—if not NATO, then at least America, or a coalition of the willing. These modernisation efforts are consistent both with NATO’s priorities and with Mr Macron’s desire for Europe to bolster its indigenous defences, though France and others remain reliant on American support for key enabling assets, like airlift and air defence.

In addition to eastern Europe, France is increasingly preoccupied to the south. In the eastern Mediterranean, France and Turkey have clashed over Libya, Syria and Cyprus, prompting Mr Macron to dispatch two warplanes and a frigate to Greek waters last August. On top of that, France is also deeply involved in the Indo-Pacific, where its overseas territories contain 1.6m French citizens and 7,000 soldiers. France has sustained a steady naval presence in the area.

The catch is that the navy has just 15 major surface ships to deal with all these issues, points out Admiral Pierre Vandier, France’s chief of naval staff. “All of us Europeans are on thin ice. We may stretch our forces between doing well in the Atlantic, doing well in the Med, doing well in the Gulf and doing well in the Indo-Pacific.” Prioritising between these is no longer a job for the armed forces, he says, but “a political decision” for Mr Macron or his successor. “We will have choices to make, for sure.”

A new hypothesis - The French armed forces are planning for high-intensity war | Europe | The Economist
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

MARCH 31, 20215:05 AMUPDATED AN HOUR AGO
Putin accuses Ukraine of provoking clashes with pro-Russian separatists amid tensions
By Reuters Staff
2 MIN READ

MOSCOW (Reuters) - President Vladimir Putin accused Ukraine of provoking armed confrontation with pro-Russian separatists and failing to honour earlier agreements over its wartorn east, the Kremlin said in a readout of a telephone call with France and Germany’s leaders.

The comments during a call late on Tuesday with French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel came shortly after Ukraine’s commander-in-chief accused Russia of a military buildup near Ukraine’s borders.

The Ukrainian army chief also said that pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in the conflict in eastern Ukraine.


Tensions have flared in a conflict that has killed 14,000 people since it erupted in 2014, according to Ukraine. Kyiv and Moscow have blamed each other for a recent spate of violence.

In the Kremlin’s readout of the call, Putin placed the blame on Ukraine and urged Kyiv to enter into direct dialogue with local separatist forces.

“The Russian side expressed serious concern over the escalation of armed confrontation that is being provoked by Ukraine along the line of contact and its effective refusal to implement the agreements of July 2020 ... to strengthen the ceasefire regime,” the Kremlin said.



Germany, Russia and France are part of the Normandy format that also includes Ukraine and that was set up in 2014 to try to resolve the conflict in Ukraine’s east.

Putin, Merkel and Macron also discussed the prospects for registering Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine against COVID-19 in the European Union, as well as Libya, Syria, the Iran nuclear deal, the Kremlin said. Putin also answered questions about jailed opposition politician Alexei Navalny, it added.

Reporting by Tom Balmforth; editing by Shri Navaratnam
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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northern watch

TB Fanatic
Polish officer to hold US V Corps post under exchange deal
Poland’s defense ministry says a senior Polish officer has been appointed deputy commander of U.S. Army V Corps at Fort Knox under a military exchange program

By The Associated Press
31 March 2021, 05:49

WARSAW, Poland -- Poland’s defense ministry say a senior Polish officer has been appointed deputy commander of U.S. Army V Corps at Fort Knox under a military exchange program.

Maj. Gen. Adam Joks, 54, will take up the position in the summer, serving as deputy to Lt. Gen. John S. Kolasheski.

Polish and U.S. officials said Monday that the appointment underlines the two nations’ strong defense ties.

A far-flung Forward Command of the V Corps was launched in Poznan, Poland last fall, as part of Washington’s response to Polish concerns about regional security at a time of Russia’s increased military activity.

Around 5,000 U.S. troops are based in Poland.

Polish officer to hold US V Corps post under exchange deal - ABC News (go.com)
 
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