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August 29, 2015
Weekly Recon: 8/23-8/29
By Blake Baiers
Welcome to the Weekly Recon. On this day in 1945 US forces under General George Marshall landed in Japan. This advance guard of 150 American technicians landed at Atsugi airfield, near Yokohama. For the first time, the Allies set foot on Japanese soil. Their arrival has been delayed for 48 hours by the forecast of a typhoon.
This week saw a lot of buzz about weapons systems. A major, long awaited, contract was awarded, an epic close-air-support ‘battle royal’ was announced, and the global arms market heated up.
JLTV Goes to Oshkosh – For now
So long as you haven’t been in a coma for the past four days, you have probably been inundated with myriad articles letting you know that the Army’s Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) contract went to Oshkosh Defense. The contract is for an initial batch of 17,000 vehicles, but the Army hope to buy ~49,000 vehicles by 2040. The Marines are to get 5,500 of the first batch of JLTVs, but they do not plan to purchase any more of the vehicles so to divert funds to their planned Amphibious Combat Vehicle (ACV). Whether or not the Wisconsin company will keep the contract is up in the air. There is still a chance a different design could be produced in Indiana or Arkansas.
The Oshkosh design, which it calls the L-ATV, is a scaled down version of the company’s M-ATV that was used by the military in Iraq and Afghanistan. The award of this contract helps to lock down Oshkosh’s preeminence in the world of military trucks. Oshkosh was awarded contracts for both medium and heavy trucks within the past year. Having won the JLTV contest, Oshkosh will supply trucks across the size spectrum for the Army and Marines, leaving little room for competition.
Oshkosh’s JLTV competitors, Lockheed Martin and AM General (the producer of the Humvee), have the option to contest the award of the contract, but neither company has filed such a request to the Government Accountability Office yet.
Both companies planned to produce their vehicles in the districts of Congressional heavy hitters from both the Senate and House Armed Services Committees, so they will have ample support in Congress should a fight over the contract be sparked.
AM General’s factory is located in Mishawaka, IN, nestled in the district of Rep. Jackie Walorski, R-Ind., a member of the House Armed Services Committee. Sen. Joe Donnelly, D-Ind., a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, could also step in to defend AM General.
Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., represents the district that Lockheed Martin planned to build their JLTV in, had it been awarded the contract. Cotton is an outspoken member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, and said the following in a statement released after the JLTV award was announced:
“I am disappointed the Army did not select Lockheed Martin to build the JLTV,” he said.” I am confident the work and infrastructure Lockheed Martin put in place to bid on this project will bring other economic benefits. And as Lockheed Martin explores their next steps, we stand ready to assist them however we can.”
Time will tell what happens with the JLTV, and who will produce it in the end. The only thing that is for sure is that the sun has set on the era of the Humvee, for Americans at least.
F-35 vs. A-10 vs. Scorpion -- Should Textron Get its ‘Rocky’ Moment?
Earlier this week it was announced that the A-10 would to go head to head with the F-35 in a test to compare each aircraft’s close-air-support (CAS) capabilities. The test is scheduled for 2018, a necessary delay since the F-35’s gun will not be operational until 2017.
Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Welsh initially wrote off the test as “silly,” only to later come out in support of the exercise saying it, “is the only way to ensure a new weapon system meets the requirements we established.”
This challenge can be compared to the mid-1980s ‘classic’, Rocky 4. The low-tech, but sturdy crowd favorite, the A-10 (Rocky), will go up against the state-of-the-art, shiny new wonder-weapon, the F-35 (Capt. Ivan Drago), in a high profile fight.
Much like Rocky, the A-10 has been called too old to stay in the fight. Also like Rocky (and Sylvester Stallone), the A-10 is doing its best to hide its age. Several A-10s have been deployed in recent months to Europe, as a show of force to deter Russian aggression, and the Middle East, to combat ISIS.
Although the aircraft has recently been deployed, and is a revered CAS platform, the Air Force is still trying to retire it by 2019. Should that happen, there would be a void in CAS capabilities that many fear the F-35 cannot fill. If the 2018 test gives credence to these fears, the Air Force could be in hot water with the other branches that depend on their life-saving CAS.
Back to the Rocky 4 analogy - what if the A-10 played the part of Apollo Creed, and not Rocky? Perhaps a new Rocky could emerge from the field of alternatives as a more capable CAS platform than the F-35. The only way to know for sure is to allow other competitors into the 2018 test.
Take for example the Textron-AirLand Scorpion, the option most comparable to the A-10. It is readily available and relatively cheap. The F-35 is slated to cost an average of $135M per unit, while the Scorpion costs only $20M per base unit. The Scorpion costs around $3,000 per flight hour, an operational cost much cheaper than the A-10 and F-35. It is also cheaper to maintain, as it uses several off-the-shelf commercial aviation parts. These attributes have drawn the attention of foreign buyers. Bulgaria and the United Kingdom have both shown interest in the aircraft.
The Air Force has hinted that it is looking for an A-10 replacement - could the Scorpion fit the bill? There’s only one way to find out.
Big Week for Global Arms Trade
This week saw a lot of activity in the global arms market.
It may be a bad time to buy European food goods in Russia, but it appears to be a good time to buy weapons systems from Moscow. China is in nearing the closure of a deal to buy Russian Su-35s. Indonesia is also buying Su-35s. Iran plans to also buy Russian fighter jets, and is still in talks with Russia to buy S-300 missiles, which has the Pentagon upset. Pakistan bought Russian helicopters, and has shown interest in Russian fixed-wing trainer aircraft. Bangladesh, too, is purchasing Russian made helicopters, with assistance from Moscow. Belarus plans to purchase Russian trainer aircraft. Russia’s weapons deals in the Middle East threaten to shake up the regional market. Russia is seeking to land more arms deals by courting buyers at its MAKS-2015 Airshow.
South Sudan was in the news this week after President Salva Kiir signed a peace deal to end the country’s 20-month long civil war. A UN report was released showing that Chinese and Israeli weapons imports had been fueling that conflict. The South Sudanese military had also been flying Russian made Mi-24 Hind helicopters, which it did not operate before the outbreak of the war.
Weapons deals emerged elsewhere, too: Thailand is buying helicopters from Europe. Pakistan is buying AH-1Z Viper attack helicopters from Bell Helicopters, through the Pentagon. France is being courted by at least 12 nations to purchase its Mistral-class ships after their sale to Russia was canceled in response to the latter’s actions in Ukraine. Australia is looking to possibly acquire Japanese submarines.
If you would like to continue the weapons sales theme into your weekend, Lord of War is now streaming on Netflix.
Defense World
NORTH KOREA: Before the deal between North and South Korea was reached, Pyongyang ordered 70% of the nation’s submarine fleet to deploy. After a deal was reached the subs began returning to their bases.
U.S. NAVY: Politicians and analysts are calling for a larger Navy, but can the U.S. afford it?
CHINA/US: Climate change and U.S. military strategy, a potential for cooperation with the Chinese.
NORAD: After recent breaches by small aircraft, NORAD tested radar vulnerabilities in the Washington DC area in an effort to combat the threat of gyrocopters and ultra-light aircraft.
U.S./S. Korea: The U.S. will send B-2 Bombers to Guam in support the Republic of Korea.
INTELLIGENCE: The Pentagon is investigating whether or not intelligence reports on ISIS were ‘skewed.’
INTELLIGENCE: The U.S. spy agencies are like old-school porn – but that’s changing.
HI-TECH: The U.S. Military got a guidebook to the ‘cloud.’
U.S. MILITARY: Number One Priority: Nuclear Deterrence.
NATO: The U.S. and NATO members are preparing for hybrid warfare.
SAUDI ARABIA/YEMEN: Saudi ground forces have entered Yemen for the first time.
U.S. NAVY: The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower has left the Norfolk Shipyard after undergoing 2 years of repairs.
U.S. Military: A new approach to combat training for troops is being fielded that is designed to help combat PTSD.
UKRAINE: The Ukrainian military fell short of its most recent conscription goals, which threatens another round of conscription, or possibly a draft.
IRAQ: Suicide bombing kills 2 Iraqi generals.
PENTAGON: The Pentagon denies that it is reviewing the number of F-35s to be purchased.
PENTAGON: Defense contractors are saying that the Pentagon moved too fast on new cyber rules following recent data breeches, and that contracts will now be retroactively rewritten.
LOCKHEED MARTIN: Lockheed Martin was fined $4.8M for using taxpayer money to fund lobbying efforts to secure a federal contract.
National Security - 2016
Here is where the 2016 candidates stand on the Iran Deal.
Donald Trump and Ted Cruz will hold a joint anti-Iran rally on Capitol Hill.
Is Donald Trump the person to solve the Israel-Palestine dispute?
Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., laid out an aggressive foreign policy agenda in a speech at the Citadel, told Obama he should call off China’s Xi Jinping’s state visit to the U.S., and had an exchange of words with Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations, on the Morning Joe.
Marco Rubio also criticized the Chinese leader’s visit this week.
In 2011 Vice President Joe Biden implored President Obama not to give the go-ahead for the SEAL raid that eliminated Osama bin Laden, a fact that could hurt him in a 2016 Run.
Ben Carson has called for the use of drones to destroy caves along the U.S.-Mexican border so to deny individuals from illegally entering the country, but not to kill anyone.
Jeb Bush called for the end of sequestration of the military.
Word on the Hill
The Senate Cyber-Security bill hinges on 22 amendments.
Retired Generals and Admirals sent an open letter to congress urging lawmakers to reject the Iran nuclear deal. The deal seems imminent, however, as now critics of the deal are in agreement that defeat is on the horizon and they move to avoid a filibuster so to save face and maintain any political points secured in their speaking out against the deal.
Acquisition Alley
PENTAGON: The Department of Defense’s first partnership with a Silicon Valley was announced this week, and will be for the procurement of flexible electronics. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter visited Silicon Valley to make the announcement, where wary ‘techies’ apprehensively greeted him.
U.S. ARMY: The U.S. Army is set to choose a new landing craft.
BIG DATA: The Pentagon is making a big bet on big data.
RAYTHEON: The Patriot Missile system is getting updated radar to help stay ahead of adversaries.
RAYTHEON: The AIM-9X Sidewinder missile, generally and air-to-air missile, was tested as a ground based surface-to-air weapon system.
LOCKHEED MARTIN: Lockheed has moved forward with its blended wing hybrid transport jet design.
BOEING: Boeing was awarded a $1.49B contract to build an extra 13 P-8A Poseidon maritime surveillance aircraft.
BOEING: The U.S. Air Force is reviewing the KC-46 schedule after recent setbacks.
BOEING: This week Boeing showed off its new, compact drone killing laser cannon.
SOF: Special Operations Forces are interested in ‘motopeds.’
POLARIS: Polaris has begun delivering a new batch of off-road vehicles for use by U.S. Special Operations Command troops.
CYBER: As vehicles become more reliant on technology, fear of hacking and the need for vehicle-level cybersecurity is on the rise.
RUSSIA: The Russian military has plans to revive Soviet-era armored trains.
GERMANY: The German Army will begin replacing the G36 rifles of its soldiers on active duty with HK417 rifles to correct accuracy issues with the G36 until a final decision on a replacement can be reached.
PAKISTAN: The Pakistani nuclear arsenal may very well be the 3rd largest in the world.
JAPAN: The Japanese Navy has launched an Izumo-Class Helicopter Carrier.
Quartermaster’s Closet
The Browning Automatic Rifle (BAR) has been updated for the 21st century battlefield.
Magpul released a new double-duty front sight post.
President Obama announced a pay increase for military personnel of 1.3% in 2016.
Sightmark released a new line of pistol-lasers.
Tailgating season is upon us, so make sure to get your Battle Mug, complete with picatinny rails and M-4 carry handle.
Check out Beretta’s M4, the civilian version of the military’s M1014.
If you’re in the market for an AR-15, don’t expect to find one at Walmart.
Make sure to pick up a Chest Rig tie, made in the USA by transitioning veterans in a vocational rehabilitation program.
If your spice cabinet is short on saffron and you need to restock, look no further than Rumi Spice, a veteran owned and operated company that imports Afghan saffron directly from farmers.
Blake Baiers is an Assistant Editor at RealClearDefense. You can follow him on Twitter at @BlakeBaiers.