ALERT Scientists explain how they created bird flu suitable to cause a pandemic in humans.

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Scientists explain how they created bird flu that spreads easily among mammals
By Eryn Brown / The Los Angeles Times
Friday, June 22, 2012 - Added 20 hours ago


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LOS ANGELES - Scientists have created versions of the H5N1 bird flu that spread easily among mammals through droplets in sneezes and have concluded that the deadly virus could trigger a global pandemic in humans.

Writing in Friday’s edition of the journal Science, Dutch researchers laid out for their fellow scientists - and the public - precisely how they engineered bird flu strains that were contagious in ferrets, laboratory animals often used as proxies for people in influenza research. As few as five mutations, generated by passing the virus from ferret to ferret to ferret just 10 times, could be enough to allow it to infect new hosts through the air, said virologist Ron Fouchier, lead author of the report.

"We assume also in humans it would only take a low number of transmission events for these mutations to accumulate," he said.

The publication of the team’s work - after a six-month delay prompted by a U.S. government biosecurity panel - ends a chapter in the debate over so-called dual-use research of concern: experiments that serve a legitimate scientific purpose but also could threaten public health, the environment or national security.

At the same time, the study ushers in a new and uncertain era for the study of such dangerous agents as bird flu, anthrax and Ebola virus. Experts said they expected continued wrangling over what research should be conducted, by whom, and under what closely monitored restrictions.

"It’s still unclear, once research is identified as dual-use research of concern, what happens next," said Richard Webby, a flu researcher at St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital in Memphis, Tenn., who was not involved with Fouchier’s paper but supported his efforts. "Is there an appropriate strategy for mitigating risk other than ’Don’t do the research?’"

For bird flu, that has been a difficult question to answer.

The pathogen has killed millions of birds. It has also been deadly, if rare, in humans. The World Health Organization has confirmed 606 cases of H5N1 infection in people since 2003. Nearly 60 percent of those cases were fatal, suggesting that the virus has the potential to wipe out millions of people if it became widespread.

Thus far, humans haven’t caught H5N1 easily. But virologists like Fouchier wanted to know whether that might change.

Working in high-security laboratories, Fouchier and his colleagues at Erasmus Medical Center in Rotterdam, Netherlands, took an H5N1 strain isolated from a human in Indonesia and added three mutations thought to have helped fuel global flu pandemics in 1918, 1957 and 1968.

The researchers infected ferrets with the engineered H5N1 by squirting it into their noses. The changes in the virus increased the viral load in the ferrets’ upper respiratory tracts but didn’t make the pathogen contagious through droplets. Neither did adding a fourth mutation.

So the team next allowed the virus to mutate inside the ferrets’ bodies. They took samples from the noses of infected animals and used them to infect others. After 10 passes, the virus had acquired enough changes to pass through the air between ferrets in adjacent cages.

The animals infected by airborne droplets suffered lethargy and loss of appetite, but they did not die from their illnesses.

In a companion study also published in Science, researchers tried to assess the likelihood that the combinations of mutations identified in Fouchier’s experiments - as well as genetic changes seen in a similar H5N1 ferret experiment by University of Wisconsin researcher Yoshihiro Kawaoka - might arise on their own.

Derek Smith, an infectious disease researcher at the University of Cambridge in England, and colleagues looked at H5N1 strains already circulating in birds and humans to figure out how many key mutations each strain might require to infect mammals through the air. They also developed a computer model to examine the biological factors influencing whether those mutations could evolve in a host during a five-day flu infection.

With so many unknowns about H5N1, Smith’s team didn’t arrive at an absolute measurement of risk. But the study points to factors virologists and epidemiologists should track as they continue to monitor the virus.


Smith compared the H5N1 threat to the earthquake risk posed by the San Andreas fault. "It really is real, but we just don’t know how real yet," he said. "What we know from our study is that it’s active and it could go off."

It will take more experiments like Fouchier’s to find additional triggers and assess the risk more precisely, Smith added.

But part of the legacy of Fouchier’s research, as well as Kawaoka’s, could be to slow the progress of such dual-use projects.

Many people are afraid that scientists could create a pathogen that, by accident or through deliberate acts, could escape from the lab and sicken millions. Some still worry that publishing the details of such studies - a key part of the scientific process - amounts to delivering a recipe for a potent bioweapon to technologically proficient terrorists.

In the months since the U.S. National Science Advisory Board for Biosecurity first asked for the studies to be amended before publication, scientists have adhered to a self-imposed moratorium on such research - and they’re still struggling to figure out how to lift it, said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, which funded both H5N1 studies.

U.S. officials issued a policy in March requiring federal agencies that fund or conduct biological research to report to the assistant to the president for homeland security and counterterrorism when they have experiments underway that qualify as dual-use research of concern. Researchers also must develop plans to limit risks, but the policy doesn’t say how those plans should be assembled.

"In the abstract, it’s easy to say we need to mitigate the risk," said Carrie Wolinetz, a vice president at the Association of American Universities, which lobbies for increased research funding. "But where this plays out in terms of research processes is difficult to figure out."

In one of several commentaries that accompany the Science papers, Wolinetz pointed out that the new policy wouldn’t have covered some notorious dual-use experiments from the past, including an Australian study that inadvertently increased the virulence of mousepox and thus revealed how the same might be done for smallpox.

Mark Frankel, director of the Scientific Responsibility, Human Rights and Law Program at the American Association. for the Advancement of Science, which publishes Science, worried that more red tape would discourage researchers from pursuing H5N1 work. The publication of Fouchier’s paper was delayed in part because the Dutch government made him apply for permission to submit his work to Science, on the grounds that the research should be regulated as the export of weapons technology, he wrote in one of the other commentaries.

The U.S. government isn’t finished addressing H5N1 research and plans to release additional guidelines to help research institutions manage the risks of dual-use research of concern, Fauci said.

In his view, he added, the benefit of studying H5N1 "far outweighs" any potential danger.

There’s risk in everything in life, he said.

Visit the Los Angeles Times at www.latimes.com

(c)2012 Los Angeles Times Distributed by MCT Information Services
 

gdpetti

Inactive
Fits their plans to reduce the population by 90%.... what Mother Nature doesn't do soon, they will, as they don't want to deal with too many sheeple on the streets in survival mode, once they come out of their hidey holes(underground bases).

This flu crap has been a favorite implementation procedure going way back... usually tested on minorities and/or military personnel. Basic empire building, especially once the NWO needs are factored in.
 

VesperSparrow

Goin' where the lonely go
So now they are so comfortable in their government protected skins that they can just flat-out TELL us they did it on purpose...

Death to them all.
 

FarOut

Inactive
We had a thread on this a few months ago. If it's a population reduction plan by some elite that plans to hide in shelters it's really stupid. The bio-engineered virus will have a strong selection pressure to mutate; even if some group has been given a vaccine once they come out of their shelters they'll be exposed to the mutated virus and flu vaccines usually don't work on mutated strains.

What worries me is that the description of what was done is a fairly complete manual on how to do it. Some crazy country or fanatic group decides that they'll accept the loses and now knows how to make the virus. A bit time-consuming but very simple. Any big orders for ferrets shipped overseas recently?
 

Flippper

Time Traveler
Things you wish were on the front page of every newspaper in America for $1000 Alex.

The Bible speaks of pestilence in different places in the end days of the gentiles (non Jew), along with famine and earthquakes.

Matthew 24:7
For nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom: and there shall be famines, and pestilences, and earthquakes, in divers places.

And great earthquakes shall be in divers places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven.
 

DennisRGH

Reset
No need to wait for natural mutations in the "wild" now.

Something tells me that this virus is just sitting in certain labs around the world waiting to be released.......during or after major world war. The perfect storm on humanity.....war/famine/disease.....coming right up.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Yep Buckster that is what I think also:

"Something tells me that this virus is just sitting in certain labs around the world waiting to be released.......during or after major world war. The perfect storm on humanity.....war/famine/disease.....coming right up."

I think you can bet on it.
 

Richard

TB Fanatic
why are they doing it
what was the purpose of the research in the first place, they were NOT interested in spreading flu amongst the bird population, but if they were why?
 

kittyknits

Veteran Member
The book The Third Pandemic by Pierre Ouellette is a novel illustrating an event of this type. It shows the breakdown of society as the pandemic continues. Well-written and scary. I've read it twice.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Pierre Ouellette Books New book search Pierre Ouellette Message Board
Get more information about this book


Plot Summary of The Third Pandemic


"One of the most unique bio-thrillers around - part of the action is actually seen from the virus' viewpoint!

Detective Philip Paris of the Seattle police is going downhill. Since his wife was sent into a coma by a maniac bent on infecting the kitchens of Seattle's restaurants, Paris has been obsessed by bringing the madman to justice. His work is hurting, his boss can no longer cover for him.

At the same time, a new virus is slowly developing - mutating as it travels from Africa to South America, the mechanics and statistics explained in all to believable detail that mr. Ouellette manages to make understandable to the layman. Once the pandemic gets rolling, sixty percent of the global population will be dead within a year. An that is just the first wave.

Back in the US, brilliant researcher dr. Elaine Wilkes - unaware of the approaching doom - may actually have laid the theoretical groundwork that may be needed to create a cure. But the corporation she works for sees the enormous potentiale for profit. They are NOT going to place Dr. Wilkes research's in the public domain. No matter what. No matter which methods they must use to stop it happening.

As Elaine flees with copies of her all-important, anarchy is breaking loose all over the world. The corporation wants her for embezzlement, and the officer sending her to prison is Paris. And awaiting her inside the walls is psychotic crime lord Barney Cox, who is in the pocket of the corporation. Or... is it the other way around?

Soon Paris and Elaine will be together, fleeing plague and criminals that have taken power in a cordoned Seattle as the world goes to pieces around them.

But with the killer virus, Seattle's maniac food poisoner may just have found his ultimate weapon..."

http://www.allreaders.com/Topics/info_13790.asp
 

Mixin

Veteran Member
Richard,
IIRC, Fouchier said the purpose of the research was to see if they could succeed in making it transmissible in mammals. The general consensus was that they could not; so he was surprised when he was able to.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
The Deadly VirusThe Influenza Epidemic of 1918
True or False? The Influenza Epidemic of 1918 killed more people than died in World War One. Hard as it is to believe, the answer is true.



World War I claimed an estimated 16 million lives. The influenza epidemic that swept the world in 1918 killed an estimated 50 million people. One fifth of the world's population was attacked by this deadly virus. Within months, it had killed more people than any other illness in recorded history.

The plague emerged in two phases. In late spring of 1918, the first phase, known as the "three-day fever," appeared without warning. Few deaths were reported. Victims recovered after a few days. When the disease surfaced again that fall, it was far more severe. Scientists, doctors, and health officials could not identify this disease which was striking so fast and so viciously, eluding treatment and defying control. Some victims died within hours of their first symptoms. Others succumbed after a few days; their lungs filled with fluid and they suffocated to death.

The plague did not discriminate. It was rampant in urban and rural areas, from the densely populated East coast to the remotest parts of Alaska. Young adults, usually unaffected by these types of infectious diseases, were among the hardest hit groups along with the elderly and young children. The flu afflicted over 25 percent of the U.S. population. In one year, the average life expectancy in the United States dropped by 12 years.

It is an oddity of history that the influenza epidemic of 1918 has been overlooked in the teaching of American history. Documentation of the disease is ample, as shown in the records selected from the holdings of the National Archives regional archives. Exhibiting these documents helps the epidemic take its rightful place as a major disaster in world history.


http://www.archives.gov/exhibits/influenza-epidemic/records-list.html
 
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