WAR 02-13-2016-to-02-19-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
I figured I'd get this thread started now while I was thinking about it.....

(202) 01-23-2016-to-01-29-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...29-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

(203) 01-30-2016-to-02-05-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...05-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

(204) 02-06-2016-to-02-12-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...12-2016_____****THE****WINDS****of****WAR****

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For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2016/02/13/0301000000AEN20160213000651320.html

(LEAD) U.S. deploys additional Patriot missile systems to S. Korea

2016/02/13 10:47

(ATTN: RECASTS headline, lead; UPDATES with more details throughout)

SEOUL, Feb. 13 (Yonhap) -- The United States has deployed additional Patriot missile systems to South Korea as part of an effort to counter North Korea's latest provocations, United States Forces Korea (USFK) said Saturday.

The USFK headquarters in Seoul said it has been working closely with the South Korean government in regards to the deployment of the missiles and that the stationing of its assets is part of an emergency readiness exercise being carried out in response to Pyongyang's recent launching of long-range missiles.

The isolationist country fired off a missile, which can target the United States, on Sunday. This launch came after it detonated its fourth nuclear device on Jan. 6.

The Patriot missiles from Delta Battery of the 1-43 Air Defense Artillery unit stationed at Fort Bliss in Texas have joined up with two existing batteries in Osan Air Base to carry out anti-missile defensive drills. The 35th Air Defense Artillery Brigade in Osan, some 55 kilometers south of the capital city, has 96 PAC-2 and PAC-3 Patriot missiles.

"The South Korea-U.S. Alliance is mission focused on the real threat from North Korea,” said Lt. Gen. Thomas Vandal, Commanding General of Eighth Army. "North Korea’s continued development of ballistic missiles against the expressed will of the international community requires the Alliance to maintain effective and ready ballistic missile defenses. Exercises like this ensure we are always ready to defend against an attack from North Korea."

The Patriot missiles, with a top speed of upwards to Mach 5, can reach an altitude of 40 kilometers. They can be used to intercept North Korea's short-range KN-01 and KN-02 missiles as well as the longer range Scud and Rodong systems that can target all of South Korea.

Military authorities also said that the newly deployed missiles will be used to better integrate the missile defense posture of South Korea and the United States. This close cooperation can boost joint capabilities aimed at defending against, detecting and destroying North Korean missile threats.

yonngong@yna.co.kr

(END)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm........

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.digitaljournal.com/news/...nti-us-nuclear-strike-pentagon/article/457379

North Korea lacks technology for anti-US nuclear strike: Pentagon

By AFP
1 hour ago in World

North Korea is committed to striking the United States with a nuclear-armed missile, but it can't do so without outside help, due to shortfalls in its own technology, the Pentagon said Friday.

The report to Congress was written prior to a fourth nuclear test conducted by Pyongyang last month and the launch of a satellite-bearing rocket earlier this month.

North Korea's KN-08 intercontinental ballistic missile "likely would be capable" of striking the continental US if successfully designed and developed, said the report.

However, North Korea has not been able to conduct flight tests on the highly complex system, and its "current reliability as a weapon system would be low."

"The pace of its progress will also depend, in part, on how much technology and other aid it can acquire from other countries," it said.

Pyongyang is testing a separate type of technology to strike the US with intercontinental ballistic missiles launched into space but lacks a re-entry vehicle, the report added.

A test to launch a ballistic missile from a submarine in November ended in failure.

d827ca5f1e7c2f85b95eaa2f80d2524eab0e182d.jpg

http://www.digitaljournal.com/img/1.../d827ca5f1e7c2f85b95eaa2f80d2524eab0e182d.jpg

The report, which is required by law, made note of North Korea's Special Operations Forces, saying they are "among the most highly trained, well-equipped, best-fed and highly motivated forces" in the country's military.

Strategic SOF units "appear designed for rapid offensive operations, internal defense against foreign attacks or limited attacks against vulnerable targets in the ROK (South Korea) as part of a coercive diplomacy effort," it added.

"They operate in specialized units, including reconnaissance, airborne and seaborne insertion, commandos, and other specialties."

The international community has for years tried to rein in North Korea's nuclear ambitions, but the country shocked the world last month when it announced it had successfully tested a hydrogen bomb.

The US Congress earlier adopted tougher sanctions against Kim Jong-Un's regime, following unilateral measures from Japan days earlier. The US also is leading a push for tougher UN sanctions against Pyongyang.

And South Korean firms have abandoned a joint industrial park that helped fund Pyongyang's nuclear weapons program.

The Pentagon report also said North Korea is continuing to sell weapons to other countries, circumventing sanctions by using false documents and intermediaries.

"North Korea uses a worldwide network to facilitate arm sales activities and maintains a core, but dwindling group of recipient countries including Iran, Syria and Burma," it said.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/New...mpact-of-possible-intervention-in-Libya-.html

Tunisia braces for impact of possible Libya action

AFP, Tunis Friday, 12 February 2016

Tunisia said Friday that it was asking its regional authorities to work on a plan to cope with the fallout of a possible foreign military intervention in neighboring war-torn Libya.

In 2011, hundreds of thousands of people fled from Libya to Tunisia -- a country of around 11 million -- to escape fighting that led to the fall of longtime dictator Muammar Qaddafi.

Tunisia shares a southeastern border with Libya, where Western powers are openly considering an intervention against the Islamic State jihadist group which has gained influence there in the chaos following Qaddafi's ouster.

"In preparation for the situation developing and its consequences, Prime Minister Habib Essid has authorized governors in the southeast regions to form regional committees," a government statement said.

These will include "the different parties concerned in order to draw up a plan for each governorate to successfully face... exceptional events that could occur," it said, without giving further details.

On Thursday, the health ministry said it had met to discuss "an emergency plan for the health sector... in preparation for the influx on Tunisian soil of refugees and migrants fleeing military air strikes that could occur in Libya."

Last week, President Beji Caid Essebsi issued a warning to countries considering an intervention in Libya.

"Don't just think of your own interests," he said. "Think of the interests of neighboring countries, starting with Tunisia."

"Before any such act, please consult us, because it could serve you, but adversely affect us."


Last Update: Saturday, 13 February 2016 KSA 23:56 - GMT 20:56
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.news24.com/Africa/News/pilot-survives-again-after-libyan-plane-shot-down-20160213

Pilot survives again after Libyan plane shot down

2016-02-13 07:03

Benghazi - Libya's air force chief of staff says a fighter jet was shot down while carrying out airstrikes against Islamic militants, the third jet to be downed in nearly 40 days.

Brigadier General Saqr al-Jaroushi told The Associated Press that a Libyan MIG32 came under fire by militants' anti-aircraft guns in the eastern city of Benghazi on Friday. He says the pilot ejected and landed safely. The pilot has been rescued before in a similar incident on January 4.

Al-Jaroushi said army is investigating whether "terrorists have acquired new weapons capable of shooting down our planes".

The air force answers to the internationally-recognised government in eastern Libya, where forces have been fighting Islamic militants since 2014. In western Libya a rival parliament, backed by Islamist-allied militias, is in control.


Related Links

Libya needs extra week to form unity govt
Nigeria president warns of Libya 'time bomb'
Western powers make plans to hit ISIS in Libya
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.breitbart.com/national-s...ic-state-in-libya-greatest-cause-for-concern/

U.S. Envoy: Islamic State in Libya ‘Greatest Cause for Concern’

by Edwin Mora
12 Feb 2016
Comments 17

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Islamic State (ISIS/ISIL) branch in war-torn Libya is “the greatest cause for concern,” President Obama’s envoy to the anti-ISIS coalition told lawmakers.

In written testimony prepared for a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing held Wednesday, U.S. envoy Brett McGurk said, “The ISIL branch in Libya is the greatest cause for concern given its attacks to date in Libya and the threat it poses to our regional partners, such as Tunisia and Egypt.”


We also continue to monitor ISIL’s attempts to establish additional affiliates, such as in Bangladesh and Somalia, and are engaging partners and host nations. There is a strong international consensus on the imperative to rid the world of this terrorist group – and while we focus on the core in Iraq and Syria we are also working to enhance the capacity of local partners to identify and eliminate emerging threats before they can materialize.

ISIS branches in Libya, Sinai, Yemen, and Saudi Arabia are receiving financial support from the jihadist group’s base in Iraq and Syria, testified McGurk.

“We also know that the ISIL networks previously discussed facilitating expansion by dispatching capable individuals and funds, and promoting a dangerous transnational narrative. This makes it imperative to work as a global Coalition to identify and shut down networks running from the core to the affiliates,” he noted.

McGurk acknowledged that the U.S. “should expect setbacks and surprises” in the fight against ISIS.

Last year, U.S. and Libyan officials expressed concern over ISIS’s expansion into chaotic Libya, which has been gripped by unrest since rebels, backed by the U.S. and other Western powers, hunted down and killed former dictator Moammar Gaddafi on Oct. 20, 2011.

Dr. Aref Nayed, the Libyan Ambassador to the United Arab Emirates, warned in February 2015 that ISIS could use Libya as a platform to launch terrorist attacks against Europe, namely Italy.

That same month, ABC News quoted an anonymous U.S. counterterrorism official as saying that ISIS jihadists “pretty much own Libya. We have zero collection there and zero authorities there.”

A few months later, on January 27, Pentagon press secretary Peter Cook told reporters that the Obama administration has deployed U.S. forces to Libya to try “to establish contact with forces on the ground so that we get a clear picture of what’s happening there,” adding that ISIS in Libya is “a significant concern for us.”

Russian airstrikes on behalf of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad are pushing U.S.-backed Syrian opposition forces to fight the Syrian government rather than ISIS, testified Obama’s envoy on Wednesday.

“What Russia is doing is directly enabling ISIL,” he said, echoing various members of the Obama administration.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://abcnews.go.com/International...raised-happened-mexican-prison-brawl-36911528

Questions Raised About What Happened in Mexican Prison Brawl

By Mark Stevenson and Porfirio Ibarra, Associated Press

·MONTERREY, Mexico — Feb 13, 2016, 12:10 AM ET

Prosecutors charged three state officers with homicide after a bloody prison brawl that ended with 49 dead, raising questions about what happened during the melee inside Mexico's Topo Chico lockup that saw inmates fight with hammers, cudgels and makeshift knives.

Nuevo Leon state prosecutor Roberto Flores did not say Friday night if the officers with the state safety department, which supplies the prison's guards, were accused of killing inmates. But authorities have said a guard fired a bullet found in one dead inmate.

Flores also said that four of the nine bodies still unidentified could not be named because the prison had no record of them at the facility. The other five bodies were badly burned and were awaiting DNA testing.

"It is a pretty irregular situation," he said of the violence in the prison in Monterrey, which is Mexico's northern industrial hub.

Authorities said the hours-long fight that raged into Thursday morning was a battle between rival drug gang factions that underlined the power that cartels wield inside many of the country's prisons.

Nuevo Leon Gov. Jaime Rodriguez said 60 hammers, 86 knives and 120 shivs were used in the bloodbath in which 49 inmates were hacked, beaten or burned to death and a dozen were injured.

At least 40 of the victims "died from wounds from stabbing and cutting weapons, blows from hammers and clubs," Rodriguez said at a news conference

"What we have to see as a reality in the entire penitentiary system is that there is self-rule" by the inmates, Rodriguez said. "All this corruption inside the prison creates the conditions we have today."

He acknowledged that prisoners effectively lord over the facility and that there were not enough guards watching them. "Nobody wants to be a guard," he said, because of the meager pay.

Before flying from Cuba to Mexico on Friday, Pope Francis sent a message to Monterrey's archbishop expressing profound sorrow for the victims. He also asked that his condolences be conveyed to the victims' families and wished a speedy recovery for those injured in the melee.

About half the inmates at Topo Chico have been sentenced for minor offenses or are suspects still awaiting trial. Nevertheless they are housed in the prison's overcrowded general population alongside many of the country's most hardened killers.

One of them was Raymundo Gonzalez Hernandez, a 23-year-old who is accused of kidnapping but whose trial is still pending. He was not among those listed as wounded during the riot, but his cousin said he was covered by bruises and welts when she was allowed inside to see him.

"Both his eyes were practically closed from all the hits they gave him," Cynthia Hernandez said.

"He couldn't even speak, he just went like this," she added, moving her head from side to side.

No escapes were reported in the clash, which took place on the eve of Francis' arrival in Mexico, a visit that is scheduled to include a trip next week to another prison in the border city of Ciudad Juarez.

Flores confirmed the clash was between two gangs led by two members of the infamous Zetas drug cartel, Juan Pedro Zaldivar Farias, also known as "Z-27," and Jorge Ivan Hernandez Cantu.

Rodriguez blamed the violence on "the old, outdated, obsolete system" under which Mexican prisons are run and suggested after having visited the United States that his country may have to move to U.S.-style, privately operated prisons.

"We have to think about efforts with private initiative," he said. "We have not been doing rehabilitation work."

He also criticized judicial reforms that have given inmates greater ability to appeal transfer orders that could send them farther from their hometowns. Zaldivar had successfully fought to be moved to Topo Chico, while Hernandez won an appeal against transferring him elsewhere.

"Basically this is creating the conflicts in the prisons," Rodriguez said.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articl...-mexicans-fight-to-take-back-their-towns.html

CARTEL WATCH
02.12.16 9:15 PM ET

Abandoned by the Police, Mexicans Fight to Take Back Their Towns

As drug-funded warlords battle for control of towns and territory, a controversial re-ordering of the nation’s police has left many communities without protection.

Jeremy Kryt

TIERRA CALIENTE, Mexico — It’s a scorching Friday afternoon in early February. In the town called Tlapehuala, the local boss for the Familia Michoacana cartel rolls through on “personal business.”

The crime lord swoops along the dusty, sun-bleached streets in a gray Nissan pickup without plates captained by his personal bodyguard. Many of the town’s residents appear to recognize the resident strongman, or at least his vehicle. But there’s not much they can do about el jefe’s presence here today.

That’s because the police station in Tlapehuala has been closed for over a year—so there’s no one to call, or file a report with, even if they wanted to.

A brave local citizen introduces me to the capo on the steps of the Economic Secretary’s office—the town’s lone, remaining government outpost—after his “business” inside the building is finished.

“[La Familia] knows you are here in Tlapehuala, and will be watching over you at all times,” the cartel leader tells me, making it sound like both a promise and a threat. When I ask, he gives his name as El Comandante Equis. “Commander X.”

“This town is a crossroads for drug shipments, of course—but nothing worse than that happens around here,” says El Comandante, age 49, who’ s dressed today in leather sandals, loose jeans, and a sky-blue polo shirt with the Underarmor logo above his heart.

“Before we took over, the Tequileros [a rival gang] used to kidnap two or three people a day, and, eventually, 3,000 people were displaced,” says the cartel commander. “But now that La Familia is in charge, this community is very peaceful.”

In fact, Tlapehuala is eerily tranquil. Commerce is at a standstill here, and many streets are lined with half-finished homes, clinics, and office buildings covered with weeds and jutting rebar —projects abandoned because the owners could no longer afford to meet the payoffs demanded by the Familia.

For his part, El Comandante justifies such “cuotas” (bribes) as a kind of war tax. “The sicarios (hitmen) who guard the town have to be fed, and their salaries have to be paid, too,” he says.

“They’re not going to work for free.”

Tlapehuala sits deep within the long, chaparral-covered valley called Tierra Caliente (Hot Land), in Mexico’s southwest Guerrero state—which is, pound-for-pound, the nation’s deadliest region. It’s also the heroin production capital of the hemisphere, which is the grain of truth behind some of Donald Trump’s latest xenophobic bombast.

Tierra Caliente, then, is epicenter of the epicenter in the Mexican Drug war. And the valley itself more than looks the part: like the blighted backdrop from some old spaghetti western. The region is home to at least a dozen small but brutal cartels, each with its own jealously guarded fiefs, or plazas.

Conflict over these fiefdoms has been particularly bloody of late in Tierra Caliente, leading to ghoulish murders and torture practices that rival those of ISIS kill zones. Individual gangs out to terrorize their rivals, and the communities that support them, increasingly attack civilians to get their message across.

A pair of mass kidnappings in Familia Michoacana territory saw 22 people abducted last month alone. At least one of the victims, a high school principal, was killed while being held prisoner— apparently to send a message to La Familia that its regional supremacy was being challenged. In another incident in January, nine people—including a nurse on her honeymoon—were massacred when unidentified gunmen opened fire at birthday party.

From the gangs’ point of view, these turf squabbles make total sense. Valuable and much-disputed plazas like Tlapehuala provide the cartels with live bodies for recruitment, as well as a steady stream of income from extortions and abductions for ransom. The fiefdoms also make useful packing, processing and transportation points for narcotics like heroin and crystal meth. In return, the gangs promise the kind of safety—especially from predatory rival mobs—that Mexican security forces can no longer provide.

“When the people have a problem, like a fight with a neighbor, for example, or if someone steals their truck—they don’t go to the police. Instead, they come to La Familia,” El Comandante says.

“Everybody knows who runs this town.”

Mexico’s security forces have taken a beating in the press of late. The nation’s military, which has been deployed as a crime fighting force since 2006, stands accused of grave human rights violations, including extrajudicial killings. Meanwhile, both national and state police are famously corrupt, often acting in outright complicity with the cartels.

Perhaps the most grievous example of authorities colluding with criminals came with the announcement that municipal police played a part in the disappearance and probable murder of 43 students in Iguala, Guerrero— just down the road from Tierra Caliente—in the fall of 2014.

“In Guerrero, police, both state and local, pose little obstacle to organized crime groups,” explains Adam Isacson, of the Washington Office on Latin America (WOLA), in an email to The Daily Beast.

“In fact, organized crime groups will even fight each other for control of police forces,” Isacson writes.

Not surprisingly, a reputation for being in cahoots with the cartels further erodes public confidence in the authorities’ ability to safeguard communities.

“With Mexico’s heroin trade booming in Guerrero, you’re unlikely to expect cops making US$200/month, with a few months of training and usually no attendance at an academy, to be a match for well-funded, politically powerful trafficking groups,” Isacson adds.

In order to solve Mexico’s policing problem, President Enrique Peña Nieto proposed a restructuring program called Mando Unico (Single Command) in 2014.

Because so many of Mexico’s state and municipal police are in league with drug traffickers, the Single Command strategy called for the closure of almost 2,000 local police offices throughout the nation. Those shuttered precincts are, at some point in the theoretical future, to be replaced by a centralized force of about 320 state-level departments.

The plan has been met by heavy criticism both inside and outside Mexico. Even worse, the program remains bogged down by logistics and political infighting—meaning that many drug war hot zones like Tierra Caliente are now without any local police presence at all.

Soldiers and federal police do patrol the highways in places like Guerrero, but they have little contact with locals, and no way to identify cartel operatives. Living in secured hotels, or in heavily guarded barracks, the officers are utterly cut off, physically and emotionally, from the very communities they’re assigned to protect.

“We’re afraid to even go outside at night,” says a Special Operations officer with Mexico’s Federal Police, who’s stationed in Tierra Caliente.

“The internal vigilance of the cartels is incredible. Out on patrol, we’re always being monitored, always being tracked by their halcones (spies),” says the officer, who agrees to an interview with The Daily Beast only under the condition of anonymity, since he’s not authorized to speak to the press.

“At night we have to stay in the hotel because we fear for our lives,” says the special ops man.

I met this same officer the day before, during an operation near the town of Teloloapan, for which he was dressed in full Kevlar body armor and carrying a modified Galil assault rifle chambered for the high-powered 7.62 mm round. Today, when he shows up for our meeting in a small, outdoor restaurant, he’s wearing civvies and wraparound sunglasses, so that at first I don’t recognize him when he walks in.

“The narcos have halcones everywhere,” the federal officer says, after a long look at the surrounding tables. “And they’ve got the state security forces in the palm of their hand. We can’t trust our own people now,” says the federale who has more than 12 years on the force, and is a veteran of several firefights with the cartels.

According to this special ops officer, the lack of trust and communication between branches also includes the military.

“The army never shares intelligence reports with us — which makes us not want to share our [intel] with them, either. They have their information networks, and we have ours. But there’s no transparency,” the officer says. “There’s no cooperation — nothing.”

In another Tierra Caliente town called Altamirano — within the same municipality where the birthday-party gun battle left nine dead — Mayor Abel Montúfar also complains about a lack of collaboration hindering security.

“I’d like to visit Cundán Grande,” the village where the birthday shooting happened, says Montúfar when we meet in his wood-paneled office, where decorative bottles of mescal line the bookshelves.

“But, well, Mando Unico took away our police force here. Now there’s no safe transport to conduct investigations like that,” the mayor says.

“Every time I want to go anywhere, I have to call up the federales and beg them for a ride,” he laments.

At least 40 Mexican mayors have been killed over the last eight years — including the much-publicized murder of newly elected Gisela Mota, on Jan. 2, in the next-door state of Moreles.

Since his own sheriff-like force of municipal officers was sacked, Montúfar says his only recourse is to hire out-of-pocket private guards to protect himself and his family.

“I’m only human—of course I’m afraid,” says Montúfar, who admits receiving cartel demands for extortion, but says he’s so far refused to pay up.

“All I want is peace for my town,” the mayor says, “but I won’t finance [the cartels] to get it.”

Back in Tlapehuala, Comandante X agrees to explain the inner workings and hierarchy of La Familia Michoacana cartel—and to break down the specific tactics the gang uses to thwart law enforcement.

Accompanied by his bodyguard, we walk out of earshot from the Economic Secretary’s office to stand in a desiccated, grassless soccer field. Above us, steep serrated foothills rise above the town on all sides, like so many rows of broken teeth.

Federal police are easy to bribe, says Comandante X. Many of them even approach the cartel to suggest it themselves, according to him. Military officers are better educated, he says, and harder to buy off. But, unlike the federales, the soldiers rarely leave their bases or checkpoints, so they’re easier to avoid.

“The army is generally honest,” the jefe tells me. “But nobody around here trusts the police.”

The organization and command structure of La Familia, as the commander describes them, reflect a rigid, almost corporate approach to power:

“Most new recruits start out as halcones,” he says, “and they earn about 4,000 pesos ($215) every 15 days.”

The halcones, literally falcons, are placed in various strategic points in a given town, or in the high foothills, where they can command a view of the roads and what moves on them. “Each halcon has his own radio and cell phone, and he’ll pass information along all day to the jefe de halcones,” the cartel commander says.

A pistolero, or gunman, receives about 6,000 pesos ($320) twice a month, and a chief pistolero, who commands murder squads of about 15-20 assassins, gets about $9,000 pesos ($480) for two weeks of work.

In order to advance up the ranks, each pistolero must pass an intense, almost religious initiation process that includes being bound, beaten, and forced to walk for days in the wilderness without food or shelter, according to the Tlapehuala boss.

In all, La Familia boasts a network of more than 3,500 spies, hitmen, and ranked commanders. Discipline in the ranks is severe—minor acts of disobedience frequently are punished by starving the offender for days on end.

Near the top of the cartel food chain are the “Chiefs of Comandantes,” like X himself. But even he has to answer to a higher power.

The head of the Guerrero wing of the Familia Michoacana is a super boss named Johnny Hurtado—aka “El Señor Pez” or The Fish.

Little is known about The Fish, who is also the most wanted man in Guerrero, with a half-million peso price on his head. As El Comandante tells it, the cartel’s ultimate honcho lives in a series of camps and safe houses in the high sierra.

Despite being ever on the move, the region’s fiercest warlord still maintains a tight rein on his vast fiefdom.

All the money made from extortions, ransom payments, and drugs by La Familia, goes “straight to El Pez,” X says. “And then he pays back everyone else.”

On the eastern edge of Tierra Caliente, in the town of Teloloapan, a new citizens’ vigilante group has formed — aiming to take security, and the law, into their own hands.

“The police don’t do anything—they don’t even know who the criminals are around here,” says Raul Baena, owner of a local taxi service, who joined the town’s 250-strong militia when it ++formed++[[ http://suracapulco.mx/grafico/y-en-teloloapan-forman-la-comunitaria-tecampanera/]] in early January. “We’ve done more to clean up this town in a month than the policia have done in years,” Baena says.

The 51-year-old Baena signed up with the vigilantes in part to get revenge against the Familia cartel for abducting himself, his wife, and his sister last year. Baena’s family was eventually able to pay off the collective ransom — but not before Baena underwent four days of torture at the hands of his kidnappers.

“They didn’t hurt me for information,” he says, pulling up his sleeve to show the deep handcuff scars on his wrists. “They had me down on the floor and kept kicking me, but they didn’t ask me any questions,” says Baena, who also suffered fractured ribs and dislocated vertebrae during his captivity.

“It was more like they were just enjoying it,” he says.

The following week, while Baena was still in the hospital, La Familia abducted his nephew, he says. His family again paid the demanded ransom, but, for unknown reasons, the cartel killed his nephew anyway.

“There’s no one else to count on, so we’ll have to protect our own town — even if it means we lose our lives doing it,” militia-man Baena says.

On a tour of the vigilantes’ base, I’m shown a cache of ramshackle .22s and birding shotguns— some of them apparently hand-forged together out of spare parts—that constitute the militia’s long-range armaments. For close fighting they can also field target pistols and a few old police .38s, and they all carry naked machetes stuck through their belts.

“We know we don’t have the firepower like the cartels do,” the vigilante says. “But if it means suicide—we’re ready to fight back. It’s better to die on your feet than live on your knees.”

The Mexican constitution allows for localized, all-volunteer “community police,” like the newly formed outfit in Teloloapan. And some of these groups have had spectacular ++success++[[ http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/15/inside-a-mexican-vigilante-drug-bust.html ]] fighting back against the cartels, especially in the neighboring state of Michoacan.

Nevertheless, at the national level, federal forces remain concerned about the militias’ lack of discipline and oversight.

“The vigilantes mean well,” says The Daily Beast’s inside source with the special ops team of the federal police, “but the narcos know it’s very easy to infiltrate a group like that.”

One frequent tactic, used by various cartels in the region, is to ++co-opt++[[ http://eleconomista.com.mx/sociedad...filtro-guerrero-comunitarios-industria-minera ]] well-intentioned self-defense groups by gifting them high-grade weapons, as a ploy to win their loyalty.

“Soon, instead of protecting the community, they become just another tool of the strongest gang,” the
federal official says. “Then they can be used, as needed, to attack that gang’s other rivals.”

WOLA security chief Adamson agrees that there’s an immediate need for a professional police presence in places like Guerrero—but he also worries that President Nieto’s controversial Mando Unico maneuver, if it ever comes to fruition, might do more harm than good.

“In many Mexican states—including Guerrero—there’s little reason to believe that the State Police are necessarily better trained, better equipped, or less corrupt than municipal police forces,” Adamson writes.

“Also, an even halfway effective municipal force understands local criminal dynamics better: which street corners are the worst, which local criminals are most violent. In some municipalities the local police may be miles ahead of the state police.

Mando Unico is a one-size-fits-all solution that just doesn’t make sense everywhere,” he writes.

“In a place like Guerrero, it’s like rearranging deck chairs.”

To curb the violence, Adamson instead advocates fundamental reforms to the policing system, such as increased officer pay, stronger punishments for corruption, and community development and education programs. He also admits these are all long-term fixes.

“In the immediate, emergency, short term, there’s not much that can be done to protect people,” he writes.

Before I say goodbye to La Familia’s Comandante X, I ask him about the challenges being made to his gang’s dominance by groups like the Tequileros (Tequila drinkers), the Guerreros Unidos (United Warriors) and the Jalisco Cartel: New Generation.

“Sure, those guys all try to make incursions against this plaza,” X admits, “but La Familia isn’t going anywhere.”

A few days after my interview with X, in the nearby town of Arcelia, hitmen from the Tequileros dragged three alleged Familia members from their homes and into the town square. There, in front of scores of witnesses, they slit the men’s throats one by one.

“This is what happens to anyone who supports those who are against us,” one of the Tequilero assassins told the crowd of shocked townsfolk.

At the close of our interview in Tlapehuala, the so-called Comandante X offered philosophical, if fatalistic, take on the local cartel power struggles:

“When a car is stolen, you get another,” said the cartel chieftain, gazing up at the parched hills looming over us.

“And when a commander dies, another one always comes along,” he said. “The fiesta must continue.”
 

Housecarl

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http://freebeacon.com/national-security/pentagon-north-korea-nuclear-missile-threat-increasing/

Pentagon: North Korea Nuclear, Missile Threat Increasing

Pyongyang shifts policy to building nuclear arsenal

BY: Bill Gertz
February 12, 2016 3:04 pm

North Korea poses an increasing danger of using long-range missiles capable of striking the United States with nuclear warheads and is fielding new road-mobile and submarine-launched missiles, the Pentagon said in a report to Congress made public Friday.

The Pentagon is working with South Korea, Japan and other countries to counter “the continued and growing threat from North Korea, its nuclear and missile programs, and its proliferation of related technology,” the report said, adding that the U.S. provides “extended deterrence” through both nuclear and conventional forces.

On the nuclear threat, the report singled out missile programs as a major worry.

“North Korea’s continued pursuit of nuclear technology and capabilities and development of intermediate- and long-range ballistic missile programs underscore the growing threat it poses to regional stability and U.S. national security,” the 30-page report states.

“North Korea’s pursuit of a submarine-launched ballistic missile capability also highlights the regime’s commitment to diversifying its missile force, strengthening the missile force’s survivability, and finding new ways to coerce its neighbors.”

North Korea’s submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program was first disclosed by the Washington Free Beacon. In January, the first successful ejection test of the developmental SLBM was carried out.

Bruce Bechtol, a former Defense Intelligence Agency expert on North Korea, said the SLBM poses an increasing threat of nuclear attack against the United States.

“The SLBM program is scary to me because it has the new, Golf-class submarine, and the ‘new’ SSN-6 missile to successfully threaten American bases and territory,” said Bechtol, a professor at Angelo State University in Texas.

“To discount this ongoing development is to discount the national security of the United States,” he added.

The report said North Korea possesses one submarine-launched missile system, along with less than 100 short-range Scud missiles and fewer than 50 800-mile-range Nodong missiles. An intermediate-range missile also is deployed.

The North Koreans possess an unknown number of long-range TD-2 missiles like the one test-fired last weekend. Additionally, the North Korean military has at least six KN-08 road-mobile missiles. The missile has been ground-tested extensively but has not been flight tested.

Both the Taepodong and KN-08 are assessed as having ranges greater than 3,400 miles.

The regime’s missile forces were upgraded recently with the creation of the North Korean Strategic Rocket Forces.

“North Korea also continues to develop the TD-2, which could reach the continental United States if configured as an [intercontinental ballistic missile],” the report said.

North Korea has said the TD-2 is a space launcher that placed a payload into orbit on Sunday. The report said that without a reentry vehicle capable of surviving the heat of reentry “North Korea cannot deliver a weapon to target from an ICBM.”

The regime of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un also has developed offensive cyber warfare capabilities that are used to “collect intelligence and cause disruption in South Korea and other adversaries including the United States.”

The North Koreans were behind the November 2014 cyber attack against Sony Pictures Entertainment that shut down employee access and deleted data, the report said.

North Korea’s national strategy announced by Kim in 2013 is aimed at building up both its economy and its nuclear forces.

The North is believed to have an arsenal of between 10 and 20 nuclear warheads and has boasted of the capability of launching long-range nuclear missiles.

In September, North Korea announced that nuclear facilities at Yongbyon had been restarted for a nuclear forces buildup.

“The strategic goal of the regime is to ensure Kim family rule in perpetuity,” the report said, adding that Kim, 33, has solidified his grip on power since taking control after the death of his father, Kim Jong Il in late 2011.

North Korea’s pattern of conducting provocative small-scale military attacks combined with its nuclear and missile developments and its arms proliferation “pose a serious threat to the United States, the region, and the world,” the report concluded.

Despite outdated military equipment and arms, the one million-strong army can “inflict serious damage” on South Korea, using thousands of artillery guns and rockets capable of reaching the South Korean capital of Seoul.

The country’s space program appears to be “a veneer” intended to mask the long-range ballistic missile program. The government also announced plans to deploy weather and geostationary satellites.

The test Sunday placed a payload in a polar orbit that nuclear experts say could be used by North Korea to develop a space-based nuclear blast designed to disrupted all electronics in the United States with an electromagnetic pulse.

According to the Pentagon, North Korea does not trust China and Russia and claims to be under imminent threat from outside the country.

The “garrison state worldview” is used to justify draconian security controls and large military expenditures.

“Despite resource shortages and aging equipment, North Korea’s large, forward-positioned military can initiate an attack against the ROK with little or no warning, minimizing the logistics strain it would incur if deploying forces from further away,” the report said.

The regime is unlikely to conduct a large-scale military attack that would invite counterattacks but is willing to use smaller, asymmetric warfare strikes, like the DMZ mining and the Sony cyber attack.

Smaller attacks using special operations forces, growing artillery, and missile forces could rapidly escalate to a larger conflict.

The report said North Korea state-run media revealed an unmanned aerial vehicle that appears to be a copy of the Raytheon MQM-107 Streaker target drone.

“North Korean press coverage of the event described the UAV as being capable of precision strike by crashing into the target,” the report said.

In addition to nuclear forces, North Korea also has biological and chemical weapons arsenals.

On arms proliferation, the report said Pyongyang has continued to sell conventional arms and ballistic missiles that provide a source of hard currency for the internationally isolated regime.

“North Korea uses a worldwide network to facilitate arms sales activities and maintains a core, but dwindling group of recipient countries including Iran, Syria, and Burma,” the report said.

“North Korea has exported conventional and ballistic missile-related equipment, components, materials, and technical assistance to countries in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.”

The sales were carried out in violation of United Nations sanctions. Pyongyang has used various means to circumvent the sanctions, including the falsification of documents, mislabeling crates, and using front companies to hide the ship and air transfers.

“North Korea’s demonstrated willingness to proliferate nuclear technology remains one of our gravest concerns,” the report said, noting past sales of nuclear goods to Libya and Syria.

International interdictions of North Korean arms transfers included the July 2013 seizure in Panama of air defense systems and MiG-21 jets.

Other North Korean arms shipments were stopped from reaching Burma, Congo, and Syria.

This year’s annual report, required under 2012 legislation, for the first time was 30 pages long and included graphics. Previous reports were limited to one or two pages.

The report “Military and Security Developments Involving the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea 2015,” can be accessed here.
 

Housecarl

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Hummm.........

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http://www.defenseone.com/threats/2016/02/pakistan-f-16s/125923/?oref=d-river

Washington OKs Controversial F-16 Sale to Pakistan

February 12, 2016 By Marcus Weisgerber

The Pentagon says new warplanes will help Islamabad fight al Qaeda, but U.S. lawmakers don’t want taxpayers footing the bill.
Arms / Pakistan / State Department

Ignoring lawmakers’ warnings, the U.S. State Department is pressing ahead with the sale of eight new American-made F-16 fighters to Pakistan, which is both a key counterterrorism ally and often criticized for harboring terrorists.

The deal comes amid a Taliban resurgence in Afghanistan and Pakistan, which has drawn an uptick in American-led airstrikes.

“The proposed sale improves Pakistan’s capability to meet current and future security threats,” the Pentagon said in a statement. “These additional F-16 aircraft will facilitate operations in all-weather, non-daylight environments, provide a self-defense/area suppression capability, and enhance Pakistan’s ability to conduct counter-insurgency and counterterrorism operations.”

The deal, which includes eight jets and support equipment, is valued at $700 million, according to the Pentagon. Pakistan already has about 60 F-16s.

Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, objected to the use of taxpayer money to subsidize the sale. Corker expressed his disapproval in a letter to Secretary of State John Kerry, the Wall Street Journal reported.

“We support the proposed sale of eight F-16s to Pakistan, which we view as the right platform in support of Pakistan’s counterterrorism and counterinsurgency operations,” said a U.S. official, speaking on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss the sale publicly. “These operations reduce the ability of militants to use Pakistani territory as a safe haven for terrorism and a base of support for the insurgency in Afghanistan, which is in the national interests of both Pakistan and the United States, and in the interest of the region more broadly.”

Washington and Islamabad have a complicated relationship. Pakistan has helped fight the Taliban and al Qaeda, and yet is also accused of giving terrorists safe haven. Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden hid out in Pakistan for years before American forces killed him in a 2011 raid. American forces used special radar-evading helicopters in the assault so Pakistan would not catch wind of the mission.

Then there’s India — Pakistan’s nuclear rival and a key American ally in its pivot to the Asia-Pacific. India’s Air Force has about double the number of combat warplanes as Pakistan, according to the International Institute of Strategic Studies. India has considered buying American-made fighter jets, including the F-16 and F/A-18 Super Hornet, but has yet to sign a deal.

This is not the first time U.S. lawmakers have considered blocking an arms deal with Pakistan. In 2006, House Foreign Relations Committee members threatened, but ultimately did not, block an F-16 sale to Pakistan. Lawmakers have 30 days to block the sale.

It’s common for the Pentagon to announce more controversial arms deals congressional recesses. The House and Senate are both in recess next week. The House is in recess the week of March 7.

“[W]e are committed to working with Congress ýto deliver security assistance to our partners and allies that furthers US foreign policy interests by building capacity to meet shared security challenges,” the U.S. official said.
 

Housecarl

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Turkey Says "Massive Escalation" In Syria Imminent As Saudis Set To Launch Airstrikes
Started by Possible Impactý, Today 08:49 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...a-Imminent-As-Saudis-Set-To-Launch-Airstrikes


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http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/207966

Turkey shells Syrian regime forces, US calls to stop

In response to incoming fire, Turkish army shells Kurdish forces and regime forces in Syria, even as it considers a ground invasion.

By Arutz Sheva Staff
First Publish: 2/13/2016, 10:57 PM / Last Update: 2/13/2016, 11:16 PM

The Turkish military on Saturday hit targets of the Syrian Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) and the Syrian regime in two separate incidents in response to incoming fire, the state-run Anatolia news agency reported.

In line with the rules of engagement, the armed forces shelled targets of the PYD around the town of Azaz in Aleppo province, Anatolia said, quoting a military source.

The army also responded to Syrian regime fire on a Turkish military guard post in Turkey's southern Hatay region, it added.

There were no further details on the nature of the Turkish strikes but they likely involved artillery fire from tanks.

Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu also appeared to confirm the strikes against the PYD, without giving precise details.

"Under the framework of the rules of engagement, we responded to forces in Azaz and around that were posing a threat," he said, quoted by Anatolia while on a visit to the eastern city of Erzincan.

Apparently referring to the PYD, he called these forces "a terror group which is a branch of the Syrian regime, collaborationist and is complicit in Russian strikes against civilians."

In response to the shelling, the US pressed Turkey on Saturday to halt military strikes on Kurdish and Syrian regime targets in the northern province of Aleppo.

"We are concerned about the situation north of Aleppo and are working to de-escalate tensions on all sides," State Department spokesman John Kirby said in a statement.

Turkey has indicated it is eyeing a ground invasion in Syria together with the Saudis. Russia has warned that the entry of Arab armies into Syria could spark a "new world war."

AFP contributed to this report.

_____

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Housecarl

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http://www.voanews.com/content/pope-tells-mexican-leaders-provide-true-justice/3189880.html

Pope Tells Mexican Leaders to Provide 'True Justice'

VOA News
February 13, 2016 3:51 PM

Pope Francis opened a long-anticipated visit to Mexico on Saturday, demanding that Mexican leaders provide "true justice" and security in a country wracked by years of endemic drug violence, official corruption and poverty.

Francis told President Enrique Pena Nieto and assembled lawmakers in Mexico City that they have a responsibility to help citizens gain access to "indispensable material and spiritual goods," including housing, employment and a peaceful environment.

In a country where drug trafficking has corrupted entire police forces and where drug violence has claimed more than 100,000 lives in recent years, Francis warned against permitting privilege for an elite class at the expense of the rest of society.

"Experience teaches us that each time we seek a path of privilege or benefits for a few to the detriment of the good of all, sooner or later the life of society becomes a fertile soil for corruption, the drug trade, the exclusion of different cultures, violence, and also human trafficking, kidnapping and death," he said.

Thousands of faithful outside the National Palace cheered as the pontiff spoke.

Challenge to clerics

In a separate address to Mexican bishops, Francis urged the clerics to take a more aggressive stand against drug trafficking and corruption. He challenged church leaders to denounce what he called the "insidious threat" posed by trafficking.

Thousands of people packed the streets Saturday to greet the Argentina-born pontiff, who had received a red-carpet welcome late Friday.

On Sunday, Francis will celebrate an open air Mass in Ecatepec, one of the many suburbs of the capital hit by spiraling crime.

Earlier this week in Ecatepec, protesters demanded that the security measures put in place for the papal visit become permanent to combat the daily robberies, kidnappings, extortion and homicides in Ecatepec and elsewhere in the state of Mexico, which includes the capital.

According to the National Citizens Observatory on Femicide (killings of women), in 2011 and 2012, nearly 1,300 girls and women — more than half between the ages of 10 and 17 — disappeared in the state of Mexico, while 448 were slain, many in gruesome fashion. Further data show that only about one in four such cases were investigated, with less than 2 percent of those leading to arrests and convictions.

The pope travels Monday to Chiapas, Mexico's poorest state, where he will preside over a Mass conducted in three indigenous languages. He then will visit Morelia, capital of the western state of Michoacan, where farmers in 2013 took up arms to battle the so-called Knights Templar drug cartel.

Francis will cap his visit Wednesday in the U.S.-Mexican border city of Ciudad Juarez, Mexico's former murder capital, where he is expected to address issues of crime, trafficking and migration.


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http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/syria-ceasefire-diplomats-1.3445002

Updated

Hope for Syria truce dims as U.S., Russia disagree

Russia's foreign minister puts the chances of a quick truce at less than 50%

The Associated Press Posted: Feb 11, 2016 8:18 PM ET| Last Updated: Feb 13, 2016 5:39 PM ET

Hopes of securing a temporary truce in Syria within a week dimmed Saturday as Syrian government forces tightened the noose around rebel-held parts of Aleppo and Russia's foreign minister put the chances of a quick truce at less than 50 per cent.

His comments, and strong words from U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, underscored deep U.S.-Russian disagreements over Syria.

Further complicating the picture, Turkey's foreign minister said his country and Saudi Arabia may launch ground operations against ISIS in Syria, Turkish media reported Saturday.

Diplomats from countries with interests in Syria's five-year civil war — including the United States, Russia, Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia — agreed Friday to work toward a temporary "cessation of hostilities" within a week. They also agreed to "accelerate and expand" deliveries of humanitarian aid to besieged Syrian communities beginning this week.

Still, officials acknowledged from the start that the test would be turning commitments on paper into reality on the ground — and it wasn't clear whether deep differences regarding the truce and which groups would be eligible for it could be overcome.

The truce deal in Munich came as Syrian government forces, aided by a Russian bombing campaign, are trying to encircle rebels in Aleppo, the country's largest city, and cut off their supply route to Turkey.

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Speaking Saturday at the Munich Security Conference, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov — pressed to say how confident he is that a "cessation of hostilities" will be implemented within a week — replied: "49" out of 100 per cent. He indicated that Russia remains deeply suspicious of U.S. intentions.

Lavrov said everyday military co-operation between the U.S. and Russia in particular is "the key tool" to ensuring the delivery of humanitarian supplies and an end to hostilities in Syria. But he complained that co-ordination hasn't gone beyond an agreement to avoid in-air accidents.

"If we are moving closer to practical goals of (a) truce, then without co-operation between the military nothing will work out," Lavrov said.

Lavrov said comments by U.S. officials raised the impression that their aim was to stop Russia's military operation in Syria while the U.S.-led coalition's continues — "although we are fighting the very same ... organizations which the UN Security Council has designated as terrorist organizations."

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, who negotiated the deal with Lavrov and others, said after Lavrov's pessimistic assessment about the proposed truce that "we will, we will make it work."

Still, Kerry's address earlier Saturday to the Munich conference underscored the persistent tensions between Russia and the West over Syria.

He repeated allegations that Russian airstrikes in Syria have not been directed at terrorists but rather at moderate opposition groups supported by the U.S. and its European and Arab partners. Kerry also said Russia would have to change tactics if the agreement for a temporary truce in Syria is to actually take effect in the planned time.

"To date, the vast majority, in our opinion, of Russia's attacks have been against legitimate opposition groups. And to adhere to the agreement it made, we think it is critical that Russia's targeting change," Kerry said. "If people who want to be part of the conversation are being bombed, we're not going to have much of a process."

The opposition "may be pushed back here and there, but they are not going to surrender," Kerry said.

The State Department said Kerry and Lavrov met again on Saturday afternoon to go over plans for a task force to work out the details for the truce and also briefly discussed the organization of a second task force to co-ordinate humanitarian aid.

It remains unclear whether fighters in Syria will adhere to a truce.

Government troops capture village

Syrian government forces on Saturday captured another village near Aleppo, tightening the noose around rebel-held parts of the northern city, Syrian state TV and an opposition activist group said.

State TV and the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said troops captured Tamoura Saturday around noon, amid intense shelling and air raids by Russian warplanes.

Syrian troops have been advancing under cover of Russian airstrikes with the aim of besieging rebel-held parts of Aleppo, Syria's largest city. If they are able to do so, it will be the biggest defeat for insurgents since the conflict began in March 2011.

After capturing Tamoura, the troops still have to take several more villages and towns, including Hayan, Anadan, Hreitan and Kfar Hamra, in order to completely encircle the Aleppo rebels.

Hezbollah-run Al-Manar TV said troops are now overlooking the town of Hayan and parts of Anadan. The Lebanese militant group is fighting alongside forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar Assad.

Warplanes carry out air raids

Al-Manar later aired live footage from an area overlooking Anadan in which Syrian troops were heavily pounding the area with artillery shells and white smoke could be seen billowing from several spots on the open area. Al-Manar has a reporter embedded with Syrian troops in Aleppo province.

To the north, warplanes carried out more than 20 air raids on the town of Tel Rifaat, a stronghold of the powerful ultraconservative Ahrar al-Sham group, according to the Observatory and activist Amer Hassan who is currently in the nearby town of Azaz. Tel Rifaat is about 15 km from the border with Turkey.

"Today is one of the worst days since the revolution began," said Hassan via Skype, adding that activists counted 46 air raids on Tel Rifaat alone Saturday. "We have not seen such intense air raids before."

He added that Tel Rifaat is one of the biggest strongholds for militants in Aleppo province adding that "if Tel Rifaat falls it means that all northern parts of Aleppo will follow."

Turkish troops shell Kurdish militia

In another development, Turkish troops fired artillery shells at areas in northern Syria that are held by Syrian Kurdish fighters.

The Observatory said the artillery strikes targeted the village of Malkiyeh and the Mannagh air base, which was captured by Kurdish fighters and their allies earlier this week. Hassan, the activist in Azaz, confirmed that Turkish troops have shelled the air base.

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu confirmed on Saturday that Turkish forces had struck Kurdish YPG militia targets in northern Syria and demanded that the group withdraw from the area it has recently captured.

"We will retaliate against every step (by the YPG)," he told reporters in comments shown live by state broadcaster TRT Haber. "The YPG will immediately withdraw from Azaz and the surrounding area and will not go close to it again."

Army of Islam kills Syrian troops

Also Saturday, an official with the rebel Army of Islam group that controls areas near Damascus said that they killed scores of soldiers on Feb. 7, when they ambushed an army force that was trying to infiltrate into Tel Soran near the Damascus suburb of Douma.

The Observatory said last Sunday's attack killed 76 government troops, adding that 45 were killed in the ambush and another 31 died after entering a mine field.

In the suburbs of Damascus, the Syrian Arab Red Crescent transported four trucks of aid into an area on the edge of Douma. Operations director Hazem Baqleh said the supplies included baby formula and medicine for people suffering from chronic diseases.

UN delivers humanitarian aid

Also on Saturday, the U.N. refugees agency, UNRWA, said it was able to deliver "urgently needed humanitarian supplies" to civilian residents in the besieged Palestinian refugee camp of Yarmouk in Damascus for the first time in nine months.

UNRWA Spokesperson Chris Gunness said that although the U.N. agency members did not enter the camp itself, they were able to reach the nearby area of Yalda, where 900 families from Yarmouk, Yalda and the neighbouring areas of Babila and Beit Sahem were provided with 35-kilogram food parcels.

Gunness said despite the fact that some humanitarian assistance has entered these areas since the last UNRWA distribution in June "humanitarian needs remain acute."

"There are clear indications that disease is on the rise, particularly among the most vulnerable such as children. There is an acute lack of medicines to treat them," Gunness said in a statement.

The camp was captured by the extremist Islamic State group in April last year.

In the suburbs of Damascus, the Syrian Arab Red Crescent transported four trucks of aid into an area on the edge of Douma. Operations Director at the SARC Hazem Baqleh said the supplies included baby formula and medicine for people suffering from chronic diseases.
 

Housecarl

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http://www.dw.com/en/turkey-confirm...-kurdish-militia-in-northern-syria/a-19047417

Turkey confirms artillery strikes on Kurdish militia in northern Syria

Turkish forces have targeted Kurdish YPG militia fighting rebels near a key border town in Syria, Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said. Syrian regime forces were also hit, according to the state-run news agency.

Date 13.02.2016

Turkish military forces shelled Kurdish positions on Saturday, hitting the strategic Menagh airbase near the border town of Azaz in Aleppo province. The attack took place only days after the YPG forces reportedly drove the Islamist rebels from the base, with the Russian air force backing the Kurdish assault.

Prime Minister Davutoglu demanded that the YPG militia leave the border region immediately.

"Today retaliation was taken under the rules of engagement against forces that represented a threat in Azaz and the surrounding area," the prime minister told reporters in televised comments.

Turkey considers the YPG an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party, the force behind the decades-long Kurdish insurgency. The US, however, supports the YPG in the fight against the so-called "Islamic State" group.

"The YPG will immediately withdraw from Azaz and the surrounding area and will not go close to it again," he added.

A Kurdish official, however, claimed that the Menagh base had not been captured by the YPG, but by its allies from the Jaysh al-Thuwwar group.

Regime forces reportedly hit

Turkey's state-run Anatolia agency also reported that the Turkish military had targeted Syrian regime forces in Aleppo province, after Syrian troops allegedly fired on a Turkish military guard post.

The incident came as both Turkey and Saudi Arabia mull a ground intervention in Syria, faced with a successful anti-rebel offensive by regime troops.

The US has appealed to all sides to de-escalate cross-border tensions.

"We have urged Syrian Kurdish and other forces affiliated with the YPG not to take advantage of a confused situation by seizing new territory," State Department spokesman John Kirby said in a statement.

"We have also seen reports of artillery fire from the Turkish side of the border and urged Turkey to cease such fires," he added.

Turkey is one of the staunchest opponents of the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Helping the 'brothers' in Aleppo

The Saturday shelling could raise the stakes as regime forces seem poised to retake the key rebel-held city of Aleppo. Last week, pro-government troops launched a massive offensive with Moscow providing intensive air support.

Davutoglu has described the attacks on Aleppo as "barbarity" and warned that hundreds of thousands faced the danger of starvation as the siege intensifies.

"We will help our brothers in Aleppo with all means at our disposal. We will take those in need but we will never allow Aleppo to be emptied through an ethnic massacre," he said.

dj/jm (Reuters, AFP)


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Housecarl

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http://www.columbian.com/news/2016/...am-collapses-half-a-million-people-could-die/

If this Iraqi dam collapses, half a million people could die

By Loveday Morris, The Washington Post
Published: February 13, 2016, 3:23 PM

BAGHDAD — If breached, the Mosul Dam could unleash a 180-foot-high wave down the Tigris River basin and drown more than half a million people, with floodwaters reaching as far as the Iraqi capital, about 280 miles to the south.

The collapse of the dam that has been called the most dangerous in the world for the past decade would be catastrophic for Iraq.

And, recent assessments by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers say it is at “significantly higher risk” of failing than previously thought.

The dam’s structural problems became evident as soon as the reservoir behind it was filled in 1985. It is built on layers of clay and gypsum, a soft mineral that dissolves when it comes into contact with water, and the dam immediately began seeping. Since then, about 100,000 tons of grouting have been poured into the structure to prevent it from collapsing.

However, even this stopgap measure has been disrupted by the Islamic State, which briefly seized the dam in the summer of 2014. The militants still hold the nearby city of Mosul, their de facto capital in Iraq. Political wrangling and a financial crisis in Iraq also are complicating repair work.

The hydroelectric dam almost certainly has an “unprecedented level of untreated voids” in its foundation, according to the Army Corps of Engineers’ Jan. 30 report, which was made public this week when it was submitted to the Iraqi parliament. The monitoring team has identified “significant signs of distress,” it added.

When the Islamic State took control of the dam, a rigid daily routine of pouring grout into the structure to stop it from collapsing was missed for six weeks, while logistical issues have plagued the process ever since.

Meanwhile, a government decision to deprive Islamic State-held Mosul of electricity by blocking the flow of water put additional pressure on the dam as water levels rose.

Top-level U.S. officials have voiced their growing concerns to the Iraqi government, an adviser to the prime minister’s office said. They have regularly invoked Hurricane Katrina, but warned that the devastation could be “a thousand times worse,” the adviser said, speaking on the condition of anonymity because he is not an official spokesman.

If the dam fails when water levels are high, the flooding would be disastrous. Mosul, about 30 miles to the southeast, would be hit by a 65-foot wall of water and wiped out within four hours, studies have said. Farther downstream, Tikrit is expected to be deluged in 50 feet of water before the torrent bursts another dam at Samarra. Within 48 hours, floods 13-feet deep would reach Baghdad.

Concerns are becoming more acute as Iraqi security forces prepare for an offensive to recapture Mosul from the Islamic State, the adviser said. In recent days, units from the Iraqi army’s 16th Division have arrived in Makhmour, southeast of Mosul, to begin operations in the area, commanders have said.

The adviser said Iraqi security officials, worried that militants may try to sabotage the dam if they think they have lost the city, have drawn up emergency plans. Meanwhile, the use of heavy munitions could put additional pressure on the structure, he said.

“We had to give a warning to these operations to observe the dam, but there shouldn’t be anything nearby,” said Shirouk al-Abayachi, co-chair of the Iraqi parliament’s agriculture and water committee. The situation remains “very dangerous,” she said.

“We don’t have anything that tells us what’s going on under the dam,” she said. “There are sinkholes, but we don’t know how big they are now.”

Iraq’s Ministry of Water Resources has played down the threat but was persuaded to reopen the lower gates of the dam to relieve some pressure, even though it meant power was restored to the militant-held city farther south.

The Italian company Trevi recently won a bid to repair the dam and is expected to sign the contract soon. The cost is estimated to be more than $300 million, the adviser said, adding that the expense probably will be covered by the World Bank. But the repair bill comes as Iraq is desperately seeking financial assistance as oil prices hover around $30 a barrel.

Iraq’s water minister, Mohsin al-Shammari, who is politically aligned with the anti-American cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, has dismissed U.S. warnings. He said in an interview with an Iraqi television channel that there is only a “one in a thousand” chance the dam will fail. He has criticized the predictions as an excuse for sending more foreign troops to the country; Italy has said it would send 450 soldiers to provide security for the Italian firm.

Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi has stressed the need for the work to begin quickly. Melting snow and more rain are expected to increase pressure on the dam this spring.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://in.reuters.com/article/mideast-crisis-syria-idINKCN0VN03B

World | Sun Feb 14, 2016 8:08am IST
Related: World, Syria

Syrian army gains ground around Aleppo, looks to Raqqa

MUNICH/BEIRUT | By Paul Carrel, Shadia Nasralla and Tom Perry


Russia said on Saturday a Syria ceasefire plan was more likely to fail than succeed, as Syrian government forces backed by Russian air strikes took rebel ground near Aleppo and set their sights on the Islamic State stronghold of Raqqa province.

International divisions over Syria surfaced anew at a Munich conference where Russia rejected French charges that it was bombing civilians, just a day after world powers agreed on the "cessation of hostilities" due to begin in a week's time.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry reiterated accusations that Russia was hitting "legitimate opposition groups" and civilians with its bombing campaign in Syria and said Moscow must change its targets to respect the ceasefire deal.

The conflict, reshaped by Russia's intervention last September, has gone into an even higher gear since the United Nations sought to revive peace talks. These were suspended earlier this month in Geneva before they got off the ground.

Turkish forces shelled Kurdish YPG militia targets near the northern Syrian town of Azaz on Saturday, Turkey's Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said, demanding that the group withdraw from land it recently captured.

The United States urged both Turkey and the Syrian Kurds to step back and focus instead on tackling the "common threat" of Islamic State militants who control large parts of Syria.

The Syrian army looked poised to advance into the Islamic State-held province of Raqqa for the first time since 2014, apparently to pre-empt any move by Saudi Arabia to send ground forces into Syria to fight the jihadist insurgents.

A Syrian military source said the army captured positions at the provincial border between Hama and Raqqa in the last two days and intends to advance further.

"It is an indication of the direction of coming operations towards Raqqa. In general, the Raqqa front is open ... starting in the direction of the Tabqa area," the source said.

Tabqa is the location of an air base captured by Islamic State two years ago, and the source said the army had moved to within 35 km (20 miles) of the base.

The cessation of hostilities deal agreed by major powers falls short of a formal ceasefire, since it was not signed by the warring parties - the government and rebels seeking to topple President Bashar al-Assad in a five-year war that has killed at least 250,000 people.

If its forces retake Aleppo and seal the Turkish border north of the city, Damascus would deal a crushing blow to the insurgents who were on the march until Russia intervened, shoring up Assad's rule and paving the way to the current reversal of rebel fortunes.

Russia has said it will keep bombing Islamic State and the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front, which in many areas of western Syria fights government forces in close proximity to insurgents deemed moderates by Western states.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, asked at a security conference in Munich on Saturday to assess the chances of the cessation of hostilities deal succeeding, replied: "49 percent."

Asked the same question, his German counterpart Frank-Walter Steinmeier put the odds at 51 percent.

The complex, multi-sided civil war in Syria, raging since 2011, has drawn in most regional and global powers, caused the world's worst humanitarian emergency and attracted recruits to Islamist militancy from around the world.

Assad, backed on the ground by Iranian combatants and Lebanon's Hezbollah in addition to big power ally Russia, is showing no appetite for a negotiated ceasefire. He said this week that the government's goal was to recapture all of Syria, though he said this could take time.

The U.S. government said Assad was "deluded" if he thought there was a military solution to the conflict.

Syrian state television announced the army and allied militia had on Saturday captured the village of al-Tamura overlooking rebel terrain northwest of Aleppo.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported advances in the same area, adding that Russian jets had hit three rebel-held towns near the Turkish border.

Government offensives around Aleppo have sent tens of thousands of people fleeing towards the Turkish border.


ISLAMIC STATE TARGETED

Islamic State, driven by the goal of expanding its "caliphate" rather than reforming Syria - the original goal of the opposition when the conflict began as an unarmed street uprising in 2011 - is being targeted in separate campaigns by a U.S.-led alliance and Assad's government with Russian air support. Regional Kurdish forces supported by Washington are also fighting Islamic State in Raqqa province.

Gulf states that want Assad gone from power have said they would be willing to send in troops as part of any U.S.-led ground attack against Islamic State. U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter said on Friday he expected Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to send commandos to help recapture Raqqa.

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu was reported as saying Saudi Arabia will send aircraft to Turkey's Incirlik air base to support the air campaign against Islamic State in Syria.

"Saudi Arabia is now sending planes to Turkey, to Incirlik. They came and carried out inspections at the base," Cavusoglu told the Yeni Safak newspaper, adding it was unclear how many planes would come and that the Saudis might also send soldiers.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said on Saturday in Munich there was no need to scare anyone with a ground operation in Syria.

Two Syrian rebel commanders told Reuters on Friday insurgents had been sent "excellent quantities" of Grad rockets with a range of 20 km (12 miles) by foreign backers in recent days to help confront the Russian-backed offensive in Aleppo.

Foreign opponents of Assad including Saudi Arabia and Turkey have been supplying vetted rebel groups with weapons via a Turkey-based operations centre.

Some of these groups have received military training overseen by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency. The vetted groups have been a regular target of the Russian air strikes.


(Additional reporting by Denis Dyomkin in Moscow; Writing by Tom Perry; Editing by Mark Heinrich and Dominic Evans)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-satellite-kaesong-idUSKCN0VN02O

World | Sat Feb 13, 2016 10:47pm EST
Related: World, South Korea

North Korea took 70 percent of Kaesong wages for weapons program: South Korea

SEOUL

South Korea said 70 percent of the U.S. dollars paid as wages and fees for the suspended Kaesong industrial project, run jointly with the North, had been diverted for Pyongyang's weapons program and luxury goods for leader Kim Jong Un.

It is the first formal acknowledgement by the South that the 55,000 North Korean workers at the Kaesong complex saw little of the $160 they were paid on average a month.

South Korea on Wednesday suspended the project as punishment for the North's long-range rocket launch on Feb. 7 saying it would no longer allow the funds paid to Kaesong to be used in the North's missile and nuclear programs.

The North conducted its fourth nuclear test last month.

The North called the South's move to suspend operations "a declaration of war" and kicked out all South Korean workers on Thursday and froze the assets of the South Korean firms.

"The wages for the North's workers and other fees were paid in cash in U.S. dollars to the North's authorities and not to the workers," South Korea's Unification Ministry said on Sunday. "This is believed to be channeled in the same way as other foreign currency it earned."

The cash is then kept and managed by the ruling Workers' Party's Office 39 and other agencies, the ministry said. The ministry said it had confirmed the movement of the money through various sources but did not specify them.

Office 39 is widely believed to exist to finance the luxurious lifestyle of the North's leader. The office is also believed to be part of the North's agencies that fund the country's missile and nuclear program.

The South Korean government and companies had invested about 1 trillion won ($829 million) in Kaesong including 616 billion won in cash since it opened more than a decade ago, Unification Minister Hong Yong-pyo said on Wednesday.

Kaesong's North Korean workers were given a taste of life in the South, working for the 124 mostly small and medium sized manufacturers that operated there, about 54 km (34 miles) northwest of Seoul.

The minimum wage for North Korean workers was about $70 a month, although the companies paid more than double that amount after overtime and bonuses - still low compared with wages in the South.

The Kaesong project resulted from the first summit meeting of the rival Koreas in 2000, where their leaders pledged reconciliation and cooperation. It was the last remaining symbol of that effort in volatile North-South relations over the years.

Kaesong had been shut only once before, for five months in 2013, amid heightened tensions following North Korea's third nuclear test, although its continuing existence often seemed tenuous.


(Reporting by Jack Kim; Editing by Eric Meijer and Michael Perry)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-journalist-idUSKCN0VM0XJ

World | Sat Feb 13, 2016 5:20pm EST
Related: World

Alleged killer of Mexican journalist arrested in Veracruz

MEXICO CITY

The presumed mastermind behind the murder of a Mexican journalist was arrested in the eastern state of Veracruz on Saturday, the state's governor said, as Mexico struggles with a wave of attacks on reporters.

Anabel Flores, who covered the police force for regional media outlets, was violently dragged from her home in Veracruz by a group of armed men earlier this week and found dead on a highway.

"Josele Marquez (alias) El Chichi is implicated, among other crimes, as (the one responsible) for the assassination of journalist Anabel Flores," Governor Javier Duarte wrote on his verified Twitter account in announcing the arrest.

"The attack on the media outlet El Buen Tono is also attributed to (Marquez)," Duarte wrote, referring to last year's attack presumably aimed at journalists from that newspaper.

State officials were not immediately available for comment.

Veracruz is considered one of the most dangerous states for reporters in Mexico, with at least 12 journalists killed there since 2010, when Duarte became governor, according to the New York-based Committee to Protect Journalists.


(Reporting by Anna Yukhananov and Jean Luis Arce; Editing by Matthew Lewis)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKCN0VM0UG

World | Sat Feb 13, 2016 1:17pm EST
Related: World, Afghanistan

Afghan Taliban use captured Humvees in suicide attack

LASHKAR GAH


Taliban insurgents in captured military Humvee vehicles launched suicide attacks in the southern Afghan province of Helmand on Saturday, killing several members of the security forces in the district center of Sangin, a senior official said.

The incident came amid bitter fighting in Helmand, a traditional Taliban heartland where insurgents have overrun many areas, leaving government forces in some district centers including Sangin and Marjah barely clinging on.

Provincial police chief Abdul Rahman Sarjang said that after heavy fighting on Friday during which the Taliban lost around 40 fighters, suicide bombers in two captured Afghan army Humvees targeted the police and governor's headquarters.

"The first Humvee was ordered by the police to stop but when he ignored warnings, the police fired a rocket-propelled grenade," Sarjang said.

The second bomber detonated his vehicle near a checkpoint guarding the two headquarters. Four policemen were killed and seven wounded, he said, while an army spokesman said one soldier was killed and another was wounded.

In Kabul, the outgoing commander of international troops in Afghanistan Gen. John Campbell confirmed the incident but said no American troops were involved.

"I think right now the Afghan forces have a plan to go after that," he said.

The Taliban have captured large amounts of weapons and equipment from Afghan government forces, including Humvees and other vehicles, as the insurgency has spread over the past year.

Campbell recently ordered around 500 special forces personnel into Helmand to help bolster struggling Afghan security forces but their role is to act as trainers and advisers and only to get involved in combat if they come under attack.

Last month in Helmand, an American special forces soldier was killed during a firefight near the district center of Marjah while he was on an operation with Afghan commandos.

U.S. and British soldiers and marines suffered hundreds of casualties in Helmand where they fought for years against the Taliban for control of the province, one of the world's biggest opium-producing areas.


(Reporting by Mohammad Stanekzai; Writing by James Mackenzie; Editing by Andrew Bolton)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.defensenews.com/story/war-in-syria/2016/02/14/syria-quicksand-saudi-forces/80282096/

Syria: 'Quicksand' for Saudi Forces?

By Awad Mustafa and Aaron Mehta, Defense News 12:07 a.m. EST February 14, 2016

DUBAI AND BRUSSELS — As the United States receives commitments from Gulf Arab allies to contribute more to a coalition campaign in Syria, doubts remain because of their ongoing military involvement in Yemen.

Furthermore, statements by unnamed Saudi officials earlier this month about a force of 150,000 — including troops from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) partners Sudan, Egypt and Jordan — being prepared to invade Syria from Turkey have been rebuffed by at least two members of the anti-Islamic State coalition.

A Jordanian official confirmed that the country will not participate in any Turkish- or Arab-led Syrian invasion unless mandated by the United Nations, led by western forces and coordinated with Russia.

"Jordan is not going to send ground forces into Syria unless these troops are led by Americans and British," the Jordanian official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. "We have very long borders with Iraq and Syria which are more than 550 kilometers. Any ground troops including Jordanian forces should be sent after a UN approval and after full coordination with Russia."

On Feb. 9, a senior Kuwaiti official told Reuters that despite Kuwait's backing of international efforts against hard-line Islamist groups, the Gulf Arab state's constitution prevents it from fighting in anything but defensive wars.

"Kuwait stands shoulder-to-shoulder with our brothers in Saudi on all fronts. We are always ready and able to provide what is needed to our Gulf partners within the confines of our constitution," Sheikh Mohammad al-Mubarak Al-Sabah, Kuwait's minister for cabinet affairs, told Reuters in Dubai.

He indicated that support to operations could be limited to only intelligence-sharing and the provision of establishments required by the coalition to facilitate their activities.

With respect to ground operations, US Defense Secretary Ash Carter said Feb. 11 in Brussels that a variety of options have been discussed with Arab partners.

"First of all, there is training of both military forces and police forces. We need forces on the ground that participate in training. Then enabling, including even accompanying partner forces. That's something that ground forces can do. We obviously talked about, but I'm not going to talk about it here, special forces that have some very special and distinctive capabilities," he said.

"We also talked about logistics support, sustainment, rebuilding of a kind that is going to have to go on Ramadi. So all of these are activities that coalition partners, to include Saudi Arabia, will participate in, and that whole gamut we discussed today, both in my individual meeting with the defense minister and deputy crown prince and also at the larger meeting where we were all together, the whole raft," he added

On the Saudi capability to wage a two-front war in both Syria and Yemen, Carter said he does not think they wish to be doing that any more than anybody else would wish, but they do have the capability and willingness to put the resources into the anti-ISIS fight.

"At the same time I can't speak for them, but certainly we wish on their regard and we wish on everybody's regard in Yemen that things would wind down there because it's not good for the population of Yemen, and that situation needs to be settled so that people aren't fighting there," he said.

According to Oubai Shabandar, a former US Department of Defense official and principal at Dubai-based advisory Dragoman Partners, the Saudi presence in Syria depends on their scope of participation.

"The Saudis have developed an exceptional projection capability especially with their air transport and their special forces that they have developed in the past few years," he said. "Their ability is to move in quickly and establish local partnerships. Its modeled after the American approach. They are elite units. They are fast and mobile and with a full-spectrum capability to move and operate on short notice.

"That said, absolutely the Saudis have the capability to project to southern Turkey pretty quickly but with units that have specific function."

However Syria is a different animal given the geopolitical complexities, the Russian involvement and the Iranian presence on the ground in northern Syria, Shabander said.

"A full-fledged Turkish-Arab conventional force incursion into northern Syria requires either a NATO air umbrella or international coalition support," he said.

On the involvement of Saudi forces in Yemen, Shabandar said that the Arab coalition understands it's going to be a resource-intensive effort that presents challenges to simultaneously project in other fronts at the same level.

"But it can absolutely be done as long as it is a truly joint effort with international strategic partners," he said.

"The logistical challenge doesn't preclude sending expeditionary and recon elements into the Syrian-Jordanian border or Syrian-Turkish border with Turkish or Jordanian forces but the wild factor at the end of the day is: Will NATO and/or the United States provide the needed air cover to successfully accomplish a stabilization mission against Daesh in northern and southern Syria?" he said, using an alternative name for the Islamic State group. "Let's not forget that the ongoing Russian aerial bombardment is per military reports actually enabling Daesh in northern Syria and Damascus suburbs"

He added that Shia extremist foreign fighters that are being flown into Syria would view an Arab coalition effort into northern Syria as a direct threat because the Shia extremist forces that are fighting on the Aleppo front are direct clients of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, so essentially they are of the same strain as the Houthi forces in Yemen.

The Saudi military presence in Yemen is predominantly focused on the protection of their southern border, said Gulf security and military expert Matthew Hedges.

"Overlooking Saudi Arabian National Guard, the Saudi Armed Forces are currently operating from bases within the kingdom with the Air Defense Command, the busiest of the divisions," he said.

Saudi Arabia will most likely deploy special operators, combat aircraft and some combat troops; however, it is unlikely they will dedicate more than 3,500 combat troops and 6,500 support personnel — equivalent to the number operating in Yemen, Hedges said.

"The quality of manpower in either the Yemen of Syria theater will be greatly affected by this decision. With only partial, previous combat experience, it is unlikely there will be enough troops ready and capable of contributing to both theaters. This had led to the suggestion that the unconfirmed reports that the Saudi Arabia is ready to enter a ground war in Syria is to prompt an international coalition to form to counter Islamic extremism and a resurgent Assad regime," he added.

According to National Defense University professor Paul Sullivan, Saudi Arabia should be careful not to overstretch its military and diplomatic efforts, as Syria could be "quicksand" for them.

"If Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other GCC states do not get involved, a solution to the Syria problem may only a temporary one," he said. "Many think that the solution to ISIS has to come from Muslim soldiers, sailors and airmen. That may have some accuracy to it. Saudi Arabia and the rest of the GCC are facing many threats.

"The really big question on Syria is whether getting more militarily involved will help resolve those threats or make them worse. That really depends on how the guns are brought silent and, far more important, how Syria is rebuilt and the people given hope, jobs and housing after the guns are silent."

Email: amustafa@defensenews.com | amehta@defensenews.com
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
You can't have a "procurement holiday" of a couple of decades and not be effected by it......

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.defensenews.com/story/de...sarea-denial-build-up-biggest-worry/80343130/

NATO Deputy SecGen: Russia's Anti-Access/Area-Denial Build-Up Is Biggest Worry

By Matthew Bodner, Defense News 9:23 p.m. EST February 13, 2016

MUNICH — Defense News caught up with NATO Deputy Secretary General Alexander "Sandy" Vershbow Saturday at the Munich Security Conference to discuss the alliance's efforts to deter possible Russian aggression against its eastern members and how it balances security priorities.

How is NATO balancing its obligation to provide collective defense — in this case bolstering its eastern flank — with refraining from provoking the exact kind of Russian response NATO is looking to deter?

First of all, we are quite convinced that all the measures we’ve taken since the 2014 Wales Summit and that we are contemplating as the next step are defensive and well below the threshold that the NATO-Russia Founding Act defines as "substantial combat forces." Remember, the Founding Act doesn’t say zero combat forces. It also said a lot of things about how you are allowed to have infrastructure to support reinforcements. It was a tradeoff — no substantial forces? Well, you can reinforce.

We will have to patiently explain this to the Russians, but I don’t exclude the possibility that they will, as they always do, grossly exaggerate what we do, and maybe use it to justify some countermeasures. But, we have to achieve a certain level of deterrence, and I think at the end of the day the Russians will recognize that there is no surprise-attack potential, that this is meant to provide just sufficient basis so that they don’t think of either conventional or hybrid attack.


DEFENSE NEWS

In Munich, Medvedev Tries To Leverage European Anxieties for Sanctions Relief


What do you think is going on when Russia reacts to your moves the way they do, if it's clear you aren’t deploying forces capable of staging a surprise attack?

Russians … love to accuse the West of double standards, but they are the masters of double standards. They are entitled to a snap exercise — the last one was with 80,000 troops, according to what they told the defense attaches in Moscow, by the way they announced 8,500 troops — so they never tell the truth and nothing but the truth. We just have to assume that there will be a lot of rhetoric and a lot of propaganda whatever we do. They don’t like NATO, they’ve made that very clear, but NATO is here to stay, and we will just have to coexist, and it may take time to rebuild a more constructive relationship.

There's a lot of hysteria about Russian military modernization, and I am very curious about what you are concerned about from the perspective of NATO when you see the work they’ve been doing to rebuild their capabilities and on training?

We say with great respect with what they’ve done since 2008 that they’ve really carried out some very significant reforms in terms of how they operate and manage their forces and the readiness levels that they’ve raised. Now they are devoting a huge amount of their dwindling state budget to defense equipment — new generations of ballistic missiles, fighter jets, lots of shipbuilding, the submarines … so we watch very carefully. We have to plan accordingly.

The things that worry us the most are their anti-access/area-denial [A2/AD] capacity — the Bastion defense system capability that they are building up in the high north in Murmansk, the Kola Peninsula, in Kaliningrad and in the Black Sea, and potentially now in the eastern Mediterranean — as potentially impeding and complicating NATO reinforcements and other NATO operations. We have both strategies and means to counter that but it may require additional investments on NATO’s part. Those are among the things we will be assessing as we design our future force posture.

How much of that is being designed with Russia specifically in mind?

We don’t consider Russia an adversary but we have to think of real-world scenarios, and so yes we have to consider both the in-place forces, the reinforcements and other enablers in the face of a real and growing Russian capability.ý But our goal remains deterrence, and we have to take into account the Russian saber-rattling when it comes to nuclear weapons — not necessarily changing our force posture, but making sure that there is no doubt in the Russians’ mind that this idea of using nuclear weapons to "de-escalate a crisis" isn’t going to work.

[At the conference] today, there seemed to be two divergent themes on the topic of European security priorities, and they appear to be separated generally by the "old" NATO and the "new" NATO. The former is most concerned about the migrant crisis, while the eastern front is yelling about Russia. How does NATO balance this?

It's not just the migrant crisis but also ISIL and the general meltdown of the neighborhood, as I call it, on the southern flank. This is sometimes seen as a potential source of a split in NATO, but on the one hand its natural that countries will be most riveted by the threat nearest to them, but on the other hand there is a sense that NATO has to deal with all of these things. They are existential threats — nobody is exaggerating the ISIL threat. It's pretty horrifying as it is and people now are very realistic that the Russian challenge is a long-term one. So we have to do both. I think allies are coming together because NATO is too important to allow it to fall victim to any divisions.

Email: mbodner@defensenews.com

Twitter: @mattb0401
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Ok so much for my R&R stint.....

I think someone in Saudi is just starting to realize that talking a bunch of smack to the Russians, particularly when they're already engaged and have shed blood, isn't going to impress, let alone cow, them. The Turks though are in way too deep at this point to simply stop for Erdogan to politically survive....A correction for the article's author, the Saudi AF doesn't fly F-16s, but F-15s.

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...4edfd4-85cc-4ce2-bf18-4a70bea0fc7d_story.html

Saudi Arabia and Turkey rolling back on rhetoric to send troops into Syria

By Loveday Morris February 15 at 5:12 AM „³
Comments

BAGHDAD ¡X Saudi Arabia and Turkey appeared Monday to be rolling back rhetoric on sending troops to Syria, as officials said they¡¦d wait to see if a planned cease-fire transpires and for a sign-off from the U.S.-led coalition.

A Saudi diplomat said Sunday that Saudi Arabia was ¡§very serious¡¨ about sending ground troops into Syria, but will first wait to see whether plans for a pause in hostilities agreed by the United States and Russia transpires.

However, speaking in Riyadh, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir also said late Sunday that the decision whether to have a ground component on the ground is up to the U.S.-led coalition.

¡§The timing is not up to us,¡¨ he said.

Turkey is also considering sending in ground troops, the Saudi diplomat said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the topic.

The Saudi force would be made up of special forces soldiers but details are still being planned, he said.

An already tangled conflict has become more complex even as world powers push for a pause in hostilities due to be implemented later this week. Russia has been bombing from the air as Syrian government forces, including Iranian and Iraqi fighters, close in on Aleppo.

An array of rebel groups backed by the United States, Turkey and Saudi Arabia have been losing ground.

The ¡§disarray¡¨ has spurred Saudi to action, the diplomat said, adding that Riyadh wanting to both counter Islamic State militants and Iranian influence in the country.

¡§Time is running out,¡¨ he said. ¡§We are waiting for the peace process to end. We believe it will fail and when it does the situation will be completely different.¡¨

He said Saudi Arabia and Turkey are largely ¡§on the same page¡¨ but that Ankara is also focused on countering Kurdish forces inside Syria.

¡§The Turkish government has made some progress in their thinking, they realized Daesh is a threat,¡¨ the diplomat said, using an Arabic acronym for Islamic State. ¡§But they are also using this as a time to eliminate the Kurdish groups.¡¨

Turkey has been shelling Kurdish forces this weekend after they seized an airbase in northern Syria, leading to appeals from U.S. officials for a de-escalation.

Turkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz Monday denied that Turkish forces had entered Syria following a complaint by the Syrian government to the U.N. Security Council. It claimed that Turkish forces were among 100 gunmen that entered the country on Saturday.

¡§It¡¦s not true,¡¨ Yilmaz said according to the state-run Anadolu Agency. ¡§There is no thought of Turkish soldiers entering Syria.¡¨

That statement jarred with the Saudi diplomat¡¦s comments. He said Saudi officials discussed the possibility of sending troops with Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu, during a recent three-day visit to Saudi Arabia.

¡§Turkey isn¡¦t against the ground troops, but they want to say ¡¥we gave the peace process a chance¡¦,¡¨ he said.

He said a force would only consist of special forces, and the size of it is still being planned.

Yilmaz confirmed that a decision had been reached for Saudi Arabia to send four F-16 fighter jets to Turkey¡¦s Incirlik air base.

¡§The Kingdom¡¦s deployment of aircraft to the Incirlik air base in Turkey is part of this campaign,¡¨ foreign minister Jubeir told a news conference in Riyadh Sunday, Reuters reported. ¡§The kingdom¡¦s readiness to provide special forces to any ground operations in Syria is linked to a decision to have a ground component to this coalition against Daesh in Syria - this U.S.-led coalition .¡¨


Loveday Morris is The Post's Baghdad bureau chief. She joined The Post in 2013 as a Beirut-based correspondent. She has previously covered the Middle East for The National, based in Abu Dhabi, and for the Independent, based in London and Beirut.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.businessinsider.com/ap-putin-obama-discuss-syria-ukraine-2016-2

Putin, Obama discuss Syria, Ukraine

Associated Press
19h

MOSCOW (AP) — Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama have held a telephone conversation about the Syrian war and the unresolved conflict in Ukraine.

A White House statement said the conversation between the Russian and U.S. presidents occurred on Saturday and a Kremlin statement said it took place at Washington's initiative, but didn't specify when it occurred.

On Syria, the Kremlin statement said "both sides gave a positive assessment of the results of the meeting of the International Syrian Support Group in Munich on Feb. 11-12, confirmed the principles and provisions of the U.N. Security Council Resolution 2254 both in terms of humanitarian aspects and to develop modalities for the cease-fire, and in promoting the launch of a real political process."

Putin stressed the importance of creating a "common front against terrorism" and establishing a working relationship between the Pentagon and the Russian Defense Ministry, it said.

The White House said Obama "emphasized the importance now of Russia playing a constructive role by ceasing its air campaign against moderate opposition forces in Syria." Russia says the airstrikes it began on Sept. 30 are aimed at extremist groups, but there are wide claims from the West that Russia is targeting rebels fighting the forces of Syrian President Bashar Assad, a longtime Moscow ally.

On Ukraine, Obama urged Russia-backed rebels in eastern Ukraine to fulfill their obligations under a peace deal signed a year ago, while Putin made a similar call for the Ukrainian government to live up to its part of the agreement.
 

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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-satellite-china-idUSKCN0VO0TR

World | Mon Feb 15, 2016 6:18am EST
Related: World, China, United Nations, North Korea

China urges United States, North Korea to hold direct talks

BEIJING

China's foreign ministry on Monday urged the United States and North Korea to sit down with each other face-to-face and resolve their problems, as tension continues to climb on the Korean peninsula after North Korea's latest rocket test.

While China was angered by the launch, it has also expressed concern at plans by Washington and Seoul to deploy an advanced U.S. missile defense system, saying it would impact upon China's own security.

"The focus of the nuclear issue on the peninsula is between the United States and North Korea," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei told a daily news briefing.

"We urge the United States and North Korea to sit down and have communications and negotiations, to explore ways to resolve each other's reasonable concerns and finally reach the goal we all want reached."

North Korea launched a long-range rocket on Feb. 7 carrying what it called a satellite, drawing renewed international condemnation just weeks after it carried out a nuclear bomb test.

It said the launch was for peaceful purposes, but Seoul and Washington have said it violated United Nations Security Council resolutions because it used ballistic missile technology.

North Korea's nuclear bomb test last month was also banned by a U.N. resolution.

China, while frustrated by North Korea and having signed up for numerous previous rounds of United Nations sanctions on its isolated neighbor, has said it does not believe sanctions are the way to resolve the problem and has urged a return to talks.

Numerous efforts to restart multilateral talks have failed since negotiations collapsed following the last round in 2008.

Chinese popular opinion has become increasingly fed up with North Korea, a country once a close diplomatic ally.

In an editorial on Monday, the official English-language China Daily called for new U.N. sanctions to "truly bite".

"The threat of a nuclear-armed DPRK is more real than ever," it said, using the North's formal name, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea.

Hong repeated that North Korea would have to "pay a price" for its behavior.

Tension persists on the Korean peninsula.

Last Wednesday, South Korea suspended operations at the Kaesong industrial zone just inside North Korea, as punishment for the rocket launch and nuclear test.

The North on Thursday called the action "a declaration of war" and expelled the South's workers. Kaesong, which had operated for more than a decade, was the last venue for regular interaction between the divided Koreas.

Asked about the zone's shutdown, Chinese spokesman Hong said the peninsula was in a "complex and sensitive" phase.

"We hope all sides can take steps to ameliorate the tense situation," he said.


(Reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
 

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http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-02-15/north-korea-promises-more-satellites/7168686

North Korea's Kim Jong-un promises more satellite launches

Updated February 15, 2016 14:10:58

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un has promised to put more satellites in space, even as the international community prepares to punish his regime over a long-range rocket launch last week.

At a banquet to congratulate the scientists, technicians and officials who contributed to the February 7 launch, Mr Kim noted that the mission had come at "a complex time when hostile forces are more bloody-eyed than ever to strangle" the North, the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) reported on Monday.

North Korea sparked international anger last week with the launch of the Kwangmyongsong-4 satellite, which came just a month after its fourth nuclear test.

The launch, which most in the international community viewed as a disguised ballistic missile test, violated multiple United Nations resolutions banning the nuclear-armed country from the use of ballistic technology.

Mr Kim said the success of the launch was made possible by the team's "blood-sealed trust" in the ruling party and added that the scientists' sweat had provided the rocket's main fuel.

He urged the gathering to use the success as a springboard "to achieve higher targets and thus launch more working satellites," KCNA said.

The United States, along with Asian allies South Korea and Japan, are spearheading efforts at the UN Security Council for a strong resolution that will impose harsh sanctions on Pyongyang over the recent nuclear test and rocket launch.

AFP

Related Story: Bishop to discuss 'provocative' North Korea on Japan, China tour

Related Story: US Congress votes to punish North Korea over nuclear ambitions

Related Story: North Korea says Kaesong closure a 'declaration of war'
 

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A mini world war rages in the fields of Aleppo

By Liz Sly February 14 at 5:47 PM
Comments 33

KILIS, Turkey — Across the olive groves and wheat fields of the northern Syrian province of Aleppo, a battle with global dimensions risks erupting into a wider war.

Russian warplanes are bombing from the sky. Iraqi and Lebanese militias aided by Iranian advisers are advancing on the ground. An assortment of Syrian rebels backed by the United States, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar are fighting to hold them back. Kurdish forces allied both to Washington and Moscow are taking advantage of the chaos to extend Kurdish territories. The Islamic State has snatched a couple of small villages, while all the focus was on the other groups.

Ahead of a supposed pause in the hostilities negotiated by world powers and due to be implemented later in the week, the conflict seems only to be escalating. Turkey joined in over the weekend, firing artillery across its border at Kurdish positions for a second day Sunday and prompting appeals from the Obama administration to both Turks and Kurds to back down.

Syria’s civil war long ago mutated into a proxy conflict, with competing world powers backing the rival Syrian factions almost since the earliest days of the armed rebellion against President Bashar al-Assad.

But perhaps never before have the dangers — or the complications — of what amounts to a mini world war been so apparent as in the battle underway for control of Aleppo.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev warned of the risks at a security conference in Munich on Saturday, saying that the world had already descended into “a new Cold War.”

[U.S., Russia and other powers agree on ‘cessation of hostilities’ in Syria]

“There’s a spiral of insecurity here that is not being managed,” said Salman Shaikh, a political consultant whose Shaikh Group is engaged in mediation efforts in the Syrian war. “What we are seeing is a classic, really complicated balance-of-power struggle that could become a very dangerous situation.”

For now, the focus of the fighting is the rural hinterland of Aleppo, a landscape of rolling farmland dotted with villages and towns that are steadily being pulverized by the relentless Russian bombardments. Residents said the intensity of the strikes has increased since the announcement of the cease-fire agreement, perhaps as Russia and its allies seek to maximize their gains ahead of its possible implementation.

Defeating the rebels here would enable the government to encircle and eventually crush the rebels in their stronghold in the eastern portion of the city of Aleppo, perhaps inflicting a decisive blow to the five-year-old rebellion against Assad’s rule.

[Trapped Syrian refugees are pawns in a wider war]

But more is at stake than the outcome of Syria’s war. The Aleppo offensive is affirming Moscow’s stature as a dominant regional power across the heart of the Middle East. The advances by Shiite Iraqi and Lebanese militias are extending the sway of Iran far beyond the traditional Shiite axis of influence into Sunni areas of northern Syria. Although Syria’s army is claiming the victories, rebels, military experts and videos by the fighters themselves say almost all of the advances are being made by the Lebanese Hezbollah movement, the Iraqi Badr Brigade, Harakat al-Nujaba and other Iraqi Shiite militias that are sponsored by Iran.


Meanwhile, the Aleppo countryside is emptying. Tens of thousands of people have streamed north to the Turkish border to escape the airstrikes, where they are being blocked by a Turkish government that is hosting 2.5 million Syrian refugees.

They tell stories of entire villages being crushed and communities displaced. Mohammed Najjar, a resident of the town of Marae at the heart of the contested rural area, said that barely 5 percent of the town remained behind. His extended family had lost 15 houses just since the Aleppo offensive began two weeks ago, he said, speaking by telephone from the border area after he fled Marae last week.

[Syrian rebels are losing Aleppo and perhaps also the war]

Emile Hokayem of the International Institute for Strategic Studies said that driving people out of their homes has long been part of the Syrian government’s strategy.

“They’re depopulating areas of people whose loyalties are impossible to recover,” he said. “It’s a much cheaper and easier way to occupy territory than by trying to win hearts and minds. They’re simply going to push people out so that there is no insurgency.”

For Turkey, the biggest concern is that the vacuum along its borders will be filled by Kurds, whose dreams of independence have been brought closer by the chaos in Syria.

The People’s Protection Units, or YPG, have already been taking advantage of U.S. airstrikes in eastern Syria to expand a Kurdish enclave there. Now they are taking advantage of the Russian airstrikes around Aleppo to extend eastward from Afrin, another Kurdish enclave. The stated Kurdish goal is to link the two enclaves into one extended Kurdish territory that would span more than half of Turkey’s border with Syria.

The Kurdish expansion has caused friction between Washington and Ankara because Turkey regards the YPG as an affiliate of the Turkish Kurdish organization known as the PKK, which is designated as a terrorist organization by the United States and Turkey. But the United States does not regard the YPG as a terrorist group and has worked closely alongside it in the fight against the Islamic State.

Now, fighters with an alliance of Kurds and Arabs led by the YPG are closing in on the border town of Azaz, which controls the biggest Turkish gateway into Syria. Turkish artillery opened fire Saturday and again Sunday against two villages and an air base recently captured by the advancing Kurds — in retaliation, a Turkish military statement said, for shells fired by the YPG that landed on a military base inside Turkey.

Vice President Biden telephoned Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu on Saturday to urge Turkey to halt its shelling. He emphasized “the imperative for de-escalation in the area,” according to a White House statement Sunday. Separately, a State Department statement called on the Kurds “not to take advantage of a confused situation by seizing new territory.”

Within hours of the appeals, the Kurds seized another northern Aleppo village, Ain Daqna, and Turkey resumed its bombardment.

There is no mood in Turkey for a war in Syria, but the risk of an unintended escalation is real, said Faysal Itani of the Washington-based Atlantic Council. Tensions between Russia and NATO member Turkey are already sky-high following Turkey’s downing of a Russian jet last November, and any miscalculation could quickly trigger a Russian response.


“Turkey is under immense pressure,” he said. “It has a quasi-Kurdish state emerging on its border, and the groups it championed are being destroyed.”

Saudi Arabia also has talked of sending troops to Syria, prompting some speculation that the kingdom may be preparing to support a Turkish incursion. Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir said Sunday, however, that Riyadh would send special forces only if the United States decides ground forces are needed for the fight against the Islamic State. “So the timing is not up to us,” he said during a news conference in Riyadh.


Zakaria Zakaria contributed to this report.

Liz Sly is the Post’s Beirut bureau chief. She has spent more than 15 years covering the Middle East, including the Iraq war. Other postings include Africa, China and Afghanistan.
 

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http://asia.nikkei.com/Viewpoints/Viewpoints/The-dark-heart-of-ASEAN

February 13, 2016 2:00 pm JST
Joshua Kurlantzick

The dark heart of ASEAN


On Feb. 15, at a summit in California, U.S. President Barack Obama will meet with the leaders of the 10 countries of Asia's most important regional grouping: the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. The event, the first-ever U.S.-ASEAN summit on American soil, is being touted as a sign of America's growing interest in Southeast Asia. The question is whether the U.S., by inviting all members of ASEAN, has allowed its interests to overwhelm its principles.

The upcoming summit is the latest manifestation of the Obama administration's strategic "pivot" toward Asia -- a national security strategy that entails a shift of American military, economic, and diplomatic resources toward the Pacific Rim countries. In many ways, this move toward closer relations makes a lot of sense.

For starters, tensions between several Southeast Asian countries and China are on the rise, owing partly to the fact that China, under President Xi Jinping (its most autocratic leader since Deng Xiaoping), has been acting increasingly assertively in staking its contested territorial claims in the region's waters. Most recently, China decided to move an oil rig into waters claimed by Vietnam. A similar decision two years ago led to deadly anti-China riots in Vietnam.

And it is not just Vietnam that's worried. Malaysia, Singapore, and the Philippines are also trying to upgrade their navies and coast guards. Indeed, two decades after essentially tossing U.S. forces out of local bases, the Philippines has welcomed back American troops as part of a new military cooperation deal.

Even countries whose economies rely on China are worried. China is Laos's biggest aid donor and largest trading partner; yet Laos's ruling communist party last month elected a new leadership reportedly devoid of any pro-China politicians. In Myanmar, which also depends heavily on Chinese aid and trade, the fear of becoming a Chinese satellite was a key reason why the military junta ceded power to a civilian government in the early 2010s.

Beyond security challenges, the U.S. has a growing economic interest in Southeast Asia. Together, the ASEAN countries comprise America's fourth-largest trading partner. Some evidence also suggests that the new ASEAN Economic Community, a framework for a regional free-trade agreement, is helping Southeast Asian countries weather an increasingly turbulent global economic environment.

But there is one very serious problem with the upcoming U.S.-ASEAN summit. Since the U.S. pivot to Asia was launched in 2011, Southeast Asia's political systems have, on the whole, regressed significantly. Over the last few years, Thailand has gone from flawed democracy to military rule, which could persist through 2018, or beyond.

Similarly, Malaysia appeared to be headed for a two-party democracy in 2011. Today, opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim is in jail on dubious sodomy charges; the government has passed legislation that essentially authorizes it to detain critics indefinitely; and Prime Minister Najib Razak remains embroiled in multiple economic and political scandals.

Cambodia, too, seemed like it had reached a political breakthrough after the opposition coalition nearly won the 2013 general election. But in the last two years, Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen has reasserted his political dominance. Opposition leader Sam Rainsy, fearing arrest, has fled into exile.

Then there is Myanmar. Although the Obama administration has touted the country as a shining example of democratic change, genuine democracy remains over the horizon. True, the longtime opposition party, the National League for Democracy, won last November's general election. But the military still controls many ministries and a quarter of the seats in parliament. Moreover, civil wars are erupting along Myanmar's borders, and gangs and other radical groups are slaughtering Muslims in the country's west.

Laos, Vietnam, and Brunei remain among the most repressive states in the world, with no evidence of political opening at all. And though democracy has advanced in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore, progress has been slow; in Singapore, the ruling party continues to dominate the political system.

Many factors account for the weakening of democracy in Southeast Asia. The region's first generation of elected leaders, like former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, often proved to be no more than elected autocrats who used their majorities to crush their opponents and suppress technologies that could be used as tools for change. Indeed, Thailand, whose online repression has increased under the junta, now blocks more than 100,000 websites from its citizens.

Weak institutions mean many countries, such as Malaysia, struggle to resolve political crises; in Thailand, army takeovers have become the modus vivendi. Add to that the influence of China -- hardly a force for democratic change -- and Southeast Asia's democratic regression is not particularly hocking.

What is troublesome is that the Obama administration has been reinforcing this damaging trend by bolstering ties with Southeast Asian autocrats. Obama has maintained close relations with Malaysia's Najib (the two are reportedly golfing buddies). When Obama visited Malaysia last year, he barely mentioned Anwar's imprisonment. The Obama administration also has been conspicuously quiet about abuses in Brunei, Laos, and Vietnam, inviting the head of Vietnam's Communist Party to Washington D.C., last July for a showy and warm visit.

In recent months, the Obama administration has begun to restore links with Thailand that were put on ice after the May 2014 coup, including by resuming a high-level strategic dialogue. Yet according to Human Rights Watch, "Thailand's military junta tightened its grip on power and severely repressed fundamental rights" last year. And, so far this year, it has shown no signs of changing that approach.

The upcoming U.S.-ASEAN summit will include leaders -- like Hun Sen, who has ruled Cambodia for 25 years -- who were previously considered too ruthless and repressive to be received by the U.S. president on American soil. It seems that security and economic considerations have now usurped democracy as leading determinants of U.S. foreign policy in the region. For the people of Southeast Asia, this approach may ultimately create more risks than benefits.


Joshua Kurlantzick is senior fellow for Southeast Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations.

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http://asia.nikkei.com/Tech-Science/Tech/Civilian-applications-for-stealth-technology

February 13, 2016 1:00 pm JST

Japan defense industry

Civilian applications for stealth technology

YOSHIFUMI UESAKA, Nikkei staff writer

20160211_stealth_article_main_image.jpg

http://asia.nikkei.com/var/site_cac...ng-GB/20160211_stealth_article_main_image.jpg
A prototype of the X-2 advanced stealth fighter

TOKYO -- Japan recently unveiled the X-2 fighter demonstrator, its first domestically-built stealth fighter jet, providing the world with a glimpse into the future of cutting-edge fighter jet technologies.

As with the development of the F-2, the fighter jet currently in use by the Japan Air Self-Defense Force, the intention is for the technology to also have a wide range of potential civilian applications.

"Developing fighter jets involves a wide range of industries, such as materials and equipment. I hope the X-2 development will lead to technology transfer to other sectors, such as passenger airplanes," said Mitsuru Hamada, chief engineer at the Integrated Defense and Space Systems of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.

The X-2 demonstrator owes its maneuverability to a small yet high-powered engine developed by manufacturer IHI, which could have huge potential for commercial applications.

Jet engines are similar to power-generating gas turbines in structure. The two different systems are designed to produce gas at high pressures and increase thermal efficiency when the combustion temperature increases. The X-2 engine can generate burning gas at over 1,600 C immediately after combustion, considerably higher than the 1,000 C in commercial-aircraft engines.

This combustion technology is made possible by fire-resistant composite materials and a heat-resistant alloy. IHI and other manufacturers have developed ceramic matrix composites, or CMCs, that are over 60% lighter, 20% more heat-resistant and 100% stronger than nickel alloy. The company foresees the technology being applied to power generation gas turbines.

Similarly, observers expect that the composite materials used in the X-2 stealth demonstrator will help lower weight and increase density in a wide range of industrial materials.

"These leading-edge technologies developed for the stealth demonstrator will in turn help bolster Japan's overall industrial competitiveness," said Satoshi Tsuzukibashi, director of the industrial technology bureau of the Japan Business Federation, or Keidanren, who oversees the organization's committee on the defense industry.

Past achievements

Japan's mainstay F-2 fighter jet, which entered service in 2000, has spawned a number of commercial applications.

20160209Fighter_article_main_image.png

http://asia.nikkei.com/var/site_cac...eng-GB/20160209Fighter_article_main_image.png

The jet's main wings, which Mitsubishi Heavy developed, are made of carbon fiber reinforced plastic, or CFRP, marking the first time the material was used for the main wings of an aircraft anywhere in the world.

The revolutionary technology soon attracted the attention of U.S. aircraft maker Boeing, who implemented it in the production of its 787 Dreamliner, increasing the aircraft's fuel efficiency by more than 20% compared with conventional models. This was the first instance of Boeing commissioning the development of aircraft wings to another company.

Other manufacturers, such as Europe-based Airbus, have followed suit, and the weight and strength of CFRP mean it is replacing aluminum alloy as the material used for an increasing number of aircraft parts.

Moreover, the F-2 was the first aircraft in the world to use Mitsubishi Electric's active phased array radar technology. The system is comprised of hundreds of small radiating elements that act as radars, and it can change the irradiation angle of radar waves by simply controlling electric currents. This has eliminated the need for the rotating movement of the antenna, making it possible to detect foreign objects in a much wider area.

The technology is now used in automotive radars as well as the data transmission and reception of electronic toll collection systems on expressways. A further application is in ground stations of the 5th-generation radio communication standard for mobile devices.

Spurred on by past achievements, Mitsubishi Electric is working to develop radar technology for stealth fighters incorporating semiconductor devices using gallium nitride, instead of gallium arsenide. This could boost output by 50-100% and expand the scope of detection. Industry experts expect that further applications could include the safety mechanisms for self-driving cars.

Joint development

Based on the X-2 demonstration flight results, the Japanese government will likely decide by fiscal 2018 whether to develop its next-generation fighter jet domestically or through international joint development.

It would, however, be extremely ambitious, if not impossible, for any one country to shoulder the cost of developing a fighter jet all on its own. Lockheed Martin's F-35, for example, was jointly developed by the U.S. and eight other countries at a reported cost of more than $100 billion.

Joint development of the next-generation fighter jet has already been discussed at the U.S.-Japan Systems and Technology Forum. "The two countries have started negotiations over how to develop the necessary technology and combat systems by involving private companies, such as Mitsubishi Heavy and Lockheed Martin," said an official.

International joint development is something of a double-edged sword. On the one hand it means the manufacturers involved have a limited scope of responsibilities, but on the other, they gain wider access to overseas markets.

But in the face of the increasing competition in the global defense manufacturing markets, going it alone may simply not be an option.

In South Korea, three conglomerates -- Samsung, Hyundai and Daewoo -- integrated their respective aerospace units and created Korea Aerospace Industries in 1999. The company is now pushing to export its supersonic military aircraft.

"Japanese manufacturers will need to spin off their defense units and consolidate them into one major defense manufacturing company. Otherwise, they won't be able to compete globally," said an executive at Lockheed Martin.
 

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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-satellite-southkorea-polit-idUSKCN0VO0U4

World | Mon Feb 15, 2016 4:07am EST
Related: World, South Korea, North Korea

Calls in South Korea for nuclear weapons as parliamentary poll looms

SEOUL | By Ju-min Park


A senior figure in South Korea's conservative ruling party said on Monday his country should have nuclear weapons, as concern over how to respond to rising tensions with North Korea loomed as an election issue ahead of parliamentary polls in April.

Opposition liberals have blamed President Park Geun-hye for lacking a clear strategy to deal with the North, which recently launched a long-range rocket and last month tested its fourth nuclear device.

Park plans to address parliament on Tuesday, where she will seek bipartisan support for addressing the security threat from Pyongyang, the presidential office said on Sunday.

Won Yoo-chul, floor leader for the ruling Saenuri party, on Monday said South Korea should adopt "peaceful" nuclear weapons and missiles against North Korea's "fearful and self-destructive" ones.

He said South Korea should be independent from ally Washington's so-called nuclear umbrella to deter North Korea's nuclear threat, or reconsider deployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons, which were withdrawn from South Korea in 1992 under a pact for the denuclearization of the peninsula.

"We can't borrow umbrellas from next-door every time it rains. We should wear a raincoat of our own," Won said.

Defence Minister Han Min-koo later told lawmakers Seoul was not considering acquiring nuclear weapons.

A poll of 1,000 people released on Monday by the JoongAng Ilbo newspaper showed 67.7 percent favored South Korea having its own nuclear weapons. A poll released on Sunday by Yonhap news agency found 52.2 percent in favor of domestic nuclear weapons.

Calls for an independent nuclear deterrent tend to crop in South Korea during times of tension with the North.

The JoongAng Ilbo poll found 54.8 percent supported Park's decision last week to pull out of the Kaesong Industrial Complex operated jointly with North Korea, while 67.7 percent backed the plan to deploy a U.S.-run Terminal High Altitude Area Defence (THAAD) missile defense system following the rocket launch.

Park's party, which holds 157 out of 293 parliamentary seats, is expected to retain its majority in April 13 elections. Park's single five-year term expires in February of 2018.

However, a poll released by Realmeter on Monday showed Park's support rating fell to 42.2 percent in the second week of February from 42.9 percent a week earlier, while her negative ratings rose.

"During and after the Lunar New Year holidays, South and North Korea's super-hardline behavior against each other ... and political disputes over solutions to the South-North relations appear disappointing to many people," Realmeter said.


(Editing by Tony Munroe and Simon Cameron-Moore)
 

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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...middle-east-following-iran-deal-a6874096.html

Israeli defence minister warns of nuclear arms race in Middle East following Iran deal

Moshe Ya'alon says Sunni Arab nations are quietly developing their own weapons

Caroline Mortimer |@cjmortimer |5 hours ago

The Israeli defence minister has warned of a coming nuclear arms race in the Middle East as other Arab states seek to develop weapons to counter Iran.

Moshe Ya’alon said Israel has gathered intelligence showing Sunni Arab nations were not convinced by last year’s nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, and have started developing their own weapons in response.

He said: "We see signs that countries in the Arab world are preparing to acquire nuclear weapons, that they are not willing to sit quietly with Iran on brink of a nuclear or atomic bomb."

Israel and the Gulf states do not have formal diplomatic ties but are known to communicate via back channels and share an opposition to Shia dominated Iran.

Mr Ya’alon said Iran could break the agreement to stop their nuclear enrichment programme if their economy improves substantially following the lifting of international sanctions.

Even if Iran did not decide to violate the treaty and “break for the bomb”, the agreement’s 15-year expiry date was “just around the corner”, he added.

Israel has not provided any evidence to back up its claims but is known to spy on the military activities of Islamic powers in the region.

Mr Ya’alon made the claim after meeting King Abudullah of Jordan - one of the two Arab states Israel has formal diplomatic relations with.

He did not say which countries were developing the weapons, but the comments were most likely aimed at oil-rich Saudi Arabia, which has close ties to nuclear power Pakistan.

Iran and Saudi Arabia are already conducting a “proxy war” by supporting opposing sides in both the Syrian and Yemen conflicts.

Last year, US surveillance records revealed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attempted to undermine the Iranian nuclear deal by secretly trying to persuade American politicians to block the deal in Congress.

Israel was emphatically against the deal during negotiations because it feared it could threaten its own security - Iran does not recognise Israeli sovereignty and in 2005 the Iranian president threatened to “wipe it off the map”.

But earlier this year the head of the Israeli Defence Force (IDF), Gadi Eisenkot, said although the deal posed “many risks” it also contained “opportunities” for the country.


Read more

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Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei questions authenticity of Holocaust
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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elliott-negin/china-may-put-its-nuclear_b_9213552.html

China May Put its Nuclear Weapons on High Alert, and It's a Dangerous Idea

02/12/2016 09:54 am ET | Updated 2 days ago
Elliott Negin
Senior Writer, Union of Concerned Scientists

China's military wants to put its relatively small nuclear arsenal on hair-trigger alert for the first time, according to newly translated documents. That's not good. Such a radical departure from the country's longtime nuclear policy could pose a threat not only to the United States, but also to China itself.

Gregory Kulacki, an analyst with the Union of Concerned Scientists, discovered evidence of this potential policy change in a number of Chinese military documents. He published a paper this week that provides the details of what he found.

Why is the People's Liberation Army (PLA) considering such a major policy change?

According to Kulacki, it's due to U.S. intimidation.

"It's a combination of factors," he explained. "First, the PLA is worried that it doesn't have a credible nuclear retaliatory counterweight to highly accurate U.S. nuclear weapons, conventional weapons, and missile defense systems. Second, U.S. officials have refused to acknowledge that the United States is vulnerable to a Chinese retaliatory strike, which the Chinese think means the United States is not deterred from attacking them. And third, the United States has threatened China with a nuclear attack a number of times and still refuses to adopt a no-first-use policy. All that makes the PLA very nervous."

But why would it matter if the Chinese put their nuclear weapons on high alert?

Because it's an extremely dangerous policy.

Too Many Close Calls

Since the beginning of the Cold War, both the United States and Russia have had a percentage of their respective nuclear weapons on hair-trigger alert, enabling them to be launched within minutes if an early warning system detected an attack. Given that it is highly unlikely that either country would launch a first strike against the other, it's more likely that a technical glitch or human error would cause an accidental ICBM launch in response to a false warning. In fact, there have been a number of incidents of this kind in Russia and the United States over the last few decades that could have prompted a nuclear launch. It's dumb luck that one of them didn't start World War III.

Unlike the United States and Russia, China currently keeps its nuclear weapons off alert. Its warheads are not even attached to their delivery vehicles. But Kulacki found passages in a several Chinese military texts suggesting that the PLA is considering adopting a launch-on-warning, high-alert posture. For example, the latest edition of The Science of Military Strategy, a standard Chinese military text, lays out what China would be able to do when its nuclear weapons are on high alert: "When conditions are prepared and when necessary, we can, under conditions confirming the enemy has launched nuclear missiles against us, before the enemy nuclear warheads have reached their targets and effectively exploded, before they have caused us actual nuclear damage, quickly launch a nuclear missile retaliatory strike."

Adopting a hair-trigger policy would require China to build an early warning system like the ones the United States and Russia deploy, and such a system may be in the offing. An internal November 2014 military document Kulacki obtained includes a chapter on constructing a system and asserts: "There are plans to launch experimental early warning satellites." About a year later, in September 2015, China launched an experimental satellite that an independent U.S. news site, NASASpaceFlight.com, said may be the first in "a new series of Chinese satellites dedicated to early warning similar to the American Space-Based Infra-Red Sensor satellites." An official Chinese press release claimed the satellite was for communications.

Still Time to Nip It in the Bud

The United States has a strong incentive to dissuade China from adopting a hair-trigger policy. As noted above, putting weapons on alert increases the risk of nuclear launches instigated by accidents or false warnings. And a mistaken launch due to a false warning is more likely to happen during the development of a new warning system. Indeed, the record shows that it was in the early days of U.S. and Soviet warning systems when technical glitches and human errors were a particular problem.

Kulacki recommended a number of actions the United States can take to help keep Chinese nuclear weapons off alert. One is for U.S. officials to recognize China's nuclear deterrent by acknowledging that the United States and China are vulnerable to a nuclear attack from each other. A second is for the United States to abandon first-strike options by declaring that the sole purpose of its nuclear force is to deter and, if necessary, respond to a nuclear attack by another country.

Kulacki also argued that the United States should end its own hair-trigger policy. How can the United States credibly argue that China should not put its nuclear weapons on high alert when some 900 U.S. warheads can be fired within minutes? In any event, keeping U.S. weapons on high alert is not necessary for deterrence and increases the risk of a nuclear exchange that could devastate the United States.

The Union of Concerned Scientists has long recommended that the United States take its own nuclear weapons off high alert, and President Obama could do that without congressional approval before leaving office. Such a move, which has the support of a significant number of former high-ranking administration and Pentagon officials, would help put international pressure on Russia to do the same and China to refrain from adopting such a policy.

"It's critical for the Obama administration to pay attention to this ongoing debate in China over a hair-trigger policy because it's part of a bigger conversation about the future of the country's nuclear forces," said Kulacki. "They're also talking about abandoning their no-first-use policy and using nuclear weapons to respond to conventional attacks. The alarm bells should be going off.

"But U.S. officials have to realize that China is contemplating these changes because it believes the United States is unwilling to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in its national security strategy--what President Obama promised to do in his famous speech in Prague back in 2009," he added. "What the U.S. says and does regarding nuclear weapons has a profound effect on Chinese thinking. And right now, we're pushing China in the wrong direction."

Elliott Negin is a senior writer at the Union of Concerned Scientists.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
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http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...lawmaker-calls-for-nuclear-arms/#.VsHFVqTMvIV

Asia Pacific

Top South Korean lawmaker calls for nuclear arms

AFP-JIJI
Feb 15, 2016

SEOUL – A top ruling party official called Monday for South Korea to develop its own nuclear deterrent to combat the growing nuclear and missile threat from North Korea.

Support for a nuclear-armed South Korea is a minority voice in the country, but one that grows louder after every nuclear test by the North.

U.S. tactical nuclear weapons were withdrawn from South Korea in late 1991, though the country remains under the protection of the U.S. nuclear umbrella.

In the wake of North Korea’s fourth nuclear test last month, Won Yoo-cheol, the ruling Saenuri Party’s floor leader, said it was time for the weapons to be redeployed or for South Korea to get its own.

“We cannot borrow an umbrella from a neighbor every time it rains. We need to have a raincoat and wear it ourselves,” Won was quoted as saying by Yonhap news agency in a speech to the National Assembly.

South Korea is one of 190 signatories to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty — a pact that North Korea walked out on in 2003.

There are few takers in Washington for the idea of having a nuclear-armed South Korea that would set back a long-standing, if repeatedly violated, principle of not allowing new nations into the nuclear club.

In an effort to reassure one of its key Asian allies, the U.S. Air Force sent a B-52 bomber on a sortie over South Korea shortly after the North’s claimed hydrogen bomb test on Jan. 6.

South Korea’s late military strongman Park Chung-hee — the father of current President Park Geun-hye — flirted with nuclear weapons in the 1970s when then-President Jimmy Carter planned to remove U.S. troops from the peninsula.
 

Housecarl

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http://news.yahoo.com/u-admiral-warns-against-chinese-fighter-flights-south-115900137.html

U.S. admiral warns against Chinese fighter flights from South China Sea runways

Reuters
By Rujun Shen
1 hour ago

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Any move by China to fly jet fighters from runways on its new man-made islands in the disputed South China Sea would be destabilizing and would not deter U.S. flights over the area, a senior U.S. naval officer said on Monday.

Vice Admiral Joseph Aucoin, the commander of the U.S. Navy's Seventh Fleet, also urged Beijing to be more open over its intentions in the South China Sea, saying it would relieve "some of the angst we are now seeing".

"We are unsure where they are taking us," Aucoin said of China's recent moves during briefing with journalists in Singapore.

"So we are going to sail, fly, operate throughout these waters....like we have been doing for so long," he said.

That, he added, included "flying over that airspace."

Chinese and regional security analysts expect Beijing to start using its new runways in the disputed Spratlys archipelago for military operations in the next few months.

It last month tested for the first time the 3,000-metre runway built on a reclamation on Fiery Cross Reef by landing several civilian airliners from Hainan island. (Link to previous stories)

Aucoin said he could not give an estimate when he expected Chinese military jets to start operating in the Spratlys.

"It's a destabilizing uncertainty," he said when asked about the impact of possible Chinese jet fighter patrols. He said it would raise questions about the intentions.

China claims much of the South China Sea, while Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam have rival claims.

International concern is growing over tensions in the waterway, which carries an estimated $5 trillion in trade every year, including oil used by northeast Asian nations.

Since last October, two U.S. warships have sailed close to Chinese claimed features in the Spratly and Paracel archipelagoes in so-called freedom-of-navigation operations that Beijing has warned are provocative.

Chinese officials complained last December that a U.S. B-52 bomber flew close to one of Beijing's artificial islands.

Other U.S. surveillance and transport planes routinely fly throughout the South China Sea.

Chinese warships and civilian vessels routinely flank U.S. naval ships in the area, but Aucoin said engagement between the two navies would continue, saying the relationship was "positive".

"(The) International Law of the Sea has helped (China) for so many years. We just want them to respect those rights so that we can all continue to prosper," he said.

(Reporting by Rujun Shen in Singapore; writing by Greg Torode in Hong Kong; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)


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Related Stories

U.S. says open to patrols with Philippines in waters disputed with China Reuters
Ambassador: US to continue South China Sea flights, sail-bys Associated Press
U.S. warship sails near island claimed by China in South China Sea Reuters
China says U.S. seeks 'hegemony' after South China Sea sailing Reuters
Taiwan president says visit to disputed island was to promote peace Reuters
 

Housecarl

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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKCN0VO0H2

World | Mon Feb 15, 2016 7:27am EST
Related: World, Turkey, Syria

Turkey vows 'harsh reaction' if Kurds try to take Syrian town

KIEV/ISTANBUL | By Ercan Gurses and Daren Butler

Turkey will not allow the northern Syrian town of Azaz to fall into the hands of a Kurdish militia and its fighters will face the "harshest reaction" if they approach it again, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said on Monday.

A major offensive supported by Russian bombing and Iranian-backed Shi'ite militias has brought the Syrian army to within 25 km (15 miles) of the Turkish border. The Kurdish YPG militia has exploited the situation, seizing ground from Syrian rebels to extend its presence along the Turkish border.

Turkey is infuriated by the expansion of Kurdish influence in northern Syria, fearing it will encourage separatist ambitions among its own Kurds. The YPG, which Ankara considers to be a terrorist group, controls nearly all of Syria's frontier with Turkey.

Speaking to reporters on his plane en route to Ukraine, Davutoglu said YPG fighters would have taken control of rebel-held Azaz and the town of Tal Rifaat further south had it not been for Turkish artillery firing at them over the weekend.

"YPG elements were forced away from around Azaz. If they approach again they will see the harshest reaction. We will not allow Azaz to fall," Davutoglu said.

He said Turkey would make the Menagh air base north of the city of Aleppo "unusable" if the YPG, which seized it over the weekend from Syrian insurgents, did not withdraw. He warned the YPG not to move east of the Afrin region or west of the Euphrates River, long a "red line" for Ankara.

Azaz came under heavy fire again on Monday. At least 14 civilians were killed when missiles hit a children's hospital, a school and other locations, a medic and two residents said.


Related Coverage
› Turkey does not have security forces in Syria: PM Davutoglu
› Turkey hits Kurdish militia targets in Syria after border post attack: foreign ministry

Syria's rebels, some backed by the United States, Turkey and their allies, say the YPG is fighting with the Syrian military against them in the five-year-old civil war. The YPG denies this.

Ankara views the YPG as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which has fought a 31-year-old insurgency for autonomy in southeast Turkey. Washington, which does not see the YPG as terrorists, supports the group in the fight against Islamic State in Syria.

NATO member Turkey is now at risk of being dragged ever deeper into the Syrian conflict. Turkish financial markets including the lira currency were weaker on Monday on fears about the situation.


GROUND INCURSION NOT PLANNED

The Turkish army hit YPG positions in Syria for a third day on Monday following an attack on a border security outpost in the Turkish province of Hatay, foreign ministry spokesman Tanju Bilgic said.

Turkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz denied a report that some Turkish soldiers had entered Syria at the weekend and said Ankara was not considering sending troops there, according to the state-run Anadolu Agency.


Related Coverage
› Russia says Turkey helps 'jihadis, mercenaries' to penetrate Syria
› EU's Mogherini says no Cold War with Russia as Syria truce agreed

The Syrian government had said Turkish forces were believed to be among 100 gunmen who entered Syria on Saturday with a dozen pick-up trucks mounted with heavy machine guns, in an operation to supply insurgents fighting Damascus.

"It is not true ... There is no thought of Turkish soldiers entering Syria," Yilmaz said.

Yilmaz also denied reports that Saudi Arabian aircraft had already arrived at Turkey's Incirlik air base to join the fight against Islamic State militants, but said a decision had been reached for Saudi to send four F-16 jets.

A Turkish soldier was killed on Sunday evening after Turkey's security forces clashed with a group at the Syrian border that was trying to enter Turkey illegally, the armed forces said in a statement.

The Turkish military, which regularly detains people crossing back and forth across the border, said the clash occurred in the Yayladagi area of Hatay province at 7:15 p.m. (1715 GMT).


(Additional reporting by Humeyra Pamuk in Istanbul, Tulay Karadeniz, Orhan Coskun and Ece Toksabay in Ankara; Writing by Nick Tattersall; Editing by David Dolan and Giles Elgood)
 

mzkitty

I give up.
25m
Iran's defense minister arrives in Russia's capital Moscow - Tasnim News Agency
End of alert


33m
Report: Samples confirm Islamic State used mustard gas in Iraq last year against Kurdish forces, source says - Reuters

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-m...idUSKCN0VO1IC?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews


1h
Editor's note: There have been two strikes on medical facilities in Syria in recent hours. In Idlib province, medical charity MSF says a hospital it has been supporting was 'hit four times in two series of at least two attacks within a few minutes of each other' causing casualties and leaving some staff missing. In another attack in Azaz, near the Turkish border, another hospital was hit, killing several people, according to the BBC. We're trying to get updated casualty figures for both of these incidents. - David
End of note


1h
Médecins Sans Frontières: 'The destruction of the hospital leaves around 40,000 people without medical services'
End of alert


1h
More: Médecins Sans Frontières France president says either Syrian government forces or Russia behind air strikes - Reuters
End of alert


1h
Update: 7 killed, 8 missing after air strikes destroy northern Syrian hospital
supported by medical charity Médecins Sans Frontières, official says - Reuters
End of alert


2h
Russia's pledge to continue air strikes near Aleppo even if ceasefire deal is reached shows Russia's intent, Turkey's Davutoglu says - Reuters
End of alert
 

mzkitty

I give up.
2m
Global chemical weapons watchdog OPCW report says Islamic State militants attacked Kurdish forces in Iraq with mustard gas in August 2015
- Reuters

--------------

Mon Feb 15, 2016 8:05am EST

Exclusive: Samples confirm Islamic State used mustard gas in Iraq - diplomat

Islamic State militants attacked Kurdish forces in Iraq with mustard gas last year, the first known use of chemical weapons in Iraq since the fall of Saddam Hussein, a diplomat said, based on tests by the global chemical weapons watchdog.

A source at the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) confirmed that laboratory tests had come back positive for the sulfur mustard, after around 35 Kurdish troops were sickened on the battlefield last August.

The OPCW will not identify who used the chemical agent. But the diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity because the findings have not yet been released, said the result confirmed that chemical weapons had been used by Islamic State fighters.

The samples were taken after the soldiers became ill during fighting against Islamic State militants southwest of Erbil, capital of Iraq's autonomous Kurdish region.

The OPCW already concluded in October that mustard gas was used last year in neighboring Syria. Islamic State has declared a "caliphate" in territory it controls in both Iraq and Syria and does not recognize the frontier.

Experts believe that the sulfur mustard either originated from an undeclared Syrian chemical stockpile, or that militants have gained the basic know how to develop and conduct a crude chemical attack with rockets or mortars.

Iraq's chemical arsenal was mainly destroyed in the Saddam era, although U.S. troops encountered some old Saddam-era chemical munitions during the 2003-2011 U.S. occupation.

Syria gave up its own chemical weapons, including stockpiles of sulfur mustard, under international supervision after hundreds of civilians were killed with sarin nerve gas in a Damascus suburb in 2013, an attack Western countries blame on President Bashar al-Assad's government, which denies it.

Sulfur mustard is a Class 1 chemical agent, which means it has very few uses outside chemical warfare. Used with lethal effectiveness in World War One, it causes severe delayed burns to the eyes, skin and respiratory tract.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-chemicalweapons-idUSKCN0VO1IC
 

mzkitty

I give up.
2m
Iran says Turkey and Saudi Arabia's intervention in Syria will only worsen crisis -
TASS

February 15, 16:34 UTC+3

TEHRAN, February 15. /TASS/. Turkey and Saudi Arabia’s military intervention in Syria will only exacerbate the crisis in the war-torn country, the Iranian Foreign Ministry said on Monday.

"Iran believes the crisis has become complicated and multi-layered due to regional and international meddling," Fars news agency quoted Iranian Foreign Ministry’s official spokesman Hossein Jaber Ansari as saying. "Any new measure without coordination with the Syrian government and against the country's sovereignty will only complicate the matter and increase terrorist attacks," he added.

The spokesman noted that "aggressive policies of certain parties in Syria have led to nowhere and walking on the same path again will not yield any results either." "We hope all countries will consider these facts before taking any military action," he concluded.


More:

http://tass.ru/en/world/856831
 

mzkitty

I give up.
6m
UN North Korea investigator asks UN Human Rights Council to notify North Korean leader Kim Jong-un that he may be investigated for crimes against humanity - Reuters
End of alert
 

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Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-insight-idUSKCN0VO1CU

World | Mon Feb 15, 2016 7:30am EST
Related: World, Russia, Jordan, Syria

In Syrian war, a bigger role for Russian strategists

BEIRUT | By Mariam Karouny


While Russian fighter planes pound rebel positions on the battlefield in Syria, Russian military strategists are playing a far more subtle role in support of President Bashar al-Assad.

Several sources - on both sides of the battle lines - have told Reuters in interviews conducted over the past two months that Russian advisers have been involved in drawing up plans to secure Damascus, Assad's seat of power.

Those interviewed by Reuters, including non-Syrian military officials fighting alongside Assad's forces, said Russia's plans to buttress Damascus involve weakening rebel forces in the south of the country between the capital and Jordan. The aim is to reduce the rebels' chances of launching a major offensive.

The Russian Defense Ministry did not respond to written questions for this article. Russia has said it has no ground troops in Syria beyond those protecting its bases. Russia does concede it has trainers and advisers on the ground, but only in an educational and advisory capacity.Russia's influence in military planning is already evident, rebel fighters and the non-Syrian military officials say.

They say Russian experts played a major role in a Syrian army offensive at the turn of the year in the western coastal province of Latakia, home to the Alawite population of which Assad is part.

That offensive helped pave the way for the Syrian army to push toward the Turkish border, cutting the insurgents' supply lines from Turkey.DEGREES OF INVOLVEMENTThe extent of Russian involvement on the battlefield is disputed, however.

Two military officials, neither of them Syrian but both fighting alongside the Syrian army, said Russian officers and military experts had helped in the planning and directed the offensive in Latakia.

According to their account, the Russians were in charge of artillery fire and provided artillery cover, not just air strikes. "The coast battle was theirs," said one of the sources.

A Syrian military source, speaking on condition of anonymity to Reuters in Damascus last week, said the Russians were partners, but he denied they had a leadership role.

"The Russian role in participation, in planning and executing military operations is being reinforced all the time. It is participation, not management," said the source.

"The Russians take part in the ground and air planning, but at the end, the Syrian officers are the ones who know the land, the fronts, the geography better."

Insurgents interviewed by Reuters, including a local commander from the Ahrar al-Sham group, also said that Russian troops took part in the fighting.

Moscow says that its main goal in Syria is to target hardline Islamist groups which pose a global threat, including to Russia.

Islamic State commander Abu Omar al-Shishani is a Chechen. He is believed to be leading thousands of fighters most of them from Chechnya and Central Asia.

CEASEFIRESPro-government sources say the Russian role has expanded to include facilitating local ceasefires in rebel-held areas around Damascus, with the aim of creating a secure buffer around the capital.Syrian Minister of National Reconciliation Ali Haidar described the process as purely Syrian even if there had at times been Russian help.

"The truth is that since the presence of the Russians on Syrian land, they can play the role of mediator in some areas," he said at his offices in Damascus. "The Russians make contact (with militants) when they can, of course - in Douma and other areas," he said, in reference to an area east of Damascus."Sometimes it is the militants who request mediation by the Russians," he said. Those wishing to relocate wanted guarantees of safe passage to rebel strongholds, and those wishing to stay wanted to be sure they wouldn't be killed later on, he said.According to the non-Syrian sources interviewed by Reuters, Russian advisers orchestrated two deals in which hardline Islamist fighters were evacuated from the south toward areas their groups control in the northern and central provinces.

One of the non-Syrian military sources said the Russians worked "in the shadows" to facilitate the ceasefire deals. In some cases the Russians operated as guarantors for the deals.

Dozens of cars left southern towns of Syria in December carrying fighters from Nusra Front with their families to the northern province of Idlib which is under control of an alliance of rebels including Nusra Front.Weeks later a convoy left Hajar al-Aswad and Yarmouk camp areas near Damascus carrying fighters and families from Islamic State to the group’s stronghold of Raqqa.

A second source who was informed of the deals said the fighters were given safe passage. The aim was to empty these areas of hardline Islamists so clearing the way for the government to strike deals with the remaining rebels.

"The Russians want all the battles to be focused in the north, they want the south and Damascus and the coastal line all neutralized. Ultimately they are working toward achieving a wider political solution," said the source.

The Syrian government and its allies accuse the opposition and the insurgents of blocking efforts to end the fighting and reach a political deal.


(Additional reporting by Tom Perry in Damascus, Reuters reporters in Moscow; editing by Janet McBride)
 

Housecarl

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http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...an-and-Russia-to-Co-Produce-Su-30-Fighter-Jet

Well this is an interesting turn......

For links see article source.....
Posted for fair use.....
http://thediplomat.com/2016/02/confirmed-iran-and-russia-to-co-produce-su-30-fighter-jet/

Confirmed: Iran and Russia to Co-Produce Su-30 Fighter Jet

Iran’s defense minister revealed that Tehran is set to receive the Su-30 fighter jet at an undisclosed future date.

By Franz-Stefan Gady
February 14, 2016

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During a recent television interview, Iran’s Defense Minister, General Hossein Dehqhan, announced that Iran will sign a contract with Russia for the co-production of an undisclosed number of Russian-made Sukhoi Su-30 multirole fighter aircraft, Fars News Agency reports.

Should the deal go through, Iran will be the first country in the world to produce a variation of the Su-30 fighter jet locally. However, as of now, it still remains unclear in what capacity Tehran will be involved in the aircraft production process.

According to a source within Iran’s Defense Ministry interviewed by Sputnik News, a contract could be signed as early as February 16, when the Iranian defense minister will arrive in Moscow to discuss the deliveries of S-300 air defense systems and the Sukhoi Su-30 aircraft.

“Minister Dehgan is taking a number of the Defense Ministry’s representatives to the Russian capital to meet with their Russian colleagues and other highly-ranked officials,” the source notes.

“The last stages will be discussed of delivering Iran the S-300 complex, the first part of which should arrive before the end of next month, and the second by the end of June. Minister Dehqwan will also discuss the delivery of Su-30 airplanes because the Defense Ministry believes the Iranian Air Force needs this type of plane. We’ve moved far in these discussions of purchases and I think that during the upcoming visit a contract will be signed,” according to the source.

First rumors about a likely Iranian-Russian Su-30 deal emerged already in the summer of 2015 during the MAKS airshow, held near Moscow. “We are discussing the purchase of Sukhoi fighter planes,” Dehqhan told Iran’s Press TV back then.

However, Iran’s Vice-President for Science and Technology Affairs, Sorena Sattari, who was also present during the discussions, downplayed the talks at the time: “We spoke about it but we didn’t discuss purchasing them and talks were mostly focused on the technological issues.”

As I explained previously (See: “Will Iran License-Build Russia’s T-90S Main Battle Tank?”):

Under the so-called Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCOP), an international agreement on the nuclear program of Iran signed in July 2015, the UN arms embargo will be lifted 5 years after the JCOP adoption day. However, conventional weapons sales can be decided on a case-by-case basis meanwhile. “During the five years arms deliveries to Iran would be possible if they clear a notification and verification process in the UN Security Council,” according to Russia’s Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov.

It is unclear what variant of the Sukhoi Su-30 Iran is interested in, nor how many aircraft it wants to procure and within what timeframe. During his recent television interview, General Hossein Dehqhan, also rejected the idea of procuring Chengdu J-10 lightweight multirole fighter aircraft from China.
 

Housecarl

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:dot5:

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Posted for fair use.....
http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/15/politics/u-s-f-15-finland-training-exercise/

U.S. Air Force to send F-15 jets to Finland

By Brad Lendon and Zachary Cohen, CNN
Updated 6:09 AM ET, Mon February 15, 2016 | Video Source: CNN


(CNN)—The U.S. Air Force will send six F-15s to Finland this spring for exercises that will operate out of a base about 100 miles from the border with Russia, military officials say.

The six jets from the 173rd Fighter Wing at Kingsley Field Air National Guard Base in Oregon will fly training missions with Finnish forces as part of Operation Atlantic Resolve, which the United States initiated in 2014 to reassure NATO allies after Russian military intervention in Ukraine.

The United States requested the exercises, said Maj. Sheryll I. Klinkel of U.S. Air Forces Europe. Though Finland is not part of NATO, it shares an 813-mile border with Russia and has worked with the United States several times in the past few years.

"Most of that training has been flown from Norway, Sweden and other neighboring nations. However, we have never had F-15s conduct a training deployment to Finland," Klinkel said.

Russia's increasingly aggressive behavior over the past several years has prompted several countries across Europe to re-examine their defense capabilities and expand cooperation with other nations who share their concerns, according to Stephen Sestanovich, a senior fellow of Russian studies at the Council for Foreign Relations.

"This is a strong trend in Scandinavia in particular, where countries like Norway and Denmark, which have been in NATO for decades, and others, like Sweden and Finland, which are traditionally neutral, are asking themselves: How can we work together if we come under pressure from Russia?" Sestanovich said. "And they are asking the U.S.: Will you help us send a message to Moscow?"

About 100 airmen from the Oregon base will accompany the jets for the May 9 to 22 deployment, said Master Sgt. Jennifer D. Shirar of the Oregon Air National Guard. The U.S. troops will operate out of Kuopio, Finland, which is about 100 miles west of the border with Russia.

The exercise was first reported last week by Finnish public broadcaster YLE, which called it large by Finnish standards.

"A training session of U.S. military aircraft of this scale has not previously taken place in Finland," YLE reported.

The May deployment is just the latest of U.S. aircraft to Europe as part of Atlantic Resolve. F-22s, A-10s and F-16s have been part of previous exercises along with F-15s.

News of the Finland deployment comes just days after the Department of Defense announced it was quadrupling money $3.4 billion for the European Reassurance Initiative in an effort to deter Russian aggression against NATO allies.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev highlighted the strained relationship between his nation and the West on Saturday at the Munich Security Conference.

"NATO's policy with regard to Russia has remained unfriendly and opaque. One could go as far as to say that we have slid back to a new Cold War," Medvedev said. "Almost on an everyday basis we are called one of the most terrible threats either to NATO as a whole or to Europe, or to the United States."

NATO's supreme allied commander in Europe, Gen. Philip Breedlove, told CNN that the allied group does not agree with Medvedev's assessment.

"We at NATO do not want to see a Cold War," he said. "We do not talk about it. It's not what we want to happen or anticipate to happen. ... We're a defensive alliance who are arraying ourselves to face a challenge ... [from] a nation that has once again decided it will use force to change internationally recognized borders and so we take those appropriate actions to be able to assure, defend and deter."

Tensions between the West and Russia have increased in recent years, in large part -- at least in the view of the West -- because of Russia's annexation of the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea and its support for separatists elsewhere in eastern Ukraine.

But the increased in military cooperation between the United States and various European nations is also a direct result of other Russian military activities such as its intervention in Syria and stepped-up submarine presence in Scandinavian waters, Sestanovich said.

"European governments don't like what they see, and they are trying to tell the Russians to cool it," he said.

___

The Four Horsemen - Week of 02/15 to 02/22
Started by Ragnarok‎, Today 11:04 AM
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?484613-The-Four-Horsemen-Week-of-02-15-to-02-22
 
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