CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

poppy

Veteran Member
A problem has developed for the promising Oxford COVID-19 vaccine. They are afraid the drastic decline in new infections in the UK will mean there is not enough of the virus circulating in the population to be able to get results of the trials. They have lowered the chances of getting a valid trial of the vaccine from 80% down to 50%. Very ironic.

 

Troke

On TB every waking moment
(fair use applies)

Hydroxychloroquine Treatment Prevents COVID-19, Vindicating President Trump
Trump has been vindicated yet again.

By Shane Trejo
Published 11 hours ago on May 26, 2020

Indian scientists have discovered that hydroxychloroquine, the anti-malarial drug that is regularly used to treat COVID-19, also prevents individuals from being able to contract the illness.

The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has discovered that ingesting hydroxychloroquine can help healthy individuals fend off the coronavirus. The fake news media has been desperate to demonize the drug while globalists like Bill Gates plot to push widespread vaccinations as the only way to end the pandemic that has shaken the world.

The ICMR issued an advisory last week to drastically expand the use of hydroxychloroquine in an attempt to save lives throughout India. They conducted three separate studies to come to their conclusion that taking hydroxychloroquine can prevent coronavirus. The ICMR is now encouraging essential workers such as cops, paramilitary, surveillance staff, and medical personnel to take hydroxychloroquine as “preventive therapy.”

The study found that “amongst healthcare workers involved in Covid-19 care, those on hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis were less likely to develop SARS-CoV-2 infection, compared to those who were not on it.” The National Institute of Virology in Pune also determined through lab testing that the usage of hydroxychloroquine reduces the viral load of coronavirus.

Through analyzing data that had previously been collected, the ICMR discovered a “significant” correlation between “the number of doses [of hydroxychloroquine] taken and frequency of occurrence of Covid-19 infection in symptomatic healthcare workers who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection.”

These findings vindicate President Donald Trump, who announced recently that he was taking hydroxychloroquine as a preventative measure against the coronavirus.

Big League Politics has reported on how even Democrats have admitted the miraculous effects that hydroxychloroquine has in fighting COVID-19:

A member of the Michigan legislature who was diagnosed with Chinese coronavirus is crediting hydroxychloroquine and President Trump’s suggestion of the drug’s effectiveness with saving her life.
Rep. Karen Whitsett of Detroit learned that she had tested positive for coronavirus on Monday, but began taking the drug last month when experiencing severe symptoms of the disease. She had sought treatment with her husband on March 18th after falling ill with symptoms associated with coronavirus.
After taking hydroxychloroquine, Whitsett recounted experiencing almost immediate relief from the debilitating symptoms of the virus. It took “less than two hours” after an initial dose that the most severe symptoms of the disease, such as swollen lymph nodes and difficulty breathing, were abated.
The use of hydroxychloroquine has proven a topic of contention, with mainstream media journalists hectoring Trump for suggesting that the drug could prove useful in treating the disease even after large numbers of doctors report preliminary success in using it to treat coronavirus. The drug isn’t yet certified by the FDA as a verifiable drug in treating the disease, but by all indications, it has proven to be a medical game-changer in numerous cases of the disease, including Whitsett’s case.
Whitsett, a Detroit Democrat, has spoken candidly in support of Trump’s suggestion of use of the drug. “It has a lot to do with the president … bringing it up. He is the only person who has the power to make it a priority.”

Once again, President Trump has been vindicated and the globalist medical establishment has been disgraced over the response to the coronavirus pandemic.
Hmmm! Every time it has been 'formally' tried, crash. In fact, a supposed jump in deaths. While Big Pharm might be behind the crash of some of these tests, I can't believe it reaches everywhere including Europe.

Something is going on and I don't see what it is. Placebo effect? Kid, once in the business says in Europe they have run up to 40% success with the placebo. And a study has shown the placebo effect has increased over the years.

And as far as I can tell, they have obstinately refused to include Zinc in the treatment protocol.

As for anecdotes, as the Man says, enough anecdotes and you have a statistic. I think we have enough anecdotes if they are all added up. So far, I have seen little evidence of that either.
 

naturallysweet

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Screenshot is from a group I'm in.
They are doing everything they can to hide the true death toll
Right now. Hiding deaths and adding in false positive antibody tests into the equation. It's diabolical.
 

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emiliozapata

Senior Member
Screenshot is from a group I'm in.
They are doing everything they can to hide the true death toll
Right now. Hiding deaths and adding in false positive antibody tests into the equation. It's diabolical.
Dead is dead, what difference does it make- my suspicion is that those insisting their loved one died from COVID are after some sort of hoped for monetary windfall
 

naturallysweet

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Dead is dead, what difference does it make- my suspicion is that those insisting their loved one died from COVID are after some sort of hoped for monetary windfall
Let me guess, you think the numbers are inflated and refuse any new information that disagrees with your set beliefs.

I'd be personally pissed off if the Chinese communist government stole my family member and they listed it as natural causes.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
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OTOH, I know of two elderly Amish... neither of whom had been out of the house in months, in a community without any known cases. One died in bed at the age of 96, without any real "cause" (except, of course, being 96!) and the other died at hone at the age of 87, after suffering g from worsening congestive heart failure for several years.

Both had COVID19 on their death certificate as COD, which came as a complete shock to their families. To be blunt- no one believes it.

Summerthyme
 

Loretta Van Riet

Trying to hang out with the cool kids.
Found a source for hand sanitizer (80% alcohol) in Indiana.

 
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inskanoot

Veteran Member
Hmmm! Every time it has been 'formally' tried, crash. In fact, a supposed jump in deaths. While Big Pharm might be behind the crash of some of these tests, I can't believe it reaches everywhere including Europe.

Something is going on and I don't see what it is. Placebo effect? Kid, once in the business says in Europe they have run up to 40% success with the placebo. And a study has shown the placebo effect has increased over the years.

And as far as I can tell, they have obstinately refused to include Zinc in the treatment protocol.

As for anecdotes, as the Man says, enough anecdotes and you have a statistic. I think we have enough anecdotes if they are all added up. So far, I have seen little evidence of that either.

I know this sounds crazy, but I have heard that some so-called scientific studies are allowed to include the tested substance in their placebos. Doesn’t make any sense to me.
 

20Gauge

TB Fanatic
OTOH, I know of two elderly Amish... neither of whom had been out of the house in months, in a community without any known cases. One died in bed at the age of 96, without any real "cause" (except, of course, being 96!) and the other died at hone at the age of 87, after suffering g from worsening congestive heart failure for several years.

Both had COVID19 on their death certificate as COD, which came as a complete shock to their families. To be blunt- no one believes it.

Summerthyme
I actually think it is there only for one reason. The feds provide money if you have the deaths. The more deaths you can attribute to the virus, the better they pay out.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
I actually think it is there only for one reason. The feds provide money if you have the deaths. The more deaths you can attribute to the virus, the better they pay out.
Except in these cases, there is no "them" to be paid! Thry never went to the hospital... they were found dead in bed, the coroner was called, they were waked at hone and buried in the private Amish cemetery. It really made no sense! (Also, there was no autopsy... so it's not even possible they were tested for COVID post mortem!)

Summerthyme
 

20Gauge

TB Fanatic
Except in these cases, there is no "them" to be paid! Thry never went to the hospital... they were found dead in bed, the coroner was called, they were waked at hone and buried in the private Amish cemetery. It really made no sense! (Also, there was no autopsy... so it's not even possible they were tested for COVID post mortem!)

Summerthyme
I expect the state will collect. The feds will pass a law / EO giving money based upon the number of cases.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7za_j7f3L0
27:41 min
Hydroxychloroquine Studies
•May 27, 2020

Dr. John Campbell
Low Dose of Hydroxychloroquine Reduces Fatality of Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19 (15th March) China Life Science https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32418...

Does hydroxychloroquine reduce the death risk of critically ill COVID-19 patients. Retrospective study 550 critically ill COVID-19 patients Wuhan, from February 1, 2020 to April 4, 2020. 550 patients received comparable basic treatments including antiviral drugs and antibiotics 48 of them were treated with oral HCQ for 7-10 days Primary endpoint is fatality of patients, and inflammatory cytokine levels Compared between HCQ and non-hydroxychloroquine (NHCQ) groups 18.8% (9/48) deaths in HCQ group 47.4% (238/502) in the NHCQ group (P less than 0.001) Inflammatory cytokine IL-6 significantly reduced in the HCL group But there was no change in the NHCQ group HCQ is highly effective in reducing deaths by reducing the cytokine storm HCQ should be prescribed for critically ill COVID-19 patients Hydroxychloroquine Observational Study of Hydroxychloroquine in Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19. (NEJM 7th May) https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056...

CONCLUSIONS Hydroxychloroquine administration was not associated with either a greatly lowered or an increased risk of intubation or death Findings do not support the use of hydroxychloroquine at present, outside randomized clinical trials testing its efficacy Clinical guidance at our medical center has been updated to remove the suggestion that patients with Covid-19 be treated with hydroxychloroquine Hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine, with or without a macrolide, for the treatment of COVID-19, a multinational registry analysis (22nd May) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/la... https://www.thelancet.com/journals/la...

Background Azithromycin, clarithromycin, (erythromycin) HC and C are generally safe when used for approved indications such as autoimmune disease or malaria The safety and benefit of these treatment regimens are poorly evaluated in COVID-19. Hydroxychloroquine has been shown to have in-vitro activity against the SARS-CoV-2 Recently published human trials, along with other unpublished data, suggest that it could decrease the duration of viral shedding and symptoms if given early. Method 671 hospitals in six continents Included patients hospitalised between Dec 20, 2019, and April 14, 2020 With a positive laboratory finding for SARS-CoV-2 Patients treated within 48 h of diagnosis 4 patient groups, total n = 14,888 Chloroquine alone, n = 1,868 Chloroquine with a macrolide, n = 3,783 Hydroxychloroquine alone n = 3,016 Hydroxychloroquine with a macrolide n = 6,221 Patients who received none of these treatments, n = 81,144 Excluded patients Patients in whom treatments were started more than 48 hours after diagnosis Patients on mechanical ventilation Patients who received remdesivir Findings 96 032 patients with COVID-19 were hospitalised during the study period and met the inclusion criteria. Controlled for multiple confounding factors Age, sex, race or ethnicity, body-mass index, underlying cardiovascular disease and its risk factors, diabetes, underlying lung disease, smoking, immunosuppressed condition, and baseline disease severity In hospital Mortality de-novo ventricular arrhythmia Control group 9·3% 0.3% Hydroxychloroquine 18·0% 6.1% Hydroxychloroquine with a macrolide 23·8% 8.1% Chloroquine 16·4% 4.3% Chloroquine with a macrolide 22·2% 6.5% Interpretation Unable to confirm a benefit of hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine Used alone or with a macrolide Each of these drug regimens was associated with; Decreased in-hospital survival, p less than 0·0001 Increased frequency of ventricular arrhythmias when used for treatment of COVID-19 Independent predictors of in-hospital mortality Age BMI Black race or Hispanic ethnicity Coronary artery disease Congestive heart failure History of arrhythmia Diabetes Hypertension Hyperlipidaemia COPD Current smoker Immunosuppressed condition Associated with reduced in-hospital mortality risk Female Asian origin ACE inhibitors (but not angiotensin receptor blockers) Statins

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x4uI_msgr30
19:05 min
UK Update and a pleasant surprise
•May 27, 2020

Dr. John Campbell

Infographics, Ag Unity. Music Diana Lindley. Artwork David Downs, mailto:daviddownesonline@yahoo.co.uk COVID -19, Update, Wednesday 27th May Cases, 5,615,698 Deaths, 351,077

UK Cases, 266, 602 Deaths, 37, 130 Shops opening from 15th June Limited customers One way Don’t touch things Fittings rooms closed Regional targeted lockdowns Test, track, trace Deaths England and Wales (ONS) https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati... Week 20, w/e 15th May, 14,573 Week 19, w/e 8th May, 12,657 Week 18, w/e 1st May, 17,953 (5-year average, 10,188) Week 20, 3,810 (26.1% of all deaths) mentioned novel coronavirus (COVID-19) 53,960 excess deaths in England and Wales from the start of the outbreak to 15 May Current status, COVID Symptom Study, KCL, ZOE https://covid.joinzoe.com Combining antigen testing and reported data, 9,900 new cases of COVID-19 in England per day Excluding care homes and asymptomatic cases Based on 980,000 people using app, of whom 18,000 3.6 million users across the UK, US and Sweden All areas of England are seeing new cases North around twice those in the South Figures give an up to date view of COVID infection rates Deaths which lag by about a month.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJLVkH4GW_M
11:25 min
080 - One Surgeon’s Pivot from Elective Surgeries to COVID-19 ICU Care
•May 27, 2020

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Johns Hopkins Hospital paused elective surgeries (surgeries that are scheduled ahead of time) in March. Like some of his other colleagues, Dr. Rick Redett volunteered to be redeployed to the COVID ICU. Redett talks to Stephanie Desmon about exhausting shifts, the challenges of shifting from surgery to supportive care, and how things may be different as surgeries resume.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mC3vY2er9ys
58:40 min
War Room Pandemic Ep 197 - Nothing is Inevitable (w/ Chris Buskirk)
•Streamed live 5 hours ago

Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic

Steve Bannon, Jack Maxey, Jason Miller, and Raheem Kassam discuss the latest on the coronavirus pandemic as Dr. Fauci now claims that devastating prospects for a "second wave" are not a foregone conclusion. Calling in is Chris Buskirk to discuss the re-domestication of American industry.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pzM2TB9i6ac
58:26 min
War Room Pandemic Ep 198 - Hot Takes (w/ Congressman Matt Gaetz)
•Streamed live 4 hours ago

Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic


Steve Bannon, Jack Maxey, Jason Miller, and Raheem Kassam are joined in- studio with Congressman Matt Gaetz to talk about the coronavirus pandemic, FISA courts, Twitter, and more.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48bqLHUudXU
6:19 min
How the left is using coronavirus masks as the new
VIRTUE SIGNALING, and how MSNBC failed the test

•May 27, 2020


Glenn Beck

Those on the left will always need a way to show the world they're more virtuous than the right, and the coronavirus pandemic is no different. So, masks have become the new method of virtue signaling: wear one, and you care about humanity. Don't wear one? Well then...shame on you! But while an MSNBC reporter in Wisconsin recently was conducting a report about the countless Americans not wearing masks, one passerby caught the MSNBC camera crew in an unfortunate -- but hilarious -- lie.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bDu49BmqYh4
9:14 min
COVID-19 IN RED VS. BLUE DISTRICTS: Media TRIES to show Democrats handled pandemic better than GOP
•May 27, 2020


Glenn Beck

A recent graph published by the Pew Research Center TRIES to illustrated COVID-19 being handled more efficiently by Democrat politicians than GOP ones. The graph shows a steeper decline in blue district cases compared to the declining rate of infection in red ones. But, as Stu is quick to point out, a steep decline usually means a much, MUCH higher peak to begin with. And, sure enough, the graph DOES show that the peak of cases in blue states is over TWICE as high as the peak in red states. So, if the left HAS to make coronavirus into a political issue, maybe they should find a better argument...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WgOHD7P67Wk
2:26 min
Holiday Crowds Spur Concern About Potential 2nd Wave Of Coronavirus | TODAY
•May 27, 2020

TODAY
In the past week, 24 states have recorded increases in new coronavirus cases, and health officials fear that packed beaches and parks over the holiday weekend will only cause that number to rise. NBC national correspondent Miguel Almaguer reports for TODAY.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PJn_SlhpDP4
5:21 min
How the coronavirus pandemic will shape the future of young workers
•May 26, 2020


CBS News
This year's college graduates are entering the worst job market since the Great Depression. Charlotte Alter of Time spoke to CBSN about her conversations with members of the Class of 2020, whose futures will be shaped by the coronavirus pandemic.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dkB3GnV8MW8
1:57:18 min

Department of Health watchdog testifies on coronavirus supply shortages - 5/26/2020
•Streamed live on May 26, 2020


CNBC Television


Christi Grimm, principal deputy inspector general for the Department of Health and Human Services, testifies during a briefing held by House Committee on Oversight and Reform on an April report that warned of resource challenges hospitals have been facing during the coronavirus crisis,
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

PORTLAND, Ore. — Baker County Judge Matthew Shirtcliff announced Tuesday that he will not vacate his injunction that made Oregon Gov. Kate Brown's stay-at-home orders temporarily "null and void."

The Oregon Supreme Court issued an alternative writ of mandamus Saturday
, which said that Shirtcliff had until 5 p.m. Tuesday to either vacate the injunction or explain why it should remain in place.

Since Shirtcliff chose to stand by his original ruling, the state must file a brief with the Oregon Supreme Court by Thursday, May 28 and the plaintiffs must file briefs by Tuesday, June 2.

Shirtcliff's decision tossed out Brown's restrictions on Monday, May 18. He said she didn't seek the Legislature's approval to extend the stay-at-home orders past a 28-day limit. His decision came as a result of a lawsuit brought to him by 10 churches and other plaintiffs that felt Brown's executive order from March 8 that restricted Oregon residents' activities was invalid or had expired.

After the ruling, the Oregon Supreme Court halted Shirfcliff's order when Brown petitioned the higher court to review the lower court judge's decision. This put Brown's orders back in place temporarily.

Kevin Mannix, an attorney for Common Sense Oregon, helped file the lawsuit on behalf of the Oregon churches. He issued a response to Tuesday's development, saying:

“I am pleased that Judge Shirtcliff chose to stand by his original decision, which I firmly believe is strongly supported by proper analysis of the statutes. We will now have the opportunity to fully engage with the Governor’s representatives in front of the Supreme Court. We will make the case that the rule of law in Oregon allows continued standard regulation of public health matters, but it does not allow the Governor extraordinary powers to close down businesses and churches, beyond 28 days from the original declaration of a public health emergency,”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Sad, lonely elderly woman looking out window
(© De Visu - stock.adobe.com)
May 22, 2020
Social Isolation Increases Risk Of Heart Attack, Stroke, & Death From All Causes
by John Anderer


VIENNA — Social isolation is a word on the tip of everyone’s tongues these days. Staying away from others during this pandemic is keeping us safe, but a new study finds that prolonged social isolation is also quite dangerous.

Researchers warn that socially isolated people are over 40% more likely to suffer a heart attack, stroke, or other major cardiovascular event. Moreover, the socially isolated are nearly 50% more likely to die from any cause.

There was also an observed relationship between lack of financial support and increased cardiovascular risk.

The study was conducted by Dr. Janine Gronewold and Professor Dirk M. Hermann from the University Hospital in Essen, Germany. They analyzed data on 4,316 people (average age: 59 years old) who had been recruited for research between 2000 and 2003.

All of those participants initially had no known cardiovascular problems, and were tracked for an average of 13 years. Initially, each adult answered questions on their social support systems (marital status, number of close friends, memberships in various groups, clubs, organizations, etc).

“We have known for some time that feeling lonely or lacking contact with close friends and family can have an impact on your physical health”, Dr. Gronewold explains in a release. “What this study tells us is that having strong social relationships is of high importance for your heart health and similar to the role of classical protective factors such as having a healthy blood pressure, acceptable cholesterol levels, and a normal weight.”

“This observation is of particular interest in the present discussion on the COVID-19 pandemic, where social contacts are or have been relevantly restricted in most societies,” adds Professor Jöckel, one of the PI’s of the HNR.
Over the course of that 13.4 year follow up period, 339 major cardiovascular events occurred (heart attacks, strokes), as well as 530 deaths. Even after the research team accounted for other potentially contributing risk factors (medical history, exercise schedule, etc), social isolation was still linked to a 44% increased risk of cardiovascular events and a 47% increased risk of death by any cause. Lack of financial support was associated with a 30% increase in cardiovascular risk.

“We don’t understand yet why people who are socially isolated have such poor health outcomes, but this is obviously a worrying finding, particularly during these times of prolonged social distancing,” Dr. Gronewold says.

“What we do know is that we need to take this seriously, work out how social relationships affect our health, and find effective ways of tackling the problems associated with social isolation to improve our overall health and longevity,” Professor Hermann concludes.

The study is published in the European Journal of Neurology.
 

inskanoot

Veteran Member

The Creation of a False Epidemic by Jon Rappoport Part 5: We are not in it together
John Rappoport interviewed by Catherine Austin Fitts, 1:54

Disaster capitalism and the story of a virus. If the engineered virus(es) were better, wouldn‘t have to fake the numbers. The shriekometer turned on Trump and other leaders. Polls showing numbers of public who buy into the pandemic hysteria. Discussion of the trade deficit with China. Plandemic bolstered US dollar system. The new financial system is creepy (Microsoft in your body). They don’t want to change the currency. They want to replace the currency with a system of control, of slavery. Catherine and Jim have different viewpoints and are interesting to listen to.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment

Boeing Slashes 6,770 US Workers, Sees No Recovery In Air Travel For "Years"

Wed, 05/27/2020 - 11:43

Update (11:40 ET): Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun has just released an update on this week's layoffs. He said involuntary layoffs have begun, a total of 6,770 US workers will be cut this week, adding that work reduction programs have already gone into effect for the company's international facilities.
"Following the reduction-in-force announcement we made last month, we have concluded our voluntary layoff (VLO) program. And now we have come to the unfortunate moment of having to start involuntary layoffs (ILO). We're notifying the first 6,770 of our U.S. team members this week that they will be affected. We will provide all the support we can to those of you impacted by the ILOs — including severance pay, COBRA health care coverage for U.S. employees and career transition services," the statement read.

"Our international locations also are working through workforce reductions that will be communicated locally on their own timelines in accordance with local laws and benefit terms," the statement continued.
Calhoun also gave an update on the 737 Max program. He said production is set to restart at its Renton, Washington facility in the near term.
"We're moving forward with our plan to restart 737 MAX production in Renton, Washington, as our return-to-service efforts continue. And our Global Services team is changing its organization to ensure it is lean and focused on the post-COVID needs of its customers."
He reiterated that the commercial airliner industry "will come back, but it will take some years to return to what it was just two months ago." Further signaling, the travel and tourism industry remains doomed through 2021.
But none of this matters for day trading Robinhood folks who've been buying every dip in Boeing shares.



Robinhood users are also piling into JETS ETF -- hoping for a massive recovery - but according to Calhoun, it could take several years for a recovery to unfold...

So does that mean Robinhood users will be left holding the bag?

* * *
Boeing has notified union officials that it will cut workers this week, reported Bloomberg. Demand for air travel has collapsed during the COVID-19 outbreak, and the aerospace company continues to reel from the 737 Max grounding.
We noted in early May, Boeing announced a 10% cut of its jobs, or about 16,000 positions, with many of the reductions focused in the commercial airplane unit.

"The demand for commercial airline travel has fallen off a cliff," Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun said earlier this month. "The pandemic is also delivering a body blow to our business."



Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace (SPEEA), which represents about 18,000 engineers in the Puget Sound region, has already told employees that they will lose their jobs as soon as this week. SPEEA spokesman told Bloomberg that 1,300 workers were willing to accept buyouts.

Puget Sound Business Journal said Boeing had told SPEEA that cuts between 15% and 20% of white-collar workers in the Seattle area and Southern California are expected. The planemaker has already cut jobs in Australia and Canada.

Calhoun recently said it had offered 70,000 of its employees a voluntary layoff package. He warned that it could take upwards of three years to return sales back to 2019 levels.

And that is precisely why Warren Buffett dumped his stake in U.S. airlines because the recovery will take years.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Visualizing How US Consumers Are Spending Differently During COVID-19

Tue, 05/26/2020 - 23:45

In 2019, nearly 70% of U.S. GDP was driven by personal consumption. However, as Visual Capitalist's Iman Ghosh notes, in the first and second quarters of 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has initiated a transformation of consumer spending trends as we know them.

Consumer Spending in Charts

By leveraging new data from analytics platform 1010Data, today’s infographic dives into the credit and debit card spending of five million U.S. consumers over the past few months.

Let’s see how their spending habits have evolved over that short timeframe:



The above data on consumer spending, which comes from 1010Data and powered by AI platform Exabel, is broken into 18 different categories:
  • General Merchandise & Grocery: Big Box, Pharmacy, Wholesale Club, Grocery
  • Retail: Apparel, Office Supplies, Pet Supplies
  • Restaurant: Casual dining, Fast casual, Fast food, Fine dining
  • Food Delivery: Food delivery, Grocery Delivery, Meal/Snack kit
  • Travel: Airline, Car rental, Cruise, Hotel
It’s no surprise that COVID-19 has consumers cutting back on most of their purchases, but that doesn’t mean that specific categories don’t benefit from changes in consumer habits.

Consumer Spending Changes By Category

The onset of changing consumer behavior can be observed from February 25, 2020, when compared year-over-year (YoY).

As of May 12, 2020, combined spending in all categories dropped by almost 30% YoY. Here’s how that shakes out across the different categories, across two months.

General Merchandise & Grocery

This segment saw a sharp spike in initial spending, as Americans scrambled to stockpile on non-perishable food, hand sanitizer, and toilet paper from Big Box stores like Walmart, or Wholesale Clubs like Costco.

In particular, spending on groceries reached a YoY increase of 97.1% on March 18, 2020. However, these sudden panic-buying urges leveled out by the start of April.



Pharmaceutical purchases dropped the most in this segment, possibly as individuals cut back on their healthcare expenditures during this time. In fact, in an April 2020 McKinsey survey of physicians, 80% reported a decline in patient volumes.

Retail

With less foot traffic in malls and entire stores forced to close, sales of apparel plummeted both in physical locations and over e-commerce platforms.


Interestingly, sales of office supplies rose as many pivoted to working from home. Many parents also likely required more of these resources to home-school their children.

Restaurant

The food and beverage industry has been hard-hit by COVID-19. While many businesses turned to delivery services to stay afloat, those in fine dining were less able to rely on such a shift, and spiraled by 88.2% by May 5, 2020, year-over-year.



Applebees or Olive Garden exemplify casual dining, while Panera or Chipotle characterize fast casual.

Food Delivery

Meanwhile, many consumers also shifted from eating out to home cooking. As a result, grocery delivery services jumped by over five-fold—with consumers spending a whopping 558.4% more at its April 19, 2020 peak compared to last year.



Food delivery services are also in high demand, with Doordash seeing the highest growth in U.S. users than any other food delivery app in April.

TRAVEL

While all travel categories experienced an immense decline, cruises suffered the worst blow by far, down by 87.0% in YoY spending since near the start of the pandemic.


Airlines have also come to a halt, nosediving by 91.4% in a 10-week span. In fact, governments worldwide have pooled together nearly $85 billion in an attempt to bail the industry out.

Hope on the Horizon?

Consumer spending offers a pulse of the economy’s health. These sharp drops in consumer spending fall in line with the steep decline in consumer confidence.

In fact, consumer confidence has eroded even more intensely than the stock market’s performance this quarter, as observed when the Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) is compared to the S&P 500 Index.



Many investors dumped their stocks as the coronavirus hit, but consumers tightened their purse strings even more. Yet, as the chart also shows, both the stock market and consumer sentiment are slowly but surely on the mend since April.

As the stay-at-home curtain cautiously begins to lift in the U.S., there may yet be hope for economic recovery on the horizon.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Psychiatrists Wrote 86% More Prescriptions For Psychotropic Drugs During Lockdown Months

Tue, 05/26/2020 - 22:05

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

Psychiatrists wrote 86% more prescriptions for psychotropic drugs, including antidepressants, during the lockdown months of March and April compared to January and February, it has been revealed.


“Prescriptions for anti-anxiety medications and sleep aids have risen during the pandemic, prompting doctors to warn about the possibility of long-term addiction abuse of the drugs,” reports the Wall Street Journal.
According to Ginger, an organization that provides mental health services to companies, compared to January and February of this year, prescriptions for psychotropics, most of which were antidepressants, were up 86% for the months of March and April.

The stress of unemployment, social isolation and health concerns are all cited by Americans who say the lockdown is having a serious impact on their mental health.

Pharmacy group Express Scripts also revealed that prescriptions for anti-anxiety medications were up 34.1% between mid-February and mid-March, while prescriptions for antidepressants increased 18.6%.

The numbers emphasize the significant mental health toll created by the lockdown which will reverberate for many years to come.

As we highlighted yesterday, Doctors at John Muir Medical Center in Walnut Creek, California say they have recorded more deaths from suicide than coronavirus, with a year’s worth of suicides and suicide attempts being recorded in a 4 week period.
“Community health is suffering,” warned Dr. Mike deBoisblanc, as he called for the lockdown order to be fully lifted.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Neil Howe: Expect Creative Destruction In This Fourth Turning

Tue, 05/26/2020 - 20:45

Authored by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com,m

Neil Howe, demographer and co-authour of the book The Fourth Turning, returns to the podcast this week. In our prior interviews with him, we’ve explored his study of generational cycles (“turnings”) in America which reveal predictable social trends that recur throughout history and invariably result in transformational crisis (a “fourth turning”).



Fourth turnings are characterized by a growing demand for social order, yet supply of it remains weak. The emergence of the surveillance state, a perpetual war machine, increased intervention in failing markets by the central planners, greater government control of critical systems like health care and the Internet — all of these are classic fourth turning signs of the desperation authorities exert as they lose control.

History shows time and time again that such overreach ends in rejection of the current order, usually via violent revolution.

Now that we’re roughly halfway through the current Fourth Turning and things have really started to unravel here in 2020, we’ve asked Neil back on the program to update us on what to expect next:
During times of peace and prosperity, inequality over time always increases. It always increases. There are only four things which reduced inequality through history: total war, total revolution, famines, and plagues.

You have this weird situation in America now the where interest rates are practically 0% and almost no one is doing any investing. How do you explain such high returns on existing capital with 0% interest rates, and yet no one’s using those low interest rates? Because new creators of business can’t get the same high returns as the incumbents. That’s the reason.

So we have a bifurcated market and I think that this is what has to be broken down. The fourth turning is to some extent an act of creative destruction. It destroys as much as it creates. We saw that in the 1930s. We saw that in the 1940s which, by the way, was a period of huge shift from inequality to equality in America.

But I do think there’s a broader point about inequality and this is point about creative destruction. There has to be some destruction in there. You have to destroy the privileges. You have to destroy the sinecures — and that’s never pleasant. But it’s part of the process.

I’ve often told people — if they expect to see Social Security reformed, global warming solved, and god knows what else you’re talking about on a peaceful sunny day — that big reforms come about during dark and stormy nights. And I’m talking about BIG reforms…reforms that actually commit society to huge new sacrifices.
To hear which developments are most likely to happen next during this current Fourth Turning, click the play button below to listen to Chris’ interview with Neil Howe (57m:25s)

View: https://youtu.be/4yuHVCHH1a0
57:25 min
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
How To Prepare For What Comes Next
Tue, 05/26/2020 - 18:45

Authored by Daisy Luther via The Organic Prepper blog,
It’s pretty safe to say we’re living in a world where everything is dramatically different than it was a few months ago. Regardless of how we personally feel about the response to the coronavirus pandemic, we still have to live in a society that has adjusted the parameters of acceptable behavior and has changed irrevocably.


While it’s impossible to guess precisely what comes next (I mean, were you really expecting aliens and murder hornets?), we can surmise from the things happening right now which way the future is headed. And we can use that information to prepare ourselves for it.

The following are some areas in which we may soon (or already) be facing difficulty, as well as some suggestions for meeting them head-on with resolve and preparations. If you’re looking for more information about the second wave of the virus and effects of that, go here.

The economy
It’s no surprise that the economy is in shambles – after all, it’s been all but shut down for months. Back when I wrote about the potential costs of COVID, I underestimated the total destruction of small businesses and the devastation of the workforce. I didn’t go deep enough in my analysis to foresee 40 million people becoming unemployed in the span of two months or that not just small businesses would suffer – that dozens of major corporations would also go under, taking even more jobs with them.

Few would have predicted the mass money printing for stimulus checks and small business loans and grants, putting our nature further in deficit than ever before. There’s even a possibility that the US could willfully default on its debt to China as the government struggles to handle the most exorbitant national debt in history.

Things that could directly affect individuals are:
  • Unemployment: It may be difficult to keep your job or find another one.
  • Inflation: As the government continues printing money for “stimulus” it weakens the dollar, reducing its value. This means that the price of goods will increase. So every trip to the store will cost you more money.
  • The implosion of credit: As more and more people become unable to make their payments, massive swaths of the economy will suffer, including housing, banking, and the automotive industry. This will result in an inability to get future credit for mortgages or cars, and will also result in a loss of jobs.
What can you do about these things?
It’s more important than ever to have an emergency fund. That might be easier said than done when jobs are difficult to come by and when the money you do have doesn’t stretch as far. If you are getting that extra $600 a week from the CARE Act, I can’t stress this strongly enough: SAVE IT.

Now is not the time to try and pay off all your debts, particularly if your future is looking precarious. Continue making the minimum payments while you wait to see what’s going to happen. Put aside the money you would be using to pay off debt – you can always pay it off in a few months if things are looking up.

Remember that the big banks get bailouts. Everyday people do not. Paying off your unsecured debt should not be a financial priority right now.

Don’t get in over your head with expenses. If you can cut back, you should start doing so now. Don’t sign new phone contracts or expensive leases. Reduce your monthly cost of living as much as possible.

The public education system

The public education system was early to exit from normal operations. Children are currently doing “distance learning” online with their teachers and being guided by their parents.

While a lot of parents complain, many others have enjoyed reconnecting with their children. Some parents are also realizing that the education they thought their kids were receiving isn’t all it’s been cracked up to be when they find their children are far behind the curve and the teacher never even mentioned it.

After seeing some of the horrifying plans for schools reopening with “appropriate social distance,” many parents may decide not to let their children return to school at all. Here’s what the CDC is recommending.



Photo Credit: CBS 12 News

What can you do about the education situation?
While for many the loss of “free childcare” would pose a financial difficulty, a report on the Cato Institute suggests this could be a positive change.
Prompted by the COVID-19 pandemic, we may be on the brink of a massive educational reset. With families back in charge of their children’s education, free from the constraints of compulsory schooling, they may increasingly demand more educational choice and freedom. Some of these families will choose to opt‐out of schooling altogether, inspired by the learning, growth, and reignited curiosity they witness in their children during this time at home. (source)
It may turn out that educating kids at home is beneficial to the whole family. Here’s some advice for public schoolers from a homeschool parent and the first post of a series on getting started with homeschooling. It might be a good idea to begin looking into some homeschool programs to see what will might be a good fit for your family. In most states, you’re under no obligation to follow a public school curriculum when homeschooling.

The food supply
We’ve all see bare spaces on the shelves at the grocery stores. There’s a major problem getting food from the farmers to the people who need it. Our system has been designed around the centralization and processing of food.

Interestingly, this problem isn’t necessarily about actual shortages as much as it is processing and distribution.
Processing plants across the country are shutting down as more and more employees become ill. At least ten large meat processing plants have closed due to the virus. Distribution issues have farmers dumping thousands of gallons of milk, plowing under vegetables in the fields, and leaving potatoes to rot.
A lot of the food being produced was destined for restaurants, hotels, and cruise ships. Diverting it to grocery stores and the millions of people using food banks right now (because they didn’t get their money from unemployment yet, remember?) is unfortunately not as easy as it should be. This article explains some of the issues with getting food to hungry people.
One of the issues processing. With meat, in particular, this is difficult – most folks aren’t even going to be willing to process their own chickens and it’s wildly unrealistic to imagine a family in the city processing a cow or a pig. With produce, it becomes a little bit easier – anyone can wash fruits and vegetables – but employees are still needed to harvest the food.

A lot of that scarcity could be remedied if we could reallocate things – if janitorial supplies could be sold to the general public, if farmers could sell directly to stores or consumers, and if farmers could donate unpurchased items to food banks.
Governmental bandaids aside, this isn’t a problem that will be going away quickly. In fact, it may get worse.

Part 1 of 2
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Part 2 of 2

What can you do about the food situation?

No matter where you live, you can produce or acquire at least some of the food you eat.
  • Gardening – Grow food any way you can, from sprouting microgreens in smaller apartments to container gardens on a patio or balcony to full-on vegetable gardens that take up 90% of your back yard. With all the bare shelves at the grocery store, producing any of your own food will be helpful. Here’s some information on how to start a garden inexpensively.
  • Livestock – If you live in a place where you can have livestock, now might be the time to do it. Many cities allow 3-6 hens in backyard coops, and of course, if you live in the country, it will be no problem to have chickens. Having fresh eggs at your disposal could be very important one of these days. Also, keep in mind that chickens are a great way to dispose of leftovers and vegetable scraps. Here’s some information on raising baby chicks. Rabbits are also a good animal to raise and can be farmed a lot more subtly within city limits because they’re so quiet. They can provide a very sustainable source of meat.
  • Hunting – If you already have the equipment to do so, hunting can help you to acquire meat. A deer could provide your family with venison for months. Smaller game, like ducks or geese, are also good additions to your freezer. And depending on where you live, you can use snares for rabbit or other small mammals.
  • Foraging – Even in the midst of the city, a park can be an abundant source of food in season if you know what to look for. Get yourself a good regional guide to the food growing freely in your area. It’s important that the book be regional because there are so many medicinal and edible plants in the US, you’ll want to narrow it down to what you can find where you are now. Makes sure your harvesting from an area not sprayed with toxic pesticides.
  • Sprouting – The fastest and easiest way to grow something yourself is through sprouting. While supplies for orders are backed up, you can get excellent guidance on sprouting what you already have on this website. Sprouting can be done just about anywhere, in just about any home. They provide high nutritional value and some fresh veggies, any time of year.
The ability to locate or produce food is something that can mean the difference between keeping your family’s bellies filled or hunger. Grocery stores remain low on inventory and food banks cannot keep up with the demand of people who are out of work and who haven’t yet received their unemployment checks.

The supply chain of other goods
It isn’t just food that people are having difficulty finding. Nearly any store you visit right now has a lack of inventory. Some of it isn’t being produced, other things aren’t being imported, and still others are somewhere in limbo in the broken supply chain.
Some of the things that are missing are products that originate in China – see this massive list.
Other items, like paper products, are also sparse even though many of these things are made in the USA. It isn’t just because of so-called “hoarders” either, as the media wants us to believe. There have been shortages of TP across the globe and the main reason is the fact that everyone is now at home most of the time now. Previously, a lot of a person’s toilet paper usage was outside the home – so everyone was using those giant janitorial supply rolls. Most households are now using 40% more toilet paper than before. This interesting article goes into detail about why there isn’t a quick and easy fix for this. (source)
We can expect shortages of everything from medications to automotive parts to hygiene supplies in the near future due to the breakdown of the supply chain.

What can we do about the shortage of goods?
In reality, a lot of the things we used to run to the store and buy simply aren’t essential. We can begin to downsize and to focus on needs instead of wants.
We can begin to be more careful with the resources we do have. How many times have we said, “It’s cheaper to just replace it than try and fix it” when tossing something in the trash? We should be living by the adage, “Use it up, wear it out, make it do, or do without.”

It’s also a good time to begin to be more creative with our reuse of things. Can you use the fabric from an item of clothing you’ll no longer wear to make something else that you need? How can you repurpose things? What multiple uses can you get from items? You can’t go wrong with learning new skills like making or repairing commonly used items.

Instead of making a dash to the store your first option, see how you can solve problems without buying anything. Start looking for substitutes and make your items last as long as possible with careful cleaning and maintenance. This way of life has the added bonus of helping you to get a handle on your finances.

The increasing desperation
As Selco has often warned us, the biggest threat in an emergency is often not the emergency itself, but other people. Many of us saw this during the lockdowns, both within our inner circles as well as outside our circles, with the sometimes surprising behaviors of neighbors, coworkers, and friends.

As the financial catastrophe our nation is facing becomes more apparent, so will the desperation that people are feeling. And desperate people can behave irrationally and dangerously. Anyone who has ever considered the extreme measures that they would go to in order to feed or protect their children can understand that others feel exactly the same way.

Right now, during these early stages, we’re still in the “good” times. The government is doling out money hand over fist. Food banks are still operating, although supplies are very limited. A lot of people have looked at this as a “paid vacation” from their everyday lives. Many are making more money staying home collecting unemployment than they made at work – for some it’s triple the amount.

But when that money stops coming in…when the food banks are empty…when the jobs don’t reappear…when supplies are short even for those with money…when there’s no more help?

That’s when people will begin to feel desperate.

What can you do about this?
First of all, it’s of the utmost importance that you practice good OpSec. That’s a military term that means “operational security.” Put simply, OpSec means that people outside your inner circle should be completely unaware of your supplies, your level of preparedness, and your willingness and ability to defend what’s yours.

Nobody needs to know you have extra toilet paper or canned goods. If you really want to help someone out, pick up a few things for them at the store and drop it off in the bag from the store saying, “I grabbed a few things for you while I was at the store.” Make sure they don’t think it came from your home because hungry people have very long memories.

Secondly, you need to be prepared so that you don’t feel this same desperation. We’ve been talking about preparedness on this website for almost a decade. If you haven’t put your plan into action, you are truly running out of time to do so, and quickly. Stock up and get ready because the future is going to be bumpy.

The outrage
Last but definitely not least, we can expect outrage.
Outrage will occur for a million different reason when times are tense, not the least of which are:
  • Loss of constitutional rights
  • Loss of freedom to move around as you want
  • Loss of the ability to make a living
  • Loss of loved ones
  • Loss of security
  • Loss of certainty about the future
We’re dealing with a scenario in which loss is rampant. One of the stages of grief is anger and we can absolutely expect this to erupt. We’ve seen some of this anger already, with protests across the country. Of course meeting those protesters are counter-protesters – everyone has a different story so they’re viewing this situation through a different lens.

The sides are being clearly drawn here – people are being cast into the role of caring only about the economy or only about public health. Those who are outraged aren’t looking for the middle ground – they’re furious due to their loss or their fear of loss. And don’t forget, this is an election year, so the media and the political parties will be out there in full force, stirring the pot.

What can you do about this?
You have to be prepared to protect yourself and your family from those who are outraged. This might mean staying at home in order to avoid conflict, enhancing your home security, carrying a weapon (aren’t you doing that already?), or taking measures to isolate and protect the health of the people you love. It might also be staying “gray” and understanding the baseline mood of the place where you are. Regardless of your personal feelings, the best way to avoid drawing attention to yourself is by being just another person in the crowd/neighborhood/office.

I strongly encourage you to be proactive about this and take responsibility for your health. If you are in a vulnerable group (or have a loved one who is) are you really going to trust other people who don’t care to protect them?

If you are in a state with a lot of restrictions, it pays to be attentive. (Of course, it always pays to be attentive.) If you choose to go protest, that’s entirely up to you. If you hope to avoid potential trouble, when there are large, angry groups of people, don’t be there. It only takes a small spark for people who are already angry to erupt and you probably don’t want to be around when they do.

If there are large, angry groups of people, don’t be there. It only takes a small spark for people who are already angry to erupt.

Find things for which you can be grateful.
This may sound like crazy advice, but finding things for which you feel gratitude is the most life-changing thing you can do when you are trying to adjust. And adjusting is exactly what we must do as we prepare to meet a future that is different from what we ever expected.

You may find that your situation has dramatically changed since the beginning of the year. You may have lost one income or all income. You may be depending on checks from unemployment. Your business may not be able to withstand the extended shutdown. You may find yourself unable to pay bills that were never a problem before.

It’s a whole new world out there.

If you can find things to be grateful for, it will give you the encouragement you need to push forward. A full pantry, healthy loved ones, being together with the people you care for, being able to be present in your child’s education, making new and supportive friends online, a thriving garden, a delicious and filling meal, some free time after years of non-stop work–>activities–>bed only to get up and start it all over again – all of these are reasons for gratitude. Every day you’re on the right side of the grass is a good day if you can find things for which you are thankful.

Your attitude is everything. If you wallow in misery, you’re going to be miserable.

Everything has changed, but it’s still important to find reasons to be happy, grateful, and hopeful. These traits will help you find the resilience you need to survive and thrive, regardless of the challenges ahead.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

"This Should Trouble Us All" - Auto-Snitching COVID-Tracking Bracelets Flood Market

Tue, 05/26/2020 - 18:05

Authored by Sam Biddle via The Intercept,
Surveillance firms around the world are licking their lips at a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to cash in on the coronavirus by repositioning one of their most invasive products: the tracking bracelet.

Body monitors are associated with criminality and guilt in the popular imagination, the accessories of Wall Street crooks under house arrest and menace-to-society parolees. Unlike smartphones, de facto tracking devices in their own right, strapped-on trackers are expressly designed to be attached to the body and exist solely to report the user’s whereabouts and interactions to one or more third parties; they don’t play podcasts or tell you how many steps you took that day to sweeten the surveillance.

But a climate of perpetual bio-anxiety has paved the way for broader acceptance of carceral technologies, with a wave of companies trying to sell tracking accessories to business owners eager to reopen under the aegis of responsible social distancing and to governments hoping to keep a closer eye on people under quarantine.



Take AiRISTA Flow, a Maryland-based outfit that helps corporations track their “assets,” breathing or not. In an April 21 press release, the company announced it would begin selling Bluetooth and Wi-Fi trackers to be worn on an employee’s wrist like a Fitbit — or around their neck like a cowbell.
“When people come within six feet of each other for a period of time,” the company wrote in a press release, “the device makes an audible chirp and a record of the contact is made in the AiRISTA Flow software system.”
But the tracking goes far beyond audible chirps: AiRISTA’s platform allows employers to continuously upload a record of close encounters to a corporate cloud, providing an up-to-date list of presumed social distancing violators that would double as a detailed record of workplace social interactions.

The company’s marketing language is explicit in talking up the nonviral benefits of tracking your workers’ every move: By helping companies “Locate people and things in real time” (the two are seemingly treated interchangeably), they can expect a “Reduction in unplanned downtime,” “Improved asset utilization rates, [and a] reduced need for spares.”

In a press release published just a day after AiRISTA Flow’s, Boston-based Redpoint Positioning Corporation, another player in the business of tracking workers and inanimate objects, announced that it was taking its own “cutting-edge technology … already used by leading companies worldwide in third-party logistics, auto manufacturing, mine operation” and repackaging it for social distancing. Like AiRISTA, Redpoint offers companies the ability to “tag” their equipment and employees using ultra-wideband radio signals, a wireless positioning technology only recently added to the most advanced iPhones. Redpoint boasted in the announcement of its ability to use these tags to “track the location of people and equipment with extremely high accuracy, even in complex industrial environments,” now with a coronavirus-specific augmentation:
“If social distancing parameters, such as a 1- or 2-meter radius, are violated between workers, the tag alarm will alert them to the hazard.” The company will also collect a history of employee interactions:
“If an infection does occur, historical data from the system will allow for highly accurate contact tracing, as records can show the individuals who were near the infected party.”
A Redpoint spokesperson did not answer when asked if the company has any policies dictating or constraining how their technology can be used by clients.

While the AiRISTA and Redpoint trackers merely evoke the aesthetics of a police state in the workplace, Israeli surveillance outfit SuperCom is literally repackaging as a Covid-19 “solution” technology previously used on incarcerated or criminally convicted people. The security company has customers in 20 countries, including the U.S., and claims decades of experience with what it calls in a press release “secured boundaries projects,” like border crossings and home confinement. It’s the house arrest expertise that the company is now marketing as PureCare, described on the SuperCom website as a “state-of-the-art solution for quarantine and isolation monitoring to aid government efforts in containing and limiting the reach of infectious diseases” and, incredibly, as “a non-intrusive patient friendly system that constantly tracks patient location within buildings, vehicles and outside.”

SuperCom Americas President Ordan Trabelsi declined to tell The Intercept where the company’s ankle bracelets are currently being used for quarantine enforcement, but it named Central America as the location of one pilot deployment, and referenced a second pilot program in some other, unspecified region, in an April 6 press release announcing a “Coronavirus (COVID-19) citizen quarantine and containment tracking technology.” The company announced separately, on April 27, that it had begun selling tracking devices for prisoners released from an unnamed “United States of America correctional facility due to COVID-19.”

In the same press release, SuperCom claimed to see a spike in interest from “government agencies looking to restrict the spread of COVID-19 among their general population” and envisioned “additional potential industry demand for electronic monitoring services coming from the incarcerated American population.”

One might think that a company like SuperCom would shy away from proposing that those exposed to the novel coronavirus be in any way treated like literal criminals. But in a recent promotional YouTube interview, Trabelsi makes a point of stressing that it’s precisely the company’s work with criminal elements that makes its Covid-19 “solution” superior. “In the past, we have spent a lot of our time focusing on very accurate and state of the art tracking of offenders,” he said in the video. “Many customers and potential customers around the world asked us if we could use that same platform to do, you know, Covid-19 home quarantine tracking and compliance. And we thought, of course we can because it’s exactly what we do in the offender tracking space. But now we’ll just be tracking people that are not essentially offenders but unluckily were exposed to the virus.”

When asked in the YouTube interview about the privacy implications of SuperCom’s ankle bracelets, Trabelsi demurred — though he did note that the hardware is “very comfortable and goes underneath their sock.” He went on to say that how the company’s customers use the technology is their call, not his.
“We leave it to them to make their decisions on rules and privacy,” he stated.
In an interview with The Intercept, Trabelsi said interest in SuperCom’s coronavirus product has been “mostly government” so far. Should any of these intrigued governments decide to use SuperCom bracelets to enforce quarantines, Trabelsi said it’s up to them to do so responsibly.
“Everyone has their own rules,” he told me. “Some countries share that they want to put everyone who comes into the country into quarantine for 14 days, some want to put it onto people who are sick, or who have a confirmed case; it depends what [that government’s] regulations are. They define the rules exactly as they want. We just provide them with technology to track people."
A laissez-faire approach to privacy and accountability will do little to persuade those who see SuperCom’s strategy as a cynical attempt to push lucrative police technology into the civilian world during a period of widespread social crisis. Leonard Rubenstein, a human rights attorney and bioethicist at Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, told The Intercept that SuperCom’s stance has the distinction of being both dangerous and useless.
“I found the ankle monitor and other tracking methods described [by SuperCom] highly inappropriate and detrimental to a public health response in being unreasonably and unnecessarily coercive,” he said, “a serious invasion of privacy without any safeguards, and promoting an adversarial relationship to public health authorities when the relationship should be built on trust.”
Rubenstein, who is affiliated with the school’s department of epidemiology, said that an invasive technology like a tracking bracelet imposes “limitations on human rights to serve public health ends” and must be held to particularly high standards to determine if it’s worth the trade-off.

Jennifer Granick, an attorney specializing in surveillance and cybersecurity technologies at the American Civil Liberties Union, told The Intercept that SuperCom’s Covid-19 marketing efforts put a public health gloss on a police technology and thus helps it to “be normalized among the general population for medical reasons. … This should trouble us all.”

To Rubenstein, even SuperCom’s most humane use case for tracking bracelets, allowing temporary release of incarcerated people to spare them from a coronavirus prison outbreak, doesn’t pass muster. “In the case of released prisoners, less restrictive means are also available,” he said. An always-on surveillance bracelet might be defensible only “where there was an individualized determination that the person poses a high public safety risk upon release in the absence of monitoring/tracking,” he added.

Responding to these concerns, Trabelsi told The Intercept that despite the company’s own emphasis on monitoring criminals, its products shouldn’t be understood as intended only for that purpose. “The product vision [is] to track the location of people to verify they are following the rules in order to protect themselves and our society,” Trabelsi wrote via email. “The product wasn’t necessarily developed for offenders. The technology also tracks patients with Alzheimer’s disease and other issues that require monitoring for their own safety.” Trabelsi argued that tracking bracelets could allow people to avoid being confined to a hospital or “government controlled facility” while under quarantine. “This technology would give these individuals the option to be at their homes instead and be monitored to reduce the risk of causing harm to others,” he added.

When asked if SuperCom had consulted with any public health experts during the design or sale of its tracking hardware, Trabelsi was unsure — “In the past we probably have, I’m not certain.” But he also seemed to push back on the notion, perfectly framing Granick’s worry, that this is even a public health technology to begin with: “The technology is essentially for tracking people. It’s not a health solution. It can just tell you where people are. It’s not going to keep you from getting sick. It’s not going to heal you.”
 
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