Solar X-class flare, Dutchsinse reports

Fairwillows

Fairwillows

Where I am supposed to be.
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wrknb3WUC8Q

RT: 05 seconds

A large X1.2 class solar flare has occurred on the Eastern limb of the Sun. (left side viewing from SDO) From https://spaceweather.com/

"X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected a major X1.2-class solar flare (Jan. 6th @ 0057 UTC)" You can view the solar flare on Helioviewer by selecting the date range of January 6, 2023 .. 00:00:00 UTC January 6, 2023 .. 02:15:00 UTC

https://helioviewer.ias.u-psud.fr/ ______ You should be able to see the flares trajectory in a few hours going into tomorrow on the ENLIL page: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ws...

As with past X class solar flares which are on a side facing Earth, we can see increases in charged particles as well as solar wind. The incoming charged particles (when excessive) can be seen on the SOHO satellite(s) C3 view https://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/data/The...

When the charged particles arrive with the solar wind in the next 2-3 days from now (1/5/2023 8pm central) you can watch the compression of the magnetosphere around Earth here: https://www.sws.bom.gov.au/Satellite/3/2

Once the compression of the magnetosphere occurs, and a buffeting of the magnetosphere happens with excess protons /cm3, and solar wind speed increases... I think of the incoming solar storm with strong solar wind like a wind storm.. and the charged particles like rain.... if you combine the two.. its like a hurricane... not just a wind storm!

Within 2-3 days of the arrival of the x-class flare, usually we see a noteworthy increase in deep earthquakes, and shallower larger earthquakes. Also, keep an eye out for earthquakes by pipelines, power grids (lines and stations), even railroad tracks. Summed up.. an x-class flare facing earth has occurred, it takes 2-3 days for the charged particles w/solar wind to arrive. Once it arrives, we watch for an additional 2-3 days for an earthquake and volcanic increase. Next 7 days basically.

:popcorn1:
 
packyderms_wife

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Duthsinse needs to be on the proscribed list here. Some of us will never forget what 5his tool of a douche bag did that not only injured lots of people, but also cost several lives with his idiotic comments. If you cannot tell 5he difference between a wildfire and an volcanic eruption on radar or with IR, then shut the **** up!

Solarham and spaceweather.com have Ben talking about this for days now, as well as suspicious observer, and 5hats where Dutch gets his info from.
 
Fairwillows

Fairwillows

Where I am supposed to be.
packyderms_wife said:
Duthsinse needs to be on the proscribed list here. Some of us will never forget what 5his tool of a douche bag did that not only injured lots of people, but also cost several lives with his idiotic comments. If you cannot tell 5he difference between a wildfire and an volcanic eruption on radar or with IR, then shut the **** up!

Solarham and spaceweather.com have Ben talking about this for days now, as well as suspicious observer, and 5hats where Dutch gets his info from.
Click to expand...
This xflare just happened within the past 12 hours....??? how could they be reporting it for days??? and I watch Suspicious Observers every morning!
 
T

Telescope Steve

Veteran Member
SpaceWeather.com has daily updates and is not hyped.

Yes there was one and maybe an earlier X class flare. Fortunately the sunspot is not facing us yet. It has just rotated onto the edge so we can see it. It will be aimed in our directing in the coming week. So we may get some big blasts from this spot next week. MAYBE. They think it is likely, but it is not a sure thing. But it's worth keeping an eye on it.

 
Heliobas Disciple

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
Sunspot is now on Earth facing side of the sun, albeit the limb. It had two X class flares - one on the far side, one as it turned the limb. And more are expected.

(fair use applies)


A DANGEROUS SUNSPOT: Newly-emerging sunspot AR3182 poses a threat for strong solar flares. On Jan. 3rd it produced a probable X-class eruption on the farside of the sun, and this morning it produced a definite X-flare on the Earth side. There's no reason to think the flares will stop as AR3182 turns to face our planet in the days ahead. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.


X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Sunspot AR3182 is living up to the hype. Fully visible for less than 24 hours, the active sunspot has already produced an intense X1.2-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the eruption on Jan. 6th just before 0100 UT:


x1p2_strip_opt.gif



The explosion inflated a dome of glowing-hot plasma, which hovered above the blast site for more than an hour. This may have contained the debris. So far no coronal mass ejection (CME) has been observed emerging from the area.


A pulse of X-rays and extreme UV radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a shortwave radio blackout across South Pacific:


​


Ham radio operators, mariners and aviators may have noticed unusual propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz for as much as an hour after the flare. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.
 
Tundra Gypsy

Tundra Gypsy

Veteran Member
How do I find Solarham? I found SpaceWeather.com, but not Solarham??? I've been watching earthquake activity for the past three weeks; notice an increase in seismic activity in the 5 and 6 range.
 
J

John Deere Girl

Veteran Member
www.google.com

Solar flare strikes Earth, causes BLACKOUT in Australia and New Zealand

A major solar flare activity was recorded in the early hours today, January 6. The X-class flare caused a shortwave radio blackout affecting most of the South Pacific including Australia and New Zealand.
www.google.com www.google.com

I can't bring this over, since I'm on my phone. I think this is being described a bit dramatically, but I did find it interesting.
 
Heliobas Disciple

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)


INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: One X-class solar flare already happened today (see below) and more could follow. The sun now has two large, unstable sunspots capable of producing very strong explosions: AR3182 and AR3184. Both are turning to face Earth, increasing the odds of geoeffective flares this week. X-flare alerts: SMS Text.


X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected an X1.9-class solar flare (Jan. 9th @ 1850 UT). The source is hyperactive sunspot AR3184, now emerging over the sun's southeastern limb. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the flare's extreme ultraviolet flash:



Above: An X1.9-class solar flare on Jan. 9th. Credit: SDO/NASA​


Radiation ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a shortwave radio blackout centered on the Pacific side of South America: blackout map. Mariners, aviators and ham radio operators may have noticed fadeouts and other unusual propagation effects at frequencies below ~25 MHz.

fivesites.gif


This was an impulsive solar flare--intense but probably too brief to lift a coronal mass ejection (CME) out of the sun's atmosphere. It is too soon, however, to rule out the possibility of debris heading our way. Pending data from SOHO coronagraphs will reveal any CMEs in the hours ahead.

Meanwhile, it is interesting to zoom out and see what the whole sun did around the time of the X-flare. SDO recorded 5 rapidfire eruptions. Click to set the scene in motion:


​


Going off like popcorn, these five sites erupted in a time window shorter than 90 minutes despite some of them being separated by as much as a million kilometers. Coincidence? Maybe not. Researchers discovered long ago that magnetic instabilities can ignite nearly simultaneous explosions across the entire face of the sun. This appears to be such a case.
 
D

Double_A

TB Fanatic
Fairwillows said:
This xflare just happened within the past 12 hours....??? how could they be reporting it for days??? and I watch Suspicious Observers every morning!
Click to expand...

Go to spaceweather.com

So much more informative and accurate. (I do see where in the OP they mentioned spaceweather.com)

...and Dutch has a long and checkered history, but it appears he's back. Maybe he has no skills or significant job history?
my personal opinion of Dutch, from experience is that he's a grifter, a con man.

I will also say this, the graphics and video he uses are top rate and so professional in appearance, that many many are being mislead by him. Nothing Mickey Mouse about his graphics, well except they are simply made-up with a real fact thrown in here or there.
 
D

Double_A

TB Fanatic
Fairwillows said:
This xflare just happened within the past 12 hours....??? how could they be reporting it for days??? and I watch Suspicious Observers every morning!
Click to expand...

The Sun rotating this just came into Earth view, but this didn't start today, it started a few days ago when in was on the backside. The backside explosions were detected by instruments, so scientists knew this was coming, as the Sun rotates into Earth view.

spaceweather.com is just super for amateurs with professional data. Sadly it won't look as nicely presented as Dutch.
 
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