WAR 04-29-2017-to-05-05-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Sorry for the delay folks, been rattling around and on my phone for the last couple of days...HC

(265) 04-08-2017-to-04-14-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...14-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

(266) 04-15-2017-to-04-21-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...21-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

(267) 04-22-2017-to-04-28-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...28-2017_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****


For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...5405f56d3e4_story.html?utm_term=.02d3f9a71482

The Americas

As the poor join protests, Venezuela may be hitting a turning point

By Mariana Zuñiga and Nick Miroff April 29 at 4:41 PM

CARACAS, Venezuela — In the cramped hillside slums where they once adored Hugo Chávez, hungry families now jeer and bang pots at the man struggling in his shadow, President Nicolás Maduro.

Chávez, a master showman who promised his country a socialist “revolution,” loved to wade through crowds of poor Venezuelans, blowing kisses and dispensing hugs. But when his successor has ventured out in public in recent months, he’s been pelted with eggs and chased by angry mobs.

“Maduro is so different,” said Irene Castillo, 26, who lives in El Guarataro, a tough neighborhood not far from the presidential palace. She voted for Maduro in 2013 when Chávez died after 14 years in power. But no one on Castillo’s block supports the government anymore, she said. “Now, those who remain ‘chavistas’ are just the radicals.”

As the country’s bloody, volatile month-old protest movement hardens into a prolonged standoff between demonstrators and the government, the loyalties of poorer Venezuelans like Castillo have become a swing factor in determining whether the president will survive.

The thousands of demonstrators pouring into the streets in recent weeks are mostly middle class, outraged by Venezuela’s economic collapse and the government’s increasingly authoritarian rule. But Venezuelans from longtime chavista strongholds are starting to join them, at considerable risk. Residents of Castillo’s neighborhood protested openly against Maduro for the first time last week.

Pro-government block captains in neighborhoods like El Guarataro have responded by threatening to deny food rations to those who march with the opposition or fail to join pro-Maduro rallies. Militia groups armed by the government known as “colectivos” are deployed to intimidate would-be defectors and are suspected in the deaths of several protesters.

As the confrontation escalates, many other destitute Venezuelans remain on the sidelines, disillusioned with Maduro but unpersuaded by his opponents, or too busy looking for food to join a march.

Aside from a military revolt, there is perhaps nothing Maduro fears more than a rebellion spreading through the neighborhoods that long backed Chávez. There are signs it’s already happening.

[Government opponents appeal to Venezuela’s military as chaos grows]

On several occasions this month, a pattern has emerged, in which mostly middle-class Venezuelans and student activists swarm the capital’s main highway during the day, while poorer residents stage smaller protests in their neighborhoods at night, some of which have degenerated into chaos and looting.

In El Guarataro, where services like electricity and water are frequently shut off, residents built barricades of flaming debris in the streets this week , clanging pots and pans at their windows to amplify their frustration. Riot police and national guard troops arrived, touching off clashes in a neighborhood that has long been a solid-red bastion of support for the government.

“The base of the chavista movement has eroded, and the situation is growing more explosive,” said Margarita Lopez Maya, a political analyst in Caracas. “There’s no bread, but the government continues to insist it has the majority of Venezuelans on its side, so it looks increasingly dissociated from the reality of people’s lives.”

The leaders of the Democratic Unity party, the big-tent coalition of Maduro opponents, are demanding that the government release political prisoners and move up presidential elections due to take place in late 2018. They also want full power restored to the legislative branch, which Maduro and pro-government judges have stymied since the opposition won majority control in 2015.

Maduro has called on supporters to march through Caracas on May 1, international labor day, in a show of strength. He depicts his opponents as terrorists who are trying to sow chaos to prepare the ground for a foreign invasion.

[Venezuela says it will quit the Organization of American States]

With the world’s largest oil reserves, Venezuela used to be one of Latin America’s most prosperous nations. Now it’s among the most miserable, tormented by rampant crime, corruption and staggering government dysfunction. A scarcity of food and basic medicine has left more and more Venezuelans suffering from empty stomachs or languishing in squalid hospitals.

The shortages have spread widely but fallen hardest on the poor.

A survey by three of the country’s leading universities found three-fourths of Venezuelans lost weight last year, by an average of 19 pounds.

Aware that mass hunger will hasten Maduro’s demise, the government last year began assigning food sacks to Venezuelans in poorer areas, putting local party activists in charge of distribution. The program is known by its acronym CLAP, and in neighborhoods like El Guarataro, residents know they could go without meals if they join protests or decline to join government-organized marches.

“They are afraid of losing the CLAP bag,” said Mirlenis Palacios, 45, an activist for the Primero Justicia party of opposition leader Henrique Capriles, whom the government recently banned from running for office for 15 years.

In interviews, several residents of poorer Caracas neighborhoods said they have been warned not to participate in any anti-government protests. “They blackmailed us with the bag,” said one man in El Guarataro, speaking on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation.

Pro-government “colectivo” militants on motorcycles are a more fearsome threat. Phil Gunson, a Venezuela-based analyst for the International Crisis Group, said they function like a paramilitary police force, suppressing potential protests while allowing the government to deny responsibility for their violence.

“They are a very effective form of intimidation,” Gunson said. “They openly display weapons on the street, and everyone knows who they are. So if you’re an opposition activist, it’s very risky to dissent in the barrios.”

The government is losing the hearts and minds of Venezuela’s poor, said Gunson, “so its control is largely through force and the threat to deny government welfare benefits, including food.”

The poorer neighborhoods are still widely referred to as “chavista” neighborhoods, but the label no longer applies, said Luis Vicente León, director of the Datanalisis polling firm, whose recent survey found 88 percent of Venezuelans are unhappy with the government.

“The Venezuelans living in those neighborhoods want change, too,” León said. “But they don’t have time to go to marches, and they have no leadership.” Even as they sour on Maduro, he added, they feel the middle-class opposition movement is “not their natural ally.”

Democratic Unity activists only recently have begun making inroads in Caracas’s poorest districts, he said, because it remains dangerous for them to attempt ordinary grass-roots political work like knocking on doors or staging rallies.

But León said there are clearly more poor Venezuelans at opposition protests now than there were in 2014, when the government last faced a major rebellion, months of clashes in which more than 40 people were killed.

The political violence this month has left 29 dead, including Venezuelans apparently slain during looting.

Maduro still has Venezuela’s military, its oil revenue and its state-run media, even as the poor have started to tune out the propaganda. But the biggest obstacle the opposition faces in appealing to the poor may be the perception that the street protests won’t make a difference.

“We’re almost reaching a month of protests, and it’s done nothing,” said Xavier Hernández, 23, a motorcycle-taxi driver who lives in El Guarataro. “I’m not going to risk my life for it,” he said.

Miroff reported from Bogota, Colombia.


Read more

In Venezuela and Turkey, strongmen fear the limits of their power

How ‘food apartheid’ is punishing some Venezuelans

A top Venezuelan official’s son makes video plea for his dad to ‘end the injustice’

Government opponents appeal to Venezuela’s military as chaos grows

Today’s coverage from Post correspondents around the world

46 Comments

Nick Miroff is a Latin America correspondent for The Post, roaming from the U.S.-Mexico borderlands to South America’s southern cone. He has been a staff writer since 2006. Follow @nickmiroff
 
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Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Posted by Lilbitsnana and Mzkitty earlier today into the prior WoW thread.....Thanks Gals for keeping the thread going....HC

Lilbitsnana.....
The Intel Crab Retweeted
Raveen Aujmaya‏ @raveenaujmaya 33m33 minutes ago

BREAKING #Israeli fighter jets launch massive airstrikes against #Syrian army positions in #Quneitra, SW of #Syria..


The Intel Crab‏ @IntelCrab 37m37 minutes ago

The Intel Crab Retweeted Kurdistan24 English

#Breaking:

The Intel Crab added,
Kurdistan24 EnglishVerified account @K24English
#BREAKING: Israeli warplanes launch airstrikes against Syrian army positions in Quneitra, south-western #Syria.

Mzkitty.....
They also fired another 3-4,000 people who held administrative positions:


Nick Falco‏ @Nick_Falco 13m13 minutes ago

#BREAKING TURKEY BANS DATING PROGRAMS ON TV AND RADIO: OFFICIAL GAZETTE

Is Sharia Law on the way in Turkey? Mass purges now no dating shows


Robert W. Neill, Jr.‏ @rwneilljr 2m2 minutes ago

http://robwire.com Turkey blocks Wikipedia http://dlvr.it/P1XjBt #breaking #news

Lilbitsnana.....
Or not....Syria denies it, or at least no base hit. Interesting.


Haaretz.com‏Verified account @haaretzcom 12m12 minutes ago

UPDATE: Syria denies reports of attack on #Quneitra


Haaretz.com‏Verified account @haaretzcom 23m23 minutes ago

Syrian military sources were quoted as denying the attack, saying the Syrian Army's 90th Brigade was not hit

Mzkitty.....
Goes with Post #34 above:

AOC‏ @AOC_Security 7m7 minutes ago

#BREAKING signs are #Turkey about to crack down on the #internet. If you must #travel there, use a #vpn. #Istanbul #Erdogan #wikipedia

Lilbitsnana.....
Steve Herman‏Verified account @W7VOA 1h1 hour ago

A US service member has been killed by an IED outside of Mosul, according to @DeptofDefense. #Iraq

Mzkitty.....
Woo!! Overkill !! It's really getting cray cray in Turkey today. I know this has to be related somehow:

arash choupani‏ @northlyman 3m3 minutes ago

#Breaking: Sayeed Karimian, head of an outlawed #Iranian satellite channel, has been murdered in #Istanbul.


KavehTaheri‏ @TaheriKaveh 7m7 minutes ago
KavehTaheri Retweeted ManotoNews

#Breaking: CEO of GEM TV was allegedly shot by at least 27 bullets in #Turkey, Persian news agencies reported.

Lilbitsnana.....
Rami al-Lolah‏ @RamiAILoIah 10m10 minutes ago

#BREAKING #Russia|n army Special Forces troops and army heavy vehicles deployed in Afrin near #Turkey borders northwest of #Syria

Lilbitsnana.....
Rami al-Lolah‏ @RamiAILoIah 12m12 minutes ago
Replying to @RamiAILoIah

Rami al-Lolah Retweeted Rami al-Lolah

#BREAKING #Russia|n troops with YPG terror group now patrolling #Syria|n #Turkey borders from Janders to Bulbul..

Rami al-Lolah added,
Rami al-Lolah @RamiAILoIah
#BREAKING #Russia|n army Special Forces troops and army heavy vehicles deployed in Afrin near #Turkey borders northwest of #Syria
 
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Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm.....

For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.realcleardefense.com/art...itary_expands_into_africa_mideast_111271.html

UAE's Battle-hardened Military Expands Into Africa, Mideast

By Jon Gambrell
April 29, 2017

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — The United Arab Emirates is better known for its skyscrapers and pampered luxuries, but its small size belies a quiet expansion of its battle-hardened military into Africa and elsewhere in the Middle East.

The seven-state federation ranks as one of Washington's most prominent Arab allies in the fight against the Islamic State group, hosting some 5,000 American military personnel, fighter jets and drones. But the practice gunfire echoing through the deserts near bases outside of Dubai and recent military demonstrations in the capital of Abu Dhabi show a country increasingly willing to flex its own muscle amid its suspicions about Iran.

Already, the UAE has landed expeditionary forces in Afghanistan and Yemen. Its new overseas bases on the African continent show this country, which U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis calls "Little Sparta," has even larger ambitions.

FROM PROTECTORATE TO PROTECTOR

The UAE, a federation of seven sheikhdoms, only became a country in 1971. It had been a British protectorate for decades and several of the emirates had their own security forces. The forces merged together into a national military force that took part in the 1991 U.S.-led Gulf War that expelled Iraqi forces occupying Kuwait.

The UAE sent troops to Kosovo as part of the NATO-led peacekeeping mission there starting in 1999, giving its forces valuable experience working alongside Western allies in the field. Following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, it deployed special forces troops in Afghanistan to support the U.S.-led war against the Taliban. Emirati personnel there combined aid with Arab hospitality, working on infrastructure projects in villages and meeting with local elders.

Today, the UAE hosts Western forces at its military bases, including American and French troops. Jebel Ali port in Dubai serves as the biggest port of call for the American Navy outside of the United States.

BULGING RANKS

The UAE decided in recent years to grow its military, in part over concerns about Iran's resurgence in the region following the nuclear deal with world powers and the Islamic Republic's involvement in the wars in Syria and Yemen.

In 2011, the UAE acknowledged working with private military contractors, including a firm reportedly tied to Blackwater founder Erik Prince, to build up its military. The Associated Press also reported that Prince was involved in a multimillion-dollar program to train troops to fight pirates in Somalia, a program by several Arab countries, including the UAE.

"As you would expect of a proactive member of the international community, all engagements of commercial entities by the UAE Armed Forces are compliant with international law and relevant conventions," Gen. Juma Ali Khalaf al-Hamiri, a senior Emirati military official, said in a statement on the state-run WAM news agency.

Media in Colombia have also reported that Colombian nationals working as mercenaries serve in the UAE's military.

In 2014, the UAE introduced mandatory military service for all Emirati males between the ages of 18 to 30. The training is optional for Emirati women.

"Our message to the world is a message of peace; the stronger we are, the stronger our message," Dubai ruler and UAE Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum wrote at the time on Twitter.

WAR IN YEMEN

In Yemen, UAE troops are fighting alongside Saudi-led forces against Shiite rebels who hold the impoverished Arab country's capital, Sanaa. Areas where the UAE forces are deployed include Mukalla, the provincial capital of Hadramawt, and the port city of Aden, where the internationally recognized government of President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi is stationed.

Additionally, the UAE appears to be building an airstrip on Perim or Mayun Island, a volcanic island in Yemeni territory that sits in a waterway between Eritrea and Djibouti in the strategic Bab al-Mandeb Strait, according to IHS Jane's Defense Weekly. That strait, some 16-kilometers (10-miles) wide at its narrowest point, links the Red Sea and the Suez Canal with the Gulf of Aden and ultimately the Indian Ocean. Dozens of commercial ships transit the route every day.

Already, the waters have seen Emirati and Saudi ships targeted by suspected fire from Yemen's Shiite rebels known as Houthis. In October, U.S. Navy vessels came under fire as well, sparking American forces to fire missiles in Yemen in its first attack targeting the Houthis in the years-long war there.

"More incidents at sea, especially involving civilian shipping, could further internationalize the conflict and spur other actors to intervene," the Washington Institute for Near-East Policy warned in March.

UAE forces and aid organizations have also set foot on Yemen's Socotra Island, which sits near the mouth of the Gulf of Aden, after a deadly cyclone struck it. It too represents a crucial chokepoint and has seen recent attacks from Somali pirates.

The UAE has suffered the most wartime casualties in its history in Yemen. The deadliest day came in a September 2015 missile strike on a base that killed over 50 Emirati troops, as well as at least 10 soldiers from Saudi Arabia and five from Bahrain.

Meanwhile, Emirati forces were involved in a Jan. 29 Yemen raid ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump that killed a U.S. Navy SEAL and 30 others, including women, children and an estimated 14 militants.

EXPANDING TO AFRICA

Outside of Yemen, the UAE has been building up a military presence in Eritrea at its port in Assab, according to Stratfor, a U.S.-based private intelligence firm. Satellite images show new construction at a once-abandoned airfield the firm links to the Emiratis, as well as development at the port and the deployment of tanks and aircraft, including fighter jets, helicopters and drones.

"The scale of the undertaking suggests that the UAE military is in Eritrea for more than just a short-term logistical mission supporting operations across the Red Sea," Stratfor said in December.

UAE officials did not respond to repeated requests for comment on its military operations or overseas expansion.

South of Eritrea, in Somalia's breakaway northern territory of Somaliland, authorities agreed in February to allow the UAE open a naval base in the port town of Berbera. Previously, the UAE international ports operator DP World struck a deal to manage Somaliland's largest port nearby.

Further afield, the UAE also has been suspected of conducting airstrikes in Libya and operating at a small air base in the North African country's east, near the Egyptian border.

Meanwhile, Somalia remains a particular focus for the UAE. The Emiratis sent forces to the Horn of Africa country to take part in a United Nations peacekeeping mission in the 1990s, while their elite counterterrorism unit in 2011 rescued a UAE-flagged ship from Somali pirates. The unit has also has been targeted in recent attacks carried out by al-Qaida-linked militants from al-Shabab.

A UAE military expansion into Somalia is also possible, as Trump recently approved an expanded military, including more aggressive airstrikes against al-Shabab in the African nation. The UAE recently began a major campaign seek donations for humanitarian aid there.

Associated Press writers Adam Schreck in Dubai and Maggie Michael in Cairo contributed to this report.

Follow Jon Gambrell on Twitter at www.twitter.com/jongambrellap . His work can be found at http://apne.ws/2galNpz .
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
North Korea Main Thread - All things Korea April 27th - May 4th
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...in-Thread-All-things-Korea-April-27th-May-4th

Reports: US troops deploy along Syria-Turkish border
Started by China Connection‎, Today 02:32 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...s-US-troops-deploy-along-Syria-Turkish-border

FUNG RED ALERT: North Korea Threatens Israel With Merciless Thousand Fold Punishment
Started by doctor_fungcool‎, Today 10:49 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...srael-With-Merciless-Thousand-Fold-Punishment

North Korea just fired a ballistic missile
Started by Hfcomms‎, Yesterday 02:22 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?516070-North-Korea-just-fired-a-ballistic-missile

FUNG WTF ADVISORY: ISIS Apologized To Israel For Attacking IDF Soldiers
Started by doctor_fungcool‎, Today 09:57 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...ologized-To-Israel-For-Attacking-IDF-Soldiers

Islam/Terrorism Thread - Ongoing
Started by Be Well‎, 04-27-2017 04:03 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?516011-Islam-Terrorism-Thread-Ongoing

BREAKING: EXPLOSIONS AT DAMASCUS AIRPORT - Thought to be Israeli
Started by TidesofTruth‎, 04-26-2017 06:38 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...ONS-AT-DAMASCUS-AIRPORT-Thought-to-be-Israeli

Treaty restrictions giving China huge missile advantage over US
Started by rmomaha‎, Yesterday 11:10 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...s-giving-China-huge-missile-advantage-over-US

Russian Officials Say U.S. Global Missile Defense Could Lead to Nuclear War in Europe
Started by rmomaha‎, Yesterday 05:44 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...e-Defense-Could-Lead-to-Nuclear-War-in-Europe

Anti-Albanian Coup in Macedonia, masked men attacking in Parliament
Started by Possible Impact‎, 04-27-2017 11:31 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...-Macedonia-masked-men-attacking-in-Parliament

Korea Crisis - Trump's American Armada Faces Destruction In Remote Seas
Started by China Connection‎, 04-27-2017 04:13 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...rican-Armada-Faces-Destruction-In-Remote-Seas

Report: Iran caught secretly weaponizing nukes
Started by China Connection‎, 04-27-2017 03:24 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?516006-Report-Iran-caught-secretly-weaponizing-nukes

Drone Launched from SYRIA into Israel; Patriot Battery knock it down
Started by TidesofTruth‎, 04-27-2017 05:56 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...RIA-into-Israel-Patriot-Battery-knock-it-down

Main Russia/Ukraine invasion thread - 8/11/16 Ukraine Military On "Combat" Alert
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...ne-Military-On-quot-Combat-quot-Alert/page467

A Paradigm Shift in North Korea’s Ballistic Missile Development?
Started by China Connection‎, 04-27-2017 11:51 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...North-Korea%92s-Ballistic-Missile-Development

North Korean crisis 'worst I’ve seen,' top Navy officer warns
Started by Zahra‎, 04-27-2017 11:08 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...isis-worst-I%92ve-seen-top-Navy-officer-warns
 

mzkitty

I give up.
As posted at the tail end of the last thread, Erdogan is completely losing it.

In addition to firing another 3-4,000 administrative personnel, banning Wikipedia, threatening to ban the internet (apparently), and banning dating shows on TV, now comes the latest. Some think he's about to go Sharia on everybody:


Thecreator‏ @beYoNdUniVeRSeS 2m2 minutes ago

#breaking Turkey Bans Wedding Programs On TV. LoL
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.militarytimes.com/articles/us-troops-afghanistan-donald-trump

The Pentagon is considering up to 5,000 additional troops for Afghanistan

By: Shawn Snow and Andrew deGrandpre, April 29, 2017 (Photo Credit: Staff Sgt. John Jackson/Marine Corps )

WASHINGTON — The Trump administration is evaluating plans to send as many as 5,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan, where America's longest war has hit a stalemate and local security forces have become overwhelmed by rising violence.

The Pentagon is considering options that include between 3,000 and 5,000 conventional military personnel to advise Afghan military and police units, those focused on fighting the Taliban, plus an unspecified number of additional special operations forces to escalate counter-terror operations against the al-Qaida and Islamic State loyalists entrenched along the Pakistan border.

A U.S. defense official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, confirmed those plans to Military Times on Saturday. The 3,000 to 5,000 figures have been reported previously, by the Reuters news agency and The Washington Post.

The White House could reach its decision in coming weeks and announce any intended strategy shifts at the NATO security summit scheduled for May 25 in Brussels. President Trump has said he will attend those talks. A senior Afghan defense official, also speaking on the condition of anonymity, told Military Times that NATO is looking at deploying up to 13,000 troops in all — a figure that would include a combination of U.S. and allied personnel.

Such an increase, while significant, is unlikely to bring a full-scale return to the gritty rural and urban fighting that U.S. and NATO troops encountered in Afghanistan prior to 2014, when President Barack Obama, eager to curtail America's involvement in the war, declared an end to combat there. Rather, it's likely to result in accelerated training for the Afghan army and police and a more aggressive effort to reverse the Taliban's momentum in several population centers.


Military Times
Trump adviser's Afghanistan visit catches many by surprise


U.S. officials in Kabul will say only that Army Gen. John Nicholson, the top commander there, has submitted his recommendation for a troop increase of a “few thousand” to bolster the U.S. military's train and advise mission.

“Those troops would be used to [train, advise, assist] below the corps level for the Afghan National Army and below the zone level for the Afghan National Police,” said Capt. William Salvin, a U.S. military spokesman in the Afghan capital.

The Afghan army is divided into six corps. There are eight Afghan police zones.

During his congressional testimony in February, Nicholson highlighted his desire to push American and NATO advisers below the corps level and, thus, closer to the fight. He described the notional successes of a newly implemented "expeditionary advising package," a program that came to fruition after Obama last June granted new authorities to support the local security forces in their efforts to repel the Taliban and the estimated 20 terror groups who operate inside Afghanistan.


Army Times
Army Rangers killed in Afghanistan were possible victims of friendly fire


Nicholson also hopes to grow Afghanistan's special forces. With 17,000 commandos, these units have spearheaded operations across the country and have conducted nearly 70 percent of the country’s offensive operations. They are now capable of performing approximately 80 percent of their operations independent of U.S. advisers, Nicholson told lawmakers in February.

That work remains exceedingly dangerous. Two Army Rangers were killed this week, possibly by friendly fire, during a raid on an Islamic State headquarters in Achin, an endlessly violent district along the Pakistan border. A third soldier was killed there earlier this month.

Nicholson's recommendation follows stops in Kabul by two key administration figures, National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster and Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. They made separate visits to the war-torn region within a week of one another in April.

As the Trump administration weighs its options, 300 Marines composing Task Force South West have arrived in the ever-dangerous Helmand Valley to assist Afghan forces in retaking territory lost to the Taliban. Their arrival this month marks the first significant Marine presence there since 2014.

And on Friday, the Taliban announced the start of its annual spring offensive. The group's leaders have dubbed it Operation Mansouri, named in honor of their former supreme leader who was killed by a U.S. drone strike in Pakistan last May.

Shawn Snow is a Military Times staff writer and Early Bird Brief editor. On Twitter: @SnowSox184. Andrew deGrandpre is Military Times’ senior editor and Pentagon bureau chief. On Twitter: @adegrandpre.

3 Comments
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.militarytimes.com/articl...Editorial - Marine Corps - Daily News Roundup

Iraqi troops capture largest neighborhood in western Mosul

By: Sinan Saleheddin, The Associated Press, April 25, 2017 (Photo Credit: Christophe Simon/AFP via Getty Images)

BAGHDAD — Iraqi troops on Tuesday drove out Islamic State militants from the largest neighborhood in the western half of the city of Mosul, a senior military commander said, a major development in the months-long fight to recapture the country's second-largest city.

U.S.-backed Iraqi forces declared eastern Mosul "fully liberated" in January, after officially launching the operation to retake the city in October.

In February, the troops started a new push to clear Mosul's western side of ISIS militants, but weeks later their push stalled mainly due to stiff resistance by the Sunni militant group.


Military Times
The Pentagon says this video shows ISIS using 'sinister' new tactics in Mosul


On Tuesday, special forces Lt. Gen. Abdul-Wahab al-Saadi told The Associated Press that the sprawling al-Tanek neighborhood was now "fully liberated and under full control" of the security forces. Al-Saadi did not provide more details.

To the east of al-Tanek, Iraqi forces have been facing tough resistance from ISIS in Mosul's Old City, an area that stretches along the Tigris River, which divides Mosul into its eastern and western half. The Old City's narrow alleys and densely populated areas have made it hard for troops to move forward.

Also Tuesday, the government-sanctioned paramilitary troops, made up mainly of Shiite militiamen, launched a new push to retake the town of Hatra to the south of Mosul. The force's spokesman, Ahmed al-Asadi, said the operation is being conducted from three directions with aerial support from the Iraqi Air Force. Al-Asadi did not elaborate.

Hatra is home to a UNESCO World Heritage site of the same name that was destroyed by ISIS as part of the militant's efforts to demolish archaeological sites in and around Mosul. The extremists consider the priceless archaeological treasures — some dating back as far as 3,000 B.C. — as idolatry but have at the same time smuggled and sold many looted artifacts to fund their war.

Mosul fell to ISIS in the summer of 2014, along with large swaths of northern and western Iraq.
 

doctor_fungcool

TB Fanatic
FUNG RED ALERT(if rumor is true):

RUMOR............Albanian troops are now invading Macedonia.

I need more info....if this this rumor is true, then maybe the subject at hand needs it's own thread.


A repeat of the Bosnian war would be the opening act of world war III....who knew?
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Housecarl, I think Little Fat Boy is in the process of developing a HYDROGEN BOMB. And that is why "all of this" matters now, and why all the sudden saber rattling. The 71 km into the air is a ICBM test. Yeah, Little Fat Boy is going for broke now.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Monty Python

Doc Fungcool, it would be such a Monty Python moment for World War Three to actually be started by an Albanian invasion of Macedonia! Isn't Macedonia a member of NATO? I think Albania is also a NATO member. Clause 5 doesn't cover NATO members invading each other does it?
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Housecarl, I think Little Fat Boy is in the process of developing a HYDROGEN BOMB. And that is why "all of this" matters now, and why all the sudden saber rattling. The 71 km into the air is a ICBM test. Yeah, Little Fat Boy is going for broke now.

I did a little digging, and the Post-War V-2 testing at White Sands was seeing those captured missiles doing loft flights regularly to over 100 km altitude, some in the 130 to 170 km altitude and a few higher than that, one to 213 km.

I'm not saying it wasn't related to their ICBM program, but if a captured V-2 could get that high, a SCUD should be able to as well...

As to them working on thermonuclear weapons, the lower yield tests they've done do correspond to the guesstimates out there for the primaries on US weapons, particularly the reported lowest "dial a yield" setting for the B-61. Also the US was testing "light weight" multiple stage weapons in the mid-1950s, including ones of very low yield. That would also allow for smaller weapons, using a small weapon to kick off the fission-fusion (using the Li-6 they were offering for sale) -fission cycle with the final fission event being fueled with "cheap" U-238, which could easily lead to MIRVs. All the theory goes back to Manhattan, it's just the "tweeking" for higher efficiencies that required the US the multiple series of testing. Everyone else is effectively riding that work's coat tails in knowing it can be done.

HC
 
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Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm....

For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-summit-idUSKBN17W02E

SOUTH CHINA SEA | Sat Apr 29, 2017 | 11:20pm EDT

ASEAN gives Beijing a pass on South China Sea dispute, cites 'improving cooperation'

By Manuel Mogato and Kanupriya Kapoor | MANILA
Southeast Asian leaders took a softer stance on disputes in the South China Sea during a summit that ended on Saturday, avoiding tacit references to China's building and arming of its manmade islands, according to the chairman's statement.

A final statement of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), which was not made available until Sunday, dropped the references to "land reclamation and militarization" included in the text issued at last year's meeting in Laos and an earlier, unpublished version seen by Reuters on Saturday.

The outcome follows what two ASEAN diplomats said were efforts by Chinese foreign ministry and embassy officials in Manila to pressure ASEAN chair the Philippines to keep Beijing's contentious activities in the strategic waterway off ASEAN's official agenda.

It also indicates four ASEAN members who the diplomats said had wanted a firmer position had agreed to the more conciliatory tone in the statement.

China is not a member of ASEAN and was not attending the summit but is extremely sensitive about the content of its statements and considers it a barometer of the bloc's dissent over its artificial islands in disputed waters.

(For graphic on the turf war on the South China Sea, click tmsnrt.rs/1jLPafe)

China's embassy in Manila could not be reached and its foreign ministry did not respond to request for comment on Saturday.

The ASEAN statement also noted "the improving cooperation between ASEAN and China", and did not include references to "tensions" or "escalation of activities" seen in earlier drafts and in last year's text. It noted some leaders' concerns about "recent developments".

Beijing has reacted angrily to members expressing their concern about its rapid reclamation of reefs in the Spratly archipelago and its installation of missile systems on them.

According to some experts, China is now capable of deploying combat aircraft on several of its manmade features. [L3N1HT2VA]

POINTLESS TO PRESSURE

The softened statement comes as the current ASEAN chairman, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte, seeks to bury the hatchet with China after years of wrangling over its maritime assertiveness, including its four-year blockade of the Scarborough Shoal.

Beijing has quietly eased that, in response to Duterte's request to allow Filipinos to fish there again.

Duterte set the tone for the meeting on Thursday when he told reporters it would be pointless discussing China's maritime activities, because no one dared to pressure Beijing anyway.

An ASEAN diplomat on Sunday said the statement was a genuine representation of the atmosphere of the Manila meetings.

"We respected the Philippines' views and cooperated with the Philippines as this year's chair," the diplomat said.

ALSO IN SOUTH CHINA SEA

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Asia weighs risk and reward in Trump 'bromance' with China's Xi


"It clearly reflected how the issue was discussed."

Duterte's foreign policy approach represents a stunning reversal of that of the previous administration, which had close ties with the United States and was seen by China as a nuisance.

The Philippines government in 2013 challenged Beijing by lodging a case with the Permanent Court of Arbitration in 2013.

Two weeks into Duterte's presidency last year, the Hague court ruled in favor of the Philippines, angering China. But Duterte has made it clear he would not press Beijing to comply anytime soon, and is more interested in doing business than sparring.

The chairman's statement issued on Sunday made no mention to the arbitration case.

However, it did include in a section separate to the South China Sea chapter the need to show "full respect for legal and diplomatic processes" in resolving disputes.

Underlining Beijing's sensitivity about the arbitration case, the two diplomatic sources who spoke to Reuters on Saturday said Chinese embassy officials had lobbied behind the scenes for that sentence to be dropped, and saw it as a veiled reference to the ruling.

(Writing by Martin Petty; Editing by Lincoln Feast)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mali-security-idUSKBN17V0SX

WORLD NEWS | Sat Apr 29, 2017 | 6:30pm EDT

Mali extends state of emergency in bid to quell Islamist attacks

Mali's National Assembly has voted to extend a state of emergency by six months in a bid to quell an upsurge in attacks by Islamist militants based in the desert north of the West African country.

On Saturday, Zoumana N'dji Doumbia, president of the National Assembly's legal commission, announced Friday's vote that gives security forces extra powers of arrest and detention. It is the latest extension of an emergency first imposed in November 2015.

Deteriorating security threatens to return Mali to the chaos that nearly tore it to pieces in 2012 when Islamists hijacked an ethnic Tuareg rebellion in the north, before French forces pushed them back the following year.

Some 11,000 U.N. peacekeepers and French troops are deployed in Mali but militants still launch attacks, including a suicide assault on an army base in January that killed at least 77 people.

(Reporting by Tiemoko Diallo; Writing by Matthew Mpoke Bigg; Editing by Sandra Maler)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.euronews.com/2017/04/29/what-s-behind-the-turmoil-in-fyr-macedonia

Euronews
WORLD NEWS about 13 hours ago

What's behind the turmoil in FYR Macedonia?

last updated: 29/04/2017

A long-lasting constitutional crisis in the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia reached a climactic point Thursday night as the election of a speaker by the country’s new parliamentary majority turned bloody with hundreds of protestors storming the building and attacking the representatives in an unprecedented display of violence.

At least 100 people were injured including 22 police officers, according to the police reports. These include opposition leader, Social Democrat Zoran Zaev, 42, who required stitching and the leader of the Albanian Alliance Zijadin Sela who was reportedly clubbed unconscious by an angry mob which included armed and masked people.

In a press conference on Friday, Zaev described the events as “attempted murder,” done with the consent of former Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski and the country’s President Gjorgje Ivanov.

The election of the first ethnic – Albanian Talat Xhaferi as speaker was an attempt by the new parliamentary majority to unblock the constitution of a new government almost five months after 11th of December elections which has been continuously blocked by Ivanov – seen by many as Gruevski’s man – who has refused to let Zaev form a government in coalition with the country’s largest Albanian party DUI- the Democratic Union for Integration, citing the partnership as one that is endangering the country’s unity.

The crisis started when the previous government, in which the nationalist VMRO-DPMNE party shared power with DUI, was involved in a wiretapping scandal which included the communications of at least 20,000 of its citizens’ communication being followed for several years.

The revelations were first made in the spring of 2015 by Zaev, who had received the wiretapped conversations from a Ministry of Interior whistleblower; their publication along with every day protests of citizens which have evolved into a popular movement called the Colorful Revolution, triggered a two-year-long crisis which resulted in the foundation of a Special Prosecutor’s Office aimed at investigating the wiretaps.

The tapes revealed astonishing levels of corruption and misuse of power, including the blurring of the lines between the ruling party and institutions such as the police.

The Thursday events might have given further credence to such claims, after police were almost nowhere to be seen during the scandalous events, with the parliament building left virtually unguarded. Such unpreparedness is symptomatic after the building has been an end point for daily protests against the new parliament majority, which started after former Prime Minister Gruevski asked “the people to defend their country” back in February.

A 2016 agreement between the country’s four biggest political parties – which in addition to VMRO-DPMNE and the Social Democrats include two parties representing the Albanian population, the DUI, and the Albanian Democratic Party – resulted in the elections of last December, having originally been planned for 24 April and later 5 June.

As part of the agreement, VMRO-DPMNE’s leader Nikola Gruevski resigned from the position of Prime Minister.

During Gruevski’s stint at the head of the young republic between 2006 and 2016, the country has seen a decline in media freedoms, political prisoners and has been described as “not free” by Freedom House. It has also been ranked 111 out of 180 countries in Reporters Without Borders’ 2017 Press Freedom Index – the lowest in the region and staggering when the 2008 ranking of 42nd is taken into account.

Many have seen Gruevski’s resignation as a publicity stunt, with the 46-year-old believed to still assert a significant level of control over the police and the intelligence services. In a live televised interview on Friday, Zoran Zaev claimed that the masked people who broke into the parliament the day before were in part policemen still controlled by Gruevski, in part ex-convicts recently pardoned by President Ivanov.

In a press conference on Friday, the Minister of Interior, Agim Nuhiu, stated his intention to resign from the position, but not before he would ensure “a peaceful transition of power.” Nuhiu, who has been the Minister since December’s election had stated his dejection at not having been able to prevent the events which unfolded the night before, but more importantly, that he did not manage “to cleanse the Ministry from party influences.”

VMRO-DPMNE deems the election of Talat Xhaferi to the position of the parliamentary speaker as a provocation which enraged the crowds storming the building. Xhaferi was a commander in the Albanian paramilitary organization UCK, which led an uprising against the Macedonian state back in 2001.

The conflict ended with the Ohrid Agreement, and it was out of UCK’s political wing that the Democratic Union for Integration was born. The party has shared power with VMRO-DPMNE between 2008 and 2016 with Xhaferi himself serving as a Minister of Defence from 2013 until 2014.

by Ilinka Iljoska
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Keep an eye on this one.....

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.realcleardefense.com/art...strikes_on_us-allied_syrian_kurds_111275.html

Turkey Threatens Further Strikes on U.S.-Allied Syrian Kurds

By Associated Press
April 30, 2017

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Sunday his country may take further action against Kurdish militants in Iraq and Syria and insisted U.S. support for such groups "must come to an end."

The U.S. moved troops and armored vehicles through several Syrian cities and towns on Friday and Saturday in a show of force apparently intended to dissuade Turkey and Syrian Kurdish forces from attacking each other.

Kurdish officials described the U.S. troop movement as a "buffer" between them and Turkey.

The U.S. has provided air cover and other support to Kurdish forces battling the Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq. In Syria, it is working with the Syrian Democratic Forces, which is dominated by the Kurdish People's Protection Units, or YPG, but also includes Arab fighters.

Video from northern Syria shows the U.S. patrols parked alongside Kurdish units flying the YPG flag.

Turkey views the YPG as a terrorist organization and an extension of the Kurdish militants who have been waging a three-decade-long insurgency. It launched airstrikes against the YPG last week, killing 20 fighters and media activists.

"We will be forced to continue (our offensives)," Erdogan said. "We won't provide a date and time for when we'll come. But they will know that the Turkish military can come."

Erdogan said he would discuss the issue at a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump next month.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://moderntokyotimes.com/?p=7096

Posted on April 30, 2017 by Lee Jay

Japan and Military Normalization to Enable Enhanced Regional Relations

Takeshi Hasegawa, Murad Makhmudov, and Lee Jay Walker
Modern Tokyo Times

The government of Japan under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is paving the way for gradual military normalization boosted by the political reality of this nation in 2017. Of course, the internal liberal agenda will be based on irrational anti-Japanese militarization based on scare mongering. Ironically, the anti-militarization camp is only playing into the hands of permanent interference by America. After all, the status quo means that Japan must continuously rely on the goodwill – and geopolitical agenda – of political elites in Washington. Therefore, it is hoped that Japan will finally pave the way for military normalization while seeking a new approach with China and the Russian Federation respectively.

China and South Korea may manipulate past history in order to utilize negative feelings based on the path being taken by Abe. Yet, does China want a Northeast Asia based on regional military power mechanisms, or do political elites in Beijing seek a major economic power being permanently beholden to America?

The real issue shouldn’t be the military normalization of Japan. Instead, the focus should be on regional stability based on joint – or collective – military maneuvers between regional powers. Also, with tensions remaining high between regional nations because of land claims over disputed territory, then clearly all countries in Northeast Asia must focus on greater economic, political, military, and cultural understanding.

At the same time, closer ties between Japan and the Russian Federation is imperative given the geopolitical and military importance of this nation. Indeed, the Russian Federation can help Japan to obtain energy diversity and boost areas like military technology, space development, and other significant areas. Equally important, the Russian Federation can be “a bridge” for Japan, whereby political elites in Moscow seek to contain regional tensions based on being an honest broker.

Of course, America will continue to play a very important role for Japan based on history since the post-war period. In this sense, the military normalization of Japan can also create an equal partnership between Washington and Tokyo. This reality would boost geopolitical and military dialogue because the hands of America will be reduced. Despite the growing independence of Japan emerging the strong relationship with America will continue to be fluid and based on trust. After all, Japan will still have the safety mechanism of America – and alternatively, political elites in Washington will still gain from the geopolitical significance of Japan and strong military ties – but now Japan will be able to play a more important international role.

The BBC in 2015 reported about Abe’s militarization plan by focusing on internal political tensions. This media agency stated, “A parliamentary committee in Japan has approved two major bills for debate, paving the way for an expanded role for the military… The move sparked protests from opposition lawmakers in parliament and activists outside the building.”

However, it is imperative that Japan formulates a collective military self-defense backed up by regional political developments. After all, nuclear China is continuing to expand its military in all directions. At the same time, Beijing is upping the ante in the South China Sea whereby many regional nations are extremely worried by the encroachment of this nation. Also, North Korea remains unstable and nobody knows if Korean nationalism will fill the vacuum in the future. Therefore, Japan needs to be prepared for all military equations and only a more independent nation can reach out to regional countries based on genuine dialogue.

It is absurd that Japan should be contained indefinitely thereby continuing to rely solely on America. Instead, political elites should utilize the strong relationship between America and Japan while at the same time reaching out to the Russian Federation. Also, Japan should focus on improving military ties with democratic nations throughout the region and this notably applies to* Australia and India. Overall, it is the right time for Japan to play a role internationally and for military normalization at home in order to boost regional cooperation based on mutual respect.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-tabqa-idUSKBN17W08L

World News | Sun Apr 30, 2017 | 5:00am EDT

U.S.-backed militias claim big advance against IS in Syria's Tabqa

U.S.-backed militias said on Sunday they had made a big advance in Tabqa, a strategically vital town controlling Syria's largest dam, in their campaign to drive Islamic State from its stronghold of Raqqa, 40km (25 miles) downstream.

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a group of Kurdish and Arab militias, will wait to assault Raqqa until it seizes Tabqa, its military officials have previously said, but it had made only slow progress since besieging the town early this month.

In a statement it circulated on social messaging sites, the SDF said it had captured six more districts of Tabqa and distributed a map showing that Islamic State now controlled only the northern part of the town, next to the dam.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based war monitor, said the SDF had gained almost complete control over Tabqa in its advance.

Tabqa was isolated from Raqqa in late March after the United States helped the SDF carry out an airborne landing on the southern bank of the Euphrates, allowing it to capture the areas around the town, including an important airbase, and cut the road.

Islamic State still holds several Tabqa districts along the southern bank of Lake Assad and the southern section of the Euphrates dam, including its operations facilities and a hydro-electric power plant.


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Raqqa now lies in an Islamic State enclave on the northern bank of the Euphrates that measures about 50km at its widest point on an east-west axis and 20km on its longest north-south axis, but with SDF salients stretching almost to the city.

Islamic State's only means of crossing to its main territory on the south bank of the Euphrates is by boat after aerial bombing put the region's bridges out of service.

The jihadist group still controls large swathes of Syria's Euphrates basin and its vast eastern deserts near the border with Iraq, but it has lost large tracts of its territory over the past year and many of its leaders have been killed.

(Reporting by Angus McDowall; Editing by Adrian Croft)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-mosul-idUSKBN17W0DG

World News | Sun Apr 30, 2017 | 8:59am EDT

Iraqi commander says to complete capture of Mosul in May

By Ahmed Rasheed | BAGHDAD

An Iraqi commander expects to dislodge Islamic State from Mosul in May despite resistance from militants in the densely populated Old City district.

The battle should be completed "in a maximum of three weeks", the Iraqi army's chief of staff, Lieutenant General Othman al-Ghanmi, was quoted as saying by state-run newspaper al-Sabah on Sunday.

A U.S.-led international coalition is providing air and ground support for the offensive in Mosul, the largest city in northern Iraq, which fell to hardline Sunni Muslim fighters in June 2014.

Islamic State has lost most of the city's districts since the offensive began in October and is now surrounded in the northwestern districts, including the historic Old City center.

The United Nations believes up to half a million people remain in the area controlled by the militants, 400,000 of whom are in the Old City with little food and water and no access to hospitals.

The militants have dug in between the civilians, often launching deadly counter-attacks to repel forces closing in on the Old City's Grand al-Nuri Mosque, from where Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi declared a caliphate over parts of Iraq and Syria.

The hardline group persecuted non-Sunni Muslim communities and inflicted harsh punishments on Sunnis who do not abide by its extreme interpretation of Islam.

SLAVERY
A group of 36 Yazidi survivors had been rescued after three years of "slavery" under Islamic State's rule, the United Nations said on Sunday.

Since Friday, the women and girls from the group had been receiving lodging, clothing, medical and psychological aid in Duhok, a Kurdish city north of Mosul, said a statement from U.N. Humanitarian Coordinator for Iraq Lise Grande.

The Yazidis, whose beliefs combine elements from several Middle Eastern religions, were the most persecuted community under Islamic State which considered them devil-worshippers.

The U.N. estimates that up to 1,500 Yazidi women and girls remain in captivity, suffering abuse.

Iraqi forces estimate the number of Islamic State fighters still in Mosul at 200 to 300, mostly foreigners, down from nearly 6,000 when the offensive started but they are still capable of deadly counter-attacks on the tens of thousands of soldiers and paramilitary groups arrayed against them.

A Federal Police brigade commander and 18 other members of the Interior Ministry force were killed in attacks on two positions at the edge of the Old City on Friday, military sources said on Sunday.

Federal Police took back the positions on Saturday but the ministry has sacked a commander for failing to fend off the counter-attacks, the sources said.


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The U.S.-trained Counter Terrorism Service and Federal Police are the main forces fighting inside Mosul.

Regular Iraqi army units are taking part in battles outside the city, alongside Shi'ite volunteers trained and armed by Iran, Kurdish Peshmerga fighters and Sunni tribes.
The total number of fighters aligned against Islamic State in Mosul exceeds 100,000.

Several thousand have been killed so far in the battle, both civilians and military, according to international aid organizations. The total number of people displaced from Mosul since October is close to 400,000, about a fifth of Mosul's population before its capture by Islamic State.

Even if defeated in Mosul, Islamic State will remain in control of vast swathes of land in the border area with Syria, where Baghdadi is believed to be hiding, according to Iraqi military sources.

The Iraqi army on Sunday said its ground and air forces pushed back an attack on troops stationed near the Syrian border, killing eight militants. Islamic State announced the attack in a statement on its news agency Amaq.


(Writing by Maher Chmaytelli; Editing by Janet Lawrence)
 

mzkitty

I give up.
AND.................... more crazy from Turkey:


Kom News‏ @KomNewsCom 15m15 minutes ago

#BREAKING: Satellite company Eutelsat issues notice to stop broadcast of 3 Kurdish TV channels on #Turkey's demand - Kom News
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.france24.com/en/20170501...-mark-one-month-maduro-streets-leopoldo-lopez

Americas

Protesters in Venezuela mark one month since they took to the streets

Latest update : 2017-05-01

May Day protests risk being rough in Venezuela on Monday as it marks one month since deadly clashes erupted in a political crisis with no end in sight.

Protesters took to the streets from April 1 to demand elections after the courts tried to strengthen President Nicolas Maduro’s grip on power.

Marches in various cities erupted into clashes between riot police and protesters which have since left 28 people dead, according to public prosecutors.

“We are not going to cool down the street,” said senior opposition lawmaker Freddy Guevara, however.

“On May 1 we must show our strength, that we are in the majority and that we want to have our say in elections.”

The opposition has accused Maduro of installing a dictatorship.

It blames him for an economic crisis that has sparked food and medicine shortages in the major oil-exporting nation.

Even residents of traditionally pro-Maduro districts have been joining in the protests against him in recent days.

“I have been a month now joining in all the protests because I want my country to be free of this dictatorship,” said Yoleida Viloria, 42, a hairdresser from the poor neighborhood of Petare in eastern Caracas.

Election headache

The president has vowed to continue the socialist “Bolivarian revolution” launched by his late predecessor Hugo Chavez.

Maduro has rejected opposition calls for general elections before his term ends late next year.

He has said he is willing to hold regional polls that were postponed in December. But the electoral authorities have not set a date.

“Any election in the short term would be a defeat for Chavismo,” said Edgard Gutierrez, an analyst with pollster Venebarometro.

But the electoral prospects for the center-right opposition coalition look slim.

Popular Will party leader Leopoldo Lopez is in jail.

Prominent opposition leader Henrique Capriles of the Justice First party has been officially banned from politics by authorities.

Opposition parties are obliged to go through an electoral registration process that could lead to some of them being excluded.

But aside from dangerous street protests, some of them see the prospect of regional elections this year as their only remaining lever for pressuring Maduro.

“We have to win back votes, even though these elections will not resolve the underlying problem,” said Miguel Pizarro, an opposition member of the legislature.

“We have to take part and combine the elections with resistance in the street to change the government.”

Maduro on Sunday welcomed an offer by Pope Francis of Vatican mediation but opposition leaders rebuffed the overture, insisting that there must be a timetable for general elections.
(AFP)

Date created : 2017-05-01
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm.....

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.france24.com/en/20170501-us-backed-forces-seize-80-syrias-tabqa-monitor

01 May 2017 - 09H20

US-backed forces seize 80% of Syria's Tabqa from IS: monitor

BEIRUT (AFP)*-*

US-backed fighters have captured 80 percent of Syria's Tabqa from the Islamic State group, a monitor said on Monday, a week after they first entered the town.

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) broke into Tabqa from the south last week and have steadily advanced north, cornering IS in three contiguous neighbourhoods on the bank of the Euphrates River.

The strategic town of Tabqa sits on a supply route about 55 kilometres (35 miles) west of Raqa city, the de facto capital of IS territory in Syria.

At dawn, IS fighters withdrew from the western-most district towards the other two quarters, said Rami Abdel Rahman, head of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

"The SDF now controls more than 80 percent of Tabqa," Abdel Rahman said.

"In the whole town, IS only holds those two neighbourhoods, known locally as the first and second quarters," he told AFP.

Clashes and bombing raids by the US-led coalition were rocking the town on Monday morning, the Observatory reported.

The assault on Tabqa began in late March when SDF forces and their US-led coalition allies were airlifted behind IS lines.

The SDF -- composed of Arab and Kurdish fighters -- then surrounded Tabqa in early April before pushing into the town on April 24.

The assault on Raqa, dubbed "Wrath of the Euphrates", was launched in November and has seen SDF fighters capture large swathes of countryside around the city.

More than 320,000 people have been killed in Syria since the country's war began with anti-government protests in March 2011.
© 2017 AFP
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.france24.com/en/20170430...l-militants-near-burkina-faso-border-barkhane

Africa

French forces kill militants near Mali-Burkina Faso border

Latest update : 2017-04-30

French soldiers killed more than 20 militants hiding in a forest near the border between the West African countries of Mali and Burkina Faso this weekend, its regional force said in a statement.

The operation followed the death of a French soldier nearby earlier this month. It involved both air and ground strikes, the statement said, but failed to identify the militant group that was targeted.

The French forces may have also captured some of the militants alive, the AFP news agency reported citing an unnamed army official.

Mali has been regularly hit by Islamist militant violence, despite a 2013 French-led operation to drive them out of key northern cities they had seized.

But violence in its southern neighbour, Burkina Faso, began to intensify last year with an attack in the capital that killed dozens.

Burkinabe officials believe a new Islamist militant group called Ansar al-Islam led by a local preacher was using the Foulsare Forest as a base for launching attacks elsewhere.

France has deployed some 4,000 soldiers to fight Islamist militants in the region as part of its Barkhane military operation.

(FRANCE 24 with REUTERS, AFP)
Date created : 2017-04-30


MALI
French soldier killed in 'clash with terrorists' in Mali
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Read more
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...d-Pakistan-Factory-and-Sanctuary-of-Jihad-Inc.

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.realcleardefense.com/art...actory_and_sanctuary_of_jihad_inc_111278.html

Islamabad, Pakistan: Factory and Sanctuary of Jihad, Inc.

By Robert Cassidy
May 01, 2017

"By 2005 the Taliban had resurfaced in Afghanistan.* American intelligence discovered once again that the Taliban’s activities were being directed from Pakistan while, as before, Pakistan denied its involvement.”*- Husain Haqqani

“In its support of the Taliban, Pakistan was indirectly strengthening al Qaeda in Afghanistan.* Pakistani militants were providing manpower for both the Taliban and al Qaeda and running a vast logistics, communication, and transit network in Pakistan on behalf of al Qaeda.” - Ahmed Rashid

The wars against Islamist militants inimical to secular democracies will not end until the West and its genuine friends forge the will to shut down the factories and sanctuaries that generate and sustain the most abominable strains of Salafi-Wahhabi jihadists.

For over four decades Pakistan has been a breeder and sponsor of Islamist terrorists.* 20 designated terrorist organizations operate in the Pakistan-Afghanistan region, while seven are based in Pakistan.* These wars will not end until the U.S. and like-minded states shut down Pakistan, as the foremost producer of Jihad Inc.

Pakistan, with the abetment of a number of Gulf States, has been the principal, persistent, prodigious, and most pernicious producer of apocalyptic Islamist fanatics.* It continues to be the most prolific factory and sanctuary for the world’s largest constellation of murderous militants, for the longest time.* To be sure, other states and non-state groups have contributed and continue to contribute to the proliferation of jihadists either advertently or inadvertently, including the U.S. with its nearly blind support of the mujahideen during the Soviet-Afghan War, and with the unfathomably addled decision to invade Iraq in 2003.* Iraq catalyzed and attracted militants in excess.*

Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISI) has been either principally or generally responsible for creating, cultivating, and colluding with the likes of the Haqqani network, Lashkar-e-Taiba (Army of the Righteous), Hizb-e-Islami (Party of Islam) Gulbuddin (HIG), al Qaeda, and the Taliban, to name only a few of the most vile groups of zealots. *Pakistan has been responsible for proliferating nuclear weapons technology to nefarious states.* Pakistan’s senior leadership has lied and continues to lie outright to our senior interlocutors, denying its odious duplicity. *Just this April, in the same week that Pakistan’s leadership dissembled and denied support of the Taliban and the Haqqanis to America’s National Security Advisor during his visit there, the ISI was most likely complicit in helping sponsor one of the most egregious proxy attacks on an Afghan Army since 2001, when proxy terrorists infiltrated a mosque in Mazar-e-Sharif, killing over 140 Afghan soldiers.

The war in Afghanistan will not end, or it will end badly unless we muster the will and resources to compel and coerce Pakistan to cease its malign conduct.* The wars against myriad Islamist zealot groups across the globe will not end unless we force Pakistan and other states to stop offering succor and sanctuary.* Too much time has passed, too many people have died and suffered.* For too long, The West has indulged insidious behavior from states that deceive with the delusion that they can work with us and benefit from our funding, while concurrently harboring and proliferating Islamist militants who intend to kill our citizens and undermine the Westphalian system of states.

What eludes sanity is that even while the U.S.-led Coalition has endured the mendacity that Pakistan has been doing all it could to support the war against terrorists, senior leaders and annual Defense Department reporting have consistently decried Pakistan’s shameless duplicity, in open-source statements and documents, almost every year since at least 2003.* A steady but candid motif has been that Pakistan’s support and sanctuary for the Taliban prevent their defeat.

In 2003, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Lieutenant General John Vines, for example, publicly stated that Pakistan’s sanctuaries were allowing the Taliban to regroup. *A report about the situation in 2008 noted that the Taliban regrouped and “coalesced into a resilient and evolving insurgency.”* An increase in violence was then attributed to an increase in attacks emanating from sanctuaries in the Pakistan.

A 2013 report about the situation in Afghanistan just over four years later observed that Afghanistan still confronted an insurgency that continued to benefit from sanctuaries in Pakistan to regain lost ground through high-profile attacks.* The principal reason why the insurgency persisted was that Pakistan’s security establishment continued to sustain sanctuary and support for the Taliban, preventing the Taliban’s defeat.

The most recently published DoD report about the security situation in Afghanistan during 2016 stated that “Afghanistan faces a pervasive threat to its stability from extremist groups operating from Pakistan’s sanctuaries.” *It then explains that the greatest threat to U.S., Coalition and Afghan forces remains the Haqqani network, which continues to be a critical enabler of al Qaeda.* Both the Taliban and Haqqani senior leadership “retain freedom of action from sanctuary inside Pakistani territory.”

Most DoD reporting also identifies the Haqqani network as the most lethal Islamist instrument that Pakistan favors.* This network retains the ability to conduct high-profile attacks directed at Afghan and coalition targets in Kabul, with the Pakistani security establishment’s sponsorship.* Earlier this year, the U.S. regional commander and the theater commander for Afghanistan stated before the Senate Armed Services Committee that the Haqqanis were the greatest threat to Coalition forces and that Pakistan’s sanctuary was the biggest obstacle to long-term stability and success in Afghanistan.**** *

It is clear that, if we hold what we have, in how the NATO Coalition approaches the complex strategic interaction in Afghanistan and Pakistan, it will continue to pay the butcher’s bill in Afghan and Coalition blood for the next 15 or 30 years.* Dig a hole, fill a hole, dig a hole—the U.S. and its partners in Afghanistan will continue to abide a strategic stalemate, just as they have done for the last nearly 16 years.
*
When facing an insurgency compounded with terrorism, if the counterinsurgents are not winning, they are losing.* The insurgents win by not losing. *Our side has won many battles and succeeded in many actions, but this means nothing when facing a stalemate stemming from strategic asymmetry. *Pakistan’s perfidy is the main reason for this.

The costs stemming from Pakistan’s treachery has been high in blood spilled, resources spent, and the number of years at war.* Pakistan’s deliberate deceit and our continued hopefulness that the Pakistani security elites can be our friends will lead to more of the same over the next 15 years without a major change in how we see and respond to Pakistan.* It would be hard to imagine a worse friend, and it boggles the mind that after attacks on 9/11 and before 9/11, with Pakistan’s direct or indirect complicity, the U.S. would choose to ally with the only country on the planet with its capital city named after Islam, the country that has played the singularly significant role in creating Islamist terrorists over the last four-plus decades.

Continuing to pay out money to Pakistan for its support in the war against terrorists while Pakistan, the enemy, is employing and sustaining its Taliban proxies and other militants to kill and maim Afghan and Coalition partners is strategically bankrupt.* If unchanged, the war in Afghanistan and wars like it against Islamists will end badly.


Colonel Robert Cassidy, Ph.D., U.S. Army, has served in Afghanistan four times. He has written a number of books and articles on irregular warfare and Afghanistan. The works of Charles Allen, Chris Fair, Husain Haqqani, Ahmed Rashid, and Bruce Riedel helped inform this essay.* The views herein derive from the author’s experience and studies, and do not reflect the views of the U.S. Army or the U.S. Naval War College.*
 

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japantimes-logo.png



Japanese sharply divided over revising
Article 9 amid regional security threats,
poll finds



Kyodo
Apr 30, 2017
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...9-amid-north-korea-threats-poll/#.WQdNytzFipo

The Japanese populace remains sharply divided over whether to amend
the war-renouncing Article 9 of the Constitution, with supporters of a
change slightly outnumbering opponents
amid concerns over North Korea
and China’s military buildup, a newly released Kyodo News survey showed.

According to the mail-in survey, which was conducted ahead of Wednesday’s
70th anniversary of the postwar Constitution’s enactment, 49 percent
of respondents said Article 9 must be revised while 47 percent oppose
such a change.

While Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has been eager to rewrite the supreme
law, including Article 9, 51 percent were against any constitutional
amendments under the Abe administration, compared with 45 percent
in favor.

Many people recognized the role Article 9 has played in maintaining the
nation’s pacifist stance, with 75 percent of respondents saying the clause
has enabled the country to avoid becoming embroiled in conflicts abroad
since World War II.

The survey, the results of which were released Saturday, randomly selected
3,000 people nationwide aged 18 and older, with questionnaires being sent
to them by mail on March 8. Of those, 2,055 returned their answers by
April 14, with valid responses obtained from 1,944 of the respondents.

The current Constitution has not been revised since going into effect
in 1947, nor has a bid been made to initiate a formal amendment of
the document, partly because of the high hurdles such a proposition
would face in the Diet before it could be put to a referendum.

But a first-ever revision of the Constitution, which conservatives often
decry as a product of the U.S.-led Occupation authorities that governed
the country after the nation’s defeat in World War II, has become a more
realistic prospect given the Liberal Democratic Party-led ruling coalition’s
strength in the Diet.

Following a string of electoral victories over the past several years, Abe’s
LDP and several other parties in favor of constitutional revision now have
a two-thirds majority in both houses of the Diet, the threshold needed
for making an amendment proposal.


Among those in favor of amending Article 9, the largest group, at 66 percent,
cited “the changing security environment surrounding the country,
including North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs and China’s
military expansion.”

The next largest group, at 20 percent, said a change is needed to sort out
what they perceive as a contradiction between the provision and the
existence of the Self-Defense Forces.

Article 9 stipulates that the Japanese people “forever renounce war”
and that “land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential,
will never be maintained.” The government says the article does not
prohibit the country from maintaining its ability to defend itself
and thus allows it to possess defensive forces.


Ten percent called for a revision of Article 9 to enable the SDF to engage
in international activities more actively, while 3 percent said such a
revision is needed to strengthen the security alliance with the United
States.

Asked how the article should be changed, 39 percent said the existence
of the SDF should be stipulated, followed by 24 percent who proposed
adding a clause to restrict the SDF’s international activities and 16 percent
who said the SDF should be clearly stated as being a military force.

On the overall need to revise the Constitution in the future, 60 percent
said it was “necessary” or “somewhat necessary.” The most popular reason
given was that its articles and contents no longer fit the times. The subject
deemed requiring discussion by most respondents was “Article 9 and the
SDF.”

Supporters for keeping the current Constitution unchanged totaled 37
percent, with 46 percent of them citing its provision prohibiting war
and keeping Japan out of conflicts as the reason why.
Of those, 26 percent expressed concern that an amendment might
lead Japan into a military buildup.

In a similar survey conducted by Kyodo News in last August and September,
49 percent denied the need to change Article 9, compared with 45 percent
who were in favor of revision.

The Diet resumed in-depth discussions on constitutional issues last year,
but progress has been slow as parties remain far apart in their positions.


 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm.....

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Voices/...g-NATO-strategy-Russia-weapons/7931493044987/

Three 'black holes' facing NATO: strategy, Russia, weapons

By Harlan Ullman, Arnaud de Borchgrave Distinguished Columnist **|** May 1, 2017 at 6:00 AM

MOSCOW -- Black holes are not merely matters of physics. Strategic black holes may be even more confounding than those found in deep space. NATO, thus far history's most successful military alliance, currently must deal with three of them. The likelihood that this venerable alliance will do so is far from certain.

The first black hole regards strategy. Russian intervention into Ukraine and seizure of Crimea were chastening and frightening. So too, Russian "active measures" are roiling politics on both sides of the Atlantic. Russian engagement in Syria has sustained the diabolical regime of Bashar al-Assad. And Russia has become far more visible in Libya and the Persian Gulf.

While NATO has created new strategic concepts to deal with the end of the Cold War and the demise of the Soviet Union, its last real strategic revision was the Harmel Report of 1967. Led by Belgian Foreign Minister Pierre Harmel, his commission was charged with confronting the threat of Soviet increases in both nuclear and conventional weaponry and Charles De Gaulle's decision to eject NATO from Paris, leaving the military side of the alliance. The result was a shift from reliance solely on nuclear deterrence to a strategy of flexible response to deny Moscow advantages at all levels of the conflict spectrum.

The brilliance of flexible response was resolving the political conundrum dividing both sides of the Atlantic. Americans were not keen to trade Boston for Bonn if war became nuclear. Hence, increasing conventional capabilities to deter a Warsaw Pact assault westward was Washington's choice. Europeans viewed nuclear deterrence as a way of minimizing defense spending. Flexible response enabled both Washington and the continent to emphasize defense or deterrence without breaking the alliance.

Today, NATO's responses to Russian actions reflect 20th- and not 21st-century thinking and concepts. Russian President Vladimir Putin has no intention of embarking on a war with NATO. Instead, his policies rely on more than blunt military force. While stationing four battalions in the Baltics and rotating a Brigade Combat Team through Poland may reassure allies, Moscow is not impressed.

What NATO needs is a new strategy to deal with these realities, as well as one to deal with the second black hole, namely countering Russian "active measures," or what some call asymmetric war. NATO should move to a strategy of "porcupine defense," especially for its eastern-most members. The underlying concept is to bloody and blunt any attack so badly, that under no circumstances would Moscow even consider using military force.

Weapons systems such as Javelin anti-tank and anti-vehicle missiles and surface-to-air guided missiles such as the Stinger and Patriot would be acquired in very large numbers. The use of drones, possibly in the thousands, likewise would make any attack, however unlikely, too expensive to consider. And home guards to wage guerilla and insurgent war would be put in place, as well. Meanwhile, NATO members with larger ground, air and naval forces would be geared for reinforcement. But this, while necessary, is not sufficient.

Russian active measures include cyber, propaganda, disinformation, misinformation, intimidation and political interference among others. NATO has thus far little to no capability to counter these measures. NATO must begin an immediate effort to fill this black hole.

The final black hole concerns acquisition of weapons systems. These processes simply take too long, are too cumbersome and are not capable of keeping up with dramatic advances of technology. NATO and its members must move now to deal with this third black hole.

It is too soon to determine the impact of Brexit, populism and the ongoing elections in France and then in Germany on the alliance, as well as the actual commitment of the Trump White House to NATO. But, regardless, a new Harmel Commission for the 21st century is needed now. Whether the alliance will listen and whether anyone will lead are the vital questions on which NATO's future rests.


Harlan Ullman has served on the Senior Advisory Group for Supreme Allied Commander Europe (2004-16) and is a senior adviser at Washington, D.C.'s Atlantic Council and Business Executives for National Security; chairman of two private companies; and principal author of the doctrine of shock and awe. His next book, due out this year, is "Anatomy of Failure: Why America Loses Wars It Starts," which argues failure to know and to understand the circumstances in which force is used guarantees failure. Follow him on Twitter @harlankullman.

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for more news from UPI.com


Related UPI Stories
Trump jabs Italian PM Gentiloni on meeting financial NATO obligation
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Reversing course, Trump says 'NATO is no longer obsolete'
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...for-Europe-citing-threat-of-terrorist-attacks

DOT....

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-europe-alert-attacks-idUSKBN17X2CV

World News | Mon May 1, 2017 | 4:25pm EDT

U.S. issues travel alert for Europe, citing threat of terrorist attacks

The U.S. State Department issued a travel alert for Europe on Monday, saying U.S. citizens should be aware of a continued threat of terrorist attacks throughout the continent.

In the alert, the State Department cited recent incidents in France, Russia, Sweden and the United Kingdom and said Islamic State and al Qaeda "have the ability to plan and execute terrorist attacks in Europe."

The State Department's previous travel alert for Europe, issued ahead of the winter holiday season, expired in February. A State Department official said Monday's alert was not prompted by a specific threat, but rather recognition of the continuing risk of attacks especially ahead of the summer holidays. The alert expires on Sept. 1.

Malls, government facilities, hotels, clubs, restaurants, places of worship, parks, airports and other locations are all possible targets for attacks, the State Department's alert said.

(Reporting by Yeganeh Torbati; editing by Diane Craft)
 
Last edited:

Hfcomms

EN66iq
Russia raises defense alert after North Korea launches missile

Precautionary move comes amid military standoff between Pyongyang and US, and after Moscow and Washington clashed at the UN over North Korea


By Asia Times staff

Russia raised the level of alert for its air defense system just a few hours after North Korea test-fired a ballistic missile on Saturday and after Washington and Moscow clashed at the United Nations over a possible military conflict on the Korean Peninsula.

The North Korean missile exploded shortly after launch, US and South Korean officials said, in what is the latest in a flurry of tests this year in violation of UN resolutions to try and halt the country’s nuclear weapons program.

“Russia is carefully monitoring what is happening in North Korea and the air defense forces in the Far East are in a status of heightened readiness,” said Viktor Ozerov, chair of the committee for defense and security of the Federation Council or Russia’s upper house, in Moscow.

Russia, which has a land border with North Korea, is aware it’s not a target of the missiles, but it will ensure no missile lands on Russian territory, he said.

The alert is for air defenses in the city of Khabarovsk, the headquarters of the East Military District, and is precautionary, a source in the district told Asia Times. The area contains batteries of Russia’s S-400 Triumph long-range anti-missile defenses.

While Russia shares a border with North Korea it has never been regarded as a target of the Pyongyang regime, which typically directs its threats of military attack toward South Korea, Japan and the US.

However, the move by Moscow adds to a tense military standoff in Northeast Asia a day after Russia clashed with the US at the UN Security Council, warning that a military attack on North Korea would have “catastrophic consequences,” AFP reported.

The US this week moved an aircraft carrier, guided missile destroyers and a nuclear powered submarine into waters near the Korean Peninsula and has said its patience with North Korea’s violations of UN sanctions is over.

The use of the term “catastrophic consequences” by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov at the Security Council was also adopted by US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, though in a different context.

He warned the UN Security Council that failure to curb North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs would also lead to “catastrophic consequences.”
Six-party talks

Russia said China’s proposals to restart talks with North Korea should be seriously examined and that sanctions alone would not work.

China’s proposal for a freeze on North Korea’s military programs in exchange for a halt to US-South Korea military drills are “ideas that merit serious attention,” Gatilov said.

North Korea “is conducting itself in an inappropriate way,” Gatilov told the council, but “reckless muscle-flexing” over North Korea could lead to “frightening” missteps.

Russia along with China and the US took part in six-party talks on North Korea’s denuclearization from 2003 to 2009, along with Japan, South Korea and the North.

The Security Council was meeting to try to agree on a global response to North Korea that the US maintains must involve China ramping up political and economic pressure on its Pyongyang ally.

The US has rejected the Chinese proposal for talks and insists that North Korea first take steps to show that it is ready to abandon its military programs.

“We will not negotiate our way back to the negotiating table with North Korea, we will not reward their violations of past resolutions, we will not reward their bad behavior with talks,” Tillerson said.

Tillerson also criticized council members for not fully enforcing sanctions against North Korea.

“Had this body fully enforced and stood behind resolutions enacted in the past, vigorously enforcing sanctions with full compliance, perhaps we would not have found ourselves confronted with the high level of tension we face today,” he told the 15-member council.

Meanwhile, the increased risk of military conflict is having consequences in daily life in Northeast Asia.

While South Koreans are often reported of having a nonchalance bordering on indifference to North Korea – largely the result having lived with threats from its belligerent neighbor for decades – the government has been offering assurances of calm this week.

This is mostly from concern the US might unilaterally and unexpectedly decide to strike the North, just as it did in Syria recently with cruise missiles. The US also started installing a new missile defense system in South Korea this week, which caused some public protests.

In Japan, after reports came through Saturday that North Korea had launched a missile on Saturday morning, some subways in Tokyo and railways elsewhere halted operations for about 10 minutes as a precaution, the Asahi newspaper reported.

Japan’s government has also seen a large increase in visitor traffic to its website that gives advice to the public of what to do in the event of a missile attack.

http://www.atimes.com/article/russia-raises-defense-alert-north-korea-launches-missile/
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-violence-idUSKBN17X28A

World News | Mon May 1, 2017 | 2:52pm EDT

Shootout leaves eight dead near Mexico's Los Cabos tourist hub

A shootout near the Mexican beach resort of Los Cabos early on Monday between suspected gang members and navy forces has left eight dead, including one soldier.

The incident took place before dawn on the outskirts of San Jose del Cabo, about 20 miles (30 km) northeast of the area's main tourist hub of Cabo San Lucas. Security forces later recovered unspecified drugs, vehicles, communications equipment, military-issued weapons and uniforms, the navy said in a statement.

Western Baja California Sur state, popular with international tourists and ex-pats, has seen growing gangland violence over the last several months.

(Reporting by David Alire Garcia; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/05/01/latest-protester-tackled-at-may-day-parade-in-cuba.html

The Latest: Berlin officers hit with bottles, flag poles

Published May 01, 2017
Associated Press

ISTANBUL – *The Latest on May Day events around the world (all times local):
10:40 p.m.
Police say they've made multiple arrests in the German capital after far-left demonstrators threw bottles at officers and small skirmishes ensued.

Berlin police said Monday they used pepper spray to subdue some protesters, who also allegedly used flag poles to attack officers.

The dpa news agency reports that about 8,000 demonstrators took part in a two-hour march, of whom about 300 were violent.

Some 5,400 police officers were on hand at the march and in other places around the city.

Elsewhere in Berlin, more than 200,000 people took part in a traditional May Day festival, and some 14,000 participated in a labor rally.

Thousands of others took parts in events at other cities in the country.
___
8:25 p.m.
Police clashed with far-right demonstrators in the eastern German town of Apolda, taking 100 people into custody before declaring the situation under control.

Police told the dpa news agency that about 150 demonstrators who had attended a protest elsewhere started causing problems in Apolda's town center after getting off a train Monday afternoon.

Authorities say they ignored police warnings and then started throwing stones and firecrackers at officers.

There were no immediate reports of injuries.

Meanwhile, several thousand far-left demonstrators have started a march through Berlin, setting off smoke bombs and firecrackers along their route.

The "Revolutionary May 1 Demonstration" was not registered with authorities as required, but police decided to tolerate the Monday evening march.

Primarily dressed in black, the demonstrators chanted slogans like "flood the G20" — referring to the summit of the Group of 20 major economic powers being held in Hamburg this summer.

Some 5,400 police officers, called in from across the country, were on hand.
___
6:20 p.m.
Police in Istanbul have detained 165 people during May Day events around the city, most of them demonstrators trying to march to a symbolic square in defiance of a ban.

A security department statement said that another 18 people suspected of planning illegal demonstrations and possible acts of violence on Monday were detained in separate police operations.

Turkey had declared Taksim Square off-limits to May Day demonstrations, and major trade unions marked the day with rallies at government-designated areas.
Still, small groups tried to reach the square, leading to scuffles with police.

Taksim holds a symbolic value for Turkey's labor movement. In 1977, 34 people were killed there during a May Day event when shots were fired into the crowd from a nearby building.
___
5:40 p.m.
Thousands of people were celebrating May Day peacefully in Germany's capital, but police were braced for the possibility of violence.

The dpa news agency reported Monday that an estimated 10,000 people gathered in Berlin's Kreuzberg district for a street festival, and police reported no significant incidents.

But 5,400 police officers were mobilized in case the event got out of hand later in the day, when demonstrations were planned. Berlin has experienced major May Day riots in the past, though recent years have been relatively calm.

Still, some 50 officers were hurt last year in a brief, but violent clash.

In the eastern city of Erfurt, about 1,200 supporters of the nationalist Alternative for Germany rallied, holding signs with slogans like "no mosques in Germany." Police say the demonstration was peaceful.
___
5:15 P.M.
South African President Jacob Zuma was jeered by labor unionists and his May Day speech was cancelled after scuffles broke out between his supporters and workers chanting for him to step down.

Zuma, who is facing calls to resign after a string of scandals, was expected to call for unity between his ruling party, the African National Congress, and labor unions at the rally in Bloemfontein.

Groups in the crowd booed the president and clashed with his supporters before he could speak.

All speeches scheduled for the event then were cancelled by the Congress of South African Trade Unions, the country's largest body of unions.

The organization has called for the 75-year-old Zuma to resign.

Zuma once a popular figure among South Africa's workers, was eventually ushered away by his bodyguards.
___
5:05 p.m.
A May Day march in Paris has turned violent less than a week before the runoff French presidential election.

A few hundred protesters started throwing gasoline bombs and other objects at police at the front end of what started as a peaceful union march in the French capital on Monday.

Police responded with tear gas and truncheons. Riot police clubbed some protesters who were pushed up against a wall on a tree-lined avenue.

The violent protesters were not carrying any union or election paraphernalia.

They appeared to be from the same fringe groups that have targeted anti-government protests in the past.

The union activists are still marching separately, although police are interrupting to check bags for gasoline bombs.
___
4:55 p.m.
Two May Day marches have been held in Moscow, both drawing from nostalgia for Soviet times.

First, a crowd that police estimated at about 130,000 people paraded across the cobblestones of Red Square, the site of Soviet-era May Day celebrations.

The tradition was revived in 2014 after Russia's annexation of Crimea and is seen as part of President Vladimir Putin's efforts to stoke patriotic feelings.

The second march was led by the Communists, who over the years have tried to keep the May Day tradition alive. Their march skirted Red Square and drew several thousand people.

Many carried red flags with the Soviet hammer and sickle, but there was little honoring of Soviet leaders Vladimir Lenin and Josef Stalin compared to previous years.
___
4:28 p.m.
Police are firing tear gas at rowdy protesters on the sidelines of a May Day workers' march in Paris.

Scores of hooded youth threw Molotov cocktails at security forces who fired back with tear gas during the march on Monday.

The annual march to celebrate workers' rights this year included calls to block far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen from winning the presidency during a runoff election on Sunday.

Video showed riot police surrounding the protesters disrupting the march after isolating most of them from the rest of the crowd near the Place de la Bastille. However, some continued to lob firebombs that exploded into flames in the street.
It was not immediately clear if anyone was injured in the incidents.
___
4:20 p.m.
A protester has briefly disrupted the start of Cuba's largest annual political event, sprinting in front of May Day marchers with a U.S. flag before being tackled and dragged away.

President Raul Castro watched along with other military and civilian leaders and foreign dignitaries as the man broke through security and ran ahead of the tens of thousands in the pro-government march.

Plainclothes officers struggled to control the man but eventually lifted him off the ground and hauled him away in front of foreign and Cuban journalists covering the parade.

Monday's protest was a surprising breach of security at a government-organized event where agents line the route.

Castro has said he will step down as president in February, making this his last May Day parade as head of state.
___
4:00 p.m.
Businesses in Puerto Rico have been boarded up as the U.S. territory braces for a May Day strike organized by opponents of austerity measures amid a deep economic crisis.

Dozens of people wearing black T-shirts blocked a main road in the capital of San Juan and marched toward the financial center. They banged large wooden placards painted with a black Puerto Rican flag against the ground.

Thousands of protesters are expected Monday as Puerto Rico teeters on the edge of a possible bankruptcy-like procedure.

A measure that has protected the territory from creditor lawsuits expires at midnight, and the government has struggled to reach a deal with bondholders to restructure part of its $70 billion debt.
___
2:30 p.m.
Spain's two major unions called for marches in over 70 cities under the slogan "No More Excuses." UGT and CC.OO unions on Monday demanded that Spain's conservative government roll back its labor reforms that made it cheaper to fire workers and increase wages and pensions.

CC.OO general secretary Ignacio Fernandez Toxo said "Spain has been growing for two years and now it is time for the economy to align itself with the needs of the people."

He spoke at a march of several thousand people in Madrid, which he led alongside UGT leader Josep Maria Alvarez. Thousands more marched in Barcelona, while other rallies were held in Seville, Valencia and other cities.

Under conservative Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, Spain's economy has rebounded and unemployment has dropped from 27 percent in 2013 to 19 percent, but that is still the second-highest unemployment rate in the 28-nation European Union behind Greece.

Rajoy thanked Spain's workers on Twitter: "I appreciate your contribution to the economic recovery. The government is working to create more and better jobs."
___
2:30 p.m.
Labor union and left-wing activists appealed for unity in order to oppose Poland's current conservative government as they marked May Day with a parade in Warsaw.

The rally and a march Monday was by the All-Poland Alliance of Trade Unions and by the Democratic Left Alliance, which lost all parliament seats in the 2015 election that brought the conservative populist Law and Justice party to power.

Sebastian Wierzbicki of the SLD said the left wing needs to protect workers' rights but also focus on civic rights and human dignity.
___
1:30 p.m.
Thousands of garment industry workers in Bangladesh gathered to demand better wages and legal protection.

About 4 million people are employed in the country's garment industry, the second largest in the world. The industry, with about 4,000 factories, earns $25 billion a year from exports, mainly to the United States and Europe, but working conditions often are grim.

Lovely Yesmin, president of the Readymade Garments Workers Federation, one of several unions representing factory workers, said just increasing salaries is not enough.

She said workers must be provided better living quarters and health benefits, and factories must make provisions so the children of factory workers can be educated.
"These are our demands on the great May Day of 2017," she said.
___
1:30 p.m.
In Taipei, thousands of Taiwanese workers hoisted cardboard signs and banners in a march protesting what they said were unfairly low wages and deteriorating work conditions. A number of them staged a fake funeral procession, carrying a coffin with the words "basic annual pension" written on it, while others waved black flags.

Huang Yu-kai, president of the labor union of the Taiwan High-Speed Rail Corp. and a train conductor, said low wages in Taiwan are "the root of all problems."

"This is why we take part in this march every year," Huang said.

President Tsai Ing-wen said in a post on her Facebook page that improvements are being made even if major changes would take time. "Although reform would not be completed in one step, the progress we have made is not small."
___
11:25 a.m.
Cambodian riot police watched carefully as more than 1,000 garment workers defied a government ban on marching to deliver a petition to the National Assembly in Phnom Penh, demanding a higher minimum wage and more freedom of assembly.

The marchers, holding a forest of banners, filled a street a short distance from the parliament complex and advanced noisily until they were stopped by a barricade and lines of police, holding batons, shields and guns capable of firing gas canisters. A standoff of several hours was resolved when a representative from the Assembly came out and accepted the petition.

The workers were from the Coalition of Cambodian Apparel Workers Democratic Union. Among their demands was increasing the minimum wage from $153 to $208 per month. The clothing and footwear industry is Cambodia's biggest export earner.

The major Cambodian labor unions traditionally have been loosely allied with opposition parties, posing a potential political threat to longtime authoritarian leader Hun Sen.
___
11:25 a.m.
Police in Istanbul detained more than 70 people who tried to march to iconic Taksim Square in defiance of a ban on holding May Day events there. The square was declared off limits to demonstrations for a third year running and police blocked points of entry, allowing only small groups of labor union representatives to lay wreaths at a monument there.

Taksim holds a symbolic value for Turkey's labor movement. In 1977, shots were fired into a May Day crowd from a nearby building, killing 34 people.

Main trade unions groups have agreed to hold large rallies at government-designated spots in Istanbul and Ankara but small groups were expected to try to reach Taksim.
___
11:25 a.m.
Several thousand protesters gathered outside Greece's parliament, and unions braced for more austerity measures imposed by bailout lenders.
Two large union-organized rallies are planned in Athens on the holiday, with employees at many public services nominally on strike.

As the marches began, government officials prepared for more talks at a central Athens hotel with representatives of bailout creditors as the two sides were near an agreement to maintain draconian spending controls beyond the current rescue program.

The talks had been expected to end Sunday. Future spending cuts will include additional pension cuts and tax increases for Greeks, already hit by seven years of harsh cuts.

Greece's largest labor union, the GSEE, has called a general strike for May 17 to protest the latest austerity package.
___
11:25 a.m.
A few thousand left-wing activists and laborers marched and held noisy rallies to press for higher wages and an end to temporary contractual jobs that deprive workers in the Philippines of many benefits. In sweltering summer heat, the crowds in Manila also protested alleged extrajudicial killings under President Rodrigo Duterte's drug crackdown.

The activists carried murals of Duterte and President Donald Trump, asking the Philippine leader to stay away from the U.S. president, who has invited Duterte for a U.S. visit. Protest leader Venzer Crisostomo fears an "America First" policy would be disadvantageous to poorer countries like the Philippines. "We would not want Duterte to be in cahoots with Donald Trump in oppressing the country and in implementing policies."
 

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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN17X203?il=0

World News | Mon May 1, 2017 | 4:44pm EDT

Venezuela security forces battle protesters amid May Day rallies

By Andrew Cawthorne and Alexandra Ulmer | CARACAS

Security forces fired tear gas at youths throwing stones and petrol bombs on Monday as Venezuela's opposition began a second month of protests against socialist President Nicolas Maduro.

With hundreds of thousands on the streets of Caracas for rival May Day marches, red-shirted supporters of Maduro also gathered downtown vowing to defend the socialists' 18-year rule of the South American oil producer.

Twenty nine people have been killed, over 400 injured, and hundreds more arrested in unrest since early April against Maduro, the unpopular 54-year-old successor to Hugo Chavez.

"For no reason, they are starting to repress us," lawmaker Jose Olivares said, as National Guard troops shot teargas in one district of west Caracas in the morning towards hundreds of people standing around waiting to march.

Most took cover behind trees and walls, while opposition leaders took out phones to film the National Guard. Olivares was injured in the head by a gas canister, the opposition said.

Elsewhere, the National Guard blocked marchers pouring towards a major highway in front of the Avila mountain on Caracas' northern edge. Opposition supporters cheered as youths ran to the front, carrying makeshift shields made from trash bin lids, wood and even a satellite dish.

Some, wearing motorbike helmets, swimming goggles or bandanas over their mouths, threw stones and petrol bombs at the security line, with a protester yelling "No one turn back!"

Others blocked roads in Caracas' wealthier Chacao area with branches and fences. One woman loaded Molotov cocktails from a beer crate onto a motorbike where two men took them to the front line.

Government opponents are demanding elections, autonomy for the legislature where they have a majority, freedom for more than 100 jailed activists and a humanitarian aid channel from abroad to offset Venezuela's brutal economic crisis.

"DEFEND OUR PRESIDENT"
In central Caracas, where the socialists have traditionally held their rallies, government supporters cheered a huge inflatable doll of Chavez and railed against opposition "terrorists."

"The workers are in the street to defend our president against the violent coup-mongers," said Aaron Pulido, 29, a union worker with migration department Saime, in downtown Caracas among a sea of red banners.

"They destroyed five Saime offices around Venezuela in the last month ... There's never violence in our marches," he added.

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Maduro says his opponents are seeking to topple him by force as part of a U.S.-backed conspiracy to put a right-wing government in charge of Venezuela's oil wealth. He appeared at the rally on Monday afternoon, playing drums and waving to the crowd holding up posters of Chavez.

The government laid on hundreds of buses for its backers but closed subway stations in the capital and set up roadblocks, impeding opposition mobilization.

Some government workers acknowledged they had been coerced into attending Monday's pro-Maduro rally. "We're here because they tell us to. If not, there are problems," a 34 year-old employee with a state aluminum company, just off a bus after an all-night journey from southern Ciudad Bolivar, told a journalist until a supervisor cut off the conversation.

Millions of Venezuelans are struggling to eat three square meals a day or afford basic medicines.

"Who can stand this? So much hunger, misery, crime ... The prices are going up far more than the salary rises," said social security worker Sonia Lopez, 34, at the opposition demonstration in west Caracas, as she waved a Venezuelan flag signed by now jailed opposition politician Antonio Ledezma.

(Reporting by Andrew Cawthorne and Alexandra Ulmer, additonal reporting by Marco Bello, Diego Ore, Andreina Aponte and Carlos Rawlins; Editing by W Simon and Andrew Hay)

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles


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WASHINGTON The U.S. State Department issued a travel alert for Europe on Monday, saying U.S. citizens should be aware of a continued threat of terrorist attacks throughout the continent.

Macron, Le Pen exchange May Day blows on day of rallies and protests
PARIS Centrist presidential frontrunner Emmanuel Macron and his far-right rival Marine Le Pen attacked each other's visions of France and the role it should play in Europe on Monday against a background of May Day rallies and protests.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/anders...ut-japan-and-south-korea-should/#54ec9e523943

APR 30, 2017 @ 10:44 AM 4,047

Why North Korea Cannot Have Nuclear Weapons, But Japan And South Korea Should

Anders Corr , CONTRIBUTOR
I cover international politics, security and political risk.

Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own.
TWEET THIS
- Nuclear weapons are one of those sovereign rights that should not be granted to autocratic leaders, or to immature or unstable democracies, for that matter.

- Russia, China, Pakistan, and Iran are all lacking in qualities of democracy, human rights, environmental sustainability, and international law. Therefore they should not be trusted with nuclear weapons, which can do major damage to these core values.

On April 28, North Korea launched a new missile test that furthers its nuclear weapons program. When opposing this activity the U.S. has been called hypocritical. The U.S. has nuclear weapons, goes the argument, so why should the U.S. deny nuclear weapons to North Korea (or Iran for that matter), which are sovereign states and therefore have the right to self-defense? Or, how could anyone argue that Japan and South Korea should have nuclear weapons, but North Korea should not?

South Korean Foreign Minister Yun Byung Se (L-table) speaks to members of the security council during a meeting on nonproliferation of North Korea at the United Nations on April 28, 2017 in New York City. The growing threat of a nuclear North Korea is going to be the focus for Secretary of State Rex Tillerson while he chairs a special meeting of the United Nations Security Council. Credit: Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

The reason for the distinction, which some might see as hypocrisy, is rarely discussed by diplomats publicly. But I believe the distinction underlies our strong opposition to North Korean nuclear weapons — North Korea is an autocracy that violates human rights and international law and therefore cannot be trusted with this most destructive of weapons. Were Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, or Ukraine to obtain nuclear weapons for their defense against China and Russia, which I think they should do, they would not experience sanctions or violent threats as do North Korea and Iran. They might get a slap on the diplomatic wrist, and nothing more. This is not hypocrisy, but rather based on the core values exhibited by contemporary democracies, and their legitimate authority stemming from 17th-century philosophies of democratic sovereignty.

Let us compare the extreme cases — North Korea versus the U.S., U.K, and France. The latter three countries are mature democracies that have shown strong support for core international values like democracy, human rights, environmental sustainability and international law. They are not perfect, to which U.S. waterboarding at Guantánamo prison, rollbacks of the Environmental Protection Agency, and mining of Nicaragua’s harbor in the 1980s attest. But they are generally much better on human rights, international law, and environmental sustainability than is North Korea.

Because of this adherence to core values, global public opinion trusts these countries to have nuclear weapons, and to use them in a defensive manner that allows them to further these values globally, knowing that their nuclear capability deters retaliation. Countries with core values but without a nuclear deterrent, such as South Korea or Japan, have to be more circumspect in their advocacy of values when addressing aggressive countries like Russia, China, and North Korea. This is one reason why China and Russia are against Japan and South Korea obtaining nuclear weapons.

While Japan and South Korea’s sovereignty resides in their citizens, democratic deliberation and rights and responsibilities as established by law, North Korea’s sovereignty inheres in just one man — he is neither mature, nor does he support democracy, human rights, international law, and environmental sustainability. It is therefore far more dangerous for nuclear weapons to be in the hands of Kim Jong Un than in the hands of a democracy. His lack of respect for these core values makes him more liable to use those weapons in a way that grossly violates them. While the U.N. recognizes Kim Jong Un’s North Korea as “sovereign”, it is a sovereignty that has proved capricious and led to the violation of human rights. It is therefore a questionable sort of sovereignty that in my view deserves less consideration, if any, when compared to the mature and stable democratic sovereignty that is found in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.

North Korea’s sovereignty is closer to that envisioned by philosopher Thomas Hobbes, which is an autocratic sovereignty only justified by an anarchic state of nature in which life is “solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short." But that Hobbesian state of nature no longer exists in most countries, and so can no longer be used to justify autocratic rule. Indeed, the closest thing to Hobbes’ brutish state of nature is now the autocratic rule in North Korea itself.

The democratic world has long left Hobbes' brutish state of nature behind. Democratic states are now based on a democratic notion of sovereignty envisioned by philosopher John Locke in the 17th century. Democratic sovereignty is only granted through the consent of the governed. There must be a representative body like a legislature. Democratic sovereignty must be wielded for the benefit of the governed. This is an approach to sovereignty that privileges democracy and human rights (rule of the people, for the people) over autocracies that violate human rights (rule of one person, to the detriment of others).

In North Korea’s lesser autocratic sovereignty, by this argument, should inhere fewer sovereign rights. Nuclear weapons are one of those sovereign rights that should not be granted to autocratic leaders, or to immature or unstable democracies, for that matter. North Korea is an extreme case and therefore useful to make the argument that autocracies should not have nuclear weapons. It puts into question whether other, less extreme cases of autocracy should have nuclear weapons. I would say not. Russia, China, Pakistan, and Iran are all lacking in qualities of democracy, human rights, environmental sustainability, and international law. Therefore they should not be trusted with nuclear weapons, which can do major damage to these core values.

Perhaps this is one reason China and Russia seem to support, or at the very least countenance, North Korea’s nuclear weapons program. If North Korea cannot have nuclear weapons, neither should the other autocracies. China and Russia likely know that if North Korea’s nuclear weapons development ended, it would put the focus of global public opinion back onto their own violations of democratic rights, human rights, environmental sustainability, and international law. Their own possession of enough nuclear weapons to destroy the world’s environment and human economy would be questioned. And, China and Russia do not need nuclear weapons. As long as autocracies make slow but steady progress on core goals like democracy, human rights, environmental sustainability, and international law, they have nothing to fear from democracies. Quite the contrary. They will be welcomed with open arms into the international community of responsible states.

Please follow me on Twitter @anderscorr, or contact me at corr@canalyt.com.
 

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http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/may/1/why-nuclear-posture-review-needs-to-get-it-right/

Why Nuclear Posture Review needs to get it right

By Michaela Dodge - - Monday, May 1, 2017
ANALYSIS/OPINION:
Nuclear weapons, in the wrong hands, threaten the very existence of the U.S. And, yes, some of the “wrong hands” have them.

This is why it’s absolutely critical that the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), launched last week by the Defense Department, gets things right.

The review, a comprehensive reassessment of U.S. nuclear weapon policy and the capabilities needed to execute them will take months to complete. Done right, it will: guide the administration to strengthen U.S. nuclear deterrence, correct the Obama administration’s flawed nuclear weapon policies and assure more than 30 allies around the world that rely on extended deterrence from the U.S. for their national security.

U.S. nukes serve an important purpose: They encourage others to not build their own weapons, lessening the likelihood of a nuclear war. That’s no easy feat; just think of a certain dictator with a chubby finger on a nuclear button so close to our allies in South Korea or Japan. Both of these countries have the know-how and the resources to produce many nuclear weapons. They have chosen not to, largely due to U.S. guarantees.

The last NPR, produced in 2010, was misguided by wishful thinking about U.S.-Russian relations. It argued that Russia was no longer an adversary and that the potential for conflict was low. In reality, Russia had invaded Georgia just two years earlier, would invade Ukraine in 2013. It would also launch the most extensive nuclear weapon modernization since the end of the Cold War, even as Vladimir Putin further consolidated his power and restricted democratic movements within Russia itself.

Clearly, Russia sees the U.S. as an adversary, violates an alphabet soup of international agreements and regularly threatens European allies with preemptive nuclear strikes. To underscore the seriousness of its threats, Russia conducts military exercises that practice attacks — including the use of nuclear weapons — on our European allies.

The next NPR would be foolish to turn a blind eye to all of this. For example, it should recommend that the U.S. not extend the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty — set to expire in February 2021 — until Russia demonstrates it can be a trustworthy treaty partner.

Russia has repeatedly violated the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Force Treaty since 2008 in an effort to undermine the North Atlantic Treaty Organization politically and to intimidate its European members. A recommendation that the U.S. withdraw from this broken pact would certainly be in order, too.

Nuclear deterrence was no cakewalk during the Cold War and has become even more complex since. Before 1989, the U.S. not only developed a variety of nuclear weapon systems, it tested them regularly to ensure their safety, security, reliability and military effectiveness. That went by the wayside when the last NPR made it U.S. policy to not develop new nuclear weapons and not give the current stockpile new missions or capabilities. This policy should be overturned.

New actors might require new deterrence approaches and new capabilities. The primary goal is to prevent a large-scale attack on the U.S. If that will require new nuclear weapons or yield-producing experiments, the nation should not hesitate to pursue them. Others certainly don’t.

Both Russia and China reportedly conduct small-scale nuclear weapon experiments and work on advanced nuclear warhead designs. In contrast, the newest U.S. nuclear warheads were designed in 1980s; our last nuclear-weapon test occurred 15 years ago.

Our aging nuclear triad — bombers, land-based missiles, and strategic submarines — will have to be recapitalized in the next two decades.

These systems present a unique challenge to U.S. adversaries to decapitate the land-based missiles, an adversary has to attack U.S. territory directly indicating his intent. Strategic submarines are difficult to find. Bombers provide the president an unparalleled signaling ability.

These attributes will be as critical for our national security in the future as they have been so far.

The next NPR offers a great opportunity to put U.S. deterrence policy on a 21st century footing.

• Michaela Dodge is a senior policy analyst specializing in missile defense and arms control in The Heritage Foundation’s Center for National Defense.
 

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https://www.commentarymagazine.com/foreign-policy/asia/china/making-china-bend/

Making China Bend

The art of the deal.

MAX BOOT / MAY 1, 2017

Donald Trump has developed a well-earned reputation for rhetorical excess. But in the case of North Korea, most, if not all, of his rhetoric is deployed in service to a policy that makes sense. Even if it is unlikely to resolve one of the world’s most intractable problems, it is worth trying.

Trump has calculated that the answer to the growing North Korean threat lies in Beijing. “China is very much the economic lifeline to North Korea so, while nothing is easy, if they want to solve the North Korean problem, they will,” he tweeted on April 21.

This helps to explain his rhetoric, alternatively soothing and alarming. “There is a chance that we could end up having a major, major conflict with North Korea. Absolutely,” Trump told Reuters last week in an attempt to ratchet up the pressure primarily on China, rather than North Korea. The redeployment of the USS Carl Vinson carrier strike group to the region is part of the same strategy. Trump knows that China doesn’t want a war on its border.

But Trump is also offering China’s President, Xi Jinping, sweeteners to go along with threats to launch Korean War II. In his Reuters interview, he was positively fawning in his description of the Communist dictator, whom he has met once: “He is a good man. He is a very good man, and I got to know him very well. With that being said, he loves China, and he loves the people of China.”

It is safe to say that Xi Jinping does not actually love all the people of China. He has no love left, in particular, for those who challenge his rule. As Amnesty International noted in its 2016/2017 report: “Activists and human rights defenders continued to be systematically subjected to monitoring, harassment, intimidation, arrest and detention.” It makes sense that Trump would say this, not only because he has shown scant concern for human rights but also because he thinks that this buddy act is the way to win Xi’s cooperation on North Korea.

That also explains why Trump refuses to renew his contacts with the president of Taiwan after a phone call in December that aggravated Beijing. “My problem is that I have established a very good personal relationship with President Xi,” he told Reuters. “I really feel that he is doing everything in his power to help us with a big situation. So I wouldn’t want to be causing difficulty right now for him.”

From a certain perspective, it can look as if Trump were giving Beijing a veto over U.S. policy toward Taiwan. In his mind, however, he is no doubt holding out another inducement for Xi, suggesting that if China cooperates on North Korea, the U.S. will tone down its support for Taiwan.

Trump’s offer to talk with Kim Jong-un, one of the world’s worst dictators, is yet another attempt to signal flexibility, even if was delivered with trademark hyperbole. He called Kim a “smart cookie” and said, “If it would be appropriate for me to meet with him I would absolutely. I would be honored to do it.”

The only thing that Trump said in the Reuters interview that doesn’t fit the script is his criticism of South Korea. As Reuters noted, he said that “he wants South Korea to pay the cost of the U.S. THAAD anti-missile defense system, which he estimated at $1 billion, and intends to renegotiate or terminate a U.S. free trade pact with South Korea because of a deep trade deficit with Seoul.”

Both issues are non-starters in Seoul, where there is a lot of satisfaction with the U.S.-South Korea Free Trade Agreement and a lot of grumbling about the U.S. THAAD ballistic missile defense system deployment, which has angered China. Moon Jae-in, the frontrunner in the May 9 South Korean presidential election, has already expressed opposition to the accelerated deployment of THAAD. Trump’s demand for $1 billion will further mobilize nationalist sentiment behind him.

Given that Trump is intent on confronting North Korea, it is a mystery why he would want to alienate South Korea—an ally that has much larger armed forces on the Peninsula than the U.S. does (625,000 South Korean troops vs. 28,500 Americans). It’s probable that the president, who has long complained about allies supposedly taking advantage of America, was simply popping off without giving a lot of thought to his words. And, indeed, National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster assured the South Korean government on Sunday that the U.S. is not actually going to make Seoul pay for THAAD.

But, aside from his intemperate and ill-advised language about South Korea, the Trump policy makes sense. It accords with the view of the best-informed and most hawkish experts on North Korea, who know that there is scant chance of North Korea making concessions unless it feels a lot more pressure. And the only way to apply any real pressure is via Beijing.

Saying that Trump’s policy makes sense, however, isn’t to say that it has a high likelihood of success. Sure, China may impose some temporary sanctions on North Korea, but the PRC is unlikely to squeeze Pyongyang all that hard because it will not risk regime collapse. Chaos and a potentially united and pro-Western Korea on its border is the last thing China wants.

Sooner or later, Trump is likely to realize that he’s been had–that Xi Jinping is not really his friend and he does not have any intention of “solving” the North Korean problem. What happens then? Trump has already shown he is not averse to rapid changes of positions and to taking actions–such as calling the “One China” policy into question–that are anathema to Beijing. The Xi-Trump “bromance” is not likely to end well.

If China doesn’t crack down voluntarily on North Korea, look for the U.S. to impose “secondary sanctions” on Chinese firms doing business with the North. The U.S. may also pursue expanded sanctions on the North, particularly the targeting of its financial system. Even those steps are unlikely to lead Kim Jong-un to voluntarily give up his nuclear program, which he views as vital for regime (and personal) survival. But they could conceivably hasten the day when Kim’s odious regime will collapse, leading to the reunification of the Korean Peninsula. That is the only solution to the North Korean nuclear threat that, in the final analysis, is likely to work.
 

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China's Role in Post-Hegemonic Middle East

By John Calabrese
May 01, 2017

Dr. John Calabrese teaches U.S. foreign policy at American University and is director of the Middle East Institute's Middle East-Asia Project (MAP). This piece is part of a special RCW series on the U.S.-China geopolitical relationship. The views expressed here are the author’s own.

For more than a decade, the Middle East and North Africa region has experienced a level of violence and instability that is unprecedented in its modern history -- a turbulence that shows no sign of abating. During this period, the long-term sustainability of the U.S. role as security guarantor has increasingly been called into question, both in the United States and within the region. Meanwhile, China’s investments in the Middle East have grown, as has its economic, diplomatic, and security footprint.

Within this context, are there any indications that the United States and China already are, or inevitably will become, strategic rivals in the Middle East?


Multiple Interests

Beijing has a broad range of interests in the Middle East. Foremost among them is continued access to the region’s energy resources. China’s commercial interests in the region also include generating new investment opportunities and contracts for infrastructure projects for Chinese firms, as well as gaining market share for their products. China’s second key interest in the Middle East is cultivating relationships and building influence with regional powers beyond the confines of its immediate Asia-Pacific neighborhood. Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Egypt figure prominently in Beijing’s calculations. The region as a whole is important because of its abundant energy resources, its position as a geostrategic crossroads, and its potential role in the westward rebalancing of the Chinese economy within the framework of the One Belt, One Road initiative. A third interest is preserving domestic security by preventing radical ideologies and jihadi networks with roots in the region from seeping into China. Fourth, China has a general interest in the Middle East, as in other regions, as a theater for earning recognition as a legitimate great power.

A Growing Equity Stake

China imports more than half of its oil from the Gulf, as well as a third of its natural gas. Chinese major energy companies have established supply footholds in the Middle East, including in Iraq and most recently in Abu Dhabi. Sino-Middle Eastern energy partnerships extend to petrochemical and natural gas projects in the region and refinery projects in China itself.

Beijing’s commercial activities and ambitions in the region extend far beyond the energy sector, however. The Middle East is a growth market for affordable consumer products, and China is now the largest source of the region’s imports. Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, and Saudi Arabia import more from China than from any other country. Chinese firms are winning contracts for engineering, construction, and infrastructure development projects. In recent years, Chinese investment in the region -- in Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia -- has also picked up. And China is seeking cooperation in new sectors, including nuclear and renewable energy and aerospace technology.

Heightened Vulnerability

Until relatively recently, Beijing had not perceived conflicts in the region as having a direct impact on its interests. However, China’s heavy dependence on Middle East energy, and on the Gulf in particular, has made it acutely vulnerable to possible supply disruptions and price spikes resulting from unrest and conflict in the region. In spite of progress in diversifying its supply sources and its fuel mix, the Chinese economy remains heavily dependent on Middle Eastern oil and thus highly exposed to its volatile politics.

As a result of its expanding footprint in the region, China has incurred additional risks. Turmoil in the Middle East has raised Chinese policymakers’ concerns about the spread of Islamist ideology, the prospect of Chinese foreign fighters returning to commit acts of terrorism, as well as the possible suspension or abandonment of lucrative contracts, damage to or destruction of investment assets, and endangerment of Chinese workers and expatriates. Heightened exposure to these diverse threats has made it urgently necessary for Beijing to develop and skillfully employ the diplomatic and military tools with which to respond to them.

More Capable and More Active, But Still Cautious

China’s deepening involvement in the Middle East and its attendant risks has generated a great deal of speculation about whether Beijing has a long-term strategy. If indeed such a strategy exists, the Chinese leadership has yet to articulate it explicitly and publicly. Nevertheless, one can distill from Chinese official statements and conduct three interrelated precepts that guide its approach to the region: 1) buy what you need and sell what you can; 2) do not interfere either in domestic or inter-state political affairs; and 3) emphasize dialogue and development, as opposed to the use of force, as the solution to the Middle East’s problems, and thereby distinguish China from other external powers in the region.

Beijing’s adherence to non-interference in the Middle East is designed to avoid direct involvement in conflicts or crises, and to evade clear-cut positions on controversial issues. It’s obvious that China is not keen to play a central role as peacemaker. China’s first “Arab Policy Paper,” issued in January 2016, was vague. Tentative forays such as Beijing’s Four-Point Plan for Syria gained little traction. This has led many observers to characterize China’s policy as “cautious,” “wary,” and “risk averse.”

However, China’s policy in the Middle East, as elsewhere, has been more flexible, pragmatic, and experimental than is often portrayed. Beijing has become increasingly active on the diplomatic front, chiefly through multilateral institutions such as the Arab League, the China-Gulf Forum, and in the recruitment of nine MENA countries as members of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB).

China has also played a more visible security role in the region in recent years, most notably in its deployment of combat troops for peacekeeping in South Sudan, in addition to the construction of its first overseas naval base, in Djibouti. Moreover, the evacuation of noncombatants by PLA naval vessels in Libya and Yemen, in addition to legislation authorizing more expansive counterterrorism operations beyond China's borders, demonstrates that China is willing to secure its interests around the world, and by force if necessary.

Yet China’s “new activism” in the Middle East gives the appearance of being a behavioral adjustment to unfolding events -- an outgrowth of its burgeoning commercial presence in a region with demonstrably high political risks and chronic instability -- rather than a carefully crafted great-power grand strategy. On the whole, strategic caution remains the hallmark of the Chinese approach to the Middle East.

Toward a Cooperative Post-U.S. Hegemonic Order in the Middle East

China’s role in the Mideast has grown diplomatically, economically, and militarily, however this increased involvement is not necessarily indicative of an incipient strategic competition between China and the United States.

First, it is essential to point out that American and Chinese interests in the Middle East are not directly in conflict with each other. On the contrary, the United States and China have a common interest in the uninterrupted flow of oil from the Middle East and in countering violent extremism in the region.

Second, China has exhibited few signs that it wishes to challenge U.S. military predominance in the region -- and for good reason. China benefits from the U.S. role as security guarantor, and without having to bear the fiscal or potential political costs itself. Furthermore, maintaining a large military presence in the Gulf and surrounding region to some degree diverts U.S. attention and resources away from East Asia, the area of highest geostrategic priority to China.

Third, the calls from Beijing’s Mideast friends and allies for a greater Chinese role in the region do not represent a desire on their part to substitute Chinese for American hegemony. America’s traditional Arab allies -- however much they object to Washington’s policies or have grown uncertain about the resoluteness and sustainability of its commitments -- nonetheless continue to regard the United States as a necessary security partner. Their outreach to China represents an effort to diversify their security cooperation, and not to downgrade or sever security ties with the United States.

As for Iran, the United States’ chief regional adversary, its project to consolidate its regional position and ultimately repel the United States from the Middle East is a vision not necessarily shared by the Chinese. Indeed, U.S. partners and adversaries alike have sought in recent years to utilize their ties with Beijing in order to gain the upper hand in internecine conflicts or political disputes. In this respect, the objectives and priorities of the various Mideast states and those of China -- which are geared toward balancing regional relationships and avoiding a confrontation with the United States -- are misaligned.

Thus, the prospects for intensifying strategic competition in the Middle East between China and the United States are rather more remote than they appear to be, particularly in the short term. Over the longer term, however, increased Chinese military capabilities, coupled with rising U.S.-China tension in the western Pacific, could feed back into the Middle East, igniting such a competition. In anticipation of such an eventuality, it would be more prudent for the United States to explore win-win scenarios than to assume zero-sum outcomes.

Chinese and U.S. capabilities to contribute to regional stability are complementary. What the two countries can do together is greater than each can realistically be expected to accomplish separately. Moreover, increased U.S. energy independence, thanks in large part to the recent shale gas boom, provides an incentive and an opportunity to share the financial and military burdens with China of enhancing stability in the Middle East. U.S.-China policy coordination in this regard could help pave the way for other extra-regional actors with interests and investments in the region -- countries such as India, Japan, and South Korea -- to play constructive roles. Seizing this opportunity could help facilitate the transition not from a U.S.-led to a Chinese-led hegemonic order in the region and beyond, but to one that is more complex though mutually advantageous and peaceful.
 

Housecarl

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https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/exporting-north-koreas-nukes/

Exporting North Korea’s nukes

2 May 2017|Chris Douglas

The United States has announced that it’s reserving the option of military force to prevent North Korea acquiring the means to deliver a nuclear warhead using a long range ballistic missile. It’s time to check our thinking about what North Korea’s counterattack response might be. Not all of the DPRK’s potential responses, nor their potential impacts, are being discussed.

Current assessments of North Korea’s ability to attack the US are based on the assumption that delivery of a nuclear weapon is dependent on missile technology. But North Korea already has a system capable of delivering nuclear weapons anywhere—it’s just not rocket powered.

Globalisation’s been driven in part by the development of technology. One of the most significant developments was the invention of shipping containers. Designed for peaceful and lawful purposes, they’ve been used—and continue to be used—as instruments of crime, to move narcotics, weapons, stolen property, and humans around the world. They could also be used to deliver nuclear weapons. They’re the perfect intercontinental mobile ballistic ‘missile’ system. A nuclear weapon placed inside a container could be delivered to any country and to any city, including those far from sea ports, using trains or trucks. And they cannot be destroyed by anti-ballistic missile systems being deployed by the US.

Many military strategists assume that North Korea’s hidden its nuclear weapons deep underground to protect them from an attack by the US. Hiding the weapons deep underground would make sense if the North Korean strategy were to protect them from destruction, and if the American objective was merely to destroy them and North Korea’s capacity to produce more. But if the US intended to remove the regime, then hiding nuclear weapons would make no sense from the perspective of the North Korean leadership. Its senior leaders, especially the paranoid President, will assume that any attack by the US will have removal of the government as one of its objectives. Even if regime change wasn’t the US objective, the leadership would still feel threatened. With nothing to lose, it makes sound strategic sense for the North Koreans to respond to any attack in a way that not only cripples the US but the world economy as well.

Nuclear weapons could be smuggled out of North Korea via China, or by fishing vessel or diesel electric submarine, and then be placed into containers on a cargo ship for transport to a port anywhere in the world. Concealing the weapons would be easy with 3,000 free trade zones around the world, many in countries with high levels of corruption, where goods can be rebadged and re-invoiced, with little or no scrutiny from a competent authority. North Korea’s knowledge of world trade systems, with help from countries friendly to it, has enabled it to evade the full impact of sanctions for years, allowing it to develop missile systems and for the regime to remain in power.

If the Pong Su, a North Korean freighter could drop a large quantity of narcotics off the Australian coast near a major city, a fanatical regime facing extinction at the hands of a deeply hated enemy wouldn’t think twice about sending a container bearing a nuclear device into the US or an allied country and detonating it. Alternatively, similar to the use of Japanese midget submarines to attack Sydney harbour during World War 2, North Korea could sail a nuclear bomb laden diesel electric submarine into an American or Australian port and explode the weapon.

North Korea understands that the US and the world economy would be crippled by a nuclear counterattack. And it further appreciates that just the threat of shipping containers bearing nuclear weapons sitting in locations around the world awaiting detonation by its agents would cause the US to think twice about attacking it. Such an action would result in the US and its allies diverting resources to search for and find the weapons, or taking pains to confirm their non-existence.

With over 17 million shipping containers in circulation, weaponised containers would be hard to detect. The large number means that thousands could be deployed as decoys, increasing the chances that the few carrying nuclear weapons are successfully delivered and exploded.

It’s imperative that the US treads carefully and does not plan any attack on North Korea on the assumption that it’s going to respond like a text book enemy. The North Korean leadership has shown that, while it appears irrational, it’s smart and ruthless. And it’ll respond accordingly when attacked. A failure in imagination in any assessment of North Korea’s options to respond to a US attack could have a devastating impact not only on the United States of America but the entire world, involving a significant loss of life and global economic ruin.

AUTHOR
Chris Douglas owns Malkara Consulting, which specialises in training and advice on financial crime including money laundering, terrorist financing, corruption and bribery and financial investigations. He served with the Australian Army and later with the Australian Federal Police for over 31 years. Image courtesy of Pixabay user janmarcust.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Iran attempts submarine cruise missile launch – US officials
Started by Millwright‎, Yesterday 02:53 PM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...marine-cruise-missile-launch-%96-US-officials

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http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/0...e-launch-from-submarine-us-officials-say.html

IRAN

Iran attempted missile launch from submarine, US officials say

By Lucas Tomlinson Published May 03, 2017 Fox News

Video

Iran attempted to launch a cruise missile from a submarine in the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday but the test failed, two U.S. officials told Fox News.

An Iranian Yono-class “midget” submarine conducted the missile launch. North Korea and Iran are the only two countries in the world that operate this type of submarine.

In February, Iran claimed to have successfully tested a submarine-launched missile. It was not immediately clear if Tuesday’s test was the first time Iran had attempted to launch a missile underwater from a submarine.

This incident comes on the heels of other recent provocations from Iran.

In April, the U.S. Navy's guided-missile destoryer fired a warning flare after an Iranian Revolutionary Guard vessel came within 1,000 meters of the USS Mahan.

The USS Mahan "made several attempts to contact the Iranian vessel by bridge-to-bridge radio, issuing warning messages and twice sounding the internationally recognized danger signal of five short blasts with the ship's whistle, as well as deploying a flare to determine the Iranian vessel's intentions."

Iranian officials announced late last month that the country's defense budget had increased by 145 percent under President Hassan Rouhani and that its military is moving forward with a massive restructuring effort aimed at making it a "forward moving force," according to reports in the BBC.

Iran's official IRNA news agency also announced recently that the country has become self-sufficient in producing the amount of gas that it requires on a daily basis.

North Korea in 2015 conducted a successful ballistic missile test from a submarine for the first time.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.


Lucas Tomlinson is the Pentagon and State Department producer for Fox News Channel. You can follow him on Twitter: @LucasFoxNews
 
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Housecarl

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http://www.realcleardefense.com/art...merican_troop_presence_after_isis_111314.html

Iraq, U.S. in Talks to Keep American Troop Presence After ISIS

By Qassim Abdul-Zahra & Bradley Klapper
May 04, 2017

BAGHDAD (AP) — A U.S. and an Iraqi government official say Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi is in talks with the Trump administration to keep American troops in Iraq after the fight against the Islamic State group in the country is concluded.

The officials emphasize the discussions are ongoing. But the talks point to a consensus by both governments that, in contrast to the U.S. withdrawal in 2011, a longer-term presence of American troops in Iraq is needed to ensure Iraq's security.

Both officials spoke this week to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity in line with regulations.

Iraqi forces are struggling to push IS fighters out of a cluster of neighborhoods in the western part of Mosul that mark the last patch of significant urban terrain the group holds in the country.
 

Housecarl

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http://www.janes.com/article/70031/us-army-artillery-support-used-heavily-during-advance-on-mosul

Military Capabilities

US Army artillery support used heavily during advance on Mosul

Daniel Wasserbly, Washington, DC - IHS Jane's Defence Weekly
04 May 2017

The US-led air campaign supporting counter-Islamic State forces has had a higher profile, but US Army artillery fires played a significant role as Iraqi security forces advanced upon Mosul, according to a recently redeployed brigade commander.

During Iraqi forces' manoeuvres to retake Mosul the US Army fired about 6,000 rounds of precision surface fires, Colonel Brett Sylvia, commander of the 2nd Infantry Brigade Combat Team, 101st Airborne Division (Air Assault), told reporters on 3 May at the Pentagon. Col Sylvia's unit began its deployment to Iraq in April 2016 and has since redeployed.

"We did bring from our Brigade Combat Team artillery, and so then over the course of the counter-offensive towards Mosul, when we began to move into positions … we could directly support the ground manoeuvre in a more substantial way," he said.

Col Sylvia said artillery used included the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS), the M777 towed howitzer, and M109A6 Paladin self-propelled howitzer.

The HIMARS can launch Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) rockets out to 15-70 km and Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) rockets out to 300 km. The M777 and M109A6 howitzers, if firing GPS-guided M982 Excalibur rounds, have a maximum range of about 40 km.

Artillery was placed at multiple locations to support "each axis of advance" upon Mosul and "in order for them to stay relevant we did have to sort of reposition them", Col Sylvia said.

He also noted that Islamic State unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) were an issue "for the duration of the time that we were there" and included a range of systems.

US troops "saw some fixed-wing UAVs that would fly over" US and Iraqi forces when they were based farther from Mosul, although he "did not know to whom they actually belonged". Then, as troops moved nearer and into to Mosul, they saw multiple quadcopters UAVs each day.

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