Tom McDowell
BAMN
I heard it was a older woman.. We will soon know for sure..
Fog
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I heard it was a older woman.. We will soon know for sure..
43,000,000 masks on hand
Really? I constantly read here that the gov knows but is not telling us. Only somebody]y who believes in the efficiency of gov would believe that. My position is that the gov does not know. They may think they do but they don't. Which is why they seem to do stupid things. They just plain don't know.
They also finished a 2.5 hour meeting just before this.Boy they are kissing Trumps ass for banning China travel.
NIH guy sounds sick too
I really think he is looking at this just a little TOO OBJECTIVELY. When one has any personal fear of the possibility of personally being treated and suffering like the people he is speaking about, he would not look back and be glad he reacted to the threat "Modestly, and sensibly", nor would he want to be treated with medical workers not exceeding what is "modest and sensible" treatment, all things considered. I guess it is a matter of whether or not one is able to view the situation from the victims point of' view, or the medical worker's, or the authority's heavy burden of responsibility. It is a difficult problem with no "right" or easy answers for every situation,What the Coronavirus End Game Will Look Like
David Fickling
Bloomberg
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Pandemics come and pandemics go.
In the grip of a new infection spreading around a planet with no natural immunity, it can feel like the sky is falling. Over the coming months, it’s likely that a significant share of the world’s population will experience some of the dread of the Covid-19 coronavirus that people in China have suffered over the past few months. Many will die.
Still, the likely end-point of this outbreak will see it settle down as an endemic disease — one of the suite of respiratory viruses like influenza and the common cold that travel around the world year after year, with most of us regarding them as little more than a nuisance.
The great unknown is what will happen along the way. Doing the sums can produce alarming figures. The best estimates so far suggest that Covid-19 kills about 1% of people it infects. That number may go up somewhat or fall significantly; either way it could add up to a dreadful toll.
If 60% of the world’s population is ultimately infected, as suggested by Gabriel Leung, chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, a 1% fatality rate would kill almost 50 million people — similar to the 1918 Spanish flu. If that falls to 0.1%, it could still be roughly 10 times more fatal than the 2009 H1N1 influenza outbreak, which killed several hundred thousand in its first year.
A better comparison might be the influenza pandemics that emerged from China in the 1950s and 1960s, according to Benjamin Cowie, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Melbourne — but the differences are still significant. While our health systems are far better than they were 50 years ago, the channels of infection are more open, too.
“We’re in a very different world now, our world is much more interconnected,” he said. “What happens in one place is much more likely to be on the other side of the world in 24 hours.”
Attempts to contain this infection in existing hot spots in Asia, the Middle East and Europe appear to be failing. If that’s the case, expect to see low-level movement restrictions spread elsewhere. Such measures don’t serve so much to eliminate as to slow down a highly contagious infection like Covid-19. Still, that will spread out the burden of sickness over a longer period, putting less pressure on the health system.
The biggest impact is likely to be on the young and old. Children are less able to carry out the basic hygiene and touch-avoidance measures that help slow infections, so school closures like those imposed in Hong Kong and now in Japan could crop up elsewhere.
Aged care homes may see even more serious restrictions. Covid-19 seems to particularly target the elderly and those with other existing conditions. One recent study of more than 72,000 cases in China found a fatality rate of 2.3% across all age groups, rising to 8% for people in their 70s and 15% for people above 80. Minimizing the risks to older people will probably put significant pressure on aged care facilities, especially if staff are infected themselves, or called away to look after children sent home from shuttered schools.
Fortunately, the most severe period of initial infection could soon be fading. Respiratory diseases flourish in the cold season and taper off as the weather warms up. That should cause infection rates to slow in the northern hemisphere, while continuing at a lower level in tropical regions and spiking in temperate parts of the southern hemisphere where winter will be setting in. When a new year rolls around, the bulk of the disease will shift back to the northern hemisphere, to begin the cycle again.
Subsequent Covid-19 seasons probably won’t be as serious. Those who survive viruses should be immune from reinfection (though there have been reports of people being diagnosed with Covid-19 for a second time), and as the share of survivors in the population rises, it gets harder for a disease to spread.
“Most influenza pandemics last two to three years,” said Peter White, a professor of virology at the University of New South Wales. “That’s how long it takes before herd immunity is built up.”
In a best-case scenario, it’s even possible that vaccines may be available in not much more than a year. On top of that, doctors and nurses will get better at treating the condition and preventing severe illness, both through improved clinical knowledge; use of antiviral medicines like Kaletra, if they’re found to be effective; and because they’ll be much better-equipped to handle the crisis when infection rates are lower and fewer people are crowding into hospitals and clinics.
There’s no cause for complacency. Epidemics often move in waves, so that an apparent early peak in infections can be followed by further surges. That’s reason to maintain vigilance around measures like hand-washing and touch-avoidance, even if the pandemic seems to be on the ebb.
All of this will affect society in ways hard to predict. A global economy that’s off sick will struggle to grow in the manner previously expected. A disease that so aggressively targets older people may even shift the demographic structure of populations. The large number of men who died in the 1918 Spanish flu and the First World War has often been cited as one reason why the social and economic position of women improved so much in the 1920s.
We’re not on the brink of doom. As we’ve written, taking modest and sensible precautions should keep most people safe. In time, Covid-19 may be remembered not so much with dread as with historical curiosity. But the coming months, and years, will change us.
David Fickling is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering commodities, as well as industrial and consumer companies. He has been a reporter for Bloomberg News, Dow Jones, the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times and the Guardian.
What the Coronavirus End Game Will Look Like
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Pandemics come and pandemics go.In the grip of a new infection spreading around a planet with no natural immunity, it can feel like the sky is falling. Over the coming months, it’s likely that a significant share of the world’s population will experience some of the dread...finance.yahoo.com
What a tangled web we weave....Wait, my notes from the start of the presser read 29cases.
This latest goomer just said 22 cases.
Wonder if they had a spike in orders or if there was a "cloud glitch", ordered more cat food and 2 more POE IP varifocal cameras around lunch time (East Coast time) and had zero issues but I do fully expect for things to get a little sporty with online orders/shipping.Folks who are wanting/considering an Amazon order for ANYTHING, might want to get it done soonest. I've been trying to place an order for the last half hour, and they're having issues with the website....guessing too many people doing the same thing.
This isn't a big order, a few puzzles, some mixes, etc. Good luck!!
TOO SOON.What Trump should be talking about now is how to help get our manufacturing supply chains back in the country. Maybe a 5 year tax break for both the companies that start up making the base chemicals, electronic parts, and other pieces, AND massive federal tax breaks for all of the people they employ for more than 3 years (this keeps the system from being abused so much).
It would keep OUR economy working better, keep more people employed, and give us a manufacturing base for all of the parts and pieces for everything else we "make". It would also help other companies decide to move their operations back to the US as well.
For that matter, we could go back to what the founding fathers wanted and not have any corporate or personal taxes and just use tariffs on external trade (further pushing the companies to "bring it back home".
He's either uninformed or LYING. I'll take lying for 1,000NO indication of reinfection
Way back when this first started CDC was talking about the test kits and they admitted they only had A FEW HUNDRED and were shipping like 20 to pretty good sized cities and wanted them to ONLY TEST people when it was absolutely necessary because there were no more tests coming till they could manufacture more!! THAT IS WHY THEY DID NOT TEST EVERY ONE THAT THEY MAYBE SHOULD HAVE. They simply DID NOT HAVE THE TEST KITS!at some point either Trump or the Deep State will have to reveal the truth and when they do, the shit will hit the fan.
We all know there is a huge disconnect between the reaction of the Chinese and the reaction of our government.
The Chinese either locked down or quarantined vast areas of the population and have been burning bodies like . . .
I dunno . . . hot dogs on the 4th of July . . . I know, pretty morbid, but really.
The US has gone to great effort to actually import people having this highly contagious disease and have been lackadaisical in the administration of testing. Faulty test kits? Only testing people from China get tested (that's racist BTW)? Not preparing hospital staff for personal protection? The CDC has been acting like a food truck selling Chinese food on the side of the road - you really have no idea what the mystery meat is. How will YOU ever be able to trust them again?
We are close to the point where the truth must begin to emerge.
Either this virus is an Extinction Level Event - because only an extinction level event warrants the extreme measures that have been reported out of China and the CDC has dropped the ball.
Or the Chinese have used the virus as an opportunity to quell dissent or maybe to step up the trade war (or both) and the Deep State is using the fear and panic to crash the world economy, install a global currency, bring down Trump, and put the Deplorables in their place.
Happy Thoughts
If you die, then you weren’t healthy.Trump: If you are healthy you will recover from this.
And the ones that aren't??? Like probably most of the population now a days?
I screamed at the tv over the last one. which is a bold faced lie.NIH guy - 15-20% advanced medical care required.
Majority older and underlying conditions.
NO indication of reinfection
When first we practice to deceive. I will listen to the membership here rather than the spin and mis-infoWhat a tangled web we weave....
So, wait, the U.S. Surgeon General is screaming at people to "STOP BUYING MASKS" because they won't keep us from getting sick, and the medical folks need them to stay safe! Uhhh...What an idiot.
For 300,000,000+ people.43,000,000 masks on hand
Lady that died was community spread, no travel history or known contact.
Americans regardless of location are low risk
For which?A fate worse then death.
For 300,000,000+ people.
About 1/7 mask each?
Works for me.
Maybe they were nonbinary trans LGBQXYZ idenifyingwhy does washington state say it was a MAN that died?
Wash. state sees 1st virus death in US, declares emergency
The governor of Washington declared a state of emergency Saturday after a man died there of COVID-19, the first such reported death in the United States...apnews.com
Trump is now advocating negative interest rates and quantative easing. Wants to refinance debt at negative rate. WTF he's either full of shit or getting really bad economic advice.
You’re not even going to recognize next month, then.IMO, at the rate this thing is changing that the are close to stampeding.
Finish up this weekend....next week is going to look a lot different than this week.
Cant help but wonder how many of these friendly and familial freeloaders will be bringing the dreaded virus into your home with them?
Since it seems to lie dormant for a couple of weeks before symptoms appear, by the time you realize that you've invited pestilence into your quarters, it will be too late.