Yet there is a doctor on the radio saying people under 30 are immune.....
I’m thinking Pieface Pelosi and her gang of Dems are not going to give! Trump is worried and doesn’t know what else he can do! It will backfire either way! The Dems only want Trump To fail! They are succeeding!!!Bottom line:
By restarting the economy too early (which is planned for April 6 in my home state of PA) - (which President Trump is indicating via tweets and
comments) :
Second disastrous wave is guaranteed.
A half-assed shutdown.
I hate to kick the mule, darn animal looks deceased, but here it goes.Experts know the new coronavirus is not a bioweapon. They disagree on whether it could have leaked from a research lab
Some researchers think a laboratory accident could have released the viral ancestor of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19.thebulletin.org
Much remains uncertain about the new coronavirus. What treatments will prove effective against COVID-19? When will a vaccine for the disease be ready? What level of social distancing will be required to tame the outbreak, and how long will it need to last? Will outbreaks come in waves? Amid all these vital forward-looking questions remains a more retrospective but still important one: Where did SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, come from in the first place? Experts seem to agree it wasn’t the product of human engineering. Much research has been focused on the hypothesis that bats passed a virus to some intermediate host—perhaps pangolins, scaly ant-eating mammals—which subsequently passed it to humans. But the pangolin theory has not been conclusively proven. Some experts wonder whether a virus under study at a lab could have been accidentally released, something that’s happened in the past.
Among the latest entrants to the debate about the provenance of SARS-CoV-2 are the authors of a March 17 Nature Medicine piece that takes a look at the virus’s characteristics—including the sites on the virus that allow it to bind to human cells. They looked at whether the virus was engineered by humans and present what appears to be convincing evidence it was not. They also considered the possibility that the outbreak could have resulted from an inadvertent lab release of a virus under study but concluded “we do not believe that any type of laboratory-based scenario is plausible.”
Not all experts agree.
Professor Richard Ebright of Rutgers University’s Waksman Institute of Microbiology, a biosecurity expert who has been speaking out on lab safety since the early 2000s, does agree with the Nature Medicine authors’ argument that the new coronavirus wasn’t purposefully manipulated by humans, calling their arguments on this score strong. Ebright helped The Washington Post debunk a claim that the COVID-19 outbreak can somehow be tied to bioweapons activity, a conspiracy theory that’s been promoted or endorsed by the likes of US Sen. Tom Cotton, Iran’s supreme leader, a high-ranking Chinese government official, and others.
But Ebright thinks that it is possible the COVID-19 pandemic started as an accidental release from a laboratory such as one of the two in Wuhan that are known to have been studying bat coronaviruses.
Except for SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, two deadly viruses that have caused outbreaks in the past, coronaviruses have been studied at laboratories that are labelled as operating at a moderate biosafety level known as BSL-2, Ebright says. And, he says, bat coronaviruses have been studied at such labs in and around Wuhan, China, where the new coronavirus first emerged. “As a result,” Ebright says, “bat coronaviruses at Wuhan [Center for Disease Control] and Wuhan Institute of Virology routinely were collected and studied at BSL-2, which provides only minimal protections against infection of lab workers.”
Higher safety-level labs would be appropriate for a virus with the characteristics of the new coronavirus causing the current pandemic. “Virus collection, culture, isolation, or animal infection at BSL-2 with a virus having the transmission characteristics of the outbreak virus would pose substantial risk of infection of a lab worker, and from the lab worker, the public,” Ebright says.
Ebright points out that scientists in Wuhan have collected and publicized a bat coronavirus called RaTG13, one that is 96 percent genetically similar to SARS-CoV-2. The Nature Medicine authors are arguing “against the hypothesis that the published, lab-collected, lab-stored bat coronavirus RaTG13 could be a proximal progenitor of the outbreak virus.” But, Ebright says, the authors relied on assumptions about when the viral ancestor of SARS-CoV-2 jumped to humans; how fast it evolved before that; how fast it evolved as it adapted to humans; and the possibility that that the virus may have mutated in cell cultures or experimental animals inside a lab.
The Nature Medicine authors “leave us where we were before: with a basis to rule out [a coronavirus that is] a lab construct, but no basis to rule out a lab accident,” Ebright says.
Yanzhong Huang, a senior fellow for Global Health at the Council on Foreign Relations, recently wrote an article for Foreign Affairs that is dismissive of conspiracy theories about the origins of the pandemic but also mentions circumstantial evidence that supports the possibility that a lab release was involved. That evidence includes a study “conducted by the South China University of Technology, [that] concluded that the coronavirus ‘probably’ originated in the Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention,” located just 280 meters from the Hunan Seafood Market often cited as the source of the original outbreak.
“The paper was later removed from ResearchGate, a commercial social-networking site for scientists and researchers to share papers,” Huang wrote. “Thus far, no scientists have confirmed or refuted the paper’s findings.”
While vaccines, treatments, and social distancing strategies are critical to fighting the COVID-19 pandemic, figuring out where this new coronavirus originated is, too. “It is reasonable to wonder why the origins of the pandemic matter,” the Nature Medicine authors write. “Detailed understanding of how an animal virus jumped species boundaries to infect humans so productively will help in the prevention of future [animal to people transfer] events. For example, if SARS-CoV-2 pre-adapted in another animal species, then there is the risk of future re-emergence events. In contrast, if the adaptive process occurred in humans, then even if repeated zoonotic transfers occur, they are unlikely to take off without the same series of mutations.”
Kristian Andersen, the lead author of the Nature Medicine piece, did not respond to a request for comment on the article, and W. Ian Lipkin, another of the authors, declined to answer any questions about it. Thomas Gallagher, a virus expert and professor at Loyola University of Chicago, seconded the authors in dismissing the idea that the pandemic could have lab roots. “The authors of the new letter in Nature Medicine are arguing that the SARS-CoV-2 originated in animals, not in a research laboratory,” Gallagher says. “I agree completely with the authors’ statement.”
“Suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 is a purposely manipulated laboratory virus or a product of an accidental laboratory release would be utterly defenseless, truly unhelpful, and extremely inappropriate,” Gallagher says.
Still, lab safety has been a problem in China. “A safety breach at a Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention lab is believed to have caused four suspected SARS cases, including one death, in Beijing in 2004. A similar accident caused 65 lab workers of Lanzhou Veterinary Research Institute to be infected with brucellosis in December 2019,” Huang wrote. “In January 2020, a renowned Chinese scientist, Li Ning, was sentenced to 12 years in prison for selling experimental animals to local markets.
And China is hardly the only place to experience such accidents. A USA Todayinvestigation in 2016, for instance, revealed an incident involving cascading equipment failures in a decontamination chamber as US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention researchers tried to leave a biosafety level 4 lab that likely stored samples of the viruses causing Ebola and smallpox. In 2014, the agency revealed that staff had accidently sent live anthrax between laboratories, exposing 84 workers. In an investigation, officials found other mishaps that had occurred in the preceding decade.
Whether a lab accident could have led to the COVID-19 outbreak remains unclear, but making that determination is worthwhile, Ebright says: “Understanding the origin of the outbreak is a crucial step to reduce the risk of future outbreaks.”
New Yorkers can be a little myopic, thinking NY is the center and be all of the known universe.Man, I've been listening to Cuomo just come apart at the seams. If he is like this now, this week, how will he be come March 31st? I agree ventilators need to be made and delivered but has he even considered that there are many places other than New York that need them very badly??
I have a friend who works for amazon. It sounds like they are at least trying.Apologies if this is a dupe:
Amazon temporarily closes Kentucky warehouse due to virus
FRANKFORT, Ky. (AP) - Amazon has temporarily closed a Kentucky warehouse after an unspecified number of workers tested positive for the coronavirus.
The online retailer said Tuesday that the Shepherdsville warehouse was undergoing “additional sanitization.”
“We are supporting the individuals who are now in quarantine and recovering,” the company said in a statement. “We are following all guidelines from local officials and are taking extreme measures to ensure the safety of employees at our site.”
New Yorkers can be a little myopic, thinking NY is the center and be all of the known universe.
Another New Yorker Andrew Ross Sorkin in his panic early last week walked right up to the edge in an interview that shouldn’t we be shipping all the ventilators to the area’s most impacted. Between the lines shouldn’t the US feds ship all the ventilators from fly over country to LA and NY cause after all that is where all the really important people are???
Of course all the important people are in media and entertainment, that until we and they with the lockdown learned how unimportant they are when TSHTF.
I guess, then, that these will all soon be sent back to where they came from, RIGHT?
View: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ThLmkNaPcbs&feature=emb_title&ebc=ANyPxKqSKUAy9xX6z1M6Dyx0O7qS1uUzJ2Ym9uhxVEkEjSmeWwy69IB2FbUfqX6mW809A2RCjOLlYXD6QKwPslt8VfCwo-fWDA
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Monday he is issuing an executive order mandating that anyone arriving on a flight from New York City and the surrounding area submit to self-quarantine for two weeks as he tries to avoid issuing a statewide shutdown similar to other states.
DeSantis said in an address from his Tallahassee office that more than 100 such flights arrive daily in Florida and he believes each contains at least one person infected with the new coronavirus.
.He said he has been in contact with federal officials about curtailing such flights, but has not yet received a response. He said arriving passengers will be screened by health officials and law enforcement and told they must self-quarantine. He said those travelers will not be allowed to stay with family or friends, because that is one way the virus is spread. (read more)
Statistical projections indicate that in the next few weeks they will have 140000 cases. 25% will need to be vented. That 35000 people. He's trying to protect his people rather than telling them to get back to work. WHO just said the US is the next hot spot. Our deaths will far out run China's.Cuomo wants 30000 vents, but they don't even have that many cases yet, let alone all of them needing vents. Yes, damn self-centered of him.
This is my logic that China lied about their numbers. In 2017-2018 flu season, the United States lost about 20,000 people to the flu. That seems to be about the norm - in the neighborhood of 20,000. The US has about 345 million people - China has 1.4 billion - so about 4-5 times as many as we do. So, if we just work on ratios - they probably average about 100,000 deaths from flu in any given year. That would be the norm, right? So, if that's the case - why would they close down factories, quarantine most of their major cities, and basically destroy their economy for 3,000 deaths?
With a black eye ! hummmm Q
He sounds like a Mafia dude to me. I can imagine him saying "I know a guy who knows a guy who knows a guy..."Cuomo looked presidential in the beginning, today sounded like a whiny bitch/drama queen.
Statistical projections indicate that in the next few weeks they will have 140000 cases. 25% will need to be vented. That 35000 people. He's trying to protect his people rather than telling them to get back to work. WHO just said the US is the next hot spot. Our deaths will far out run China's.
398 people are talking about this
Sidhartha@sidharthakumarj
View: https://twitter.com/sidharthakumarj/status/1242417939682406400
Those who are saying #Hantavirus couldn't be transmitted via Human-human interaction should look into what WHO tweeted in 14th Jan below.
994
7:48 AM - Mar 24, 2020
Twitter Ads info and privacy
Still is. We had a death a couple of years back.Hanta used to be a thing in the old SouthWest, IIRC...
Yeah, he said they needed them now and when they are done with them they will ship them to the next hot spot. If they are needed for 20 days or so for each patient, by the time NY is done with them, they are sterilized and shipped, the next hot spot has burned to the ground with NY having all the resources. Coumo is primping to be president and he's very, very annoying.Cuomo wants 30000 vents, but they don't even have that many cases yet, let alone all of them needing vents. Yes, damn self-centered of him.
Yes!
Never listen to what they say, watch what they do.
This is my logic that China lied about their numbers. In 2017-2018 flu season, the United States lost about 20,000 people to the flu. That seems to be about the norm - in the neighborhood of 20,000. The US has about 345 million people - China has 1.4 billion - so about 4-5 times as many as we do. So, if we just work on ratios - they probably average about 100,000 deaths from flu in any given year. That would be the norm, right? So, if that's the case - why would they close down factories, quarantine most of their major cities, and basically destroy their economy for 3,000 deaths?
He sounds like a Mafia dude to me. I can imagine him saying "I know a guy who knows a guy who knows a guy..."
He also reminds me too much of his brother Fredo, so that doesn't help.
Love the bunny picture! I luvs bunnies.
On March 7th, the American Hospital Association gave a presentation in which they estimated that during the 2 highest months of this Corona virus, there would be 480,000 deaths in the United States. We've had an awful lot of posts here so maybe you missed it I'm going to attach the slide. 480,000 over 2 months, versus 50,000 flu deaths over a year. We will probably see this by the end of July if not earlier.Heard on the news yesterday that we are nearing 50,000 deaths from the flu this season and it is still active in some areas. Compare that to the number of deaths from this virus so far. And yet there were no shutdowns for the flu except for a few short closings for some schools.
This is not good news. This is a significant jump again.
Statistical projections indicate that in the next few weeks they will have 140000 cases. 25% will need to be vented. That 35000 people. He's trying to protect his people rather than telling them to get back to work. WHO just said the US is the next hot spot. Our deaths will far out run China's.
TP -- Looking over these stats they appear to be conservative. The R0 appears to be way higher than 2.5 since doubling is happening in less than 3 days. In some cases venting is needed in 25% of hospitalizations. This could be quite the ride when it gets here.On March 7th, the American Hospital Association gave a presentation in which they estimated that during the 2 highest months of this Corona virus, there would be 480,000 deaths in the United States. We've had an awful lot of posts here so maybe you missed it I'm going to attach the slide. 480,000 over 2 months,View attachment 188581 versus 50,000 flu deaths over a year. We will probably see this by the end of July if not earlier.
Okay - let's only use Hubei province. Between 2010 and 2015, Hubei province averaged 15,000 deaths per year due to influenza. Same argument I made before - why such drastic measures for only 3,000?Faulty figuring. You're ignoring the fact that nearly all cases of the virus occurred in Hubei Province (Wuhan). China pretty well contained it there. It is incorrect to compare that number to the whole country's flu season. This new study shows the virus killed about 1.4% of those infected in Wuhan.
Death rate in China’s coronavirus epicenter is lower than previously thought, study says
It's one heartening data point for a world on edge.fortune.com
This is not good news. This is a significant jump again.
What about the 21 million people who no longer have a cell phone? That would indicate a larger number than China is willing to admit.Faulty figuring. You're ignoring the fact that nearly all cases of the virus occurred in Hubei Province (Wuhan). China pretty well contained it there. It is incorrect to compare that number to the whole country's flu season. This new study shows the virus killed about 1.4% of those infected in Wuhan.
Death rate in China’s coronavirus epicenter is lower than previously thought, study says
It's one heartening data point for a world on edge.fortune.com